The Journal. - Trump's Plan B After Trade Court Setback

Episode Date: May 30, 2025

This week, an obscure trade court dropped a bombshell ruling: President Trump did not have the authority to issue sweeping tariffs under a 1977 law. The government has appealed the court’s decision.... WSJ’s James Fanelli and Gavin Bade dig into the ruling and what it could mean for the future of Trump’s trade agenda. Annie Minoff hosts. Further Listening: The Tariff Trade Off: Jobs vs. Higher Prices  A Tariff Loophole Just Closed. What That Means for Online Shopping  Sign up for WSJ’s free What’s News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 There's a squat, boxy building in New York City, a relatively unimposing courthouse tucked into lower Manhattan. It's called the U.S. Court of International Trade. And you'd be forgiven if you've never heard of it. Neither had our legal reporter, James Finnelli. You know what? I had not heard of it until these tariffs and potential legal challenges to them started percolating. A trade lawyer I spoke to about this court said that most people graduating law school
Starting point is 00:00:37 had probably never heard of it. The court is obscure. But when it comes to matters of trade, it's powerful. This court has national jurisdiction. So that means that, you know, it can hear cases all over the country involving any kind of trade dispute. And when they issue a decision, it can affect everything. And this week, it did. Tonight, a three-judge panel ruling that the emergency declared by President Trump
Starting point is 00:01:10 to impose those sweeping tariffs, quote, exceeds any tariff authority delegated to the president. The trade court ruling is a big deal. That's a big deal. If this ruling stands, then Trump will have to find a new way to impose tariffs. He wouldn't be able to declare a national emergency and then enact these broad levies around the world.
Starting point is 00:01:39 Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power. I'm Annie Manoff. It's Friday, May 30th. Coming up on the show, how an obscure court upended Trump's trade agenda. On April 2nd, Trump imposed his Liberation Day tariffs and kicked off a global trade war. The president announced goods from every nation we trade with will be subject to import taxes. A 34% tax on imports from China that's on top of the 20% tariff already imposed. 24% on Japan and 20% on the European Union. He's also announcing 10% at least tariffs on all countries.
Starting point is 00:02:43 How soon after Trump began imposing sweeping tariffs, did people in your world, the legal world, start asking, wait a second, can he do that? I think they started asking that question fairly quickly. And the question that they focused on was whether he had the full reach of the Constitution to be allowed to make these sweeping tariffs. Typically, Congress regulates tariffs. But in this case, Trump argued that he could do it. His administration invoked a 1970s-era law, the International Emergency Economic Powers
Starting point is 00:03:19 Act, AIPA for short. And he said that I can impose these sweeping tariffs, like on basically every nation in the world, because there's this emergency happening where the U.S. has a trade deficit and it's affecting our supply chain, it's affecting our domestic manufacturing, and it's affecting our military. Chronic trade deficits are no longer merely an economic problem. They're a national emergency that threatens our security. When President Trump invoked the Emergency Economic Powers Act, had we ever seen anything
Starting point is 00:04:00 like that before? How new was that? It was brand new. This law had never been used in this way before. No previous president had ever tried to impose tariffs under AIIPA. It was a first, and the move raised eyebrows. Some academics and legal groups started looking into whether the tariffs could be challenged in court.
Starting point is 00:04:23 That led to a few lawsuits, including one brought by a libertarian nonprofit law firm called the Liberty Justice Center. That suit brought together a group of small businesses to sue the government. There was five in total, including a New York-based wine importer. There was a fishing tackle retailer in Pennsylvania. There was a women's cycling apparel brand based in Vermont, a Utah manufacturer of plastic pipes, and a company called MicroKits, which was a Virginia-based maker of educational electronic kits.
Starting point is 00:04:58 That is quite a motley assortment of businesses. Yes, you're right. And they chose those five because I think all those five businesses, they had stuff that they were importing from like over 30 different countries around the world. So they could really cover their ground with these five companies. So they could cover their ground. That's right. Yes. A few weeks ago, James visited the Court of International Trade, that obscure court in lower Manhattan. He was there to watch as the plaintiffs in the Trump administration made their case before
Starting point is 00:05:27 a panel of three judges. And what argument did those five businesses make? The plaintiffs argued that this law, that Trump's use of AIIPA, had never been used before by any other president. It was the first time that any president had ever said that, oh, I can impose tariffs on another country based on this emergency that I believe is happening. They said that the AIIPA does not grant any kind of ability
Starting point is 00:05:57 for the president to impose tariffs. That's the job of Congress, and Congress created this law, and they argued that there was no language in that law That said that Trump had the ability to impose tariffs The businesses also disputed Trump's claim that the country is in the middle of an emergency The plaintiff's argument was that this wasn't an emergency. There's been a trade deficit for decades and This definitely wasn't some unusual and extraordinary threat.
Starting point is 00:06:27 And what did the government argue in response to that? The government argued that this was an emergency, that in the last five years the trade deficit had ballooned, and that cumulatively this was affecting domestic manufacturing and was affecting our military supply chain. But there was also a larger argument that the government wanted to make. An argument about executive power. The main argument for the Justice Department was that Trump had this power to unilaterally impose these tariffs and that the court had a very limited role in even reviewing his use of that
Starting point is 00:07:14 authority. They said that the court didn't have any right to decide whether or not Trump's emergency was a real emergency or not and that was something that was left up for him to decide and that Congress could potentially review his actions, but it wasn't the court's role. COLLEEN O'BRIEN That seems like a hard argument to make to a bunch of judges that you have no place here. AARON SILVER It's a hard argument to make. And you know, I think even during some of the hearings, they were very skeptical of that argument
Starting point is 00:07:46 and were even wondering aloud, like, well, what role should the court have? The judges were also a little skeptical about how do you measure what is a national emergency? One of the judges, I think maybe she did it in a tongue in cheek kind of manner, she posed this scenario, what about if there was this shortage of peanut butter? So she wanted to know where the president's... What's the line? Yeah, what's the line between a national emergency and just some kind of inconvenience to some people?
Starting point is 00:08:23 The government's lawyer responded that IEPA set out clear boundaries for exercising presidential power. The court issued its ruling on Wednesday night. Its verdict? Trump did not have the authority to impose tariffs under the Emergency Economic Powers Act. In response to the ruling, a White House spokesman said, quote, it is not for unelected judges
Starting point is 00:08:44 to decide how to properly address a national emergency, unquote. Lawyers for the Trump administration immediately appealed the court's decision. They also requested a stay that would keep the tariffs in place temporarily. Yesterday, they got that stay, which will remain in place as the case works its way through the courts.
Starting point is 00:09:05 And I think a lot of legal experts feel like this case is eventually going to end up in the Supreme Court and will be decided there. I would say it has the potential to be a big loss for Trump. But in the meantime, the Trump administration does have a Plan B. That plan is after the break. So could you start by introducing yourself? Yeah, I'm Gavin Bade. I'm the trade and economic policy reporter here at the Wall Street Journal, based in Washington, D.C.
Starting point is 00:09:49 So you're not busy at all? Not at all. It's been a quiet start to the year for me, a quiet start to the Trump administration. Gavin has been tracking the administration's moves in the aftermath of the International Trade Court's decision. Gavin, the administration is in the middle of trade negotiations right now. With the European Union, with China, how could this ruling impact those talks? Well, the administration has said it doesn't impact them at all, right? That the trading partners are calling up and still eager to do deals.
Starting point is 00:10:21 We've heard Jameson Greer, the trade representative, say that. All the other countries I'm dealing with in negotiations are treating this as just kind of a bump in the road rather than any fundamental change. So I feel pretty confident about the case. And that contrasts a little bit with their position in court, their actual court filings in their petition for the stay. The administration was very clear that they thought that putting these tariffs on hold would undermine their leverage in all of these trade talks. They said really jeopardize everything
Starting point is 00:10:50 that they were trying to do. So they're kind of talking out of both sides of their mouth here. So was the administration right in that court filing? Like does this decision make it less likely that countries will want to make a deal? I do think a number of countries will still be eager to do a deal with the US because maybe they will feel that they have a little more leverage in these negotiations now. And I think that they see that they may have
Starting point is 00:11:16 a little bit more time as well. All of these court proceedings kind of throw into question the deadline that Trump had set to complete all of these trade negotiations. That was actually on July 9th. So if you're going to do a deal with the U.S., you just got a little bit more breathing room, and you got a little bit of leverage in these negotiations. Maybe Trump can't drive as hard of a bargain as he would have otherwise.
Starting point is 00:11:39 The Trump administration will continue to pursue the case through the courts. But according to people Gavin's talked to, the administration is also working on a potential Plan B. This plan wouldn't rely on AIIPA. It would rely on yet another law from the 1970s—the Trade Act of 1974. It's a different law and actually a much more commonly used law, both by the Trump administration in its first term and numerous presidents. This is a really tried and tested law. And so the plan is kind of twofold.
Starting point is 00:12:13 The first part would be utilizing what's called Section 122 of the Trade Act. This section, the first part of the plan, allows the president to put tariffs in place for 150 days. And this is specifically to address what the law calls balance of payment issues with the other countries. This is kind of like the trade deficit that Trump always— It's the trade imbalance that Trump has been talking about. Yeah, that he always harps on, that he's always hated, right?
Starting point is 00:12:41 So the advantage of that is that you can put that in place immediately. You don't have to do a notice and comment period. And Trump likes that. He wants to be able to put things in place. Wants to move fast. Wants to move fast. The problem, of course, is that those tariffs would be temporary unless they're reauthorized by Congress. And so that's where the second part of the plan comes in. The second part is during those 150 days, he would prepare action under a different section of the law. This is section 301, and this is designed to combat unfair trade practices in other
Starting point is 00:13:15 nations. Trump has actually used this section of the law before. He used it to impose tariffs on China during his first term. But implementing tariffs this way takes time and work. You need to do a lengthy notice and comment period. You need to have hearings. And the idea is they would tailor these 301 tariffs, as they're called, for each and every major trading partner
Starting point is 00:13:36 that he wanted to hit with tariffs. Oh, man. So you got to do this individually, country by country. Exactly. And it's a lengthy, you have to do a lengthy fact finding investigation. You've got to notify the other countries. You've got to give industries time to comment. It takes a long time.
Starting point is 00:13:53 But they could do that if these emergency tariffs get thrown out in court. That could help them get back to basically the same place where they're at now. So Gavin, where does this all leave Trump's signature economic policy of these sweeping tariffs? Very much in limbo now, right? I think uncertainty has reigned for months on this tariff run. I just only, I think it only deepened this
Starting point is 00:14:19 week, right? You know, if you're a company trying to think about, am I going to invest in the U.S.? Can I get, you know, maybe components that I need from another nation? What is the tariff going to be? That situation is cloudier than ever. The waters are murkier than ever.
Starting point is 00:14:33 And I think that you see foreign governments just kind of scratching their head at us. I think it's just, you know, another day rolling with the punches here. We're just trying to, you know, kind of take it as it comes here, but there's really no end to the drama in sight. That's all for today, Friday, May 30th.
Starting point is 00:14:59 The Journal is a co-production of Spotify and The Wall Street Journal. The shows made by Catherine Brewer, Pia Gadkari, Carlos Garcia, Rachel Humphries, Ryan Knutson, Sophie Coddner, Matt Kwong, Kate Linebaugh, Colin McNulty, Jessica Mendoza, Laura Morris, Enrique Perez de la Rosa, Sarah Platt, Alan Rodriguez-Espinoza, Heather Rogers, Pierce Singie, Jeevika Verma, Lisa Wang, Katherine Whalen, Tatiana Zemmese, and me, Annie Menoff. Our engineers are Griffin Tanner, Nathan Singapok, and Peter Leonard.
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