The Josh Innes Show - Prop Til' You Drop Week 5

Episode Date: October 3, 2025

All you gamblers and Fantasy Football players..hot off the press, I give to you week 5's Prop Til' You Drop. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices...

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Starting point is 00:01:09 Like NCIS, Tony and Ziva. We'd like to make up for own rules. Tulsa King. We want to take out the competition. The substance. This balance is not working. And the naked gun. That was awesome.
Starting point is 00:01:24 Now that's a mountain of entertainment. All righty, you have been waiting for it, and I'm going to provide it for you because that's what I do. I love you, and you love me, and we love each other. And that's because neither one of us got enough love in our childhood, and I'm going to give you prop till you drop. It is your cheat sheet for the weekend. You can use it for your fantasy teams as well, but prop to you drop, and let's do that after these words. Yeah, I have no idea why I'm on one, but it's 526 in the morning, and I'm just, I'm motoring today. Watch your price for flight.
Starting point is 00:02:05 All right, let's start with Minnesota at Cleveland. So, Dylan Gabriel is getting the start. I'm sure you've heard this because it's somehow racist that Shudor Sanders is not the starter. But Dylan Gabriel is the starter, and I think he's going to throw an interception because why not? He's making his first career start. It feels like a recipe for disaster in terms of throwing a pick. I also think that Quinn Sean Judkins, the running back from Cleveland, is going to have over 13 and a half receiving yards because what do you get out of a young quarterback that's going to probably be pressured a lot? You've got to get rid of the ball quick.
Starting point is 00:02:37 What's the best thing to do is throw to either a tight end or a running back, a little safety valve? We're going to take over 13 and a half receiving yards for Quinn Sean Judkins. Houston is at Baltimore. So the Texans, if they're ever going to have an opportunity to go to Baltimore and beat the Raven, it might be a day that there's no Lamar. If you don't do it without Lamar, you may just never win. Maybe it's just not in the cards for you. But I'm going to take Mark Andrews over two and a half catches.
Starting point is 00:03:05 Why? Because Cooper Rush is the quarterback for Baltimore. And while he's experienced, he's experienced at sucking. So if you suck, what is something you can do to move the ball? Well, you look again, safety valves, running backs. Could be a big day for Justice Hill. He could catch some passes as well. But I'm going to go Mark Andrews over two and a half catches because running backs and tight ends tend to be the beneficiaries of these kind of games like this where you get a kind of a nothing quarterback like Cooper Rush and Mark Andrews great reliable safety valve unless it's the playoffs last year when you drop that pass, huh?
Starting point is 00:03:41 Let's see, the Giants are at the Saints and you're getting Jackson Darts first start on the road. I'm going to take Rashid Shaheed over 36 and a half receiving yards. He's done that in three of the four games. And look, one thing about the Saints is their guys tend to get their numbers catching the ball. What's interesting, too, is outside of the Seattle game, the Saints have been competitive in every game. And I think they're a slight favorite in this game, which I don't think you're going to see ever again for them. Like this might be, unless they're going to play Tennessee as well, I think, this year. This might be the only chance you have like one or two opportunities to see the
Starting point is 00:04:17 Saints as a favorite. Let me make sure I'm accurate on that if the Saints are in fact the favorite in this one. Let's see here. Let's see. The Saints are a point and a half favorite against the Giants. So rookie quarterback coming into the dome. If you don't win this, you're probably looking at one win this year. Like you might
Starting point is 00:04:35 beat the Titans, maybe the Panthers. If the Saints are going to win any games, it's going to have to be a game like this. It's going to have to be a game like the Titans. It's going to be a game like the Panthers twice. Like that's where you're going to find wins. I don't know that they're going to find a win in this because maybe Jackson Dart goes out there and says sling a ling a ding-dong. But they do move the ball sometimes, and every game, seemingly, you're getting close to
Starting point is 00:04:54 like a 200, 210-type passing day from Spencer Rattler. But I'm going to take Rashid-Shaheed over 36 and a half receiving yards, rather low number for him as he tends to get into the 40s. He's also a guy that's a threat to get 25 of that on one play. And then Cam Scataboo of the Giants, once again, you get a young quarterback making his first road start. What do you look to do? You look for a guy to look for safety valves, right?
Starting point is 00:05:19 And who's a great safety valve? Cam Scataboo. Over 18 and a half receiving yards, he'll probably have two, three, four catches in the game. And he'll move the ball enough. And that'll be 18 and a half receiving. We will take Cam Scadaboo. Minnesota is at Carolina. We're going to keep this one simple and go with Tua to throw two touchdown passes.
Starting point is 00:05:37 There is no Tyreek. I would have to assume that Jalen Waddle's going to have to have a big day and pick up for some of the Tyreek slack. You know who's also sneaky, but not sneaky anymore? Would have been very sneaky had you taken him last Monday. But Darren Waller made his return to the NFL after retiring. He came back. His receiving yardage number was nine, and he ended up having like two or three catches
Starting point is 00:06:00 and a touchdown in that game. But two over one and a half passing touchdowns, rather. He's done that three times in a row. The Raiders are at Indy. Three of the last four games, Tyler Warren, has eclipsed 70 passing yards. And I think he's going to get over his number this week, which last I saw was 57 and a half. So Tyler Warren over 57 and a half. He's one of those guys that you ride him until he bucks you.
Starting point is 00:06:25 Like that's kind of what happened with me and lad McConkey. Love the dude, but McConkey hasn't been putting up the numbers lately. He was a lock. And ever since he screwed me over on a bet that I made a couple weeks ago where he would have a catch in every quarter. And so would just and or Lamar, not Lamar, Jamar, Jamar, Jamar, Wait, why am I trying to blank here? How am I, my brains, Jamar Chase. So Jamar Chase and Ladd McConkey were to have a catch each in each quarter of their respective games.
Starting point is 00:06:58 Jamar did it and Ladd didn't. And ever since then, he's kind of falling off and you're seeing other guys, Keenan Allen's putting up big numbers, Quentin Johnson's putting up big numbers, but you're not getting the big numbers from Lad. Not to say that he's never going to do it again, but like that's kind of how I am with Tyler Warren right now. I'm going to ride him until he gives me a reason not to ride him. Ladd McConkey gave me multiple reasons to not ride him, so I don't anymore. Tyler Warren, I will continue to ride your ass like Zorro, and you're going to show me the money.
Starting point is 00:07:24 Denver is at Philly. Three of the last four games, Jalen Hertz, has over 38 and a half rushing yards, and I will take him to do that again because that's the simple answer, because Jalen Hertz is the offense, because Jalen Hertz can't get the ball to anybody else. Now, the day I say this with all the drama surrounding that team, somehow this will be the week. that A.J. Brown, like, they find a way. Maybe they have to. Now, that's the argument. The argument is they have to find a way to get him involved, or he may just quit. What is his number? Let's see. I don't see a receiving number up there right now. So I don't know what it is. Whatever it is, though, perhaps you consider taking that.
Starting point is 00:08:00 Because if they're ever going to get him involved, it would have to be a day like this one. Because you've spent the whole week being the center of attention for not getting the ball. So maybe you kind of have to get him the ball. So keep an eye on that. But Jalen Hertz over 38.5. rushing yards because he is the office. You would think Sequin has to have a big game at some point as well, but Denver can be stingy defensively, so then get some pressure on you. Plays are going to break down quickly.
Starting point is 00:08:23 And I think you're going to see a lot of scrambling from Jalen Hertz, and I can see a scenario where he runs for 40, 50 yards. Let's see. The Jets are at home against Dallas. We're going to take Garrett Wilson over 62 and a half for CBN yards. He's done that four times, I believe. Has he done that all four games this year? I'm not sure.
Starting point is 00:08:40 I think three times. I think he's that three times. I like this play a lot because Dallas's defense, particularly against the pass, is abysmal. So if they're ever going to put up numbers, you know, the Jets' offense is dreadful. I mean, awful. Justin Fields is terrible. They are dreadful. So what's the remedy?
Starting point is 00:08:57 Playing the Cowboys who have one of the worst defenses in the league. And I think Garrett Wilson's a good candidate. I'd also keep an eye on Mason Taylor, who had a breakout game on Monday as well. Speaking of tight-ins, though, Dallas tight-in, Jake Ferguson, we're going to take over four-and-a-half catches because he's done that four times. I believe this year. And also, he's averaging eight and a half catches a game. And you might say, well, he's not going to do that again. Well, Pooka Koo was averaging 10 catches a game going into last night, and he had 10. Sometimes you just throw it to dudes, and that's Jake Ferguson.
Starting point is 00:09:29 So we're going to take Jake Ferguson over four and a half catches. Tennessee is in Arizona. Cam Ward, I'm doing it again because I'm broken. But the number keeps getting so low for Cam Ward that it's impossible to ignore it because they'll probably be losing. They're on the road. His number is 171.5. He's eclipsed that number in two of the four games this year. I'm going 171.5 for Cam. He's been the center of attention, the we-ass comment. I'm going to 171. At some point
Starting point is 00:09:59 the guy's going to have a ball or ass game. And maybe this isn't the ball or ass game, but you don't have to have a ball or ass game to throw for 172 yards. So I'm going to keep riding it. Cam Ward over 171.5. Tampa and Seattle's tough because we don't know the injury status of a lot of guys. We don't know the full-on health at this point of Bucky Irving. If he's playing, I'd probably take his receiving yards and his catches because he's a monster in that category. Baker, this year, three or four times, is thrown for over one and a half touchdown passes, so I'd keep an eye on that. Problem is, they're dealing with
Starting point is 00:10:27 injuries. Like, Mike Evans is hurt. Bucky's hurt, so we'll see. So I had a hard time finding anything on this game because they don't know who's going to play. There was nothing up for the Chargers in Washington either, so I'll get back to you on that. Detroit, it's Cincinnati, we're going to take a lot of offensive numbers here in this game. Cincinnati's terrible. This should be a dominant victory for Detroit on the road, but we're going to go Sam Leporta over three and a half catches. We're going to go with Jemir Gibbs and David Montgomery to each score a touchdown. So we're going with the Sonic and Knuckles special.
Starting point is 00:10:59 Amon-Ross, St. Brown, over 69 receiving yards. James and William's over 22 and a half longest reception. And Jake Browning to throw an interception. It's wild that I'm in a world now where I don't want to take good. Jamar Chase because their offense is so bad. I'm going all Detroit dudes offensively. They're going to eat today. And they're not the
Starting point is 00:11:19 kind of team that just sits on it either. When they eat, they eat heavily. They stuff their faces when they eat. So Leporta over three and a half catches, Gibbs and Montgomery a touchdown each, Amin Ra over 69 receiving, and Jamison Williams, who last week I don't think had any huge plays.
Starting point is 00:11:35 So he's due for a big play over 22 and a half longest catch. New England's at Buffalo, We're going to go with Trayvion Henderson. I think that New England's going to be trailing in this game on the road. So that's a good opportunity to throw to tight ends and running back. So Trayvion Henderson, over 16 and a half receiving yards. And we're going to take Drake May over 22 or over 224.5 passing yards for Drake May.
Starting point is 00:11:59 And that is prop till you drop.

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