The Jordan Harbinger Show - 892: Tim Urban | What's Our Problem (And How Do We Solve It)?
Episode Date: September 7, 2023Wait But Why's Tim Urban helps us find ways to cope with the chaos of current events in his new book, What's Our Problem?: A Self-Help Book for Societies. What We Discuss with Tim Urban: Wh...y we're so polarized and partisan in our political beliefs — seemingly more than ever before. How low-rung thinking prevails on both sides of the political aisle (and what we can do to ascend to higher-rung thinking). The perspective we can gain if we imagine the history of humanity as a 1,000-page book. How the internet went from a unifying force of human connection to a division-sowing outrage generator. Why we should strive to build our own "idea lab" instead of comfortably hunkering down in a tribally sponsored, anger-generating echo chamber. And much more... Full show notes and resources can be found here: jordanharbinger.com/892 This Episode Is Brought To You By Our Fine Sponsors: jordanharbinger.com/deals Sign up for Six-Minute Networking — our free networking and relationship development mini course — at jordanharbinger.com/course! Like this show? Please leave us a review here — even one sentence helps! Consider including your Twitter handle so we can thank you personally!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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This episode is sponsored in part by Conspiruality Podcast.
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Coming up next on the Jordan Harbinger Show.
Just because human history has gone on normally for so long,
you think, oh, it'll go on.
It's like, actually, this might be,
you might be around for the apocalypse
or for the time when we stop dying,
when we die only when we're ready to.
You know, we might be living on two planets.
Welcome to the show.
I'm Jordan Harbinger.
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Today on the show, my friend Tim Urban of Waitbut Why.com, you may know it as the blog with
the stick figures. He is a brilliant thinker. He's really, really good at teaching complex concepts.
Would have made an excellent professor. Today we're talking about politics, but not what you think, folks,
calm down, we'll attack low-rung thinking on both sides of the aisle.
So our primitive primal brain, our tribal brain, why are we so polarized and partisan?
Why are we almost essentially in a political cult at a certain level?
And it turns out it's not the side of the aisle that we are on.
It is how we think and our level of intellectual honesty in our conversations,
among other factors.
So this conversation doesn't only apply to Americans, by the way.
Anyone who lives in a country with a government can probably use a dose of the high-wrung
thinking that we discuss here in today's episode. Here we go with Tim Urban. I'm excited to have this conversation
with you, man, because it's been a long time. I think we did a podcast before where you were walking around
your apartment holding the phone. That was the situation. Professional, yeah. Very pro. And yeah,
10 years ago or more, which is about how long it takes you to write a blog post. Yeah, it's about right.
A lot of people are going to be familiar with your work and the little stick figure theme that you got going.
I assume you do the art yourself. I do. Yeah. Very brave.
It is. It's high level.
In the end of the book, which I read and liked, you mentioned that your 97-year-old
grandmother said that she was sticking around so she could see your book.
No, every time I saw her, she basically threatened to die before the book came out and
like knowing that that would make me feel awful because if she's like, all I want is for this
book to be done. And she was like, I just want to hold this book. But then I didn't do a print version.
So now I have a second book coming out.
Oh, no.
That I'm working on. And now I'm on the clock again. I have to get her.
And I told my dad, I was like, just get her all book.
And he was like, no, you got to give her your book.
And I was like, God damn.
So I got her this book that I had done.
And she listened to all her books on audio.
I was like, perfect.
Yeah, great.
Got her the audiobook?
Apparently, 10 minutes in, she switched back to the other fiction book she was reading
because she was bored.
Oh, that's...
After all that, she was like, I don't know what he's talking about.
I don't know.
He's just very confusing and that she went back to her fiction book.
Oh, man.
That's very anti-climate.
Trying not to take that one personally, I guess.
Wow.
Yikes.
Let's talk about the technology that is involved
in destroying our country. How's that? Or the various factors that work in destroying our country,
according to your book. There's a lot of new tech developments. They happen really quickly.
You know, I was just reading Tobias Rose Stockwell's new book called The Outrage Machine.
Yes. Yeah. Great book. And he talks about this concept, the dark valley of hidden harm.
And basically, it's after a new paradigm shifting media technology comes out, like the printing press.
you tend to see these patterns where first there's like this euphoria,
it's like this new magical thing that exists,
and then chaos.
It's always unintended consequences.
So after the printing press, there were these wars within Christianity
that you can pretty much directly tie to the invention of the printing press,
and then we kind of figure out, you know, okay, how to manage this new technology
and whether it's regulations or just there's an etiquette that develops around it,
professional kind of systems for it,
and we integrate it,
and now things are better because of it,
but there's this valley in between.
And so, you know, newspapers coming out,
you know, that you had really partisan,
crazy partisan newspapers in the early colonial U.S.,
and it led to crazy factionalism
because of the newspaper again,
but then really in the 19th century,
journalistic professionalism gets developed,
like a journalistic process
and a process that would really try to ensure accuracy,
and it was very kind of, it's a, you know, and journalism got a lot better.
And people could trust the New York Times by 1930, 1940.
You know, it was, these newspapers were a great source of unity, and we have a shared reality,
and there's truth, and it's accurate.
And so again, there was that kind of valley of harm before.
So now what you've got is all of these new media paradigms launching, except it's not
happening once a century.
It's like happening every few years.
There's a new giant shakeup.
So, like, you have cable TV, and then you have, um, there's a new media, um, there's a
There's this thing called the Fairness Doctrine, which said you had to air multiple political sides at the same time.
That was removed.
Fairness doctrine, yeah.
People thought it was a violation of free speech and it was too much regulation, too much government.
And so now you have Rush Limbaugh and then cable, you have Fox News, you've got MSNBC,
you've got Drudge Report and Breitbart and Huff Post and basically just an explosion of tribal media
that does not have journalistic ethics and professional standards.
And suddenly you have reputable places and not reputable just tribal chaos.
not necessarily valuing accuracy,
valuing clicks first.
And it's not anyone's fault.
No one's a bad person here.
It's just the incentive system changed.
And social media, of course,
just, bang, just drops into our world.
Same thing.
It was this kind of euphoria phase
when it was like, this is so cool.
You know, everyone around the world's connected.
This is just positive.
The internet in general was like,
this is going to be amazing.
And then, of course, you know,
then you start realizing that there's all this,
like, showboating for status.
And then there's outrage that seems to get more,
you know, attention,
engagement, yeah, and then the headlines get more outragey,
and then the big accounts on Twitter,
and you know, on Facebook and all of this, of course,
now you're influencing elections and it's bad.
Yeah.
And so basically, if you zoom out, like we're in a dark valley of hidden horror,
or in one of these valleys of chaos following completely new capabilities in media,
once we're out of it, I think we'll look back and be like,
those are some dark times, and we are currently, we're in the middle of it,
and there's a million other paradigm shifts happening at the same time.
Well, I want to zoom.
out a little bit because you talk in the book, which we'll link in the show notes, use this book
analogy of human history where we have to get it right because as things progress, as times get better,
the risk gets higher and the bad gets worse, I think is how you phrased it. I like this book
analogy because the spans of time are really hard for us to wrap our heads around. So we're just
like, we're born into a world and it seems normal to us. And the question is, is it normal?
what about this has been going on for thousands of years,
and what about this is completely anomalous?
To put the time in perspective,
I think using a book and is, like, metaphor is useful.
So the way this one works is,
if humanity has been around for about 250,000 years, long time.
Like, we think AD is long.
Jesus was a long time ago.
That's 2,000 years.
We're talking 2,000 centuries.
Humans like us have been here.
Crazy amount of time.
So I said, okay,
kind of, it seems like, the median estimate for how long humans have been around, it's hazy,
but 250,000 years.
So let's say if we had a book of human history that's 1,000 pages long,
each page would have 250 years covered.
So you realize, when you think about like that,
that if you're reading this book, 950 pages in,
nothing has happened.
It's just hunter-gatherers.
Hunter-gatherers for 95% of human history so far.
Only in the last 5%, the last 50 pages, has that started to change.
Maybe it was the end of the Ice Age or, you know, that beginning of this interglacial, this temperate period.
You know, I don't know what it was, but agriculture started picking up around the world.
People started congregating and settling, which still took a while, but started to lead to cities.
And when you have more people together, things start to happen.
And then you have a really big advance around page 975, like 5,000 years ago, which is writing.
Now, if you think about, like, how does knowledge build?
If you have a small tribe, you build from experience.
You have oral histories.
You have, we learned something about how to use this berry for medicinal purposes,
and now that's passed along.
And so the tribe, through each individual's kind of life experience and a bunch of trial and error,
you collect the wisdom over time, and you have this little tower of wisdom that builds in the tribe.
When you have cities, that tower gets really tall.
But still, it's all people remembering what other people said.
Writing is the first time you start to be able to say,
I can take this info in my head and etch it on a thing.
I can put it on a rock.
It's just crazy technology.
You can put information on a rock that will be there after you die.
You know, like the game of telephone is not going to get, it's not lossy.
This is the original person who had this idea or whatever.
This is exactly what they said years later.
And so you can keep that and you can have these books that are very valuable.
And that's why burning libraries was such a thing that, you know, new rulers would do.
You get rid of that.
But the point is things start to pick up,
these new giant shifts in how we acquire knowledge,
start to pick up.
So anyway, this goes on and on.
I grew up thinking BC was ancient,
and AD is like, you know, is like so long, right?
2000 years, you know, that Roman Empire,
Theopatra, this stuff is 2000 years ago.
That is page 993 of the book out of a thousand.
Buddha was on page 990.
Everything we think of is like unbelievably ancient, Confucius,
this is all the last 10 pages of the book.
So anyway, the reason that I think is interesting,
that's especially interesting is because our page,
so we in this metaphor,
are the last 250 years is page 1,000,
taking us to the end of page 1,000,
which is where we live right now.
And when you look at that page,
which starts with the Industrial Revolution,
when you look at that last 1770s to the 2020s,
compared to all the other pages,
you realize that we live in a complete anomaly.
It feels naive to say our time is special.
Everyone thinks at the end of days,
time is special, you know, no, it's not.
Actually, this time really,
seems to be because page 1,000 compared to all the other pages. You only had horses and sailboats
and walking to get around for 999 pages. And then on this page, you have cars and planes and
submarines. Spaceships. Yeah. So you can do this for anything. You can do it for communication.
You have writing and you have, you know, let you write a letter or you print a book or you talk
to someone. But now we have FaceTime and telephones and the internet and TV and all of this.
And I still made you come here from Brooklyn.
Huge dick move.
Yeah.
It's like, you know, 17 minutes.
And then you've got like the fossil fuels era.
When page 1,000 started, we weren't really using fossil fuels, barely.
You know, there are some people burning coal here and there, I'm sure.
But mostly you're burning wood, you know, in oil.
And the whole fossil fuels era just blows up on page 1,000.
So, you know, the population was under a billion for 999 pages.
And suddenly we're eight on this one page.
Like something is up.
Yeah, something is up.
Wow, when you put it that way, right,
and everything's happening on one page.
And so it's important because, again,
it is our instinct to think that this is normal,
but it's not.
It's weird.
Just because human history has gone on normally for so long,
you think, oh, it'll, it'll go on.
It's like, actually, this might be,
you might be around for the apocalypse,
or for the time when we stop dying,
when we die only when we're ready to.
You know, we might be living on two planets in our lifetimes.
You know, Mars is probably going to have people on it.
That's crazy.
Like, you go for four billion years of life on one planet.
And we might be alive when that becomes two planet.
I mean, it's so exciting, but like, it's also really scary.
And it's like, if I'm reading this book, if I'm an alien anthropologist and I'm reading
this book about this primitive species and I get to page 1000, I'm like, oh, shit's going down.
Right.
What's about to happen?
So what is about to happen?
You we turn it to page 101, the next page.
And I think it's not going to be just okay.
it's going to be probably either unbelievably great
or like incredibly awful.
It's hard to imagine it being just okay.
Like incredibly awful could range from obviously
the full apocalypse to just the civilizations all collapsed
and we're kind of back in the Stone Age
and there's warlords and you know your people are,
you know, you've got to learn to fend for yourself on the street.
Or it could be if we can somehow keep our civilizations intact,
could just get to a place where, you know,
every problem we think we have and disease and poverty
and, you know, involuntary death
and climate change, these big things,
we're scared of, you know, existential risk,
just like we got it covered.
You know, we have AI or overlords that are keep up.
So anyway, I think that's just a good, like,
starting point of any thought about our current time
is like, let's just back up and remind ourselves
of this situation.
Now we can zoom back in and be like, okay.
Well, the caveat in the book is that technology lessons,
they stick, right?
We're not going to go back to a horse and buggy.
We're not going to start burning wood
because we forgot how to generate power another way,
but wisdom and learned lessons from history,
they often end up needing to repeat themselves,
which despite all the writing we have
and all the Zoom calls that are recorded in the cloud,
we're still looking at global conflict
or international conflict, wars, regional stuff, imperialism,
famine, weapons of mass destruction.
Like if we get one page 100 and one wrong,
we're in really big trouble.
Yeah.
Really big trouble.
It's disturbing how many philosophers
throughout history have said the same thing,
which is some version of those who don't remember history
are doomed to repeat it.
And I'm like, why do we keep saying that?
And why is that stay relevant?
It's because we keep forgetting history.
And you don't forget it because the history books disappear.
You forget it because you get cocky.
You forget the important things that made the society good
in the first place.
You take it for granted.
You start to take everything for granted.
You know, times are good for a long time.
Just you grew up in this kind of nice, civilized, safe society,
but so did your parents and your grandkids.
and your grandparents, and the person way down in your ancestral chain that remembered,
no, this is precious.
This is incredible.
We have to, you know, teach kids' civics, and everyone has to, you know, really uphold
these norms.
It's just too many generations away, and we just get cocky.
And this is, you know, look at so many civilizations of the past.
So wisdom, it's cyclical, you know, it's not, you know, technology, you know, technology
in the big, big scheme, if a civilization collapses, then technology is forgotten, you know,
it comes back.
But wisdom seems to cycle much quicker within the civilizational cycle.
You know, like I grew up reading about like, I don't know, Salem Witch trials or just
like mobs in general or like the Maoists or the Nazis or McCarthyism pretty recently in the
U.S. and thinking like, oh, primitive, how do these people even do this?
And it still felt like a long time ago.
And I'm like, so many of those things we're doing right now.
We're just repeating these and like all the things you listed.
They're the same species.
We're not any better than those people who did all those things.
That's the terrifying thing that people should, in my opinion, be kind of nervous about.
And you break down thinking into the sort of high rung, low rung, use a latter analogy.
We don't have the visual here.
But I think we can define the high rung and low rung thinking because this tends to be,
at least the thesis of the book makes it sound like that's kind of the root of all the problems
we're facing right now or many of the problems we're facing right now.
Well, so I was like I looked around at like the political culture going out in the U.S.
And I realized like everything is on this one-dimensional axis, left-right center, where do you stand?
What do you believe?
What camp are you in?
And that's all what you think.
And I was like, okay, well, how about how you think access?
And then I realized, like, we can, you know, and I made this a ladder.
You can apply this ladder to, like, not just thinking, but like how we interact with others, how we see people who disagree with us?
And how does each person, when we don't really know what's going on, how do we help put our efforts
towards building towards that good future on page 1001 versus, I don't think anyone's trying to make things worse.
But a lot of people are inadvertently, I think, pushing things
towards the more kind of chaotic and unstable
and kind of primitive direction,
which is how exactly how we'll end up
with a catastrophic page 1001.
So I was like, what's a compass we can use
to know how I can check myself
and make sure at least I'm pushing in the right direction?
And I was like, okay, so this ladder,
if you're up on the high rungs of the ladder,
we all oscillate on this.
When it comes to thinking, you're geared towards truth
and you're not attached to your ideas,
which goes together.
If you're attached to your ideas
and you identify with them
and you say, I am a Democrat
or I am a libertarian or whatever it is,
you're going to really hate the people
who disagree with you
and you're going to think
that they're the other kind of person.
So you end up searching for, you know,
headlines and studies that confirm your belief.
If you just do it naturally,
it's confirmation bias,
creeps in and starts completely taking over your process
where you become a loyal disciple to these ideas now.
You're not in charge.
You're trying to just confirm those ideas.
If you're not willing to change your mind,
it means those ideas are essentially your boss.
So that's low rung, you know, thinking is you're attached to your ideas.
And the high rungs, you know, you can search for truth and you can change your mind
because you're the boss of your ideas.
You're not attached to any idea.
Your identity is just I'm a human.
I'm a searching for truth, human.
Then I was like that same exact mindset when you're up in the high rung,
searching for truth, you're not attached to your ideas.
You're not usually going to get into a tribal zone with other people.
You're going to think people who disagree with you are either they might be right and I should
listen or if you're pretty sure of yourself.
You're thinking they're wrong, but that's it.
And no, they have a misconception in their head.
But once you're in the low rungs and you're in that mode where you're attached to your ideas, it becomes very tribal.
And you also are very much in the us versus them mindset, which is pretty dark.
That's when, you know, all those things I mention, you know, Rwanda or the Nazis or the witch burnings, you know, it's very quickly that really dark stuff we do emerges from this mindset of this tribal mindset, which flips on kind of a psychopathic switch in the human head and makes us dehumanize other people.
Like those people, not just are they stupid, they're evil.
And if they die, you know what?
The world's better for it.
And everything is their fault and these are the scourge of the earth.
They're demons.
And so I was like, okay, I think that those go together as truth seeking goes with, you know,
kind of a much more universal humane mindset and confirmation bias and identifying with
your ideas tends to go with kind of a dehumanizing tribal mindset.
And then I was like, I think there's a third thing here.
And I think when you're on the high rungs and you're trying to achieve something politically,
you're going to try to do it via persuasion.
You're going to get out there and try to change minds, which in this history of
the U.S. is how things have changed. You're searching for truth. You know, you're not dehumanizing
anybody and you are going to use persuasion to try to change things for the better. And when I think
you're doing those three things, I think regardless of what you actually believe, you're pushing
things in the right direction. That's the kind of mindset that is going to yield wisdom. It's going to
yield like problem solving and wisdom and unity and cooperation. Now, on the bottom, you have
this attachment to your ideas and this tribal mindset about other people who disagree with you.
The third thing that comes along with that is instead of persuasion, you're going to be using
coercion usually. Those are the, if you look at the movements that think this way, they don't
play by kind of classic liberal rules that tend to make real change in a country like the U.S.
They're thinking in very old school kind of rules, which is if we have the power to bully or in some countries use violence to get we want, that's what we'll do.
And that exact kind of mindset to me is the precise thing that can take over the whole society if you're not careful.
And that is what will drive us to an awful future if that mindset takes over again, regardless of which of these kind of power tribes wins, that the cumulative efforts of those are pulled the entire country in the wrong direction.
Right. I'm thinking of worst case scenarios, like the Khmer Rouge, for example, right?
Yeah. In the killing fields, it was just sort of arbitrarily, well, this guy probably thinks a different way because he worked at a university. So we should just kill that person. Oh, and their family.
It's psychopathic behavior. I mean, it's, it's, and the people who are killing those people, I truly believe that there's a lot of people in our current society who are totally fine people who are wired exactly the same way.
If the circumstances present to themselves, they would be doing that.
By the time you're killing someone, there's a long lead up to that.
And it starts with this mindset of our movement.
There's a lot of conformity.
We all agree on this, this ideology.
This ideology is who we are.
It is our identity as a group and as each individual.
The people who disagree with us are evil, and they're the cause of all these problems.
They're subhuman.
And the way to get what we want is we have to overpower them in this case, kill that murder.
imprison them or whatever it is.
No one is killing people in the U.S.
for their ideas right now or not many.
It's not the main thing going on.
But traces of that, when you see hints of that,
it's like, got to catch that.
You've got to stop that.
Yeah, it's terrifying,
especially when you look at,
you have the Idea Lab versus Echo Chamber,
and this podcast drives to be an Idea Lab.
I don't platform everybody
because some ideas are just crappy, honestly.
Well, whatever.
That's a whole probably different conversation.
But some ideas are not my bag.
But in general, I want the best ideas.
is to win. I want to put people on who make us think differently. But there's lots of money,
going back to the media topic, we talked about at the top of the show. There's lots of money
in the echo chamber, man. And the most money in podcasting or media, legacy media, is in an echo chamber.
It's in not only reinforcing the same ideas and tribalizing people, but advancing those ideas
in more extreme ways. If you're the person who can say, not only is this bad, but also breaking
news, these guys are even worse than you thought because they're all pedophiles now and they're
murderers and look at the whatever and then we're so much better because we're the only people
fighting for virtue and we can't, you even hear messages that are strikingly similar to
these people are all criminals. It's all a big grift with a last bastion of defense. And when you look at
guys like white nationalist groups or things like that, they're often saying things like we're
the last line of defense for this country. And if we're, we're, we're the last line of defense for this country. And if
We don't stand up and fight, insert the term for whatever,
the mongrel hordes are going to come and kill all of our children,
our women and children.
And you see that in the media landscape.
And it's, unfortunately, that's how you make the most money in the media landscape.
If you throw your ethics away, you can really cash in.
That's the political version of selling cigarettes or selling soda,
selling candy.
You are catering to the lowest common denominator of humanity.
You're doing something that doesn't help the people you're selling to.
It hurts them.
And it hurts the society in general.
And so you're selling political junk food.
And you can make a lot of money.
Philip Morris made a lot of money.
Billions of dollars.
You know, Mars, Inc.
You know, Coca-Cola.
They make a lot of money.
You know, there's a reason that most people I know wouldn't want to go and work at Philip
Morris and try to sell cigarettes to kids to teens.
You know, like it's like selling like a snake oil or some kind,
like selling a weight loss pill.
You know, these things,
promise is the political junk food. So it's, A, it's just catering to our, like what I call
our primitive minds, this really ancient part of our limbic system that can be tricked. That's easily
tricked. You know, when you're eating a bag of candy, a skittles or starburst in that chewy
flavor, you know, that dumb part of your brain is tricked into thinking this is a good thing to
eat. And the same thing. When you're just totally hooked on tribal media and you're convinced
that half of your country is evil and you're hooked and you're reading every article,
you're consuming junk food. In some ways, it's even worse, not just because it can do more.
more damaged, you know, than bad food. But also, because there's a promise here that this is the
key to righteousness. If you're in our political kind of tribe, you're perfectly righteous,
you have meaning, you have purpose, you have a community, you have all these things that are so hard
that we want so badly. These holes in human lives, it's like, you know, you can fill these,
all your opinions now you have them. You know, you're going to sound smart at every party because
you have all the right opinions about everything. And it's not true. It's a weight loss pill that doesn't
work. It's the zealots right on the ladder dressed up as either scientists or better thinkers
in some other way, but they're treating anybody who disagrees with them as like some a-hole
who punched their baby in the face because I think you put this in the book that they treat
their ideas like a baby that they adore and coddle. But the problem is in the media space,
they'll dress up like, I'm just asking questions about this. I'm genuinely curious, but that's not,
it's not really true. You can come back to this ladder, it's like, yeah, at the top of the ladder,
just to talk about just the thinking part of it.
The North Star at the top is truth.
You just genuinely want to figure out what's true.
Both if you're media, you're trying to portray what's genuinely true
and representative of what really happened.
But an individual is just trying to figure out what's true.
And that means they're going to change their mind all the time because we're going
to be wrong a lot.
So you're going to be changing.
You're going to say, I don't know a lot.
And I think of that as treating your idea like a little machine.
So it's like an experiment you're working on.
You're taking, you know, in pieces of information,
you're snapping them together in different ways.
And you're like, okay, here's a hypothesis.
and as you learn more, you're like, okay, something's wrong about this.
So you'd like to argue about it.
You know, it's fun to have someone disagree with you.
It's so interesting, and they're going to kick your machine and see if they can break it.
And no one's taking it personally.
It's just my machine.
And by the way, if I think my machine's strong, I'd love you to kick.
Because I don't think you can break it.
And I think you're going to show how strong my ideas.
And if you can break it, thank God you just showed me.
I'm going out here.
I'm embarrassing myself with a flawed idea.
You just made me smarter.
So that's this one mindset.
And then I use the baby as the other kind of, once you slip down to the low rungs,
when someone insults your idea.
It doesn't feel like they're kicking your machine.
It feels like they're hurting you.
Or in this case, they're kicking a baby.
Right.
The tribe has their sacred baby, and anyone who kicks it, they're an awful person,
and they need to be punished for it.
If your goal is to protect the baby, because that's what you should do to a baby,
you protect the baby, versus your goal is to improve the machine, make it rugged, kick it around.
Regardless of what you say you're doing, you wear your motivation on your sleep based on your
behavior, if you're trying to protect your ideas and keep them safe versus test them,
and get closer to truth,
it's so obvious how you behave.
Someone who's going for truth,
they're grateful when someone smart
disagrees with their ideas.
They might argue back.
They might even get heated,
but they're not mad at the person.
They don't think the person's bad,
and they change their mind all the time.
It doesn't feel necessarily good,
but it's just the obvious thing to do
when you do that.
They will regularly seem to conflict
with all different tribes.
There's strong opinions weekly held,
as I think the phrase.
Well, that's at the bottom.
Clever people.
At the top, it's going to be the opposite.
It's going to be a lot of,
I don't know,
but actually they know a lot, but it's still going to be a lot of humility.
And you're going to see them kind of seem to flip-flop all the time.
They're going to be with this tribe on one thing, with this tribe.
Not because of some both-sides-ism, just because inherently, everything's complicated.
If you're truly independent, you're going to end up, you know, kind of siding with one tribe in one area and another tribe and another,
or being seeming to side with this tribe, but you're saying something more nuanced, but it doesn't fit into the tribal rubric.
At the bottom, it's like you said, you're going to have not only are you a much worse thinker with much less knowledge.
Because if you're protecting your ideas like a baby, you're not going to,
to learn anything, but you think you know everything. Because in that mindset, which, by the way,
I've been here, I've even writing my book about this, I was like finding myself drifting down.
I had to remind myself, or, you know, I would have to get feedback in the book and remind
myself, I'm cherry picking evidence too much. I need to go and really seek out dissent more.
When you're down there, you become very confident in your ideas. You think you know everything,
even though you don't actually, you couldn't defeat anyone in a debate. And you behave this way.
So you cherry pick evidence. You cherry pick kind of the articles you want to read based on who agrees
with you and you get really pissed off when someone disagrees with you. You don't handle it well,
which is what you would do if you're treating your idea like a baby. So yeah. Yeah, it's like welcome
to podcasting. It, of course, applies to the whole media landscape as well. It's scary because it's
hard to see how that's not the default, because that's what serves humanity for so long.
There was no real benefit, I would imagine, to being an independent thinker who's like,
hey, everybody who lives in our city-state, we're probably wrong about a lot of this.
stuff. And I'm just going to shout that from the rooftops. Not a good survival strategy for most
of human history. But you do notice, if you look at history, these little moments when a kind of
culture of high rung thinking developed, like maybe ancient Greece is one of them in that culture,
rather than saying we all have to agree with this singular ideology, it became cool to debate
and disagree on the Socratic method. I mean, this stuff comes out of humility and this idea
that like, let's explore. We're still reading Greek literature today because they had a really great
few decades of high rung, you know, culture prevailing.
Right.
Intellectual culture prevailing.
It's like, you talk about a book with a thousand pages, man.
This is like a sentence.
I know.
Because the gravity is always pulling us down out of that back into the simple zone
where it's the people like us believe this stuff and the people who don't are evil.
And you don't need to think any harder than that.
You know, that's it.
It's a religious attitude towards its thoughts.
Literally, right?
And I was going to give the example of Galileo where they're like, we don't like the thing
that you did, where you proved that the sun was actually the center of the solar system.
So didn't he go to prison?
I don't remember the whole story.
I'm pretty sure they were not super kind to him.
And now there's whole tenure systems and universities because of that kind of thing.
Totally.
Literally because of religious thought where they're like, hey, look, maybe you're right,
but we just don't want to know.
And also, we're deriving a lot of power and stability from a monopoly on what's true.
And you're messing with that.
And it is a lot more unstable and a lot more chaotic.
People who are benefiting from the status quo never like independent thinkers, right?
They never like dissent because the status quo is their friend.
The status quo always has a fierce survival instinct,
whether it's businesses and lobbyists or whether it's intellectuals or religious leaders
or government leaders.
But if you can have like a time like an ancient Greece type moment,
these places that have these famous libraries, Baghdad in its hey,
day, like, we're not searching for, if you're searching for truth, you would never burn a library.
Even if you think it's all wrong.
Well, we can learn how we were wrong.
And some stuff is in there is right.
And let's explore.
Let's challenge it.
So burning the library is saying the search for truth is our enemy and dissent is our enemy.
And this is we are going to now, we're dictating the truth.
And no humans ever are smart enough to actually have the truth, entire truth.
So anyone who says that is because they're in the, it's a low, it's a low, it's a low,
they're not searching for truth.
They are searching for conformity.
And they're going to enforce conformity.
And so you have these little moments that spring up
throughout human history.
Now what makes, again, page 1,000 are recent times so special
is that not only was there space with liberal,
no, the advent of the modern liberal democracy
is kind of like the U.S. was like the first modern liberal democracy
and now there's hundreds or dozens.
Yeah, good point.
There's only not hundreds of countries.
Yeah, but I think it's over 100 now.
But anyway, what you have these things like,
the scientific revolution and the Enlightenment
and what they did is they actually created
these global, well-organized systems
of professional official high-rung mentality.
So the scientific method scaled up
with the scientific revolution
where there are all these science academies
all over the world, all different languages,
different ideas, but they all are following
the same general scientific method of,
they're putting out hypotheses, they're writing papers on it,
they're having peer review,
and then they're challenging each other's things
from across the world, like, you know,
just reading about, like, I don't know,
like trying to understand
and how we just learned about subatomic particles.
You're going to hear a Latin American paper
that advanced things here
and then a Swiss paper that advanced this thing
and then a thinker in California
that came in and discovered this.
And it's a global collaboration,
not because these people know each other
or like each other,
but because they're all following this method
that is kind of official high-wrung mindset
of like truth comes first,
disagreement is fine and encouraged,
and no one's going to go to war
if you disagree with them.
Like, just complete acceleration of knowledge,
like massive,
global, scaled, industrial-scale knowledge building,
which is why we have this incredible civilization we have now.
You're listening to The Jordan Harbinger Show with our guest, Tim Urban.
We'll be right back back.
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smart company where you belong. You can find the course at jordanharbinger.com slash course. Now,
back to Tim Urban. Well, we would like to keep it that way, right? And the book is incredible
in that you talk about how,
you discuss how Americans seem to think
we're in a Disney movie.
A lot of black and white thinking,
a lot of binary thinking,
the way that headlines and newspapers
start to devolve into tribal thinking,
the straw man argument,
by the way,
the strong man argument,
observation that you made,
first of all,
I'd love to define strong man
because I know people have heard it,
but the science with that
that shows that it weakens your ability
to take in other arguments
was interesting, right?
Terrifying.
Yeah, is a better word, I think.
So if I,
I'm actually arguing with you, I can still straw man you.
You know, you can say, I think we should have tighter gun control, you know, laws.
And I can straw man that by saying, I don't think the government should take away our guns.
Which you didn't say, you didn't say take away our guns.
You said stronger laws, like maybe more background checks or something.
And what I'm doing is that's a harder thing to refute.
It's nuanced and maybe there's some pretty good reasoning behind that.
But I can appear to beat you by basically creating an argument
that is a kind of resembles your argument, but it's weak.
I use the example of like a grizzly bear as a strong argument
and like a koala bear is a weak argument.
So you put out a grizzly bear perhaps.
And rather than try to punch your grizzly bear,
I just say that doesn't exist.
Here's a koala bear that I'm going to pretend you said
and I'm going to punch the koala bear.
So I'm going to say, I don't think usually the government should take away
our guns.
That's a core American right.
And I'm going on this whole long rant about how you're wrong
because then I punched the aqua bear.
Now, if someone's watching and they're not thinking that hard about it,
They're not the educator.
They might think, oh, wow, Tim just wiped the floor with him.
And if this sounds like cable news shows, that's because that's what they do on cable news shows.
Of course.
Now, but that's if we're together.
That takes a little more skill and, like, you know, you might be, because you're right there.
You might say, that's not what I said.
And you have echo chambers.
You're not represented there.
You know, all the headlines and all the talking heads and the politicians and the Twitter,
you know, culture warriors, they're just going to present the strongman of what you said.
Without everyone, no one, you know, there's not even going to be access to your original quote in there.
It's just going to be, this is what.
they think. And so what happens is an echo chamber, you know, in a political echo chamber,
which is like you're surrounded by a bunch of people agree with you, you're reading all the
publications that agree with you, and the things that disagree with you, you're reading the worst
versions of them. You're not reading the really smart versions of them. And what you end up with
is you're soaked in the weakest version of manufactured weak version of your opponent's arguments.
And by the way, sometimes insane things will happen. Sure. The question is just like, just do your
actual homework because if you're hearing something from someone about what the other tribe is doing
and this person especially this person is really political quite tribal there's just such a small
chance that you're hearing the steel man which is the opposite of the straw man the best version
there or even just the accurate version of what's going on the nuanced version you know the don't say
gay bill was full of this you know the amount of people who would say this was an evil bill now there
were some problems in it, right? And that's why it got struck down. But poll 10 people who were
fired up about this evil, homophobic, you know, transphobic bill and asked them about what's in
the bill and almost no one will know because they're just getting the straw man, even just that
don't say gay, is a straw man. It's not what the bill's called. That is a strawman. So there's so many
examples of this. And it's almost impossible not to find an example. If you name any political
issue and like you can tell exactly what the story, no, any policy, you know, push, there's a
man that's already very well developed through like an evolutionary process,
the snappiest straw man on Twitter that really gets going becomes the known.
So back to what you were mentioning earlier, the inoculation effect.
Yes.
Go back to gun control.
If I am in the right-wing echo chamber in the U.S., and I'm hearing, this is not actually
what's happening as far as I know, but maybe some version of it, but just as a hypothetical,
if all I'm hearing in the right-wing echo chamber during a push for background checks,
guns is that they want to take our guns away.
And I'm hearing that again and again and again.
Or maybe I'm hearing some maybe a little bit more nuanced version of that.
But like, I don't know, they're going to make a certain level of gun illegal, which is not
true.
Maybe they're, you know, whatever.
But you're just hearing false versions of this again and again and again and again.
In fact, I think a better example here is climate change.
On both sides here, if you're in the left echo chamber, first of all, there's a term,
there's a director, a climate denier.
There are plenty of people who don't believe in climate change.
They think it's a hoax, and they're truly uneducated about it.
They're ridiculous, and their arguments are ridiculous.
And so that's true.
But that's not representative of what everyone who thinks that we know, the climate change policies
or the, you know, the Green New Deal type things are not good for one reason or another.
And so you're hearing just the stupidest arguments again and again and again, the craziest things.
What happens is that it's like getting exposed to a light version of a virus, which is, you know, the flu shot,
which then prevents you from being hurt by a stronger version of the virus.
So you're exposed to this weak version of the argument again and again and again,
and you end up immune against strong versions.
So now when someone, you know, you see a speaker or someone is on TV
and they're saying that they're skeptical about climate change,
about the latest science in climate change,
you're not even going to listen to what they say.
You're immune to be having your mind change in this topic now,
because you've heard so many dumb arguments.
You have this new prior in your,
had this rule that anyone who disagrees with the current science on climate change is an idiot
and not worth listening to.
Right, or a grifter.
That rule now is in your head has made you immune to changing your mind on the topic.
So when anyone comes and now, someone actually presents a strong argument that maybe these regulations
are not productive or maybe they don't achieve what they want or maybe we don't know as much
about some of the science as we think we do, you won't hear it.
It doesn't matter how strong the airwind.
It's like the flu.
Now, the real flu comes along, you're immune to it.
And that's not, in this case, it's not good.
You don't want to be immune to changing your mind.
Now, you could say in the other way, the same thing.
They're people who are skeptical of climate change.
They're not going to hear the really nuanced and interesting and scary, you know,
potential versions of what can happen with climate change.
They're hearing the dumbest versions.
They're hearing the most extreme policy positions possible.
And they're being, you know, at the time when a study was wrong or when someone, you know,
a famous person, you know, when Rachel Maddow said something about climate change that's proven
wrong, that's going to be broadcast again and again and again and again as proof that those people
who are so scared about climate change,
that they're all full of shit. And so now you're immune. And this is really scary, right? Because if media is
getting clicks from straw manning and blasting those tribal messages out on both sides to everybody as much as
humanly possible, then we're all getting those inoculations 24-7 without the ability to really
do anything about it unless we turn off our media sources, which is harder for a lot of people to do.
So basically every single week that the news cycle goes by and gives us a new bit of nonsense that we get
a new straw man to get inoculated with,
it becomes harder and harder and harder
for us to change our minds
on anything.
Right, because when you add them all,
I just give an example of how you could
tune out climate change deniers.
There's one issue, but what happens is
because also in political Disney world,
this metaphor I use, which is the low-rung
political world where everyone thinks
that they're on the perfectly good, righteous,
smart team and that everyone else,
that's the perfectly bad, awful, evil, stupid, wrong team.
And when you have this crazy childish
binary in your head. When you actually become, you know, here's how stupid the climate denying
arguments are, then you also say that those people, because it's a checklist, you believe
every issue down the checklist with your tribe. So on abortion, on guns, on climate change,
on racism, on public school and education, on, you know, elections, whatever it is. It's that my tribe's
version of every single one of these is correct. And proof that they're stupid in one issue is just also just
more proof that they're stupid null.
So when you start adding all this drumming together,
it becomes that like my,
we are just perfectly right about everything.
And that team is perfectly wrong about everything.
And all advancement of knowledge and any, you know, hope for nuance,
which is where all the actual truth lives in these issues and any hope to actually
get smarter and change your mind or solve problems,
solve complex problems that require lots of variables that require a ton of compromise
and, you know, kind of nuanced, give and take, gone.
I think the other problem with that, and there's something I'm just sort of toying with here in real time, it seems like if you have a checklist and you quote unquote know you're quote unquote know you're right about these things with your tribe and the other tribe is wrong and they're all straw man. So it's like look at what they're trying to do. They're trying to take away the guns and legalize pedophilia and they want to make it so we can't use electricity because of climate change. Instead of going, hmm, I'm wrong about some of these. We're way past that, right? We can't accept that. Now you're thinking they must be doing this delirical.
deliberately for another reason you end up with all this conspiracy theory stuff.
Because otherwise, how could some group be so wrong?
It's not that they think differently.
No, no, no, that couldn't be it.
This is so wrong it has to be a plan.
And that worries me a lot.
Conspiracy theories are interesting because once in a while, they're true.
Most of the time they're not.
So someone who's a rampant conspiracy theorist and everything is conspiracy,
they're almost always full of shit because not everything is a conspiracy.
Same way that someone who's saying this thing that's happening in politics
is really bad and we're actually in danger.
It's this kind of catastrophizing,
the sensationalizing of every issue.
It's the same concept where sometimes there is a grave danger
and most of the time there's not.
Sometimes there's a conspiracy that's really happening
and actually there's some shady shit that went on.
You know, the thing about it in history,
the Pentagon Papers and Watergate, you know, these do happen.
Even the COVID, remember the Chinese scientists,
they arrested him and they're like, I'll stop spraying rumors.
And he dies of COVID, dot, dot, dot, pandemic.
Exactly.
So like, what you want is, and again,
a high-rank political environment,
you have this filter where you don't immediately reject conspiracy theories.
You're skeptical of them,
but you put them to the filter.
You listen and you explore.
And most of the time you say this doesn't seem to have any real backing.
But when one is true,
it's going to start to get more compelling and more compelling.
People are going to try to poke holes in it until some point you say,
I think there's something to this.
We need to keep exploring this.
So this is the ideal situation.
Same with, you know,
you don't just sensationalize everything.
So when something is sensationalized in that kind of community,
actually means something.
I have friends, you know, Livbury, Igor Kuggenoff,
poker players, good friends of mine.
And these are very rational people.
And I remember they told me in January, early January of 2020,
they're like, COVID's for real.
It's like, this is a big deal.
This is scary.
And I remember thinking like, this is just another media hype cycle.
But when they said it, I was like, they don't say this often.
Right.
Yeah.
They have credit.
I took it seriously.
They were like, get yourself some masks, like, read about this.
This is important.
You know, my bigger point.
here is that when everything's sensationalized and everything's the end of days and everything is a
conspiracy, wolf, wolf, wolf, wolf, wolf. And guess who the winner is in the boy who cried wolf.
Yeah, the wolf. The wolf, because now when something bad actually is happening, some actually thing,
or is a conspiracy. The best friend of the conspirator is the crazy conspiracy theorists out there
that say everything's a conspiracy because now when they say your conspiracy, people say, yeah, yeah, I'm sure.
And now when something is actually a big threat like COVID, people say, uh-huh, yeah, it's just a media
hype cycle. We lose our ability to take real threats seriously because it's just impossible to tell
what's from what. So it's really dangerous. Again, we become inoculated in a way to taking things
seriously because, or if you're totally crazed, you're taking every one of these things seriously.
And then you're just in a constant state of fear, which is what a lot of this media wants you in.
Yeah, that's true. The narrow cast media, as you label it in the book, right, cable news shows
podcasts of a lot of a lot of types now give us, it's this political junk food that gives us media
diabetes. Yeah, we all have political diabetes. Or you have political diabetes. Yeah.
And that is, it becomes more of a problem with the algorithms, right? Like, if you listen to a certain
political show, it's going to say, you might also like this, but those algorithms aren't like,
hey, you probably like to think about things in different ways. Here's the opposite perspective.
It just goes, oh, you listen to this guy? You're going to love this guy. And you're going to love this guy.
And so I'm always kind of happy when I see that it recommends, you know, Sam Harris and the Jordan
Harbinger. I'm like, okay, cool. But other times,
I'll look at another political show
and I'm like, oh, wow,
it's only recommending shows on the right
on this one app where I listen to
like a couple of right-leaning political podcasts
and I'll use another app
to listen to some more left-leaning stuff
and it only recommends shows on the left.
And I'm thinking,
if I weren't in the space
listening to both sides
on different apps randomly
because of convenience,
I would only be seeing
the ones that lean right or left.
You can test this so easily
going to just open it.
incognito window in Chrome and go to YouTube.com.
And now it doesn't know who you are.
But I've done this. And it does seem blank slaty in that there's like some pop star music
stuff. There's movie review. There's some like, you know, Mr. Beast something. And then
there's political junk food of both varieties. So I'll see, you know, watch this person totally
embarrassed Ted Cruz. And then I'll see, you know, Trump embarrassed someone. Right. So it's kind
of serving you both. And then if you go and click on.
the Ted Cruz gets embarrassed one.
You'll start seeing why AOC was right all along.
You'll start to see Matt Gates why he's a criminal.
It's also always be the really bombastic politicians.
They're the characters on the reality show
that everyone's addicted to.
It's not real politics.
It's a political reality show
that the media has weaved together
using careful editing of reality.
And certain characters are cast on the show,
which is why everyone knows Matt Gates
or AOC, Ted Cruz, these people are on the show versus, you know, in my book, I give the example
of Derek Kilmer, who is a...
Yeah, never heard of him.
Congressman.
He's the head of the moderate Democrat caucus.
He's a very important, high-level politician, super smart, nuanced guy, full of really good
ideas.
No one has heard of him because his entire thing is, we need to compromise, we need to be nuanced,
we need to have a long-term view, the kind of politician that you hope is running the show,
and he's not on the show.
The reality producers,
reality TV producers
at CNN and MSNBC and Fox News,
they say, no, he's incredibly boring.
We're not casting him, right?
It's the dating show
where the couple that's not fighting
is like, well, we're not coming back
for season two.
Exactly.
The real politicians of Washington,
New Seeds, the real housewives
that's a political version of that.
Right. Right.
So anyway, first of all,
that's what YouTube's going to show you
is those people.
Maybe if I start search for Derek Kilmer,
and I start clicking,
I might start to see nuanced stuff,
but it's not what they show you
right at first.
And I start clicking on the bombastic
thing and the entire sidebar after one click is all stuff for hardcore tribal left people.
Dang.
And then you click more and you click more and it's just a long line of it and it's endless.
And then of course these things talk to each other.
I'm sure if I did this and I was on Facebook and then Twitter and it's just all the same
stuff.
And then of course I tried the same thing for the other side.
And it's the same exact thing.
So you can test this really easily, but even if you're trying not to, it's hard.
That's why you have to make an active attempt not to because you're not going to just
served up a nice balance plate. Now, there are some sites that are doing this, that are better at
it, that are starting to try to be like, here's the news and here is, this story seems to be
broadcast mostly on the left news. So this might be left biased. And I think we have some hope here
with the same technology, algorithmic stuff, you know, smart AI that has been used to do the opposite
of what we want can actually start to be used to give us like a trustworthy take on, A, what
seems to be accurate and be, you know, with a confidence monitor of, you know, this seems to be
accurate with 30% confidence or 60, based on just what the 10,000 news, you know, that we've scanned,
say, and what their track record is. And also, this seems to be a left bias story. This seems
to write, right bias story. I have hoped there, actually. How amazing would it be if you
looked at an article in the New York Times and you read it? And then you were like, hey, I want to
counterpoint to this article that's credible, not just says the opposite thing based on nothing,
but I want to counterpoint to this article,
and then the AI will either tell you where to find it
or just tell you the counterpoints to poke holes
in that particular piece.
It's just interesting, too.
It's so interesting.
So you ever heard of Intelligence Squared?
Yeah.
Okay.
It's a podcast.
Yeah, it's a podcast.
It's now a podcast.
It's also just originally just like an Oxford-style debate at NYU.
They host it.
And it's just two-on-two, you know,
almost always reasonable thinkers,
and they are locked into a high-wrung format
where it's going to be civil
and they're going to be each have their time to talk thoroughly about what they believe,
and then they're going to debate for a while, and they're going to do their closing.
And I don't always know what I think at the end of this, but I always know a lot more than I did.
And I just feel like you round out the edges.
And when I'm hearing someone really strong opinion, they sound really convincing, I'm dying to,
just for fun.
I'm like, I want to hear someone go against them.
It's just like watching, you know, imagine if you're just watching LeBron James just dribble alone
on the court and do tricks and, you know, and do cool dunks, I'd be saying, great, but I want to see him go against the best defender.
Now, that is entertaining, right?
the best hitter, I want to put him against the best pitcher.
Now we're excited.
Same thing.
What I really want when I hear, you know, someone like Ben Shapiro's really cogent, has really good,
but he's quite biased a lot of the time.
It's like, give me someone else.
You know, I saw, um, Jengueger.
I'm not sure I'm pronouncing his name right.
The young Turks guy.
Oh, yeah.
You know, really smart, really like well-informed guy.
So was Ben Shapiro.
But both of them, I think, have a reputation for, you know, having an agenda.
I'm a bit biased, right?
I just found some debate with the two of them going at it on, uh,
on a stage on healthcare.
And it was like, this is so much more valuable
and more interesting than I ever would get
from either one of these two people alone.
I was like, give me more of this.
If one of them is saying something
that's full of shit or straw money,
the other one is going to definitely call them out
in embarrassments, it keeps them honest.
So anyway, I'm wondering if what AI can do one day,
maybe soon, is manufacture a debate
where it's like the smartest and most proven,
you know, accurate, but maybe biased sources
on the right and left are saying about this.
and now tell me how they'd respond to each other.
You know, obviously we'd like to get real debates together.
But in the absence of that, you know, show me what the retort would be.
I do this in my writing sometimes.
If I want to, if I'm trying to make the case for something, I'll say, you know,
so the federalists said this and this and this or, you know, the capitalists say this and this
and then the, but the communists would say that actually, you know,
you're misunderstanding this and this and this.
But the capitalist would say, well, you're not looking in history.
And the communists would say, well, that's not blah, blah.
And it's just, I just feel like, but I, yeah, I hope that we can have like,
something that does a really good job with it.
I would love that.
I think you mentioned,
can we get more real debates?
The problem is those two guys,
there's not that much in it for them
to get up there with each other
and debate in a civil fashion
because they don't recruit new people
to their camp that way, really.
And even if they do, it's a small number.
The money for them is in just blasting
their particular agenda to the people
that are already receptive to it.
That's the problem.
So for every guy like you and me
He was like, hey, I would love to see those guys talk on stage,
and I'll change my mind about some stuff.
They're like, yeah, cool,
but what I want to do is talk to the million people
who already agree with me
and then write a book about how the other side
is a bunch of idiots and sell that for two million bucks.
Yeah, and like, you know, acknowledging all the nuance
in the topic, which you have to do
if you're going to be a strong debater,
is not actually helpful to what you're doing.
You're trying to present a simpler story that this is,
that these issues, they might have a lot of layers,
but it's clearly that they are wrong about these issues.
Right. And here's high,
can say this in a way that rhymes that you remember.
Oh, yeah.
Sounds good on Twitter.
And it's like, why would I fricking flesh that out to three paragraphs?
I know.
And I think the ultimate effect of it is, you know, to use the cliche example, Fox News and MSNBC,
they are ultimately on the same team in that they need each other.
Fox News and kind of tribal right wingness disappeared.
Yes.
MSNBC is out of business.
That's right.
And likewise.
My notes, right?
Like, the grifters on the right of the left, they're the greatest asset to one other.
You know how much Donald Trump loves the woke mob?
Do you know how much hardcore radical leftists love?
They might not actually love Donald Trump themselves,
but it is massively, it gives them so much clout and power
and builds their army and makes their extreme world you seem justified.
But yeah, you can't have Antifa without the fah, right?
You got to have the fah.
Exactly.
And so these things are ultimately on the same team.
And I think that their battle royale that they're doing,
that they're both making money off of or status
or whatever, is like this, if a country like the U.S. is an organism trying to trudge its way up
a hill towards a better nation.
Lincoln said a more perfect union, right?
And towards a better future, this kind of, you know, vigorous debate and compromise and science
and the actual scientific method.
And these things kind of slowly push the country up the hill.
It's like a ball and chain coming from the other side.
And the really tribal war that goes on isn't two sides fighting against each other.
It's like, or it is, and then you can zoom out and you see that it's wrapped in this thing, which is a big ball that is pulling the country down.
So that battle as it escalates is just this weight that pulls the whole country down and that if you care about the country and you want to go up the hill, you have to realize that like there's not one of these that is like, it doesn't maybe, you know, people like, oh, don't do both sides.
Isn't they're not, they're not equal.
It doesn't matter if they're exactly equal.
It's the vibe.
It's the concept of the culture war is the antithesis of progress.
and it will undermine all progress on any side you are on.
This is the Jordan Harbinger Show with our guest, Tim Urban.
We'll be right back.
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Now for the rest of my conversation with Tim Urban.
It's scary because I don't see how,
I really don't see how it gets better.
I want to take a little bit of an issue.
I'm going to do a blue box like you do on your blog.
I want to ask what your thinking process is like
because I'm basically trying to ask what you do all day
without sounding rude, and I don't know how to do that.
However you want.
But I know you write a lot,
but do you write as you think,
or do you outline everything and think as you write?
Is there a lot of like staring at the ceiling
and you're like, yes, that?
And then you write it into a little thing
and then you eventually flesh it out.
What does it look like?
So for a blog post,
which is what I did 100 of
before I got into this book,
it's short enough and bite size enough
that I can read and read and read
and research and just soak in an idea.
I don't even like,
it's not even that methodical.
I'm just going to go on rabbit holes
and take nuggets from those rabbit holes
and save them into a dock
or highlight them in Kindle or whatever.
And as I'm doing it,
that, I'm percolating, I'm thinking, and I'm starting to come up with a story.
So the things that gave me the dopamine, you're like, oh, that's an interesting parallel.
I never thought of, okay, that's a good thing to keep.
And then I'll sit there and look at everything after a week of that, or maybe it's a month
of that, depending on how big the project is.
And I will be like, what's the story here?
What's the game?
What's the, how do I want to present this now?
Because I took me X amount of hours to learn it.
And now let's like, how would I present that to someone so they can spend way less
time and get the same thing?
Because now that I know all the things I want to say, how can I efficiently
get it across and fun, make it fun to, so then I'll do an outline.
You know, it's like, what's a clever outline here that's going to rope people in that's
going to be sticky and they'll remember the key things.
And then I'll write and then I'll draw and then I'll revise and whatever.
So that's what I thought my process was.
Sure.
For also, I started doing a book.
And I tried to, okay, I'm just going to read and run and make this big grand outline and
then I'm going to write the whole thing.
And it just doesn't, it's not the right process for a book.
You have to do it in like back and forth.
You can do some general reading.
have an idea, make a very kind of general outline.
I think Stephen Pressfield says something about how your first outline for a book
should be something you can write on a single page of a yellow pad, you know,
just like you can just write out.
If it's longer than that, like it's, that's a very good piece of advice because my
outline for this book was as long as a book, honestly, almost.
It was just because, and it was long and it had, it had all these thoughts and caveats.
And then you get to the end and you feel, I'm writing it.
And now that now that I'm writing, I'm realizing, ah, no, now that I'm,
there's a more fun way to do this and I have to say, so I'm doing it in a book now,
another book, and I'm, I learn from my mistakes. And so my process for our book is make a
big broad outline, something you could tell someone about in a minute. And if there's questions
about what actually is going to go in each section or how is this going to work, that's fine.
You'll have figured them out later. And then start with chapter one or whatever you want to
start with. Also, you can't also research everything because that'll take six months.
And by the time you're done, you forget what you research at the beginning. Research for me is not
just collecting the info. It's like I'm learning something and I'm very fresh on it, right?
When that's the time when I want to write, I'm really fresh on it. It's in my head. A few months
later, if I'm coming back to that research I did, I forget the things I learned. And yeah,
and even if I have it written down, it's like I forget all the insight that was really fresh in my
head right when I did that. So we research each chapter, even each part of each chapter as you go
and just try to like pump out a few pages, research a little bit, pump out a few pages, research a little,
and then the out and then, okay, now I need to go back to the outline. And this next subsection, I think,
is just a list of things.
Let me actually outline,
but that's a little manageable thing.
That's like a blog post.
So you can outline that more thoroughly.
Now you go writing, you can do some research as you go.
So that to me, it's more of a dance
between the research, the outlining, the writing,
the revising, you know, all of that.
And then, so that's, yeah, that's the difference.
It's because you do a good job with the blog,
especially of making it seem like you're just talking.
If you told me, I just typed that
and then I check for spelling,
I would believe you, which is, I think,
a good style, an interesting style to have,
But I thought there's no way that that's really what's going on.
It's too complicated.
Yeah, I mean, that's a separate thing, which is just the style I prefer to communicate in.
I hated writing in college, you know, in high school.
Hated writing those papers.
It just had, it's not fun.
And in 2005, I started a blog on blogger.com, a blog spot.
Oh, yeah, sure.
And there was no rules, there was no pressure.
It wasn't my main thing.
I think it was actually helpful.
that I wasn't, I'm like, I'm a writer.
I'm a great writer.
I'm going to go and be a writer publicly,
or this is going to be, I'm starting my career as a writer now.
I think that would have been much harder, more daunting.
And I was like, I'm not a writer.
I'm blogging as a side procrastination project.
And I'm basically doing it for my friends,
who are the only people that were reading it at the beginning.
It was just like, I have an idea,
and I'm going to go, like, write it in a funny way.
And I was like, this is so fun.
And so it was the ultimate casual tone.
You could be totally creative because there were no rules,
no preconceptions.
And I think that was a nice,
that's a good creative zone,
to be in. You end up like exploring and experimenting and being weird because you're not
care. You don't care about whatever the rules are. How writers are supposed to you're not even
writer. You're just having fun. So that blog got a little bit bigger and then wait, but why I started
and that got bigger. And sometimes I forget, you know, actually my wife, one of the things she's
really helpful for because she thinks the old blog is still my best writing. She's the equivalent of like
someone who has, you know, a band that has their, you know, bigger albums. And then she goes back
and likes like the first album. So but she's like, she's like, that's your, she's like a hipster.
She thinks it's my, yeah, she's like a hipster.
She's like a me hipster.
She thinks that's like my funniest and most original writing, which might be true.
It kind of, like, oh, see, your best work is behind you, son.
Yeah, I mean, she's me, yeah.
You know, so she also thinks that the best moments on Wait But Why are when I'm really in that certain kind of tone.
And so one of the things she'll do is remind me, like, you're not sound.
If I say like, you know, however, calm up, she's like, however, what is this?
That's not your writing tone.
And she's right.
And so it's really helpful to, like, have someone point that out.
And I'm realizing, I'm like, yeah, you can, it's easy to lose that vibe.
that's a zone you're in.
And, you know, this would go for like a public speaker
or for a lot of different kinds of people
who do certain things where there's a tone.
The tone can be fragile.
And like, it's easy to drift away from it without realizing
and stop having fun without realizing.
And then you have to remind yourself and get back into it.
Maybe you have a few drinks and like.
I'm just going to say whiskey helps with this all the time.
People will, I notice the same thing.
I get a lot of feedback on the show.
And if I'm sick or something people will notice
or if I'm struggling with a certain topic,
people will notice.
But, yeah, sometimes the answer,
is like to go for a walk or have a freaking old-fashioned or something like that.
And the problem is, you know, you don't want to do that every.
You don't want, this shows four times a week.
But sometimes just something, sometimes like a little can snap you back into it.
And then you can stay in it.
Another example I would use is like when I do do public speaking, like the first time I do
a certain new talk, it's often the best one, or at least it's the funniest one because
or sometimes I'm just in a funny mood and I'm just kind of off the cuff and not having
fun with the audience and I'll like make a side comment after a certain slide and they get the
biggest laugh of the thing. So then what I want to do is I want to, oh, I'm going to put that in
there. It's worked into every talk. And what do I find is it's not getting the same laughs. In some
point, and I kind of hate saying it. I'm realizing like, I don't even remember why that was so funny
that time because I'm not in that zone anymore. So cut that, stop that and loosen up and tear some stuff
apart and change the order and all of this freshness comes out again. And I think it's the same same idea.
you have to just, I don't know, you can get really stuck in a rut
and you're not really being your best creative self.
It's so interesting.
All right, so end the blue box to steal from you.
I'd love to talk about concept creep,
how definitions have changed and shifted over time
to encompass things that are not bigotry or racism
or Nazism.
And Ryan Holiday and I were talking about this a while ago.
I can't remember the exact example,
but it was like, these people are Nazis.
And Ryan was, I said like,
what do you think when people say that?
He goes, I don't like it because then what word do you use for actual Nazis?
Boy, you cry wolf, you know?
Like, if you're a Nazi, your best friend is that suddenly everyone's a Nazi, you blend
right in.
Racism is the ultimate example right now.
I mean, that word has no meaning anymore.
I mean, it has very specific meaning to different groups.
So I grew up in a progressive suburb, and the worst thing you could possibly be called
it was racist.
It was like if you were called a racist, like it was like the most damning possible thing.
So then that word has a lot of power.
The weight, the gravity that that word carried as a child.
And then what happens is whether it's a radical ideology uses the word to mean something
very specific, but it's a different thing in kind of woke ideology.
Racism is unequal outcomes.
It is a racist system because it's producing unequal outcomes.
It's not about individuals.
It's a systemic thing, like it's in the water, and it's producing bad outcomes.
things, which is a totally fair concept, like I'm sure in a society with norms and history,
there's all kinds of subconscious things going on and there's systems and there's historical
things that go on that produce that hurt certain groups and help certain groups. So that's fair,
but to use the word racism for it specifically. To me, that's a little bit sneaky because it's
saying, we want people to take this thing so seriously what we're saying and to make it so taboo
to not agree with us about this that we're going to use the most powerful word in the
American English language, the most powerful taboo. And basically, if you don't fix this system,
you know, if you're upholding the system or participating in it, you are racist. If you disagree
with these things, it's because of your racism. What it does is it cheapens the word. It takes that
power, that gravity, and for a while, the gravity's still there, but it's being applied to lesser
and lesser things. So throwing like a heavy ball and it's knocking people over and it's working.
And it's really, you can use it as a weapon. But when you use it so much,
much as a weapon and abuse it, what happens is the ball gets lighter and it carries less power
and getting called a racist doesn't mean that much because, you know, we saw that guy over there
get called a racist last week for saying, you know, something that is that basically would have
agreed, Martin Luther King would agree with it, you know, and this person is saying this and they're saying
that, you know, that Hispanic people who voted for Trump are actually, you know, white supremacy
adjacent. So now white supremacy is losing its meaning. There are white supremacists and there is a white
supremacy mindset and it's parts of the country and it's dangerous and bad and who knows where that
is anymore because it's been used on anything if you you know the flag itself is a symbol of white
supremacy so it doesn't mean anything right so that's a classic recent example there's a million
examples like this trauma you know PTSD people are saying you know trauma I was traumatized from this
and you know that teaches people to be actually feel more traumatized by small things that happened to them
because you're using this trauma is an extreme you know PTSD was you know you know you know
know, a term that came up after World War I, you know, with like shell shock and like people
who saw their friend's head blown off. I mean, it's a really intense concept. And to use that
because you were groped at a frat once, it's like, that sucks and that's bad. But to tell that
person, no, you were traumatized by that. They're going to start to feel trauma. They're going
to feel trouble. They're going to feel, you know, so it's not that to invalidate these things.
It's that when you go to the most extreme word, Nazi, racist, white supremacist, traumatized,
violence. This is an actual thing. You know, that disagreeing with someone is is invalidating their
identity. It's violence against them. It's erasing them. These really intense concepts for simple
disagreement. So it is boy who cried wolf. It totally is the best friend of actual white
supremacists and Nazis and things like that. And violence, actual violence now seems like it
blends in because there's violence everywhere. Right. And words can be violence now,
according to, well, depending on who you're asking. Absolutely fascist. So I'm giving all these examples on
the left, there's a million of these examples on the right, too, you know, and Trump called the
election, the insurrection. He said the insurrection, you know, the January 6th was the protest.
You know, he's calling what has very little evidence for any foul play. And I really looked into it.
I was open-minded. I was like, let me look at all of his claims. And every one of his claims,
it's like, nope, because you said that there's more votes here than there was. But that was the state vote,
not the county vote. That was just using the wrong number. There's everything like this. It's just full
bullshit. And to call that, you know, an insurrection, you know, it's one of the most intense words
in American political, you know, language you could use as an interaction. So yeah, and of course,
you know, you've got, there's a lot of very complicated things going on with trans movements,
you know, the normalization of transgender and then whether, you know, treatment should apply to kids.
It's complicated, super messy, complicated issues. But on the right, you're going to hear that
anyone who's making an argument that doesn't fit with kind of the right-wing view.
is going to be a groomer.
And on the left,
anyone doesn't make an argument
that doesn't agree
with there
is going to be a transphobe.
And so groomer
is a nasty thing
to be called.
I mean, who wants to be a grumer?
It's essentially
it's being a pedophile in a way.
It's not quite,
but it's really close to that.
It's a pre-petophile kind of thing.
It has a sexual undertone.
And even if it's just political grooming,
you are abusing children, you know.
And transphobe on the left is,
again, it's in that category of those words,
homophobia, racist,
racist,
these words that signify you are an awful
abusive person, and it has a lot of history in the U.S.
When you're a phob, when you're a racist,
these in the U.S., the history of that means, like, you know,
we grew up being trained on.
Those are the worst kind of people.
So this is concept creep.
It's the idea that, now, it's not all like, you know,
these groups are necessarily all consciously being like,
ha ha, we're going to use this word and that's going to,
no, it's not, what happens is some of the science behind us,
Nick Haslam is that, I think he wrote the original paper on concept creep
coined the term.
I think he coined the term.
You know, he talks about how it's a natural thing that
happens when times get better, it's almost like we, in our heads, we want to keep our level of
our perception of how bad things are and the threats. We want it almost like we have this instinct
to keep it constant. So when times get better, in order to keep that constant, you have to change
something else. You have to make, so what I'm trying to say here is. So like a threat goes down,
but the vigilance has to stay the same. So you basically create another threat to fill the whole. Yes.
You don't want to, A, I think there's always an urge to have activism of different kinds of
an urge to, you know, fearmonger.
But also, I think that genuinely people think that if you get complacent and you start saying,
hey, things are better.
There's less racism.
And then your people are going to stop trying to fix the things that do remain, which there are,
of course, always are.
Concept creep is a way to, you know, even just like poverty, you know, and oppression, you know,
in these words, when there's less, there's for sure less oppression than there was
60 years ago in the Jim Crow South.
And there's definitely less poverty, right?
And all these things.
Abuse, you know.
So what you do is you.
if you're a progressive movement
that's trying to mitigate injustice,
you're going to take these words of injustice
and expand their definition vertically
to lesser offenses
and horizontally to different kinds of offenses.
So like I said,
racism, to expand it horizontally,
you start saying it's not just a person
who has prejudice against someone of a different race.
It actually is a system that produces unequal outcomes.
That's expanding the definition horizontally,
but also you could expand it vertically to say,
not just is it, again, prejudice,
but actually colorblind,
saying that, you know,
you believe that you should be colorblind.
Microaggressions is the thing that comes up to me.
Yeah, exactly.
So, and even that, what counts as a microaggression gets lesser and lesser, saying, you know,
saying this is the, one of the classic examples that is, that people say is a microaggression
is saying this is the land of opportunity because it implies that, you know, there's a quality
of opportunity, whatever, saying that, you know, there's only one race, the human race,
which is what I grew up hearing, that's what a good person is supposed to say.
I think that Jesse Jackson said that or something like that.
That is now considered a microaggression.
And so there's kind of two dimensions of concept creep.
And what it does is it can have a good.
The good can be that you now pay attention to more nuanced things.
There are micro regression.
Again, it is a real concept where, you know, the classic example is, I don't know,
saying to, I don't know, just making a stereotype about a black person and an Asian person.
It's rude and it also is just, it diminishes the individuality of that person.
Right.
So, okay, we don't have maybe the Jim Crowsef going on, but now let's pay attention to some of these
more subtle things that are baked into the norms,
subtle ways that people judge implicit bias type
stuff, you know, okay, good, let's actually do that.
But, of course, I think the negative
outweighs the positive.
It just seems like the definition can expand infinitely.
And that's the problem.
I think Sam Harris, again, this is all fresh in my head,
he brought up an example of, I may get this wrong.
He had said that this African-American woman's hair was really awesome
because I guess it was just like really, I don't know.
I actually don't know.
I think it was, there was a lot of it,
and it was like very unique.
And he said that or somebody said that,
and she was like, that's a microaggression.
But it was just like, shit, man, it was just compliment.
But it turned out to be something that made her feel othered
or whatever the rationale was.
And it just, it's a little scary that you can get that far
when the intention of something was actually good.
Now, I think if there is baggage there,
historical baggage for a reason that would make her feel that way,
I think the appropriate thing or the productive thing
is for her to say,
I know you meant well, but let me just tell you about why this rings badly for me and probably
were other people too. That's like totally reasonable, right? But the term microaggression right there,
it's this idea that its intent doesn't matter. It's impact, right? That's another tenant here,
which is like, you know, the impact you made is that doesn't matter if you meant you or not,
you're bad, you did something bad. As opposed to being like, no, your intention was good and that's
all that matters. Not, you know, your impact still matters, but like from your point of view,
or for how I view you, it's intended well, right? So, A, I think that, again, the concept of my
and the way people talk about it is not productive.
It's that in some ways this guy should be punished for and this guy is, you know, but also,
I think that framing things that way trains someone like her to feel more aggrieved by
that than she would have otherwise.
We partly get into this mess is because these topics have such landmines on them.
To me, it's like we should be able to talk about this and I would love people to tell me in
thorough ways what I'm missing and like we should, I don't know.
I'm going to get those emails instead.
I'll forward them to you.
I think that there's a self-fulfilling prophecy with the victimhood mindset, and you encourage that, and it actually creates more pain from there, yes.
You mentioned in the book some other terrifying results of, I guess you would call it censorship, or at least the ideology, the idea, the idea supremacy, not just on college campuses, which I didn't think was as real as it was.
I went to go interview Jonathan Hyde.
This is a couple of years ago now.
I probably even pre-pandemic.
and we're talking about his book
that talks about a lot of these issues
with censorship and academia
and I go to the bathroom before the show
as I tend to do four or five times
and there's a poster in the bathroom
that says,
did somebody say something that offended you?
Report them anonymously.
And I thought it was like a fake
1984 propaganda poster
that some student group had made
and I was like, oh, I wonder what this is for?
So I brought it to him and he's like,
oh yeah, these are everywhere.
And I was like, well, what is it?
And he's like, well, it's what it says.
somebody offends you, report them anonymously.
And I couldn't believe that that was real.
It's such a bad idea to be able to do something like that,
at least as it occurs to me,
and that's exactly what he was talking about.
And you mentioned in your book
that academic journal articles are being retracted
with real science are being retracted
because they make people uncomfortable,
I guess, for lack of a better word.
It stems from this mindset
that disagreeing with,
kind of an orthodoxy is violence, is dangerous.
No one who's enforcing orthodoxy ever says,
we're enforcing an echo chamber because we don't want to hear disagreement.
They don't say that.
They say that ideas that disagree with this,
you know, this set of ideas are dangerous and violent.
Concept creep, they use this,
they take these words that we all know violence is not okay.
Everyone agrees with that.
These sets of ideas or this kind of offense,
if you can equate it with violence,
now we should treat it like violence and we should get rid of that professor and actually punish
people for doing it, which of course makes everyone get really scared and doesn't make people,
most people just stop teaching controversial things and stop saying them in class and it enforces
a culture of fear, which is not new. Every orthodoxy in history, every kind of tyrannical
situation has had these rules. And so we're just seeing classic human stuff spring up in a way that
it wasn't happening as much 10 years ago.
And so it's this idea that like, instead of saying you're on a college campus,
it's going to be massive ideas here.
And you're going to definitely feel offended some of the time.
And that's, you know, that's, it means it's part of the growth process.
Yeah.
And it's like that's the cost of being in a place that's going to make you a better, more
rugged, nuanced thinker and you're going to know so much when you leave.
Instead of saying that and saying, you know, offenses, sometimes it happens, you know,
it's, if you're in a mess of ideas, you're going to have some ideas that you hate that you
think you're just like wrong and you can't believe.
that person thinks it, but it's a wide open space.
So go and, like, tell them why you disagree
or write an article about why it's wrong
and attack the idea.
Instead, they're saying the exact opposite message,
which is you have a right not to be offended.
We have a duty to protect you from that
because offense is harm.
And if you feel that way, tell us
and we will punish the person who's offending you.
It's just crazy that I'm even, like, saying this stuff.
Like, this to me is, like, it does seem like a fiction book.
It's like, it is so obviously not how a college campus
should be. That's what's so crazy is there's so many of these things that I'm like,
and I would say the same thing when I was watching like Trump in office, like spouting out lies.
I'm like, this should so obviously disqualify him from like winning the election or there's times
right now when I'm like, this is so clearly bad and juvenile and like ridiculous and counterproductive.
And yet it's happening for years on end and no one seems to be able to make it stop. And so it's a
weird time we live in when it's like it must have been what it felt like during some of these
other times that, you know, you know, think got even more extreme. But these times,
But these times in history when you had witch hunts and mobs and, you know, tyrants take over.
And you assume that everyone then was just like, that's how things are.
But people must have been like, what's going on?
This is crazy.
Everyone's gone nuts.
And that's just something.
It is feel like a little bit like one of those times.
It's terrifying.
I know we're running out of time.
I really want to thank you for coming all the way from Brooklyn to do this interview to Manhattan.
But what I like about the book is that it skewers both the liberal left social justice side of thing,
the classroom indoctrination, the conservative ideology,
you're basically making, just making friends everywhere.
I assume the emails you're getting about this are so much uncomfortable.
But honestly, what I'm criticizing is, what I think,
is a movement that wears the uniform or social justice,
but is not actually represent social justice.
And they're not the traditional, like, liberal social justice
that created the women's suffrage movement
and civil rights and gay marriage.
So I'm very pro-social justice when it's the liberal version.
Regardless of what I think,
I'm all in favor of what I would consider like high-minded conservatism, like Reagan
conservative.
I think it's great for the country to have some of that.
And what I'm criticized is like, you know, Trumpian kind of non-conservants, not conservatism,
but where's the uniform of conservatism?
So what's interesting is I'm actually making a lot of enemies from the tribes that I'm criticizing.
Sure.
But I have people that are both Reagan conservatives and Obama Democrats and people who are passionate
civil rights people or who are staunch libertarians who are all saying, I get a lot of positive
emails from those people.
across the spectrum being like, yes, I think we know, we need, and then I'm getting a lot of,
you know, negative emails from people who are very caught up in the tribes that I'm criticizing.
Yeah, man, I would love to have you come back. I would love to talk about AI, the Fermi paradox,
all that stuff. So if you, if you were able to do that in a few months after your move,
welcome back any time. I would love to come back. Yeah. Thank you so much. Thanks.
Of course, I've got thoughts on this episode, but before I get into that,
here's a sample of my interview with Guy Raz, who hosts NPR's How I Built This. He shares his number
one secret to getting a great interview, how asking difficult questions during the interview serves
both the overall story and the guests being grilled, and it's kind of nice to just riff with somebody
else in the business. Here's a quick bite. I came to NPR as a 22-year-old intern. I was very lucky.
You know, I really wanted to be an overseas reporter, and the stars were sort of aligned in the right
way where I got the job. And I was totally terrified. You know, I was sent to Berlin to be the
correspondent for NPR. Don't mess this up. Oh, you.
Yeah, and by the way, you're going to Bosnia tomorrow.
And that was how I began overseas as a foreign correspondent.
Baring witness to historical events, being somewhere where they're unfolding in front of your eyes in real time, is thrilling.
It's absolutely extraordinary and fascinating.
I mean, imagine if you were standing at the Berlin Wall on November 9, 1989.
Yeah.
It's an extraordinary feeling to be in these places, and I was able to witness history unfold in front of my eyes many, many times.
If there's really a secret to interviewing people, this is my secret.
If you really want to get a good interview from somebody, you need to honor their story.
You need to honor them.
If they're coming to talk to you, and the way you honor them is you learn a lot about them.
You spend the time.
You do the work.
And if you do that, there's a better than 50% chance that they will appreciate that and respect that.
I mean, those wow moments, they're real because what I do in an interview is,
I completely leave the world that I'm in.
I completely leave the surroundings, everything, all the chaos, the noise.
You know, Trump and politics, I just leave it.
It's out.
It's all the noise.
COVID's gone.
It's like when you see a movie.
I am just in that person's world.
For more, including the one teachable quality all entrepreneurs seem to have in common,
check out episode 404 of the Jordan Harbinger show with Guy Raz.
This is going to be one of those where,
Let me just get this out of the way.
Shout out to everyone giving me one-star reviews
because they don't like what one guest in one episode of this podcast
had to say about one thing political.
Anyway, we want to get to the idea where we are in an idea lab
as opposed to an echo chamber.
This podcast itself strives to be an idea lab.
There's lots of money in media echo chambers.
We've talked about that on the show before.
I say this all the time, probably too much.
I'd be a lot richer if I just argued for one side or one tribe on this podcast.
and even more so if I stoked anger against the other side.
Why Our Primitive Mind Seeks Out Those Echo Chambers
is something that Tim covered here on the show
and covers even more in depth in the book.
It's really disturbing how there are academic journal articles
that essentially hurt people's feelings
and those are being retracted.
He's got examples in the book,
but man, there was an experiment where the researchers wrote
shoddy papers with questionable methodology
that conformed to prevailing social justice narrative.
and those papers were approved,
even though they were blatantly nonsense
in terms of scientific rigor.
And this is dangerous.
Imagine making science about feelings.
Science, of course, is not about feelings.
It's about overturning sacred cows
and moving human knowledge forward,
not protecting prevailing narratives
or protecting people from truth and inquisition.
Distrust in our institutions
is one of the greatest threats to national security.
We just haven't been through hell
like World War II survivors have.
So I think we forget the principles laid down by those people that prevent future hard times.
We circumvent them.
We think we know better.
And we end up reliving history.
Not great.
The digital cudgel is something that we mentioned as well during the show.
And I'm very cognizant of this as a podcaster.
Imagine a podcaster who expresses a point that somebody else who got canceled also expresses.
Even if the point is good, that point is now toxic, which makes that podcaster now toxic.
Now, that person can't be associated with other folks.
Then they'll be tempted to stop going on that podcast.
So then people stop collaborating with them.
It becomes harder for them to get guests.
And everybody around that just ends up radioactive.
A discussion shuts down entirely all because one person was maligned unfairly or fairly,
but not simply because of how radioactive and contagious this cancellation all is.
This is really scary.
It's a tiny part of the population reacting to this sort of thing.
All the outrage that you see online, it's like a fraction of a percent.
They just have a crazy loud voice due to social media.
And when one person gets canceled and then that taints the media that they're on,
it's like a bank run on someone's reputation.
And that's a nightmare for somebody in my position.
It really is.
So as important as it is to make sure that we resist this,
it can be very difficult to do.
That's one of the reasons I essentially have opted out of social media entirely.
I see people call me out for things on there.
and just ignore it because it doesn't really matter. People can gang up on me all they want,
but if they don't get a reaction, it's not as fun. And so me not really partaking in that
environment makes me harder to cancel. I think a lot of folks partake in social media because
they're like, I've got to be able to fight back, I've got to be able to say my piece. If you just
don't give that nonsense any oxygen, it's actually a better defense in my opinion.
The book has a lot of practical exercises where we can find out whether we or those we know
are using low-rung thinking, caught in low-rung thinking or speech, things like being more authentic,
discussing more, finding your idea lab among your friends, and refusing to engage in North Korea
style, in Mao Zedong-style struggle sessions online or at work, and ending up worse than you were
before. I think one of the ideas that people are resistant to is apologizing for something
when you have done nothing wrong. And I understand that. I think a lot of places they want to
sort of make everybody feel better, so they encourage you to apologize and see this with media
figures a lot. Actually, it makes things worse almost universally. It doesn't mean you shouldn't
apologize when you do something wrong or crappy or say something terrible, but I think there's
this sort of idea that we need to fall on the sword all the time, and that's unhealthy as a society,
whether you're in the media or not. All things, Tim Urban, will be in the show notes at Jordan Harbinger.com
or just ask the AI chatbot also on the website. Transcripts are in the show notes. Advertisers,
deals, discount codes, and ways to support the show are all at Jordan Harbinger.com slash deals.
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