The Pete Quiñones Show - Episode 1016: The 1990's Balkan Wars - Part 3 - The Hostilities - w/ Thomas777
Episode Date: February 20, 202460 MinutesPG-13Thomas777 is a revisionist historian and a fiction writer.Thomas joins Pete to continue a short series on the 1990s Balkan Wars. Thomas talks about the hostilities, Slobodan Milošević..., Franjo Tuđman, and others.Thomas' SubstackThomas' Book "Steelstorm Pt. 1"Thomas' Book "Steelstorm Pt. 2"Thomas on TwitterThomas' CashApp - $7homas777Get AutonomySupport Pete on His WebsitePete's PatreonPete's SubstackPete's SubscribestarPete's VenmoPete's Buy Me a CoffeePete on FacebookPete on TwitterBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-pete-quinones-show--6071361/support.
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back to the Pekanino show. Thomas is here and part three of the Balkans. How are you doing?
I'm doing well. Thanks for hosting me. Of course. Some people got upset thinking that I wasn't
telling the Serbian side of the story. I mean, that wasn't my intention at all. Like, I got
kind of irritated and I wasn't feeling very well.
So if I said some things that upset people, I mean in response to some of their
complaints, I wasn't trying to be obtuse.
The reason why I focused on the Croatian side is for a few reasons.
The whole reason on detra of what the State Department did, even after, even post-Bush and
Baker, albeit to the Clinton administration, like went about it in kind of an illiterate
way in terms of their rationale.
I mean, like the military in those days was still pretty, they had.
had their stuff together operationally.
But to understand why
Helmut Cole did what he did, understand
what the view was from Washington,
you've got to look at what the Croatians were doing.
Okay, that's why.
Today I'm going to take up what the Serbian case was
and why it was entirely misguided
for them to be accused of starting the war
because they absolutely didn't.
I mean, that's asked on any way to claim
that, you know, ethnic conflict
it's like a schoolyard fight and some party combatant.
It's always their fault.
That's not how things work.
And even though he, even though he doesn't gain a lot of sympathy, I mean, even from, like, his own people, like, I found Slobod on the Lozlovich to actually be quite a sympathetic figure.
What was done to him with the Hague, he was quite literally killed by being put on trial.
And, I mean, that was grotesque.
I've actually always considered myself to be pretty sympathetic to the Chetnik cause.
I mean, not because I find common cause with it, but I mean, I'm similar to that to anybody who, you know, whose ambition is to redress the historical grievances of their people in a way that guarantees their posterity in the future.
So today, we're going to get a little bit into like the Serbian situation as it was in 1991 and why, you know, Milosevic was basically somebody who was, he was the only as ahead of state, other than.
than Jarzelszzy, who doesn't really count.
He was the only communist functionary
who remained in an executive role
after the Inter-German Border Collapse,
which is interesting.
So this idea that he was some Arch Chetnik,
genocidal maniac,
I mean, that,
I mean, that's, that's just,
that's, that's a propaganda narrative anyway,
but, you know, were that,
were those his stripes,
I mean, he wouldn't, he wouldn't have enjoyed the posterity he did, which should be obvious.
But looking at some of that stuff today.
And hopefully people will realize I'm not, you know, trying to assign blame to any party combatant or any side.
I mean, I don't do that anyway.
I mean, there's rare, one of the reasons why the Ukraine situation is bizarre,
because it's a rare case of quite literally a conspiracy to provoke an irrational war.
That almost never happens, you know.
But even in that case, obviously, there's conditions on the ground that make that possible.
It's not just some sort of spontaneous contrivance or conspiratorial design made real,
because that's not how political affairs develop.
But the third Balkan War, Misha Glennie, he's a guy who I don't particularly
like. I mean, he's basically, he's kind of like a typical, like, globalist liberal, but
he did actually write about the only
epilogia for the Serbian people that got, like, mainstream
promotion, which is interesting. So,
he's more complicated than some of his declared positions on
sociological things would suggest.
he assigns the onset of the third Balkan war, which is what, you know, people in the West lump,
people in the West lump the Homeland War, like the Bosnian War and the Kosovo conflict into like one conflict.
I understand why they do that even if it's in complete shorthand for what really is, you know,
three discrete conflicts that derive from a common nexus of causality.
But something that shouldn't be controversial, June 25th, 1991, that's when hostilities arrived in the Balkans within the conflict cycle that is referred to as the third Balkan war in at least in Anglophone countries.
That was the date that the Republic of Slovenia, which led the charge towards secession, it wasn't the Croats initially.
I mean, I think they would have any way, I mean, it's an open-ended question, but they,
are the ones who took that step that there to fore, you know, Tujman for all of his talk of
creating a truly Croatian republic that, like, reflected, you know, the singular and
an exclusive culture, the Croatian people.
I mean, he didn't make that move, okay, until after the Slovenians declared independence.
after the Republic of Croatia did
the Yugoslav people's army
which was Serbian led
some people attacked me
for suggesting that the security apparatus
was Serb heavy
Yugoslav National Army was
it wasn't overwhelmingly Serbian but the majority
of general officers to the tune of about 60%
were ethnic Serbs like that they can't be denied
what their sympathies were
I mean that I can't tell you
I mean I'm sure it buried
I mean but the
the fact of their
majoritarian status can't be denied.
The Yugoslav army invaded Slovenia,
and that was really when the die was cast.
Now, the State Department claim,
as well as what was pontificated about
on the floor of the United Nations,
which in those days, on the heels of the Gulf War,
the UN still had clout,
which seemed strange today,
But there was this big hope that the UN was going to finally fulfill its intended function since the Cold War was over.
And now the reasoning was that decision making is no longer going to be colored by these kinds of strategic exigencies.
And now the sort of community of nation is going to emerge and work towards like a truly globalized collective security.
that's assinide in my opinion
for all kinds of reasons but that was the belief
and coming off of the Gulf War
which really even more something the Korean
War because I mean the Korean War the Soviets
were boycotting the Security Council
and so were a bunch of their client
states
like this
when a Bush's master strokes
was the Gulf
War and it wasn't just a
military operation
executed with Prussian efficiency
there was truly like
a quorum of
civilized nations as it were, including the then
still ex-exed Soviet Union.
So,
when things, what the hell in Yugoslavia,
everybody, whether, you know, from Berlin to
Paris to London to Tokyo,
to Washington was, oh, well, this is a UN matter.
We'll come to some sort of,
we'll come to some sort of, you know, solution there.
And we'll get into that in a minute.
But because, in my opinion,
conceptually, even people don't realize they're doing it.
And even that coterie of national leadership
that was in place in 1991 globally,
even the more sophisticated among them,
they were still sort of drunk on their own rhetoric,
which for decades by that point had been derived
from the judgment levied at Nuremberg.
They still were operating according to this idea that, well,
warfare has aggressors and victims.
or, you know, it has people who strike first and people are defending themselves.
So I think a genuine prejudice set in against the Chetnik cause for a lot of reasons.
But initially, the claim was, oh, you know, the U.S. law of people's army, that's a Serbian, that's a Serbian military force and all but name.
So when the U.S. Laugh National Army intervened in Slovenia, the claim was,
oh, this is an example of Serbia redentism,
you know, and that's,
that's what's causing all of this.
And, of course, Newsweek,
which in Time Magazine,
and all these kind of print media outlets,
which in those days, too,
I mean, this is when legacy media was argued in Zenith.
They started running these stories about, you know,
ethnic cleansing and mass rape in Bosnia.
And the framing of the narrative was,
well, this is all happening.
happening because of Serbia redentism.
You know, and Slobodam-Losevic is this
mad dictator, and the only way he's
hanging on to power is because he's
taken on a Chetnik guy's.
None of which makes any sense.
And for context,
at the beginning of 1991,
Yugoslavia, which still
existed, it was a federation of six
republics. It was
Serbia, Croatia, Slovenia, Bosnia, Herzegovina,
Montenegro, and Macedonia.
Plus, there's two autonomous
provinces, Voscelina and Kosovo.
The eight major ethnic populations that lived in those regions, they approximately
correspond in the political divisions of the Federation, and this was by design.
And in each region, each region could claim an ethnic concentration that
corresponded to their national signifier, but there were deep minority populations in
all of these loci.
Now, one big weakness in the narrative, I mean, there's many, okay, but one big weakness in the narrative of Serbs gone crazy is that not all Serbs lived in the geographic region arbitrarily designated Serbia.
There were 600,000 Serbs lived in Croatia.
The majority of these were urbanized, and it went so far as Tugeman, for all, I've got a lot of respect to Tujman, and for all of his sophistication.
as a statesman, and he wasn't military veteran, but he was basically an academic.
And he hung around, the Serbians he hung around were in Zagreb, or they were cosmopolitan types,
you know, who we'd met in, like, university life.
And there was, the urbanized Serbs in Zagreb, they had a symbiotic relationship with their
Croatian neighbors.
Like, how much of this owed to the fact that they were the minority, and when you're a
minority, you tow the line. That's
an open-ended question. But there was
even a portmanteau called
Herbie, which
it's a conflation
of Hervati,
which means Croats and Serbi,
which means Serbs. So this was like
a thing. All right.
But the core of
kind of
Serbian identity and patriotism
in Croatia
it was a rural
was concentrated
in broad swaths of the countryside
particularly in
Kenin or Canine
which is once
for context in the medieval period
that's like through like the Habsburg Europe
that's where Croatian kings were
coronated
okay it became a militant home of
Serb nationalism
okay it's very impoverished
people's fortunes and outcomes are very limited even today.
It's also on the path literally to Dalmatia,
which is essential.
It's a life's blood of Croatia and like the Balkans in general,
okay, for obvious reasons.
You know, that's the ingress and egress to the Adriatic Sea.
these rural Serbs really for the I mean they
these were the guys who were then elderly and the descendants of guys who'd
fought with you know then the hail of its Chetniks
you know like they didn't suddenly become cosmopolins who wanted to live in some
Croatian republic and Tugman
now mind you he's a guy who came up through that Tito was the apparatus
so it's not like he was like some arch-Ustash
or something and he wasn't a fascist
despite what people claimed
in Belgrade and what a lot of left
wangers claimed in Germany and elsewhere.
But he did
draw upon a lot of Oostashe's symbols
and he did say like
we're not going to run from our, like, you know, from our
heritage in the independent state of Croatia.
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You know, basically people who said they wanted something to disavow the state.
He's like, fuck you.
and uh you know um
the two of my regime started doing things
you know like only conducting official business in the western alphabet
okay serbs use Cyrillic and this isn't a small thing
okay like even if you speak the same
common language you know even a dialect that's pretty similar
if suddenly if suddenly you go outside and like
you know the government's not conducting business in an alphabet you can read
you're going to feel pretty fucking marginalized.
You know, and even beyond that,
like symbolically, it,
it made the Serbs feel not just profoundly disrespected,
but when you consider that an active war was on,
you know, the Slovenes,
as well as,
as well as both the Bosnian cross and the Bosni acts,
you know, the Bosnian Muslims,
who in the next episode will get into their story a bit.
if that's agreeable.
You know, they were looking around themselves saying, like,
there's, there's, there's, there's, there's, there's, there's, there's, there's,
hypothetical anymore.
There's a shooting war going on between ethnic secessionists and a Uislav army, which at least
at the general officer level is majoritarian serve.
And Tujman now was saying that Croatia's a state, exclusively for the Croatian people,
um, the only democracy that's valid.
And Tuchman did run a, um, a democracy.
There were contested elections. That's an arguable. However, as a matter of constitutional mandate, you know, the newly independent of Croatia was exclusively Croatian.
You know, and if you didn't identify that way, you better start. Otherwise, you know, you're not one of us.
And they jump from that in the wake of a Rosson Creek, which has actually already jumped off, albeit in a different theater, but still.
you know, local to where you live,
you're going to realize that you could very well find yourself ethnically cleansed.
And the guys pointing the banning it at you could be guys who you were totally at peace with,
you know, a year ago or a month ago or a day ago, you know.
And people think that's not possible.
Like even in America, obviously I'm not comparing the two situations,
but like when the Floyd bullshit jumped off,
that's right before I got off probation.
like right before I got back on the internet
and I was like
I was living in this like ghetto YMCA
that was like 80% black
and I was like okay with those guys
but I realized like at the worst of it
I'm like you know
if things get like really bad
like these guys aren't gonna be my friend
you know like and it's
I think most people don't think that way
in this country and I mean I'm a minority here
I mean thankfully not in my town
but in the municipality I'm like a minority of one
but I mean so this idea
that, oh, those people just went crazy, like, your neighbors wouldn't fucking whack you. Yeah, they would.
I mean, like, even here, let alone in a place, things are bad enough. You know, I'm not saying
people should be paranoid or something or, you know, order mac and cheese buckets from Alex Jones
and, you know, pretend that a fucking apocalypse is coming. But this idea that, you know,
politics can't turn on you because, oh, we, there was some kind of concord with my neighbors
and they like me. Like, that's, all bits are off and, and, and, and, and, and a, in a, and a, in a,
Krieger or whatever equivalent is.
You know, so that's, that's basically,
that's basically what the perception was.
In Yugoslavia, like a lot of the satellite states,
you know, one of the reasons why East Berlin was so important to the Warsaw Pact,
it wasn't just because that was, you know, the westernmost frontier, the communist world.
It was because of the communists, especially because of their pretensions about, you know,
the industrial proletariat
and the degree to which they relied
upon these intellectual
university types
to kind of facilitate the program
you know they
they really
it's like the countryside like didn't exist to them
you know and even people like
Tujman even though in Yugoslavia
I don't believe
Titoism was ever a doctrine or kind of Marxist
Leninism but it definitely
the political culture
definitely was similar in terms of it
blind spots and these guys it's like even in a small country you know it's like it's like the
countryside we know where you know 600,000 Serbs live you know who view life and the ethnic
situation the same way they did in 1941 it's like this didn't exist because like oh here in
Zagreb you know we were all the same and our serb neighbors you know they might have funny customs
to go to the wrong church but they can learn to be Croatian ha ha like there really is something to
that and um
you know that that really can't be overstated um you know the uh so it was basically in canine or kinine and um basically what became the secessionist kraina serve republic this is where the this is where the croats actually could not afford if there to be some kind of
iridescent
Serbian movement or some kind of
mobilized chittinic response to
what Zagreb was doing. That's the last
place they could afford this to happen.
And that's absolutely where it did happen.
And there's also going to be the toughest Serbs
who live in Croatia. That's where they lived.
You know,
um,
the,
uh,
so in the first months at Tujamon's
election, um,
and again, I emphasize that Tudemann was elected.
You're going to say,
You know, it's kind of like,
people have become less friendly to Croatia,
the Croatia of history
in academic treatments, you know,
now that we're like 30 years out.
You know, they're increasingly casting Tudjaman as somebody
dictator. I mean, the Croatian system
of this day is a strongly presidential system,
but Tujman was elected president
in a normal election.
You know, you can't, you can't,
just like you can't claim, you know,
that like Russia is not a democracy.
I mean, Croatia's a Democratic as any other country on Earth, okay?
And it was in 1991, as it is today.
You know, and the lead up to Tuchman's election, again, it was its academic university friends
who not only ran his campaign and sort of integrated his platform and his optics into a modern media apparatus,
of the kind that, you know, existed in the West.
But these are the guys who were advising him on policy also.
You know, and what he needed, I mean, frankly, he needed the defectors from the U.S.
I of National Army who knew the situation in the military apparatus, as it stood then, not 20 years ago.
You know, he needed guys who could tell him what the situation was on the ground, you know, in the countryside.
where, you know, when war came, I mean, that's not only where it's decided, but that's,
that's what Croatia would have to capture in order to remain viable as a state.
And there was also two, the local cadres that facilitated Tuchman's ascendancy.
In contrast to the people who constituted his cabinet,
a lot of these guys were probably
what would be viewed
under normal conditions as extreme.
You know, there were guys who for years
or for decades in some cases that they were middle-aged,
there were guys who'd basically been like carrying the torch
of, of Croat nationalism,
you know, inviting their time until
the Titoist regime could be torn down.
These guys had a basic antipathy to serves.
Like, they can't be denied.
you know, so if your ground organization are basically guys who hate Serbs anyway,
it doesn't matter what your control group is saying.
It doesn't matter what Tujman, you know, playing Mellow Academic is talking about
a conciliatory posture between populations.
You know, I mean, it's not, it's not something.
It's not something that's going to resolve in anything but a violent separation.
Now, I mean, again, like, nobody's an auger, and I think key political figures, even people who had a better understanding,
or more realistic understanding of the situation, than perhaps Tuchemont himself did, they couldn't have foreseen the extent of the differences in, like, the degree of the division.
and the kind of hostility just beneath the surface, like coming from both sides.
And when Tuchman won the 1990 election, what he should have done, regardless of what he intended in terms of, you know, making the civic apparatus, you know, a truly national, democratically, exclusively, crud apparatus.
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Like he absolutely should not have done anything provocative until it was clear where the cards were going to fall in terms of succession and what the response in Belgrade was going to be.
But in the same time, too, this is a 2020 hindsight.
And even in a relatively unfree country, which Croatia was not again, but even under conditions where an executive doesn't have to abide some sort of direct ballot mandate.
I mean, every, every chief executive is bound by the tenor of the opinion in the body politic.
You know, so, I mean, I, Tudemont wasn't part of being kind of carried on a current of, of zeitgeist, that probably was irrepressible.
And there's also, I mean, there's always, there's always something of, I mean, as you know, because of where you live now, and
compared to
the locale of your birth
and upbringing, there's always some kind
of disdain that the city has for the country.
Like all these people, they're just
simple fucking people. Like, they're
passive, they're going to tolerate whatever we kind of
put on them. Like, that's never the case.
You know, and
particularly not
when there's
a tradition of partisanship
that breaks down
rigidly on ethnic lines. I mean, like
there wasn't
Croatia. But, you know, again, a lot of this, I think, is out of, I mean, I'm a Higelian, a lot of this is out of
hands. Um, you know, and it's also the, uh, one thing people did say at the time, and, you know,
Tito himself was a Croat, and he successfully suppressed Serb-Croat enmity during the totality
of his rule. But I mean, I think that's misguided too, man. I mean, one of the things is Tito,
he derived his mandate not from the fact that Croats had served suddenly decided they love one
another. It's because the genius of Tito was he found a way to keep both Uncle Sam and the Soviets
out, you know, and I mean, even the most kind of sectarian-minded,
ethnically chauvinistic-minded
Croat or Serb
or Bosniak
would realize that, you know,
within this paradigm, you know, we stand together
or we at least tolerate the situation as it is
or we all die.
You know, I don't think that's entirely fair.
You know, and there was other things too.
I mean, this was documented.
It wasn't just propping from Belgrade,
like upon the ascendancy of
upon a two time's election, there was like a
mass demotion and termination
as serbs from high and intermediate
government positions.
You know,
literary Croat
literary Croatian.
It had to be spoken in administrative positions
of officialdom. It wasn't just the Western
alphabet had to be used by everybody, but
you were basically prohibited from
speaking with a Serbian accent. I mean,
that's
stuff like that
as a flex
you know
I mean it doesn't
um
there's no other way
to characterize it
um
and the um
the failed
uh
conflict resolution model again
um
I mean frankly
uh
however
misguided
in terms of the assumptions
people held
in 1991
about the potentiality
of a truly
sort of a global collective security
at least thank God
it was that coterie
at Department of State
and not this current
crop of insane sinous
and out and out
mental sub-normals
I can't even imagine what that would play out
but the um
the big believe it or not
the big question
was on the UN General Assembly
and the Security Council
like is this
an international conflict or is it a civil war?
And that significance was key, okay?
Because the United Nations misguided as it may have been, you know, philosophically
to suggest that such a thing could be viable.
The charter was written with an eye for restraint in part because, you know, obviously
Stalin's representatives had to be placated.
And ironically, you know, as Yaqui pointed out again and again, I mean, it actually had the effect of imposing restraint upon Washington dominating the world and facilitating its social engineering regime and the office of the collective security.
But the UN General Assembly, they had no grounds to vote a resolution on a civil war as regards, you know, sanctioning the party combatants or directly, or the, and, you know,
UN security accounts led no grounds to intervene, you know, unless there was an international
dimension to the conflict.
You know, it would be suggested by people, one of the reasons why in the era everybody
loved to bandied genocide and accused people he didn't like of permitting it.
This is arguably the genocide convention superseded the UN charter as a de jure
grounds for intervention.
If one accepts international law paradigms as legitimate.
But obviously, in 1991, it wasn't credible to talk that way.
I mean, it wasn't particularly in subsequent years, but you can't levy it.
You can't levy an accusation of genocide within, like, ones to the onset of hostilities.
Like, it'd obviously be a propaganda, glory.
But, you know, Belgrade, which Belgrade at the time, it was, and really until the conclusion of us,
hostilities, the Serbians identified as the Union of, you know, the
U.S. Lovian Union of Serbia and Montenegro. You know, they never claimed, like,
oh, we are Serbia where, you know, we're creating, you know, like an ethno-national state of
Serbians mirroring Tujman. They claim Yugoslavia is, you know, where the U.S.
in government and secession is against the law.
These people are engaged in,
they're waging war on the sovereign government of Yugoslavia,
you know, which is,
which is,
which is, which is both illegal and as well as an internal affair.
You know,
um,
and that was key.
The, uh,
until the end, the
official position of Belgrade was that this is a civil war.
You know,
and,
Yugoslavia never ceased to exist, you know, and the people are claiming that it's a dead letter that Yugoslavia is
kaput are fascists who have, you know, a racialized view of high politics.
Like over dishonest that may have been, depending on your perspective, I mean, it was, you know, Serbia never succeeded.
Serbia never claimed that the Yugoslavian constitution was null in void.
that were we constituting as a Serb Republic.
Crayina did constitute itself as the Republic of Serbia.
But, you know, this is important.
It's not just legalese.
It had real war and peace and tactfulness.
But it's also the, I mean, the key shortcoming of the United Nations in executive terms.
And aside from the fact, however much,
philosophically, these things aren't viable.
I mean, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, we're going to, what, what, what, the United States, um,
been able to explicate how this works. And even in situations, like in Lebanon after 82, where the United
nation deploys. The United Nations
deploy permissively because all party
combatants allow it to deploy.
You know what I mean? It's not, you know, you can't
speak of international law when it's
when categorically it can't be compulsory.
So it's sort of paralysis set
in, but it's also
there's a broader problem
that we touched on in the first episode.
If the UN had come out and said this is
an international conflict,
Just in absolute terms.
It's not a civil war.
You know, that would have, at this time,
there was still a truly conciliatory posture
towards the Soviet Union,
which was about to dissolve, albeit.
But saying suddenly, this is Croatia versus Serbia,
with Bosnia caught in the middle,
and the Bosniaks kind of just trying to survive.
It's like, well, Cole already immediately recognized
the independent state of Croatia, you'd essentially be sowing the seeds of a wider ethnic
conflict between Germany and Russia, like each backing their client regime, and a sort of
of a zero-sum paradigm developing. I think that was underway anyway, but again, you've got to put
yourself in year 1991. You know, this wasn't accepted thinking. The idea,
was that this is sort of a blip on the path to, you know, a global collective security arrangement.
People are still seriously talking about the Bush Baker model of we're going to, we're going to total, the Soviet Union is going to totally disarm its strategic nuclear forces and draw down its conventional forces to bimer levels.
And like, we're going to, we're going to, we're going to, we're going to, we're going to, we're going to withdraw from Germany and like, NATO basically isn't going to exist anymore.
Like, this was the way people were thinking, not just.
talking. So that's important to consider.
You know, and again, the, if,
I think some of the, I think some of what was alleged in terms of
ethnic cleansing and mass rape, it like organized, like,
sexual violence, some of that was overstated. Some of it was not, okay?
I'm reluctant to use the term war crimes
because it's that bandied so much
to the floating signifier
has become meaningless
but there is direct testimony
that I
from
you know
NCOs and junior officers
who were witness to these events
and they had no reason to lie about it
and every reason to deny it
and I find that testimony persuades
and these weren't guys to themselves
were under indictment you know
and I think
anybody doesn't believe those kinds of things happen in a ross and crees being naive.
And I think everybody agrees that that kind of stuff is horrible.
But again, it's like, what do you, it's never been clear with the people who claim that
the UN should have, quote, done something.
So, like, what do you do?
You know, you deploy the combined arms and assault the U.S.
army.
So, like, now you're at war with Serbia.
Like, I don't know.
You have this idea that somehow you can enter a combat zone, like an active conflict zone.
you know, with combined arms and be like the police or something and people stop what they're doing.
You know, like you just become a party combatant when you do that.
You know, you're joining a gunfight that you didn't have to.
You know, and that's basically it.
You know, it doesn't, there's not, there's not, there's not, there's not some equitable resolution because, oh, they represent the United Nations.
You know, it's preposterous.
Now, there was a claim, Bosnia-Herzegovina, which I think everybody will agree was on the receiving end of the worst excesses by all party combatants.
Under Article 25 of the UN Charter, member states can vote to intervene.
in a conflict zone where to not intervene would be inconsistent with the fundamental protection of human rights and things of this sort.
The language is ambiguous, but the fact of the situation in Bosnia were arguably there was no majoritarian ethnos.
And even if you disagreed with the idea that, you know, the Yugoslavian, the Balkan, the Third Balkan War was an international conflict.
obviously whatever government had
could be said to exist in Bosnia's
totally broken down
that would have been the best case
if you were going to rely upon
United Nations
legal rationales to intervene
but again like what would
that force have been made up of
you're going to send like the Bundesphere in there
so he got like a German army you know marching in
or the opposite of the UN saying oh but we're here
you know to represent all nations
you're going to have the Russians a piece of that
you know again like the
the degree to which
real politic
emerged in earnest of a
sort that was somewhat more complicated than during the
Cold War just in terms of
that kind of conflict diets potentially that were
emergent like that can't be overstated too
I mean so then it's some of you're left with
like even if the political will is there
even if there's some sort of
operational
roadmap
to
resolve or
you know to enforce a ceasefire
like who do you deploy you're gonna get a bunch
you're gonna get a bunch of like third world like
dealisters from like Ecuador
or uh
to you know to
to police Bosnia I mean that's
on some level
um
you know
there was kind of a hard lesson
driven home
about what a foolish
move it was the
destroy Europe and kind of like robbed
its constituent states, the sovereignty.
Because when something like this happens,
like you need
Hasbro-Empire to intervene, or you need a Germany
intervene, or you needed Germany and a Russia
to intervene and kind of
decide among themselves
what sphere of influences.
You know, people can say all they want.
Like, well, that doesn't matter if we're talking about
the rule of law. It absolutely does matter.
You know, because like, the human
dimension always matters, and we're talking about human
affairs. So,
it was this kind of paralysis
that just dragged on
and Lawrence Eagleberger
I'm actually more sympathetic to it than a lot of people
I mean I'm more sympathetic to him as a man
I mean he's dead now but
and as well I'm more sympathetic to him
than a lot of the Holy Poloy
say nasty things about him not unlike that
Kissinger but
he was under secretary
of state
for a time
in the Bush 41 administration
he said immediately the onset of hostilities,
look, you've got to let this conflict cycle punch itself out
because if you intervene, you're just going to upset the balance, you're going to drag out hostilities.
You know, and there isn't a solution.
Basically, you know, the new Croatia and the new Serbia and whatever the fate of Bosnia,
it's going to be decided on the battlefield.
And obviously he was, you know, raked over the colds and media, like, oh, how dare you say?
this, you're encouraging mass rape and genocide.
I mean, no, actually, exactly what Eagle River said, like, ended up happening in 91 and 95.
America intervened the facilitated Operation Storm, which was the Croatian liberation of the
Kriena, which, you know, was the belated victory in the homeland war for Croatia.
But that was, that was only the, that was only, that was, America facilitated that by use of a PMC outfit called MPRI, which was incorporated essentially for that purpose, you know, for an operation in Croatia.
which is very interesting
and in the final episode we'll get into that
but
basically
you know for all the talk
about what Evoberger was saying was
was horrifically callous
I mean that what it came down to was
what resolved the conflict
the 91-995
conflict cycle was exactly what he said
you know the party combatants exhausted
their ability to wage
war.
And
battlefield victory in
Crayina, albeit with
you know, American
assistance is what resolved for all time.
The disputed,
or the contested
objective
that was Criena.
I hope
people will back off a bit. I'm saying that I hate
Serbs or I'm saying bad things about them
or that I've got
got some conceptual bias and favor for Asia.
We should talk a little bit of sloping down.
I mean, it's in a lot of people's lifetimes.
Yeah, and I understand why if I was a Serbian and I was in America or the UK,
like I feel very much like a population designated for hostility.
You know, I understand that completely. Okay, but um
I don't think people...
One of the reason I focus so much on the Third Reich
is because
the international system
and the entire sort of conceptual horizon
that's been crafted around
World War II,
you've got to deal with the Third Reich
as sort of like the primary, like,
agent, like in that narrative.
Okay?
So I'm not just like fixated on these things.
At a smaller scale,
if you're talking about
the Yugoslavian wars
or what
you know
the um
the third Balkan war
at least the 91 95 phase
that led to the creation of
an independent Croatia
like you've got to deal with the Croatian
political culture and what
and basically you know
what the West's view of Croatia was
and what Tuchman was doing
that's what was the dispositive variable
okay so I begin with
discussing their Croatian situation.
Also, because
Croats are like German
adjacent and thus like Western adjacent,
I frankly know more about them
than I do Serbians, but
in my defense,
again,
what was happening in Zagreb
and
it wasn't the sole proximate
cause of the conflict, but it was
the essential cause, okay?
What Croatia did,
decided the course of the war and the ultimately became the political resolution like where like when
the shootings stopped you know the the frontiers were established and accepted it wasn't what
Slovenia or Macedonia was doing it wasn't what the Bosniaks were doing like those things had
the impact but again like that's why so um I mean I would have dealt with the Serbian
perspective anyway but I thought it was especially imperative um
do so for for that reason.
But, um,
Milosevic himself,
I mean, again, he was,
it was a career communist separat chick.
He rose to
a general
secretary position or equivalent
around 1987.
And actually, the late
Reagan administration looked at him as their guy.
Like he was going to be like this big liberalizer.
Like he was basically like you, he was supposed to be like
the Yugoslavia and Gorbachev.
Okay.
Um,
that's one of the ways he got
swept into power
was able to consolidate his authority
the way that he did.
You know, like, so this, like, this kind of,
this ex post facto rationalization,
you know, that really began in earnest
in 91 and kind of just went,
became totally irrational and punitive
during the Clinton regime.
That Volosevic is like this madman like Chetnik.
Like, that's completely at odds with reality and history.
Like, the, he, he, he, he, he,
he, he, he, he, he,
he was this big like liberal moderate
that's how he enjoyed the kind of patronage that he did.
And honestly,
you know,
Milosovich's fall from grace and power
within his own country.
Kostunisha
was elected president
on October 5, 2000.
And part of the big
reason why Kostunica
or Kostunichia
forgive me if I'm
picturing the pronunciation
one of the big reasons why
he was able to break through
is because he was a Serb nationalist
and Milosevic, the big criticism of Milosevic
within Serbia was
he turned his back on the Serbian refugees
he didn't care about our people
you know, he didn't fight hard enough
for the coast of our Serbs
you know like he wasn't this big
Chetnik, you know, like he was basically
pragmatic and
um
this claim
that, you know, most of the grossest excesses, wherever one falls in their sympathy or background
or whatever, I don't think anyone would disagree that the worst excesses carried out by all
party combatants took place in Bosnia. Okay. And the idea that from Belgrade, Milosevic was
somehow directing, like, the Bosnian Serbs to do his bidding. Like, it's just not, I mean, it's
not the way command authority works in a modern state. But it's also, like, like,
Like the Bosnian stirs might as well have been in a different country.
Okay.
Like, I'm not saying that, you know, the, the affinity that their co-ethics had for them was misplaced.
I'm not saying that at all.
Like, it was not misplaced.
But the point is, it was almost, it was a totally, it was a totally different socio-political political situation.
You know, like it'd be, um, it'd be, it'd be like saying like Jefferson Davis was, like, was ordering buddy Bill Anderson to do things.
I mean, that's like, it sounds asinine, but the claim that I just raised is as
asinine, and people accepted this as, oh, Volosovich's as a bad guy.
And, like, again, I think, I think something that's just like, you know, the propaganda
being distilled down into the most kind of idiot's caricature of reality.
But it's also, you know, the problem with assigning legalist, legalisms,
and legalism
legalist paradigms and legalisms
the high politics
as was done at Nuremberg is
it creates these perverse
sort of narratives where there's
there's command authorities
who are bad actors
you know and they're the proximate
cause of conflict and everybody
within that chain of command is accountable
to this bad actor like this is just not
reality
you know
the
I guarantee you
that some of them was
hardened Shetniks in
Krayna
and in Bosnia and probably never
even heard most of it speak in their lives
like even on the radio
you know like he had nothing to do with their
conceptual horizon other than he was
like this remote like boss who
in Delgrade who yeah we like
that he's Serbian but other than that
you know it's ridiculous
you know um
and it's also too
I mean basically
if you look at the model
Serbian state under Milosevic and now and you look at the modern Croatian state under
Tudjman and now like basically everything they're suggested to be this kind of like a horrible
undemocratic feature of Serbia or what they called Yugoslavia after the secession of Croatia
and Slovenia I mean those are basically features common
into Croatia, you know,
there's what we would consider
a basically chauvinist,
you know, nationalism
that, you know, characterized
the party politics.
There's a basic, this trust of
pluralism and
casting
candidates who talked about, like, you know,
a multi-ethnic
Croatia were
viewed as traitors.
You know, bad relations
with the West,
and admittedly they had more to do with what the West was doing than what Serbia and Croatia were doing.
But, you know, consistent economic stagnation, you know, reliance on subsidies and, you know, a handful of kind of key, like, national industries.
I mean, this is like everything they say about Serbia, like, being dysfunctional is like a mirror image of the reality in Croatia.
So, I mean, there's that, too.
Like, I, I mean, I'm not saying it to be punitive.
I got, I think the Croatans serves are both great people.
and I respect the fact that they've resisted, you know, the social engineering regime as staunch as they have.
But you can't cast Serbia in this light but say, oh, but Croatia's not like that, because they're basically mirrors of each other, like, structurally.
You know, and frankly, Tujman, he was a lot different than Milosevic, like, in terms of his character and in terms of, like his background, like we talked about in the first episode.
but he in terms of
he was no more autocratic than
Milosevic was like arguably
I mean Tujman once the war kicked off
I yes Tudemann was elected
yes there were fair elections in
Croatia but I don't think he could
have been removed like during us
you know the state of active war
okay arguably he was like more
like Milosvich was more susceptible
you know to like removal
by due process than Tudemann was
so there's that too like you can't
this attempt to like other
like the Serbians is
bullshit. Okay. And I mean
I
thought that I conveyed that clearly
in our previous discussions, but because
apparently I didn't, I wanted
our Serbian or Orthodox friends to know that
I take that very seriously.
And I'm not disdaining
them or their considerations.
But it's also, too,
one of the reasons why Milosevic, in his
favor, one of the reasons why
he enjoyed the
the incumbent seated for 13 years.
You know, like, he did implement a market economy in a way that didn't completely crash the
country, you know, unlike Yeltsin, for example.
He did tolerate multi-party elections.
I mean, admittedly, like, the political culture was exclusively, you know, kind of like
Serb-centric.
But, I mean, again, that's appropriate in a national democracy.
there was an actual opposition.
You know, they did have media access.
I mean, this wasn't like all the kind of poll stars
that these NGO types claim, like, constitute, you know,
like a democratic state we approve of, like he met those.
Okay, I mean, Serbia is a hell of a lot more free than Israel is.
I'll tell you that much.
I mean, if that's, you know, if that's any, if that's the Metro.
you know, you can't, you can't claim that it was, it was like Saddam's Iraq or, or like, it was this dictatorship or something.
You know, I mean, it basically, one of the reasons why, again, like Reagan's people and then Bush's people, initially, Milosevic was their guy.
It's because he was basically doing, he was basically acting like a, like a post-communist, the, like, European politician is supposed to act.
You know, um, so this, the, the fact.
fact he was hailed into the hague.
You know, I think, but, you know, he, he, he died when he was on trial, and I, but I, I thought
he acquitted himself very honorably.
You know, I, like, well, and we'll get into that in the, um, in the bookend episode.
Um, I think, uh, it's about all I got for today. Like, frankly, I, I don't mean to be a, I don't mean to be a, uh, uh,
and F-A or P-H-A-G-D-O-T, but I'm in a lot of pain right now.
No problem.
Go ahead, I'm sorry.
Yeah, no problem at all.
Just hit up whatever you want to promote, and, yeah, we'll get out of here.
Oh, that's great.
Thank you, Pete.
You can find me on SubstacREAL-Thomas-777.com.
I'm having a report, too, Anilipil Publishing.
They're dear friends of mine, and they publish some really incredible books.
and I hope to pose with them in the future.
But I'm participating in their creators program
whereby if you enter my code
when you order from Anilop Press,
regardless of the size of the order, you get 5% off.
The code is lowercase, 3, T-H-R-E-E,
7 S-E-V-E-N number 5.
And not only you get 5% off,
but like I get a kickback from that too
that helps my brand, so just keep that in mind.
You can find all the info on the substack.
I posted up a little piece about it.
You can find me on Twitter
at Real, capital, R-E-A-L-R-E-A-L-U-S-S-7777.
You can always find me on my website.
site, it's Thomas 777.com. That's number seven, H-1AS, 777.com. You can find me on YouTube
at Thomas TV, number seven, HMAS TV. I'm uploading some videos I shoot, just kind of like out
and about and with some of the people I talk to and things. So that's going to, I'm hoping that's
going to pop a little more as I upload more stuff, but that's what I got. All right, until the next time.
Thank you.
