The Josh Innes Show - Prop Til' You Drop Week 3

Episode Date: September 19, 2025

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all right everybody it is time for prop till you drop one of my favorite segments ever i was trying to get this sold on the radio as well i was trying to get draft kings or somebody on but as we've talked about it is tough sledding trying to get anything in detroit on this radio show so when we eventually become successful and eventually start making money and i become a legend and a hero to everyone uh it's going to be super fucking sweet but as it stands now Ain't nobody wants anything to fucking do with it. But, all right, let's play a couple commercials, and we'll get into Prop to You Drop. Grocery shopping, cha-ching.

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Then, redeem your points on gift cards. from over 200 brands. Your idea of rewarding happens here. Conditions apply. Visit rbc.com slash ion cards. All right. First of all, I've got the Raiders and the commander skins, but none of the props are up for this game, really. No passing, no receiving this. They've got questions about Jane Daniels and other stuff. So that game, I just have to leave off the board for now. If I come up with something on that over the weekend, I'll post it. But nothing Raiders in Washington-wise. I would see a scenario, though, where I don't know what the passing yardage total is, but I think the Raiders are going to be trailing.

And that means Gino can throw the ball. And when Gino gets slinging, my man can sling it. They got receivers. They got players. Man, I'm a big Brock Bowers guy. And the Raiders are going to be in kind of a must-win mode. So I would take his passing yards, whatever the total is. I don't know.

I haven't seen it. But I would go with that. All right, Atlanta is at Carolina. Carolina stinks. We know this. I'm going to take Beijon Robinson over 24 and a half receiving yards. My man had 100 in week one. Obviously, that's not going to be the norm for the running back to have 100 receiving yards.

I get that. However, he had 25 in week two. That is a gigantic drop off. He lost 75% production. But he's a guy that most games is going to give you three to four catches. So if he's giving you three to four catches, do you think you can find seven or eight yards per in that? And I think you probably can. He can probably bust a big one in there.

I'm a big Bijan guy when it comes to catching passes out of the backfield. His total, I think, is three and a half catches, so it's right there. I'm going to take over 24 and a half receiving yards, Beijon Robinson. Green Bay is at Cleveland. Cleveland's going to be trailing in this game. I think the spread is what we talked about it earlier, six and a half, seven. Green Bay may be the best team in the NFL currently. It's very early in the season, but they're probably maybe sort of possibly.

best team in the NFL right now, so they should be on top, although it's at Cleveland, and it could be a little messy game. The guy I like the most, though, is David Najoku at over 35 and a half receiving yards. He's another guy that with Joe Flacco is going to get you three or four catches a game. They're going to be playing from behind, so you're going to be in situations where Green Bay is just going to try to avoid giving up anything long, so you're going to have dudes underneath. They're going to have tight ends, and you're going to have running backs that are going to have potential to make catches. I am huge on that. I love it when teams are down and you get what I call a running back and tight-in situation.

Clever name, I know, but it's running back and tight-in time. Like at the end of the Texans Tampa game last week, what did you get? Tampa knew nothing over the top was going to be allowed, so it was tight-ins, Kate Otten, and it was running backs, Bucky Irving time. And I think you're going to get a lot of that in this game. And I'm going to go David Najuku, over 35 and a half receiving yards. Pittsburgh is at New England. I told you, for whatever reason this week, I love running backs catching passes.

And I think that you're going to get Aaron Rogers, who likes to throw to the running backs, likes to throw to guys short because he wants to take shots. Aaron always wants to take a shot. But when those shots aren't there, if those shots are taken away, and I think if Rable could do a good job of that, I think you're going to see a lot of guys underneath. And I think Jalen Warren gives you a great opportunity at that at over 19.5 receiving yards on the season, he's got six catches for 108. so I'm taking over 19 and a half receiving yards for Jalen Warren. Here's something I never do because you know I hate unders. Now, legit gamblers would just consider me a novice because, you know, I'm the public. I'm John Q. Public and I refuse to bet unders because I hate unders because unders are boring and I hate them.

I never take unders. But in the Rams Eagles game, I am taking Jalen Hertz under 190 passing yards because dude doesn't throw. Like last week I got burned again by taking A.J. Brown, who had like 30 receiving yards, even though he caught the ball six times. They don't stretch it vertically. They really can't. They might make one big play a game down the field. But I don't trust Jalen Hertz. And if they get up in this game, they're going to sit on the ball. They're going to run the ball. And this could be a situation where in the fourth quarter, he may never throw the ball in the game. So I'm going to take under Jalen Hertz, I'm going to take over Matt Stafford, 228. But that's a risk because in the fourth quarter, if they're trailing and the eagle, sit on the ball for ten minutes. You may not get those yards, but Stafford has eclipsed

that number in each of the game so far. And I'm taking Sequan to score a touchdown. Now the touchdown vulture may steal one from him, but I think that Seaquin is going to get one. Colts at Tennessee, I may rue this and regret this, but I took Cam Ward last week and he cost me a parlay. I loved Cam Ward's passing yards last week. Flop. But here's why I like this number. I'm going to take over 198 for Cam Ward. They're going to be losing. But Indy has been one of the great stories of the first two weeks, and Tennessee's been terrible, yet

India is only a four-point favorite at Tennessee. So this game's probably going to be more competitive than you think. That's one. Two, I still think they're going to be losing for a lot of the game, and they're going to have to throw the ball late to try to make up for the deficit. So I'm taking Cam Ward over 198. I'm taking Daniel Jones to throw his first. I'm taking him. first interception of the year.

He has zero. Zero interceptions through two weeks. That will not last. It cannot last. The Titans defense, by the way, has three interceptions through the first two weeks of the year. Now, again, interceptions just could be luck, whatever. But I'm going to take an interception thrown by Daniel Jones, his first of the year. Is this his first road game? Yeah, it's the first road game for them this year as well. So on the road at Tennessee, they're only a four-point favorite. Tennessee's desperate. Cam Ward, I think, has his best game of his young career. Titans' defense gets an interception of Daniel Jones.

I will take – and I don't have a number for this because it hasn't been posted yet, at least at the time I wrote this down last night. Jets at Tampa were going to take Bucky Irving's over-receiving yards, or over-receptions, rather. That number is probably going to be two and a half, I would guess, maybe three and a half. But Bucky, as we talked about, made a lot of plays last week because they were trailing and they gave him the wide receiver or the tight-in slash running back catches. He's got 10 catches so far this year, and I don't see that trend changing. So I'm going to go, Bucky Irving, over receptions, but I don't know what the number is.

Cincinnati at Minnesota, Jamar Chase is at 69.5. You can't give me Jamar Chase at 69.5. You want to tell me that Jake Browning and the offense of the Bengals with the week to prepare aren't going to find ways to get in the ball? Like, you can give me all the respect for Minnesota's defense, and it's at Minnesota and blah, blah, blah, blah, that's fine. Jamar Chase most weeks has a number around 80-something yards, as is over under. You're giving me 69 and a half for one of the best receivers in the game, who was great with this dude last week and has played well with him when he's been in place of Borough.

I'll take Jamar over 69.5. The Texans are at Jacksonville. So Brian Thomas Jr., you know I'm a sucker for him every week. I take his long catch every week, and he hasn't hit it yet this week. year. 22 and a half is that number. Over 22 and a half for longest catch. His numbers have not been good this year. But here's what's interesting about BTJ. While his receiving numbers haven't been great, he's been targeted 19 times over two weeks. He's only got five catches on those 19 targets. It's not by lack of effort to get him the ball. So they're going to continue to try to get

him the ball. And he's eventually going to have a big play because he's too good not to. The Texans, by the way, have allowed five passing plays of over 22 yards this year. So I'm going to take BTJ over 22 and a half longest reception. Saints at Seattle, I'm going to take Spencer Rattler to throw an interception because they're going on the road for the first time. Seattle's a tough place to play. interception and I'm also going to take Rashid Shaheed over 18 and a half longest catch like that's a very low total for him usually it's 19 and a half 20 and a half

something like that I'm going to take over 18 and a half longest catch Rashid Shahid maybe Spencer Rattler gets over 207 yards because it's going to be garbage time yards it'll be like hey they're down 10 they have the ball with three minutes to go and then you get you know wide receiver tight-in catches I also love but his numbers have gone up a lot since week one, so I don't know. But he's a favorite target, so always keep an eye on that. And he's a good live target, too.

Because if Juan doesn't get a first quarter catch, which is rare, you might get him midway through the second quarter without a catch, and his total might go from four and a half catches to two and a half catches, and you might want to jump in on that. Denver is at the Chargers. I'm not going to make this thing more difficult than it has to be. Ladd-McConkey over 61.5 yards, and Ladd McConkey over four and a half catches. That's my boy. I love him.

So until it doesn't happen, I'm going to keep doing it. I didn't see any props on the San Francisco game yet. I guess they still don't know about the quarterback situation, so nothing there. Dallas is at Chicago. This will be another game where it's just points, points, yards, yards. I'm going to take Caleb, or rather, Caleb is going to have over 236. And I say Caleb, like we're buddies. And I know him.

Over 236 for Caleb Williams, over 60 and a half for Roma Dunzee receiving. And over 15 and a half for DeAndre Swift receiving. So Swift over 15 and a half receiving, Caleb Williams over 236 and a half passing, and Roma Dunezay over 60 and a half receiving. That's going to be a shootout. And Kansas City is at the Giants, and there weren't a lot of props up for this one either. But I think Travis Kelsey over 44.5 receiving yards because they must win. And when you must win, you're going to go to who you're most comfortable with.

And it wouldn't shock me if you get the one big play game out of Kelsey and he gets you over halfway there on one play. And then gets the ball two or three more times to eclipse 44.5. That is a low number, generally speaking, for Kelsey. He is cooked. He is not good anymore, but they are desperate and they have a rapport. And I think you're going to get over 44.5 easily with Travis Kelsey. And there is prop till you drop.