The Josh Innes Show - Prop Til' You Drop Week 10

Episode Date: November 10, 2024

Better late that never! Here are your Week 10 NFL prop bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Battle of Ontario is on, and FanDuel's your home for live betting the series. With features like live SGPs, build a parlay any game, any period. Or stack multiple matchups onto one slip with Same Game Parlay Plus. What's better than playoff hockey? Overtime playoff hockey. Get more from the game with live overtime markets. Download FanDuel today and get more with North America's number one sportsbook. Please play responsibly. 19 plus and physically located in Ontario. If you have questions or concerns about your gambling or the gambling of someone close to you, please contact Connex Ontario 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor free of charge. The following was recorded from inside an ice plunge.

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get wine wasted like crazy you were hammered last night well the difference is i drink wine like i drink beer so everything gets consumed really fast and it's a whole pain in the ass so annihilated like hammered last night well i i'm aware i don't remember much of anything my plan was to do the prop to you drop uh last night and i didn't do prop to you drop last night because i passed the fuck out last night. By the way, if you guys are interested, we save our wine bottle, like the corks from the wine bottles. Well, in our case, some corks, some twist-off tops. And the top of the box from the Boda box, which is four bottles of wine if you drink the whole baggie. We are at 105 bottles of wine consumed.

And that's just when I started counting. I thought it was 108. It might be 108, either way. Maybe it's 108. Doesn't really matter. It's a lot of bottles of wine. It's like one every three days. And that's when we started counting.

There were other days, I'm sure there were other bottles of wine we had before I decided to start keeping up with all of them. So we've had a lot of wine this year is what I'm trying to tell you. And we're going to try to finish strong. Maybe we're just going to go ham in this last month plus, month and a half. We're just going to

just get fucked on everything and say, you know what? The world's fucked me for the last three months. So let's get nuts and let's drink all the wine we can have and see how the party can end. And this is the best time of year for drinking wine. It's cold out. It's a nice red wine time.

You know, this is wine season. These are facts only. We did buy the Martha Stewart Chardonnay. That's a white wine. So that would be, we have to get another white because we can never drink. That's our problem is like, you just do a bottle a night. But then we like have one bottle and we're like, hmm. It's on now. so we always need to make sure there's at least two that's why the boda boxes work well for us we are absolute stone cold deadlock degenerates gambling wine drinking

sons of bitches now um and beer tonight now it's 5 30 central so the lsu game is going to start in probably about a buck 15 or so so i'm going to the LSU game's going to start in probably about $1.15 or so. So I'm going to get this done. I'm going to give you guys the prop bets, the prop to you drop for the NFL for the weekend. Hopefully here in the next eight minutes, this dickhead Carson Beck, who I was doing live bets on,

I need one of the bets with him. I need him to throw for 236. That doesn't look like it's going to happen, but I also had 202.5, so he needs about 40 yards for me, so they need to throw for some happen, but I also had 202 and a half. So he needs about 40 yards for me. So they need to throw for some here, get the fucking ball back and do it again. Georgia, by the way, not good at football. Even if they rally and win this game, I don't think Georgia's good at football. Georgia blows. So their quarterback sucks. Carson Beck is terrible.

Everybody trying to tell you that Carson Beck is the shit. Carson Beck is not the shit. By the way, this drive here has taken them nine minutes. You are two scores down. This drive has covered like the last four, really the last couple of minutes of the third quarter, and so far all of this quarter. You're still down 12, you fucking dopes. What are you doing, Georgia?

You still need to get the ball back assuming you score here shit god damn it Carson Beck I think this Carson Beck really fucked up not going to the league when like they were the hot team and everyone thought he was great because he kind of blows not kind of he's terrible like they are awful Georgia is so now what they're are they gonna I'm assuming they're going to go for it here on fourth and ten. They're not going to get it. And then what's going to happen here is Ole Miss is going to run the clock out

on me probably, and then they're going to bend me over. Just like I was – I've already been bent over by Phil Moffa today. Phil Moffa, who's the running back from Clemson at halftime, they were down 7-0 at halftime, and it was almost even money for him to score a touchdown. He has scored six touchdowns in the last three weeks, so I said, why not? There's an interception.

You suck, dude. You are fucking, you blow, and I can say that because your dipshit ass is getting paid to play now. You fucking suck, dude. You suck ass. So now I got, you got to get the ball back in the next eight minutes and throw for another 40-something yards. My God, you suck ass so now I got you got to get the ball back in the next eight minutes and

throw for another 40 something yards my god you suck like like you are absolutely right this dude last year he missed it I mean he should have gone out there and said it's on now baby I'm getting paid and like some poor NFL team right now could be watching this misery this could be like the Redskins or something this year or the commanders or whatever it is but instead he comes back for another year to play for the he's a shit stain is what he is also Michigan has cut it to two I told you on the pod yesterday Michigan plus 14 and a half it's still Indiana may win. They're still Indiana. That's the thing, man. 14 and a half points that like, I've heard people say, if you took, uh, if you took the players wearing the

Indiana uniform and put them in Michigan uniforms, uh, they'd be favored by a billion. If it doesn't matter in like, first of all, I didn't buy that. There's still Michigan. Now, Michigan's not very good, but it's still Indiana. They're all hyped up. They're playing at home. It's still Michigan. They're not great. They've had a mess at quarterback this year. But the idea that Indiana should be 14.5 point favorite over a blue blood program, I don't buy.

And it turns out I was right. I didn't bet it, but I was right about it. Same with Vanderbilt, I think is down seven. Now they were a six and a half. I don't know, probably like the SEC network or something like that. But they're down. I think that's at halftime though. I think I might be wrong. Might be a little after halftime, but either way, the like I said, Vanderbilt plus six and a half they were down I think 14-0 earlier in the game so we'll see but

I told you oh is it my bad okay I'm dumb I looked at the clock wrong my phone is really delayed on some of this shit my phone is acting like a dickhead so yeah oh no it's 21-7 okay so yeah things really picked up.

My phone was way off. So, now Vanderbilt, I was going to get in on them plus 13.5 live, but I didn't do it. Either way, that's where we are in college football, and I also need Shadur Sanders to throw for some more yards. I got him at his yardage I needed was 311. He is currently at 226. Which of these games would you like to have on in the background?

Georgia. Put Georgia on because that's the closest to my demise at this point because I need Georgia to get the ball back and throw for some yards and probably get it back again and throw for some yards. And they're down by 22 points. Or around 12 points. They're down 22 to 10. This is an outrage.

This whole thing is an outrage. I'm disappointed in this. Fortunately, I've got enough time to get a little buzz on before the LSU game. I'm wired up over that. We're ready to go. Baton Rouge is probably rocking right now. I wish I was there. They were rocking for game day.

There was a lot of suck that tiger dick bitch on the ESPN this morning. And I'm going to guess if LSU ends up winning this thing tonight, I'll probably do another pod for you guys to consume early on Sunday morning. If they lose, I might also do a pod because I'll be angry. Either I'm going to be really happy or very disappointed in life. Carson Beck, you suck. I hate you. All right, if you're ready to win some real cash during the basketball playoffs, you've got to check out Pick 6 from DraftKings.

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All right, let's look at some of the prop bets for this weekend. Prop till you drop. We will start with the Giants and Carolina. Oh, that's early. I should have put in something for that game. Oh, I forgot. forgot yeah same so um I think Carolina is going to win the game and I'm going to say Chuba Hubbard to score a touchdown now Chuba uh wow look at that stat Georgia's won 52 straight versus teams other than Alabama holy shit that's bonkers and Ole Miss has never beaten a team that's in the top two of the Associated Press I think is what that said so the next seven minutes is going to have some real

hijinks here by the way Carson Beck 12 picks in the last six games you suck Carson Beck and you're weird looking and I hate you give me the Chuba Hubbard three receptions in this game easy. Now, the other thing about Chuba, it's plus money for him to score a touchdown, and he's their touchdown maker. So we shall see. I don't know that George is ever going to get the fucking ball back either. Another one you can never go wrong with is taking Malik Neighbors just for his catches. As we learned, he doesn't necessarily go anywhere, but he'll catch 100 of them.

Well, I have that written down, too. I've got malik over six and a half catches that's also like i think that matters if lsu wins because if it's a good game what happened the last time there was an lsu receiver overseas that was playing on a sunday morning and they had the big win over old miss brian thomas jr did nothing so if malik i think you're wrong on that i'm not wrong that is the game that he did nothing. Oh, it's Jacksonville. They played multiple games overseas. Because he also had a big game when we were leaving Arkansas after they beat Arkansas. And he had some yards.

That was our theory. He stayed up too late watching the LSU game. Got all hype when they beat Ole Miss. And then didn't perform the next day. So depending on how this game goes, it may be how Malik goes it could be but six and a half catches he had no catches in one target at halftime of their game last week I think he ended up with eight or nine catches but for only 50 something yards so you're not guaranteed to get you know an explosive play out of him but literally the only thing that their dingus

quarterback has going for him is he can throw it to Malik 15 times a game. I think he leads the league in targets per game, too. All right, New England's at Chicago. I'm going to keep it simple again. DeAndre Swift, I want to say he scored in like four or five straight games. He's also plus money to score. So I'm going to take DeAndre Swift plus 110 for the anytime touchdown. And then I'm going to take, oh, look at Jackson Dart.

He's about to house one here. So, Georgia, you're dead. Just get the ball back with as much time as possible and at least throw it for 40 yards, you pricks. And then I'm going to take DeAndre Swift. And just so you know, as I read these, when something happens on TV, I'm going to comment. DeAndre Swift did not have a touchdown last week.

I had to check that because I played him last week. Oh, he's had like four of the last five games he's had. Yeah, until last week. Are you sure he didn't have a receiving touchdown last week? No, he did not. Okay that because I played him last week. Oh, I thought he's had like four of the last five games he's had. Until last week. Are you sure he didn't have a receiving touchdown last week? No, he did not. Because I bet him. He cost me one. So I'm going to take Swift to have a touchdown and Swift over 93.5 rushing and receiving

yards combined. I think Komet's got to do something. He had like one catch last week and zero catches before that. And what happened? Those are the two weeks the Bears have really fallen off a cliff. So you're at home. Throw it to Cole Komet. Is his name right? Cole Komet?

Yeah, I think so. Kevin Komet? I don't know. Keith Komet. All right, we're going to go Buffalo and Indy. I'm going to hop back on the Flacco Express and say he's going to throw for over 228.5. He can't be as bad as he was.

They're at home. There's no way he can be nearly as bad as he was they're at home there's no way he can be nearly as awful as he was in the game last week i'm taking joe flacco over 228 and a half passing yards i am taking khalil shakir's receiving number which i think is like 65 ish somewhere in there so i would go with that 61 and a half yes all right so that's what we're looking at there for the bills shahir shakir shakira shakira uh minnesota is at jacksonville which gives you prime opportunity to see two nflsu studs um i'm gonna take justin jefferson wait maybe because one's got to catch passes from mac jones oh that's right they're back oh. Oh, yeah. Okay. So I'm going to say

Justin Jefferson over 92 and a half receiving yards and Justin Jefferson over six and a half receptions. Jefferson's been a fucking psycho the last four or five games. I think he's been over 100 or damn near at 100. I think four games in a row. He's catching a ton of balls. We are going to take Justin Jefferson over yards. Justin Jefferson over receptions. Give me the Mac Jones 6.5 rushing. Mac Jones 6.5 rushing.

That's about all he can do. Denver is at Kansas City. I'm going to go with the Bo Nix interception. As you know, I believe that Bo Nix sucks. I believe the Broncos really suck. I'm going to go with the Bo Nix interception. As you know, I believe that Bo Nix sucks, and I believe the Broncos really suck. So I'm going to take Bo Nix interception. I am going to take a Kareem Hunt touchdown, and I'm going to take a Travis Kelsey over 57.5 receiving yards.

I don't understand how his receiving yards continue to be so low. I mean, it seems like he and his boy have a very special union happening again now. So I'm not going to overcomplicate things. Well, especially now this week, they're going to be so focused on DeAndre, they're probably just going to leave Travis the hell alone. They may. Again, that's four or five catches.

He's going to get five or six catches more than likely. So you get one big one, and you're looking at an over there. So over 57.5 for Kelsey. Kareem Hunt touchdown and Bo Nix interception. I agree on the Kareem Hunt touchdown. There's also an interesting one on DraftKings where you can take either Patrick Mahomes or Bo Nix to score a touchdown. And it's plus 150. And I can see them both scoring touchdowns, so I would take that.

There you go. All right. Atlanta at New Orleans. I don't know why I'm doing this, but here's what I think. both scoring touchdowns so i would take that there you go uh all right uh atlanta at new orleans i'm i don't know why i'm doing this but i here's what i think i think you're gonna have the saints motivated now that they got their shitty coach whacked i don't want to see them win i want them to lose every game i don't know why any fan of the team would want them to win any games right now but uh i'm gonna go i'm gonna say they're to play well at least early. And I'm going to say Derek Carr over 197 and a half passing. And I'm going to take Kirk Cousins over.

Like, this feels like a layup. Kirk Cousins over 235 and a half. Like, come on, dude. I know that the Saints played well against them the first time. The Saints are broken. They still suck. I don't care that they've got a coach that's having them play fun music at practice now.

They still suck. So I'm going Derek Carr over 197.5 and Kirk Cousins over 235.5. Who's our guy that we like to take for longest catches? Darnell Mooney. I think he's probably going to rack up some yards, maybe his longest catch I might take. Keep in mind the Saints, and now they didn't have him anyway, but Marshawn Lattimore got traded,

and they're dealing with injuries too. There's going to be, look, Kirk, to me, the play of the weekend is probably Kirk to throw for 250. Like, what are we doing here? I also always like Alvin Kamara's receptions, even though it's five and a half. I think he'll probably easily get that. And the Foster Moreau two catches is always in play.

A touchdown for him kind of comes into play as well um we will now look at San Francisco at Tampa again this is one of those keep it simple stupid plays my man K-Dot and all he does is catch balls from Bakey over 56 and a half that's another one of those all day like if I think that Kirk throwing for over 240 is like the play of the weekend I would also say that K-D Otten to have over 56 receiving yards is right up there as well. I assume Baker is playing. I know there was some doubt about that.

Well, I guess that's important, but I think he's playing. I think he's playing. Everyone's going to say Christian McCaffrey touchdown, but how up to speed is he? So maybe you go the other way and you take the Jordan Mason, Ted. Could be. That's not bad uh Pittsburgh is at Washington I think Pittsburgh is going to win the game and I think my man Rusty Wilson is going to throw for over 216 and a half and I believe that Nosh is going to rush for over 63 and a half I think like three of the last four games

especially since they've made the move to Rusty. Naj has been finding places to run because they actually have a quarterback they're afraid may throw the ball. So Najee Harris over 63 and a half rush and Rusty Wilson over 216 and a half passing yards. I like George Pickens, 65 and a half. He and Russ seem to like each other.

And I am also a big Austin Eckler receiving yards fan. And I believe Brian Robinson is out again for the commanders. And Eckler was good without him last week. Says he's the main guy. So I will again go with Austin Eckler. Also, I'm excited that Miami lost today. I did get in on a live bet on that for the passing yards for Cam Ward, which he easily got to. But I'm excited that Miami lost.

Miami, here's a stat. They were 3-0, and they were down by double digits in the second half of games this year. You can't keep living like that, you putzes, and now you take the L. All right, Tennessee is at the Chargers. My man who continues to play better every week is Justin Herbert. Again, keep it simple. Over 230.5 in that one. And I'm going to keep riding this one just because the value is so good. Nick Westbrook-Akene. NWI, they call him. Is it four weeks in a row he's

scored a touchdown? I think it's five. So all the dude does, he's got like 10 catches or something on the year. And all he does is catch touchdown passes. So I'm going to go Nick Westbrook, a Keeney who, uh, let's get the official number on that. He's only got four touchdowns. So it's been four weeks in a row, four weeks in a row. He scored a touchdown. One of those weeks he had one catch.

It was a touchdown. One of those weeks he had two catches. One was a touchdown. The next week, two catches. One of them was a touchdown last week, two catches. One of them was a touchdown. Last week, five catches. One of them was a touchdown. So he doesn't catch them in volume.

As I noted, he's only got 10 catches on the year. But four of those are touchdowns. 40% of his catches are for touchdowns. Yeah, it's hard. So it's good value, especially if you put it in a touchdown parlay. It's plus 390. It's a good one to throw in with some other guys that have lower value for tuds because then you kind of even it out nicely or you could be me who's stupid and took a kine uh tasem hill and who the hell did i play last

week that that one out of control one hit that i put a dollar on which was even low for me i don't remember the third guy but yeah i took a seven leg touchdown parlay with long shot guys last week four of them actually hit so if I and I did the math I put I re so basically I did it because it was like plus a billion for this to hit four of them hit and if I just would have took those four on their own it would have still been like plus 10,000 or something some dumb number that four of them hit oh it was a chain who's really not that much of an underdog i didn't think but yeah it was a kine westbrook kine a chain and hill tasem hill yeah tasem plus 32 well shit i took uh plus 32 60 i took uh part of that seven leg touchdown parlay i did just for a goof last week because the hope is if you can do enough goof ones like that maybe one day one miraculously hits

and then it doesn't suck that i don't have a job for at least a little bit but um one of them if I just would have taken the Taysom Hill Chuba Hubbard both of whom were in that parlay if I just would have taken both of them it was like plus 600 on its own so uh but yeah so uh that Chargers game Justin Herbert over 230 and a half and Nick Westbrook Akina kind of a long shot dark horse plus 400 I like uh Ladd McConkie 56 and a half and Nick Westbrook Akina kind of a long shot dark horse plus 400. I like Ladd McConkie 56 and a half receiving yards. You're a big Ladd McConkie broad you are. So it looks like at this very moment Georgia is going to hold

Ole Miss to a field goal so if they kick the field goal they'll go up 15 and so Georgia is going to feel like they still have a shot so we're going to need some fucking yards here from Mr. Doofus, at least to get me the lower one that I put in for him. The Jets are at Arizona.

Again, this is another one of those keep it simple ones. I know that sometimes I say the same things every week, but it's because I truly believe these things because they're solid. Garrett Wilson over five and a half catches. Remember against the Texans, it was looking like Garrett Wilson was kind of being being not phased out But like you know he had one catch in the First half then he came back and had like six

In the second half and was making big plays Garrett Wilson over five and a half catches And my man Tyler McBride Not Tyler McBride that's Ben's friend It's Trey Tyler McBride's our buddy in Houston Trey McBride Is over 48 and a half.

Over 40 and a half for Trey McBride. He's the tight end from Arizona, and he just makes plays all the time, too. I love him. I just feel like it's been a minute since Brees Hall has found the end zone, so maybe he's due. He might be. So, Jilly says Brees Hall. Philly is at Dallas.

It's Dallas week, Bo. Again, this is another keep it simple. Again, all these are simple. Like I'm not going deep. I'm not someone giving you a long shot deep plays here. Cooper Rush. I'm going to take him to throw an interception because why the hell not? Cooper Rush interception.

And this number seems absurdly low. Saquon Barkley over 88 and a half rushing yards. The dude's had over 100, I want to say, in the last three or four weeks. So Saquon Barkley over 88 and a half rushing and Cooper Rush to throw an interception. I'm with you on the Saquon. I'd throw him in for the Tud too. If Hurts' ankle is really bothering him, maybe he doesn't run it in. So I'll go Saquon this week. So we shall see. And then finally, Detroit is at Houston. I don't have anything written down because there wasn't a ton available we do know that Nico is going to play so officially playing well I mean I think so I think they've they've given him the green

light to play um I I just think that this is going to be a game that Detroit not he's not listed yet that's why it's kind of hard to do so I think Detroit is going to be able to just I think Detroit's going to win this game and I think Detroit's going to win this game and I think they're going to win it relatively easily if there's a prop bet for CJ Stroud getting hurt in the game I guess take that because I think he's going to die at some point during this season so we shall see um I'm trying to think of some of the because I didn't have anything written down for this one right back to David Montgomery who did cost me that you know $290 bet last week but that means he's due and I love my Texans but I'd also really consider Jameer Gibbs for a touchdown too yeah that's not a bad one that's a solid like look I would look at

either one of their running backs oh well we said this the other day you could take the three running backs the prime the premier running backs in this game mixon jameer gibbs and david montgomery if you put a parlay with those three guys to score i'd say you have a pretty likely chance at getting him also dac's gonna be out for the rest of the season so he gone so uh season ending surgery he's gonna have his money yes he did he's feeling good now uh so this game is how many i think i need about 40 yards passing here from this dingus to at least hit the lower um live bet that i put on him and i would break even in this fucking game which i would take how fascinating is it that georgia has not lost a game to alabama they are 52 and 0 against non-Alabama teams that they have faced.

I don't think that's a fumble. I think that's an incomplete pass. Okay, good. Anyway, so we shall see how that goes. We've got LSU coming up here in a little less than an hour. That means in about four or five hours from now, I'm either going to be really fucking psyched or I'm going to be really, really despondent. Either way, I plan on being really, really intoxicated. So that'll be good. It'll be a fun time. We're going to get all jacked up. It's been raining and terrible here and cold,

so we can't sit outside to watch LSU like we did when they beat this Ole Miss team, which, oh, by the way, is about to beat number three Georgia. This is the best game that Lane Kiffin's ever had against a top team like this. It doesn't kind of count as a night game. It's dark. See, there you go. Quit your bitching, that Lane Kiffin's ever had against a top team like this. Does it kind of count as a night game? It's dark. See, there you go. Quit your bitching, Lane. Oh, he's dead.

Fumble. Yep. That's a fumble. Yep. Okay. Never again. Never again. Carson Beck is dog shit. If you need anything you need to know anything. Carson Beck is a giant

bag of dicks. He's terrible. Georgia sucks. We've all known Georgia sucks. So Indiana currently is only up five and they were a 14 and a half point favorite. There's two minutes to go so that's going to be a cover. Oh shit I didn't realize Kansas was beating Iowa State. Well Kansas isn't terrible.

I mean I know their record is, but they've actually been solid against the – they've been solid and they've lost games late, but they're not a terrible team. Now, terrible is Carson Beck. Shadur is up to 267. What's the score? 31-20.

All right, so I still need him to throw for about 50 more yards. What a disaster you are, Georgia. I hate you, Georgia, with a passion. Dude, Carson – like every time you drop back to pass, it's like another million dollars coming off of your future earnings. You're fucking terrible, dude. He's just not good. He blows.

And they're about to storm the field here at Ole Miss. And there's no greater frontrunner than Lane Kiffin, so he should have a nice time in this one. At least he'll have to use a tiebreaker over them. That's true. That's good news. So anyway, all right, fun. Time to start drinking some beer.

We might reconvene tonight depending on what kind of mood I'm in.