The Pomp Podcast - #763 What Is Going On With Bitcoin This Week? w/ Dylan LeClair

Episode Date: December 23, 2021

Dylan LeClair is the Senior Market Analyst at UTXO Management, a digital asset fund investing in the analog to digital transformation of money and the emergent financial system.    In this conversat...ion, we discuss bitcoin, on-chain metrics, market structure, and what to expect from the rest of the bitcoin bull market. ======================= Matrixport is Asia’s fastest-growing digital asset platform founded by crypto veterans Jihan Wu and John Ge. With $10 billion in assets under management and custody. Matrixport offers one-stop crypto-financial solutions including fixed income, Defi in 1-click, structured products, Cactus Custody™, spot OTC and lending. You can earn a high double-digit yield with the Dual Currency Product or opt for the lucrative potential of our new product, Range Sniper. If you hold crypto and are actively looking to do more with your precious asset, then this app is one you don’t want to miss. Download the Matrixport App and enjoy a welcome offer of 30% APY on Fixed Income for new users. Visit invest.matrixport.com/en today. ======================= Gemini is a leading regulated cryptocurrency exchange, wallet, and custodian that makes it simple and secure to buy, sell, store, and earn bitcoin, ether, and over 40 other cryptocurrencies. Offering industry-leading security, insurance and uptime, Gemini is the go-to trusted platform for beginner and sophisticated investors alike. Open a free account in under 3 minutes at gemini.com/pomp and get $20 of bitcoin after you trade $100 or more within 30 days. =======================

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 What's up, everyone? This is Anthony Pompliano. Most of you know me as Pomp. You're listening to the Pomp Podcast, simply the best podcast out there. Now let's kick this thing off. Dylan LeClaire is the Senior Market Analyst at UTXO Management. He also writes a newsletter with Bitcoin Magazine. In this conversation, we talk about Bitcoin, on-chain metrics. We talk about Bitcoin's price, the market structure, and what to expect in the coming weeks. I really enjoyed this conversation with Dylan, and I hope you do as well. Before we get into this episode, though, I want to quickly talk about our sponsors. First up is Matrixport. Have you lost your way in this low yield environment while searching for a better store of value to beat
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Starting point is 00:01:20 a welcome offer of very high APY on fixed income for new users. Again, go either download the Matrixport app or go to matrixport.com today. Next up is Gemini. Gemini is a leading regulated cryptocurrency exchange, wallet, and custodian that makes it simple and secure to buy, sell, store, and earn Bitcoin, Ether, and over 40 other cryptocurrencies. They offer industry-leading security, insurance, and uptime. Gemini is the go-to trusted platform for beginner and sophisticated investors alike. Open a free account in under three minutes at Gemini.com slash Pomp and get $20 of Bitcoin after you trade $100 or more within 30 days. Open a free account today under three minutes at Gemini.com slash Pomp and get $20 of Bitcoin
Starting point is 00:02:01 if you trade $100 or more within 30 days. All right, let's get in this episode. Hope you guys enjoyed this one. Anthony Pompliano runs Pomp Investments. All views of him and the guests on his podcast are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of Pomp Investments. You should not treat any opinion expressed by Pomp or his guests as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of his personal opinion. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Dylan, what's up, man? Hey, guys. How's it going?
Starting point is 00:02:32 Doing fantastic. How are you? Living the dream like always, you know. That's all we want. All right. We got a whole bunch of stuff that we got to go over. Let's start with uh first just a general sentiment check how are you feeling about the bitcoin market where we are coming into the end of the year has anything changed nothing's changed um i mean i think the timeline is a little bit delayed like compared to what a lot of people thought in the fall at the beginning of q4 um you know a lot of people were kind of expecting to see to see higher prices than than today and for you know all-time highs to be excuse me for all-time highs to continue to be
Starting point is 00:03:09 to be made here but in terms of the thesis in terms of what bitcoin is and and you know where we're going with this whole thing nothing has changed i think you know that's what we're going to dig into a little bit today all right so when we start looking at some of the charts that we have here the first that we're going to pull up is this bitcoin store value medium of exchange or unit of account and you just have uh what looks like the price pulled up in terms of uh uh over the years. What exactly are you showing here? Yeah. So this is more of just like a kind of a title slide. I saw some of the Jack discourse last night. And the next slide, it was a question that says, do you think that Bitcoin will replace the US dollar? And there's definitely a lot of
Starting point is 00:03:51 debate. Bitcoin is digital gold or Bitcoin is going to displace a dollar or Bitcoin to some people is a Ponzi scheme. But really, I think we're going to use some metrics today and look at some charts and kind of break down what I believe. And I think what a lot of people that are Bitcoin proponents believe is that Bitcoin is actively becoming or is already all three. And then the data kind of shows that. All right. So if we start with the first chart, we've got the issuance rate and the circulating supply and market cap all overlaid on each other. What exactly is this showing? Yeah. So this is kind of supporting the store of value argument, right? So you hear a lot of people increasing over the last couple of years,
Starting point is 00:04:31 this has been an accepted kind of proposition. Bitcoin is digital gold. It's a digital store of value. And while that was controversial for a long time, a lot of the skeptics, besides a few, have come to accept that Bitcoin is a store of value. And in the 21st century, especially after the kind of COVID madness and all of the trillions of dollars of stimulus, Bitcoin is a store of value. And so it's the one thing we know that it has a hard cap, is absolutely scarce in the world. this issuance rate or inflation rate is programmatically trending towards zero over time. The blue line, that's actually in log scale. So in linear scale, it looks like the issuance rate is already basically at zero. And the market cap is really just a testament of
Starting point is 00:05:17 people around the world allocating resources and capital to this asset class because of its monetary assurances. And so the store of value argument is stronger than ever, but I don't think it stops there and that's when uh you know the discourse gets a little more interesting got it and so really what this is showing is as that issuance rate goes down or some people could think that it almost says like an inflation rate uh the circulating supply goes up right uh because we're getting more and more uh bitcoin just at a slower pace uh but the market cap has continued to grow at the exact same time as well which ends up being uh uh kind of a what you would expect if you've got a finite supply asset with a disinflationary monetary supply schedule uh and
Starting point is 00:05:56 increasing demand is you're going to continue to get the price to go up, even though there's a little bit of Bitcoin still coming into the market. The demand outpaces that, and that's where you get market cap growth, right? Yeah, exactly. I mean, it's pretty simple. It's how many dollars are going to exist in 2030 or in 2100, right? No one knows. No one knows really for any other asset except Bitcoin. And you know this because you can run a full node on an old laptop, or you can verify the supply on your smartphone. And there's no other technology. Yes, there are other crypto assets that are somewhat transparent, but the thing is that none of the monetary policies of these other assets or digital assets are basically as tried and tested as Bitcoin. No one can change
Starting point is 00:06:38 Bitcoin. And every protocol change that has occurred has been opt-in voluntary. It's a soft fork. There's no hard forks or changes to the monetary policy of Bitcoin, whereas other crypto protocols or assets um or currencies if you want to call them that have have done that plenty of time so in terms of in terms of absolute scarcity nothing in the world um has or can compete with bitcoin the next thing we've got is the hash rate 70x since 2017 which is a bonkers number uh explain why you think this is so important yeah so this is kind of um on the store of value side of things as well 70x in the last five years um just kind of understanding what that means what hash rate actually means. For people that are more kind of visual and don't really understand
Starting point is 00:07:24 what Bitcoin mining is, think of the gold miners going in with shovels and excavators and digging into the earth to find this monetary asset. Well, think about if that had increased 70-fold over the last five years, just the amount of expenditure and the amount of resources that are going into actually extracting that shiny rock out of the earth. Well, Bitcoin is that, but in the digital form. And it's doing it all over the world with sometimes nothing other than just a satellite signal and a wasted energy source where there is no economic value. And it's basically securing and being rewarded. It's securing the most powerful computer network in the world. And they're being rewarded with the only absolutely scarce monetary asset. And so incentives are
Starting point is 00:08:09 aligned. That's all Bitcoin is, is just economic incentives. It's completely voluntary. It's opt-in And hash rate continues to grow at a just mind-boggling exponential pace. When we think about the entire network hash rate in 2013, that is equivalent to one S19J Pro. Is that true? Yeah. So the S19J Pro, it's top of the line, new ASIC, but that basically spins off 110 terahash a day. I think it costs around $15,000, maybe $20,000. And it's extremely hard to get miners with all the kind of supply chains backed up and they're backordered from, you know, months or years. But yeah, one ASIC, one new top of line ASIC is equivalent to the entire network hash rate
Starting point is 00:08:49 in 2013. And so it just kind of shows you Moore's Laws in play there with kind of semiconductors becoming more and more efficient. But that just shows you just like the just absolutely insane growth and just amount of physical capital and resources, you know, backing this network. there is definitely a tangible aspect to it despite it being you know uh thin air or you know what a lot of people like to call it yeah it's pretty incredible uh when we look at the next chart we've got bitcoin is on pace to settle 45 trillion in 2021 totaling twice as much value as
Starting point is 00:09:22 all of its previous years combined that is an insane number yeah so this is a chart from you seen at arc they put out great stuff um and this is just kind of this is going into more of the medium of exchange aspect of it, right? So everyone gets store of value. You can buy Bitcoin, you can leave it on Coinbase, or you can send it to your cold storage and you can sit there and watch it. And it's a pretty strong bet over time that it'll increase your purchasing power just due to the absolute scarcity of it and due to the adoption curve and more and more people coming to this asset class because of those properties, right? But most people, or less than the amount of people that understand the store of value side, don't really, the medium of exchange or
Starting point is 00:10:03 maybe the settlement aspect of Bitcoin is very underappreciated. So this network in a completely apolitical sovereign way where there's no CEO, there's no board, there's no off switch, right? China just picked up and 50% of the network was forced to shut off overnight and Bitcoin kept on chugging, right? So $45 trillion are on pace for that in 2021. It's a pretty insane number. And so, you know, you're doubling or I'm sorry. Yeah. Doubling Visa, I believe. And that's, you know, pretty different when you're looking at settlement assurances. But say the best comparison is Fedwire. Well, that's, you know, we're already six percent of the way there compared to Fedwire. And so I wouldn't bet on this trend stopping anytime soon. And, you know, that kind of supports the more medium of exchange aspect to it. There's, you know, final settlement all over the world, 24-7, 365. Yeah, it's pretty incredible. Bitcoin, the cumulative network transfer volume, $22.6 trillion as of 12-21, which is today. Yeah. So the first chart showed just total volume. And this one, I should have labeled it a little better, shows change-adjusted transfer volume. So the Bitcoin UTXO set, when say you have one
Starting point is 00:11:18 Bitcoin and you send 0.5, well, I send 0.5 to you, Pomp, and 0.5 Bitcoin goes back to me. And that's a change for the UTXO. And so technically, change-adjusted volume just filters out that 0.5 Bitcoin I sent back to myself. That's how Bitcoin transactions work. And so over the course of its history, Bitcoin has done $22.6 trillion of change adjusted volume. And that's obviously hockey sticking up and to the right. And so it just kind of shows you that this protocol is continuing to grow. And in terms of medium of exchange, it's a lot bigger and does a lot more value than people think. Which means that Bitcoin in 2021 has done over $10 trillion, right?
Starting point is 00:12:00 so you know about 10 to 12 trillion of this about half of it was done this year in 2021 compared to what it's done since its beginning of its life yep correct it's pretty insane yeah absolutely nuts and and uh i don't know the exact visa uh settlement number but i do believe that uh visa's annual transaction volume is now right around what bitcoins is like they're they're much closer than you would think right i think that visa if i remember correctly is somewhere in the like 14 to 16 trillion number. And obviously Bitcoin being at, let's call it 12 or so, hasn't quite eclipsed it yet, but we're getting pretty damn close. Yeah. And I think a lot of people, it should be said that, you know, comparing Visa to Bitcoin, it's definitely a cool kind of comparison and a
Starting point is 00:12:46 milestone, but just in terms of settlement assurances and final, you know, just, yeah, settlement finality, it's a lot different, right? Swiping my card at Visa, basically they have an internal ledger and they just, they just debit someone and basically just change the ledger a little bit, but it can be changed, uh, pretty easily. There's, there's no final settlement for sometimes, you know, weeks or months on end. Um, and at the end of, at the end of whatever period that is the bank and, and visa will, you know, transfer over, you know, billions of dollars and kind of, that's the final settlement. But when people are comparing, you say a 10 minute Bitcoin transaction or Bitcoin blocks to Visa, it's definitely the wrong comparison. And I think
Starting point is 00:13:25 this next chart that we'll show is more apples to apples. All right. Now we've got the Lightning Network public channel capacity. Yeah. So this is in USD and it's in logarithmic scale. So the growth is a lot more impressive if you're looking at it in linear terms. But this is public channel Lightning Network capacity. So back in 2017, back when there was the scaling wars, Bitcoin can't scale was the narrative. The solutions were Bitcoin Cash or other altcoins. The payments narrative, despite not being dominant today, was pretty big back then. And there was a lot of questions about how could Bitcoin ever be this, as some proponents would say, world reserve currency, if it could only do seven transactions per second, which is completely
Starting point is 00:14:08 the wrong way to look at it. So here comes the Lightning Network. And with the Segwit soft fork in 2017, there were some upgrades that could allow for the Lightning Network to be built, which was just a concept conceived in 2016. So since then, you basically have this Lightning Network, which is just an application layer or a software layer above the Bitcoin network. And it's completely open source. It's completely opt-in. And basically, it allows for Bitcoin payments to occur somewhat instantaneously and for
Starting point is 00:14:41 basically no cost or little to no cost. And so we've seen that growth is exponential. And you're seeing a lot of companies like Strike and OpenNode and companies all over the world just basically opt into this open, not free, but voluntary settlement layer on top of Bitcoin. And so this allows for micropayments. This allows, I can send you one Satoshi pump. And so that's something that was never possible with Bitcoin on the base layer. And it's just, this is basically how Bitcoin will scale to billions and billions of people. And it's, it's not appreciated nearly enough. Completely agree. Bitcoin price drawdown from all time high. When you see this all of a sudden, maybe, uh, maybe we shouldn't be complaining so much because, uh, there are some
Starting point is 00:15:25 epic, epic drawdowns over the years, but, uh, what, what is this showing? Yeah. So we, we covered store value. We covered medium of exchange. What's the last one unit of account. Um, so how could Bitcoin ever be a unit of account if it's, if it's this volatile? Um, So obviously, we're looking at a logarithmic scale of Bitcoin in the background there, and the red is showing the drawdowns from all time high. So really, kind of what this is pointing at is, you know, the volatility is the price you pay for returns. And when something is growing in exponential fashion, you will see very standard double
Starting point is 00:15:55 digit, you know, 20, 30, 40, 50% drawdowns along the way. And that's just basically more opportunity to accumulate and to, you know, just get your hands on this pristine, absolutely scarce asset. So currently, you know, 31% down from all time highs for anyone that's been in Bitcoin for more than a couple of months, even it's, it's really nothing. And it's, it's an opportunity to just continue to stack. So, you know, just some context and, and the next few charts here, we'll break down why Bitcoin as a unit of account is quite superior. All right. Now we've got S&P 500 as just the first chart. Let's just do the, the actual price chart itself. So stocks only go up, right? Or at least that's what we've been taught over the last 24 months or so. But why is that? And a lot of people think they're getting rich, especially asset holders. Everything's going up and to the right. But in reality, it's more of a farce and or maybe a facade. And actually, it's just the money is debasing. So what happens if we standardize S&P 500 and we put it in M2 money supply terms? It looks a lot different.
Starting point is 00:17:06 And so what we're looking at since 2020, if you just standardize this chart in terms of M2 money stock, the S&P 500 is basically flat. And so a lot of people that think they've gotten pretty rich over the last 18, 24 months, in reality, it's just a function of monetary expansion. And so this kind of leads you to believe that the dollar over the short term, while I guess the Fed or other kind of public officials would call it stable, it's actually a melting ice cube, as some would like to say. And if you're valuing anything, whether it's assets, goods, services, home prices, anything in dollar terms, it's going to kind of skew you to believe that things are getting more expensive. When in reality, many things are getting less expensive. It's just the currency, the unit is devaluing.
Starting point is 00:18:01 And so here we have a solution, which is Bitcoin. Got it. And so when you divide it by this M2, it doesn't look so hot. And my guess is that if you actually went ahead and you denominated this in Bitcoin, obviously it would be down significantly, which I think is your, oh yeah, it is your next one.
Starting point is 00:18:19 Of course, you're two steps ahead of me. Go ahead. Yeah. It's like little breadcrumbs, right? This is like a little game. Go ahead. Yeah. So, I mean, volatility obviously is there. You see in March of 2020 that big green candle. But over the long term, Bitcoin is the best unit of account you can use.
Starting point is 00:18:37 Nothing else is absolutely scarce like we've kind of covered. And so just denominating something as simple as S&P or even individual stocks in Bitcoin terms will lead you to be one of the best or most ahead of the game capital allocators out there. I think this is kind of the strategy for savvy investors over the next decade. And it has been in the last decade, but increasingly, I think it'll become the standard is denominating your returns against Bitcoin. All right. And then lastly, you've got micro strategy, both against dollars and Bitcoin. How are we looking? Yeah. So talking about going on a Bitcoin standard, valuing your company, valuing your assets in Bitcoin terms, here's micro strategy since They've adopted a Bitcoin standard of 282%, obviously some pretty spectacular growth for a company that was kind of treading water for the last decade.
Starting point is 00:19:28 And now if we denominate in Bitcoin terms, they're doing fantastic and they have 110,000 Bitcoin, but their share price in Satoshi's, their share price in Bitcoin terms has basically surprisingly or maybe not surprisingly been flat, right? So they have actually kept pace with the Bitcoin standard. And so few companies can say the same. And I think this will become kind of the way that, you know, savvy investors and increasingly everybody will have to value things in the 21st century. Bitcoin is the most superior unit of account. And if you're valuing things with Bitcoin, yes, there's short term volatility. But over the long term, you're definitely ahead of the game and you'll get a step on people who are not. How do you think about Bitcoin when it starts to become less volatile? So obviously everything is kind of crashing against Bitcoin because Bitcoin's price is going up at a pretty insane rate compared to US dollars. If Bitcoin is to eventually reach price stability in US dollar terms, which may or may not happen, but if that was to occur, how do you think about it then being denominated all these other assets?
Starting point is 00:20:38 Yeah. So I think if you look at a lot of things, there's a pretty fantastic chart out there that I don't have on me at the moment, but it's over the last 20 years, the price of everything from like technology to education, to healthcare, to consumer goods and the university education. And basically, everything that technology has touched is way down. The price of a TV or a semiconductor or just an iPhone, think about how much an iPhone gives you over the last 10 years. Well, maybe the price has gone up, but the value has gone way, way up. So actually, technology, it's deflationary in the sense that you get more for less. And so when you don't have that expanding monetary unit, the dollar, expanding money supply that's chasing everything that's becoming more expensive over the last decade or two, it's because more dollars are chasing that. University education, subsidized. Healthcare, subsidized.
Starting point is 00:21:34 All of these things that are becoming way, way more expensive is because essentially the government or just the economy in general is chasing an increasing amount of, throwing an increasing amount of dollars at it. And so that's why you see these things becoming exponentially more expensive over time. I believe on a Bitcoin standard, on an absolutely scarce monetary standard, global monetary standard, things will gradually decrease in price over time as the money accrues value. Basically, as the world becomes more productive, your money accrues value in everything else. And so I think that's what, you know, what the future holds. And it won't, you won't see these exponential gains that we see over the last decade. And I think over the
Starting point is 00:22:14 coming decade, but you know, I think you would expect with human productivity, your purchasing power would increase one to two to maybe 5% a year, depending on a Bitcoin standard. And I think that's, you know, that's pretty exciting. When you start to think about how well people understand this? Like, what's your take on the Jack Dorsey web three tweets versus, uh, uh, kind of the web three pro argument, if you will. Like, what do you think? Yeah, I think, um, I, I kind of agree with Jack here in the sense that I I'm all for the free market and I'm all for, you know, people going and building things and trying things out a hundred percent. Um, but I think a lot of, uh, the incentives are skewed in a lot of these, if you want to call it web three, uh, applications
Starting point is 00:22:57 or ecosystems, whether it's with... And not that investing is bad in general, right? The argument for a pre-mine is, well, every stock or company is pre-mined, and that's fair. But if we're talking about a company or a security versus an open protocol, I think it's a little bit different, or actually a lot different. And so Bitcoin, crypto kind of gets all lumped into one. And I think it's quite different. We covered it a little bit last week, the differences between, Bitcoin and Ethereum. And I'm fine. I'm all for the free market. I don't want regulators to come in and clamp down on these builders or engineers at all. But I think just in terms of, say, an open internet and so-called decentralization, a lot of it's more decentralization theater. And that's
Starting point is 00:23:43 fine. I think just there's quite a difference between, say, Bitcoin versus what a lot of these other tokens protocols web three applications are doing and that's fine right but just you know saying everything is going to be on a blockchain or creator economy and everyone's going to have their own personal token I mean it's it's ambitious and so we'll see what happens but you know I think the biggest kind of idea in the room is you know what Jack thinks and that's sound money for the world I think that's that's the big idea here John what questions you got Yeah, Dylan, thanks for joining us. So how have you thought about the hash rate? Is this kind of, it's up what, 70% since 2017? What do you think it looks like moving forward?
Starting point is 00:24:26 Yeah. 70X since 2017. And I think it continues to just kind of bend up into the right. It's hard to see that sort of exponential growth as we kind of get closer and closer to not the end of Moore's law. But as Moore's law kind of slows down a little bit, I'm not calling an end to the efficiency of semiconductors and computing power. But you've started to see somewhat of a commodification of ASICs, of Bitcoin miners. An S9 has been around for, you know, I think four or five years, and it's still spitting off a lot of free cash flow, a lot of profit. And so, you know, I think the new miners today, you'll be able to plug in for quite a long time and for them to be quite profitable. Um, you know, whereas say the mining rigs or, you know, the USB sticks that you could
Starting point is 00:25:16 plug into your laptop from 2012, aren't going to be profitable anymore. You can't mine Bitcoin with GPUs and be profitable. Um, but I think a lot of these ASICs will be around for a long time. Um, despite the fact that Bitcoin hash rate, I would, I would think is going to probably 10, uh, or a hundred X over the coming decade. Um, just with the, you know, the pure amount of incentives that, that will exist for, for people to, you know, plug these machines in. I think every energy producer is going to get involved um and in a big way but uh we're just starting to see that play out how do you think about the consumer like the retail consumer getting involved in mining versus yeah it's pretty guys it's pretty exciting i think um we're going to see i i believe
Starting point is 00:25:58 we're going to see especially in cold um cold regions or climates um you know the rise of the home miner um you know some very very savvy kind of engineers or or bitcoiners if you want to say I've been doing this already. But the reality is, you know, these these miners kick off a lot of excess heat. And so doing it somewhere that's pretty cold is actually, you know, you can kind of get a two for one where you're you're mining Bitcoin and you're producing a lot of excess energy and heat. And that byproduct can actually heat your home. So it's like almost two birds with one stone. And so it's something that actually I am exploring currently. But I think we'll see that a lot and it'll kind of just become I think Square is working on that. Right. They're
Starting point is 00:26:38 working on building that out and and their uh and their app as well as um working on an asic so um that would be pretty exciting and i think uh we're a little bit away from kind of that that becoming the standard but i would it would be awesome to see uh and you know coming five years or so i agree what i what i also think would be really interesting i don't think i've seen one yet that seems viable and commercial is when you start to get uh anything that plugs into uh some sort of electricity and it mines bitcoin and it's off hours so like i'll use a super egregious almost absurd example but like you could see it happening is somebody builds like a microwave when it's plugged in uh it's pulling a little bit of power right because i was obviously able to
Starting point is 00:27:20 display the time and that type of stuff but is there a world where the microwave pays for itself by being able to mine bitcoin even though it's got very little computing power right so like that's the agrees example, like, okay, now walk it back into, well, what happens if all of a sudden you're able to take other things like the Tesla power wall, maybe a good example, right? If they were essentially able to say, Hey, look, we're going to use renewable power that's stored in this battery. And we're going to take that and then build kind of a mining component to it. And you can actually, Hey, when you're not consuming the power, if you don't, if you're running out or, or, uh, of a capacity or something, just go ahead and almost like quote unquote,
Starting point is 00:28:01 burn it, but you're burning it by using it to drive some sort of monetary value and help secure the decentralized Bitcoin network. It's pretty interesting. I think Bitcoin mining kind of will, will almost like flatten out these, um, these disparities in energy prices across the world. Right. You're seeing, um, you know, you're seeing a huge energy crisis in Europe, right? So, um, Bitcoin miners in Europe currently, um, they're, they're probably not going to be, um, on full tilt, right? They're going to, they're going to instead sell their, their energy to the grid right you're seeing a lot of like you know grid miners that um like in texas per se um that are that are establishing this baseload uh energy demand and then when demand spikes they turn off
Starting point is 00:28:40 and so you can see that kind of at a micro level right or say maybe not a microwave but say a water heater right so um a lot of these things are you know continuing to be built out and there's engineers all over the world kind of working on this stuff um bitcoin mining uh with immersion cooling, right? It's kind of like these, these ideas that are coming out of nowhere. Um, and they're, you know, they're really fascinating. And I, I, I mean, we're just scratching the surface in terms of what can be done, uh, with kind of this, this newfound, um, demand or ability to take energy from anywhere, uh, and, and turn it into sound money. And so I think the applications and the, the, you know, the engineering, uh, you know, feats that will be built on top of this and
Starting point is 00:29:19 around this network, uh, is something that I, I can't fathom and I'll, I'll let other people figure that out. Last question I have for you is going into a Christmas, you got any advice for folks in terms of how they can help orange pill their family? That's a good question. Yeah. I mean, I would just say everyone, you know, it takes time and everyone will kind of come to Bitcoin when they're ready, but just planting the seed about what sound money and a low time preference does is important. Kind of just, you know, distincting Bitcoin from a lot of, you know, speculative investments and even Bitcoin itself on a, on a shorter timeframe is speculative, right?
Starting point is 00:29:54 So maybe showing the four year DCA returns which I don't know off the top of my head, but I know they're, they're pretty strong. And just kind of preaching a low time preference, maybe saying why is everything getting more expensive in the world? Whether it's housing or food or energy or anything else. Right. And, and kind of establishing that it's not a result of greedy corporations as maybe an Elizabeth Warren would say, but it's more so about an expanding money supply and just kind of planting the seed because
Starting point is 00:30:21 ultimately everybody will need Bitcoin. Everybody will own Bitcoin. And that may sound controversial today, but I think 10 years from now, it won't be at all. And so just kind of, you know, planting the seed with people that you care about is, you know, definitely a good gift to give at least for their future self. I think that's a great way to end it. If we do a quick follower check, 98.8 man we're about to cross 100k I think we were talking what you were at 50k a couple weeks ago yeah I think the first time I came on
Starting point is 00:30:52 I was a little bit under that and so definitely definitely getting close there making moves John yeah where you at I'm at right under 60 and Dylan just congratulations Dylan was like when you provide good content though
Starting point is 00:31:08 people go to it so that's how the world works all right i'm gonna drop uh drop his twitter account in here uh if you're not following dylan get with the program let's go got uh we got things we got to get done so dylan thank you so much for uh for doing this have a uh a merry christmas happy holidays whatever the appropriate thing to say these days is uh just enjoy the time with your family um and then uh i guess well next tuesday is the next show that we'll do so dylan will be back the next time that you guys see us you'll see Dylan, which will be, uh, be pretty good. Sweet. Happy holidays guys. Thanks for
Starting point is 00:31:45 having me on. All right, buddy. Sounds good. Thank you.

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