The Pete Quiñones Show - Post-Nuremberg Russian-Syrian Relations with Thomas777 - Complete
Episode Date: February 18, 2025Relevant to my most recent Substack and Inquisition Episode - Pete2 Hours and 55 MinutesPG-13This is the complete audio of Thomas777 talking about Soviet/Russia-Syrian relations post-WW2.Thomas' Subst...ackRadio Free Chicago - T777 and J BurdenThomas777 MerchandiseThomas' Book "Steelstorm Pt. 1"Thomas' Book "Steelstorm Pt. 2"Thomas on TwitterThomas' CashApp - $7homas777Pete and Thomas777 'At the Movies'Support Pete on His WebsitePete's PatreonPete's SubstackPete's SubscribestarPete's GUMROADPete's VenmoPete's Buy Me a CoffeePete on FacebookPete on TwitterBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-pete-quinones-show--6071361/support.
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I want to welcome everyone back to the Pekingana show.
Thomas is right back.
Two episodes in a row with Thomas.
We are blessed.
How you doing, Thomas?
I'm doing well, thank you.
I'm glad people.
Well, we're suffering Thomas overdose, I guess.
But yeah.
I don't think that's possible.
All right.
So the last time we recorded, you had mentioned, we were talking about Russia.
You had mentioned Russian-Syrian relations.
And I'm just obsessed with Syria have been for a while now.
I got kicked off a podcast ones for saying that Assad was probably one of the best leaders in the world right now.
And when you look at the post-Norimberg order,
these are two countries that you're supposed to hate.
So I have great interest in them,
and you have information on their relations
since this order kicked off and want to hear about that.
So start anywhere you want.
Yeah, I mean, there's two variables
that even people who are generally dissident adjacent
don't fully grasp
regarding the relationship between Russia and Syria.
Syria's got outsized significance for a small country
for a lot of reasons, okay?
Some of those are cultural, some of those are geostrategic.
You know, some of them owe to the kind of peculiar
circumstances that
Syrian people, who are unique
people, it's not just
some kind of
chauvinistic mythology that the Syrians themselves
promote.
You know, they
view themselves as very much the airs,
kind of like the Hellenic tradition.
You know?
But in the case of the Soviet Union
and then Russia,
you know, a major component
of the Cold War was
the ability to index with both developing societies as well as well as well established
national cultures in a meaningful way you were basically like selling your culture okay and the
case of the Russians stuff like this was deeply historical in a way it wasn't for America I
mean for reasons that I think are fairly obvious you know like what America had is kind of
its selling point to be kind of basic about it, you know, was a technology, a model for prosperity,
you know, an opportunity to kind of align oneself with what appeared to be the superpower that
had kind of like the momentum of history and kind of the glamour and prestige of what is new behind it.
the Russians really, I mean, maybe this is somewhat ironic,
considering the kind of dictates of Marxist Leninism.
You know, the Russians really kind of sold the Soviet Union,
and the Russians today kind of like sell their diplomacy
in terms of, you know, like them representing a deep and powerful heritage.
Okay.
And as I'm sure people have noticed, there's been something of an orthodox,
resurgence, which is really interesting.
That very much owes
the kind of like United Russia and not just
Putin himself. I don't think it's particularly religious.
But that owes very much to kind of the
Russian public diplomacy.
And I mean, there's historical and zeitgeist variables.
Obviously, they facilitate it. But, you know,
Syria is very much part of that. Okay.
You know, after
I'm jumping around a bit.
but bear with me.
I cite
1999 is the year
when not only did kind of the
the neo-conservative
faction truly triumph in foreign
policy corridors, but that's
also when the Bush-Baker
Concord that they
established with Moscow, which is like
shattered for all time.
And what shattered it was
like the unprovoked and like
blatantly irrational attack on Serbia.
Because, I mean,
Serbia is the Russian Federation and like the Russian nation kind of what Croatia is to Germany,
but even more like deeply felt. Because obviously, you know, there's a, there's a, there's a,
there's a, there's a, there's a, there's a, there's a, among Russian people that there's not
as part of it. But, you know, when, when NATO assaulted Serbia, it, it was, it was like,
it was kind of like viewed as like an assault on Byzantium.
itself, okay? Now, Syria obviously is very diverse in sectarian terms. However, there's a tremendous
amount of orthodox artifacts of Orthodox lore in Syria, you know, and I believe, although
cultural anthropologists and religious scholars will disagree on this somewhat, I believe that
Alloites are occulted Christians, okay?
Even if they're not, they're very much adjacent Oriental Christianity,
which itself is very, very, indexes very tightly with Orthodoxy, okay?
So there's something of a special relationship between Russia and Syria anyway.
And not to be, I mean, crap.
isn't the word, like, not to be, like, overly simplistic about it or not to, like, fetishize, you know,
um, racial matters. But I mean, if you look at, if you look at the Syrian, uh, kind of like
ruling cadre, al-Awhite or Muslim, I mean, these look like white people, okay? That's not like some,
that's not just like their, it's not, that's not, that's not telemundo optics. That's not some
accident, you know, traditionally everybody kind of viewed like the 11thine Arabs and especially,
you know, like the Alawites and the Christians is like basically like not a Western people,
but like a civilized people. So trying to cast the Syrians as like they're a bunch of like
Bedouin like Salafis or something is totally bizarre. Like that's that's like saying like the
Japanese or a bunch of like primitive like cave dwellers or something. Like it's really,
it's really, really ignorant, but it's also just like totally at odds with kind of how
how Near Eastern cultures sort of like index with the West and with Russia, which isn't the
West, but which is, you know, a powerful, a powerful cultural force to this day, although
obviously not, not know it at the same degree as it's kind of anglophone societies and
and moors have um formative power but there's a lot here and if you want to like if you want to
understand like why the syrian war also like syrian civil war like cut so deep in the minds of
zionists like um russia's been at war with israel for decades like intermittently okay and a lot of that
derives from Israel's ongoing conflict with Syria.
You know, as we'll get into, like, Russian forces literally went into action against the IDF.
There was a huge dogfight over the Suez Canal between Soviet Migs and, like, Israeli F-4s and Mirage fighters.
I'm talking like the largest, like aerial and gate, like, larger than anything I happen over Vietnam.
This was, like, a general war between the Soviet Union and Israel.
Okay.
This is why the 1973
crisis was so dangerous.
You know, like I'm always saying, that's what the Nixon quotes and Nixon tapes
where he says, like, you know, we can't blow up the damn world for these people.
Like these people, meaning the Israelis, that's what he's talking about.
Okay.
It wasn't just an ordinary matter of Cold War proxy battle that kind of got out of control.
you know
I think we should get a little bit into
like Jewish-Russian relations
just to kind of recap
if that's not going to derail
the conversation too much
this might have to be like a two-part thing if that's agreeable
no problem at all
okay and I know that we've dealt somewhat with
um
in Russo-Jewish relations before
but let me give like a brief like a little background okay and um stop me if i'm i'm kind of becoming too
tangential um like for context by the turn of the 20th century like by 1900
the majority of european jury like as we think of it or like lived in the russian empire
there was about eight eight point between 8.5 and 8.7 million like europe
European Jews, over
5 million of those people lived in the Russian
Empire. They constituted about 4%
of the total population of the Russian Empire.
And about 90% of that population,
they lived in the pale of settlement,
you know, to which they were largely restricted
there. You know, like going to both law and custom.
Okay?
Like, we got the
and all but about like three to five percent.
I've heard varying statistics.
I rely on Hana Arendt for a lot of this because I
don't think people can, I mean, people try to impeach her credibility all the time,
but like serious people don't, you know, really
attempt to suggest that she's not, wasn't a credible scholar.
But, um,
close to, close to 97% of these, these Jewish people in the palest settlement.
Or it works as like middlemen of a sort, okay, in commodities.
You know, like, it was like literally like the converse, like this funny converse of, of like the Russian Orthodox peasant population where like the majority of them were farmers.
You know, like virtually, virtually no, virtually none of the people in the pale settlement were farmers or factory workers.
the primary role of these pale settlement Jews
they bought
shift resold local produce
they provided
commodities on credit
to provide a basic
like security
to
the standing crops as well as
you know like more more speculative
endeavors
they're involved in
estate management, you know, and leasing, you know, they held the deed or the title to a lot of
productive capital, you know, tanneries, distilleries, like sugar mills, like granaries,
and, like, taverns and inns, which the latter were, like, heavily indexed with the government
because there was, the government had in a lot of these Eastern European kingdoms and states,
like a monopoly on liquor production and things.
I mean, it's complicated.
But, you know,
they were disproportionately represented in the professional services,
namely as doctors and pharmacists,
which obviously had some prestige behind it.
I mean, it's like today it doesn't really,
but in those days it really did.
You know,
and there was a this became an issue during the second world war as like ethnic cleansing began in earnest
I mean between various populations but there's a lot of Jewish artisans you know like Taylor,
shoemakers, guys who understood like metals not a work metals you know
specialized jewelers and watchmakers these guys were overwhelmingly Jewish and especially in rural environments
You know, as I think we got into before to these people, the Russian Jews and the Russian peasantry, they lived in absolutely segregated quarters.
Like, the Jews spoke Yiddish.
You know, they wore distinctive clothes.
They observed, you know, a dietary regimen totally different than the majority.
They practiced a rigid kind of endogamy.
You know, they only married within the tribe.
you know they basically like every aspect of kind of like their cultural learning was oriented towards like the preservation of a collective memory which was contra that of the majority okay you know they um the centers of communal life obviously were you know like the synagogue you know like in russian culture like they're like going to like the bathhouse or sonnas a big thing there was like jewish sonnas and like you know Russian ones
you know, these people that were not, like, assimilated into, like, Russian society.
And it wasn't just, like, because they desperately wanted to be, but, like, Russians were racist or something.
Like, these, like, these people literally lived, like, parallel, but not intersecting lives.
And, like, the Russians themselves, like, they viewed Jews as, like, this kind of...
They viewed their culture as bizarre and opaque.
They viewed it as...
As hostile to the Christ.
They viewed it as, like, unclean, like, literally and, like, ritually, like, other...
You know, those are 30 people.
You know, um...
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So basically these people only cross paths in the course of business, which was sometimes basically amiable, sometimes pretty hostile.
And occasionally, you know, they'd run across each other and, you know, because they both had to deal with the same, you know, state bureaucracies to which one of the other.
population was, you know, like, heavily represented, depending on mandate and locale and stuff.
You know, and I mean, like, non-Jews didn't even, it was very, other than scholars, you know, and linguists,
like, almost no Russians even understood,ish, you know.
And this went beyond just Russia, like, in Ukraine and Lithuania, Latvia, and Moldova, and Belarus.
Like, we're at, like, what's now Poland.
these pale settlement people
and the people outside the pale settlement
nonetheless who were like
you know heavily indexed into that
cultural milieu like they didn't
a lot of them didn't even speak like the national language
what we think of as the national language
you know it's um
so they're you're talking about
you're talking about like an enforced alienation
okay um
coming from, you know,
Russian Jewry itself.
I don't mean that, like,
the Tsarist system was like,
we must exclude these people at all cost.
Like, don't get to be wrong.
There was definitely, like, reciprocal enmity,
you know, but it's,
but people got to understand.
It's like, you read,
you read these, like, dummy accounts
where it's like, oh,
you know, Russian and Polish Jews
were just like everybody else.
But then there was this prejudice
that came about the 20th century.
That's totally completely assidine.
It was nothing like that.
You know, you could make the case,
in Berlin, which might as well have been a different planet,
you know, than the Russian Empire, especially in its kind of rural
geographic corridors.
You had Jewish Berliners who basically, like, looked askance at kind of like
their, the Ostuden,
their Ostuden brethren.
You know, they spoke German.
You know, they, you know, they, um, even if they didn't particularly
want to mix or integrate with German people,
You know, they, they kept up appearances.
You know, it was totally different.
You can't extrapolate that experience or the experience like Paris and Jews to that of, to there the east.
You know, like, I'm not saying there weren't like enmities in the case of the former that sort of dictated the terms of cultural interaction, but it was, it was not remotely comparable.
So, like, I want to move, I want to jump ahead of it, you know, so that's, this kind of like laid, so this is the context to understand, you know,
know, like the Russian national culture and the place of, like, Jews in it.
Now, obviously, like, the Bolshevik Revolution, you know, is Kevin McDonald, he coded a lot of data,
and he wrote a lot about, you know, the outsized role that, the outsized role that Russian Jewish people
played in the NKVD and the terror apparatus and things like that.
You know, that's all true, okay?
And then, of course, you know, we've talked about, you know, Yaki's view of the doctor's plot in what was then Czechoslovakia and the kind of purging of these elements from the nomenclatured.
I don't want to rehash all of that because it's kind of too outside the scope.
But the point is when people today talk about like, oh, Russia is Zog, quote unquote Zog, or like Russia is this, you know, vis-a-vis, you know, the, you know, the,
the Jewish diaspora or Israel, you're talking about, like, deep-seeded hatred and animosity,
like, real hatred.
You know, the fact that, like, the Russians don't, like, as I'd punch the air and, like,
openly curse Judea every morning, or the fact that, like, Putin doesn't go on TV and, like,
declare that, like, you know, I deny the Holocaust.
And the fact that, you know, Netanyahu doesn't say inflammatory things about the Russians publicly,
like, that means absolutely nothing.
Like, first of all, I mean, if you don't understand politics, if you think it's about, you know, wearing your actual feelings on your sleeve, you don't understand diplomacy, even at war, especially at war.
If you think that does this is characteristic about enemies relate.
But, like, anybody would say that, you know, like, Moscow with something like love for jewelry is an idiot.
Okay? I mean, that's not, this is a very, very, very hostile and tragic history.
you know
so jumping forward as people
know you know
Stalin who was the Casa Machiavellian
Stalin played cards pretty close to his chest
when like the
when um
you know during the
when when Israel like
um
you know from 947 to 49
basically you know like when Israel is a Jewish state
was being established
he did it for a couple of reasons first of all because
elements like Urgun
and Hagan and whatever
were like at war with the British Empire
what remained like the falling British Empire
and Stalin obviously like supported that
but Stalin also like he wasn't
clear like what kind of
trajectory Israeli politics would take
like very quickly
you know the Soviets like dropped
any and all appearance
of good offices with Israel
I wouldn't have a game clear that this was
you know that
that um
it was basically you know a state
that represented kind of like the express political will
or like radicals and
highly racialized Zionists
and it was just like it was totally up the table
for like the Soviets to get behind Israel
and really by
after the Suez Canal crisis
um
like Israel
like Palestine became like literally kind of like
other than Europe Central
it became kind of like the conflict
die out of the Cold War, okay?
And
the Soviet Union literally went to war
with Israel, and the key to this,
you know,
hostilities in absolute earnest really
emerged in conventional terms, and the immediate aftermath
of the Sixth Day War, in 1967.
This kicked off what
was called by the Kremlin,
as well as, as well as
by Nassar's people, the
continuity war.
It translates roughly to the continuity war.
So between
1967 and 73,
the Soviet's not only took a massive
re-armament and retraining
program
of Egyptian forces.
They actually started trying to prop up Egypt when, well, the
60 war was still in progress.
But regular Soviet troops, I'm not talking
advisors. I'm talking the Red Army.
They took up infantry positions opposite Israeli forces do hold the Suez Canal line at all cost.
There were Soviets who were manning the anti-aircraft defenses around Cairo.
There was a, there were Soviet advisors who were like leading company level elements of Egyptians against the IDF.
You know, like again, this isn't speculation or something or something that was like, you know,
filched out of some like CIA memo that may or may not have been an accurate reading of the
of the battle space this is this this this happened this is documented um so that it became a
great concern to um kissinger himself as well as uh people at defense intelligence as well as the
Pentagon, there was a massive deployment of integral Soviet combat units to Egypt in response
to what Israel called depth bombing in the Egyptian hinterland.
Like basically, this, this, this, this was, this was, this can't be a strategic bombing
of basically like any, like any target that, uh, it could remotely be construed.
is like infrastructural, okay?
Like, they're basically trying to flatten Egypt
and, you know, like, and bomb it back to the Stone Age, as it were.
Okay, Nassar visited Moscow secretly
on grounds of, you know,
legitimate urgency.
And this accelerated, this rapidly accelerated,
rate of implementation. Basically, Nasser,
we're ahead of state, especially in those
days when, I mean,
this is obviously like well into like the jet commercial
travel era, but
for the chief executive of a nation at
war to travel to Moscow
and say like we're getting killed,
like hell. I mean, that's
that's crazy.
Okay.
So from that point forward
until
the conclusion of the 73 war,
like basically the Soviet
took over, like, operational authority, like, on the Egyptian front.
The Soviet Expeditionary Force that showed up in Egypt, it was the most advanced element they
had.
Some of these, like, serviced their missile systems they were using.
They weren't even sending these to North Vietnam.
This was, like, still experimental.
They were sending, like, their best man, their best material, their best hardware to Egypt
to fight the IDF.
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You know, and contrary to what Israeli propaganda was at the time,
I think this wasn't just capped, kind of like both to the perception of IDF's aptitude,
but it was also to kind of like a swage American anxieties,
which at that point were at a fever pitch.
You know, the Israelis claim that by the time that ceased fire in August 19th,
70. There was like this tacit ceasefire
with Egypt.
They claim that like, well, you know,
there's this owed like our victory over Soviet and Egyptian
forces and such and it's only like a
you know, it's only like a skeleton crew or
kind of like a token
detachment of Warsaw Pact forces on the ground in Egypt.
Like that was complete, that was
completely at odds with reality.
The
and also,
I mean, if you're fighting, if the Soviets, and I mean, today,
a far lesser degree, but I think the point still stands in some capacities.
Saying that, like, the Soviets can't stand the attrition you're implementing,
I mean, that's ridiculous.
I mean, the one thing's Russia, whatever their problems,
and I don't have any illusions about the problems Russians had,
the Russian Federation and Russians historically have in military operations,
like suggesting they can't handle attrition,
I mean, it's kind of like laughable.
I mean, that's like the one thing they can absolutely handle.
So there's, so this kind of bizarre state of things like set in.
We're on the one hand, you know, there was a, there was this, there was kind of like this,
the like the official party line in Washington was that this wasn't a meaningful deployment by the Soviet Union.
Union, although the theater remains critical.
You know, you had the actual Soviet army on the ground, like fighting IDF.
In 1972, and part of this, I believe, was Nassar's ledgered main and the, and Nassar's
successor's ledgered main, because, like, periodically this was declared.
In 1972, there was a quote-quote rift between Cairo and Moscow, whereby Soviet advisors
were supposedly like expelled from
Cairo. Meanwhile like the Soviet army
again is fully
indexed at
you know in the command of control
capacity on
you know what
on the on the on the Egyptian front
contra IDF and they're like
waging active war
and um
you know this so this was a
this was murky
as anything was during the Cold War
but that's like a standard rebuttal
people have is like oh but what about what about the you know the expulsion of soviet advisors but it's like
okay it also big the question is like why this would be some public schism you know i mean it's not
it's not the way the communists did things and it's certainly not the way the russians do things and
certainly not the way nasorite egypt did things um there were tensions between moscow and
kairo leading up to the 73 war but i mean literally on the october 6th um offensive
in concert with
Syria. This was literally planned
on the Arab side by
Soviet
command elements.
So, I mean, like, if there was this, like, a rift
whereby, like, Soviet advisors or something like banished from
Cairo, it's like, well, I mean, apparently they were
remained, you know, like, for all practical purposes, like,
the war planners in Cairo.
But, um,
the, uh,
there's a guy named Victor Kayak.
He was a he was a KGB type
Who uh in a 92 back when a lot of these security apparatus types
And the former East block
I mean they were both substantially younger then a lot more than a lot more than were alive but also there was
It was a rare brought 1991 to like 1996
There was a rare kind of candor that these guys were prone to when in terms of discussing colder operations but and um
Kaykin said, you know, it was the KGB, like us, us being the KGB.
He said, quote, the KGB persuaded President Nasser to wage the war of attrition to the bitter end.
You know, Nasser may not trusted the KGB entirely, but he did ask for help.
And us, the KGB, the best friend of oppressed nations, did help.
person military gear want to begin clear.
They're not going to not do it on the own by sending in our own forces.
That's a quote from Cayagan.
Now, the actual war of at Trisha, and I will bring it back to Syria, I promise.
From 1960, this involved fighting between
not just the idea, the idea from one side and not just Egypt,
but also Jordan, the PLO, Kuwait.
And really kind of the, what I think of is like the Strapunt, the USSR, the Cubans, as well as Syria.
All right.
From 67 to 70 is kind of the peak of this conflict cycle.
You know, and then it endured the varying intensities until 73.
And then 73 led to, you know, the escalation to the point of DefCon 3 in America.
And that changed everything.
that that's kind of ahead of ourselves.
Following the 67, 6-day war,
there was no serious diplomatic efforts
for a political solution
to the Arab-Israeli conflict.
Like the Arab League in 67,
in the immediate aftermath,
their policy became known as the three-nows.
You know, no recognition,
no negotiations with Israel,
and like no peace until Palestine is liberated.
Okay.
and the Soviets basically they're the ones who like who made this possible they made the confidence to sign for the several you know for the Arab League plus some of these non-state actors to sign off on a long campaign all right initially as kind of the traditional kind of the traditional
Russian
doctrine
in the opening
in the opening
salvos as it were of this kind of period
and hostilities
engagement of the form of limited artillery duels
like small-scale incursions from
into Sinai and vice versa
by 69
the Egyptians
or at least
their Soviet
advisors and commanders
judged
judged
like company size and
forces level
company size forces and beyond
like they judge them like prepared for like a higher level of
operational sophistication.
Okay.
This is kind of when like the true like war of attrition
kicked off I think in like the public mind
in terms of people who consume, like, global news and things,
as well as people kind of on the periphery of military affairs.
You know, extensive aerial warfare, like, large-scale shelling,
you know, like, command or raids, like, you know, combine arms assaults.
The frontiers remain the same as when the war began,
but this, you're talking about, like, real clashes of combined arms here.
Okay.
the Israeli Air Force responded by directly targeting Soviet military personnel.
From January to March, 1970, 48 Soviet troops and pilots were killed in bombing raids at Cairo.
And there's a summer of Cairo called Deshore.
This was where most Soviet fighter pilots lived.
The Soviets responded, which was in flagrant violation of international agreement.
they deployed S-125
service their missile systems
to the Suez Canal Zone.
They were fortifying the Suez Canal Zone
like a smaller scale
as deep as Hanoi was.
Okay?
And this led to like heavy attrition.
This culminated
in a massive dogfight
over a...
The operation was coding Ramon 20
by the Israeli Air Force.
There was 12 to 14
Soviet MiG-21s
and 12 Israeli Mirage 3s and F4 Phantom 2s.
Like I said, it was this massive dog flight in the Suez Canal operational area.
Like five Soviet aircraft went down.
At least four of those pilots were killed.
Israeli attrition, it's hard to say.
I mean, the Soviets claimed it was far higher than it was.
Israelis claimed minimal attrition, but it was probably comparable.
But the entire purpose of this, by IDEP,
to lure Soviet fighter pilots into air-to-air combat so they could be taken out.
Because, I mean, it's costly to, like, kill fighter pilots.
I mean, obviously.
You know, and, but this is for the people who claim it's, like, euphemistic that, you know,
the Soviets were at war with Israel.
I mean, this is my rebuttal, okay?
I mean, serious people don't.
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Don't claim that.
In its aftermath,
like varying sources, like some
people, I mean, I'm
talking objective people, not just
Zionist shills or something.
Some people claim that, like, well, Israel
withstood Soviet combined
arms and, you know, they were able
to fight off, you know,
they were able to fight in ways that
there too they hadn't been comfortable
with or that hither
or two had been an alien type of warfare.
I mean, I don't
I don't really think that's true.
I mean, I think the Soviets brought,
they brought a quality of hardware
and manpower and operational sophistication
to the table, obviously.
But the IDF was used to fighting Arab armies
that had real problems,
but were basically following Warsaw Pact doctrine.
You know,
the American claim
was that, well, Israel was successful
and continuing to hold the main line of resistance,
which was the borough level line,
and forcing the Egyptians ultimately to come to the table.
But, you know, eventually, I mean,
but the consensus really on both sides of the aisle
was that this really kind of sapped Israeli morale.
You know, and this really, this culminated, really,
in the 73 war in its conclusion.
I mean, Israel had some big victories in 73, but they also took some big hits.
You know, this wasn't, people kind of trying to cast Israeli history as like the sixth day war in a perpetuity.
Like, oh, these Israeli armies just top-notch and they just bowled over all their ops.
Like, it's not true.
You know, and admittedly, like, if you're fighting the Soviet army and what was then, you know, their cutting edge war tech, like, it's not a minor thing.
I'm not even saying that like there's something like shame in that.
You know, it's um, I, uh, interestingly, there's a couple, there's a guy and a lady,
there's Israeli military type academics.
The guy's name is Gideon Ramez.
The way's name is Isabella Ginnor, or Ginnor.
They've written a lot on Soviet, Israeli hostilities.
And obviously, like I said, these people are both like Israeli Jews.
They're not, they're certainly not.
you know, people are going to be said to have a poor view of the Zionist state.
They both consider the war to have been like a defeat for Israel.
I mean, their argument is Israel is forced to accept a ceasefire.
And basically a change, like a change in the kind of like the criteria for peace on the Israeli side.
And just like a holy and just, you know, just completely, a complete sea change in the tenor negotiations.
but Soviet air defenses were dropping FF4 Phantoms out of the sky at an unsustainable rate.
The Soviets and the Egyptians proved they blatantly violate not just preceding a, you know, ceasefire and treaty arrangements in the theater,
but they didn't care a wit about, you know, deploying, you know, banned weapon systems to the region.
You know, they were in it to win it.
You know,
Ramon 20, this aerial operation that, you know,
was purpose to zap the Soviet Air Force tactically.
Yeah, that was a victory.
But I think that as part of the whole paradigm,
like that allowed the Israelis to kind of accept
what there before would have been not acceptable to design as hardliners.
but while also saving face.
You know, hey, look, like, we, we defeated the mighty Soviet air force.
You know, we can't be said to have lost.
So, I mean, it's complicated, okay?
But, like, my point is that, like, Israel's fortunes were literally decided by the Soviet Union, you know, in the continuity war, then in 73.
You know, so that's, I mean, there's two things here.
So, I mean, this is demonstrative of how heavily.
the Soviet Union and Russia
wasn't as politically invested in Arab fortunes
and specifically Syrian ones
but it's also like you think the Israelis
have like good feelings towards Russia
I mean really
I mean it's um you know
it's preposterous
closer to
um
this the main subject at hand
what Hepheza
Assad was doing during this period.
Taphazasad himself was a
mig driver. He was a fighter pilot.
In
1971, as a Syrian
bath was kind of consolidating its
hold.
Syrian politics
were very Byzantine and
a lot of backstabbing, a lot of corruption, things like this.
Not quite as bad as the
Iraqi situation has developed by a decade
later, but it was very
chaotic. Um,
Assad, Hafez Assad,
really is kind of like the father
of a modern Syria's political culture,
okay? But that's kind of
a subject for another
day. But in 1971,
Hafez Assad and the
Soviet Union, he permitted the Soviet Union
to open its naval base and TARDIS.
And the Russians
continue to utilize this base to this
day.
TARDIS is the sole
Mediterranean naval base for the black sea fleet of the Russian Navy.
Okay.
This is a big deal.
Not just in like, you know, strategic terms.
But it demonstrates like a willingness of the Russians to sign on for the long term on, on, on,
what amounts like a mutual defense treaty.
So they've really got like absolute confidence in like the tenure, the perennial tenure of the regime currently situated in Damascus, or they're absolutely not going to let that regime fall.
Okay.
Like the TARDis Treaty, for example, it runs, it ran, it, uh, it was set to run for 20 years with automatic five-year extensions unless unilaterally terminated.
Um, I mean, it, uh, and, uh, immediately.
Immediately after the fall of the Soviet Union officially, like Hefez-Assad recognized the Russian Federation as the legal successor to the USSR and, you know, retaining all basing rights and everything else.
Okay.
During the 73 war, obviously, which was kind of like Syria's moment in the sun, because they proved themselves, you know, that they could, they could function.
at a high level of operational sophistication.
Thousands of Soviet advisors, technicians, officers, like combat officers,
assisted the Syrian Arab Army.
At least 20 were killed in action.
Almost 3,750 tons of aid was airlifted to Syria.
They sea lifted, at the conclusion of hostilities,
the Soviet Union sea lifted over 60,000 tons of materials.
materials to Syria to replenish losses, you know, like infrastructural, military, you know, like foodstuffs, like you name it.
The one kind of blip in Soviet or Russian-Syrian relations came in 76.
The Soviets were displeased when Assad deployed the Syrian Arab army to Lebanon.
And something of a diplomatic rift emerged.
the Soviets were really worried about a confrontation between the PLO and the Syrian Arab Army, and for good a reason.
Like, they were very much at odds, you know.
Both of them were Moscow clients.
This could have been catastrophic in terms of broader interests held by Moscow in the Near East.
And like taking sides in a sectarian war between Arab factions, I mean, that's always,
going to be a losing proposition.
The Brezhnev went as far as
threatening to freeze
military aid shipments.
This ultimately was like smoothed over.
Like a fence visited Moscow in 1977, like much fan fear.
He met with Brezhnev and Alexei Kossigen, among others,
or Kossigan.
you know the
Assad
openly endorsed
and supported 100%
the
the Soviet attack in Afghanistan
which distanced them from basically
every other Arab leader
but I mean he didn't care like Assad's
Assad sent the message like he stands with Russia
so I mean the final kind of if there was
in fact like a rift that still need a remedy
by Christmas
this 1979, like that what sealed that like Russian-Syrian kind of like affinity for all time
was the fact that Assad said like, you know, we stand with the Soviet Union like against
its enemies in Afghanistan.
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You know, which was incredibly ballsy, among other things.
I mean, it was the right play for Assad, but it was very ballsy.
October 1980,
Syria and the Soviet Union signed the Treaty of Friendship.
Really until it all went down in 89,
you know,
Syria,
South Yemen was the only Marxist-Leninist Arab state,
but Syria was that,
even though Syria was not a communist state at all,
like they were the jewel in the crown of Warsaw Pact
in terms of their,
in terms of Arab affairs and,
in the Middle Eastern Theater.
This
Gorbachev scaled us back
in April
87.
But once
But again, like within
after
after
I mean Russia was a mess like post Gorbachev
but the
any
unwillingness
of the newly
a stalwart Russian Federation
the back Assad
like evaporated with
you know the end of Gorbachev's tenure
um
that
interestingly medvedov
he was the first
he was the first Russian
president to visit Syria
like
Putin visited Syria
um
I believe he was on the ground for the
there was two
parades or I'm going to be a Condor Legion
honestly like the the Russian military contingent, you know, marched in Damascus after
after victory.
And I think, I can't remember if Putin was made a state visit there or not, but point
being, maybe it was the first leader of the Russian Federation to visit Syria.
Jumping ahead closer to the present.
For context, you know, this is a good.
exactly why Syria was targeted for destruction in part.
Okay?
Haphaz Assad joined Bush 41's Gulf War Coalition,
which was instrumental.
You know, and the Syrians deployed to fight Saddam.
You know, like anybody remotely reasonable would view Assad as like, you know,
somebody who the West wants on their side.
But, of course, you know, he was, um,
there's no like strategic logic.
trying to destroy Syria and utilizing, you know, terrorists and ISIS and these tech-firy
lunatics as a detonation strategy.
At the onset of the Russian intervention in Syria, government forces, they controlled only about 26% of the country.
You know, they were truly beleaguered.
um
the uh
you know
Russia was fighting the Islamic State
they were fighting the LNus for a front
which is basically Al Qaeda
these are the guys like John McCain
that are like are like you know
fighting for democracy
you was talking about Al Qaeda
John McCain wanted he said we need to support
al Qaeda to murder the Assad family
and I guess everybody else who like
Al Qaeda doesn't like
you know great guy that John McCain
the uh
Putin in um
I mean for context I mean Putin is constantly
cautious as I think people know
which is ironic that he's painted as this like mad reckless madman
like he's you know he really
it really
is a disservice to
the Russian state that he's
he's pissed poor at at decision points
I think
okay
um so it's not only he's prone to ultimatums it's not he's prone to absolute declaration the matters of war and peace but uh um Putin said that the you know the bath regime is absolutely not going to be allowed to fall you know and he said we don't negotiate with terrorists neither does not neither does um you know president Assad and I mean that was the core of the issue too like this was
still, it was on the tail end of such things.
There was still an America was supposedly fighting the global war on terror.
I remember, like, a bad party spokeswoman who, I can't remember her name, which he was
got in this, like, severe Arab lady of whom there are many.
But, uh, she was addressing some British media contingent, and she said, like, we don't
negotiate with terrorists.
We're not, we're not going to let, we're not going to let al-Qaeda.
We're not going to let ISIS.
We're not going to let some constellation of jihadists, you know, force us to change
the government by murdering people.
You know, and I mean, there was this
there's kind of like this like dummy silence
by these media people then,
you know, when they're like a great chorus of
talking about like how evil Assad is.
But I mean, that's really,
this to me is really,
this is what America lost all credibility
in foreign policy.
You know, you're like, you're literally saying that
you're, you're army equipping al-Qaeda
to destroy a secular
regime led by a guy who's
eye doctor who was raised in London.
You know, like,
it's, I mean, that's,
this isn't even like a, you can't even
realize, like, I don't, on, under, you know,
some kind of appeal in Machiavellian necessity.
It's just like, it's just bizarre.
It's, it's just like,
it's just like a bizarre, uh, scorched earth position,
you know, uh, that only makes sense to Zionists,
you know, um,
yeah, a buddy of mine,
a buddy of mine used to say,
how do you make excuses for trying to kill somebody
who wakes up and shaves his chin every day?
It's not a cleric.
It's interestingly, back when CNN,
I mean, CNN was always,
they always had some goofs on their staff,
but they, you know, I'm talking like 30 years ago,
they were like a normal news network.
You know, like they had goofs like Peter Arnett,
but like there was this,
they did this big interview with Afezasad,
who people viewed as a compelling guy,
you know, and he kind of came to prominence,
going to the Gulf War coalition
you know and
people seemed grateful for that
you know and I'm sure like Baker's State Department
was but it's like if you
you know his pay's like we paid back
the Assad family
by arming al Qaeda and like
calling for you know Bashar Assad
and his family to be murdered
I mean like he like who does that
you know like you can't
there's no percentage and
you know if you
if you lay down
with pigs you're going to get dirty you know and not not only going to get dirty by dealing
with america but they're going to try and like arbitrarily murder you at some point you know i mean like
this isn't that it's aside from like the naked irrationality of it i mean you you can't conduct
politics that way you know i mean that's uh that's like trying to that that's like trying to
go into business with geoffrey domer or something you know like uh some some some unhate you like
Mary is literally like
it's like an unhinged psychopath
that might like randomly try to murder you
like I you know but you're supposed to
there's supposed to be some like percentage
and playing ball with
with uh
with its ambitions but um
we should probably wrap it up because I'm
coming up on an hour and um
my our dear friend
uh Jay Burton
I gotta he's hosting me in a minute
on his show but um I'm sort of
to break this up into two segments if that's not
what you had planned, but there's a lot here.
Is that cool?
Absolutely.
All right, this was great.
Yeah, yeah.
Let me know when you want to complete part two and we'll get it done.
Sure.
As per normal, do plugs.
Yeah, man.
For those who don't know, I'm sure everybody probably does know already.
Like I'm back on Twitter.
It's like the same account.
It's at capital REL underscore.
Number seven, HMAS 7777.
I'm on Substack, Real Thomas 777.
At subsac.com.
I'm on Instagram.
I'm on Telegram.
I'm, I got a website.
It's number seven, HMAS, 777.com.
Like, find me all those places.
And I got like a MERS line that people seem to like, and I'm re honored by that.
Put that in the description line, if you would, please.
Always.
Yeah, thanks.
Eric Krieg does some good,
Eric Krieg does some good work.
I really owe him a lot.
Like, he's a great,
I mean,
he's just a good dude,
but his designs are really,
are really tremendous, man.
Yeah, definitely.
All right, Thomas.
Thank you very much.
I want to welcome everyone back to the Pekinae show.
Thomas is back for more Syria and Russia talk.
How are you doing, Thomas?
I'm well.
Thank you.
I'm not,
it's been a minute since we were,
recorded. So if I'm repeating myself, please correct me. I can't remember exactly where I left
off. I think we left off approximately where I was talking about some of the more recent
scholarship on the 1973 War. Yeah, that's it. That's exactly where it was, yeah. Which has something
of an outsized significance. It's warranted. I don't mean outsized in the sense that. Ready for huge
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It's emphasized unduly.
That really changed the regional security paradigm in the Near East.
It exposed a lot of IDF weaknesses.
I mean, don't get me wrong, IDF on the Egyptian front,
they performed exceedingly well.
The Syrians, however, caught them lacking in some key capacities.
you know and
one of the reasons why Israel
was so fixated on Iran
admittedly
Nanyahu's very clumsy in the way he articulates
propaganda. I mean that's just a fact
I don't think that can be denied
Ariel Sharon didn't
have a lot of finesse
but Sharon
was something of a military prodigy
at least in comparative terms
and obviously
Nanyahu doesn't
possess that skill set.
However,
the Hezbollah, Syria,
the Syrian Arab army,
you know,
and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation,
you've kind of got to look at
all those actors
as kind of operationally integrated.
You know, there's nothing conspiratorial there.
I mean, these are Israel's primary ops,
okay? And, you know, like we talked about before,
And anybody who is it all knowledgeable about the conflict paradigm dynamics
understands that Israel and NATO, to varying degrees, back, you know, these Salafi elements, okay?
That's something of a detonation strategy.
You know, because they identify their primary ops as Syria, Hezbollah.
you know, Hezbollah slash Iran.
I mean, in all but name,
Hezboa is kind of the Iranian foreign legion.
And the Russian Federation is
part of that, is like an essential part of that constellation.
And this goes way back.
And that's key to understanding
the state of war and peace
in occupied Palestine
and with respect to the Jewish state.
So, I mean, Israel essentially
has two problems. They've got
this internal crisis, demographic crisis
relating to the fact that
Israel is a racial state.
You know, and
they've got this unmanageable
majoritarian
population. There's like super majoritarian population.
You know,
it's not, the strategic
situation is not unlike
that of the Republic of South Africa
around the time of
Bota, you know, when the kind of permanent emergency set in, you know, I'm not, I'm not comparing Israel to the Boer Republic at all, unlike cultural or ideological or ethical terms, anything like that.
But in terms of the military situation, there's a parallel.
You know, and so they've got this internal, this ongoing internal emergency.
they've also got this geostrategic problem
you know with respect to
what they call the Shia Crescent
which
I mean Shia are obviously very much the minority
in Darul Islam
but there's there's a critical
kind of like the Shia heartland
you know
is Iran and Iraq obviously
and it cuts across the region
in the
webinar
you know
so it
there's a
that's a
that's a very daunting
that's a very daunting
arrangement
you know
in a general war
it's a discussion
for another time
but it kind of begs the question
like why exactly
Israel maintains
nuclear arms
you know some people argued
it was a prestige
and clout move during the Cold War.
Being Prevald, he basically suggested it's like a Samson option sort of thing,
whereby people wouldn't let Tel Aviv fall because there'd be this uncertainty
relating to what they would do with these weapons of mass destruction.
I think that's a bit too imprecise.
Like, it's not really a military imperative.
That doesn't mean it's impossible.
And Israel was kind of strange in the way they approach things because they're a totally abnormal state.
I invoke Ernestownality a lot in discussions of, you know, dialectical processes and things.
But he was kind of reluctant during the Cold War to diagnose, like, then current strategic matters.
for the exception was kind of the case of Israel.
And he made the point that, you know, Israel's not really,
Israel's not an anachronism in the way some people on the left
would talk about it and still do to some degrees.
It's not like it's this retrograde state,
like colonial power or something,
despite, you know, a lot of the,
a lot of the propaganda in the era of that effect.
that it derived from the same kind of like dialectical process and like causal nexus
sociologically historically historically ideologically speaking as the third
right and the Soviet Union like that's why it's so strange I mean obviously
Department of State and the executive branch they're constantly claiming it's a liberal democracy
because I mean that's just a floating signifier
that suggests
moral approval
but even
were that not the case
it would be difficult to describe what exactly
Israel is
you know
it just would be
because it's
it's
it's um
it's not just an outlier
like North Korea
is owing to its
geostrategic situation
and it's not like one of these emirates
or one of these small
countries or constellation of
the sovereignty is that
you know they ruled by a monarch or something
it's something totally different than that
and it very much belongs to the
20th century and 20th century dialectic
but
anyway
I kind of bring it back
the consensus these days is
essentially that the 73
war was a stalemate
okay
I um
David A. Corn
He was a
diplomat
Back when Department of State
was still a tripping quality people
And he's
He's written a lot
He's contributed a lot of articles
Especially to
Publications like foreign affairs
You know things like that
He served
Um
He served for some time in Tel Aviv
As it was called the
political officer and
Hanchu, what's called the political section.
It's kind of like a halfway
if you're in that role
you're kind of halfway
between an intelligence
officer and a diplomat.
You know what I mean?
Everybody who's assigned to a diplomatic
posting is
in some ways an intelligence
representative under
light diplomatic cover and everybody knows
that.
But guys like corn, they deal more in diagnostic analysis and things.
And they're not just going to cocktail parties and kind of trying to divinate, you know,
palace intrigues and things that determine what the true seat of power is, you know, they've got a more,
um, they've got a more serious role than that.
and
he made the point
pretty consistently
that one of the reasons why
the paradigm is so volatile
Israel Contra
the Shia Crescent
the states that constitute that
your strategic concept
one of the reasons that's so volatile
is because, you know, it's...
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The outcome was not only was there no clear victor
on the Syrian front, the outcome was poorly understood.
You know, especially in Israel.
It was retrospectively deemed a success
because there was some big,
there are some major kills scored
by the IDF, in some cases where they were pretty seriously outnumbered by combined arms.
But the fact that they kind of convinced themselves of this, it led to a false sense of security,
especially on the political side of things.
The military, IDF, whatever its problems, its military is pretty serious because they have to be to sustain,
the status quo.
And
as people on the left,
they don't so much anymore because
the intellectual left is kind of dead.
But during the Cold War
and even beyond, even into the 90s,
they'd make the point that IDF is,
I mean, yeah, they've got a national service
law in place.
You know, it's like young people get drafted.
But generally, they get drafted into support roles.
Like, you're talking about, like, special operations
capable elements and, like, infantry elements.
you basically have to sign up for that.
And the guys who do,
they're going to be pretty
racialized in the first place.
That's why they want to do that kind of work.
And, you know, if they weren't before,
it's going to become that way.
You know, like, there's no pretension
in an army, like, the IDF
of, like, hey, we're apolitical.
We don't, you know, take any position.
We're just, like, loyal to the state.
I mean, part of that's because of the fact that Israel's find itself in Arasn Creek.
But part of it also is that, you know, again, like Israel's not, it didn't develop organically like a European country did or something.
So there's not this tradition of like an Israeli state that's, you know, like the post-medieval heritage of the people who live there.
or something.
You know,
Israel is
the Jewish state.
The way it's configured
isn't really important
so long as it is capable
of
sustaining
that demographic balance
and being able
to perpetuate its
demographic supremacy
despite being massively outnumbered.
So you're not going to have, I mean,
even if the
just under those conditions.
I mean, I guess I'm getting as you can't extricate those conditions
from ideological imperatives, okay?
So, that's probably a force multiplier
in some ways, like when IDF actually goes into action.
It can also lead to some bad outcomes
because institutions like that, particularly military institutions,
where having the wrong opinion can be interpreted as like a breach and doctrine or something,
it becomes this kind of like ideological ghetto.
You know, and Ehud Barak, he's really the Israeli guy I pay attention to, okay?
He's an interesting guy.
He was a military man, you know, like career IDF type, and he's not a particularly charming guy.
but he's really kind of been the only champion
at Yitzhak Rabin's memory
you know
Rabin of course was unceremoniously murdered in 95
by this crazy
young guy who's like rotting in prison now
but you know
I
I'm not going to say there was some conspiracy to whack
Rabin but a lot of people were happy
that it that happened
and from that point forward
Israel became a one-party state
you know and Rabin was going to
Rabin was looking to
commit to some way out of the
the racial war okay
I don't think that would have
I don't think you ever would have seen any kind of like
formally quality
between the populations
nor was Rabin just going to throw his hands up
and be forced
enter the position that the clerk was in South Africa
and just say, okay, we're, you know, any
any man or woman a majority within Israel or Palestine,
we're just going to have, you know,
where we're going to give them the ballot
and see where the ships fall.
That wouldn't have happened.
But some kind of extrication from
grand apartheid would happen.
Okay.
But Barack,
Ihood Barack
he's the guy who made the point
as well
that
really was keeping
Netanyahu alive
politically
is the fact
that swapping out
the civilian executive
or kind of like rendering
it headless
like if Dentia was removed
by no confidence
or if he was indicted
which you may very well be
if and when
this war results
but there's perverse incentives that kind of pursue like bad strategy is what I'm getting at okay
and and what Barack is getting it you know um people turn around I know it I know it's I hear from
them and they say like well how is Israel performing so well if what you say is true well two things
like I said, we're talking about basically two
two totally different conflicts that are related
and increasingly
Shia and Sunni are breaching the sectarian divide
to tentatively cooperate
against the common Zionist enemy
but
the Gaza situation and the situation
in the Levant in Syria
are two different things
I don't feel comfortable
going as far as I say
that they're just like two fronts of the same
conflict.
I mean, there's like a common nexus of causes
but
it's more complicated
than that.
However, you know, IDF
got caught lacking when Hamas assaulted.
I think I covered this on a pod
so if I'm repeating myself, forgive me,
but
you know,
on October 7th, Christ, it's almost been a year.
But when Hamas breached the barrier fence,
they assumed that the lead element was going to get wiped out.
You know, basically like a company-sized element, like store on the main line of resistance.
But when they did that, there was nobody there.
You know, like the Israelis were, it was like a skeleton crew
that was not abiding
any kind of alert deployment
at all. Some of them were literally sleeping
and Hamas just like waxed them.
And then when they broke through immediately
Hamas immediately started storming the breach
with like as many men as they could get through as possible.
You know,
then IDF like swarmed drones on them and combined arms
and sort of like hosing them with fire.
But my point is that shouldn't have happened in the first place.
You know, that'd be like if when...
That'd be like if when it became clear the Russians were going to, like, assault, you know, Don Bass to, like, relieve their people who were under pressure there
from these guys who were, like, supposedly, like, irregular as, like, Azob, or very obviously, you know...
Very obviously, like, acting as official, you know, in the service of the Kiev regime.
that it'd be like a point it became clear
like Russia was going to assault
these like Azov guys
and the Ukrainian
armed forces
like preemptively like assaulted them
then like broke through the Russian mainline of resistance
like ended up in Russia
then like the Russians had to reconsute
like bring up their
firepower to bear on them
in the form of like armor and you know
like hyperbaric artillery and stuff
to like get the situation
under control. Like, if that had happened,
like Putin would have been gone.
You know, that's
a catastrophic fuck-up.
So,
you know,
I'm not saying, like, oh, IDF is,
like, a shit force, because they're not.
But
there's real problems
there, okay? And this isn't
just like some, like, intelligence failure or something.
But moving on.
But there were,
like,
Immediately after that, I was tracking people in the State Department who were retiring.
And there was one specifically, I can't remember his name, but I did an episode.
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With someone else talking about it was that he retired because he was in charge of
getting the IDF and getting foreign militaries are weapons.
and he said that there were divisions in the IDF that he was not comfortable with arming.
Yeah, I'm sure that's true.
And they've got real problems.
You know, like, I'm not some expert.
I know something about Judaism, like the faith.
I know something about their heritages of people.
I mean, I do.
I'm not some expert on the internal situation in Israel,
but I do know that hardline Zionists are the kind who like sustain the military apparatus.
Those people are aging and there's not a lot of young people to replace them.
Like there is a hardline Jewish right, but more and more it's that's going to be constituted by the people who are called correctly or incorrectly in colloquial terms like the ultra-Orthodox.
and they have a strange and somewhat contentious relationship with the military.
I mean, Israel's got real problems.
You know, I mean, they can't be denied.
So I don't doubt that you guys' testimony for a minute.
But, I mean, like, why would he lie about that?
That doesn't, if he was going to try and make, if he was going to drop some kind of cap
to try and make the situation seem less severe than it was,
to try and make Israel look like more cable heroic.
You wouldn't say that.
But, you know, the degree to which to, you know,
Israel had to kind of,
Israel kind of had to win in Syria.
Okay, if they could have, like, knocked out Assad
and, like, crushed the Syrian Arab army
and also, like, hit Hezbollah and, like, really, really hard.
Because the idea has been smarting from,
from their fight with Hezboa in 2006
for almost like 20 years now.
You know, they really kind of needed
to make a statement like that.
And if
if Damascus had gone down in flames
and Syria kind of became partitioned,
they would have been totally fine
with like these lunatic killers
like ISIS controlling, like some chunk of it.
You know, then they wanted to like basically,
create some fake
Kurdistan through like
a swath of Iraq and like assimilate
part of Syria into that
and then probably like have some
some zone that was like
occupied by America but was technically
like you know a DMZ
or something or some kind of like free zone
so it's like okay then like
basically like they've sewn up
they've sewn up their problem
and also too then like the Russians
can't like access like their key port there
like the Russian our Federation can't deploy there.
That would have solved like basically like
that that would have solved like one half of the equation.
You know, and then they could have brought like full firepower to bear
and, you know, 100% of forces in being like to bear like on Gaza.
And there's really nothing anybody could do about it.
So the Russians really foobarred their program.
Like the degree of which they did like can't be overstated.
that's why like when I say to people I'm going to point out to them the fact that
you know like the Ukrainian war is literally like a secondary front I mean it's not
secondary to people there it's a disaster and at scale it's it's just like a
the area is suffering and and death is staggering but I'm saying like to Israel
that's like a secondary front where they can bring pressure to bear on Russia and the fact
when I raise that to people, they
look at me like, why would you say that?
It's like, you really don't understand that
Russian Israel or like hate each other.
You know, they're like literally like mortal enemies.
You know, it's like the fact that Putin doesn't
like call them the K word and like shake his fist in the year
and call for them to
be destroyed like, you know, like you sound like Arab strongman
or something.
I guess people are literally minded. They can't
like compute this or something for the fact that like you know lay
Avrov isn't going around like calling for some like program of like Ukrainian
Jewry or something like I I don't know I don't know how people can't discern this
but that's really what's so dangerous about this situation and that's also why
it's also why like NATO is being so reckless you know if it was just a question of
we want to Merck the Russians and moving forward you know we want to afford
deployment where we can
that's like farther
east
and central
vis-a-vis the
you know
the Central Asian landmass
you know then
then Germany is
that America wouldn't be going about it and it's
kind of like just like catastrophically
reckless way it's because it's
you know what this is
um
this is a this is like a key
front of
basically
of Israel's war to survive
and perpetuate as like the Jewish
racial state.
You know,
um,
that's also why like Zelensky's in there,
like out front.
Like that,
that's not good optics at all.
And it's not just that the Ukrainian is an alibi like,
oh no,
we're not,
you know,
that this isn't some criminal
psychotic regime.
Look,
we've got,
we've got this Jewish guy out front who,
you know,
it's involved in the entertainment business and,
you know,
we're in normal country.
like that's not where they're doing it um
it's because uh
there's no way uh
there's no way some like goyish frontman
would would be trusted there
because like at any minute like he could flip
even if he wasn't intending to
that he could find himself in a Milosevic situation
where suddenly like a bunch of band rights are like look we're like
tired of this you know like we we're not gonna
like we're gonna keep killing the Ivans but we're not
we're not taking orders from a
from a Zid
they call them
but that's
you know that's um
and Syria is an important country
and it's got an outsized significance
there was
I know your friend
he was asked and forgive me
for being all scattered
he was asking about
why there's panzers in Syria
and Lebanon
one of the reasons why part of it is because the
of the peculiar dynamics of the Lebanese Civil War that went on for decades.
And the French were kind of backing all sides in that war, depending on who had the upper hand,
because that's what the French do.
And the French, like, shoved some panzers into the breach on the Arab side.
But there were a few dozen Varmac officers who served in the court of Nasser.
as well as
in Syria
before and after
the Syrian bath
conquered the political culture
and
the Czechs
the Skoda Arms Works
which is kind of like
the Czechs make great weapons
they're like the Transylvania Saxons
historically and like the Skoda Arms works
that's kind of like the Czech
counterpart to Krupp
that during a
communist struggle Slovakia.
There are so many panzers in like various
Warsaw Pact armies
and adjacent armies.
They started like manufacturing, replacing parts
for panders. And
also too, obviously that's what
that's what these
Vermachs guys were familiar with.
You know, that's the armor
they knew how to fight in.
And habituating yourself to a new
tank model, you can do it if you're a skilled
tanker, but it's hard.
Franco, Spain
in
1943 they got about 20 panzers
like Mark 4 panzers
that they'd ordered. And Serrano
Sooner, who was a great man
unlike Franco, and he was
like a diehard national socialist.
He was constantly looking
for a way to get Spain
into the war against the UK
in an official
opacity. And
after negotiations,
broke down because like Franco was like a ludicrous demands that were you know
purposely that purposely sabotaged any agreement between you know the
the Reich and Madrid there was still hope and the pandas that arrived like
towards that end because people thought so highly a sooner and I mean German
counter legion had like spilled blood on Spain I mean that was sacred you know these
mark fours they got were like the same ones that like the panzer are
used. They weren't these, they weren't these, like, off-brand, like, knock-offs.
You know, they were real panzers. And, like, most of them had never, like, been deployed
anywhere. So the Syrians got, the Syrians got, like, a bunch of, like, brand spanking
new, like, Mark 4 Panzers. And they also got some, like, yeah, they also got some
Yagpons or, like, tank killers, like, what was called assault guns in those days.
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So yeah like in 67 and 73
like there was a
there were hands
or there was like assaulting a
IDF which is pretty pretty cool
and there's a certain
level of irony there that's not
exact but
still
causes you
some truth
the fact
I mean
I'm um
people like me
I
you know
I'm very much
like an angle
from a person
I mean
I'm
I uh
I realize
I realize proper Englishman
and Scots
like Peter Brimelo
who's like an awesome guy
and he was like
very cool to us
and he there
but I can tell you things
I can tell you things that I'm like
I can tell you things
that I'm kind of like a little
Ulster B
and like that's not wrong but uh I like a very angle of a person so I've got uh I
I think every I think every angle Saxon is something of like an Orientalist so I find um
I find Eastern people's very interesting for various reasons you know as did guys like
Johann Von Weir and a lot of these national socialist guys who ended up in these Arab states
it was twofold. In the one hand, they're like, okay,
well, we've got to accept Cold War realities, but
there's room to
there's proverbial room to breathe
and ideological and cultural terms and some of these places in
Latin America in the Near East.
And there's people who remain receptive to our ideas and
kind of want to be shaped by our ways.
And they were also kind of like the shock troops
kind of for Zionism
you know
so there wasn't
an ideological component to it
there's an incredibly silly propaganda and
cap like put out by guys
you know about oh like
you know Islamism is
is just
uh
it's just this
sort of anti-Semitic you know
Nazi conspiracy
I mean there's like very stupid stuff to that affect
but
there was and is ideological affinity
between people like the Syrian bath and
and um
national socialists
that's my reason why
like I mean I like the Syrian people
like I know a lot of Syrians
and I hold on high esteem I
I think they're interesting
in like a culture people
but they also
you know if you
if you
if you
some of these are
are with the Third Reich
and what it stood for
you know the
obviously like a like
I think too much Croatia
was the only
it was the only true
national social state that existed
after the day of the fee.
But like an adjacent
political culture is like
bad to Syria. Like absolutely.
So yeah, I mean
that's not to your point.
Like it's not
totally off base or anything.
But I'll move it ahead.
I realize I'm getting tangential.
You know,
the Russians cultivated
I can't remember how much we got
into it. I should have reviewed our earlier episode
before, like
yesterday this morning, so forgive me again
if I'm repeating myself, please call me on it.
But, you know, the
Soviet leadership
they really
cultivated
Fais al-Assad and
like vice versa. You know, like I,
the naval base of TARDIS,
which is essential.
It's the sole
Mediterranean base for the
the for the Russian Navy's Black Sea Fleet to this day.
That was a big deal after
after the Soviet Union
went down. The
Assad and the Russian Federation worked
out that this is like the Soviets
have like permanent rights, like the Tardis
naval base.
You know, it's
and it was
it was Assad's
politicking. I mean, I take nothing
away, obviously, from
the game is the Syrian Arab army
and their toughness
and their
desire to win
and things like that but
during the 73 war
you know which
which Muslims called the Ramadan war
um
all the whites and Christians
um
call it a couple different things
or just the 1973 war
the Israelis call it the Yom Kippur war
but you know like we we talked about
there's thousands of, um,
advisors,
technicians.
Um,
there were,
um,
special operations,
it's type of Soviet troops,
about 20 of whom died in action in 73.
Um,
you know,
and over,
close to 4,000 tons of aid,
you know,
ammo,
uh,
like ration packs,
you know,
medical supplies,
like you name it.
Um,
by the,
by the,
by the conclusion,
by the end of October
you know it's a station
of hostilities immediately beyond
the Soviet Navy
they see lifted over 60,000
tons of
of gear like weapons
again like weapons, ammo
foodstuffs
um
agricultural commodities
to Syria to replace its losses
I mean that's
that's a huge effort
you know
And as we talked about, there was some tension from about 75 to 77.
I guess the Syrians directly intervened in Lebanon.
There was this kind of tense minuet because, you know, the PLO,
the PLO despite its declared secularism was always, you know, like a Sunni outfit.
And the Soviets were really concerned about, you know, active hostilities breaking out between the Syrian Arab Army and the PLO.
Hafez Assad was able to smooth that over with skillful diplomacy, but what really kind of solidified their relationship, even in the midst of some of these interesting conflicts between
Soviet allied elements
was Assad
unconditionally backed
like the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan
and he made a lot of people really upset
by doing that
you know like within his own
within Darla Islam
you know um
but it was it was the right play
considering the circumstances
and it was also essential
I mean building
during the Cold War
like that kind of consensus building
across
national frontiers was essential
you know and it was
the kind of last hurrah
of that sort of
war and peace diplomacy was Bush 41's
like quorum that he gathered to wage
the Gulf War
which was an incredible
which was a master's stroke
you know but that was I think of that is kind of the
book end of the Cold War and the
entire paradigm
And of course
Offiz Assad, you know, the Syrian
already deployed
to back
to back U.S. forces.
And of course, America,
how does America like pay that back by like trying to murder
the Assad family?
It's unconstitutional.
Like, it's vile.
I mean, aside in the fact that it's totally irrational
but it's just vile.
Like, you don't do that.
April 77,
Fess Assad, he made a state visit to Mawes
and he got an audience in the president himself as well as Alexi Cossigen
you know who were I mean basically got to meet the whole control group of the
Soviet Union I mean for for a small you know underdeveloped country that's
that's pretty remarkable and they signed a they put a pen to paper on what was
called the Treaty of Friendship in 1980 you know less than
year after the Soviets assaulted in Afghanistan and that was that was not a
that was not a cool that was not coincidental with those very much tailored to
send a message to the world and subsequently there became a permanent garrison in
Syria of Soviet troops you know not only were the bulk of Syrian weapons you
know coming from Warsaw Pact you know the Soviet Union itself the DDR just
Czechoslovakia, Hungary, what have you, but also North Korea.
You know, like Syria, because there wasn't the only,
the only Marxist-Leninist Arab state was South Yemen.
You know, so having an ally in the Arab world,
which again, Syria had and has something of an outsized,
profile in conceptual terms.
This is a big win
for the communist world.
Even though the Syrian bath was
not
particularly sympathetic to
doctrinal Marxist nationalism.
But that, you know, that's
that agree to which the Soviets
became tolerant increasingly
of what a lot of people would have viewed as kind of like a third
position as tenancy.
That's really, that's highly significant.
And, of course, that's the kind of stuff that guys
like Otto Riemer and George
Mr. Vierich and H.E. Thompson and
Francis Yaki.
I mean, that was their whole
kind of diagnostic
prediction.
You know, and that's one of the reasons why they
are just
incredibly ignorant people who
they like to
bandy that there's some kind of
quote third worldism. I don't even know what that means, but it, you know, within the extant
paradigm of the Cold War, this made absolute sense for, you know, anybody who was on the,
you know, on the national socialist or fascist side of things, you know, it, um, it absolutely
tracks. And Kerry Bolton, he's one of the only, um, he's one of the only, um, he's one of the
only kind of contemporary
I mean he's an old guy now
but he when it's a contemporary
I mean like somebody's active
he's only sort of like
too like dissident
like national socialist
like um
academic writers
I take really seriously like he's great
you know and I
he's kind of an eccentric guy
some of his interests
are kind of eccentric but I
you know he's his is
his viewpoint is closest
to my own
out of anybody
he's kind of active in
writing out
you know political theory
and national socialism
and stuff
in 2010
Medvedev became
he became the first president
of the Russian Federation to
reciprocate and visit Syria
I think like I said before
I can't
I cannot remember
if when the Russians
after
at this
Syrian Arab Army routed ISIS.
You know, there was a, there was this parade for the Russian contingent there.
They reminded me of the Condor Legion parade.
It was, I thought it was really cool.
I watched it on, there was a YouTube stream that came through live at like 3 a.m.
And I can't remember if Putin was there or not.
but regardless
it was
you know
the first state visit
by a Russian Federation
executive was
mitigative
um
and that was a
that was a big deal too
and obviously in 2010
like less than a year later
you know the civil war
kicked off and
that that wasn't
that um
that wasn't uh
that wasn't accidental
you know
um
Africanics, I can't remember if we're going to do this or not, but the, to understand the situation in Syria with ISIS, Al-Qaeda, Al-Nusra front, the Salafi terrorist elements who were assaulting the government, these guys were rapidly successful.
you know like obviously they had deep support
you know
above border or not
from from Washington
and Tel Aviv
you know they
the Syrian government by the time of
Russian intervention
they could be set of control only about 26% of the country
I mean they had Damascus
and they had most of the built up areas
but that didn't matter
you know and
the
integrating
between Damascus
and these kind of like outlying
territories that were
held by government forces
and an adjacent
allies
it was they couldn't
operationally integrate with the forces
in being that they had
that's one of the things that the Russian
Federation brought to the table
you know
um
Russia also, they showed absolutely no mercy to these Salafi Islamists.
You know, they were practicing a scorched earth campaign against them.
But that's what...
So the most horrifying modern world footage I've seen is when ISIS, they assaulted the suburb of Aleppo.
And they beheaded all the males, you know, from like little kids to...
like military age, like teenage boys
to like old men.
And it was like this forest
of like heads like impaled on these stakes.
And um
these ISIS guys
they were doing their
they were doing one of their afternoon prayers
and um
you know they were on their prayer mats
like it's probably like a whole
platoon of them.
And there was just these heads.
You know, like it's, it is like something out of a horror movie.
You know, I mean, that's, those are the kinds of animals that American Israel were turning loose on Syria as a detonation strategy.
You know, and, um, so the Russians, I mean, God bless the Russians were like blasting those guys to help.
But, you know, the, that's probably the greatest victory, like battlefield victory.
The, anybody, like, who should be, you should view as, like, an adjacent element,
if you're right wing.
And it's really, like, what the Syrian Arab Army, the Russian Federation and his blood
accomplished there, other than Operation Storm.
like when the Croix
routed the Chetniks and
like liberated
Ukraine
that's like the only thing
in my lifetime
that was comparable
so when these like
demento internet guys
like don't go outside or something
instead of talking about if they love Ukraine
it's I realize like how sick these fucking people are
and like
delusional
you know like they don't
they're like
they're either like
ops where like masquerading as being like
right wing or they're just like
or they just think that shit's like video games or something.
I don't know.
But, you know, I think the point again and again,
if you don't understand that, like, the Syrians are, like,
you are allies, and this is an international struggle.
You can't isolate it and say, like,
I don't care what happens outside America.
Like, that's this basic bitch, like, white N-word stuff,
but it's also, like, you're not in the game
if you think these things occur in isolation.
whether you like globalism or not, it doesn't matter.
Like, it's, you can't ignore gravity.
You know, it's the same thing.
Globalism is like gravity.
The power political paradigm you live under is like the weather.
You can't change it.
I mean, I mean, you can change it, but you've got to, like, work within its parameters.
You know, like saying you're, you're going to, like, you're going to take some, like, non-positioning, going to some, like, ethical orientation that,
you know, you convince yourself, like, means you, like, reject, like, the prevailing,
the prevailing order.
I mean, that's, that's, that's, that's, that's meaningless in, and, in political terms.
But, you know, the, uh, plus two, that's when the Russian Federation, like, finally
drew a line in the sand, you know, and I, had they not, I, I, I, I think Russia would be
an even worse shape today than, than, than it is.
I'm not saying bad things about Russian people
I mean the Russians are in a desperate situation
Putin said that like
like Assad is not going down
he said the bad regime is going to remain at all costs
and that
and he delivered on it
you know that's that's what's kept Russia alive
as in war in peace terms
you know like had the Russians
just a lot of Syria to go down.
Like they
would have had a cascading
effect of
of
catastrophes.
You know, you've
developed certain instincts for
identifying what events are going to
have those sort of seismic
kinetic effects and you would have to
believe if Damascus had fallen
that would have been one of those events.
it's also it was executed pretty splendidly man
you know I'm
we've talked a lot in various capacities
and I recommend you know
Subrov he's most known for Icebreaker
but his book inside the Red Army
you know it's about the state of
it's about the state of Soviet Army
you know basically in
in the in the later Brezhne of era
and something that
remains this day
and something that preceded the
Fultwick Revolution
the Russian's big thing
their big military science imperative
is to do everything possible
to like overcome fog of war
issues
you know
situational awareness issues
within the battle space
you know by eradicating uncertainty
these. So
they treat
battle doctrine almost like
a Western Army or like the
U.S. Army would treat regulation.
It's highly inflexible.
Okay.
But for the way
the Russians fight,
it does work.
And
the combined arms the
Russians brought to bear against
ISIS,
like cut them to pieces.
you know um
and it was absolutely
you know like a
like the Russians
didn't just like rashly deployed
like I remember
I can't remember his name
he was
he's that black guy on
I don't even think he's on TV anymore
but he was kind of like
he was kind of like mini me Lester Holt
or something he was I mean not that Lester Hulls
any great shakes but
this guy was like
he was kind of like the Bushley Lester Holt
and he was
he was talking to
he was talking to
he was talking to like
uber Zionist
like NATO shell
like idiot
who was like a light colonel
like a retired like light colonel or something
and this guy was dropping cab about like
well we saw in Chechnya in 94
the Russians can't fight
it's like first of all that was you know
20 years ago you fool
secondly
you know
if um
if that was a state of the armed front of the Russian
Federation, frankly, wouldn't have been able to deploy
its scale to Syria at all.
You know, it's not like they would have been able to
like arrive
in the battle space,
you know, deploy in depth, and then
completely foobar the operation.
I mean, they definitely could have lost it.
But,
and I'm not going to suggest that the Russian
army deploying to Syria
is like something on order of
the British
accomplishing the kind of logistical
a mirrorably did at the Falk, Winston, 82, or something, but it was pretty damn impressive, okay?
And once they were able to, essentially, like, immediately drop, like, you know, 5,000 boots on the ground and
a whole gang, a MiG-29s, and some kind of sexed-up, like, thermobaric artillery and things like that,
it's like, okay, I mean, it appears as if, like, the Russian army's back.
I mean, the Russian already performed pretty well in Georgia in 2008, but there were still problems.
I mean, there's problems today, but the, you know, I, nobody who's not resorting the kind of callow propaganda, the very deliberate sort is going to say that, you know, the Russian operation in Syria wasn't impressive or something, you know,
it's um
but uh
moving on
um
yeah it's uh
the Russian um
the chief of
the Russian air force
Geracemov
Valerie Grasimov
he stated in 2017
in 2017
like in 2016 like started 2017
there's kind of like this big
retrospective on the series
operation.
And part of it was, you know, like a Russian flex.
Like, hey, this is what we did.
Like, you know, rah, ra, we're back.
We, you know, we were serious, you know, we're serious, we're serious military power again.
But they carried out, they carried out around 20,000, sorties.
Like, yeah, between like 18 and 20,000 sorties.
And there was over 70,000 strikes.
on what
Grasimov called
quote the infrastructure of terrorism
which
what I take that to me is like a lot of ground assault type of stuff
you're like basically like it has a blood
the three of Arab army going to action
probably backed up by some Russian
armor and artillery
and then um like basically like
the Russians that uh
they like pound the hell
out of ISIS positions from the
you know like an immediate advance of that combined ground element you know which
would then like encircle these positions with kind of like textbook like
Warsaw Pact deep battle just like smaller scale you know and um basically treat
basically treat the operation as like you know the advance of fire wherever possible
you know, like lay as much fire as possible on the opposing force to kill it, you know, and even overkill it.
You know, it's not exactly a lot of places to hide in the battle space.
And there are some very serious fighting in Damascus, but I believe by the time the Russian Federation arrived on the ground,
I believe that it basically resolved.
You know, the
had the Russians had to rout ISIS from
demand. I mean, I
it might be an improper, counterfactual,
because like if ISIS was holding Damascus,
it's like what, I mean, that would indicate the war was over.
But it,
but point being, you know, they,
that wouldn't change things if,
um,
that would have changed things if, like,
Hizbollah was charged, basically. It was like liberating demand.
I mean, like, what do you...
That would have kind of neutralized
Russian firepower, too,
unless they were planning on, like, leveling the city
without regard to...
Without regard to,
you know, friendly attrition and things.
But,
yeah, it...
Yeah, I...
I guess,
hung up on an hour.
Yeah, I'm sorry that it's too, like, heavy
on the military side of things.
I'd like to...
I realize we still have...
to wrap of our Gladio series.
There's, um,
if you want to do like an epilogue
in this, I mean, it's totally up to you, obviously. It's just
so, literally.
There's something to be
said
for, like, the, the Jackson
Vannock Amendment and what led to
its passing,
and the whole
kind of narrative
of Soviet Jewry being, like,
under threat.
And,
um,
you know, the
GRU and the KGB
quite literally
establishing a directorate
to monitor Zionism.
I mean, this is part of the equation.
I mean, there's a lot
to the Russian-Syrian
relationship and just kind of like the Russian
enmity
with Israel.
And we could definitely go like another hour on that
if you want, but it's totally up to you.
Just let me know what you want
to do next.
Yeah, let's finish
since we're
we're on this. Let's finish this up. And then we'll come back and do a wrap-up episode on
Gladiotio and then figure out where you want to go from there. Yeah, that's great, man.
All right. So just tell everybody where they can find your stuff and go.
Yeah, man. You can find me on a substack. That's for my podcast content. It's real
Thomas 777.7.com. I'm doing
some biweekly
pods
with Jay Byrdon
he's like my homeboy
he's great
like he really is
we're putting that up on gum road
and having Burden do it
like I might be a total retard
I literally found gum road
like fucking unusable
I spent like four hours of that
fucking platform
it's not easy
it's like totally
it's not intuitive
it's not intuitive
there's always like redundant
buttons that don't do anything
and it's like
it's like some fucking
yeah it's like some crazy person
or like some
like lobotomized pageet like programmed it or something
so you have like four hours of this garbage
I'm like what the fuck am I doing?
I'm like I'm not gonna
I'm like this it's
I'd rather have a fucking root canal
than like fuck with this platform
just let Burton do it he's young
exactly you know it's not enough to do it
and the main thing is I love substack
because it's literally simple as like point and click
or like drag and populate.
But they make it difficult.
You can like add collaborators on substack,
but it doesn't just like automatically like split revenue.
Right.
Yeah.
It's a.
Now we're getting inside baseball.
Yeah, yeah.
Check out,
uh,
check out Burns action on,
on Gumroad.
It's radio free Chicago.
And I'll,
I shout it out when we record new stuff like on my substick.
I like post a link and stuff as well.
well as I'll pick up a link to it and add it in.
Yeah, thank you.
And yeah, I mean, obviously I'm on, I'm on X, formerly Burb app.
You know, I'm at capital R-EAL underscore number seven, HMAS 7777.
Here, Krieg has been, he's been visibly making some new swag for like our merchandise,
which I think is pretty cool, man.
Like I legit, like I stand by it because I think it's,
cool and people seem
to like it. So
yeah, if you could like drop a link to the
MERS stuff in the description
that would probably be cool.
But that's otherwise, man,
I'm
I'm trying
to get a jump on my
I make progress on my
my manuscript stuff.
My long form written
stuff, especially because
I'm going to have to travel a bunch this winter
which I didn't, which is fine.
I'm blessed that people enjoy my company and want me to go places where they're hosting things.
But I didn't think I'd be like hitting the road again until like springtime.
So I'm going to try and in like the next month, I'm hoping I can have like a workable manuscript.
It just takes time, especially when you got to properly like cite, you know, your data on things.
but that's what I've been up on.
Awesome, ma'all right.
Until the next time, we'll wrap this and wrap up Gladio
and figure out where to go from there.
Yeah, man, that's great.
Take care of Thomas. Thank you.
I want to welcome everyone back to the Pekinae Show.
Thomas, how have you been?
I'm all right.
Let's finish us up talking about Russia and Syria,
and I think I know where you're going to go with this one.
So just let loose.
Yeah, that's your thing.
You know, obviously, we're coming up, too, in the anniversary of the Ramadan War.
You know, the Yom Kippur War is, which interestingly doesn't get, it doesn't appear a lot in media these days.
Some of the fellows that have made the point in our discussions that, you know, historical events don't really occur anymore.
I mean, that, like, you know, like Zizek makes that point a lot.
and so to some of these other guys who are kind of trying to salvage what remains a continental philosophy.
I mean, that's a deeply psychological mechanism, you know, and there's like sociological locations to it too.
But in more kind of prosaic terms, that's an important point because I'm always emphasizing to the fellas who don't remember because they weren't born yet, that media narratives, like however corrupt they were, corrupted they were by ideology and by conceptual
biases, they did in fact build on a continuing foundation of historical time.
You know, I make the point, even really up until 2000, kind of like the last instance of this
in the spring or, no, it was like summer or fall of 2000.
I remember this vividly because I made my dad really upset.
And he went on this local radio show to talk about it, this show beyond the Beltway
that used to be like based here in Chicago.
and me and like my then girlfriend
we went down to the studio to meet him
in the loop and the subject of the day
and my dad was on this panel with this like
former Navy SEAL guy and this kind of
crusty older dude who was a civilian
but he'd been on William Odom's staff in some capacity
but Peter Arnett
and this is one of the things that kind of crushed
his career I mean he was getting old
up there in years anyway but
he broke this story
where this guy
claimed that
first of all the guy claimed that he was a deser
in the Vietnam War and he claimed he ended up
in Laos, okay?
And he said there was this village
like full of like, you know,
like young white men who were like married
to indigenous women.
And he's like, what's happening here? And they're like, oh,
we're all deserters. This is like our commune.
We're like escaping the war.
And if anybody who knows the history
of the conflict, that's preposterous
on its own terms, okay?
There's no way that happened. But he was
Our net was taking what this guy said is fact.
So our net's like, well, like, what happened?
I don't come there's no record of this place.
So this guy's like, well, you know, he's like,
Army Special Forces arrived one day after they bombarded us with nerve gas
and everybody died.
But I was out in the fields that day or the rice paddies.
So I escaped.
And he's like, it was called Operation Tailwind.
You know, and my dad's like, this is outrageous.
This is outrageous as being reported as news.
and how dare this guy, like, defame these special forces operators.
But I did it takes that real seriously.
You know, he was a civilian, but he got to know a lot of these guys very well.
You know, and he takes the honor of such people seriously, you know.
And I mean, for me, I mean, it was just, I mean, aside than that, it was like, I mean, Arnett was just, like, lying.
Like, if you're a serious journalist, this guy's story was preposterous.
you know, like I said, I was, I was like 24, 25 years old, and I was just kind of like a student of the Vietnam War.
And I'm like, there's no way that happened.
And of course, it broke out of this guy with some crazy liars that our net kind of disappeared.
But it was a big deal, man, because, you know, even 25 years after Saigon went kaput, you know, Vietnam was still on people's minds, man.
You know, in conceptual terms, it was one of their main kind of like whole stars.
of historical events.
So that
it doesn't really, it's just like not the case
anymore and part of it's deliberate. It's like a deliberate
sort of like whitewashing of the collective memory.
They're not so much, it's just kind of like erasing the
collective memory of historical time.
But it's also,
these narratives increasingly are just kind of generated out of
nothing, you know, they're, they draw upon these kinds of
endure, this kind of like enduring praiseology that
regime,
information or propaganda always disseminate.
You know, so there's a certain structure to it.
There's a certain conceptual structure,
but it's very much like every aspect of it's just kind of like
autonomously situated in a psychological term.
It's really weird.
But in any event, even through the late 90s,
they, when there was,
when any kind of crisis was emergent,
between like Israel and its and its enemies they there there'd be contextual references to the
Ramadan war which they called the Yom Kippur war and the 1967 six-day war which was Israel's
greatest victory that's not just cap that um Israel had they were unusually larded with military
talent at operational level for various reasons and um I mean that was so that was a big deal
And that's kind of what the myth of Israeli military supremacy, like, was emergent.
Because in 67, it wasn't a myth.
I mean, on the one hand, like, modern combat resolves rapidly.
That's why I was trying to upside the people.
You know, they...
People get a corrupted view of this because pretty much, like,
the only wars in living memory involve these kinds of nonsensical paradigms
where like, you know, some Pentagon guy or some State Department spokesman or woman is suggesting, well, we're making incremental progress.
You know, like these kind of like endless deployments that don't resolve anything.
Like, people think that that's normal.
Like, they don't understand that even under conditions or relative parity, you know, like modern kind of combined arms war, it's,
battles are usually massively one-sided.
It's usually a route.
It usually resolves, like, within days.
you know
but just the same
the IDS performance in 67
was unusually strong
but all of that
all that basically came to an end
in the 73 war and
it's significant to us
I mean even people who weren't particularly
invested in Israel Palestine
I don't think that's a correct
disposition because if
you know
within the current paradigm you
you can't just kind of like select that we choose what you quote care about.
It's not a question of caring about it either.
Like everything is impactful.
You know, anywhere that,
um,
anywhere that,
the,
the U.S. forces are NATO where like IDF is deployed,
you know,
with the full,
with the full faith and blessing and operational integration with
another United States,
you know,
this has,
um,
this has implications for everything that occurs in a political nature.
But, um,
you know, in 73, I believe that that was a more dangerous crisis modality than the Cuban
missile crisis.
Like, the Cuban missile crisis, the way it was unfolding in real time, and the way these
Soviet naval vessels were approaching Cuba.
And there was a question, like, will they run the blockade or not?
Or, like, how will this resolve?
like and as like the days and hours were ticking away in Kennedy's war room,
you know, people got the perception that this was especially critical, and it was,
don't get me wrong.
However, there was nothing approaching strategic parity then.
In 1973, there absolutely was.
Like the Soviets didn't officially accomplish like strategic parity in terms of forces in being,
you know, that were in fact deployed.
until 76 to 77.
By 73, they have the capability
to absolutely devastate Western Europe
and the continent of the United States.
And owing a command and control nuances
and the shrinking of the window
where human decision makers are capable of reacting,
that window of opportunity to render
decision had
shrunk dramatically
from a decade previous.
So I maintain that
1973
when America went to
DefCon 3, that's the only time that's ever
happened. And for
context, it's
now like during the early years that war on terror
with those like goofy, like color-coded
alerts like today, like the terror threat is
purple, so like shove a drool up your
ass or whatever like you're supposed to do.
It wasn't like that.
Like, it was quite serious.
And at DefCon 3, you know, basically that means America shifted to a war footing.
And missile ears in their silos, they strapped into their seats to prepare for deep impact and awaited launch orders.
And, like, the little doors, like atop the silo went like, you know, which is kind of horrifying.
but um and presdanov he mobilized the soviet union
operationally in some ways they mirrored the nat order of battle but in other ways they were
totally different but they had you know america's kind of
america's kind of rapid reaction forced during the cold war was uh
it was the 8 2nd airborne division the soviets mirrored that um
like the soviet air air
were in troops at that point were like an air assault
element
they went on high alert
and they were preparing to deploy to the
Middle East to relieve the Egyptian army
you know
so this was this was really really bad
but that
it's interesting that that's been
conspicuously absent I mean it's to somebody
in my age the absence is conspicuous
I haven't read one reference
to it and
since the IDF assaulted that Russian target,
which don't get me wrong, it's happened many times before.
Okay, but it does constitute, if only in the court of public opinion
and public opinion in wartime takes on an outside significance.
It does represent a kind of escalation that, you know, the IDF is flagrantly assaulting Russian targets.
And it was one thing to do that during the Syrian Civil War.
It's nothing to do that now.
but I would think that any newsman or lady would
you know kind of like invoke the 73 war as the direct precedent to contextualize what's
happening you know and they're not doing that at all
so that's just something that sort of jumped out of me but like moving on to
you know the topic of the day you know once again I as I indicated I don't want to
sound like some crazy old person.
But if I'm repeating myself, let me
know because I do forget sometimes where we
left off. And I try to refresh my
recollection from the last episode, but I don't
always have time to like totally go through it.
So I'm not going to be offended
if you stop me and say, like, we already
covered that. But I think
where we ended, we were
talking about, you know,
the Russian Federation in Syria
and how one
of the major
foreign policy moves, even
even in the Yeltsin era
was to absolutely
guarantee that
the Soviet
Mediterranean fleet could still base in Syria
and the Syrians were still obviously
very much amenable to that
but you know despite even
Yeltsin's
either you know apathy or gross
incompetence or combination of both
on power political matters
you know it wasn't as him obviously either
It was, you know, the equivalent of the general staff, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the foreign ministry and other things.
But they, even when they were not at all in a position to, you know, be pursuing a true kind of world, felt politic strategy, you know, they made sure they locked in a continuation of good offices with Syria.
you know and um
this is
the 1971
naval treaty that was signed with
Hafez al-Assad
it granted
the Soviet Union
um
you basically like unrestricted access
to the naval basic
part is that it had built
um
and it can say that continues to this day
you know and um
it the treaty runs for 20 years
and there's automatic five-year extensions
and it's one of the
parties opposite terminated the agreement, but it's a rubber stamp sort of thing.
You know, and the Syrian state, Hefez Assad, who passed away in 2000,
he was one of the first heads of state to recognize the Russian Federation.
You know, basically immediately as a Soviet Union became the Russian Federation, he recognized it
and made clear that the Syrian government was going to abide any military.
agreements and specifically the
naval treaty regarding
TARDIS. But
you know, I can't remember we got into this or not, we were talking about
the continuity war between 67 and 73
and how the Israeli
Air Force, you know, they fought this pitch
this pitched air battle, you know, between
the Israeli Air Force and
Soviet Migs.
But during the
Ramadan War, the Yangapur war, the Yon War, the Yon Gapur
itself. You know, there's thousands of Soviet advisors on the ground as well as, you know,
direct action military elements, you know, technicians, you know, a veritable battalion and
technicians to assist the Syrian Arab army and, you know, to maintain their equipment and
their armored platforms, their aircraft, all of that. And 20, at least 20 of them died. The Russian
so at least 20 KIA
and probably more. I mean, that's just what the
Kremlin acknowledged, but
there was a, during the war
there was over 3,700
tons of
aid airlifted to the
battle space.
By the end of October,
1973,
by C, the Soviet Union
had transported 63,000
tons to steer you
to replace its, its,
it's, it's,
military and infrastructure.
losses that's a massive commitment in relative and absolute terms I'm not sure
people recognize that because you know America throws money around like water and
and is constantly just like dumping these like aid packages and in secondary
theaters that this was a big deal okay I think I got into the fact that there was
some tension in 76 77 between
Damascus and Moscow.
The Syrian Arab army deployed
to the Lebanese
battle space, which put them directly
opposite the PLO
and the PLO, the Popular Front
and the Popular Front, the Liberation of Palestine.
They were very
Warsaw-Pact adjacent. There's
big concern in the Soviet camp that this would
upset the kind of
delicate balance that
was in place in the Arab
Cold War, as it's called.
This was remedied
basically
110%
when the
when the Soviets went to
war in Afghanistan
because I can't remember
if I mentioned this or not either
like Assad
immediately
like declared like
solidarity with the Soviet Union
in the war
in Afghanistan
and obviously
I put him at odds
with basically
every other Arab government
you know
and that's huge
that's
and it's significant
too
I mean
because there's obvious
inherent tensions between
the Soviet
between there were between the Soviet Union and Iran
there are out of day between the Russian Federation and Iran
some of these are sectarian and religious
theological
some of these are ethnic
you know I
the persons and the Russians aren't
particularly cozy but there's
there's a very large Azeri minority
in Iran you know Amatinajad
is an ethnic Azeri
there's
there's some bad blood there
aside from the intrinsic value with Syria
in absolute geo-strategic terms to the Russian Federation
it's also very much like a con it represents kind of like
it facilitates concord between the Russians and
in a real way
you know
the
I'm sorry one second
Oh, and it's, um, in, uh, in April of 77, like as this kind of Lebanon situation was developing, um, Hefez al-Assad, he had, he traveled to Moscow.
And there's some interesting sort of like cool footage that the Russians shot. Um, and there was, there was, there's also some, there's also some British, uh, media guy in the ground.
the British were very well
indexed with the Soviet Union
in terms of media
for whatever reason.
But there's this footage of
Hafez Assad arriving in
Moscow and receiving
great honors.
You know, it's really
interesting and especially for a small
country.
You know, it's
Syria has a very outsized
relevance
for this reason.
but it uh he he got an aside got not just an audience with bresnan but uh with uhlexey cisigan um
who uh was uh he the way to think of him is he was kind of in the role that laverob is today
you know it's an imperfect analogy but for foreign policy purposes and war in peace terms especially
like it used to be the Arab world
it tracks
and um
you know
it's not
that's no small thing
and it's not
you know
that's why when people
when people talk about the Assad family
like they're
like they're like you know
like Saddam and his clan
they're not at all
you know they're
they're
they're
for the Assad was anything but
just some like tin pot dictator
you know I mean I
I
I think they're a
I think the
Syrians are a noble people generally
and I find the Assad's
particularly impressive but
that's not
that's not just
um
that's not just cap on me to
conceptual bias or something
you know
Afez Assad visited Moscow again
in early spring
87 April
1987
1987 and um
he traveled there with
the then serving defense minister
Mustafa Klaus
and he has to require this advanced service to air missile system.
And Gorbachev denied him, which is really interesting.
And this was during a time when, it's a critical period when avionics were becoming hyper-advanced.
Obviously, the stealth, like the B2 stealth on.
it was a really kind of played for them than those that the these missile systems that the Syrians wanted to acquire were tailored to as a countermeasure for but that that entire sort of like skunk works um series of projects that was emerging from this this kind of culture of high-tech avionics okay so um you know the Syrians were asking were requesting this for a reason
you know they
they need
they desperately needed countermeasures because
Israel
Israel and
in West Germany
around the Cold War they were getting America's
best equipment I mean the Germans in their own right
I think the I think the leopard tank
is the best like modern battle tank
like hands down but the
but um
they
the West Germans in Israel
I mean in the in the former case
that you know what old obviously
cold residences. The latter
was ideological and the latter
obviously still this is the case in terms of what they received
but they weren't getting like
they weren't getting like knockoff
versions of
of American aircraft. They were getting the real thing
you know and this
obviously
decides to give the Syrians pause
because even before
even before
stealth technology became the norm
you know
long before
it um
advanced avionics were making it increasingly difficult,
really to develop any countermeasures at all.
And the Soviets,
one of the things the Warsaw Pact did very, very well
was aircraft countermeasures,
particularly serviced air missiles.
But you know the old book and film,
Flight of the Intruder, it's a dumb movie,
but it's a pretty good book.
If you're interested in the air, I read the book
and saw the movie. Yeah, the book is,
better yeah yeah but it um and stephen coons is is kind of a he's kind of a strange guy but he
he flew 86s over vietnam and um the part where the the kind of the kind of john wayne type
aviator jake grafton you know his new his new uh radar intercept officer his new rio is this
kind of like wild guy but um even he like he like
like,
fog sorties or downtown
Hanoi is like a terrifying
prospect for American aviators
because other than Moscow,
like,
it was like the most hardened,
like,
target on this planet.
Like that's not,
that wasn't creative license
that was included in the book or something.
And that owed the fact that,
I mean,
the Soviets built it up to make it that way.
You know,
it wasn't,
um,
it,
obviously it was,
you know,
the Vietnamese are an industrious people,
but they,
they had nothing approaching that kind of technology.
and, you know, they
the Soviets knew that
I mean, that was before
the Sino-Soviet split
but, you know, the
like the Chinese had nothing remotely
powerful, you know, like the
the Chai-on-quivant was junk.
But, um, in any event,
so this was a,
that was kind of, um,
a turning point, obviously, in 87
when Gorbachev refused, basically,
to
you kind of honor the
good offices that had been sustained with Syria
really since day one, at least, you know,
as regards to military necessities and exigencies.
But, you know, that was,
the, what, what Garber would show off was attempting to accomplish.
I was writing some about this the other day,
but that's kind of a subject for another episode.
I don't know if we go off on that tangent,
like we'll be here all night.
But, um, it is, uh,
that, that was,
definitely like anomalous though you know like I said it even even even under Yolson's
tenure the you know the Moscow never made any indication that they did any intention of
abandoning Syria but moving forward with some I mean obviously what's most relevant to
the president is you know the Syrian Civil War you know and I it's it's hardly
divinate really what's what people are thinking in in watching
Because you don't have a serious foreign policy establishment and you haven't since you know
1992 but when Obama's people when they were saying that Damascus is eminently going to fall
That that that was that was in fact accurate
At the outset of the intervention the Russian intervention and I there's another case of Putin waited far too long intervene
I mean it it's a credit to the Syrian people you know those loyal to Assad and to Hezbollah
and those Russian forces
who were deployed that they won
but
it was becoming critical
you know the
the Syrian government
they officially only controlled about
a quarter of the country
you know this statistics I've read is like
26% of overall like territory
and how much that territory
you can deploy in depth or defend it
I mean they had to
they had the
built up areas by and large
but, you know, they were, they were essentially, there was this garrison, Damascus was like becoming a frontline city, you know, and Assad, Assad sends his wife away, and he sent his sister, Ushra Assad, away, and, you know, he, I developed huge respect for Bashar, the son, because he said I'm not leaving Damascus by half-to-old out of here.
And that's, you know, I'm like, okay, this guy's a real man and he's a real president.
You know, he's a real leader of a, he's a real warlord now, you know, because that's the way it has to be.
But, you know, when the Russians did arrive, you know, they rapidly integrated with, you know, a lot of the Syrian Arab army defected.
You know, I think a lot of that, the degree to which that Sunni bath helped.
elements and the Iraqi bath and the Syrian bath party are very different animals.
But there is a common ideological core and there's a common sociological rationale to like the men who were in our heavily indexed with the party.
And, you know, a bunch of Saddam's officers who were, you know, a part of the Sunni minority in Iraq, like they clipped.
They clicked it with ISIS basically immediately. Not all of them, but a lot of them did.
And they were accepted by these guys, which is really interesting.
And some of the same thing happened in Syria.
You know, and the Syrian bath party, even, like, at the top is more ecumenical than they're credited.
But it still is, I mean, it's basically, you know, like an al-Away, like, minority rule situation.
But, and it's interesting.
in May 2010
like before the formal onset of hostilities
Medvedev had visited Syria
and that
Medvedev's like brief
tenure
as the president is interesting
man and it's interesting
how he became
it was like out bad with Putin
subsequently but it's pretty
obvious that
NATO
Israel and I'm sure they're proxies
in these ISIS types as well
because those guys weren't stupid
they realize
you know look the time to move
you know the time to truly escalate
is when the Russians are
having some kind of crisis of leadership
you know
or if not
not so much a crisis and a literal like
you know war in the Kremlin like happened after a drop off
like you know you
when the civilian
executive is kind of headless.
That causes problems.
You know,
it causes problems in terms of, like,
grand schemes, strategic decision-making
all the way down to the operational level.
That's one of the reasons why Netanyahu is secure,
unfortunately,
because even people who despise them,
you know,
playing musical chairs with the civilian executive is not
what you want to do at war.
But, um,
be it as it may,
um,
when the Russians did deploy,
they immediately integrated, you know,
with Hezbo and the Syrian Arab Army
and command of control capacities,
you know, like, deeply.
And this, how this, you know,
the Russians, no, like, wartime diplomacy, man.
I mean, that, during the Cold War,
I'd say the key ways,
I mean, NATO had them beat in all kinds of capacities,
like material, political, and otherwise.
But, you know, what the Russians had was,
I mean, they had firepower.
obviously they had a very tough in game population in the Russian people but they
were very they were and are very adept at like war and peace politics and that
that that's how they were able to accomplish that you know because like I I mean
obviously especially considering the the tactical situation on the ground in
Syria I mean his blah wasn't about to say like we won't index with the Russian
of course the Russian Federation,
but there's always tensions
in trying to integrate a command and control
structure, you know,
and this was accomplished seamlessly,
essentially.
But the,
well, you know, the Russians,
the Russians brought in,
like, real firepower to bear.
You know,
the Russians can't do high tech like America can,
but their war tech,
as during the Cold War is now,
was good enough.
and the Syrian intervention and the way they
they pursued a truly scorched earth
policy in the in the battle space
against their against the Opheur
and it paid off
you know the um and Putin declared
in no uncertain terms that
you know the
the Assad government is not going to be allowed to fall
there is some momentum behind
Syria too in the quarter world that
opinion because like we talked about I'm not susceptible to propaganda and I mean I am not some young naive person
I was legitimately horrified by those scenes from you know the suburbs of Aleppo where these these isis
barbarians you know we're beheading people and putting heads on stakes you know like I said I saw
this video of them you know they were doing their afternoon prayers on their prayer mats and a there's like a forest of
hits. You know, it's like a
horror movie. But
you know, people were seeing that
kind of thing.
And I remember
a bath party spokeswoman
in on certain terms telling some
European media type, like look, we're not
we do not negotiate with people who
we do not negotiate with, we're not going to change our government
because terrorists are bombing
us and killing people and beheading people.
Like what that's,
you can't ever allow that.
you know, this is, and, you know, this was also, too, when the war on terror was still on, it's like, so you, America's telling us, and telling the world, like, you know, we're waging the war on terror yet you're, you're trying to bring down a secularist eye doctor who, uh, it's got like a pretty wife who looks kind of like any white woman in the United States. And you're saying that, like, ISIS are the good guys. Like, that's, that's really when America lost all credibility. You know, like, even more so.
I think, then the Iraq fiasco,
because that was just like laid bear.
You know, it's like we will burn down civilization
and hand it to barbarians, you know,
that basically accomplish what we want.
And that's the opposite of civilization,
you know.
I say nothing of the fact that that's,
I mean, 9-11 should never have happened,
but it did happen.
And it's like, okay, it's like a decade,
you know, a mere decade subsequent.
like now
now you're willing to like accept that
as you know
it's kind of like the verbal cost
to win business
that's like that's that's
unconscionable
it's grotesque
but um
you know and then
Putin clarified in 2015
it's really interesting too
when speaking of the Medveda situation
for three
four years when
Putin
you know
his kind of like second
permanent tenure
as president of Russian Federation.
There's this kind of window
where he was speaking very candidly.
I think Putin acquits himself pretty well, generally.
But he plays so close to the chess
and kind of issues these non-answerers, the policy questions.
There was like this brief period of a few years
where he was kind of trying to humanize his image, I think.
And remember, in October 2015...
Yeah, it was like October, November 2015.
He gives us an interview.
And he's like, look, he's like this...
He's like, you know, the Syrian intervention was prepared well in advance.
Despite the way he may have appeared, we weren't just responding an emergency situation on the ground.
We knew that America and Israel wanted to bring down the bath regime.
We consider this unacceptable.
We still do.
It was really interesting.
He just doesn't talk that way anymore.
You know, and one of the things people criticize him for is, is this kind of like ambiguous language about Ukraine, you know, oh no, this is this is a special military operation.
and not being clear about objectives and things,
it's very different,
but I think it's relevant.
You know, I know it is,
but the,
in Putin's terms and Russian speakers,
I'm sure will suggest and suggest correctly,
this is an imprecise,
I'm precise translation,
but it's,
the most coherent
when I found, like in the same
interview he said, quote,
that the objective
was and remains, quote,
stabilizing the legitimate power in Syria
and creating conditions for political compromise.
And
that's very much a Putinism.
You know, as Putin's always resorting
to, you know,
the rules-based international order
that purportedly exists.
And like, I understand why he does that,
but I think the time is past.
for that those sorts of appeals but um it's just it's just interesting the uh and if i can't remember
we dropped the brass tax like the like the literal numbers of what this operation constituted in
syria um in some ways especially considering a lot of the discussion about the deterioration of
russian capabilities in some ways this was as much a coup um in world opinion terms as
the UK's
effort in the Falklands
you know because people
were I mean
Washington's always suggesting the Russians
can't do anything right
in military terms
but even
relatively serious people were prone to talking that way
but
the Russian Air Force
it carried out over 19,000
sorties
71,000 direct strikes
on what they called
the quote infrastructure of terrorists.
You know, I
interpret that in like real human
language, not military language
as a combination
of, you know,
ground support, attack
missions, you know, as well as,
you know,
as well as bonding of any positions
and things.
But I
close air
support and direct support.
of a ground element
forces is what really
carried the day. And again, the
Russians, they've always
viewed warfare as
kind of the advance of fire.
You know, they're really Klaus of Witsian and they're
like literally Klaus of Witsian and their
perspectives. You know, that's
who trained them to fight modern war.
You know, it was Klaus Wits himself
and approaching
officers and
there are in our
force of the Russian Federation on parade, they still
you know, perform the goose step.
It's, you know, not
a coincidence or because they
think it looks really sharp,
which it does, but it's because that's
how they learn real,
you know,
and this
solidified Russia as a
as a real
military power on the world's stage
once again, you know, and that's why
it's, there's
it's not as like a conceptual
bias or like a categorical
ignorance. I mean, it's both of those things too.
But, you know, like, at the onset of
Australia's in Ukraine, like, however mismanaged
that war has been, and it's been, like, grossly
mismanaged on the Russian side.
Okay. But this idea that
like Russia lacks the capability
to deploy its scale,
it's like, what are you talking about?
I mean, that's, that's at odds of reality.
You know, and
if you're going to
if you're going to fight the
you're going to fight the
Armed Forces of Russian Federation, like literally on the
frontier, you know, the direct precedent that comes to bear is, well, what happened in Syria?
You know, I, not make no mistake. There is no, like, military objective on, you know, that Ukraine is
pursuing because there's no, there's no path in victory in military terms, and it's, but if you
accept that, you know, U.S. NATO, Israel, their only interest is, you know, is, is, is in, um, creating
attrition, you know, it's
it makes perfect sense. But this idea that
these, these,
it's not as these fools like blinking either, like
there's, um,
you know, there's this people, I don't think there's any
serious people in the foreign policy establishment,
but even people less kind of,
you know, out of it than he is.
You know, they were talking like, well, yeah, you know, the
Russian mainland resistance is just going to collapse, you know,
the moment, basically, we, we start
popping off combined arms.
and, you know, from a barric munitions or whatever, and then, like, the, you know, the United Russia is just going to collapse.
It's like, what, say, are you smoking cracked?
Like, that's, you know, the one thing, the one thing the Russians have going for them, again, is, is the fact that, um, they can bring firepower to bear.
They've got a very game population.
And I, as long as, as, as long as Putin is alive and relatively healthy, like, like, you, like,
United Russia has never been stronger.
Like, their problem is that apparently they can't achieve consensus on who, on a man to take
his place.
But this idea that, plus men of Russians literally took 25 million dead.
You know, if you lose one in seven of your population to the Vermeck in four years,
and not only do you not fall apart, you can reconstitute in.
into a superpower, albeit a crippled one, immediately subsequent.
That's like nothing short of incredible.
And I think it's basically unprecedented, you know, like some sort of comparable
scenario where a state indoors that level of devastation and is able to, you know,
if not profit from it, to, you know, immediately reconstitute and project power.
in a way there to for unthinkable, even prior to the onset of a stories.
But, you know, that's one of the reasons why, I mean,
you've got to understand the Ukraine war as literally like another,
a secondary front, a secondary theater of the same conflict as was underway in Syria.
and one of the things facilitated by Russian
facilitated by Russian victory there
was not just clout in the international stage
but it basically guaranteed them access to the eastern Mediterranean
you know and from there you can stage
you can stage climate operations like tier wide
basically you know
including in places like Libya that for
reasons, some of which are
within the bound of rationality
of a, you know,
native decision making.
There's some reasons they call it Libya
that makes sense. There's some that don't.
But, like, point being,
Russia absolutely can deploy their in-depth
if they're not tied down on their own frontier
vis-a-vis Ukraine. And that's
really the key to understanding what is underway
there in
in, like, hard
material terms, I mean.
But the Assad himself apparently on the eve of Russian intervention, I assume this came from his general staff,
and I, the Syrian Arab army, I know people claim that their shit, like the Egyptian army or something, I don't accept that.
I don't accept that because of the 1970s, 3 war.
And like I said, the issue with the Syrian Arab army, it wasn't that.
like they were getting mauled in the field.
It's that basically, like,
the Sunnis said, like, we're not going to fight this war.
You know, um,
but Assad, again,
I'm certain through like his general staff,
which equivalent,
they issued this, um,
series of reports to Moscow saying, like,
this is the,
this is the tactical situation.
This is what we absolutely need.
This is what needs to be brought to bear.
They basically identified and characterized opt for and how it was hurting them.
And in a very concise and clear-headed way said,
like, this is why we're going to lose this war unless you're able to deploy and guarantee A, B, and C.
You know, and that events is like a remarkable level of trust.
Because, like, among other things, if you invite a great power and in very reduced
Russia still is a great power in relative terms, although like nothing, you know, like a superpower.
You know, you invite the Russians to deploy in depth and in hand your commanding control
mechanism over to them. They may well just decide that like now Syria is part of Russia for
all practical purposes. Like that's not just cap. Like when people are like, you know, Putin's
going to attack Poland. Like it's no small measure inviting like five or eight thousand like armed
Russians and their combat aircraft and guys and their general staff like into your country
and saying like, okay, fellas, like, you know, do what you do best, then apply,
implement, like, death at scale among, like, those people, but then, like, kind of
politely bow out when it's done.
I mean, it's, um, it's a rare case of, like, real kind of, like, respect and reciprocity
at, like, cultural level as well as practical, um, levels.
But, um, yeah, and that's why, uh, you know, like I said, if I could, um, if I could, um, if I
can meet the, when anyone
had the state, like I find it all interesting
is Bashar al-Assad.
Like, um,
you know, he's
a, he's a fascinating dude
and I find a highly relatable.
Um, but yeah,
the, uh, I think that's, uh,
yeah, I was going to get, at some
point, and we covered some of this earlier,
I mean, in, like, a different
series, I mean, um,
we were talking about,
um,
you know,
the Jackson-Vannock Amendment
and what prompted it, which was in large
measure of
you know, the
the public bureau and the Supreme
Soviet moving to literally like
outlaw Zionism.
Like it became a
political crime against the state
to, you know, like advocate for Zionism.
You know, and um,
there was a party official in
April 83.
Um,
they're like this full page,
this full page ad
titled, quote, from the Soviet leadership,
laying out the case against Zionism
as viewed from Moscow, which is fascinating.
And then subsequently, you know, that's when you started
hearing in media this narrative, like whether a Soviet Jews are at risk of
of annihilation. You know, the Soviet Union
is this, you know, anti-Semitic country.
I mean, they'd been at war for decades already, but
it, um, it, uh,
it took on,
like an overt, uh, you know,
an above board, like,
character, you know, and, um,
this, uh, the, you know,
the, the, you know, the, the purported plight of Soviet Jewry.
It, it, it was something that was endlessly bandied about by,
not just NGOs and
sympathetic media people
by the Reagan administration.
Like, it's really, it's really wild.
And, you know,
speaking of Cold War movies, or Cold War
theme movies, the movie
Firefox is a really good
movie.
If you can, I mean, you've got a little bit like the propaganda.
But when I was like a little kid, my mom and dad,
I wanted to see it with them, and it blew my mind.
But, you know,
one of the subtext of it is that,
you know, that Clint East would,
who's like the Rousseau American
like Nam era combat
pilot who
you know he
he goes
his mission is like
steal
with the then fictional
Meg 31
like there is an actual
Meg 31
it's call signs
is Foxbat
but it didn't exist
when Firebox came out
but the
the Meg 31
Firefox is like
this super plain
and um
it directly interfaces
with the pilot's brain waves
so like
you so you think commands to the central processing unit and then it responds.
And because Eastwood in the film, his character is this Russian guy,
Russian, he speaks Russian, you know, so he can think in Russian to manipulate the aviotics.
But in any event, like a subplot is, there's this Jewish avionics engineer.
And the Soviets are basically, they're like threatening to like waste his family.
doesn't build the Firefox.
And, like, at one point, like,
Pliny's once character makes contact with him,
and he's like, yeah, you know, like, the Soviets are,
you know, they're as bad as, like, the German Reich,
and it's kind of like obvious propaganda insinuated, you know,
but that, like, even, that wasn't just like Hollywood stuff.
Like, that's, that was the narrative being presented,
but that, um,
that's kind of a tangential.
and it's a long topic.
But yeah, I think we're coming up in the hour.
Yeah.
No, that's about all I got for this series.
I don't want to break off another, like, sub-topic, man.
And forgive me if I repeated myself.
But, yeah, I think unless I got a real gap,
in my recollection. I think we covered quite a bit of the
of what's relevant, you know, over these past few sessions.
Can I hit you with one question from current events?
Yeah.
What was your take on the Iranian missile offensive?
The Iranians had to do something.
I mean, yes, like Hezbollah is for all practical purposes, you know,
like the foreign the Iranian foreign legion
but there's a plausible
deniability that the Iranians
like very sort of jealously
guard there but also just
in in terms of
in power political terms as well
as for domestic consumption as
in the court of world opinion
like Iran had to respond somehow
and this is basically an identical
it is basically a redux of
when when Soleimani was
murdered you know the same thing
it was just like very very
controlled response, you know, the target, the areas targeted were like exclusively countervalue,
you know, it was announced that this was going to happen.
So that's the way I read it. And it's more for the benefit of, like, Iranian regime,
despite, the public media says, it's not like the Taliban or something.
And it's also, like, it's really, they actually hold elections in Iran all the time.
And, like, the regime,
have like certain credibility problem.
So like, I'm a Dina Jod.
You know, he was not only in Azeari,
but the reason he always wore that like members-only jacket.
I remember, like, media people would make fun of him.
But it's like the dude worked,
he was like an oil rig worker or like a pipeline,
like a foreman.
And like that's why he was trying to look the part of like,
you know, Mr. like Aziri working man.
He was like this big, like socialist,
kind of like labor leader, like rabble rouser.
And like the religious authorities didn't like him at all.
like they basically allowed him
into the top
jobs they had to
you know and so talking about
some Islamist it's like this most like you're like smoking
crack if you think that
but point being
Iran's
it's a complicated situation domestically
and the regime there
they do have to
cater to public opinion more than
people acknowledge in the West
and especially if it looks
like, I mean, even if these like retaliatory strikes, like, or don't mean anything, it doesn't matter.
It's for domestic consumption anyway.
You know, like Iran's, Iran's ground element in real terms is Hezboa.
That's my interpretation.
Yeah.
And it seems like with some of the incursions that I've been monitoring over the past 24 to 36 hours,
HESPA is doing a pretty damn good job on the ground there.
Yeah.
It seems like Israel they can only do anything from the air right now.
Yeah, they don't want, well, it's also two.
What are they going to do?
Are they going to assault Lebanon like it's the 80s, early 90s?
We're in 2006 when they tried that.
You're not, you're not going to, they don't have the forces,
they don't have the force structure or the political will to assault Beirut and
try and like route Hezbollah from the Shia urban hardland.
You're going to fight house to house against Hezbollah for the next.
five years and you know and take like 20,000 dead in a few months like no you're not going to do
that no his was they're they're no joke man they're they're definitely the most capable ground
element other than IDF in the region 100% cool well um do your plugs we'll get out of here and I guess
the next next time we get together we'll finish up the gladio and then move on to something after
that that's great yeah yeah um
Yeah, man, you can find me on substack.
It's real, Thomas, 777.
That's substack.com.
That's where the pod is at, and as well as, like, longer-form stuff and just, like, various things.
I'm on social media
at capital
R-E-A-L- underscore
number 7-H-M-A-S-7-7-7.
I'm on Instagram.
I'm on T-Gram.
I got my own website.
It's Thomas-7777.com
number 7-H-M-A-S-777.com.
And I got
I got like averse that I sell
because owing to popular demand.
I'm not trying to be corny.
Like, that's literally why I started doing it
with my friend and partner in crime,
Hare Creek.
But if you would include a link to that in the description,
that would be a great help so people can find it.
Yep.
It did it last time.
It'll be there this time.
Yeah, thank you, man.
I appreciate it, Thomas.
It's all the next time.
Thank you.
Likewise.
