The Josh Innes Show - Prop Til' You Drop!!

Episode Date: September 26, 2025

It's time for every degenerates favorite segment.... Let's take a look at our favorite props from every Week 4 NFL Game. Keep in mind, this is info that benefits you Fantasy players as well.. Learn... more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:25 All right, let's do our best here to do a prop to you drop. I'm just going to scroll through. I haven't had a chance to write these out. I didn't do it last night because I looked, and a lot of them weren't available yet, a lot of the props. So I'm just kind of kind of go with it as we go and see if anything stands out to me. So I've got the old Fandul app pulled up and we're ready to go. Hey, by the way, did you know that the 27th is a sports equinox? You don't get those very often, do you?
Starting point is 00:00:50 It's a sports equinox. Thanks, Fanduel, for letting me know that. But let's take a look at the prop bets for the weekend in the NFL. and we'll see which ones are available, and we will do that after these words. Hit pause on whatever you're listening to and hit play on your next adventure. This fall get double points on every qualified stay. Life's the trip. Make the most of it at Best Western. Visit bestwestern.com for complete terms and conditions.
Starting point is 00:01:19 All right, we will start with the Bills and the Panthers. So as we noted, the Bills are a seven and a half point favorite. I really hate the Bills as it relates to. prop bets. I'm just not a fan of theirs. Also, by the way, hysterical, I'm looking at the yards here. Let's see, receiving yards. Here we go. Okay, it's available. I would take Tet McMillan from Carolina over 55 and a half yards. Now, I know what you're saying. Josh, Andy Dalton is the quarterback. One thing that Andy Dalton knows as a professional quarterback that's been around the game a long time, you get the ball to the best players possible. The guy did it
Starting point is 00:01:56 with A.J. Green in Cincinnati. Like, Andy Dalton knows what to do with good football players. He may not be great, but he knows the idea. I'm going to take the receiving yards for Tett McMillan over 55.5. What are his receptions? Four and a half. That's not bad either. Do I think Ted McMillan could get four catches or five catches?
Starting point is 00:02:22 I think he can. Let me see here. Let me see what he's done so far during the season. He's had some pretty epic games. So let's see, Tett. So the last two games, he's had three catches, and he's only had 33 and 29 yards. Before that, 73, 62, 48. Maybe I'm stupid, but I think a pro can get him the ball, and I think Tett's going to have a good game against Buffalo.
Starting point is 00:02:44 I am going to take Tett McMillan to have over 55 and a half yards. Jets and Bengals, there's always solid play in going with my man, Jemar Chase. His number in this game is going to be 85 and a half. I worry only because the Jets defense isn't terrible. How about his receptions? Over seven and a half. My God, that's a gigantic number. There are no props up for the Jets as far as receivers go.
Starting point is 00:03:14 And there are no props for the Jets. Really, there are no Jets props at all in this one. So I'm just looking at guys that make sense in terms of the Bengals. You know, maybe there could be a case to be made for Chase Brown's receiving yards. Let's see what Chase Brown has done. Like, he's a guy used to take a lot. Let's see what his receiving yards have been the last couple of weeks. Minus eight and seven.
Starting point is 00:03:38 But before that, he had seven catches for 21, three for 31, four for 17 for Chase Brown. You know, maybe he's a play because he's going to, here's the thing about Chase Brown. He's going to catch two or three balls in the game. It's a matter of how far he goes with each of his opportunity. opportunities. And like, Jamar's going to ball, I would think. But the Jets can kind of play some D and I'd worry about that number. Maybe Chase Brown over 13 and a half receiving yards. He's due to have a better game. Going, you know, before the last two weeks, he's been money to hit that pretty much every week. If you look at his receiving yards, 21, 31, 17, 18. So he had a four game stretch where he hit that. So four out of seven games, he's gone over 13 and a half. Chase Brown, the running back is the guy I'm looking at there. Bears and Ravens, let's take a look. Lamar's number is up, so Lamar is probably going to play. I think Caleb has a good game, and for no other reason, because Baltimore's defense is terrible.
Starting point is 00:04:36 You look at some of his receivers, he's got great playmakers. DJ Moore's been down the last couple of games. He's an interesting one because his numbers were huge, and then it kind of tails off. Now, he's been dealing with injuries, he's been fighting injuries, so I don't know what's going to happen. I know that Moore's missed some practice time as well, so I'm not positive. But DJ Moore, when he plays, generally speaking, is going to get to that number. And some days, he's going to have epic numbers. But if you look at it, 43, 42, 38, 21, 46, he's a guy that's going to give you at least three to four catches a game. I may live to regret this because of dealing with
Starting point is 00:05:15 injury, but assuming health and assuming he plays, I'm going to take DJ Moore over 38.5 because that is a very small number for DJ Moore. Also not available on this site is the number for Luther Burden. I don't know what the issue is with Luther, but we'll see. But I like that number of 38.5. If DJ Moore plays, if he's healthy, I like that number. Let's see, the Browns and the Patriots. I love taking passing yards for my man, Mack Jones.
Starting point is 00:05:42 Or sorry, Drake May, when I say Mac Jones, look at me. Although I do like Mac Jones as well for the 49ers. but Drake May is at 220 I don't know if he'll have to throw for that much but I like that number I like Drake May a lot May is one of these guys again who's been kind of a reclamation he's not really a reclamation progress
Starting point is 00:05:59 or a project because no one has cast him aside yet he's still a young guy it's not like he's bounced from team to team so he's not like a Mac Jones but if you look at his numbers 222-261 273 203-203-28 guy generally is going to give you two passing touchdowns and over 200 yards.
Starting point is 00:06:19 I'm going to take my man. I don't know how much they're going to have to throw. Maybe Cleveland gives them a little fight. Maybe we're overvaluing New England a little bit because they've won four in a row. That's very possible. I'm going to take over the 220 for Drake May. Let's see what they got available for the Texans and the 49ers here. That's another interesting one.
Starting point is 00:06:38 You know who it was a no-show in his first game back was Kittl. So one would imagine that Kittle will have to have some decent game today. Another guy I love is just taking receptions and receiving yards for Christian McCaffrey. His number is five and a half. And I think the Texans are going to be able to get after them. So they're going to have to throw some stuff. First of all, they just throw it to McCaffrey anyway to get him the ball. But if you look at McCaffrey's receiving yards, it's 43 and a half.
Starting point is 00:07:03 Look, I would take the over in that because I think they're going to have to throw a lot of short stuff because I think the Texans are going to be able to get to them. The Texans defense can still wreak some havoc. And they're going to have to throw stuff to McCaffrey and get him involved in the passing game. I like that. 43 and a half for McCaffrey. Kiddles at 53 and a half and I'm fairly certain he had zero last game. So he's going to have to get going and that kind of falls into that category of if teams are going to be able to get pressure, you're going to have to get rid of it quick.
Starting point is 00:07:29 McCaffrey and Kiddler are both solid for me in that game. As far as the Texans go, is there anybody that I find appealing? I mean, I guess you could look at, you know, I like Dalton Schultz. I don't know if I like him in this game, but if you look at Schultz receiving yards, it's at 45.5. Their weapons are short. I don't know what the status is of Nico. I know he had the concussion. Shultz is a solid play. What are his receptions? Five and a half for Shultz. That's a big number for his catches. But 45 yards isn't terrible. So I'd consider Shultz. They like to throw to him. Let's see here. So we'll move on from the 49ers and the Texans and we will move to the Dolphins and the Falcons. My man, London. Let's see what the number is for London in this
Starting point is 00:08:14 game. First of all, we'll look at the player passing. Two is numbers down to 196 and a half. My God, like I have him in my 4,000-yard passers. He didn't have a chance in hell. They're probably going to be playing from behind. My question is whether or not they take him out. My other question is, who the hell does he throw to? He's got Waddle still. They've been, you know, they've got what's his name, the tight end that they brought in. But I don't know, man. Drake London's got a relatively small number for what he does, so I like Drake London. His reception numbers a little high. Kyle Pitts number's a little high. Look, Jalen Waddle, over four and a half catches kind of stands out. I can see him getting into five catches. A. Chan, I'm also a big
Starting point is 00:08:58 fan of his receiving yards usually. His number's 31.5. They'll check it down a lot. They use him kind of like McCaffrey as well. They have a lot of design passes for him. It's hard for me to not take two at a throw for 196 and a half. It's just hard for me to not do that, no matter who the past catchers are, although they may just yank his ass because he's been terrible. Giants and the Eagles, what we see
Starting point is 00:09:20 last week, is that more of what the Eagles are going to start doing? I don't know. But I will actually take Jackson Dart on the road to throw for 200. I think they've kind of figured out a little something with him, maybe, but I also think the Eagles are going to beat the shit out of these guys. Perhaps the Giants just died, like they were
Starting point is 00:09:36 feeling decent about themselves, or about to get to have one game within 500 and then collapsed. So I would look at those passing yards. Let me see what the passing total is for Jalen. 204 and a half. Like I wonder if this is what they've solved. Like this is what we have to do. We got to stop force-feeding the ball to Sequin
Starting point is 00:09:54 and get the ball out to our receivers and let the running game follow. I don't know if that's what they're going to keep doing. But if so, you know, 204 yards seems like a relatively easy one. Although I think there's a very strong possibility that they're up huge in this game and throwing the ball isn't really an important factor in this game. So that's important. Tampa's at the Saints. It was a terrible game for my man, Baker.
Starting point is 00:10:18 Let's see what his total is. His is 245. I think Spencer, I think Rattler can throw for 2.10. They seem committed to keeping him in, so they're not going to put in the rookie. Spencer could get to 2.10 and a half. That's kind of what he does. They're at home. That's a good scenario for him, I think.
Starting point is 00:10:34 Kate Otten's been getting some more action for Tampa lately as well. His number is four and a half in terms of catches. In terms of receiving yards, it's 39 and a half. And I always take Ibuka, man. The dude's a beast. What's just total reception? Five and a half. I'll take 75 and a half for he, Boca.
Starting point is 00:10:49 I love that guy. So he's another guy. Tess Johnson's been fun too for them because, you know, a lot of guys have been out and Tess has been getting more action. So I keep an eye on Tess Johnson as well. Let's see, Titans and Colts. Are we at a point now where we actually like to take the passing yards for Cam Ward? Cam Ward's number is
Starting point is 00:11:08 206 and a half They're going to be down They're going to be trailing They're on the road Could he throw for 206 maybe Will Daniel Jones need to throw for more than 235 and a half Look if he wants to sling it on these guys
Starting point is 00:11:21 He'll be able to sling it all day So I like Daniel Jones Cowboys at Broncos I really hate the offense for Denver a lot So I'm not going to screw with that I will take whatever Dax's passing yards are 251 and a half I'll take Dack
Starting point is 00:11:35 What are the receiving yards for like Ferguson? Where's my man, Jake Ferguson? Let's see. Jake Ferguson, over 40 and a half, I'll take that. CD Lamb total receptions. What are CDLAM's total receptions? Five and a half, I'll take CD to have six catches. I might like George Pickens to have three and a half.
Starting point is 00:11:53 I love that offense. So prop bet wise, they're much more enjoyable than the Broncos, who are almost impossible to watch. Packers and Steelers, without even looking at it, I'm taking the receiving yards from Jalen Warren, because Jalen Warren is my guy. assuming that's available on here, unless he, there he is. Let's see, player receiving yards. Jalen Warren's receiving yards are 20 and a half. I'll take that. Don't need to look at anything else there.
Starting point is 00:12:16 I'm a big Jalen Warren receiving yards guy. And then Monday, the Chiefs, I will take a look at Travi and see what Travis' receiving yards are in this game, and I will probably take them because they seem to have kind of rekindled their connection a little bit. He's making a couple of catches a game. They tend to be for a lot of yards. over 42 and a half for Travis Kelsey, I will take that.
Starting point is 00:12:38 And there you go. That is prop till you drop.

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