The Michael Knowles Show - Election Night 2024 with The Daily Wire

Episode Date: November 6, 2024

Today, history will be made—and The Daily Wire is your front-row seat to watch it unfold live. Join Ben Shapiro, Matt Walsh, Michael Knowles, Andrew Klavan, Jeremy Boreing, and special guests for in-depth coverage, real-time electoral maps as results pour in, and expert analysis you won’t find anywhere else. From key battlegrounds to exclusive insights, this is the Election Night coverage you can’t afford to miss. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Save up to 40% your first year at lifelock.com slash Spotify. Terms apply. History has been made, and the Daily Wire is your front row seat to watch it all as it unfolded live. Join me, Ben Shapiro, Mount Walsh, Andrew Claven, Jeremy Boring, and special guests for in-depth coverage, real-time electoral maps as results, all came in. Expert analysis you will not find anywhere else from key battlegrounds to exclusive insights. This is the election night coverage. You cannot afford to miss from one of the old, perhaps the all-time great election victory in American history.

Welcome to the Daily Wire's 2024 election night coverage. I'm joined by our backstage pals, Ben Shapiro, Michael Knowles, Andrew Claven, Matt Walsh. We're going to be going through this with you in real time, bringing you real time updates as polls close, as we get information. We'll bring it to you. There'll be wild speculation, of course, largely from Andrew. There will be comedy, the comedy stylings of Matt Walsh. And we'll just try to survive until the election is over sometime between now and the certification on January 6th. We'll take turns, stepping out, grabbing catnaps. It's never going to end people. It's never going to end. By the way, a couple of quick announcements, according to Decision Descendous H.Q, Trump has now won South Carolina. I know it's a shocker. Unfortunately, Kamala Harris has won Vermont in response. I know you're worried about that one.

Trump has also, according to the Associated Press won Indiana. Hey! Hey! And Trump won Kentucky. Let's start drinking. So basically 49 states for Trump is the current projection right now. Well, actually, right now, let's hear from Mary Margaret Olihan. she is at Trump HQ in West Palm Beach.

Mary Margaret, good to talk to us? Good to talk to you, actually. I mean, I'm sure you're pleased to talk to us as well. Give us a sense of what it's like down there right now. Hey, Ben, and of course, it's an honor to talk to you all down here in Palm Beach, where we are at Trump headquarters. You can see behind me there's a whole bunch of people congregating anybody who is anybody wants to be here tonight and be in Trump's election night party

as they prepare hopefully for a victory. And we've been talking to a lot of people on the ground here trying to get a sense. of what's going on. I can tell you the atmosphere is very hopeful, very excited. People are on edge, but I would say in a good way. They're just, they're really amped up for tonight. So we're going to be here. We're going to be talking to everyone and getting a sense for where this is going. So how relaxed or nervous are they in the room? Are they concerned? Are you getting like nerves or is everybody just basically opening it up? Are they ready and ready to party already? Well, you know, these people are all from D.C. or they're from Florida. They're always ready to party.

but when we ask people, how are you feeling? When we ask people, how are you feeling? How's it going? What are you thinking about the race? What they'll tell you is they're, quote, unquote, cautiously optimistic. I've been emailing or texting with a whole bunch of different Trump advisors. And what they're telling me is they're feeling good, but they're still pushing people to get out to the polls. And that's what one advisor told me not even five minutes ago.

So the push is get to the polls, get to the polls, get to the polls. We want every single vote. We want to make every single vote count. That's what Trump himself was saying last night in Michigan. He was saying, we've done the work, we've done the campaigning, we've gotten our message out. Now it's up to you guys to get to the polls and to make America great again. So, Mary, we know that you've been closely following Trump's movements over the past few days. Where is he right now?

I mean, I assume he's in the back somewhere at Mar-a-Lago. Yes, so he's over at Mar-a-Lago with his close circle, his close-st-knit friends. We're told that they're all going to come over here if he wins, hopefully if he doesn't win as well. But we know that he'll be over here if he does, in fact, win. There's going to be a whole party. They're going to be celebrating. And we're hearing the top Trump surrogates are going to be coming here as well. So people are starting to trickle in.

It's exciting to talk to them, hear what they think about how this race is going. And, you know, the night is still very young. So the people we talk to are just very hopeful and excited. And obviously when it comes to Florida, everyone's excited there because it's the best state in America. It's not just because it's where I live, mostly because it's where I live. But also, the results are already coming in from Florida. Florida is currently 42% in. Donald Trump has about a 200,000 vote lead on Kamala Harris.

It's got 52% or 47.1%. And Jill Stein bringing up third place with 16,000 votes. The Jill Stein vote coming in strong across the country. So, Mary, does the Trump campaign have any idea as to how long this is going to take? That's the big question everyone's asking is. Are we going to be here for the next like eight days? What are you getting a sense of there? So nobody seems to know the answer to that, Ben, and we've been asking a lot of people.

I think we're all hoping this will be over very quickly. You know, I was texting Donald Trump Jr. earlier asking him how he's feeling about the race, and he told me he thinks things are looking good as long as there's no quote-unquote BS. So, well, it remains to be seen how this night will go if we're going to be in a long, drawn-out process. But I think the answer is no one knows, and that's really the situation right now. Well, Mary Margaret, it's good to talk to you. I'm sure we'll check back in with you quite shortly as the night progresses. It's, you know, enjoy yourself.

you know, drink heavily, but I didn't give you permission to do that. That's an HR violation. Anyway, have a good time over there in Florida. Well, thank you. I will. I got the good assignment, so we're having a good night. Folks, DailyWire's footprint at the Trump headquarters was made possible. I at PDS Debt, get a custom plan to become debt free right now at pDSd.com slash dailywired. It only takes 30 seconds.

That's PDSD-EBT.com slash dailywire. PDS debt.com slash daily wire. And now a bunch of people are in seats that they were not in before. It's like a magic trick. Every time we come back, there is somebody who has inhabited a different body. So we have Clay Travis, who has joined us in his most elegant regalia. I did, yes. Did I not get the memo on the velvet thing?

I saw your velvet. I've had this, unfortunately, the last time I was sitting with all of you was two years ago. And I was super optimistic on that. Take it off. Get it. I'm either going to be like a, I'm going to be at Kid Rock's Honky Talk tonight. So it's going to be one of the most amazing nights ever. and I'm going to be on the stage like Donald Trump has won and now Kid Rock.

And I'm going to be like, this is one of the great nights of my life. Or I'm going to be like the fan who paints his face and then the camera finds him when the team is lost by like three touchdowns. And you just, yeah, you're a grown man who painted his face and you're like, I've just got to question a lot of my life. Are you optimistic though? How are you feeling? I am optimistic. The more we get into the votes coming in, the less optimistic I am. I don't know.

Does that make sense? Yes, it does. I wanted, we've only had one race in the 21st century where I think both sides said, you know what? I agree with the outcome. 2008, at least Barack Obama won comfortably. And it feels to me like we're going to be in another one of these, hey, if we had made that field goal, man, we would have won, if we miss a field goal. And it feels like that's basically every race in the 21st century. So I was hoping, and I still do have some hope that Trump might have really kind of punched through, and it's all anecdote, but I bet you guys are similar. I know people who didn't vote Trump in 16, 20,

and are voting Trump in 24. Like, I know a lot of those people. The hardest part for people like me, since I don't trust feelings. Feelings are bad. Yes. And it's all anecdotal. That's the problem. Yes. I'll get high, like, with the anecdotal evidence. I'll be walking around somewhere, and somebody who I'd never expect will come out of the woodwork and be like, I'm totally voting for Trump and I'm really excited about it. I'm like, remember, that's anecdotal evidence and it doesn't mean anything. But I do not know a single person who voted Trump, Trump, Kamala. And so that to me feels like if I had to go to my gut, it is that Trump is going to win by the skin of his teeth because enough people have seen that he is at Hitler and have been willing to make a shift since the last two elections. Well, also, Cabot Phillips is here.

I am. They tried to get black Jeremy and they said, we'll get slightly younger white guys. Yeah, exactly. Jeremy has grown taller and his beard is slightly fuller. and he's de-aged, actually. So, Cabot, you're usually the informational guy. Bring me information. I need data. Yeah, well, one thing that I was thinking of when Megan was talking about the female vote is the fact that we can tend to think of both genders as kind of monoliths. But looking back at the 2022 midterm exit polls, Democrats obviously dominated with women

in the aggregate, but when you looked at their performance with married women, in the 22 exit polls, married women went for Republicans by 14 points. it was unmarried women who they picked up by a 37 point margin. And so it can give this separate idea of how women vote as a whole. And I actually, I was on the ground in North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, talking to hundreds of voters. And I realized that one of the easiest predictors for how someone was going to vote, if it was a woman, and I would walk up to them if I saw a wedding ring on their finger or if I saw kids with them loading up their groceries in the parking lot. The majority of those people were voting for Republicans. If I saw a woman who was single, younger, clearly not married, they were overwhelmingly Democrats.

So the good news is married women vote Republican, unmarried women vote Democrat. The problem is fewer and fewer people are getting married. So that is not a good trend line for the Republicans? There's a real mystery here, too. And the mystery is, why is that divide so remarkable? No, is it that the women change when they get married? Is that it's a different kind of woman that's getting married to begin with, someone who's more traditionally oriented? Is it that the married, the unmarried women are angry with the system because they're single?

I think there's something about that. And so they're in a category, you know, if you're not allied with someone, if you don't have a partner, then you have reason to be what, you have reason to be resentful. Do you have a reason to doubt the validity of the system as a whole? Are you trying to trumpet that sexual freedom that's hypothetically part of being single? Like there's something very strange going on here with, unmarried young women. And I don't exactly get it.

I think part of it is the failure of the aspirational, just generally in American society. I think so much of our voting now breaks down to, to go back sort of the Elon Musk of it, the failure of aspiration. If you fail in your attempt to do something, there are two things you can do. You can either do what a successful person does, which is say, what can I do differently in order to improve my lot, you know, as God tells Kane to do, or you can go out and try and kill your brother, and you can basically say it's the fault of the system, it's everybody else's fault.

And so as a system, you say that you don't, you don't, even aspire anymore to get married. That's not something to even aspire to. Then there has to be some substitute for the thing that you're supposed to aspire to. What is the life that is now the substitute for what a married life would have been? And I do think... Sex in the city. Well, I think that's exactly right. And so if the substitute happiness, the Erasat's happiness you're being provided is sex in the city, well, then of course abortion is your number one issue. Because abortion is the thing that destroys the possibility of you being forced into... I mean, let's be real about how marriage used to work in this country, a huge percentage of people got married because they knocked up a girl,

right? I mean, that was like a huge number of shotgun weddings in America in 1940, extremely high. Especially in the South, where we are right now. 100%. And you know what? That's not actually a bad thing, because it turns out that that's sort of how natural law would tend to suggest that things work, right? That if you actually knock somebody up, you should then get married to that person, then you should raise the child together. That was reality, cudgeling you back into what you should aspire to doing anyway. Abortion cuts that completely off, which is why, if you wish to uphold the sex in the city lifestyle, it's the number one issue. We're going to take a quick moment to highlight, by the way,

some cool stuff going on here at Daily Wire. We will be back in just a moment with that awkward intro. It's really funny. It's really funny. By myself, laughing out loud hysterically today. It is one of the most important contributions to cinema in American history. Your goal is to conduct an investigation into something key to the culture war. There were so many great moments in there. Were these people real that are in this movie? It's a great film. I highly recommend everybody go see this movie.

Mazel Toff is, uh, thanks. Ben's people would say. Am I Racist? Now streaming, only on Daily Wire Plus. In the beginning was the word. Christ is a master at using short, mysterious stories. They change the listener who takes them seriously. My experience with the biblical text,

is that they're inexhaustible sources of wisdom. If I find something in them that is an obstacle, it's because there's something in me that has yet to be transformed. I just don't get it. The person that you do not think could ever be virtuous. Let me show you, this is the person who is fulfilling the law and the prophets. But seek first is kingdom and his righteousness, and all these things shall be added to you as well.

I don't believe in that promise. I'll just be honest at this point. That has not been part of my experience. This parable, I've been trying to understand forever, While we were talking and while we were sitting there, then it hit me. I saw it. Name me one ideology that has supplanted Christianity that has done good for humanity. This Jew is very frightened of a post-Christian society.

He was the God man, the model, the example of what we ought to become and what we can become. It's okay. It's safe for you and all of your doubts and apprehensions to open up and to let these stories in. He is the temple. He is the Torah. He is the covenant. He is prophecy fulfilled. If you're doing this and it isn't also the love of wisdom,

it's also an attempt at wisdom without love. In both ways, you're going radically wrong. Power of love. It sounds so cliche when you say it. I don't want to be in a hallmark card, I tell you. We've got our work cut out for us, gentlemen. This is one peculiar time and one peculiar text, and I sure hope we're up to the task.

That was a nice little treat. That was the world premiere of the teaser trailer for Jordan Peterson's, new series on the Gospels, which, you know, I think Dr. Peterson that your series on Exodus is one of the finest things that we've ever got to be a part of producing. And I've only made it through about a quarter of the gospel episodes, but they're just tremendous. Can you tell us a little bit about what that process was like? Well, the first thing I'd probably like to do is to thank you guys for having enough courage to undertake the endeavor. I mean, it's a big risk, you know,

and it isn't at all obvious that a 16-part series on Exodus with nine, academics, that's bad enough to begin with, you know, would be something that could attract an audience that there could be any, what, business case for, but you guys, you know, you threw yourself into it, and then we doubled the length on you, and you went along with that, and I know it's been spectacularly successful, and that's been great. What was it like? Well, it was a privilege, you know, because the people at the table were top rate. Like, I was really fascinated to be in the seminar because every single person that spoke always had something to say that I really wanted to listen to. I really found that. Like I learned that with the Exodus seminar because I

learned so much there. It literally took me months to digest it. It had big influence on the book that I am publishing on November 19th that helped me clarify a lot of the stories that I didn't understand. And then, of course, the same thing happened as we walked through the Gospels. And it was it was great. And I hope that we did as good a job or better, both on the discussion side and on the production side with the gospel seminar as with the Exodus seminar. And I think we did. And we got down to brass tacks. And it's, see, I've learned, this is a revolutionary thing. You know, I've learned that all the evidence supports the notion that we see the world through a story. In fact, a description of the structure through which we see the world is a story.

So then the only question, once you know that, and I think that's indisputable on scientific grounds now. And so once you know that, the only question becomes, well, what's the story? You know, and the cultural insistence is that it's one of power. And the biblical insistence is that it's one of sacrifice. And those both aren't right, like it's one or the other, right? There's alternatives, hedonism, nihilism, which is sort of the absence of stories. But I think the idea that this community is founded on sacrifices, it's so substantive that it's self-evident. And then the issue is, how do you investigate the structure of sacrifice?

We did that a lot in the gospel seminar. I don't want to get to any spoilers or anything like that, but when you're delving into this question, are you looking at it from the perspective of, you know, which of these two views is more conducive to the kind of society I want to live in? Or are you asking which of these two views is right? It's deeper than that because I don't think there is a society that's predicated on power. There's force. I can force you to do something that I want you to do, but that doesn't mean that we have a society. A society is based on mutually acceptable sacrifice upward. And it's worth delving for a moment on what I mean by sacrifice. And it's pretty straightforward.

If we're in a communal relation, it's not all about you. And it's not all about me. And that really is the definition of a relationship. If it's all about me, it's not a relationship. If it's all about me, it's about my whim and my power to impose it. If we're in a relationship, I have to give up something that's immediate to me for the sake of the relationship and the sake of the future. And that's why sacrifices at the foundation of society. It's virtually a truism.

And it's also the same in relation to work, because work is the sacrifice of the future. It's the sacrifice of the present to the future, right? So we sacrifice our own immediate whims to be communal, and we sacrifice the immediate present for the future. And so sacrifice is the foundation of society. And I just can't see how that can be otherwise. The counter proposition is absurd, right, which is the idea that all social interaction. action is a consequence of power. That is, there are more dismal views that it's all sex and hedonism or that there's no meaning in anything. Those are, those are pretty catastrophic views,

but the idea that all social organization is a function of power, first of all, I think that's a confession on the part of the theorist, a confession and a wish. Absolutely, absolutely. And I also think that you, I also think it's untrue. It doesn't even work for chimpanzees, by the way, and the evidence for that is pretty clear. And it's also the most, I just can't imagine setting up a social system on a more dismal view of humanity and community than that of power. The only way we can work together is if I force you. Well, who wants that? Well, we know who wants. We want who. It's tyrants. It's whim-possessed tyrants who want that. What do you like if you want the opposite? Well, you sacrifice upward. Ben, you were talking about having children. It's like it reororor.

you in the world, right? Because all of a sudden, there's something, there's someone who's clearly more important than you and a time frame that's clearly more important than you right now. And that reorients you radically. And that's a sacrificial orientation. And so, that was great doing the gospel center. My invitation to be in the academic roundtable was lost in my email inbox, but I would have been there. Did it go into promotions? It's probably there, yeah, spam. Spam. By the way, just a quick indicator, and you can talk more about this. Just a couple of pieces of good news, if you want to be in a good mood.

Okay, so piece of good news, number one. Ossiola County, which is one of the most Hispanic counties in America, is 55% Hispanic. It's heavily Puerto Rican. Donald Trump is on the verge of winning that in Florida, which means that he is, you know, outperforming. Maybe this Puerto Rican issue with regard to Tony Hinchcliff making a bad joke. Maybe that has some consequences for places like Pennsylvania.

I know there have been worries because there are $200,000. Puerto Rican voters in Pennsylvania. So that's a piece of news number one. No, the thing is, Puerto Ricans have a good sense of humor. I'm from New York. I've spent a lot of time around Puerto Ricans. That non-traversy was so contrived. I'm glad to hear some data actually back up that. A couple other pieces of data. As of 7.25 p.m. Eastern Time, according to Decision Descendask HQ, H.Q. Trump currently has a 61% chance of winning the presidency. So the numbers they're seeing, obviously, they think are looking pretty good. What was the source? That is Decision Desk, H. HQ. And they're constantly adjusting that.

And Decision Desk has been our partner tonight. If you're seeing any of the numbers that you're seeing on your screen or maps that you're seeing on your screen as we go through the evening tonight are by way of our partnership with Decision Desk HQ. And one other piece of data, I know we're not supposed to do exit polls, but I'm going to break my own rule because it makes me happy. And again, the rules don't apply to me. Yeah, as a co-owner of the company and a very famous person, they let you do it. So according to the CNN exit poll, Georgia Independence broke for Trump by 11 percent, which is a 20 percentage. point swing toward Trump among Indies from four years ago, Ryan Gurdowski, late of CNN. Right on. He is suggesting, yeah, I enjoyed it. He is suggesting that there's a possibility that

Georgia gets called relatively early, as in within the next hour and a half or so. One more exit poll since I am not a employee of the company. Yeah, we literally cannot fire. You can't fire me for this. Can we make his life miserable? Yeah, probably. Probably. Probably. Probably. 25% of black voters in Georgia, reportedly male voters, went for Trump. Wow. If that is true and the independence is true, Trump is going to win Georgia, which would be huge. And the numbers would suggest, based on how well he's doing in Florida, there's a famous band, Florida, Georgia line.

If you've ever spent any time around there, there's not a lot of difference between North Florida and South Georgia. So if Trump's going to win by 10 in Florida, I think he's going to win Georgia. I'll give a shout out to my boy, Ronda, Santos, who has turned Florida, it's the best state in America. Okay, Ron DeSantis turned that state from a dead heat in 2018 to a place where registered Republicans have a number of registered Democrats by a million. I think it's a million point two at this point. And Miami just went red in an 18-point swing from 2020. You guys need some more illegal immigrants. By the way, Hillary won Miami-Dade by 30.

Right. Just in 2016. That's like a 35 point. For like a point of the future, putting aside this election, which, you know, a little early for that. But, you know, one thing that is that is positive that we should keep an eye on is, I know it's looking a little ahead. 2030 census is going to radically redo all these numbers. Okay. 2030. So I've mentioned this before, my worst case scenario, which has been scaring everybody all over the internet, which is that tonight Donald Trump wins North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada. Yeah. And she wins 270 to 270 to 68. But the 2020 census was actually done. Because of Omaha. Because Nebraska didn't go. one win in the state. And also because, so the census in 2020 was done wrong. Okay. And they've acknowledged this. Okay. This is perfect. This is like they've clear. They've said this. The census undercounted Florida. It undercounted Texas. It overcounted New York. It overcounted Delaware and Rhode Island. And so if they'd done it right, Florida has two more electoral votes. Trump doesn't need to win any of the blue wall states in order to win the election. Okay. And so there's likely to be a lawsuit on that basis. Will that lawsuit be successful? I doubt it. But there will be a lawsuit on that basis if that's the result of the election, which is actually not super improbable, given

the current odds. Now, what that means for 2030, however, is that as population continues to bleed south, as it continues to bleed to red states, if we do the census correctly in 2030, a bunch of this math gets redone. Florida now has three or four more electoral college votes and places like Virginia have fewer, right? California loses electoral college votes. So, you know, for all the sort of despair that you hear all the time from people, you know, things move, things change. I'm old enough to remember when Florida and Ohio were swing states, and now those are bright red. And I think that's a lot of the sort of despair that you hear that. I think in the future, by the way, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are all trending red.

Virginia, the other hand, is trending blue. I think that's the most likely. Virginia looks like Colorado, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan look very much the same trending red. And that 25% black male exep poll is not a big surprise. I mean, we've been talking about the gender wars and with respect to women, but the Kamala Harris campaign made a decision to make no attempt at all to win a single male vote. Yes. They did not put out even one single ad the entire campaign targeted at men. Excuse me, Matt. Excuse me. You clearly didn't look at Pete Buttigieg and Tim Woolz as well as you did that in Harris. That was very effective, I thought. And of course, they put out a few ads that were allegedly ostensibly for men, but even those

were actually talking to women. And that is a strategy that should cost them the election. I also would hope, and by the way, you guys do great work. If you haven't seen Matt's movie, it is absolutely hysterical. I mean, I know, but I mean, for everybody out there, I mean, What was that movie again? Am I racist? Very good. By the way, I heard me right now. Rachel Maddow, really big fan. I heard a good job by that. I do love it. But I do think if that were to hold, what it would do is destroy identity politics, which I think ultimately. We're talking about my movies still? Or they're like that? No, well, that helped. But black men voting for Donald Trump has the potential to blow up identity politics, which I think is the root cancer that is polluting so much of American discourse. Yep. You may have noticed that joining us now, we have classicist historian.

and host of the Young Heretics podcast, an author of Light of the Mind, Light of the World, my good friend Spencer Clavin, Spencer, welcome to the show. Hey, guys, great to be here. I am not, in fact, Jordan Peterson. You may have noticed. I've transformed over time.

Yes, although you'll have an interesting take on this. Thank you, Clay. Thank you guys. Clayton just got up and left. I don't know. He's gone. Is it something I said? He's like, you know what?

I don't like it either. I got to hang out with Kid Rock boys. When Dr. Peterson was with us, and of course Dr. Peterson will be back later on in the evening. we were talking about sacrifice and the sort of Christian narrative that undergirds society. And one of the things that it occurs to me that Christians are called to sacrifice, among other things, in many instances, is their sense of self.

And religion often gives us a very false sense of self. And Christianity posits that the false sense of self is that we're good. And sadly, I think when Christianity is misused, it's actually misused to reinforce the old religious notion that we're good. If we're good, then, of course, we don't need intervention from God in the form of Christ. Why I bring this up right now is because a lot of Christians hang on to this view of themselves that they are above having to get their hands dirty and worldly affairs. And many Christians for that reason don't engage in the political process.

They think that if they engage in the political process, especially in a moment where you have choices that are, let's call them suboptimal maybe from a Christian. and value perspective. I mean, Donald Trump, you can say many good things about Donald Trump, we've said many of them here. He's not a great moral icon. He's, his pro-choice sort of background has really reasserted itself in this election, which is very difficult for Christians. Christians, I think this country, particularly evangelicals, do not know yet how to reorient their politics in the wake of an event they never thought would occur, which is the overturning of Roe v. which changed everything. Which changed everything. It makes abortion now a political issue. and political issues are messy issues.

When abortion was a sort of abstract judicial issue, Christians could afford to take an abolitionist point of view. And it was politically beneficial to do so. And it was politically beneficial to take an abolitionist point of view. Now, listen, politics aside, morally, I am a complete abortion abolitionist. You can't be more pro-life than me. I don't want exceptions for rape.

I don't want exceptions for incest. I am 100% abortion bad all the way, full stop. But as a political issue, we now have to make a decision. If I lived in California and there was an opportunity for a 14-week abortion ban, I would vote for it. And if it passed, I would then start working on a 12-week abortion ban. But many Christians are simply not willing to give up their image of themselves as pure and perfect and holy and above it all and get their hands dirty with the difficult compromise that's necessary in politics. And I am concerned that if Christians don't vote, we won't win.

There are still 18 minutes to vote, to get in line to vote, before the next round of polls closed. If you're a Christian and you've been on the fence about the idea of voting, please go stand in line. If you're not in a state where the polls have already closed, please get in line. You have an obligation to vote. Our obligation is not to our view of ourselves. Our obligation, if anything, is to confront our view of ourselves, realize our need. And part of what we get out of grace in Christianity is the opportunity to actually protect, in a world that isn't perfect. You only get to participate in that world that isn't perfect if you

believe in some sort of system of grace. And I wanted to say that while Dr. Peterson was here. But I didn't get to... I'll have to do. So I'm saying it to you. What do you say to this? Well, for all that conservatives have spent, what, four years at least now, bewailing wokeness and identifying all of its flaws and talking about what a terrible, ugly, self-destructive ideology it is, which it is, and all of that is true, and we should point that up, we still have not, as conservatives or as Christians, reckoned with the fact that wokeness offers people something. Wokeness has a selling point, and it's exactly what you are saying. It's an answer to the question, what must I do to be saved? And for most of my adult life, we've pretended that that question

doesn't matter, that we can sweep it under the rug while we pursue material pleasures and technological advancements and that God is dead or over or irrelevant, and we don't even have to think about virtue or abstract eternal ideals. That idea turned out to be catastrophically wrong, even among the people who said that they believed it. And this is why the new atheists and all the Sam Harris's and Richard Dawkinses of the world have now been stampeded by a mob of young people, desperate for somebody to tell them how they can be good. And woke. politics stands right in that gap and says all you have to do is take the knee. You simply have to proclaim your guilt. You have to confess your systemic racism or you have to assume your position

on the sacrificial pedestal as a minority or whatever. And now you will once again be in the grand cosmic dance of virtue and pollution and sacrifice. Christians are supposed to be different, I think, is what you are saying. That's right. The The Christian pitch is actually something radically other than that, in a way that almost no other ideology or religion offers. G.K. Chesterton says, before you get the good news, you have to get the bad news. And the bad news is that whereas virtue is absolute and God's justice is perfect altogether and his righteousness is entire, we are at an infinite remove from that in the world. And the incarnation is the point of the incarnation. God wouldn't have had to take on flesh and

die if he weren't willing to meet us at that imperfect juncture and take the next step toward his perfection from wherever we are, whatever mess it is, however snarled and tangled we are, and boy are we in our past sins, in the sins of our fathers and our ancestral guilt, God and Christ takes one step toward God the Father with us. And in terms of politics, this caches out as the ancient virtue of prudence, which is what you were talking about. The Christian church fathers and the Aristotelians of the ancient world, and I think the rabbis of the Talmud would all recognize what you are describing as a classic instance of prudence. You don't get the world that conforms to your ideals. You don't even get a world that approximates to your ideals.

You get a world that is a thousand miles away from your ideals, and you have two choices. One is to nope out and be responsible for whatever the world is as it is, because you have no effect on, and the other is to get your hands dirty and admit that you were never clean to be. And on this point, you bring up good old Aristotle. He doesn't just say prudence is a virtue. He says prudence is the paramount political virtue. It is the most important of the political virtues. And so we cannot afford to have Christians just throwing their hands up in the air in a kind of suicidal political quietism

that is really a homicidal political quietism because it's going to take a lot of good people down with them. That's why I, Jordan Peterson was here. Who's this guy? Who am I? Who are you? I've never seen this man in my life. He is tall and very well educated and has a bit of a beard sometimes. And hair on my head, you made it. He has a distinctive voice.

So obviously no relation. No relation. We're so thankful for tonight. I think what Spencer meant to say was go vote. We're so thankful for tonight's sponsors that we're going to take a moment to tell you about some of them right now. And then we'll be right back. Why, hello, everyone. We wanted to take a moment to tell you more about our sponsor, Lumen.

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a i powered apps use cutting edge gen ai features like vector search and modernize your apps with oracle database running in every popular cloud platform ocii a ws azure and google cloud that means you run your workloads where you see fit with built-in AI, high availability in the leading performance you expect from Oracle database. See what you'll be able to do at Oracle.com slash multi-cloud. We're now joined by DailyWire host and reporter Megan Basham. Megan, welcome to our election night coverage. You hosted the pre-show with Cabot. I thought it was terrific. I did. And now I love just being in this den of testosterone. That's for having me. But I want to be fair to you. Yeah, exactly. Michael has a pretty high level of estrogen, to be fair.

But quick update. So Florida, best state in the union, just going to keep saying it, my home state, because I in my own personage and with my family brought something like 20 Republican voters to Florida, just our immediate family and surrounding friends. Florida is just blowing it out for Trump right now. Florida, Miami-Dade is flipping to Trump. Right now, there are two major ballot measures that were on the ballot in Florida. It was an attempt for Democrats sort of claw their way back in. One was Amendment 3, one was Amendment 4. Amendment 3 was a legalized marijuana petition. Amendment 4 was illegalized abortion. Both look like they are going to go down to defeat because Florida is a red state and it ain't going back. Meanwhile, over in Georgia, the results look pretty ugly for Kamala Harris thus far. Some of the swing

counties are moving toward Donald Trump. There's also some problems, apparently, in New Hampshire. There's some towns in New Hampshire that have had some pretty significant swings to Donald Trump. If you had to game this thing out right now, it looks as though basically Kamala Harris's hopes come down to extraordinarily heavily turnout in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee. That may be the entire election right there. It's just do enough people show up for her in those three big cities specifically, because the rest of the map looks like it is trending toward Donald Trump over 2020. Well, that's really encouraging to hear.

I hadn't picked up the latest, so I'm really glad I came onto the set to get that us. Especially about Amendment 4. And all the Christians say, amen. That's right. Again, like, credit work, quite a good. is due. Georgia and Florida are two states where Donald Trump was at odds with the governor of that state, and the governors of those states have done yeoman's work in actually shifting the voting

population of those states. Brian Kemp, the governor of Georgia, who endorsed Donald Trump, was at odds with him. He's done really good work on the ground in Georgia, even though Donald Trump has been very much at odds with the Secretary of State of Georgia. And of course, Ron DeSantis ran against Trump, and then DeSantis endorsed Trump and has been campaigning for Trump, and that state continues to get redder and redder. So, again, the early numbers, it's way too early to say anything like things look great. But again, if you're looking at like early trends, early trends for Donald Trump, people are showing up to vote. And by the way, if you're in Pennsylvania, you still have 10 minutes to get in line. Get your ass in line if you're in Pennsylvania right now because that state matters.

That is that is the keystone state for this election. And speaking of Pennsylvania, we're being joined now by Cassie Akiva, who is joining us from Dave McCormick's election party headquarters in Pennsylvania. Of course, McCormick running for Senate in that state. Welcome, Cassie. What's going on there? Thanks for having me. Right now, the doors. just opened. It's very rowdy here. We have a very loud band behind us. The campaign told me that they're feeling pretty good. There's been a really good turnout in the rural area, so things are looking good here. The party's just getting started. What have you been saying on the ground

in terms for support for Trump from Gen Z voters? Yeah, so we went to a Trump rally yesterday in Pittsburgh, and we wanted to talk to voters about why they were voting for him. And halfway through my interviews, I realized that every single person I interviewed was Gen Z. There were so many Gen Zers there, So it had to be a video about Gen Z support. So take a look right here. Are you supporting Donald Trump? We are. Of course.

Yes. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Absolutely. Oh, yeah. Big top. Yes, I am. I already buried it for 100%.

I am. Trump. Trump. Trump all the way. Donald J. Trump. Donald J. Trump. $24, baby. Hey, man.

And why are you supporting him? You know, it's foreign policy. I don't want us to go to war. You know, I don't want to be drafted. It's going to lower our taxes. It's going to make life more affordable again. I think mostly the economy. The stuff that's happening.

But in the past couple years, hasn't been good for our country. I just think he's for the people, and he's going to make this country great again. Pro-Life is a very big thing for me. The economy is dead right now. Come on, and Jill have done absolutely nothing for this country. I just don't think I'm going to be able to buy a house. Is this your first time voting for Donald Trump? Yes, ma'am.

First election happened. It is my first time ever. It is my first time voting. It is. Yes. First time voting. Yes, it is. Yes.

Why is it important for Gen Z to vote for Donald Trump? Because we're the future. If you want to be proud to be an American again, vote for Donald J. Trump, Zee's as easy as that. Cassie, that's unbelievable. We're going to be checking back out, checking back with you throughout the evening. Thanks for being with us. Thanks so much. Well, I may as well mention here at Decision Desk HQ has Trump continuing to go up in the possibility of winning Cal Shee, which is a betting market. Cal She has Trump at a two to one favorite now in the betting market. The same thing is happening over at Polly Market.

So, you know, none of that means anything, but it also doesn't mean totally nothing. If we're going the other way, certainly we would be seeing the celebration breaking out. It's a little too early for us to tune over to MSNBC and see, like the bullets of sweat coming down to people's face, like Robert Hayes in an airplane. Don't get coffee. I know. They'll need people to vote. You don't, I've been saying this for months now. You do not win presidential elections by supporting candidates.

You win presidential elections by voting for candidates. And there's still time for most of the country to vote. Every single vote is going to matter. Elections in our lifetime have been decided by so few votes if you make the decision to sit this one out. you may very well be making the decision for the people who represent your values or more broadly support your values to lose. Ben, Cassie, is at McCormick's campaign HQ in Pennsylvania. You actually did some campaigning with McCormick, didn't you? I did. And that is a tight state. So David is running an extraordinary campaign in Pennsylvania. You remember early on when Trump was

struggling to find his sea legs against Kamala Harris, who's actually McCormick's campaign, that was putting out most of the great kick-ass ads against Kamala Harris. McCormick is a business person, so he really is data-driven. And so he's really kind of broken down the state into granular detail. He's run a very solid campaign against Bob Casey, who, of course, is a long-time, top-level Democratic Politico in the state. He was the governor of the state. He's the senator of the state now.

That race is a toss-up. It's extremely tight. And so Pennsylvania is going to come down to the wire. And, of course, their voting procedures take forever. There are apparently some precincts that are there now going to extend out until 10 p.m. tonight because of failures over there. So that means, guys, take some Red Bull. We may be here just a little while.

Yeah, Dave's a terrific candidate. He's really authentic. I had the chance to spend some time with pretty much, yeah, I would say every swing state candidate with just a couple of exceptions. And David, this crop, this crop of swing state candidates this year, this is not 2022. This is not we rated the local loony bin. We actually went on and got a bunch of good candidates like Eric Havdi in Wisconsin, who I think is going to win in Wisconsin. And Bernie Moreno in Ohio, I think is almost certainly going to win. That's me being confident, but I think he's almost certainly going to win in Ohio. I'd say the baseline for Republican Senate wins. I don't even talk to Senate races yet. Baseline for Republican Senate wins tonight is 52. That includes West Virginia. That includes Tim Sheehee, who I did campaign with in Montana, who was an amazingly good candidate. Tim Sheehee is terrific on the stump, really charismatic.

Excellent story. He was obviously in, I believe, a Navy SEAL. So, you know, he's going to win, I think, walking away in Montana, that takes you to 51. Bernie Moreno's, I think it's going to win in Ohio. That's your 52. The question is, if you get to 53, 54, if Kerry Lake sneaks in, maybe even 55 tonight. Listen, the stakes were the senator concerned are so high. Should Donald Trump fail to carry the White House, the Senate could be the only institution that really stands between a president, Kamala Harris and the worst excesses of her policy agenda, including adding states to the country. And if Donald Trump wins the presidency, he's going to need the Senate in order to confirm his justices, confirm his nominees, advance his agenda, and give us the kind of conservative victories that we're looking for. Ben, I was really proud of. for being out on the stump the way that you were. And we actually put together this video

of some of your appearances throughout the election. This election is the most important election of our lifetimes. Everybody says that every single election cycle. But this one actually is. Imagine Harris wins. Here's what we get to do in the Senate. We get to say no. If Democrats were to, God forbid, getting to triumph at the kind of damage they would do to the country with the House of the Senate and the presidency would be almost unthinkable at this point. She has already vowed that she would kill the filibuster if she were given that opportunity. She would then stack the Senate with a couple of extra states. She would stack the Supreme Court.

We're at really very high levels of violent crime. We need to secure the border with the wall and border patrol. The standard of education across all of America has gone in one direction, decline. What's at stake is not just slight differences in the marginal tax rate. What's at stake here are fundamental values, fundamental American values. There is a civilizational battle going on. And this election is part of that battle. When I was a kid, my dad used to say to me over and over again, he said, Ted, when we lost our freedom in Cuba, I had a place to flee to.

If we lose our freedom here, where do we go? That's what the stakes of this election are. There's a party in this country that wants the future of America to be stagnation, social decay, foreign policy weakness. And then there's one party, and there's one group of people who want America to build to explode forth. The greatest America has ever been. This is what President Trump means when he says, make America. great again. We want a secure border, safe streets, cheap gas, cops are good, criminals are bad, boys and boys, girls, and girls. These Senate races are incredibly important, and it's, it's not glitzy, glamorous work to go out and stump for, you know, it's a great thing to go out and stump with Trump, and you were able to co-host a fundraiser for him this year,

have him on your show, do an appearance on the anniversary of the October 7th massacre with him and get some great time with Trump, but it's really the sort of behind-the-scenes stuff that you did in its election. On your own dime, I should say, that's not a thing that world would have been. It's a little expensive, yeah. I mean, I was a little shocked by that, but yeah, it is cool. And going to these different places, I mean, first of all, the amount of respect that you should have for candidates who do this day in and day out is really, really high. I mean, that is a rough job. Until you've been on a bus with one of these candidates, just stopping place after place after place, you know, going to, with Sam Brown in Nevada, and, you know, going around to three separate

events where he tells a life story three separate times and three separate groups of people. I mean, it's a grind. It's a real grind. And these people put their lives. on hold to go and do that sort of stuff because they're taking it upon themselves. And by and large, they're not doing it because of their career politicians. I mean, a lot of these people are incredibly successful in their day job. Eric Havdi is a very wealthy man. Bernie Moreno is a very wealthy man. Dave McCormack is a super wealthy guy. These are people who have made it and they've decided they actually would like to give back to the country by going and doing this sort of stuff. So, you know, we should give them, it should be hats off to a lot of these people.

I think we never think about that. We hold them accountable. We should hold them accountable. They represent us and they're supposed to represent our values. But these are people who legitimately take a better life and turn it in for a worse life in order to make the country better. And that, I think, requires us to take our hats off to them. Plus, the American people just kick ass. I got to tell you, like, being out on the trail with these people is really, really cool. There's some really cool campaign experiences. Pretty amazing. I mean, really, really an amazing country, truly. Like, one that stands out was with Bernie Moreno in Northern Ohio. And this was just kind of

an amazing thing. So I was in Northern Ohio with Bernie. I speak. It's like a thousand people and maybe a town of 2,000 people total. And a thousand show up to this event. And I get up and I give my talk, everybody has a good time. And I'm about to take off. And one of the people from the town gets up and says, we want to give you a present. It's like, okay, well, you know, I've been in a lot of events where they give you a plaque or they give you like a piece of paper or something, you know, something for him.

And he said, no, here's an Israeli flag. This Israeli flag, we're giving it to you. Because on October 7th, one of us was so, like the day of October 7, was so upset about that. They took this giant Israeli flag, stuck it on the back of his Ford F-150 in a town that has zero Jews, zero Jews in northern Ohio. and started driving it around the town in solidarity with Jews and with Israel. And people in the town were so moved that pretty much every member of the town signed the flag.

So I have this flag signed by like a thousand evangelical Christians and Catholics in northern Ohio just in solidarity with Israel, with Jews. It's a great country. This country is just effing fabulous. It really is. It's such a great country. And that's why it's so hard to watch when it's threatened by people who don't share any of those values and really think that Americans,

that those exact people are the bitter clingers, are the garbage, are the truly bad people, the bad guys in the story. And it's just such trash. It's not true. And that's why Donald Trump being a middle finger to those people is the thing that they deserve. They deserve that middle finger.

They deserve it good and hard. I hope they're going to get it tonight. Speaking of which, by the way, Loudoun County has had, Loudoun County in Virginia. Yeah. Just had a nine-point swing right. Wow. Okay.

So people are showing up. So keep showing up, folks. We have no idea how rare this is, I think. I mean, that is what you just described would happen in no other country, not only currently in the world, but in the history of the world. There's not another country that would do that. And so much of this garbage that gets thrown at these people about how nasty and hateful they are comes from this place of utter ignorance. I mean, deep, enforced, chosen ignorance and arrogance that the ignorance sort of abets. It's because they don't want to think of themselves as worse than anyone ever. They've chosen not to know about. anyone else ever in the history of the world. And so they look at people, you know,

all of whom have their flaws and their foibles, Americans included, and they think, you know, oh, these backwards hateful hicks, they're just, you know, spiteful Americans. I challenge you to travel the world and find in another country where that will happen, especially with the Jewish flag. And Selena, Selena Zito has that thing where she goes out and she talks to people and she found that no one else had done it. No one else had talked to them and seen the lives they live, which are interracial and completely accepting of all different kinds of people. And they just don't know. It's unbelievable from like the whitest areas of Ohio down to I was on the border with Senator Cruz on

Sunday night. And it's like the Rio Grande Valley, which is totally Hispanic. And everybody in the crowd is Hispanic. Like they have the same values because those values are the values of America. And the value is family, community, hard work, virtually. Those are the values that built and leave us the hell alone. Combined with all those things, right? Autonomy.

We're now joined here at Daily Wire HQ by Brent Buchanan of Signal Polling, the most well-respected polling out. in America. Welcome to the show, Brent. Good to talk to you. Hey, good to be here. So let's talk about the situation in Georgia. Obviously, you know, there's a danger for Republicans and getting high on their own supply. You're kind of reading what's going on on Twitter. What is sort of your overall early take on what you're seeing out of Georgia right now? So there's a couple key counties to look at in Georgia. I actually grew up in one of them, and that is Fayette County here. And in 2016, Trump won this county by 21 points. He only won it

by 7 in 2020, and with 75% reporting, he's only up by 2. So when you're looking at a county like this, you're basically extrapolating this to, quote, the suburbs, because this is on the south side of Atlanta, but it's, you know, a good 30 minutes outside of Atlanta. But then you compare that to Baldwin County, Georgia, which in 2016, Trump lost it to Clinton by two. He lost it to Biden by one, Brian Kemp won it by seven, and currently Trump is plus six with 79% reporting. So you start to see where you have these conflicting data points, some that are good for Trump, some that are good for Kamala Harris. What's interesting is that the Georgia Rurals are coming in pretty heavily Democratic on election day voting, meaning that the people who turned up

on election day to vote in the rural counties in Georgia are more democratic than they normally would have been. And then when you look at some of the performance of the black counties, if the county is about mid-sized, it's performing pretty much like it did in 2020 right now. And in the really heavy black counties, you're seeing actually a Trump underperformance. So it's kind of a mixed bag right now in Georgia. We're really early at this point. I think there's only 9 or 10 percent reporting. But the exit polls, take that for what it's worth, do show some signs of hope for trouble. So when you look at all that,

I know we're asking you now to project out into the future, what are the indicators that you're going to look for as the vote starts to come in that's going to give you a better idea of the picture that's emerging from this kind of chaotic data? Well, we're definitely going to want to see with the northern arc counties. So Cobb, Gwinnett, Fulton County,

kind of the north end of Atlanta. Those are the things you're going to be looking for. As of right now, none of those have reported. And then we're going to continue to watch what the rural counties have done, because if you look in some other places like Indiana and Kentucky that have already reported a lot of counties, the rurals are actually up in those places, about one or two percent above their 2020 turnout percentages. The question is, are the suburban counties and are the urban counties at or above 2020 turnout? And we just don't have enough data in yet

to answer that question. So, I mean, that seems like a lot of the election is going to come down to precisely that question, not just in Georgia, but all over the country, right? Is the suburban vote up is the rural vote down. Given what you're seeing in some of the other states, so Florida, for what it's worth, was just called. Trump is just blowing it out in Florida because Florida has turned into a deep red state just over the course of the last couple of election cycles.

You know, there is this idea that there are these Bellwether counties. How much stock do you take in the idea that there are Bellwether counties where you can look at a county and then extrapolate that out nationally or to other swing states? I think once we have 100% of the vote in, on a quote, Bellwether County, we can extrapolate it. But so far, there's not many in the country where we have 100% reporting yet. But if you look at Osceola County as an example in Florida, that's north of Orlando. It has, I believe, the highest percentage of Puerto Rican population as a percentage of the whole

of the county. And it moved even further right. Miami-Dade continued this march to the right. One thing also to keep in mind about Florida is the fact that it has about a million more Republicans registered now because of the pandemic. And so it's, to your point, it is no longer a purple or a swing state. It is 100% a red state now, especially with those trends. Yeah, it looks like, speaking, again, I'm just going to keep mentioning because it's awesome. Amendments three and amendments four, both likely to be dead in Florida. Those are both trash. Which means basically permanent Republican rule forever for the rest of time, a thousand-year reign of Ronda Sanchez in Florida. So that's really good.

Well, I did want to ask you, Brent, about, you know, this sort of amazing statistic of the Loudoun County in Virginia has moved really toward Trump a lot. What does that mean? You know, for not close washers of politics, you hear Loudoun County a lot because obviously it came up a lot in the gubernatorial race between Glenn Youngkin and Terry McCalliffe. What does that mean if Loudoun County moved right from the last election cycle? So it moved right because you're seeing a depression of Democrat turnout there, not because it has the same number of people who voted and they shifted their votes. So that's definitely something to watch is what is that Democrat to Republican turnout ratio compared to the historical. Virginia in general is actually having a higher election day turnout

as a percentage of total votes than they have had in the past. And they also count, the way Virginia goes is they count early votes first, and then they report election day votes after that. So I would expect to see that the DEM turnout in that county goes up some. But Loudoun County is actually 11% Indian-Asian-American population. And so if that holds and Trump is doing better in a county like that, it's going to be very indicative of some of these Sun Belt metro areas that have high Indian populations. And if she can't juice them in Loudoun County outside of Washington, D.C., she's going to have trouble doing that in Atlanta, in Phoenix, and in some of these other, Raleigh, Durham is another one that has high Indian populations. So Brent, obviously, we're

super early in the night. Can you give us just like a quick preview into what sort of things you're going to be seeing over the next hour? What are you looking for in the next hour? Which areas, which polls are closing and what's going to come out? Yeah, we're going to learn a lot from North Carolina and Georgia because they're on the East Coast and they're going to report earlier. They're going to report more often. And we're going to know who won those earliest. And so a lot of these counties that were watching like Fayette as an example in Georgia that was very heavily Trump and has been slowly less Trump over time. Once that gets to 100% reporting, where does Trump stand? And that'll give us a really good idea of what some of these swing state, suburban counties

are looking like. But what we're seeing overall is that turnout is likely to exceed 2020, which a lot of people said that if we even got to that point, that it would be historic. And so we really find ourselves in this place where under 2020 turnout, it's 100% Trump win. At 2020 turnout, a little bit of a Harris advantage. You get above 2020 turnout, and we're in unprecedented territory, which it's kind of hard to see who that gives an advantage to

until we start to see some of this urban, rural, suburban, turnout differential above. How high each of them go above 2020? As Brent Buchanan, we're going to be back with you in just a little while and keep these updates going. Our election map coverage this evening is possible, is made possible by our sponsor, Lumen, hack your metabolism with one simple device.

Understand your body more with Lumen. Can we, first of all, that wasn't positive enough, so if we could not go back to him again, that's great. But Florida, we talked about how great Florida is because it's deep red and all that. Also, they're going to have all their votes counted, like, soon. And this is the third, I think the third most populated state in the country. And so it's just like, there's no excuse why every other state in the country can't count all their votes if Florida can. There is an excuse. Florida is able to count their votes so quickly because Jeb, Jeb, Bush was their governor for eight years, and then Rhonda Santis has been their governor for, what, the last six years. And as it turns out, Republicans can figure out how to run elections.

Democrats in swing states cannot figure out how to run elections, almost as though Democrats in swing states are incentivized not to figure out their elections. You know, there's a lot of talk about how we shouldn't have voting machines. And I remember when I used my first voting machine in California, you would make your selections, and then the printout would happen, and the printout was a sort of dot matrix barcode sort of situation. You had no way of knowing what the printout said. And so, again, as we discussed earlier,

there's at least the opportunity for evil, at least the appearance of evil. I used a machine here in Tennessee to vote. First of all, Tennessee has an amazing election. The ballot was basically three pages, not one of these 75-page monstrosities. There were three pages worth of things, vote on. So it was super easy, right? Like Donald Trump, Marshall Blackburn, don't raise my taxes,

and then hit print. And when you hit print, it prints out the ballot for you to turn in. And you can look at the ballot and see where it printed all of your selections. Right there on the ballot in dot matrix ink, it said, Donald Trump, Marshall Blackburn, don't raise my freaking taxes and stop asking me. And then I went over and turned it in. So there was no opportunity, even with an electronic system, there was no opportunity for impropriety. The electronic system was just a different way of arriving at a printed ballot that could be read by a human. Again, there's no reason why any state in America can't be doing that. But it's not only red states, it's every other country on earth that has free legal democratic voting. They all count their vote. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I said, and they get it

right. What part of, what part of Democrat-controlled swing state? Did you confuse with three countries that run Democratic election? You know, I have to say I'm watching the vote in Virginia, and it's close, you know. It's 32% of the vote is in. 472 Donald Trump has 51.1 is Kamala Harris. And there's still, the counties that are open are right in the middle of the state. You know, Katie Gorka, who is both the brains and beauty of the Gorka organization, is working very hard. in Fairfax County and doing just an amazing job,

even though she knows the county will be lost. She believes if she can bring out enough people that will, you know, obviously feed in to a Trump victory. You know, they have done a lot of stuff, including go to the Supreme Court to make sure the integrity is good. I voted in the bluest of the blue parts of the state.

I thought, I felt very secure. I felt the election was being very well run. You know, there's absolutely no question of identity or anything like that. It was really well done. And, gee, now he's like three points. Now that's still four. Just about four.

I don't know. I will not be bold over if the state that elected Glenn Youngkin, the moment I arrived, has now become... Not that you're taking credit. I'm not. No, no, that's exactly what I'm doing. I'm taking credit. Well, in fairness, our very own Matt Walsh and our very own... Who's our wonderful reporter who broke the loud...

No, it's just me. Don't worry about it. Luke Roziak. Luke Roziak, goodness. We've been on the air only... two hours. Yeah, Luke Roziak actually is the reason that Florida became a potentially red state. But yeah, listen, as has been said all night, the polls were so close going into this race that an error in either direction could result in a very wild swing. And it, you know, it's very early yet.

And we should keep in mind that in many of these states, the system is sort of rigged to look like it is rigged. By that, I mean they tend to count in-person votes first, which tend to be more likely Republican. And then after that, they start bringing in the early and absentee melon ballots, which tend historically to be blue. And so you end up in this situation where it looks like we're winning and then they suddenly discover all the ballots, even if that's not actually what happens, which again gives the appearance of evil and the opportunity for evil. Something about this election that makes it so hard, I'm sure for the pollsters, who are all being risk averse and basically saying, oh, it's a coin toss, don't yell up at me.

but something that makes it really difficult to model out this election for anyone is that they changed all the rules last time. So in order to be able to model out elections, you have to have precedent to base it on, and we really don't have precedent anymore, and this election is being conducted differently even than 2020. So, for instance, early voting and mail-in voting usually gives a big advantage to Democrats. This year, looking at early voting out in Nevada, that's actually not what it showed.

Yeah, I know. So we really just don't know. Which is unpleasant for pundits and bolsters to say. We do know this. I mean, one of the, maybe the only case that I thought should have been adjudicated was the case in Pennsylvania where they changed the rules against their own constitution. And Clarence Thomas agreed with me, and he's a pretty bright legal mind. You know, not like me, but I saw it very. He's up there.

And I think that the GOP has been much more on top of that leading up to it. I mean, as many people have said, you know, it's easier to put a car together before it falls off a cliff. And I think that that was what they were doing after the last election. And I think the GOP has, you know, need some praise there for actually paying attention, manning the barricades, making sure the legal eyes were dotted. And I think that's really happened to something. I'll add, too, I spoke to hundreds of voters in states like Georgia and in Michigan and Pennsylvania. And one of the questions I asked all of them was, how do you feel about your vote this year? How do you feel about the integrity of this election?

And I can't tell you how many of them brought up the fact that the RNC and that Donald Trump were pouring resources in to having poll watchers. And that message is trickling down to the average voter where you might think there would be a fear of them saying, well, if you really think that the election was rigged last time, why would you vote this time? But that messaging from the top, they are aware on the ground that the RNC has invested so many resources into this. And I do think that contributes to, you know, higher turnout than we might have seen. Let me ask you a question. You go out and you interview voters. Do you think you're getting random selections of voting? We try our best. So in all the states I went to, we would go to different grocery stores, gas stations, walk around in different counties.

So I'd pull up data from different counties in 2020. And we'd try and get as representative a sample as possible. And to our conversation about the polls, like why it's so difficult to get an accurate representation, I think that even after eight years, you might get this idea that, oh, well, the silent Trump voter doesn't really exist. It's become so normalized. They're still out there. They're still talking. You know, they're much more confident now. I actually got to the point after all these interviews

where I could tell who someone was voting for based on how they shot me down when I requested an interview. So about two-thirds of people wouldn't talk to me. I'm just very intimidating and mainly. I'd walk up to a parking lot. Two-thirds would say no, but I'd still ask all those people, well, who are you voting for? And most would tell me.

The people who initially said, oh, I'm in a rush or I can't talk. Those were mostly Harris voters. the people who said, I don't want to talk to you, you're a medium person, or I don't want to talk on camera. Those people were overwhelmingly for Trump. I had an 80-year-old lady who accosted our camera guy making sure that the camera was off. And then she said, okay, it's off. I'm voting for Trump. I had people mouth the word Trump to me.

You wouldn't even say it out loud. And these were in fairly red areas in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan. And so I do think there is still a sizable chunk of people who would not, with a gun to their head, tell a pollster, who they're voting for. And that's the question, have the pollsters figured away around that. Right. Right. Trump is not within 2% in Virginia, with 36% in. I'm not a poll reader. I don't actually, you know, I look at the RCP things, but that's pretty close. Yeah, not so belabor the point, but Florida has 88% of their votes counted. Pennsylvania has 7%. Right. There's no excuse for them. That's outrageous.

No, but Florida is on the East Coast. Right, well, it's true. By the way, I just was thinking, if I may inject the absurd because it's such a serious evening, that the Daily Wire evening does not function as baseball does. When you are removed, you can return to the game. It's just a thought. And actually, since the rule changes, we also have a designated hitter. We're so thankful for tonight's sponsors.

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special offer at oracle.com slash election. That's oracle.com slash election. And thanks to Oracle, sponsoring Daily Wire's election coverage. So results are starting to come in. We're starting to get some data. And as we've heard, a lot of the data is conflicting, but there's every reason for a certain amount of cautious optimism. I stepped out a bit ago, and we have a wonderful party taking place immediately outside the studio where a lot of our sort of friends of the Daily Wire, you know, people who live here in Tennessee, some of our family, even some influencers who came in from around the country, are together having camaraderie, watching the results. And someone asked me, you know, how are you feeling? And I said, well, I'm not feeling sanguine. You know, I don't,

no. That would you be crazy. I'm not crazy. Also, I think one of the reasons that we've been able to be successful in business is because as a general rule, I always take the position that we're a point behind. Yeah. In every success, I'm the wrong guy to have in the room. Sometimes they'll come to me and they'll say, hey, we really did you give a pep talk to the team? And my pep talk always goes something like, you know, we could have done better. But we did do something good. So I'm not one generally for being overly optimistic. But I do think there's cautious optimism. So they're out there. They're drinking maggotas. And so then I was one. If Trump does win, I think I will have a glass of the scotch that Matt has here. And if Trump loses, I think I will

drink gasoline. I don't know if we have that. All right, so here's my vow then. If Trump wins, I will drink anything you give me, which is more than I have drunk in 50 years. I love tobacco. I don't like alcohol. You will raise a glass. It is no question about it. You know, it's funny, another moment of levity.

I said after 2016 for years. in speeches on the radio, that the night Trump won might have been the happiest night of my life, and I would add, including the birth of my two sons. So the left went ballistic, the left when Prager was so, so evil, that he was happier when Trump won than when his own sons were born.

Have you told your sons then? Oh, they think it's a riot. They tend to believe it. You know, this may have been covered while I was out, but I'm only just now seeing that West Virginia Governor Jim Justice won his state Senate race, which is the first flip of a seat for the GOP. We've been talking about how important it is

that we hold the Senate. Whether the result of the presidential election goes our way or not, the Senate is of vital importance, either for stymying the Harris agenda or advancing the Trump agenda. So picking up a Senate. seat in West Virginia with Jim Justice is a great step. You know, had we lost that seat, we could all go home.

That was the seat. No, no, clearly. It was a guarantee. Is there a state that you guys who I do believe are more expertise in the political realm, have more expertise? Is there a state, I mean, I don't say California or New York, I mean, a real, a possible state that if you learned now went for Trump, Virginia, that would be it? Yeah, it would be for all of you, Virginia?

Certainly if he won Virginia, I think we could go home. I will... All right, all right. I will say that I was just at the Daily Wire Party, as I said, and our dear friend Siaka, aka Black Jeremy, did tell me he thinks there's a chance New York goes for Trump, so I don't want you to think that no one is sanguine. Yes, I think...

There is a certain amount. There's a certain amount of sanctuania. It's now in Virginia. It's now 48.5 for Trump, 49.8 for Kamal Harris, with the poll 37% of the Bose country. I just want to say, I think we can go home now. In general. You know, there's also, we're talking a little bit about it. Go home and watch the coverage at home.

You ever go to sleep? What we were talking about with some of the Senate races, there are some real opportunities. Oh, yeah. I mean, Wisconsin, look, that's going to depend a little bit on the top of the ticket, too. But Eric Havdi's run a good campaign there. I feel good about Bernie Moreno in Ohio. I even feel pretty good about Mike Rogers in Michigan. I'm not saying I feel the odds are still stacked against him in Michigan, but he's got a real shot.

You think Sherrod Brown could lose? I think that Bernie Moreno has run a great Republican campaign. I think that there is a chance that Sherrod Brown loses. I'm not saying I would put money on that. I would put more money on Huffdy than I would on Moreno. But I think he's run a good campaign. And I think Rogers, for that matter, Michigan has trended a little bit blue, but I think Mike Rogers has run a good campaign. Michael, I have to say to that point that Rogers slacken race, I saw a lot of all-time troll billboard in this race. I was in Dearborn last week. You know, all around, every single sign is in Arabic and there's all the flags from the Eastern countries. In the heart of

Dearborn is a giant billboard with a picture of Kamala Harris and Slotkin and an Israeli flag. And it says, Kamala and Slotkin always friends of Israel. And it looks like a Harris ad. And the bottom says something like, you know, paid for by friends of Harris. And it says, these women have always and always will stand with Israel, right, in the heart of Dearborn. Wow. And I saw it and initially thought, does the Harris campaign have the worst strategy ever on with their awards? And I looked it up later, and it was a Republican pack.

You know, I, just to add to Matt's keep his mood up because he gets depressed, it's ugly, you know, but my friend, Jeff Anderson of the American Main Street Initiative, he was one of Trump's chief statisticians when he was in office. And we've been talking every Sunday, basically, and he's been, saying, oh, well, I don't know. And tonight he said his prediction is that Trump has a 55% chance of winning the election. He's a very good poll watcher and quite has not been optimistic. He's been very neutral.

Yeah, but by my math, though, Drew, I'm not a poll watcher either. That means that Trump has a 45% chance of losing. I don't like that. I like the 55%. However, it's now virtually tied in Virginia. I don't even know what I'm looking at, but it's virtually tight. It is now 49.18 to 49%. And do you think four years ago at this point?

Is that? It would be, it would have been different? Well, you know. Andrew, do you know how to work this laptop? Are you something? They're not in a wrong county or something? It's in New York Times. Okay, I can verify a place. Virginia's tied at the moment. Yeah, and I'm looking at the most blue states are, blue districts are in.

I am projecting Trump to win Virginia. I'm projecting. Have you declared it? I'm declaring it right now. I'm calling it. I'm projecting optimism. You can't call, but I just like you're declaring. Yeah.

I don't know. Dennis, what's the answer for you? Is there a state that if it goes blue or if it goes red? No, there isn't. I really, I know what I know and I don't, I know what I don't know, which is a gift in life. If anyone could achieve that. So I, my read, my inclination is always the forest, not the trees. Yes.

So I do believe I understand. the currents shaping the West in general on America specifically. But the question of what state will do what or what state matters to make the call that I asked to you not because I have one in mind. I really wanted to know if you had one in mind because then I'll watch that state habitably. And you all seem, or at least the majority, seem to say Virginia. But that's such a reach. I mean, if Wisconsin, came in, and Trump won Wisconsin, and we took the Senate seat. That, I think, is more realistic, and I would feel really good going into the rest of the night.

On the other side of that, if Donald Trump loses North Carolina, it isn't impossible for him to win the presidency, but I think that it would be almost impossible, not even necessarily because of the electoral math, but because the Republican, it would be indicative. It would be indicative. That would be a terrible thing for us to see early in the evening. So is North Carolina determined by Raleigh Durham? Because I don't know what else. What am I missing? McLeanburg County.

Oh, wait. University and North Carolina, Chapel Hill. So, right, Chapel Hill, is that what it's called? So it's all, the big university towns have been poisoned by the university. It's all that little triangle, right? Chapel Hill and Rock. Oh, so that's a try. So that's it, basically.

because I can't imagine the rest of North Carolina is Democrat. What do you think about it, Cabot? Well, I think, yeah, Mecklenburg County is another big one there to watch where Charlotte is. I agree with you that I think from an electoral standpoint, you can pick up 16 electoral votes with Nevada and Arizona, which you could well do, or Georgia's 16 as well as North Carolina. But it's more about what it would mean and the indication. And the black vote there is another one that I think is interesting to keep an eye on. they have the eighth highest rate of black voters in the entire country, Georgia's third. So I'm interested to see the turnout of black men in Georgia and the Atlanta area compared to North Carolina.

Also, North Carolina, sorry, before we go off North Carolina, another reason why that would be a bad sign is that, you know, and we moved on from it in like 45 seconds like we do from everything. But in North Carolina, that's where the Biden-Harris administration had their Hurricane Katrina moment. Correct. And if there's no price to pay for that at all, like for George Bush, that was a major scandal that lasted months and months. We still remember it. And if there's just no price to pay for that, that you could have that kind of devastation in American communities or basically abandoned by the federal government. Yes. If there's no price, then what do we want? Okay. If there is no price, it reinforces the point I made two hours ago when I was on. and that is the ability of the press to brainwash even in a free society, which was revelatory to me because my field of study with Soviet affairs. I learned Russian to read Pravda the communist paper.

And it was a given to me that you could only brainwash people in a tyranny. It is now not true. I know for a fact you can brainwash people in a free society. The fact that the press made a big deal about Katrina and nothing about this shows you how profoundly the press will influence people, even when it happens to them.

The press defines, it's eerie. The press defines reality for the people who lived the reality, not just for the people in other states that didn't have a storm. It's a very scary part of human nature. A little interruption for some results out of Georgia. It continues to trend in Trump's favor right now. So we've got 55-44 for Trump. That's with 54% of the votes in. I believe an hour ago, decision desk HQ, our partners here, gave Trump something like a 69% chance of winning Georgia. That continues to hold pretty strong. If Trump pulls Georgia, the night's on track.

The night is on track. He's in the fight. And North Carolina right now actually trending in Harris's direction, 51-47, but that's only with just... over 10% report. I mean, they're just getting started in North Carolina. Trump is now ahead in Virginia, but the Times is saying that they believe that race leans toward Harris because of the remaining votes favor. Matt, to your point about North Carolina and the devastation there, I was on the ground two weeks ago in Swannanoa, Asheville, the surrounding communities there. The devastation, I mean,

still, a month and a half later, most Americans have forgotten about it, and the federal government also seems to have in many ways. But the amount of people I talked to on the ground there about the election, and these were in very red areas. Asphill, obviously very liberal, but the surrounding counties, those are some of the reddest in the entire state. None of them had even thought about the election. And this was two weeks ago. When I asked them, hey, do you know if you're polling locations damage? Are you going to be able to go vote?

They were all like, oh, I forgot that there's even an election going on. And so I'll be very interested to see what the voter turnout looks like in those counties, not necessarily because they aren't able physically to vote, because I did hear on the ground from a number of Republican officials that they were getting the voting centers. operational, but that they're so devastated by other things that it's just the last thing on their mind right now. And is it still, the area still looks like a disaster zone, or what does it look like? Yes, it was a disaster zone in entire communities. It looked like a nuclear bomb had gone off. So right now it's still, they were just wrapping up the recovery of bodies when I was there.

So I went out with the team of cadaver dogs with a group of veterans there. But the- Do the people have any resentment towards the federal government? Or how do they feel? I expected that there would be more, to be totally honest, I expected there would be more when I got there. And anytime I brought up their opinion of the federal government or their opinion of the Biden-Harris administration, they, with the exception of one or two people, they just said, I don't want to talk about politics right now. They said, I lost my neighbor or my house got destroyed. I don't want to talk about politics. And so there might be that resentment there. And that might be in other areas. But for the people who are actually hit, I didn't get the sense that they were thinking about the political aspect of it, although I will

say I talked to a number of victims who said it was five or six days before they met a single government aid worker and that the only people helping them, it was the redneck air force that I was embedded with for a day of veterans who just flew out Chinook helicopters that were private to run recovery missions. Those were the people that were on the ground first. And remember how Bush was excoriated because he only flew over New Orleans at first? Like Biden didn't show up at all, I don't think. And Kamala did that ridiculous, you know, camera. Which, by the way, flying over it is a totally sensible thing to do. What do you want to do? Repel down into the middle of the blood zone. But Kamala, right. Kamala made no attempt to even pretend to care.

So some numbers also coming out from the New York Times. My favorite thing to do on election night is to look at the liberal websites and outlets. So right now, the Times says it's still a toss-up, obviously, but it's, it's, it's, estimating Trump 279, Harris 259. The New York Times is giving Trump a 59% chance of winning, Harris a 41% chance. What matters here is that it's trending in Trump's direction. So it's breaking away. The New York Times is predicting a Trump victory? Yes.

Though it says it's a toss-up, but they're giving a clear, a decisive chance. Did I have something to drink now? I know, we're getting close. I really want to know whatever we give you, right? That's right. I don't know, absolutely. You can hold me to it. I really want to know why he stopped drinking before we.

take him up. I just become so violent when I would start when I'd say it's people with them. Even my friends, I attack them. So you've never had a a Jaeger bomb. Maybe we'll...

You're right. Don't ask any questions. I was wondering why everybody at the party is naked now. I don't know. So I want to take a few questions from our Daily Wire Plus members. The first one here, Drew, I'll ask this one of you. If Kamala

loses, does she 25th Amendment Biden and become president for the remaining three months of his term, which isn't three, I guess it is three months of his term. Interesting, probably not. I mean, the country seems to be running perfectly as well as it was. I shouldn't say it's running perfectly well. It's running as well as it was. Back when we had a president. When we were back when we actually had a president. So obviously it's being run by a cabal of leftist bureaucrats, you know, secretly manipulated by the Machiavellian Barack Obama from the cellar or something like that. I don't think they want to do anything that dramatic.

I actually do believe if Trump wins convincingly, there will be wiser heads on the left who start to understand that they are seen, that when they try to silence us, they are seen trying to silence us, which was not true five years ago. I do think that it's true. And Ben said this yesterday while we were on Timcast, IRL together, that the left, you have to give them credit for being professional at politics. And they are willing to run more moderate campaigns.

if they think that that's the path to power. You know, in my lifetime, I mean, by today's standards, Bill Clinton was basically a Republican president, particularly during his first term. He famously said the era of the government is over. They're willing to do that if that's what it takes to win. But, you know, when you get to the stakes in the election, I just want, you know, why do I want Donald Trump to win?

I mean, obviously, I liked not being engaged in wars. I like decisive action to actually defeat ISIS. I like killing Soleimani in Iraq. I like the tax cuts. I liked the judicial appointments. I liked the executive orders. But I really want Trump to win more than anything for these two reasons. I want the left to have to wake up in four years and see Donald Trump leave office. Because they've essentially said that he won't. I mean, they've said this guy's Hitler. He's a fascist. He's a dictator. If he comes into power, it's the end of everything.

So in the same way that I want to get to whatever the day is when it's too late to save the planet from global warming. Just so they have to stop talking. Like, either way, they have to stop talking about it. They're going to keep talking about it. But the number one reason I want Donald Trump to win is because I want an end. FDR got elected to a fourth term. Let's not elect Barack Obama to a fourth term. Barack Obama has essentially been the power in the Democrat Party for the last 16 years. The reason he was so quick to advance Kamala Harris for this role is because she's a vacuous, brain dead, probably drug and alcohol addled non-person.

She literally is the non-person player or whatever, right? The non-person character. Which means that Barack Obama just gets four more years of essentially being the most powerful person not vested with the power of constitutional authority, but vested with just the power of influential

authority in that party. I want that to be gone. If you defeat Kamala Harris now, in four years, the Democrats are going to have to run an actual candidate. And an actual candidate will have their own opinions and their own ideas and won't just be a puppet for Barack Obama and his former staff. That's why Barack Obama doesn't want that to have. It's why he wanted Joe Biden, even though he doesn't, he hates Joe Biden, but he liked the fact that Joe Biden was already

dead. He likes the fact that Kamala Harris is, is, maybe has never been alive. Yeah. So it would just delight me if we no longer had Barack Obama. The chief reason I would want to see Trump win, there are many, many reasons you named most of them. But the chief one is because without violence and without violating the First Amendment, I want the news media to know how much we despise them, how much we distrust them, how much we see their lying. I do not know how to send that message any better than to reelect Donald Trump and to say, you know what?

Because it means they were irrelevant. They were irrelevant, yeah. That's right. Yeah. So was the question raised, if she loses, would they make her president for the last three months? If she wins, would they make her president? Well, why would?

Well, I thought she, I thought she was. No, you're correct. Yeah, yeah. So it, I had a, I had a thought on that, that it would be in our interest that she were president for three months. Then they can never say again the black woman president. They would have lost that idiot, idiotic, pointless. If there's something I loathe, it is tribalism. I remember when a beautiful human being, Joe Lieberman,

was named vice presidential candidate under Al Gore. I mean, and I knew Lieberman personally. He was a, talk about an honorable man in politics. Everyone recognized that. I didn't vote for him. My relatives did. And one of my relatives, who was a very, very bright and wonderful human being, said, Dennis, we finally think about it.

a Jew vice president of the United States and you're voting for the Republicans. And I didn't bother arguing, but I realized I don't think that way. I don't believe I need to look like my leaders. I don't believe I need to be the same ethnic group or religious group. There is no part of me that understands why that is a beautiful idea. But Dennis, don't you think that Valium Addicted, brain dead, young women of mixed ethnicity deserve to see a president who looks like them?

It's been too long, really. I'm saying to get certain insinuations out of your commentary. You get this the argument, the one that drives me. Well, we want a Supreme Court that looks like America, or we want a this that looks like America. Wait, I know, I'm one of the 10 million people who've asked this question, but it's nevertheless worth asking, does anybody rooting for their NBA team care

if the team looks like in? Seriously, right? And that's not what they want anyway, because it looks like America means that any institution is 13% black and they want it to be a lot more than that. Yeah, yeah. But before we go around the table to talk about why we want Trump to win, and we've already covered a lot of the good reasons,

but I also think it'll just be hilarious if Trump goes 2-0 against female candidates. If the first two female presidential... that candidates are defeated by Donald Trump. That would be a good one. My answer relates to Jeremy's a little, because that was a really insightful point, Jeremy, when you said, I want Trump to win

so that the Democrats, so we can all see the day when he leaves office and that will prove them wrong. And he didn't declare himself Caesar. I want Trump to be president so that he declares himself Caesar and reigns forever and then Baron will take over after him

and we will have a glorious boxed Trumpana that will auger great goods for the world. That's why I didn't kick the question to him. We're going to take a minute to show you some of the cool stuff going on here at Daily Wire, and we will be right back. We want to be the world's greatest media company. This company represents a whole new generation.

We're building alternatives, and the alternatives are working. Americans have enormous economic might. They just don't have any alternatives, and we're going to give them to them. It's going to change everything. and buy my new razor instead. They'll like what we make more. They'll trust what we make more. We'll hit the target every single time.

Let's make a movie. We are just getting started. We decided to spend $100 million making kids' content. I wrote a little song to remind you, Choice Hotels, gets you more of the experiences you've out. The Can Beah Hotels Got It All. A rooftop bar, have a ball. Cocktails up here feel just right.

is Cambria amazing Bring a date, your team, or even your mom. Book direct at choiceotails.com. See you on the roof. We're going to knock it out of the park and no one else is going to do it.

Five, four, three. It really has been an unbelievable four years since the last presidential election. If you'll recall, four days after the 2020 election, we moved the daily wire out of Los Angeles, which had been my home for 20 years. Drew's home since the mid-1700s.

Ben's home his entire life, except for that brief stint at Harvard. And we moved to Nashville, our adopted home, home of the company with a great governor in Bill Lee, a great attorney general, great state government here, a real welcoming red state,

even though, of course, Davidson County is a Blue County. And in that time, on election night 2020, we announced that we were first moving into entertainment, And we've really accomplished an incredible amount since that time. Not only as Matt, I think, made the two most important documentaries, basically of my lifetime.

Not only have we made movies with Gina Carrano, acquired the rights from Dallas Sonia and Bonfire Legend to the remarkable Run-Hide Fight, but we also have made the Penn Dragon cycle, which will be launching next year. We brought you Bent Key, our children's app, which is one of the things that we're the most proud of. All of this work is made possible by our Daily Wire members.

We'll be taking more questions from them, the evening. If you're not a member, please consider becoming one. We're running a great special today. If you use promo code fight at DailyWireplus.com slash subscribe, you will get 47% off. 47 because we hope that Donald Trump is the 47th president. I recognize that there is some risk in the promo code. And believe you me, if the night doesn't go the way we want, we will change the promo code very, very quickly. So we'll get an update out of Decision Desk HQ. They're putting Trump's chances in North Carolina at 73%. Oh, that's good. Pretty good, pretty good.

Georgia also looking pretty good. Don't want to count our chickens, but... Another shout-out for my boys in Florida. First big polling miss in the evening. Those RCP averages had Trump at plus 8 and Rick Scott at plus 4.5. They're both going to win by plus 12. Wow. Wow, that's great.

How do you feel about Florida? Yeah, I love it. It's the best. Let me just tell you how much Florida kicks ass, okay? This is how good Florida is. Florida put up for a constitutional referendum, abortion on demand, and legalized marijuana, and both went down in flaming defeat.

because Florida is, as stated, amaze balls. I'm pretty amazed that, you know, I thought the abortion one would go down. I didn't think the other one would go down. Well, so, again, DeSantis got on his horse, and he, like, actually did the work in that state. And Brian Kemp, by the way, did that in Georgia, too. Like, seriously, full credit to Brian Kemp, who Trump crapped upon for literally years. And Brian Kemp went out, and he's been stumping for Trump. I mean, he's been doing the work.

So, you know, that is, let's put this way. The good graces go both ways. Again, just go one way. We've talked about Donald Trump, you know, forgiving his enemies and people who have opposed him. And it also works the other way. There are a lot of people who, you know, Donald Trump did not treat amazingly well over the course of the last few years who have shown up for him. I mean, we all remember he didn't treat Ronda Sances particularly well. De Sanzas went out and he worked very, very hard for Donald Trump in the state of Florida. And it makes a big difference. When we unify, it's better, it's better. Yeah, that's right. Do any of you have a theory? I had him on my show today and I almost never have politicians on it. It's not, I'm not anti-politician. I don't have that. silly view. They run the gamut like any other group of human beings. But it's just not the nature. Who are scum-sucking bottom-moving. Yeah, yeah. But it's just not the nature of my show.

But I so admire Ted Cruz. He is such a fighter for good things. Is he really in trouble in this race? Ted Cruz was in trouble in this race. I consider Ted my only friend in government. And it's, again, I think that as far as scum-sucking, bottom dwellers go. Ted is tops. He is tops in my book. And a friend of the Daily Wire. And he was in genuine trouble.

I mean, for one thing, there has been an enormous shift in Texas. And the shift in Texas is not that they've imported a bunch of Californians. As it turns out, the Californians they've imported are largely conservative. It's that they have this uncontrolled border. They've had it now for so long that it is beginning to erode Texas. It's not, I mean, it is still decidedly, a red state, but it is purpling up. And Ted was trailing behind Trump in the state in poll after poll. The Democrats decided to run Colin Allred, who is something of a cultural figure. He was obviously

a Tennessee Titan NFL football player. So the kind of guy who could get some sizzled down in Texas, and it became the most expensive Senate race in the country. Right. That's what he said. They spent an enormous amount of money trying to unseat Ted. And one of the reasons Ted is vulnerable is because Trump kind of shibbed him at the RNC, you know, back in 2016, and because Ted has played so hard himself with people like Mitch McConnell and his colleagues in the Senate that they didn't give him a lot of support from the institution in this race. And so I do think that at the beginning of this race, and even as recently as six weeks ago, there was a lot of very concerning polling for Ted coming out of Texas. So I got to get involved in that race, actually, in my own way, not

as a representative of the Daily Wire, but as a friend of Ted Cruz, and I wrote an ad for him, which I think turned out maybe to be the state-level ad that had the most money spent on it out of any race in the country this year. I was really proud of the ad. I assume you probably saw the ad. It was the ad where Colin Allred tackles a little girl on the football field because he supported transgenderism in sports. That's right. And it was a brutal ad. I'm not going to a lot. But it turns out it was very effective, and the Super PAC spent a lot of money on it, on airing it in Texas. And I think that Ted has run a great campaign in Texas, and I do not think he goes into the evening tonight in trouble. It would be, in fact, I'll go so far to say,

I think that if Ted Cruz loses his race in Texas, Kamala Harris is going to win the presidency, they're going to win the Senate, they're going to win that. Like, yes. Whereas I don't know that that was necessarily the case, even as recently as eight weeks ago. But he's He's put in the effort. He's running a break game. Ted's been all over the state. And Ben campaigned with him two days ago in McAllen. Massive, massive energy for Ted Cruz.

By the way, one piece of interesting NBC exit polls. Again, always with the proviso that exit polls are chicken entrails. But the Pennsylvania independent voter exit poll out of NBC News, Trump 50 Harris 44. If that holds, Trump's going to win Pennsylvania. He's going to win the presidency. So, you know, let's hope that that holds. Well, meanwhile, Brent Buchanan from Signal, he is with. with us, and he has some updates from Georgia. Brent, tell us all about what's happening in Georgia as

more of the vote is coming in. Well, we're starting to see some of the northern counties begin to report, which is what we had talked about earlier. And so we look at places like Cobb County, Georgia here is beginning to report. So this is a very large county that in the past has voted for Joe Biden. Let me look at the numbers here. So this was a a seat that or a county that Joe Biden won by 14 points. And you can see that currently he is doing some quick math here. I love tens of a percentage. She's currently up by 16 points or she's up by 16 points in this seat. So one of the biggest trends that we're beginning to see across Georgia specifically is that there are some places where she's doing better. She's improving upon Biden's

margins. The vote share is higher. But then you're starting to see some of these rural county come in also too. And so we've got Forsyth County here as an example. And this is a county that Trump won by 33 points. And currently he is up by 37. So you can see you've got kind of a counterbalance effect here of two northern arc Georgia counties. One red America is getting redder and blue America is getting bluer is what this tells me. That's a really good point. And then you throw in again, let's go back to Fayette County. county that we were talking about earlier. This is a county that Trump won by seven, and now you can see how tight this margin is. And so if we're talking about blue and red America, Fayette County is

the county in between blue and red America, and it has shifted somewhat in her direction. So overall, we're seeing a lot of the same trends in that the rural are doing better, but this partisanship gap of if you were in a blue county, you're voting even more. or heavily blue, at least in the swing states. And again, I go back to what you brought up in the last segment, talking about Loudoun County. That's a really interesting place, because they had 220,000 votes in 2020.

That's down to about $212,000. So an 8,000 vote drop, and it looks to have almost come exclusively off of the back of Kamala Harris. And so Donald Trump is performing at his ballot, actually a little bit above the ballot share that he got in 20, 2020 in a county like that. And then you combine that with Florida, which is just wildly red. And you begin to see how the national polling has showed a very tight presidential race.

And we saw a lot of this in 2022 also, where Republicans were at plus two nationally on the generic ballot and ended up in that place and then just barely won the House of Representatives. And so I don't think this election is turning out so far to look much like 2020 or even 2016. It's got a lot of 2022 vibes to it, at least that we're starting to see come in. And that's very strong Republican votes, but it's not showing up evenly across the country. And so I'm really interested to see what other states that aren't like a Florida as they come in. You know, we're sitting here at Georgia in total of about 63% reporting. This margin continues to get closer as the votes are counted.

And I think this is going to be a really indicative state. as we begin to go through the night. But again, it feels a whole lot like 2022 right now where Republicans are performing very strongly, but it's not necessarily netting us yet in the places that we need it to net us vote. It's just increasing our margins in places like Florida and Loudoun County that actually don't matter that much overall. Well, let's talk about sort of, you know, the question of voting by race. He seems maxed polls that show that Trump is performing strongly so far in Hispanic districts. There was an exit poll that somebody had cited earlier that suggested that he was doing well with black men in Georgia. What did the turnout look like? Do we know yet

in terms of exit polling or any other data what the turnout looks like racially in a state like Georgia, which is obviously a very heavily demographically black state? Yeah, a lot of those counties haven't reported yet, especially the rural black counties. So if we come down to some of these counties down here, so coffee county, we can look at some of the census data. of what this looks like. I mean, this is 28% black. What's really interesting is that this county actually looks a whole lot, at least racially, like the state of Georgia. It does over-index on Hispanic and under-index Asian, but it gets the black percentage about right when you're thinking about what the voting population is going to be. And then as we look at the results for

Coffey County, it hadn't come in at all. So there's just several places where there's not a ton of votes. I mean, they're expecting, what, 16,000 votes here for Coffee County as an example, but there's just a lot of holes in the map still. And even when we look at places like Fulton County here, 74% reporting, I mean, this is turning out pretty much like you would project. So this Fulton County is Atlanta, and then goes into Buckhead and a little bit further north into that top part there that you see. And so I would say we're still pretty early in the the night. If we're going to say that there are good Republican data points and good Democrat data points, if I had to compare the two, I would say that there are more good Republican data

points so far coming in. And they tend to look like it's trending even more so that direction. We do have a couple of calls from the Associated Press. The Associated Press is saying that Virginia is going to go for Kamala Harris. And they are also suggesting that, I believe, what was the other state? There's another state they just called for Kamala Harris, Illinois, I believe, Massachusetts, New Hampshire. New Hampshire is the one that, that was sort of my outlier. There goes my map. My map was, in my dream map, he wins New Hampshire. They've called New Hampshire for Kamala Harris as well. So what exactly happened in New Hampshire? Because there were some dreams. Some of us had dreams. Those dreams have been dashed of New Hampshire turning red.

Well, again, it's 33% reporting. So we can't really look into it and say what happened. I think it's just if you're looking at states that aren't actually that competitive and have not had hundreds of millions of dollars spent on them, they're kind of performing like you would expect them to perform. Not a lot of money was spent in Florida this go-around, and I think that depresses the Democrat and left-leaning non-affiliated voter turnout there. In a place like New Hampshire, there wasn't much advertising. We did a huge study in 2022 after the election and looked at where large amounts of spending went compared to races that didn't have a lot of spending. And you saw, if it was a red seat and it didn't have any spending, you actually saw severe

drops in Democratic turnout because they had no reason to show up. Like they knew it was going to be a guaranteed victory. And so places like New Hampshire are a really good example where not a whole lot of money spent, not even a ton of money in the congressional races comparatively were spent. And so it's just giving you what you would expect it to give you. you in a final result. Well, Brent Buchanan will check back in shortly. Our election map coverage this evening is made possible by our sponsor, Lumen. Hack your metabolism with one simple device.

Understand your body more with Lumen. It's interesting that, you know, Trump is running ahead of Kamala in Virginia. And the Times is saying that it still leans her way, but they're not saying she... Well, I mean, the AP called it for her. The AP called it. But that's why, again, we're the amateurs. I mean, like, really, if they're calling it, the reason that they're calling it, the reason that they're calling it is because the counties that have already reported tend to be the more

red counties. They're a bunch of outstanding blue counties. They know how that's going to know. Now, looking at the lib outlets, I'm checking in again with our friends at the New York Times. They are continuing to increase Trump's chances at the presidency. They're now putting it at 6040, Trump. Their EV breakdown is 279 to 259. Before New Hampshire came in, they had it up to 280 as a possibility, but okay, we're at 279 still. You're seeing a little breakaway here, even coming from the liberal outlets. It says it's a toss-up, but their meter is moving closer to lean. They've got the needle back.

The needle is back. The famous needle is back. Where the degenerate gambler? Yeah, I know. Where are the degenerate gambler crowd? You know, Megan, what are you hearing from the evangelicals? You know, we've heard so much about the evangelicals being kind of told not to vote or told that they should vote woke or whatever.

What are you hearing? I mean, that's a very real thing. It's both, from a standpoint of you have pastors, and I can tell you some very well-known, influential. Pastors, people like Andy Stanley, who he has a church of about 38,000 in Georgia. And he had a book out last year called Not in It to Win It, why choosing sides sidelines the church. So I think that that has been a major factor. Jeremy was talking about this earlier. The messaging that you're getting from a lot of these pastors that it's dirty to get your hands in politics, rather than understanding

that, look, we as a constituency have to be able to leverage our political power for the cause of righteousness. That's not what they're arguing. And at the same time, you also have, literally, and you and I talked about this on your show, hard left secular foundations who are funneling money into gambits and efforts to try to push this narrative that it's better for Christians to abstain from the political process, that Jesus is neither left nor right. And of course, the implication there is that the left and right are moral equivalents. And they're not. but I think you have a lot of pastors who are unwilling to stand up and seem like they're partisan and push back against that narrative. This, you've been a very sensitive subject.

I had Jack Hibbs on, one of the best known pastors in the country for an hour last week on my show, begging fellow evangelicals to vote. But this notion, Jesus is neither left nor right, and it doesn't matter whether you're Catholic, Protestant, or Jew, I, for 17 years, have conducted Yom Kippur and Russia Shana services in Los Angeles. And I never talk politics, by the way. That's one of the reasons I founded this synagogue was not to talk politics. But I'm obviously conservative, religiously and morally.

And one of my subjects, and I choose them very carefully because most of the people have heard me on the radio and in speeches, so I need something really big, but not one that I've addressed. How does one explain when religion, specifically Judaism and Christianity or Christianity, doesn't make people better? It's always bothered me. The first book I wrote, I was 24 years old, the nine questions people ask about Judaism. And one of the questions was, if religion is supposed to make people better, how do you account for un-eastern? ethical, religious people. And that has bothered me since high school.

The Bible is so clear that God wants us to be good. My favorite verse in the entire Bible is, those of you who love God must, it's a commandment. The Hebrew is in the command, must hate evil. If you don't hate evil, you don't love God. So for a pastor or a rabbi that's irrelevant, or a pope, to say that Jesus doesn't take sides it is he doesn't take sides on whether you cut

girls breasts off if they say their boys that's frightening it's the problem could you deliver that message to the evangelicalist? I do I speak to Christians more than the Jews I will say that there is an aspect of Jesus which is you hate to use modern political vernacular to talk about ancient religious figures,

but there is a liberal aspect to Jesus in the sense that Dr. Jordan Peterson often says that the purpose of the liberal in a healthy society is to speak for the underrepresented. It's to speak for anyone who, because in any sort of hierarchy of any kind, there are going to be people who get disenfranchised, there are going to be people who the system looks over, and someone has to remind those of us who are in power, those of us who are ascendant, to remember those people and to care for them.

But that's about where the comparison can stop. Religion is fundamentally a conservative exercise because it posits that the greatest wisdom that's ever been presented in human history is behind us. Right. There's also a transcendent, eternal moral order and human nature. It's hard to square. It's hard to square that with the liberal project, which is in itself largely a rejection of religion.

I mean, you think of the French Revolution is where we get the terms left and right. And what does that come from? That comes from the National Assembly where the Catholics sat on the right and the atheists sat on the left. And that was pretty much the breakdown. Speaking of the French Revolution, our friend Tim Poole, is joining us now. And not a moment too soon because the polls are closing in a number of states just in the last few minutes, all throughout the central part of the country, including Texas, my home state,

which you will be shocked to learn is being universally called for Donald Trump. So going into the election, there were all kinds of things that people were, maybe New York will go for Trump and maybe Texas will go for Harris. All that is wishcasting. We still live in a world where gravity works.

Yeah, here's some quick calls. Trump wins Wyoming, Trump wins Kansas, Trump wins North Dakota, Trump wins South Dakota, Trump wins Nebraska, Trump wins Louisiana, and Kamala wins New York. So Donald Trump's big dream of winning New York while that one went down in flames because that's a really stupid idea. Hey, Kamala Harris, Texas and Trump has went Ohio.

Kamala Harris did campaign in Texas. That'll just, came in right now? Yeah. All just, yeah, as you were walking over. Right, right, right. Well, how are you guys feeling? We've been tracking the Decision desk forecast giving Trump's about 70% chance to win, and it's going down a little bit, but it's staying about two to one, so what do we think?

I don't know, man. What do you think? The whole time, the scariest thing is the quote-unquote shadow campaign, right? Time Magazine writes that article, 2020 had a shadow campaign. We go to bed, Trump's ahead in all the numbers, and then we wake up and he's not winning. Based on what I've seen on the ground, based on, I went to Philadelphia, and there were Trump signs in downtown Philadelphia and the surrounding residential areas. That, to me, was crazy to see an urban center that was Republican or that people were unafraid. And so that my gut just says Trump's got the edge, whatever that means. But I don't know the Republicans have the procedural capabilities that Democrats have.

I think, Ben, you were saying they're way more professional. That is worrying to me. Yeah, so there was some Gallup data that suggested that a much higher percentage of Democrats had heard directly from the Kamala campaign than Republicans had heard from the Trump campaign. Democrats are granular on this sort of stuff. They know how to ballot harvest. They will knock on doors. They'll do whatever it takes to get their people out.

Republicans, it always feels like, okay, guys, please just go. And the more we just shout vote to people, that somebody out there, it's, you know, You'll open your window. You'll shout vote in some person in Pennsylvania will hear you and then immediately run to the polls. With that said, I mean, the enthusiasm that Trump, you know, does enable in the population on both sides, but largely on the right is unprecedented, obviously, in American history. And you are seeing that show up. If you had to game it out right now, Trump is a slight favorite. I think everyone sort of acknowledges at this point that Trump is a slight favorite, but it's a very slight favorite. So like the needle, the New York Times, the fifth needle.

They right now have it leaning right between it's a toss-up and lean Trump. They have it very slightly favoring President Trump. He's very slightly favored to win Pennsylvania. He's slightly favored still to win Nevada and North Carolina, according to the New York Times. So I'm not citing a left-wing source right there. And, of course, it seems as though we're having a better time tonight than the people on MSNBC are. From what I'm hearing from my, you know, I'm getting a lot of text from people.

That was part of the reason my joy. You know the whole night I watched the, the left-week media. Oh, we're going to live-stream MSNBC. If this goes the wrong way, we're just going to, like, put a live camera outside Kamala's headquarters, and we're just going to watch people scream into the night, and it's going to be just wonderful. There will be joy.

There will be joy. You guys all know the term schadenfreude, joy at others' misery. So I don't generally have that, but that night eight years ago, it was pure. It's like the purge. right? All moral rules are off. I just continue to avoid the suffering of others. I have been very honest with myself for the past several days.

I have relatives and friends who are big libs. You know, I'm from New York. I lived in L.A. A lot of Democrat friends. And I won't bring it up with them. And it won't come up at Thanksgiving. Right. Exactly. However, I have two buddies who are New York Democrats. And I am, I don't even, I don't want to get ahead of myself, but I am salivating at the prospect of rubbing it in their faces so hard.

They're the only two. I think it's otherwise we have to have a politics of grace and everything. But there will be some schadenfreude. I think it might be unavoid. As a warning to others, we must engage in schadenfreude. They do not repeat this exercise again. It's like punishing your child. You don't want to do it. You really don't want it to do it, but it has to be done. It hurts you more than her. That's right. Exactly. This is why I really hope that Trump wins the popular vote. If Trump wins the electoral college and loses the popular vote, I know I'm going to go to Thanksgiving and they're going to say, you guys only win because of some archaic procedure. We are the popular

man. A procedure called the Constitution. You guys only win because of your government. I want Trump to win the popular vote so I can just say you're wrong about everything and we're right about everything. It does look right now in Ohio by the way. You have that too? You have a lot of relatives who are on the left? Oh yeah. Oh yeah.

So wait. So do you know, oh, so this is a fascinating question. I love this sort of thing because I always ask people about their own personal lives. I'm fascinated. the only human being I know, and you must understand how many I've asked, including people I meet, which is a lot, on the radio, just people calling in. Literally, the only person I know, all of whose relatives are conservative is my wife. Wow. Really? Yes. Lucky her. No kidding. She's going to live till 170. There's no point. She has no misery.

At that point, though, what's the point of going to Thanksgiving? No, if you can look forward. That's great. At least Turkey is good. I feel like Biden's having a bad election. Is this true that Joe Biden was wearing red? So Jill was. When Jill voted.

So for sure 100% Joe voted for Trump. Got to be. Got to be, right? She despises Kamala Harris. At the very least, they wrote in Joe Biden. There is no way they did it. I heard she wrote in Joe and she wore red. Yeah.

That would make them sense. That's amazing. Yeah. So, you know. She wore red that matters. Is that a new thing? Well, you're wearing the Republican colors, right? Yeah, no, I didn't know. Remarkable.

It's like a nudge, nudge, you know. But doesn't Donald Trump often wear a blue tie? I mean, I just... No, he's got the red tie, the yellow tie? He always has a red tie, really? Occasionally the blue. You know, something people forget about election night history. They switched it.

Yeah, it was always up in the air. Sometimes, you know, when Reagan won, it was blue was Republican and red was Democrat. Which is the way it ought to be. Yes. They're reds. But it was the 2000 election. I think it was Tim Russard in particular. That was really when it started to solidify as red for Republican, blue for dem.

And I totally agree with you, Dennis. They are actually reds, so it fits them. And red is an unattractive color. I'm wearing a red jacket. But I mean, that bright red, it's like a stop sign or something. Burgundy. This is Burgundy. This is more like.

A big plum. Yes. Yeah. In Ohio, it looks like Bernie Moreno is going to cruise to victory over Sherrod Brown. Let's go. That was a close place. Really? Let's go. I think Sherrod Brown is going to be ousted. All right, baby. Wow, that's big. Yeah, that takes Republicans to 52 in the Senate. Wow. Which is a more durable majority, obviously. West Virginia was fairly obvious. Yeah. When they call that, I'm like, I live there. And Jane on our show is like, there's no cities in West Virginia. You've got nothing to worry about. No, no, that's a great line. Yeah. So we're being joined right now from Harris HQ in D.C. by our very own Spencer Lindquist.

Spencer, how are things shaping up over there? Yeah, that's right. So we're here in D.C. right in the middle of the swamp. And people have been really trickling in now. Most everybody is here at the party. And it is a large crowd. I spoke with some people earlier. And they said they were cautiously optimistic. It was three young women who go to school here at Howard. And they all think Kamla is going to take it. But really, none of them seemed too confident. So we still have a long night ahead of us before we have any results. Have you been able to talk to any attendees inside the party? Yeah, some of the attendees inside the party, you know, it really is a large crowd.

They're listening to music right now and really kind of just hanging out waiting for these results to roll in. You know, we saw Illinois be called for Harris. A couple of other deep-blue states be called for Harris. And they're sitting here watching, kind of waiting for these results to roll in. And people seem to be, you know, they're excited, a little bit jittery even. And cautiously optimistic, I think, is the general tone of those here on the ground. I don't mind that they're jittery. What do you think is the most likely victory map if she does end up winning tonight?

You know, reporters and analysts all week leading up to this election have said that Kamala Harris' most direct path to victory really could lead through those three key Rust Belt states. There's three swing states. So you've got Michigan, Wisconsin, and of course Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes. And if Kamala Harris won those three states, you could have Trump winning North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, even Nevada. And you would still come away with a very, very slim margin, but at Kamala Harris victory nonetheless. So those three states really are key,

and they're going to be ones that we're going to be keeping an eye on tonight. And as you've been looking around D.C. for the last day or two, we see reports about shopkeepers boarding up their businesses. Are you seeing that? Yeah, yeah. We were hanging out really right around the White House in downtown, Washington, D.C. And there was a number of different businesses, ranging from, you know, small restaurants to office buildings,

and they were putting up plywood. You know, we saw violence here in D.C. after Trump's inauguration in January of 2017. We saw violence around the country directly following Trump's election in 2016. So there is an indication that if Trump does win this election, there could be more left-wing violence here, and that's exactly what those businesses are preparing for. If they start boarding up the windows at the White House, please text us. That's the thing.

I'm going to want to get a head start. Well, I really appreciate it, Spencer. We'll check back in with you in just a little bit. DailyWire's footprint at Harris HQ was made possible by people of friends at PDSDET. Get a custom plan right now to become a debt free at pDSDET.com slash daily wire. By the way, a good exit poll alert, this one from NBC News, suggesting that Donald Trump may win up to 45% of the Latino vote. Wow. That is a big number. That is a very, very big number.

Mostly Puerto Ricans, well. Yeah. What did Bush get in 2004? He got a huge number. I think he had about 45%. Somewhere around there, okay. That was the biggest ever. Right, yeah.

Yes. Wow. It's a major realignment. I mean, again, the Democrats, for a couple of reasons, have totally misread the Hispanic population in the United States. I mean, they misread them on policy because they think that they're just a bunch of left-wing San Francisco liberals so long as you keep the border open. But they also, I think, made a huge mistake in 2020, misreading the Hispanic population by using this dumbass notion of Bipak, right?

This idea that like every member of minority was the same as every other member of minority. So Asians were the same as black people, is the same as Hispanic people. First of all, Hispanic people ain't even the same as Hispanic people, right? Of course. Cuba is not the same as Argentina, which is not the same as Venezuela. I mean, these are all different countries with completely different histories. And they think different ways and the attempt to lump everybody. And then I think in 2020, when they were like, listen, if you're Latino, you must believe

that Black Lives Matter is the most important thing in the world. You start to see the shift then. I think you saw a lot of Hispanics go, you know, no. The answer is no. That's not the same thing. I think Latinx was probably offensive to a lot of Hispanic people as well. They said so. I mean, they're like, what does that mean?

Who are you talking to? We do know, though, actually, that the Democrats are aware at some level that Hispanics are not all the same, because Obama, as he was opening up immigration from everywhere in Latin America, did close the door on the Cubans. He said, no, for the first time, forget about those Cubans. You're going back, but everyone else, Venezuelans, please come over. Meanwhile, another NBC News exit poll in Wisconsin, suggesting this, Dasha Burns of NBC News, suggesting that Trump has doubled his black support in Wisconsin. Wow. Trump is polling apparently about 20% of the black vote versus 78% for Kamala Harris. Four years ago, he won 8% of black voters in Wisconsin. I mean, you're looking at identity realignment happening in real time in this election cycle. It's amazing. And so the final identity that Democrats are just banging on is white ladies.

White single ladies. That is really, honest to God. Well, black ladies, too. We call them. Single ladies. We should say single ladies. Are the constituency of the Democratic Party? That's right.

Which is why Kamala Harris has campaigned so hard to get those people out to vote. and campaigned almost solely on abortion because she's dropping support like flies with Hispanic men, with black men. People with capacity for reasons. I mean, also, and it's not, it's not, it actually is not distributed evenly. Like, among single women, it's not as though everybody of every race who's single. I think that there is, it really depends on how likely you are to get married as a single woman as a member of those populations, right?

If you're, like, this is a question that we were talking about with Jordan was married women obviously vote very much like their husbands. Is that because they're being, you know, forcibly abused by their husband? Or is it because the types of women who tend to get married tend to be the types of women who vote like their husbands? And people also marry people like themselves. Well, but marriage also changes people. Yeah. I think that's an important part of it.

And children change people. But it's also increasingly a self-selected group, meaning the kinds of people who want to get married are also the kinds of people who are going to tend to vote Republican a little bit. I want to say the New York Times. Kelly Ayat is now your governor of New Hampshire. She's a Republican. So, you know, Trump doesn't win the state, but Ayat is the governor of... That's the first Republican governor that had in 2000. No. Oh, yes. Okay, I'm sorry.

I do want to say the worst thing that I saw... New York Times needle has now shifted over to leaning to Trump. He's now Lean Trump. 66 to 34. Wait, wait, wait, what's 66-34? 66% likelihood, according to the New York Times... Why do you keep saying it's... No, you kept saying it's just slightly. I don't understand. That's not slight.

They're saying leaning Trump, but they're saying the likelihood, given that lien. So it went from toss-up into the lean category. This is all this, like, stupid needle. Wait, why is 66 lean? That's all I'm asking. 66 is not lean. That's 2 to 1. They're saying, it's not, they're not saying Trump is going to win, you know, 66%

No, no, they're saying it's a 66% chance he'll win. Yes. But that's not lean. No, I mean. I don't know why that's, I guess, I guess, I guess. I guess, I guess. Is 54-40s. Dennis, the same needle once said that Hillary Clinton had 99% chance of win.

Okay. Okay. I agree. I agree with that. It's just the word lean. Just opposed to that. Because you do think the last time we talked about this needle, it was to watch it just go like, you know, in 16. I don't want to move too far from this conversation about the gender gap in the electorate without talking about the hands down, bar none, worst political ad of my lifetime put out by a PAC supporting Kamala Harris that encouraged women to lie to their husband. I think divorce is a grave evil, something that we could argue about one of these days. I might divorce my wife if I found out that she lied to me.

I would not divorce my wife for voting for someone with whom I deeply disagree. I mean, that would be a challenge. You'd have to, because you, in a marriage, need to have a common set of values and a common mission. But to find out that your spouse just lies to you about who they vote for. Did you see the whisper campaign that the Washington Post was reporting on? They said after that ad went out, women were, were putting post-it notes in bathroom stalls saying, your husband won't know, your boyfriend won't know,

your vote is a secret. I kind of feel like if I went to the bathroom and I saw a post-in-on-the-wall, I would not consider what it was telling me. What's wrong with you, is it? You know, that's not what women were doing, and if it worked for them, I guess. This is a reminder, though. I agree with you. That ad drove me so bonkers.

So vile. But it's so perfectly exemplary of the Democrat Party, because, you know, the fundamental political unit is the family. Of course. Not the individual, right? The political unit means it's the family. And the Democrats have been so relentless in their assaults on the family. Taking your kids away from you, promoting divorce, discouraging marriage, promoting abortion, all down the line, all the way up to, hey, folks, our best argument for victory is you divide up your marriage.

And that will divide up the country, and we win. You know, the New York Times, if you follow the New York Times, they run, it's a lot of the, they run. at least three articles a week, suggesting various kinds of sex that will probably destroy or enslave you, unless you're married. If you're married, they keep saying, you know, you don't have to have sex when you're married. They literally have these articles, but you might want to consider it a thruple. If you're, if you're childless and alone, maybe a decent evolutionary strategy is to break up other people's marriages. Uh-huh. I'm dead serious about that. Like, You have no idea what sort of machinations people are capable of when what they're fighting for

is the probability that they will end up in a couple. Like, there's no holds barred. And it certainly is a useful strategy. If you're not in a couple and other people are, then one of your strategies is to do everything you can to break that up. Why wouldn't you? What, are you going to solidify the situation? And you might say, well, that's counterproductive in the long run.

It's like, well, maybe you're not concerned about the long run. if you're that desperate, because desperate people tend not to be concerned with the long run. We do have this terrible mystery that conservatives haven't unlocked, which is the absolutely aberrant pattern of attitudes and voting patterns that characterize single women between the ages of 18 and 34. It's like, there's a big problem there, and it's a real mystery. It can't just be passed over because what they're doing is radically different than what everyone else is doing, and it's enough to consistently swing the elections.

Tim, we were talking about this last night on your show, this idea. that, you know, people like Chelsea Handler and others keep talking about how, you know, they do drugs and have sex with themselves all day. And they're so genuinely happy. And my argument was that they actually are happy. I don't think that they're lying. I think that they don't know that there's an entire realm of human emotion that happens in marriage and then when you have children that they're not even aware of. They live in a trivial emotion. Yeah, happy. And the fact that we're obsessed with happiness, even on the psychological side, is an indication of how trivial our culture is. I mean, one of the things that you see quite consistently in psychological research is that couples without children are happier than couples with children.

It's like, well, you shouldn't have children. It's like, no, you shouldn't use happiness measurements as your index of outcome. Of course, you're less happy because your three-year-old is fragile. And if you have a three-year-old and a one-year-old, it's like, well, you're juggling catastrophes. all the time. Well, seriously, you don't have time to be happy. It's like, but happiness is a fleeting hedonic emotion, and it's not an indicator of participation in a process that's going to stabilize your life and the life of your family across decades. Well, it's an enricher life. It is the permanent adolescence. Yeah, that's right.

The coming generations, they are, there, I look at wolves and I look at dogs in the story of how dogs came to be domesticated. They say that dogs are effectively just permanent adolescent wolves. I see that's what's happening to humanity right now with the current trend, telling people not to grow up, play video games, stay home, stay single, live in your own internal world. But I believe that is spiritual suicide. That's the Peter Pan story. Yeah, there's the Peter Pan has Tinkerbell, the porn fairy.

Serious, dead serious. I mean, he's king of the lost boys, right? Well, that's a form of king. It's not perhaps the kingship that you'd choose. You know, and he foregoes the possibilities of maturity to remain in this childhood fantasy. It is hedonistic. Our media is telling everybody to keep doing it. They're telling you you're selfish if you try to live and have a family and experience what you should be doing. And also, I believe, your moral duty, which is, for those that are religious to be fruitful and multiply,

but for the sake of humanity, if you look at it from a more secular point of view, something like Elon Musk, if we do not reproduce, civilization collapses. And they are telling people to just be hedonistic and to be permanent children. But I, you know, I kind of disagree with you a bit about this, because people who do these things, I've known a lot of them. I worked in Hollywood for quite a while, and I've known a lot of people who live like that. I don't think they're happy. You know, I think they have that kind of surface brittle, smiley happiness, but you only have to question them, talk to them for 10, 20 minutes, and the depth of despair underneath that. It's like, it's like thin ice over a bottom. Well, that's where the measurements are out, the measurements are terribly out of whack.

It's like, you're good, if you're going to do research on something as fundamental as human well-being, you're bloody well, better make sure your measurements are actually. They're not. We have to establish, we have to establish the definition of happiness, which is like, these guys are talking about happiness as though, in the way we talk about it in modern times, which is some fleeting little emotion, or you get tickled or something. But, you know, happiness, we used to understand as rational activity done with excellence in accordance with virtue. Aristotle wrote a very good book about this. And so we used to believe that actually there was an end to mankind. There was like a purpose for man. There was a purpose for marriage. We could know things by their purpose.

that ground has totally shaken underneath us. So when we disagree over what makes us happy, unfortunately, the problem is even more fundamental. We don't even agree on what happiness. Maybe this is actually why I always say this in a way that you, because we talk about this from time to time, and you guys disagree with me, but, you know, for example,

2023 was the hardest year of my life. I mean, it was genuinely traumatizingly hard. And I still would have told you I was miserable, but I was also happy. I was certainly not at my best, but I still would have considered myself a happy person, even in my misery. And I think that it may be that I'm just defining happiness differently. I don't think of happiness. What was it about your life that would have motivated you to go through your situation?

I suppose that what I would say is that I was fulfilled. Right, right, right. Well, and that's a multidimensional issue, right? I mean, you can tolerate a lot of pain even if your relationships are intact. and you're moving towards a purpose that you regard as worthwhile. So one of the things that's worthwhile to understand purely from the perspective of the psychophysiology of happiness is that the positive emotion that's produced by drugs like cocaine, for example, which make you happy, that positive emotion is always experienced in relationship to a goal.

Right. So the happiness that people strive towards is only possible psychopharmacologically if you observe yourself moving towards a value. goal. And so that has a number of implications, one of which is no goal, no happiness, right? Or maybe happiness of only the most fleeting and easily substituted kind. We also know from animal research, for example, that it's very difficult, it's very easy to get rats that are isolated in a cage addicted to cocaine. And you can get them addicted rapidly to the point where they will basically not drink water or eat or engage in sex. They'll just push a button to get cocaine until they die. But if they're living in their wild habitat doing like normative rat

things, it's almost impossible to get them addicted to cocaine. And so, and so even at the purely level of pure pharmacological reward, if you have animals in a habitat where they're pursuing their intrinsic biologically determined goals, then they're participating in processes that make them very resistant to alternative forms of fleeting happiness. And we've blown that all apart in our society. We don't know how much that's enraging. I really think it's enraging young women in particular. We have no, we have absolute, so we know that, for example, half of women who are 30 and under now don't have children, half of them. Wow. Right, that we hit that milestone last year in the West. Half of them will never have children. That's the prognostication. 95% of them will regret that.

So we've already in a situation where we have doomed one woman in four to permanent isolation and alienation, isolation and alienation. And we have no idea how angry they are about that. But, like, you can be sure that they're angry at a level that's so deep that you can barely comprehend it. And you're not even allowed to talk about it because you're offending them by saying that the childless cat lady is not in a good position to judge the future. And this thing about time is everything, right?

I mean, you have kids and it's difficult, but it's a beautiful experience, it's a enriching experience. It's the experience that turns life from two dimensions into three dimensions. and at some point, it's incredibly rewarding to have done it. I mean, I can sit and look at my grandchildren without doing anything for our... I actually said to my wife, we have to go because I'll never accomplish anything ever again, because I'm just happy watching... Just watching...

...play with Legos, you know, it's like... Then I'm the rat with the job. And maybe the reason that I consider myself, even when I'm sort of miserable to be a happy person, is connected to the fact that I'm not a fun-loving person. Like, I don't get any sense of joy out of drinking booze or going to... going to loud clubs. Having a good time is not your idea of having a good. That is exactly right. To me, having a good time is doing, is being about my purpose. That's the source. And that's why having children has increased my happiness. Well, you both alluded to something that's fundamentally

important on the measurement side, too. It's like almost all the things that people do in their life that they look back on with, let's say, self-assurance and something approximating reasonable pride are things they accomplished under difficult circumstances. Now, those aren't necessarily the things you pick for your hedonic pleasure. But when you look back, you think, well, that was extremely difficult and demanding and challenging. And there was a fair bit of suffering moment to moment while I was going through it. But, man, I'm certainly more than pleased that I managed it. And there's this thing.

There's this thing I call it joy. The poets used to call it gusto. It was just being alive, you know, being in that moment and thinking like, yeah, here I am. You know, I compare it sometimes when you go to a movie and you watch somebody, a character dies and you cry. and then you come out and people say, how was the movie? And you say, it was great. Life is kind of like that.

A lot of, if you're paying attention. Yeah, I think of happiness as a, if you're doing the things that you ought to be doing, then you're happy, sort of regardless of how you may feel in any given moment while you're doing that thing. And if you're doing the things that you ought not be doing, then you're in despair, regardless of how you feel in a moment.

And when that question comes up, I think back to our first film, what is a woman when we went to Kenya to the Maasai tribe? And there's a lot of conversations we had with the tribesmen that didn't make it into film because it really wasn't exactly relevant to the topic of transgenderism. But I remember multiple times when we were talking to the, especially the women, and I would ask them, are you happy? And every single time they would respond by saying, through the translator, they would respond by saying, by telling me about the things that they do. They say, well, I'm taking care of my family. I have a family. I have children. I take care of the home. That wasn't even the question. I said, are you happy?

and their immediate responses to talk about the things that they do. I'm performing my appropriate response. Right, because then there's no... The idea that they could be doing the things that they ought to be doing and not be happy, it's like, doesn't make sense. It's a disconnect. Well, that also indicates that in our society, we've abstracted the emotion away from its performative foundation.

You know, and we treat happiness as if it's an abstraction it exists in and of itself. And there's foolishness in that. And you also pointed to something else that's very interesting. You know, when you ask, people, it's very hard to ask people a question properly and get an answer that's reliable. It's very, very hard to do that. And psychologists have concentrated on doing that for decades. It's a whole field of endeavor. One of the things you discover if you do research into what people

mean when they say that they just want to be happy is what they actually mean is they don't want to suffer. So you can imagine that there's two elements to happiness. One is not too much negative emotion and the other is some positive emotion. And if you put people into a corner, they'll pick absence of negative emotion over presence of positive emotion every time because pain is, pain is extraordinarily salient. And so part of what people mean when they want to be happy, when they say they want to be happy, means is that they want to be secure in their foundation, which is not at all the same thing as pursuing the hedonic pleasure that would be duplicable, say, okay. I have to interrupt because there's an election happening. Oh, yes. And

Decision Desk HQ has called North Carolina for Donald Trump. Let's go, baby. A huge piece of news. Truly a must-win state, in my opinion for Trump, North Carolina, and now firmly in hand. And another great sort of victory, not only national victory, but even personal victory, they're also declaring Ted Cruz has won his in Texas. As we said, while Dennis was here, Ted was actually kind of on the ropes a little bit in a very hard-fought campaign. But in these last weeks, I mean, he's done an enormous job down in Texas, an enormous job campaigning, a very smart politician. And he's retained a seat for a third term. And most importantly, Jeremy, at least from your perspective, your only friend in the U.S.

remains in the U.S. Senate. Not just the U.S. Senate, my only friend in government at any level top to bottom. And so with that good news, we'll take a moment to tell you about our sponsors. We're so grateful to them. They've made it possible for us to bring you the show live tonight outside of our paywall. And here's a little bit more about one of them. We'll be right back. Last year, half of American consumers took on debt to pay for the holidays.

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at DailyWire.com slash subscribe. We'll give you 47% off tonight if you's promo code fight because, of course, Donald Trump, with a little good Lord Willing of Crick Don't Rise, as they say, will be our 47th president. Ben, what are we learning? He's just going to put it out. He's going on all the Sunbelt states, okay?

So this is just going to come down to what we always thought was going to come down to those blue wall states. She has to win all three. That is her only path to victory. She needs to win all three of those states. The great irony, the thing I'm rooting so hard for, more than anything else, is that it comes down to Pennsylvania, and she loses Pennsylvania because she wouldn't pick the Jew.

It would be the most wonderful. thing in the entire world, I would love it so much that her signal moral inability to condemn the pro Hamas quadrant of her base loses her the election because she just couldn't pick the Jewish guy from the swing state with the 60% approval rating. She felt like she was on the ropes in Minnesota, right? Wasn't that why she must have been? Yeah, she needed the weird guy from Minnesota. She didn't need the very popular governor of the obvious swing state. What she required was the super weird guy who looks like an inflatable off the side of a freeway to use car a lot.

And that's the one she needed. In fairness to Kamala, so she offended all the Jews. Why couldn't you have just said in fairness? In fairness, that's a funny. Yeah, in fairness, it's not only did she offend all the Jews by not picking Shapiro because she wanted to cozy up to the pro-Hamas side. Also, let's not forget, one in four voters in Pennsylvania is Catholic, and she decides two weeks before the election to say, hey, you say Jesus is Lord. Get out of my rally.

You got to go to that Trump rally. I mean, who says she never tells the jury? It's even worse than that is when she went on national TV, and they said, will you make any religious exceptions for abortion? And she was like, nope. The nuns are going to be aborting the babies. They're like, whoa. It's going to come down. The problem with the Rust Belt thing is the Rust Belt has those three states have voted exactly the same since the 70s, haven't they? Has there been a single exception? Is there been a time where Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania didn't vote in locks up with one another since we've been alive except for? That is a great question. Sure.

But I'm trying to think of a situation in which the election was super close. So in 2016, obviously they went one way. In 2020, they went the other way. In 2004, they actually went for Kerry. And it was Ohio that won the election for Bush. So, you know, when everything is this close, when everything is this tight, I mean, the thing is when we talk about presidential history and you'll say, is there a precedent for this? The sample size is just too small. I mean, that's the reality.

They'll say, well, this is the first time this has happened in 20 years. Okay, fine. That's like five election cycle. The sample size is super tiny. There's not 180 baseball games a year. Exactly. Let's check in with Brent Buchanan. So, Brent, tell us about life.

Well, what's going on? Well, you know, it looks as though the Sunbelt is locking up for Trump. It's starting to look like that. I mean, it's calling Georgia, obviously, a little bit early in Arizona really, really early. But it looks like those states are looking fairly good for Trump. what do you make of, you know, the Rust Belt and the Sunbelt right now? Well, let's talk about North Carolina specifically, because this ties back to something that I don't even know what time it is right now,

but a few hours ago that we spoke of, and that's turnout potentially and likely being higher than 2020. So if we're looking at North Carolina specifically, in 2020, turnout was about $5.4 million in North Carolina. If you take the percent reporting now, add in those estimated votes, it puts you at 5.8 million. So when we were looking at our turnout curve, we knew that once you got to about 5.6 or 7, that put it in somewhat Kamala territory. And then if you went beyond that, you almost had no clue what was going to happen. Well, now we actually have a clue what happens

when you go above 2020 turnout, and it benefits Donald Trump. So let's look at a couple of counties here. I want to start with Brunswick. And so this is a really strong reporting Republican county. and you can see here, let me show you the historical comparison, there's actually not that much difference. If anything, it was slightly closer, but this county actually, as of right now, has netted out a thousand more votes for Donald Trump than last time, even though the margins a little closer.

And so I think this is really indicative of what happens when turnout goes above 2020 numbers. Let's zoom in here to Wake County, which is the seat of the state with Raleigh. And you can see here that Harris is doing a little bit better. Trump is doing a little bit worse. It's only reporting 75% right now. What's likely going to happen is that this improves for Donald Trump

and this final 25% that's coming in. And then if we come over here to Pitt County, so this county is about 30, let's see here, we'll go to the census data for a second. So it's 37% black on census. So it's for a state that is below that overall, this is a slightly more black county than the state as a whole. And then when we look at this historical comparison, what you'll see in Pitt is that this was a margin of about 9.4 for Biden and 20, and that moved to 5.6 margin for Harris.

And what's really interesting is that it had already moved three points to the right between 16 and 20. And so when you start to put this math together and you see that these Republican counties are performing, very well. And even if they don't perform at the same margin for Trump, they're actually netting out more votes into the overall count. And then you look at a place like Pitt County that, as you can see, is blue on the map, but it is less blue, and it is becoming less blue. And I think this is a really, really good example of this educational attainment, realignment that's been happening in this country, where if 20 years ago you were a college grad, you were probably a Republican, 20 years ago, you were a non-college grad, you were probably a Democrat, those bases are beginning to shift.

And as we look at that, what our experimental exit polling shows so far on our internals is that that realignment among non-white voters is even more extreme than the continued shift that we see with white voters. So as we look at these three counties here, Brunswick in the south of very heavy Republican County netting out more for Trump, Wake County, the rest of this reporting going to be better for Trump. And then Pitt County, this is the third election in a row with Donald Trump on the ballot where his margin improves, and even his raw vote improves here. You start to see how once we get into this explosive, crazy, wild, who knew we could go above 2020 and turn out, the answer is we're starting to see a trend that it is benefiting Donald Trump.

Who's turning out in large numbers? Is there a particular demographic? We don't have that yet. We can look at some of these counties, and that's why I really like Pitt specifically here, because it is more black than the state as a whole. And if this was like 2020, if the numbers were coming back like that, I would say that I don't know why they would have called North Carolina, but you can look at this as an example and say, okay, I start to see why they went ahead and called North Carolina, despite the fact that it's only 61% reporting right now, because we're talking about 5.8 plus million turnout, which is just incredible. Yeah, so Brent, one of the things that people are pointing out is that it is a very good time for Trump, not just that North Carolina has been called, but that it's been called so early, meaning that the patterns in data seem to be benefiting President Trump, the sort of theory of the electorate, which was that a high turnout election was going to benefit inevitably the Democrats is obviously not true. And you're seeing this reflected in some of the data. I mean, the needle over at the New York Times, the all-powerful needle, is now officially leaning Trump,

a 67% chance of victory for President Trump, according to the vaunted New York Times needle. And they are also suggesting that President Trump has a slight up chance. Basically, Brent, if you had to speculate at this point, we'll just rank speculation. Kamala Harris needs to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin in order to win this election. If you had to ballpark this thing, that is the most likely scenario at this point, is it not? Yeah, once North Carolina is off of the map, it puts her right into that vaunted, quote, blue wall that in, 2020 is what won the election more so even than Georgia and Arizona. It was going back to winning Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. And right now, as we're looking at Pennsylvania, you can see

that it's a complete coin toss at this point. And what's fascinating is that we're likely to see massive, massive turnout above 2020 for this state also. And so as we compare a place like Pennsylvania to North Carolina where the increased turnout really benefited Donald Trump, we don't have enough vote in yet in Pennsylvania to say the same thing. But they're both experiencing increased turnout over 2020, but we're seeing slightly different results. I mean, if the theory was simply that more turnout over 20 is better for Donald Trump, then we could go ahead and call Pennsylvania too. But as you can see on the Decision Desk HQ right here, win probability, it's a complete coin flip. Well, Brent, really appreciate it. We'll get back to you very shortly with the latest updates.

And thanks to our friends over at both PDS debt and Lumen for their sponsorship of our program here tonight. So, yeah, lots of breaking news. Obviously, Senator Cruz has been declared to Victor over there. That means that Republicans have probably a minimum of 52 seats in the United States Senate. It also means that Republicans are doing better than expected so far in the House. So there were serious questions about whether they're going to be able to retain the House majority. So far, it looks like at least a coin flip as to whether they're able to retain that House majority, which is actually better shape than a lot of people we're expecting at this point in the Senate. time, again, for those who missed it, North Carolina has been called. The map is basically what you

thought the map was going to be before this evening. New Hampshire has been called in favor of Kamala Harris. North Carolina has been called in favor of President Trump. The Georgia votes are still coming in, but at this point, you have to say that President Trump is in fact favored in Georgia. Arizona, he was leading pretty heavily in the early balloting anyway, so the chances are very good that he is going to win Arizona as well. That means that Kamala Harris right now has to win in the Blue Wall State. She needs to win all three of those blue wall. She needs to win all three of those Blue Wall States, that'd be Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. There's not enough data yet. There's some early Pennsylvania voting data that is coming in. They've got about 2.2 million votes

counted there, 2.3 million votes counted there, according to the latest numbers. You're looking at a Kamala with a very slight advantage. So far, things are going better than we have hoped. We have the North Carolina win is the thing that I was the most worried about. So in the same way that Ben had his positive outlier that if Trump won New Hampshire, he thought that that would be like kind of the runaway indicator that we were going to have a runaway good night. To me, North Carolina was the obvious. Trump loses North Carolina. It just pretends terrible things. So having that off the table, huge, having Ted Cruz pick up that seat or hang on to his Senate seat in Texas, huge. The fact that we will almost certainly be able, as Republicans to hold, the Senate,

absolutely huge. The House, we're being in. Guaranteed in the Senate. That's right. We're now guaranteed in the Senate. You want a big piece of data? Here's a nice piece of data for you. Again, exit polling, grain of salt, giant grain of salt, CBS News, exit pole in Michigan, younger voters age 18 to 29, are narrowly going for Trump. Crazy. That is a crazy. That is a crazy. That's a crazy stat. Which, and that would be, that would be a Gaza stat, right? That would be, seriously, that would be all of the left wing insane people on the left who wouldn't vote for Kamala Harris because they think by some bizarre turn of the imagination

that she's too pro-Israel, which you have to be a psychotic nut job to think that Kamala Harris is too pro-Israel, but somehow they've come up with that one. And I'm grateful to them. that. I hope that Jill Stein wins a million votes in the state of Michigan, that she and Cornell West just run away in that election. But also it would be young men. I mean, young men might be... That's what I think... Yeah, I'm wondering about that with regards to the increased turnout, too, if it's the same young men who are going back to church. Do we have the gender dynamics on that? So, yeah, no gender dynamics on that one yet, but you have to imagine, obviously, that you're talking about a heavy male turnout there. It turns out that there are no white dudes for Harris.

There is just white dude for Harris. And it's just Doug M. Hoff, maybe. If she keeps her mouth. He says in line, right? Oh, yeah. I think the last thing Doug Emhoff wants is to be stuck in the White House with Kamala Harris for four years. I really think that he's tired of this by this point. The New York Times, that needle, come on, needle. The needle currently has Donald Trump at a 70% chance of victory in the electoral college and Harris at plus point two in the popular vote estimate. So there is every possibility here that Donald Trump ends up winning both the popular.

and the electoral for the first time for Republican since 2004. How do we feel about Virginia? I was just going to say, that was just what I was going to say. 62% of the voters in. Trump is up 2% and they're still calling it for, come on. Again, I'm not an expert on the counties, and I would assume that all the counties that they have not yet counted are like Fairfax, like big, Dem counties.

Just no, they're not. That's what I'm saying. Looking at the map, that's not what I said. Okay, so election expert Andrew Cleveland is on calling Virginia. No, no, no, I'm not, I've said I'm not a poll reader. I get it. I'm just telling you what I'm looking at. I will say that MSNBC is already starting to rip on the electoral college.

So once they start yelling at the electoral college, you know that things are not going amazingly well over there. Again, what we are saying is something that was noted earlier on, which is a shift in favor of Kamala Harris in the suburbs, but mildly huge turnout for President Trump. Again, this is the magic of Trump. Okay, the thing that Trump can do that no other Republican candidate of my lifetime can do is bring out low propensity voters. The Mitt Romney plan in 2012 was bringing out high propensity college white voters and get those people to vote in larger numbers for him than they voted for John McCain. And Donald Trump's plan was to abandon all those people and go get the farmers to vote for him. And as it turns out, that's actually his magic. He's like that.

And the Democrats. And by the way, and Hispanics. Like, again, the Hispanic, we are watching a sea change, regardless of the final line in this election. Some of the trend lines that you're seeing this election are astonishing. I mean, Donald Trump winning, let's say, 20% of the black vote in Wisconsin. Or you say Donald Trump winning 45% of the Hispanic vote, if the entire theory of democratic politics since 2012 has been, we cobbled together minorities and single white ladies. And that is our coalition. And then you break minority strangleholds.

What are they left with? I mean, as we move forward, they might be able to sneak one out, maybe, maybe eke one out. But what does that be tied for the rest of their agenda? And do we think that they swivel more to the center or do they move further away? By the way, Trump has just been announced as the winner of Iowa. So sad news for the end cell circle. Oh, no, no, no. What's the gap?

I don't have a gap yet. There's only a goal percent of votes. I called it at 10 percent, but like, we'll... Donald Trump winning Iowa may be the political shocker. I'll tell you. That outlier poll that said Kamala was going to win Iowa, it did spook me. I don't know, I've been... It was designed to spook it.

That was the whole point of it, and it succeeded. And people kept saying it was a respected poll, but in fact, it has not been that accurate at presidential elections. Meanwhile, Donald Trump is in the New York Times. Needle. The needle. The magic needle. Come on, needle.

He is slightly favored in Wisconsin at this point as well. So it's possible that my original map was right except for New Hampshire. So I'm still rooting for my original map, but, you know, now that I've lost New Hampshire. If he breaks Wisconsin off from Michigan and Pennsylvania, that is a path to the White House as well. Then he's in the White House. By the way, the Florida Puerto Rican vote, again. just to point out that the media narrative is not real. The Florida-Porecan vote.

Harris won the demographic 5243 per the exits. 52-43 among Puerto Ricans in Florida. Biden won that group 69 to 31. So it went from Dem plus 38 to Dem plus 9. They thought it was a funny joke. And now we're joined by... Sick of the garbage. Now we're joined by the host of Dr. Phil.

Dr. Phil himself. Thanks for being with us. Hey, good to see you guys. Things are getting pretty interesting, I understand. How's it looking to you guys over there? You know, I'm moving steadily from cautiously optimistic to openly optimistic, and it's an uncomfortable feeling for me, to be honest. You can see him squirming. How are you feeling about things?

Well, same way. I heard somebody earlier say they were nauseously optimistic. You know, Dr. Phil, I have to have. You know, I was at the MSG rally. When none of us were expecting you to be there, there was whatever, you know, eight hours. hour's worth of speeches. And when you came out, I think it genuinely shocked the crowd, not because we thought that you were a big leftist or something like that, but that it entailed so much risk for you to come out at this point. You've been a huge figure in media for so many years.

What pushed you over the edge? Well, you know, I wanted to do something that woke people up because I think this has been such a divisive campaign. And, you know, I... So when I came out, I said, look, I'm not here to endorse, just to endorse Donald Trump. I don't like everything he says. I don't like everything that he does. And I'm honest about that. I'm honest about that with him.

But I don't like bullies. And I don't like the way people that vote for Donald Trump are being ostracized, canceled on the internet, attacked, and all of that. And I said, that's bullying. and people can say, well, Donald Trump's a bully. Well, you know, you've got to have an imbalance of power to be a bully. Otherwise, you're just in a fight or an argument. And I said there's a big difference. And I wanted people to understand, we've got to start having some civility to what's going on here.

And I made it real clear. Whoever is elected president, we have to get behind. It's a bad look internationally if we don't support our president. president. And I won't like it if it doesn't go the way I want it to go, but that will be our president, and I won't like everything that either of the candidate says or does, but I'll support America's president. And I said, one of the most important days in my life was 9-12-1. Not 9-11, but 9-12, because the morning after 9-11, we woke up and we were all Americans. And I hope that doesn't, we don't have to have a big catastrophe for us to have that feeling again.

And Dr. Phil, one question for you is, obviously, you really believe in individualism. That's, that's something that ranks very high in your list. Many of the stats that are coming in right now show that we are watching a major political realignment in real time on a racial basis, that this sort of stranglehold idea that the Democrats were going to win enormous overwhelming sums of minority voters across the spectrum. That's just not true. The biggest stat of the night so far is, is Trump winning maybe 45% of the Hispanic vote and up to 25% of the black male vote, according Kirsten Solstis Sanderson, my friend, the pollster over at Eschelon Insights, she's done some exit polling

suggesting that black men, 23% are going to vote for President Trump nationally, which is an unheard of number. What do you make of this sort of political realignment? Well, I think you're saying exactly right, Ben, I think it is a political realignment because people are saying, look, I'm tired of people telling me that because I'm part of a demographically defined group that I can't think for myself. And you've heard me talk very loud and long about the fact that we have to teach critical thinking in this country again. We've got to inspire people to be critical thinkers. That's why I've spoken out so much about these ridiculous campus protest groups that are demonstrating on behalf of Hamas. These are terrorist groups.

And we're not teaching young people to be critical thinkers anymore. And we've got this half of America that are truly identity politics. People are smart enough to think for themselves. And we're seeing it now, where people are rebelling against this expectation that because I'm black or because I'm female or because I'm a certain age, that I have to vote with that block.

That's not true. People can think for themselves. Well, the Democrats are also, I suppose, running afoul of their own intersectional claims. It's like there are black men, And it isn't obvious that men are doing that well on the Democrat side, and that's because the Democrats don't really seem to like men. And so maybe it's like, well, they've done everything they could, you might say, from an ideological perspective, to attract the black vote. But they've abandoned the male vote, and maybe the black men are men first and black second from the intersectional perspective, or at least 23% of them seem to be considering that.

Well, it's an interesting prospect because gender is actually real. And while race isn't not real, it's not fixed. Yeah. So we're told that it's not definitive. It's not definitive. Yeah, we're told that gender is fluid, but it's actually race that over time is fluid. Yeah. Well, we know that...

Barack Obama is going to be very disappointed in black men because we know that he... No, no, no, no, brother. The brothers. Yeah, brothers. There's naughty brothers. Men, Democrats don't understand this. It's like there's nothing men hate more than being nagged. And Barack Obama is literally wagging his finger in the faces of black men. You need to get out there and vote.

If you want to speak to men and motivate men, that's the very last way to do it. No, no, no, you have to send Michelle to do that. She then did, right? She got up there and lectured black men about how they were irresponsible and terrible, which of course is definitely what they want to hear from Michelle Obama. By the way, CNN is now reporting that Harris has some warning signs in Michigan. She's underperforming Joe Biden in place like Washington County, which is a very heavily democratic area.

So obviously, as goes Michigan, so goes the country. It's possible, again, fingers crossed. You know what's strange about the polling, though? What's very odd in terms of black voters is that Kamala Harris came out and she said that the brothers were supporting her because she had recently been in the barbershop. And she made this claim about a week ago.

I did not have the resources to fact-check it, though my gut instinct tells me Kamala Harris has never once in her entire life been in the barbershop. And it would seem that the hard numbers we're getting here suggest the brothers raking, at least in a significant way, for President Trump. By the way, New York Times needle in Iowa, an estimated margin, Trump up nine in Iowa. Remember that time when he was supposed to lose by three? That is an 11 to 12 point miss by Ann Seltzer in Iowa.

And remember, that was being used as a bellwether to determine whether there was going to be extra turnout for her in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. So if he's winning Iowa, Emerson, right, had Iowa at plus nine. Emerson also had Donald Trump winning all three of those Rust Belt states. Let me jump in here and get you a couple of calls from our desk here because, Chris, you've got a couple of calls for us here. Thank you, Dr. Phil. Mayor TV now calling the state of Missouri, and it's 10 electoral votes for Donald Trump. You see that on your screen here. That's with 20% of the precincts reporting.

And also Delaware, and it's three electoral college votes for Kamala Harris. And you see those numbers right there. Dr. Phil, I should also point out that North Carolina, we're going to be. really close to closing that one out. That one's leaning towards Trump at last report. We're getting really close to closing out Colorado. And at the top of the hour, which is now just one minute away, polls will be closing in Montana, Idaho, Nevada, most of, I'm sorry, most of Idaho, Utah, and Nevada. Yeah, that's great. And, you know, guys, if, Ben, if we close out North Carolina for Trump soon, that can be a real building block in the, we've already called it.

March to 270. You've called North Carolina? Yeah, we call it right. North Carolina has been called. So as far as we're concerned, we're not talking about North Carolina anymore. It's over. North Carolina is done. But yeah, basically speaking, you take North Carolina off the table for Kamala Harrison. She has one path and one path only. That's the

Rust Belt stage. She has to win all three of them. And right now she wins all three, but loses Virginia. Well, I mean. Well, right now, there are some more CNN exit poll numbers, again, with the giant grain of salt. This is the bimarital status. Kamala Harris is losing married voters 55 to 44. She's winning non-married voters by 55 to 41, which is actually shockingly not horrific. Yeah, you would have thought that was like a 25, 30-point

gap, by the way, they were pushing this. Meanwhile, the gender gap definitely exists, but it is heavier, according to CNN, for males, and it is for females, 54 to 43 for Trump among males. It is 54 to 44 among females for Kamala Harris. So, again, this is going to be, if Trump wins, it's because men showed up to vote. That's really what this is about. Men actually showing up to vote. So the kind of going theory of the Democratic Party is that women are high-propensity voters,

men are low-propensity voters. They've constituted the majority. Women have constituted the majority of people who vote in the last several election cycles. Men showing up en masse to vote is a complete shift in the way that elections are different. Can I just say, by the way, that we tend, when we talk about this

to sound like we're being very hard on women. I'm actually, I believe that it's a man's responsibility. It's a man's responsibility. to do things like vote. And we happen to live in this time where men have essentially given up so many of their responsibilities. And in part because they feel disenfranchised,

although that's hardly an excuse. You know, men have given up their leadership role in the church, which is one of the reasons that you see the church in America no longer taking the stands for tradition and decency in the way that it historically has. They've given up their responsibility in the household, which is something that Kamala Harris,

at least PACs aligned with Kamala Harris, have been trying to openly exploit with their, hey, ladies, just don't tell your loser, idiot, husband who you vote for. And they've certainly given up their responsibility, their civic responsibilities. You know, you don't... It used to be that one of the backgrounds of the country

was men engaging in civic social groups. Yes, which have largely collapsed. There's an update coming out of the RNC right now. Michael Wattley, chairman of the RNC, says there were potential shenanigans in Pennsylvania, and the Republicans have just scored a legal victory. According to Mr. Chairman Watley, Center County officials were planning to stop counting ballots throughout the night in violation of state law.

We, the RNC, threatened to sue. That was enough. Officials have agreed to continue the count as required. Our attorneys will continue fighting to quickly eliminate issues at the polls as they are off. This is what you want to hear. Well, speaking of Pennsylvania, our friend Ryan Gerdowski, formerly of CNN, he says that Lackawanna, Pennsylvania, which is the first county in Pennsylvania that is near to completion, that has shifted from a Biden plus 8.4 to a Harris plus three.

That is a 5.4 percentage shift toward President Trump. Again, the trend lines, you hate to read trend lines, but I'm becoming, you know, nauseously optimistic, as Dr. Phil suggests. Yeah, that's not a bad place to be. And, guys, I'm going to have to wrap out of here to talk to somebody. But before I do, Matt Walsh, I just have to congratulate you on your movie. am I erased this, a comedy to DEI for. What an absolute masterpiece.

Congratulations on what a success with that movie. So thank you for that work and congratulations on the success. Amen. Thank you so much. And we are, in fact, paying all of our guests to say that. You're wondering. I expect my $8 by the end of the night. Dr. Phil, thanks for making time.

time for us on this important night. Well, thank you guys. We'll be in touch. Thanks so much. Quick point to make on Texas. You know, we can take it lightly that Senator Cruz won his third term in Texas. Democrats dumped $80 million into that rules. And so the fact that they keep pouring money down rat holes in non-competitive states because they get a little bit over their skis is quite a good thing because all those

dollars could have gone to Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. So the fact that they decided to spend it there instead is a good thing. the New York Times needle continues to steadily, slowly creep toward the right, meaning more toward President Trump. And it's entertaining to watch. And, you know, we're going to have to, at some point, split screen what they're doing over at MSNBC and just find out how they're dealing with the emerging evening. You know, the New York Times headline right now is Trump wins Florida and Texas. Other big prizes still out, so they're not saying anything about North Carolina yet, although, again, very likely that it's going to win. Morano is up right now in the vote in Ohio by about

five percentage points in Ohio? Is she AP here? What are you reading? I'm looking at the New York Times right now. In Pennsylvania, Bob Casey is up by two, but only 43% of the vote in, so that is certainly not as positive. Tammy Baldwin up by 1.1, only 37% of the vote in. Again, we're in the real early hours here, and guys, I have a feeling we may be in for

a bit of a long night here. This sort of hopes that just because they move so damned slowly in these Rust Belt states, Sean Trend, excellent poll analyst over a real court policy, says, Trump wins, which looks increasingly likely with every minute. It's going to be with the most racially diverse Republican coalition in a very, very long time. By the way, Ben, when you mentioned we might be here for a long night, at least you're not saying we might be here for a long five nights. Because if, let's say, Wisconsin goes the way that it's looking, even though it's early, then we know tonight. I spoke with Senator Marcia Blackburn earlier on my show today.

And Senator Blackburn's, I said, are we going to be doing weeks of this? She said, Michael, my prediction is, by midnight tonight, you're going to get to 270. And I was skeptical at the time, but it is increasingly looking like we very much could know the next president tonight. Well, the good news is that Joy Reid is saying that Florida has an extreme right-wing fascist government. She's well-calibrated as always, Joy Reid. Apply named Joy. The amount of joy in the Democratic Party these days is fully off the charts. You got the whoopee, you got the joy.

It's really quite wonderful. I want to circle back to this idea, though, that we had to sue them to force them to keep doing their legal job. Well, threatened to sue them. Threatened to sue them in order to get them to live up to their legal obligation to continue counting tonight. Yeah. They don't care about the appearance of impropriety. No. Okay. They certainly don't. And I think, again, this goes to a deeper point here. So if President Trump does pull it off, obviously it's the greatest story, probably in the history of American electoral politics. Because the first time was fluky and weird, and that was an amazing story. Him coming all the way back. to win again. Only Grover Cleveland, the famed, has done it. And by the way, they didn't, they didn't try to throw Grover Cleveland into prison four times. Right. A hundred percent. But I think that we may be in danger of overlooking the actual big story in the magic of President Trump. And that is how, how just unbelievably much the Democrats

suck. Truly, how much they suck. I mean, like, the fact that they don't go back to the drawing board, they have Donald Trump, who they think of as the richest environment. He's a target They wanted him to be the candidate. They wanted him. They desperately wanted him. They didn't want Haley. They didn't want the stances. They wanted Trump.

And they got, again, they are just the monkey's paw. Every time they wish on the monkey's paw, it comes through in the worst possible way for them if he ends up. But I think that we ought to focus for just a minute on how much they suck. Because we're focusing a lot on president, really, like as their program, how bad it is, how much of this is not a reaction about how wonderful Trump is, as much as it is just a reaction to how terrible they've been. Joe Biden was a shit president.

Sorry, put it that way. He was a terrible president. Kamala Harris, it was a terrible vice president. So, again, like, I think that half the story needs to be that because what I would love is for the Democratic Party, self-correct. It'd be better for the country. If the Democratic Party, instead of contributing it to the magic powers of President Trump, self-corrected and said, you know what, guys, we've lost the thread here. And we need to start reentering the realm of reason. It's pretty simple. If Kamala loses and if she's losing a huge portion of the black vote and all these things are happening, it's because, The Democrats haven't done anything to make people's lives better, and that's the basic thing you're supposed to be doing. And Trump understands that. It's the basic pitch is, I'm going to make your life better. Here's how. And the Democrat pitch is always just resentment and victimization, and it's that emotional kind of pitch. The question is, who would lead the Democratic self-examination? the New York Times, the LA Times, the Washington Post, Harvard University, CBS, that's the problem. Well, no, see, I think there is a thing that could be done, and it's the top levels of the Democratic Party.

So what they showed in ousting Joe Biden, we all called it a coup because it kind of was, but it kind of wasn't, meaning that's how a functional party works. They didn't like their nominee, the up echelons of the party, ousted their man, and then they put somebody else in because that's the up echelons of their party. The job of a party is to win elections. If you keep losing elections to Donald Trump, perhaps the upper echelons of the party might want to take another look at how things are going. By the way, here's an interesting exit poll out of New York. So there have been some exit polls on the Jewish vote. Obviously, I have a bit of a dog in this particular fight. The current exit polls out of the state of New York have Donald Trump winning 43% of the Jewish vote in the state of New York.

That is by far the most populous Jewish state in the country. I'm disappointed in the Jews who voted for, you know, Kamala Harris. But then again, you know, I predicted that Trump's ceiling with the Jewish people. vote just because so view Jews actually care about Judaism or Israel, it was going to be about 40% anyway. So if Trump approximate to anywhere in that neighborhood, that's a huge shift, considering that usually the Jews go like, you know, 70% for the Democrats in any possible election. The New York Times, by the way, has now moved its needle, estimating that President Trump is likely to actually win the popular vote. Again, if he wins the popular vote and the

election, if he wins the popular vote and the electoral college, that's the first time a Republican has won both the popular vote and the electoral college. Since 2004, it has been 20 years. And at that point, panic has got to be setting in for the Democratic Party, especially because they can't even claim this is a low turnout election. This is an extraordinarily high turnout election ever. The highest turnout election ever is what this is going to end up being. And you know, you have to remember, the Democrat Party is governed by its minority.

The radicals in the Democrat Party are the minority. They are not the most number of people or the most number of public. But now the Democrat minorities are becoming Republicans, which is even better. The estimated Trump margin of victory for the New York Times right now, they're suggesting Trump plus 1.8 in Pennsylvania right now, 49% of the vote counted. By the way, are they, if you know, are they having AI analyze this? I have no clue.

I have no clue how they're doing anything else up. I'll bet they are. And if they are, it actually adds a little more credibility in my opinion. I'm sorry to say. President Trump has one Montana, by the way. I knew you're waiting on that. I knew you're waiting. Well, we're waiting on the Senate. We're waiting on the Senate race in Montana.

That one's done. He's going to, he's going to clock. Oh, yeah? She's got it. Can we throw up the current electoral map? Because I think this is actually worth taking a moment and seeing exactly where we stand right now. Look at that. There's nothing here that's particularly surprising, but that is actually a very good thing.

Lots of states are starting to get called. they're not going in directions that we, they're not defying wildly what our expectations were. This race was always most likely to come down to what happens in the Rust Belt. And it looks like that's exactly what's going to happen. The betting markets for the moment have President Trump a heavy, heavy favorite. So, you know, Polly Market has President Trump at like an 80% favorite. Again, the numbers continue to move in President Trump's direction. If the theory of the Democrats was that high turnout favors the Democrats, they were

totally, totally wrong. Yeah, because it was interesting what his name Brent was saying before, the pollster was saying before, that they were right up to a point and then not right. They were right if it went higher than 2016, and then if it went higher than 2020, it was unknown territory, and it's guys, I guess, showing up. You know, a friend of mine, a very good financial professional, a very good investor, was pointing out to me last week that he was feeling increasingly good about Trump's chances. Not because of the polls, you know, the polls were all over the place, and you had that crazy Iowa poll that worried us all so much, not even because of Polly Market or any of the betting markets, but because financial markets seemed to be pricing

in a Trump victory. And not only were the rich people putting their money there, but the rich people were putting op-eds in the Washington Post, like Jeff Bezos' op-ed, decision not to endorse, that it seemed as though institutional financial interests with a lot of information, much more information than any of us, seemed to see a good chance. of a Trump. Listen, the minute that Jim Kramer said that it was likely that Harris is going to win, it was over. Guaranteed. Right?

We knew that it should have dumped all our money. At that point, you just throw your money into the market against Jim Kramer because no one has ever gone broke betting against Jim Kramer. The most obvious pick in the entire world. So again, as these results continue to flow in, it's exactly what you probably would have thought at this point in time. The Democrats had put a hell of a lot of faith in North Carolina, in possibly flipping Georgia. Remember, she's already doing worse than Biden.

It's just the question of how much worse she does than Biden. Biden. Remember, Biden won Georgia. He won Arizona. He won a bunch of states that Trump had won in 2016. Those states are gradually coming off the table for Kamala Harris at this point. An interesting thought experiment is, where the Democrats would be doing better now if they had just kept Biden in? This is a great question. It's a serious question, really, because where she is, picking up votes is in the suburbs, but where she's lagging is with males. And it turns out, I thought an early indicator in this election that she had a massive problem on her hands was the Teamsters Union. So I don't remember if remember this.

They did a poll of the Teamsters union members when it was Trump versus Biden. And Biden was leading Trump something like 47 to 35 or something. And then they did another poll after they flipped out Biden in favor of Kamala Harris. And suddenly Trump was beating the living hell out of Kamala Harris, beating her like 60 to 40 among the Teamsters. Why? Because guess what? Every Teamsters a dude. And it turns out that it's not just that they, it's not they don't want a woman president. they don't want this woman president who seems to scorn men. This entire campaign has been about how much they hate men.

I hate to break it to everybody, but if you watch anything about this campaign, it is not just about an appeal to single women. It's about how much they despise men. When they trot out Doug Emhoff and say, this guy is an example of masculinity, well, he's allegedly beating women and knocking up the nanny. And then meanwhile, they're suggesting that you're garbage if you're voting for Donald Trump. Or when they tried out Tim Walls as an example of masculinity, the assistant football coach who

can't even properly use football terminology and who can't even control his limbs, breaks into uncontrollable spasms every so often, and his obnoxious wife, turn the page, turn the, like, could you have found a more obnoxious group of human beings to set upon the United States? Joe Biden is many things, senile, horrible at his job, obnoxious, he's actually less obnoxious now that he's senile than he was before he was senile, and he's certainly less obnoxious than this crew. Yeah, I think Biden probably would be doing better for all the reasons you, point out, which means that... Oh, it's going to be so fun, dude.

Maybe one of the... Maybe the most disastrous, political, strategic decision made in modern times was for Biden to challenge Trump to a debate. Before the convention, because if he hadn't done that, then he's still in there.

Yes, but was it Biden who challenged Trump, or was it the Democrat apparatus? Yeah, that was... You better find out or let people know what we already know. What's so disturbing to me about this issue of men is the closing pitch that you saw the Democrats make to young men, which was essentially, here's your weed and your porn, go have your little pleasure palette. And that if that had worked,

that would have been the most demoralizing thing, I think, for the future of the next generation. And part of what I am actually pretty optimistic about is that young men seem to really reject that cynical play for their vote. I mean, this is the first generation of young men that we have seen that are more religious than young women. It's the first that we've seen that are more pro-life than boomer men than Gen X men. So that alone gives me a lot of hope. Also, men don't want to be told that their chief priorities are porn and pot. Even if they're potheads and they look at porn every day, they're probably at some level ashamed of that fact. They don't want that to be their identity. And, you know, even just generationally, there's only so long people can live without

meaning. You know, this is, they have really sold us a life without meaning. Our bodies don't mean anything. You know, how can you even say that to someone? Your body has no valence as a, as a spiritual entity. That you're born a man, but you have no manly responsibilities. You're born a woman, but you have no womanly role. I mean, what, who can live like that? You're born a woman and you may not be one. It's beyond that. It was God's mistake. But they've done something that that's truly amazing with, with single women, which is that they've, in order to overcome that spiritual emptiness, they've actually treated abortion as a sacrament. Yes.

It's not like pornography. So for young men, it's deeply insulting. Because no one thinks pornography is a sacrament. They just know that it's a vice. Everyone knows it's a vice. You like it, you don't like it. It's a vice. It's a vice.

Everyone knows it's a vice. It's not a vice. Like, clear. Abortion also is a vice. But it's been treated as a sacrament. Why? Because what it is is a sacrifice you make on behalf of your own individuality. That's the thing that they've sold to a bunch of young women.

That's a, I think it's a horrifying. I think it's a terrible sales point for every possible reason, but it's a sales point. It is not true for young men. If you run a commercial to young men and you suggest that young men are going to be stopped from masturbating to pornography, which is they ran a literal commercial along as long. That if there will be a Republican legislator who takes away your phone and stops you, I feel like 80% of the public might be on the side of the guy taking away your phone and stopping. Especially the men, the men who were addicted to porn.

They would say, thank you. All right, thanks, actually. I'm glad I can't control myself. And that's not even a case for making things illegal. That's just a case for what people think of the activity. Nobody thinks the activity is like an affirmative good. Like it's a wonderful, wonderful thing. And so for Democrats to paint that as like the essence of the human experience for males,

we'll deprive you of the meaning of being a husband. Will deprive you of the meaning of being a father? We'll deprive you of the meaning of being a provider. We'll divide the meaning of being a defender of your home. But you can really jack off a lot. That's the thing that we're training you. Who, like what man in his heart feels like, what a great? You know, speaking of Vice, though, the biggest surprise results so far for me tonight,

and I say this with special joy as an owner and founder of Mayflower Cigars, which is now competing with the devil's lettuce in a lot of markets. Not in Florida where it's illegal. That's right. I thought they were going to vote to legalize the sin spinach throughout the state, and they, I'm actually floored. That's the only big surprise to me. Well, because the voters there can look at where it's been, like,

Like I said before, it's about making your life better. You can look at where it's been legalized, marijuana, or decriminalized all across the country. It has demonstrably made those communities worse. Yes. Anyone who's done any traveling can see this. You can smell it. And I say this is someone who I admit that I was in favor of weed legalization only like two or three years ago. Because I bought a lot of the arguments that, well, it's not much worse than alcohol.

I don't particularly like it, but it doesn't. But then they do it and you go around to these communities and they're just completely consumed by this stuff. It has obviously made everyone's life worse, especially the people who actually do it. There's something else that's happening in Florida too, which is the Republicans who move there are saying no. You're not opening our, you try to get your foot in the door. We will cut off your foot. Like, no. The answer is no. This is so new. I want you to know 40 years ago when I began radio, I asked my audience, which has always been largely conservative, would you rather catch your teenage child smoking a cigarette?

or a joint. Everyone said joint. I said cigarette. And it was one of the only times where I knew 90% of my audience disagreed with me. Yeah, yeah. But, I mean, they still respected me and all that, but they just thought I had lost my mind on that issue. I was right then, and I am right today.

Yeah. It is so awful marijuana. the damage that it does to the human spirit. The cigarette does no damage to the human spirit. One third of cigarette smokers will die prematurely, according to the American Lung Association. That is sad. But I rather gamble on my child 40 years from now

being the one out of three to have lung cancer than losing his spirit, his energy, his drive, his mind at 18. Yeah. And so here's the latest update. According to Nate Cohen, chief political analysts for the New York Times, he does a really good job. He says, still very early in Pennsylvania, but in the first few counties where voting is complete, along with hundreds of completed precincts across the state, Trump is running ever so slightly better than he needs to win at this point in time. Which state is this?

That's Pennsylvania. That's in Pennsylvania. Right now, the New York Times is estimating in a variety of states that Trump is likely to win. They're estimating that he's likely to win Wisconsin. They're estimating that he's likely to win Michigan. Their estimated margin of victory right now in Wisconsin is 1.4 in favor of Trump that has been moving up steadily. The estimated margin for victory, the New York Times is currently estimating in Pennsylvania, is Trump plus 1.9, which is not an insignificant lead. Wow.

Again, the numbers are moving in Trump's favor. It's too early to get super-duper excited. You'll see the big smile break out on my face. And we start to get really, really excited. And then, of course, we have a moral obligation to show our friends over on MSNBC and revel in their misfortune. But the... What percentage of votes in Pennsylvania counted? So right now, Pennsylvania has counted approximately 54 percentage percent of the vote in Wisconsin.

We're currently at 48 percent of the vote in Michigan. We are currently at 21 percent of the vote. And of the three states, the New York Times is estimating the biggest lead for Trump in Michigan at 2.1 percent. So again, the numbers are the trends, still early. It's only 922 central time. By midnight, we're going to know a lot. But you're seeing 2.1 for Trump in Michigan? That is their estimate right now for his.

estimated margin of victory. What are you looking at? No, I'm just, I guess I'm looking at an outdated map. Yeah, you need to reload it. Meanwhile, they're putting Trump right on the verge of Lean R in Michigan. Right on the verge of Lean R in Pennsylvania, right on the verge of Lean R in Wisconsin. So if the numbers continue to come in the way that they're coming in for President Trump, he's going to be the president of the United States.

So here's the great, here's one that I'm speculating on. I love your input. if he does win, what will they say is the reason? So they're going to blame it on the American people. They've run out of reasons. So, no, really. I agree. They will blame it on the American people.

Right now he's got the chance to win the popular vote. Yes, right. No, that's right. You're exactly right. So they've run out of things to blame except for the American people. So they tried social media in 2016 and it failed. And they tried the Russians in 2016 and it failed. And then in 2020, they said it was the revenge of the American people.

The Normies are bad. Okay, well, you know, we're going to cut here right here to Senator Ted Cruz. He's giving his victory speech. I was campaigning with him two days ago, so I feel a moral obligation to give Ted his moment in the sun. Ted ran a great race here. Pulled it out against Colin Oliver. Let's go live to him. But a mandate from the people of Texas. And let me be crystal clear about what that mandate means. First, we must secure the border. Not with empty promises, but with concrete and steel and law and order and with the unshakable resolve from knowing we are protecting those we love. The cartels who poison our communities, the traffickers who prey on the innocent, their days are numbered.

Second, we must unleash Texas energy. The answer to America's energy needs isn't Venezuelan's oil fields or the Ayatollah in Iran. But rather it is right here in Texas in the Permian Basin and throughout the state of Texas. We will drill. We will frack. We will produce and we will lead the entire world. And we will never again let foreign dictators hold American. energy independence hostage. Third, we must defend our God-given rights. Not some of them, not most of them,

but all of them. The right to speak truth in an age of enforced lies. The right to worship the Lord God Almighty with all of our heart, mind, and soul without government getting in the way. And the right to protect our families without asking bureaucrats for permission. But above all, this mandate means fighting. All right, folks, we are back. That is Senator Ted Cruz, who has won his race in Texas for a third consecutive term. Again, we are very thankful for tonight's sponsors. We're going to take a moment to tell you about them right now, and then we will be right back with more breaking results. If there's one thing we can all agree on this election season, it's that taxes are terrible. That's why we've partnered with Tax Network USA.

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Well, already, folks, so the latest is President Trump in the New York Times needling. Lots of the needling going on over there. In the New York Times needle, Donald Trump is favored in Wisconsin, in Michigan, in Pennsylvania. Yes, in Nevada as well. Dave McCormick has also moved into the lead in Pennsylvania as well. The numbers continue to look very strong for President Trump across the board. This is the most racially diverse Republican coalition in the history of the Republican Party, or at least in the modern history of the Republican Party. what we are seeing is a complete failure of the Kamala Harris campaign in terms of getting out minority votes in large numbers. People are not showing up in the suburbs and the way she needs them to show up right now. Right now, the New York Times suggests that President Trump's margin of victory will be 1.5 in Wisconsin, 2.0 in Pennsylvania, 2.0 in Nevada, 2.3 in Michigan,

2.6 in Georgia, 3.2 in North Carolina, and 4.1 in Arizona. There's all big numbers for President Trump, it continues to, the numbers continue to move in one direction and one direction only. So we are going to continue to obviously watch these numbers as they come in. One of the funny things about the way that X works, by the way, is because X is no longer chronological, you have to check the timestamp on every single tweet. So similar, Kamala Harris, people are feeling good. And you check the timestamp just six hours ago. They're not feeling so good at this particular moment. Can we go back to a question Dennis asked was an interesting one of, who are they going to blame if they lose? And you

You were saying, Ben, that they're going to blame the American people? Yes. Which I think is mostly right, but specifically they're going to blame men. I mean, that's what it's going to be. Yes. They are going to blame men. And you think about... I'm sorry to break in.

Decision desk has officially called Georgia for Trump. So we knew that was done, but that's done. Who called it for Trump? Decision desk. Georgia's been called for Trump. He's got North Carolina. He's got Georgia. He's going to take Arizona.

Once again, just to reiterate, it comes down to the blue wall states. And Trump currently has momentum in all three blue wall states. Sorry, didn't mean to interrupt you. just got to give the data. Don't interrupt with presidential election stuff. That's not what we're here for now. We're here to listen to me. We think about what happened after 2016, immediately you had the women's march, you know, all the crazed feminists, going to like the Me Too movement, you know, feminists were out for vengeance. And I think if this happens again, that's what it's going to be like on steroids. And it's going to be, this is the men did this,

the men's fault. And it's going to be kind of like the early 2020s, BLM, blame Whitey, except targeted at men, black men included. Right. But probably Lord, they will still attack white men in particular. Oh, sure. Yeah. Absolutely. Of course, white men in particular, yeah. Actually, I don't think that that's right. I think they're going to attack black men in particular. Really? Well, Obama did. Yes, because I think that there was no expectation. White men are already evil. Their expectation was that black men were going to get them over. the finish line if they just nagged at them enough. And when people feel betrayed by a population, they tend to be much angrier at that population than when they had no expectations. They already knew

that the white men are the bad guys. If black men show up 25% for Trump across the country, they're going to lose their ever-loving minds. And here's the thing. They're banking on the idea that women are inevitably just going to continue hating men at the rate that they want them to hate men. I mean, really, that's going to be their program. Their program is if we just yell at men more and women really, really are afraid of men and they're scared of men and all this kind of. But there is this natural thing that happens with men and women. I don't mean to explain the birds and the bees on the air, but it turns out that a huge number of women actually kind of like men and actually would like to, you know, sometimes get married to them and then maybe have babies with them and all the

rest of that sort of stuff. And so I don't know how much Prozac you can dispense out there. I mean, I understand that like a huge number right now of Americans generally aren't antidepressants, but there's going to come a point where people are like, hey, maybe this isn't the way that we ought to go. Maybe I should try, you know, like forming a normal human relationship with a person as opposed to being so woke online that all of my fulfillment comes from wearing a pussy hat at a march or something. I was going to say, I think part of what you have happening with young women is there is actual desire for male leadership and they're not seeing it. So to me, maybe part of the silver lining that could come out of this is if at least the GOP learns that, hey, there may be something

beneficial and not solely targeting our political messaging to wine moms. Maybe if we can actually turn out the male vote, men will step up and take some, more ownership for where we're headed politically in this nation, instead of deferring to, let's say, Eve. Okay, by the way. Not to what you find a point on it. I think that's a very good point, actually. By the way, looking at how the various Democratic Senate candidates are performing vis-a-vis

Kamala Harris. They are all outperforming her by leaps and bounds. That is true in Arizona, where currently Ruben Gallego is outperforming Kamala Harris by almost eight points. In Ohio, Sherrod Brown is outperforming her by seven in Texas. Wait, he's outperforming by seven? and losing? This is why I keep asking about, really? Yes. Because, yeah, because that's a Trump plus 10 state. That's like a, like, yes, Moreno's going to win that state by probably two to three at the

end. Maybe more, maybe more. Meanwhile, Colin already outperformed her in Texas by four to five points. And what is the show? It shows that she is a weak candidate. She was always a weak candidate. If Democrats were going to swap her out, then they should have actually swapped her out for somebody who isn't awful at her job. How many times? The utter insane confidence that Democrats had to take a person who has failed every time she's put on the national stage and be like, her. That's the one. On the base of intersectional characteristics, that is the stupidest thing.

Like, just go back in your mind for a moment to just before they'd swapped out Kamala. And they were talking about getting where to buy it. Everybody was like, yeah, he's got to go. That dude ain't even, he ain't got to work in brain or anything. And then they were like, okay, so who could it be? And there was a bunch of talk about, well, maybe it'll be, you know, Gavin Newsome, or maybe they'll try J.B. Pritzker, or maybe they'll get Josh Shapiro, or maybe it'll be somebody who's good at this.

And they're like, no, it must be Kamala. And at the time, everybody was like, her? Her, I mean, his arrested development is her. Really? And as it turns out, her is the proper response to Kamala Harris. Kamala Harris 1.0, giant fail as a presidential candidate. Kamala Harris 2.0 as vice president, giant fail. And it appears, again, don't want to speak too early.

If this continues, Kamala Harris 3.0, giantist fail in the history of presidential fails. I was talking to a friend of mine who does not work in politics, and I said, I don't know, I'm actually starting to feel pretty good about this, because I think that maybe Trump could pull it out, and he looked at me because he's normal, unlike, you know, unlike us. He says, oh, hold on, wait, Michael, you're telling me that this super unpopular lady that nobody likes, that never got any votes, that got thrown in at the last minute, who says all the things that people don't want to hear, she's going to lose to the really famous popular guy, You don't say so.

And at the time I said, you're oversimplifying it. But if the election continues to go the way that it is looking right now, that might in fact be the post-mortem. Is, oh, yeah, common sense still holds. My brother, not a political guy. Same kind of guy. And he texted me. I mean, I was blown away to get a political text from my brother,

in which he watched Trump on one of these comedians' podcasts, and he said, oh, yeah, he's going to win because that's the show everybody wants to watch for the next four. year. You know, even a friend of mine from high school, he now lives outside of Milwaukee. He is politically as moderate and independent as they come. He is the swing voter in the swing state, in Wisconsin. And I was catching up with him for the first time in a year or two. He was over, we're having a cigar. I said, so what's your take? You're the, don't hear what I have to say about politics. What do you say? He goes, you know, I don't know, I don't know. I don't

know. I don't know. I don't know. I guess just my main takeaway from her is, she seems kind of like a dingbat. And that was it. That's all he knew about the race. Seems like a fairly solid cake. You basically. I think the Democrats are learning a lesson that I learned from watching Breaking Bad, which is you can never have a

you got to go to the full measure, not the half measure. And they went to half measure because they took Biden out but they couldn't imagine taking Kamala out too because she's a black woman. But they all knew they should, but they didn't have the gumption to do it and do the whole thing

and you know, you gotta go to the full measure. Or is it this? Did they think Gavin Newsom, Josh Shapiro, any of these people who were pretty serious? Preserve them. Did they think, yeah, keep your powder dry, send up Kamala. No. No, I think they knew that they knew they needed to put one of them in. They just couldn't do it.

They didn't have the balls to abandon their crappy political theories since 2012, which is get the minorities and single ladies out. They didn't have the balls to abandon that, and the only person who was going to bring that, they thought was Kamala Harris. By the way, the current New York Times Needle suggests that Donald Trump has an 84% chance of victory in the presidential election. This is all quite enjoyable. But as far in the evening, let's hope that the trend continues. Joining us live from Arizona, our friend, Dylan Law Group founder, friend of ours here at DW. Harmeet, Dylan, welcome to the show, Harmeet.

Thanks for having me, Ben. So we went from cautiously optimistic to nauseously optimistic to a little bit more openly optimistic as the evening is going on. How are you feeling about things, mean? Well, we've actually started strong and continued strong here in Arizona. We had three weeks of early voting and Republicans outperformed even in Maricopa County and throughout the state. And tonight, the mood has been incredible. We feel really good about certainly Donald Trump winning and many of our congressional candidates. You know, some of the races are close and some of the counties did their shenanigans. But we truly had an effort here with outside groups and the R&C and the Arizona a GOP's organization with thousands of workers in the field to really get our low propensity voters

in. And so I couldn't be more happy because I was here in 2022. And it was an absolute like meltdown crying, totally different scene over here than it is tonight. So, Harme, you know, one of the things that you've been very focused on in the run up to this election was ensuring election integrity. Obviously that takes an awful lot of work throughout the election cycle. And it seems to be paying, off tonight. You have people on the ground all over the country who are really working to ensure that nothing fishy goes on. Why can tell us about some of the stuff that you've been doing across the country in order to ensure that? So we're leading up to this election month, there have been lawsuits filed for the last couple of years throughout the country that have

focused on the different things that the Democrats corrupted in 2020. And, you know, frankly, shame on our side over the years, not spending the amount of money and effort that the, you other side did to corrupt our elections, but making sure that state laws are followed, making sure that ballots are not counted after election day, making sure that we have some kind of security, that a ballot harvesting is eliminated wherever we can do that, making sure that outside groups like the Zuckerbuck's effort are outlawed in as many states as possible. So for all the sort of static that Georgia gets as not being Trumpy enough, they actually did a tremendous job in reforming their election laws. And that is, I think you're seeing the net result of that

tonight there and another state. So here in Arizona, we've repeatedly gone to court to tighten up the enforcement of Arizona's quite good election laws. And since 2022, several improvements were made shortening the time for curing and tightening up the standards. We actually have a lot of more work to do in this election cycle because Arizona for the first time has some specific standards on matching signatures to the ballots, the mail-in ballots. And so that is actually a great election integrity measure. And everyone's scrambling around over the last three weeks in the next five days to make sure that people cure those ballots and get them in. So I love that. Here on election night, what we had was dozens of attorneys on site where I am. I'm sort of leading this effort.

we have been blocking attackly since 5 a.m. all day to day, literally sending lawyers out into the field and witnessing things that are happening, negotiating, telling election workers they can't tell people with MAGA shirts, they can't come and vote, things like that. We even had a hearing tonight in Apache County very late in the day. The Dems tried to keep all of Apache County open later on the Navajo Reservation, and we limited it to nine sites where they had had some problems earlier in the day. And even those late ballots may not. not get counted. So it is a tremendous amount of organization by the Arizona GOP. They literally deployed thousands of trained volunteers and multiple shifts today in the field. And so that level of the organization is like a military operation. And it went off without a hitch. Every single slot was filled. The lawyers in the field, the lawyers here. And everyone is smiling at the end of the day. Everyone worked well together. So I'm so, so proud of being a part of this effort. That's Harmeet Dillon. She's been doing an amazing job over at Dylan Law Group. Harmi, really appreciate all your hard work during the selection cycle.

And hopefully, it's too early to say yet, but hopefully a little bit later tonight, we can all pop champagne remotely and enjoy a big election victory for Donald J. Trump and the Republican Party in the Senate as well as in the House. Really appreciate it, Harmeet. Thank you. So, Michigan exit poll among Latino voters from CNN, Trump's 60. Here is 35. What the what?

I mean, honestly, the shifts that you are seeing. in these voting numbers are insane. Identity politics. If Trump wins with it, I keep putting the pro-isement on it because, again, nothing sure until it's sure. If things continue the way they are, Donald Trump put a stake through the heart of identity politics, which is hilarious. Okay, that's insanely hilarious. Because do you remember that time when the entire left suggested that he was a vicious, brutal racist? He was a, you remember that? You remember that? Because that was like today? And remember that time when they suggested he was a white identitarian? Yeah. Everything he did was all about white identitarianism, despite the fact the white identitarians have all disowned him during the selection cycle for being to pro-Jew.

And now it turns out that he is forming the single most working-class blue-collar multiracial Republican coalition in modern American history. Well, hold on, Ben. I'm enjoying it a little bit. The New York Times now says the needle is saying, likely Trump, but then you zoom in on exactly the point you're talking about. It says 88% chance of victory. But all the libs told me that 88 is secret code for Hitler. So maybe that's it. Maybe it's hidden deep beneath the New York Times saying Trump will likely be the next president. Again, so much of this has to come down to how bad the Democrats have been. I can't get over how bad they are. I can't get over how bad they are at this. They picked the candidates they wanted to run against twice. Twice. They did it in 2016 and then they lost to him. Bill Clinton encouraged Trump to run in 2016. Yes. Apparently Fox is saying that the Harris campaign is no longer.

responding to request for a gun. Oh, man. Let's go, baby. So that is, that is. You're drinking already. Pass me that bottle. I'll just pour a little sip. Okay.

You guys are going for it a little bit early, but, you know, now that I'm on, I'm going for the good. Feels like bad luck. Ben, let me ask you. Yeah, this time I had the wood for it. This time I'm going for the McAllen. Is that? All right, sir. Okay, guys, there's still an election going on.

Sure. They're part of it. All right. I'm so sorry. I'm so sorry to interrupt. So, remember that time. Sorry, go ahead. Well, okay.

So if they can't go to identity politics, is that permanently killed for the Democrat Party? How do they get back those Hispanic men, those black men? How do they move on after this if they don't have that particular play to run? So I think that the thing that Trump has done that is of electoral benefit but questionable conservatism has been his spending agenda, right? he took that off the table by basically just competing directly with the Democrats. He's like, I'm not going to touch Medicare, not going to touch Medicaid, not going to touch Social Security, off the table. When he did that, it took away their biggest talking point because there are really only two forms that Democratic politics takes these days. One is identity politics, and the other is Bernie Sanders socialism.

And Bernie Sanders socialism is only popular in its most, like, populist form, which is, you have all these benefits and no one can touch our benefits. And if they touch their benefits, then they must die. You want to throw Granny off a cliff. Exactly. And Trump was like, I don't want to touch any of those things. Well, the truth is both parties are totally wrong on this. But the dishonesty of both parties means that if you meet parity there, it's very difficult for them to outcompete on a lot of these socially conservative issues.

Trump has taken a moderate position on things like same-sex marriage. On abortion, he's basically said we're not touching it at the federal level. So the question becomes, what are the things they're really arguing on? The things they're really arguing on now are things like tax rates, should your child be transed, and foreign policy? And guess what? Democrats lose on all those issues. it's hard to see how they climb back in other than just circumstance, right? Something goes wrong for

Trump. There's an economic crash while he's president of the United States. There's a natural swing back to the other side or whatever. Now, I also think that we're in danger of, you know, not, earlier I've said we should attribute a lot of this to Democratic failure, but I think that we also have to attribute some of this to the power of Donald Trump, obviously. The man's unbelievably famous. He is like the most famous person in America before he ran for president. Yeah. Most famous person in the world. In the world. And so, you, you took that person, can some other Republican capture that in quite the same way? The thing about Trump is it made it almost impossible to full-scale demonize him in the way Democrats wanted to

because everyone was just kind of like, you mean the guy from Home Alone too? They were like, he's Hitler. Trump was Elvis. You mean the one from like, you know, The Apprentice? That guy, Hitler is your case? Like, not Berlusconi. Like, Hitler is where you're going with us? And so because of that, that gave Trump a bit of a superpower. I don't think that that superpower exists for nearly anyone else in American politics. And so the risk for Republicans is that they do to themselves what Democrats did over Obama. They think this is the new natural status quo, as opposed to a thing they have to keep fighting for. And Democrats refuse to acknowledge that Barack Obama was in fact one of one. Yes. Donald Trump, assuming his victory, is in fact one of one. Yes. And all of his detractors,

you know, people who have criticized him over a lot of these things, the dude was always one of one. Yes. He's one of one. I mean, that's just an American. original. He's the most iconic figure of the 21st century, bar none without a doubt, no question about it. Meanwhile, we're going to take a quick moment and highlight some cool stuff going on here at Daily Wire. We'll return momentarily so I can take a drink of water or something. Yeah. The left's grip is slipping, but they won't go quietly. Now's the time to stand up. Daily Wire is your voice, confronting the lies, changing the culture. Join the voice of certainty in uncertain times.

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In the case of Mayflower cigars, the lighter, Connecticut Shade Dawn, is in fact a mild to meet. embodied cigar. The darker, Habano dusk, is stronger and fuller-bodied, with a medium-to-fold profile. Whichever size and shape of cigar you choose, I certainly hope it's a Mayflower. You must be 21 years older to purchase some exclusions may apply. Jeremy, boring. You're back. Wow, this place is so weird. Things just sort of people materialize, and they just, like, people just randomly are in and out. I feel like I never left. It's a brief.

I feel like I've always been in this chair. I do have to say one thing about the uniqueness of Donald Trump, or against the uniqueness of Donald Trump. He is, he does mark the death, thank God, of the Bush-McCain-Romney Party, which is dying a death, a well-deserved death. So this is the thing, okay, so back when we had the Republican primaries, I used to think, you know, I wish we could have a Ron DeSantis-Gaven Newsom election. I think that's the election, the country.

deserves because that represents the actual fight we're having. Red state, blue state, how do you want to live? As of about last week, I don't feel that way anymore. I actually think this is the election we deserve. It might not be the election I particularly wanted to have. This might not be the choice I wanted to face. But because of what you guys were saying about the stake in the heart of identity politics, it's actually really important that Donald Trump, this flawed avatar of American populism is now up against this utterly empty vessel for nothing other than this dead philosophy

that the Democrats have plunked for. It really matters that we actually put that up there and put it to the test for better or for worse. And the thing about Kamala, you know, people are always talking as if her problem is that she's inarticulate and that she gets nervous and she kind of flubs these questions,

I think that is way, way too kind to her. If you say somebody's inarticulate, what you mean is there are thoughts, cogent thoughts, going on in this person's head, and somewhere in between that and what they're saying, it's not coming out right.

It happens to all of us, right? Kamala Harris is expressing herself perfectly. The words, that potato salad that comes out when she answers questions, that actually translates exactly what's going on in her head. And I think that's really important. And I actually think that Trump in his way also sort of represents something, even though he is suing general.

I think he has, he had to do the thing, and I hope he wins tonight. But even if he doesn't, that party is dead. And I think he had to do the thing that nobody else could do. That he had to be that brash, that course, that, you know, indestructible. Tell me what's so bad about the Bush-McCane-Romney Republican Party? Oh, it's easy. I mean, we had Ronald Reagan came out and basically brought us back. to conservative ideals, true conservative ideals.

And then George Bush stood up and said, I'm a kinder, gentler, man. And I thought, what's kinder and gentler in? Cisperity in peace. You know, what's kinder and gentler than freeing Europe from the Soviet slave state? You know, what is kinder and gentle than that? Bombing foreign nations into smithereans in Port Arne?

And then his son came out and did the same thing. Compassionate. Conservatism. And when government, when people were in trouble, government's got to move and all that is literally j d vans's economic policy well jd vans has yet to be tested but what i think is going to be jd vans is on on the move but he is not running for president the truth is the truth is what you don't like about mccain bush romney was the affect no it's not just a fact right it's not just aphac just policy yeah no that's okay that is that is

untrue i'm just going to say it's flat out that's not true it is true he he responded Mitt Romney was harsher on the border than Donald Trump was during his actual term. You don't remember self-deportation and how people went absolutely nuts? But it's not A-Rap that he didn't want to win because he didn't want to defeat Barack Obama. Which is A-Fact. That's not A-Fat. It is Affects. It is Affects.

Mitt-Romney, we don't know what his policy is. Yeah, we don't know what he would have done. Okay. Okay, I just want to be clear. There are a few areas where Donald Trump markedly differed from the traditional Republican Party. Yeah. On immigration, he differed from the, actually, post-Romney, Republican Party. Romney ran as an immigration hawk in 2012. He did. This is why Ann Coulter supported him in 2012

because of this, okay? He said he would be severely conservative. Okay, but I'm just, I'm just telling you about, okay, I'm just telling you. I don't agree that what you're calling Affect is Affect. I don't think it's Affect to go after the press with a wrecking ball because the press deserves a wrecking ball, and the rest of the party has trembled in their boots and from them. But that's not policy. That is Affect. It's not about what he actually did. It's not a bad thing. I'm not even arguing your point. I think the idea that you do need a harsher brand of thing. I totally agree with that. I think that the difference between what Bush and Romney and McCain were trying to do, and what Trump did is Trump said the left fundamentally broke the country, and now I need to fix the thing. But I'm not sure how exactly

McCain is supposed to run with that in 2008 after George Noble Bush was president for eight years any more than Kamala Harris could run with, I broke the country now. Let me think. He might have not suspended. Hold on. I want to hear Matt. Just talk about Bush. Talk about Bush, because he was actually the other two guys weren't. And it's not just affect there. I mean, it's what he actually did. Let's start with the fact that he sent us into wars that lasted for decades. So we can begin with that massively, massively expanded the federal bureaucracy. We can move to that. Totally ineffectual in preventing the illegal invasion across the border. I mean, those are three things that... Exploded the debt. Exploded the debt. So those are four things.

No, no, that's not... That fourth one, Trump also exploded the debt, to be fair. Okay, Reagan exploded the debt, I guess. Trump exploded the debt. As far as the wars, I mean, again, there's a bit of revisionist history that goes on about, say, the war in Afghanistan, which was approved with literally unanimity in the entire House of Representatives, with the exception of, I think, two votes. Okay, and as far as the war in Rock... No one in this room would have opposed the war in Afghanistan.

No one in this room would oppose the war in Afghanistan if two towers got knocked down in America today. When I came back from Afghanistan, I said we should never have gone in. I didn't oppose it at the time because I didn't know enough about it. I was angry like everybody else. But when I went to Afghanistan, I came back, and the first thing out of my mouth was this was a mistake. What year was that? I think it's 20, I'm not sure, 2016, maybe. Okay, so that's a little late to make that call.

That's 13 years late to make that call. You don't get to make that call 13 years late and be like, hey, by the way, 13 years ago. Again, this is not, let me look it up. The only point that I'm making about this is that when we talk about Donald Trump being a radical break from Republicanism, he is a radical break in terms of his attitude, which I agree does have ramifications. And I think those ramifications are powerful because what the left need more than anything else, what the institutions of the left needed more than anything else was the middle finger. George Dolby Bush was not a middle finger.

John McCain was not a middle finger, and Mitt Romney was not a middle finger. And this I agree with it. It doesn't eat. Even beyond all this. Even by 2008, that's well on. I think we invaded in 2002, six years into the world thing. I think we're overthinking this, though. In the GOP, there has been for almost a century now a split between the conservatives

who are a little friendlier with the populists and the more establishment. country club set. And in the 1980s, that split was represented by Ronald Reagan as the conservative and George Bush as the moderate establishment type. The Bushes have been establishment moderate types going back to Prescott Bush, at least. And Reagan was the conservative. I think Donald Trump has inherited the mantle of the populist conservative side from Ronald Reagan. There are differences between the men, but there's a reason they had the same campaign slogan. And I think Mitt Romney was a liberal, fairly liberal governor, invented Obamacare. John McCain was an extremely liberal Republican senator, and they inherited the Bush side of things. Also, Jeremy said the last time

we were talking, that one of the things that a politician has to do is win, Romney and McCain lost, and they deserve to lose. Like, when McCain- George W. Bush did not lose. No, he did. No, he's the only president in some of our lifetimes to win the popular vote. Yeah, I thought he was a truly mediocre president at a time that called for greatness, you know, which was unfortunate. Do you believe that greatness would have been not going into Afghanistan? Yeah, we shouldn't have gone into, we should have gone into Afghanistan and delivered punishment, but he set out to transform the Middle East into Democratic nations. Also, Iraq is the bigger issue. What's that? Also, Iraq is more... Here's the thing. Again, it is easy to do. The hindsight is 2020 thing. The only point that I would make...

Well, yes, because we're catching the president. Did anyone here oppose Iraq at the time? I did, but I was 13, so I didn't count. But in what way did that make the world safer? What way did that help America? Again, that's not my point. The, the point. The, Okay, so... Not the World Saver. How did it make America? The reality is that what's bizarre about the sort of populist versus non-populist break. So you're defining it as Reagan versus Ford or Reagan versus Bush. Okay, the problem with that particular definition is that Ronald Reagan was a peace through strength guy.

Okay, which means that Donald Trump is a peace through strength guy, which is a traditional Republican principle. Yeah, yeah. Okay? And then when it comes to things like, say, traditional values, Ronald R. Reagan was a less moderate version. Georgia H.S. Bush was a more moderate version on abortion, on things like same-sex marriage, on all those policies. George H. Bush was to the left. So, again, I think one of the things that we have to point out is that there is a hard distinction between the, I think it's easy to do this kind of what I think is a mistake. I think it's a

category error to simply suggest that he is a policy populist along the lines of Ronald Reagan as opposed to George H. W. H. W. H. L. H. H. L. H. H. H. He's a stylistic populist along the lines of Ronald Reagan. That I agree with because the argument that Ronald Reagan was making, as you say, was make America great. It was a restoration after a terrible period in American history. And that is what Donald Trump was as well. And so the real break, I don't think, was between, say, Donald Trump and Mitt Romney. I think it was a break between a party that seemed to believe that we could simply sort of absorb the blows from the left. And then every and then be nice to them. And then every four years kind of absorb more blows from

left and then be nice to them versus somebody who came out, both middle fingers in the air and said, like, come, come get me. So hold on, hold on a minute. Every president has a different job to do, is faced with a different job. Ronald Reagan was faced with the Cold War and turning an America that had become soft on communism and soft on the aggression of the Soviets back into a nation that was willing to fight for itself and fight for the things that it stood for. That was his job. That was not Donald Trump's job. It was his job to do that with the press and the press. And he was right. They were the enemy of within. He was right. They were the enemy. of the people, and he's taken them down. And if he wins tonight, it will be largely because he

took them down. Is it possible, though, that one of the things that makes so difficult to compare to these previous camps of conservatism, never mind to other presidents, but to other different factions within the conservative movement, is that what really differentiates him from all these guys is that he's fundamentally less ideological than either the populace or the country club conservatives, which means that there's not actually a philosophy there that you can contrasts to these other philosophies that you guys are talking about. And in fact, that might be exactly what you're all talking about in some ways, in that some of these guys, the Romneys of the world, seem to have felt that their correct ideas were enough to win them power.

I agree with that. So the people have done the King David stuff with President Trump. If you're going to, if I'm going to do a biblical analogy for President Trump, there's a phrase that's used about Noah at the very beginning of the Bible, where it says that he was a good man in his time. Right? And so there's a big debate over like, what does that mean? He's a good man in his time. Some commentary suggests good man in his time means, well, he's even better because he's in a bad time. And then most commentary say, it means that like the time sucked and he was better than the time. Yes. If you'd put him in like a great time, then he wouldn't have been like a great time. You would have been kind of in absolute terms. Exactly. And so I think that Donald Trump was made for his time.

And I think trying to take people out of their context and then just compare them outside of that context is wrong. I mean, George Shelby Bush was defined by the time of post 9-11. And Donald Trump is defined by the fact that Barack Obama wrecked the country. Barack Obama destroyed everything. And then Donald Trump came in and he said, I've said this from day one, even when I was critical of Trump. He was never the murderer. He was always the coroner. He came in and he said, this is a dead body here. This right here, this body is dead. And what we need to do is we need to make it not dead anymore. And the way that we are going to do that is by rejecting all of these institutions. He is the man for his time. He is a man of his time. He is a man of his time. But I

think that it's a mistake and a category error to then compare between times just as it's a mistake. No, but I think Trump did a better job at what he was given to do? I will agree with you that in many ways, Trump did a better thing with what he was given than what George W. Bush did, particularly his second term. I think George W. Bush's second term was a failure. And we have yet to judge Donald's from the second term

because he hasn't happened yet. We have to compare between times, and we always do. We would say about Barry Goldwater, Goldwater didn't lose. It just took 16 years to count the votes. We obviously see that there are these factions and streams. So, of course, you know, Donald Trump today on an issue like gay marriage is to the left of Ron.

Ronald Reagan and the Bushes. And Obama and Hillary Clinton. That's because the issue is decided at the level of the Supreme Court. And no prominent Republican today in office opposes it. So you have to compare in other ways. But President Trump has been more pro-life than any president in my lifetime. First one to show up to March in July. In his first, there's two important points that we're, there's three that we're missing.

One is that a lot of our opinions about these other guys are retrospective, not things that we thought in the moment. and we don't yet have retrospective opinions about the entirety of a term of Donald Trump, because there hasn't been a second term, which is point number two, there hasn't been a second term. Second terms are always worse, particularly for Republicans, but even Barack Obama's second term was far worse than his first term. Not if you get a four-year break, then you get to rest up. That's right. Three, we say things like Bush got us into these forever wars. And that really is a left-wing talking point.

Iraq wasn't a forever war. Iraq was over when George W. Bush left office, and the very first thing that Barack Obama did was just give up the victory. He gave up the victory. But the Iraq war was over and had Barack Obama not given up the victory, our view of the Iraq war today would be much, much different. In other words, if Bush had done everything that Bush did, but then Barack Obama had done anything different than he did, our view of that war would be different. And Afghanistan is obviously not an actual nation. It's a completely different thing. You know, there wasn't really a Democratic election in South. South Korea didn't become a democracy for several decades. For several decades after the Korean War. These sorts of enterprises can't be done in a schizophrenic...

But what was the point of the Iraq War? Who cares? What have we just never gone in? Who cares? To make the Middle East into a Madisonian democracy? No, I mean, that's not the reason we're no. I mean, if you want the... Because Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction. Because literally Saddam Hussein refused to turn over any evidence that he did not have weapons of mass destruction because he was afraid he would be to be to... opposed. That was one reason. On a geopolitical level, there was always, there was also, again, this is not to say that it was the right decision in retrospect. Everyone understands it was the wrong decision. But at the time, those were not... It had been U.S. policy for 10 years.

It was also the policy of, by the way, most of Europe. Yeah, yeah. And it was, it also happened to be that if you look at a map, Iraq is on one side of Iran and Afghanistan is on the other side of Iran. And the idea was that this, along with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, was going to write a bulwark against the Iranians. And by the way, the counter proposal, which was Barack Obama's proposal, which was relieve all pressure on Iran. has led to a giant Middle East conflagration. So put all that aside, Bernie Moreno just won Ohio. So Bernie Moreno has officially won Ohio.

Okay. So what is the late, can we talk about this? So right now they're saying the most likely state to flip, this is, again, according to New York Times, is Michigan. It just said Pennsylvania, and they've updated it, so it's going between Pennsylvania and Michigan. But right now, the estimate from the Times is Trump 300 Harris 238. This is now well into the likely Trump category. This is, we are at 70% of the votes counted in Pennsylvania. Donald Trump currently has about a 160,000 vote lead in the state of Pennsylvania. We have 61% of the estimated vote total reported in Wisconsin. Donald Trump currently has slim 50,000 vote lead or so in that arena. In Michigan, about 29% of the vote has been counted. President Trump has currently about a 70,000 vote lead in that arena. So again, Donald Trump is looking quite good right out. By the way, I just want to say, the reason that I'm pushing back just against the break with the Republican, because I want to be more

specific about our definitions. If what you're saying is we should continue punching the left in the face, I totally agree. If what you're saying is that what we need to do is abandon the right wing on abortion or abandon the right wing on gay marriage or abandon free markets or do any of, that's the break that we're looking for, like, or abandon a realist foreign policy that doesn't agree with neocom but also doesn't agree with isolationism. Like, I just need more specific definition of what you mean in order to achieve the thing. What I believe is that we can't achieve any of those things until the press is crushed. I agree. I agree with this.

Okay. So we don't disagree. We don't disagree. I'm not going to let us keep talking about this. There's an election happening. That's what people want us to talk about. I agree. And this conversation isn't helping the situation. I don't know about that. I want to go check in with our own Cassie Akiva, who is in Pennsylvania right now where Donald Trump is starting to eat out the lead. And Cassie, one of the things that's on my mind right now is what impact in the end is Israel. war actually going to have on this election.

But here's what I mean. Pennsylvania has an incredibly popular Democratic governor who is Jewish. Kamala Harris, instead of choosing, a governor who almost certainly, almost certainly would have carried the state that she has to have in order to achieve victory didn't choose them,

only because of the war happening in the Middle East. Is that going to end up being decisive in this campaign? The answer is yes. in case Cassie could. I think he answered. I think he answered. That was a setup whenever I heard it.

Yeah, I mean... Hi, guys. Hey. Hey, Cassie, I just asked you an amazing question, but Ben answered it. So now I'm going to ask you a different question. Which is, what is... It's a vibe election.

What is the vibe at McCormick H.U. right now? The vibe is really good right now. We have the band coming out to play. Every time Pennsylvania is on the television, the whole crowd goes bananas. There's an open bar. People are having a really good time. The turnout is looking really, really good right now.

The only thing I want to caution is that Dave McCormick has 80,000 fewer votes than Donald Trump right now, which is a little odd. But they're still feeling good. They just came out to the stage and said they're feeling good. They said they're going to give us another update at 1130. Can I actually say that even the fact that McCormick is trailing Donald Trump in Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes reinforces the idea that Israel's war may cost Kamala the election because it is large. largely secular Jews in Pennsylvania who had a wake-up call on 10-7 to realize that they needed pro-Israel American president,

but still don't want to break with their ideological left-wing political views. And so there was an actual movement to say, split the ticket. Give us Donald Trump to protect Israel and protect Jewish people from Iranian aggression. But don't give up the Senate. We don't want to elect a right-wing Senate. So I don't think it's conclusive, but it's like a real data point. Is it not, Cassie? true. I actually spoke to Dave McCormick about this very point. He said that he really does think

that Kamala's choice is going to cost her Pennsylvania. But we also had a chance to talk to Dave McCormick at his childhood Damasium where he used to wrestle. We have the clip for you here. This is a race between change and the status quo. I represent change. I'm a seven-generation West Pointe grad combat vet, businessman, political outsider. I've term limited myself to two terms. I'm going there for the sole purpose of shaking things up and getting America back on track. Bob Casey's a 30-year career politician. He's been in elected office for 30 years. He's the son of a big high-profile governor, and he's lived off his father's name.

He's not entitled to this seat. He hasn't earned it. And he's voted on these extreme liberal policies that are simply out of step with Pennsylvania. So I say to people on the campaign trail, if you want change, vote for me. McCormick is feeling good tonight. You can hear it with a party going on here. We're going to be here all night giving you updates from McCormick headquarters, and we'll be talking to you soon.

Cassie, thank you. And now we're going to go over to Brent Buchanan. We've set up this amazing data center here that we've never had anything quite like this at one of our election nights before. It's kind of fun, actually, to think back to our first. This is our third presidential election as a company, and the first one, the New York Times was calling 99% for Hillary Clinton.

at the beginning of the night. We thought it would be a short night. We started drinking early. By the end of the night, I was literally laying in my chair. I don't drink often, and I never drink to excess, except when I'm on the biggest broadcast I've ever been on. What happened that night? But it was basically, I went back and looked at footage of it.

We basically looked like we were broadcasting from my closet. And now we have this actual data center, and Brent Buchanan here to tell us what's happening from signal polling, Brent. Yeah, so I walked in to this building. eight hours ago. I still don't know what time it is. And I was giving Trump a very, very slight edge. I was not convinced that the Republican early vote numbers were going to actually translate to really strong overall turnout. I thought we were going to cannibalize our election day turnout, which is what happened in Virginia in 2023. So let me give you a couple data points ramping up to what I want to say.

First, if you look across the whole country with black voters, turnout is lower, but Trump's margin is higher. That's telling us that a lot of black Democrats actually stayed home. Number two, if we go back to the focus group we conducted, again, that's qualitative, but we had five people who said probably Kamala, two people who said probably Trump. That in and of itself shows us that there were more people sitting on the sidelines who were not sure if they were going to show up and vote for Kamala. In our exit poll that we're still running right now of people who said I'm not going to vote or I didn't vote in 24, those folks would have been for Harris by a 13 point margin. Then when we look at the exit poll and look at the data point of who decided within

the last week to today, Trump's up with those folks by six points. So here's the story of the 2024 election so far. Democratic areas turned out at 2020 levels. Republican areas exceeded their 2020 levels. And then you combine that along with this shift in black vote that's partially black dem staying home and Republicans increasing their money. margin with voters of color. And you start to see this picture where I would say I'm up in the 80s or 90s percentile that Trump's going to be able to pull this off. You look at these Rust Belt states. For example, Lackawanna County here in Pennsylvania, I'm going to have to go to a list view because they've got a heck of a lot of counties here. So as we look at Lackawanna County, one thing

really interesting about this county is that Biden won it by eight four years ago. and she's only winning it by three at this point. And they had a 2.3% increase in turnout over 2022. When we look at Lycoming County, somebody in PA is probably going to fact check me on mispronouncing that. This is a county that was plus 41 for Trump. He's performing there, but their turnouts even higher at three and a half percent increased turnout over their 2020 numbers. then you have places like Butler, which is an ex-Burban county in Pennsylvania, and this was plus 33 for Trump four years ago. It's plus 32 now, but there's a 3% turnout change.

So you start to see all these places across Pennsylvania where Donald Trump is netting out more votes in the areas where he already performed well. He's netting out more votes in these ex-Burban counties, which was the entire Harris strategy, was just, to go into these ex-Burban counties and shrink the Trump margins, and they're not changing at all, they're actually improving for them. So, Brent, when you're looking forward at the rest of the evening, I think the big question we all have is, when the hell do they call these things

so we can all go home? But, you know, but as this trots out, you know, why is it that the votes slow so much near the end, right? There's been like this steady increase in the vote count in places like Pennsylvania. right now, New York Times saying 73% of the estimated vote total has already been reported. Do you expect that pace to continue? How fast do these things come in generally? In the Rust Belt states way too slow.

You get this rush. I think we're looking at something like 60, what is this showing here? 64% reporting in Wisconsin. Right now we've got a strong probability of Trump winning there. And so we're just going to see this estimated reporting number slowly come in. Unlike places like Georgia, where we're our. already seen 91% reporting. One unique thing about southern states is that because they do provisional, every county and state does provisional ballots, but usually in the south, when you get

to 95% reporting, you're actually 100% reporting of everything outside of the provisional ballots. And the provisional ballots are only hundreds, maybe thousands of votes. And so once you get to this 95% in the south estimated reporting, you're basically everything, all the votes that matter are in at that point. You know, Brent, the most shocking. The most shocking. statistically we've seen all night long is this exit poll from CNN showing Donald Trump walloping Kamala Harris with Hispanic voters in Michigan, 60 to 35, which is just... It's amazing. I mean, to put it technically, I believe the term is bat-shit lunacy. That's insane.

We're watching, if these numbers are anything close to reality, we're watching a massive political realignment happen right before our eyes tonight. Completely. And so here's another example of how this is starting to have 2016 turnout, because, or at least margins, not turnout, because we're way over even 2020 turnout at this point. But Eaton County here was plus one for Trump in 2020, but it was plus five for him in 2016, and he's now back to plus five in Eaton County. Wow, wow, wow. By the way, Ted Cruz did win Latino voters outright in Texas by six.

He lost Latinos in 2018 by 29 points. Well, because he was running against that Hispanic Beto O'Rourke. Yeah, that's true. Yeah, that's true. Well, Brent, really appreciate the insight. I'm sure we'll be coming back to you in very short order. Our election map coverage, of course, is made possible by our sponsors over a Lumen. Hack your metabolism with one simple device. Understand your body more with Lumen. So, yeah, guys, I mean, this is, it's an astonishing result what we're watching in real time.

Now, listen, these margins are still really, really close. I mean, we'll see, this is all estimated, right? This is us all, you know, getting happy off the New York Times making their estimations. Right. And when they say that there is, say, a 64% chance or a 69%, that still means there's a 31% chance. It goes the other way. And we remember the betrayal of the needle for Hillary Clinton when it was 99% pro-Hillary now. It's obviously a little bit later in the election at this point. That's right. Don't forget. The betrayal of the needle against Hillary was always moving in one direction. From the top of the night to the bottom. And this needle has also always been moving and basically

always been moving in one direction from the top of the night to now. And it is now pretty solidly in the likely Trump wins camp. Nate Cohn at the New York Times came out and said about 25, 30, minutes ago. For the first time tonight, we are declaring it is our opinion that it is likely that Trump wins. If you look at those Senate races, by the way, currently, Dave McCormick is in fact leading Bob Casey by almost 100,000 votes. Again, Pennsylvania does not look like, if trend continues, Pennsylvania does not look like it's going to be particularly close. It looks like Trump is going to walk away with it by at least a couple of percentage points. They're saying there aren't enough votes left in Philly to put that. In Michigan, Mike Rogers is currently leading

Alyssa Slotkin in Michigan. By the way, Mike Rogers, Mike Rogers makes 55. Mike Rogers makes it 55, huh? You know, I felt pretty good about Mike Rogers. He made a late-breaking move, and I was a little skeptical on Mike Rogers because he spent so much of the time trailing. Right now, he's up about 50,000, 60,000 votes on Alyssa Slotkin in Michigan and Wisconsin. Eric Havdi is currently up by about 26,000 votes or so on Tammy Bald with 65% of the vote in. Now, got to give a shout out to the worst candidate of the cycle, our girl Carrie Lake over in Arizona, who is just getting destroyed by Ruben Gallego in a state that Donald Trump is going to

be walking away with, which, you know, again, moral of the story, gentlemen, do not pick bad candidates for higher office. It turns out that when you pick good candidates, you do betters, and when you pick not great candidates, you do worse. Well, speaking of good candidates, we're joined by the newly reelected Senator in the great state of Texas. Ted Cruz. Senator, thanks for being with us. It is great to be with you guys. I'm bummed that I'm not there, and I can't see you, but I feel confident that there is good scotch and good cigars that are involved. You know us so well. Big night, you started off this election in a tough race, what I believe became the most expensive Senate race in the country this cycle. And as recently as eight weeks

ago, facing real headwinds. And you've put in an enormous effort in Texas and secured a huge victory tonight. Well, I got to tell you, our win in Texas was just breathtaking. Right now, about 76% of the votes have been counted. We're up 10 points. We're up nearly a million votes right now, and there's still a quarter of the votes to be counted. I mean, it is, it's incredible, and I'll tell you what's really encouraging also.

We're making massive inroads with Hispanic voters in Texas and South Texas, and I got to give a shout out to Ben. So Ben came down to the Rio Grande Valley with me, did a campaign event there, and Michael, this is going to break your heart, but Ben is a friggin' rock star in South Texas. I mean, it was like Elvis walking in the room.

Senator, how much have you been drinking to me? How is this Ben Shapiro in the Valley? I mean, it was, I mean, they were practically like throwing roses at it. It was awesome. And what a live audience. And Senator, I mean, you know, it is amazing how you shifted the vote margins in the state of Texas. The exit polls right now are showing that you're going to win the Latino vote in the state of Texas outright by six points, where in your last race, you lost the Latino vote by something like 28 points.

And that is a 34 point shift if that holds. You're watching a complete political realignment of the map, Senator. Look, and it's encouraging for the country. And I actually have to give a shout out to Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, who all they had to do is open up the border, invite, like, narco terrorists into the country. And people are like, you people are frigging nuts. Yeah.

And I think actually South Texas is a generational realignment. I think we're going to see, I'm going to make a prediction in the next year that we see a bunch of elected Democrats in South Texas. flip over and become Republicans. And they're already conservative. But they've been Democrat for 100 years. And I think this election is really going to shift the math for Texas. And I hope nationally it's going to help shift the math in a significant way for Hispanics across the country.

So Ted, Fox News is now reporting that the Harris campaign has stopped giving all comment to the media, which is always the sign of a winning campaign. So I do wonder if Kamala is behaving like Hillary, if she's drunk as a skunk right now. and screaming in a range. I don't know. But it does make you speculate. Senator, how important was holding the Senate and flipping the Senate in this election? Look, massively important, and I'll tell you, you guys are fresher on the numbers. I was just listening to you talk about it. I've been on stage until five minutes ago, so I've missed the last hour of developments. I know they've called Ohio, and right now the numbers in Pennsylvania

and Michigan and Wisconsin. Those are really encouraging, and hopefully Montana, I expect they're going to call that pretty soon. Look, I mean, you're right. We could easily be at 55, which is a sea change and really a big deal. Wow. Senator, do you have any sense? I assume you've been focused on your own race and this massive win. Do you have any sense on the House right now, how Republicans are feeling? I mean, in a way, if we just get the presidency and the Senate, I'll be happy enough and I'll light the cigar. But it seems like with this kind of momentum, we might do well in the House too. I think we've got a good shot. I've seen no numbers. So I don't, that's not based on

developments tonight. But my view has always been that the White House and the House are positively correlated and that if Trump is turning out big numbers, look, to win the House and grow our majorities, we've got to win some tough seats in New York, some tough seats in California. And based on the early results, I think we've got a real shot at it. But, you know, look, I I think the odds are looking very good that come January. We have a Republican White House, a Republican House, and a Republican Senate. And if that's the case, we need to roll up our sleeves and get to work because we had a lot of work to do. That's exactly right. Senator, I know that you didn't make time for much press tonight. We really appreciate you making time for us.

You've got a big party to get back to and a lot of hands to shake. But congratulations again. Congratulations. Cigars on us. Here we go. I love you guys. You are extraordinary. And by the way, congratulations on getting your movie trailer. What was it, on Rachel Maddow? Okay, that was pretty wild. We try to have a good time. You got to tell me, did anyone stream from that? Did you get any MSNBC people like logging on saying, I've got to see the movie?

Nary a single one. Least efficient marketing campaign in daily weather. I think they all know the answer, which is they think everyone's a racist. That's exactly right. So I'm going to put out a live request to everybody in production. Well, Senator, I know you're busy. Sorry. Senator, get back to your party.

Tell everybody. Thanks, sir. So I'm going to put out a request to our production team. We need to find out when do we get to live stream MSNBC. When do we get to watch the good stuff? Okay, guys, come on, come on. A friend of mine... You know what we want.

A friend of mine just bought a subscription about 25 minutes ago. He felt it was now in safe enough territory that it was worth... the 50 bucks or whatever, in order to watch the trial. At least on a free trial. This is like when can you start playing Christmas music? Yeah. Exactly. It seems like the answer maybe tonight. MS3TK, right? We're just going to sit here. It'll be a shot of us from behind. Just critiquing Rachel Maddow and company. Again, the numbers continue to come in in favor of President Trump. He is currently up by approximately 60,000 votes in Wisconsin.

He is currently up by, at last count, 170,000 votes. in Pennsylvania, and he is currently up in Michigan by somewhere on the order of 116,000 votes. Interestingly enough, both Pennsylvania and Michigan, may be the two states in the country the most impacted by the massacre on 10-7. Yes. Yes. I mean, by the way, you want a great stat. Here's a great stat for you. You're ready for this? Yes. So the Biden administration, because they're incompetent and horrifying at everything, and because Kamala Harris is incompetent and horrifying in everything, they've achieved the signal feat of alienating both Jews and Muslim. Wow. It looks very much is that the Detroit Free Press reporter, Niraj Wariku, reports that Kamala Harris will not win the south end of Dearborn.

Whoa. Wow. Wow. That's an area that is 90 plus percent Muslim that Biden won with 88% of the vote four years ago. Yeah. And that vote is instead going to the best Jew of all, Jill Stein. Yeah. Wow. So that's it. Well, this is actually something of the people. But you can't be psychotic enough for the psychotic, you stupid asses. Well, this is also, no, this is, there's another point here, which is that the war is, the war is, great in theory for a certain group of people, but it's terrible in practice for every single person involved. And so in Pennsylvania, you have a large Jewish population who's rightly outraged about what happened. And I suspect that in places like Michigan, you have people who are outraged that the people actually dying in the war are their kin. And what they would like to see

is some kind of American leadership that helps, well, A, they could have prevented this, which you had in Donald Trump, to his credit, or could bring this to an end, which I think you will also have in Donald Trump. You know, when I was at MSG, I saw sitting 40 feet away from people, 40 feet away from each other, a woman in a hijab, and then just across the way, a guy is holding up an Israel flag. This is so funny. They're so close to each other. Why are they both here? Did one of them get tricked or something? You think, no, it is actually rational. How close together were they? They were pretty close. That's like the width of Israel. You're roughly the river to the sea.

Tengentially, we've got to talk about this yo-voy avotar, poor Don Altron situation that's going. I mean, this Latino vote that has, if this turns out to be the actual result, that in itself, along with perhaps the shift in black men, will represent something so significant. And what's crazy to me, and I'm only even now in real time coming to realize this, is what? really what this represents is that Latinos are assimilating. Right. I mean, basically what we're saying, and this is true also of the, you know, hijab-wearing woman and the Jew at the MSG rally and, you know, all of these different people that we've seen. You know, again, we've said this a million times, so we don't have to reiterate it,

but Trump is imperfect, and yet he represents a certain bullish Americanism that everybody responds to viscerally. and one of the things that has come under question with the influx of indiscriminate illegal immigration is, how much racial diversity can that Americanism actually sustain? And now, if it turns out that Latinos are flocking to Trump, it will turn out that in fact... Well, speaking of assimilation, Michael Knowles is going to leave this broadcast and go over to Timcast. Our friend Tim Poole is broadcasting live from DW. HQ and Michael is no longer going to be a member of this team. He will re-assimilate. He will re-assimilate into that. And I will cease to be an Italian and become a Hispanic. I've been waiting. Like in that one,

movie. Like in that movie, actually. What, during the 2016 election action, actually. That's right. That, you're going to be a blar. Abla. Abla. On timbu. Adios. Adios. You get one of those little black hats? You know why this is, honest to God. It's because Donald Trump, you know, they're always calling him a racist. Hold on. Hold on. Look at this shot. Look at Michael Walker. This is movie making. Wow.

Look how beautiful our studio is. Hello, everybody. Do you realize how close these people are to us? I had no idea. It seemed like they were in a completely different room. Unbelievable. Oh, my gosh. This is big.

Last time, when we were doing this in 2016, we were in Jeremy's broom closet. There was mold. There were rats scurrying about now. This is big. And it's all because of the Daily Wire Plus members. We really appreciate you. If you haven't joined yet, now is the time. to do it. No one's quite popping champagne, but everyone's getting a little excited, and here we are.

Is this? Oh, my man. Don't tempt me. There, you know, I, the Churchill is magnificent of the Mayflower cigars. I'm not ready. I'm not ready to light them up yet. Are you guys celebrating yet? Oh, hey, what's going on? Are we, are we, not counting with chickens too soon? Did someone just put a little pappy in front of me? Yes, do you have a glass? I could use a glass. Where do the glasses go? No, no, no, no, we have fresh cups. Somebody grab me one to. The wonderful people at Daily Wire brought in a bunch of fresh glasses for this delicious Kentucky bourbon that I insist you partake.

If you ins-look, I was going to wait to celebrate, but that was before Tim brought out like a $2,000 bottle. You might as well light up a cigar while you're out of. I'm tempted to do it. You look great, by the way. Thank you. He looks all right. Dapper is the word we use. This is my Mayflower cigar smoking jacket, which is sold out now, so no one can get it, unfortunately.

But we're doing it with Shepherds, which is the men's clothing company that is owned in part by Harrison Butker. And I just feel that the right right now, it feels good. I don't want to get out in front of my skis. It feels good, though. I hear you. No, I'm there with you. Can I get a cigar? You can. My. My.

Look is what? Man. This, it's the art of the deal. I was asked earlier. The light, the dark, the big, the small. What's the difference? I'll get one of the light ones. The light one is the Mayflower Dawn.

Is it dawn in America? Get to get up. You clearly don't watch this podcast because I do and I know the things and the smoking. Did you want to advertise it? Yeah, we're waiting on a. I'm so ashamed that we let him not only go over there, but take us all on that journey. On set. Of hearing him peddle his cigars.

If I didn't know who used to that company, I'd be so upset right now. So, yeah, things are continue to go well. It's a good night. It's a, it's a, so far, God willing, it is an excellent, excellent evening. And the Senate races are continuing to look good. The House races, right now, House is still up in the area, about about 165 Republican House seats that are going to be retained. About 110 for the Democrats. And Democrats need about 43.

in order to take the House. They've won four so far. Republicans need about 27. They've won two. So it's still very early for a lot of the House races. But as Ted Cruz suggests, if Trump does well, if the Republicans do well in the Senate, there's every indicator that they're going to outperform. Republicans are outperforming, by the way, including New York City. He's going to win 30% of New York City. Really? Trump. Yeah, he won 30% in New York City. Cabot, you said you had some interesting information for us. Yeah, a few things here. One, CNN just did a very dollar report from the headquarters. they said that it was, quote, completely silent at her watch party.

We also saw an email from the campaign manager for Harris, General Mali Dillon, telling the campaign staff to, quote, get some sleep and get ready to close out strong tomorrow. So it sounds like they're telling their campaign staff, all right, you can go home, you can sleep. A few other interesting notes, Bitcoin just hit a record all-time high. Yes. 74,000. Dow futures have also soared 600 points in the last two hours. so clearly the crypto and actual markets are thriving now. One more interesting exit poll that we haven't talked about yet, and this might be the sweetest of them all,

for voters who said that democracy in the U.S. is threatened. Donald Trump won those voters by seven points. I told you so. Really? That is a CNN Exip. Why did you think that was going to happen? Because they asked the question if democracy is the most important thing. And I said, well, that doesn't mean they think that Kamala Harris is the best thing. Is the representative of democracy?

I mean, she's a stupid question. Come on, right? She really is a deranged psychopath. Well, there's that. Contemptible weirdo. Like, this is sort of, you know, we'll all go back. It's also good for me to be right about politics once every four years. I have been right every show, every day.

I have the receipts, every daily wire. I've told you exactly what's going to happen. This is what it was like to grow up with it. By the way, my whole childhood was this. The man you're not related to? I would just drop over his house. Strangely, yeah, for 18 years of my life, this complete stranger would come over periodically and say I was right. You didn't believe me.

I will say that we haven't talked enough about crypto. I started off the morning saying, if Donald Trump wins, Bitcoin will hit 80 bucks this week. Why? Why? Because the kind of people who engage in the crypto markets are necessarily renegades. They're necessarily anti-establishment. And I think that just like so many aspects of our economy have been artificially suppressed by the horrible threat of more regulation, worse fiduciary policy over time, the crypto markets in particular are so afraid that the left is going to regulate them out of existence. Just like social media is so afraid that the left is going to regulate them out of existence, just like Elon Musk is so afraid that the left is going to regulate him out of existence. And so I'm thinking now, I mean, it already hit $75,000 today.

It could hit $100,000 by the end of the year. I will add, I went to a lot of Trump rallies this cycle. The single loudest moment of any Trump rally that I heard was not a Trump rally. It was Trump speaking at the International Bitcoin Conference here in National when he promised to protect cryptocurrency. He was going to fire a number of FEC or SEC employees. When he made that promise, it was the last. loudest applause that I heard of the entire cycle. And one more note I'll add on that trip,

we met a former NFL player at that conference who took his entire salary in Bitcoin. He's now a mega, almost billionaire. Michael Knowles told him, oh, I'm not invested in Bitcoin. And he pulled out a card and said, Michael, this QR code, I will give you your first Bitcoin. Here is a QR code. Just scan that. It'll contact me and I'll get you set up. I talked to Michael a few days later at the office. I'm like, did you get your first Bitcoin? And he's like, are you? Are you kidding. Oh my gosh. So we got to ask him about that. We got to ask him, did he actually find that card and redeem? So as of this, as of this evening, he left $75,000 on the table. By the end, by Christmas, he could have left $100,000 on the table for free. Someone at that conference picked up that QR

code. Unbelievable. Listen, while Michael Knowles has terrible judgment and Andrew Claven's only right every once in a while, our sponsors are right all the time. We're going to take a moment to tell you about one of them right now. It's often said that freedom isn't free. And of course, that's true. freedom does have to be defended. What isn't said enough is that online freedom isn't free either. It too has to be defended, not by military force, of course, by a certain technological force encryption. Strong encryption can protect your right to privacy online and defend you from hackers. So, how do you get this encryption with ExpressVPN? When I think of hackers, I think of Neo from the Matrix. But it turns out, a precocious 12-year-old with a laptop could be just clicks

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You can use my special link to get three extra months of ExpressVPN for free at ExpressVPN.com. slash election. That's E-X-P-R-E-S-V-N.com slash election. Join us now from Trump H-Q, where I suspect they're not telling their people to go home and get some sleep. It's our very own Mary Margaret O'Lahan. Welcome back to the show, Mary Margaret. Hey, guys. It's great to be here with you. How are things going down there? What's the vibe in the room? Well, everyone known here is very excited. We've been talking to a lot of people on the ground, a lot of these Trump supporters, former White House employees, former White House staff,

people who hope they may be future White House staff and everyone across the board, except maybe some of the liberal media here, thinks that Trump is going to win. So everyone we're talking to is rejoicing. They're really excited. Multiple people told me they think it's going to be a big blowout. It's just very high enthusiasm. And as you can see behind me, they'll show on the screens Fox or CNN when they're announcing which state went for which candidate.

And whenever a state goes for Trump, there's a huge wild applause. And then there's booing when it goes for Harris. So it's fun. It's exciting to be here. Now where you're standing right now, you're literally surrounded by liberal reporters. How are they holding up? Yeah, so this has been fun. You know, if you look around, we are surrounded.

We've got, I mean, directly to my right and left, we've got Newsmax and Fox News. But then, of course, ABC is a couple of rows down. And then we got CNN over here. Some glum faces around us, I can tell you. There's some people who were smiling earlier. in the evening that no longer are. It's kind of funny to me, too, to be here when surrounded by a lot of people that I've seen

online for many years. People be very aggressive, very antagonistic about Republicans or Trump and who are now here in real life and they're talking about the news, and it's kind of funny, actually, to see them in real life. One thing with the Kamala Harris campaign,

they've all but said that we will not hear from the vice president tonight, but I suspect that even if we don't get a call tonight, we may still hear from Donald Trump. What do you think? I think we will hear from him whether or not we get a call up on the race. A lot of people in the crowd are telling me the same thing. You know, Trump loves his supporters. He loves his team. So we think he's going to show up here whether or not we get results. And as you can see behind me, there's a podium. All his supporters are here and excited. So

I hope he comes. I'd love to see what he has to say, even if we don't get results tonight. But I will tell you, a lot of people in here are thinking that we're going to hear the results of the 2024 election tonight. That's, you know, speculation on a lot of their parts, but that's just the vibe in the room that's growing and growing. And I really hope we do too, because it would be fun to have the results and move on with the next future president of the United States and learn how we're going to make America great and healthy and prosperous once again. Mayor Margaret, thank you. We'll be checking in later in the night. Of course, Marsha Blackburn, Senator from Tennessee recently reelected, of course, won her race and said to our own Michael

those that she predicted we would have results by midnight tonight, which is only two hours. The way, DailyWare's footprint at Trump HQ was made possible by our friends over at PDS debt. Get a custom plan. Become debt free right now at pDS.d.com slash daily wire. By the way, a fellow Jews coming through over New York. Yeah, boy. There it is. They're showing up in Westchester County. They're shown up in Nassau County. Donald Trump is currently winning 33% of New York City. 33% of New York City. Not the state, the city. Does that vote well then for Pennsylvania?

because there are a significant number of Jewish voters. So when I campaigned with McCormick, we did a couple, we did one particular event in somebody's backyard with a bunch of Jews there who cared about Israel. They were fired up. There was one lady who's like, listen, I don't know if I can pull the trigger for Trump just because of all his various sex assets and all this kind of stuff. And I was like, you don't have a choice. You need to pull the trigger for Trump.

And I think that that is coming out loud and clear right now. I tell you, the number of friends that I have in Israel who have been texting me all day long asking me if I thought Trump was going to win. And I was like, listen, I'm cautiously optimistic. I think he's going to win. So there was a poll in Israel of who they wanted to win, of who they wanted to win. And that poll found that by a margin of something like 70 to 6, they wanted Donald Trump to win. I mean, because they know which administration is likely to allow them to, you know, kill the terrorists and face down Iran.

And which one is likely to decide with the terrorists and stop them from killing the terrorists. So listen, the world is going to be a much more peaceful place. Nate Cohen just put out this statement 24 minutes ago. There's still a lot of vote left in Milwaukee, Detroit and Philly. But for Harris to win, she would need to outperform Biden's numbers here in 20. So far, she's underperforming Biden's results just about everywhere in the country. That is that that bodes ill for somewhere, by the way, I cannot wait for the books to be written. I cannot wait.

Joe Biden is going to rush to a biographer. He and Jill are just going to shit so hard all over. Kamala Harris and everything that has happened, it is going to be wildly entertaining. The amount of rage Joe Biden must feel right now. And the beautiful thing for Joe Biden, and it's wonderful, truly wonderful. It's like the best day of his life right now, because the truth is that had he run, he probably would have lost to Trump. But he didn't.

He got ousted for Kamala Harris. So now he gets to claim for the rest of his life that if he had been left in place, he would have beaten Trump and they unfairly ousted him after the most successful first term in out of gas. And then he's going to get to just crap so hard over this lady. He hates like fire. I mean, he hates her with a fiery passion of a thousand burning sons. Jill Biden, same thing.

wanted to strap Kamala Harris to want of Elon Musk's rockets and fire her into space for years. It's going to be, like, the recriminations here are going to be so wonderful and so well deserved by all involved. And I'm here for every single moment of it. Every single moment. I mean, I got to say, like, I thought the writing on this season of Trump was overdone. I really did. I thought this season of Trump had gone off the rails. I thought that they got in the back room writing that script. He's like, you know what? Not just one assassination attempt, two. We can go back to the well. We need second assassination attempt. What if the Democratic candidate died on the stage?

Like, well, that'd be cool, but what if we, like, totally swapped him out for her? And then what if she picked, like, this weirdo who has floppy arm syndrome from Minnesota? Like, this writing is just bad. It's just not good writing. I'm sorry. It's overdone. It's like some of the worst soap opera stuff I've ever, but I got to tell you, they really nailed the finale.

They are nailing the finale. It's unbelievably good. I'm loving every second of it. I cannot wait for the online extras. I'm subscribing. The merch? Are you kidding me? The merch is going to be unreal.

It's going to be so good. And I got to tell you, the turning point of this election is when Donald Trump and I stood by the grave of me. There's a picture of me and Donald Trump making prayers at the grave of Rabbi Mnachimendal-Shenerson. That's the moment when this election was decided. Of course. Pure Zionistic laser power. That is when this election turned.

Boom. Check out the polls. October 7th, 2000, 24. I will curse those, right? Who curse you? Correct. There you go. God coming through once again. I had a going theory that I told some friends before this, that God definitely wants Donald Trump to win. I've been saying this for a while. Like, God clearly wants Donald Trump to win. There's only one reason God turns Trump's head right at the last minute, and the bullet misses him by this much. And then the other part of my theory is that Donald Trump was trying to thwart God. And as it turns out, the good part of my theory is that God always win. You can triumph work God. You can say, I am not called, I am not worthy, and God will still choose you. And that's how this will go. And so, yeah, you know what? You can see the smile on my face. I'm getting a little confident, guys.

I went from cautiously optimistic to nauseously optimistic. And now I'm just, you know, pretty optimistic at this point. I've got to say, I'm enjoying the evening. The enjoyment portion of this evening has officially begun. It's now a Jewish holiday. That's right. It went from tragedy to triumph. That's right.

It's time to break out some symbolic rituals. It's time to eat some kosher food. It's time to imbibe. And it's time to speak some Yiddish. Yeah, baby. Suck on that, Nick Fuentes. The Hebrew hammer. Yeah, Hebrew hammer.

You know, you're terrifying when you're happening. Yeah. Oh, my God. Oh, man. It's amazing to think that Donald Trump could win without the Nick Fuentes vote. The map is just looking better and better. Okay, so if it goes the way we think it's going, those first 100 crucial days, the agenda, tariffs, what else do you see? Don't give a shit, man. Don't care at all. Do not care. Sorry, still basking. It didn't take a little while.

Going to need a moment with this one. So the first 100 days? So the first 100 days, here's what's how? actually going to happen. What's actually going to happen is the people who are deeply involved in staffing other than, you know, sort of Don Jr. You got Howard Lutnik who's deeply involved in staffing up the administration. I think that the early sort of frontrunners for some of these positions, Tom Cotton for Sec Def, I think Mike Pompeo might be considered for Sex State again. If not Pompeo, you might take a look at Marco Rubio, Senator from Florida. You're looking at, for Secretary of the Treasury, that one's kind of hard. obviously Musk goes in. He's going to perform some government function.

Maybe. Musk doesn't want to be in the government. No, no, not in the government. But like his special advisor. There's some of the investment class that I think you'll see likely nominated for the, you know, some Trump's New York investment friends for Secretary of the Treasury, went in his secretary of the Treasury. The thing is Trump has a team that already worked. So I think a lot of those people end up coming back. I think David Friedman for a U.N. ambassador, possibly Morgan Ortegis for you, an ambassador. Like, there are a bunch of people who are really good who are going to come in.

And, you know, they're going to start cleaning it up. And it'll be interesting now with a very robust Senate majority is what this is looking like. At the very least, a robust Senate majority. Yeah, I think he's going to get most of his picks through. So it depends on sort of which place you choose to focus. When it comes to domestic policy, the first thing they're going to do is they're going to make the Trump tax cuts permanent.

That is, that is task number one. They're going to make those permanent so that those just don't sunset, right? Because he has to guarantee that he doesn't. screw up the economy. The next thing that you're going to do, he's going to slap bunch of tariffs on China, which he's going to do, I think, forthwith, and I think he should do because China is a cheater, and China is an intellectual property thief, and they happen to be run by an evil dictatorship. So that will be very good. Remainanne in Mexico. Yes, obviously on the border, Romano, Mexico immediately goes back into place.

Reinterpretation of asylum law goes immediately right back into place. Prioritization of deportation of criminally legal aliens goes back into place with widespread deportations of those people and massive new investigative authority for ICE. On foreign policy, I think Israel is going to hit Iran's nuclear facilities between the election and Trump taking office because I think that Trump doesn't want that on the table when he gets into office and with the Israelis knowing that they're going to have a friend back in the White House as opposed to an enemy, they probably go hard and they go fast and they go now because probably Trump is telling, I mean, Trump said it openly.

He said, I don't want this happening while I'm president. They're like, okay, sure, no problem, man. We'll take care of business right now because we know that you're not there to cut us off at the knees. So I would be shocked if Israel doesn't go quite hard over the course of the next couple months, one of the under-noticed stories of the day, because you know we have a thing going on, is that Prime Minister Netanyahu fired his minister of defense in Israel, Yov-Galant, who was widely considered on the right in Israel to be sort of a pipeline to the Biden-Harris administration. And so he's putting in some more of his own people, which means he's likely to go quite hard,

quite fast. That is going to bring peace to the Middle East. And Donald Trump is going to bring Saudi into the Abraham Accords, undoubtedly. That is a thing that Donald Trump has already pre-negotiating that is going to happen. That's why he wants solidity in the Middle East. He wants Israel to finish up whatever they're doing security-wise. He wants them to finish up in Lebanon. He wants them to finish up in the Gaza Strip. And then Donald Trump is going to work. He's going to, he has all those connects already made. That's all going to come into play. As far as Ukraine, Trump and Vance have already said, contrary to popular opinion, both Trump and Vance have said they will continue to fund Ukraine sufficient so that Vladimir Putin does not walk into Kiev.

But they are also going to be realistic about what the prospect for what the final settlement in Ukraine looks like, which is the solidification of the borders of Donbass and Ukraine, some sort of commitment to neutrality, but with some sort of additional funding of military resources sufficient to deter a further Russian invasion. Things are about to get a lot better. How long do you think that'll take on the Ukraine-Russia front? I mean, that's up to Putin. I think Putin, this is one of the dangers, is that if you keep signaling that you're a little weak on it, then Putin probably keeps trying to push and push and push hoping that you'll just go away and then he'll walk into Kiev. But here's the thing

about Trump. The one thing Donald Trump does not like to do is lose. He hates losing. And he knows that if Putin is seen walking through Keev, he looks like a loser. So he doesn't want that. He doesn't want the photos of Vladimir Putin walking through Kiv in the same way that he wouldn't have wanted the photos of the Taliban walking through Bagram Air Base, right? So he's realistic about all of that. So those, I think, are the things that are probably front burner items for President Trump. And then there are going to be some fixes around Obama care that will take place. He's not going to do anything on abortion. I mean, he'll put in place, you know, all the executive orders that Republicans always do, right? No foreign funding of foreign

abortions, the so-called Mexico rule. I'll put that back into place. But, you know, I think all of those are not only doable. I think they are eminently doable. And I think he gets all that done inside the first hundred days. Yeah, I think you're right. We're going to take a break while we wait for the next results to come in and tell you a little bit about what's been going on at Daily Wire Plus. Since I joined forces with the DailyWare Plus, we've built a comprehensive collection of premium content. Get the entire collection of mastering life. Strengthen your relationship with my series Marriage.

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how to strengthen your family and to strengthen your relationships and to aim up. People are struggling with the business. with depression and anxiety. You walk through all of that. How do you cope with it? What's the best pathway forward? In addition, we've explored biblical writings and their cultural influence.

Our new 10-part series on the Gospels delineates the accounts of the New Testament writings. And finally, join me on a journey through time. Foundations of the West. The work of doing with the Daily Wire brings the spirit of adventure forward. Join us on Daily Wire Plus today. Well, folks, we're now joined here at Daily Wire HQ by Brent Buchanan of Signal Pauling. Welcome back to the show, Brent. So tell us, how are things going in this great state of Wisconsin? Well, here's a story for you. You're eating jellybellies, right? I am. Ronald Reagan's

favorite? Indeed. Okay. Do you know if you go to the factory in California, they sell something called belly flops, and it's the jelly bellies that didn't make it into the bag? I'm not only aware of that, I've done that myself. Well, because I know all things, except for what's going on in Wisconsin. So tell me, Brent, what's going on in Wisconsin? Well, this is the segue. Kamala Harris is belly flopping. Oh, nice. Roving it, A plus, grade A, good stuff. Keep going. Tell me more.

All right, so as we look at Wisconsin, one thing you'll note, real red. Let's look at two particular counties that matter to Kamala Harris significantly. And that is Dane, which is Madison, the Capitol. And when you look at this historical comparison here, just look at the raw vote differences between these. Kamala Harris is 8,000 under her 2020 numbers. Trump is up 2,000 on his 2020 numbers. She really needed to perform here, and she's down two points on her margin that she had in 2020.

And then we'll get down to Rock County here. This is another one that she really needed to perform well in. What's unique about Rock County is it is, let's flip to this, 10% Hispanic. So this is one of the most diverse counties in one of the whitest states in the entire country. And this was a Biden plus 11 seat, and it is now only Kamala plus seven. So you just take these factors that we've been talking about, which is the county she needs are only performing at 2020 numbers. And then you add that into the fact that if they're only performing at 2020 numbers,

she's not even meeting Biden's margin in these two. And this was one of the closest states in 2020. It was less than 1% that Biden won this state by. So what's really happening, because we're plugging all this data into several of our models, and it's this, is that there's not just this overall white change in the vote. What's really interesting is that if a county is really diverse, the white turnout in that county did not change from 2020. So think if this is like a U. And then if you have super, super white counties where almost nobody but white people live there, they didn't move much from their 2020. it was these counties that were about 75 to 85% white

that had the largest shift towards Trump. And if you go back and look historically, they had the largest shifts in 2020 towards Biden. And so it's not this homogenous, all non-whites are moving more towards Trump. All whites are staying where they are. It's this unique patchwork that's occurring in turnout, depending on what type of diversity there is within your county, but it's all benefiting Donald Trump on white, black, brown,

everything in between counties right now. So Brent, technically, when you read all the data in, on a scale of 1 to 10, how much does Kamala Harris suck as a candidate? And would they have been better off keeping the corpse of Joe Biden in place to actually run? Because the recriminations are going to be so delicious, I will feast off of them for years to come. Well, I prefer scales that also have negatives, so let's go with like a negative on that negative 10 to 10 scale. But yeah, and one of the things that we pointed out when they decided to take their democratically elected nominee and swap it out with somebody who did not get a single vote, we said that this is really going to hurt her with union voters. And you saw this in the Teamster vote where Joe Biden had a slight lead on Trump in April among Teamster members,

and then he overwhelmingly was defeating Harris. And that one data point shows you the weakness that she was having. And these Rust Belt states here from Wisconsin to Michigan, even all the way over to Pennsylvania, very, very heavy union households. And so even if the Democratic Union voters stay home or they swap their vote, it causes massive disruption in the electoral margins between these candidates, as we're seeing right here play out before us. Brent, right now, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have more than 80% of the vote in. and Donald Trump in both states has above 50% of the vote. I mean, in the case of Wisconsin right now,

Wisconsin, according to Decision Desicent, 84% of the vote in Donald Trump 56 to Kamala Harris's 42, and that's with RFK Jr. still being on the ballot. I mean, we're getting dangerously close to actually being able to call Wisconsin, and if we call Wisconsin, we are essentially calling the race. Yes. Yeah, we also have to assume that a lot of the results that are, going to come in are from cities not favorable to Donald Trump. This is just what historically happens. I really hope this is blowout territory so that there's not issues related to, well, what votes were they trying to go find and shove into the count? This is one of the reasons you should be like Florida and report the vote within two hours, and then there's no question

as to how the election played out. But it's getting really, really hard to see where Kamala Harris can pull out any of these three Rust Belt states at this point. Well, I also have a piece of breaking news that Republicans have flipped, wait for it, wait for it, wait for it. The governor's mansion in, wait for it, Puerto Rico. Yeah, I swear that. We actually won that, yeah.

So, yeah, this is great. So, Brett, thank you so much. This has been wildly enjoyable. And next time we check in, I hope it will be just as enjoyable or even more so. I'll be eating a different candy. So try to think up a joke about those candies and how we will connect, for example, M&Ms,

to the situation in Pennsylvania. All right, time to hit the Google. All right, you folks. This visit to our election HQ has been brought to you by friends over at Lumen. Go check out Lumen right now. It is a great device, and I will need it a lot after eating this entire bowl of jellybellies in celebration. One hates to get cocky because we have seen stranger things happen, but this is, I mean, this is looking more and more like Donald Trump's going to be the 47th president of the United States.

Well, so let's get pessimistic for a moment, just out of curiosity. I mean, her number of confirmed victories is increasing. Trump's still nicely ahead. If you had to be pessimistic and things, how could things still go dreadfully wrong? Or is that out of the realm of possibility at the moment? The only way they would reddenly wrong is if she suddenly, like, massive boat dumps in Philly, Detroit, and Madison, Wisconsin, Philly, Detroit, Milwaukee. It's the big cities. I mean, I said this early on, actually.

So I'm all credit to me, because I said early on in the night. But I said in North Carolina that if she did not win North Carolina, the entire election was going to come down to giant voter turnout in three big cities. Yeah. I did say that. Like, within the first 20 minutes of this broadcast, I'm just going to point that out. I was going to point out so far, the only thing I've gotten wrong is New Hampshire. Just going to say it.

You went all in on New Hampshire, though. You went all in. I do have to say that Arizona is very close with 55% of the vote in, which that's still early. but it's essentially a toss-up, 49-49, for the two candidates. So if you're going to get pessimistic, could we end up losing Arizona and sort of unraveling our mask a little bit? Not going to happen. We're going to win Arizona. Arizona is solidly in red territory.

According to the New York Times, Arizona is a high likelihood, a very, very high likelihood of a Donald Trump win at this point. Again, it would be kind of shocking where he'd lose. They have him up by a projected almost 4%. It's at least safe to say we're going to have a winner. I mean, this probably will not drag on for days. No, I think that there's a very good shot that we will have a winner in the next two hours. I mean, if it continues at this rate, I think there's going to be a temptation by some networks to start calling some of those Rust Belt states.

If people want to be super cautious, you're probably talking about late morning, tomorrow morning or early afternoon. But by tomorrow night, President Trump, I think, will be pretty obvious. If they call one of these Rust Belt states, it's over. They've called the election. Yes. because Arizona is definitely going to go in Trump's category. He needed it was North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and one of the rest of them. Now the Democrats are going to have to complain that the problem is the popular vote.

And there are the vote. I thought you're just going to stop that the problem is the people. Yeah. I mean, we're going to go back to that point, but that is what it's going to be. Get ready for it. They are going to rage against the dying of the light, and it's going to be worse for them. They're going to have to go deep into the crevasse of fail before they start to emerge in something like reasonable order. So what do you expect will happen now?

Let's assume the best for a moment, so to speak, that the Republicans control the presidency and the Senate and the House. And so that means you have these really quite radical people, Musk and Kennedy in particular, now taking up dominant positions in the White House. They're threatening the big pharma industry, so that's a major threat. They're threatening big agriculture.

Legacy media is like stone dead. The education establishment is in serious trouble. The military industrial complex is unlikely to be happy. What do you guys foresee happening? That's a lot, well, and that says nothing about the CIA and the FBI, let's say. Like, it doesn't seem to be realistic to presume that such people are going to just take this sort of thing lying down. And that says nothing about the leftist radicals who are still quite nicely organized after all the pro-Hamas protests. What do you see happening here?

I mean, there will be resistance inside each of these agencies. It's why, you know, the attempt to move a lot of these employees to so-called Schedule F is going to make a huge difference. This is something that the Trump administration is going to try and do. They're going to take the permanent political class, and they're going to say they're now fireable under the, under the articles of the Constitution. The President does have unitary executive authority to fire all of these people. Schedule F meaning what? Schedule F, meaning what happens? So right now, by union contract and by regulation, if you are considered a non-political appointee,

and the executive branch, there's a procedure that you have to go through in order to be ousted from your job. If you are re-designated as a Schedule F employee, that means you're effectively an at-will employee of the executive branch, and the president of the United States can summarily fire you. And so that's going to go forward pretty quickly. Again, I think that there are certain areas. It'll be interesting to see what RFK Jr. is actually given. So I think RFK Jr. ends up in charge of, like, Ag and HHS and FDA. No, I think that he probably ends up as, like, Department of Agriculture guy, like Secretary of Ag, maybe you put him in charge of FDA. But I think that, again, it's not as we have... I'd give him HHS, I think.

Yeah, I mean, the only problem with HHS is that that's really more about the application of Obamacare and Medicaid than it is about, like, the health things that he cares about. He cares more about FDA kind of stuff, like vaccines or like food and water. Like, that's more FDA type stuff. Maybe EPA. You know, I think that EPA would be a problem for him because... Are we going to keep Rachel Levine in place, is my question. Doctor. Doctor.

Admiral, Doctor. Admiral Doctor. Only if she admit, Donald Trump will bring him. on the carpet and force him to admit he's a man. And then say... And he can stay. And he can stay. For those of you who haven't noticed.

Yeah, exactly. So, you know, it'll be interesting to see also, because here's the thing, Congress is still a body in the government. The president doesn't just get to make all the rules, and neither is anybody in the executive branch agencies. So if RFK decides to get, like, super radical about things in a way that Congress doesn't like, Congress can take power back from the executive branch or these things can get challenged in court, I think the biggest hold up to Trump in terms of whatever his agenda

is, is going to be the courts. Right? There will be a lot of legal cases that are filed against all of this, and then it'll get held up. And the Supreme Court is not going to take all those cases. A lot of this stuff is going to get held up. Listen, it's very hard to do radical change inside the United States government. And I think that that's overall a very, very good thing. It does mean that there are a lot of barriers to entry in terms of the stuff that Trump is going to try to get done. Like when they say that Elon Musk is going to come in and cut two trillion in spent, no, he's not. I mean, that's not, that's actually not possible to cut two. This is also why if we have Congress and the presidency, you have to ruthlessly move your agenda forward and start stacking wins and stack them quickly.

Because we know that, you know, that's the situation Trump had in 2016 in the first two years. And, you know, the fact is not a lot was achieved with all that power for two years. And hypothetically, he knows more about what he's doing this time. You would hope so. And also any, traditionally concerned, Republicans have always worried that, well, if we advance our agenda, too quickly and too ruthlessly, then the other side will be mad. And then when they're in power, think of all the terrible things they'll do. But this is actually what Project 2025 was about, was Heritage attempting to lay out a roadmap for how to effectuate policy rapidly in the first 100 days.

And Donald Trump, as a matter of political expediency, distance himself completely. That's why Trump, as soon as he wins, he needs to say, never mind, I am doing Project 20. Well, actually, and by the way, in 2020, I've made a tremendous mistake in not issuing some kind of small Bible of what it said, because it was so. long that the Dems can say anything they wanted about it. Nobody knew it was revealing the infield fly rule. But I will give you a little insider. I think I might be the first one to break this story. When Trump shot down Project 2025, that was fair enough. Is our real radical agenda? Project 2026. That one makes 2025 look like child's play. By the way, I mean, it is worth noting here that undoubtedly Clarence Thomas will end up retiring from the bench under President Trump in this next

term, and that is, because he's 76 years old, there's a good shot that Samuel Alito, who is 74, will also end up retiring from the bench, and new justices will be appointed in their place, which will enshrine, in fact, a conservative majority on the court for years to come. Wow. Because, you know, that was a scary thing. I mean, Clarence Thomas is the best justice on the Supreme Court. He's so obviously very much with it in mind. He's also 76 years old, and he's not going to play the Ruth Bader Ginsburg game,

where you end up, God forbid, going under a Democrat. Let's not knock Sam Alito, though. I mean, I'm kind of actually partial to Simmelito. Justice Alito is fantastic. I mean, again. So both those guys, though, are a little bit... Long in the two. Long in the two.

By the time that Donald Trump leaves office in this next term, Samuel Lito will be 78 years old. Yeah. Right? You're starting to get into the territory where you really want to think at 77 about whether you want to be the person who ends up, you know, moving into a Democratic administration. I think one of the things that's worth noting here is that, you know, we can be... The number one thing that Donald Trump is going to do is be not... Amalairus, right? He is going to stop dead that agenda from moving forward and not doing the thing

is like 80% of what he needs to do. It's very hard to think of, you know, massive, like the things I would want to do, right? Like restructuring the federal entitlement programs that are clearly going to bankrupt the country. It ain't going nowhere. It's not going to happen. Right. Like, we're just going to fly right off that cliff. It's going to, as you say, it's going to happen when it's because that's happened. Right, exactly. I mean, reality will hit and we'll fall off the cliff and then austerity measures or inflation or high taxation will happen. I mean, all those things will happen. But the one thing that Trump really can do, the biggest thing he can do, is radical deregulation. The radical deregulation will happen. Which he started to do,

all right? He had a ratio of two to one, right? For every new regulation passed, you repeal two. Now he says it's going to go four to one, right? For every regulation that is created, four will be repealed. All of these are really good and really important things. As far as what happens in Congress, the answer is that, you know, the government is a giant tractor and it just keeps on moving forward almost no matter what. So if you're hoping for Donald Trump to come in and lower the federal debt by leaps and bounds, that's really not. No, he's never said he's going to do that. Correct. That's not the thing you should hope for it. The real theory of Donald Trump, and this is where he actually is, like W, unfortunately, actually is this area, is that he believes you can outgrow the debt,

right? That if you have enough economic dynamism, eventually you'll generate enough revenue that you can pay off all of that sort of stuff. So again, that's the stuff that's sort of on the table. Again, I'm just giving you the latest vote total. So right now Donald Trump continues to be up by about 100,000 votes with 77% of the vote recorded in the state of Wisconsin. Meanwhile, in the state of Pennsylvania, very, very narrow lead in the state of Pennsylvania. President Trump is up by approximately, well, actually not that narrow. My math is bad. He's up by about 170,000 votes in the state of Pennsylvania with 85% of the vote counted. The New York Times is estimating that he will win the state by somewhere in the neighborhood of 2.1% Wisconsin by 1.8% over in Michigan,

48% of the vote counted. President Trump's lead continues to grow there. And, and he will. He's up about 130,000 votes. They're estimating that he'll win that state by 2.2%. So those are the latest results over there. Is Nevada closed yet? I'm not sure that Nevada's closed. I think Nevada's still open. So that, or if it can't still be open.

It's got to be closed. But it closed not all that long ago, so I don't think that they're actually doing like the full count yet. New York Times doesn't have a count on Nevada at this point. The polls closed at 10 Eastern. So yes, they are closed. Yeah, they closed, but they're not going to be any results in Nevada for a little while yet. But it appears that it may not matter at all. Arizona, Trump's estimate 3.7% up when all of a sudden done,

53% of the vote count is in. It's pretty much dead even. But the areas that have come in are areas, Tucson, Phoenix, all the big sort of Democrat areas have already come in for Kamala Harris. So again, a very, very, a shockingly good evening for President Trump. Spencer Lindquist is reporting already that people are leaving the Kamala Harris Watch Party. Wow. Unbelievable. They're walking out just like Jill did as soon as she realized that Joe was no longer president of the United States. Republicans are approximately, according to Ryan Gerdowski, formerly of CNN. I'm just going to keep saying that because it's hilarious.

And they are 1.5 percentage points away from flipping the New York 9th Congressional District, which is a 6236 Joe Biden district. Wow. Which is really, really funny. New York 9. Where is that? New Jersey 9, New Jersey 9. New Jersey 9. Yeah. So these are, these are, these are, these are, truly hilarious results. How good is Joe Biden feeling right now?

That's what I'm saying. Like, that's, that's where I want the camera. That's where I want the camera. It's a mixed evening, you can imagine. I don't think it's mixed for him. I think he's feeling. You think it's just, you think it's just positive? Oh, yeah. If you got knifed in the back by someone that you brought up, you know, and they push you to the side? There's still that knife wound. Yeah, and you're still out. Yeah. No, but he's got to feel a little relieved because. It could be him getting his ass kicked right now on national TV. And that's a really bad way to go. The better way to go is to be knifed in the back

and then claim that you were wrong the rest of your life, which is, like, that's a really great way to go. And then you can say for the rest of your life that, see, this is why you shouldn't have done that. He could say for the next, like, eight days. Good luck to Joe, because this is the first time Joe Biden's prostate's working in the last 25 years is tonight. I mean, like, he's got to be really, really, you know. I didn't need that.

Yeah. It's getting late tonight, man. You know, we've been here for 9,000 hours. I'm looking just... You know, Chen Quigar is crying. I'm checking out the networks. David Neer looks sad. He looks very sad. Chan Quigar is basically in tears now.

By the way, I got a note that Orange Hitler over here got a awful lot of not white people to vote for him. Yeah, I sure did. This orange Hitler fellow. The whole intersectional thing really collapsed in a pile of dust and rubbles. I mean, that dude had like five Hitler moustaches.

Not just one, like all over his face, just Hitler moustaches everywhere. And we were told that he was, you know, he... What are the poor Hollywood stars going to do? I don't know. I mean, they're pretty much done. They're going to move. They're going to move.

That's right. Oh, yeah. Move to Canada. Then they can find out what the progress. We've made out of Georgia really is like. Yeah, go to Canada, you people, where your money's worth half as much. And we can't put it past these people because they're talking about how they're going to react. They are going to say that Trump is an illegitimate president.

You think so? No, they can't anymore. They can't. They're going to say the American people are illegitimate. And that's what I'm looking forward to, because it. Now the battle's out in the open. Seriously, I'm looking forward to this. That's the battle that's going to be next. They'll be able to accept that he just won.

Without Russia, you know, something. Yes, yes. They're running out as scapegoat. Of course they are. There is only one scapegoat left, and it's the scapegoat that Joe Biden said out loud, and that is the American people are trash. That is going to be the anger. That's what we're doing in Canada.

They have not accepted a presidential election they lost this century. Yeah, but here, but who, I mean, you just, tell me, who do you think that they blame? I mean, they can blame podcasts. I mean, they'll blame me and Rogan and you and like everybody else. They tried that. On New York Times. But, you know, but the, but the press is not going to back them on this. It's going to be a change. I mean, I really do believe this. The press, in order to sell, like, the Russian collusion story, you needed the press all on board. The press looks like, they look like fools. Well, they're also dead. Like the Rogan interview with Trump and was more important.

Oh, yeah, that, that was the end of the legacy media as far as I'm, I mean, they were already on the outs, but what What is left of them? They've lost all their credibility. They have no audience, right? And it's highly likely, I think, that what Musk predicted will occur, which is that the broadcast networks will lose their license to broadcast, and they'll be relegated to the cable networks. And they should.

They deserve it. There's absolutely no reason why they should occupy that. I can tell you what the move is, though. Because you're right, they've lost their audience, and so what's their move? Their move is to kill us, which they already telegraphed. The New York Times, the Washington Post had that piece with your face on it, Ben. And then the New York Times hit all of us. The New York Times, this popped up in my Google.

I actually was not in that article. You were saying, I was neither. I was a letter in it. I was the centerpiece of their header. They didn't mention either. Because I said, the headline was, in the podcast election, falsehoods fly. Misinformation flies on YouTube, lets it happen. So it was a picture of me right there in the middle.

I said, what did they get me on? I think I've been very precise about what I've said. I looked, they didn't mention me, but they want to take down the Daily Wire. Clearly. They want to take down the other podcasters. That's not working out so good. It's not going to happen, at least with Trump in charge. If the Republicans have the Senate, you know, it's not going to happen for them any time soon.

But I think that is their play. Okay, we're starting to lose. Well, we've got a clamp down on the guys. I know you're a big fan of the Inquisition, but it actually didn't stop the Reformation from happening. That's what they're doing. That's the same game plan. That's why we had to kick it into overdrive after the you guys started that. I think that's all over.

I can't see that. Under Trump, that's a very, very hard road for them to ho. So this is why I think they are going to just be stuck with. Trump is toxic. The American people are toxic. It's mostly males. But, like, I don't, I... Men are toxic.

Men are toxic. It's not going to be American people. It's going to be a group. Men, white men. It's going to be men. But again, I think that too many white women went by a majority of people. for Trump. So, you know, I just don't, I don't see how this works out for them. I think they're going to have to be, honestly, it's going to have to be that circumstance turns against Trump to take

advantage of it. That's the only way they get. Maybe they sort themselves out. I mean, we have seen some move towards the center. No, but here, so this is, but here's my, but here's my problem. I don't know what that looks like. Okay, they, uh, the, okay, because they can't, as long as Trump doesn't touch the entitlements, there's no place for them to out-compete him. Yeah. Okay. If they say that we just want to spend more money on shit, they've been saying that this whole election cycle, it doesn't make a dent. On social policy, they went so far to the left

that even if they come back to, quote-unquote, moderate left, nobody trusts them anymore because they blew it all. I mean, they wanted to trans kids in the classroom. They couldn't stick with gay rights. They went to trans and kids in the classroom. If they go back to gay rights, Trump's already there holding a flag, man. He took same-sex marriage. I disagree with him.

He took it out of the Republican platform. I mean, that just is what it is. He has occupied. This is the part that's hilarious. This I did say the whole election cycle. Donald Trump occupied the positional center of this race. He forced them to the left. Donald Trump is the most centrist political candidate since John McCain in this country,

other than on immigration. That is just the reality. You can tell that by all the Democrats who are running with him. Yes, yes, yes, yes. By the way, you want a great stat? Here's a great stat, folks. You're going to enjoy this one. Which state is currently closer, is currently running closer?

New York or Florida? What? New York is currently running closer than Florida. Kamala Harris has a 12-point advantage in New York. Donald Trump's a 13-point advantage in Florida. Well, Joy Reid just called Florida a right-wing fascist state. Yeah, baby. Oh, yeah.

You can tell Florida to do something, right? That's my state. Gotta love it. Just a second. I'm feeling the joy. That's awesome. Woo! Florida seems great.

Everything about Florida seems great except for the weather. And the elegant. And the elegant. Okay, but the thing is, when you're in Florida, because there's no state income tax, you can afford to buy a summer home. There's no state income tax in the great state of Tennessee. And it is true. Nor is there an alligator.

I will acknowledge. So David French is wrong on nearly everything, but he makes a good point. If present trends continue, this Trump victory will swamp all the micro-explanations. Shapiro's VP would not have changed this. Keeping Arab Americans in Michigan wouldn't have changed this. It's all the big stuff. Defeat in Afghanistan, a poorest border inflation, and Biden's refusal to acknowledge reality and step aside in time for Democrats to have a real primary.

That's factually true. I think that's true. That's true. Who wrote that? French. David French. Oh, David French. He's wrong on a lot of stuff, but he's right on that. Can I also say, we've talked about how the left will react to this. On the right, though, if Trump wins, assuming this all holds, I certainly hope what I'm the things I'm most excited about if Trump wins is that I hope that this will become a time on the right where we can actually have some unity among conservatives, which is, I guess,

easier to do in victory, but it's the last four years of just ripping each other. The conservatives love doing that. You get 100 conservatives in a room. They're going to find the one thing they disagree on. It's like high school. It's worse than high school. They're all going to just have all these petty little nitpicky things. They're all going to ankle bite whenever anyone has any success. But one hopes now if the night continues as it is going. Trump has the big success. And so maybe we can all at least, you know, say we got to come to eat that if you want. We're going to need that if you want. you want to take advantage of this and move the ball forward and advance your agenda, it's like we all got to be on the same page.

Yes. Yeah. And we got to be able to achieve that for an extended period of time. You're going to have people on one side trying to bring back Bush McCain-Romney, because that's what they're so angry about. You're going to have that very, I think, very small but vocal thing on the other side, trying to turn it into like a fascist hate you. And the thing is, those guys are going to have a big voice online and in the Wall Street Journal.

but I think if you ignore them, they just don't have the power anymore. The power is now in the working class center. I think the great lesson to achieve what you want, people have to stop thinking, if I differ with you on one thing, we have nothing in common. I don't understand that mentality.

It's been a motto of my radio show for 40 years. The only candidate you will ever agree with entirely is you if you run. There is no one else. And yet people say, oh, he said that, he's out of my life. Forever he's dead, yeah. Right. By the way, you might not even agree with yourself all the time.

Yeah. You know, people's use Jane. Yeah, yeah, that's right. With President Trump, you know, he has become more fluent in speaking as a conservative since he ran in 2015. And, you know, it shows on the trail. So what does the pro-life movement do next then? As they're looking at this Trump administration that managed, what we think will be the Trump administration that managed to win while tacking to the center on that issue, changing the language of the GOP platform, how do they now navigate a world in which the GOP doesn't necessarily entirely back their policies, and yet they also have Dobbs? I think that's overstated. I think, you know, Jeremy, you made this point very well earlier in the show.

Trump got a lot of flack for taking the abortion ban out of the GOP platform. I think the reason he got flack for that is because people refused to acknowledge that the Dobbs' decision didn't just move the ball down the field for us. It did do that. It fundamentally changed the field. Right. Right. Right. Reset the field. Previously, before Dobbs, having, calling for a national abortion ban was not only a just thing to do, it was politically advantageous to Republicans. It ceased to be politically advantageous after we had lost every ballot referendum that we had put up for pro-life.

So, you know, again, I don't want to just flack for Trump here and say, I would have said exactly the same things he did or whatever. He initially said he would oppose the, or support the pro-abortion amendment in Florida. Then he came around and he said, no, I'm not going to support it. You know, he's changed his language a little over time.

But we are in a completely new ballgame here. And so the goal is to protect innocent life. We just, that's the goal. We're going to have to change our strategy up a lot. I think what it means is obviously the fight is state to state now. And it's an incremental fight. And that's something that pro-lifers and conservatives just have to, you know, there's always this argument, especially among Christians about, well, incrementalism.

Is that really the way to, of course that's the way to go. Incrementalism just means that you're going to take the best possible thing you can have now is what you're going to take. That's just life. That's every day, every moment of life. You choose the best possible thing you can have. And that's going to be the fight going forward. That's of course right.

The problem with Roe v. Wade is that it allowed Republican politicians to lie to pro-life voters for 50-plus years and say that they were abortion absolutists when the vast majority of them weren't. But they could never be called on it because Roe was never going to be overturned. And then the,

unimaginable happen and Roe was overturned. And suddenly you're realizing that these politicians were always just being politicians. Life was an easy layup win, that they were never going to be responsible for advancing in any way. And what I truly believe is that the fight for overturning Roe

was a long-shot fight that took a generation and a half to win. And the fight for now individual The actual fight against abortion was not the fight against Roe v. Wade. That was the fight against Roe v. Wade. The actual fight against abortion is going to be a generation and a half of fighting in the culture, which we have not done at this level before, of technological advances, which some Christians will find distasteful, but will actually help over time reduce abortion.

Of national revival, which will be an incredibly difficult thing to accomplish, but has been going on since the beginning of time, there's always been a cycle of falling away from God and drawing nearer to God. Like that is just part of the human civilizational experience. I actually think that all the trend lines actually work in our favor over time to do away with this complete horror called abortion. Again, you cannot, no one is more pro-life than me.

There are things that I believe about abortion that I cannot say on the air because we would be de-platformed. I'm a complete and total abolitionist, radical. And yet, I do live on a planet where I know. I'm not trying to preserve ever. I'm not trying to preserve

my positive view of myself. I don't care if you think I'm a bad Christian. I am a bad Christian. That's what it means to be a Christian. When you think you're a good Christian, I don't believe you understand Christianity in the first place. the premise of which is all of sin and fall short of the glory of God.

You can't make me feel guilty. I know how pro-life I am. And I am just telling you, no matter what any politician tells you, abortion is not going to become illegal in this country in 2024. It's not going to become illegal in this country in 2028. It's not going to become illegal in this country in 2032. That is not how that fight is going to happen. That is not the timeline on which that fight is going to happen.

You're going to have to actually get your hands dirty and win incremental gains at the local and state, level. On everything. Every day. On on every subject. By the way, I asked Matt, I know you want to say so I'll make sure you get here. I just want to, it just occurred to me. I asked Matt at the other room, who's the second unhappiest man in the world? And he immediately said, second happiest. Happiest is Trump, is Trump. And he got Joe Biden. So I have another riddle for all of you. And this is the world. This is, so I'll give you a head. It's a non-American.

Who is the least happy person outside of Kamala Harris at this time? Non-American. Non-American. Non-American, so Barack Obama clearly. That would be who we mean. The Ayatola? Correct. The Ayatollah.

That's right. This is his nightmare. Because he can't do what he wants if there's a President Trump. Right. I asked Neil Ferguson, one of the greatest living historians who, I don't identify. I mean, he's conservative, but he's not political, particularly. He was at Harvard, and then he's married to Ayanheir, C.L.

He's an extraordinary man. I asked him on my show, and I had no idea what he would say. This is three years ago. Would Putin have invaded Ukraine if Donald Trump were president? I give you all my word. I did not know what he would say. But I wanted to know from one of the few historians our respect what the answer was, there wasn't a gap. And he said, no. Certainly not. Yeah, of course not.

And the same thing with Khomeini, with regard to Israel, he could do whatever he wants because the Democrats were in power. And now if Trump is elected, this is a new ballgame in the Middle East. You know, I think this thing about... Wait, I promised her. Oh, I'm sorry. I'm sorry. Well, now I'm taking it back to abortion, and it feels like we've moved on. No, no, no, no, no, we do that, yeah. But my question is, does the pro-life movement learn how to leverage their political power again? Because I think when you look at so many of the rank and file, they look at something like that as distasteful because they have now spent decades looking for,

I'm just trying to elect someone who agrees with me, as opposed to I am learning how to wield sticks and carrots. And how do they get back to that? Part of the thing about Rovi Way is that it legitimately changed the culture. Legitimately changed. A generation grew up thinking that this was an urgent human right to kill your baby and that this baby was not an individual person. And there's no logic to it and it has no excuse, but it is what people believe. It is where they live.

And so I think people like Lila Rose, people who have been sincere fighters, really did change their tactics over time to address that culture. But now they have to address it at its deeper. level. And I'm sorry, that's going to take things that conservatives are bad at. It's going to take art. It's going to take, you know, a new kind of way of talking. It's going to take sympathy with people that we don't have sympathy with and forgiveness for people who we wish we didn't have to forgive. You know, today, today on X, there was a beautiful video of a woman talking about how her, the father of her baby wanted her to abort, and she said, no, and I'll never sue you,

just go away. And then the doctor said this baby is going to be deformed. You should abort. She said, absolutely not. I'm not going to do it. Had the baby. The baby's now five years old. Beautiful baby, completely undeformed. And she told her story.

I mean, you know, I was sitting there going like, oh, my God, you know, this is, it was a beautiful. And I retweeted it and people started posting things like, did she have to use the F word so much? Yeah. Did she have this, you know, that's where we got. That's what we have to get past. So we have to get past that and understand that that's a hero. She grew up in a culture that didn't teach her not to say the F word. And we've got to change it.

I just want to say that the actual, the pro-life fight in the trenches doesn't change at all. Because, like, in the trenches. And I do, this is important to say because, like I said before, about how all the conservatives, like ripping each other apart for the last four years, has been very troubling. And I hope we can get past some of that. And some of that has also been the way that some people on the right have turned against pro-lifers. and pro-life activists and talked about them like they've just, like, they're nothing but frauds. Yeah.

They haven't achieved anything. And it's like, no, you say that because you've never been around these people. You've never been in the trenches. But the actual, like the real pro-life fighters are the ones that are at the clinics, okay? And they're going to the clinics on Saturday mornings. And they're talking to the women who are going in. And they're running like pregnancy resource centers. And that's the actual movement.

Like those are the people that are leading this movement. and their job doesn't change. I mean, their job is exactly the same as it's always been. And any victory, and I agree with changing the culture and art and all that stuff at a higher level needs to be done. But those people in the fight against abortion are the anchor of the movement always have been. And so I also have grace because a lot of those people tend to be more of the absolutus and they have trouble with the incremental approach. And I believe in the incremental approach. But for them, like, this is their life.

and they've given their life to it. And that's why they have trouble sometimes doing what they see as compromise when they're in this every day. So I understand that emotionally. You're also going to suffer setbacks. Like overturning Roe was always going to lead to an increase in abortion.

Roe was in some ways a bulwark. I'm sorry, Roe was in some ways actually a limiting factor for abortion in many parts of the country. And now that it's gone, what we're seeing is that, yes, some states like Florida are able to have great abortion law. And some states like Minnesota are going to be like, bring us your five-year-old, and we'll deal with this problem for you. Because Roe had limits on trimesters, and of course they found ways around all that, but it was a limiting, a national, broadly applied.

So maybe therefore law may not be the best vehicle. This is my position. My position is that there are two better vehicles than laws, because there will always be states that allow it and that will obviate the power of the law. One is persuasion. I will just say my prayer you video on abortion, which begins with, I am not addressing the issue of legality, only the issue of morality, has, is gone viral. It's like 10 million views, at least. and without once saying a word about legal or not legal. But when you make a person, which I think is an unanswerable case for,

how could you argue that if a mugger shoots a woman who is pregnant and kills the baby, he goes to prison for murder? But if she wants the child killed, then it's a non-issue. It's not tenable morally. The other is, how about this if you're going to pass a law, and this law I would be for? Informed consent. That's all. If you go for an abortion, we want you to know what is involved.

Here is a film on what the fetus is. What is happening right now? Then make up your mind and make that film unemotional, as objective, as scientific as possible, informed consent. it'd be very hard for liberals to argue. Leftists will always argue against it. But I think liberals will say, well, we'll make that trade. You don't ban it. And we'll give you informed consent laws.

How's that possibility? I don't know that it would do what we think that would do. Only because if you look at what just happened in Washington, D.C., and you see these women marching through the streets now, banging on their drums in this very sort of sacrament way, as they're talking about abortion, I do think there is a part of the pro-life movement that talks about women,

like we don't understand what we're doing when we do that. And I think that maybe there's a little naivety when they look at women like that, like everyone is a 17-year-old girl who doesn't fully understand how this functions. And I think most women today, we do know. And there does need to be a certain movement towards talking honestly about women's understanding

about the evil practice. just they're engaging. What I think is that we're not going to know how to abolish abortion for at least 40 years. I think it's going to be truly a generation and a half-struck. It doesn't mean we're not going to gain all kinds of victories along that route. We'll get it obviated in states. We'll get it outright banned in states. We'll find technological solutions that help us with the persuasion argument. Our already ultrasounds are very powerful tools for helping convince us. women that there is a path beyond abortion. I think there will be all kinds of victories between here and there. But just like we didn't know that a pro-choice, lifelong New York Democrat was going to

give us the justices that overturned Roe v. Wade. We don't know sitting here today how we're ultimately going to win this fight. We just have to keep fighting it. Right now we have to go say thank you to some of our sponsors who made it possible for us to bring you this broadcast tonight, and we'll be right back after. How's your sleep in recently? Well, I tell you, it's a election season. I've been promoting my new movie. Pretty much non-existent. Yeah, I could tell. If you have not been sleeping well, then I have to recommend that you check out Helix Sleep mattress. A year ago, I took Helix Sleeps quiz. They matched me with a dusk-lux mattress, perfect for my sleeping habits. It's got the perfect balance of support and comfort. I've never looked

back. Helix offers 20 different mattress models, each designed for specific sleep positions and preferences. For the month of November, Helix is offering 25% off site wide, plus two free dream pillows with any mattress purchase and a free betting bundle with any Lux or Elite mattress order. That does sound nice. Oh, it is. Don't let horrible sleep ruin your life. Get Helix sleep mattress today. Just go to helixisleep.com slash daily wire. That is H-E-L-I-X-S-L-E-E-P dot com slash daily wire. With Helix, better sleep starts now. Thank you, Helix, for sponsoring DailyWire's election. night coverage. All right, we want to get back into bringing you some updates about the election right now,

according to the New York Times, with 53% of the vote in in Arizona. Donald Trump is leading by 13,000 votes. Very, very close, but obviously we're still early in the count. Now, Maricopa County is saying that it could take them 10 to 13 days to tabulates the vote. This is insane. It's unbelievable. And completely unforgivable. And I hope a court goes in there and tells them they can't. Can we start like a Daily Wire fund where we? Yeah. Pay to ship all of Florida's election workers. Yes. In the Republic County, them do it count.

I have to say that it certainly seems Ben is right about one thing. Jonathan K. P.B.S. just said that he's mystified that Trump is gaining support. Who are we as a country? I'm not sure I like it. He said, blame the people. Blame the people. Yeah. In Pennsylvania, 88% of the result is now in Donald Trump leading 51% to Kamala Harris is 48. So why are they announcing that we won't have results in, if 88% or... Pennsylvania was saying before we even got to the day, yeah, that we would not have results. Oh, oh, so is that the place where the court ordered them?

They ordered them to not stop. They ordered them to not stop. Okay, so we may have Pennsylvania. It is very, it is... And at the rate it's going, he has won Pennsylvania. Dennis Prager just called it. We can go home. Good point.

I was a question. I thought I had a question. As you know, these votes come in from different precincts that have different sort of demographics at different time. Right. So it's not as though it scales from here to their equal to how it is now. I mean, you can see, the slowest places are usually the bluest cities, and the bluest cities bring in a big batch, and it can wildly swing these. And are they calling the Senate seat in Pennsylvania? Hmm, that's a good question. Have we called? No. Also not. Yeah, we've not called the Senate seat. Michigan, who also is saying that it could be tomorrow before the votes are in, currently 58% reporting,

but Michigan's looking very good. Donald Trump, 52% to Kamala's 46%. And Wisconsin, right now, 83% of the vote is in. Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris, 51%, 47%. Minnesota, which Donald Trump is not going to win Minnesota. I don't want to hurt anybody's feelings here. Minnesota is only barely free. But Minnesota also says they probably can't count them all today. How do you possibly expect us to count them all today? And they're all Democrat votes, so they have no reason. Yeah. So I wonder if a proposition, at least that's how we do it in California, if a proposition in all 50 states were on the ballot next time the people vote, counting will never cease until a decision is arrived at in our state. I think most people would vote for that, even Democrats. Oh, yeah.

You agree? Oh, yeah. I think just about everyone thinks that this should happen quickly, except the people who have a vested interest in it not happening quickly. And who might that be? Decision desk saying, our partners at decision desk saying 86% of the vote is in right now in Pennsylvania. Trump leads 50.9 to 48.2 Kamala. So, I mean, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania right now showing Trump leads, his lead in Wisconsin.

I think fairly substantial with 84% of the vote in. Still early, only 61% in Michigan. So early to know, there's a couple of other, you know, main where they can even split some of their votes, I think. So that's going to be a slow one. But again, what do you do about the fact that Maricopa County thinks that it takes 13 days to count their ballots? Yeah, what do they claim they're doing for 13 days?

What is the process that takes 13 days to count? I don't know. They say they're not allowed to start counting until they have reached that point where the ballots are still allowed to come in. So they, I guess, by law, cannot start counting until that point, which seems ridiculous. That seems like a state in need of a new law. Yeah. And the ballots are allowed to come in until when? I'm not.

Until the Democrats win. I mean, there's been a debate over whether it's like three days after, yeah. So, I mean, that's how you're getting a week. out from. Do we know the college student vote? We don't. And I don't know if you were after when I said this, but, you know, my big fear going into this election, I thought that Kamla had a path to winning 50 states. I didn't think it was going to happen. But with the ubiquity now of mail-in ballots, they can turn college campuses for the first time into ballot harvesting operations. They obviously were not able to accomplish that in time for this election. If they had, it would have

been an unbelievable swing. But maybe not. Maybe not. But the young people don't seem to have broken this part to the well, the young people, the young people who vote. Yeah. Have voted more to the right than we might have assumed that they would. But again, that's assuming that you're not creating these ballot harvesting operations that almost changed the nature of voting for being something that you have to proactively do to something that you do not have to proactively do. The problem is they are going to wise enough and try to do this in four years. And we've got to do it. We've got to do it. We've got to,

We've got to get incredibly serious about what we're going to do about it. Would Ron DeSantis have won? Had he been the nominee? Yeah. Hmm. Yes, I think that Trump has some very unique assets going into this race, and he has some unique liabilities going into the race, too. I think that there are a lot of people who said that they,

if you go all the way back to the spring, there's an enormous body of people who said that they wanted to vote for whoever wasn't Joe Biden or Donald Trump. I think that there is that sentiment in both parties. Now, as it turns out, anyone who isn't Joe Biden actually didn't, it turns out they didn't mean anyone, right? They picked someone who was so obviously unfit to be president that I think they're not going to carry the night.

Could anyone have won against Kamala other than Donald Trump? I'm not saying that. The reason I posed it is, because we raised the issue of Republicans. and in fighting and so on. So I admit that I have contempt for the never-Trump Republican, never-Trump conservative. That's really hard to cold up. And I know almost all of them personally, so this is painful.

But to prefer the left to Trump is a derangement. However, I wonder if for every never-trump conservative or Republican, is there an only Trump conservative or Republican? And I must tell you, I have just as much disdain for the only Trumper as for the never-trumper. Certainly. Michael Knowles, hardest hit. I do think, of course, that there are some only Trumpers, and they can be very loud and obnoxious on the Internet, but I don't believe that that's a sizable contingent.

I think that people want the country to work, and they've been. believe that Donald Trump's going to give them that, and so they become very passionate for Donald Trump. As for the never-Trumpers, you know, I didn't vote for Donald Trump in 2016, and my argument for not voting for Donald Trump in 2016 was Donald Trump said a lot of things that were incredibly alarming. Did he mean them? My problem with Never Trump in 2020 and 2024 is that they essentially ignore the fact that Donald Trump was, in fact, president. So when I was making a lot of it, my decision in 2016, Donald Trump said things that very much worried me, and I didn't know if he meant them. By 2020, I knew that Donald Trump didn't mean them.

That Donald Trump's worst rhetoric, whatever it is, being funny, insult comic, hyperbolic, aggressive negotiation, sometimes going straight from the id and not going through a filter, that that actually doesn't define his behavior. He was actually a fairly moderate administrator of the government. He was a fairly moderate CEO. I don't mean moderate in the sense of like political left-right, moderate is in the middle. I mean moderate like he didn't do radical things. He governed moderately.

Now, he still says a lot of things that I don't like. But now I have a box to put those in. I sort of understand what they are. I don't understand how people can ignore the evidence of four years of the man being president and still have the fears that I had in 2016. Well, he says he's going to put somebody in front of a firing squad. Yes, and he's not going. I know for a fact.

And that's a phony argument. He did not say that. Yeah, okay. But even if he had said it, it would have been incredible. You're a hundred percent right. And he still wouldn't have meant it. Right. Whereas the left says all kinds of horrible things, too, and they do act on their worst rhetoric.

Right. They actually put into practice. When they say things like, I think that a person who was born, with a uterus and breasts, should be able to remove those breasts as a teenager because that person is a man. They mean it, and then they go mutilate our daughters. That's right.

That's not, and I have, just like I had a record of Donald Trump being president by which to measure now his words, I have the Obama and Biden administrations to judge them, they mean it. I also think that the never-Trumpers at this point, like a lot of them are just leftists, and I think maybe they just always were,

but it's not just that they're opposed to Trump. They've, I mean, this crew that we're talking about, many of them have fully adopted leftist positions on like everything. Brett Stevens is a, whom I know well, and it's, we've debated and it's painful, but he writes terrific columns for the New York Times as a conservative. And then when it comes to Trump,

it just, I feel that this good man loses his mind. He's not a leftist. Many such cases. Some of them are. Some of them are like Bill Crystal. Absolutely. Any of them who say that they're voting for Biden or now, now, Camilaris, they become leftist. That's right.

Did David French say that he is voting for Biden? I don't know if David French said he's voting for Biden. I don't think that it's a fair characterization of, say, Jonah or David French to say that they've become leftist. No, Jonah. But Jonah not. Huh? David French said he was voting confidence. Yeah, Jonah has not endorsed.

But here's the thing. David French is voting for the left, and I have a major problem with it. That is not the same as saying that he is a leftist. What he is... Well, yeah, a lot of liberals vote left. What he is is unmade by Donald Trump. That's what. He wrote, to save conservatism for myself, I'm voting for Harris.

Yeah. That was the... But Trump is a unique... Which is insane. Yes. I've never seen anything. else like this. He makes people crazy and they cannot back down. I mean, Jonah at this point, who a guy I really admired and liked, personally, I was considered him a pal, you know, like.

I think he just kind of- Hey, guys, I'm going to marry Margaret Ollahan at Trump HQ, where I think we're about to hear from the man himself. Mary Margaret, what's happening? Oh, they're playing the Trump music. I think he's coming soon. It's really exciting. They're playing the YMCA song. I don't know if you can see in the background. The crowd is getting really hype. It's very full. I'm holding my ear because it's so loud in here. I can barely hear you guys. We already know that Trump and J.D. Vance are en route to the election night party.

And I think they're about to appear behind me. So this is very exciting. Pretty much everyone in the room has said that they think that Trump has won. But obviously, we haven't called it yet. I don't know if you can see behind me, though. You got Trump on the screen dancing. He's doing his classic YMCA dance. He's recently added his signature.

signature golf swing move. Classic Trump rally. A lot of fun. Well, New York Times is now saying a 93% chance of a Trump victory. So it does seem like, you know, one hates to say the writings on the wall and get cocky when there are still votes

that need to be tabulated. But I wanted to come to you because I saw Trump on the screen. I wasn't sure if he was actually on the stage. We'll definitely want to come to you when the president walks out on the stage. What are you hearing about from people there?

What are the top issues that seem to have moved voters? Well, you know, obviously the economy and immigration are the issues that we hear about the most. But I actually just talked to Callie Means, who's one of the big proponents behind Make America Healthy again. And he's telling me that, you know, this is an issue that's really motivating voters to the polls, especially suburban women. He thinks that's a whole hidden vote there that Tomfilly tapped into. And also the trans issues are really pushing people to the polls. and I'm told that's the 2024 sleeper issue, even with women. So, you know, the left talks about how Trump has no chance with women, especially on abortion.

But then we have these other two issues, specifically about the health of American people, of kids, and then transgender issues, of course, which we all know, and the Daily Wire has covered so well, pushing irreversible gender transition procedures on kids, allowing men and women's sports. This is, you know, things that Trump calls, quote-unquote, crazy. And he's really tapping into what the American people, feeling, you know, this is not normal. This is absolutely crazy. And I think that very phrasing has pushed people to the polls. I mean, I was talking to Terry Schilling earlier. He's the president of the American Principles Project. He told me they put $18 million behind ads telling the American

public how radical these transgender messaging is. And he said it worked. He said he got so many people to go out to the polls specifically on trans messaging. So I, for one, you know, as a culture reporter, I'm really interested in seeing the aftermath of this election and seeing the Democrats who learned their lesson and understood that they pushed too far. This is too radical for Americans. Americans do not want men in their daughter's bathrooms and they don't want kids undergoing this type of thing.

So those are two big issues that I'm told that they're driving people to the polls and I believe it. These are things that are top of the mind for Americans and I'm very excited to see, you know, like I was saying, the aftermath of this and to help understand what went in the way. to these decisions for Americans and how we can learn from that in the future. Mary Margaret, Fox is saying that Catholics may swing Michigan for Trump. Tell us why Catholics might not, why would Catholics not be open to a Kamala presidency?

Well, there's a lot of reasons Catholics wouldn't want Kamala for president. I mean, mainly her support for abortion. She supports unrestricted abortion, and what that means is abortion up until or after nine months. Democrats like to say that that's a fake thing, but unfortunately, there's many, many states the United States that allow abortion after birth, which of course is infanticide. It's not actually abortion. So, oh, we got some applause in the background here.

This is about the Georgia results. Fox is saying Trump has 50.9% compared to Kamala's 48.4%. Crowd really likes this. Very excited. By the way, according to Decision Descq. HQ, that's with 95% of the vote in, we have Donald Trump. carrying Arizona 50 to 48. Wait, why don't she just announce? Georgia? Georgia, yes.

And Mary Margaret, also from Decision Desk, we're now at 88% vote count in in Pennsylvania. Donald Trump's lead holding 50.8 to 48.3. This is just getting so, so exciting here. I mean, this is, I think we're going to see the end of the election tonight, which is not something that any of us expected, I don't think. I mean, I was planning on being here potentially until the end of the week, but we might be able to go home a way sooner than that.

It almost certainly won't happen because it would mean that Andrew Claibon was correct, and that is such a rarity. I can't imagine it's actually what happens. Mary Margaret, we're going to come back to you. No, please. Go ahead. Well, what you were saying about Harris in Michigan, you know, I just did want to point out, Gretchen Whitmer had a major faux pa there recently

where she did that very weird TikTok video, She pretended to be giving, it looks like she was giving the Eucharist to a podcaster who is being very sexual about it. I think a lot of people might say that that contributed to Michigan going, Michigan Catholics, not going for Kamala in this election. But that's another thing I guess we'll have to see. I'd love to see polling on that in the end because it was a very weird move. And I know something we talked about a lot of the Daily Wire. Mayor Margaret, thank you. We're going to come back to you if the president takes the stage.

And right now we're going to welcome back Ben Shapiro. What up, bitches? Yeah. You can't say that. It's too late. It's too late. It's been said. I can't unsay that which has been said.

Time doesn't work that way. It's too late. Can I say something about the trans? You've been proved right about people blaming America. The left is already coming on. There I did. That's funny. And it's good.

You know what? More. Cry harder. Yes. Yes. Blime us. Try harder. Cry harder right in here.

Just do it. Matt? The, she mentioned the trans thing. And I just wanted to follow up on that. Because it is a really interesting thing in this election. that's, you know, I noticed even watching football on Sundays that Trump was running ads, you know, during football on the trans issue, like hard. I mean, you'd see these ads three times in a football game, hitting, hitting Trump on trans surgeries for immigrants and for convicted criminals, specifically. Those are the two big ones, and then men and women's sports. And then there was the tagline at the end, you know, Kamalo is for they, them, Trump is for you, which I thought was really clever. Yes. So I do think that that issue has proved to be a major factor in this election. I think even more than I think, I think, you know, in the midterms two years ago, I expected the trans issue to be, you know, a bigger factor in the midterms. And it wasn't. I think it's almost like we were two years ahead.

I think there's something else that happened there, which was you were right. It would have been, except basically politics is a crazy off. Okay. And then. the craziest thing you can do is say that boys are girls or girls are boys. But it sort of offsets that when you raid the looney bin for your candidates. You know, if you run Herschel Walker in Georgia, it turns out that you can kind of offset some of the crazy by putting out your own crazy. This time they're in a bunch of great candidates. Everybody knows Donald Trump already. And so the issue could really kind of sing to the American voter. And it is the apotheosis of what the left wants to do. I mean, you made that so clear in your wonderful movie, what is a woman available right now at Daily Wire Plus? But because of that, I mean, I really do

think that that made a sea change in the way that people viewed the issue in the country. I really think the documentary had a lot to do with that. I do too. Worth pointing out the contrast between the party we just saw with Mary Margaret down at Mar-a-Lago and the Harris Party in D.C., the New York Times reporting, the Harris campaign just shut off the sound on the TVs at her watch party and replaced it with music after a guest on CNN said tonight, quote, felt more like 2016 than 2020. Yeah.

So no more audio. They're playing the piano. of me. They're playing the funeral march over there. The New York Times pointed out, there's still no sign of Kamala Harris at her rapidly thinning watch party at Howard University, her alma mater. She could be speaking to a nearly deserted campus if she does not appear soon. Wow. Well, yeah. World's smallest violin. It's really tragic. I mean, it's definitely true about what is a woman. And, you know, since I am perhaps the only person here who's not an employee of the Daily Wire, maybe it could make sense coming from me to say, I actually think that

am I racist could have significantly altered this election. It's impossible that what you did in that movie, which was simply to reveal what people think. I mean, you guys were talking earlier about when Trump says these crazy things, you kind of gradually learn he doesn't really mean them. And when the left says crazy things, they are really just coming right out with it. This race stuff that they've been pushing since Trump was in office the first time is so noxious to the American. sensibility, that just reminding people of that, it had kind of faded since 2020, I think. You know, he had sort of lost that, the immediacy of that when it was such a fervent issue. And bringing that back to the forum, reminding people that this is still what the Democrat

Party believes. They still think this country is fundamentally flawed in its conception and particularly along this issue, which is very sensitive for Americans. I think that that might have swung, you know, a significant number of voters. I mean, we can talk serious things, but I need to experience the pain of those who have failed this evening. And thus, joining us now from Harris headquarters in Washington, D.C., is Spencer Lindquist. So, Spencer, how has the mood been there in Washington, D.C.? He asked with a smile. Well, you know, right behind me just a moment ago, you would have seen people streaming out in waves.

You're not seeing that as much anymore because most people are already gone. Just a moment ago, the co-chair of the Kamala Harris campaign, The code chair of the campaign came out and said that Harris isn't going to be speaking tonight. He said that there's still some votes left to be counted. Of course, we're getting pretty high up there in a lot of the states with the reporting numbers. He said that she won't be speaking until tomorrow night. So there's already a lot of people who left, really when North Carolina was called, was a big inflection point.

The mood had already soured quite a bit by then. And after that, a lot of people started flooding out. And now we're left with barely anybody here. Well, I mean, I guess the real question is, will Beyonce be performing? Because, you know, that obvious has been a big draw at these campaign events. It certainly is not Kamala Harris. Probably people feel privileged that Kamala Harris actually didn't show up tonight, which would have even brought down the mood further.

So I guess nothing's happening there, right? Cedric Richmond, who's the campaign co-chair, as you point out, has now confirmed that she won't be speaking tonight. So what are people even doing there at this point? Playing tidily winks, planning a riot? Like, what's happening? You know, Beyonce wasn't here personally, but they were playing some Beyonce, they were playing some music.

And I will say there was a moment between the news broadcasting and between the music where there was just a moment of silence for a second, where there was a gap between those two programs. And I turned and looked at the crowd, dead silence. It was completely silent. So we went in, we talked to a few people, and everybody was just on pins and needles. You know, the people who were walking out, I think I was probably 0 for 8, maybe 0 for 10 on trying to get people to talk with me,

because the people who were leaving were in a very somber mood. to see it on their face and their body language. And inside, they really weren't feeling much better. So, Spencer, I hope that you're staying in a safe area of the city because I assume that we can expect riots in the near future. Obviously, Washington, D.C. was boarded up in preparation for Trump supporters rioting in a city where there are literally no Trump supporters. So has there been any, are they just so depressed that they don't even have the spirit

to do that which most motivates them in burned down buildings? You know, we'll see. We did see some buildings being boarded up earlier. That was yesterday. And we saw that really in downtown in the area surrounding the White House. So we're yet to see exactly what's going down in the downtown area. But of course, as the night goes on, and as we see exactly these results roll in, that might change. There might be some action downtown.

So if there is, of course, we'll be covering it. Well, Spencer, I look forward to seeing you next, dodging brickbats as well as horrifyingly peaceful fires over in Washington, D.C. DailyWire's footprint at the Harris headquarters was made possible by PDS debt, get a custom plan to become pds, to become debt free right now at pdsd.com slash daily wire. Oh, this has become such an enjoyable, even. I mean, truly, just really, really enjoyable in such a wide variety of ways. And there are new numbers, each more astonishing than the last, all so wondrous. It's like Christmas, and I'm Jewish.

And I've got to say, I'm looking at right now some of the latest, the latest numbers that are coming out, and they're just wonderful. 61% of the electorate said that American support for Israel was not strong enough or about right. So that makes perfect sense why Kamala Harris decided to pan her to Hamas is a two to one proposition and she took the one. But why did she lose? They asked. And it's true on so many of these proposals. Like she took the minority position on every single. Like the rule of politics is you find the things where it's like 80, 20 and where you're on the side of the 80. And then you focus on those issues. And she went out and found 20 and then got on the best.

back of that. I mean, it truly is an amazing thing. Meanwhile, as mentioned, the Harris co-chair has emerged. A man speaking for a woman, just like a sexist would, Cedricman, has emerged in order to explain that she, in fact, will not be emerging tonight to say anything. He, I guess, are they going to still swap in Joe Biden again, maybe? They've announced that her candidacy is over, and they are bringing back the corpse of old Joe to try this once again. Again, I don't think anyone expected that at this point, this early in the night. except for Andrew Claven, who's honestly,

his opinions can't be that taken that seriously since he's been giving predictions like Nostradamus since the time of Nostradamus. So it's very difficult to take all that particularly seriously. The only negative aspect of this whole evening is going to be this.

I'm concerned also that we don't... I'm concerned we don't have enough leftist tears tumblers on this team. I do feel like there's a serious lack... Production team. Get on it. We need clips. I need a steady supply of clips of the weeping and the gnashing of the teeth and the sackclosh as well as the ashes. That's what I'm here for. That's what our people are here for. Give the people what they want is the first rule of broadcasting. Get on it, production people. So the current vote count right now in the state of Wisconsin with 85% of the estimated vote total reported. Donald Trump has 1.468 million votes. Connell Harris, 1.348 million votes. He's up 100. 20,000 votes. He's expected to win that state by 1.8 percentage points. Take a look over at Pennsylvania. You now have 92% of the estimated vote total reported. Donald J. Trump, your 47th president of the United

States. I'm just going to say it. It's happening, folks. It's all happening. Donald J. Trump is at 3.3 million votes. Kamala Harris had 3.08 million votes. He's up 220,000 votes with 92% of the vote counted. Over in Michigan, things are even worse for Kamala Harris. Over in Michigan, they have 63% of the estimated vote total reported, and she is already down 220,000 votes in the state of Michigan. He's currently up over 6% on her in the state of Michigan, with 63% reporting in Michigan. He's expected to win by about 2.5%. Have you done the New York Times needle update? Would you like to hear it? I would really love. Oh, it's very likely. It's almost pinned. It's almost pinned. It's like over 95% chance of

victory or Donald Jamoglius Trump at this point in time. Declan. Declan. Declan. Declan. It is. It is wildly enjoyable. As you may have noticed, you've hit the punch drunk portion of this evening's program.

It is indeed midnight. It is the witching hour here at Daily Wire in Nashville. For those you on the East Coast and up at 1 a.m., enjoying yourself. Just enjoy it with. Just bask in the magic that is this evening because, indeed, there are very few nights like this. birth of your children, the massive suffering of your enemies, it's really, it's really quite, it's really quite grand. Speaking of the birth of your children, I texted my wife and I said, I think I legitimately might cry if Trump wins. We had our first son eight months ago and she said,

you did not cry when your son was born eight months ago. Well, he was born into an uncertain future. Also, to be fair, you worked harder with regard to this than you did with regard to your son being forced. You know what that is true. There is that. Well, we are now being joined from like, an election headquarters where people are having a good time. Cassie Akiva joining us from Dave McCormick's election party in Pennsylvania. Welcome back, Cassie. Are they preparing at this point? It's a little nervous about opening the champagne? What's going on over there? Thanks for having me right now. Dave McCormick just left the stage. He came on with his wife. They sort of declared victory. It wasn't exact. They were bragging about how they'll be in the Senate, but he said that the night's not over,

but he's extremely confident. They're celebrating here. The party does not seem to be winding down, but things are looking very good for him. He's up by 100,000 votes right now. They're extremely confident. Dave McCormick is an excellent candidate. I was proud to have campaigned with him last week in Pennsylvania. He's absolutely awesome. So, you know, the mood in the room, obviously, Cassie must be great. Everybody is looking at these results. I assume everybody's just going to stay there until somebody makes some sort of call, or is it just going to be an all-nighter for everybody? It might be an all-nighter for us tonight, but we're going to be here covering it, but, but McCormick, I don't think he's going to bed right now, but he's definitely having fun.

He's mingling with people. He's really good at that. We were on the campaign trail of him, and he's really having a good night. And it's worth mentioning. He was down 10 points in the polls at summer. Yes, he was. This is a huge victory for him. He really turned it around.

He said that he has the best campaign staff in the country. I'm starting to think he's right with that big victory there. I mean, it is worth pointing out here. It is the final results, but looking good. Cassie, as you point out, early on in this race, if you remember in Pennsylvania, Donald Trump kind of didn't know what to do with Kamala when she first was swapped in. And it was McCormick's campaign that was putting out excellent ads about Kamala Harris, like right off the top.

This has been an incredibly professional race from Dave McCormick again, demonstrating that when you run good candidates in swing states, you can indeed win. Cassie, you've dealt with Dave. He is a pro. Yeah, Dave has been really great with getting his family involved. We saw his wife talking, his brother. He has six daughters. So he really knows how to speak to.

women. I think that's really helped him here in Pennsylvania. He's been bringing out the crowds. He's really, he really campaigned super hard. And even his election night party here, it is full, it is rowdy. People are not leaving. It is getting late. And I think he's going to have a good day tomorrow as well. Well, Cassie Akiva, over at the McCormick headquarters in Pennsylvania. I'm sure we'll be back with you sometime this evening, but things are looking really great. Thanks for your hard work on the ground over there. Thanks so much. Well, folks, the center results continue to pour in. In Michigan, Michigan. Mike Rogers has opened up a five-point lead on Alyssa Slotkin in Michigan, 60% or so of the vote reporting.

Mike Rogers is currently up by 160,000 votes on Alyssa Slotkin in Michigan. Now, I mean, I got to say. And the AP finally called Georgia. I know. They're so far behind. See, the internet for the win gang. So at this point, I would like to point out the next swing state that no one's talking about. Okay. So Nevada is now reporting at this point. Nevada has, you know, a approximately how much of the vote in? 68% of the vote in. Donald Trump is currently up 5148 in Nevada. So Nevada has always been perceived as sort of a democratic machine state. Yeah. It'll be interesting to see if he flips Nevada.

If he flips Nevada, obviously that takes him, you know, my prediction minus New Hampshire, just going to put that out there. So that's, that is a good number. Am I wrong in thinking that if he now takes Michigan and Wisconsin, he doesn't need Pennsylvania? Yeah, if he takes any one of them. If he takes Wisconsin. If he takes Wisconsin, it's over. If he takes Michigan, it's over. He takes Pennsylvania, it's over. It's over. It's cooked. It's done. He's the 47th president of the United States. Can we? I'm not, I'm not, I have not been given the authority by the polling gods to declare victory in the election. I have Mayflower cigars. He won. He's the 47th president of the United States. There will be no, there will be no, there will be no, there will be no, I'm sorry. No, no, I'm informal. It's an informal call. It is a, it is a description of reality. The reality and let it sink in, just like Elon Musk said.

Let it sink in. I'm going to take the wrapper off my... I've taken the wrapper right now. Just to do that? Some preparatory. A little preparatory work here. You might, you could sniff it, you could smell. I'm going all the way to cutting it.

Oh, wow. Decision just says 91% is in in Pennsylvania. Yeah. No, it's actually, yeah. And New York Times has like 93% in. And his lead is indeed holding. By the way, hilariously enough, there is an outside shot. an outside shot. Then the next most competitive state after Nevada is, wait for it, wait for it,

wait for it, Minnesota. In Minnesota, that would be good. In Minnesota. Oh, that would be so great. Right. It's hilarious in, it's a hilarious in Minnesota. 65% of the vote is in. Kamala Harris, 1.07 million votes. Donald Trump, 1.02 million votes. He's only down 50,000 votes in Minnesota. The deliciousness of Donald Trump somehow sneaking Minnesota away from the magic of Tim Walls would just be so entertaining. It would be like running a pick six. It would almost be like running a six point. I once had a conversation with Ed Rollins. His wrists could not get any limper if that were to happen.

The face. I once had a conversation with Ed Rollins who ran Reagan 84. And he said, I said, wow, 49 states that you won. He said, well, we actually won Minnesota too, but we didn't want to look greedy, so we didn't sue about it. But he felt that they got it too. And if this woman decided to overlook Josh Shapiro because she didn't want to pick a Jew, and then she picks this guy in a bright blue state.

She should be totally fun with. Oh, man. If she loses that state? The one state Mondale one. It would just be so great. Wow. Joining us right now is our friend Harmeet Dillon from the Dylan from the Dylan Law Group.

Coming to us from Arizona. Harmeet, welcome back. Yeah, thanks for having me. So you've been watching these results come in just as we have. You have a slightly different set of responsibilities. Our responsibilities are to start eyeing the booze and cutting the cigars. And you still have to be geared up for any possible fights ahead. How are you feeling this evening?

Yeah, no, we feel good. We had attorneys still working in the war room, even as we speak right now. We're actually doing the job of picking up all the ballot returns and receipts, if you will, and closing down all the polling places tonight. And so work is still going on. But there's also a couple of bottles in the war room. And, you know, people have been toasting a little bit and enjoying that as well. So, yeah, we feel great about the effort on the ground here in Arizona and the results, both.

And so, you know, it really is a model. It's really exciting as a almost lifelong Republican volunteer to see how it wasn't like this two years ago. It was a pretty sad mood. And we have learned a lot of lessons since that time. And so we are teachable, so that's good news. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. And it's just like, you know, it's so. exciting to see some of these states that had been absolutely written off by the pundits.

And I just, you know, put on X a little while ago that it feels almost like a little naughty to be watching MSNBC right now. But it was a lot of the lead that I'm feeling. The Schadenfreude is just too much. I'm not used to feeling that way, you know, so, no, it's excellent. And so that said, I have a lot of friends with close races in California. We're not going to know the results of those for a while and Pennsylvania and, you And people are nervous.

I feel pretty good about Arizona for Trump, but there are a lot of co-s congressional and ledge races and Supreme Court and all that that aren't going to get decided yet. How long is it going to take us to hear results out of Arizona? Arizona, it can take two weeks from Aricopa County, which is by far the largest bulk of the ballots. But I think we'll have a pretty good idea of those final numbers in the coming days. I don't think it's going to take the full two weeks to get the contours of legislative races.

I think we are going to be as much as four points up for President Trump at the end of the day. And, you know, if we're that far ahead at the end of the day, it bodes well for some of the people who are a couple of points behind him. So fingers crossed on that. But that's why the work that our chair here in Arizona has done of having a super organized effort and having a closing down of every single polling place, we have the numbers of every single number of ballots voted early, turned in on election day, in every single one of these polling places. And then our number cruncher geeks sit down and do the math. And there's like some numbers missing.

We will go and hunt and track those down. And if we don't agree, there'll be litigation. So that's why there have been lawyers involved in the suffer from the beginning. And in Arizona, by the way, there's an automatic recount statute. So if there's any race within half a point of the number of voters who voted, there will be an automatic recount and a bunch of lawyers descending to do that. I suspect there will be some races in that margin. Why does Maricopa take so long when Florida takes two hours to do the entire state?

Well, states have different rules as to whether and how they tabulate ballots. And in Maricopa County as well, you have to understand that they've gone from the more traditional form of voting to a large number of early ballots. And that's been a kind of a difference over the years. The statute allows them this much time to do it. And the current recorder of Maricopa County is, you know, a fairly bitter person who's lost his election for a recorder in the summer. And so he doesn't, he'll just be mild. He does not, he's not a Trump supporter. And so he's in no hurry to declare victory for President Trump here.

You know, this guy is like, these guys are out there talking about bulletproof vest. They're snipers on the roof of the counting facility in Maricopa County. case, you know, we Trump supporters get out of hand, they can shoot us. So that's the mood here of the election officials. So, you know, those of them who don't like Trump are not thrilled tonight. So, you know, I think that is why. But if we hold on to the legislature here and eventually we get the governor's race back, you can change some of those things. And I think Congress can change some of these things. Congress could pass a law that conditions federal funding for elections on some basic minimum standards of counting, of cleaning up the

polls, of so many of these other things. So I think that we need to really have that conversation. Harmeet, thank you very much for spending some time with us tonight. Good luck to you over the next couple of weeks and making sure that Arizona comes together and the good work you're doing in all the other states as well. Meanwhile, I do have to point out this is a clip of Cedric Rick Richmond, the co-chair of Harris headquarters, telling everybody, go home, and just enjoy. Just enjoy a little bit and just enjoy it. Unbelievable. Can't hear it.

Guys, we need audio. Otherwise, I can't enjoy it. Can't hear it, guys. Well, okay, well, you can view it. The facial expressions are long. Yeah, the facial expressions are worthwhile. I am getting flashbacks to 2016. You remember at the Javitt Center, Hillary had a big election party.

And my favorite line from poor Mr. Podesta, he comes out, he's the head of her campaign, and he says, hey, thank you all so much for showing up for Hillary. She's always shown up for you. Except right now. Very moment. We're also watching people walk into the party down in West Palm Beach at Trump HQ. We just saw our friend and actor John Voight walk through the room. I think we saw Tucker Carlson walk into the room. So definitely the contingent that was at Mara Lago are all starting to make their way to the convention center

in anticipation of Donald Trump making some sort of appearance here, which seems to be more or less imminent. And as that happens, you're just also watching the electoral vote totals creep up. Right now, Decision DeskHQ has Donald Trump at 200. I'm getting a little blind this later. Is that 251 electoral votes? Yes.

to Kamala Harris is 213. It's getting very hard to imagine how Kamala could turn this. Well, meanwhile, that needle, that magical, magical needle that we've all enjoyed so much is over 95% chance of victory right now. Their electoral college estimate puts Donald Trump at 306 electoral votes. Nate Cohen says, another hour has gone by. The story is still the same. Trump favored in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin. This election is, well, it, I mean, they're treating it like. is done. Well, I love the New York Times. I take back everything that I ever said about them. It is quite, it is quite enjoyable for certain. That is for a certain. And do we have Brent Buchanan

available? Is that a thing that I was told that that was a thing that we were going to do? Yes. Are we right now? So Brent, Brent, hold on. Let's do this properly. So give me the M&Ms. I promised an M&M joke. Thank you. I'm going to need that. So, all right, Brent, I look to. Brent, I have a different candy now. And I'm going to, and I warned you, you're forewarned. I need an update from Pennsylvania as I glory in this treat. Okay, so really Mars Wrigley has failed us. Eminems are made in Hershey, Pennsylvania.

Done. Performing exactly like it did last time. They did not show up for Trump anymore than in 2020. Okay, hold on. That was not a good, can I try it, Ben? Can you do it? Can you pitch me on the M&M thing? Okay, so Michael Knowles. I'm meeting Eminem's right now. And they're delicious.

Please give me to Pennsylvania data that is linked in some way to this. Oh, sure. She's choking how? Everybody's joking now. The clock's run out. Time's up over. Blow. Snap back to reality.

Oh, there goes gravity. McCormick's going to win. That's basically my... Michael, that was truly... It's really almost worth the price of having paid you for 10 years. Absolutely not been. I'm going to go back to you since you have data. So what's the story in Pennsylvania?

Why are we waiting to declare it? How long do we have to stay up with this? What's the story? I have no clue why we're waiting. Right now, Philly, the county is at 86% in. It's underperforming by six points. Wow. Wow. And a flat turnout. So this goes back to what we've been talking about. Democrat counties are turning out at 2020 levels. Republican counties are turning out above 2020 levels. Here's one for you. A lot of this goes back to the fact, and we've been highlighting this, the youth vote is shrinking in the margin for Democrats. In our last national poll, we had Harris only winning the under 30 vote by eight points. If we'd have broken that down even younger, I guarantee Trump would have been in the lead,

if you would say 18 to 22. So Center County, Pennsylvania, which is the home of Pennsylvania State University, Biden went it by four in 2020. Trump is currently up by four. So I have absolutely no clue why we're all sitting here. I mean, it's fun. I get it. It's really fun. really think all these smart people, and then they also invited me. We can definitely win back the college-educated vote with what you all have talked about

tonight. But Pennsylvania, absolutely no clue why they have not called it. Okay, in Michigan, the numbers are looking stunningly good for President Trump this early. Now, it's a lot earlier in Michigan. They've only counted something like, I don't know, 67% of about two-thirds of the vote. But Trump's up like 6% in that vote right now. I assume it's going to come down. I assume it'll be a little bit closer. But what that does mean is that Mike Rogers, who is widely expected to be trailing that Senate raise, is running really strong against Alyssa Slotkin right now. And if you had to put money on it,

you say Republicans maybe get 55 Senate seats out of this thing. They could potentially. And it's one of the really interesting stories of this cycle where for pretty much all the Senate races, the Republican Senate candidate was polling four, five, six, seven points behind Donald Trump in the margin. And it really looks like as people went to go vote, they looked at the blue and the red jersey and said,

I have to pick one. And I'm going to pick the red jersey across the board, especially in these Rust Belt states. Dave Sunday, the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Pennsylvania, declared the winner there. I think that is a harbinger of what we're going to see also coming out of Pennsylvania. But if you look specifically at Michigan, so there's a county, Oakland County outside of Detroit, suburban area. Biden won it by 14. It is almost fully reported, and currently Harris is only up by 10. So not only are these returns in Michigan flat on turnout from these Democrat-leaning counties,

she's not even getting the margin that Biden was getting. So this kind of goes back to what we were talking about with the union vote and how she was definitely going to underperform Uncle Joe with the union vote. Another county that we talked about earlier, Eaton, which Biden won by, sorry, Biden won by one in 2020. Trump won it by five. And that was before we were like 80% reporting when we were talking about Eaton a couple hours ago.

It's fully reported, and it still is Trump plus five. Montcalm County, which I didn't know was the thing before tonight. Trump plus 38 in 2020, now Trump plus 39, and a 7% increase in turnout. So it keeps going back to the story. Democrats flat at 20, Republicans overperforming 20, and this is how we're getting the map of potentially a Trump sweep of every single swing state. Wow. It is amazing, amazing stuff. And I do have Mike and Ix on the table, so prepare yourself for that one, Brent. Next week comes to our election map coverage this evening is made possible by our sponsors over at Lumin. hack your metabolives with one simple device, understand your body.

More with Lumen and eat less of this, and I am right now. But you know what, screw it. Can we please take the... I want everybody at home to see what's happening right now at Trump HQ, where we've seen just about everyone, I believe I just saw RFK Jr. coming in. The crowd, even without audio, you can just tell the crowd is ecstatic. And we expect to hear from Donald Trump imminently. At any moment we could be going to Donald Trump coming out to make...

We don't know. By the way, Fox just called Pennsylvania for Trump. Let's go, baby. Let's go. Over. Over. We are, I mean, I think it's not impossible that you even get a concession phone call tonight. Okay, so Donald Trump's new name is the glass ceiling. Because Donald Trump has not just stopped one, but two women from becoming the first female president of the United States. And he now has the opportunity to do the funniest thing. ever, and at the very end of his presidency, declare himself female and become the first female

president of the United States. Even the New York Times has taken Pennsylvania to very likely Trump. Fox News just called it. It's over, gang. It's over. Fox News calls Pennsylvania. This election is done. It's toast. You can put it in the fridge. It's finished. Donald Trump. Donald Trump is your 47th president of the United States. The greatest political comeback in American history. Far none. No doubt about it. Un-effing believable. Unbelievable.

And to you, the American people, put the work in. Yes. The amount of work that people put into this election cycle, particularly me, but others. It doesn't work. It's just, it's incredible. Really? Like, the amount of work, I mean, the number of people that we all personally know who are like door knocking and going out and doing the hard work and making the connections,

putting aside whatever differences are out there. I mean, this is a huge victory. A huge victory against a woke left that needed to take it directly in the teeth. This is... Just huge. Just enormous. This is the greatest comeback without dispute in the history of American politics. Of course.

Of course. What exactly would be the common? How is he going to govern the country from prison, though? That's the thing. From Elba. St. Helen. There are actual constitutional crises looming because the left took... They took the joke so far.

They really took a... Jeremy Love it. That's right. They gave me a run for my, by the way. D.D.HQ has called the election. Donald Trump is your 47th president of the United States. There it is. Yes.

All right. So, how about you feeling? Feeling pretty good at here? Yes. I was actually my week, guys. I was planning on being here every day for like a week because I thought this was going to get dragged out and out and out. and Donald John Trump, despite the constant negative press, has co-fefeited. By what time?

By the way, Marsha Blackburn was 20 minutes off. That's right. She said we would be at 270 by midnight, central time. Well, the world is about to change in a much better way, in a much, much, much, much better way, from foreign policy, to domestic policy to the social fabric of the country. And now it's time for those that Donald John Trump has defeated to actually take seriously the possibility they got it all wrong. Wow. And they got it all wrong. And it's time

to read things some things about the American people and about the country they seem to say that they ought to represent. It is also time for me to have a drink. I think I've heard it. And Dennis Prager left early. No. Oh, boy. Now we have to have his drink.

I mean, if we must. You know, the nice thing about the color orange is that encompasses so many colors. It's not just white. It's not just black. It's not just brown. It's a blended family. It's like a rainbow coming together. That's like Obama said.

We're not red America. We're not white. We're all orange America. Today we're all orange. That's right. This company began about what, nine years ago, really our first election was eight years ago. And we were all sitting around celebrating Donald Trump's victory over the would-be first woman president. And nothing whatsoever has changed.

We're doing exactly the same thing. Wow. Oh, Ben, you're drinking. Yeah. I never do that. Dude, I mean, come on. It's been a long road. United States of America. The United States of America. And number 47. And number 47. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Ah. We're going to make our country better than it ever has been.

And I said that many people have told me that God spared my life for a reason. And that reason was to save our country. and to restore America to greatness. And now we are going to fulfill that mission together. We're going to fulfill that mission. The task before us will not be easy, but I will bring every ounce of energy spirit and fight that I have in my soul to the job

that you've entrusted to me. This is a great job. There's no job like this. This is the most important job in the world. Just as I did in my first term, we had a great first term, a great, great first term, I will govern by a simple motto, promises made, promises kept. We're going to keep our promises. Nothing will stop me from keeping my word to you, the people.

We will make America safe, strong, prosperous, powerful, and free again. And I'm asking every citizen all across our land to join me in this noble and righteous endeavor. That's what it is. It's time to put the divisions of the past four years behind us. It's time to unite. And we're going to try. We're going to try. We have to try.

And it's going to happen. Success will bring us together. I've seen that. I've seen that. I saw that in the first term. When we became more and more successful, people started coming together. Success is going to bring us together. And we are going to start.

By all putting America first, we have to put our country first for at least a period of time. We have to fix it. Because together we can truly make America great again for all Americans. So I want to just tell you what a great honor of this is. I want to thank you. I will not let you down. America's future will be bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer and stronger than it has ever been before. God bless you.

And God bless America. Thank you very much. Thank you very much. That's Donald Trump, the 47th president of the United States. Thanks for spending an election night with us. We'll see you next time.