The Jordan Harbinger Show - 390: Ray Dalio | Principles of an Investing Pioneer Part Two
Episode Date: August 13, 2020Ray Dalio (@RayDalio) is the founder of Bridgewater Associates -- the largest and best-performing hedge fund in the world -- and author of New York Times bestseller Principles: Life and Work ...and the upcoming The Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail. This is part two of a two-part episode; make sure to catch part one here! What We Discuss with Ray Dalio: Why your success has more to do with how you handle what you don't know than what you do know. Good habits come from thinking in a principled way, but good thinking comes from exploring the reasoning behind principles. How to review the principles by which you operate to ensure you're acting in accordance with your own goals and objectives -- not someone else's. What you can do to cultivate a culture of radical transparency in the workplace and at home to make sure progress is propelled by the best ideas in the room -- not the biggest egos. The importance of understanding that you can practically have anything you want, but you can't have everything you want. And much more... Full show notes and resources can be found here: jordanharbinger.com/390 Sign up for Six-Minute Networking — our free networking and relationship development mini course — at jordanharbinger.com/course! Like this show? Please leave us a review here -- even one sentence helps! Consider including your Twitter handle so we can thank you personally!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Coming up on the Jordan Harbinger show.
Yes, and if you have curiosity and you have healthy fear of being wrong, it'll be instinctual.
That smart person has a different view than me.
One of us is probably wrong.
How do I know the wrong one isn't me?
And so I can raise my probability of being right if I can hear their reasoning.
Welcome to the show.
I'm Jordan Harbinger.
On the Jordan Harbinger show, we decode the stories, secrets, and skills of the world's most fascinating people.
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Astronauts, entrepreneurs, spies, psychologists, and even the occasional four-star general.
Each show turns our guest's wisdom into practical advice you can use to build a deeper understanding of how the world works and become a better critical thinker.
Today, part two with Ray Dalio.
If you haven't heard part one, go back and check that out.
It was just out a few days ago.
you're going to want to get that as the foundation for this conversation. And if you're wondering how I
managed to book all these great authors and thinkers, celebrities every single week, it's because of my
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Go to Jordan Harbinger.com slash course for that. And by the way, most of the guests on the show,
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Now, here's part two with Ray Dalio.
You've said my success has more to do with how I handle what I don't know.
than what I do know. And that comes from the principles, right? You see something and you say,
like you said, it's a species. All right, I've seen these elements of this problem or situation before,
therefore these principles apply, therefore we know more or less how to handle this, or at least we have a start.
We're not just panicking and running around in circles trying to figure out what's going on for the first half.
Well, I'd like to separate those two parts. The principles are, again, learned from wherever you can,
the best ways to handle things. But the first point, which is whatever success I've had in life
has had more to do with mine knowing how to deal with what I don't know than anything I know
is just a reality, which is what any person can know is only a small fraction of the best thinking,
the best knowing that exists. And so being trapped in one's head and thinking that you
necessarily have the right answer or the best answer for handling something is to almost intentionally
be blind. And so when you deal with how do I get the best knowledge, or even when you think,
what don't I know and how do I deal with not knowing well? For example, diversify. You can hold a
portfolio and you can have an opinion about what thing is going to do well and what's going to do poorly.
and you can be wrong. So knowing that you can be wrong means how do I diversify well in a way where
it doesn't lessen my returns, but it lessens my risk. So thinking about what you don't know
and how to deal with that well is incredibly effective in being able to be successful.
Usually, and I think you touched on this earlier, usually we get our principles or often we get our
principles elsewhere, maybe from our parents, other structures. But if we don't examine these principles
and make them our own, we may act in ways that are not in alignment with our goals and objectives
because we're taking our principles from other people with different goals and different objectives.
So how do you go about making the principles your own? Or how do we know if something,
if a principle we have is even in alignment with our own goals? Obviously, we have to define our goals
first. Reflecting, okay? When you encounter something,
Think for yourself, reflect. I have an expression, pain plus reflection equals progress.
I believe that you're in that situation. When you have pain, something's wrong. It probably reflects
how reality works or your realities. And if you can reflect in a quality way on how reality works
and how you should interact with it most effectively,
you will develop a principle, write it down,
for moving ahead.
And so I think it's that reflecting process.
You may choose not to do that.
I mean, I think that's the best
because it aligns you with your principles.
People have those different preferences,
but it's knowing how to reflect well.
And I think, by the way,
I should mention that I think that meditation is a terrific thing that helps people calm themselves
down and gain an equanimity and helps them go more into a thoughtful, reflective mode,
and escape some of the emotional hijackings that they have.
You'd also said that good habits come from thinking in a principled way, such as learning a language,
but good thinking comes from exploring the reasoning behind principles. So good thinking, being different
from good habits, comes from what, examining these principles and then going, why is this this way,
why do we do this, or am I oversimplifying this? No, by and large, it's, as I say, reflecting in a
quality way with, if it's important, the help of smart others to triangulate with. And so if you were
thinking, how do I deal with that situation, you step back and, you step back.
and you say, what are my realities?
How do they work?
And you triangulate with maybe others,
and you say who are good reflectors,
don't triangulate with anyone,
and then learn and whatever,
and then go to principles and move forward.
I think that's the basic process.
I will recommend to people to go check this out,
especially regarding radical transparency.
The idea that you can put your thoughts on the table,
honestly have thoughtful disagreement with people where you're willing to shift and have this idea,
meritocracy, both at work. And I wonder, Ray, do you practice this with your family or is it more like,
okay, there's emotions involved here that we can't separate because it's a family situation
versus an investing situation? Or do you have radical transparency even at home?
I behaved the same way in that I enter into, because I believe it's best, I reach an agreement with
others of how we should behave with each other. In other words, the same issue of, would you like me to do
that? Would you like me to talk? Do you talk? Can we exchange things? What is our way of operating going to
be like? Because in personal lives, it also can be very important. So there will be disagreements.
What do you do with a disagreement? How do you approach a disagreement? How do you get past a disagreement?
And so I think you need to have ground rules to not talk about things is to leave oneself in a state of confusion, an unresolved state.
Now, I'm not saying everything is 100%. I mean, let me understand. I'm not proactively going out there and telling my wife that her hair doesn't look good or something. I'm not, you know, I'm not. Yeah.
So, I mean, but if we, going to.
to have conversations, we have to have clarity in terms of how we're going to be with each other
within not 100%, 100% about everything, but by and large. And I find that much better. We
understand each other. And we can respect differences, including emotions. In other words,
if somebody says, you know, that's too emotional now to have a conversation, or I'm sorry,
I'm not able to do that. It's not my nature.
and I don't want to do that. I respect that and we find our own way of dealing with.
I think it's interesting and useful that you also practice this with your family and you set
these ground rules. Well, I assume you set these ground rules beforehand. Like with your friends,
do you just sort of feel out how much radical transparency they can take or do you say,
hey, you know, do you want to talk about this or would you rather we just leave it alone?
Do you set the ground rules explicitly or is it more implicit?
Well, it's more like when it comes up. If I'm in a disagreement,
I asked, what are we supposed to do with this thing?
Or how should we react?
And of course, it depends on the nature of the relationships.
There are times, and you must encounter this, everybody encounters this,
that they're even important problems and mistakes that others have that you care about.
Should you discuss them or should you not discuss them?
Okay.
Yeah.
How should you be?
So it's important to get clarity on that.
You can keep them to yourselves or you can pass them along.
Generally speaking, it's better to be able to discuss things and work things through
and realize that one has emotional hijackings.
So when one realizes that and they say, oh, well, I'm experiencing one of those,
and maybe this isn't the moment or this is what's going on, the higher level them can
realize that the lower level them is going through that experience. And that in and of itself
is a power. So it doesn't have to be done at that moment and so on. And greater awareness
of one's emotions and thoughtfulness about how to best approach them is a good thing.
You've said that people must value meritocracy over maintaining power or being right. And I'm
paraphrasing here, but otherwise they will change the system to get what they want
intentionally or unintentionally through their actions. When you have people in your organization
or even just in a social situation or family, do you find yourself trying to decide which
or pick out which one of these types of people they are? Are these types of people? The ones that
want to maintain power or be right and the ones that want to value meritocracy? Or is this kind of
a skill set that you build within a relationship? I think it's both, you know, and I'm very, you know,
evidence-based. So what I mean is there's the good of the organization. And every system has got to be
fair. And a decision-making system is fair if it's a meritocracy. So if you can believe in your
organization that the best people with the best ideas will win out and that you're working for a
common purpose, which is the well-being of the organization that you will then share in,
And that truth about strengths and weaknesses matters.
If you believe those things, and by the way, they're great things not only believe into, but to make happen.
If you can believe in those things, and then you're going on and you're seeing, well, the individual is working for themselves or their own interest, or they're attached to being right and believing that they're right without merit.
then you believe that that's undermining the well-being of the community.
I believe that.
And then you talk about it and you say it and you call it out and you say, is that right?
Is that happening?
You don't just hold it to yourself.
But you say, well, you're faced with this situation.
You've made that choice.
And those are your choices.
But let's be clear about what they are.
And then people make the choices.
But you have to be straightforward.
Like all relationships, there are ups and downs, you know, and how you approach them together is important.
Any business has down periods and up periods.
Just being clear, how are we good with each other through such things?
And what are our choices?
You know, let's say in a down period, something special happens when people are in it with you
and they say, I'm going to make it great and I'm not going to jump ship and go to something
place that's more attractive. It would be like a spouse doing that or a pal doing that or something.
But that doesn't mean you don't have the right to do that. I don't want to impose mine on yours.
So you might say, hey, it's no longer good and I'm going to go. Those things and those ways of being
are the things that make a culture and you can talk about all those things and decide what's
going to happen and who you'll be with. You're listening to the Jordan Harbinger show with our guest,
We'll be right back.
And now back to Ray Dalio on the Jordan Harbinger show.
You do mention in the book, the ego barrier that blocks us from learning,
the blind spots that we need to identify within ourselves,
and you have a lot of techniques to get down to brass tacks with your Bridgewater team as well.
And you've said that the antidote in many ways to those things is that radical open-mindedness,
believing you may not have the best possible path, as you said,
recognizing that decision making is a two-step process, you've said most people decide too early
when they're making a decision and then simply seek to reinforce their existing opinion.
And I think that's really good awareness for a lot of folks because that's almost invisible, right?
We think, I'm making a decision with my team here and we're talking about it and Ray disagrees
with me and we're doing this transparency thing. But in the back of my mind, I could have this
little pin in, okay, I'm going to let Ray be radically transparent with me.
but I already know what's going.
I already know what's right here.
So I'm just going to sort of stick to that
and keep bringing it forward over and over and over.
We have to be really self-aware
to stop doing that and make a better decision.
Yeah, and it's not just within an organization
or any organization.
Psychologists have shown through test.
It's well known that people have a lot of biases
and they tend to form a conclusion about something
and then they filter the evidence to support that conclusion rather than the opposite,
which is basically let me take in the conflicting information and accumulate the information
to make the best decision possible.
So I'm just observing that those two things are true and that when people do it the first way,
that's not in their best interest.
They're doing it the second way of trying to be open-minded
and to take in various evidence
and then based on that with that open-mindedness
to then come to the best decision
is obviously the logical best thing to do.
And so to know one's human nature
and to watch one do the opposite
is something people should be aware of.
I assume there's a lot of calling people out when that happens in a meeting or even in a discussion.
You call that out in real time, I assume.
Yeah, but what happens is the modus operandi changes.
So it takes all of this just takes a bit of getting used to.
And once people get used to it, they just operate in that mode and they feel so much better operating that way.
It's like a habit thing.
It takes about, let's say, 18 months, like changing habits.
We call the process getting to the other side.
You know, you first say, oh, intellectually, this sounds all great and so on.
But you have to decide for yourself, how much do you want?
I don't know.
It might be like losing weight or getting fit or something.
You have to find the habit developing process that gets your actions aligned with what you want.
That's a big thing in all aspects of life, right?
Because the subliminal, emotional, and habit part of what we do really has a bigger influence on us on most people than the calm, logical, what is the best choice type path.
Yeah, we really have to suspend judgment, which is really tough, but allows new information in more effectively when we do it.
Yes, and if you have curiosity and you have humility, which means a healthy fear of being wrong, it'll be instinctual.
Okay, that's a different point of view.
It's held by a smart person.
Hmm, why?
I'd be like to hear their reasoning.
And if that smart person has a different view than me, one of us is probably wrong.
How do I know the wrong one isn't me?
And so I can raise my probability of being right if I can hear their reasoning.
You've mentioned some tells for bad thinking, for lack of a better term.
You wrote, in part, over time you'll hear the same verbal cues indicating that somebody is thinking
about something badly or failing to apply principles appropriately.
For example, listen to the anonymous we as a key.
that somebody is likely depersonalizing a mistake. Is it safe to say that you have a rule to
personalize mistakes in service of being better able to address them? Yes, it's a rule that has
exceptions, but right, the depersonalizing mistakes stands in the way of learning, stands in the way of
the person's development, stands in the way of making progress. If you can make people realize
that mistakes and failures are just part of the learning process,
that it's okay to make mistakes.
In fact, while you don't want to go out intentionally make mistakes,
but if you're not making mistakes,
you're probably not learning well or adequately.
You know, you put your hand on a hot stove,
you fall while you're skiing.
These are the ways that one learns.
And so if you're deep,
personalizing it and you say, we did something, you're denying that accountability.
Like, imagine you had a football team and the guy didn't make the block correctly and so on.
And we said, we, the team, didn't do something right.
I mean, you won't get at that guy watching the mistake he made and learning and moving beyond that
and then dealing with that so that the team could do better.
What do you think are some other tells for bad thinking that come up?
The we, the depersonalizing mistakes, that seems like a solid one.
I'm wondering if you have other sort of offhand when someone does this,
typically it's bad thinking.
Well, something like they start with their conclusion and they say,
I think, and they leave it as a conclusion without dealing with the reasoning is something.
that peaks my ear, but also if they do, I think I did a good job, or I think I, that perks my ears
because, like, nobody's objective about themselves. Yeah, it's true. You know, like, I think I did a good
job. Well, what does that matter? I mean, like, okay, who doesn't think they did a good job? I mean, is that a
compelling argument. I think I did a good job. Can we open-linedly look at did you do a good job or not?
So I think I is, you know, one of the cues. I'm so guilty of that, Ray, you have no idea.
I hope we all are and it's not just me. I feel like I do that every day. It's common, yeah.
Like if you start to say, I think I did a good job or something, you might trigger.
I put in the pride of that ownership and doing it right is a very common mistake.
So I created a terminology in which a person uses, I'm a dumb shit, so that they can all be relieved of having to be right.
Because there's so much judgment on, are you right or not.
So I basically want to say, okay, look, let me establish the fact that I'm a dumb shit.
I don't know anything about this.
I'm ignorant.
I'm just trying to learn.
Now can I ask my questions?
Rather than make it one of those confrontation.
And if you see humility in various phrases, you can see it.
You know that the person's more likely to be open-minded.
Like, do you get questions or do you get assertions?
I'm curious when I watch people.
Are they giving questions?
Oh, those are good questions, questions.
Because learners will give you great questions.
Smartest people will be the people with great questions.
And then you get these assertion people who are incapable of asking good questions.
They just make assertions, assertions, assertions.
These are triggers that you can develop in here for.
I love the concept or the idea.
You said seeing a problem and not solving it has the same effect
as not identifying it in the first place.
And that's kind of sobering and wakes you up
because I think a lot of us have problems
that we see, that we ignore,
that we sweep under the rug,
and you rightly say that almost every problem
is a symptom of a larger problem
and that going backwards
to find the root of the problem is crucial.
I wonder, how do you do that with your team?
I mean, how do you take a problem, identify it,
or something that's been identified
and swept under the rug,
and then go directly to the root of that.
problem. Well, any problem, you go first to either the person or the system that might produce it,
knowing that there is no such thing as perfection. So every system will produce some problems
that might happen with a certain degree of frequency. Every,
great batter strikes out and so on. So the first thing you want to do is you want to be able to look at that
and say, is it operating excellently? What is it standard? You want to have an excellent standard.
But if you see clank, clank, unacceptable problem, it is either produced by a person or the system
or maybe them operating together. So you look at that pattern. You look at the pattern of the person,
and you look at the pattern of the system, and you look at the cause-effect relationship that produced it.
So you go into this diagnosis phase. Like I said in the book, there are five things that you need to do to be successful.
If you do these five things, you will be successful, and you don't have to do them alone. First, know what your goals are.
What are you going after so that you can prioritize and go after those things? Because you can't have everything.
You could practically have anything you want, but you can't have everything you want.
So you have to know what your goals are.
On the way to your goals, you will encounter your problems and obstacles.
I guarantee it.
Okay.
So step two is you need to identify and not tolerate the problems that are standing in the way of you getting to your goals.
Okay.
Step three is you have to diagnose them to get at the root cause of them, the specific thing.
Okay.
And that's what we're talking about.
Okay, is it the person?
Is it their nature?
They're just not good at it?
Is it the circumstances, the design of the organization?
What is it?
Once you have the diagnosis, okay, that's the cause.
That's why depersonalization is not good.
You want to say, okay, well, I got it.
You know, that lineman keeps failing to make the blocks.
And so then we now have to deal with it, training or whatever.
Then you have to go to then design something different, a change.
You have to change things.
Otherwise, you won't make improvements.
As Einstein said, insanity is doing the same things over and over again
and expecting the same result.
So you have to push through and change things.
So that's the process.
That's the five-step process.
Nobody can do that alone.
They're not all good at everything.
But if you know where you're good and where you're weak
and you work well with others who are strong where you're weak,
you can do that and that's the path to success.
By the way, for those listening,
we will have that five-step process outlined in the worksheet for this episode,
which will be linked in the show notes.
So don't pull your card at the side of I-75 and furiously write that down.
We'll do that work for you.
And you can get that at Jordan Harbinger.com.
I was surprised to see that you said, well, first of all, humans still make the most important decisions, not computers.
That much is clear.
But that eventually we will use computers to aid thinking as much as we use our brains right now.
That is a very bold claim.
You believe that, eh?
Well, yeah.
It's like we used our brains to remember things.
That now I can go on Google and I can get the information.
and it's almost silly to try to remember, you know, what happened in 1812, you know, those kinds of things.
And if people put online cause-effect, relationships, situations, and so on, you will go online and you'll say,
I'm in this situation. What's the best way to handle it? And you will pull up other people's principles on that
Principles in Action app, there's a device, which is our rudimentary version of that, it's called
a coach. You say, I'm in this situation. What do you recommend? And it'll pull up principles.
And we're going to have it not only populated with my principles, you can put your principles on it,
and it'll have other people's principles. And you probably will ask advice for the situations that you're
in that will help. And that'll gain a refinement.
and so on, so that there's this best collective intelligence that you'll be able to take in and consider.
This is the Jordan Harbinger show with our guest, Ray Dalio.
We'll be right back.
After the show, we've got a preview trailer of our interview with Professor Jonathan Haidt,
discussing the dangers of free speech limitations here in America,
especially on college campuses.
So stay tuned for that after the close of the show.
Thanks for listening and supporting the show.
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visit jordanharbinger.com slash deals. We've also got worksheets for these episodes, and the links to those
are in the show notes at jordanharbinger.com slash podcast. And now for the conclusion of our two-part
episode with Ray Dalio. Developing these habits, developing this introspection, creating the rule, as you'd
mentioned, that no one has the right to hold a critical opinion without speaking up and that correctness should
be based in the reasoning of the person arguing for something, not the authority of the person
arguing for something. That, by the way, reminded me of my parents saying, well, I'd say, why?
And they'd say, because I said so. And no kid is ever satisfied with that. So, like, eight-year-olds
know that there should be some meritocracy. And then somewhere between eight and 38, it just
evaporates. Well, I think it's such a good example of the difference between the right to know and the right
to decide. Like I have my six-year-old grandson. I believe he always has the right to know. So I appreciate
the question. Here's the answer, but don't confuse that with the right to decide. At a certain age,
you'll do this, and then you'll acquire the better you decide when with time you'll have a right
to decide. And I find that this happens, that confusion happens a lot in a lot of people.
That's interesting. I hadn't thought about the difference there, that difference in those particular
things. I think that that goes to show that, well, looking at the character of an organization,
you've said when mistakes and weaknesses are hidden in an organization, poor character is developed,
but you also have to, on the other side of that, make sure that any mistakes, weaknesses,
bad decisions, or the right to decide versus the right to know are clearly delineated. Otherwise,
you just have a messy soup of this is what's happening and we're still not sure how we got to that
particular outcome? Yes, but then you have to decide in what degree. And I found that I could do it
radically. Another words, what we did is we made everything, virtually everything, unless somebody
says this is a personal matter and we really can't discuss it, taped for everybody to listen to.
So that anybody could hear any discussions about almost anything, if it's not proprietary,
and it's not of a certain personal nature
that everybody can hear anything
because you don't talk behind each other's backs
and that you explain that kind of thing.
Now, I know that that sounds way out there,
but the point I'm trying to convey
is by being so transparent,
you raise a better way of being
because bad things happen in the dark
and understanding happens through transparency.
And so when people do that well,
In other words, if you can't have subversive people in your midst, people who want to hurt each other or something.
But if you have that in a way where you can be radically truthful and then test that truthfulness by being transparent, that's an enormous power.
Now, it's stretching it.
So I'm not saying day one go there.
But I'm just giving you the idea that that's important.
And so you don't want to just go to the mess.
So knowing the right to understand and the right to make sense of anything is not the same thing as the right to decide.
And to know that difference is important.
To be clear for people that don't know about what you meant by, everything's recorded.
So at Bridgewater, you record all of your meetings so that anybody inside the organization can listen and you share the hardest thing.
So this transparency keeps people from losing the trust of other people because they can hear everything that's going on even behind closed doors with certain exceptions. And I would imagine it's also harder to get away with doing bad things when you're radically transparent. And this is good for the company in the long run. You've probably had very few legal issues because of this.
That's right. Exactly right. It's so funny because the lawyers when I started doing this said, are you crazy? And I said, well, if we're doing something wrong, we should be able to.
able to examine it. The right people have to examine it. So it's easy. What we do is we just take the
stuff, the tapes, and we show it to people so they don't even have to argue about what was.
You can see it, and then that's how judgments are made.
I think it's probably wise of you to have yourselves examine this internally rather than waiting
for a judge or even a judge and a jury or a grand jury to examine it for you at some point.
Yeah, we want to do everything internally. So we have.
processes that are mutually agreed to if there are disagreement through arbitration and so on.
But in any case, you know, you present it to the relevant judges and they can see it and that's good.
I wonder in closing here, do you know what FOMO is? Are you familiar with that term?
No.
Fear of missing out. So you write about this, your friend Bunker Hunt, he got super rich from
silver and there was a part of you that was like, oh man, silver, I got out too early.
that's what FOMO is, right?
Where you're just like, you're kind of crying to yourself about missing an opportunity.
And now we get it a lot with social media where you see your friend on vacation and you're
in working, you know, and you feel FOMO.
I wonder if you still feel that way at all either in life or in handling investments,
you know, getting out too early or if you've somehow solved that problem for yourself.
Well, there's the getting out too early.
It was part of what you were saying, but I would take the broader answer to your question.
question, fear of missing out. And I want to distinguish it from envy because it sounded like when you
defined it quite like envy, okay, they're on the beach or whatever it is. The way I look at it is
I have an enormous appetite. I want to pack in as much life into my life as I possibly can.
And there are so many good things. And that is just the reality. It's like being in a smorgas
board in which you can't taste everything and you really want to. But the way I view it is,
is it's just the reality of life. And so, yeah, I do think, okay, what am I wishing? But at the same time,
I have to balance that same thing with I can miss out on savoring the simple things, the most
beautiful things. You know, there can be too many choices. And over a period of time, I've learned
to balance those things in the way that I do. I'll push this aside. And then I will spend the
afternoon with my grandson. And we will do that or we'll enjoy what the beautiful day is,
knowing, because I intellectually know, that there are too many choices to be able. So, of course,
I'm going to miss out. But that's the way life is. And I don't have an anxiety over it. I just accept
that that that's the way life is. I think that's healthy. I wonder, have you always been that way,
Is that something that you've managed to shape up over time?
I think, no, I've developed, of course.
I've always had an appetite, a curiosity, a desire to experience a lot of things, do a lot of things,
and that kind of thing.
But the notion of dealing with it and so on as part of the process.
And I really do think that what's helped me a lot again is meditation.
I started meditating, well, over 50 years ago and so on.
And what it helps me do, it's not just you relax yourself and you don't have stress.
It gives me and others, it gives them a calmness and equanimity to realize that life just is a bunch of choices.
And that's just the way life is.
And how do you calmly approach those choices?
So I think that had a big effect on my development.
And then just my experiencing it, like, I can wish I could do everything.
I mean, it's just you can't.
In closing here, I saw your 60 Minutes piece or part of it, and you'd said income inequality
in the United States is a national emergency requiring reform.
And you called for a reform of capitalism, described wealth inequality as a national emergency.
I mean, that's scary.
It's also not something you usually hear from one of the world's wealthiest people.
So why is this so urgent for you and for us?
Well, because the system is not fair. The absence of equal opportunity, comparable education and so on,
means that a large percentage of the population that could be identified for their talent and could succeed,
the great talents may never be identified. And so if you look at history, you find that when you have large wealth gaps,
that cause conflict and suboptimal intellectual resource allocation.
And then you have bad times.
You have revolutions.
You have conflicts.
And it's apparent to me that that's the case now.
When I was growing up, it wasn't like that.
But anyway, what happens now is I wrote a piece,
why and how capitalism needs to be reformed. And it has a lot of particulars to it. But for example,
the person in the top 40% of the population, I broke the population to the top 20%, so quintiles.
And I looked at the bottom 60% in relationship to the top 40%, because I want to look at the majority.
And on average, in the top 40%, particularly in the higher group, the amount spent for their children's
education is five times that in the bottom 60%. And naturally, we want our kids to have good
education. But the educational disparity is enormous, the resources and so on. And so I could go on and
on about the fact that that doesn't work well. But you have to have productivity at the same time.
You can't just have wealth redistributions because whatever we collectively get to consume
is whatever we collectively produce.
So we have to make the system work so that the pie as a whole grows, productivity grows,
and that it is well distributed.
Otherwise, when you have a downturn, history has shown it's not sustainable.
So it's an emergency.
It's not fair. It's not productive, and it's one of our greatest threats.
Well, Ray, this has been an amazing conversation. Thank you so much for taking the time.
Thank you for your expertise. Thank you for the chicken McNuggets. Thanks for everything.
I appreciate it.
Well, really, you are a star. I mean, the questions, the curiosity, the thoughtfulness,
and then the contributions that you are bringing to your listeners, it was really great
because we have, you know, the common interest of trying to bring some of the best ideas to those
people to share them. And so for me, it was terrific. Thank you. Well, there's actually a lot we
talked about offline or that didn't make it into the show. And I wanted to go over some of those
concepts here just briefly. Ray believes the way we handled the 2008 financial crisis actually
widened the wealth gap and led, in part, to the populism that we're seeing now. He wants to
strengthen the capitalist system by investing in education. I agree with that wholeheartedly.
You've heard me harp on education on other episodes of this show. Ray believes that wealth inequality
is going to get worse and is a huge problem. Just as diseases affect people regardless of
nationality, there are economic diseases that happen in every country regardless of where or who.
Additionally, the future is not just another better version of the present. It's a much different
reality. This tricks investors all the time. And being successful in the market, and being successful in the
is more difficult than getting a gold medal in the Olympics.
But what's funny about this is no one thinks about trying their hand in the Olympics,
but everyone thinks they can compete in the market and invest.
In investing, you have to understand the historical context and get smart people around you,
so you're not making big decisions on your own.
And that's a big thing over at Bridgewater.
When Ray is hiring for Bridgewater, he doesn't value experience as much as he values
character, creativity, and common sense.
the knowledge of how to figure things out is much more valuable than having specific knowledge
of how to do some specific skill. Radical transparency, also a big theme in Ray's book principles.
It's important not only to be radically transparent, but also to open yourself up or ourselves
up to criticism. If you don't do this, you won't learn. This is like when I've talked about
making your mistakes out loud when learning a foreign language. You have to go backwards to
find the root of the problem. This is crucial. So here's an example. You might say, oh, I'm a bit
overweight. I got the quarantine 15. Small problem. But it's a symptom of a larger problem,
namely that I don't have systems in place to either lose excess weight or keep myself from
gaining it in the first place. Why not when I have systems for other things? Because of an even
deeper problem. Namely, that I sometimes avoid setting up systems to solve problems that make me
face uncomfortable truths about myself or our inconvenience socially, etc.
It's all about digging through what you think the initial problem is and finding the real problem hiding behind it.
I also thought it was great and very telling that Ray attributes his success to knowledge of the brain, how we think, how we experience bias, et cetera.
He attributes that the same amount or more as he does to what he knows about investing in the market.
He talks a lot about our amygdala getting hijacked by the lower self.
Those of us that examine when we get hijacked, in other words, when we go on tilts to quote Maria Konnikova from an earlier show,
we're the ones that develop and improve.
Maria Konnikova, by the way,
poker gambling episode.
Gamblers know what it means to go on tilt.
It means to make bad decisions because of emotion.
A lot of Ray's knowledge about the brain
comes from self-study.
His son, Paul, who's bipolar,
went through the ringer,
and Ray learned a ton about psychology
to work with his caregivers and help him.
Many of you, by the way,
told me to ask Ray if he took Bill Gates' pledge
to donate the majority of his wealth,
and he did take that pledge.
He also donates to meditation research,
ocean protection and several other causes.
There was a lot more in the book about decision-making and critical thinking.
Once again, big thank you to Ray Dalio.
His book, Principles and Principles of Success will be linked in the show notes.
Please use our website links.
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Worksheets for this episode in the show notes, transcripts in the show notes.
There's a video of this interview on our YouTube channel at jordanharbinger.com
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And we'll see you next time.
As promised, here's a preview trailer of our interview with Jonathan Haidt.
There is a new economy of prestige.
And in the new economy of prestige, enabled by social media on college campuses,
the more you call someone out for racism, sexism, homophobia, Islamophobia, transphobia,
you get a point.
Every time you do that, you get a point.
So every time you accuse some, it doesn't matter if it's true.
Doesn't matter if you destroy that.
It doesn't matter.
If you call someone out, you get a point.
And so you have sub-communities in some universities that are playing this game with horrible external results for everyone else.
But if the leadership stands up against it, they will be accused of all kinds of bigotry and sensitivity.
So they almost never do.
In a victimhood culture, you get prestige either by being a victim.
So you emphasize how much you've been victimized.
Or by standing up for victims and attacking their oppressors.
So when you get people in those movements who are, especially there are a lot of white people in those movements, they tend to be doing that predictive protectiveness thing.
You're on camera all the time.
And even if you're not literally on camera, the current generation, because they were raised in the age of social media, they self-censor as though they were on camera.
And so why do you see the speck in your neighbor's eye, but you do not notice the log in your own?
I mean, come on.
And here's Buddhist saying the same thing.
It's easy to see the faults of others, but difficult to see one's own faults.
And on campus, we're telling kids, forget thousands of years of wisdom, look at life through the lens of oppression and domination and violence.
everything is against you.
Right.
Do the opposite.
But you can't teach that book
might trigger someone.
What kind of world
would you rather live in?
One in which everyone is polite
because they're afraid of offending
or one in which people
will sometimes say things
that they think are true
even if they're offensive.
For more with Professor Haidt,
including how the concepts of safe spaces
and trigger warnings are making our society
less safe and less prepared
for the real world.
And what we should be doing instead
to prepare ourselves and our kids for reality.
Check out episode 90 right here on the Jordan Harbinger Show.
This episode is sponsored in part by Something You Should Know podcast.
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