The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast - 475. Threat From South America | Axel Kaiser
Episode Date: August 26, 2024Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down with author and president of the Foundation for Progress in Chile, Axel Kaiser. They discuss the state of Venezuela under Nicolás Maduro, the opposition leader María... Corina Machado, 21st-century socialism, the rise of the cartels, and how the ethos of care undergirds economic instability. Axel Kaiser Barents von Hohenhagen is a Chilean-German lawyer, Master in Investments, Commerce, and Arbitration, Master of Arts, and Doctor of Philosophy from the University of Heidelberg (Germany). He is the co-founder and president of the Foundation for Progress in Chile, one of the most influential free-market think tanks in Latin America. He is an international lecturer and a best-selling author of several works that include his Tolkienian fantasy novel “The Book of Asgalard” (available only in Spanish). His book "The Street Economist" became the most sold economics book in the Spanish-speaking world in the last 20 years, playing an important role in Argentina’s current free-market movement. This episode was recorded on August 12th, 2024 - Links - For Axel Kaiser: On X https://x.com/AXELKAISER?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor “The Street Economist: 15 Economic Lessons Everyone Should Know” (Book) https://www.amazon.com/Street-Economist-Economics-Lessons-Everyone/dp/1645720810“The Book of Asgalard” (Book)(Spanish only) https://www.amazon.com/El-libro-Asgalard-Axel-Kaiser/dp/8445016393
Transcript
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Hello everybody. My wife Tammy and I recently had the privilege of touring through Mexico and South America. We didn't tour, obviously,
through the whole continent. We went to a couple of places in Brazil and to Chile and
to Mexico. And I met some very interesting people along the way, which is always something
that happens, including the gentleman I'm talking to today, Axel Kaiser Berens von Hohenhagen.
He's a Chilean German lawyer,
a master in investments, commerce and arbitration,
master of arts and doctor of philosophy
from the University of Heidelberg in Germany.
It's a very good university.
He is co-founder and president of the Foundation
for Progress in Chile,
one of the most influential free market think tanks in Latin America.
He's also a senior fellow at the Archbridge Institute in Washington
and director of the Friedrich Hayek Chair at Adolfo Ibanez University from 2016 to 2024.
So why are we talking? Well, I thought it would be good to bring everyone an update on the political and ideological
situation in South America.
Now that's an impossible thing to do, obviously, in the course of a 90-minute podcast because
it's very complicated to talk about a whole continent.
And much of what we focused on was to do with the events that are transpiring in Venezuela,
where the age-old conflict between what's essentially a crooked, corrupt, propagandistic, draconian,
communist, totalitarian state and the people and the opposition to that state is transpiring.
And so we walk through the situation in Venezuela.
There was a recent election there.
The incumbent, the aforementioned totalitarian Maduro, apparently lost and is very unlikely to give up power. Why should anyone care? Well, the world's a small place now and what happens
everywhere has an effect that's local. If South America is destabilized, you can expect a lot more
trouble, for example, at the southern US border. And by a lot, I mean a lot, I mean millions of people.
And if the communist dystopians and their Iranian, Chinese
and Russian propagandistic backers and troublemakers
get their way, there's going to be plenty of dystopia
in South America.
And don't be thinking you're gonna escape unscathed
from that because you're not.
And so we talked about Venezuela, we talked about Chile, and we talked about Argentina
and Malay, the new government there.
And so we talked about different schools of economics as well and what influence they
all had in the way that geopolitical affairs lay themselves out.
So join us for that and learn along with me about what's transpiring with our southern
neighbors.
Well, Dr. Kaiser, let's just jump right into it.
Let's talk about Venezuela.
Maybe you can give people a bit of an update about the current situation and then we could
delve into that historically. Then we'll move into the topic of South and Central America more broadly. So
give us your thoughts on Venezuela. Well, it's a very, you know, sad situation we are living now.
I started my career in Venezuela in Caracas back in 2005. I was studying the socialist revolution in Caracas,
and I came to the conclusion that Chávez had come to power and he would never leave,
which is what usually socialist dictators do. And at the time, my friends in Venezuela
had the hope that they could vote him out. It never happened, as we all know.
And what we really are experiencing is the consequences of decades of socialism.
You can vote socialists in, but you cannot vote them out.
This is one of the main lessons that you have in Venezuela, especially if you have weak
institutions.
And what we do have now, it's a horrible regime, it's a tyrannical dictatorship that has been
there for decades already.
And Maduro is systematically engaging in human rights violations.
He stole the election.
We all know that, a couple of weeks ago, and the friends we have there, they are
fighting on the ground, literally risking their lives. A good friend of mine was recently arrested
by the Maduro regime with no, you know, warrant or whatever. I mean, just the police came to her house, they took her to
prison and who knows what they are doing to her and just because she was posting some
content on social media. And the problem that Venezuela poses for the whole region and not
only Latin America, but also the United States, is that the Maduro regime, it's a big narco
dictatorship.
So they are in bed with the Cartel de los Soles.
They are running the Soles Cartel, which is the Sun Cartel.
And they are exporting cocaine everywhere.
Not only that, they are in bed with the Iranian regime and with Russia.
So they're being supported by Russia, Iran,
and also by China.
So I think this poses a security threat to the United States
because they have, you know,
Hezbollah has training camps in Venezuela.
And if you have these open borders with Mexico,
I'm sure they have infiltrated people coming
from Venezuela to the United States that are not the regular criminals that you can see
nowadays operating in New York or other parts in the United States.
These are also Islamic terrorists.
I'm pretty sure that you have some of them now that came from Venezuela via Mexico into
the United States.
So this is a dramatic situation.
And I have a message from the group of Maria Corina Machao,
because I have been in contact with them.
She's the opposition leader.
She's a good friend of mine.
To the international media, they are really very upset
by the way that the press in the Western world
has been covering all this.
And they have a double standard
when it comes to left-wing dictatorships
as compared to not left-wing or right-wing dictatorships.
And you have several newspapers like El País in Spain,
for instance, that have called Maria Corrina Machado
a far-right extremist, which is complete nonsense.
She is fighting for freedom and democracy.
And then you have other media like the New York Times
who have been very biased as well.
And they sent me a message and I'm using this platform
and they thank you Jordan for this interview
because they need the support of the international community
if you want a transition to happen in Venezuela, which is looking increasingly unlikely with the passing of time.
So it's very sad and this is poisoning the whole region and also I think it's going
to be a big problem for the United States if they don't push enough to get rid of Maduro
right now, for the reasons I already mentioned.
Alright, so there's a lot in what you just said, so let me take it apart piece by piece.
You said, for example, that if you vote in the socialists, you don't get to vote the
mountain.
So we probably want to draw a distinction, or at least have a discussion about socialism
versus communism, or a discussion about whether or not that distinction is even reasonable.
It's definitely the case that in some Western countries, more left-leaning regimes are voted
in and voted out with some degree of regularity. Canada has a
socialist party, the New Democratic Party, and it has never won an election
federally and is unlikely ever to do so, I would say, because it never seems to
gain about more than about 20% of the population. But it's certainly run many provinces and, you know,
often not cataclysmically, sometimes even intelligently,
depending on who it was that was running the show, let's say.
So, and then of course, people tend to presume
that countries like Sweden and Denmark and Norway
are socialist countries even
though fundamentally they adhere to free market principles. So do you want to
distinguish first for maybe some definitions? What do you think the
difference is between a socialist country and a communist country and and
how are how should people draw a distinction?
Well, I would distinguish between social democracy, which is the left that we have usually in the Western world
in the developed nations, people like Biden
or people like Justin Trudeau and people like that
who can be very far left when it comes to the woke
issues and all of this value conflicts that we have now in the West.
And I believe that they are responsible for endorsing an ideology that will end up destroying
the West if they are successful in the end.
But they are not these revolutionary socialists that we have now in Latin America or that we used to have
in the Western world during the Cold War.
Like you had them in Italy and France, you had them in Germany, you had terrorist groups
that were fighting against the establishment, being funded by the Soviet Union, and so on.
So I would make a distinction there.
And also, if you have countries with more solid institutions, even within Latin America,
they are never able to achieve their goal of concentrating power in their own hands.
Like Chile is a good example of that. We had a constitutional referendum a couple of years ago,
and the left proposed a very radical constitution, a very woke constitution, but at the same time,
proposed a very radical constitution, a very woke constitution, but at the same time, a communist constitution.
And over 60% of Chileans voted against that.
So we were saved by this decision in the referendum, so they failed in their attempt to control
power.
So I would say in the classical definition, socialism and Marxism used to, or communism,
they used to be more or less the same during the Cold War. I mean it would be hard to argue
that the socialist was not at the same time someone who believed in the in the Soviet Union
type of system, central plant economy. This is a point that Hayek and Mises were making
during the Cold War, fighting against the socialists,
because the socialists were arguing
for a central plant economy, which in the end,
would have destroyed all sort of political liberties
and democracy as well.
So I would distinguish more, as I said,
between the social democrats, and within the social democrats
you have also more extreme type of people than others,
and the socialist and communist.
And even if some political parties
have the name of socialist,
nowadays they are more like social democrats
than true socialists that are inspired 100%
by the Marxist and Leninist doctrine that they followed in the times of the Cold War.
So that's a distinction I would make.
So what we could say, just to clarify this further for everybody watching and listening,
is that in countries like, I think the Scandinavian countries are probably the
best example of this.
The first thing we should note is that they're relatively small countries and until recently
they were relatively homogenous ethnically and that makes governance more straightforward.
The systems simply aren't as complex because there are fewer people and there is more of
a implicit consensus on which way is up and which way
is down, let's say.
But the Scandinavian countries like Canada, the classic socialists were really free market
people, all things considered, believed in private property more or less, but were more
interested than the libertarians or the conservatives in producing a broad
and encompassing social safety net.
And so most of the political action in Canada
had to do with the expansion of the social safety net.
And that was what the left-wingers
and the labor union types were pushing for
with a certain degree of success and
the the distinction you're drawing on and you referred to a couple of Austrian economists Hayek and Mises is that the
Communists go full-fledged planned economy the full-fledged planned economy route and they are not in favor of private property
they believe that an
untrammeled free market
ends up concentrating economic power
in the hands of a very small number of people
and that replacing that with a planned economy
would fix that problem, which it certainly doesn't and can't.
And I know the Austrians who you referred to
also make the case that a planned economy
is something that appeals to people
who are very presumptuous in their intellect
because the fabrication of any given commodity,
consumer item, let's say, or a commodity for that matter,
is complex almost beyond,
well, it's complex beyond comprehension
unless you have a distributed system of pricing
to make rational rational intelligent decisions,
your economy will eventually grind to a cataclysmic halt.
So I think about it as a computational problem, right?
Is that the, and I think this fits in very well
with the Austrian economist's line of thinking is like,
do you want to have a distributed network of
computation, each person calculating their own hierarchy
of values, each person with the eyes on the particulars of their
local situation, sum all that together in some distributed
manner and allow decisions to be made that way? Or do you want
to put decision-making power
in the hands of a small group of people
who can't hope to know what's going on?
You know, I think the Central Committee,
the Soviet Central Committee,
was making something like 300 pricing decisions a day.
And I've run companies where we've tried
to price our offerings,
and just pricing one thing is almost impossible.
And you have to do that in concert with your market.
You don't know what something is worth.
The best you can do is find out what people
are willing to pay for it, given all the other things
that they're trying to accomplish simultaneously.
So, okay, so the communist types,
they're focusing on planned economy.
Now, let's go back to Venezuela.
So before the socialist revolution took place, in your opinion, how was Venezuela doing?
Modern people often ask themselves, why do I have to study history?
Well, you're a historical being.
You need to know who you are and where you came from
and why you think the things you think.
That's why you have to place yourself
in the proper tradition.
I'm taking four of my esteemed colleagues
and you across the world.
Oh wow, this is amazing.
To rediscover the ways our ancient ancestors
developed the ideas that shaped modern society.
It was a monument to civic greatness.
To visit the places where history was made.
That is ash from the actual fires
when the Babylonians burned Jerusalem
from 2500 years ago.
To walk the same roads. We are following the path of the crucifixion.
And experience the same wonder.
We are on the site of a miracle.
What kind of resources can human beings bring to a mysterious but
knowable universe? Science, art, politics, all that makes life wonderful.
And something new about the world is revealed.
So Venezuela is an interesting case because it had the highest per capita is revealed.
So Venezuela is an interesting case because it had the highest per capita income in Latin America in 1970 and it was the country with the largest degree
of economic freedom.
You can measure that the Fraser Institute in Canada does that work of measuring
economic freedom. And in 1970 Venezuela was
14 in the world in terms of economic freedom. And in 1970 Venezuela was 14th, 14th in the world
in terms of economic freedom.
It was about like 90 countries more or less
that they were measuring back then.
Chile was one of the last countries
because we had had the socialist experiment
of Salvador Allende, which was an attempt
to impose a totalitarian communist system in Chile.
And we were last in the country and we had hyperinflation and scarcity of basic goods
and services and so on and so forth.
So it was a complete catastrophe that ended up in the coup of 1973, led by General Pinochet.
But Venezuela over time and over the decades, especially after they nationalized in the
70s the oil industry, we have to remember Venezuela has one of the largest oil reserves in the world.
They nationalized it and they started falling in the ranking of economic freedom systematically.
So by the time Chavez came to power in 1988, Venezuela was doing very poorly in the rankings
of economic freedom, you had a very kleptocratic corrupt system that, you know,
a rent-seeking society, let's say, everyone was trying to live out of the government handouts and
corrupt deals between the corporate interests and the politicians. And Chávez was elected. He
And Chávez was elected, he had been a soldier who had attempted a coup in 1992 against Carlos Andrés Perez. So he was a golpista, what we call a golpista in Spanish.
Someone who tried to overthrow a democratically elected president and install a dictatorship.
So everyone knew who Chávez was.
Many people died in 1992 and he ended up in prison.
But well-meaning central leftist in Venezuela
pardoned him so he could go out of jail.
And then he went to see Fidel Castro.
And Fidel Castro recognized immediately
that he had a puppet that he could
guide in order to take control over Venezuela.
So Castro and Cuba, they have been the masterminds behind what is going on in this country.
And they have, you know, extracted huge sums of wealth from Venezuela,
because after the collapse of the Soviet Union,
at some point Russia stopped funding the Cuban dictatorship.
And so Venezuela played that role.
And Chávez had saw in Fidel Castro
a fatherly figure for him.
And this is really an important thing,
because he was loyal to Fidel until the very
end. And the intelligence services from Cuba, who are very effective, we have to say, in
consolidating power, they have been there in Cuba for over 60 years, so they know what
they're doing. These are the people advising the regime as to what to do to deal with the opposition
and to purge the military and things like that.
But Venezuela was already in a situation where they have lost their economic freedom and
their per capita incomes as compared to other countries in Latin America started to fall
dramatically.
While Chile embraced free market reforms, especially influenced
by the Chicago School of Economics, Milton Friedman and Arnold Harberger, George Stigler
and people like that.
And we became the wealthiest country in per capita terms in Latin America.
And so you can see that in the 70s, Chile was at the bottom of the economic freedom
ranking. We went up to the top,
even top 10 at some point, and we became the wealthiest country in Latin America and Venezuela
the complete opposite. They went from being the freest country in Latin America to now the last
country in the ranking in the world, 162 among 162 countries that are measured, and it's a complete disaster.
And this is socialism.
This is what I mean.
So the Nordic countries are really on the top countries in terms of economic freedom.
These are not really socialist countries.
And I remember Bernie Sanders saying this all the time, and he got a response.
I think it was the prime minister from Sweden who told him, we are not socialist. You have corporate tax in Sweden that is lower than in the United States,
more or less, in some of these Nordic countries. So what they do is they tax very heavily personal
income, right? And this is, I don't like it because you have lots of human capital flight,
people who are very qualified who go to the
United States for other parts.
But still, they're very productive countries, and they have very large degrees of economic
freedom.
And economic freedom means free trade, stable currency, protection of property rights, reasonable
size of government, and so on.
So it is the social democracy like Anthony Giddens type of social democracy,
what Tony Blair and Bill Clinton were at the time at some point,
or German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder,
who made all the reforms in Germany,
allowing Germany in the 2000s to then experience a boom,
an economic boom that Merkel benefited from that.
Okay, so, but here what we have is the extreme far left experiments
that are very anti-capitalist and this is what you see in Venezuela now
is the consolidation of this ideology. We have to remember that Maduro was
chosen by Chávez as his successor. And the reason for this was that Maduro compared to Diosdado Cabello,
who is another criminal and one of the main leaders of this Soles cartel,
Maduro is a doctrinaire.
He was the hardcore socialist.
And he was foreign, a first minister to the Chavez administration. And he was instrumental in building up the whole network of Venezuela and the Chavismo
on an international level, in Europe, in Asia, in different parts.
And Chavez aligned himself very rapidly with Russia and with Iran and with China.
So this is part of the Cold War 2.0 that we are experiencing.
Venezuela is playing for them.
And now we have, and I want to stress this, Jordan, because it's important.
You have a minimum wage of $3 in Venezuela. You have accumulated inflation
of 2 million percent or more. You have a collapse of 70% of GDP, 70%. You have a collapse of over 80%
of oil production in Venezuela. And they have squandered almost a trillion dollars in wealth, because when Chavez came to power,
you had a barrel of oil at $8 or so,
and it skyrocketed to over $120.
So only because of that, they got almost a trillion dollars.
They destroyed all of that wealth.
And people say, oh, this is Caribbean type of politics.
This is the result of socialism. Everywhere you go and you see what the socialists, when they
implement this system, and again, I don't mean the Nordic type of welfare state, which is not
socialism, not real socialism, at least, they destroy the country where they run it. You can
see it in Eastern Germany as compared to Western Germany during the Cold War.
It was a very poor country compared to Western Germany
and so on.
I mean, everyone knows the different examples,
North Korea, South Korea, and so on and so forth.
But it's important to remember that Fidel Castro Cuba
and Russia, Vladimir Putin, and Iran, Hezbollah
are behind Maduro.
I have to stress this because this is not only
a Venezuelan problem, this is going to be a crucial problem
for the United States and for national security
in the United States.
And-
Well, let's dig into that.
One of the other, so there's three, four things
I'd like to cover as we move forward right now.
I wanna talk more about the opposition in Venezuela
and what you think people outside Venezuela can do
to aid the opposition.
I wanna talk about the ordinary life
of the typical Venezuelan now.
I wanna talk about where that trillion dollars went.
And maybe we can do that while talking about your claim,
for example, that the Maduro government
has basically also become a narco dictatorship.
Now, you made a variety of extremely serious allegations,
the misuse of a trillion dollars,
certainly being one of them.
But then you also said, well, the Maduro government is in bed with the narco cartels.
And see, I don't think people in North America exactly understand what that means, or exactly
how nefarious those cartels are and what a danger they pose, well, to the stability of
the entire Western hemisphere.
But then you also added to that the fact that Maduro is in cahoots with,
well, Cuba, Iran, Russia, and then Hezbollah.
And so this is a lot for people to digest
because it sounds like a stew generated
by a conspiracy theorist in a sense, right?
Because there's almost nothing that is bad
that you're not accusing the Maduro government
of participating in.
And so the easiest thing for a listener to do
is to just say no to all that.
So we should walk through those issues one by one.
I guess the thing I'm most curious about to begin with,
let's do it in this order. What the hell happened to a trillion dollars? issues one by one. I guess the thing I'm most curious about to begin with,
let's do it in this order.
What the hell happened to a trillion dollars?
Like that's an awful lot of money.
Where do you think most of that,
especially given that you have a 70% collapse in GDP
and an 80% reduction in oil production,
it's like, and then everybody in Venezuela is poor.
And yet a trillion dollars came pouring in.
So what's your sense of who that money went to
and like what sort of people did that money go to
and what are they doing with that money?
So part of the money funded some very
existentialist social programs at some point
during the Chavez administration.
But a large part of it went to fund revolutionary groups and political parties all over Latin
America.
We have to remember that the Castro vision, which is the important figure, I think, here,
the Castro vision was to spread the revolution all over Latin America. In his worldview, what he was doing, believe it or not,
is Christ's work on earth,
like he was bringing paradise to earth.
He said that literally many times.
So Castro had been educated by the Jesuits in Cuba,
and he believed that capitalism
and liberal democracy, individualism, were the
sources of corruption, that Christ was the first communist revolutionary.
And this is, by the way, something very similar to what Pope Francis said at some point when
he argued that it was the communists who thought like the Christians.
He said that literally.
Pope Francis who is suggest with himself.
And Casso was promising to create this, but this had to be an expansionist project.
So when Chavez came to power and he had all of these resources in his pockets, plenty
of them went to Cuba of of course, to sustain the island.
But then he started supporting different regimes or movements and terrorist organizations all
over Latin America.
At some point, I had this conversation with former president Alvaro Uribe, who is also
a good friend.
At some point, he told me I was the only non-leftist, non-socialist president in most of South America.
And it's true.
And all of these regimes, even the Kirchner dynasty in Argentina, the corrupt Kirchner
dynasty, got some, you know, loans, special loans from the Venezuelan government when
they needed money.
And they stole a lot of money.
I mean, they have the Chavistas and their families have billions of dollars
in on bank accounts in Europe, in the US, in different parts.
And so it's amazing you saw Ferraris in Caracas while people were starving.
You have almost 8 million people have left Venezuela because you don't find things to
eat.
8 million is a quarter of the population who have left the country because of the desperate
situation.
And you have over 80% poverty rate.
And so a large part of the money, as I said, went to fund all of these movements, but also within Venezuela,
they started creating a parallel army, the Circulos Guarivarianos. Chávez very early on
understood, probably because Castro advised him to do so, that he needed a parallel troops in order to contain any threat that
could come from within the army.
And he was right.
In 2002, the army staged a coup against Chávez, and Chávez was taken into custody.
He was imprisoned.
But then some generals regretted the decision of getting rid of him, and they reinstalled
Chávez.
And then he, of course, used the muscle of the intelligence services of Cuba to purge
the military as much as he could.
But he was never entirely sure that there would not be traitors within the army.
So he created the Circulos Bolivarianos, which are armed.
And these are the guys, by the way, that you see nowadays in the videos,
attacking Venezuelans from the opposition, who are just
protesting on the streets.
And they are shooting at them.
They are taking them in and torturing them.
Most of the people doing the dirty job
are these Circulos Bolivarianos, which
is the Bolivarian circles.
And so that's a lot of money that went there also.
And you can squander wealth with no end.
I mean, if you are supporting other countries
and you want to install regimes all over Latin America
that are favorable to you,
I mean, a trillion dollars is not even a lot of money.
You know, but the worst part,
and I finished the point with this,
is that we saw people all over the West in the 2000s
when it was already clear that Chávez was a dictator,
that he was completely undermining
the separation of powers,
he was imprisoning the opposition,
and he was violating human
rights and so on. We saw very famous people like Joseph Stiglitz, for instance,
coming to Venezuela and praising Chávez for what he was doing. And he did the
same, by the way, with Kirchner's, with Fidel Castro. He has been a long time
supporter of the Castro dictatorship.
And he now writes books called The Road to Freedom and pretends to be the saviour of the West or the killer or the undertaker of neoliberalism or something like that.
But you could read the New York Times, you could read different BBC, you could see different news
media outlets or even on television,
they were sympathetic to Chavez when he started doing this.
And it was already clear where he was going.
So I share the frustration of the Venezuelan friends
in their assistance because the West has not shown,
you know, one standard for everyone.
When it's the leftist, they support them or they turn a blind eye to what they do.
Okay, so let's talk about, let's move from that. So you accounted for a fair bit of the spending, a lot of it has disappeared into the pockets of corrupt politicians, you see exactly the same thing,
for example, with the Palestinian leadership,
all of those people end up with billions of dollars
in their accounts.
And so that's appalling beyond comprehension.
They sacrifice their own people
and they often live elsewhere.
And so the socialist redistribution of wealth ends up
meaning that everyone's much more poor than they used to be except the small minority of people who have power instead of the evil capitalists
and they have untold wealth at their fingertips. And then you also said the money was distributed
around South America and Central America to destabilize and to promote revolution and maybe
elsewhere in the world as well.
Okay, so and that you can spend an awful lot of money doing that and cause an awful lot of trouble. And you also pointed out that that's been aided and abetted by the, what would you call them,
useful idiots of the Western media. And so we'll get back to that. Let's turn to
another element of the corruption and that's the's you described Maduro as a narco,
and the Maduro regime as a narco dictatorship.
So talk to everyone if you would a little bit about the role of the cartels in Central and South America
because that's not something that's well understood in North America at all. Well, by the way, people who think I'm making these things up, they can Google it.
It's all online.
You can see in very serious media, you can read articles about this.
So the United States, they know about this, about the Iran connection, about the drug
cartels, and so on and so forth.
But now in Latin America, because this is including Mexico, we have a problem that more
and more the cartels are taking over politics.
And you don't need to do the revolution.
And actually, this is really interesting. Chávez used to be a proponent of what he called
21st century socialism.
That is what he used to talk about.
We are doing 21st century socialism.
So what did that mean?
After the fall of the Berlin Wall,
they came all together in Brazil, you know,
the São Paulo Forum with Lula and so on. And they said, OK, we are going to use democracy. We are going to
use democracy in order to create the socialist system. We are not going to fight a revolutionary
war necessarily, but we are going to use it in order to come to power. And then once we
are there, we establish our system
and we never leave, if we can. If we can't avoid to leave we are going to stay.
So the cartels have been playing an important role in this because at some point Chavez
needed them and he offered refuge to the Colombian cartels from the attacks that the Uribe administration was engaging in.
And they would come into Venezuelan territory and Chavez would protect them.
And the Colombian army couldn't go into Venezuelan territory because that would have meant probably war with the Venezuelan army. So they started with that and the cartels
also started channeling money to the regime. And at some point the regime
itself, especially with Diosdado Cabello, who is a very high up in the Maduro
administration, became a cartel boss. Now you have regions in Venezuela but also
in Mexico. In Mexico, for instance, 30% of the Mexican territory is controlled by the
cartels. 30%. In Venezuela, you have complete regions, complete states that are being run
by the cartels. Okay? And now we have a country like Chile that used to be
a safe country, like the most advanced country, the cartels are taking over complete regions of
the country with their guns and so on. Now these cartels have again connections with Hezbollah.
They work with them. And Hezbollah is creating now in Bolivia,
which is also a far-left administration,
and which is a big producer of coke, Bolivia,
they are creating or establishing facilities to produce drones
that are for military purposes.
But also, we have to remember that Bolivia and Venezuela,
I know this for a fact in Venezuela,
but I think it's also true for Bolivia,
they have uranium, which is important for the Iranians,
for the nuclear program that Iran wants to develop.
So the cartels have become a source of funding,
they have become the government in the case of Venezuela,
and they don't want to lose their business
model.
And that's why I think they are not going to accept the transition to democracy in Venezuela,
but they are destabilizing the whole of Latin America because they are a business.
They are expanding everywhere they can in order to make more profits.
And a country like Chile, for instance, which used to be free from this problem, now has
become the third largest exporter of cocaine to Europe.
Because we are integrated with the rest of the world, we have many free trade agreements.
And so you have ships here that go everywhere. And we have basically no control on the border with Peru and Bolivia.
And so they bring all this cocaine through the northern border, and then they export
it via the Chilean ports to the United States, to Europe, and everywhere.
And so this is corrupting everything in Latin America. And I've heard, and I think this is in the media also, that the Trendaragua, which is
one of these cartels and organized crime groups, are also operating in New York and other cities
in the United States.
Of course, why not?
I mean, if it's easy to get into the United States, it's a huge market.
Why not?
So this is the problem.
And we are becoming a narco region, or a region controlled by the narcos, and politicians
are working for the narcos.
And the problem with this is that Iran, Russia, and China, they don't care about this.
They just use these cartels, or the connections with the cartels for their own purposes.
And that's why you see the first countries recognizing Maduro's fraud, saying that he
was democratically elected were China, Russia and Iran.
These three countries.
This is not a coincidence.
Okay, so let's speak to something more practical and psychological for a moment.
So many people who are watching and listening
will be wondering at least in some corner
of their imagination why the hell they should care.
You know, there's lots of things that are besetting
the typical American voter at the moment.
The situation in the United States is far from stable.
I would say the same thing about Canada.
There are many catastrophes
and looming catastrophes to be concerned about.
And what happens typically is that anything to do
with South and Central America takes a pretty,
it takes a backseat to say the least.
So, I mean, when we met in Chile,
you were obviously interested
in pursuing this conversation as I was.
And what would you say to people
who are listening in the United States and Canada,
let's say and elsewhere in the world,
about why they should care about what's happening
with regards to China and Iran and Russia
in South America and the cartels. I mean, South America
has always been a relatively unstable place from the perspective of the northern west. And in some
ways, this is par for the course. I mean, the Cold War is being played out in a manner similar to
this for as long as I can possibly remember. What is it that you want to bring to the attention of the typical person in Canada and the US
with regards to what's happening down south, and why should they care?
Well, you know, the thing is that the United States used to care a lot about Latin America, a lot.
During the Cold War, they intervened every country in order to prevent them from becoming
communists and Soviet-aligned countries.
Because the KGB back then had the theory that the Cold War would be won in the Third World,
basically.
And Henry Kissinger, for instance, when Salvador Allende in Chile was elected in 1970,
he was the first Marxist president ever democratically elected in history.
And Henry Kissinger said, and I'm quoting him literally,
the Allende election is the greatest threat that has occurred in the Western hemisphere in a long
time, because he understood that, you know the Western hemisphere in a long time.
Because he understood that this could have a domino effect, other countries would follow,
not only in Latin America, but also in Europe.
But now you have the following problem.
The United States, after September 11th, the country completely forgot about Latin America.
We don't exist anymore for them in terms of foreign policy. And I'm not really exaggerating.
If September 11 would not have happened,
I think the history of Latin America
would be completely different right now.
So they forgot about us and now they have Russia
and they have China and they have other problems
that are, they look more important than Latin America.
But the thing is that the main migration force in the United States are Latinos.
And if the continent continues to destabilize because of narco cartels, because of people
like Maduro and so on, you will have millions more people coming into the United States,
millions.
And among them, you will have the Iranian Hezbollah people and so on and so
forth.
So from that point of view, it is really important for national security.
And then when they are in the United States, Latinos tend to favor the Democratic Party.
Two thirds of Latinos, they vote for the Democratic Party.
I think this is changing a little bit, but not enough.
So if you have a change, a substantial change
in the demographics in the United States,
and we know this is happening,
this will have a political impact
that is really, really, will be very substantial.
Why do Latinos vote for the Democratic Party?
Because when we immigrate to the United States,
we bring our belief systems with us.
It's not like because we're in the US,
suddenly we love Thomas Jefferson.
That's not how it works.
They favor the welfare state and government handouts.
And I'm not saying everyone,
they are, most of them are very hardworking people and so on. And I mean, we cannot complain. And most people hate Maduro, for instance,
of Venezuelans who have escaped. But the point is that if I was an American, I would be worried
that the cultural landscape in my country would be changing so much because of this migration
force that is coming into the United States, that at some point it will be politically
unmanageable for someone who wants to keep your country the way it was in terms of the
ideas, the institution, limited government, and so on.
Which is when they speak about the purple states, people moving from California to Texas,
for instance, and they tell them, don't vote for what you left for, no?
So, but it's the same with Latinos going into the United States.
It's the largest minority.
And it is really important to have a stable region so you don't have these influxes of people
coming into your country first.
But then also because it poses, as I said, a risk for national security.
And on top of that, geopolitically, Latin America is extremely important in this second
world war because supply chains are de-globalizing now. You know, you have this trade war going on with China
and you need countries where you can produce your stuff. You need raw materials. China is
buying everything in Latin America. They're buying ports in Peru. They are buying mines in Chile.
They are buying everything you get in Panama, everywhere. They are buying up natural resources and Americans are looking the other way.
So I think this is not, this is the backyard.
There is a reason why you had the Monroe Doctrine at some point in 1832.
When they said, okay, we are not intervening in Latin America,
but we will not accept any foreign power also
going to Latin America and intervening there
and having this region as their sphere of influence.
But the Monroe Doctrine seems not to exist anymore.
But this is a new development.
For most of its history, the United States
has really cared about Latin America
because they understood how important it was for them,
for their national security and for the national interest.
Well, I think we made the great mistake
in the West of assuming that
because the Soviet Union collapsed,
the victory over the ideology that it made manifest
was not only complete, but in some ways self-evident.
Right? Victory had been attained, the end of history, let's say, and it turns out that the
the spirit of envious, of the envious radicals was in no real way diminished by the cataclysmic
way diminished by the cataclysmic catastrophe of the Soviet Union. In fact, to some degree, quite the opposite, because when I was younger and the Soviet
Union was still in full operation, you could point to the Soviet Union as an object lesson
in the dangers of an anti-free market ideology.
But now the Soviet Union has disappeared, and so it's much more difficult to point to something that's happening right now.
Well, you could point to Venezuela, you can point to North Korea, but they're economies that didn't have the scale or the presence, obviously, of the Soviet Union. And so all of this has gone back underground, that the attractiveness of the communist revolutionary
ideas hasn't seemed to diminish at all.
So now your point is, okay, so let's summarize this.
Well, it's probably not a good idea to distribute a trillion dollars to radical leftist utopian
criminal dictatorships all over South America and the world.
That seems like a bad idea if you're trying to maintain a certain degree of
stability, even in your own country, that manifests itself in all manner of
economic collapse that drives migration northward.
We've seen tremendous pressure on the American border and by all appearances,
especially if Kamala Harris wins
However, that might play itself out. That's only going to get worse. And so the idea that
the US and
Canada by implication can separate
themselves from
the geopolitical occurrences in South America,
that's a fool's delusion.
And that's especially the case if it's Venezuela
with all that oil money, let's say,
and oil that the rest of the world needs
is in bed not only with the narco cartels
who are brutal criminals beyond the comprehension
of any normal person to imagine,
but also simultaneously in bed with Iran,
which is one seriously bad actor, Russia, which is basically at war with the West, and China,
which is the biggest threat to freedom that the world has ever seen since the Soviet Union.
And so that's all playing itself out in South America and driving migration northward.
Exactly. And I would add in the end Jordan if China, Iran and
Russia, your main enemies as the Western world really care about Latin America
you should too. You know because they are here, they are
involved in these countries, they are investing tons of money at least the
Chinese. Russia is sending effectives Even the Wagner group has been seen in Venezuela.
They know that they need strongholds close to the United States, and they want to destabilize
the region because they also know that this destabilizes the United States.
And so, I mean, it is so obvious, but I don't know, even in the conservative movement in the US,
this is not understood.
I think someone like Marco Rubio understands this very well, or maybe Ted Cruz, but I think
the traditional Republican politicians, they don't understand this.
They don't see how big of a threat we can become if China and Russia and Iran, they
take over these countries.
And by the way, we have some of the largest reserves in natural gas in the world, copper,
lithium, silver, gold, whatever, oil, all these things you have here.
And manufacturing capacity in Latin America
is also very strong.
So, and you will need that at some point.
And we are relatively young population still
in Latin America, as compared to Europe
or even the United States or Canada
who are growing old very rapidly.
So for all of these reasons, I think it's not a smart move to just ignore
what's going on in your backyard. It's never a good idea.
Hmm. Well, that was certainly my sense when I toured through South America for what that's
worth. I mean, no, it's obvious that what's playing out there needs to be attended to. Okay, so let's flip back to Venezuela specifically for a moment.
So could you give us an account, for example, of what ordinary life is like for a Venezuelan,
for the typical Venezuelan citizen now?
You said that 25% of the population has decided to vote with their feet, and that's an awful
lot of people.
And that you said that, you know that the GDP has collapsed by 70%, oil production is down 80%,
and that 80% of the population lives in poverty.
And so what is the typical reality for a Venezuelan citizen now?
Because we never hear about it, we have no idea.
Well, that's what you would expect in a socialist paradise. reality for a Venezuelan citizen now because we never hear about it. We have no idea.
Well, that's what you would expect in a socialist paradise. It's basically, you don't have enough food to eat.
Calorie intake in Venezuela has collapsed over the last 15 years, 20 years. You don't have medicines.
You don't have hospitals that are functioning. You have no grid, electricity.
You have problems all the time in Caracas, everywhere, in a country that is very hot.
Many regions of Venezuela are very hot.
You don't have air conditioning or any of that.
And only people who can get access to dollars, because there are remittances going to the
country, they manage to survive.
But this is the reason why almost a quarter of the population have left.
And if Maduro is reinstalled in January, you will have another couple of million living
in Venezuela, by the way.
This is going to happen, and we are expecting that all over Latin America.
You have no rule of law, zero rule of law.
So you basically have a regime that controls the judiciary,
the legislative everything, and the police.
Any day someone can knock at your door and take you,
a prisoner, and you disappear,
and no one knows anything about you anymore.
You have to be, if you are in the opposition,
you have to be hiding and very careful.
Even I am on a blacklist.
I was sold.
And that's one of the reasons why I've never been back to Venezuela since last time I was
there, 2014, even if I'm not really relevant within the country.
But because I have argued against the Maduro regime in different media all over the West,
probably at least in the United States, in Latin America, in Spain, I'm not welcome. So imagine people who are living there.
My friends are hiding from the regime.
You have many families that have been torn apart,
completely destroyed, because, you know,
let me tell you also an anecdote
that is really interesting for the audience.
I was once in Miami and I took an Uber
and I started talking to the driver
and I thought that he was very well-educated
and really intellectual.
Like more than the normal,
he knew a lot about law for instance.
And I said, what did you do back in Venezuela?
I was a minister of the Supreme Court in Venezuela, a member of the Supreme Court of Justice in
Venezuela.
And now I am your Uber driver.
So this is the reality of millions of Venezuelans, you know, not only poor people or middle class
people, but also people who are very successful.
They had their jobs, they had their companies, and they lost everything.
They lost their families, they lost everything.
And many of them have families, members that have been killed by the regime, also.
So, and so the situation is so desperate that I think Venezuelans are going to fight
to the last breath in order to make change possible.
And Maria Corina Machado, by the way, has said this.
The fight is until the end.
And so I don't know how this is going to look like.
But if the Biden administration does not convince Maduro and the regime to transition back to democracy, you will maybe have a blood
path even worse than the one you have now. By the way, a point that is important,
Chávez, when he was in government, he disarmed the Venezuelan population. He
banned guns for every citizen in Venezuela. The only people who could have guns were his thaks basically and the Circulos Bolivarianos,
the parallel army groups that they have funded and they were financing.
And so now you have a situation where Venezuelans don't have even a pistol to defend themselves from these hordes of assassins that their regime is sending to kill them or to imprison
them. And they have over 2,000 people in the last weeks have been imprisoned.
Mostly young people who want a better future. So this is what Venezuela looks
like right now. It's hell on earth.
Let's talk about the structure of the opposition. So it's Maria Carina Machado.
I'm butchering that name, obviously.
And it's difficult from the outside to understand
because tell me how the last election,
who was put forward as opposition in the last election?
What role does
she play, what threat does she currently face, and what can people from the outside
do to shed light on this and to help? Well, Maria Corri Machado has been the main opposition leader
for over a decade, I would say even a decade and a half, even if at some point in 2013,
for instance, after Chávez died, you had an election where Enrique Capriles lost by a small
margin to Maduro, but Maduro sold that election. They sold millions of votes. This is not the first
time that this happens. And the reason is because the system in Venezuela requires that you have
sort of an ID and you go and vote, but the system is not integrated. So in the sense that you can,
with different IDs, you can vote in different parts. So one member of the government got,
like, let's say 100 100 IDs and he could go to
100 different places and vote for the same candidate. And this is the way they stole the
last election in 2013. And back then, the population wanted to rebel, but Capriles said,
no, stay home, we have nothing to do here. And so it gave oxygen to the regime.
And Maria Corina has always been the voice of, I think, reason and courage,
because she was willing to fight. But the opposition was very fragmented, and has been for a long time. This is the first time that they are all together, together against the regime, which is very good.
together against the regime, which is very good. And she has become the undisputed leader of the opposition,
even though Eduardo Gonzalez is a candidate,
and the president, the president-elect
is Eduardo Gonzalez, but why?
Because Maduro banned Maria Corina
from running as president.
And they have been doing this forever in Venezuela,
since Chavez came to power.
So, Maria Corina endorsed Gonzalez to the election and Gonzalez won, we all know, with
a distance of over 30 points.
So with a difference of over 30 points.
So now the opposition at least, they are all together against the regime.
But the main face of the opposition is Maria Corneia Machado,
which, by the way, deserves an Nobel Prize for peace
because she has been so courageous in trying to bring democratic change to Venezuela.
But she's not going to get it because she has not left it.
So I think there is not a big hope that she would get this.
But she faces now the possibility of being imprisoned and who knows, maybe being killed.
And she's willing to give her life for the cause.
I mean, she's not going to turn herself over to the regime.
Just, you know, a simple, I mean, like, I think she will try to prevent them from capturing
her, but she could be imprisoned and maybe killed.
So this is what she's facing.
Maria Corina and her family.
So she had Eduardo Gonzalez run in her stead, in essence.
Is she in hiding at the moment?
Yes, she is. I think she's sort of in hiding because the government wants to bring her in
and to take her to prison. But she's very active on social media, and she has showed her face on some public rallies.
So I think the government is in a situation where they don't really want to do this very
publicly because they could upset the world and the people in Venezuela even more than
they are right now.
So it's a problem for them because she's too symbolic.
They are not going to probably go after her
where everyone is looking or watching her.
I mean, this is probably not going to happen.
But they would break into her house
in the middle of the night or something like that.
They would do.
But I don't think they know where she is.
So, but she's at risk, of course,
and there are some orders that we're giving
by the government to detain her.
So I think it's a very,
it's a very dangerous situation for her.
And as long as some regimes like the Biden administration
keeps pushing for a democratic
transition, maybe she has a chance.
But we have communists or socialists, let's say far-left presidents in Colombia, Mexico
and Brazil, and they are in bed with Maduro also to some extent.
And they're sort of protecting Maduro. They are not really pushing Maduro to
accept that he lost and then just rule the country until January, which is the day where he should
leave the presidency and accept Eduardo Gonzalez as the next president.
But this is a life or death situation for Maria Corina
and most of the opposition leaders. As I said, one of her right hands, a friend of mine,
was taken to prison by the armed forces or by members of the dictatorship, and we don't
know anything about her.
So tell me about Maria Corina. So why is she, what is it about her that's made her a popular figure?
I'd like to know some more about her background and also, you know, why she doesn't quit.
Now you explained at least to some degree why she's still alive.
You believe that it would be a scandal of such preposterous magnitude if there was something that happened to her that the Maduro regime is afraid
that would turn international attention on them
with sufficient drama to actually be a threat
to the continued stability of their regime.
So she's protected in so far as that's the case.
But tell me about who she is.
You know, you mentioned yourself earlier in this podcast
that she's being tarred and feathered
like anybody who isn't a communist for being far right now
because that's happening everywhere.
And so, but again, you know, people,
the far right epithet is a very effective one
and it doesn't take much agitation, especially from the
mainstream press, in order to make that accusation stick. And so it's clear that, to the degree that
you're trustworthy, you trust Maria Carina. Tell us about her so that people have some sense of who
it is that is standing in opposition to Maduro.
So I think that she's the most courageous woman.
I think this is maybe many people will think this is an overstatement, but I think this
is she's the most courageous women in politics right now in the world.
I cannot imagine someone with more courage than her. I mean, she's unbelievably courageous and charismatic.
And so she has this force.
She's like a force of nature.
And this is why the regime is so afraid of her.
And she has managed to bring the whole opposition together and to create a movement of such magnitude
in Venezuela that even the dictatorship with all the guns and so on is shaking because
they are afraid that this is going to in the end bring change in Venezuela.
And her charisma is so powerful that even members of the armed forces have
backed her. That's, by the way, one of the reasons why they had the access to the documents
showing that they won the presidency, because members in the military were leaking these
documents to the opposition. And they have imprisoned over 100 soldiers are in prison and they humiliate them and
they torture them and so on because they are behind Maria Corina and not behind Maduro.
So she is in favor of free markets, which is not the case with most of the opposition
in Venezuela.
People might remember Leopoldo Lopez, who was in prison for a long time and it was a
scandal all over the world.
I believe he's now in Spain.
But I once gave a speech with Leopoldo Lopez's father in the European Parliament.
And Leopoldo Lopez's father was defending socialism, which was, to me, was incredible.
He was saying, no, socialism does not do what Chávez has done.
And it's exactly the opposite is the case.
And he was very naive when it came to this.
And Enrique Capriles is the same thing.
The last opposition leader before Guaidó, Enrique Capriles, who lost in 2013, the other
day tweeted along these lines, like Chavez was the good guy
and Maduro is the bad guy, which is a narrative that the left is trying to create in order
to save the socialist revolution in Venezuela.
It's the same narrative they did with Lenin and Stalin.
Oh, Lenin was a good guy, but Stalin was a criminal.
Stalin was, you know, coming from the proletarian who didn't know anything, and he was a good guy, but Stalin was a criminal. Stalin was, you know, coming from the proletarian
who didn't know anything and he was a criminal. They are doing the same with Chavez Maduro.
And to me it was shocking that someone like Capriles who is in the opposition, who wants
regime change, would fall for this crap and this trap. So Maria Corina has never considered anything. She has always been very coherent.
She believes in liberal democracy, in the rule of law, and the free market, I guess,
that qualifies you as a far right nowadays. So it doesn't happen only to her, I guess. But it is really appalling that we read this sort of nonsense from the established
media. There is no one more democratic. She hasn't called for a rebellion against the government to a
violent march towards Miraflores Palace, to depose Maduro. She hasn't done any of that.
She never did that.
It's just peaceful protest.
That's why I'm saying she should get the Nobel Peace Prize.
Really, because she's risking her life for millions of Venezuelans.
And so you will never, and I hope you meet her one day,
because you will never meet a woman with more,
you know, not only courage, but also integrity.
You think she'd do a podcast?
I think she would. Yes. Absolutely.
Well, let's see if we can make that happen.
Yeah. I can try help out with that, with that. So, um,
because people need to need to see her, I mean, all over the world.
Yes.
Her fight is everyone's fight.
People who believe in freedom.
And especially Venezuela is such a dramatic case,
because it was also the most stable democracy in Latin America for decades.
Not only the most stable economy, but also the most stable democracy.
Which offers also a lesson, right?
It's, I mean, it doesn't matter how well
or how good your country looks like at some point in history.
It can change very rapidly.
Me being a German, my family came from Germany.
You know, Germany was the Athens of the modern world
and so on.
And in a couple of, in a decade or two decades,
you lost everything and you sunk
into the most horrible barbarism.
And this was in central Europe.
This can happen to anyone.
It happened to Venezuela.
It can happen to-
You mean like the UK?
Well, there you go.
There you go.
I mean, the UK is, what is going on there?
It's really shocking to me.
I'm a great admirer of the Anglo-Saxons because, as Montesquieu said,
they have done more for liberty than any other people in the world.
But now you see this totalitarian degeneration going on in the UK.
And it's very scary because the thing, Jordan, is that for us who grew up in Latin America,
I also spent some time in my childhood in Germany and so on,
but you could always say,
okay, here the things don't look very well in terms of democracy and liberty,
but you have the UK or you have Canada or you have the United States. But now, it's like everything, everywhere, you are having the same problems.
Maybe not to the same degree, but you are having the same problems.
You don't see people really defending freedom of speech in the UK as you would have seen
probably 50 years ago or 40 years ago. You don't see the American political class celebrating the
Fourth of July as they used to do it 50 years ago or 40 years ago, because you have a part
of the establishment that believes that they are an oppressive society that deserves to
disappear. And they have replaced the founding myth of the United States, which was moral
equality basically that was the founding myth of the United States, which was moral equality, basically,
that was the founding myth of the United States.
You know, all men are created equal and so on by the noble savage myth,
which is the founding myth of Latin America.
The idea that you only have good people here, these indigenous peoples were pure hearted
and they didn't know envy or jealousy or anything else,
and then the Europeans came and they corrupted everything.
And this is part of the reason why we have all these revolutions all the time.
Because this idea that we were corrupted by foreign powers, first Europe and then the
United States, is a rhetoric that is being used over and over again by people like Chavez and others
in order to say we have to restore the original purity before capitalism, before exploitation,
before private property, before all of that.
And I see this development happening also in the United States more and more with the
woke movement, let's put it that way, and the incapacity of many
Democrats to, even moderate Democrats, to stop it and to face it, you know, and confront
it as they should.
That's why I'm very worried about the future of the West.
I'm wondering, let me step sideways for a moment and then we'll return to our discussion
about Venezuela and South America in general.
I don't think it's really appropriate now to conceptualize what's happening around the
world, but particularly in the West, in political terms precisely, because it's something deeper
than what's merely political.
And one of the ideas I've been toying with,
I'd like your opinion about it is that
the default human moral stance is probably left wing.
You know, Ben Shapiro said something to me at one point
just off the cuff that tangled its way into my thinking.
And I suppose is one of the motivations for this idea
that with he said he's a communist in his family and so you know if you if you have a family if
you have children you're really hoping for something like at least a part of you is hoping
especially when they're kids for something like equality of outcome.
You want everyone to do well. You're willing to intervene on the side of the person who's bearing,
who's not quite as successful at any given moment. You want to distribute resources as equitably as possible. Your interaction with your children and your
wife is based on essentially an ethos of care. But, you know, if you look at
organizations that move beyond the scope of the family in size, that ethos of
care and equitable care, let's say, doesn't scale well.
And modern civilizations are not families.
And here's some proof of that
from the psychological perspective.
So the personality trait agreeableness
is associated with maternal care, let's say.
It's the dimension of empathic, self-sacrificial care. And women are substantially
higher in trade agreeableness across the world than men. What predicts success in a complex
society on the personality side isn't agreeableness. In fact, managers who are more agreeable do worse
because people take advantage of them. What predicts success on the personality side
in a large scale society is conscientiousness.
And conscientiousness is dutifulness
and industriousness and orderliness.
And it's the ethos of hard work,
it's a meritocratic ethos, and it's a cold virtue.
Like to be conscientious isn't the same
as to be emotionally caring.
And so I wonder if part of the reason
that the politics of the left, so to speak,
constantly mutate and transform,
they're immune to criticism,
say by reference to history.
You can't just say, well, every communist regime
in the 20th century was a brutal,
bloody dictatorial disaster.
It doesn't hold water.
Maybe it doesn't hold water
because it's actually extremely difficult
to socialize people so that they can take their place in a complex society
without defaulting to the underlying ethos of familial care. And so if you're a harsh and
discriminating person, if you're very meritocratically oriented, if you say to someone,
I don't give a damn about your feelings. It matters what sort of job you do.
You know, you're a harsh voice
and you might be a necessary voice
to keep civilization itself running,
but that doesn't mean that you're necessarily
an attractive voice, especially to people
who think instinctively in terms of an ethos of care.
And it's very, very easy to appeal to that.
And so I think part of the problem,
and then you might add to that another problem.
So imagine that if you're driven by necessity,
when times are hard, it becomes obvious
that those who can should be allowed to do,
or should be pushed forward to do,
that the meritocratic have to rise to the top,
because otherwise disaster looms.
If you've been in a situation where economic security
has been granted to you in some ways effortlessly
for several generations even,
it's also perhaps much easier to default
to that ethos of care and to attend to the outliers
in society who haven't served themselves well, but also perhaps haven't
been served well by the conscientious ethos. And so I'm wondering about your thoughts of that,
you know, like, because we usually think about this, well, some people have left-wing beliefs,
and some people have right-wing beliefs, and that's the battlefield. It's like, I don't think that's a
good level of analysis, because I don't exactly think this is about ideas.
I think the default human position might be equality
of outcome in small groups and that you have to struggle
against that mightily with your education system,
maybe your moral system as a whole to impose a meritocratic,
like a cold virtue meritocracy on top of that.
And obviously we haven't been doing a very good job of that.
So I'm curious, you're well versed in the Austrian school of economics.
I'm wondering what you think of that kind of theorizing.
No, I fully agree.
And this is really interesting because Friedrich Hayek wrote a paper called The Mirage of Social
Justice, where he argued exactly
what you are saying.
He said that this idea of social justice, that we had to redistribute wealth so everyone
gets an equal share or in terms that guarantee the survival of the community. It's an idea that he attributes to our past for thousands of years.
We were a small community, tribes basically.
We had this family ethos, the care ethos, and it was the way to survive.
But we were communities only of a couple of dozen people or maybe over a hundred, but
not more than that.
You knew everyone and this is the instincts,
he says, we evolved in this type of environment.
And so socialism in the end wants to apply
this moral instincts to what he called the complex society, the larger society,
you know, which is civilization basically. And that's why
you have this regression towards tribalism and you have it with socialism and communism and with nationalism.
When nationalism is exacerbated like the Nazis did in Germany,
then you go back to the tribe and you feel protected by the tribe
and you have this unifying rhetoric and this identity and you are, you know, like you are again
like this organism and you are part of a whole. You are not just an individual looking for yourself.
And this is the care ethics ethos that you were talking about.
It's really interesting also because Gerald Cohen, who was a very famous Marxist, a professor at Oxford University, he wrote the book Why Not Socialism?
And by socialism, he didn't mean Nordic type of welfare state or something like that.
He meant like really equality of outcomes, more or less.
And he said that the instinct, the socialist ideology, the socialist philosophy
appealed to an instinct that was so ingrained in human nature, that it was going to come
back over and over and over again.
Yeah.
So, so I fully agree with that analysis.
And this is why civilization is so fragile.
Okay. Let me add two data points to that, okay, or three. So we did a study in 2016 looking at
personality and cognitive predictors of politically correct authoritarianism.
So that wouldn't be democratic socialism, that would be the far left authoritarian types.
And the things that predicted it were low verbal intelligence, which was a walloping predictor.
So you could imagine it's a very simple narrative, right?
There are victims and there are victimizers.
That explains everything.
And if you're moral, you're on the side of the victims.
And that's something like a predatory infant instinct, right?
There are predators, there are infants.
You're obviously on the side of the infants
and to hell with the predators.
So you can think of that as an instinctual orientation
and an effective one under certain conditions, okay?
What else predicted?
Feminine temperament, high agreeableness in particular.
And then there's another, the other data point I would say
is that if you look in the United States right now,
the people who are holding the radical utopians in power
are women between 18 and 34.
Okay, and now they're particularly targeted
by the Iranians and the Chinese on TikTok, right?
And they're bombarded with images, for example,
of dying Palestinian children.
And that's a targeted attack.
We know that the Iranians are behind that and the Chinese,
and it's extremely effective.
And women between the ages of 18 and 34
are wildly discordant in their political views
in relationship to everyone else.
Now, 50% of them are also childless.
Right, so there's an element of the maternal instinct
run amok on the political landscape
because you could easily say,
and I don't think that it's an exaggeration,
and our empirical data supported that is that
that maternal instinct
is gonna find its target.
It's gonna find its expression.
If it doesn't find its expression within the confines
of the family, where there's some real demand
to take care of those who are unable to take care
of themselves, children essentially, infants primarily,
then it's going to find its expression politically
and that can be exploited as it certainly is
by the Chinese and the Iranians on TikTok.
And so the battle that we're engaged in politically,
I believe is better construed in the manner
that we just described.
It's a battle between an instinctive orientation towards care and a higher order
cognitive interpretation that's associated with conscientiousness that notes how complex
systems operate and introduces a different standard, which would essentially be something like
the cold-hearted meritocratic standard. Okay, so you see a parallel between that
and what the Austrian school economists proposed.
Okay, that's what I thought.
So, okay, okay, okay.
So that's that I'm gonna bang that around
in the back of my head.
Maybe we could turn, we don't have a lot of time for this
because we're running out of time on the YouTube side,
but maybe we could turn our attention to developments
that are arguably somewhat positive.
Chile is somewhat positive.
What do you think about what's happening in Argentina
with Malay?
And we also have the example of El Salvador
and with its turning to both Bitcoin, interestingly enough,
and to the US dollar.
So, let's start with Argentina.
So, what are your views on what is happening in Argentina?
Like is what Malay is doing,
is that producing any success on economic grounds?
Because it's very difficult to sort out the wheat
from the chaff in terms of anything approximating legacy media coverage of Argentina?
Well, I have to disclose here that I'm a good friend of Millet and we have been working for
the cost of freedom in Latin America for 10 years together. So what is happening in Argentina is the
most fascinating and interesting thing that
I've seen, of course, in my lifetime, but also, I think, in the last half a century. Because
what is really taking place is a cultural revolution, in a positive sense, not the
Chinese type of Maoist type of cultural revolution. But Argentina was the wealthiest country in the world
in 1896 with highest per capita income in the world.
We had a constitution in place, the 1853 constitution
that was designed by Juan Bautista Alberti,
who was an admirer of the founding fathers
of the United States.
He was a classical liberal, conservative classical liberal.
He believed that the government had to be limited. And he saw in the French revolutionary tradition
of people like Jean-Jacques Rousseau, one of the main reasons why Latin America was
not prosperous enough. And because we expected everything from an omnipotent government.
He actually has an article called, Omnipotent Government.
And he said, the Americans on the other hand,
they expect from government nothing,
they fix the things for themselves, okay?
So he created the 1853 Constitution.
And after that, Argentina became the most successful country
in the world in terms of per capita income.
But if you went to 1914, you had half of the population in Buenos Aires was born,
not in Buenos Aires, where there were foreigners coming from Europe.
So it was a legitimate question to ask yourself, are we emigrating to the United
States or to Argentina in the late 19th century?
This is what happened back then.
And this is why also the Argentinian population looks so European in general.
And you had in the last World Cup all this nonsensical articles saying,
well, why there are no black people in the soccer team in Argentina and so on?
This is very European population.
But in the 20s and 30s, and then especially 40s, with Juan Domingo Perón,
who was a fascist general, a collectivist fascist general,
admirer of Mussolini.
He had met Mussolini actually in Italy,
but he was anti-communist at the same time.
He didn't want the central economy for the whole thing,
but he wanted the corporatist type of very corrupt economy.
And then they changed dramatically the institutions.
And Argentina became a declining nation and a poor nation compared to the rest of the world,
at least the developed world.
And what did Millet do?
Millet managed, Millet and the free market movement, the classical liberal movement,
conservative movement in Argentina, I played a role also there.
So we managed to transform dramatically the mindset, especially movement in Argentina. I played a role also there. So we managed to
transform dramatically the mindset, especially of young people. In Argentina, you are allowed to
vote with 16. So between 16 and 24, Millet got 70% of the votes, 70%. And these young people
These young people forced the change towards a very hardcore, radical free market regime, but not because people were upset because inflation was so high and so on.
No, that was not the reason.
There is a structural change in Argentina.
All these people, they would have been peronists 20 years ago or 30 years ago.
Now they are libertarians.
And how did we achieve that?
Well, a lot of going to media, giving interviews,
especially social media, TikTok, Instagram,
and YouTube were crucial to change the mentality
of millions of people.
And of course the style, Millet has a charisma,
a style that is very, you know, eccentric, let's put it that way. And he is irreverent,
he has the rhetoric of a revolutionary, which is very Argentinian, by the way, it's not
really strange in that country. He's very theatrical, but he's also intellectually very solid.
So he came to power, and he's doing exactly what he said he was going to do. He didn't lie.
He said, you know, all over, I mean, the last years that he has been on television over the last
five, six years, he has been saying what was going to happen and what it takes to fix it.
Everything came as he predicted and now he's in government, he has brought down inflation from over 25% a month to less than 4%.
You know the inflation in terms of goods to food, it's 0%. So 0% food inflation. Then you have
fiscal circles since January.
Since he came to power, you have a fiscal surplus every month, in a consecutive way.
And then you are starting to see a little bit of a reactivation of the economy because
you first had to deal with inflation.
They were on the verge of hyperinflation.
If Millet had not come to power, you would have inflation at over 15,000% in Argentina
right now.
15,000%.
It would be a complete catastrophe.
And he has been a very skillful politician because he doesn't have a majority in Congress.
But even so, Congress has passed after several negotiations and failed attempts to pass,
but the basis law, which is a law that dramatically changes the structure of Argentinian economy,
which is really a rent-seeking society.
It's really a corporate interest in bed with the politicians and exploiting everyone else
for their own benefit.
Okay, so let's do this. We've got another half an hour to talk on the daily wire side.
I think why don't we delve more deeply into what's happening in Argentina and also to
give some consideration to that as a model for what could occur in South America more generally if the leftist utopian
tide could be stemmed. So, does that seem reasonable to you?
That's perfect. Let's do that.
So, for everybody, good, good. So, for everybody in watching and listening, most of you know
that I do an additional half an hour with my guests on the Daily Wire platform. And
so that's what we're going to do. And if you found this discussion useful and interesting,
you could give some consideration to joining us there.
I can delve further into the sorts of things
that we've been talking about.
And so I think that's what we'll turn to.
And I would say thank you to the Daily Wire
for making this discussion possible.
And Dr. Kaiser, thank you very much to you
for agreeing to talk to us today.
Obviously, we could talk for a much longer period of time,
and perhaps we'll do that again in the not too distant future.
There's lots of things to discuss in more detail
with regard to Venezuela, let's say.
But for now, we'll turn our attention to Argentina
and maybe with a foray into El Salvador,
and we'll do that on the Daily Wire side,
so you can all join us there.
Thank you very much, sir, for agreeing to talk to me today.
I know we only scratched the surface,
but at least it's a start.
Thank you very much for having me.