The Journal. - The Suspected Russian Plot to Set Airplanes on Fire
Episode Date: December 13, 2024Since the war in Ukraine began, strange attacks have been happening across Europe, including a plot to set DHL packages on fire. WSJ’s Bojan Pancevski on Russia’s escalating shadow war in Europe.�...�  Further Reading: -Chinese Ship’s Crew Suspected of Deliberately Dragging Anchor for 100 Miles to Cut Baltic Cables -Russia Suspected of Plotting to Send Incendiary Devices on U.S.-Bound Planes -The Misfits Russia Is Recruiting to Spy on the West Further Listening: -Elon Musk’s Secret Conversations with Vladimir Putin -How Ukraine Built a Weapon to Control the Black Sea Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Earlier this year, our colleague Boyan Panchewski met a source in a swanky hotel bar.
The source worked for a European security agency.
So we were kind of exchanging notes on that and talking about other stuff.
And then, you know, after a few cocktails, I just asked him, so what's keeping you busy now?
And he was like, well, you know, among other things,
this conspiracy to set airliners on fire.
The source told Boyan a story
that sounded straight out of a spy novel.
So Boyan and his Wall Street Journal colleagues
began investigating it.
So we pieced the puzzle together and we found out that the Russians had come up with an
ingenious way to smuggle undetectable incendiary devices and put them on airplanes.
That sounds terrifying.
Yeah, I've spoken to veteran intelligence operatives,
police officers, politicians, historians,
and this was not even happening at the height of the Cold War.
Russia, or rather than the Soviet Union,
wasn't attempting conspiracies that might end
in kind of mass casualties of Western civilians.
This plot was alarming, and European intelligence agencies saw it as a big step up in Russian
attacks in Europe. A violent conflict that has largely stayed hidden.
A violent conflict that has largely stayed hidden. Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power.
I'm Kate Leimbach.
It's Friday, December 13th. Coming up on the show, Russia's escalating shadow war in advance. Perfect for all you forward thinkers and planning gurus.
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Before Boyan heard about the plot to set fires on airplanes,
he'd been reporting on strange events happening across Europe.
One early incident was a fishing thrower in the Arctic Sea.
It cut a vital internet cable.
In Germany, sabotage knocked out a railway network.
In the Baltic Sea, A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea. A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea.
A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea. A train wrecked in the Baltic Sea. All of these disparate events, from infrastructure attacks to things that looked like mindless
vandalism, Boyan's sources said they were connected.
Russia is expected to be behind many of these attacks.
In some cases, there is evidence, there is so-called signal intelligence quite often
from Western intelligence services, predominantly American and British, that find kind of chatter
in the ether that proves and they have other evidence that they're not obviously sharing
with us.
Other cases are basically sort of looks like a duck, talks like a duck, but it's very difficult
to obtain evidence that would hold in court.
Who is carrying out these attacks?
Quite often these people are sort of students.
They are sometimes refugees in Poland.
There was a group of Ukrainian refugees, actually Russian speaking Ukrainian refugees, who were
paid to put out cameras on the railway.
And it turned out they were actually working for Russian intelligence and they were doing
their bidding in a way that seemed very naive.
The cameras were used to spy on trains taking Western ammunition into Ukraine.
One of the Ukrainian refugees who installed the cameras is a 22-year-old called Maksim
Leha.
He's now serving a six-year sentence in Poland on espionage charges.
He said he did it because it was, quote, easy money.
Boyan says the reason Russia is recruiting civilians goes back to its invasion of Ukraine
in 2022.
Europe responded to the war in Ukraine by essentially kicking out most, if not all,
of the Russian spies that were operating on their territory.
Through his reporting, Boyan estimates that around 500 Russian spies were expelled from
Europe.
And in one stroke, the Russians kind of lost that vital capacity that they've had.
Once that happened, the Russians had to somehow supplement that lost capacity.
And what they came up with was a very interesting and in the end, very, very efficient way of
operating.
They simply threw the kitchen sink at it.
They started using civilians.
They just used everyone they could get.
So what did your sources say about how Russia is recruiting people?
They use the Telegram channel quite a lot, but also other channels, other social media.
And basically they offer them money.
They wire the money sometimes in Bitcoin. And the person doesn't really know who's at the other end.
What's the strategy?
What's the goal?
Well, the head of the British intelligence service, the MI5, put it succinctly.
He said, the goal is to create mayhem on the streets of Europe and Britain.
And I think that kind of sums it up.
Create chaos in order to create panic, in order to create insecurity, in order to kind
of deter European governments, in order to weaken the resolve to support Ukraine, and
also in order to force countries like Britain, Germany, the Czech Republic, and so on, to deploy vast capacities of intelligence gathering,
the police, the army, et cetera,
into investigating these cases that happen in their waters
or in their soil.
Do you have a sense of whether these attacks go all the way
up to Vladimir Putin?
What I've been told by multiple intelligence
and security officials is that the broad brief
has definitely been issued by the Kremlin,
meaning it has been approved by Vladimir Putin.
When asked by the Wall Street Journal
about various attacks, the Kremlin has denied involvement.
In one case, it called the accusation
absurd and unsubstantiated.
European authorities have investigated these attacks and charged some of the individuals involved.
But Boyan says the European public generally isn't aware of this shadow war.
Essentially, the authorities in countries like Germany, like the Czech Republic, to
an extent, the Nordic countries, they've come to the conclusion that if they do talk
about it in public and if they do reveal to their respective populations that Russia is
able to operate inside their countries, that this would kind of weaken the resolve, the
popular resolve to support Ukraine. And Ukraine receives from these European countries enormous financial, political, and military support.
But that stance shifted after a brazen attempt to start fires on airplanes.
That's next.
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Following that tip, Boyan got at the hotel bar proved to be a challenging assignment.
It would take months of reporting.
He spoke with European investigators, watched security camera footage, and reviewed photographic
evidence.
This is what he found.
The incidents happened at two warehouses of the German shipping giant DHL.
At those locations, packages are put in big crates to be sent on airplanes around the
world. In July, at a DHL warehouse in Germany and one in the UK, packages destined for North
America caught on fire.
Boyan watched a video showing a forklift moving one of these crates.
First, it's a tiny little fire.
The thing goes off.
And then literally two seconds later, the entire thing is set alight,
the entire forklift. Both fires were contained, and Boyan learned that the devices that caused them
were concealed in ordinary back massagers, the kind that are shaped like a little cushion for
your lower back. But investigators found that these ones
were stuffed with magnesium.
What's significant about magnesium?
Well, magnesium, that certain type of magnesium-based
mixture burns at extreme high temperature,
and also it cannot be extinguished with the
firefighting systems that exist on commercial airliners
because magnesium can even burn underwater
and it develops incredibly high temperatures.
It basically, it was used, if you remember these old documentaries
by people like Jean-Jacques Cousteau, the great French marine explorer,
up until the 70s, I think, divers
were using magnesium flares even underwater when they were diving in the kind of dark
waters.
So it's extremely dangerous, extremely efficient.
Is there any way to detect these devices?
There are satellite in a way that's not traceable.
So if you put that device, or at least at that time,
had you put that device through a normal airport scanner,
X-ray or whatever, it wouldn't have been recognized
as any kind of incendiary device.
After these incendiary devices caught fire,
a multinational investigation was launched in Europe.
German investigators recreated these devices with the components they found in a forensic lab,
and they tested them in all imaginable scenarios.
And they found that if an airliner was targeted and one of these devices would go off in the cargo and the airliner was flying over Europe.
It would have time probably to land to do an emergency landing at the nearest airport.
But had this happened over the ocean or the Atlantic Ocean for example, then they wouldn't have time to land and the airplane would have been lost.
What did DHL say about your story?
They confirmed that it happened.
They confirmed that they worked together
with the relevant authorities to get to the bottom of it.
And they confirmed that they've boosted
their security protocols.
DHL is a German company.
The German government issued a detailed warning
to DHL and companies like DHL to basically increase security because
they are being targeted.
In Europe, authorities took action against people connected with the plot.
In Lithuania, investigators have arrested a man who sent four devices and alleged that
he was used as a proxy by Russian spy services.
And in Poland, officials say they've arrested four more people
they believe were working on behalf of Russia.
A Kremlin spokesperson told the Wall Street Journal
that any claims of Russian involvement in the plot are unsubstantiated.
Even though the plot failed, it's prompted a change in Europe.
Before Boyan started investigating, European security officials weren't speaking out about
it.
And some of them even admitted that, yes, we did cover it up.
There was a brief to cover it up when we covered it up.
So even in that kind of circle, in the security establishment, in the military, in the police, to an extent, the intelligence community, there are a lot of people who think enough is enough and we shouldn't be kind of sweeping this under the carpet.
Now, some European authorities are becoming more vocal.
The head of Poland's foreign intelligence agency said if the DHL plot had been successful it would have
represented a major escalation in Russia's shadow war. And in October the
head of the UK's MI5 spy agency talked about the threat of Russian-backed
criminals. The UK's leading role in supporting Ukraine means we loom large
in the fevered imagination of Putin's regime and we should expect to see
continued acts of aggression here at home.
Poland is also becoming much, much more outspoken.
They're very willing to attribute things to Russia.
Germany is perhaps shifting.
I think this, to me, to my mind,
means that the security establishment has had enough
and is trying to kind of jolt people into awareness
of what's happening and what are the stakes
and what are the risks
that we're all basically exposed to now.
And this DHL plot feels like it's raising the stakes.
It's the most frightening, frightening incident
or conspiracy that we've learned.
And obviously the scary part is that we only learned
about this because I had that late night meeting
in a hotel bar having cocktails with someone
who knew about it.
There might be other things like that out there
that we don't know about.
What's next in this?
I think the assumption is, the fear is, that it's just going to get worse because the level of aggression has been steadily rising in the past, it's almost three years now, that the war in Ukraine
is going on. And unlike during the Cold War when there were, there was a clear set of rules of engagement between the two blocks,
between the two superpowers, and both of them were wary of going too far
and triggering a confrontation that might end up in a nuclear holocaust,
I think we've lost that fear.
So yeah, we're in a world where everything goes from launching missiles into Ukraine to cutting cables to, you know, arson attacks on factories and buses in otherwise peaceful
European capitals.
That seems to show that there is much more aggression, at least coming from Russia toward
the West, than perhaps citizens of the West
realize.
That's absolutely true in my experience.
Yes, in the course of my reporting in the past almost three years, that's definitely
become apparent to me.
And also this discrepancy in the way we see the conflict, in the way we perceive the standoff
with Russia.
There is no sense that we are at actual all out war with Russia,
whereas on the Russian side, they do think that,
and they behave accordingly.
So unless there is a resolution of the conflict in Ukraine,
and unless perhaps the West takes a more decisive posture
and warns the Russians about some sort of retaliation,
it's difficult to see how this will be diffused.
You know, I've spoken to a number of very senior politicians
who are well briefed on this matter,
and a number of them told me,
well, what are we expected to do?
We are not going to put incendiary devices
on Russian airplanes.
We just don't do that.
We're democracies.
We operate under the rule of law.
So it's, you know, it would seem that Western policymakers are in a pickle.
And it's hard to see how this gets diffused anytime soon,
unless there is a broader resolution of the conflict.
That's all for today, Friday, December 13th. The Journal is a co-production of Spotify and The Wall Street Journal.
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