The Pomp Podcast - #1525 Anthony & Polina Pompliano | Exposing Why Wall Street Hates Tariffs
Episode Date: April 8, 2025Polina Pompliano, Author of ‘Hidden Genius’ and Founder of The Profile, and Anthony Pompliano, Author of ‘How To Live An Extraordinary Life’ and CEO of Professional Capital Management, discuss... everything that is going on with tariffs, why the tariffs will work, what the tariffs will accomplish, and what Wall Street and the media do not understand. =======================The future is being built today and the future of currency isn’t dollars, euros, pounds, or yen, it’s crypto. And Gemini thinks that’s a great thing. Because a future where money is decentralized, inclusive, and globally accessible, that’s a future that we are anxious to be a part of. Go where dollars won’t. With Gemini. =======================BitcoinIRA: Buy, sell, and swap 75+ cryptocurrencies in your retirement account. Take 3 minutes to open your account & get connected to a team of IRA specialists that will guide you through every step of the process. Go to https://bitcoinira.com/pomp/ to earn up to $500 in rewards.=======================BitcoinOS is bringing Bitcoin into a new era. For the first time, Bitcoiners can access real DeFi across the entire crypto ecosystem, powered by revolutionary zero-knowledge technology. No more trusting sketchy bridges or giving up security. BitcoinOS reunites all of crypto around the chain where it all began. Follow BitcoinOS on twitter @BTC_OS and Be early to Bitcoin again.=======================Pomp writes a daily letter to over 265,000+ investors about business, technology, and finance. He breaks down complex topics into easy-to-understand language while sharing opinions on various aspects of each industry. You can subscribe at https://pomp.substack.com/=======================View 10k+ open startup jobs:https://dreamstartupjob.com/Enroll in my Crypto Academy: https://www.thecryptoacademy.io/
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What's up everyone? This is Anthony Pompliano. Many of you know me as Pomp. You're listening
to the Pomp Podcast, which is my effort to find the most interesting people in the world
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help millions learn from the world's most interesting people. So let's get into today's
episode. What's up, guys? We got a great conversation for you. Today is with Polina
Pompliano and we're talking tariffs and we get deep, deep, deep into the spicy details.
Polina and I both, we've been talking a lot about this. And so we are understanding what's
happening, why it's happening. And then I reveal something as to why I'm so confident that actually
a big part of the country, they want the tariffs and they think they're going to work because I
went and I did the work and no one knows it yet. But we'll talk about that later today. And so
Here's my latest conversation with Polina Pompliano.
Anthony Pompliano runs Pomp Investments.
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This podcast is for informational purposes only.
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that's at BTC underscore OS and be early to Bitcoin again. All right, Polina, what you got
for us? All right. Let me just before I dive into this, let me just set the scene a little bit about
what my life looks like in the era of tariffs. So we're at home, nice, lovely night. And then at
like 8, 8.30 PM, the phone starts ringing. All these people start calling you, freaking out.
Tariffs, what are you saying? Why are you saying it? I disagree. And so I am having to listen to
the tariff conversation all weekend. Tell us more. Well, I think a lot of my friends are very smart.
I think that they are good, well-intentioned people.
And I think that they're very scared and nervous because their portfolios are going down,
which is a normal human reaction, is to be nervous when something is happening that's
negatively impacting you.
Makes sense.
But also, what you didn't say is, I've had a number of conversations with my friends
who are not in New York or in San Francisco or in LA, who are not in finance or who don't
run a company.
and those people, they're having the exact opposite conversation, which is, I voted for
this. I think this is a good idea. Finally, somebody is listening to me. Finally, I feel
like there might be hope for the people in my community. And so my big takeaway from the tariffs
is it's like a massive magnifying glass on America. And what it is showing is two completely
different Americas. One is wealthy people who own assets, who have benefited for the last 50 years
on the debt-fueled growth that we've seen on this globalization, on this pursuit of
cheapest labor possible in the world. That's been amazing for a certain portion of the population.
And guess what? The reason why they like that is because it benefited them, obviously.
But also, there's a growing number of people who that system is not working for. These people can't
afford a home. They're getting hit with high inflation. Their food prices are exploding.
Their dollars are being devalued 26% over the last five years.
They are not getting raises to keep up with inflation.
So their real earning growth is actually negative.
There's massive problems for these people.
And they happen to live outside of major cities.
And so in their communities, the job prospects are much lower.
And so there's this huge disconnect between these two groups.
And what I keep saying to people is what you have to remember is that the tariffs and the
current economic policy, they're not targeted at helping rich people.
They are specifically saying, if we wanted the wealthy people to benefit, we keep doing what we were doing. Now, these policies, it's not saying we're going to abandon the wealthy people and we're only going to help the working class. What they're saying is we need to go back and get the well of the working class and bring them along for this ride.
So both groups can benefit together. Nearly impossible to pull this off, but you have to do something different if you want to try it. And so I'm very supportive of the economic policies. Forget the candidate, forget the administration, the economic policies I am very supportive of because I think that one, the pain that is felt by that working class is very real.
It's very misunderstood by people who I would consider in my wealthy elite circles.
And I also think that those people, what the true secret is, they work harder than the
people who do the white collar work.
Imagine, I always say this to friends of mine who like I'm playing in, I'm working a lot
of hours, all this stuff.
Like, dude, we literally sit and play on our computers all day.
Yeah, you got some stress.
People call you.
You got to do some emails, whatever.
Imagine if you had to go and work the graveyard shift at a factory or do manual labor, or in the
middle of the summer, you got to go out and lay bricks or go up on a roof, right? There are people
in this economy that work their butts off, but they're not seeing the economic reward from that
hard work. And part of it is they don't know that they have opportunities to go into higher earning
or more skilled labor, things like that, right? Some of it is that you're somebody who's high
rise in high school. You're killing the game. You think you're going to go get a good job.
Oh, I had a kid when I was young or, oh, you know what? I didn't go to college or
all these life events happen as well. Explain to me how the tariffs would help
those specific people. There's a number of different things and it's not black and white.
I think that's the part where there's a lot of controversy around the tariffs
is the tariffs really are doing three different things. We want to raise revenue. We want to
reshore and create American jobs. And then we want to get other countries to stop taking advantage
of us in bilateral trade. Those three things are ultimately the objective. And the reason why it's
important for us to align on those objectives is because if you do policy without an objective in
mind, you don't know whether the policy was successful or not. So a tariff very clearly
raises revenue. People want to access our market. They have to pay the tariff, whether it's 10%,
30%, 50%, whatever. Now, I personally think that the tariffs, as I have been saying for weeks,
if not months now, should be 5% to 10% blanket tariff on all imports to the United States,
and then we remove the tariffs for the products that we want to come to the United States.
Use tariffs as an incentive system, not a punishment system. That's my stance.
What was announced was not that. It was a further kind of aggressive stance, which was 10% on
everyone in the world, cool, we're aligned there. Then we're going to go country by country and
increase the tariff. So China has 34, 54%, these huge, huge numbers.
And now this is more of a punitive tariff, but do you think it's a negotiating tactic?
So if you stay on the line of what are the objectives, right? If you simply want to raise
revenue, then you can just put whatever tariff you want. You're going to raise the revenue,
right? If people want to still access the market. So the whole balance would be what's the highest
tariff I can place where people still want to access my market, I'm going to get that revenue.
Great. The second thing, though, is that you want to actually go and get these other countries
to be a more fair trading partner. So, for example, there's a guy on CNN. It's not Fox News.
It's not some crazy, you know, right leaning CNN. Marlin Steel, steel company here in the United
States. They sell steel in the US, but they also go and they export steel products all around the
world. The CEO is on the factory floor in a CNN interview. And what he says is I make, and he
pulls up a basket. He goes, this is a specialty basket for medical purposes that is made with
steel. We make this product. If I take this product and I send it to Germany, when that
thing goes into Germany, there's a hundred and I think it was $26 that they have to pay for me to
bring it into Germany. If that same product is made in Germany and comes to the United States,
they pay like a dollar 50. So that is the imbalance is the American producer. If someone
wants to buy their product in Germany, they have to pay this huge tax. But if that same product
was made in Germany, wants to come to the United States, there's a lower tax. And so some people
say, well, like that's great for America. It is great again for a part of the country because
they get access to cheap goods. They have money to do that. That's amazing for them. But what it
does is it ultimately hurts the American producer as the American producer gets put behind. They
don't have that level playing field now they don't have as much revenue they don't have as much
profits they have to fire people you hollow out the manufacturing of america that middle class now
disappears and you ship those jobs overseas and that's the problem if i remember correctly from
my high school economics class we talked about how america is like a consumerist economy right
we're not necessarily producers as much as we used to be is that is that what we're trying to
get back to? And at what period in time was America a more of a producer economy? And was
it better that way than being a consumerist? Of course, because think of it this way.
If if you're hungry, right, let's say that you want to be a you want to be a boxer and nobody
knows who you are. Guess what you do? You obsess over training, right? Use Conor McGregor as an
example. MMA fighter, famous. On his way up, he was a plumber who quit, who lived with his
girlfriend, then wife, at his parents' house. He had nothing, nothing to his name. He was hungry,
wide-eyed. I got to go and I got to fight. I'm literally going to fight my way out of the
position that I am in life. If I can knock people out in that octagon, then I'm going to make money.
If I can make money, I can pull myself up. Guess what? He was very good at doing it. He worked his
ass off. He went, he practiced, he got good at it and he kept knocking people out. He was an
entertainer. He gave the market what they wanted, which was somebody who was good and entertaining
and he was able to rise and make a lot of money. But at some point, Conor McGregor,
he all of a sudden went from the incumbent or sorry, from the challenger to the incumbent.
And then he got kind of fat and happy. Now, all of a sudden he didn't have that hunger.
Now, oh, maybe I'll fight. Maybe I won't fight, right? I don't really need the money. I got too
much money now. That's the United States. We used to be that young, hungry fighter that wanted to
work really hard, that we had a challenge. We broke away from Europe. We had nothing.
The government had no funding. We put tariffs in place to fund the government.
All of our industries were infant. They had nothing. We're a very fragile nation. And so
if we want to build ourselves up, if we want to build strength, then those tariffs protected.
It's part of protecting the country and those industries. And so as we went up through the
industrial revolution, we won the game. America is better than anyone else at the world in this
industrial revolution. And we built America, the greatest economy the world's ever seen.
Now we're fat and happy. We're drunk on debt. And you know what? We'll go and we'll patrol the
world. What we went from is a country that taxed the world to benefit the American people to now
it's flipped. We have very high taxes in America. We have an exploding national debt. We ship a lot
of that money all around the world. And then we provide security for people all around the world
and we get nothing in return. These countries, they're not begging for money. These countries
have money. These countries have resources. Think about, for example, in the Ukraine situation.
again i don't want to see anyone die in a war right i've seen what that looks like that's not
good right it's actually one of the most barbaric things that people can go through i think that
this administration feels very similarly but the united states is much more outsized commitments
and contributions to supporting the ukrainian people with weapons and money and all this stuff
than the Europeans.
Guess what happens?
If Russia rolls through Ukraine,
they don't come to America next, right?
Why is it that the US is being asked
to send all this money,
all these resources there to an ally,
but it is bankrupting us.
And so instead, now all of a sudden you say,
hey, we're happy to do this,
but we need to have a more level playing field.
And so that's not necessarily like true trade
that we're talking about here,
But it's an example of if you go around the world, Taiwan, all of the different bodies of water, if you look at certain parts of the Middle East, if you look at certain parts of Europe, look at Latin America, or if you look at certain countries in Africa, we provide all the security.
Those are American taxpayer dollars that are being sent around the world.
And now what we're saying is you can't have us do all of that.
Plus, when we send you that steel basket, you're going to charge our American producers
and put them at a disadvantage in trade than the way we treat you.
And so people will argue, oh, we need trade deficits to be able to ship dollars around
the world.
I disagree with that premise.
I don't think we need those trade deficits.
And so, again, it goes back to this idea that we need to raise revenue.
We need to reshore American manufacturing, which will create jobs. And then we need to get a more
level playing field. And other countries know it because now other countries are showing up to the
negotiating table, the UK prime minister, Taiwan, Cambodia, all these guys. They're saying, we hear
you. We'll drop all the tariffs. We'll drop the trade barriers. We'll invest in America. We'll
buy American-made products. They know that they've been getting away with this for a long time.
And so that's why I am pro-tariff policy is because I think that we should create a more
level playing field. And it's not policies that are necessarily created simply to benefit the
wealthy. It is policies that are trying to bring back opportunity, hope, and some sort of financial
security for people in this country. And the last thing I'll say is Scott Besson, the Treasury
Secretary, he said a quote that it's like been haunting me. I can't stop thinking about this.
He said in 2024, during the summer, there was a record number of Americans who went on vacation
in Europe. At the same time, in the summer of 2024, there's a record number of Americans who
are dependent on a food bank. And that's your two different Americas. And so what we have to do,
people can go on vacation to Europe. I love that for them. Be successful, be happy, kill it.
But let's not leave behind another portion of the country where we simply are not willing to stand
up for ourselves and protect those people. And I think that's ultimately why you're seeing those
phone calls at 8 p.m. from all of the people in finance. I don't know how many people have called
me or DMed me on Twitter, probably hundreds at this point. They're all saying a lot of the same
thing. But then when I go talk to my friends from the military, I played football with people that
I know who live in these rural communities, they're all saying the exact opposite.
But do you think they 100% understand what the implications for them could be?
I think that people who are blue collar in these businesses understand how manufacturing and industrial businesses work way better than people on Wall Street seen it firsthand. They're in it every day. If you if you go, here's a good example. If you look and you talk to people on Wall Street, here's a common thing. Go here. If we put a 20% tariff on China, that means products in America and go up 20%. You got to be the dumbest person in the world to think that that's true. Right?
Because here's what actually happens is in 2018, we put 20% tariff on China.
Guess what?
Prices went up 4%.
Well, if we put a 20% tariff, why did it only go up 4%?
I didn't know.
So what did I do?
I went and I talked to a bunch of people who were importing products from China during
that.
And I said, what happened?
And you know what they said to me?
Oh, well, people think that it's 20%, but here's what actually occurs.
There's a producer in China that actually makes the product.
Then there's usually some sort of shipper or distributor, et cetera, in China.
Then it comes over to the United States and there's a distributor.
Then there's a retailer.
and then there's the customer. Each one of those stops in the supply chain eats a little bit of the
tariff. And so no one's going to just simply jack up their prices by the full 20%. Instead,
each person kind of takes a little piece of it. Then on top of that, China started to manipulate
their currency. And so they were able to try to smooth that tariff and not make it such a big
deal in that bilateral trade. And so 20% tariff led to a 4% increases in prices on just the
products that were made in China, not on any other products that weren't tariffed.
And so it goes to this idea that you can look at things from an academic standpoint,
or you can go talk to the people who literally are on the floor. In the last 18 months,
I have gone and I've gone to South Carolina and I've gone and I've went to machine shops
where literally they're making rock crushers and talk to those people. And how are they actually
doing this stuff. I've gone to Michigan and in Michigan, I've literally gone and seen the people
who are doing all of the wiring for all these electrical components and stuff where they're
sitting on a factory floor and they're assembling these parts and stuff with the pallets, went to
Atlanta, looked at the pallet brokers and stuff and looked at this stuff in Florida. I went and
I looked at the people who are making the traffic signs using the actual materials that go on the
highways, all this stuff. And along the way, I didn't go because I was like, oh, what happens
if tariffs come, right? But I was talking to these business owners. I was listening to these
people. I was understanding how these businesses work. And the truth is that they understand this
stuff better than the people on Wall Street. The people on Wall Street look at spreadsheets.
These people look at actual businesses. The businesses are complex. There's nuance,
there's intricacies that don't show up in the spreadsheets. And so I think that is where you're
seeing the dichotomy or the paradox between these two groups is that Wall Street, it's all about
the spreadsheet says it should go up 20%. There's assumptions made. The people on the ground,
it's reality. And so I'll take the people with the reality all day long over the people who
are making assumptions in a spreadsheet. Okay. Let's talk about Wall Street for a second. So
I mean, I'm sitting here, I'm very convinced by this argument. You've made a good case,
but it's important to state that you're a very lonely voice in your take on pro-tariffs,
right there's not a lot of people in finance who are willing to say the same or i don't even know
if there's any who like think that's why that's probably why i'm right so so okay so there's a
few people so bill ackman said the tariffs were a major policy error um calling it an economic
nuclear war that could have happened well i think just to uh put some nuance i think that he is okay
with the tariffs he's not okay with the size severity okay and abruptness in which they were
rolled out right okay he proposed the 90-day timeout jamie diamond cautioned that the tariffs
could lead to higher inflation higher inflation and slow economic growth so don't you think that
would affect the people on the ground though higher inflation of course if high inflation
happens of course it would hurt them but in 2018 if you go back and you look all of the products
that were tariffed were cheaper within 18 months and inflation went down, not up over the next 12
months since the tariffs were implemented. And so the whole idea that people don't realize
is that tariffs lead to higher prices on imported goods, imported goods, but the domestic producers
let's get going. And so this whole message of like tariffs, tariffs, tariffs, tariffs,
there is a balance to the equation. It's like trying to do math, but you only get one plus
and they don't tell you the rest of the equation.
Tariffs is one piece, but the American producers,
this is their prime.
This is their Superbowl.
They are going to get to work
and they're going to start producing products here in America.
And as you increase supply, it drives down prices.
We saw it with steel, saw it with washing machines.
We saw it with solar panels.
Do we think we have enough American manufacturing
and producers to do this?
It is ridiculous that the American media,
the American finance industry thinks that we can't compete on a global scale.
Show me who else got reusable rockets. Show me who else builds a $30,000 electric vehicle that
can drive itself. Show me who else can do a plethora of other things at the size, scale,
and speed that we do. Nobody produces things like America produces. Are there people who can produce
shoes and shirts and things like that better than us right now? Of course. But America historically
has said that is something that they can do because they have cheap labor. Instead, we're
going to focus on other things. Why is it that the American tech industry, the most valuable
companies in the world are all in America? Because we can build things. The problem is that somehow
the media and others, they look down on the builders. They say, what do you mean you want
to build stuff. Literally, I see people who are building these companies. What do you mean that
you want to build this stuff here? And so if you go and you look, and I've talked about these
companies over and over and over again, these startups, which again, people are like, well,
how are they going to be able to service blah, blah, blah, whatever. Hadrian, high-tech
manufacturing, do things faster and cheaper and more efficiently than any other manufacturer out
there, right? But can they do it on mass scale? They're literally creating the products that are
used in Teslas and SpaceX at Anduril, et cetera. You're telling me Anduril, a company that was
started, I don't know, a couple of years ago, they are kicking ass of all the defense contractors.
No one builds weapons better than the United States. And our best weapon producer is literally
a startup with a guy who's run, who's got a goatee and a Hawaiian shirt on. I will take
American entrepreneurs over all of these other countries any day of the week. And so this trope
that's like, oh, America can't build anything. Well, guess what? You don't know what you're
talking about when I hear someone say that, because America's doing a pretty damn good job
of making things that we need right now. It's that we don't have people who have been in these
political offices that are willing to stand up, who are willing to say to these entrepreneurs,
what do you need from your government? The government will create the environment that
you need to succeed. We will cheer you on and we'll get out of your way. Yeah. I'm tired of
hearing how we think that somebody in cambodia or vietnam or thailand or wherever which are great
countries great people but you're telling me that they can do things better than the united states
of america there ain't no way don't you think that this is a little bit of an isolationist
approach i mean we have to be a global player we're the biggest global player what do you mean
it's isolationist. All we're saying is we keep doing all this stuff for you. You have to start
not hurting us. We're not saying that all of a sudden you got to help us. We're not saying that
all of a sudden, uh, we need, uh, some of these countries to buy more products from us than we
buy from them or something. What we're saying is stop hurting our country. Stop hurting our
producers. Here's another example for you. I think in India, 100% tariff on American-made cars.
100%, if I remember correctly. Why? Why should we be okay with that?
There's no good answer. Okay. So you said in your newsletter today, and then earlier in the podcast,
you said Trump has to pull off this impossible task. Why is it impossible?
Because what he basically has to do, everything that would be good for the negotiation is bad
for the market. Everything that would be good for the market neuters him at the negotiating table.
So what you need to do at the negotiating table and what you need to project to your foreign
leaders, kind of your adversaries in the negotiation is we are strong. We are tough.
We are not going to back down. We're serious. Come to the negotiating table. Give us a good
offer. If you don't give us a good offer, we're going to keep the tariffs in place and we are
going to crush you until you go ahead and you create this level playing field. Because the
whole thing is there's no free trade. These countries are tariffing us. These countries
are manipulating their currencies. They're subsidizing their producers. They're doing
all this stuff. And so you've got to be super strong with them. Negotiate from a position of
strength. But if you do that and you keep doubling and tripling down on the tariffs,
the market is going to be in free fall. So what you have to do is you have to go to the market
and say, everyone, calm down. I'm going to get a deal done. Don't worry. I'm focused on getting
the deals done. Calm, Zen, patience. But now you're weakening your position at the negotiating
table. And so there's a tightrope walk. You got to be strong to your negotiating partner,
but you got to be clear, patient, and very, very focused on the finality of the situation
to the market. And that's just a very hard thing to walk. And so guess what happens?
Why do you see Scott Besson out there talking about we're going to get deals done?
He's talking to Wall Street.
Trump's talking to the negotiating table.
I'm not backing down.
No, that's not a good enough deal.
Let him be the tough guy to the negotiations and then let Besson talk to the market and
try to calm everyone down.
Interesting.
I just, by the way, looked up the free trade definition in the dictionary.
Free trade is defined as international trade left to its natural course without tariffs,
quotas, or other restrictions.
There is no free trade.
That's the whole point.
There is no free trade.
Anyone who says I believe in free trade, then you should be for tariffs because the whole point of the tariff is that you ultimately want them to back down.
Right. So we're not going to leave tariffs at 54 percent against China.
If they go ahead and they give concessions, we will bring those back down.
I think that the rest of the world defines free trade as free trade for the United States should participate in free trade.
But other countries can kind of which isn't free trade.
Well, right. Right. Of course, is, hey, we want free access to your market, but you can't have free access to our market. And now what we're saying is, again, it goes back to how did our country get built? We're going from the fat, happy cat who's literally getting fed grapes laying on your sunbed next to your pool at two o'clock taking a siesta to now all of a sudden we're going backwards.
say, hey, you got to get in the gym. We're doing three workouts a day. Let's get this moving.
There's no more grapes. No one's feeding you. You're going to drink protein shakes. You're
going to start doing pushups. Let's get to work. And guess what? All the people you hear screeching,
they ain't doing the work, right? They're not the ones who we need to step up.
You know what I'm very interested in? From a media perspective, I'm very interested in how
this gets covered because I actually think for, there's been a generation of journalists who
went to journalism school etc etc but it used to be that you were trained on a lot of this stuff
and covering trade and covering like international affairs and then it became more like let's cover
culture and what's happening inside the united states so i'm very curious to see whether this
kind of like you know a new group of media emerges that really focuses and specializes in
international affairs. Listen, I think that if you're a journalist and you think you've
over-rotated and you've talked to a lot of people on Wall Street, but you want to talk to people
in these blue-collar industries, call me, email me, DM me on Twitter. I'll introduce you to them.
They're happy to talk to you. But when the Marlon Steele CEO goes on television and he literally
says, I now feel like there's going to be a level playing field, give me the opportunity.
What was CNN's take on that?
He said, give me the opportunity to pull the people in the local community out of poverty and back into the middle class. I want to create good, high paying jobs for these people. Give us the opportunity. These people want to work. And that's the difference is that everyone else who is not talking to these people, who is not listening to what they're saying, they think that they are unskilled, that they're dumb, that they don't know what they're doing.
most of these people in many cases, maybe not most, but many of them have bigger businesses
than the people I know on wall street, right? If you go and you look at this, some of these
businesses are doing hundreds of millions of dollars of revenue. And so you say to yourself,
these people are not idiots. They've chosen to operate in a different industry. It's an
industry that's important to the country. And if you give them a shot, they will deliver for you.
And I think that is ultimately why I continue to say that the political parties have swapped
These people that used to be hardcore Democrats, somehow now the working class has shifted over
and they now are actually voting Republican. And the things that the parties believed have swapped.
And again, it's not good or bad, right? You have to get away from the party allegiance
and simply say, what do I believe? Do I believe that we should have unfettered
ability for us to compete on a level playing field? Yeah, of course. Do I believe that we
should be anti-war, that we should operate from a position of strength, but that strength is used
to deter any sort of war? That used to be a Democrat talking point. That is not anymore.
And so this is where ultimately I think that people are trying to figure all this out.
And again, I don't care about the parties. I don't care about 99% of the policies that have
been announced, both by Biden and Trump. I don't care. But this one in particular, I feel very,
very, very strongly that Bitcoiners understand it better than most because we understand currencies,
we understand trade, we understand decentralization, we understand the dollar and the
national debt and all these things we've been studying for years. And also, I've been not only
talking to, I've gone and literally walked the factory floors. I've gone and I've talked to
these people. I've sat in their conference rooms and I've said, explain to me your business,
explain to me your input cost, explain to me. But here's a great one. I and a friend of mine,
we went to Michigan and we went and we saw an electric harness. The electric harness is crucial
to almost every single piece of electronics. An electric vehicle has something like 40 something
electrical harnesses in it, right? It is the connectivity between all the electrical components,
all stuff. I noticed on the factory floor, there was tons of women and they were assembling these
electrical harnesses. And I asked the guy who runs the company, I said, why are there so many women
here? That surprised me. I would have thought it's supposed to be long, grueling hours. Is it a
factory? Like all these assumptions that I had as an idiot going into this situation. And he said to
me, well, when you're assembling the wire harnesses, actually, one of the really important
parts is the dexterity and nimbleness of your fingers and the same way that sewing and the
electrical harnesses. And so actually women end up doing a better job and they're drawn to it
more so than men are because men who have bigger fingers and stuff, they have a harder time doing
it. That's only something that you learn. If you want to look at what is the impact on labor going
to be in the manufacturing sector? If you go and you talk to the CEOs, if you go and you actually
look at this stuff. And so I think that's the big disconnect is that the people on Wall Street,
they're watching the news, they're talking to their friends, they're reading their spreadsheets.
I love my friends. I think that they're incredibly smart. They're going to figure
out how to make money here. It's just a different experience. It's a different set of knowledge than
the people who are on the ground. And I think that's why people are like, why is this guy going
so hard at this? It's because frankly, those people, they don't have a voice. And I think
that people are drastically underestimating what they think. And to me, they're the more
important group over the long run is we need them to step up and deliver for the country.
And I think they're going to do that. Yeah. And I just got to say the thing that I've been most
surprised by with tariffs is I did not expect this to be this hot button of a topic where
now I'm getting messages about you talking about tariffs. You've been getting crazy
crazy things online about it that's how i know i'm right that's how i know i'm right you want
to know why the more that people don't allow the dissenting voice the more you know you're over the
target it has become taboo if you come out and you say tariffs are good you get attacked you get
called stupid you get called oh you're just a partisan hack oh you're a mouthpiece for the
administration these people don't know me right again i have no party allegiance whatsoever but
the more they attack me the more i know i'm right the thing that i think makes me a little nervous
is even if you're right i think that there's a big part where you have to just like trust that
the trump administration is going to pull this off and you have nothing to do with them so
therefore it's hard because it's like it's not like you're advising them you know what i mean
Of course. But it goes back to the policy is correct. I disagree with going huge and going
to 54% in China and all this stuff. So you can disagree with the nuances, right? I wish that
there were certain communications. I wish they were more call to action for the entrepreneurs
and industrial manufacturing businesses, et cetera. There's a lot of stuff that I actually
think that they should have done differently, but ultimately their goal is an admirable one.
I think that they're listening to the people who voted for them.
And I think that the policy directionally is correct.
And I hope, and I'll be the first one to say, if they don't pull down the tariffs into that
five to 10% range, I'll say, look, they went too far.
Right.
But I think it's a negotiating tactic.
I think it's anchoring.
I think that it's shock and awe.
But again, if they don't pull it down, I'll be the first one to criticize them and say,
hey, what are you guys doing?
And so can you be supportive of the direction, but disagree with the details?
that's really hard for a lot of people to do because they simply want the answer black and
white tariffs good tariffs bad what is it yeah it's not how the world operates cool thanks so
much appreciate you guys watching talk later
