The Josh Innes Show - College Football Playoff Game Picks

Episode Date: December 20, 2024

Boy oh Boy it's College Football Playoff Weekend! We take a look at all the matchups. For the most part, I see the favorites advancing. But, I've got one relatively large upset that I am taking. I'm either gonna look like a genius or a complete moron. Plus, Jilly offers some thoughts on the differences between Ross and Luther. Are we better equipped to be dog parents than we were 12 years ago? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Find us at DignityMemorial.ca. The Dignity Memorial brand name is used to identify a network of licensed funeral cremation and cemetery providers owned and operated by affiliates of Service Corporation International. All righty, kiddos. First ever weekend of epic college football playoff action on home campuses. Now, I didn't know this until Jilly told me. But apparently, even though you get to play the game at home, they still have to treat the game like it's a neutral site game, which means that each team

gets their big intros. So does that mean that like, let's say you're playing, um, Notre Dame's playing at home, right? I guess tomorrow was at Notre Dame and Indiana. So does that mean that like when Indiana's on defense, do they play like Indiana's like whatever Indiana plays when they're on defense at home? Like, how does this work? I'm not sure. I saw the part I saw was that, like, they both get their, like, you know, big balls intros, and then I was watching the McAfee show today, and they were talking about how it's stupid because, like, he said that the NCAA, the CFP, is basically controlling the game flow, like the game entertainment.

So, yeah, I guess maybe it would. So what's the point of the home field? Yeah, so, like, let's use LSU because that's where we've seen the most games so like at LSU if LSU like converts a first you know a first down well let's say LSU makes a stop on third down and forces a punt will you do Chinese bandits will everybody do the the all that like does that happen or is that not allowed to happen like that's stupid like can you imagine a world where the NFL has a home playoff game? Like, but like Texans are playing a road game at Kansas city yet when they're on defense, they play bulls on parade or some shit. Like it's stupid. For sure. Is that they each get

like their big intros. I don't know how it goes throughout the game, but it may sound like that's how it's going to be, which is stupid. That is completely stupid. And these people can't get the shit right. Like it's, I'm not super pissed about it right now because it doesn't impact any team that I root for, but I guarantee if LSU were playing a home game and you fought hard to have a home game and you end up playing at Tiger Stadium for a home college football playoff game, and they tell you, hey, sorry, we're going to treat this like a neutral site game, go fuck yourself. Then I also wonder how they handle the gates for these

do they split them like what is the money situation like like i don't know does this money just go to one big pot and then it goes to a bunch of people or does the home team by earning a home playoff game do you get to make more money from playing it you should because you're playing a home playoff game right so it should be treated as such but I don't know. Every time they even do something remotely right, they still fuck shit up because they're fucking imbeciles when they deal with this stuff. I do love the story of the Vols people just invading Ohio State. I guess someone got a hold of the Ohio State fan presale. Oh, huge. And so all the Tennessee people bought all the seats and their AD is begging people not to sell the Tennessee people.

But if you go on StubHub, there's a big story where the percentages of people buying tickets for this game, it's like 40. I forget what it was. It's more Tennessee people buying tickets for this. So they're expecting this to be a lot of orange in the crowd. Look, Ohio State, the Ohio State people are all pissed off after the way their season ended. They're trying to make a few bucks. You know, fuck it.

I can't say I wouldn't do the same thing considering that Ohio State is a perennial letdown, and they probably hate Ryan Day. Now, if they would have beat Michigan and would have gone to the Big Ten championship game, which, again, the Big Ten championship game means absolutely nothing. These championship games are essentially worthless now and pointless and they shouldn't exist. But, uh, if they would have won that, I think they would have had a different vibe about it. I think people would have been more hyped up about it and maybe that wouldn't be the case. But at this point, you just got a bunch of people that are like, go fuck yourselves. You know what

I'm saying? Like if you want to make a bunch of money, the Tennessee people are super excited about it. Ohio state who's played in college football playoffs before anyway, they're like, fuck this shit. But anywho, one thing we have discovered before we get into the college football playoff is that our dog Ross likes to watch these dog channels on YouTube. Luther was not into this. If you would put up a dog, and by a dog channel, I mean it's just videos of dogs with really relaxing music. So right now, we're looking at a fat fucking little wiener dog here that's hanging out by a pond. Let's see what the music sounds like. You may not be able to hear it, but it's just soothing music that you would hear while you're getting a foot massage at the Galleria.

Let's see if you guys can hear that any. you know music that you would hear while you're getting a foot of massage at the Galleria probably not but point being in all of this is that Ross loves this shit like he just eats it up it's so weird and look and I've talked about this for the last three days it's so weird that different dogs can be so different but this dog is completely different than luther and that's not good that's not bad it's just he's completely different right like luther i you know what i think i'm gonna be real with you and tell you the truth i think that luther was in a chucky situation and by that, I mean that some serial murder somehow had to inhabit his body. I believe a human inhabited Luther's body. I believe that, like a Chucky situation or like the shaggy dog. This is a dog. Everything this dog does is dog stuff. He went to the park. He played with some other dogs. He runs around. He's a dog. Whereas Luther,

like there was some serial killer that took over the body of a little schnauzer puppy and I think Luther was a human inside of a dog's body. I mean, I could see it, yeah. That would make sense. But like Ross, you've been hanging out with Ross. Like Ross is more of a dog. Like I just think he is more of a dog.

Like Luther was just human-like more of a dog. Luther was just human-like. It was strange. Luther was an anomaly. Luther was not a normal dog by any means. Now, we haven't left Ross alone yet, so we'll see how that goes, but Luther did not... Luther used to be normal.

Then I'm going to say this. I think that something happened along the way where a serial killer inhabited his body midway through. But he was also, I don't know how to describe it. I mean, he used to be normal in the fact that he used to be left alone every day when we would go to work. But he was never, I guess, really normal. That's fair. I don't know how to describe him.

But like, Ross here just feels like a dog. And maybe it's different because we had a dog for like 12 years so having a new dog is like we we kind of have more dog experience whereas with Luther was just kind of like you kind of go with it and see where it goes like when people have a kid then they have a second kid I think it's very similar to having a dog so like with the dog the first time you don't know what is the right thing to do and what is the wrong thing to do you just do shit and see what happens with this dog like i feel like we have a little bit more experience in the dog world and maybe that's good or bad for the dog because like for instance

like we used to just give luther all sorts of human food like you go to burger king you give luther a piece of the burger you go to arby's you give l Luther some Arby's meat, whatever. This dog, we're in the car and we're like, we got a seatbelt for the fucking dog. We got a seatbelt for the dog to make sure that he doesn't jump into the front and try to eat the food. So it's just a different universe. Not the only reason why we got him a seatbelt. Well, I also don't want him to go through the windshield. Yeah, he jumps a lot in the car. He's not as chill as Luther in the car.

But also, also like we discovered that this guy really likes pup cups whereas luther had no interest in a pup cup at one time in life luther was kind of into like frozen yogurt but pup cups and shit no interest this guy's like so we went to the scooter's coffee yesterday and his little head was poking out and the little girls in there were like oh my god he's got such a cute beard can we give him a pup cup and i'm like what the fuck's in a pup cup and they're like well it's whipped cream and a milk bone i'm like all right sure why the fuck not so we went back again today and like he knew the whole routine window rolls down he sticks his head out half his body is out the window trying to get the attention of these women these little

girls working at the place and they're like can he have a pup cup and i'm like i don't think he needs a fucking pup cup i think uh we're all pup cupped out once a week is probably good for a pup cup but yeah luther would never i mean they'd give him the thing the whipped cream and he would just like stare at it like no the only time he would eat a treat that anybody would give him would be if you would go to like pet smart because luther knew the whole show the whole song and dance he'd walk up to whoever was working behind the register he knew exactly where the treats were he knew exactly what to do to get the treats the problem is like here in St. Louis over at our PetSmart the chick half the time was a bitch that didn't even acknowledge him and give him the damn treat and he's doing the whole goddamn show

Luther would walk over he'd sit he'd do his little spins he would stand up he'd give paw and the gal wouldn't even pay attention to him and um and so but luther knew the tricks he knew how to get treats there uh i don't know if ross knows the game yet there not because he spent seemingly most of his life on the road like a fucking stray dog begging for food in places so i don't know if he knows the pet smart game yet luther was an expert of the pet smart game like he just knew how to play it ross is now after two trips an expert in the the pup cup at scooters coffee game so he's a quick learner when it comes to things that involve food this dude is all about food and treats loves the shit when he eats it literally takes him less than a minute to eat his food yeah he eats fast we actually had to get one of the slow feeder bowls yeah i mean he chopped

luther it took an hour to get luther eat, and it took all sorts of shit. Like, all this weird shit. This dog, you just put down normal dog food, and he's like, let's fucking go. That's why we're not giving him, like, chicken or steaks or anything in there or wet food. He's just eating the kibble. He's going to eat the kibble. There you go. So another update for you on Ross, who did kill it at the dog park today, ran around like a beast. He's fast. He jumps high. He's a machine and he's getting better every day. Like every day we're at home, he gets better at doing stuff and gets more comfortable. He's a very sweet boy. Still having his hair grow back because he lost some hair because of the fleas that he had. but he's kicking ass and taking names. Now, with that said, let's play a few commercials,

and let's get back to the college football playoff. How many games? Four? Four games, right? Yes. Yep. One is tomorrow or today, whenever you're listening to this. Today, probably, because it's going to be on Friday,

and then three are Saturday. There you go. So let's take a look at those matchups, and look, they're all going to have prop bets, which makes me excited, but we'll tell you who we think is going to win and how that's going to go. And that is coming up right after these words. All right, if you're ready to win some real cash during the basketball playoffs, you've got to check out Pick 6 from DraftKings.

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Age and eligibility restrictions vary by jurisdiction. Pick six not available everywhere including new york and ontario void where prohibited one per new customer bonus award it is non-withdrawable pick six credits that expire in 14 days limited time offer see terms at pick six dot draft kings dot com slash promos all right we mentioned that notre dame is hosting indiana correct so it's notre dame and indiana and there are a couple and you know not to like All right, we mentioned that Notre Dame is hosting Indiana, correct? So it's Notre Dame and Indiana. There are a couple, not to stray from the playoff games,

but for your knowledge, there is a game tomorrow at 11 a.m. No shit, who's playing? Ohio at Jacksonville State. I will take Jacksonville State. Let me take a guess on what Jacksonville State's team total over is. I'm going to say that Jacksonville State's team total over is 35.5. That would be under team props, right? Yep, team props would be team totals. I think Jacksonville State, theirs is usually around like 40.

So it might be like 37.5 points for Jacksonville State. Let's see. There's no actual set over, uh you can get let's see there's no actual set over but you can get them for 26 and a half for minus 105 wait really fuck i'd be all over that jacksonville state can score some points oh that's true i guess you should but who does it have listed as the quarterback i think he's their quarterback i think i've heard of him i've played something with that guy before. Let me dig deeper into that. Don't take my word.

Is it Parker Navarro? Oh, no. So Parker Navarro is a dude that scored touchdowns for me before. I know him. He's a quarterback that runs and scores touchdowns. See, I know the Mac, baby. I know Mac, and I know Jacksonville State, whatever the hell conference they play. And Sunbelt?

I don't know. There's also Tulane at Florida at 2.30 tomorrow. The problem with Tulane and Florida is my boy ain't playing quarterback tomorrow because Mensah has transferred to Duke. So I don't know who the fuck they're going to have playing, and I don't know who the fuck Florida's going to have playing quarterback either. So I have to look into that. Look, don't take my word on either one of those

matchups right now. Something called Ty Thompson for Tulane. No fucking clue. Something called DJ Lagway for. Okay. Now DJ Lagway is the guy that beat LSU. So like Florida should be a heavy favorite in this game. If for no other reason that Tulane's playing a backup quarterback. 10 and a half. Okay. Yeah. They should beat the shit out of Tulane. Tulane's actually pretty good, but their quarterback, Mensah, who I like to bet on, he went to Duke. He said, I'm tired of being at this smart school. Let me go to a smarter fucking school. I'm going to Duke now, motherfuckers.

So I couldn't tell you a fucking thing about that game. Who's our dude? No, there's a dude from Florida that we like to bet a receiver. Is he playing? What was that guy's name? Oh, yeah. There was a dude that from florida that we like to better receiver is he playing what was that guy's name oh yeah there was a dude that like was torching lsu he had a name that's pretty recognizable but i don't remember what it is so maybe badger what's his receiving yardage total uh you can get him for 70 for minus 115 we're taking badgers receiving yards that guy puts up numbers y'all uh but okay now let's go to the college football

playoff where the rubber meets the road, as it were. Indiana's playing Notre Dame on Friday night. Correct, and I think it may snow. There's nothing about this that's interesting other than maybe the passing yardage

total for the kid that's the quarterback at Indiana because they'll be losing. There's just nothing. I mean, they've got player specials and everything. Oh, I know, for all the college football games. You can take Riley Leonard for 100 rushing yards and a rushing tut and Notre Dame to win for plus 600.

Yeah. This game really just doesn't interest me at all. I don't think it interests anybody in the world at this point. Notre Dame is going to win. I would assume Notre Dame is going to win, but there's nothing about this that makes you go, oh shit, this is going to be exciting. You can take Curtis Rourke for 199 for minus 115.

I mean, that's probably what I would do because I assume they'll be losing and they'll have to throw. But how does Curtis Rourke throw in the snow? I don't know. So that game. We don't have a chance for snow. We don't know if it's going to snow, but it could. All right.

So, all right. Well, let's skip that. That's the biggest bullshit game. That's why it's on Friday night in a world that no one's watching. Now, you get three games on Saturday, and I think they start at 11 a.m., right? Correct. 11 central. What's the game?

SMU at Penn State where it's going to also be freezing cold and possibly some snow. I would look at Drew Aller, whose passing yardage total is generally speaking low for a guy that's a quarterback at a big-time program. I'd imagine that Aller is going to be somewhere in the 215 to 220 range, maybe slightly higher, Maybe slightly lower. 226 plus is minus 115.

I would take his passing yards. Although they're going to be able to run the ball probably. Now, SMU does have the ability to make it a shootout. SMU is fascinating because they just have a fuck ton of NIL money. They're Dallas. And they just decided we're here to play fucking ball. So SMU can fuck with you, but the SMU quarterback might be a good candidate for yards only because they're probably going to be trailing and they're probably going to have to throw it.

What is the court? I forgot that kid's name. That's the quarterback there. Kevin Jennings. That's it. Kevin Jennings. I think Kevin Jennings could be a candidate to throw for some yards for you in that game. But I think Penn State's going to win this game. What's the spread? The spread is 8.5. God, you look at these games and it was supposed to give you these good matchups for the playoff. And maybe SMU will surprise some people. But my God, that first game, Notre Dame.

Do we consider this a big game that James Franklin's going to lose? No, I think they're going to win this one. I think Penn State, I think they can control the ball. And as long as, like they can put Drew Aller in positions to just win the game for you. Like I think they're going to win, and I think they're probably going to win it easily unless SMU can make it a shootout.

Because one thing SMU does have, when you talk about these teams from the south and teams that are in places like Texas where they've got tons of money to spend, they have weapons everywhere. And one thing we know about Penn State is when there are weapons everywhere, Penn State's going to struggle, right? So it could be a scenario. Just watch how this thing trends early. If SMU's able to move the ball early against these guys,

I think they could very well win. I don't think they'll win, but you're maybe not wrong. This could be a James Franklin fuck-up type game because that's what James Franklin does. All right, what's the next game? We also love the tight end from Penn State. Oh, God, the dude that catches like 10 fucking passes a game. Yes, take that, dude. Whatever the hell that guy's name is, he's number Tyler Warren. I think he's

number 44, number 42. White dude that catches like 10 balls a game. SMU ain't going to stop that cat at all. So if they throw it to him, he's going to make catches. So keep an eye on that cat. All right, who's next? Then we have Clemson at Texas in the afternoon. You know, I might sound crazy here. This might sound dumb. I think Clemson can win, and I would not be shocked. All right, hear me out, Ross. I would not be shocked if not only do they use Arch Manning in, like, you know, fun, wacky situations,

it could get to a position where Arch Manning's playing quarterback because it, fun, wacky situations, it could get to a position where Arch Manning's playing quarterback because it's all or nothing at this point. And, you know, people have been talking about Quinn Ewers and Quinn Ewers is probably going to leave next year and get like huge NIL deal to play somewhere else. So it's kind of into the road for him. Although I do like, like, that's why I'd be leery of taking his passing yard because if they're down early, they may just say, fuck it, we're going to arch. Probably not, but it could happen. Clemson's going to be a relatively heavy underdog in this game, correct?

Twelve. Relatively heavy? Fuck. Like, this is going to sound dumb, and maybe I'll look back on this after Saturday and go, holy shit, I'm a moron. I think Clemson can win Texas hadn't played anybody like we keep talking about how Clemson's just won games against nobody or sorry Texas and neither is Clemson obviously because the ACC blows but like I think Clubnick can play and I think they got players like they're not dog shit no offense Ross but they're not like

I think 12 is astronomically high and I would not be shocked if Clemson's able to win because Texas has a tendency to turn the ball over Texas can fuck up I would not be shocked if they lost I mean I'd take the 12 all day yeah and what's Klubnick's passing yardage total on that? Probably in the 240s? Because usually that's where they find them, 255, 256. Because they're playing a better team, I'll assume it's lower, like 240? I'm going to give it 225 for minus 105. I'd take that.

I think this game could become a shootout. I think it could. Not that I think Clemson's all that great, but Texas has been overrated all year. They haven't beaten anybody all year um so yeah I mean I think Clemson could win this thing out right like Clemson's just kind of hanging out under the radar nobody wants them there they stole a spot kind of nothing to lose house money situation Texas has all the pressure because they're Texas and they spend a ton of money and all this shit, and they got Arch Manning sitting there waiting to go.

I think Clemson could win it. And again, I might look back on this on Saturday night and go, holy shit, Josh, you're a dipshit. I think Clemson can win. You could also get Arch Manning for a touchdown for some pretty good value. I feel like they might just throw him in for a play like that. That's what I'm saying. They'll use him for wacky shit.

I think there's a chance that he ends up coming in. Like, if you were struggles, they're not going to sit there and wait around to see what happens. They may go to Arch. Arch is plus 205 for an anytime Tud. I would consider playing that, too. And then the final game, this is the highlight of the weekend of the college football playoff.

Which is Tennessee at Ohio State. And Ohio State is a 7.5 half point favorite I think Tennessee sucks so um I think there's no question Ohio State's winning I think Ohio look if they don't win they'll they may have a justifiable cause to fire the coach like again Tennessee is still kind of house money because you lost Hendon Hooker last year and what we've learned is Nico Ayamialavala is not all that good. Their offense isn't very good. The one kid does score touchdowns for them, the running back, if you're interested in things like that,

but probably no value for him to score a touchdown. That is 140. That's actually not bad. And what's his name again? Dylan Sampson. Dylan Sampson. So, really, I'm just kind of of like I don't think Tennessee's any good now Ohio State you can say they're overrated they shouldn't be there all that I actually like

the quarterback at Ohio State and I think he's going to be able to move the ball Tennessee defensively is solid so it is what it is there but I think their offense is just not good. I think Ohio State wins. My guy from Ohio State who usually starts slow, the receiver, who's a good one to get in on, Egbaka or Emeka Egbuka or whatever the hell his name is. That dude, he starts slow, but he usually kind of comes on later. He's a guy I would consider for receiving yards in the game. Passing yards I would look at too,

but I think that Ohio State's going to win that because I don't believe in Tennessee. I mean, I've rode with the Will Howard anytime Tud and Will Howard two passing Tuds all season, and it's hit probably seven of ten times. So I would go with that, and I'd throw in the Dylan Sampson tight end. That gets you to plus 675. Oh, shit.

That's strong. But I think Ohio State's going to win. So if you look at the games, I'm going to take Penn State to win. Well, I'm going to take Notre Dame to win. Then I'm going to take Penn State to win. And I'm actually going to fucking go with it, and I'm going to take Clemson to win. I might actually gonna fucking go with it and I'm gonna take Clemson to win I might be a fucking moron here and it look even if they lose but it's a tight game I'll view it

as a victory for me now if they get their dicks knocked off by 25 then I'm an idiot you can call me an idiot I think Clemson's winning not saying that to be a troll it just it's there's a weird feel I have about now I sound like my dad just a gut feeling but I think Clemson wins and I think Ohio State wins so we go Notre Dame to advance we take Penn State to advance we take Clemson to advance and then we at the end of the night take Ohio State to advance so the winner of the Penn State SMU game will then play Boise State and at that point you'd feel like you have a pretty solid shot against them because Boise State has got the running back, Genti, who everybody's blowing, but they didn't play a single

fucking... Well, they played Oregon, and they lost Oregon. And then the winner of Texas, Clemson would play Arizona State. And they've got Scataboo. Cam Scataboo. They also got my quarterback, Sam What's-His-Fuck, that I really like a lot, too. But it's fascinating. this college football play

is a fascinating thing Notre Dame Indiana will play Georgia um I don't think the thing is I don't think Georgia's good either you know we talk about Georgia and like they get by on being Georgia but I don't think they're good and then the winner of Ohio State Tennessee plays Oregon who's the number one and like I feel likeregon is the number one is the hardest path through this thing i know and the thing is and i think oregon is the best team like they got amazing weapons and gabriel's like gabriel didn't get nearly enough credit when it came to the heisman and shit because everybody was blowing genti because he was putting up these stupid video game numbers at boise and they were blowing uh the kid at colorado hunter but like Dylan Gabriel

has been a fucking stud all year and people have just ignored him they've been like this I mean whatever like they are the best team that's out there right now now could they lose sure I feel like if they have another if they have a rematch with Ohio State Ohio State's beating them I don't think so I don't um now Ohio State had a chance to and they blew it at the end I trust Dylan Gabriel and the guys he's got versus Will Howard who's fine but I trust that Dylan Gabriel's not going to commit a stupid turnover late or do something dumb late as you saw Will Howard had a chance to win that one late and did dumb shit so um I would trust uh look I take Oregon all day like to me or like it's not just they're not just the number one they are the best team they should win like I think they are better than these other

teams so we shall see but I'm I'm riding I like like I'm gonna look like a moron or the biggest genius ever when we're potting this weekend but I think Clemson my upset of the week and I think Clemson is gonna win and I might look like a total dipshit but I think Clemson's winning I think Notre Dame is winning I think Ohio State's winning and uh what the hell else am I missing Penn State's winning so. So Penn State, Ohio State, Notre Dame, Clemson. And we'll see if I'm a moron or what. We'll do that next time we talk.