The Pomp Podcast - #794 Competition Instead Of Conflict
Episode Date: January 23, 2022This episode is a little different than the usual podcast format. There is no guest. Instead, I will share a couple of thoughts I have around a specific topic. Today I discuss the relationship betwee...n the United States and China and ideas around competition and conflict. ======================= LMAX Digital - the market-leading solution for institutional crypto trading & custodial services - offers clients a regulated, transparent and secure trading environment, together with the deepest pool of crypto liquidity. LMAX Digital is also a primary price discovery venue, streaming real-time market data to the industry’s leading analytics platforms. LMAX Digital - secure, liquid, trusted. Learn more at LMAXdigital.com/pomp ======================= Compass Mining is the world's first online marketplace for bitcoin mining hardware and hosting. Compass was founded with the goal of making it easy for everyone to mine bitcoin. Visit compassmining.io to start mining bitcoin today! ======================= Crypto is all about democratization and freedom of choice. But many companies limit their offerings to centralized trading products. The crypto companies leading the pack in terms of innovation are those that extend access to the industry's cutting-edge products and services — bridging CeFi and DeFi. If you're searching for a platform that reflects crypto's promise of a more open and less restrictive financial future, look no further than OKEx. On OKEx now you can easily switch over to the new DeFi mode, connect OKEx's bespoke Web 3.0 wallet via browser extension and start exploring opportunities at the bleeding edge of crypto. From the DeFi Dashboard, you can monitor your portfolio of self-custodied assets across a range of blockchain networks and generate passive income from yield-farming with top DeFi protocols. In the NFT Marketplace, you can participate in exclusive drops and trade nonfungible tokens without secondary market fees. Meanwhile, the GameFi section is your portal to the latest and greatest in play-to-earn and blockchain gaming. Venture to the forefront of crypto innovation and connect with OKEx DeFi today. =======================
Transcript
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What's up, everyone? This is Anthony Pompliano. Most of you know me as Pomp. You're listening
to the Pomp Podcast, simply the best podcast out there. Now let's kick this thing off.
Today's episode is a breakdown of some of my personal thoughts around the United States,
China, and the ideas of competition and conflict. I hope that you enjoyed this episode. But
before we get started, I want to first talk about our sponsors.
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Last but not least are my friends over at OKEx. Crypto is all about democratization and freedom
of choice, but many companies limit their offerings to centralized trading products.
The crypto companies leading the pack in terms of innovation are those that extend access to
the industry's cutting-edge products and services, bridging CeFi and DeFi. If you're searching for
a platform that reflects crypto's promise of a more open and less restrictive financial future,
look no further than OKEx. On OKEx now, you can easily switch over to the new DeFi mode,
connect OKEx's bespoke Web3 wallet via browser extension, and start exploring opportunities at
the bleeding edge of crypto. From the DeFi dashboard, you can monitor your portfolio
of self-custodied assets across a range of blockchain networks
and generate passive income from yield farming
with top DeFi protocols.
In the NFT marketplace,
you can participate in exclusive drops
and trade non-fungible tokens without secondary market fees.
Meanwhile, the GameFi section is your portal
to the latest and greatest in play-to-earn and blockchain gaming.
Venture to the forefront of crypto innovation
and connect with OKEx DeFi today.
Again, go check them out at OKEx.
That's where you can find OKEx DeFi.
All right, let's get into this episode. I hope you guys enjoy this one.
Master, a retired United States Army Lieutenant General who served as the 26th United States
National Security Advisor from 2017 to 2018. The discussion was quite wide-ranging, but a specific
comment from General McMaster caught my attention. About 30 minutes into the conversation, the
General was speaking about the United States and China. He described the difference between
confrontation and competition. This excerpt highlights his main point. He said, quote,
what I would often hear from friends in Southeast Asia and beyond. These are my counterparts when I
was engaging as the National Security Advisor. They would say, don't force us to choose. Don't
force us to choose between Washington and Beijing. And what I would tell them is, hey, that's not the
choice you face. The choice you face is between sovereignty and servitude. The United States is
on the side of sovereignty. China wants servitude because what Xi Jinping wants to do, and the party
is clear about this, is they want to establish exclusionary areas of primacy across the Indo-Pacific
region, and excluding who? Us. As the first step in being able to rewrite some of the rules of
international commerce and political discourse, and to isolate the regional rival Japan. So I
think we are at a critical moment where we have to compete effectively. This does not mean that
we are on a path to confrontation. Because we vacated these competitive spaces, China became
more and more emboldened, and we were actually on a path to confrontation. Now I think this idea of
transparent competition is what we ought to really pursue with China, end quote. So this idea of
competition rather than confrontation is a nuanced concept that is important to understand. The United
States and China are the two superpowers of the world. They have competing ideologies and political
systems. The two countries are optimizing for the same end result, but they are choosing to take
very different paths. Violent conflict was the default way of dealing with countries that are
at odds with each other historically. That solution appears antiquated in today's environment.
Modern weapons have evolved to the point where they're almost too lethal. Either country could
wipe out entire cities and wide swaths of the other country's population with lightning fast
speed. The collateral damage is unknowable. And frankly, the battlefield has shifted from atoms
to bits. Cyber warfare is a bigger focus for both countries compared to military operations
that would require invasions, the dropping of bombs, and potential loss of human life.
Regardless of the military tactics that are pursued, there is no denying that the United
States and China are in a global competition. They are competing for resources, technology,
talent, and ultimately economic prosperity. The United States' pursuit of efficiency over
resilience was well documented by the COVID-19 pandemic. We were exposed to have little domestic
manufacturing capabilities and a heavy reliance on international partners for the production and
distribution of various goods. This realization has rekindled a concentrated effort to onshore
manufacturing and supply chains while treating these important functions as national security
issues. As we look forward to other areas of competition, it is hard not to identify the
intersection of money and technology as an important area of focus. The Chinese Communist
Party has created and is testing a central bank digital currency that gives them immense control
over their citizens. This new currency carries the exact same monetary policy as the existing
renminbi, but the technology upgrade empowers the centralized government to more easily confiscate
wealth, censor transactions, punish citizens, and exert complete financial control over all users.
You could argue that this won't be a problem for the global population if China is merely
going to hand this technology to their own citizens, but that is not their plan. Just
as China has scoured the world for opportunities to lend capital and exert more influence or
control, they are looking for opportunities to increase adoption of the digital renminbi
by citizens outside of China. As I have written about before, this pursuit of the Chinese digital
currency is all about accessibility. If you are a citizen in Venezuela, Zimbabwe, or other
faltering countries, you are frantically seeking for an asset that you can convert your fiat
currency into. Your domestic currency is failing. Historically, gold and other analog assets were
options, but there are too many horror stories of confiscation at borders, etc. The first option for
many of these people is to seek U.S. dollars. There's safety and stability that comes with
holding the world's reserve currency. The issue is that it may be dangerous to purchase physical
dollars on the black market. Your bank is likely to collude with your government to confiscate
money from your account, and it can be incredibly expensive to purchase dollars due to unofficial
currency conversion rates. The ideal scenario is that you can use an internet connection to
access a new currency. If you don't have access to a digital dollar, but you have access to a
digital renminbi, there's a high likelihood that you will simply pick the best of what is available.
Now, many people will say, no, they will convert their assets to Bitcoin. Maybe this is true,
but the reality is that the volatility of the asset and the newness of a decentralized currency
still scares a good amount of people in these countries. Regardless of the popularity of
Bitcoin. The United States can't sit on the sidelines in these scenarios. The global competition
for digital currency adoption is already underway. China, the most important competition that we have
today, has already created and distributed their digital currency. They are going to push the pace
of adoption outside their borders, which is essentially a move to gain market share. The
United States must act with speed and conviction. We must decide whether our central bank and the
U.S. Treasury are capable of creating their own digital dollar in a timely manner, or we must go
with the technical solution that has already received market adoption from one of the private
U.S. dollar stablecoin enterprises. Additionally, just as General McMaster's pointed out, the United
States should heavily consider advocating for and facilitating the use of technologies that give the
average citizen more sovereignty. China wants servitude. America was built on sovereignty.
If America was to continue to pursue our ethos, there is a national security argument to be made
for the United States to work aggressively to see Bitcoin succeed on a global stage.
This may seem counterintuitive to most people, but the United States of America should pursue
a dual strategy, drive global adoption of digital dollars and Bitcoin. Bitcoin prevents the
centralized authoritarian governments of the world from sinking their fingers into every corner of
an individual's financial life. It makes it impossible for a dictatorship to censor citizens
or coerce them via financial controls.
The digital dollar extends the U.S. dollar dominance
and increases the likelihood
that the world's reserve currency is the number one choice
whenever someone wants to make a transaction.
Bitcoin is defense.
The U.S. dollar is offense.
These two assets working in tandem
can help the United States become the dominant player
on a global stage
while simultaneously wreaking havoc
on our largest competitor.
We have to recognize that we are in competition.
Conflict is not the intended goal.
The united states can win in the free market. We have the intellectual horsepower the technical
Capabilities and now we must ensure we have the political will to compete
If we are willing to play the game, I like our chances of winning
I hope that you enjoyed some thoughts here on the united states china confrontation and conflict
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