The Matt Thomas Show with Ross - Dr Roto Gives His NFL Week #11 Predictions

Episode Date: November 14, 2025

Dr Roto Gives His NFL Week #11 Predictions...

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Waiver claims have to be made And I've got trade proposals for lying my way My first round pick Turned out to be a big flop I don't know which wide receiver I need to drop. Ooh, Dr. Roto, give me the news. I really don't know what I should do. My quarterback keeps getting sacked.
Starting point is 00:00:46 I've got a bad case of fantasy blues. It is the fastest 30 minutes in Major Market Sports Radio. We present to you a Friday get-together of all things. that is known as Dr. Roto here on Sports Talk 7.90. Dr. Roto, joining us from Southwest Florida. Roto, are you a pro football focus subscriber? I am. I mean, it's changed over the years, if I can say this.
Starting point is 00:01:16 I mean, I was there when I started when my friend Mike Clay worked there and Jeff Rackcliffe. I think the people there are good. It's not as good as side as it used to be, but, you know, still has good stats. I was going to look for the offensive line rankings of the Texans, according to PFF, and they wanted to charge me. I'm like, screw that. I ain't doing more worried about that right now. And I can just tell you, they suck generally.
Starting point is 00:01:37 That's usually an easy way to look at it. You say, who's let up the moat sacks? And when you see it's your team, you know, it's not good. Hey, I got a serious problem. We're going to have this coming in next Thursday's game with Buffalo and Houston. Look, I had Drake May yesterday, and I wasn't expecting Drake May to score, you know, four touchdowns and 300 yards every single week. But are you, I just feel like I'm noticing my Thursday players that I'm using.
Starting point is 00:02:00 are not performing as well. Short week, obvious, but is it scare you off sometimes of picking a guy because they're playing on the short week in your mind? Or do you say, if you're still a good player, he's always going to be a good player, don't worry about the day of the week? The answer to that question is yes to both things. So I hate playing Thursday, not guys. I absolutely despise it. But are you going to sit Drake May against the Jets? No. Problem was he was good. He wasn't great. I mean, what did he put up the 14, about 18 points? Yep, not enough, but usually it's a 21, 22 range. because we get spoiled right when guys do that so you know do we think kreman henderson was going to have all those touchdowns no i would call may's game good not great you're going to need the rest of your team to play well but i agree with you those thursday games are rough sometimes they're high scoring and then sometimes like i mean we saw that horrible game the other week you know with denver and the raiders so you just have to be very careful i use my guys very judiciously all right let's get to some of the interesting games and i want to put them in in terms of
Starting point is 00:02:58 If the Texans win this game, which they're supposed to against Tennessee, they're terrible. That puts them at five and five. You've got to start rooting for some other folks to lose. Let's start with how we feel about the Jacksonville, L.A. Chargers game. Going across the country is one thing. Chargers are good on national stages, not so hot in non-national stages. And then what is left for the Jaguars after the humiliating loss they had last Sunday here in Houston? Yeah, what a disaster that was.
Starting point is 00:03:28 I think that if you're the Chargers, this is a game that you need to win, right? If you want any chance of being in the AFC playoffs, you've got to go on the road, you've got to fly across the country, you've got to play their early game, which we know that West Coast teams hate doing, and you've got to win this one. Now, should they be able to win this game? I think so. I think you're looking at a team Gadsden is fine. We were worried when he left the field last week injured, but he's back.
Starting point is 00:03:52 You've got Quentin Johnson, you've got Ladd-McConkie, you've got Keenan Allen. And all you have to do is keep the Jaguars' defense from sacking Justin Herbert. Here's the good news. The Jaguars don't have a good pass rush. So with the one team, the teams that could beat the chargers right now are the teams that could sack Herbert. I think Herbert will have time to pick them apart. And if you give Herbert time, they should come out with a road win. All right.
Starting point is 00:04:15 Let's go to Tampa Bay in Buffalo. I don't know what the weather's going to be like in northeastern New York, but I know Tampa over its history, to matter how good they've been, have struck. going, say, north of Atlanta. Buffalo is spectacular at home and really, frankly, pedestrian on the road so far this year. You're absolutely right. Now, here's the thing. Bucky Irving is out. Chris Godwin is out. How do you beat the bills? You run the football on the bills. So unless Sean Tucker is doing it, I think they're in trouble, right? If Bucking Irving was healthy in playing, I think Tampa would have had a better shot here. Now, how do you beat Tampa? While you beat
Starting point is 00:04:52 Tampa by throwing the football because you can't run on Tampa. So, but she's, but Kincaid is out. So I think you have two teams that are good, but the guys who could help them be great are both out. So I think this comes down to can Josh Allen find his receivers? Can James Cook break off a big player too? I think that has a better chance of happening also. Do I think Buffalo is going to lose a game to Tampa after losing the Miami? It doesn't feel that way. Give me Buffalo on this one. This game with Kansas City and Denver, I think, Roto, is super important for standings. Denver wants to be a legitimate AMC title. contender.
Starting point is 00:05:26 Kansas City has had a tough schedule. They're barely above 500. They lose this, and they're flirting with staying on the south side of the playoff line. Well, you're right. So this game has a lot of variables to it. First of all, I don't think J.K. Dobbins plays. If he's out, R.J. Harvey's going to be their starting running back.
Starting point is 00:05:45 So if you have him, it's not the greatest start in the world because the chiefs are good defense, but he's definitely start a ball. There's a possibility that Marvin Mims comes back, and he had a full practice. so he's been playing. That really helps. But they're not going to be able to run the ball so much. They're going to have to throw it. We don't really see the Denver Broncos want to do that. So now all of a sudden, you're
Starting point is 00:06:05 getting a Denver team that needs to pass against a Kansas City team that knows it's coming. On the other side of the football, Kansas City can't run. Pacheco likely is out again, and Denver's past defense has been good. So I think you've got the makings of a really good football
Starting point is 00:06:21 game, but in terms of fantasy goodness, I don't know whether we see a ton of guys go off in this one. All right. Detroit plays at Philadelphia, another national game for the Eagles. They played the Packers last week in one of the most boring Monday night games you'll see in quite some time. Now, look, defense wins games, but doesn't make an exciting for us fantasy owners. Are we worried about the Eagles defense curtailing what Detroit's been able to put out this
Starting point is 00:06:43 year? Maybe slightly, but not enough. I mean, look, they finally got James and Williams involved. We've been waiting for that all season long. But I love Amma-Ross, St. Brown. you've got to love Gibbs and you got to play golf. And I think with Sam Laporte and not at 100%, James and Williams might be in play. I think the guy that people are sleeping on in this game is A.J. Brown.
Starting point is 00:07:06 When A.J. Brown starts complaining, they feed him the football. It happens all the time. And Detroit plays a lot of man coverage. You don't want to play man coverage against A.J. Brown. This is going to be one of those A.J. Brown 120-yard two touchdown games. I don't think people are expecting it, but it's going to happen. Whenever he complains, they feed him. All right, Dr. Roto with us again to the bottom of the hour.
Starting point is 00:07:26 Your questions are coming up for the next segment at 713-212-5-7-90. Is everything all well now in Baltimore now that Lamar Jackson's back throwing the passes around? I think things are as good as they're going to be. I mean, look, they have a very winnable game this week. They just have to keep Miles Garrett away from Lamar. I don't know whether Derek Henry is going to be able to run for a ton of yards, but you should be effective enough. But you've got Zay Flowers, you have Mark Andrews, you've got a defense that's playing a whole lot better, which I think that was the biggest problem. Marlon Humphrey is out. But you know, you've got a Wuzier and you've got Wiggins at the cornerbacks. I think that helps Roquan Smith was out. Now he's back. So I think so long as the Raven's defense is healthy, it keeps them in games. The problem here for Cleveland is that they just don't have enough offensively. I mean, Dylan Gabriel's not good enough. Sure, I like Quinn Sean Judkins, but.
Starting point is 00:08:22 You know, Cedric Tillman, not healthy, Harold Fanon, dealing with questionable as well in the practice reports. They just don't have enough. Baltimore should pull this one out. I really like Mark Andrews to score. Everybody wearing a Carolina skill position player. And look, Rico Dotto has been largely a huge surprise for how good he's been because of the split running back situation. But have we been, are there any sneaky Carolina players that still might be available, especially for some guys that may be on an off week here? Not really.
Starting point is 00:08:51 Honestly, without McMillan getting injured. And if McMillan was injured, I tell you, I like Jalen Coker. But if McMillan's not injured, you literally have Rico Dowell on Trojan McMillan, and that's it. You don't have anybody else who's even thinking of starting. Now, Atlanta, though, very interesting to me. Bejohn Robinson's going to have a better week, right? Carolina's run defense has been both hot and cold.
Starting point is 00:09:12 I think it's going to be very cold this week. Drake London is in a prime spot, and Kyle Pitts is in a great spot. All three of those guys are in great spots. The big problem is Michael Pennix, Jr., who's been supremely inaccurate over the last few games. If he can figure it out, the Falcon should roll in this one. Minnesota needs this one in the worst way. If they want to get back in the NFC race, there are only two guys out of the first place spot between Detroit and Chicago. I think the division's only going to get maybe one, because I think maybe those teams in the West may scoop up all the wildcards.
Starting point is 00:09:42 But can Minnesota, with McCarthy back now a couple of weeks, go up with the Chicago offensive, which has really played well the last month or so? The surprising answer is yes. Now, last week, McCarthy was throwing what I call hospital balls. He was putting guys in positions that they were going to get whacked. And you never want that. It felt like Justin Jefferson gave up sometime in the second half because he was tired of getting hit. McCarthy is a work in progress.
Starting point is 00:10:06 This is really his first season. He's going to have ups and he's going to have downs. Here's the thing. Chicago doesn't put a ton of pressure on the quarterback. If McCarthy has time to sit there, he will be able to pick apart this defense that allows big plays. I think Jefferson does have a bigger week. week. I think Jalen Naylor is a sneaky guy. I mean, McCarthy seems super comfortable with him.
Starting point is 00:10:26 And I think we're finally going to see T.J. Hawkinson, we haven't heard that name in weeks. I think he's in play. On the other side, look, it's really, really hard to trust Caleb Williams. He's just a mess. But I think we start DeAndre Swift for sure. Romo Dundze, you know, not a great stylistic matchup here. I think if more is out, take a look at Luther Burton. Minnesota is not great against slot receivers. All right. Lastly, we've got the Texans and Titans, it sounds like we know for a fact that C.J. is not playing this week. It sounds very doubtful for the Buffalo game. In Mills, we trust, against very few opponents, one of them would be the worst team of the NFL, the Tennessee Titans. Look, here is what Texans need to do. They need to play Woody Marks. Okay? They did it last week, but it was almost like they did it by accident. You can't do it by accident. You have to do it by design. Davis Mills did a credible job last week, but you have Woody Marks and you have. Nico Collins. You've got to feature your best players. If you don't, even a bad team like
Starting point is 00:11:25 Tennessee, if you keep it close enough, strange things happen in the NFL MT, and we don't need that to happen here. We need the Texans to play fantastic defense, which we know that they do, and we need them to, like, feature Woody Marks and get him more involved. Why have we not seen Woody Marks more involved in the passing game? This guy was one of the best receiving running backs in all of college football last year, and basically he got two receptions. I mean, You've got to do better than that. So, yeah, the Texans should win this game, but if they really want to make a push to go deep in the playoffs
Starting point is 00:11:57 or even make the playoffs, you've got to phase out Chub, phase in Woody Marks. This sounds personal. Are you on Team Woody Marks? You get myself like three teams of Woody Marks on it. Well, a little bit, but I'm also, you know what I take personally? I hate when general managers and coaches screw things up. It's like Trayvion Henderson. Brayble didn't want to play this guy for how many weeks?
Starting point is 00:12:18 They were playing Stevenson when he was fumbling all over the place. They finally played this guy. Look how good he's been the last two weeks. It's like, oh, Henderson was good. Of course he was good. They just didn't play him. Didn't heat it up, MT.

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