The Josh Innes Show - Only A Sucker Would Bet On The Eagles

Episode Date: February 6, 2025

First off, some 13 year old kid is on the verge of making the cut at the Qatar Masters. This brings back memories of me being a terrible golfer in high school. It appears a gentleman has made over a m...illion dollars worth of bets on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl. You'd really have to be a special kind of stupid to bet against the Chiefs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 All righty, friends. So Super Bowl is in a couple of days. People getting prepared. I bought a lot of meat. I'm ready to smoke some meat for the Super Bowl this weekend. I bought a brisket flat, but a good one, like a good full brisket flat because it was on sale at the grocery store. And I got a pork butt. And I might go buy some wings to throw on the smoker as well.
Starting point is 00:00:22 Here's what's interesting about me, though, is, I'll make this food on the smoker and then for whatever reason, I hate it when it's done. And Jilly will be like, wow, this is amazing. This is the best thing you've ever made. And I'm like, I don't like it. Maybe it's because I made it and I'm just being a harsh critic of, you know, something that I made. I don't know, but I'll make the shit and then she'll go, this is, this is great. I love it. And I'm like, I don't like it that much. So I don't know. But we should have a feast. And by that, I mean I'm going to fuck all the stuff up and we're going to call Wingstop.
Starting point is 00:00:54 But we've got pork butt. We're going to do probably – you know what I'm going to do? I'm going to make like a Coca-Cola pulled pork and then I'm going to make a brisket flat and then we'll just make some different kinds of wings. Might do the wings in the air fryer. I know the air fryer is kind of cheating to a lot of people. So Jilly, last year, two years ago for Christmas, wanted a new air fryer. She's like, I want to be able to see the stuff that we're cooking. So can you get me one that has the doors that open in the front with a little window so I can watch it cook? And I'm like, sure, that's an easy gift to get for you. That sounds like a plan.
Starting point is 00:01:27 So I got her the gift, and she hates the fucking thing and has used it a handful of times and hates it. And she likes the old school classic air fryer with the little handle and it looks like a little egg. And you pull it out and you shake the shit around and put the little thing back in. So I think we might try to make some wings in that this weekend as well. Could be quite the epic time. And I may actually try to venture into drinking beer again for the first time in like three weeks. Not sure. Super Bowl is a good beer drinking time, but I haven't had my foot act up with the old gout in a couple of weeks and I've been drinking vodka waters. And maybe I've lost some pounds drinking vodka waters. I don't feel as bloated. So maybe the spread will include the beef and the pulled pork and the wings. And then maybe,
Starting point is 00:02:10 just maybe, I'll stick with what I was already doing because I don't want to die because there's nothing worse than this gout. Kids, listen to your Uncle Josh. Gout is no good. You do not want the gout. It's bad news, Bears. Don't screw with it. I got some Super Bowl stuff to get into in a second, but I saw this story. Danil Sokolov, who's 13, shoots a 75 in his first round at the Qatar Masters. Is it Cutter or is it Qatar?
Starting point is 00:02:38 I don't know that officially. Cutter, Qatar. So this kid's 13 years old, shot a 3 over 75 in the first round of the Qatar Masters on Thursday to give himself a chance of making the weekend and just his second appearance on the European tour. 13 years old, making the cut. When I was in high school, I started golfing. So I guess I would have been about 16 when I started golfing. Might've been 17. I don't remember. It was when I was a junior,
Starting point is 00:03:05 I believe, in high school. And I had nothing to do after basketball was over. So I played basketball, tried to play baseball one year. So I played basketball as a freshman. The second basketball was over, I went out for baseball. And I was on the JV team and all that. And I went to a couple of practices. And I learned that I really hate guys who play baseball because by and large they're gross and they're assholes. So I didn't want to play baseball and I just didn't want to do anything. Like I just spent, you know, four months playing basketball and running every day and shit. Like basketball is quite the sport when it comes to cardio. So when you're getting involved in the cardio basketball, it's kind of like, you know what, for the next couple of months, like the last two months of the school year,
Starting point is 00:03:48 I don't want to do anything when school's over. You know what I want to do? I want to get the fuck out of here and I want to go home and I want to eat nasty shit and play my video games. And I don't want this shit. I want to go call fake baseball games into a recorder at the house. I don't want to play baseball. So I stopped playing baseball. And then the next year I decided to start playing golf. And cause my grandpa used to tell me, Josh, Josh, all the big decisions are made on the golf course. So you need to learn how to golf. And I'm like, all right, it works for me. So I played golf. So this kid's 13 years old. He's at the Qatar cutter masters. Dude shoots a 75 three over. He 13 i was 16 i would regularly shoot like a 75 through nine holes that's how we played it was nine holes so each tournament or little event we'd play each
Starting point is 00:04:36 you know match we played there were five of us and then if there were more there would be like alternates and shit your score didn't count They only counted like the top five scores from each team, each school. And I don't even know that sometimes we even had five dudes playing golf, but I was on the golf team. So we would go out and I would routinely shoot like, no, I guess I would have shot worse, but they played a thing called double par. So what double par was, was like, if it's a a par four the worst score you can get is an eight and we move on it's really for the sake of time so like let's say that you had a score like the the front nine was like a i don't know 35 in the front and it was all par four i don't know i don't feel like doing the math but the point being in all of this is the worst you can get like on a par
Starting point is 00:05:21 five is a 10 the worst you can get on a par three is a 10. The worst you can get on a par 3 is a 6. And routinely, I would double par all of these. But I would also routinely lie about my score to make it look better. Which really seems stupid when you think about it. Because you're playing at 35 as par in this instance, right? So it's par 35. There's not a huge difference between shooting a 61 and a 59 when you're like 25 strokes over but you're like you know what i'm gonna lie about a couple of these and then of course you'd get you know the guys from the other team who would count your strokes when you would lie and you just say
Starting point is 00:05:57 fuck you chad go to hell that's like you'd get some catholic school kid i played golf with nick saban's kid once i think he was into drugs or something but i played golf with one of nick saban's kids i forgot his name uh nicky saban i don't know but i played golf with him and i think he'd gotten kicked out of one of the schools there and he was playing in another one and he and i were on the in the same group there's a lot of pressure when you play with dudes you've never met before especially when you suck and all of them are good there was nothing better than when you'd also get with another dude who sucked. God, that felt good.
Starting point is 00:06:29 And you'd understood that each of you were gonna cheat at something and they were totally cool with that. That was living, man. Hell, I'd grab a ball out of the bunker and I'd just throw the fucker out. Nobody was paying attention. So I'd go, oh, I'm out, out in one.
Starting point is 00:06:45 But if you got with some other dude that also sucked and didn't give a fuck, then you guys could just make shit up. I'm also convinced my friend Martin lied about a score once because this dude was the worst golfer I'd ever seen. He had no hope. And then one day he rolls in with a 42 or some shit. I'm like, you didn't shoot seven strokes over. You are the worst fucking golfer I've ever seen. And even though we're fucking friends, I'm like, you didn't shoot seven strokes over. You are the worst fucking golfer I've ever seen. And even though we're fucking friends, I'm not going to let you cheat that fucking much because it's so obvious. You peckerhead. Anyway, random thoughts there. Let's play a couple of commercials and talk about big bets for the Super Bowl.
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Starting point is 00:08:35 The crown is yours. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Help is available for problem gambling call 888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org in connecticut must be 18 plus age and eligibility restrictions vary by jurisdiction pick six not available everywhere including new york and ontario void where prohibited one per new customer bonus award it is non-withdrawable pick six credits that expire in 14 days. Limited time offer. See terms at pick6.draftkings.com slash promos. All right, so I was reading this story. It says a better place is 1.1 million in bets on the Eagles against the Chiefs in Super Bowl 59. Story reads, let's see, bet MGM in a Super Bowl. Just give me the fucking details. Philadelphia has been one of the best
Starting point is 00:09:34 teams in the NFL over the balance of the last several seasons, and with the addition of running back Saquon Barkley remains a viable threat to stop the Chiefs from achieving history. Clearly, bettors are backing the Eagles at a discount, with sportsbooks noting the interest in Philadelphia in the week leading up to the big game in New Orleans. As limits continue to rise in the lead-up to kickoff on Sunday evening, expect to see more high six-figure wagers in addition to likely seven-figure ones too. What's clear is there's big pockets backing the Eagles to stop history. Here are the updated odds. Well, where the hell? This was the dumbest story ever. I was expecting to see some big jamoke that came out and made a bit. Okay, here we go. Let me see
Starting point is 00:10:15 this. All right, now, now you show me the story. Boy, these fucking, this is Sports Illustrated. Do fucking better. You guys are so dinky. All of these websites are so dinky. So many ads pop up while you're trying to read it and videos pop up. Stop inundating me. The only place that I expect to go to and get ads popping up are when I go to Pornhub
Starting point is 00:10:35 and I see boner pill ads pop up with a little cartoon character that now has a 14-inch penis. That's it. I don't need it on SI.com. That's why no one gives a shit about you people. One better at BetMGM in Nevada has wagered $1.1 million on the Philadelphia Eagles. And the money line at the time is plus $110. So he took $800,000 on the Eagles money line
Starting point is 00:10:58 and $300,000 on the Eagles first half plus half a point. This person is a sucker. Maybe the Eagles will win. In fact, I hope the Eagles win. It would bring me joy. If our birds fly, Eagles fly. If our birds would win, it would bring me the greatest joy I've ever felt. And I'm not even an Eagles fan, but if they would win, it would bring me more joy than when I've watched the Cardinals win World Series. Then when I watched the Saints win the Super Bowl. It will bring me great joy to see them derail and dethrone this annoying, whiny group of cunty people from Kansas City. It would bring me all the joy. However, there is no way in hell I am going to bet on the Eagles to win that game. Zero. Now, it may not mean to tell you that I'm uber confident that the Chiefs are going to win.
Starting point is 00:11:48 But if you have any sort of doubt about the validity of what's happening in the NFL, if you believe that we are soiling the sanctity of the league and that there are people that are behind the scenes rigging this thing, if you have any beliefs that the Chiefs get favoritism from the refs, there is no way in hell you could put John Wayne American dollar on this right now and say, we're taking the Eagles money line. There is no way. In fact, some would look at that spread and they would go, oh boy, I see great value.
Starting point is 00:12:21 What? I'm getting plus money, positive money on the Eagles to win. This is great. I view it as I'm getting decent value on the Chiefs. As of right now, I think the Chiefs are minus 120 on FanDuel right now. Let's take a look at the Super Bowl, Ross. It is minus 120. So you mean to tell me that I'm getting decent value because normally minus 110 is like even in that right so minus 120 got about 120 to win 100 bucks I'm okay with that I'm fine with that in fact I wouldn't take minus one and a half because as we talk about when it gets to low numbers like that I'm uncomfortable with that so I won't do that if it was minus one I'd consider it but then you run the risk of a
Starting point is 00:13:01 push so minus 120 on this if I got minus 120 for the Chiefs to win that game I'd take that now I don't know I I don't think I'm gonna bet on the winner of the game I'm just gonna look at a bunch of different prop bets and Dallas Goddard receiving yards probably Travis Kelsey receiving yards maybe the rushing yards for Mahomes I do think AJ Brown's gonna have at least a relatively large game because he's playing for the kid with the plane crash thing. So maybe he'll have a big game. But to me, if you're someone who's going to just jump all over the Eagles, I think you're a sucker. Do I want them to win? Yes. Do I hate the Chiefs? Yes. Do I despise their whiny cunty fans with their headdresses? Yes. But if you're like
Starting point is 00:13:47 me and you have any shred of doubt about how legit these games are, if you have any doubt about whether or not the Chiefs get beneficial calls from the refs, if you think the refs are playing favorites at all, if there's a shred of doubt, if there's a little tiny teeny little salt size grain of sand size doubt about how legit this game is, then you would be a damn fool to put money on the Eagles to win the game. No way. Like I saw one of the local dudes on the radio here in St. Louis, who's a big chiefs guy. And he says that he posts a link. It says in 21 of the 22 States that bet MGM operates, the majority of bets are on the Eagles to win the Superbowl. The one state that's backing the Chiefs is Kansas. And he says, are those the same
Starting point is 00:14:41 people saying the NFL is rigged in favor of the Chiefs? Seems like a strange way to lose money. Yeah, it is, pal. That's why I wouldn't take the bet. In no way would I bet on the Eagles to win. You say, well, Josh, it's all conspiracy theory. Maybe it is. But you want to tell me that you don't think the Chiefs get the benefit of these calls? You don't tell me that every week you watch the Chiefs, something happens in a key spot and you go, holy shit, they blew that call. And they go, no, they didn't blow it. They knew exactly what they were doing because they made the call for Kansas City. You want to tell me that you believe that the hit on Patrick Mahomes against the Texans was really a roughing the passer? Do you want to believe that the hit on the slide from Patrick Mahomes was really a roughing penalty? You don't believe that, do you? Do you really believe that it was a defensive pass interference
Starting point is 00:15:24 against the Bengals early in the season against the Chiefs? You don't believe it because it's not real. You want to believe that Xavier Worthy actually caught that pass? Yeah, it's questionable, but you knew they were going to get the call on that. You want to tell me that you just think it's coincidence that, oh, Travis Kelsey didn't get penalized for taunting during the game, but got a fine after the game? Huh? You want to tell me that you're going to put your money on the team that faces that team? Fuck no, not a chance in hell. You would be an imbecile. He says, Oh, 21 out of 22 states. Are these the same people saying that the NFL is rigged? No, those people are fucking suckers and maybe they'll win and maybe I'll be wrong. Because I don't believe
Starting point is 00:16:05 truly that the league is rigged. I do agree when the commissioner says that people aren't getting together in 180 refs or whatever. I do believe that. But I do believe that Patrick Mahomes gets the calls and the Chiefs get the calls and phantom penalties are called. So to me, betting on the Eagles is too great of a risk. Now I'll gladly take, you know, Dallas Goddard, who'll be a nice check down option for Jalen Hurts. And I'll gladly take Travis Kelsey, who shows up in these kinds of games. I'll take all that shit. Xavier Worthy, take Xavier Worthy's rushing yards, all that shit.
Starting point is 00:16:40 I'm all on that. Prop bet fest 09, baby. Bring it, bring it to me. Feed me the prop bets. I'm all on that. PropBetFest09, baby. Bring it to me. Feed me the prop bets. I'm here for them. But you would have to be an imbecile to put $800,000 on a team playing against another team that most people across the country, if they don't feel the game is rigged, at least feel that team gets the benefit of the calls over everybody else in major spots. Look no further than when these two teams played in the Super Bowl two years ago, and wow, magical defensive holding penalty that put the Chiefs in position to win the game.
Starting point is 00:17:15 Wow. Wow. It's already happened to the Eagles against this team. You think it can't happen again? The only reason I would make an argument that maybe, maybe the Eagles are the play. Because, yes, the Eagles roster is better. Not at quarterback or running back. Well, it is better at running back. But quarterback obviously being the most important position. But top to bottom, the Eagles roster is better. But if you look for one thing, the only reason if you're a conspiracy theorist that you might say, well, take the Eagles.
Starting point is 00:17:52 You want to play this route. As you would say, the league is now getting hammered with people who think that there is a question of the legitimacy of who is winning these games. Would it not make sense then to have somebody other than Kansas City win so they can say, see, how is it rigged if Kansas City lost? I would take the Angels in the outfield approach and say championships have to be won on their own, which was also a very flawed bullshit thing too, by the way.
Starting point is 00:18:25 So Angels can help you win all these games to get into the playoffs, but then an Angel can't show up to help the dude that's about to die of fucking lung cancer throw one solid pitch so he can fucking win. There was a kid saw an Angel. No, you did it yourself now. It's a fucked up movie. But anyway, championships have to be won on their own. So maybe it's a situation like that where they get the refs and say, let the boys play. But I'm not going to take that risk. There is no way in hell I'm taking the chance of betting against Kansas City because there's going to be a call. There's going to be something questionable in a key part of that game. And I hope I'm wrong. And I hope the Eagles win. I would take that all day. But you'd have to be a sucker to bet against the NFL, the Chiefs, and the Refs. You'd have to be a sucker to take that bet. $800,000 on that bet. $1.1 million. Dude's probably got a shitload of money. Who fucking cares? Probably Floyd Mayweather or something. But who cares? Maybe it's Mattress Mac who's who fucking cares by floyd mayweather or something but who cares maybe it's mattress mac has just got stupid money but
Starting point is 00:19:28 i wouldn't do that i wouldn't touch that shit

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