The Pomp Podcast - #545: Jesse Proudman on Automated Crypto Investing
Episode Date: April 30, 2021Jesse Proudman is the co-founder and CEO of Strix Leviathan, a quantitative crypto hedge fund algorithmically trading digital assets. He and his team is spinning out Makara, which is the first SEC-reg...istered crypto robo-advisor. In this conversation, we discuss automated investing, defensive crypto, market drawdowns, bull market cycles, importance of SEC registration, and what is next for Makara. ======================= Circle is a global financial technology firm that enables businesses of all sizes to harness the power of stablecoins and public blockchains for payments, commerce and financial applications worldwide. Circle is also a principal developer of USD Coin (USDC), the fastest growing, fully reserved and regulated dollar stablecoin in the world. The free Circle Account and suite of platform API services bridge the gap between traditional payments and crypto for trading, DeFi, and NFT marketplaces. Create seamless, user-friendly, mainstream customer experiences with crypto-native infrastructure under the hood with Circle. Learn more at circle.com ======================= Exodus is an absolute game changer in the crypto wallet space, and we’ve teamed up to offer an exclusive discount for you, as listeners of the podcast. Sign up for Exodus today using my promo code Exodus.com/pomp. This is a no brainer for both newcomers and crypto heavyweights - go sign up today. ======================= With 10M+ users, Crypto.com is the easiest place to buy, and sell 100+ cryptocurrencies. The Crypto.com Visa Card gives you up to 8% back instantly, and 100% back on Spotify and Netflix. Also, Crypto.com lets you earn up to 8.5% p.a. on BTC, and 14% p.a. on stablecoins. Get $25 when you download the Crypto.com App with code "pomp". Download the App now: https://crypto.onelink.me/J9Lg/pomppodcast2021 =======================
Transcript
Discussion (0)
What's up, everyone? This is Anthony Pompliano. Most of you know me as Pomp.
You're listening to the Pomp Podcast, simply the best podcast out there. Let's kick this thing off.
Jesse Proudman is the co-founder and CEO of Strix Leviathan, a quantitative crypto hedge fund
algorithmically trading digital assets. He and his team are also spinning out Makara,
which is the first SEC-registered crypto robo-advisor. In this conversation,
we discuss automated investing, defensive crypto, market drawdowns, bull market cycles,
the importance of SEC registration, and what is next for Makara. I really enjoyed this conversation
with Jesse, and I hope you do as well. Before we get into the episode, though, I want to quickly
talk about our sponsors. First up is Circle. Circle is a global financial technology firm
that enables businesses of all sizes to harness the power of stablecoins and public blockchains
for payments commerce and financial applications worldwide circle is also a principal developer of
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300 million dollars of net new digital dollars in circulation every single week the free circle
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really beautiful so go check it out all right let's get in this episode with jesse i hope you
enjoy this one. Anthony Pompliano is a partner at Morgan Creek Digital. All opinions expressed
by Pomp or his guests on this podcast are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions
of Morgan Creek Digital or Morgan Creek Capital Management. You should not treat any opinion
expressed by Pomp as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular
strategy, but only as an expression of his opinion. This podcast is for informational purposes only.
All right, guys. Bang, bang. I've got Jesse here with me. Thank you so much for doing this.
My pleasure. Thanks for having me.
For sure. Let's start with just how you're spending your time right now. I know you guys
have the hedge fund and then you've got this new product. Maybe let's start with the hedge fund.
Give us an overview again of Strix Leviathan and kind of what the focus is there.
Yeah, absolutely. So Strix, we founded three years ago. We launched our fund in April of 2018. So
we've just now crossed over the three-year anniversary of having a track record, which
it's pretty rare in this space to find folks that last that long. And it's been going phenomenally
well. The team's grown now to about eight folks or so. The investment team there has grown pretty
significantly. And at the end of the day, that fund, you think about it as defensive crypto.
We started it because I took a little bit of money in 2017 and turned it into a lot of money,
and then back to a little bit of money personally. I was like, there has to be a better way to
participate in this space. There's a lot of people that argue for HODL. And I just found
that I'm not one of the people that can tolerate an 80% drawdown. It's just not for everybody.
And so I wanted some way to have exposure to the space that just felt safer, felt defensive.
And that's exactly what the fund has done over the last three years. So it's been really neat
to see it manifest itself and to follow through with the vision that we set out.
And then we're beginning now, given the size of the team, we're beginning to be able to spend
time and energy in areas that we haven't been able to focus on in the past. So the set of
strategies that we run where historically they've been predominantly momentum strategies, you can
think of them like commodities trading strategies by far and large. We've really added some pretty
sophisticated machine learning over the last year and statistical analysis into the mix. And it's
Just neat to see new things come to fruition in the platform.
And so when you think about kind of taking a defensive strategy during a bear market,
no-brainer, right?
Obviously, as you said, nobody likes to take an 80% drawdown right to the chin.
But how does that play out during a bull market?
So kind of like what are the opportunities and the challenges with operating that type
of strategy in a bull market?
Yeah, absolutely.
So if you think about what the objective of the fund is, we're trying to return a better
risk-adjusted return over a complete market cycle. So that means lower drawdown, smaller volatility.
We're trying to capture 60% to 70% of the gains in a bull market and 0% to 20% of the losses in
a bear market. And in aggregate, it's just a more comfortable exposure in a lot of ways.
We found that that resonates with a lot of family offices and high net worth individuals who are
just beginning to dip their toes in the water here. And that feels like a more comfortable
investment. The challenge there is that in a bull market like we're in, you're always going to lag
the aggregate performance. It's just part of the strategy set. And so you've got to find investors
that understand that that's part of the objective, that we're not here to outperform Bitcoin. That's
not our sole purpose in life. We're not here to outperform all of these new and exotic tokens
that are on in the market. And there's plenty of vehicles to do that. And there's folks that
are phenomenal at that specific investment style. It's just, it's a different approach.
So it's really been, we've spent a lot of energy thinking through how do we explain what we do
and the why, the why of what we do to folks. And that probably is the largest challenge we
experience. And when you think about kind of how you measure success, what are like the KPIs? So
when you're talking to an investor, somebody who's evaluating this strategy versus other
strategies that they could look at, obviously, it's not just a return. What are some of the
other KPIs that they're looking at and kind of find importance in if they choose that this
strategy is something that they would want to incorporate in a portfolio? Yeah, we measure
two things predominantly. It's sortino ratio and drawdown. So our objective is to limit drawdowns.
They'll still exist given we're a long, short fund. But our objective is to limit those. So
if you think about Bitcoin's history since we've been operating as a fund, drawdown is sort of 80%,
85%. Our drawdown is a fraction of that max drawdown. And so really, it's about providing
sort of comfort in those numbers. And then Sortino, our objective there is capture more of
the wins and fewer of the losses. And that stat more than a Sharpe ratio or anything else does a
great job demonstrating that ability. Explain that a little bit more, because I think that
that's probably a stat that most people aren't familiar with. Yeah. So sortino ratio, it's
basically a numeric calculation that allows you to look at both the wins and the losses of the fund
and from a return perspective, and be able to put sort of a measure to that that can say for the
gains that you've experienced compared to the losses you've experienced, sort of what is the
relative ratio there? So it's just, it's an objective way to measure investment vehicles
that looks not just at raw return, but looks at the risk and the gains.
Got it. And so you now have a kind of a spin out, if you will. You guys are building a technology
platform. It's a consumer-facing technology platform, Makera. Talk a little bit just about
where did this idea come from and then what have you guys built so far? Yeah, absolutely. So we
founded Strix in 2018 with the thesis that the institutional infrastructure in crypto really
was non-existent or abysmal. And with that thesis, we ended up building this Octopus software
platform. It's an investment management platform, and we've identified it as effectively the most
robust investment management platform in the space. And that's what we've used to run the
Strix Leviathan funds over the last three years. Last summer, we got together as a team and really
did some analysis around how do we open up these markets to a broader set of people, a broader set
investors. As a hedge fund, from a regulatory perspective, we're limited to who we can sell
to. The Nest Fund is a 3C7 fund, so we can accept qualified purchasers, which means you have to have
$5 million of investable assets to participate in our vehicle. It's great. We love our LPs. We've
done a phenomenal job for them, but we want to be able to touch more people. We want more people to
have access to this asset class. As we thought about that, we started to look at why aren't
people allocating here? What is the issue with this asset class that causes people to sit on
the sidelines? And so we went and we spoke to a bunch of prospective customers, doctors, lawyers,
bankers, tech execs. And we started to see this repeated message. The space is just too
intimidating. We've got 9,000 different assets now. Everything's named exactly the same thing
or with some peculiar name that's impossible to pronounce. You've got a completely foreign
lexicon that people have to learn to figure out how to interact. And then all the tools and
technologies, the wallets, they've gotten so much friendlier over the last couple of years,
but they're still pretty intimidating. And the risk of loss is total. You make a mistake and
you lose all your money. So nobody wants to have egg on their face or be the clown in the room by
making a mistake. And so we looked at that and we looked at what we built on the octopus side.
So there has to be a way that we can provide people easier access to this space.
And so we found effectively with the SEC an avenue to register as crypto's first robo
advisor.
So we're an SEC registered investment advisor with the SEC.
And that allows us to effectively build investment baskets that clients can come and select.
These baskets are the equivalent.
You can think of them like thematic ETFs.
So an investor can come to Macara, sign up, they go through a Q&A. So unlike sort of traditional
robo-advisories where you're trying to figure out your risk profile, like am I low risk,
medium risk, high risk, like everything in this asset class is risky. It's risky,
risky, or riskiest. So the goal here is it's more about figuring out your interest. Like,
why do you want to participate in this space? Some people are like, look, I just think Bitcoin's
interesting. So great, we've got a Bitcoin basket. Some people can say, look, I'm concerned
about inflation. That's my number one worry. And we could give them a modern inflation hedge
basket that's half Bitcoin, half tokenized gold rebalanced on a quarterly basis. So there's a
bunch of different avenues that we can utilize to get people on the platform and to make that
process simple. The goal here is you don't have to understand all of the nuances and complexity
of this asset class to participate. And so when you think through spinning out a product that
you've built. Maybe just walk through kind of how you guys have historically have split resources
internally, and then why spin it out versus keep it internal. So the Strix team historically,
I mean, that's grown into a phenomenal business. It's a profitable operating entity. We've got a
great team there of investment professionals that are focused on building and deploying the best
strategies we can in that fund. And so it's exciting to see us reach that milestone. It's
a pretty meaningful milestone. But as we looked at this, we recognized there was this opportunity
to build this new product. And so we decided to sort of spin it out as its own entity and
raise capital specifically to go grow that vehicle. And the neat thing is that the two
businesses are very complementary in nature. So the improvements we make on the Octopus trading
platform within Strix benefit the Macara clients. And the learnings we make on the Macara side in
terms of the passive products go back into the Strix side. So being able to spin it out and have
two dedicated teams allow us to really get the proper resourcing on each side and grow the
organization successfully. Yeah. And so when you start to roll this out, what's the importance of
that SEC registration, right? Obviously, you guys being the first ones that get it, just kind of
being first to do a lot of stuff with regulators is important. But how do you view the importance
of actually SEC registration around a robo-advisor in this space? Yeah, I think one of the issues
with crypto is that over the last decade, most organizations and most startups here have shied
away from regulation because it was hard and challenging. The regulators, quite frankly,
weren't ready. And so you've ended up with international exchanges that exclude US
customers. You end up with all of these, some of the most successful businesses just don't want to
touch the US. And we didn't feel like it should be that way. So going forward with Makara, the
thesis was being crypto's first SEC registered investment advisor, we can demonstrate to these
market participants who are standing on the sidelines and are concerned about how bizarre
this space is, we can demonstrate that we've gone sort of the route to do this the right way.
So that registration allows us to give investment advice. It allows us to put together
these investment baskets and be able to make those recommendations to individuals.
And it also sets up a number of requirements and considerations around how we run the business,
like things like we can't charge transaction fees to our users. And all of our sort of billing
methodologies need to be very clear and transparent. So it sets this expectation, like many
people are familiar with working with advisors historically, they know what that experience
should look like. And now they can get sort of a similar experience in the world of crypto.
And is the expectation that this will be 100% of people's exposure, who are users of the platform,
or will this be kind of one piece, and then they may actually go buy and hold or do something else
on another platform? Like, how do you think about almost like the percentage of wallet share for a
user that comes onto the platform. Yeah. So the neat thing here, it's like,
this is not an exchange. The last thing crypto needs is another exchange. We've got a bunch of
phenomenal ones. And everybody that was an exchange has built some kind of buy and hold
functionality to their app over the last year. So users that are in crypto, they are taken care of.
This is targeting net new users who otherwise don't have exposure to the space, or they may
have a little bit of exposure and don't know what to do. And so the objective is get people in the
door, get them sort of the quickest and simplest exposure into the asset class. And then as they
grow with their sophistication, so will our product and its feature set. One of the really
important things that, in addition to just the investment advice that we're giving, is this
component of education. So we think people participate in this asset class for two reasons.
One, the gains are compelling. That's an obvious no-brainer. But two, they're curious, right?
to some extent, this is liquid angel investing. And people really just participate because they
want to understand what's happening here. And it moves so quickly on a day-to-day basis that it's
very hard to keep up. And so the objective with Makar is to mirror and match those investment
baskets that individuals are making investments into with educational content that allows them
to easily and simply digest what they're investing in. And there was some stat that was released
three or four weeks ago that said 60% of crypto investors don't actually understand what they're
holding. That terrifies me. That's not how this should be. People should understand what they're
investing in. And they should do it in a way like, I want to be able to walk into a dinner party and
be able to have some commentary on where my money is and why it's exciting and interesting.
So that doesn't happen really on exchanges today. That doesn't happen in existing venues. And so
being able to match those baskets and the education into one unified experience, we think,
really unlocks this door to new market participants. When you think of the ideal customer for
Makara or the ideal user, who is that? Is that a kind of a large net worth and a lot of liquid
assets into cryptocurrency? Is that somebody who's more of kind of a beginner, a younger person?
Is there kind of a persona, if you will, or a customer segment that you're specifically focused
on? Yeah. I mean, the neat thing here is that there's no sort of minimum investment or there's
no floor. It's not a hedge fund where you have to have hundreds of thousands of dollars invested.
This really, it's a product available for everybody. And we want to focus on that concept.
Our objective is to make this asset class accessible to people that just by far,
they're too confused. I think the working professional, the doctor, lawyer, banker,
or somebody that's working 40, 50 hours a week in their job, and then they come home and they
spend time with their families, that persona makes sense to me. You don't have time to go
understand all of the nuances of this asset class, but you're curious and interested.
And this gives you that path to gain exposure simply and quickly and to learn from it.
Yeah. And then how do you think about when it's a robo-advisor, obviously people want to have an
opinion, right? But there's almost this like automated element to it. It sounds like really
the experience is like, come in, I kind of tell you what my goals are. And then your software and
platform is able to then guide me in the right direction. Is that a fair way to think about it?
It's exactly right. Got it. All right, let's switch topics. We were talking a little bit
about regulation, SEC, registration. There's a lot of people hoping that the SEC will bless them
with the kind of elusive Bitcoin ETF. I don't know what the count is recently, but I think
we're up to like eight, nine, 10 different Bitcoin ETFs. I think it's nine or 10.
9 or 10. OK. You tend to think that maybe we shouldn't be holding our breath for these.
Explain kind of your perspective on the Bitcoin ETF and kind of why maybe you've got a little
bit different viewpoint. Yeah. I mean, this is a fascinating one,
given it's been such a hot topic of conversation for literally the last four years. Particularly
given 2008, it was like, oh, the ETF is going to get approved, and that's going to save crypto.
And then it pivoted to institutional capitals coming, and that's going to save crypto.
And so we've been talking about ETFs for as long as I can remember.
What's the advantage to an ETF?
Well, certainly, I think it opens up access to this market to a broader set of people
that don't feel comfortable making investments here today.
It works within your brokerage account.
It simplifies that exposure.
But we have that today between all these exchange trusts, between Grayscale and Bitwise.
There are vehicles already to do that.
So it's not this phenomenal new invention. The big challenge here that I think is often
overlooked is that these ETFs, you're basically taking a 24 by 7 traded asset, and you're wrapping
it up into a banker hour vehicle, a 9 to 5 banker hour vehicle. And if you look at Bitcoin and its
movements over the last couple of years, the largest movements in this asset class typically
happen when the stock market's closed. You look at March 12th of last year, that was overnight in
the US hours. You look at Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving is a repeatable. You can guarantee that there'll
be fireworks on Thanksgiving every year. New Year's Eve is another classic example. All of
these environments that may be phenomenal buying opportunities or maybe selling opportunities for
all you know, you're locked out in the construct of an ETF because the market's closed. I think
it's something that's easily overlooked with people that are thinking about that as a vehicle.
The second component is, really, it's around, do you want to participate in technological
revolution? Why was Bitcoin created? It was like, we're here to replace the traditional
financial system. We want to have an alternative, something that's very different. Instead,
you're just packaging it up into that traditional structure and providing it on these brokerage
accounts. Buyers of that aren't actually participating in Bitcoin. They don't hold
the Bitcoin, they can't get access to the Bitcoin that's in that ETF, you're not really
a participant in all of this technology revolution. And so we think if the objective
is just simplifying access to these new investors, we think there's better ways,
like what we're building in Mercara, or even just looking at the exchange landscape and its
evolution over the last couple of years, there are better ways to participate in this revolution
than just buying Bitcoin in an ETF. One of the things that I always laugh about is it feels like
on Monday mornings, the institution, they come into work and they're like, what happened this
weekend? And they see like the kids were out while parents were sleeping, did all kinds of crazy
stuff, left a mess. And then like now jump back in bed and are pretending to sleep again. Right.
And so there is this element of the institutions don't get to play when all the kind of crypto
degenerates, right? I say that in a loving way, get to do all the crazy stuff. So I definitely
agree there. Do you think an ETF would be bad? Like if it gets approved, assuming it does get
approved at some point, is that a negative kind of event? No, definitely not bad. It's a phenomenal
milestone for the industry and it's a valid stamp of approval, right? I just think we've had
bated breath. Everybody's had bated, waiting for bated breath for years, waiting for this ETF to
to be here. And I just think it's not this magical end-all be-all point in time that changes
everything for the industry. Yeah. And when you start to think through kind of the regulatory
environment in general, what has your experience been, right? So you've got a hedge fund, obviously,
then you've got a consumer-facing platform that has SEC registration. Do you feel like
the regulatory environment is abrasive to crypto? Do you feel like it's just normal for kind of
finance organizations in general? Maybe it's actually better for crypto companies. Just
what's your personal experience? Yeah, it's been really interesting kind of tracking that over the
last four years I've been running this business, given we sort of, we started in 2018 and sort of
regulation was ostensibly very opaque or totally absent. And you sort of, everybody had to go to
their lawyers and say, here's what we want to do. And then the lawyers would give you some advice
and they'd say, you know, but that's our best guess. Like we don't actually know how this is
going to work. When we started Strix, we configured it in a way that we thought was
regulatorily the appropriate route. We're operating in Washington State. New York and
Washington State have the two state regulators that ostensibly have looked at crypto the hardest
and have built specific regulation around it. We discovered 15 months into operations that the
state had a different opinion than what our legal team did on how to structure these things. We had
to go through a restructuring in the middle of 2019. And for a startup in this asset class,
it's just ridiculous how much capital gets spent on legal bills. I think if you go start a
traditional hedge fund trading equities, you go plop down $30,000, $40,000, you get all your legal
structure in place, and away you go. All said and done, on the strict side, I think we're close to
three quarters of a million dollars we've invested into legal bills, not because we've done anything
wrong, or it's because it's just opaque. The lawyers don't know. And so you're playing this
constant guessing game. And the regulation continues to change. And so, as it changes,
you've got to sort of adapt and respond and react. And it's just, it's goofy. It's not a good way for
startups. It's not a good environment for startups to be able to function. And sort of,
it's those that have been able to put up with it that have made it this far.
That's actually, but sort of, so that's the state side. And then you look at that in comparison on
the federal side, the SEC is actually, for all the grief a lot of people give the SEC, they've
done phenomenal work over the last couple of years trying to provide more and more clarity into what
is a very dynamic and quickly evolving market. And it also seems like the SEC, they're much more
willing to engage and have conversations around the right way to do this in a way where some state
regulators have really pushed back. So it's been fascinating to watch those two tracks evolve over
the last couple of years. I feel pretty good about the state of regulation in crypto in 2021.
I think it only gets better from here. I think every month and every quarter that goes by,
we get further clarity about how to do this the right way. I think startups in today's environment
are at a structural advantage from that regulatory. It's the Oregon Trail of crypto.
We've forged the river and hunted our food, and now we're on the West Coast, and everybody can
benefit from that work we've done. It's been a fascinating evolution over the last couple of
years. I love it. You mentioned Washington. I'm in Miami. Why not move? Why not go to a different
state? Yeah. I think that's something that we're considering. In fact, our team has started that
process. We've got members in Barcelona. Our CIO just moved to North Carolina. It's fascinating
to me. Washington State just this week passed a capital gains tax, which is an unfriendly tax
for entrepreneurs. It's basically saying, we don't want you to run and operate a company in
this state. Thinking about that and thinking about the regulatory environment that exists here,
it's really fascinating to compare and contrast that to what's been happening in Miami,
particularly with the mayor. It's so amazing to watch the mayor interact with people on Twitter
and really want to build an ecosystem and be actively involved and participate, it's very
rare to see that. And it's been exciting and invigorating. And it really makes people consider
that move. So certainly something that we're looking at on our side. It's hilarious to me.
Incentives run the world. And taxes are the greatest incentive in the world, right? Or one
of, at least, in terms of you can use them to attract talent and companies and resources,
or you can use them to push them away. And there's arguments for both sides. Each situation
has to be evaluated on its own. But for the most part, it seems like certain states are headed
in the wrong direction, and therefore, they're losing citizens. Literally, I think it was just
in the latest consensus, you saw that a couple of states like California and New York literally lost
political representation because they've lost so many citizens. And so naturally,
where are those people going? They're going to states where it's more conducive to business and
to personal wealth building, right? It doesn't seem like it's rocket science that if you increase
the incentive to go somewhere, people will follow. Well, it's kind of funny given you're
effectively being paid to move, right? If you're going to start taxing capital gains at that point
and there are avenues and venues I can go to that aren't going to tax those gains,
I'm being paid to make that transition. So in my eyes, it's pretty short-sighted.
And particularly, from the entrepreneurial perspective, it's not as if I have taken
market pay over the last four years. The returns that I make from spending my time, energy,
and effort in this business, they're capital gains returns because I've invested a decade of my life
here. And I've done that at the cost of sort of short-term income. And so it's pretty easy to
look. And Washington's funny, given you've got Bezos, you've got Gates here. And so I think that
sort of the legislature looks at those individuals and say, aha, sort of here's some easy money.
Let's go tackle that. But they ensnare kind of this whole entrepreneurial ecosystem
in the midst of that. And it's just the incentives comment is exactly spot on.
All right. Well, Miami's open. Come on. Let's go. We'll talk about it more.
We'll be down for Bitcoin 2021. That's going to be the next recruiting session. Don't worry.
In terms of the bull market that we're in right now, what's been the biggest surprise to you?
You know, we talk about this a lot internally. I think if you look at the 2017 bull market,
in the midst of that, we had sort of six or seven pretty material drawdowns over the course of 2017.
and they were fairly extended periods of time from a duration perspective.
2018, 2019, the argument was the institutions are coming, the institutions are coming. We finally
saw them materialize in 2020, particularly the back half of 2020. It's not stopped in 2021.
And I like to think through what's the difference between the 2017 market participant and the 2021
market participant. 2017 market participant predominantly retail. This is a speculative
of asset class, so they're here to speculate. But you've made your investment. It goes up in value.
It's not as if you have a ton of additional dry powder to continue making investments as
these dips occur. And particularly as the market fell apart in 2018, that's a scary proposition
to a retail investor. 2021, it feels structurally different to me. These institutions,
they've now accepted that this asset class is not going away. The tooling and infrastructure
to support their involvement in the asset class is finally here from a custodial perspective,
from an auditor perspective, even just from the general conversation in the media. It's no longer
crazy to say you're going to hold Bitcoin on your balance sheet. It's now you've got this aura of
being innovative by doing it, those investors, they're not taking their entire investable
balance sheet and putting it into crypto on day one. They're looking at this as a long-term
opportunity. And so the dips that we're seeing now, they seem to be being bought up much quicker
than we saw in 2017, like much quicker. And so that period of sort of market recovery,
it goes by much faster and away we go. Whether or not that continues through this year,
I think is anybody's guess. Certainly, we had the back half of 20, it was just unbelievable
what the drumbeat of news was. Every day, it was some new piece of material, institutional news.
That's slowed a bit now, but I don't think it's gone away. Comparing and contrasting 17 to 21,
And that's how we think about it. What do you think is the back half of 2021 look like?
Do we see Bitcoin much higher? Will it top out at $60K? Just understand you can't predict the
future just directionally. How do you think about where we are this year in a bull market and what's
to come? Yeah. I mean, this is my favorite. I have no idea. Nobody knows. We don't have enough
data in this asset class. It's totally speculative. Most of it is behavioral in nature.
And so it could continue to go up. I think there's a number of arguments I could make for why we are
sort of at the beginning of a much more prolonged bull market. We also could see a topic, and it
could fall apart again, much like it did in 2017. There's fewer reasons in my eyes for why that
could be the case at this point in time. I think looking at the macroeconomic picture,
there is so much cash sitting on the sidelines right now. And there is an appetite for speculative
investments. There's an interest in generating above normal return. This is an asset class that
has done that historically very well. And so to think like, this isn't going away. So if this
asset class continues to exist, and those market conditions continue to exist, it sort of feels
natural that we'll see sort of an evolution and flow of capital into it. But how that manifests
and into what assets that manifests in is, I think, anybody's guess. It's like the last two
weeks just watching Bitcoin and Ethereum as two markets here and how they've behaved and reacted.
It's a fascinating market to participate in right now. Yeah. I think what's so interesting to me
is, one mentioned everything happening a little bit faster. But also, when you compare it
historically to 2017. So far, we're further ahead than we would have been in that bull market.
And so some of that is like the speed at which we go from these little like mini boom and bust
cycles and kind of roll through the full cycle, but also just from days since the last halving,
just how far ahead we are. It's quite impressive. And frankly, I think as you kind of look at the
market structure, a lot of us is driven by you have a lot of folks coming into the market with
really, really big pocketbooks. And they want, you know, access to an asset that 60% hasn't
moved in a year, there's more and more coming off of exchanges. And just from a market structure
standpoint, they got to pay more for it, right. And so it's just fascinating to see it's almost
overly simplistic, in terms of the explanation. And that actually may be one of the reasons why
some people in the legacy world are missing it. Right. But, but, but, you know, I don't know,
I'm with you. Nobody knows the future, but it seems almost too simple. And so it's constantly
getting people to gut check themselves and recheck and recheck and recheck all the data
and their analysis to see that everything's still intact. Yeah. I mean, I think the really
neat thing to me is I think at the end of 2017 and through 2018, 2019, we were laughed at.
You'd go anywhere and you say, I run a crypto hedge fund, literally laughed at. And now those
people are coming back and they're asking how do they get involved in the ecosystem and the industry.
At the conclusion of the 2017 market, I think there was a lot of question, does this asset
class continue to exist? People ask that over and over and over. You're not seeing that right now.
This is an established asset class. It will be here. Will it be the same set of tokens and
assets that are on the top 10 by market capitalists today? Probably not. This is liquid angel investing
these things changing. This is all a big experiment. It's all a big experiment in
human behavior and psychology and technology. And so this will change. But this asset class
as a whole, it's not going away. It's here for the long run. Yeah, I tend to agree. Where can
we send people to find out more about Strix or Makara? Yeah, absolutely. So Makara, you can find
it Makara, M-A-K-A-R-A, digital, D-I-G-I-T-A-L.com. We've got a wait list ahead of our launch there.
And anybody that joins the waitlist
to receive six months of fee-free investment management
when we launch.
And then the top 100 referrers
will receive a $50 pre-funded account at launch.
So check that out and get on the waitlist there.
And then Strix, you can find it,
Strix, S-T-R-I-X, fund, F-U-N-D.com.
Awesome.
Well, listen, Jesse,
I really, really appreciate you taking the time to do this.
I always enjoy talking with you
and we love to do it together in the future.
Perfect.
And I'll see you in Miami soon.
