The Matt Thomas Show with Ross - Dr. Roto's Fantasy Football Feature Week 6

Episode Date: October 10, 2019

Dr Roto joins Matt with his Fantasy Football advice as the NFL Season rolls on into week 6

All right, good doctor. Before we get to the football action, you are in race country. I don't know how big that is. There were 30,000 people the last two times when I was in St. Pete. But how is Southwest Florida feeling about tonight's game? You know, we don't really talk much about the raise down here. I'm about two hours south. But you know what?

They're plucky and their pitching is good. So I was disappointed that the Dodgers lost yesterday. I always wanted the two best teams to play. I wanted to see the Astros play the Dodgers. It's going to be a great game today. Cole's got to do it, and he's going to get a big old contract this year. So this is a way to earn it. So I'm rooting for them.

Let's get to the games. First of all, we'll start about this evening's matchup. Weather is apparently going to be a factor between the Giants and the Patriots in Foxborough. How does that affect our skill position players this evening? I think fantasy football players overrate the weather, right? The offense knows where they're going. The defense doesn't. So it's always an advantage to the offense.

I worry more about wind and fog, right? If it's windy, then it's harder for the guy, for the quarterback to throw the football. And if it's fog, it's harder for the receiver to see. But look, the Giants are just really bad tonight. But if you're desperate for a running back, maybe John Hilleman, because he's going to get the touches. But you're starting Michelle. You're starting James White. You're starting Gordon.

You're starting Edelman. You're starting Brady. And this game is going to be an utter blowout. So 17 points, regardless of fantasy, we shouldn't worry about the final score then, right? Yeah, it's going to be like 43 to 3, something ridiculous. All right. Philadelphia and Minnesota, two schizophrenic teams, two teams that you could easily say are NFC title contenders, and then two teams you could say that could throw up a dud in a particular week. So how does that affect who we play and who we sit when these offenses are so schizophrenic so far?

Yeah, no, it's a good point. I think that the Vikings have the advantage if they're willing to let Kirk Cousins throw the football like they did last week, because the Eagles are susceptible in their secondary. It's very weak. They are really good at stopping the run. If you own Dalvin Cook this week, you'll see him having way better luck with receiving yards than you will have him rushing. So what I think this is a stealing week, I think this is a digs week. Start them.

I know you're thinking not to, but I do think it's a good opportunity. For the Eagles, look, Went has to play well. Earth has to play well, and they have to figure out how to run the football against the Vikings. If they could run the football, they'll set up the pass. I think Jeffrey's got a tough matchup. Maybe Aguilar is a sneaky start. All right. With Washington and Miami, we would never watch this game unless we had two things. Fantasy football and betting. So with that being said, and your responsibility to our audience is giving us the good fantasy stuff.

Who is sitting and who is playing in this awful matchup? Yeah, just throw the record out when these two teams play. For the Redskins, I do like Adrian Peterson. Bill Callahan has already come in and said we want to run the football. That is good news. If the Redskins get out to a lead, Adrian Peterson could have 20 carries for. 80 yards in a touchdown. I know it seems ridiculous, but it could happen. And I think we're going to start Terry McCorn. He's startable every week.

He's been sensational, and Case Keenan makes him even better. For the Dolphins, what a mess. I guess you're starting Kenyon Drake because he's been very good. Albert Wilson is back for them this week, so I think he might be interesting. And Preston Wilson's been very successful this year. That's it. Teddy Bridgewater as a saint. Have we noticed the numbers about where they would be with Breeze?

Has there been a dramatic drop-off? Where are we with them as they go to Jacksonville, who's trying to stay close with the Texans and the cult in the AFC South? Well, the drop off is with the peripheral players, right? So, you know, Michael Thomas is getting his, and Alvin Kamara is getting his. It's the Ted Ginn's of the world. It's the Treykins of the world. It's the Jaret Cooks of the world. You know, Jared Cook was successful last week because the Buccaneers are horrific covering the tight end. Right.

So that's the problem. That's what makes Bree so great. He involves everybody with the Saints. Now with Teddy Bridgewater, it's literally Thomas. tomorrow. Seattle plays at Cleveland. The Browns have been a disappointment because so many people Roto thought they were going to win the NFC at the AFC North. So forgetting about winnings and losses, how have they performance-wise gone? I would assume that last week was a dud for anybody that played Cleveland players of that game at San Francisco. I think the word is shocking.

I mean, they were shockingly bad. That it was 31-3, and ask yourself this, that it was even that close. They could even get garbage time production. It was that bad. I mean, I mean, they were out coached. They were out play. They were out everything. Baker Mason looks horrible. If you want to cut him right now, I get it. I get it. I just wouldn't do it. I think that he's going to have a better week this week. Seattle's a bit overrated defensively. I don't think that they're going to shut anybody down. So look, I will give the Baker and Beckham and Landry one more go this week. They're playing at home. The Seattle rarely travels well. Let's give him one more shot.

What about the Seattle side of things? They're having to win games more offensively than maybe people in North West part of the country thought they were going to have to. Well, yeah, and look, Russell Wilson is magnificent, and Tyler Lockett has to get more involved. So if you own Lockett, you're a little disgruntled because, you know, he's only getting four or five targets a game. That's because the Seahawks are winning. If they're losing, then they'll throw more. So I love Lockett this week.

And Chris Carson is really good. He is much better than Rashad Penny. So, I mean, you always start Lockett. You always start Wilson. And Will Disney's been pretty good. So, I mean, I think with tight-in being such a very difficult. position. I think Dissley is a weekly start now. All right. I had to start Andy Dalton last week because I've got so many injuries with my quarterback spot. And despite the fact he's O and five,

he gave me some good fantasy numbers. Baltimore conversely's dropped two straight. Haves the Lamar Jackson train slowed down a little bit and who we play in this matchup? Yeah, just mark my word. Cincinnati's run defense is really bad. I think that's the second worst of football. This is a Mark Ingram week. This is a Lamar Jackson run week. This is a Mark Engram week. This might even be a Gus Edwards find me a touchdown week. I mean, that's how bad the Bengals are. I think Marlon Humphrey's going cover Tyler Boyd, but you can't bench Tyler Boyd, he's too good. But outside of that, I guess you play Joe Mixon. You play Boyd, but I don't really like Eifford. I don't like Aud and Tate. I don't like Andy Dalton this week. I think you should go out right now. If you're adults right now,

go out and pick up either Gardner, Minchu, or Kirk Cousins, they will be better than Dolton. Perhaps the most intriguing of the late afternoon games, and we'll get to some other ones in the second segment, but the Niners at the Rams. San Francisco, I think people wanted to see if they were really legit, 3-0. They were beating Cleveland to get to 4-0. Meanwhile, I think there's a lot of hesitation with the Rams' defense the way they performed this season. Can some of those Niners skill position players score at L.A. like the Bucks did a couple of weeks ago?

Yeah, what makes the Niners frustrating is that Kyle Shanahan, he's a brilliant plate caller. But for fantasy purposes, you never know who he's going to use. So is it a Tevin-Colman week? Is it Matt Brida? Is it Rahe Mostert? Is it Dante Pettis? is the only guy that you can trust is George Kittle. But he wants to run the football, establish the run, and then it opens up the pass.

And I think the Rams are in big trouble. I do. I think they're in big trouble. The 49ers pass rush has been great. Nick Bosa, he may not be getting facts, but he's getting close. And close means pressure. And the Rams' offensive line has not been very good this year. So you've got Gurley who's injured, right?

He's got a quad injury, so I don't know how much I love him. And San Francisco's run defense has. has been the best in the NFL. You might see Darrell Henderson, and Brandon Cook's injured, too. So I think the Niners are a good position this week. All right, Dallas at the New York Jets. Jets still looking for their first win.

Dallas looking to get their mojo back after they were steamrolling people during the course of the early part of the season. Can some cowboy players get fat and happy against this over defense this year? Yeah, I think for sure. Look, Dallas looked great in the beginning part of the year because they played bad teams.

That's just fact. I mean, they played the, you know, the Giants in Miami, and they got fattened up. But that doesn't mean they're not a good team. They are a good team. The Jets are really a bad team. I mean, even Chris Herndon, they're tied in who was supposed to be back this week, injured his hamstring. That's how bad it's been for the Jets. I like Zeke this week.

They will get him involved. I like Michael Gallup is a sensational player. If you could trade for him, trade for him now. Amari Cooper should have a week. And then for the Jets, I do like Bell. I do like Robbie Anderson. And Jameson Crowder is very interesting. He's been terrible recently.

I think he could probably get him in a trade for a box of donuts. Donald threw to him, what, like a million times in week one? He may get some action within this week. All right. More with Dr. Roto, including the late games, the prime time. And, of course, the Texans and the Chiefs Sunday in Kansas City. More with Dr. Roto, after I tell you about my friends over at High Meadow Ranch Golf, it's where the city meets the country.

It's my home course. It should be yours. It's an hours drive from downtown Houston. It's a very relaxing, enjoyable track, championship, holes very good for people with handicaps of seven or as high as 27. And when you play the 18 holes of golf, you're thinking to yourself, man, I'm hungry. Go to Ogies Grill right on the course after and enjoy some of the best cheeseburger onion rings you'll ever have in your entire life.

In fact, what I would do is get your early tea time for Saturday or Sunday and then catch the college and pro football games on those particular days. But more importantly, if you get very limited free time like I do and you want to play a course that's going to be fun and for a chance to be in a relaxing environment, you get. got to think about High Meadow Ranch Golf. See the course for yourself, book your tea time, and think about the ranch house for things like bachelor parties, receptions, happy hours, company events, everything they can do for you from before you play to after play will be spectacular.

Again, it's where the city meets the country. Check them out online, high meadow ranch golf.com, high meadowranch golf.com. The good doctor, Dr. Roto with us here on Sports Talk 7.90. I don't have any Tennessee or Denver players. I don't think Dr. O'Dall, I'd even want them in this match. It feels like a game that I would just as soon watch something else because they have been underachieving disappointment and flat out boring football teams.

Yeah, you're going to want Derek Henry, though, because Denver's run defense has been terrible. Remember what happened Leonard Fornettles a couple weeks ago? Yeah. I mean, he only ran for like 2,000 yards. I don't know why the Chargers didn't do a better job last week. I think Melvin Gordon looked slow, but we'll talk about that later. I like Derek Henry.

The Titans do well. on the road. They've actually been better on the road than they have been at home. So I would look for him. I think that they're going to shut down Corey Davis. I do, Denver. So A.J. Brown could be another sneaky A.J. Brown week. For Denver, I mean, look, I don't love anybody here. Emmanuel Sanders, Cortland Sutton stepping up this year. Outside of that, I'm not playing anybody. All right. Let's get to Atlanta and Arizona. We saw the Falcons and Texans last week here in Houston, Roto. And I feel like I've talked to you about the Falcons a lot. For as much offensive firepower as they have, they just don't score enough, and their defense was atrocious. Can Kyler Murray get

fat and happy off of a very porous Falcon secondary? Yeah, he really can. I mean, Kyler Murray, if you think about it, has been a sensational quarterback this year, with one exception. He can't score the touchdowns. They're getting field goals. If he converts these field goals to touchdown, he'd probably be a top five fantasy quarterback. He's that close. That's the difference between him and Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is making those throws to Will Fuller, right? And is Kyle Emery going to be able to do that? I'm not sure.

But I think this is a week for the Falcons. This is a week for the Cardinals. You just load up on these guys. I will be discussing one guy in my locker the week for sure. He's my favorite player this week. And Matt Ryan is going to get healthy. Austin Hooper is a great play this week as well because the Cardinals are putured against the covering the tight end.

We know, Roto, that the chargers are lousy at home. Two losses in an overtime win. Forgetting about the records. noticeable differences in the Chargers offensively in terms of our skill players when they're in Los Angeles as compared when they're on the road when they look like a lot better football team? Yeah, the Chargers are really frustrating. I mean, Melvin Gordon, like I said, watch him. Watch the film. Did he look that fast to you? Didn't it look that good to me. They were trying to feed Echler every which way. I think the team might be better off with Echler starting. I'm just throwing that out there.

You've got Mike Williams, who's a plus matchup against anybody. You're not finding him. They desperately need Hunter Henry, who, by the way, is either going to play. this week or next week. So if you dropped Henry, go get him now because you're going to want to use them. But you're absolutely right. I think the charges are very frustrating, and they're not opening up the offense correctly. For Pittsburgh, you've got this new Cape Codges as the quarterback. James Washington is out. And Jalen Samuels is out. So the steals are literally down to the following guys. James Connor, Deontay Johnson, Juju, Vance McDonald. Those are the guys you start. And do you trust the quarterback, whoever may be?

Not really, but I don't think the Chargers defense has been sensational. Derwin James is a big loss. Melvin Ingram is out. So I think he will be better than most people think. Can Joey Bosa get to him? That's the big question. All right. Let's get to the Monday night contest between Detroit and Green Bay.

This feels like this could be an offensive explosion, especially because the fact that the Lions, I mean, Matthew Stafford still knows how to chuck the ball 50 times, especially when they fall behind 14-0 early like they do most times when they go to Green Bay. Right, but they don't want to do that. See, what the lions want to do is run the football. And the Lions had the right blueprint against the Chiefs. They just couldn't put them away like the Colstead. They want to run Carry-on Johnson 25 times.

Now, Dallas tried to do that last week, but they couldn't because Green Bay got out to a 14-0 lead. So the key is this. If Green Bay gets out to an early lead, Detroit has to change everything of what they're going to do, and then it could be a big game for the Packers. If the Lions can keep it close, you watch Carry on Johnson is going to have 25 carries, and they're going to play good defense, and the game is going to be a lot closer than people think. All right. Now to Texans and Cheaps, Houston putting up their most prolific offensive numbers probably ever in the Bill O'Brien era.

Granted was against Atlanta. The Chiefs were stunned at home by Indianapolis. Pat Mahomes was a full participant in practice the last couple of days, but the ankle is still not 100% in his. mind. So who is sitting and how nervous are you if you're loaded with Kansas City players that you're going to see a repeat performance against the Texans this Sunday? So you're not going to see the repeat performance and here's why. The blueprint to beat the Chiefs has been established. You've got to run the football, right? You've got to contain Mahomes and you've got to bleed the clock. The Colts do that really well, right? And the Lions do that really well. I don't

think the Texans do that really well. That's the problem. Carlos Hyde is not Marlon. a Mac, right? Carlos Hyde is not carry-on Johnson, and that's why this game is going to be a higher scoring game than we expect. I think there's a good chance Tyreek Hill comes back, right? And then that changes everything, because right now, Hardman and Robinson and Byron Pringle, they're just fillers, right? Hill is explosive. So who am I starting? I'm starting Kelsey for sure. I'm starting Damien Williams. I'm starting McCoy. I'm always starting my chiefs, because that's what you do. You start the Chiefs. For the Texans, you start QT, I think is interesting. I think Will Fuller will be good.

He's not going to have the week like last week. I think this is a Hopkins week. I do. And I think this may be a Hyde week because the Chiefs run defense is very soft. I know Bill O'Brien is going to want to try to run the ball and test them early on. Maybe Hyde gets 80 yards in a touchdown. Now, before I wrap things up, let's get to what we'd like to do every once week. And that's ask you to give us the number one, no doubt about it, player that's going to do some serious damage this week.

It's Dr. Roto's. Lock of the week. Yeah, last week, the lock, I wish I'd given you guys, Will Fuller, what a game he had. But this week, it's Julio Jones. And, you know, he's like a 10-month-old pregnant woman. He's ready to burst out any moment now. The guy always has one week where he has 200 yards receiving, but like 11 receptions for 200 yards and two touchdowns. This is the week.

The Cardinals are terrible. They run a ton of plays. They didn't give him the ball last week. They gave it to Calvin Ridley. Julio does magic this week. week. Lock him in. All right. That's my, that is Dr. Roto's lock of the week. Dr. Roto got an email in. Wanted to know about one flex bot between three guys, Williams of Kansas City, Scantling of Green Bay, and Pringle of Kansas City. One of those three have to play. Which one of those three would you go with?

William's from Kansas City. I mean, or I would do Pringle if we know for sure. Make sure it's a chief and then watch what happens and see who's playing. If Hill or Watkins is out, sprinkles in. All right, we'll leave it at that. Dr. Roto, where can people find you the next couple of days? Sure, you can find me at full-time fantasy.com into the promo code Roto 50 for 50% off your first two months. You can find me at sI.com slash fantasy. I've got my start sits up and I've got my visionary plays of the week. And of course, you can find me at Twitter at DRROTO.

Good stuff. As always, my friend. We'll talk again next week. All right, take care, M-T. You got it. Dr. Roto with us here on Sports Talk 790. Right now, a message for big city wings. If you're looking to find a spot to watch the games tonight, pro college Astros, go to Big City Wings where it's buy one boneless, get one free at any of the eight Houston area locations.

Great food, amazing appetizers, the desserts, the fried Oreos are just to die for. You're looking for something a little healthier. They've got great sandwiches and salads, but of course today is their tried and true formula of buy one boneless, get one free in any of those eight big city wing locations. To find the one near you, bigcitywings.com, plenty of TVs, great drink special. and happy hour starts in less than an hour. Big on wings, big on sports, and of course, big on specials and big on happy hour. BigCitywings.com, big citywings.com.

BigCitywings.com.