The Opinions - How Are the Democrats’ Midterm Dreams Shaping Up?
Episode Date: August 15, 2026With the midterm elections less than three months away, surprising primary results and polling misses are raising questions about the direction of American politics. Are Democrats moving left or becom...ing more focused on winning? Are both parties growing more extreme? The conservative pollster and Opinion contributing writer Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the Opinion contributors E.J. Dionne Jr. and Robert Siegel to discuss the week in politics. Thoughts? Email us at theopinions@nytimes.com. This episode of “The Opinions” was produced by Rochelle Widdowson. It was edited by Kaari Pitkin. Mixing by Daniel Ramirez. Video editing by Arpita Aneja. The postproduction manager is Mike Puretz. Cinematography by Marina King, Nathan Taylor and Valeria Verastegui. Original music by Carole Sabouraud. Fact-checking by Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta and Kristina Samulewski. The director of Opinion Video is Jonah M. Kessel. The deputy director of Opinion Shows is Alison Bruzek. The director of Opinion Shows is Annie-Rose Strasser. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
What's wrong with the polls?
Is it a feature of the primary season?
I just want to say I didn't poll in either of these races,
so I don't have, like, raw data sets to sift through.
I bet you're really happy about that.
Hi, I'm Robert Siegel, and this is a conversation about politics
with New York Times Opinion contributing writer E.J. Dion,
who's our regular participant, hello, E.J.
Great to be with you.
And returning to this conversation,
opinion-contributing writer Kristen Soltus Anderson,
who is also a conservative pollster.
Welcome back. It's great to see you.
Thank you for having me.
Great to have you here.
And we have much to talk about, starting in the Upper Midwest,
where Democrats picked a moderate to run for governor of Wisconsin,
and Minnesotans chose a progressive to run for the U.S. Senate.
Put those together with last week's Michigan primary, and E.J., what do you see?
Well, what you don't have, I think, is a party lurching to the far left,
as some would have it, nor I think you have a party that's engaged in a French Revolution-style
civil war. What you do have is a broadly progressive party in the big sense of the word progressive,
which is why Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan, a progressive soundly defeated a moderate
Angie Craig, a member of Congress in Minnesota, and why Dr. Abdul-El-Said won a narrow
victory over Haley Stevens, a member of Congress, a moderate in Michigan.
When you put these together, I think what you see is that Democrats are, broadly speaking,
a moderate party that wants occasionally to express its view that it wants a tougher
candidates, people who will be tougher on the status quo, tougher on the past, tougher
on Trump. But you also have a party that desperately wants to win in the fall. And that's why
Wisconsin was so, so interesting because Francesco Hong, the progressive candidate, a member of DSA,
was ahead in the polls all the way through, but she was ahead because the rest of the Democratic
field was totally scattered.
In a turn of events that was really very much like the 2020 presidential primary, when
Democrats realized that whatever doubts they had, Joe Biden, the moderate, was the campaign.
candidate who could win the election against Trump, the more moderate candidate.
And they rallied to him over a weekend. And David Crowley dropped out of the race, came back in,
and voters over a period of about a week realized that if they nominated Francesca Hong,
she would probably lose the election. She did not help her cause when it, it did not help
her cause when it came out that she had called for canceling Thanksgiving. And I think that
became a kind of rallying cry in an odd way for Democrats who said, look, she may be a nice person.
We may be pretty progressive, but we really need to win here.
And I think the reassertion of the Democratic primary elector's desire to win is something that we
really should pay attention to when we look back at all of these primaries, because mostly
the Democrats nominated electable candidates.
Kristen, you've looked at these primary results, and I think I'm paraphrasing you.
that you say the Democrats haven't escaped or missed their Tea Party moment, but it has been
delayed.
Yes.
What do you mean by then?
Yes.
The tea is still brewing, but the party invitations have not gone out quite yet.
The Democratic Party right now is having a moment where its voter base wants the party to be
more combative.
It wants the party to fight harder.
They are not interested in the establishment or the status quo.
And there are a handful of issues on which they have moved.
a bit more to the left. They are not afraid of the word socialism. They are more openly saying,
we want things like Medicare for all. And candidates who embrace those positions are able to get through
Democratic primaries. And the size of the portion of the party that is what I would consider the
loyal left, the progressive on cultural as well as economic issues, in my data has been growing
over the last few years. However, what Democrats have working in their favor is that the median Democratic
primary voter is not a 25-year-old campus activist. It is a 55-year-old African-American woman who is
quite eager to see the government do more to help, you know, the working class, but is not
necessarily on board with canceling Thanksgiving or the more unusual out-there positions that
some in the Democratic activist base would like to seem more prevalent throughout the party.
And so Democrats have in some ways been saved by their own voters.
right now. I think the bigger challenge, though, is what happens once Democrats have what is likely
to be a very good 2026 midterm, what happens once you have a Speaker Hakeem Jeffries, if that's
where this ends up, and you then have fights over how do you keep the government open? Those are the
sorts of things that led to the Republican Tea Party movement really accelerating and gaining steam,
where these fights about what do you do when you actually have to govern? And the realities of governing
are much more challenging than the sorts of things you can say in a campaign speech on a stump about we're going to fight.
See, and I just want to say the problem, I think, with the Tea Party metaphor for what's happening in Democratic Party is twofold.
One, first of all, Democrats have been arguing with each other about the direction of their party for a long, long time.
They split up over the Vietnam War in 1968.
Secondly, there is a big difference between, I think, the progressive Democrats broadly taken, not just
DSA, which actually a small part of the broader progressive movement, Democrats in the Tea Party.
Progressive Democrats really want to get stuff done. And when you had the Joe, when Joe Biden was in
power, they didn't like all the concessions they had to make to Joe Manchin and Kirsten Cinema to get
some good stuff from their point of view through, like the spending for green energy or infrastructure
or the Chips and Science Act. They didn't like all those concessions, but they voted for the bill.
they want to govern. And I wrote a column this week that argued that the left and center actually
can learn from each other and in a way are learning from each other. Rank and file moderate
Democrats are running with much tougher messages on the economy, on inequality, on monopoly,
on oligarchy, on kleptocracy. They are being much tougher and more populous than they were
in the past, partly because the left of the party has made some progress, but partly because
that's where a lot of voters are right now. So I don't think it goes to that. I don't think those
invitations will ever go out in quite the same way. We've been talking about Democrats.
We shouldn't ignore the fact that the Republican nominee for governor of Wisconsin, Congressman Tom
Tiffany, is a hardline election denier who campaigned against what he calls big government socialism.
Kristen, are both parties moving to the extremes right now?
I think it's important to define extremes. If you are thinking about extremes in terms of adherence to norms, I think the answer is probably yes on that front, that for a lot of Republicans, they are much more willing to abide behavior that would have been condemned in the past. I think on the Democratic side as well, this growing, let's pack the court, let's get rid of the filibuster, that there is just more of an interest in, I'd rather just see my side.
win norms be damned. I think Francesco Hong said, let's get rid of the Senate. Yes, which I would,
I would suggest, is a quite extreme position, although granted she did not win her primary.
But there's also the question of ideological extremism, which I think exists on a separate
axis from this more temperamental or norms-based approach. And on that rating, I don't actually
think Republicans have become more ideologically extreme. In the Trump era, it's actually
actually been unusual. He has gotten Republicans to agree to things that are far less pro-free market,
laissez-faire capitalist. I mean, the government now, don't we own pieces of companies?
You've had tariffs. He's the socialist president. And so that the, I think, the ideological assertion
that Republicans have moved to the right, I think falls apart upon contact with what the actual Trump
agenda has looked at. You agree with that, AJ? Not at all. I do think that these are A,
There is polarization in America, but it's asymmetric.
But I want to make a point about this whole conversation we like to have on ideology.
David Crowley, the man who won the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin for governor.
He's a county executive, a very practical guy.
And he gave a wonderful speech after he won the primary.
And basically he said, you know, most voters aren't thinking about this left versus right, progressive,
versus centrist, inside or outsider.
They're thinking about health care.
They're thinking about housing.
They're thinking about prices.
They're thinking about crime.
And so I do think some of what we talk about here is imposed from the outside by analysts and people involved in these fights that have very little to do with how voters, most voters, not all voters.
There are ideological voters, but most voters perceive what the election is actually about.
And that's why I think by the time you get to Labor Day, the disqual day, the disqualification.
Incidence of the summer for Democrats is likely to give way, and if they're going to win the election, it better give way, to more concrete conversations about the problems the country confronts and the country's deep dissatisfaction with President Trump.
I'd like to hear from both of you one measure, or maybe there are two measures of how extreme Democrats are.
have Democrats accepted the notion that the security at the southern border is a success and one that they would continue to pursue rather than stand for an open border?
And second, is the Democratic Party now the party of Medicare for all, of single-payer health insurance?
Those are good questions.
First, the Democrats, most Democrats have never been for an open border.
and what's happening at the southern border now actually started under President Biden.
I think the problem is he started too late.
He didn't respond to the anger over what looked like practically an open border.
I think what you're seeing now is a much better chance that Democrats will say,
look, we want border security too, but we do not want this kind of, you know, lawless behavior.
toward immigrants and toward people who are legally here and towards citizens.
And so I think that the net result of the loss of the 2024 election to Trump on the border
and Trump's lawlessness has opened up real room in the political system for something like
a comprehensive solution immigration because we know there are deep problems with this system.
We also know that the United States needs immigrants.
but we want it done lawfully.
And I think that what you're going to see in the Democratic Party is an effort to come up with practical ways of solving the immigration problem.
And I think you're hearing that on the campaign trail.
I think this is an issue that really is going to divide Democrats in a serious way, especially if they have the opportunity to try to govern by taking one or both chambers of Congress.
Just earlier this week, you know, with Peggy Flanagan winning for her primary in Minnesota.
You know, Minnesota is obviously a state where the question of ICE's behavior on the ground is very, very fresh, very emotional, very tangible.
But it's the sort of thing where, you know, I saw an interview where she was pressed on, do you support abolishing ice?
And she kind of hedged and said, I want to rip ice apart.
But couldn't get pinned down on, do you want to get rid of this agency or do you simply want to reform it significantly?
And I think that's going to be one of those questions where you do have a Democratic base that is.
enraged about what they are seeing the Trump administration do, but it's running counter to the
electoral realities that voters do not love what they are seeing ICE doing, but do believe we need
to enforce our immigration laws. And I think it's one of those issues that Republicans are pretty
united around, but I think this is one that will divide the Democratic base much more significantly.
The problem with the Republicans is, with some exceptions, they haven't spoken up against what
are true outrageous murders, literally murders, in the enforcement.
of immigration. And what's ironic is that Trump has made abolish ICE a much more moderate
position than it was two years ago, because when you say abolish ICE now, people don't hear,
I want to get rid of immigration enforcement. They hear, we can't have an agency that behaves like
this. So again, I don't see that as the divide that it might have been even two years ago.
one of the things that we've been doing at my polling firm is we've been tracking asking Americans if we had five parties instead of just two.
And we had something that looked a little bit more like a far right party over in Europe that you've seen, whether it's the AFD or, you know, the Reform Party in the UK, how many voters would gravitate toward that party versus something that's a little more conventional conservative center right?
And for a few years during the Biden presidency, we saw interest in that sort of further right anti-immigration, seal the border America.
First-type party rising. And as soon as 2025 comes along, the air starts getting let out of the
balloon. And in some ways, it's as though the success at sealing the southern border and getting
immigration under control has relieved the demand side for that kind of a politics and that kind of party.
And so in my data, we see when you force Americans to make a choice, which would you rather
prioritize border security or doing something to promote safe but legal immigration, the pendulum has not swung all
the way back to the left on this issue. America still remains leaning to the right, but it's not
nearly as stark as it was just two years ago. No, I agree with a lot of that. But I think that with the
Republican Party under control of Trump and the Republican Senate and House being so reluctant to take
him on, it is taking on more of the character of a European far right party. I was in Denmark a
couple years ago in this wonderful academic who studies and loves America said Trump has actually
made American politics more European, which is not what you think the guy who promises
to make America great again, would like somebody saying. And yet, I think that's true.
Well, we do have Democratic socialism on the rise as well, DJ. So.
Okay. Well, let's move on. Kristen, this is a great week for us. Any week would be a great
week for us to have you with us, but especially now because polling has been kind of strange
in August. That's an understatement.
Just before the election, Abdul-Sal-Sayed had anywhere from about 10 to 19 points as a lead in the Michigan polls.
In fact, his opponent, the more centrist representative Haley Stevens, came within 1% of him.
In Wisconsin, the Democratic Socialist Francesca Hong was leading in polling around 20 points ahead of David Crowley,
and he eked out a win by just under half a percent.
What's wrong with the polls?
Is it a feature of the primary season?
How do you explain it?
So there are two features that I think stick out to me when I look at these data.
And I just want to say I didn't poll in either of these races so I don't have like raw data sets to sift through.
I bet you're really happy about that.
But I understand that the polling industry as a whole, you know, an attack on one is an attack on all.
I need to understand what went wrong there so that my polls don't.
make those same mistakes. Something that's fascinating in these results is actually both
Abdul al-Sayed and Francesca Hong, the share of the ballot that they ultimately received. It's actually
pretty close to what the polls showed. And I don't say that as like a defense because there's no
half credit. Oh, you got it half right. But what I think it does indicate is that, for instance,
in the Wisconsin governor's race, you had an awful lot of voters in high-quality polls like the
Marquette University poll saying, we're undisputed.
You have a third of your sample saying you're undecided.
There's a lot of different ways that this can go.
And so I feel like in some ways the vibes got out ahead of the data that if you have polls showing that such a substantial portion of the electorate is undecided, in the end, it seems that all of them broke for Crowley.
And that makes a pollster's job very hard.
So if you have a quarter of the people polled undecided and yet one of the other candidates has a 15 or 20,
point lead over the other, would that be publicized as too close to call?
I wouldn't call it too close to call. I mean, I certainly think pollsters do not come out of
this looking great, but I think that there's something interesting there in the, how much
certainty can you have when you see a number that has that many undecides in it? And are there
things that pollsters ought to be doing to better understand those undecided? I mean, I can give
you an example from my own firm of where we got a race half right, half wrong. In the Virginia
governor's race last November. We did a poll in that state, found Abigail Spanberger was going to win
and by a large margin. We were one of the closest polls in that race. Yeah, yeah, yeah, give yourself a gold star.
But further down ballot, the very contentious race for Attorney General, where the Democratic candidate
had quite a lot of baggage, Republicans thought, hey, maybe Jason Miaris can pull this off. We got that
race wrong because all of the undecideds in our survey wound up breaking for Jones. And there was very
little separation between the governor's race and the AG race. Yes, from.
for the Democrat. And so, you know, even a pollster like me who we're trying our hardest to get it
right when there's lots of voters who say they're in decided, things can go sideways.
First of all-fashioned solidarity that everybody has to stand together. I agree with a lot of what
you said, actually. I think that one of the important things about Wisconsin is how wild that
race was. People dropping in coming out, you know, Crowley dropped out of the race and kind of had
be dragged back into the race by Tony Evers, the governor, Mandela Barnes, who was a popular figure
in large parts of the party, he ended up dropping out of the race. So it was like polling in a maelstrom.
And the key thing, as Kristen said, is that what you clearly had were a whole lot of voters
looking around to say, if I don't vote for her, whom do I vote for, and they couldn't figure it
out until the end when it really did come down more or less to a two-way race.
In Michigan, I also think that Haley Stevens found her voice in the last week of the
campaign to some degree when people started making fun of the way she talked.
And she said, you know, in doing this, they're making fun of Michigan.
You know, the cool kids online, which I thought was a great attack for somebody in her position.
Some of them might be the coastal elites making fun of how I talk.
But let's be real.
They're making fun of Michigan.
They're thinking they're better than us.
And what they don't know is I am your voice.
Having said all that, I think there is still, there are questions posters want to ask about whether the candidate who looks like they have momentum,
and has more organization, as both Hong did and El Saeed did,
they have people more eager to answer polls than the people who are undecided or lukewarm.
I think that's one question.
I think the age split in polls is a real complexity now,
because historically older people were more likely to vote than younger people.
You have something going on now where, A, the electorate is getting younger on the whole.
and B, there is a lot of energy in the younger part of the electorate.
So I think there are some real systematic problems,
but there were some very particular things about these races
that led to this blow-up.
Some people claim that the polls are busted as a predictive tool.
What really works is the predictions market,
where I guess the smart money is deemed to be smarter than the pollsters.
Does this make any sense to you?
So prediction markets, I think, are interesting.
I don't think of them as a replacement of polls.
I see them as actually downstream of polls, and that's partly why the prediction markets were so high on the likelihood that Abdul El-Sayed was going to win, which he ultimately did, but it was significantly closer than him having an 80-90 percent chance to win would indicate.
Francesca Hong, I mean, on election night, these prediction markets just ping-ponged around like crazy with every little vote dump in a way that just didn't seem tethered to reality or rationality.
And so I'm not anti-pred prediction market for this sort of thing, because,
Because as you noted, EJ, a poll is a snapshot in time.
A poll tells you what things are now.
But a prediction market can say, hey, actually, I have seen some other sign that I think
means this candidate has momentum that's not being picked up.
And I'm going to put my money where my mouth is.
I think that's interesting.
But ultimately, you don't want to have the vibes overtake the data, even if the data
itself is flawed.
And in many ways, these prediction markets are just, you know, it's garbage in,
garbage out, if the polls people are using to make their bets or trades or whatever we're calling
it are based on data that is systematically underrepresenting working class voters.
Do you check them?
Do you check the prediction markets?
I don't very often.
I will in a situation where polling is actually very hard to come by because you're looking
for additional signals, but it's something where I look at it with a very significant
grain of salt. Because when a poll comes out, I know who did that poll. I know what their incentives
are. I know what their methodology is. And I can decide for myself if I think that that's credible or not.
On a prediction market, I don't know who's on which side of the trade or what their incentives are.
Policy intervention. I think prediction markets should be regulated like gambling. And let's just
face up to that. But I think the prediction markets depend significantly on the polling. And then
people mix their own secret sauce in with how they bet their money. And also, I think prediction
markets reflect the biases of people involved in them and that people tend to bet the team they
want to win. And I don't think we've figured out the impact of that. And a whole lot of smart
people ruminating on all the data available can produce some sensible predictions. But I don't
know what the prediction markets would do without polls. And I think that's the question that,
you know, defenders of the prediction markets have to answer. Right. Well, let's turn to a couple of
big newsmakers. In a moment, we'll ask you what you make of what Alexander Ocasio-Cortez is up to.
But first, what President Trump is up to. The economic metrics are not so great. His efforts to
get out of the war with Iran is not going swimmingly. And he doesn't seem to be overly preoccupied
in policymaking with those problems. What do you think he is focused on right now?
He seems to be very focused on trying to convince America that he has been a better president
than they think he has been. If we're not going to use the 2010 Tea Party election analogy
anymore than I think 2006 is actually a very instructive election when I think about what's happening
politically right now. You had George W. Bush who had been reelected, came in, said I have a lot of
political capital. I'm going to do things my way. We're taking the governor off and tried to do
things like reform social security. You had some contentious Supreme Court battles.
Reform meant partially privatized in that case. A very unpopular proposal.
Yes, which again wasn't a popular proposal, though I might add if it had been done, where would we be
fiscally now. A question worth pondering. I won't step on that third rail right now. But in that
midterm election, you had Republicans feeling jubilant in much the same way that Donald Trump came back
into the White House and Republicans thought we figured it out. Democrats are lost in the wilderness.
And it turns out that after, in that case, it was the Iraq war going quite poorly. It was the
recovery from Hurricane Katrina that was viewed as disastrous. And so that wound up leading to
Republicans going from feeling on top of the world to being thrown out. And Speaker Nancy Pelosi
coming into Congress. And this just feels very much like that. Republicans back, you know,
18 months ago feeling jubilant, we're going to doge everything, we're going to do all the
stuff we didn't get to do the first time around, feeling on top of the world and feeling like Democrats,
look, their favorables are in the trash. Nobody will vote for them. They very well may vote for them
if they conclude that the party that's in power has been doing a poor job.
But what is Trump doing about all this?
Well, first of all, I hope you persuade every Republican candidate to run on privatizing Social Security.
I think that will have a very interesting impact.
That is not my political advice.
I think that Trump refuses to understand that you can't just keep saying the same thing and getting away with it.
He's gotten away with so much over such a long period of time.
He has escaped accountability because he's often dodged one scandal with a new scandal that none of them ever stuck,
that he's not accustomed to a circumstance in which everything is sticking to him now.
And everything is sticking to him now above all because of dissatisfaction about the economy.
If you go back to Trump, one, even with the pandemic, there was still a lot of feeling that Trump knew how to run the economy.
His approval rating on the economy right before the pandemic hit was very high.
And that helped him in 2024.
The dissatisfaction with the economy is very bad.
His obsession with all these building projects that have nothing to do with the lives of people in the Midwest or in any swing state in America.
And his trying to slough off affordability is just an invented idea.
he's doing everything to deny what he ought to be dealing with.
And that's a real problem.
But he does seem to be at this point in his second term,
very much involved with his past as a developer.
Yes.
He's developing a ballroom and security facility
where there used to be the east wing of the White House.
The east wing of the White House, the remains of it,
are a mound in a public golf course,
which he also wants to turn into a PGA tournament quality,
a high caliber, much more expensive to play golf course.
He has talked about building an arch near the memorial bridge
which connects Washington to Arlington National Cemetery across the Potomac.
That would be so huge.
It would completely change what people see in Washington.
He seems to be intent on making the monument,
monuments to the Trump era happen now while we're still in the Trump era.
It's fascinating that during his first term, it felt like he spent a lot of time at Marlago.
You know, it was that he didn't seem very focused on D.C. as a town that he wanted to conquer.
He would say, I want to drain the swamp, but did not really feel like it was a presidency of this town.
He has now come back into his second term as I have conquered this town and I will make it my own.
And you're right, has begun to be the person.
and who he has been in the public eye for decades.
I'm a developer.
I'm going to make things look the way I want them to look.
You know, if you drive across the Memorial Bridge here in D.C.,
which I drive across every time I go out to my office, there are these gold statues.
And they've always been, you know, statues of these horses, but now they are a vibrant shade of gold.
It is unmistakable.
Vibrant is understating.
I will just say what there is.
They are.
They are.
It is clear whose aesthetic sensibility is behind this.
And you can imagine that there are lots of folks in Washington who they do not share the president's politics and they find a lot of this to be distasteful at best.
However, one thing that he has done that was met with a lot of consternation at first was his deployment of the National Guard around town.
And you will still see, on that same drive where I'm going across the bridge, there is often a Humvee parked right there.
You will see folks in the National Guard walking around town.
It is true that crime in the District of Columbia has declined.
It has declined in cities across America.
It's not unique to D.C.
Including cities where there aren't federal troops.
Correct.
But there has been just some great coverage this week of how it's actually starting to overwhelm the D.C. court system, the number of people who are being apprehended by the federal officials for things, you know, smoking marijuana.
And then they go to the car and they find that actually there's a gun and a knife.
And this is now beginning to overwhelm the court system here, but it is also leading to safer, cleaner streets.
I think the really disturbing thing about what Trump is doing with all of this building, some of it very ugly, is that he's treating public property as if it's his own property.
I mean, at least when he was a builder in the old days, he may have stiffed the banks when he borrowed money from them, but at least it was private money going into a private project.
He had no right to just knock down the ballroom unilaterally, and you go all the way around and say he's doing this as if he is a dictator.
I mean, you know, I know that critics of Trump overused the term dictator, but in this case, he's acting with no accountability.
And that arch, I've talked to people who have folks buried at Arlington, Secretary.
One friend in particular, who made the point that there is something so awful about this enormous arch when you,
look at those rows of headstones, they are all equal for them, and it's been the tradition for some
decades, that whether you were a corporal or a general, you had equal, you know, the headstones,
and we honor all of the people who served, and suddenly to spoil that vista and what we are
remembering there with this self-involved arch is just such, such an ugly thing. And I hope to God
there's a way to stop that from happening before he leaves all.
office. Let me move us on to our other political boldface name that I mentioned,
Alexander Ocasio-Cortez. On a television interview recently, she dismissed some of the more
extreme ideas of progressives during the COVID years as woke one. She quoted another
progressive as saying, woke one was crazy, implying that at least AOC has reached woke two or
some higher level of woke. I think that, you know, during lockdown, of course, rhetoric in that
time is not rhetoric that we would use today.
She's also been the subject of a great deal of scrutiny after publicly documenting on
Instagram the process of freezing her eggs to keep motherhood a possibility.
What is AOC up to?
Is this the beginning of a run for president?
I certainly think it's a prelude to a run for president.
I think that she has consistently been one of the savvier communicators on the Democratic side.
Even in this political cycle, she endorsed.
Abdul El-Sayed, but she refrained from endorsing both Graham Platner and Francesca Hong. So she has,
she's pretty good political instincts. I think she's always been a very good storyteller, both
about policy issues, but also about her own life. She has shared about that extensively.
And I think this conversation about freezing her eggs, she has invited people to observe her
personally and that has become part of her brand, that she is an authentic person who is not just
a political facade. She is letting you see the good and the bad.
And whether that is true or whether other things are still concealed, I don't know that any of us are ever fully ourselves in public.
Maybe you, E.J.
But I think that I think of her as a very savvy political operator and I think her trying to distance herself from Woke 1 is part of what EJ mentioned earlier, which is that I do think Democrats are still a party that has leftward leanings, but I think understands it in many cases they need to keep it locked down because it's not where the median voter is.
I think she's smart enough to get that.
The question is, I don't know that you can just say,
ha, woke one, that was crazy.
Let's all forget that.
Republicans will not allow Democrats to just let it go.
Does the egg freezing episode, is this a risk of too much information,
or is that my advanced age speaking?
I don't know.
I, you know, I'm a guy, so I'm not sure I am the best person to speak on this,
but I'll risk saying something, which is,
I think she was talking about struggles that women,
face about how to balance their desire to have families and their careers. And I suspect there
were a lot of people out there, you know, heard that and said, yeah, we're struggling with that
too. And the fact also that she was saying, as Kristen made the great point, that she's a person
and not just a politician, and she's thinking about things other than politics, I think that
works more in her favor, but I don't know about that. But she's definitely running for higher office,
whether the Senate or the presidency. And I think, you know, a lot of people came down on her for
her woke one comment. And I think what she was saying, and she was pretty clear about this,
is, you know, there were a lot of extreme things said. No one's saying defund the police
anymore. You really got to search far and wide. You're not seeing it in any political campaign.
this year. You're seeing a lot of progressive Democrats, mayors like Michelle Wu in Boston,
bragging about how they brought murder rates down and other forms of crime down. And so I think
Democrats are trying to figure out how can you have a more politically sustainable way of talking
about marginalized people that doesn't use language that other people either don't understand
or don't get or find difficult to take. And I think,
This is about, don't give up the commitment to the marginalized, but boy, did we express things back then in ways that really did hurt us politically.
That's what she's saying, I think.
I think the only other thing I'd add on the AOC egg freezing conversation, as the somewhat youngish woman at the table is, I can't help but think of this in conversation with the announcement this week that Caroline Levitt is stepping down as White House press secretary.
She had a baby very recently, her second child.
She's a mother of two very young children.
Pretty much immediately after having her first returned to the campaign trail with Donald Trump in 2024.
And she has announced that she's going to be stepping away from that role because she'd like to spend more time with her young children.
I do think that for a lot of young women, Caroline Leavitt and AOC are quite different in many ways.
But they are both women who are very much in the public eye in very high-pressure jobs, very openly and publicly grappling with the same.
tensions between being someone who is a high-achieving woman in a career and how do you handle
the realities of motherhood? And I just think that's a very interesting, you might not think of
those two things as being similar, but I actually think of them both. I wish both of those
women well on their journeys because these are very, very hard challenges that young women
face. Amen. Amen. Well, we've come to the end of our conversation, which we always conclude
with something that's brought us joy in recent days or weeks.
And, EJ, let's start with you.
What's something that's been joyful to you?
So a couple of weeks ago, I walked into a wonderful book sale.
And I want to praise the joy that book sales for public institutions can bring to people.
It was at a high school for a public library.
And I found so many wonderful books there.
The book I quoted in my column this week by Edward Ayers, the great historian of the South,
was a book I picked up at this book fair.
And you see books you never knew existed.
You see books you had always wanted to buy.
And so I want to praise all the people who read their own book collections
and give the books away, both to bring joy to others.
And this book fair brought joy to me and to support great public institutions.
and it reminded me that I got to do that myself.
Kristen?
So I am the mother of a four-year-old and a two-year-old,
and the four-year-old in the last couple of weeks
has begun to develop her own taste in a way that is somewhat reflective of her parents' taste.
So, for example, this past week, we were out and about,
and a song by Queen was playing in a store, and it was another one bites the dust,
and she asked for it to be added to her playlist in the car.
So now my four-year-old has begun liking songs by Queen.
And then my husband bought the graphic novel of The Hobbit
and has begun reading her portions of that at night before she goes to bed.
And she's begun asking about The Hobbit story.
And so it's just fun to watch this little mind suddenly become old enough to where you're going beyond.
Look, Daniel Tiger and Bluey are phenomenal.
But where she's beginning to express interest in things that my husband and I also like.
that's just been an enormous source of joy.
It's the greatest. Thanks for that.
There's a lot of joy from books this week. For me, it was after a year of reading Thomas Mann,
a friend had suggested. I wanted something a lot lighter than that, and found on my Kindle
Washington Irving's History of New York, which is a very funny book. It's a send-up of histories
in which he begins with the solar system and the Earth and the continents, and finally,
eventually he gets the Dutch going to New Amsterdam.
It was originally published under a pseudonym,
Diedrich Knickerbocker.
It became fabulously popular.
Washington Irving was responsible for the use of Gotham
to describe New York City,
the phrase the almighty dollar,
and mostly popularizing Knickerbockers
who survived to this day in the form of the New York Knicks.
It's one of the last usages of Nickerbocker in New York City.
It's a delightful book.
Anyway, it's great.
You should look at it.
E.J. and Kristen, it's terrific to see you both again.
Great to be with you both.
Thank you for having us.
Take care.
