The Pomp Podcast - #1492 Anthony & Polina Pompliano | Why Bitcoin Is CRASHING?

Episode Date: February 25, 2025

Polina Pompliano, Author of ‘Hidden Genius’ and Founder of The Profile, and Anthony Pompliano, Author of ‘How To Live An Extraordinary Life’ and CEO of Professional Capital Management, discuss... the bitcoin crash, what’s going on, Coinbase, Ken Griffin jumping into the crypto trading game, regulation, and what is going on with the Bybit hack.=======================Ledger has been trusted for 10 years to secure 20% of the world’s digital assets. Their latest devices, Ledger Stax and Ledger Flex, feature secure touchscreens for safer, easier crypto management. Go to ledgerpomp.com to take control of your digital future=======================Meanwhile is the world’s first licensed and regulated life insurance company built for the Bitcoin economy. Protect your loved ones with sound money built to manage life’s uncertainty and a broken financial system. Their BTC-denominated Whole Life Insurance policies allow HODLers to pass more BTC on to their loved ones and a tax-advantaged way to access BTC for liquidity during their lifetime. Visit their website at https://meanwhile.bm/ to join the waitlist for a policy and to learn more.=======================Pomp writes a daily letter to over 265,000+ investors about business, technology, and finance. He breaks down complex topics into easy-to-understand language while sharing opinions on various aspects of each industry. You can subscribe at https://pomp.substack.com/=======================View 10k+ open startup jobs:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://dreamstartupjob.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Enroll in my Crypto Academy: https://www.thecryptoacademy.io/

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Starting point is 00:00:00 What's up everyone? This is Anthony Pompliano. Many of you know me as Pomp. You're listening to the Pomp Podcast, which is my effort to find the most interesting people in the world and sit with them for hours while I ask questions in an effort to learn. So it would mean the world to me if you would subscribe to the show on your favorite audio platform, watch episodes on YouTube, and tell your friends and family about the podcast. My goal is to help millions learn from the world's most interesting people. So let's get into today's episode. What's going on, guys? Today, we've got a great episode with Polina Pompliano. She is the founder and CEO of The Profile. Great publication. Go to readtheprofile.com to check it out.
Starting point is 00:00:40 In this conversation, we talk about the Bitcoin crash. What's going on? Should you be worried? No, you shouldn't. I'll tell you why. On top of that, we go ahead and we look at what is going on with Coinbase. What's going on with Ken Griffin jumping into the crypto trading game? Senator Lummis, she is diligently working, trying to figure out what's going to be all this regulation? And then also, what's going on with the buy bid hack? $1.4 billion stolen. The Bitcoin network, it's never been hacked. Will it ever actually have any issues? All this and more in today's episode with Polina Pompliano. Anthony Pompliano runs Pomp Investments. All views of him and the guests on his podcast
Starting point is 00:01:13 are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of Pomp Investments. You should not treat any opinion expressed by Pomp or his guests as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of his personal opinion. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Today's episode is brought to you by Ledger. They're celebrating 10 years as the most trusted name in crypto security. With over 7 million users and 20% of the world's digital assets secured, Ledger continues to lead the way in protecting your crypto and digital ownership. Their latest devices, Ledger Stacks and Ledger Flex, feature the world's first secure touchscreens, making managing your assets easier and safer than ever.
Starting point is 00:01:53 Plus, the new Ledger Security Key app offers a secure alternative to traditional passwords, enhancing your digital security. Go to LedgerPomp.com to take control of your digital future. That's LedgerPomp.com. L-E-D-G-E-R-Pomp.com. Today's episode is brought to you by Meanwhile. Meanwhile is the world's first licensed and regulated life insurance company built for the Bitcoin economy. Operating on the Bitcoin standard, they do everything in Bitcoin. You pay in Bitcoin. They pay claims to your family in Bitcoin. You take out policy loans
Starting point is 00:02:26 entirely in Bitcoin when you need liquidity. Meanwhile, Bitcoin life insurance has redefined what it means to hodl. Protect your family from life's uncertainty and a broken financial system. Build intergenerational Bitcoin wealth while the cost of living skyrockets in dollar terms. Get all the tax and legal benefits of life insurance now in Bitcoin. They are actively binding policies today. Whether you are a long-term Bitcoiner or are just considering it for the first time. A Bitcoin whole life policy could make sense for your wealth plan. Visit their website, meanwhile.bm, to join the waitlist and to learn more about the world's first Bitcoin life insurer. Again, that's meanwhile.bm. Go check them out today.
Starting point is 00:03:06 All right, Plata, what's the first topic? This morning, Bitcoin's price dropped down to $87,000 with $300 billion of market cap erased in 24 hours. Poof, gone. Why is everyone so worried about this? I know. I was telling someone earlier how I was like, I'm not worried until it's down to like 6K. 6K? In my mind, that's where when somebody says Bitcoin crashed, I imagine $6,000.
Starting point is 00:03:32 That's because you started paying attention when it was at 6K. Or 2K when it crashed. Right? I think people should stop worrying so much about this price drawdowns. If you understand what Bitcoin is, when the price goes down, it means you get to buy more Bitcoin. It's a gift. It is somebody is saying to you, hey, this asset is trading for, right now, $20,000 cheaper than it was a couple of weeks ago. It's Black Friday today for Bitcoin.
Starting point is 00:03:57 So if you like Bitcoin and the price is $20,000 cheaper than it was a couple of weeks ago, then you're probably buying. There are plenty of people, though, who either, one, don't understand Bitcoin. And so they bought at the top like, ah, this thing's only going down. I thought it only goes up. This is a problem. Doesn't feel good. The second is there's a lot of people who get greedy and they use leverage. If you go and you start using leverage and the price goes down, it goes against you.
Starting point is 00:04:22 That can cause a lot of pain. And the third thing is there's a lot of people who have been trying to come up with all kinds of weird ways to use their Bitcoin or take their Bitcoin, borrow against their Bitcoin, all these things. If you just buy spot Bitcoin and you hold it, it's kind of like real estate, right? Go back to 2020. Think about real estate in a lot of markets. you'd bought a piece of real estate. It sits there. There's no stock ticker to it. There's
Starting point is 00:04:48 no price every single day, but all the COVID thing happens. All of a sudden in March and April, real estate prices are crashing. Everyone's worried. Then by the end of the year, everything's come back. Now all of a sudden real estate prices are up. That volatility, you really didn't see unless you're a weirdo and you're going on like Zillow or LoopNet every single day. The problem here is that everyone sees it every single day because it trades 24-7. And so what you have to understand is control your emotions. That is one of the hardest things to do in investing. I know people, and sometimes it happens to me.
Starting point is 00:05:22 You wake up, you see green. Prices are up, you feel good. Hey, we're having a great day, we're making money. I love seeing green. Wake up the next day, you see red. Prices are down. Dang, we're losing money. The truth is that you're not making or losing money
Starting point is 00:05:34 until you actually sell and capture that value. And given that most Bitcoiners are not going to sell, then you own a certain number of Bitcoin. don't spend your mental energy focused on how do I go in and kind of handle the fact that the dollar exchange price is going up or down. Focus your time and energy on how do I make more money so that I can buy more Bitcoin. And I think that if people can channel their energy towards that, it's much better. It is obvious, but it's worth stating. The more that you look at your portfolio, the more that you look at the prices, the less happy that you will end up being.
Starting point is 00:06:08 And so what you have to train yourself to do is say, look, I own what I own. It's going to be good or it's going to be bad. I don't know. All I know is that I'm going to keep trying to make more money so that I can go and I can buy more in my portfolio and I'll let the process take care of itself. I am focused on decades for my portfolio, but I'm focused on hours and days for my work. That to me is the best strategy. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:06:29 Paulina's worry barometer starts pinging when it hits 6K. Okay. So let's talk about June. That's not true, by the way. Why? Because people, you forget that on March 12th, 2020 is one of those days, you know, like when you first get in a relationship with someone. No, I remember you were worried.
Starting point is 00:06:48 No. When you get in a relationship with someone, you're like, yo, I think that this person, you know, they're the type of person I want to be around. They've got, you know, certain attributes, all this stuff. One attribute that I did not think that you had was cool, calm, collected, emotional control in financial markets. Yeah, everything else I'm like, woo, but financial markets, I'm a cool cucumber. That was not on my, like, if I was to create like a rubric of evaluation, you were not
Starting point is 00:07:15 getting an A plus on that. I would have been like, I should probably like average, whatever. March 12th, 2020, Bitcoin dropped 50% in a day. It dropped 20%, I bought more. It dropped, you know, whatever, 30% I bought more, 40% bought more. When it crossed over, 50% drop, I remember sitting on the couch staring into the abyss being like- He was staring into the glass.
Starting point is 00:07:37 We may watch, at the time, 96% of our net worth evaporate today. Just go to zero. It was March 2020. I think it was March 12th, 2020. And you said something to me. You said, what's wrong? It closed at 4,009.7. And it started the day at over 8,000.
Starting point is 00:07:56 Yeah, 7,900. And so I remember sitting there and you said to me, what's wrong? And I said, we may watch this all go to zero today. and you said to me, we're already all in. So like, just buy more. We were all in. And I remember being like, that's the most gangster shit I ever heard.
Starting point is 00:08:14 Sunk time cost theory, whatever it's called. Out the window. Out the window. Time sunk cost? Money cost? Take the congratulations you were getting and run. Okay. Well, I was just-
Starting point is 00:08:30 Don't stick around, you know, until people figure out that you don't know what the time value of money is. I've known you for almost 10 years now. I've never seen you like that. Yeah, that day was bad. And now we're saying it crashed to 87,000, please. All right, what's the next topic?
Starting point is 00:08:45 The next topic. Well, we didn't talk about- I think that's the only day ever in financial markets where I've been like, this is bad. But that day was, this is bad. So Jim Bianco's Mar-a-Lago Accord is pointing out that the dollar is too strong. Tell us what this is.
Starting point is 00:09:03 So, the dollar is too strong. And the idea of the Mar-a-Lago Accord is basically taking out of the playbook of – there's something called the Plaza Accord. There's obviously people know about Brenton Woods. These are different meetings that people have had where various countries have come together and they basically have made an agreement where they literally sign an agreement, take a picture with each other, thumbs up, okay, let's go do this. And they're essentially changing the economic environment or the economic order across countries. Usually, the Federal Reserve is only making changes to the U.S. dollar, the U.S. economy, U.S. interest rates. But this is kind of a more planned global thing. And so in both of those situations, one, we obviously really focused on the dollar. And another, we basically tried to significantly weaken the dollar. And there was a whole bunch of stuff in terms of U.S. exports and imports from Japan, et cetera. So these things have happened throughout time. I'm not going to get into all the detail though. This idea of a Mar-a-Lago
Starting point is 00:10:03 accord is not to be taken literally. They didn't have a meeting. They didn't all come together. But it is this idea that there's a group of people who came together virtually in terms of President Trump, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant, Elon Musk, and a couple of others. And they basically are now implementing a completely new economic order. But this is one that is being unilaterally implemented by the United States on the world. And so the question is, will it work? Now, the desired outcome from this is that they would like to reduce the national debt, they would like to weaken the US dollar, and they would like to get interest rates down. Those three things, weaken the dollar, get the debt down, get interest
Starting point is 00:10:49 rates down. Now, the way that you do that is you can't take a single solution and try to have multiple outcomes. So you need to have multiple inputs, have them impact each other to be able to get multiple outcomes. So there's three main pillars to this idea of a Mar-a-Lago Accord. The first is that what they want to do is they want to establish a sovereign wealth fund. Obviously, that's being done. They've announced it. They're putting it in motion. The second thing is tariffs.
Starting point is 00:11:16 That also is being implemented. And then the third thing is that once you have more revenue and also once you have the tariffs and then also once you have the sovereign wealth fund, then you've got to be able to cut a lot of costs. And that's where you see Doge and other things coming in. But cutting cost is trying to get after the debt, but you can't just do cutting costs through Doge. You also have to make an agreement in Europe.
Starting point is 00:11:43 We're providing security for the world. Pay us money. Why are we providing all the security, but y'all ain't paying for it, right? And so it goes back to this idea that the countries know that they should be paying for it. We just have never had somebody who goes to them and says, pay us the money.
Starting point is 00:11:59 So this idea of payment for security agreement is being implemented in Europe. This is definitely gonna happen. They're gonna pay more money. On top of that, you see the Doge stuff. And then there's this idea of what people are calling a century bond. And in a very generalized manner, the idea would be that if other countries are holding debt, we would do a debt swap with them.
Starting point is 00:12:20 And we would essentially swap the debt for these 100-year bonds that would be much more advantageous for the United States for their debt holders to hold these 100-year bonds. Now, the reason why I describe all that, that's a lot of stuff going on. And so it can feel kind of chaotic when you're trying to evaluate stuff, you're trying to implement things, you got the tariffs, you got the sovereign wealth fund, oh, let's run over here for security for agreement, et cetera. But the general idea is we have to weaken the dollar. We have to get interest rates down.
Starting point is 00:12:44 And the interest rates in particular maybe are one of the most interesting parts because Trump's first presidency was completely focused on the stock market. And people who have watched these episodes for months now have heard me say, Trump measures the U.S. economy by the stock market. That's what he did in the entire first term. That's what he's always done. But now Trump is actually changing his mind. So when we get new information, we have to change our understanding
Starting point is 00:13:07 of what people are actually paying attention to. Trump, obviously, as we see some stocks are coming down, is willing to trade a lower stock market for a lower interest rate. And so what he's not worried about is the US stock market. He is fully focused on the 10-year treasury bond yield. And he wants to get that down because if you get the bond yields down, now all of a sudden it's cheaper for people to borrow money to be able to go buy homes, cheaper for corporations to be able to borrow money, and you should see a surge in economic growth and activity. And so it goes back to this idea of creating an economic environment where we can actually grow our way out of the problem, weaker dollar, less debt, and get those
Starting point is 00:13:46 interest rates down. That's the whole idea of this Mar-a-Lago Accord, is can you remake the US economic policy in a way that should have an impact globally, where the United States ends up in a better position than where they started? Big, bold idea, but we need a big, bold idea to address the problems that we have right now. And so the debate, the controversy is all about can it actually work or not? We're going to find out. Okay, those are all good points. But there's still market uncertainty. And I think what's interesting is that Ken Griffin of Citadel is making a big play on crypto. So Citadel is looking to become a liquidity provider for cryptocurrencies, betting that President Donald Trump's embrace of the industry will usher in a boom for the
Starting point is 00:14:31 asset class. And you wrote in your newsletter, the big boys are entering the crypto market now that regulators have given them the green light, there will be pros and cons to this institutional participation, including less volatility, I'm assuming for Bitcoin over time, but you need institutional adoption if you want true mass adoption. All right, tell us about the pros and cons of this. Let's just night and day difference. If think about
Starting point is 00:14:56 crazy this is citadel who has gazillion lawyers yeah unlimited money essentially they couldn't figure out how to participate in the retail crypto market without the regulators coming after them right that's crazy yeah that's insane and so now that it looks like there's gonna be a clear regulatory uh kind of apparatus they are now going to start to participate so they want to do market making on Coinbase, Binance, crypto.com, and others. But it's kind of insane that they couldn't do it before. And so the reason why I say it's a night and day difference is pretty much now that the regulatory environment has flipped, we are going to see a ton of these firms come into the market. But my question is, how many of these institutional players do you think wanted to
Starting point is 00:15:40 participate before, but they didn't because they were scared of the regulatory? Well, take Citadel. So there's Citadel, the hedge fund, there's Citadel Securities. Citadel Securities has more the market making stuff. Citadel Securities was participating in crypto, but only with institutional investors, right? They were doing something called EDX market, which was a bunch of like kind of, you know, big financial firms got together and like, hey, we'll service each other and only institutions. Wait, Citadel Securities or the other one? Citadel Securities. Oh, okay. Right? And so the problem though is everyone wants to do the retail. So that's where all the flows
Starting point is 00:16:08 are. That's where all of the assets are. And so they couldn't go and work with Coinbase. Citadel Securities was worried about working with a publicly traded U.S. company because they thought the regulators may come after them. Yeah. And so now all of that fog, all of that has been lifted. And, you know, we've talked about it before, but it's like somebody once said to me, it's like holding a beach ball underneath the water in the pool. And all of a sudden you let your hands go. What's happening? Here goes the water.
Starting point is 00:16:38 It doesn't mean the price does that, but the is the participation of all these people coming into the market. And that ends up being a really, really big deal. And so I think Citadel Securities doing this is kind of a watershed signal. On top of that, we saw Coinbase. We saw Robinhood. The SEC dropped investigations and or lawsuits there. And then on top of that, look at what Citadel is actually doing.
Starting point is 00:17:02 They're not saying we're going to take directional bets on because we think Bitcoin is going up or down. They said we're going to do market making. They essentially want to have as little risk in the market, be as non-directional as possible, but they want to drive revenue or profit. And so this is how institutions play the game. They don't come in and say, let me lick my finger, stick it in the sky and hope that I pick correctly whether Bitcoin's going up or down.
Starting point is 00:17:23 They look and they say, I hope that I can figure out a way to make money in up or down markets. Citadel Securities is one of the best firms in the world at doing that. And they're going to continue to try to figure this out. And crypto, because it has more volatility than other markets, there's wider spreads in terms of the retail trading. That is where I think that they're going to end up actually getting a lot of revenue and profit. And so obviously they want to go there and now regulators are going to let them do it where there's clarity. Yeah, that's what I was
Starting point is 00:17:48 going to, I mean, that kind of leads into the next thing because around regulation, but Senator Lomas tweeted, so it begins as the U.S. Senate Banking Committee says it'll oversee a subcommittee hearing on digital assets legislation. So it is reasonable to expect that there will be more regulatory clarity soon. My God, tongue twister. Well, definitely there's going to be more regulatory clarity. We have maybe not even a pro-crypto SEC chairman, but Paul Atkins is going in. He understands this stuff. He's not going to be anti. That's the thing. I don't think that it's good for an industry to have hyper-bullish proponents as the regulators. I actually think what you want is you want skeptical optimism. That's what you want in regulators. You want
Starting point is 00:18:34 people who say, this is interesting. We want to have the positive impacts of the industry. We don't want the negatives. We don't want to empower the fraud, the waste, all the nonsense. So we need to come up with a clear set of rules that everyone understands that have the desired impact. We want to have rules that create a safe market, but we also want to embrace the ideas of a free market, of capitalism, democratic participation, et cetera. So what you need is you need kind of rational people there. And the rationality really shows in what I consider skeptical optimism. If you have somebody who's too bullish, then they just open the doors and they're like, hey, everyone run wild. That's not good. And then it's just people are going to do
Starting point is 00:19:16 the things that they've done for hundreds of years, which is they're going to take advantage of the system. If you also have people who are too bearish, then they end up suppressing innovation, suppressing technology, pushing things offshore, et cetera. And that's really what I think we saw for the last four years or so. And so it feels like we're ending up in a much better place. The question now is just what are the rules going to be? And so, the Senate Banking Committee is a big part of this. There's many other regulatory organizations, individuals, the companies will have some input into this. That's what you want. You want a lot of different stakeholders at the table. You want a bunch of people to go and try to say, hey, this is what
Starting point is 00:19:50 I think we should do. And my guess is that the best regulations are where a lot of people walk away from the table being like, I got like 90% of what I wanted. Well, 90%. Well, if you go and you talk to the companies, most of them actually have more rational views than some of the regulators, right? So I've gone all around the world. I've talked to some of these regulators.
Starting point is 00:20:12 Some of these markets regulators are just like, do whatever you want. But the companies I think understand for the long-term viability of their business and for the industry, you need to have that clear set of rules that again, has the desired outcome. And so you want people to walk away
Starting point is 00:20:24 from the kind of negotiating table of regulations. nobody should get 100% of what they want. Yeah. Right? It's kind of like, you know, how do you know you did a good business deal? Both sides walk away saying, I left a little on the table for the other guy.
Starting point is 00:20:36 Are you worried about the types of people that are going to have input or if it's the right key players of the industry or? There's always going to be people who I think infiltrate these circles and have a hand and you're always kind of skeptical of, you know, their participation.
Starting point is 00:20:57 But for the most part, I think it's the biggest companies in the industry, the biggest investors in the industry, right? And people will say, oh, like all the big guys. Well, yeah, they kind of have, you know, the best understanding, right? If you have the biggest portfolio, you have the most data points. If you have built one of the largest companies, you've probably been building for a really long time. Look at Coinbase. Coinbase got started in 2012. It's, you know, 12, 13-year-old company.
Starting point is 00:21:23 And if you look at their understanding, they've seen a lot of this stuff. They've been working on this stuff longer than the regulator has been working on it. And so those are the types of people. You want people who are experienced. You want people who are knowledgeable. You want people who kind of have the right mentality in terms of that skeptical optimism at the table. People won't get it 100%, right?
Starting point is 00:21:45 But they tend to get it more right than wrong, I think. Yeah. And then this is off of that. Coinbase says that the SEC will drop crypto lawsuit. Coinbase has argued that the SEC has been applying existing securities laws to digital assets, prompting a need for wide ranging rules. And then the CEO, Brian Armstrong, revealed that the company spent $50 million on lawyer fees. Not as many other companies had deep pockets like we did, he said. And ultimately, we had to spend $50 million defending this case. Coinbase's legal clarity comes after
Starting point is 00:22:17 four years in the crypto industry under the guidance of former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler. This dropping of the case signifies a changing of the guard in the crypto space. Completely agree. If you look at them dropping it, it's not a settlement. It's no fine. They just dropped it. It feels like we turned a page and moving forward, the regulators, they're going to regulate the industry. They're going to go and they're going to evaluate what people are doing. They're not going away. They're not going to say, oh, we're going to be less stringent. Handle this with kid gloves. Yeah. No, they're regulators. They're going to say, look, we're here to regulate. But I do feel like there's kind of a clean slate.
Starting point is 00:23:00 And so people are saying to themselves, okay, again, skeptical optimism. The relationship between the industry and the regulators is going to be better. The regulators hope that and the industry hopes that. Now, both sides got to work hard to be able to show that that's actually what ended up happening. I have a question. Do you think that in four years,
Starting point is 00:23:21 if the administration changes from Republican flips back to Democrat, do you think that it could change a lot of the crypto regulation that was put in place or is it hard to do? No, I think that the nice thing about the regulations being worked on now, it's very bipartisan effort right there was a cohort of uh democrat politicians
Starting point is 00:23:46 yeah i think we're very anti-crypto um but they are quickly becoming outnumbered now some of the anti-crypto democrat politicians also happen to be people who are quite powerful so it's not just a numbers thing it's also kind of an influence thing but you have you know majority of the Republican party and you have majority of the Democrat party, I think at this point that are like pro crypto. And so doesn't mean we're going to get the perfect rules. Doesn't mean whatever, but just, it's going to be really hard to again, turn that page and then like turn it back. Yeah. Especially given how much time energy effort is going to go into creating these rules to then roll them back may take twice as much time and energy. Right. And then from a
Starting point is 00:24:33 regulator standpoint, I also think that they're trying to shoot at a moving target. That's the other thing people don't talk about here. So you have, take something as simple as the regulators overseeing the public equity market. Okay. I know what a stock is. I know what the rules are. Great. Now, all of a sudden, if the stock gets tokenized, what rules have to change? How do they evolve? How do you write in certain edge cases that you need to address, right? Like it's constantly evolving. Now, all of a sudden, our stocks trade 24-7. Oh, technology is available. Now, we go from a US-based investor base mainly to a fully global base.
Starting point is 00:25:08 Okay, what happens now if somebody can use stable coins? Oh, what happens when platforms show up that start to say, you know what? We don't manage money. We simply allow people to get exposure through copy trading. All these things start to show up, right? It makes it much, much more difficult, but it also means the regulators will always have to kind of keep their pulse on this stuff because the technologists are trying to run. Regulators have to run at the same speed to keep up with them. Got it. Bybit got hacked and the hackers,
Starting point is 00:25:44 I guess, stole $1.4 billion. The breach occurred during a routine internal transfer when Bybit was moving funds from its offline cold wallet to the warm wallet. And during that transfer, hackers exploited security gaps, intercepting the transaction, redirecting the funds to an unknown address. Wow. So what happened here? Biggest hack in crypto history. Bigger than Mt. Gox. And nobody outside of the hardcore crypto world even knows about it. Wow. Why is that? Because crypto is so big now. Interesting. Right? Think about it. $1.4 billion can get hacked and nobody even realizes outside of the industry itself.
Starting point is 00:26:24 You would think a billion and a half dollars gets hacked, it would be all over front page of every newspaper, it would be the world's ending, whatever. It's a $2 trillion industry now. How on earth did Bybit remain solvent after this? So that's the most impressive part to me is the 1.4 billion got stolen, then the users of the platform showed up
Starting point is 00:26:41 and they said, oh no, I've been through this rodeo before, give me my money back. And they withdrew $4 billion worth of crypto. And they had the money. They had it all. Wow. So they lost 1.4. Then they were able to do another 4 billion.
Starting point is 00:26:56 So that's 5.4, almost $5.5 billion in stolen or withdrawn funds. Cool as a cucumber. It is pretty remarkable that if you think about it, Bitcoin has never been hacked. Never. Right? That's the other thing is a centralized exchange got hacked here. But we've never seen a decentralized protocol like, you know, or the Bitcoin protocol get hacked before. And so the example I always use with people is the treasury and the Fed, where they are like, quote unquote, the creation points of money, right? The closest to the creation point. They've never been hacked before. But if you take that money and you put it in an armored car, a lot of those have been hacked,
Starting point is 00:27:35 right? Robbed. If you take it and you put it in a bank, there's been plenty of bank robberies. If you take the money out of the bank in an ATM, put it in your pocket and walk down the street, people get hit over the head all the time and a wall taken from them. So the further you get away from the creation point of the money, the less secure it becomes. But if it's sitting inside the treasury or the Fed, it's super secure. Interesting. But that's still centralized now. But if you think about Bitcoin, same thing, Bitcoin on the, like the Bitcoin blockchain has never been hacked creation point of Bitcoin. If you take the Bitcoin out and you put it into an exchange, exchanges get hacked. If you put it into a wallet, wallets get hacked, right?
Starting point is 00:28:11 The further you get away from that blockchain, the less secure it becomes. And so Bitcoin has never been hacked, which is the key piece to this. And so, yes, did some people lose? Now, what's interesting here is that these people stole Ether or Ethereum token. My guess is less because they were like, let's go get Ether and more because that's just the asset that happened to be being moved into that wallet. But I think that that's the type of stuff that people just need to kind of pay attention to is you're watching a world where these organizations realize there's a bearer asset. if I take it, I own it. It's mine. Possession is not only nine-tenths of the law. With a bearer asset, possession is like 10-tenths of the law. And so I think that there's a lot of people who are constantly trying to do this and they got them. Wow. But I do think, I mean, if Bitcoin
Starting point is 00:29:06 ever gets hacked, it's over. I don't know if it's over. I do think that there would be a significant impairment to the price for sure if the Bitcoin network was hacked. But that's the whole premise of it now it would be very detrimental again it's hard to tell like yeah would bitcoin go to zero or would it go to you know a couple thousand dollars well i i don't know but it would be very detrimental the difference here is that the network though is the strongest computer network in the world so if you take all of google cloud all of uh microsoft uh azure or uh microsoft um Azure and Amazon's AWS, and you put all that computing power together, it's less than 1% of the Bitcoin network. So the Bitcoin network is so strong because it
Starting point is 00:29:52 is decentralized and it's so large that this decentralized network is super secure. Yeah. And so for the ability for someone to hack the actual blockchain, again, never say never, but nearly impossible, right? It's just the amount of computing power you would need to be able to do that would be next to impossible. And then people say, well, what are the other protocol risks? The bigger risk, my opinion, is that in the development process, a bug could accidentally get introduced. Now, the development process is very methodical, slow, and intentional. So there's test nets and various checks and all these things. So again,
Starting point is 00:30:33 I think it's a near 0% chance that that would happen. But to me, that's the bigger risk than the actual network itself for Bitcoin getting hacked, just given how decentralized and how strong that computer network is. Amazing. Thank you so much. All right, guys. Thanks for watching today.

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