The Pomp Podcast - #571: Dan Held on The Monetary Experiment Scam
Episode Date: June 2, 2021Dan Held is currently the Director of Business Development for Kraken, one of the OG Bitcoin spot exchanges. Dan has been in the Bitcoin community for about 8 years and continues to be one of the brig...htest minds in the space. In this conversation, we discuss ESG bitcoin, OFAC compliant blocks, Bitcoin vs Ethereum, Taproot, Supercycle, Elon Musk, Bitcoin DeFi, and why Ethereum could be MySpace. ======================= Remote makes it easy for companies of all sizes to employ global teams. We take care of international payroll, benefits, taxes, and local compliance, so you can focus on growing your business. Sign up for Remote today and receive 50% off your first employee for the first three months. Check out remote.com/pomp and enter promo code POMP to get started. ======================= Circle is a global financial technology firm that enables businesses of all sizes to harness the power of stablecoins and public blockchains for payments, commerce and financial applications worldwide. Circle is also a principal developer of USD Coin (USDC), the fastest growing, fully reserved and regulated dollar stablecoin in the world. The free Circle Account and suite of platform API services bridge the gap between traditional payments and crypto for trading, DeFi, and NFT marketplaces. Create seamless, user-friendly, mainstream customer experiences with crypto-native infrastructure under the hood with Circle. Learn more at circle.com ======================= Exodus is an absolute game changer in the crypto wallet space, and we’ve teamed up to offer an exclusive discount for you, as listeners of the podcast. Sign up for Exodus today using my promo code Exodus.com/pomp. This is a no brainer for both newcomers and crypto heavyweights - go sign up today. =======================
Transcript
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What's up, everyone? This is Anthony Pompliano. Most of you know me as Pomp. You're listening to
the Pomp Podcast, simply the best podcast out there. Now let's kick this thing off.
Dan Held is currently the Director of Business Development for Kraken,
one of the OG Bitcoin spot exchanges. Dan has been in the Bitcoin community for about eight years
and continues to be one of the brightest minds in the space. In this conversation,
we discuss ESG Bitcoin, OFAC compliant blocks, Bitcoin versus Ethereum, Taproot, Supercycles,
Elon Musk, Bitcoin DeFi, and why Ethereum could be MySpace.
I really enjoyed this conversation with Dan, and I hope you do as well.
Before we get into this episode, though, I want to quickly talk about our sponsors.
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All right, let's get into this episode with Dan. I hope that you enjoy it.
Anthony Pompliano runs Pomp Investments. All views of him and the guests on his podcast
are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of Pomp Investments. You should not treat
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all right guys bang bang i've got dan here thank you so much for doing this thanks for having me
all right we're just gonna start right with like the juicy stuff uh esg bitcoins and
ofac compliant blocks what is this stuff it's having fun staying poor
that's the tldr because if you want to mine bitcoin using expensive electricity that's esg
compliant or esg you know environmentally friendly you might be paying more for it than you would
have being a miner trying to seek out the lowest cost energy anywhere in the world that's what a
miner should rationally do if you decide not to do that instead pay more for electricity to virtue
signal you're going to spend more money give me an example for example let's say uh you're a miner
and you could source electricity from a source that is considered more pollutant like a coal or
something like that and let's say you're paying one two cents per kilowatt hour there and it's
it's four cents per kilowatt hour coming from solar. Well, that costs you twice as much,
which will make the Bitcoin that you mine more expensive. So people who choose the renewable
energy methods may or may not have higher cost energy. Now, that's not necessarily the case
because there's a lot of examples where renewable energy is actually cheaper than coal or other
types of energy because it's locked and you can't distribute that electricity down a line.
or there's certain cycles where you have more solar than demand is it that then there's demand
so this isn't necessarily a a uh a linear comparison to say like okay uh you know esg
or environment friendly energy uh sources are expensive and non-energy friendly or non-environmental
friendly sources are uh cheap it's not necessarily that but if you try to 100 get all of your sources
from renewable and that comes at an extra cost, then you would be incurring extra cost just to
kind of virtue signal rather than like just being efficient and focusing on what's the minimum
cost for my electricity. So the key for a miner is just what is the lowest cost energy that I can
possibly generate or consume? Yeah, that's right. So we can think about Bitcoin mining like you buy
a machine that prints money and it prints money, it prints Bitcoin if you take electricity and flow
it through that machine. And so your objective is to buy the machines at lowest cost possible
and buy the lowest cost electricity.
And then you get your highest ROI on the Bitcoin,
the money that comes out of the machine.
And the renewable power is in many cases cheaper or more expensive?
Well, that's the tricky thing.
Sometimes it's cheaper because there's excess capacity.
But if you're trying to do this with 100% of your capacity
for your miners or source it from places that are in the US
and environmentally friendly just to virtue signal,
if you're trying to do that and you're not trying to optimize
for lowest cost energy,
it's likely that they're probably paying a little bit more.
Got it. And how important in the energy consumption debate should we be paying
attention to total energy consumption versus what the source of the energy is?
Well, Bitcoin's not responsible for the energy mix. Bitcoin energy consumption isn't driving
nuclear, wind, solar energy creation. Bitcoin is simply taking the excess capacity of the
electricity grid and using that to mine Bitcoin. So it's not Bitcoin's fault that the mixture is
coal plus solar plus something else. It's more around the energy usage total and aggregate that
people are, I think, more concerned about than is the core root of the energy argument.
And when you think about the total consumption, one of the things that people don't understand,
I literally saw a New York Times journalist talk about this, is, wait, Bitcoin's energy
consumption is, I don't know, 30% of what the traditional banking system's energy consumption
is. And it only serves a fraction of the people or a fraction of the transactions. But explain
how you can actually do more transactions or serve more people without the energy consumption going
up. Yeah. So let's define. So when miners mine Bitcoin, what they're doing is they're mining a
Bitcoin block. A Bitcoin block is comprised of newly minted Bitcoin plus transactions that
occurred. That's one, the first assumption that most journalists make incorrectly, which is that
bitcoin mining only supports bitcoin transactions no it's a production of new coins plus transactions
now with each transaction each transaction can include many many more transactions on inside of
it what i mean by that is like for example lightning with lightning we can open up a
channel and transact millions of times and then settle on that base layer that would only show up
as two transactions total so that is a lot of energy economic density as nick carter would put
where millions and millions of transactions have occurred,
but then settle net on the Bitcoin layer one
via one transaction or maybe two transactions.
And how many transactions fit into a block?
That's a good question.
I forget.
It depends on the transaction size and bytes
and transaction size and bytes
depends on what type of signature it is.
So if it's like a multi-sig versus a single signature,
and then there's other types of signatures.
Just ballpark, if you had to guess.
Ballpark, it's, what is it?
Seven transactions a second,
and you've got 10 minute blocks.
So it's 7 times 60 times 60.
So 7 times 60 times 10.
Yeah, thousands.
But really, you could be servicing every 10 minute block, millions of transactions.
But whether you're doing thousands of transactions or millions, it still takes the same energy consumption because it's just one block.
That's right.
Yeah, that's exactly right.
So the energy consumption to mine a Bitcoin block will stay the same no matter how much economic density is inside those transactions.
So those transactions could represent billions of more transactions.
So essentially, Bitcoin's energy consumption is highly efficient because as more and more economic activity comes onto the Bitcoin blockchain, the energy consumption does grow, but it doesn't grow in a linear fashion with the amount of economic activity occurring.
So this is the argument that I made at one point.
I wrote this thing about the legacy system is linear.
You're basically explaining why the Bitcoin system is not linear.
And linear just means if I want to serve more transactions or I want to serve more people, I need more ATMs, I need more banks, I need more data centers, I need all this stuff.
And so in order to serve more people or more transactions in the legacy system, I have to increase my energy consumption.
Here, that's not necessarily true because it's a nonlinear relationship between transactions and users and that energy consumption.
Exactly.
And to be fair, though, there are layer two technologies that would require energy, right?
If you open up a lightning channel, that does require energy.
But for simplicity's sake, yes, 100%.
Okay. When we start to get into the conversation around why does the energy consumption continue
to go up, explain the relationship between the Bitcoin reward and hash rate increasing,
right? Because hash rate increasing essentially is a proxy for energy consumption going up.
And so there is a relationship between the more successful that Bitcoin is, the more energy
consumption there is. But it's not because it's serving more users or serving more transactions.
it's actually for an economic reason. So explain that. Yeah, there's a lot of different moving
parts here. So I'm going to try to make it as simple as I can for the audience.
We can think about it like gold production. So as gold becomes more and more valuable,
there's gold miners are willing to go deeper and deeper into the earth to go find it,
which will cost them more and more money. Bitcoin has a similar mechanism called the
difficulty adjustment. As Bitcoin grows in value, it becomes more and more difficult to mine a
Bitcoin because more miners come onto the network to mine Bitcoin. And then the difficulty adjustment
is an automated mechanism that the Bitcoin network has
to increase the difficulty of mining Bitcoin,
which makes it then competitive with the newly added miners.
So newly added miners means more people are chasing
or more people are deploying their hashing power
to find that Bitcoin block.
And so Bitcoin is like,
well, I'm gonna make it harder for y'all to go find it.
A similar function would work
if let's say there's an alien species
that comes down with a alien computer
that is a thousand times more powerful
than all the Bitcoin miners out there.
If they start mining,
Bitcoin's difficulty adjustment every, I think it's 2016 blocks, would adjust for the newly
brought on hash power. So Bitcoin's difficulty adjustment essentially adjust for all of the
miners coming onto the network who are trying to take advantage of Bitcoin's price rise,
looking at Bitcoin's price rise going, it's more and more valuable to go mine a block.
So I'm going to turn on more hash power. I'm going to build more miners. Bitcoin's network
makes an equilibrium between these newly brought on miners and the difficulty it takes to mine a
block of bitcoin ofac compliant blocks is a thing that uh i don't think anyone had talked about
previously really uh until recently uh there's a minor um who i always in these situations
assign um ignorance rather than malice right uh and especially when somebody is likely doing
something because there's an economic advantage for them to do it right so uh there's a minor
called Marathon. They basically decided that they were going to produce what they titled,
as my understanding, OFAC compliant blocks. Before we get into why they're doing it,
what exactly does that mean? An OFAC compliant block?
Yeah. So OFAC, I forget what the acronym stands for, but essentially it's a global entity that
looks at different bank accounts and individuals and puts them on a blocked list. So the list
blocks them from different financial services. I think that's the most simple form of this that I
can kind of compress. So OFAC essentially builds out this list of individuals. They're like,
we've got a scammer from Russia. His name is this. His bank accounts are here. These have been
frozen. You are not permitted to do business or bank this individual. So basically, you're blocked
from the existing financial system if you're on the OFAC list. So what this miner thought they
should do was take transactions. So there's different Bitcoin addresses that have been put
on OFAC block lists. And so they decided to block any transactions that would come from those
addresses. Well, this sort of violates the entire principle of Bitcoin. The whole principle of
Bitcoin is that there is no censorship. Everything is not censorable. It's an immutable ledger and
you're able to transact with anyone you like. No transactions can be censored. And also achieving
this is very difficult because if they don't mine it, someone else will. So essentially this miner
was willing to forego revenue to mine uh mine these bitcoin now what's funky about this is like
knowing which transactions are bad or good is almost impossible i mean there's there's some
that have been flagged as like ofact non-compliant but these are all mixed together and then you
don't know exactly who's the owner of it it's much more difficult to suss out than just like
oh here's a bad guy's bank account um and so they're willing to forego revenue it's extremely
difficult to do. And then finally, FinCEN hasn't required people to do this. I don't think it's
required. Now, I'm not on the legal side of things, so I haven't dug in as deep as I should
on this. But from my understanding, FinCEN doesn't regulate Bitcoin miners in that fashion.
If they started to require them to censor transactions, I think this is similarly
equivalent to requiring ISPs to start to filter traffic going across the internet,
like starting to censor things that are going across the internet that would be like OFAC
non-compliant. And I don't think they require that now. So basically this miner was going,
hey, we're going to virtue signal that we're stopping the bad guys, even though we're not
required to do so. And it comes at a cost to us, which I think was just a very bizarre mixture of
things. And the Bitcoin community reacted really harshly to this naturally, because this is
antithetical to what Bitcoin represents. And they recently, I think, reversed their decision as of,
was that today it was today so uh fred teal new ceo comes into marathon um it's unclear kind of
when these decisions were made when he stepped in or whatever uh but he's stepped in and said hey
we are not going to do this we're going to basically act like every other minor on the
network acts we're not going to censor anything um and this whole ofac compliant idea is essentially
getting kicked to the road uh is there an issue if all of a sudden a bunch of minors came together
And we're like, hey, we're going to do this.
And it's not it wasn't just one that could be singled out and kind of have the pushback, but it was actually the miners.
Right. I'll put that in air quotes is like a group of people.
Yeah, certainly this would be an issue in the future.
I do think that the Bitcoin network has some built in defense mechanisms.
One is incentive.
The other miners are much more incentivized to go mine all those transactions.
If the group of miners start to censor X percentage of transactions, well, they're foregoing a lot of that revenue.
And over time, the Bitcoin block, which is comprised of newly minted Bitcoins plus those transactions, the Bitcoin transaction fees are starting to slowly replace the block subsidy, which are the newly minted coins, which means that that reward that they receive is more and more becoming transaction fees.
So if they started to heavily censor, they would be very much penalizing themselves.
And that also means that other miners would be willing to accept the transaction and mine it, which then gives that faction of miners who are non-censoring or they're not censoring at all, would give them much more revenue potential.
And I think that would just as a natural incentive that would push more and more miners over to that faction.
If you had more than 51% of the hash rate decide to do this, is that fatal?
It's not fatal.
This gets into some game theory I haven't explored as much.
but essentially there are some game theoretic attack vectors here where this isn't a fatal
thing for Bitcoin. It's just a, uh, it's more of like it starts to be, cause there's also ways you
can obfuscate transactions like with coin joins and other mechanisms that make this much more
difficult. Same with like lightning channels that are opened up, but yeah, I haven't fully explored
all of the, uh, in-depth game theoretic attack vectors here. Yeah. Uh, one of the things that
we have seen that's happened recently is this whole idea of a minor council. Now I'll caveat
got this with folks who participated in this meeting. It seems like Michael Saylor, Elon Musk,
and a few others all got together. There's a number of really large miners there. I know many
of the people who participated in this or helped set it up, et cetera. And again, just my personal
opinion and my personal experience, but these people love Bitcoin. They couldn't agree more
with the ethos of Bitcoin. And in no way do I think that they were ever intending to attack
bitcoin be negative adversarial any of this stuff it was really in a hey we want to help bitcoin we
want this to be a positive thing with all that said uh there's been in the past meetings that's
just a uh a touchy subject uh in bitcoin because there have been meetings that turned into uh kind
of adversarial type uh decisions uh of groups of people to kind of go after bitcoin or try to
change bitcoin and so uh part of the people who participated in this recent meeting um one person
i forget who it was came out and said hey listen council's probably too strong of a word that
insinuates like you come to us dan and we tell you as the council like what to do right maybe
we should use the word association or something else but this idea of the minors coming together
i think now it's become top of mind people like what are they doing what are they talking about
right and so like what's your whole read on minor council coordination transparency they're trying
to achieve like just what was your read of that situation yeah there's a couple different thoughts
here one is that bitcoin bitcoiners naturally have an allergic reaction to centralization so
if you have a committee or group there's a couple different events that occurred in the past to that
make bitcoiners cautious of these sort of coalitions or groups one would be the bitcoin
foundation bitcoin foundation over time was this thing that was an idea like let's have this bitcoin
centralized team that can help promote bitcoin and x do x y or z that was corrupted over time
Same with the New York Agreement.
The New York Agreement was a group of businesses and miners who came together to try to implement
SegWit2x.
And so that was a, and then the users of the community of Bitcoin fought back against this
big business interest in trying to change the Bitcoin protocol.
So naturally, Bitcoiners have this allergic reaction whenever they hear the word coalition.
I don't think it was done maliciously.
I agree.
I do think that Saylor probably could have read up on his history a little bit to understand
that the Bitcoin can, or have to hire a comms person here.
I think a product, like a product marketer or a comms person would have been required for this to have been like a little bit smoother.
They could have gone through, looked at the, looked at the language, looked at how they positioned this, understood the community and probably phrased it a little bit differently.
Their goals, I think, were a little bit strange.
It was the ECG goal.
So more of like the environment, we are going, we're a coalition of miners that are going to source electricity from environmentally friendly sources.
I think that, because I believe at the time that they were trying to, and what was this, a week and a half ago?
they were trying to counteract the narrative that Bitcoin mining is wasteful, that Bitcoin mining
uses coal or bad energy. I think that it was a good attempt to, so they're fighting FUD,
they're narrative fighting, and they're fighting this narrative that Bitcoin is bad for the
environment. I don't think, I personally don't think their strategy will work. I hope that it
does. I wish them the best, but I don't think that that narrative will fight that other narrative
very well. So the FUD narrative, Bitcoin is wasteful, it uses bad energy. They're trying
to fight it by, oh, no, Bitcoin uses good energy. But I think at the core root of this argument,
it's about that Bitcoin energy usage isn't wasteful. It's doing something very useful.
And Bitcoin detractors use Bitcoin's dirty energy as a way to fight it. But at the core root of
their argument, they just don't think Bitcoin's doing something valuable. That's why they don't
like it. So if Bitcoin used 100% clean energy, I still think we would see Bitcoin energy FUD.
So ultimately, I don't think that narrative battle will be won by this group. But I do
applaud them for their efforts to at least try. Yeah. It also feels like a lot of the
esg stuff is uh complete nonsense right not not in the bitcoin sense but just like overall is uh
people get on private planes waste a bunch of energy destroy the planet to go somewhere to
yell and scream about hey we should stop destroying the planet and then they go back to their offices
where they're the on the executive team of a business that's destroying the plant like
it's all ridiculous and uh you know my favorite statistic out of all of this is um the christmas
light usage of electricity in the united states is more than some countries yeah it's totally
absurd i mean what we should cancel christmas right and xbox isn't i play xbox for fun with
me and my buddies i mean i don't worry about xbox being wasteful some people would find that
wasteful because they don't like to play xbox they don't like the game but how about watching
the kardashians or washing your clothes or you've got an suv and i've got a toyota prius right like
it doesn't matter like it doesn't matter about like virtue signaling individual energy consumption
and if we applied the principles in which they're evaluating bitcoin with where they go
well what is bitcoin's energy mix how efficient is bitcoin being if they're really honest about it
if they actually care about the environment which they don't they would first look at the energy
consumption of the fiat banking system but they never look at that and then look at bitcoin and
go oh yeah yeah okay well bitcoin uses you know they're both bad no they say bitcoin's bad and
then they never look at everything else like let's stack rank all the energy consumption in the world
based on biggest energy consumers
and go look at those first to go tackle the problem.
That's how someone in product or growth would go focus on it.
Stack ranking based on ROI.
They don't do that.
They're just like, I don't like this industry, so it's wasteful.
And no one would ever ask you what the energy mix of your washer is.
I mean, how much energy is your washer taking from coal versus solar?
No one cares.
No one ever asks you that.
It'd be very impolite if they did.
But for some reason, they hate Bitcoin,
and that's why they focus on it so much.
This brings up a really interesting point,
which is uh the way that the asset is treated throughout the media is uh i believe unethical
right and here's a perfect example is we have people who are told if you are a journalist at
a mainstream media organization and you write about an asset and you hold that asset you need
to disclose it i have never seen a single article where somebody writes and says i hold dollars
but there's a whole hell of a lot of defending of the dollar and attacking of a competitor in
the marketplace it is the most absurd absurd journalistic integrity like level that they have
is like i will remove myself from bias by not holding this asset but i will hold another asset
like they hold real estate stocks bonds fiat currency they'll hold that and not consider that
in a conflict of interest, which is just so absurd. Well, to be fair, stocks and bonds in
many cases are somewhat insulated. So for example, there are some journalists who say,
hey, I won't hold individual securities. I'll buy an index fund or whatever, right?
But to your point, I don't see people writing and saying, I hold a home or I hold dollars.
Dollars is to me, that's the most egregious one, right? Of course. How do you write? You're
writing about currencies and you're saying the US dollar is great. Bitcoin is bad. The central
bank is great and this decentralized system is bad but you don't disclose that a hundred percent
of your net worth is in the dollar-based system it's it's a it's a faux bullshit level of integrity
i mean their their integrity should be in how factually accurate they are that is integrity
in their function but they don't care about that what they care about is clicks and what they care
about is this bullshit integrity that they all have amongst each other of oh i don't hold the
asset i'm pure and i'm like well how about the accuracy of the article you just published which
had numerous objectively false information like that was objectively false what you wrote and
they won't admit that so i think it's just kind of this weird virtue signaling thing amongst other
journalists that i'm pure but it means nothing to everyone else in the world when we all look
at these journalists we hope that they would write something that is accurate i think that
the financial media is exponentially worse than any other vertical of media in the united states
because what they have done is they have cheered on the actions of government administrations
and central banks that has destroyed the bottom 50 percent of citizens wealth yeah like they
literally cheered on if you go and you look who's asking the hard questions anymore who's holding
the people in power accountable in the financial media it's a joke well the the whole thing with
quantitative easing and stimulus packages are that these are all connected with the population
so these are free these are bailouts of both corporations and the population and when everyone's
getting handouts no one wants to be negative right so no one's questioning like will anything
blow up here and the only people i ever see commenting on that are opinion pieces based on
like old like old economists like larry summers he came out and he's like this is crazy he's like
what the hell are we doing he's like the the fed's job is to take away the punch bowl when things get
nuts and instead they're getting everyone at the party drunk and that's what's happening and all
the journalists are just going along with it stanley drunken miller one of the best investors
over the last 30 years came out and said the federal reserve is responsible is the most
responsible group for the wealth inequality over the last decade absolutely yeah you're talking
about somebody who if you or i say that people are crazy sure we're bitcoiners if he says it
how do you not start to say, wait a second, what's he, what's he saying?
Well, same with Larry Summers. Larry Summers was treasury secretary for Clinton, I believe,
and was considered for the chairman of the fed. So Larry Summers coming out and saying,
this is also pretty wild too. I mean, he was under a democratic, he was under a democratic
president, a Democrat as a president. And just to see him come out and be like, talk about like
people being drunk off the punch bowl and asleep at the wheel. I mean, this is very strong language.
This isn't, yeah, we're a little bit more rebellious, but these are people who are steeped in sort of the institutional side of all this institutional pedigree and all of the interworkings of the government.
They're much more, they're typically much more polite with their wording.
And to see them come out like this, I think is a big sign of how far we've come.
Last year, we were told inflation wasn't going to happen.
Now that it's happened, we're being told it's transitory.
Right.
I don't know what happens moving forward.
I don't think anyone actually knows with 100% certainty.
I have opinions.
You have opinions.
other people have opinions, but we don't actually know. But what we do know with 100% certainty
is last year we were told it wasn't going to happen. And now we're being fed a different story
with no apology, no correction, no anything to the fact that we were told inflation was not going to
happen. I, you, others said it was going to happen. They were wrong. We were right. And now inflation
is here. And now all of a sudden, and not just inflation and drastic increase in inflation that
we were told was not going to happen. And now we're being, oh, don't worry about it. It's
transitory. Well, they're also moving the goalposts. The Fed is recalculating how they
calculate inflation and they're recalculating their targeting as well. I believe the targeting
before was like a, it was like a 2% inflation over a certain duration. And now they're looking
at like average 2% inflation a year. So they're changing how they measure it in order to give
themselves more flexibility. I mean, being an economist is one of the most intellectually
dishonest sort of positions to ever be in because when you're you're running experiments that you
can't recreate you have no idea if it's actually working and then when it doesn't work you change
your definition of what actually works like what does success look like it's it's completely
ridiculous and and what's so disturbing is how huge this is this isn't just is it the greatest
scam it is is the entire monetary manipulation of the economy over the last 50 years is it the
greatest scam that we will live through. Absolutely. I think that, you know, money is
a representation of energy and time. Like you and I spend lots of time and energy to go make money
and same with everyone else out in the world, the government changing, you know, printing more and
just moving it as they see fit to the tune of tens of trillions. You know, this isn't, this isn't
just like a minor thing, minor corruption or something where like a local mayor does something
kind of shady, or there's a weird business contract between a state and a company. This is the
manipulation of all money in the world at a scale that didn't really exist before. So yeah, I would
say this is one of the greatest scams of all time. When you think about what the solution is,
is it Bitcoin? Just literally the beautifully designed Bitcoin system? Or is it some sort of
complex solution that involves other things that are social or political? Or is it just a pure
economic technological invention like this? Well, ultimately, Bitcoin is about humans
believing in them. At the end of the day, it requires human behavior to reorient around a
protocol. You know, Bitcoin is just pure raw code. If no one believed in that code, it would be worth
nothing. So it requires that humans start to believe in it and start to work with it and want
to become part of that community and also become and start to believe in the ideals that this code
or protocol or community represents. I do think that Bitcoin will be the inception point for a
more libertarian ideology to permeate the world. Whereas now we're seeing the world kind of shift
more socialist, I think Bitcoin kind of forces the conversation back to having free markets and
people willingly choose to engage in certain sort of business endeavors.
Starting with business first, then leads you to think, well, if the government controlled my
money and now they don't, then why do they control my body? And then why do they control these other
things about my life? Money is the most important thing in the world. It dictates everything around
us. It dictates individual freedom. How free and flexible are you to move out of bad situations or
dangerous situations or feel safe or insecure? And so once people start to feel liberty and
freedom with their money, then they go, well, why are drugs legal? Why are you taxing me this much?
Why are X, Y, or Z? I mean, the automatic withholding from W-2s is incredible. I mean,
that is one of the greatest user experience things that the IRS came up with ever.
because then you don't even notice the taxes coming out of your paycheck versus you cutting
the check and sending it to them. They just automatically withhold those taxes that you owe
with your employer. And you don't even notice how bad it is because you're just like, oh,
here's my net paycheck. What gets in my bank account and that can pay my bills. But you don't
look at the gross value where you're like, whoa, I'm losing like half my money because I live in
California. I mean, I lose like almost half my money to taxes. And I'm like, what did I get for
that. So I think that Bitcoin is the inception point where Bitcoin starts to challenge people's
beliefs over what government should control in your life, starts with money, then it permeates
to everything else. When you think in the crypto community, there's a whole bunch of narratives
that are shared by other people outside of the Bitcoin community. And I just want to throw some
of those out there and you kind of run through them. Bitcoin, Ethereum, while some people may
think that they're competitive. Others say they're not competitive in terms of what they're trying to
accomplish. But there is a belief that the market caps will flip, the flippening. Yes, no, does it
matter if it happens or if it doesn't happen? Yeah, good question. So I think they're trying
to accomplish two different things. Bitcoin is trying to go after store of value, goal 2.0 thesis,
be this rock solid, stable, trustworthy collateral that people can believe in. And Bitcoin has
largely accomplished that it's been around for what is it was it 13 years not 12 years now
12 years um proof of work has demonstrated its resiliency uh institutions are buying into it
its volumes are approaching higher and higher levels bitcoin is is definitely being viewed
as a credible gold 2.0 alternative like an alternative to gold and it's being globally
recognized as that ethereum is trying to do uh kind of like smart contracts more of more of like
the common term is DeFi for this. But Ethereum is trying to do something where they take
the concepts that Bitcoin had using that blockchain technology and then leveraging
that to go build out smart contract platforms, DeFi, kind of have this whole ecosystem of
different financial services. Blockchains inherently have some limitations though.
So I don't think that you can take Bitcoin's blockchain and just copy paste that to
X, Y, or Z industry and that work out super well. I do think some of what the Ethereum folks are
working on is really interesting. I don't think that the Ethereum community is a credible...
Ethereum is not a credible store of value asset. You can't change your monetary policy every year
multiple times and then expect people to believe that it won't change again in the future.
I do think... And then also, Ethereum having a low inflation rate wasn't even a narrative until
a year ago. Now, these are very new narratives for Ethereum. And so I don't think that they
understand the core principle of that trust is built over time and there's nothing that can
replicate that it doesn't matter what code you make what matters is that humans over time believed
in it and as that time increases there's more and more trust and belief built in yes so ethereum
shifts to uh let's say they have a this recent monetary policy change let's say that has gives
it a lower inflation rate than bitcoin that's cool but the u.s dollar has a low inflation rate
that doesn't make it sound money it's the credible monetary policy it's belief in the
monetary policy that gives its value this is going to be something that a lot of people are
going to be uh not so happy with but something i believe uh and i've been pushing myself to say
things that i believe uh regardless of people's reaction bitcoin or ethereum if you told me right
now pick which one is the quote unquote myspace ethereum 110 is more likely to be disrupted by
new technology by by a new um kind of more innovative solution than bitcoin for one simple
reason the technology of bitcoin has been create there's somebody's created faster cheaper all
this stuff but you can't change the one thing that matters which is the decentralization right
that is ultimately what is the value is decentralization and bitcoin is far
the most decentralized version and because it has that massive head start unless there was some
catastrophic event it's just you're not going to catch up to it you're not going to be able to beat
it because decentralization comes from time from trust all stuff we just talked about totally
with ethereum what the entire premise of this was hey we'd like the idea of decentralization
but we want to do more with it right actually a pretty rational thought process and we can't do
it here because there's not smart contracts not composability all stuff so we're gonna go build
our new blockchain again like pretty rational right in terms of you want to optimize for
something else okay we're gonna go build this layer one blockchain and it's gonna be scalable
It's going to be composable.
I think most people in that community, I don't want to say everybody, but most people in that community now would conclude and come to consensus on the fact that you're not going to scale on a layer one on a blockchain.
You've got to scale on layer two.
Bitcoin has been the same for a long time, so I don't think there's disagreement in that the scalability is going to come from these layer twos.
But what I think people are drastically underestimating is that already today, there have been blockchains that have been created that are faster and cheaper than Ethereum.
And they're not being ignored. They're actually, in some cases, already seeing more transactions
happening on them. And so do I think that they're going to win or not? I don't know. I actually
don't spend enough time to have an opinion as like, is Ethereum the winner or is one of these
new players like a Binance smart chain, et cetera, a winner? I don't know. But what I do know is that
the threat that other smart contract platforms have to Ethereum is much, much higher from a
probability standpoint than anything else coming along saying we're going to create a decentralized
uh kind of payment system agree or disagree with that agreed i think that no one else no other
cryptocurrency has the credibility that bitcoin has in terms of a store of value i think
decentralization trust those are all intertwined together the decentralization leads to more trust
bitcoin's community feeds back into the decentralization and therefore it kind of
completes this like virtuous cycle with ethereum they're trying to be a world computer using smart
contracts, DeFi, and trying to re-envision different parts of the economy. And with some
of those, decentralization doesn't matter as much. And that's where the narrative that
decentralization isn't a binary thing, it's this gradient, that narrative started to kick in in
2017. And so with Ethereum, they kind of pushed the envelope of like, we can decrease our
decentralization and increase throughput, increase X, Y, or Z functionality. But then there's always
going to be a protocol that decreases their decentralization even more. So they lessen up
on decentralization and allow more throughput and this would be binance smart chain would be
a binance smart chain solana the ethereum community would argue binance smart chain
literally they scoff at it right they thumb their nose and they say that's stupid it has
no decentralization it's centralized right and i think this is a big corner saying like
yes because there's an evolution of less and less decentralization precisely if the value
prop you're competing on is like low cost like contracts like the ethereum community brags about
how costly these smart contracts are to execute,
I don't think a lot of financial players
want costly transactions.
Like they want low cost transactions.
And so with certain types of transactions,
the affinity to go pay that higher fee is much higher.
But, you know, they talk about DeFi being this revolution.
Well, if it costs you $120 to swap it between two assets,
I don't know if that's better or worse
than the existing financial system.
And we've seen some of the large players
in some of these use cases like NFTs, for example,
with NBA Top Shot Dapper Labs,
they actually moved off of ethereum and went and built their own blockchain specifically for their
use case and so it begs the question of in a smart contract platform do you get fractionalization
where people say no i'm going to take the idea of the smart contract platform and i'm going to
customize it to my specific use case versus in the bitcoin world there's nobody who's saying like
okay i'm going to take bitcoin and then i'm going to create a special customized version of bitcoin
that I'm then going to go do something on because it doesn't work because nobody buys into the idea
because it's not a technology argument. It's a belief system argument. Whereas over here on
the Ethereum side, it's absolutely technical efficiency and technical superiority, which
up until recently, Ethereum was the winner from a technical superiority standpoint for smart
contract platform. I think now that's coming into question as to who is going to be the long-term
winner they still have the lead still the dominant smart contract platform but there all of a sudden
last 12 months became a lot of competition very very quickly and it's very credible competition
as well totally i mean we're talking like there's also a network effect to this network effect of
buyers believers and developers working on those protocols now we're seeing this start to shift
over to like binance solana many others and i think that that's definitely a big challenge for
ethereum is how do you preserve decentralization but then also uh you know trade off all these
things that these these these developers want to go build out smart contracts and these more
advanced systems um another thing that earlier this week that came uh to light was really
interesting uh maker so maker uh and explain what maker is maker dow maker dow is essentially a
algorithmic stable coin what that means is that the stable coin tries to preserve the value of
a maker dollar equivalent to a u.s dollar so it's you could call it a fiat fiat coin stable
coin is a little bit of a misnomer considering that fiat declines like at least a couple percent
a year so they use certain types of collateral in order to create this peg not really a peg but
our stabilization mechanism so this collateral is being more and more this more and more of this
collateral and i think now it's like 30 or 40 percent is usdc which means that maker.collateral
is simply a centralized stable coin so a decentralized system is relying on a centralized
asset that's ordered to keep the peg yeah because usdc usdt are completely centralized
transactions can be censored coins can be moved uh how these work at usdc usdc they have a real
us dollar bank account and then they issue you a token to represent that dollar and so what
maker dial is now having as their collateral are these usdc reserves which essentially means that
it's they're using completely centralized collateral which in a second could be gone
So you can't be a decentralized system if you use centralized assets, or do you think there's a world where a decentralized system could use centralized assets?
I don't think so.
I think that you need to have decentralized assets because that's the whole core root of it is having like the ownership of the assets needs to remain in the digital world rather than be tied to something in the physical one or tied to the existing financial system.
That's why I really believe, you know, I'm really a strong believer in like native assets.
Whenever you introduce like a legacy financial asset into a blockchain ecosystem, you introduce a lot of risk.
So let's say you introduce a stable coin and now your smart contract uses that stable coin in some sort of fashion.
Well, we have to trust that that stable coin won't be seized or reversed.
And then same with other collateral.
Like you take a piece of real estate, tokenize that, put it on the blockchain.
If that's on the blockchain and it's being used for smart contracts, it's still rooted in the existing financial system, which can be censored at a moment's notice.
So a blockchain doesn't really add that much more value.
So, yeah, I don't believe it's called decentralization when you have an asset that's completely controllable and centralized in a DeFi or, you know, a DeFi or blockchain ecosystem.
Because at that point, it's basically just, you know, traditional finance on the blockchain, which doesn't give you much more value than what the blockchain was supposed to bring you, which is decentralization, permissionless innovation, uncensorable transactions.
If you were in charge of or a major voice in one of these smart contract
platforms or communities, what would your advice to them be? Would it be to say,
hey, listen, we're not optimizing for decentralization. Decentralization
actually really doesn't matter that much. And so we're just purely going to be the most effective
technical platform for people to come and build on. Would it be, no, don't ever say that. You should
try to make it as decentralized as possible. Almost like flip to the other side of the table
What would your advice be in terms of achieving success if you're a part of the smart contract
platforms?
Yeah, if I was a marketer for these smart contract platforms, you're not really competing
on decentralization.
It's clear that those community members don't care as much as Bitcoiners care about
decentralization.
I think they do care to a degree.
But as we're seeing with Binance Smart Chain, people don't care as much.
Traders don't care as much.
So you really have to compete more on the aspects of flexibility, composability, all
these different things that make smart contract technology very useful for engineers who want to
build cool, fun things. And so that's your marketing pitch is the flexibility of it. What
can it do for you as a developer? What can you build with it? And as a consumer, what problem
will it solve for you? And decentralization isn't necessarily, you're not capable of maintaining
decentralization on that gradient of Bitcoin being the max decentralization you can have
and hold that decentralization all the way through to the smart contract functionality.
to some degree you can, but you lose some of that over time. And so if they're trying to market and
they're trying to compete against Ethereum, I would say their narrative should probably be
more around flexibility. And that's the narrative that these developers and these consumers care
about. These consumers doesn't seem care about as much around decentralization as the hardcore
Bitcoin community would. Bitcoin DeFi or DeFi on Bitcoin. Have you spent any time on this?
what are your thoughts what's exciting not exciting yeah so i'm just about to uh explore
this myself okay what i like to do is when i learn about a new topic i start to write about it
that helps me kind of switch the uh the role around to a teacher mode i'm able to think about
it from i have to teach it and the best way to understand something is to try to teach it
so i'm undergoing the process right now of learning more about stacks sovereign sovereign
is like sovereign rsk um atomic finance which is using dlcs and um i think a few more but that
those are the three top ones i'm an investor in two of those perfect oh well atomic and sovereign
yeah well i think they're both super interesting the atomic guys are very big fan of munib and the
stacks team and i've known a lot of these people for a long long time on all three teams you want
hear a crazy stat sure i believe this to be true uh it was told to me by somebody who
i trust believe i actually don't even know how i would go figure this out uh
but stacks went from zero dollars in total value locked to a billion dollars the second fastest in
history wow now price has come down a lot and so i don't think that they're still at a billion
dollars of total value locked i think that's true of a lot of these platforms as prices come down
kind of the total value lock contracts but they went from zero to a billion i think only sushi
swap was faster and maybe it's not the second fastest maybe they're the fifth fastest or
something right whatever still very fast but still uh very very quickly another great stat for you
defy pulse does not list them really the top rankings of total value locked why don't they
list them well i don't know is a short answer okay i can guess my guess is that there would
be a lot of blowback if something that is very focused on the ethereum smart contract platform
defy would then all of a sudden put in the top five or ten or whatever products yeah defy on
bitcoin product would be a little bit controversial but i think from what we've seen that i could see
them intentionally leaving that out. So it's a convenient narrative. I think that, you know,
Bitcoin DeFi, so I'm just starting my exploration now, which is I find really fun just kind of
exploring something new. And Bitcoin by itself is all that we need. Bitcoin is a supreme gold 2.0
asset. And everything that Bitcoin has today enables it to be that. Bitcoin has found protocol
market fit. Whereas I think, you know, Ethereum is just finding some of that now and other smart
contract chains are trying to find that. Bitcoin has found product market fit and has found it for
a very long time. So that is the need to have. Bitcoin's parameters as a sound money, it needs
to have built into its community and its protocol on layer one, and it has all of that. Bitcoin DeFi,
I think, is a nice to have. It's a nice to have that unlocks some additional functionality to
Bitcoin, but Bitcoin would still be successful without it. But I do think it's really, really
exciting to see what Bitcoin can do when you have that rock solid, trustworthy, decentralized
foundation and then building on top of that versus other systems which aren't as decentralized
and then build skyscrapers on skyscrapers, which could lead to riskier and riskier situations where
the core base of it isn't stable. Whereas Bitcoin's core base is extremely stable.
And Bitcoin's engineers and community have pushed innovation to layer two,
which is some of this Bitcoin DeFi. These Bitcoin DeFi projects are essentially like
layer two technologies. And for those that don't know what we're talking about here from a kind of
DeFi on Bitcoin is essentially, as we described earlier, Bitcoin was created. People wanted to
do things like smart contracts, composability, et cetera, on top of it. They then went and built
Ethereum. Now, many other smart contract platforms, those don't scale out layer one for the
most part, so they're building on layer two, but you get decentralized lending, decentralized
exchanges, knock yourself out, name your financial product. There's a decentralized version of it,
decentralized derivatives, all this stuff. Varying degrees of success, something like
a uniswap i think now is doing like a third of all trading volume of a coin base right so like
if you just look at pure stats you have to say that one is super impressive two it quote-unquote
works right three people want to use it and they are using it right what the logic of defy on
bitcoin is okay but let's go build decentralized exchanges lending etc on top of bitcoin historically
that wasn't truly possible now could you do some stuff around smart contracts for a long time yes
but this is now with rsk and a lot of this stuff the first time that really any developer in the
world can come and use smart contracts stacks has done this as well with clarity and all stuff
and so now you start to say wait a second there's two different ways to do defi on bitcoin
one is vertically integrated bitcoin only we're going to create non-custodial lending exchanges
all that stuff two is something more akin to like a sovereign where they're saying wait a second no
what happens if you could take your ethereum and move it over here yeah right what happens when
there's interoperability between this stuff, but it's all rooted and secured by the Bitcoin
blockchain. And they recently opened that bridge. And actually, a lot of people decided to move
their Ethereum over. Right. Totally. And so in that world, that's not a Bitcoin versus Ethereum.
Like those things are working together now. Right. Right. And you get composability. You
get a lot of smart contract capabilities, but you also get security and it becomes interesting.
I think the entire crypto community would agree that Bitcoin's network is one of the most secure
and decentralized. It is the most secure and decentralized out there. And building on top of
that gives you the strongest foundation to build upon. I think that's what Bitcoin DeFi is so
interesting. What's so interesting about it is the Bitcoin's decentralization was preserved on
layer one, and then the innovation was popped to layer two. And that's why I think it's really
cool to see the Bitcoin community embrace some of these new ideas. We can also look at it from
the perspective of you've got Bitcoin, which the value accrues to Bitcoin based on how many people
store value in it. Bitcoin is a gold or money after all. So the value that accrues to the
Bitcoin protocol is based on the aggregate shared belief in Bitcoin and the amount of money flowing
into it. Ethereum's hypothesis was that the utility or the flexibility of how many things
you could do with that collateral would increase incremental value for it. I mean, Ethereum's
original pitch was being an oil, not being a store of value. Is it Ethereum is the oil,
ethereum is the the gas i mean that's why they call it gas to power smart contracts
and so the value would accrue based on the utilization of it using being able to all
the flexibility kind of like saying that aluminum should be more valuable than gold because you could
do more things with it but with bitcoin defi i think what's so interesting is that bitcoin
the value accrues to the protocol based on the trustworthiness and based on people storing value
in it that already happened then you have bitcoin defi which then lets people do more things on it
That's why I called it a nice to have is it's not critical for Bitcoin to
achieve its mission of store value.
It just unlocks additional functionality.
So I think that's,
I don't know if that was too confusing,
but those are two different,
I would say it's a different philosophy of how value accrues to the protocol.
And that's important to call out.
So I think it's also important just to state Bitcoin's going after this global
store of value,
Ethereum and other smart contract platforms are going after more of a
technical superiority to it.
I, and I don't know where you stand on this, but me personally, it's not that I'm anti any one of
those smart contract platforms. I actually think that there's way more risk of disruption and lack
of sustainability when you get into a technical superiority in the early days, right? There's
20 something search engines before Google came along, right? There's been a lot of social
networks. So Facebook came along, right? And so when you get that, what ends up happening is once
a technical superiority conversation disruption is actually the default right his history would
tell us it's more likely than not store of value though that's not true and so in some weird way
the bitcoin community is the most conservative right like it is now called boomer coin and i
always tell like institutions i'm like by the way you think this is risky the people in this industry
think this is the least risky most conservative most antiquated thing in the world so when you
take the most you know uh i'll use the term cowboy but in an endearing way right or the d-gen
community or whatever the the latest nomenclature is and you put them in a room with the institutional
the institutional people think the bitcoiners are crazy and and the crypto community thinks
the bitcoiners are like so out of touch with reality and like what's possible that to me is
actually really interesting because now what you get is like that's the bridge between the two
worlds right that's how you pull the legacy people in and you know most people in the crypto community
maybe not everybody but most people are bitcoiners and some of our bitcoiners plus whatever else
right is that kind of your read as well italic owns bitcoin yeah so yeah and and i don't think
that uh most people are anti-assets i actually think what happens in the entire industry is
people are anti-communities well i think that it's deeper than that too like i've been around
i've been in the bitcoin ecosystem for eight years fucking eternity i mean i've got gray
beers coming in my beard and i'm 33 it's ridiculous i've been through a lot right
i've seen my net worth go up exponentially and drop 85 three times i mean it's nuts
there's been 10 000 cryptocurrencies that i've seen come and go bitcoiners are rightfully
skeptical of certain claims certain claims of we will have more transactions per second
well cool what are you trading off for that i think that should also this should always be
your first inclination when a coin says we're better at this than bitcoin the question should
be cool what are you sacrificing to get that there's always trade-offs the world typically
doesn't have this perfect scenario where you don't trade off anything for something else
and bitcoiners i think are just developed like an allergy to these claims of like we're faster
we're more transactions per second than bitcoin we're uh more secure than bitcoin all of these
are dubious claims and Bitcoiners and myself included over time. And I've played around with
alts before. I traded Litecoin. I thought it was faster than Bitcoin. This is back in 2013, right?
When I was first developing my understanding of the space. And then with Bitcoin mining,
I was like, oh, that seems kind of wasteful. This was in 2014. And I mined PrimeCoin.
PrimeCoin found prime numbers while it mined, which I felt was a better thing to do. It's silly
in retrospect but most bitcoiners didn't start 100 bitcoin they tried everything else and then
they came back to bitcoin because they're like this is the reason why we're here and so i think
that um you know with bitcoin and institutions they're wanting to buy bitcoin bitcoin makes
sense to them it's a gold 2.0 narrative i think with the defi products they're certainly interesting
it's really cool to see what what happens there but bitcoin is the gateway for that the gateway
isn't like oh i heard about bitcoin and now i'm going to go buy this like really crazy new
new something swap you know sort of like new concept it's more of like they'll develop trust
in bitcoin and trust develops over time and then they'll start to develop trust in some of these
other defi tools and if that defi is built on bitcoin then they'll naturally kind of flow into
that taproot what is it and what is the benefit to bitcoin so taproot is a bip uh and what a
BIP is, it's a proposal of a new implementation of the Bitcoin code. So different new Bitcoin
improvements are proposed by the community, proposed by developers. It goes through a long
process of review. And then there's a certain complex process of how the market signals,
including miners and users, that if they want to implement this new code, because ultimately what
Bitcoin represents is all the code that we all run and that we call Bitcoin. That's Bitcoin's
community, Bitcoin's code. Anyone can take Bitcoin, fork it, and create their own version
and try to get a community of people to believe in that.
So ultimately Bitcoin's code
and community believing that code
is what Bitcoin represents.
Taproot is a new improvement
that will improve the efficiency of transactions.
So I believe that you can,
I forget exactly the functionality of what it does
in terms of like how efficient it is,
but I know it's more efficient contract wise.
So it makes the transactions in bytes smaller
for certain types of contracts
and it obfuscates certain types of-
It's a little bit more privacy as well.
Precisely.
That's the simple way to put it.
So some, I believe that like you won't be able to tell the difference between a single
signed transaction and a multi-signature transaction.
So it makes more complex transaction types somewhat look the same.
So it increases privacy on layer one.
So it increases more efficient block size wise.
So it makes transactions smaller and it improves privacy is kind of the TLDR.
and as this improvement becomes signal across the network and people are going to adopt it
what happens to the people who don't adopt it do they just end up on a fork do they end up on old
software like what happens to that yeah so most bitcoin bips are soft forks which means that it
if you don't run that newest version you can still interact with the bitcoin protocol
so in this case i believe that this is a soft fork so it wouldn't it wouldn't so if you don't
upgrade to the newest version of Bitcoin, which would be compatible with Taproot, you would still
be able to communicate with the Bitcoin network and still be able to integrate with it. And that's,
I think, a much more, I think that sort of upgrade process in the Bitcoin community is somewhat
unique. I know in the Ethereum community, they often embrace hard forks, which I think is a much
more, I think you're requiring consensus to be recreated around this new code. And that could
eventually lead to a fracture. There could be a moment when there's a hard fork and the two groups
split versus bitcoin wants to preserve the network effect and community so they make that they make
sure that it's all soft forks which means that everyone using the legacy systems can still
communicate going forward and that's not uh an ethereum only thing right there sure obviously
there was the ethereum ethereum classic kind of hard fork uh but also there's bitcoin bitcoin
cash and you kind of go through all the the various forms and so really just a hard fork
becomes a little bit more contentious a little bit more uh divisive right i mean literally it's
a hard fork uh whereas the soft fork allows for uh the uh compatibility when you see things like
this does it give you hope that we're just going to continue to improve it it's going to become
more efficient more private and like all of the fun not just put very over generalization of just
whatever people want to say against bitcoin is ultimately just going to be on the wrong side
of history yeah i think all the fud will be on the wrong side of history most of the fud is
unsubstantiated and or intellectually dishonest like the ecg fud again no one looks at their own
energy mix of their radio or car or anything else they just go use it um so a lot of the foot is
rooted in just like people don't like bitcoin some of the fud around like oh bitcoin can't upgrade
fast enough i don't think is good fud either because bitcoin being a store of value asset we
don't want it changing all the time you worked at snapchat and facebook right i worked at uber
We have to go ship week over week and build new features to out-compete each other, especially with Snapchat and Facebook.
Those are very intense with the Instagram and Snapchat side.
Uber was competing with all these other ride-sharing companies like Lyft, but Lyft was just one of them.
There were dozens across the world.
So the software-building culture of Silicon Valley is always about shipping.
We've got to go ship, ship, ship, and out-compete.
If we're not shipping, we're falling behind.
And so it's always about releasing more and more code to solve problems for our customers in an elegant fashion.
With a protocol like Bitcoin, you don't want it to change constantly.
The whole trust of the world is being built on top of this solid foundation.
All of this trust needs to believe that this won't change very often.
You don't want the foundation of a building being swapped out for a different type of concrete every couple of years.
You want it to slowly dry and become harder and harder over time.
And that's what Bitcoin is becoming.
And the term is called ossification.
so there are there will be small changes to bitcoin over time but i don't believe that we'll
see that many changes over time to the bitcoin protocol and hopefully by the end of our lifetimes
we won't see any changes ever to become this rock solid never changing base of the financial world
and all the innovation happens on layer two and three what are you most excited about right now
in bitcoin like in terms of some of that layer two layer three stuff uh anything on layer one
Is it anything that's non-technical from like a social or political standpoint?
When you think of Bitcoin today, what are you most excited about?
That's a hard question to answer.
There's a lot of things going on.
I think that I've been in for a long, long time.
I think, what was it, Ari Paul?
He said, there's more speakers at Bitcoin 2021 than there were conference attendees back in 2014.
He's right.
I was at that conference at the Roosevelt in 2014.
There are more speakers and attendees back then.
so seeing the bitcoin community this big this big is incredible we have come so far the bitcoin has
overcome so many different obstacles to be here today and being recognized as a goal 2.0 by
institutions and when the institutions believe in it that brings more retail and this is like
bitcoin's big moment you know i think what was it 20 million americans own bitcoin or that that was
the latest maybe he's even higher maybe he's like higher there's like 100 million or something
20% of US adults own Bitcoin. That's incredible. I mean, when I was in it, almost no one talked
about it. So I'm most proud of that. I think that's what makes me excited is seeing the Bitcoin
community grow so large. On a more technical side, seeing Taproot get activated, I think is
really cool. And I think there was some anxiety around how it would become activated and luckily
it was not contentious. So I think that's kind of a sigh of relief. And then Bitcoin DeFi. I think
Bitcoin DeFi is super interesting. Bitcoin DeFi, I think, is something that unlocks more
functionality for Bitcoin. Again, I think it's a nice to have. It's not necessarily a need to
have for Bitcoin to win, but I'm really excited to see what happens when developers build on the
rock-solid foundation of Bitcoin versus, I think, a little bit more unstable or ever-changing
foundation of some of these other protocols. Last question for you, Elon Musk. Does he matter?
Does he not? What do you think about the tweets? Should he stop tweeting? Should he keep tweeting?
being just what's your general sense of the entire situation?
Bitcoin has no leaders.
We don't matter in the grand scheme of things for Bitcoin.
None of the core devs matter.
Bitcoin is a protocol.
It has a community that rallies around it and rallies behind the rules.
Rules, not rulers.
And so Bitcoin doesn't need Elon Musk.
Elon Musk doesn't impact Bitcoin over the long term.
Elon Musk is one of many wealthy and powerful people that have tried to change Bitcoin.
Do I think Elon was being serious, though?
I don't think so.
I mean, he's a really smart guy. He, he was talking about very, I don't know the way that
he phrased it. I just, it's hard for me to believe that he was being completely truthful there. He
either has a political agenda that he needs to signal to the existing establishment. And that's
what he was doing there. Or he was joking, but I, it would be hard for me to believe he didn't
spend more than 10 minutes doing due diligence on Bitcoin when they bought it. So Bitcoin doesn't
need elon but i would still like elon to to you know become closer with the bitcoin community
and either stop joking around or stop virtue signaling whatever he's trying to do because i
think it'd be great to have him on our side i don't think bitcoin needs him but i think it'd
be good to have him i think that's exactly how i feel is without elon musk bitcoin will be fine
if elon musk chooses to attack bitcoin i actually think bitcoin gets stronger and
Elon would lose that battle, but I sure as hell would love to have him on our team.
Agreed. Better be on our team than on another team. So yeah, I very much hope that he digs in
further, starts to understand Bitcoin a little bit more. I'm sure there's all sorts of Bitcoiners
across the world trying to help clarify that with him. So I'm pretty confident once he digs in,
he'll understand it. I mean, Bitcoin's proof of work mechanism is about physics, not code.
And I think he'd really appreciate that if he dug in, he'd find it beautiful. Again,
he builds rockets right like he's all about physics um so yeah i i really hope he comes
back around and just digs in a little bit more and decides to it's so hard to read elon i just
it's really difficult but anyways i think it'd be better to have him than not to have him
i completely agree where can we send people to find you on the internet uh read some of your
writing or any of your other work yeah so if you're on twitter it's at dan held if you like
watching youtube dan held is my youtube channel uh on both i cover a variety of topics on bitcoin
I also have long-form content that I put out every Thursday.
It's called The Held Report.
And in The Held Report, I write long-form thoughts around Elon, inflation, and all sorts of other things.
Awesome.
At Dan Held, multiple people asked me if you were going to ever change your name to Hodl, which I'm sure you hear all the time.
But we will bring you back if you ever decided to officially change your name to Dan Hodl.
Sounds good.
Well, you know, hopefully Bitcoin's closer to a million when that happens.
But yeah, if Bitcoin's closer to a million, I might get a Bitcoin tattoo and change my name.
All right, man.
Thank you so much for doing this.
I think people really learn a lot.
Thanks for having me, Bob.
Cheers.
