The Josh Innes Show - Prop Bets For Saturday

Episode Date: December 27, 2024

Ross is officially in for Dog Training! This guy is wild. But, he's getting me lots of exercise. The Bears/Seahawks game was dreadful and a total bloodbath for me. I've got a few prop bets for you guys to play on Saturday. It's not an official prop til' you drop, but this is a strange week. The Seahawks have a wacky scenario that could see them winning the NFC West on the 5th Tiebreaker. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

All righty, Jamokes, what's happening? Awful Thursday night football last night. I mean, I guess it was fine based on the fact that the game was close, but my God, it was dreadful, and the Bears are fucking terrible, and I lost a shit ton of bets last night. All of my go-to guys flopped. Jackson Smith and Jigba flopped. I sat around and did live bets over in Illinois on most of these.

All of them other than, I believe, Keenan Allen was the only one that hit live. My God, it was a disaster for me. It was a bloodbath for your boy in that Bears game. What the fuck was I thinking? Usually, the Bears come out in the second half of games and throw for a bunch of yards, and that's where Roman Dunzale hit his yards, and Keenan Allen will hit his yards, and all that. Didn't work out that way, though, because that game was low scoring and terrible and was just loaded with awful decisions like late in the game by the Bears doing dumb shit uh like at the point where they were going to go for

a fourth down then they got a penalty so they uh they took the penalty then burned a timeout and decided not to punt then they converted it then on the next play they burned a timeout and decided not to punt. Then they converted it. Then on the next play, they fumbled the snap and lost yards. I'm just like, my God. And all they had to do was pick up a couple more yards and they would have gotten to field goal range, could have kicked the field goal. The goddamn game could have gone to overtime and I would have had a chance in my yards. But instead, it's been a bloodbath for your boy the last couple of days. I got to get my mind right I've got to go back over to Illinois and get back in the lab. And when I say I've got to get back in the lab,

that means I've got to get my ass into the lab over at Fairview Heights, Illinois at the St. Clair Square Mall. That's where the magic happens. When I sit my ass at the St. Clair Square Mall, that's where my good thoughts come. And I've got three big games to bet on tomorrow, and I've got college football today, and I've got to get up on that fucking horse and get back at it. We're not quitters around these parts, are we, Ross? Hell no, we're not. We don't quit. And by the way, today's a good day because there's

a lot of Swiss hockey to go bet live bets on, Ross. You can't come because I'm sitting in the mall, but let's be honest, the malls are fucking dead. So you could probably sit in there and nobody would notice. Also, Ross, you're very soft today generally speaking you're not soft but today you're kind of soft we had a nice like 7 000 step walk today that's a couple miles and my boy was nice to all the other dogs and everything going to training on monday gotta do a training evaluation on monday a little rascal it's funny oh roscoe here he um like during the day he's totally cool with walks i'm like he he'll get distracted by people and i'll have to you know you have to pull him a little bit and say all right come on let's walk he'll get distracted by people and dogs at night he's a

lunatic if he sees somebody on the street like if we're on one side of the road and he sees somebody on the other side he is a lunatic a crazy person when it comes to that. So I'm guessing it's because it's dark, he can't see as well, whatever. But he's such a sweet little baby. Oh, look, he's showing me the grundle. I wish you guys could see this. His grundle, the hair is growing back on his grundle. So he had fleas apparently really bad when they found him.

He had really bad fleas, and he had lost a lot of hair and all that but it's growing back isn't it also another question like this little his i guess you call it a scrotum where his balls once were um does that ever go away or does he just have an empty sack like luther didn't have like a little empty sack right there so does he just walk around like should we have just put fake balls in it like somebody who loses a testicle should we just put like two marbles in his little sack there and made it look like he had balls maybe to scare off some predators i don't fucking know we'll have to see but um yeah big training day coming up for old roscoe on monday probably about two weeks of training gonna cost your dad some money.

You got to get some podcast listeners, huh? You little baby. And he's like a snoozel right now because he got himself a nice long walk out there today. Oh, he's stretching his little legs. And then you get to go to daycare and go play with other dogs. They're going to be blown away by you, bro, especially when they compare you to Luther, which is inevitably going to happen because everybody loved Luther. I'm just going to tell you right now you're looking oh you're

looking me in the eyes now you want the truth the reality is the whole world loved luther there ross he was a special puppy and for whatever reason he had he cast a spell over all the people particularly the lady folks they all loved your dearly departed homie luther so you got a lot to live up to they're probably gonna look at you and go this motherfucker's a lunatic and it's okay because you are a lunatic you run so fast and you jump you're like a duck you're like a dock diving dog is what you oh maybe we call purine and get you some dock diving less oh boy we get their toys you can jump in the water do you swim ross ross do you you swim, Ross? Ross, do you swim? Oh, Roscoe, do you think you know how to swim?

All I know is this. First fucking night we brought him home, it's dark outside. And I would have thought he had instincts to avoid water. We got that shitty little water feature in our backyard, which is this tiny little circle of water that's pointless. And it's cold and rainy and everything. And he walks around in the back takes one step poop i'm like ross and he can't get out of the damn thing so i have to pull his little ass out of there oh it was we had to do a water rescue oh didn't we roscoe we had to do a little water rescue for the

baby oh he's a good boy look at that and he's got to put on weight still so it's just a different world like this dog is dying to eat all the time. Old Luther never wanted to eat. But Ross goes over here like, feed me nonstop, you monsters. Feed me or lose me forever. Oh, my goodness, Ross. You are just adorable. Boy, I hope they like your daycare and they can get you whipped into shape so you're not a madman on the walks.

I've never sweat so much on walks before. And, of course, I'm dealing with two foot injuries that have been caused by these walks. God, I sound pathetic, Ross. But I've never sweat so much, but this guy's nonstop. We're getting exercise, aren't we? And because of the high cost of Manjaro and my shitty insurance, which is pointless, I don't have any Manjaro. I have a chance to get some at the first of the years, but I haven't been taking Manjaro, Ross a chance to get some at the first of the years but i haven't been taking manjaro raw so i'm just getting fat fat fat fat and it's horrible insurance total scam by the way what the fuck's the point of like i pay seven eight hundred dollars a month

for insurance yet i still can't get my medication that i do need you might say well josh you could just lose weight on your own yeah i'm not taking Manjaro just for the sake of losing weight, you schmucks. I'm doing it because I had type 2 diabetes, and I was doing well. But then, of course, you know, like the first month with this new insurance, it was $25. Then it somehow went up to $400. Then it was like, nope, about to be $700 or whatever the hell it was. I think the one I didn't buy, it was $900. And I'm like, I can't spend I can't spend 900 on this shit. So

apparently there's this card that might give me a discount at the first of the year. Problem is the card only works like once or twice and then it runs out of fucking money. Like insurance is a scam. Medication is a scam. What are we doing here? People? How are we in a country where we're allowed to have these, these medical companies and these pharmaceutical companies running commercials on TV. Medicine is necessary. It shouldn't be a, hey, here's a commercial for three competing medications for the same thing. Get people the fucking medications. That's what we need to be doing, you sacks of shit.

But instead, it's like, well, there's WeGoV, but then there's also Manjaro, and then there's Once Daily Jardians, and they're all competing trying to get you to buy their shit and it's bogus and it's fraudulent and we need to fix that now i sound like fucking rfk except i don't sound like that but other than that i sound like fucking rfk but it's true why the fuck are we in a universe why are we in a world where people are like promoting medicine on television it's bullshit bullshit. And then, oh, you got to have insurance, got to have insurance. And then, you know, because Jilly makes me get

the insurance. Me, I wouldn't even bother with it. I would just sit here and never leave the house and hope to not die. But Jilly's like, nope, we got to have insurance. And if you want, you know, that's how you got to get your Manjaro. And then, you know, I go in there last month to get my new Manjaro. They're like, even after the benefits and everything it's $900 I'm like motherfucker I don't want to spend $900 on this it's medicine I need the medicine yes part of it is I'm a fat ass that wants to lose weight and wants to do it lazily fine judge me and Kelly Clarkson and everybody else just actually shit have at it judge me all you want but it's also like I had those issues about a year ago where I was having totally fucked up things happening.

My blood sugar was through the roof, all this other shit. My A1C was high. I needed the fucking meds. I don't know how I got down this wormhole. Oh, look, my FanDuel has my year in review. Boy, that should be exciting. Let's do that after these words. All right, if you're ready to win some real cash

during the basketball playoffs, you gotta check out Pick 6 from DraftKings. When it comes to basketball payouts, DraftKings Pick 6 posterizes the competition, including prize picks. It's a very simple concept. Hit all your picks and score higher minimum payouts on Pick 6, plus even more cash

if you outscore the competition. Pick six is available in most states, including Missouri, California, Texas, Georgia, and more, and I absolutely love it. Look, every night we're going to be having playoff basketball, every night. So when you're sitting around and you might not have interest in a particular game, let's say you're a fan of a particular team, they're not playing that night, here's how you make it a little bit more fun for the other games. Build a little lineup there with Pick 6. It's really great.

Me and my wife do it all the time, so make sure you do it. And new players get 50 in Pick 6 credits instantly on just a $5 entry. Download the DraftKings Pick 6 app now and use code INNES, that's my name, I-N-N-E-S, for new customers to play. $5, get 50 in Pick 6 credits, better payouts, bigger wins, only with Pick 6 from DraftKings. The crown is yours. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Help is available for problem gambling. Call 888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org in Connecticut. Must be 18 plus. Age and eligibility restrictions vary by jurisdiction. Pick six not available everywhere, including New York and Ontario. Void where prohibited. One per new customer new customer bonus award it is non-withdrawable

pick six credits that expire in 14 days limited time offer see terms at pick six dot draft kings dot com slash promos all right let's see in 2024 you made 2460 bets on fan duel that's just fan duel i also use draft kings draft, I don't use nearly as much. So let's do the math on that. If I made 2,460 bets, and let's just, let's say the 27th of December. So let's say 360 days. So let's say that I made 2,460 bets. 2,460 bets divided by 360. I mean, like, I would have thought more. Seven bets a day. God, I would have thought, like, there are days that I'll sit over in Illinois

and bet on fucking, like, Ukrainian hockey and shit. I'll make, like, 10 of those in one sitting. God, I feel kind of like a loser. I felt like my number for total bets would have been higher or average bets per day. But anyway, let's read some more of what they offer on the year in review. So 2,460 bets. Your best betting day was 10-21-24. Well, I need details on why October 21st, 2024 was my best betting day. Well,

give me the details on it. Like you said, that was your best betting day. How do we define your best betting day? Like the amount of money you won, the amount of games you won. What is it? Your top competitions were NFL, other NBA, NHL, and other. You know what that other was? I guarantee I know what that one was. Probably Ukrainian hockey. You bet on 21 teams this year. Serbia came out on top. You were in the top 32% of Serbia. How the fuck did I bet?

What do you mean I bet? How did I bet on Serbia? What the fuck did I even bet on Serbia for? I don't even know. Wait a second. Was there an Olympics this year? And if there was an Olympics this year, is Serbia the team that the Joker plays for? I'm guessing it was Serbian basketball. You bet seven sports this year and football came out on top well come on give me oh wait your longest your biggest win was 1019 dollars sweet your longest odds win was plus 2337 okay there's no way this is true. There is a 0.0% chance this is true.

Your most bet on teams were Serbia, Akron, and Washington State. I think this whole thing is a sham. Everything about this is a fucking farce. Now, unless that's just straight up, these are the teams you bet on to win the most. I very rarely bet on teams to win. I take bets. So maybe that's what that means. But there's no way in hell, as I read this right now,

that I believe that Serbia, Akron, and Washington State were teams that I bet on that frequently this year. So what that tells me is that mostly my bets are prop bets because I am a god. But anyway, I got to go and write down some prop bets for the weekend, kiddos. I got to do that. Like, I got to get and write down some prop bets for the weekend, kiddos. I got to do that. Like, I got to get back into the lab.

I've had a couple of really bad days. Things haven't been going my way. The breaks are beating the boys, as it were. So I got to figure my shit out. I guess I could also just sit here and just, you know, wing these things for you really quick, too. There are three good NFL games tomorrow. When I say three, all that matters is my boy Joey B and my boy Jamar Chase are going out there, and they are ready to sling,

and I can't wait to see Sean Payton get his dick knocked off by the Bengals and set up the last week of the year being meaningful. Of course, the major issue that we run into here is that that game will not matter to the Chiefs, so Denver will probably end up still getting in, and it will piss me off. All those, oh, God, that's going to piss me off. I want the Bengals in, and I want the Bengals to sling a ding-dong.

That's what I want to see. Let's take a look here. That game's probably going to have a lot of passing yards, if I had to guess, too. What are the passing yards for Bo Nix? I mean, even Bo Nix is 230.5. That's probably his highest of the year close to it uh they're going to combine for 500 easily let's see what Jamar Chase is receiving is 90 and a half how many NFLSU guys are playing tomorrow not many actually it's not a big NFLSU

day unless you count Keishon Butte so uh who's done some things recently. His yards are 39.5, so if you want to build an NFLSU parlay tomorrow, Boutte, 39.5. We've got Joey and Jamar Chase. Those are both NFLSU guys. I don't know that there are any significant NFLSU guys in the Arizona and Rams game. I don't believe there is. Now, sometimes you can even work one in where it's kind of NFL issue adjacent, like, Oh, that kid's from Baton

Rouge. We could throw him in there, but I'm not seeing many in this one. So if you're going to build the NFL issue parlay tomorrow, you're going to have to include Joe. You're going to have to include Jamar and you're probably going to have to work in Kayshaun booty, or you could actually just do a Joe and Jamar mega, uh, parlay here. Ooh, is today Friday already is hot as NHL back. Fuck. Yes. How many games tonight? A lot, or at least a decent number to take the over total goals. Thank you very much. I miss that. All right, let's see here. Let's take a look at Joe and Jamar. Can we just build a parlay with those two dudes? The NFLSU parlay must live.

We go Jamar Chase. You can go Jamar Chase touchdown, okay, because they're going to feed him the rock. He's trying to break some records and shit. We're going to take Joey over 270. We're going to take Jamar over 90. And then we're going to take Joey B to throw. Let's see what his touchdowns are.

It's over two and a half. We're going to alt that. And we're going to go two touchdowns for Joe Burrow. And we're going to take Jamar, because you could also do this also that that adding the two touchdowns did nothing to help the bottom line at all so we're going to take that out and we're going to go to the first quarter receiving yards and we're going to take jamar chase in the first quarter to have 20 receiving yards again it's hard to build one you probably have to work in kashon booty into that i think that's going to be vital for you guys what are some of the other

ones to look at tomorrow boy i love profits and all it takes give me a couple wednesday if my hockey can hit today if i can get some empty netters and shit let's fucking go baby boy i don't know why i'm so jacked up on mountain dew today uh let's see here uh so let's so jamar chase yards we will definitely take even though he didn't hit that until late in the game oh boy hockey games are starting up in finland oh boy finland hockey daddy's coming just wait till i get to fairview heights. Just fucking wait for it. College football starts at 11 today, so in 10 minutes with Navy and Oklahoma. There's been some good live betting opportunities in those kind of games,

so we'll look. So let's see. Tomorrow, Chargers and Patriots. I would expect our boy to get back to catching here. Ladd McConkie over 70. I would also – who's our other dude that we like is he playing or is he hurt our friend that we like from the chargers um i would also consider lad mcconkey first quarter receiving yards tomorrow so lad is 15 and a half that dude just makes catches he rules uh let's see here. Denver and the Bengals.

I mean, the season on the line, there's no reason to not take Jamar to ball out. There's no reason to not take Joe to ball out. And you should also consider the receiving yards, if not the receptions for Chase Brown. They fucking love to throw to the running back out of the backfield. So the receptions for Chase Brown is three and a half. I'd consider that or just take the 26 and a half yards they love to throw to Chase Brown out of the backfield and the other thing about the Chargers that's or not the Chargers but the Bengals it's fun is there's a bunch of guys whose names you don't know but then they'll just sneak up and they'll get their yards like Mike Gusecki who

obviously had his better days in the past but Gusecki at 24 and a half, he can get you a couple catches. Andre Iosevas is a solid guy to take to get a couple of game two. So those are some guys to pay attention to, but Chase Brown catching balls out of the backfield is awesome. Also, there has to be a bounce back. This is a huge game for the Rams. So there has to be a bounce back for Puka. If not Cooper Cup, who probably won probably won't who knows but Puka 86 and a half he's got to have a bounce back he's got to what other choice does he have also a good guy to take for one big catch is 2-2 Atwell from the Rams he might only catch it once so you got to bank on that being you know like a screen that goes for 15 or something his number is 14 and a half so

keep an eye on that one and after a bad game for Stafford, his number's at 232. He's got a sling, and you've got the Cardinals looking to play spoilers. So these are three games. And the Rams situation is intriguing, too, as it lines up with Seattle. Seattle can still win the division, but it would come down to the fifth tiebreaker. So let's look at the Seahawks playoff scenario um it's crazy so basically they have to to hope well they won last night so that keeps them alive all right so uh so the win over Chicago didn't do much for the Seahawks Seattle's only path

into the postseason is winning the NFC West and the most direct path is a loss Sunday by the first place Los Angeles Rams against Arizona and a Seahawks victory over the Rams the following week. A loss by the Seahawks against the Bears would not have changed that scenario. However, what the win did was keep the door open for a tiebreaker scenario that the Seahawks are a long shot to be on the positive side of. Seattle now has a chance to still be in postseason contention at the end of the week, even with the Rams win over the Cardinals. The Seahawks would still need to beat the Rams next week. In that scenario, the teams would finish tied for first and in a deadlock in the NFL's first four tiebreakers. And from what I

understand, it's been a long fucking time since it's come down to a fifth tiebreaker. The fifth tiebreaker criteria is strength of victory. In other words, the combined winning percentage of the opponents each team has beaten. The Rams currently hold a sizable advantage in this tiebreaker and can clinch it this week if Minnesota, Buffalo, San Francisco, Washington, Cincinnati, and Cleveland combine for at least three and a half wins. A tie would count for one half of a win. Are you following me, Eddie? You keeping up? So if Los Angeles gets a win or ties Arizona and receives the combined win total it needs from the teams listed above, the Seahawks will be eliminated from the playoffs

this week. According to NFL.com, the Seahawks win over Chicago increased their playoff odds a whopping 2%. It is now 16%. So that would indicate that there's about a 2% chance they will overcome the Rams advantage in the strength of victory tiebreaker. So basically they have to hope the Rams lose, then they beat the Rams and then they get in. If the Rams lose to the Cardinals next week season finale between Seattle and Los Angeles is a de facto NFC West title game. I feel like that's happened multiple times in history that the Rams and Seahawks play the final game of the year for a playoff spot. It happened once. Did that happen? It happened one of the Sam Bradford years and I think Seattle

beat them. Was that the year? Was that the beast mode year? Beast quake, maybe? If the Rams win or tie against the Cardinals and Minnesota, Buffalo, San Francisco, Washington, Cincinnati, and Cleveland combine for at least three and a half wins this week, the Rams clinch the division. If the Rams win or tie and Minnesota, Buffalo, San Francisco, Washington, Cincinnati, and Cleveland do not combine for at least three and a half wins. The Seahawks will still be alive and have a chance to win the division entering next week's slate of games, but they will need a number of other games to go in their favor.

This is bonkers. So essentially what they have to hope for, it's not essentially, they really need the Cardinals to beat the Rams this week. There you go. Boy, what a terrible game that was last night, though. Anyway, more to come.