The Munk Debates Podcast - Be it resolved: To realize humanity’s full potential, requires settling worlds beyond our own
Episode Date: October 5, 2021This past year has seen an onslaught of disruptions that call into question our ability to coexist with our environment. The devastating effects of climate change have arrived, and show no signs of ab...ating. Flash flooding has swept across China and Northern Europe. The Eastern United States has been inundated by hurricanes of historic size. Record breaking heat waves and wildfires have decimated large swaths of Western North America. And a global pandemic continues to rage on. All of this begs the question, must we look elsewhere in our universe to ensure the survival of humanity? A growing movement of astrophysicists, biologists, and billionaire space enthusiasts believes our salvation does indeed lie offplanet. Supporters of this movement argue that we are on the cusp of technology that puts this possibility within reach, and that exploration and settlement to deal with issues of environmental instability and scarcity is nothing new. Settling the reachable regions of our universe is merely an extension of this age-old trend. But detractors of the plans to settle space dismiss it as an immeasurably expensive fever dream. In their minds, it would be far more prudent to invest our time and resources into fixing the problems here on Earth, the only known planet to host life. Beyond the massive technological advancements required, there are simply far too many unknowns about how and where life originated to assume it can be simply transported through the cosmos. Arguing for the motion is Milan Cirkovic, Research Professor at the Astronomical Observatory of Belgrade and author of Global Catastrophic Risks. Arguing against the motion is Lord Martin Rees, Lord Martin Rees Astronomer Royal, former President of The Royal Society. He is the author of On the Future whose updated paperback edition is due out in October, and The End of Astronauts due out in March of 2022. Milan Cirkovic: “There are many human achievements which, almost by definition, could never be realized if humanity remains bound to Earth.” Lord Martin Rees: “It is a dangerous delusion to think that we could escape the Earth's problems by going to Mars." Sources: Engadget, Blue Origin, SpaceX, European Space Agency, World Government Summit and 60 Minutes Australia The host of the Munk Debates is Rudyard Griffiths - @rudyardg. Tweet your comments about this episode to @munkdebate or comment on our Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/munkdebates/ To sign up for a weekly email reminder for this podcast, send an email to podcast@munkdebates.com. To support civil and substantive debate on the big questions of the day, consider becoming a Munk Member at https://munkdebates.com/membership Members receive access to our 10+ year library of great debates in HD video, a free Munk Debates book, newsletter and ticketing privileges at our live events. This podcast is a project of the Munk Debates, a Canadian charitable organization dedicated to fostering civil and substantive public dialogue - https://munkdebates.com/ The Munk Debates podcast is produced by Antica, Canada's largest private audio production company - https://www.anticaproductions.com/ Executive Producer: Stuart Coxe, CEO Antica Productions Senior Producer: Jacob Lewis Editor: Kieran Lynch Associate Producer: Abhi RahejaBecome a Munk Donor ($50 annually) to get 72-hour advanced access to the full length editions of Friday Focus and Munk Dialogues. Go to www.munkdebates.com to sign up. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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There are options, and that's why we need to take this opportunity seriously.
How many you can prevent global warming unless China is part of the solution?
This is not normal male behavior. This is predatory behavior.
We don't know how bad this bug is. We don't know what this bug does.
All of that was thrown away in those eight minutes and 46 seconds, and that's the moment that I became an abolitionist.
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
Welcome to the Monk Debates. On every episode, we provide you with a civil and
and substantive debate on the big issue of the day to arm you, the listener, with enough
information to make up your own mind.
Today's debate, be it resolved to realize humanity's full potential requires settling
worlds beyond our own.
NASA's upcoming Artemis mission will mark a significant milestone in U.S. spaceflight history
when it lifts off in late 2024.
Not only will it be the first time that American astronauts have traveled further than
lower Earth orbit since the 1970.
and not only will it be the first opportunity for a female astronaut to step foot on the moon.
The Artemis mission will perform crucial groundwork needed for humanity to further explore
and potentially colonize our nearest celestial neighbor.
In order to make Mars work, we need kind of the next generation of rockets and spacecraft.
We think we've got something that will enable people to move to Mars for approximately half a million dollars.
An orderly and fair use of resources will produce wealth and make the moon Earth's eighth continent offering
major benefits to humanity and contributing to world peace.
The earth is finite.
If the world economy and population is to keep expanding, space is the only way to go.
Hello, I'm your moderator, Rudyard Griffith.
Well, this past year has seen an onslaught of disruptions that call into question our ability
to coexist with our natural environment.
Flash floods have swept across China and northern Europe.
The eastern United States has been inundated by hurricanes and floods.
well, the Western U.S. has suffered record forest fires and heat waves. All of this is happening as a global pandemic continues to rage on.
The seeming growing instability and threats plaguing planet Earth has some of us asking if we need to start looking for a plan B to ensure the survival of humanity.
A growing movement of astrophysicists, biologists, and space billionaires are doing just this, imagining that human beings.
imagining that humanity's long-term salvation lies off planet.
Supporters of space exploration argue that we are at the beginnings of a new stage of technological revolution and development
that puts the possibility of leaving this world for others tantalizingly within our reach.
They're really two fundamental paths.
History is going to bifurcate along two directions.
One path is we stay on Earth forever, and then there will be some eventual extinction event.
I don't have an immediate doomsday prophecy, but eventually history suggests there will be some doomsday event.
The alternative is to become a space-baring civilization and a multi-planet species,
which I hope you would agree that is the right way to go.
But detractors of the plans to settle space dismiss it as an immeasurably expensive.
and unattainable fever dream.
For critics of Going Galactic,
it would be far more prudent to invest
the scarce time and resources
that humanity currently has
into fixing the real and urgent problems here on Earth,
the only known terrestrial body that hosts life.
Beyond the massive technological achievements required,
there are simply too many unknowns
about how and where life originated
on this planet
and in the rest of the universe,
to assume that it can survive
an inherently cruel
and threatening solar system
and cosmos.
People are saying,
oh, this is like the era of the great explorers.
No, it's not.
Columbus could breathe the air when he got off his ship.
He could fix his ship
because the trees in the new world
were made out of wood,
just as they were in Europe.
On Mars, you can't do that.
On this installment of the monk debates,
we challenge the essence of these arguments by debating the motion, be it resolved, to realize
humanity's full potential requires settling worlds beyond our own. Arguing for the motion is
Malayan Cerkovich, research professor at the Astronomical Observatory Belgrade, an author of
global catastrophic risks. Arguing against the motion is Lord Martin Rees, astronomer Royal
and former president of the Royal Society.
He's the author of a number of internationally best-selling books,
including On the Future,
whose updated paperback edition is due out this October
and the end of astronauts due out March 2022.
Milan, Martin, welcome to the Monk Debates.
Hello.
Hello.
This is a terrific debate for us to be having today
a kind of nice breakaway from everything COVID-19 related.
Our debate motion, be it resolved to realize humankind's full potential requires
settling worlds beyond our own.
Martin, you're arguing against our debate resolution.
Let's hear your opening statement.
I think we've got to have semantics to start with, because the question is whether
we're talking about humankind or the future of intelligence.
As astronomers, we realize that the time lying ahead is probably longer than the 4 billion years
which has elapsed for Darwinian evolution.
And therefore, if we think far ahead to when the Earth dies, still more to when the cosmos dies,
we're talking about entities which are not human.
They're post-human and maybe as different from us as we are from slime mold.
So if we look that far ahead, then I'm prepared to accept that there's something in the resolution.
But if we really, by we mean humans, entities which are flesh and blood like us,
I strongly disagree with emotion.
The reason is that we are adapted to live on the earth
and the kind of places where colonies are envisaged,
like on Mars, for instance, are far less hospitable than the worst places on Earth.
So to live on Mars is worse than living on the ocean.
on the top of Everest or at the South Pole.
So it could take many, many thousands of years to terraform Mars to make it habitable.
And by that stage, I believe that genetic participation would have changed humans into a different species anyway.
So as long as humans are human, I genuinely don't believe that we will have any reason to migrate.
And I would go further and say that it is a dangerous delusion.
to think that we can escape the Earth's problems by going to Mars because dealing with climate change,
though a big challenge, is a real doddle compared to terraforming Mars.
So my view is that we are adapted to Earth. It's our only home.
I may agree that we ought to perhaps export heavy industry into space,
but the mass emigration from Earth to another planet, still less going beyond, is not for humans.
It may be for post-humans who may be electronic and certainly very different from us.
So for that reason, I think we as humans are destined to live out our lives and develop our civilizations here on Earth.
Thank you, Martin.
These are big questions, and I really look forward to unpacking all of them as we continue this debate and conversation.
Now an opportunity to hear the other side of our debate today, the resolution before us, be it resolved,
to realize humankind's full potential requires settling worlds beyond our own.
Malian, you're arguing in favor of our resolution today,
so I'm going to put a couple minutes on our proverbial debate clock
and turn the program over to you.
Thank you so much.
It is a great honor and great privilege to be here
and to participate in among debates,
which are rightly so prestigious and authoritative around the world.
world. I do believe that for human prosperity and for realizing humanity's full creative potential,
we really need space. We really need space resources and we really need a kind of space expansion.
First of all, humanity, as humans, we are migrating and expanding species. We have always been
since the very beginning of our revolution or our primate ancestors, we have always been. And
We originated in a very, very, very small area of our planet, the Old Wai Gorge in Tanzania,
which is like about 48 times 20 kilometers.
This is like maybe six millionths of the total terrestrial real estate, even if we only count land surface area.
So to impose an artificial cut-off in space would be completely arbitrary and unjustified to our migrations and expansion.
We are also species surviving in time.
And we actually, if we wish to achieve full human flourishing, we actually need more time than just a single cosmic habitat just our planet can provide.
This would be a kind of an artificial, temporal cutoff.
And of course, there is a whole bunch of arguments based on issues of risk and safety.
I won't go there as much right now, perhaps to some of our listeners' surprise,
because I actually think that the arguments going from global catastrophic risks and existential risks are indeed important,
but they are a little bit over-debated and over-discussed.
There are perfectly sound arguments which do not invoke risk in general,
but we need to acknowledge that we are safer when eggs are put in multiple baskets.
There are other evolutionary advantages in expanding apart from mere survival.
There are many worthy human achievements which almost by definition could never,
be realized if humanity remains bound to Earth.
So there is an expansion of future design space,
the space of what an intelligent species can achieve,
which simply require more resources or different kind of resources
than we have on Earth, which is nice planet, great planet,
beautiful planet, but it is a very, very, very, very small part of
the total real estate or the total number of habitats in the universe.
And of course, space settlement will be enormously beneficial for Earth itself, for the
terrestrial biosphere, and actually it will, in a sense, unburden the Earth from a part
of a burden human activity, especially human technological and industrial activity imposed on
our biosphere, which unfortunately has already brought about extinction of so many of our
fellow species. And with the prospect of serious space settlement and moving of at least some
parts of human industrial capacities, at least to low Earth orbit, if not on moon, Mars near
Earth asteroids, probably the main asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter.
with all that, we can actually go several steps toward making ourselves
a real wardens of Earth's biosphere and preservation of many things which will be in due
time if they are not already jeopardized by human civilization and human industrial activities.
Thank you, Milan.
Fascinating ideas here.
I'm now going to go to rebuttal.
This is a chance for both of you to react to what you've just heard from the other person.
Again, a couple minutes on the clock.
Let's keep these rebuttals focused and tight because we've got so much to discuss in our three-way conversation coming up.
So, Malin, over to you first for your rebuttal.
Many thanks to you and many thanks to Laudries.
The thing is that space settlement and space expansion does not mean, or at least does not necessarily mean, mass.
immigration or mass motion.
Remember, even in the
so-called age of European
discovery, back in
15th, 16th,
centuries,
we didn't really
encounter massive
migrations. There were some
movements, there were some
groups and
maybe religious movements
and religious sects who immigrated
en masse, but that was a very
small portion of
the total European population, the population of European states at that time. And yet,
important ideas and important technologies and important intellectual resources were exported
around the world. So we have on the rise of, say, countries like Canada or United States of America
or Australia, which would have been impossible without intellectual resources which were drawn
from Europe and not necessarily some mass migration.
It wasn't the case that, I don't know, like 40 or 50 or 80% of Great Britain's population
went to Canada and or to the United States.
No, it was a small percentage.
So actually, I expect things like that to occur in the future in the course of space
settlement.
There will be a small percentage of pioneers or people who are either
highly motivated or maybe desperate enough.
That was also the case during the age of discovery.
So they will create some new structures,
including new social and political structures elsewhere.
Thank you, Milan.
Okay, Martin, your opportunity now for a rebuttal
reacting to Milan's opening statement or what you've just heard now.
Well, two or three things, really,
because Belan's last point is really talking about colonialism
and the analogue there is if there are already aliens out there.
And if that's the case, we ought to be cautious without encroaching in their territory.
But the more important point I want to make is that we need to distinguish these different
time scales.
It's true that we have a civilization which has existed for a few millennia.
It has taken humans as a species several hundred millennia to emerge.
but it has taken four billion years for us to evolve from the primordial protozoa,
which started life by Darwinian selection.
As I said in my earlier statement, the Earth has at least as long ahead of it,
and the universe may be an infinite amount.
Moreover, this future evolution will be far faster than Darwinian selection.
It'll be what I like to call secular intelligent design.
where creatures may be flesh and blood to start with,
but maybe eventually organic or electronic,
they will design their progeny to adapt to these alien environments.
And when that happens, I can well imagine
that some of those progeny will be adapted to live elsewhere than the Earth,
maybe an empty space if they don't need gravity or an atmosphere.
So on that time scale, there may well be intelligence living far beyond the earth.
But they would not, I would say, be humans.
And for humans, the earth is going to be a sort of nature reservation, which is the one place to which they are adapted.
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Now, back to our program. Okay, my opportunity to join the conversation now and think of some questions that are top of mind for our audience.
And Malam, maybe to come to you first, what I'm sensing here from you and Martin is a disagreement over timelines and the periods within which the potential for space exploration, for humanities migration,
from planet Earth to the stars will occur in.
And I want to hear a little bit more from you about,
I assume, why you're more optimistic
that this is something that happens sooner rather than later.
It happens before maybe Martin's view
that it's really only a silicon-based life intelligence
that will own the stars possibly originating from this planet.
It's not going to be a biological human
in the sense that the three of us are today.
So why are you more optimistic about the,
immediate a term possibility of space exploration and human habitation beyond our planet.
And more importantly, why do you think that can happen?
Why isn't Martin right that this is something for the deep future, not the near present?
Well, Martin himself has mentioned that the things are accelerating.
So actually, we shouldn't really judge ourselves and our creative potentials by the evolutionary
timescales or some time scales which are very long, even historical timescales in the past when
things unfolded very slowly. In a sense, I would say that most of the reasons which actually
people are usually listing in opposition to space settlement are actually completely compatible
with space settlement. Now, at least from the point of view of what Martin mentioned,
about not necessarily colonialism in that negative sense of the world, we at least know that,
for instance, moon and near-ear-earth space and perhaps also main-belt asteroids are uninhabited.
There is no one there. There is no discussion about having intelligent, extraterrestrial,
anywhere near us or at least not that their interest will conflict with ours anywhere in the solar system.
And the thing, but that brings me to another argument which is actually relevant for this debate,
which is that if we do relinquish space expansion, as some skeptics, I don't mean that Martin is necessarily among them,
but some skeptics argue
we don't have
lacking any knowledge of some kind of
alien monk debates
going right now or some
Zeta reticul or whenever
we don't have any reason to believe
other extraterrestrial beings
will do the same.
So actually it would be even prudent
if we are thinking about ensuring
our long-term survival
that we at least set claim
to some cosmic real
estate and cosmic resources, at least in our vicinity.
And those resources are huge.
That is one thing which should motivate people from a purely commercial and purely
utilitarian perspective, because there are huge resources available in near-Earth space,
say in the inner solar system between sun and the main asteroid belt.
you have
basically a single
M-type asteroid
like 16 Psyche
which has more
more resources
in form of heavy metals
for a couple of orders
of magnitude than what
human civilization
has extracted so far from Earth
and what human
civilization has extracted so far
from Earth is a lot
there is a single mine at the north of
Sweden called Kirunavara, which actually extracts enough iron to build six Eiffel
towers per day, each day. So we are actually extracting lots of Earth resources and that is
again a moral or ecological or eco-ethical point. I was trying to make that it is to Earth's benefit
to reduce
our extraction of
the terrestrial resources
in favor of extracting
resources from outer space,
mainly from asteroids,
and perhaps from the moon.
There are huge reserves of
helium-3 on the moon,
which we hopefully will
one day use to obtain
fusion power, which is a solution.
And perhaps the only
a real, durable, permanent solution to humankind's problems we have with obtaining energy
in an ecologically sound and sustainable way.
Thank you, Milan.
Now, to come back to you, Martin, with, I think, a follow-up question building on Milan's
arguments so far in this debate, why isn't there a kind of risk mitigation strategy here
regarding space colonization.
You like Milan or somebody who's been thinking a lot
in trying to get humanity to think more about existential risk.
Why doesn't it just as a matter of a prudence and precaution
makes sense to try to take one of our eggs out of this so-called basket earth
and put that germ of humanity,
all of the knowledge, experience, everything that makes us unique as a species,
Somewhere else, outside of this one fragile biosphere that we know as Mother Earth.
I agree that we can make use of space to export heavy industry and perhaps to have a few people living away from the Earth
has a sort of insurance policy against the worst possible things that can happen to the Earth.
But so long as we remain as humans with the same physiology,
and the same attitudes. I don't think any of these habitats is going to be as attractive as living on the Earth.
People don't want to live at the South Pole. They won't want to live in a colony on Mars. I don't think
they'd want to live in one of these massive space colonies, which Bezos and O'Neill have been visaged.
So I think the Earth is the favoured habitat, and people will not want to live in large numbers in these other places.
And that's why I do think that it is going to be the post-humans who do this colonization.
But to turn again to timescales, I think that post-humans may exist within one millennium
by genetic modification and a few generations.
And it would take longer than that to terraform Mars and to build these vast colonies in space.
So I think humanity will have changed on a shorter time scale than Billy,
these large engineering constructions elsewhere in the solar system. And of course, if you can have
those big changes in a thousand years, then think of what could happen in a thousand million.
Indeed, we can't envisages at all. So we have no idea whatever of what things will be like
in the far future. Yeah, thank you, Martin. So this brings up a good question, Milan, which is
terraforming Mars or setting up a sustainable,
human habitation on the moon just seem to be challenges of an order so much greater than the rather
urgent challenge we face right now of stabilizing our own biosphere, of dealing with the effects
of runaway climate change. I mean, both as a problem to solve and in terms of the opportunity
costs, why isn't it just unfortunately kind of a realization that
we've kind of broken this planet, we have potentially the tools to fix it, that has to be job one.
And until we've done that, trying these, you know, Herculean tasks of bringing permanent human
habitation to extraterrestrial bodies be on our own, it seems foolhardy and maybe it seems
almost a bit negligent or a bit out of touch in terms of the real challenges that we face as a
species right now on this planet?
Well, I do think that these tasks are mutually entangled and actually that you cannot really
have one without another, even if you can somehow mask one so that it seems that you are not
caring about the other.
The most important source of our problems is the what can be called purpose.
permanent energy crisis.
If we wish to resolve humanity's energy consumption once for all,
we need to go to nuclear fusion, controlled thermonuclear fusion,
which is an idea which has been pursued for like five, six decades by now.
And ETER, which is the most advanced research facility ever created by humans,
is nowadays
they are just
finishing it in
France which will try
to recreate this process
by which our sun
and all other stars in the universe
obtain their energy
and one of the most
promising fuels
for fusion reactors is
as I mentioned
helium 3 which cannot be
found in any appreciable quality
on Earth but is
rather widespread in our cosmic environment.
So with other things, we are now exerting
industrial pressure on ecosystems
exactly because of the fact that our resources on Earth
are by definition limited.
Jared Diamond wrote this wonderful book,
collapse, which argues and shows
exactly explains why cultures
of the Easter Island,
of Mangareva
Island or other
isolated islands, which were
wonderful cultures, which created
impressive monuments, which
had impressive culture
and cultural achievements, but
they collapsed because
they were isolated,
because they were just limited
to resources available
on some small
portion of our
planet and completely
disregarded the rest of the globe.
Why is Earth itself any different from a hugely magnified Easter Island?
It is not. It is surrounded by other resources, and if we turn blind eye to cosmic resources
and to possibilities offered by cosmic resources, then in the end we will end up just
like Easter Island, like Pitcairn Island, like Mangareva Island and other isolated civilizations
which collapsed due to basically ecological ecosystem collapsed.
And that's the same, this is basically the same drive which probably, although we cannot
have any empirical proof of that, which motivated our ancestors to migrate from this small
minuscule part of East Africa to cover almost the entire land area of the globe.
So Martin is correct that people don't want to live in Antarctica or on Mount Everest.
But I wonder whether if we asked our ancestor, that guy who lived in what is present day, Tanzania,
like a couple of million years or even like half a million years ago,
whether he would like to live in Tibet or in Japan or in, I don't know, Amazon or in Alaska or in Canada, for that matter,
I am not sure that he would be looking forward to that prospect.
We think that our tastes, our perspectives, our culture shapes everything,
and we think that we are the best representatives of human beings.
as a whole, but we are probably not.
And so actually people were willing to endure moving to some very unpleasant for them places,
in the end, for various reasons, but this is what brought us today where we are.
So Martin, Milan brings up this interesting idea now and earlier in this debate,
that there's just something about our spirit, our culture, as a, as a, as a,
species. We are driven to explore. So an argument almost of inevitability here. Because we can, we will.
So I'm trying to understand, Martin, if your pessimism about the colonization of other worlds,
it all has to do with technology, is it more of a cultural argument? Where do you come down
in terms of what are going to be the big breaks on what Malin rightly points out is
historically, looking back over centuries, a relentless drive towards conquest and exploration
that seems to be hardwired kind of into our collective psyche.
Well, I think it was true to some extent, but I'd like to first make the point that I think
Milan is making too much fuss about the problems of energy, because rather than having
a strip mine the moon and with great difficulty extract the less than one part in a million
of helium three, we can surely depend on solar energy.
and maybe getting that from space is a good use of space technology with robotic fabricators.
But as regards the urge to explore, I certainly agree with that, and I would predict that by the end of a century,
there will be a group of intrepid pioneers living on Mars, and we should cheer them on.
We should cheer them on, because they will be the precursors of the post-humans.
And this is why we are comfortably adapted to the Earth.
so we don't want to modify ourselves and there will be, I hope,
regulations on the use of bio and cyborg techniques.
Whereas those guys on Mars will be away from the regulators
and moreover, since they're ill-adapted to Mars,
they have a great incentive to modify themselves.
So that's why I quickly think that they will become a different species.
And that different species will have mentalities we can't predict
even if they're flesh in blood.
And of course, if they are near immortal electronic entities, then of course they will perhaps not want to be on a planet at all.
And they won't be daunted by interstellar voyages.
So that would be quite different.
But I think if we think about entities whose motives we can understand, then I still think that the Earth is the only place where they would prefer to live.
And just one other point that we should think that these post-humans in the far future,
they will be not evolved by Darwinian selection.
They'll be evolving by design, as I said.
And whereas Darwinian selection favours intelligence but also aggression,
intelligence design may not.
And for that reason, these superhuman brains
maybe just living conflict of lives.
And this is my answer to the Fermi paradox.
They may be out there thinking deep thoughts,
having no need to expand and out there.
And that may be the very far future for intelligence.
But again, that's very different from humans.
They won't have human emotions or human attitudes.
And of course, whether they have consciousness
and self-awareness in the way that flesh and blood does
is an issue which philosophers are still debating.
Fascinating.
I mean, Malin, do you have any objection to the idea that it isn't humanity, as we know it?
I mean, why be hung up on the idea that the civilization that we create beyond our world
has to look like the one on our world and that those intelligent entities have to be, in a sense,
proximate somehow to our current biology and genetic composition?
I mean, in other words, why does space exploration have to be a human activity?
Why isn't Martin right that this is something best left to post-humans to another phase of our existence?
I would agree with Martin on that.
I don't have any problem with that.
The issue is that the only thing is that I don't really regard those post-humans as really,
even if they are in some formal sense, separate species, I would still regard them as brothers, if you wish.
I still think that we need to adopt morality, which is as inclusive as possible.
And I think that we have a whole bunch of ethical arguments actually in favor of that and of space settlement in general.
if one subscribes to a kind of life-centric or even if you wish mind-centric or psychocentric ethics,
which actually puts some large and intrinsic moral value on life and mind,
that immediately leads one to conclude that we have moral duty to spread life and mind over non-living matter.
And I wish to put emphasis on minds exactly because that is what after all was the beginning of
astronautics and the beginning of space era with Konstantin Zilkovsky, who famously stated that the earth is the cradle of mind,
but one cannot live in a cradle forever.
So actually, if you feel kind of brotherhood with all minds and in a wider sense with all living creatures,
then in that sense you have even ethical and moral duty and ethical incentive to go around and spread life and mind throughout the universe.
So thus enriching the universe in real moral values.
So our debate today for listeners joining us, it's been be it resolved to realize humankind's full potential requires settling worlds beyond our own.
Let's gentlemen move to closing statements.
Martin, this is your opportunity to kind of sum up the key points that you'd like to leave our listeners with and also maybe underline any of the particular disagreements that have surfaced in this debate and your interpretation of them.
Thank you very much. I think perhaps the difference in our views is partly that we are thinking about different timescales.
I think in the next 50 or 100 years, we may have small communities living away from the earth.
under conditions of explorers in the past.
But if we think very far ahead and we bear in mind that future evolution is going to be much,
much faster than the evolution that led to us by Darwinian selection and also may not favor
aggression, then we've got no idea what it would be like.
And although up to a point we should have a fellow feeling with creatures who aren't very like us,
It's stretching things a long way to say that an amoeba or slime mold should have a fellow feeling with us.
And the time it's going to take these things as different from us as we are from slime mold is going to be less than a four billion years it took us to evolve.
Because it will happen on a directed rather than random evolutionary path.
So I think we've got to be completely open-minded about what happened.
in the far future, I would say beyond a few tens of thousands of years.
But up to that time, I think we've got to cherish our earth as the favoured home for humans
unless they are drastically modified by cyborg or genetic technology.
And we may benefit by exploiting space for some resources, but that can be done by robots.
I don't think humans will ever want to go in large numbers beyond the moon at the furthest.
And so I remain earth-oriented so long as I remain a human, although I accept that we are near the beginning than the end of the marvelous process of emerging complexity in the universe.
and we shouldn't attempt to second-guess or constrain the ethical views of these far-future species,
which will have mental capacities far beyond what we can even conceive.
Thank you, Martin. Excellent summing up.
Well, we're going to give you, Milan, the last word in our debate today,
be it resolved to realize humankind's full potential requires settling worlds beyond our own.
Wrap up this debate for us.
Many thanks.
I would encourage any of our listeners to take up Martin's book, which is to own the future.
I agree that in one sense, space exploration and space settlement will lead us into post-human future,
but I don't see anything particularly dangerous, risky or repulsive in it in general.
So I tend also to agree with Martin that future non-human intelligence emerging through non-Darvinian evolutionary processes will be rather more benign and less aggressive and less burdened by this evolutionary baggage of our past.
So in one way or another, utilization of space resources, our exploration of space and space settlement in one way or another, it needs.
not be a kind of
massive movement,
massive immigration,
mass migration, this is nonsense.
It will always be
a kind of
slow, expanding
process of
continuous
improvement and continuous
self-evolution
and self-improvement, which will lead us
into post-human era
and I do think we should
cheer for the post-human era.
Here, here for post-humans.
Thank you, Martin Milan, for a terrific far-reaching debate.
I feel my mind has been expanded, and I've just learned so much listening to you both.
I feel this is the start of an intellectual curiosity for me.
So we will have your books and a number of other suggested readings up on our website for this episode of the Monk Debates podcast.
And again, on behalf of the Monk Debates membership, Martin Malan,
thank you so much for coming on the program.
Thank you very much.
Thank you as well.
It was a great experience.
And I do hope there will be more debates, more discussions on those pressing issues in the near future.
While that wraps up today's debate, I want to thank our participants,
Milan and Martin, for a fabulous debate.
So many interesting ideas to unpack and think about.
Again, greatly appreciated on behalf of the last.
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