The Josh Innes Show - The Best Team In The NFL?

Episode Date: October 2, 2025

After 4 weeks, what team do we think is the best? Also, we've got the updated Super Bowl and Division winner odds. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Life's the trip. Make the most of it at Best Western. Book direct and save at bestwestern.com. All right. Let's see here. Who or what? What is? Who is? Which team is the best team in the NFL right now? We are through, what, technically, I guess a little less than a quarter of the games, right? They're 17, so there's not a direct quarter like there used to be. But we're through four games in the NFL. Which teams are legit? Which teams have a legit chance to win the whole thing? Which teams are fools gold? Let's take a look. We'll do that after these words. tonight we kick off week five of the season. You get San Francisco. You talk about a team that's been beat to hell throughout the season, yet here they are still surviving. Injuries all over the place. Nobody can stay healthy. Mack Jones has been their quarterback. Yet here they are. And they're facing a team that many have circled as the best team in the NFL. The Rams who should be undefeated, but they had a kick blocked. Really, I'm not going to say they should be undefeated, but they got a kick blocked. They were up 20 points to the Eagles and they blew the game. So yeah, they got the kick blocked at the end of the game. But to blow a 20-point lead against the Eagles, maybe you don't deserve to be undefeated anyway. But we have got the Vegas odds for Super Bowl odds, conference odds, over under win totals. Let's see.

So the team with the shortest odds to win the Super Bowl right now is the Buffalo Bills. And if I could take a bet that is the Buffalo Bills or the field, I would 100% take the field because under no circumstance, will I ever bet on the Buffalo Bills? Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl because they're not going to win the Super Bowl, and I don't think they're all that great. I think they're fine. You look around the league, and I think there are a lot of teams that have much better offensive weapons than they do. They have a very short passing game as well. I like Josh Allen. Josh Allen's obviously very good, but people love to shit on certain teams about their short passing game. Well, look at the bills. The bills are just short pass and run. They're a yak team. They're a big yak team of the Buffalo Bills. They're schedule. hasn't been particularly tough. I mean, if you're looking at who the Bills have played, they had to rally to beat the Ravens, and the Ravens, as it turns out, are not very good.

Would you like to know the rest of the Bills' schedule? The Jets, the Dolphins, and the Saints, three of the worst teams in the NFL. There's a combined one win between those teams. Do the Jets actually have a win? If so, it's two wins. The Jets have zero wins, I believe. So you're talking about basically three games. against teams with a combined one victory.

The Saints are winless, the Jets are winless, the Dolphins have a win because they beat the winless jets, and you beat the Ravens who have one win. So through the first four weeks of the season, and I get you play who's on your schedule, the Bills have played four teams that have combined for one victory. And their schedule really doesn't get that much tougher through the next three weeks. They've got the Pats, the Falcons, the Panthers. I think they're better than the Chiefs because I think the Chiefs suck. But if you lined them up in the playoffs and you said, Josh, who do you think wins the

playoff game? The Chiefs are probably still take the Chiefs. Because some teams are just bridesmaid. Some teams are just not meant to win games, the big game, and maybe that's the bills. I don't buy the bills. I think defensively they're pretty solid. But how solid are you when you face the Saints, the Dolphins, the Jets? And the one team that had a viable offense before injuries was the Ravens, and the Ravens hung 40 on you.

So I don't buy the bills. But like, who do we buy? When you really think about it, who are the teams that you look at and go, oh, I buy that team? The Eagles are the second shortest odds. They're plus 550 to win the Super Bowl. So if you take the Eagles, you bet $100, you'd win $550, you'd cash out $6.50. They're over underwin total is $12.5. They're currently 4.0.

So if you think they're going to win nine of their last 13 games, I guess, would be that number, then take them over $12.5. Packers. So the Packers are interesting because the Packers after two weeks were anointed, right? Like, oh, my God, the Packers are legit. Then the last two weeks, the Packers have looked quite the opposite. They were bad offensively against the Browns, but I think it's okay to look at the Browns and say, all right, defense is pretty good because their defense, I mean, you say that,

but the Lions went out and put up 34 on them. But that was at least a relatively tight game into the fourth quarter of that game, too. But, I mean, the Lions did put 34 on the Browns. There were 10 points scored by the Packers against the Browns. So maybe the Packers aren't as good as people thought. They're another team that when you look at their weapons, like, who are the weapons? Like Dobbs is fine and some of their other guys are fine, but there's nobody on that offense that you go, holy shit, that is an elite playmaker on the offense. When you look around some of the best teams in the league, I feel like most of them at least have one guy that's an elite go-get-it type guy.

Although the bills aren't like that either. It's not like the bills have one guy that you look at and go, hey, he's the A.J. Brown, or he is the Aminross St. Brown, or he is the, you know, Keenan Allen slash Ladd McConkey of that squad. He's not the Pooka Nakuwa. So, you know, some of these teams don't have them. The Eagles have A.J. Brown, but he ain't doing anything. The Packers don't have an A.J. Brown.

The Ravens don't have that. I mean, look, you look at the Ravens wide receivers. You know, it's kind of interesting when you look at the teams that are, the current Super Bowl odds, which is also strange that the Ravens are still plus 750. And when is this from? When is this dated? September 29th. Today is the second?

So is this before the Ravens lost again? Because the Ravens certainly are not a team that you'd look at and go, yeah. What was September 29th? Was that Sunday? Because Monday, let's see, the 30th was Tuesday. Was the 29th Monday? What day is it? I'm completely, I'm just confused.

So today is the second, which means Wednesday was the first, which means Tuesday was the 30th, which means Monday was the 29th. So you mean to tell me that the Ravens, who are without their quarterback, potentially for the next couple of weeks and are one and three, you mean to tell me that the Ravens are the fourth shortest odds to win the Super Bowl? I mean, they've been going to get in at this point? They've been pretty bad. You look at the Ravens and you're not.

you go, woof? I mean, look at what they've done so far this year. Lost bills, lost lions, lost chiefs beat the Browns. Are we sure on this? And we don't know the health of Lamar. I mean, look, and maybe they'll bounce back and win some games. They're going to be winnable games. They have the Browns again.

I mean, they're going to face the Bengals without Joe Burroughs. There's probably three wins right there. I mean, there are wins on their schedule. The Vikings they can beat. I don't buy the Vikings at all. But really, that kind of shows you where you are. is that the Ravens still have the, what, fifth shortest odds? Like, this see, okay, this cannot be real.

This has to be dated. I think the dating on this is wrong. You mean to tell me you think the Baltimore Ravens have a better shot of winning the Super Bowl than the Lions, who, for my money, so far, have arguably been the most impressive team outside of week one. Since week one, the last three weeks, their offense has been humming. And they've got weapons all over the field. You could argue there's not a team in football that has more weapons top to bottom on the field than the Lions.

They don't have the best quarterback in the league, but I don't think Jared Goff sucks. I don't have Josh Allen, but I mean, I don't think he sucks. I don't know, man. Baltimore is like, so a one and three team. So they're one and three, and their quarterback's going to be out a while, and they're plus 750. They're basically the same as the, actually, they're exponentially better than the Lions. I don't buy that.

If you give me that option, I can have the Ravens plus 750 or the Lions plus 900 to win the Super Bowl, I would take the Lions all day. I wouldn't take the bills, and they're the favorite currently, and I wouldn't touch the bills. I don't trust them. The Packers, the third, like, what have the Packers done that would make you go, oh, they're the third best, shortest odds to win the Super Bowl? Like, come on. Like, what have they done? What have the Packers done when you've watched them? What have they done that's impressive? Like, cool, they put up a bunch of yards and points and tied a game against the Cowboys. Well, the Cowboys' defense is dreadful. One of the

worst in the NFL, so of course you move the ball against the Cowboys. The Giants. The Giants move the ball against the Cowboys. The Giants haven't moved the ball on anybody. Russell Wilson has been so bad at every other game but that Cowboys game that he got benched. The Cowboys defense is awful. So what have the Packers done? Well, they shut down the Lions in week one, but all the Lions have done since then is just demolished team since then, right? So what of the Packers done that makes you go, look out for the Packers?

I don't buy them right now. see if there's a good long shot on in there that's value. Although the Super Bowl odds are never good, but like the Chiefs at 10 and 1. I don't think the Chiefs are going to win it. The Chiefs are unwatchable. I hate them. I despise them, in fact. There's nothing about the Chiefs that I enjoy.

I don't like Mahomes. I don't like Kelsey. I don't like their offense. I don't like their defense. They're just tough to watch. They're tough to stomach. Every week, Travi can't get his game going and he goes to start a fight with the coach on the sideline. I hate the Chiefs.

I would not take them at 10 to 1. 16 to 1 Chargers isn't bad, but let's be real. Do you watch the Chargers and in your mind tell yourself, you know what? Chargers are going to win the Super Bowl. Or like, look at the Rams. The Rams are 3 and 1, and they're 16 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. Now, if you look around the NFC, there's only the Packers, the Eagles, the Lions are the only ones above them.

The AFC is more of the league where it seems like the competition is more. like you had the Bills, the Ravens, the Chiefs, the Chargers. So it's about the same, but I don't know, man. There's a sleeper there, right? The Rams at 16 to 1. Like, are they going to win the whole thing? Maybe not, but they've got a quarterback who has, and they've got playmakers, and their defense is solid.

The Rams at 16 to 1 and 10 to 1 to win the league? Wait, they're still plus 120. Are we sure that these numbers are current? This can't be current. Here are each team's odds to win their division, their conference in Super Bowl, as well as they're... Like, this can't be accurate. There's no way that this is the reality of where we are right now. This cannot be current.

But this story says it's from September 29th. It says the Packers coming off a tie against the Cowboys are plus 700. Like, how? How the fuck is that possible? And how are the Rams 16 to 1? And how are they plus 125 to win the division? But I guess that that's probably the best in the division, right? The next would then be the 49ers who are plus 175.

But then again, the 49ers are still 3 and 1. Now, there are a 7.5 point underdog today, and they're probably going to lose. But I guess what happens when the 49ers get their guys back? So, okay, it makes some sense. There's some sense being made here. Not a ton, but some. Boy, you want to talk about a miserable existence. The Texans are 75 to 1 to win the Super Bowl.

They're plus 700 to win the division. Contrast that with the, you want to talk about how bad that division is. Jacksonville is 50 to 1 to win the Super Bowl, but plus 140 to win the division. The Colts are minus money to win the division. Currently, they and the, the Ravens are minus 2.25 to win their division right now. That's bonkers to me. They're a one and three football team that's dealing with major injury issues and probably going to be without the quarterback, but like, imagine.

this. So Pittsburgh is currently two games up on Baltimore, all right? Baltimore has given up 133 points so far this year through four games. Their defense is dreadful. Pittsburgh, for all their issues, and I don't think they're all that great, Pittsburgh's three and one. So if this is accurate, you can take Pittsburgh to win that division. Like Cincinnati's not going to win it. They're a nightmare. There's no Joe Burrow. It's over, right? But you've got three and one Cincinnati, or three and one Pittsburgh. And Pittsburgh currently to win that division is plus 260. If this is accurate. They're plus 260. Fucking A right, I'll tell. Why not?

Like, the thing about what Baltimore would have to overcome. Like, they have to, like, they're going to lose this week. They're playing the Texans. And look, could the Texans find a way to gag that game? Sure. The Ravens are in must-win territory, but so are the Texans. When you start out 0-3, almost every game is must-win territory. If you're the Texans, and you're facing no Lamar, and we don't know what Lamar's status is, so we'll see. But if that's no Lamar, the Ravens very well could lose that and they're one and four and then you look at the Steelers

and the Steelers are about to take on the Browns and they very well should be four and one Anywho All right, let's see, more to come Thank you.