The Josh Innes Show - Only A Sucker Would Bet On The Eagles
Episode Date: February 6, 2025First off, some 13 year old kid is on the verge of making the cut at the Qatar Masters. This brings back memories of me being a terrible golfer in high school. It appears a gentleman has made over a m...illion dollars worth of bets on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl. You'd really have to be a special kind of stupid to bet against the Chiefs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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All righty, friends.
So Super Bowl is in a couple of days.
People getting prepared.
I bought a lot of meat.
I'm ready to smoke some meat for the Super Bowl this weekend.
I bought a brisket flat, but a good one, like a good full brisket flat because it was on sale at the grocery store.
And I got a pork butt.
And I might go buy some wings to throw on the smoker as well.
Here's what's interesting about me, though, is, I'll make this food on the smoker and then for whatever reason, I hate it when it's
done. And Jilly will be like, wow, this is amazing. This is the best thing you've ever made.
And I'm like, I don't like it. Maybe it's because I made it and I'm just being a harsh critic of,
you know, something that I made. I don't know, but I'll make the shit and then she'll go,
this is, this is great. I love it. And I'm like, I don't like it that much.
So I don't know.
But we should have a feast.
And by that, I mean I'm going to fuck all the stuff up and we're going to call Wingstop.
But we've got pork butt.
We're going to do probably – you know what I'm going to do?
I'm going to make like a Coca-Cola pulled pork and then I'm going to make a brisket flat and then we'll just make some different kinds of wings. Might do the wings in the air fryer. I know the air fryer is kind of
cheating to a lot of people. So Jilly, last year, two years ago for Christmas, wanted a new air
fryer. She's like, I want to be able to see the stuff that we're cooking. So can you get me one
that has the doors that open in the front with a little window so I can watch it cook? And I'm
like, sure, that's an easy gift to get for you.
That sounds like a plan.
So I got her the gift, and she hates the fucking thing and has used it a handful of times and hates it.
And she likes the old school classic air fryer with the little handle and it looks like a little egg.
And you pull it out and you shake the shit around and put the little thing back in.
So I think we might try to make some wings in that this weekend as well. Could be quite the epic time. And I may actually try to venture into drinking
beer again for the first time in like three weeks. Not sure. Super Bowl is a good beer drinking time,
but I haven't had my foot act up with the old gout in a couple of weeks and I've been drinking
vodka waters. And maybe I've lost some pounds drinking vodka waters. I don't feel as bloated.
So maybe the spread will include the beef and the pulled pork and the wings. And then maybe,
just maybe, I'll stick with what I was already doing because I don't want to die because there's
nothing worse than this gout. Kids, listen to your Uncle Josh. Gout is no good. You do not want
the gout. It's bad news, Bears. Don't screw with it.
I got some Super Bowl stuff to get into in a second,
but I saw this story.
Danil Sokolov, who's 13,
shoots a 75 in his first round at the Qatar Masters.
Is it Cutter or is it Qatar?
I don't know that officially.
Cutter, Qatar.
So this kid's 13 years old,
shot a 3 over 75 in the first round of the Qatar
Masters on Thursday to give himself a chance of making the weekend and just his second appearance
on the European tour. 13 years old, making the cut. When I was in high school, I started golfing.
So I guess I would have been about 16 when I started golfing. Might've been 17. I don't
remember. It was when I was a junior,
I believe, in high school. And I had nothing to do after basketball was over.
So I played basketball, tried to play baseball one year. So I played basketball as a freshman.
The second basketball was over, I went out for baseball. And I was on the JV team and all that.
And I went to a couple of practices. And I learned that I really hate guys who play baseball because by and large they're gross and they're assholes. So I didn't
want to play baseball and I just didn't want to do anything. Like I just spent, you know,
four months playing basketball and running every day and shit. Like basketball is quite the sport
when it comes to cardio. So when you're getting involved in the cardio basketball, it's kind of
like, you know what, for the next couple of months, like the last two months of the school year,
I don't want to do anything when school's over. You know what I want to do? I want to get the
fuck out of here and I want to go home and I want to eat nasty shit and play my video games. And I
don't want this shit. I want to go call fake baseball games into a recorder at the house.
I don't want to play baseball. So I stopped playing baseball. And then the next year I decided to start playing golf. And cause my grandpa used to tell me,
Josh, Josh, all the big decisions are made on the golf course. So you need to learn how to golf.
And I'm like, all right, it works for me. So I played golf. So this kid's 13 years old. He's
at the Qatar cutter masters. Dude shoots a 75 three over. He 13 i was 16 i would regularly shoot like a 75 through
nine holes that's how we played it was nine holes so each tournament or little event we'd play each
you know match we played there were five of us and then if there were more there would be like
alternates and shit your score didn't count They only counted like the top five scores from each team, each school. And I don't even know that sometimes
we even had five dudes playing golf, but I was on the golf team. So we would go out and I would
routinely shoot like, no, I guess I would have shot worse, but they played a thing called double
par. So what double par was, was like, if it's a a par four the worst score you can get is an eight
and we move on it's really for the sake of time so like let's say that you had a score like the
the front nine was like a i don't know 35 in the front and it was all par four i don't know i don't
feel like doing the math but the point being in all of this is the worst you can get like on a par
five is a 10 the worst you can get on a par three is a 10. The worst you can get on a par 3 is a 6. And routinely, I would double par all of these.
But I would also routinely lie about my score to make it look better.
Which really seems stupid when you think about it.
Because you're playing at 35 as par in this instance, right?
So it's par 35.
There's not a huge difference between shooting a 61 and a 59 when you're like 25 strokes over but
you're like you know what i'm gonna lie about a couple of these and then of course you'd get you
know the guys from the other team who would count your strokes when you would lie and you just say
fuck you chad go to hell that's like you'd get some catholic school kid i played golf with nick
saban's kid once i think he was into drugs or something but i played golf with one of nick saban's kids i forgot his name uh
nicky saban i don't know but i played golf with him and i think he'd gotten kicked out of one of
the schools there and he was playing in another one and he and i were on the in the same group
there's a lot of pressure when you play with dudes you've never met before especially when you suck
and all of them are good there was nothing better than when you'd also get
with another dude who sucked.
God, that felt good.
And you'd understood that each of you
were gonna cheat at something
and they were totally cool with that.
That was living, man.
Hell, I'd grab a ball out of the bunker
and I'd just throw the fucker out.
Nobody was paying attention.
So I'd go, oh, I'm out, out in one.
But if you got with some other dude that also sucked and didn't give a fuck,
then you guys could just make shit up. I'm also convinced my friend Martin lied about a score
once because this dude was the worst golfer I'd ever seen. He had no hope. And then one day he
rolls in with a 42 or some shit. I'm like, you didn't shoot seven strokes over. You are the
worst fucking golfer I've ever seen. And even though we're fucking friends, I'm like, you didn't shoot seven strokes over. You are the worst fucking golfer
I've ever seen. And even though we're fucking friends, I'm not going to let you cheat that
fucking much because it's so obvious. You peckerhead. Anyway, random thoughts there.
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All right, so I was reading this story.
It says a better place is 1.1 million in bets on the Eagles against the Chiefs in Super Bowl 59. Story reads, let's see,
bet MGM in a Super Bowl. Just give me the fucking details. Philadelphia has been one of the best
teams in the NFL over the balance of the last several seasons, and with the addition of running
back Saquon Barkley remains a viable threat to stop the Chiefs from achieving history.
Clearly, bettors are backing the Eagles at a discount, with sportsbooks noting the interest in Philadelphia in the week leading
up to the big game in New Orleans. As limits continue to rise in the lead-up to kickoff on
Sunday evening, expect to see more high six-figure wagers in addition to likely seven-figure ones too.
What's clear is there's big pockets backing the Eagles to stop history.
Here are the updated odds. Well, where the hell? This was the dumbest story ever.
I was expecting to see some big jamoke that came out and made a bit. Okay, here we go. Let me see
this. All right, now, now you show me the story. Boy, these fucking, this is Sports Illustrated.
Do fucking better. You guys are so dinky. All of these websites are so dinky.
So many ads pop up while you're trying to read it
and videos pop up.
Stop inundating me.
The only place that I expect to go to
and get ads popping up
are when I go to Pornhub
and I see boner pill ads pop up
with a little cartoon character
that now has a 14-inch penis.
That's it.
I don't need it on SI.com.
That's why no one gives a shit about you
people. One better at BetMGM in Nevada has wagered $1.1 million on the Philadelphia Eagles.
And the money line at the time is plus $110. So he took $800,000 on the Eagles money line
and $300,000 on the Eagles first half plus half a point. This person is a sucker. Maybe the Eagles
will win. In fact, I hope the Eagles win. It would bring me joy. If our birds fly, Eagles fly. If our
birds would win, it would bring me the greatest joy I've ever felt. And I'm not even an Eagles fan,
but if they would win, it would bring me more joy than when I've watched the Cardinals win World
Series. Then when I watched the Saints win the Super Bowl. It will bring me great joy
to see them derail and dethrone this annoying, whiny group of cunty people from Kansas City.
It would bring me all the joy. However, there is no way in hell I am going to bet on the Eagles
to win that game. Zero. Now, it may not mean to tell you that I'm uber confident that the Chiefs are going to win.
But if you have any sort of doubt about the validity of what's happening in the NFL,
if you believe that we are soiling the sanctity of the league
and that there are people that are behind the scenes rigging this thing,
if you have any beliefs that the Chiefs get favoritism from the refs, there is no way
in hell you could put John Wayne American dollar on this right now and say, we're taking
the Eagles money line.
There is no way.
In fact, some would look at that spread and they would go, oh boy, I see great value.
What?
I'm getting plus money, positive money on the Eagles to win.
This is great. I view it as I'm getting decent value on the Chiefs. As of right now, I think the Chiefs
are minus 120 on FanDuel right now. Let's take a look at the Super Bowl, Ross. It is minus 120.
So you mean to tell me that I'm getting decent value because normally minus 110 is like even in that right so minus 120
got about 120 to win 100 bucks I'm okay with that I'm fine with that in fact I wouldn't take minus
one and a half because as we talk about when it gets to low numbers like that I'm uncomfortable
with that so I won't do that if it was minus one I'd consider it but then you run the risk of a
push so minus 120 on this if I got minus 120 for the Chiefs to win that game
I'd take that now I don't know I I don't think I'm gonna bet on the winner of the game I'm just
gonna look at a bunch of different prop bets and Dallas Goddard receiving yards probably Travis
Kelsey receiving yards maybe the rushing yards for Mahomes I do think AJ Brown's gonna have at
least a relatively large game because he's playing for the kid with the plane crash thing. So maybe he'll have a big game. But to me,
if you're someone who's going to just jump all over the Eagles,
I think you're a sucker. Do I want them to win? Yes. Do I hate the Chiefs? Yes. Do I despise
their whiny cunty fans with their headdresses? Yes. But if you're like
me and you have any shred of doubt about how legit these games are, if you have any doubt
about whether or not the Chiefs get beneficial calls from the refs, if you think the refs are
playing favorites at all, if there's a shred of doubt, if there's a little tiny teeny little salt size grain of sand
size doubt about how legit this game is, then you would be a damn fool to put money on the Eagles
to win the game. No way. Like I saw one of the local dudes on the radio here in St. Louis,
who's a big chiefs guy. And he says that he posts a link. It says
in 21 of the 22 States that bet MGM operates, the majority of bets are on the Eagles to win
the Superbowl. The one state that's backing the Chiefs is Kansas. And he says, are those the same
people saying the NFL is rigged in favor of the Chiefs? Seems like a strange way to lose money. Yeah, it is, pal. That's why I wouldn't take the bet. In no way
would I bet on the Eagles to win. You say, well, Josh, it's all conspiracy theory. Maybe it is.
But you want to tell me that you don't think the Chiefs get the benefit of these calls? You don't
tell me that every week you watch the Chiefs, something happens in a key spot and you go, holy shit, they blew that call. And they go, no, they didn't blow it. They knew exactly
what they were doing because they made the call for Kansas City. You want to tell me that you
believe that the hit on Patrick Mahomes against the Texans was really a roughing the passer?
Do you want to believe that the hit on the slide from Patrick Mahomes was really a roughing penalty?
You don't believe that, do you? Do you really believe that it was a defensive pass interference
against the Bengals early in the season against the Chiefs? You don't believe it
because it's not real. You want to believe that Xavier Worthy actually caught that pass? Yeah,
it's questionable, but you knew they were going to get the call on that. You want to tell me that
you just think it's coincidence that, oh, Travis Kelsey didn't get penalized for taunting during
the game, but got a fine after the game? Huh? You want to tell me that you're going to put your money on the team that faces that team?
Fuck no, not a chance in hell. You would be an imbecile. He says, Oh, 21 out of 22 states. Are
these the same people saying that the NFL is rigged? No, those people are fucking suckers
and maybe they'll win and maybe I'll be wrong. Because I don't believe
truly that the league is rigged. I do agree when the commissioner says that people aren't getting
together in 180 refs or whatever. I do believe that. But I do believe that Patrick Mahomes gets
the calls and the Chiefs get the calls and phantom penalties are called. So to me, betting on the Eagles is too great of a risk.
Now I'll gladly take, you know, Dallas Goddard,
who'll be a nice check down option for Jalen Hurts.
And I'll gladly take Travis Kelsey, who shows up in these kinds of games.
I'll take all that shit.
Xavier Worthy, take Xavier Worthy's rushing yards, all that shit.
I'm all on that.
Prop bet fest 09, baby.
Bring it, bring it to me.
Feed me the prop bets. I'm all on that. PropBetFest09, baby. Bring it to me. Feed me the prop bets.
I'm here for them. But you would have to be an imbecile to put $800,000 on a team playing against another team that most people across the country, if they don't feel the game is rigged,
at least feel that team gets the benefit of the calls over everybody else in major spots.
Look no further than when these two teams played in the Super Bowl two years ago, and
wow, magical defensive holding penalty that put the Chiefs in position to win the game.
Wow. Wow. It's already happened to the Eagles against this team. You think it can't happen again?
The only reason I would make an argument that maybe, maybe the Eagles are the play.
Because, yes, the Eagles roster is better.
Not at quarterback or running back.
Well, it is better at running back.
But quarterback obviously being the most important position.
But top to bottom, the Eagles roster is better. But if you look for one thing, the only reason if you're a conspiracy theorist
that you might say, well, take the Eagles.
You want to play this route.
As you would say, the league is now getting hammered with people who think
that there is a question of the legitimacy of who is winning these games.
Would it not make sense then to have somebody other than Kansas City win
so they can say, see, how is it rigged if Kansas City lost?
I would take the Angels in the outfield approach
and say championships have to be won on their own,
which was also a very flawed bullshit thing too, by the way.
So Angels can help you win all these games to get into the playoffs, but then an Angel can't show up
to help the dude that's about to die of fucking lung cancer throw one solid pitch so he can
fucking win. There was a kid saw an Angel. No, you did it yourself now. It's a fucked up movie.
But anyway, championships have to be won on their own. So maybe it's a situation like that where they get the refs and say, let the boys play. But I'm not going to take that risk. There is no way in hell I'm taking the chance of betting against Kansas City because there's going to be a call. There's going to be something questionable in a key part of that game. And I hope I'm wrong.
And I hope the Eagles win. I would take that all day. But you'd have to be a sucker to bet against
the NFL, the Chiefs, and the Refs. You'd have to be a sucker to take that bet. $800,000 on that bet.
$1.1 million. Dude's probably got a shitload of money. Who fucking cares? Probably Floyd Mayweather
or something. But who cares? Maybe it's Mattress Mac who's who fucking cares by floyd mayweather or something but who cares maybe it's mattress mac has just got stupid money but
i wouldn't do that i wouldn't touch that shit