The Josh Innes Show - Week 3 Prop Til' You Drop

Episode Date: September 20, 2024

Jilly and I are about to head off to Louisiana for an amazing football weekend. That is assuming my gout doesn't kick my ass. Get ready to win some cash with this weeks Prop Til' You Drop picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The following was recorded from inside an ice plunge. Ah! Woo! Okay. All right. When a Coors Light is cold enough, the mountains on the can turn blue. So the next time you want a cold lager, cold filter, cold package Coors Light, just wait until those glorious mountains on the can turn blue.

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Yes. Get almost, almost anything delivered with Uber Eats. Order now. Alcohol and select markets. See app for details. Howdy, Jamokes. What's happening? It's Josh and Jilly.

I'm a little late on the pod today. Not that, I mean, I don't put it up at any particular time anyway, so it's not like, you know, like, hey, it wasn't there when I expected. Maybe if I did that, maybe more people would listen. I don't know. Consistency isn't our thing. Never has been. I don't know why.

It's just not my thing. I'm consistently inconsistent is what it comes down to. I've been battling a case of semi-gout. We talked about this yesterday. It's not a full-on gout because when it's full-on gout, I'm out of commission. It's usually in my left foot between the big toe and the middle toe or the second toe there, the longest toe. And I don't know, Julie, can you tell it's a little swollen in there? Can you see that?

Do you see a difference or no? I just think you always have gout, so I can't tell the difference. Well, I get that, but sometimes it hurts and sometimes it doesn't. And, uh, there's been a handful of times in my life where I've had like the most legit gout ever to the point that it feels like there's like nails being hammered into my foot. And like, like multiple times I went to the doctors thinking that my foot was broken. I don't know why it would have been broken, why it would have been fractured, but I thought it was broken. So I'd go to the doctor to see if it was broken they're like no chief you're just a lard ass that has gout now to be fair being fat is not the only thing that causes gout a lot of skinny people have got remember jp so of course you would of course

you yes obviously our friend jp and phil like i'm like talking to you like hey jp well jp is the guy that used to run the moose uh the ugly moose in Philadelphia, which is the greatest bar ever and had the best food ever. Amazing salmon with like a lemon type of lemon caper sauce and mashed potatoes and that wonderful sandwich, the Adirondack. I tell you, it was the best place ever, the best people ever, the best vibes ever. Even when there were people there who hated me, it was still fun vibes. It was a great place. Well, JP would get the gout and be like, big man, big man. You just got to take a lot of this Colchicine and into Memphis.

I'll get you some, man. Big man, you're going to shit for days, but it's going to go away. And let me tell you something. I don't want to get too graphic for everybody here, but I feel like this is more educational than, okay? So you have to deal with it. Just like when you hear ladies on the TV talking about their periods and ladies stuff all the time. This is science and health and all that. You know what it looks like when a horse takes a leak and it's just like, or like a cow takes a leak. And it's like when you're at the water park and you're in the kiddie play area.

And there's that like half bucket that's on top of the play area. and like every five minutes it fills up and tips over a bunch of water well that water is comparable to what i guess is poop but i don't know because it's coming out like it's like a shower like it's like it sounds like there's like a water just hitting the the toilet it's a it's no good but i've been chomping on all these anti-gout pills and everything else and i just bought tart cherry juice that i'm gonna drink that's a nightmare it's not terrible tasting so much but what it causes is terrible because we got tickets to lsu at 245 tomorrow we're getting on a plane at like five in the morning to fly up there or down there. And then on Sunday, we got Saints tickets

to go see the Saints and the Birds. So I'm not going to have this epic Louisiana football weekend. Good Lord willing, 2-0. Worst case, 1-1, we go 0-2, we shoot ourselves. But I'm not going to have that weekend ruined by this goddamn gout because I've had things ruined by the gout. The worst I ever had it, I think, was in Vegas that time. That was the worst.

It was Vegas or it was Destin. Both times. Oh, God. Anytime we travel. There it is. So I actually, I'll take the odds that you will be hobbling this weekend. Well, I got to fight through it. But yeah, the Destin was terrible because I had the gout and i'd walk across sand to get to place it was awful vegas was like the

first time i'd ever had it so i had no idea what it was i thought my foot was broken i'm like i guess it's a stress fracture i'm like yaoming i'm so heavy and large that just walking caused my foot to crack in half with a little tiny hairline crack, but it turns out it was gout. So prayer warriors, send your prayers up. I don't want to miss out on LSU UCLA tomorrow. Look, I'm going no matter what, like my foot may fall off. I may be dragging it around like it's like I got a club foot. I might get on one of those little scooters that people scoot around on now, but I lsu ucla tomorrow i got the hood ads taking on mcdougall's in the superdome tomorrow and i'm supposed to go to tank

tank's got a party like a tailgate party i don't know where it is i got i'll text him after this is over to find out where it is but i'm gonna see a bunch of mcdougall's and they don't forget who i am so i'll meet mcdoug's. I got to have my foot ready. So I'm going to keep chomping on these pills. Because you're wearing Saints gear and Eagles tailgate. You need to have your foot ready because we're probably going to have to brawl. Well, now they're probably going to step on it. They're like, oh, we're going to take advantage of that injury.

Oh, you got an injured foot? Watch this. And McDougal's going to stomp right on it. But either way, so that's what's going on in my life today. But the good news is we're going down to Louisiana. My dad and his wife, Cindy, they're out of town. You guys know Cindy. What did they call Cindy on the podcast?

The Baton Rouge Zeppelins. The Baton Rouge Zeppelins, yes. They're out of town. I don't think she's back or he's back until Tuesday. I think she might be back Monday. So we got their place uh we can't bang in the pool because they have cameras we learned and i don't know if they're just sitting around watching them if they turn them off no pool bangings don't get any ideas um but we got their house their dogs are there one of their dogs scooby is like a goddamn horse and his like, my dad basically got this dog as a goof.

Like, he got it for the bit. So now he's got this giant Great Dane that looks just like Scooby-Doo. But when that bastard gets excited, his tail starts flopping around. And that tail, it'll hit you right in the scrotum and it hurts. And then he's got his other dog, Scrappy, who I feel pretty confident is going to just be wheezing around all day. So that's what's going to happen. So we're watching their dogs. One time when we stayed there, we thought for some reason that they had been underfed.

No one told us to feed their dogs, by the way. They had already fed the dog and we didn't know this. But we're like, wow, that doesn't seem like a lot of food. Let's feed them. So then we fed them and we woke up the next morning and there was mountains, mountains of shit everywhere. But this time it is partially our responsibility to feed the dogs from what I gather. I guess not on Sunday night.

My sister, it's her birthday today and she listens to the podcast. Happy birthday, Emily. I was going to ask if you let her know that we weren't going to be there Sunday so that someone would feed the dogs. Well, she'll know now. who's it's her birthday today and she listens to the podcast happy birthday emily i was gonna ask if you let her know that we weren't gonna be there sunday so that someone would feed the dogs well she'll know now and monday morning yeah so sunday night monday morning feed the dogs emily thank you uh and then boy we get to go to pluckers that'll be exciting watch two monday night football games and live bet on them from pluckers. We're living the dream. Speaking of gambling, it's Prop to You Drop Day on the Josh Ennis Show,

and I've got most of the prop bets set, or at least the ones I like. There's a couple that are still up in the air because, like, we don't know who the quarterback's going to be for Green Bay, and we don't know what the situation totally is for Miami, for example, because they got a couple injuries, so that one didn't have a ton of options. And I was just kind of torn on San Francisco and Los Angeles because, I mean, who the fuck is Matt Stafford going to throw to? But let's look at some of these and you tell me what you think, OK? And Jilly is the prop goddess, as you guys know.

Jilly will get nine out of ten right, but she'll put all ten of those in a parlay and she'll miss it by one. But she gets nine out of the ten. She is a goddess. To be fair, usually it's about four different. My mind is fried. I've been working too much today. Props. I usually do four different props in like a parlay.

So I'll have like three different parlays going. I'll usually hit like three or four in each. And then, you know, none of them win. Yeah. But point being being that would mean that you're like nine out of twelve that makes you put them all in the same one i'm not totally stupid no but point being is nine out of twelve you're a goddess of props and one day if we ever become wealthy and we're just like fuck it here's whatever we'll just bet all these by themselves

and you're going to be a goddamn millionaire because you've got a gift for picking props. You're the prop goddess. All right. So the Giants are at Cleveland and you know what I'm going to do? I'm going to keep riding with Deshaun because Deshaun didn't get there last week, but the Giants stink. And I'm going to do this though. I'm not going to take Deshaun's passing yards like I did last week. I'm going to take Deshaun passing and rushing combo, which is over 224 and a half. I think he's had like over 30 rushing yards in each game. He'll scramble a little bit. Look, threw the ball better last week. You're playing a shitty team in the Giants.

I don't know if they're going to win. They're favored to win. But look, Deshaun, we're not judging you on how shitty of a human you are. You're clearly not an amazing human and really not a great football player. However, you're not nearly as shitty as you were in week one. You were better in week two. I'm going over 224 and a half passing and rushing yards for our friend Deshaun Cosby. Thoughts? I don't even think he's gonna have to throw it is the problem. Maybe this will be a day that the Giants show up. Now again the Giants lost a game last week first of all by not making a field goal which would have won me the field goal bet last week

as I've bitched about all week and oh by the way I saw a stat last night on that dreadful game that was on TV with the Jets and the Patriots, although I did hit Aaron Rodgers' passing yardage total over. But I took a wacky bet that was on DraftKings where you could take the total yardage of the field goals over under, and it didn't hit. But that's kind of fun. But anyway, last week had the most field goals ever for a week of NFL games yet somehow the Giants those dickheads did not get a field goal and it cost me 3,000 bucks and I owe my knuckle sandwich uh Chicago is at Indy okay so I don't know that the Colts are going to lose again I think they're better than 0-3 and I

think the Bears are probably really they should be 0-2-2, but if they lose this, they're 1-2. We've seen nothing to lead us to believe that Caleb Williams is any good, at least so far. He might be fine. All we know is that he was dismissive of C.J. Stroud, and C.J. Stroud offered him great information. He said, no, I do not want it. And then the media judged C.J. of all people.

No one's judging Dingus with his purses and his painted fingernails and all that bullshit no we're judging cj stroud an already more accomplished nfl quarterback arguably one of the top five or six already in the league just saying hey bud you got this like i listened to the actual audio it's like hey man keep your head up you're gonna win a lot of games in this league and he's getting dismissed by caleb williams who uh has been seen crying in the arms of his mom after games more than he's won n by Caleb Williams who has been seen crying in the arms of his mom after games more than he's won NFL games. He wants to talk shit to my boy.

Should have punched him right in the face. He should have just grabbed him and said, no, listen here, you little shit. I've gone to the playoffs. I've won a playoff game. What have you done? You threw for 90 yards, you schmuck. But anyway, here's what I think is going to happen in this game because we're doing prop till you drop.

It's not about the outcome of the game. It's what I think is going to happen in this game because we're doing prop till you drop. It's not about the outcome of the game. It's what we think the best prop is. The Colts may have the worst rush defense ever. I think they're giving up somewhere in the neighborhood of like 160 a game, give or take. I might be a little bit off on this. I wrote all these down earlier today. But back when I was looking at it, look, all we know is they gave up a shit ton of yards to the Texans and they gave up a shit ton of yards

to Green Bay who did not have a quarterback, okay? You know who's gone off to a rough start? DeAndre Swift of the Chicago Bears. They have not run the ball well at all. Well, what's the remedy for not being able to run the ball? You face the Colts. DeAndre Swift, over 55 and a half rushing yards i'd also take his catches yeah that could be like a passing uh like a rushing and receiving combo play too

uh all right texans and minnesota i don't know the latest on joe mix and i texted vandermeer looking for some inside info we've really gone off well no i'm just genuinely curious if he's playing but i never heard back uh but like yes josh i'm gonna give you the inside team information well no it's not that because like there's i mean people that go to practice and shit would see it so i was just genuinely curious if the guy was gonna play it wasn't for really gambling purposes i was just i was wondering if he was gonna play for the sake of whether or not to say he should score a touchdown but i don't know now if he plays he plays i haven play for the sake of whether or not to say he should score a touchdown. But I don't know. Now, if he plays, he plays.

I haven't seen the latest. I mean, I could look it up really quick. But I think either he or Cam Akers is going to score a touchdown. They both have the same value. But I think the running game is going to get a touchdown in that one. And then another one that I think is interesting in that one is Justin Jefferson's longest reception to be over 26.5 yards. Texans gave up, what, three or four huge plays to the Colts two weeks ago. Last week they didn't give up those big plays, but they're facing the Bears, who are dreadful throwing the ball.

I think that, look, Minnesota may not win. I don't think they're going to win. I think the Texans are going to go up there and they're going to get the job done. But when you've got a weapon like Justin Jefferson, I'm not sold the Texans' secondary is somehow fixed or better than they were in week one. I think Justin Jefferson probably is receiving yards because he's the main target, and I don't know who's shutting him down. And I'm going over 26.5 receiving yards for the longest Justin Jefferson catch.

That seems about right. And he does that at least once a game. Like last week, he had a 97-yarder. Probably not going to happen this time. But 26 and a half, you catch a 15-yard slant, you break a tackle, you got 30 yards, bada-bang. All right, Eagles and Saints. You know who else has a shitty rush defense?

It's the Eagles. They gave up a ton to Bijan. Bijan had like 97 rushing just on the Eagles. They gave up a ton to B. John. B. John had like 97 rushing just on the ground. I think that as a team, they had like 140, something like that. They had a ton of rushing yards against the Eagles. And in week one, they gave up a lot of rushing yards to the Packers. I think Alvin goes for 65 and a half. He could also be a good candidate for the rushing receiving combo. He's been great. It's amazing what Clint Kubiak-Kubes, Junior Kubes, Lil' Kubes, has been able to do with that offense.

I mean, I say largely the same pieces. It's the same offense. It's the same guys. There's nobody different. There's no one that you'd go, oh, look, they really added this weapon. No. If anything, you lost wacko Michael Thomas. But all the receivers, Rashid Shahid's still the same.

Alave is still the same. Foster Moreau. Alvin Kamara. They're all the same guys. Yet, at least, it's two weeks, small sample size. But they look like a totally different team. And most importantly, my man AK41 is out there getting the job done. He looks like a different human.

The last two years with crappy quarterback play, awful play calling, he hasn't been the same dude. AK is back, kiddos. I might even wear his jersey to the game, although it's a little too big on me. I've lost a few pounds. I have to debate. Joe Horn jersey?

Throwback Joe Horn? Or do I go with Alvin Kamara? We'll see. That remains to be seen. I'll decide tonight when I pack. But I'm taking Alvin Kamara? We'll see. That remains to be seen. I'll decide tonight when I pack, but I'm taking Alvin over 65 and a half. Let's see. Chargers at Pittsburgh. I'm going back to a tried and true for us. When you think Pittsburgh and us, we either look at Najd Tud or we go to Mr. Pat Friermuth. He's let me down too much. I don't know that I'm ready to jump

back on the Friermuth horse. Well, here's why I'm ready to jump back on the Friar Muth horse well here's why I'm gonna ride that pony his catches are over two and a half in the first two games of the year he's had four catches in each game it's worth a shot right I mean maybe it's just a situation where uh you know Mr. Check down Justin Fields he did love Comet in Chicago so it makes sense yeah so I'm going that way i don't know the value on this but in denver and tampa i'm gonna keep riding the bo nicks interception he's thrown two in each of the first two games i don't think there's great value but here's what i would do

i would look for a couple of interceptions i would take bo nicks to throw a pick i'd probably if it's available take skylar thompson to throw a pick because that guy doesn't look like he's worth a shit. And then probably like maybe an Andy Dalton. Oh, I'd go Will Levis. Oh, Levis would be a good one too. Build a parlay with that. But Bo Nix I think would be a good piece of a parlay to throw a pick until proven otherwise he stinks. He may throw for 185 in that game, which is his number as well.

But I think I'd rather my chances with him throwing the pick. I don't have anything for Green Bay and Tennessee yet, but maybe a Levis pick would be good. Carolina and Vegas. It's hard for me to go against Gardner, whose number is 217.5. He's thrown for like 260 a game. So I don't know that they'll be losing for him to pick up the garbage yards. That's usually when he gets them.

But I'd also consider the Red Rooster. Look, he's a much more accomplished quarterback than Bryce Young, and I guess we're going to find out if the problem was everyone else or if the problem was Bryce Young. I think it's going to be somewhere in the middle because I'm giving you a cop-out answer. But I could see a situation where Andy Dalton throws for like 210, and I think 210 is right around where the number is.

They probably will be losing. They're probably not going to bench him so uh I could see a scenario where they both that could be one of those games where they combine for 500 yards and there might be value on that uh nothing in Miami Seattle yet because who knows uh Detroit and Arizona I'm gonna go with Kyler Murray to rush for over 31 and a half yards. He's been running his ass off the first two games. And look at last week. Detroit gave up 34 rushing yards to Baker Mayfield last week. And look, Kyler's always going to be a guy that's going to run,

so it could be a passing-rushing combo. But 31 seems low. I mean, he's put up a ton of yards. I want to say he's put up like 60 in one of these games too so um I would take him over 31 and a half that seems like one you would like like a Kyler Murray rushing you love the good mobile quarterback play I do yeah no that one I'd be I'd be in on that one and of course when we get to Kansas City there's always the possibility of Mahomes whose number I think is 18 and a half rushing yards yeah like last season used to be about 10 and a half so I like that one better now it's like

all right let's see Baltimore at Dallas I think you got a good shot here first of all Dallas is desperate Baltimore also desperate I think that Derrick Henry and Lamar are both solid plays to score a tut either you can pick either one you, but I would go with either one of those. Could be another game where you get an opportunity to give the ball to Zeke, maybe two in there to get a Tud. His is plus value. I think both of these guys are around like minus 120, but it's not that. Dude, you might want to parlay those two.

Derrick Henry, Lamar, Tuds. That would get you some decent value. Nothing on San Francisco and L.A. 120 but it's not that dude you might want to parlay those two derrick henry lamar tuds that would get you some decent value uh nothing on san francisco and la although i would go back and look again at considering cd lamb yards i didn't look at what they were but they're at home his numbers are always better at home we got a break last week with that long touchdown because he he disappeared in the second half but they were down 30 so what are you going to do uh but that could be this could be a big explosive passing game possibly for dac they may not be in the second half, but they were down 30, so what are you going to do? But this could be a big explosive passing game, possibly for Dak. They may not be in the game, but since they're going to probably be losing,

he's going to have to sling a lot. Kansas City. You said you skipped the San Francisco game. This may be the week to finally play Ayuk, who you've been playing for both of the weeks because he's the only one. I think Kittle is out, right? He was hurt last week. I think Debo is out. McCaffrey's hurt last week. I think Debo is out.

McCaffrey's still out. His number's gone up, too. It was down in the 50s, I think, the first two weeks. It's like 72 or 73. He's the only guy he can throw it to. Jelly, that's why you're here, to call me on this bullshit. Who's that other dude they tend to throw it to? Jennings.

Juwan Jennings. Yeah, and the other guy whose wife makes the jackets. Oh, that's not Jawan Jennings? No, the white guy. There's a white? Oh, Kyle, the U-chat. Yep, yep. They'll probably use him more because they have to.

Well, there's a possibility. That's why you're here. See, Jilly, the prop goddess. Kansas City and Atlanta are probably going to go to the well on fucking kirk although i think since that's a prime time game and he didn't really fuck up last game the interception's probably coming in this one for kirk he's probably going to be losing so he'll have to throw for some yards i would also consider the yardage combo the rushing and receiving for bijan robinson and i would also look at my man justin w People just dismiss Justin Watson, number 84 in Kansas City.

His over is one and a half catches, and I think his total is only like 18 or 19 yards. So if he makes a play, it usually goes for over that number. So I'm just going to keep riding him until he bucks me. I'm struggling on Washington and Cincinnati in the battle of our Heisman Trophy winning boys. I mean, Jaden to run is always solid. Yeah, and maybe the tuttle happened this time for him.

It should have happened last week. Those dopes were in the red zone, what, seven times? Yeah. No tuds? Yeah, I'm with you. So, hey, look, we're Jaden people. And then Jacksonville's at Buffalo. It's only minus 130 for Josh Allen to score a touchdown.

Like, that's always one of those plays where it's like, might as but he didn't last game and that burned me on a parlay I was missing it by a Josh Allen touchdown of all things son of a bitch that's a solid one there though that could be a game too where we finally get some big passing yesterday it was my one last night I missed by uh what's his face to score a Tud from Andre Stevenson well they never even got near the end zone to score a Tud I'm aware but it's Well, they never even got near the end zone to score a Tud. I'm aware, but it's like of all the things, because you always tell me, like, well, you pick five or six, just pick your favorite three and put them together.

Well, that would have been one of my favorite three, and it wouldn't have hit, but the other four did. And Brees Hall is always good to take for a touchdown, too. Garrett Wilson and Brees Hall. At least Aaron came through for me yesterday. That was something I needed from him, because he didn't in the previous games. But there you go. Prop till you drop.

The good news for us is we get to play live prop bets and live bets overall this weekend because we're in Louisiana where the magic happens, not in Missouri where nothing happens. So that'll be fun. LSU tomorrow. Hate that it's during the day, but it is what it is. We got great seats. Thanks to Matt Moscona. Big ups, as if he's ever going to listen to this.

But big ups to Matt Moscona. And then dad has some friends of his hook us up with some Saints tickets. So we got freebies for both of them. We're living the fucking dream. We're drinking beers this weekend. We're going to see Tank for the first time in 100 years. Presum're going to see Tank for the first time in 100 years. Presumably going to see Tank for the first time in 100 years. We got Monday Night Football

at Pluckers. We're going to drink Mother Pluckers and bet live bets on two different football games. I am erect right now. I am excited about this. I think the Texans are going to win. We agree the Texans are going to go win? I think so. Is there any upset you see this weekend? Upsets were all the rage

last weekend, though. I'm taking that field goal bet again, too, you sacks of shit. And it's going to hit eventually. It did once last year, and it's going to do it once this year. So you just got to keep swinging. I don't know who's going to win in the Eagles and the Saints, because I still don't know if the Saints are good or not. I don't think

the Eagles are great, so we'll see. I think Indy's going to get their first win, so I'm going to go Indy with the first win over Chicago. I think that Baltimore's going to go on the road against Dallas and put it on them, and Dallas is going to be in a whole heap of trouble. I do think Kansas City's going to Atlanta. Atlanta's all hyped up after that one. That was a miracle win.

They shouldn't have won it. Eagles more so gifted that game to them, So I think Kansas City will go in there and beat my man, although I think he'll throw for some yards. Carolina's going to remain winless. I think Vegas goes there and wins. And our pick for Allie was Tampa, so let's go bake. Boy, we need that. Look, go get them, Bakey. Make it happen, brother. We need that one from you. We don't want to be eliminated in week fucking three of the suicide pool. And then we're embarrassed. Allie is talking shit. Everybody's talking shit. I want none of that. That you guys. Try to keep up with you throughout the weekend. I'm probably not going to have my laptop with me, so I don't know what I'm going to do, or I might. I might just get wild with it. I don't know. But we will see you guys later.