The Personal Finance Podcast - A Masterclass on Investing in Individual Stocks with Brian Feroldi
Episode Date: October 4, 2023In this episode of the Personal Finance Podcast, we're going to be talking to Brian Faraldi all about how to invest in individual stocks. How Andrew Can Help You: Join The Master Money Newslette...r where you will become smarter with your money in 5 minutes or less per week Here! Learn to invest by joining Index Fund Pro! This is Andrew’s course teaching you how to invest! Watch The Master Money Youtube Channel! Ask Andrew a question on Instagram or TikTok. Learn how to get out of Debt by joining our Free Course Leave Feedback or Episode Requests here. Thanks to Our Amazing Sponsors for supporting The Personal Finance Podcast. Thanks to Our Amazing Sponsors for supporting The Personal Finance Podcast. Shopify: Shopify makes it so easy to sell. Sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period at shopify.com/pfp Delete Me: Go to joindeleteme.com/PFP and use promo code PFP you’ll be able to save 20% off your DeleteMe subscription! Protect yourself online! Indeed: Start hiring NOW with a SEVENTY-FIVE DOLLAR SPONSORED JOB CREDIT to upgrade your job post at Indeed.com/personalfinance Monarch Money: Get an extended 30 day free trial at monarchmoney/pfp Connect with Brian Feroldi Website Linkedin Youtube Twitter Instagram Tiktok Facebook Connect With Andrew on Social Media: Instagram TikTok Twitter Master Money Website Master Money Youtube Channel Free Guides: The Stairway to Wealth: The Order of Operations for your Money How to Negotiate Your Salary The 75 Day Money Challenge Get out Of Debt Fast Take the Money Personality Quiz Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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On this episode of the Personal Finance Podcast, we're going to talk to Brian Feraldi about how to invest in individual stocks.
What's up, everybody, and welcome to the Personal Finance Podcast.
I'm your host, Andrew founder of Mastermoney.com.
And today on the Personal Finance Podcast, we're going to be talking to Brian Feraldi all about how to invest in individual stocks.
If you guys have any questions, make sure you hit us up on Instagram, TikTok, Twitter, at Mastermoney.
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Now, today, we're going to be talking to Brian Ferraldi all about individual stock investing.
And Brian is one of my favorite follows on Twitter.
He has some amazing content learning how to invest in individual.
stocks. And so today we're going to get into how he goes out and finds stocks and screens for stocks.
We're going to talk about how to dive deeper once you screen for a stock and look at financial
statements. We're going to talk about his stock checklist on how he screens every single
transaction that he makes before he buys a company. He actually has a stock checklist that he goes
through that is very detailed. We're going to go through that. We're going to talk about buying stocks
and managing your emotions when you own those stocks and when is the best time to sell a
stocks. And we're going to go through a bunch of other questions like his best investments,
his worst investments, in addition to how his portfolio is actually structured. So I am really
excited to have Brian on. Brian is the second two-time guest that we have ever had on this
podcast. So really pumped to have him on every time he comes on. You guys absolutely love it. So without
further ado, let's welcome Brian to the personal finance podcast. So Brian, welcome to the personal
finance podcast. Andrew, thank you for having me back. It's great to be here. We are so excited. I think you
are our second two-time guest that we've ever had on the podcast. So I am really pumped to have you back.
Your first episode, people absolutely love because we talked about the basics of the stock market.
We talked about your book. Everybody really, really loved that episode. So I'm excited to have you back.
But if people did not hear your first episode, tell us about yourself and maybe how you got into investing.
So I've been investing in the stock market for about 19 years now. I graduated from college in 2004
with a degree in business. And despite focusing on business in college, I was taught absolutely nothing
about the stock market or investing or 401Ks or really any of the basics that are now so easy to
look up thanks to the power of the internet. However, when I graduated, my dad handed me a copy
of a very popular book at the time called Rich Dad, Poor Dad. I devoured that book in a few days
and it just lit a fire in me to learn everything I could about money, personal finance, and investing.
So I've just been on a 19-year binge essentially finding and consuming as much financial content that I could possibly get my hands on.
About eight years ago, I became a full-time financial writer for The Motley Fool.
I've written about 3,000 plus articles for them.
And more recently, as you pointed out, I've become an author published a book that kind of explains the extreme.
basics of how the stock market works. And that is absolutely amazing. Rich Dad, Poor Dad is one of
the books that really ignited a fire in Me Too very early on between that and the millionaire
next door. That's really what got me going and interested in finance, personal finance,
all of those things. So I absolutely love that piece too. Now, on the last episode, today I want
to kind of talk through individual stock investing because that's one thing we haven't touched on
a ton on this podcast. And it is something I absolutely love to do. And I use a small portion of
my portfolio to invest in individual stocks. But last episode, we kind of talked about individual stock
investing may not be for every single person. So what type of investor could this be for?
So I am a huge fan of investing in the stock market, and I myself am a huge proponent of
in buying individual stocks. However, the only reason that I say that is because I am personally
extremely interested in the process of investing. I literally enjoy reading through
financial statements, digging into SEC filings, listening to company,
conference calls, taking companies through an investing checklist that I've developed. I love talking to
other investors. I love listening to a podcast about investing. So I personally love the process of investing.
I am willing, ready, willing, and able to do the work necessary to vet and pick my own individual
stocks. Most people, I would say even 99% of people, are not like that. They're not willing to do any work and they have no
interest in doing any sort of research related to picking individual stocks. That's perfectly okay.
If that's you, you can still take advantage of the power of the stock market by simply investing
in passive index funds. It's a wonderful way to go. But if you're the type of person that is just
interested in business and interested in learning about how the stock market works in more detail,
I do think there are reasons, there are good reasons, to buy your own individual stocks. Absolutely.
And I think that's the key is you got to love the process. You got to actually be able to do the work, which we'll talk about how to do the work today. And you have to actually love those things. And one big thing that I used to do when I would really, really intensely look for individual stocks is I would listen to podcasts and read a bunch of different resources and find different resources and get some of these ideas before I dove deep into looking into the company. So what are some resources that you utilize to maybe go out and find companies that you want to invest in? Investors today are spoiled. It has never ever been easy.
in history to find and research stocks. I mean, the tools that we have access to today for free
would literally cost tens of thousands of dollars to access 20 or 30 years ago. So some resources
that I use continuously that I'll plug. One is called whale wisdom, whalewisdom.com. What you can do
with that tool is you can track the portfolios of some big famous investors to
find out what stocks they've been buying and selling in their portfolio. So if you want to track
big investors like Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Terry Smith, Chuck Aker, those are four
investors that I hold in high appeal. By signing up for Whale Wisdom, you can literally get notified
by email every time they have to publish their portfolio, which is about every 90 days.
That alone can be a great place to start your investing research process because if the stock's
interest them, they're highly likely to meet the criteria that you're looking for. You can also
use any of the social networks that are out there. You can get ideas on Twitter, you can get ideas
on LinkedIn, you can get ideas on podcasts, you can even get ideas on TikTok for finding individual
stocks. It's not hard to come up with ideas. One other approach that I use is to use simple screening
tools. The best free investing screening tool that I've ever found is called finviz.com.
F-I-N-V-I-Z.com, it stands for financial visualizations. It's just a massive free database of thousands of publicly
traded companies, and you can easily sort on there by market cap, price to earnings ratio,
valuation metrics, and more. So those few tools right there should have you with a massive
watch list if you want to use them. And that is why I absolutely love all the tools that are available
now, because you named the whale one is one big one for me. I used to watch Warren Buffett
because I'm a huge Warren Buffett guy and Charlie Munger, and I would just kind of see some of the
stuff that they are doing. That would give me a ton of ideas to kind of dig deeper and go through
that entire process. Now, since we have so much information that's out there right now, there's
obviously so many different companies that you could be looking into. Are there any quick metrics
that you look at to kind of weed out some of the stocks that you don't want to invest in?
Yeah. So before I can answer that question, it's first to understand what type of investor I am.
because the metrics that you're going to use to weed out companies from your investing process
really depends on the type of investor you are. My style of investing is primarily high quality
growth. So I am mostly attracted to companies that are just barely profitable. They are rapidly
growing their top line. They're taking advantage of some market opportunity that they see out there,
and I see them as having some sort of competitive advantage. Those type of investments,
would not interest Warren Buffett at all. They would simply be too high risk for him to consider.
So while I always look at Warren Buffett's portfolio, we have different screening criteria.
Conversely, if you are a swing for the fences type of investor and you just wanted to do
buy nothing but stocks that had 50x potential or more and you're very willing to strike out,
the criteria, you would have to think and invest like a venture capitalist who have completely
different criteria than I would use. However, with that, there are a few things that I use to
find companies. The first thing that I look at is market cap. This is the total dollar value of a
company's equity. I'm primarily interested in companies that I think can deliver a multi-bagger
returns for investors. One impediment to doing that is just the pure size of a company's
market cap. So because of that, I'm primarily looking for companies that are on the relatively small
side of the market cap. So I like to invest in companies that are between $2 billion and $30 billion
in market cap value. That's big enough that they've proven that their business model works,
but it's still small enough that the company could two, three, five X and they still wouldn't
be gargantuan in size. So market cap is a quick metric to look at. Another one that I look for is
I like companies that are profitable, although they don't have to be extremely profitable. So if you
just screen for PE ratio above zero? I don't care what the number is. It could be 500 or
a thousand. But if they have a PE ratio, that means that the company has crossed into profitability.
Another thing that I like to look for, I like to invest in companies that have already
beaten the market. They've already outperformed the market since they came public. That's backwards.
A lot of people think you want to invest in companies that have underperform the market or companies that
are cheap. I'm actually a big believer that companies that beat the market have a much higher
likelihood to continue beating the market moving forward because it means something about their
business is working. So I actually like to look at the all-time high list for stock ideas,
as well as the best performing stocks over the last year. If you believe that winners tend to
keep on winning, that's a good screening criteria. I love how stricter criteria is and how you actually
have this mapped out. And for investors, I love that you brought that up that, you know, there's
different styles of investing for value investing to dividend investing to growth investing. There's
obviously different criteria underneath each of those categories as well. So if an investor is trying
to figure out which category or what type of investor they want to go forward with, how do they
actually think through that process? And then how do they put together maybe like a mission statement
or something that actually allows them to stay within that criteria? Yeah. So this is a very
important question for every investor to answer for themselves. Before you start buying or selling
any investment, the first thing you need to ask yourself is,
When do I need to use this money? When do I need this investment to pay off? If the answer is in less than five years, which it could be to pay for college, to buy a car, down payment on a house, pay for some big, big purchase in your life, that is money that should not be in the stock market. The stock market is simply too unpredictable in the short term, which again, I define as less than five years. If the answer is more than five years from now, that's capital that could be, that,
might be allocated to the market. The next question you have to ask yourself is, what are you most
interested in optimizing for? Are you most interested in optimizing for upside potential?
That means that you're probably going to have to look at the riskier investments, the higher growth
investments that have a much higher probability of flaming out. If you're more interested in optimizing
for dividend income or a smooth ride, so a low volatility, a ride, then you should probably optimize
for things like dividend income, stability of profits and earnings, and those kind of things.
But the only way to figure that question out is two things. One is to ask yourself, what are you optimizing
for ahead of time? And then two, through just sheer experience, a whole bunch of people,
millions of investors started their investing journey in 2020. And the lesson that the market taught
in 2020 was, buy anything, the riskier the thing, the faster the return that you're going to get.
And a whole bunch of people thought, wow, investing in the stock market is easy.
I mean, I earned a 50% return in 2020.
How brilliant am I?
I'm the type of investor that wants risk.
Like, bring on the risk.
And what those same investors saw in 2021 and really in 2022 is the opposite side of that coin.
A lot of the companies that were high flying delivered huge returns in 2020 and 2021 came crashing down back to Earth in 2022 as interest
straight rows and markets fleed towards safety. So it was very easy to convince yourself that you were a
high growth investor in 2020. And it was an entirely different thing to actually live through the
volatility of being a high growth investor in 2022. So if you thought you were a high growth investor in
2020 and only later did you discover this is not for me, that's fine. Your investing style will
be refined over time as you gain more experience. And that's the key here is that your investing style
can evolve over time. And mine has very much evolved over time as time has gone on, where as I get
busier with businesses, things like that, I become more passive than I used to be before. And I think
that's just one of the things that happens naturally as an investor. And if you started in 2020,
you probably went through the investing school of hard knocks because that is the, you know,
the highs and all the lows. But it's probably one of the most valuable lessons that you can have
if you started in 2020 as well, because you saw both sides of the coin. So I love that thought process and
going through this. Now, as we go through this initial screening, we have our criteria of how we want to
kind of invest, we put this, you know, some of the big pieces together of how we want to invest.
Why is it so important to actually understand the things that we are investing?
Or why is it so important what Warren Buffett calls the circle of competence to have the investments
in your circle of competence?
Yep.
So if you go out and you make any investment because you heard it on CNBC, your friend said
to buy it, or, you know, some investing guru out there, you saw that own it.
And you do no research.
that might sound like a smart investing strategy because you're essentially outsourcing your investing
research to a third party. And if you trust that third party, you might think, oh, investing cheat
code. I don't do any research. I'll just buy what fill in the blank person is buying.
The reason that doesn't work is if you don't understand the why, the reason why the person bought
that investment in the first place, you won't have the conviction to or the knowledge to whether
or not, you should continue to hold that investment once the price starts going the wrong direction.
And if you hold any investment, especially ones that you expect to outperform, you can be
guaranteed, guaranteed that at some point that stock, that business, that asset price will go in the
wrong direction. And if you don't know why you bought it in the first place, if you don't understand
the core reason why you expect that asset to appreciate in price, you are, you are,
are going to have huge questions going through your head. Should I sell it? Is the thesis broken?
Should I buy more? The only way to know the answer to those questions which you will eventually be
faced in is to know the reason you bought the asset in the first place. It's a terrible idea to get
investment ideas from other investors. It's a terrible idea to buy those assets without doing any research.
So this just reminds me of a story I had when I was in college where one of the first stocks that I
ever bought was a penny stock, of course. And I bought this penny stock off of a tip that somebody
gave me. And I went in and put my entire savings into this one penny stock. This is one of the
biggest investing mistakes I ever made. But it was a great lesson. And so put all my money in one
day, in 24 hours, that entire investment went down to zero. And I had no idea why, because all I did
was listen to one specific tip from someone else. So what Brian's talking about here, a lot of people,
you can make this mistake if you're just listening to other people's tips. You have to understand what
you're investing in, have that understanding of why you're doing what you're doing. And we'll talk about
some other reasons on how to track that as well later on here on this podcast. But I think it's so important
to understand that piece. Another big thing that you talk about, and it's a big principle from
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, is economic moat and making sure that the companies that you're
investing in have some sort of economic moat where they can kind of, you know, keep competitors out of the
way and make sure that they are growing profitably over time. So can you kind of explain economic moat and why it's so
important. Warren Buffett has this great quote, which I'm going to butcher, but the essence behind
the quote is essentially the key to investing is not to figure out how much a company is going to
grow or how much it's going to impact society. The key to investing is to figuring out what kind
of competitive advantage a company has and most importantly, the durability of that competitive
advantage. A competitive advantage is something, some attribute that one business has that makes it hard
to compete with. A classic example would be a company like a Visa. A Visa is one of the most well-named,
a known brand names in the world. If you have a credit card or a debit card, the odds of you being a
visa customer are extremely, extremely high. A visa sits in the middle point between banks,
merchants, and consumers, and is a payment processor. That business has a natural barrier to
entry with size and scale, but they also have a competitive advantage called the network effect.
the more places that accept Visa as a payment, that attracts more businesses to offer Visa,
and that also attracts more consumers to want to have Visa as their card.
It's a natural cycle that goes around.
So if you were trying to create a business that competed with Visa, good luck to you.
I mean, it would cost billions upon billions of dollars, and your odds of succeeding are extremely low.
That gives Visa a durable, competitive advantage that allows it,
to maintain pricing, increase its revenue and profits over time, and deliver huge returns to
shareholders. This is why Warren Buffett's portfolio is filled with companies that he thinks
has a durable competitive advantage. His top holdings include companies like Apple. Apple is his number
of one holding. He has a bunch of banks in there. He has a bunch of oil companies in there. He has
candy makers like seize candy. He has insurance companies in there. These are companies that he
thinks has a durable competitive advantage. Without that durable competitive advantage, it is basically
a law of capitalism that a company that is successful, that creates something successful,
competitors will see that company's success and do their best to match whatever product or
service that company is offering and try and steal their customers away. Without a moat in place,
the business that has that product will be forced to lower prices or give things to consumers,
in order to keep that business in-house.
And that costs the companies' profits.
So a moat is really a long-term protection against the forces of capitalism.
And that is one of the biggest keys.
If you can find companies with these large economic moats,
you can really, really have a huge competitive advantage when you start investing.
You add that to your circle of competence.
You have great management in those companies,
and you're finding some really, really good gems that you can dive deeper in.
So one big thing is as we start to dive deeper into some of these companies we may want to invest in,
we need to understand financial statements. This is one big piece that a lot of people who are not
individual stock investors may not be willing to do the work on this part because this is really,
really key. But like you said, a lot of people actually enjoy this process of going through
financial statements, myself included. I think it's one of the fun things to do is to dig deep into
some of these things. So can you kind of explain the three financial statements that people need to
understand and maybe a high level view of what each of these things mean and what they do?
Absolutely. This learning accounting was probably the,
the highest value skill that I learned in college. So many other things in college, I completely
forgot about, but learning the language of business, which is accounting, is a skill that I use
in my regular day life all the time. So broadly speaking, there are three major financial statements
that all public companies in the United States are required by law to produce and report to their
investors. The most well-known financial statement is called the income statement. What this statement
answers is basically the question, are you profitable or not? It's a lot like your personal budget.
So think about your personal monthly budget for a second. You have income at the top. You have
expenses below that. And then you have your savings rate as like the bottom line. Like, did I save
money this month or did I spend more than I made this month? It would be bad. The exact same thing
happens for companies on the income statement. So the top line is revenue. How much sales did the
company pull in during this period, usually a quarter, which is 90 days or a year, which is
365 days. Below that, they list out all of their expenses on something called accrual
accounting basis. Research and development expenses, cost to make and manufacture the product
expenses, cost to market the product expenses, income tax expenses, interest expenses, all that
kind of stuff. And then they get the profit that the company generated during that period or
the loss. So that's the income statement. Statement number two is
called the balance sheet, which should really be called a net worth statement. If you ask somebody
what's their net worth, they're going to say, well, here's everything I own, subtract out
everything they owe, all their debts, and the difference is their net worth. That is a balance sheet.
So on one side of the balance sheet, a company reports all of its assets, so everything that
it owns, cash, buildings, intellectual property, etc. On the other side of the leisure is the
company's liability, so that's all the debt that it owes, all the money that owes to suppliers,
employees, the government, etc. And then below that is something called shareholders equity,
which is just another way of saying the company's net worth that they have. So the balance sheet
is a really important statement to understand. The final statement is probably the most confusing
of the three and the lesser known, but I think it's actually probably the most important.
That's called the statement of cash flows or the cash flow statement. This shows how much
the cash movements of a business during a period of time using cash.
accounting. Think of this the same way that you would think of your checking account. It's just a
list of all of the money movements that you had in your checking account during a period of time.
So it supplements the income statement to show the difference between how much profit a company
made in theory using accrual accounting and how much cash a business generated in reality
using a cash accounting. But learning to understand the nuance of reading all three statements
is critical if you're going to invest.
And understanding these is really, really powerful. And a lot of things in life as well. And I actually, we're looking at boring businesses right now. We're going through a lot of processes of looking at laundromats, things like that. And I have them send me these statements. And it's so easy to read these now because I did it for so many years looking at different stocks. And the stock ones are obviously much more complicated than some of the ones that we have now that we're looking at. And so it's really valuable to be able to actually understand the language of business, like you said, which is accounting. So this is one thing that I think people definitely should be investing their time. And just to understand at least the basics and how these statements work,
because it's so incredibly powerful for your financial education going forward.
Now, if people want to learn more about this, you guys have some programs that kind of teach
people about this. Is there a place that they can go learn more about those programs?
Yeah, so I teach a cohort-based course that kind of shows people these how to read three financial
statements if they're looking for a more formalized format for doing so. You can find that by signing up
for my newsletter, which is just Brianfroldi.com backslash newsletter. We have links in there for it.
Awesome. And Brian's newsletter is amazing. We read it every single week and we recommend it
to all of our readers as well. So, Brian, that's amazing. We'll definitely link that up down below
in the show notes as well. Now, the next piece is you put together a stock checklist, and you go
through this checklist before you buy a lot of different companies to make sure that it fits your
criteria. What led you to kind of develop this checklist, and how long did it take you to develop
this? Yeah, so what caused me to develop it is I finally became smart enough to realize that I'm
too stupid to keep everything in my head. Prior to developing a checklist for myself, I was vetting
and looking at dozens of investment ideas. And every time I'd be like, oh, I like that this company
has a high gross margin and it's profitable and it has a good manager. But I like this company
is growing faster and it has a better balance sheet. But I like this company because it has a
bigger mode. And I was like, but I like this company because it's beat in the market.
Trying to keep all of those factors in my head was just a stupid thing for me to do.
So one day I decided, well, maybe I should write some of this stuff down so that I
source some of the thinking to a spreadsheet. So I created a list of investing criteria that I created.
And over a period of a few years, and thanks to review from other investors, I narrowed down
my checklist to a list of items that I think are most important to finding investments that
best match my unique investing style. So now that I have this checklist created, whenever I come
across a new stock idea, I can just run it down my checklist and see.
how good of a match this particular investment is for my investing criteria. Yesterday, for example,
Instacart came public and is part of their coming public. I basically took Instacart through my
investing checklist and I discovered that this company has actually a lot of attributes that I look
for in a long-term investment. But what's so powerful about developing a checklist for yourself
is it's consistent. You can do it again and again. But most importantly, you don't over
overlook things or you don't override things in your investing process by putting it down on paper,
which is the same thing Warren Buffett does, Charlie Munger does, Peter Lynch does, Terry Smith does.
If those super investors use investing checklists, maybe you should too.
Exactly. I think that is why it is so powerful so you don't forget things. And it's the same
things like for real estate investors that listen to this podcast. If you're running the numbers before
you buy a rental property, it's the same thing. You're going through a checklist and make sure that you
have all the factors factored into play before you're at.
actually buying these businesses. And I think that's what you really have to think about here is you
are an investor who is buying a business. And it's really, really important to make sure that you
are going through all of the metrics before you actually buy that business. So what type of things
have you added to the checklist over the years that you may not have had previously that are big
ticket items that you look at now? Yeah. So I've bought dozens of stocks over the last 20 years.
Many, many of those stocks have lost me a lot of money. And each time I learn a new lesson,
I go and I update my checklist to make sure that that never happened.
again. One that comes to mind immediately is something called customer concentration. This is basically
asking the question, how many customers does a company have and are any of those customers
are responsible for an outsized portion of the company's revenue? Why is this important? Well,
if a company has one single customer that's responsible for 40% of revenue, and that customer
chooses for any reason to stop buying from that business, it essentially blows a hole in the
investing thesis for that company. So I bought companies that I thought were safe, I thought looked
really good, and I learned the hard way that when one of those customers, one of those big
customers pulls away, the company's financial statements just fall apart and the thesis
falls apart. And when that happens, Wall Street really punishes a stock by sending it down.
Another thing that I've learned the hard way is the impact that dilution can have on investment over time.
Previously, I paid no attention to stock-based compensation or the dilution rate that a company has
and only by buying companies that had egregious stock-based compensation practices and egregious dilution.
Did I realize that, wow, the market really does not like when a company overly dilutes its shareholders.
So I now add that as a checklist criteria for myself.
Another one that I think is really important is the quality of the revenue that a company has.
All types of revenue are not created equally.
As a broad statement, revenue that is high margin, recurring and recession proof is far more valuable
than revenue that is low margin, cyclical, and not recurring in nature.
So I would much rather invest in a company like a software company that has repeat purchase
customers than I would in like a patio furniture maker where you buy patio furniture and then you don't
buy from that company again for 20 years. So the quality of revenue and the relationship between
the business and the customers really matter to me. And those were all lessons that I had to learn
the hard way. That's why it's so powerful to have this because you have these lessons,
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helps you avoid those mistakes going forward, which is the number one thing that you really want to be
doing when you're investing in some of these individual stocks. If somebody wanted to check out your
checklist, where's a location that they can go look for it?
Yeah. So I make my checklist checklist. I make my checklist checklist. I encourage people
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delete what you don't like, add what you do, and make the checklist your own. So I can give you
a starting point. You're free to use mine. But I really encourage you to think through each of the
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That is great. I think that's absolutely perfect and you definitely need to make sure that they
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Oh, when we go through our checklist, maybe we screen these stocks, now it's time to buy one of the
stocks that we are looking at. We went through all the different financial statements. We went through
our screener. We went through our checklist. So once we buy, how do we decide how much capital to
allocate to that stock and or, you know, how many shares we want to purchase.
Yeah. So this, again, totally depends on the type of investor you are, whether you're a fan of
concentrating your portfolio or whether you're a fan of diversifying your portfolio.
So as I said before, my investing style is primarily to put my capital behind companies that I
think have multi-bagger potential. I avoid the highest of the high-risk stuff, but I do put
my capital into fairly risky investments that have a higher than average likelihood of flaming out.
I'm okay with that trade-off because while I do buy lots of stocks that have a high likelihood of going down,
occasionally I buy Netflix, I buy Amazon, and I buy Tesla, and the gains from those stocks
dwarf all of the losses that I have from my losers combined.
So as a broad general statement, the more conservative of investor you are and the more you lean
towards big, profitable, wide-mote, cash-gushing companies, the more comfortable I would be
with concentrating my portfolio. If you invest in Warren Buffett-style companies, I would be comfortable
with Warren Buffett-style concentration. However, if you invest at the other end of the valuation
mindset spectrum, if you're after small, high-growth, money-losing businesses, I would not concentrate
in my portfolio. I would think and act like a venture capitalist. Venture capitalists have dozens
of companies that they invest in, and they know going in that they're going to lose money on the
vast majority of them. But they're also trying to get the next Facebook, the next Airbnb,
the next Snapchat into their portfolio. And if they can do that, it's going to dwarf all
their losses combined. So the more high risk you are, the more I would stress diversification,
the more low risk and the more value invested you are, the more I would be comfortable with
concentration. And one big thing that you touched on earlier was that you want to hold
these investments for a longer period of time. You said five years or more. I think Warren Buffett's
famous quote is if you're not willing to hold it for 10 years and don't hold it for 10 minutes,
something along those lines. So why is it so important to make sure that we are long-term investors
when we are investing in some of these companies? If you look at any of the most successful investments
of all time, even the most stable, mature, boring businesses out there, and you look at their
history, each one of them, each one of those mega winners has put their investors through some type of
huge drawdown. Think about Coca-Cola for a second. Coca-Cola. It doesn't get any bigger,
more stable, more predictable, more boring, more slow growth than Coca-Cola out there.
And yet, if you look back at Coca-Cola's operating history from peak to trough, it has fallen
more than 50% on multiple occasions. And that's for a big, dominant, slow growth, steady
a company. The exact same thing can be said for Berkshire Hathaway. By the way, Berkshire Hathaway is
extremely diversified. It's got the best CEO in history at its helm. It gushes cash in good
times and in bads. And Berkshire Hathaway, Peek the Trough, has fallen more than 50 percent,
I think more than four times in its history. So volatility is not a bug. It's a feature of the
market. And you need, if you're going to invest in the market, you must, you must have a plan for
dealing with that volatility. The best plan that I know for dealing with that volatility is, one,
keeping your personal finances extremely conservative so that the market gyrations no way impact
your day-to-day life, but two, investing with a multi-year time horizon. That is the correct time
period to put your money and to judge the performance of the stock market by. It's not in days,
it's not in weeks, it's not even in months. The correct time frame to judge your investments in the
stock market buy is in years. So if you're going to invest, you have to have that kind of horizon.
And your book, Why Does the Stock Market Go Up? Has some great data on this as well in terms of it went
through the S&P 500 and talk through, you know, if you hold the S&P 500 for certain amount of
time frames, the likelihood of you losing money goes down to almost zero past 20 years. So I think
that's really, really cool, you know, how you can look at some of these long-term investments and
then making sure that you deal with its volatility. And volatility is obviously very hard for new
investors, especially when they don't have a financial education. So what?
What is one way that investors can manage emotions through volatility?
Yep. There's a few ways that they can do it.
Probably the easiest way is to never think about volatility by simply dollar cost averaging
into index funds and not looking at their statements until they retire.
I mean, that sounds like almost like a cheat code or you're cheating by not looking at the
volatility.
But my wife has been doing exactly that for years.
She could tell you nothing about what the stock market has done this year or next year.
She couldn't tell you anything about her 401K, how it's performing.
So she can deal with the volatility simply because she's not aware of it.
And if you're going to be a passive investor, that is a perfectly fine thing to do.
If you're going to be a more active investor or if you're just interested in the market,
the way to deal with volatility is to study market history.
If you study market history, you see how volatile the market has been in the past.
And you realize that market volatility is completely normal.
It is completely normal for the stock market to plunge.
10%. In fact, that happens about once every 11 months. So once a year, you can expect the stock
market to pull back about 10%. About once every four years, the market falls about 20% or more.
Once every six years, it falls 30% or more. And once a decade, you can expect some type of market
crash. Now, I've been investing for about 20 years. And in my lifetime, I lived through 2008,
which was something else to be investing through. But I also lived through 2020, which is when we saw
the fastest bear market in history, followed by the quickest rebound in history. We also saw
extreme volatility in 2022, as interest rates rose that much. Now, that's never fun to live through.
Living through that volatility is never fun. But because I've studied market history,
and I understand the reasons for owning the stocks that I do, it doesn't make it even,
easy to hold through that, but it makes it easier.
And those are some great tips there because I think, hey, your financial education comes
into play huge when it comes to this because really, now when the market goes down, I kind of look
at it as a way, hey, maybe some stocks are on sale that I really, really like.
And it's one thing that if you really get worried about this stuff, one thing I tell a lot of
people to do is to pull out your phone and take out the stock market app.
You can look at the Dow Jones, the S&P 500, whatever, and put it on the longest time horizon
you possibly can. Turn that thing sideways. Put it on the longest time horizon you can see.
and what direction does that market go in the long run?
It goes in one direction, which is up.
In the short term, you're going to see it go up and down,
but in the long run, you're going to see it going in one direction,
and that is one good, reassuring thing that you can kind of look at
if you're really getting discouraged or stressed out
or anything when your emotions come into play when you're investing.
Now, one big thing to think through as we start to invest in individual stocks
is we want to hold this for a long time horizon,
but is there ever a time or an indicator that you look at
where maybe it's time to sell a stock?
Absolutely.
There are numerous reasons that an investor should sell a stock.
The number one reason that you should sell a stock, the number one reason to sell any of the
individual is you were wrong. The thesis, the original reason why you bought that stock are no
longer valid, which again reiterates the point of you must know why, you must know the reasons
why you're investing in something, right? Just saying, I'll fill in the blank, a big investor
bought this company. That's not good enough. You have to know the reasons why that investor bought
the company. Because if those are, you know,
reasons cease to exist, that's how you know that it's time to sell that investment. Another reason to
sell is you have a better place, a better use for that money. It could be you want to make a different
investment, a different stock investment, you want to invest in real estate, you want to invest in
some sort of a different asset class. That can be a great reason to sell a stock and plow the
money into something else. Or how about my absolute favorite reason to sell an investment,
which is you want to use the money in your personal life, which is the whole reason we invest
in the first place is to have our money grow and take that capital and buy a new house,
a new car, a vacation, or whatever you want to do with it. So there's lots of reasons to sell
investments, but the number one reason by far is you were wrong. And that is the key. And I know
you have a, you know, like a journal or something where you write down to the reasons why you buy
investments and things like that. And you can go look back and reference that.
make sure that your thesis is exactly the same. And if it's not, then you go back and realize that you're
wrong by kind of reading through that and having that available. So I want to kind of shift gears here
and kind of go through some other questions that we have. So what are some of your biggest
investment regrets or failures that you've had? Oh, God, so many. It'd be hard to make a true list
for them. But to be honest, I mean, I should say, I have bought things and then those things
went down in value, and I have lost money doing so. Each time I do that,
ever feels good. But I would say the lessons that I learn from doing that again and again
are just the tuition that I have to pay to become a better investor. So I've bought dozens of stocks
that have lost me dollars, but the lessons that I've learned from losing that money,
I think just make me a better investor and will pay off truly in the long term. When it comes to
actual personal finance, one thing that I'm pretty proud of is I've never been a risk taker
with my personal finances. We've always eschewed debt. We've always focused in on developing high
incomes and having multiple sources of income. We've always had a high savings rate. We've always kept
a big cash position. So I haven't made any huge personal finance blunders, but I've made plenty of
investing blunders. For sure. And I think that's one big thing. It allows you to take a little more
risk in your investments because you have your personal finances in place. And I know you and I agree
on pretty much everything when it comes personal finances. I've seen your checklists and things that
you have for personal finance. So I think that's really, really good.
great for a lot of people to look into as well. What are some of your biggest wins that you've had
when investing? So I've bought several companies that have gone up tremendously in value. I was an early
investor in Netflix, in Amazon, in Mercado Libre, and my number one biggest winner of all time was
Tesla. Believe it or not, Tesla is closing in an 80 plus bagger for me. So thanks to my investment
acumen, I've been able to pay off our house completely, and now I own a Model Y. So those are two big
investing wins that I would say. That is incredible. And it shows the power of learning how to do some of this
stuff and why the time may be worth it. And speaking of time, how much time do you actually spend on your
portfolio every week? So that's a great question. When I was first starting out, I spent a lot of
hours of my life studying investing. Again, the category and the idea of investing just enthralled me.
So I spent a lot of my free time reading investment books, talking on investing discussion boards,
listening to Investor Conference calls and learning about investing. More recently, I've taken more of a
hands-off approach with my investment. I've made my investment bets, and I'm very happy to see how those
investments perform over long periods of time. So I don't spend a lot of time managing my portfolio
today. I do spend time following along with how those companies' earnings reports are doing,
but I've done that so many times now that I can quickly glance at earnings report and judge,
is the thesis on track or not on track? So the maintenance that I have,
have for my portfolio is dramatically lower now, but that's because I put in a huge amount of time
up front when I was learning about investing. Love that. And I think that is one key that a lot of
people need to understand is once you have that foundation, just like anything else, then it can
take less time over time as you start to do this. Now, you and I, we've talked about this a ton
already, but you and I are huge fans of Buffett and Munger. And it is one of the big principles,
and one of the things that I learned even about personal finance is from Buffett and Munger, a lot of
the principles that they have. So are there any lessons that you would love to share about Buffett and Munger
that maybe you learned along the way?
Both those guys are worth studying in detail.
Read every single Berkshire Hathaway annual letter to shareholders.
There is gold upon gold in there.
Read books about Buffett and Munger, two that I will call out.
First off, there's a wonderful book out there called Warren Buffett
and the interpretation of financial statements.
If you want a primer on accounting, that one is fantastic.
It was written by Buffett's former daughter-in-law,
and it basically goes through every line item of all three financial statements, and it shows you
how Warren Buffett thinks about that particular number. It's a wonderful education in a small
book. The real big lesson that I learned from Charlie Munger is the psychology of human misjudgment.
I would say that Charlie Munger has mastered the mindset of investing in all the ways that investors
can do themselves in. There's a wonderful book that he wrote called Poor Charlie's Almanac,
which is like kind of the timeless lessons that he has learned all the way.
If you're not a reader, there's a wonderful talk on YouTube called the Psychology of Human Mischjudgment
where Charlie Munger kind of riffs on all of the biases that are built into our brains that make us,
that cause humans to make poor decisions, not just investing decisions, poor decisions.
He was the first one to open my mind up to the eye to all the biases that I have when it comes to decision making.
So I would say those resources are really fantastic.
They truly are. And poor Charlie's Almanac is a book that it's starting to get become harder to find I've noticed, but it's an expensive book, but it is worth every single penny. Last time I looked, I think it was like $100. I think I got mine used for like $84 or something like. But it is a fantastic read. And it is one that I go back to all of the time. So I think it is one that a lot of people don't talk about, but it is a very, very powerful book for sure. Now, if we were to look at a pie chart of your investments, how you invest your money, what would that look like in terms of individual stocks or any mutual funds or anything else that you invest?
So the assets that I own are, I own my house outright. So that would be a decent side. That's my only
quote unquote real estate portfolio, if you will. I am not a real estate investor. I think it's a great
asset class. If that fits your personality, doesn't fit my personality. That's why I don't use it.
Currently, I hold a bunch of cash. Interest rates have gone up a bunch. And I don't know what the near term
outlook for the global economy has a lot of question marks in it. So I have about 10% of my
investable portfolio just held in cash. If we see,
some volatility or if something goes crazy in the world, Russia and Ukraine come to mind, that could
be deployed strategically. All of my retirement funds are just in index funds purely for simplicity.
So we dollar cost average both my wife and I into index funds and our retirement funds, again,
merely for simplicity. But every dollar in taxable, that's in my taxable brokerage account,
is invested in individual stock. So the lion's share of my net worth is in individual stocks.
Love that. And I think that's a really, really cool perspective.
for a lot of people to see as well. So, Brian, I want to ask you one last question before we
wrap up here. And this is one that I think we talked about last time as well, but this is one
that I love to ask each and every single guess. And it is what does wealth mean to you?
To me, the highest form of wealth or the thing that money can buy is essentially complete control
over your calendar. The ability to do what you want, to work on what you want with who you want
for as long as you want, and you can make a change at any time without any impact on your
your family's lifestyle. In a word, it's financial freedom. To me, that is the ultimate luxury.
It's the number one thing that people should be saving and investing for is so that they can buy
complete control of their future time. Now, that doesn't mean that you stop working. I still
work just as hard as I have for years, but it does mean once you have complete control of your
calendar and you control the projects that you work on and the people that you work with, life just
gets measureably better. So that, to me, is true well.
Exactly. There's nothing better than having complete control over your time. Brian, thank you so much for coming on. This has been absolutely amazing. Where can people find more about you, what you have going on and everything else?
Yeah. So I'm on all the major social platforms. I'm most active on Twitter, aka X. So you can connect with me there. I'm at Brian Frolty.
Awesome. That's fantastic. I highly recommend you follow Brian on on Twitter or X now. It is one of my favorite follows. And I literally read every single one of your tweets that you put out because they're so incredibly valuable. So Brian, thank you so much for coming on. We truly appreciate it.
it. Andrew, thanks for having me as always. Great to be here.
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