The Josh Innes Show - Prop Til You Drop Week 14

Episode Date: December 8, 2024

We've got some prop bets, hot and fresh out the kitchen. Sorry I'm late. Let's win some cash. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices...

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Starting point is 00:00:00 The following was recorded from inside an ice plunge. Ah! Woo! Okay. All right. When a Coors Light is cold enough, the mountains on the can turn blue. So the next time you want a cold lager, cold filter, cold package Coors Light, just wait until those glorious mountains on the can turn blue.
Starting point is 00:00:27 It's easy to say that fast when you're freezing gold. Spring is here, and you can now get almost anything you need delivered with Uber Eats. What do we mean by almost? You can't get a well-groomed lawn delivered, but you can get chicken parmesan delivered. Sunshine? No. Some wine? Yes.
Starting point is 00:00:40 Get almost, almost anything delivered with Uber Eats. Order now. Alcohol and select markets. See app for details. All right, everybody. It is, what time is it? It is 1055 on Saturday night. I know I'm late in getting to the props, prop to your drop, but I didn't do it yesterday
Starting point is 00:00:57 because I'm, I mean, I wrote all the shit down. I went to the mall. I wrote it all out and I got all my props ready for you. You know why we didn't do it yesterday? Oh, because we went to Night Ranger. Yeah, you decided on a whim to buy Night Ranger tickets. We got a good deal. Yeah, we got a great deal on that. Dude, it was a great fucking time in a small
Starting point is 00:01:16 venue in my favorite fucking band. Let's fucking go! So that's why we did not do the prop till you drop yesterday. We had a reason. And then today we went to Springfield, Illinois. To get Italian beef from Portillo's. To get Italian beef from Portillo's. So, and then, I didn't
Starting point is 00:01:31 do this any earlier because we've been watching the college games. How about Clemson? I think Clemson's going to knock Bama out of this shit. Although Bama shouldn't even be in consideration because Alabama fucking sucks. But by Clemson basically stealing the spot now by winning the conference championship, that should be the end of Alabama, which, good, fuck them.
Starting point is 00:01:50 So my question is, so now Clemson, who was behind Arizona State in the rankings, do they move Clemson up in the rankings and then give Clemson the bye? Honestly, I don't know. I don't know, and I think the whole system's bullshit but all i know is that they initially had smu as the buy right again but the shit from last week doesn't matter like that's the thing that people talk about like people talk about these rankings like they matter because
Starting point is 00:02:16 they don't so like so the question is who gets the buy because the top four so four conference champions get ge. Georgia. I understand. Well, Georgia will get a bye. Oregon will. And Oregon will. SMU will. Or not SMU. Boise State will.
Starting point is 00:02:31 Okay. So the fourth bye, does it go to, initially they had SMU. Yes. Will it be Clemson or will it be Arizona State? Who's the lower ranked champion, Clemson arizona state whoever these slapdick group of 12 people decides gonna do it when they get together in this stupid little fucking room and pull their puds i'm asking you if you rank them who would be the lower ranked champion clemson or arizona state i would put clemson in so clemson higher than arizona state i guess i
Starting point is 00:03:02 don't know anything about either one of them and don't really care. So, I mean, I guess technically Clemson's a three-loss conference champion versus Arizona State who lost twice, right? So I guess they'll put Arizona State in there. But the fact that we have to sit here and debate this shit is stupid. It's dumb. The NFL is the most popular league in the world. Why is the NFL the most popular league in the world? You're not voting on who gets into the fucking playoffs.
Starting point is 00:03:28 There's not some group of dickheads like Gary Pinkle and the rest of these idiots that are in this stupid committee and ADs and all these other dickheads determining who gets where. That's why the NFL fucking rules, and we're sitting here wondering, oh, is Clemson going to be in ahead of Arizona State? Is SMU still going to get in?
Starting point is 00:03:44 Figure out a way to make sure you can assure that there's something that happens before the season that guarantees you get in. And you have a goal instead of having to vote on this shit with a bunch of idiots in a fucking ballroom. So fuck it. I'm just glad Clemson won. Because that means that Alabama should be out. And the fact that Alabama was even in consideration with three losses, two of which were to Oklahoma. They scored three points.
Starting point is 00:04:09 And Vandy is a sham. But anyway, all right, this will be a short pod because I just got to get through the picks here and get back to drinking more beer. And we got some beef that I had. Can you drink with your other hand there? I can. I'm going to drink with my other hand. But I'm also going to have to hold this.
Starting point is 00:04:23 You can put it on your lap. So I'm going to do all that. I guess I have to do my improv because I haven't written them out like you. Alright. So anyway, what we're going to do is we're going to play some commercials. We're going to play these commercials for you.
Starting point is 00:04:38 You're probably going to listen to this in the morning. Sunday morning probably. I think I got some hot props for you guys today. Was it last week? I mean I got some hot props for you guys today. Was it last week that I mean I was a fucking soldier either last week or the week before I was a fucking beast. I don't know what's going to happen but I feel like I've got some really solid shit for you today. I'm going to play a couple commercials. We'll motor through these. I got some beef to eat that I had on the smoker so poor man's brisket type of situation, so we'll see how that goes.
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Starting point is 00:07:10 Here's to me, this is just the most obvious thing there is. First of all, you can look at Aiden O'Connell and the dude's probably going to sling a little bit and there's probably going to be a lot of passing yards in this game. But for me, the play is Brock Bowers over 74 and a half receiving yards. He's been over 120 in two of his last three games. And here's a number for you want a couple of numbers that are fucking wild. So Bowers averages 94 receiving yards in road games and 8.7 catches a game in road games. And he has four touchdowns this year, all of which have occurred in road games and he has four touchdowns this year all of which have occurred in road games and this game is at Tampa so Brock Bowers all day 74 and a half yards you don't think he's gonna be celebrating the Georgia win a little too hard nope I don't Brock Bowers over 74 and a
Starting point is 00:07:58 half I love Brock Bowers in this game as well but I also love a Mike Evans touchdown oh I'm all about Mike Evans tuds as well all about Mike Evans tuds as well so and Mike Evans receiving yards but when I wrote these this out two days ago almost they weren't sure about Mike Evans because he's been dealing I think with like a calf injury uh so I wasn't sure what his status would be so he's obviously good to go so a touchdown from Mike Evans is never a bad thing so put that into into your consideration. But Brock Bowers, again, 94 yards per game on the road. And it's not fluky where like one game he had 300. He's just consistently just putting up big time yards on the road.
Starting point is 00:08:36 94 yards per game on the road. Almost nine catches a game on the road. All four of his touchdowns this season have come on the road. And two of his last three games, he's had over 120 plus yards. Who has he been catching passes from in there? He's been catching passes from Aiden O'Connell. Aiden O'Connell is the quarterback in this one. Brock Bowers over 74 and a half. Cleveland's at Pittsburgh. I'm looking at Posa. Again, the last time these two teams played, a lot of passing yards in the snow. This game's at Pittsburgh.
Starting point is 00:09:06 George Pickens over 71.5. Since Rusty Wilson took over the starting quarterback position, George Pickens has averaged 81 yards per game. Now, here's another thing you should also take into consideration. His long catch, he's had a long of at least 31 yards in all of these games since Rusty Wilson's been in there. So his long catch is 28 and a half in this one. He's got a long catch of at least 31 yards in each of the games in the last six games.
Starting point is 00:09:43 44, 43, 34, 37, 31, 36. yards in each of the games in the last six games 44 43 34 37 31 36 so George Pickens over 28 and a half receiving yards for the longest catch is also one that is in play yeah give me the pick in 69 and a half for sure so is that where it is now yeah it's 69 and a half yes when I looked at it it was 71 and a half so yes take yes, take the over for Pickens. I agree. All right. Jacksonville is at Tennessee. We're going to ride with Will Levis over 211 and a half.
Starting point is 00:10:11 He's hit that over three weeks in a row. I'd also look at Levis to throw two touchdowns. That value is at plus 148. I'm all on Calvin Ridley to score a Tud. It's a revenge game. I love a good revenge game. And I think Calvin Ridley gets a a tight. It's a revenge game. I love a good revenge game. Yeah. And I think Calvin Ridley gets a tight for sure.
Starting point is 00:10:27 All right. And I would also look at Nick Westbrook, a Kine who's touchdown now is down to plus two 30, like for weeks it was plus 400, but in seven of his last eight games, he scored a touchdown and he has eight touchdowns overall, by the way, that is fourth in the NFL and receiving touchdowns for Nick Westbrook,
Starting point is 00:10:44 a Kine. So, so consider him to have a touchdown. Carolina's at Philly. all. By the way, that is fourth in the NFL in receiving touchdowns for Nick Westbrook-Akene. So consider him to have a touchdown. Carolinas at Philly, I'm going to keep it simple. Saquon Barkley over 129 and a half rushing and receiving. I would also consider Bryce Young's passing yards because he's been slinging the last couple of weeks, but the Eagles are very good against the pass. This could be a game that's, look, the Eagles couple of weeks. But the Eagles are very good against the pass. This could be a game that's – look, the Eagles, the reason why they're in the Super Bowl run here is because they don't have to throw the ball to do much. They just know how to work the clock and run the ball.
Starting point is 00:11:14 And I could see a scenario where Saquon gets two or three, three, four catches for 40 yards, and he runs the ball for over 100 yards. So I'm taking over 129.5 rushing and receiving. So Goddard is out. He's on IR until probably the postseason. Devontae Smith is back, and I love Devontae Smith. I am debating either taking him for just the touchdown or his 46.5. They're going to want to get him back involved,
Starting point is 00:11:39 get him back in the swing of things. So either Devontae Smith, touchdown, and a half receiving all right Atlanta's at Minnesota Kirkland Cousins will throw an interception I understand that it's revenge game you're going back to Minnesota blah blah blah Kirk has been terrible he looks like he's got a noodle arm right now he's playing like shit I'm taking Kirk interception and I wish I knew how to quit Justin Jefferson who by the way did come through for me late last week. His number's actually higher than it's been, 83.5 at last check for me on Friday afternoon.
Starting point is 00:12:12 I'm taking Justin Jefferson over 83.5. I'm taking the Falcons money line 100%. I know you're big on that. I don't know why, but that's my thing all week. Falcons money line. Kirk's going to get his fucking body worked by his shamans or whatever in Minneapolis. Yep. Falcons are winning.
Starting point is 00:12:33 All right. I wouldn't be shocked if that happened because I think Minnesota sucks. Let's see. The Jets are at Miami. I'm going to ride with Jonu Smith, who's been a beast lately, over 49.5 receiving yards, and Devon A-Chain, over 29.5 receiving yards. He's hit that in four of his last six, and they throw him the ball three, four, five times a game.
Starting point is 00:12:56 So I'm going to take A-Chain, over 29.5 receiving yards, and I'm going to take Jonu Smith, over 49.5 receiving yards. I'm going to go with one that I've been playing all year, which is Aaron Rodgers two touchdowns. He's trying to prove that he can still be the quarterback of the Jets next year. People don't think he can. His documentary is coming out.
Starting point is 00:13:15 Oh boy. Give me Rodgers two passing tuds. The Saints are at the Giants. The Giants stink. I think what Cutlets is starting. Is it Cutlets starting? No, it's actually the other. Is it Drew Locke or Cutlets starting? I don't even know.
Starting point is 00:13:28 It doesn't matter. Who gives a fuck? It's a worthless game. I think Malik may not play, and Sexy Dexy is out. So this is a waste. No, but I'm going to tell you where it's not a waste. Jawan Johnson, the Saints' wide receiver slash tight end. I'm taking his long reception over 16 and a half yards, and I would consider taking his first quarter receiving yards,
Starting point is 00:13:52 which will probably be two and a half, three, maybe even less. A lot of times it's over 0.5, which he hits pretty frequently, but dig on this kiddos. Jawan Johnson's long catch is 16 and a half. He's had a catch of 16 yards or longer in six of the last seven games. I'm taking Jawan Johnson's long catch is 16 and a half. He's had a catch of 16 yards or longer in six of the last seven games. I'm taking Jawan Johnson over 16 and a half long reception. So just looking at this right now, they do have Drew Locke listed as a starter. And I think he could throw for 200 against the Saints because who can't? Yeah, sure. That's plus 110.
Starting point is 00:14:22 I'd strongly consider that. I'd also consider derrick carr to throw for two touchdown passes against the giants could happen because again who can't and that's plus 150 just parlay those two things and let's rock yeah so there you go all right the seahawks are at arizona i'm gonna keep riding with who i ride with and this number's higher than it's been in a long time jackson sm in Jigba, over 66.5 receiving yards, and I'm going to go with Trey McBride, over 71.5 receiving for the Cardinals. He's had 12 catches in each of the last two games.
Starting point is 00:14:58 Not averaging 12. He's had 12 catches in back-to-back games. I don't see, you know, that might be lower than it has been, but I can see him being over 71.5. I love this fucking guy. So Jackson Smith and Jigba over 66.5 receiving for Seattle, and Trey McBride over 71.5 receiving yards for the Cardinals. I like the Kyler Murray, Ted.
Starting point is 00:15:19 It's plus 265. That seems worth the risk to me. All right. Chicago is at San Francisco and San Francisco is an absolute disgrace right now but I'm going to take George Kittle over 56 and a half he didn't come close last week he had one catch for seven yards that was in the snow in Buffalo but I'm going to take George Kittle over 56 and a half and I'm going to take George Kittle's longest catch to be over 21 and a half yards that has hit seven times this year for George Kittle he's had a long catch of over 21 and a
Starting point is 00:15:52 half yards so Kittle over 56 and a half receiving and Kittle over 21 and a half longest catch I like Kittle on this one too but also I think the Bears are gonna win at least cover um and I'm gonna roll with Cole Komet's receiving yards what is it uh I took it for 25 I took it down but I think it's like 27 and a half there you go uh all right uh the Buffalo Bills are at the Rams and I'm gonna keep it simple and go Puka Nakua over 78 and a half receiving yards that has hit in three of the last four Puka's become the number one guy over Cooper Cup so 78 and a half Buffalo and the Rams it's going to be Puka over 78 and a half from what I'm seeing on this is Dalton Kincaid back uh I don't know I haven't seen the update again I wrote these out on Friday so I haven't seen anything if it's changed or not
Starting point is 00:16:43 well he's available for a touchdown but not receiving yards um oof I haven't seen anything if it's changed or not. He's available for a touchdown, but not receiving yards. Oof. I don't know. I like a Cooper Cup touchdown because Puka does all the work, but Cup gets the touch usually. Nice. There you go. And finally, the Chargers... Oh, wait. Hold on. 2-2 Atwell is available right now. If that's
Starting point is 00:17:00 the case, I take him for the 14.5. There you go. They ignore him a little bit now that all the other guys are back, but he can get you two or three catches. But his receiving yards are 14.5. What did he have last week? 39. What did he have against the Eagles?
Starting point is 00:17:14 30. What did he have before that against the New England Patriots? 21. 14.5 ain't bad. Give me the 14.5 2-2 at will. Absolutely. All right, and then finally for Sunday night, the Chargers are at the Chiefs.
Starting point is 00:17:24 I'm going back to the old tried and true again travis kelsey over 54 and a half receiving yards and i'm going to take noah gray over two and a half catches which uh he has had four catches in each of the last three games so i'm gonna go Noah Gray over two and a half catches and Travis Kelsey over 54 and a half receiving yards uh is Ladd playing if Ladd's playing I can't not take Ladd McConkie see I have none of their receivers were available on Friday when I looked at it so I just only had the Chiefs but and Ladd of course like if Ladd's available let him catch 10 balls I mean that's what's going to happen with him but uh i'm gonna go with travis's receiving yards because he's he's pretty much money and noah gray who like a lot of the world doesn't know about but this guy's gonna
Starting point is 00:18:15 get you a handful of catches as i noted four catches in each of the last three games so we're gonna go with uh noah gray three catches. Yeah, I would go McConkie. Disley did nothing last week, so maybe go back to him. But I'd probably ride with Ladd. All right, there you go. So there you have it, everybody. That is the Prop 2 You Drop picks. We're going to head over to Illinois tomorrow to put those in.
Starting point is 00:18:41 It was either last week or the week before that I was a fucking soldier as it related to the prop bets. So we'll see if that trend continues with me being a bad motherfucker. I'm sure that, look, we'll let you guys know. Maybe we'll do some drunken potting tomorrow. I'm not sure. By tomorrow, I mean Sunday. But anyway, we're going to get back to drinking. Maybe we'll watch some of the Sabrina Carpenter Christmas special. I'm weirded out by her, but I'll watch some of it. We got some meat to eat. You guys are great. We'll see you.

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