The Pomp Podcast - #912 Udi Wertheimer On Toxic Bitcoin Maximalism
Episode Date: April 12, 2022Udi Wertheimer is a independent developer and consultant. He also runs one of my favorite Twitter accounts. In this conversation, we discuss his thoughts on the The Bitcoin Conference, Bitcoin mining..., U.S. vs. Non-U.S. regulation, toxicity in the Bitcoin community, and what Udi is excited about in the Bitcoin industry. ======================= LMAX Digital - the market-leading solution for institutional crypto trading & custodial services - offers clients a regulated, transparent and secure trading environment, together with the deepest pool of crypto liquidity. LMAX Digital is also a primary price discovery venue, streaming real-time market data to the industry’s leading analytics platforms. LMAX Digital - secure, liquid, trusted. Learn more at LMAXdigital.com/pomp ======================= The Pod Pro Cover by Eight Sleep is the most advanced solution on the market for thermoregulation. It pairs dynamic cooling and heating with biometric tracking. Go to https://www.eightsleep.com/Pomp to check out the Pod Pro Cover and save $150 at checkout. Eight Sleep currently ships within the USA, Canada, and the UK. ======================= The world's 2nd largest crypto exchange, OKEx, has dropped the "E" to become OKX, reflecting its evolution from a traditional crypto exchange to a comprehensive, cross-platform crypto services provider. With OKX's decentralized platform and Web3 wallet, MetaX, you have full custody over your crypto. Explore DeFi, NFTs and play-to-earning gaming with the world's most powerful crypto exchange. Visit OKX.com to learn more. =======================
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What's up, everyone? This is Anthony Pompliano. Most of you know me as Pomp. You're listening
to the Pomp Podcast, simply the best podcast out there. Now let's kick this thing off.
Udi Wertheimer is an independent developer and consultant. He also runs one of my favorite
Twitter accounts. In this conversation, Udi and I talk about everything from toxicity
in the Bitcoin community to Bitcoin mining, regulation, US versus non-US states, and what
he's excited about moving forward for the Bitcoin industry. I really enjoyed this conversation with
Udi, and I hope you guys enjoy it as well. Before we get in this episode, though, I first want to
talk about our sponsors. First up is LMAX Digital, the number one institutional crypto exchange.
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digital.com slash pomp again lmax digital.com slash pomp this episode is brought to you by
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you guys enjoyed this one anthony pompliano runs pomp investments all views of him and the guests
on his podcast are solely their opinions and do not reflect the opinions of pomp investments you
should not treat any opinion expressed by pomp or his guests as a specific inducement to make a
particular investment or follow a particular strategy but only as an expression of his
personal opinion this podcast is for informational purposes only all right friends i have no clue
where this conversation is about to go but uh we have the uh the infamous Udi here with us how are
you sir hey what's up the Udiverse right here oh we decided the Udiverse what uh what'd you think
of the Bitcoin conference um you know the thing I loved about it the most was that it gave this
opportunity for the you know a bunch of the people who were around for a very long time
kind of built the values of the original kind of structure of this whole thing and put them
on stage in front of you know 30 000 people who who who are the community that they helped build
it was i think it was really awesome it was like nice to see that interaction between the old and
the new i loved it yeah i i am i also think it was very uh thoughtful in terms of uh there were
some very commercial aspects so all the businesses the expo center they're freaking fake volcano
right um the the kind of sports center or game day style uh desk you know doing commentary like
all that type of stuff uh seems super super commercial but at the same time i know matt
odell and a bunch of folks put together like three days of an open source uh stage and uh to me spoke
much more to kind of the uh the cypherpunk movement and a lot of that and so uh there's not
very many conferences that i think could kind of take those two themes which literally seem at the
opposite ends of the extreme yeah and put them into one conference have 30 000 people show up
and everyone walk away being like man that was pretty cool yeah yeah it was awesome i think it
did a great job showing like both parts you know like both sides of this so that was awesome
what are you most interested in or paying attention to right now in uh in kind of the
bitcoin world is there something that you're like hey this isn't getting enough attention
or something you think is maybe more important than people realize i think that um uh well how
do i say this without pissing off people or should i say it in a way that will piss off people i'm
But we have over time kind of put ourselves in this corner
where we refuse to look at anything going on
in the larger crypto ecosystem, I feel like,
and paint it as immoral.
But really, I think that the very interesting thing coming up
is the usage of Bitcoin on other chains.
I think there's a lot of potential for growth over there.
So, you know, a lot of stuff like, you know, various DeFi protocols, lending, borrowing, stable coins, all of this stuff.
Originally, they used to use ETH as the asset that backs everything just because of, you know, convenience and the way that things were built on Ethereum.
But I think that these days people use so many other chains like, you know, Solana, Terra, Avalanche, Binance chain, there are a ton of them.
and it makes a lot of sense for Bitcoin
to be the collateral for those
because it's a neutral asset
unlike ETH which is very
aligned with the Ethereum ecosystem
so I think that's a very interesting
direction for Bitcoin going forward
One of the things that you're talking about
so there's kind of two different things here
one is like the mentality
and the open mindedness
I saw Alex Leishman from River
he had a great thread
where he basically said
real talk, there's a new last few years
wave of bitcoin maximalist marketing types who lack deep technical knowledge and simply
autistically screech at every non-bitcoin project you know well hot take to get started on the
thread and then he said articulately criticizing scammy projects is commendable sticking your head
in the sand and pretending that nothing but bitcoin is interesting or disruptive is very low
iq the maximalist marketers basically take the ico playbook and apply it to bitcoin maximalism
if you dig deep enough you'll realize that a number of these guys used to be ico scammers
go figure bitcoin is changing the world and conservatism is a feature of bitcoin not a bug
however a dangerous ignorance and dogma is creeping into the bitcoin space from a small
number of loud people who have certainly done very little to contribute to bitcoin
the core devs and wealthy og bitcoiners are almost always way more humble and open-minded
than the new maximus marketer types who are grifting noobs think for yourself and resist
falling prey to dogma this is the bitcoin way and immediately you know it was almost like a
uh um a bat signal like if you're somebody who he was talking about and he tweets that like what do
you immediately do you jump in the comments and say a bunch of dumb stuff right exactly and it's
like oh okay thank you so much for raising your hand and explaining it yeah so uh i think his
main point although there's nuance to the whole thing it's just like the open-mindedness is really
really important because one of the things that i think is going to send uh this like
toxic bitcoin maximalist you know kind of corner uh which by the way 87 of bitcoiners own bitcoin
plus another asset which is a stat that does nobody wants to talk about yeah but your mind's
going to be a mental pretzel if all of a sudden lightning labs and roast beef put out tarot
which is a new protocol that is going to allow for the issuance of stable coins and other tokens
on top of bitcoin yeah so are we now gonna say nfts are good only if they're on bitcoin uh
alt coins are good only if they're on top of bitcoin yeah uh stable coins are good only if
they're on top of bitcoin or as i know some of these folks they will say lightning labs is stupid
uh roast beef is stupid uh you know safe adine is stupid right they'll go through kind of the
whole thing and they'll they'll just take every single person in the bitcoin community and they'll
say these guys are all morons and uh and they don't know what they're talking about yeah yeah
we'll definitely have both we'll definitely have both and we always have had both but i think the
the clash is going to become more and more uh pronounced and visible to people uh yeah it's
it's obviously it's silly like right if you want an nft i think most people don't care if their jpeg
is on solana or ethereum or bitcoin or whatever like it's just you care about the jpeg and the
community around that you definitely don't care about the technicals and if you're gonna say the
jpegs are only good if they happen to be on bitcoin then it's i think it clearly doesn't
make sense and i think yeah i think you're right that narrative is going to collapse because
the more visibility there is on this thing it's going to be more clear to people that it's
untrue and you know you you said on the thread there was um this note about you know the ogs
and the original builders were much more humble and i think it's true you know like when i talk
to people who aren't necessarily very prominent on twitter but you know have been building with
bitcoin for many years uh they almost always own other assets like almost you know it's it's it's
almost obvious because you know they find it interesting and they do they just can't talk
about it because there's this small group of people who will ostracize if you dare talking
about owning other stuff there's an individual i'm not going to say who they are very very well
known in the bitcoin community very well respected uh i had dinner with them one time and they said
uh uh you're free you're lucky you're free right and i said what do you mean and they basically
we're we're making the point that like nobody thinks that you don't have intellectual curiosity
nobody thinks that you're not open-minded nobody thinks that you don't look at this other stuff
they're like for me i have to do it in secret i do it privately yeah i'm not allowed to if i do it
i'll get absolutely you know torched yeah but they're like but you already ripped the band-aid
off yep and i think that that's it goes back to this idea that the silent uh or i'm sorry the
loud minority uh they do not have the long-term support right and and ultimately what ends up
happening is uh again i think tarot is going to be the the camel uh that that or the thing that
breaks the camel's back right in the sense of if there are now alt coins on top of lightning are
they good or bad yeah that's a tough question that's a tough question yeah that's that's the
thing we like you know people are so talk so much about free markets and capitalism but they end up
being very much in favor of central planning sometimes it seems like you know at least the
toxic bitcoin maximalist side of things what's your take on real bitcoiners is there like is
there a definition of a real bit yeah so you know that's actually really interesting i went to
an avalanche conference in barcelona a couple weeks ago shame yeah shame it was even worse
i even dared to speak at the conference i know i know and you know you see people who were um
Before I went on, my talk was about Bitcoin, right?
And before I went on, the Avalanche team made this announcement
about how they're going to make it easier to bridge Bitcoin on Avalanche.
And I noticed that was the first time that the entire audience applauded
because it turns out that all of those crypto people are,
most of them are very much Bitcoiners.
They own Bitcoin maybe even as the main part of their portfolio.
that's that's very common in the crypto scene and you know it's it's only really the small group of
bitcoin maximalists who think or you know you can be a bitcoin maximalist if you want but the toxic
bitcoin maximalists who think that um crypto people hate bitcoin it's absolutely not true
and i would say that a bitcoiner is you know it's a very simple definition it's someone who owns
bitcoin you know that's it's very simple there's still many many people in the world who don't own
bitcoin and we need to get to them but there are what 100 million 150 million bitcoin holder in
the world so you know they a lot of them are pretty fine with using other chains most of them
are 87 of them according to the grayscale bitcoin investor study right yeah um and then how do you
think about uh something like doquan with uh with tara and backing their stablecoin ust with bitcoin
Like to me, right, what I'd look at that and I say we're watching a stable coin adopt the Bitcoin standard, and if they end up doing this correctly, it will create the playbook for central banks, stable coins, et cetera, to then all go be able to do the same thing.
Very similar to how Michael Saylor created a playbook for public companies to put Bitcoin on their balance sheet.
it seems like that is not a 100% accepted viewpoint
or framework by maybe this loud minority.
Yeah, and that was so surprising to me
because when I first heard about,
Do Kwon first made these claims
about how he's going to acquire some Bitcoin
or LFG is going to acquire some Bitcoins
and they were very big claims.
And I was really surprised how very few people
in the Bitcoin space were talking about this
because it looked like this is very big news.
this guy's gonna end up with more bitcoins than than sailor potentially um so you know i i started
talking to people and i realized that the reason they don't talk about it is because they don't
you know they don't know anything about it literally nothing about how something like ust
works but they have a very clear opinion about how it's a scam and immoral and a terrible thing
so they literally don't know anything about it anything they don't know what it is they don't
know how it works they don't know what keeps the pig if it does there are many risks about ust by
the way but they don't know what to explain them so i thought okay this will be interesting
conversation to have to talk to dokuan you know have uh spaces about it but um do it in a very
basic way so that bitcoiners could catch up get up to speed and i we had the spaces i think a lot
of people tuned in and you know i try to be neutral i try to be like yeah you know uh what
you're doing is obviously risky it might not work people might have exposure to the stable coin and
end up you know losing money um or maybe it does work but the one thing that i find very interesting
in it is that bitcoin is a very very good fit in that use case whether it works out or not
bitcoin is a very good fit in there and we suddenly have a new way to use bitcoin that's
awesome and definitely i think that more people will will try to do the same thing and you know
i get that people say you know ust is uh maybe risky maybe it will not work out and people need
to be careful i agree with that uh but it seems like the thing that strikes me really odd is
we seem to be okay with um you know a dictator adopting bitcoin for his country uh we seem to
be okay with uh russia using bitcoin to evade sanctions we seem to be okay with people buying
harrowing and od'ing and dying using bitcoin we're fine with all of those things they're great
but if someone dares to start a stable coin then that's that's an attack on freedom and that doesn't
make any sense to me i think you know i'm i'm not here to judge the way that people use bitcoin i
don't understand everything about the world i don't know what's going to be a good way to use
it or not i think people should use it however they want and if a new use case arises and people
find a new way to use bitcoin in a massive way like this you know like acquiring three to ten
billion dollars worth of bitcoin that's obviously good that's obviously good i hope it works out and
if it doesn't we learn something you know what's your general approach to like how you say so this
idea of like i'm not here to judge how people use it is there a way somebody could use bitcoin where
you would say like oh i wish they wouldn't do that you know i think look you know there are
things that i think uh people would agree that they are uh universally evil right and i hope
that people don't use bitcoin that way but really the the the the truth is that's why we like
bitcoin people can use it however they want no one no one's gonna ask us you know one of the
interesting things i found out when i had discussions with people about this use case of
terra and people told me like well we shouldn't support this and i was like look they're not
asking us they're going to do it you know they're not asking us if we're supporting this if we think
it's a good idea they're going to do it they are doing it and and it really mostly makes us look
like fools i think if we sit there on our on our little couches and say no this is not a good way
to use bitcoin we're against it we're just gonna we're setting ourselves up for failure right
because we know that bitcoin can be used however people want to use it yeah it's it's fascinating
to kind of think through this, right?
Because I would make the argument
that what Michael Saylor is doing
is he's basically issuing assets to acquire more Bitcoin.
And I obviously think that it's incredibly innovative.
I think that he is a pioneer.
I tend to think that he will go down
as one of the best capital allocators on Wall Street
over the last 20, 30 years
and doesn't come without risk, right?
Especially now when there's some slight leverage in there
and a whole bunch of different things.
But so far, so good.
I think that he's done a great job
articulating his ideas publicly,
explaining, hey, we have a cash-flowing business
and also a treasury strategy
and kind of how he thinks as a public company CEO
who's just been around a long time, right?
And understands not only strategically what to do,
but also how to communicate those ideas,
I think is a key piece to it.
If you then go and you take a look
at many private companies,
they're doing very similar things.
So I would argue that many of these private companies that are issuing some sort of equity to investors and then using that investor's money to go buy Bitcoin on their balance sheet, they also are issuing an asset to go and to buy it.
And I hear the argument that the public sector has certain rules and requirements and transparency and reporting regulations, et cetera.
The private markets have some of that, but nowhere near what it would take to operate as a public company.
And then you have somebody like Do Kwon, which he personally isn't doing it, right?
It's the foundation.
But again, they've issued an asset and they are going ahead and they're acquiring it.
And when you think about that, it's a very nuanced, weird argument to make of, oh, if
you issue one type of asset, it's OK.
But if you issue another type of asset, it's not OK.
Yeah, right.
And I think actually, if I was to switch around and say, hey, you know what?
I'm going to be a critic of it.
I don't think making a moral argument
is the right argument to make.
I think your point about the right argument to make
would be that it's a risk argument.
And so this appeasement or attempt
to kind of make this moral argument,
I think actually just sounds stupid.
Yep.
Right?
Because there is no morality in the issuance of assets.
Ultimately, what happens is it's a risk.
and you can now make an argument of are they disclosing all of the risks are they not do we
actually understand uh meaning the the non uh terror community do we understand what the risks
are do they understand what the risks are all that stuff i think is fair uh debate but to me
that's more science and math uh uh type argument where it's valuable right either it's true or it's
not when you kind of do this like fluff oh we're gonna make this moral argument uh i tend to think
that you move to moral arguments when you don't have the ability to make valuable arguments exactly
and uh and then it becomes a religious debate correct and the reason why people want to
participate in the religious debate is because they never can be proven wrong yep right and so
then you can yell and scream all day long and you basically get to uh then claim moral superiority
on somebody uh which just is ridiculous yeah it is it is it is uh you know and by the way i
In that spaces that I did with Doquan,
I asked him a bunch of the hard questions.
It wasn't very original.
I knew the hard questions
because many other people asked them before.
But he was very honest and very open about everything.
He said, yeah, one thing that attracts people to UST today
is the 20% or close to 20% interest rate that they get.
And he was very open about it.
It's obviously not scalable
and it's not going to stay 20% forever.
It's going to drop down.
There's definitely a question of what happens
when it goes down and how it happens.
It's obviously very open on the risks
for the UST de-pegging from the dollar.
All of those things, they're very open about them.
And then yeah, you have to evaluate
if you're okay with that risk or not.
And every person can make the decision on their own.
I myself do not really have an exposure to UST,
to be honest, but people can choose what they want.
so you know it's um it it seems like a very easy very easy decision to make not sure why there's
even this need to you know if you don't want it don't buy it move on like why why do you even
want to talk about it if this is if you think that this is not a good risk to take the other
thing that uh i find very troubling is uh the inability or uh lack of desire of uh conversation
so this whole idea of uh you know somebody says hey i'm going to use bitcoin in some way and
immediately getting screamed at scammer fraud you know all the nonsense right yeah and nobody stops
to say well how does it work yeah right what what exactly why are you making that decision
right uh and you may if you have that conversation come to the conclusion that you
that you believe it is a scam that it is a fraud that it is whatever but coming to that conclusion
without actually talking to the person doing it
is like all-time laugh-out-loud funny to me, right?
And I can say this as somebody who, when I saw him do it,
I messaged him, I did a call, I learned about it,
I wrote a whole thing, said, hey, is this accurate?
Then got feedback from people,
then did a podcast episode with them
and said, listen, explain this to me.
And I got to the end and I said, similar to your point,
there's risks here, just like there's risks in all of this.
But I think that this is a net positive
and will pioneer a new potential use case
is bitcoin as collateral right for stable coins yep now maybe i'm wrong that's fine right i'm
very clear that i didn't go buy luna or do any of this i don't own ust or any of that stuff
but it's interesting i'm watching i'm paying attention yep yep but the people who don't go
have the conversation i literally have more information than they do exactly yeah exactly
they're telling you you're wrong but they don't know what you're talking about because they didn't
not only can they not they just don't have the same information yeah right and so like i really
respect people who go and say to somebody hey what you're doing i don't understand i'd like
to learn more about it and they go and they understand it and then they turn around and
then they say okay you know what i don't think this is going to work yeah fine well the market's
going to decide whether it works or not right and if people want to take the risk and and have the
ability to allocate their capital that way that's their free choice yeah but the the whole idea of
like shaming people for how they invest their money is the most anti-bitcoin thing i've ever
heard by the way if you don't agree rather than complaining which is what politicians would do
if you are actually emotionally psychologically invested in trying to see bitcoin do all these
great things that we all think it could do then build the alternative right well build the
alternative or educate these people yeah but don't do it don't shame them right instead say hey have
you thought about this point have you thought about this risk etc and that's not what i think
is happening right now right no no it's not no i think people just don't you know they don't
understand what it is you know i think one of the common uh arguments that i get from people is that
um you know something like qst and and the many other you know digital assets are are bad because
they break security laws and there are two things that really bother me with that one is
I don't understand how the
you know how the Bitcoin mindset went
from being
you know free market and building
things that
are supposed to improve the structure of the market
right now to just saying well it's illegal
so we're not going to touch it
I don't understand how that happened because
that doesn't used to be the case
but also you know I understand you know
I'm not so I'm not American I'm here
visiting the studio but I don't live here
and yeah
Yeah. Yeah. It's awesome. It's been an awesome week. And you know, the, the,
the security laws in the U S I understand if some Americans like them, I,
I don't care about them. I'm not an American, you know, I don't,
I couldn't care less. So I think, you know, if, if, so by the way,
so are like 7.2 billion people around the world.
They also aren't American and don't give a shit about American. Exactly.
Exactly. Exactly. So, you know,
most of the world doesn't care about the U S security laws. So if, you know,
if americans want to stay in that kind of regime then that's fine i don't like maybe it's the right
thing to do i don't know i don't it's none of my business but i think for everyone else it's very
obvious they're not gonna avoid some investments just because the u.s security law is incompatible
with them that that's i don't care as an american i really care about security
right but the other 7.2 billion people around the world they don't care yeah to your point yeah
Yeah, yeah.
And of course, I mean, if those other currencies
and other assets and whatever get in trouble
because of U.S. security laws,
then of course that has implications
for international people too.
But I think long-term, going forward, I don't care.
So how do you guys think the Maxi scenario
plays out in the future, right?
Because in my mind, maybe it's 5% or 10%,
but most of Bitcoiners aren't really
that kind of toxic Maxis, right?
Whether they own other stuff or they don't,
they don't shame people they don't do these things so do you guys think that by the way that
just self-correct toxic it's just another word for asshole yeah right like i think that i'm now
officially rebranding toxic maximalist as just no you're being an asshole you're an asshole you can
be a kind maximalist you can be a rational maximalist you can do all that type of stuff
yeah but wearing the badge of like i'm an asshole in every other context in the world whether it's
personal relationships business investing anything else is not a sustainable good idea yeah yeah
because there's plenty of bitcoin maxis that are just quiet about it right that just only own
bitcoin or whatever it is and don't say some of the or they just say i believe that you should
only should you should only own bitcoin i think it works for me but they don't bully people for
having other interests you know so is this just self-correct over time where we we get to a world
where you're basically looked down upon even more and more and more until it self-corrects and we
don't have anyone like that cancel culture ends when the cancelers get canceled right yeah and
that's that's the path that we're heading on here is that you now are at 87 of bitcoiners own
something else it used to be 100 of bitcoiners only on bitcoin there was nothing else to own
really right and now it's all the way to 87 eventually i think that the the toxicity
is going to become a smaller and smaller percentage because what you're doing is
you're expanding the total pie and more and more people that come in they're not going to have the
appetite for that type of uh mentality where you jump on the internet and yell and scream and go
crazy all day long like it's just not the way to operate in life and i would actually argue that
it's anti-bitcoin right from an ethos standpoint bitcoin is all about anyone from anywhere in the
world can use this system it's apolitical it's accepting of everyone regardless of who you are
where you come from what your education level is what language you speak how you grew up any of
that stuff but then there's this little small group of people who actually end up taking the
completely different approach if you do not agree with every single thing that i agree with and do
exactly what i say for you to do i'm going to shame you yep yeah there's this hilarious video
from the bitcoin conference there's a bunch of people on stage and they were trying to talk about
other currencies um probably in a bad way so they asked they kind of asked the audience to raise
their hands if any of them own
ETH. And the expectation from
the panel, it seemed like, was that
no one will raise their hands, everyone will
shrivel into their chairs, even if they
do own ETH, they will not say anything
about it.
Almost the entire audience is raising their hands
proudly, and the panel was
kind of shocked.
And I think
it's already happening. I think it's already, like, people
are not as ashamed as they used to be
to talk about those things, and I think
the cancelers are already well on their way to getting canceled, I think.
How do you think about how Ethereum fits in cryptocurrencies in the world?
I've never been an Ethereum fan, and I'm not an Ethereum fan now.
I think that the interesting thing about Ethereum,
I think it kind of chooses all of the bad trade-offs
and puts them in one place.
So it's kind of like, you know,
Bitcoin focuses on being very reliable and decentralized and neutral,
and Ethereum tries to adopt some of that
also adds some centralization
of course we know that ETH is an asset
that has changed a lot over the years
and will continue to change over the years
so it feels to me they inherit Bitcoin's inflexibility
and slowness to adapt
which for Bitcoin is a good thing
but Ethereum has to compete against all those other smart contract platforms
that are very fast, not just fast technically
in the way they work, but also fast to adopt,
fast to change, and Ethereum can't do that.
We're still waiting for Ethereum 2.0
for three, four years,
and they're always fighting the war of two years ago.
I think it's just a bad set of trade-offs.
I much prefer something like Solana, Avalanche,
BNB Chain, a bunch of others,
because they can adapt very quickly
to the way the market changes.
they don't pretend to be decentralized
so they don't have to do everything slowly
so I think it's better
most people when they want to buy an NFT
they want to take a loan or whatever
they don't care if the infrastructure is semi-decentralized
or not, they just want it to work
and it goes back to this idea that most things in the world
don't need to be decentralized
I think every Bitcoiner
whether you're on one extreme of the end or the other agrees that proof of work provides for
decentralization and secures the network and uh there's a very specific reason why bitcoin needs
to be decentralized as it gains global adoption and it's important that we keep it decentralized
yeah many of these other use cases for technology right whether you call it a blockchain a database
whatever they're actually not pursuing the highest degree of security uh you know as like the ultimate
goal and in terms of decentralization they're pursuing performance and i always use amazon
as the example like imagine if jeff basil's like i'm gonna build the most efficient company in the
world and i'm gonna do it decentralized like no that's not how it works like what do you do you
build a super centralized hierarchical structured business that literally spends all of its time
from a command and control centrally planned drive efficiency yep and they get immense performance
out of that and so ultimately many of these other things are going to end up being centralized
regardless of how you cut it because they need the performance that's how they're going to compete
and it just feels like those two things are so different that when we compare you know bitcoin
versus whatever it's like trying to say like should i buy oil or amazon stock like sure they're both
assets you could buy but like it's not amazon for shopify it's amazon versus oil right that
It doesn't really make that much sense.
Yep, yep, yeah, I think, yeah, exactly.
They just, you know, if you want to build a business,
this isn't the world's decentralized infrastructure.
This is a business, you know?
And if you want to build a business,
it needs to be efficient.
It needs to be efficient technically
and also efficient as a business
in a way that, you know, like Ethereum just takes,
it's very difficult to lead it, right?
So if you were to try to see Ethereum as a business,
it would be, you would probably say
that it's a very inefficient business, I think.
So yeah, that's the way I think about those things.
And you know, we're all like, we're all fine with,
you know, I took an Uber to get here, right?
I think a lot of people-
Shame!
Yeah, exactly, you know?
Because for some reason, like,
what am I supposed to hate things now
that are subsidized by VCs?
Like, why?
I don't know if it works.
I don't care, I just want to get here.
i don't i don't make a statement about how vc economy works we're gonna actually this entire
episode what we're gonna do is we're just gonna rebrand things so if you say you're toxic that
means you're an asshole right i like ass coiner if if you hate vcs we're now gonna call them risk
capital right because guess what if you want to do something you what are you gonna do are you
gonna go to your parents to your friend down the street the bank none of them are gonna give you
money to do this the entire job of the venture capital industry is to risk capital on shit that
shouldn't work but if it does it'll be really valuable yep and so this whole idea of like
quote-unquote vcs are bad sure there's bad people in every industry by the way have you seen wall
street right like there's a lot of bad people there but guess what if you want to buy a stock
you're paying wall street to help you do that yeah right and so this whole thing just ends up
be in this weird weird situation where it's like maybe we don't need all the extremes in life
like we would be better off just saying hey we probably need some risk capital especially really
really early on from people who that's their job is to do this and they have the uh ability to
underwrite risk they have the ability to allocate lots of capital etc but we probably don't want
them to do everything yeah so we actually maybe we do want some of individuals to participate
maybe we want some corporations to participate maybe we want some users to participate whatever
but like saying that we want zero of anything of any of those groups is bad yeah and i think
the knock against venture capital historically probably was not their fault but more regulation
in the united states is that the average person was at zero so the average person couldn't invest
in these deals and venture capitalists could rather than say like oh no those people are bad
i think what we should say is like let's open it up so that everyone can participate yeah right and
you know whether people liked it or not a lot of the ico stuff was trying to do that right it
was deemed i think rightfully so given the way that it was and what the rules were unregulated
right and so obviously uh that's pretty much been pushed outside of the united states and
and gone elsewhere but but i think that this whole mentality of like zero sum ends up being a really
bad way to view the world right it's like can we actually have a more of an abundance mindset and
say hey if they can participate rather than say no we don't like them just say how do we get
everyone to be able to participate right right yep and to me that feels like it's a much more
sustainable thing and also a less um uh kind of conflict controversy driven like this is the
boogeyman and uh and we need somebody to yell and scream about yeah yeah i think you know there was
some in the bitcoin history there was a lot of these ethos of you know we kind of needed an enemy
and Bitcoin was a way to fight against
maybe the government, maybe Wall Street
and I think
especially if you've been around since then
then you know that we won
from being an internet based joke
we turned into a force that no one can ignore
we won and we don't need to
pretend to fight people anymore
everyone knows that Bitcoin is a very significant thing
It's not going away.
It's going to continue to change the world.
Everyone agrees.
We don't need that fake enemy to bring new people in.
What we need now is to find why the next 100 million,
the next 500 million, the next billion people
will get into Bitcoin and just give them what they need
and what they want in order to onboard.
We don't need to scare them about the boogeyman
because it's not the case anymore.
We already made the world better.
Let me ask this question because I want to provide
as fair of a debate as we can.
What do you agree with?
This small, loud minority.
What do you agree with that they say?
So I think that's a great question.
I think, and you know,
I considered myself part of that group for a long time.
And I think that the focus on keeping Bitcoin
this neutral thing that isn't owned by anyone
and encouraging things like self-custody
where it's possible and where it's useful to users.
It not always is, but where it is,
encouraging it, encouraging this idea of self-sovereignty.
I think that's great.
And that's important for Bitcoin's future too.
There needs to be a certain group of people
who are very focused on that
and we don't want them to disappear.
However, we also need to understand
that for most people in the world,
they're not here for ideology.
They're going to use Bitcoin
because it solves a problem for them,
not because they're ideological about it.
Having the ideologues on board is great,
but we have to understand
that they're not going to be the majority.
They're not going to be the ones
who push this forward from now on
because we're just at a different scale now
than we used to be.
When you think about regulation
and bitcoin mining what are your thoughts there it seems like uh maybe bitcoin mining with the
whole esg stuff peter teal obviously took a pretty big swing at it at the conference saying that esg
is equivalent to ccp uh which we were talking earlier it's like a great meme yeah um what's
your general sense about mining esg and then the regulation that may or may not come yeah i mean
so again i'm not american uh it's none of my business to intervene in in you know in american
policy decisions, I do think that generally speaking
it would be a mistake for any country to try to ban
Bitcoin mining.
I think we've seen that with the attempts in China
and the attempts in Europe.
They're either unsuccessful or they just hurt the economy.
I think it's a mistake
and if the way to go is with cleaner energy,
I'm obviously supportive of that
and I think that there are a bunch of experiments in this area
and maybe they succeed.
But I don't think that banning it is going to help anyone.
It's just going to hurt the countries which choose to do it.
Yeah, I agree. What other questions you guys got?
If the US decided not to accept Bitcoin
or kind of adopt it in the manner that other countries are doing it,
what is the reaction?
Do other countries just get so far ahead that the US can't keep up
or how does that demographic work?
Yeah, that's a good question.
I wouldn't imagine that the US is going to be the first
or among the first to do those things anyway.
It's probably going to be way, way down the line
and we're going to see other smaller jurisdictions
experiment with it first, like we already are
and it's probably going to continue for quite a while.
And that's fine.
Bitcoin might not immediately solve the same problems
for Americans as it can for other countries.
So it's fine if the US isn't the first one to do it.
But yeah, down the line, I think you'll see
in all fields of life, people become more mobile
and they're willing to move to the place
that they're going to get the best benefits
and that fit the best way to what they need and want to do.
So yeah, you're just going to see people move over
and businesses move over to the countries
that were more supportive, in this case, for Bitcoin.
Joe, what do you got?
Yeah, I mean, that was my question too
around how this plays out.
I guess I'll move to the ETF.
What do you think happens with the ETF?
That's a good one.
Oh, man.
I don't know.
I don't know.
It's so unfair, it feels like, right?
Like, why do we have the silly futures ETFs
and we don't have a spot ETF?
I don't know.
It's protection.
Yeah.
Let the SPAC goes public.
Yeah.
It's all about protections.
Yeah.
I mean, I don't know.
Again, I don't look, as a non-American,
I don't, like, I can buy a bunch of other ETFs, you know?
I don't have to buy the American one.
I don't know.
I don't know why it is.
Obviously, people who are invested in something like the Grayscale Fund,
that's a real problem.
It seems silly.
It seems silly to me.
But all I can say is I hope it gets resolved.
I don't know.
We've got a couple of charts.
You won't be able to see them from where you're sitting,
but just trust me that I tell you what they say.
they're on the the correlation there's really just one um it's the correlation between bitcoin
and the nasdaq and uh on this chart uh there's a guy lawrence mcdonald who says uh since 2020
bitcoin tied at the hip with the nasdaq 100 index 40-day correlation between the two reached a record
uh in recent days and they use a quote from a bloomberg article that says uh uh increase uh
in the correlation further erodes the argument that bitcoin works well as a diversifier one
that's been held up by proponents as a key to its appeal and so when you start thinking about
bitcoin today um one of the things that's interesting in this chart uh which you can't
see is that it basically the correlation is uh positive and negative he's going green red green
red green red right and really it ends up showing that it was non-correlated but pretty much since
uh let's see what is the date here pretty much since uh i don't know two years ago year and a
Africa, whatever. It's all green. It's positively correlated, right? Since 2020. And in a significant,
significant way to now it's at an all time high. Is that because the economic environment changed?
Is that because there's more like Wall Street institution people and this is a risk asset to
them and they treat that just like their tech stock? Like, why do you think that's happening?
I think that's, it's precisely because of the institutionalization of Bitcoin and, and, and
the acceptance of Bitcoin as an asset
that's appealing for institutions
since exactly around that time of mid-2020.
And, you know, there was this,
maybe it was kind of the sailor in micro-strategy things
and maybe it was a bunch of other things,
but eventually there was this green light
for a bunch of institutions to just jump in
and get on board.
And that means, you know,
when they need to cover other positions,
they're probably going to need to cover Bitcoin too.
And the other way around, when they're going risk-on,
that are probably going to acquire more Bitcoin.
And you know when I think this is,
I think this is an anomaly.
I don't think it's going to stay that way.
And you know when I think it's going to change
is when more and more crypto protocols
adopt Bitcoin and start using it.
So what we need is more other sources of big money
that come in and see Bitcoin as something
that's useful for them,
not just the Wall Street institutions,
but also maybe the crypto protocols
from the rest of the world.
And I think that could balance things a lot
and maybe bring us back to being a de-correlated asset,
which I'm sure will happen eventually
because there are a bunch of people who will realize
that Bitcoin is useful for them
other than just financial institutions.
But it'll take time.
But that's definitely one of the reasons why I think,
again, it doesn't matter if we do or do not support
something like Terra acquiring Bitcoin.
It doesn't matter, they're going to do it anyway.
but it's why I think it's positive
either way whatever happens
I think it's positive that we have
this completely entirely different field
who is much more aligned with our values
than Wall Street institutions are
gets more Bitcoin
holds Bitcoin for the long term
I think that's awesome for us
the idea of financialization of Bitcoin
I think in my opinion
is inevitable
just because as it grows in size
it provides the same benefit to a Wall Street hedge fund
the bank as it does an individual a public company whatever um do you worry that there's
like significant downsides to the financialization like like are there things that you're like man
it is inevitable but we got to be really really careful or pay a lot of attention to
this aspect of uh the financialization of bitcoin i mean for for a while uh things can be a bit rocky
um but i wouldn't be worried long term and when i'm thinking about bitcoin i'm always thinking
long-term so i wouldn't be you know i wouldn't be worried about it um i think they happened to be
um somewhat early in adopting it maybe and maybe some other things will be later um you know like
nation states like crypto protocol they talked about like there's a bunch of different interests
that can find use in bitcoin so the institutions were first that's fine uh they're not going to
be the last so i'm not really worried about it you know when you guys think joe john uh
of your friends how many of them have majority of their investments in bitcoin versus or like
maybe just crypto in general right versus they still have stocks bonds gold real estate whatever
i mean it depends there's certainly like a distinction between people who are heavy into
the space and people who aren't or the people who aren't like spending majority of their time
looking at digital assets whether it's bitcoin or something else uh they still all have most of them
at least have other things too um i would say though that as the price is appreciated it's
become a bigger portion not only from like a notional dollar amount of hey this is how much
i invested and it's up but they're starting to allocate more money to it also so so they're not
rebalancing and also allocating more to it yeah john what about you yeah i think people who are
in the space they definitely own it they probably have a majority of their net worth in it because
they understand the asymmetry of it they're younger they have all the things that i talk
about why i have majority of it but then people who aren't in the space no i don't think they're
really investing in the crypto right they just don't know about it it's speculative they're just
like i don't know it i've seen it gone up i've seen it draw down 50 so a lot of them don't um
but i've definitely had more and more conversations over the last year about i think most bitcoiners
overestimate like vastly overestimate how many people even know what the hell bitcoin is oh
really yeah like in the united states i don't think most people like the average american knows
that the government even prints money no that's probably true yeah if everyone knew that there
It wouldn't be 45% of Americans that had no investment in assets.
It's not a knock against Bitcoin.
It's a knock against financial education in general.
So I think that if they don't know the baseline kind of stuff
that you need to own investable assets,
the role that inflation plays in your overall net worth
and wages and all that kind of stuff,
then how are they supposed to understand what Bitcoin is
and what it does for you?
Now let me ask you this question.
If you went and you asked every single Bitcoiner
at the Bitcoin conference to describe,
I don't know, we could pick three elements of Bitcoin,
and describe how proof of work works,
describe how nodes work,
and describe how Bitcoin as an investment
theoretically would work.
What percentage of people do you think
would have a high degree of proficiency?
At the conference, which is a subjective term.
But yeah, I think that maybe I'm giving too much credit here,
but I would think that the majority of people
would at least be able to understand it enough
to articulate kind of the overall process.
You think over 50%?
Yeah, but to your point,
And I think that there is certainly a portion of people,
I don't know if it's 1%, 5%, 10%, 25% or whatever,
that are simply interested in Bitcoin
because they like the community, they like the memes,
they made some money on it, right?
And once you make money and it's gone up,
you start to get more interested.
So there's certainly an aspect of that.
But I think if you're going to a conference, right,
I think that that number is probably higher
than you would just see online.
So I agree that the conference is higher.
My point in saying that is it used to be 100%.
Oh, yeah, it's definitely not.
Because when there was no kind of user experience,
user interfaces that made it super simple,
you had to be technical, most people understood it.
A lot of people actually did a lot of work
before they ever even bought Bitcoin.
They went and understood how does the system work.
They looked at it from more of a computer science perspective,
whatever.
So actually that percentage is going down.
And it will continue.
Of course it's going to continue to go down.
But that's the point,
is that one of the other aspects of the entire community
is that in order to get mainstream adoption,
you have to understand that everyone's not going to be the same, right?
Like that's why it's considered mainstream and you were an early adopter.
It's like literally they are different than you.
They do not spend their time on Twitter and Reddit and, you know,
YouTube or whatever, finding out about the next alternative currency.
That's not what they do.
What they end up doing is there's going to be a whole portion of people who
literally their financial advisor tells them like, Hey,
we're going to put 2% in Bitcoin. And they say, why?
And they go, cause it's good if inflation happens. And they say, okay.
And they move on with their day and they don't even think about it.
And so I just think that understanding the changing nature of the industry and ecosystem is really key to understanding Bitcoin over the next five years because you can't simply just look back and say it was completely non-correlated.
It's going to stay non-correlated forever.
Well, obviously, that's not true for the last two years, right?
And then if you look and you say, okay, well, who holds it?
I don't think the same people who hold it today held it three, four years ago.
And so as all these things change, like you got to get comfortable with the change.
like it's um uh special forces uh in the u.s military they think a lot about like comfort
and chaos right like if you can be comfortable in chaos then you're always in a state of control
because you can uh adapt and you can be uh adaptable to to the changing environment well
just think about the how the communication has changed right if you look back there's like old
message boards of people communicating about bitcoin it's like the same 10 people and they're
like oh shit it went from eight cents to six cents like six cents to ten cents and they're all you
community came back and forth and now we have uh jr taking his salary in bitcoin and they're
announcing and it's getting literally one tweet is getting 50 million 100 million plus impressions
and all these people are learning about it maybe for the first time or hearing about it more he
owns an nft he's not a real bit shameful shame shame he must own a house too he's a he's a
terrible bit corner but but i do think that that's i think that was one of my big takeaways from the
conference also was just uh uh there's a lot of people who didn't know what bitcoin was two three
years ago awesome the types of uh folks are changing right when i saw we i think we're
talking about before you got here when i saw uh the apple app store search ads team was there
there's a zero percent chance they were there in 2016 yeah right and economic development teams
from out of state flying they're trying to convince companies to move like it's different
yeah and that's not good or bad i don't think right it it's probably both you just got to be
comfortable that the world is going to change underneath our feet and actually the people who
have the rigid mindset and and they're not willing to understand that well it's funny because odds are
low that uh they're going to be successful bitcoiners obviously want the price to appreciate
and more people to adopt it right one bitcoin equals one bitcoin dude but you get my point
And how do you onboard, to your point earlier, hundreds of millions or billions of people without kind of doing this mainstream education and trying to get more people involved?
And every time that you're toxic or you say this industry or this other crypto or whatever it is is shut out, you can't look at this, you can't do this, you're shutting off potential people that you would potentially onboard into the system.
So it's kind of like this thing where you're only hurting yourself in the end.
Everyone wants to know why you have sunglasses on inside.
The lights are so bright.
somebody said he will burn their faces off if he makes them off his laser eyes it's like the x-man
thing i was just looking at your twitter and i love your pinned tweet it says whenever you're
not sure what to say just say metaverse yeah i lost it i lost the golden opportunity to say it
now it's the answer for the sunglasses question i'm actually in the metaverse
all right last question and then we got to go is uh when you think about everything that's
transpiring around this is there uh a word of caution that you have around any of the industry
that you're like man i really don't think people understand the risks associated with x and there's
a lot of talk of scams and and you know all this stuff there's obviously a lot of risk in a lot of
things like what is the area where you're like you know if people pay attention to one thing
uh they're probably mispricing riskware i think you know one of the this is like a very long
conversation but one of the things that um kind of scare me the most especially with the kind of
smaller coins they're usually not in the top 10 or top 20 and they're not even listed on exchanges
and they're only available on these automated market makers like uniswap um they give you this
number and i i'm not gonna get into too many details but they give you this number which is
like the current price uh but it's it's really it's the current price of the marginal coin that
you can sell right now, it's not the price of all of the coins
you might want to sell, and of course not all of the coins
that other people hold.
A lot of times you end up, people look at their Blockfolio app
or what have you, and they see this number and they say,
oh, I'm now worth such and such because I own such and such coins.
But in reality, this whole thing has maybe a liquidity
of one or two million dollars, which is nothing.
So I would say it's important for people to understand,
especially if they're dabbling in these smaller coins
that's really a game of musical chairs
and to really try to understand the dynamics
of how they work
because otherwise they might have
a very skewed perception
of what their portfolio actually is
which can be dangerous
You guys agree?
I completely agree
That was like a wide eye
It's what we were talking about
was it the squid game coin or whatever
where the guy made the trade
where he had billions of dollars worth
of one of these meme coins,
but he couldn't liquidate his money out, right?
So it was essentially, it wasn't worthless
because he could get something out,
but he wasn't getting out the $8 billion or whatever.
I mean, this is true in the public markets.
Yeah, it is.
It happens a lot of different places,
but definitely it's on,
everything that happens in finance is on steroids
in the Bitcoin crypto world.
Yeah, I think small retail investors
usually aren't used to seeing it
because they don't have the big enough portfolio
to move a market like Apple, right?
But when you go into a very small market like the Squid Game coin,
then yeah, you might, you know, with your few thousand dollars,
you might actually crash the market.
So yeah, so that's, I think people need to understand those dynamics
and many times they don't.
I tend to think that you're more right than wrong.
I appreciate your courage and conviction of saying what you believe.
It's interesting that you have to do it in the face of people who want to shame you.
so yeah yeah well thanks for having me keep the shades on the haters i will i will i will they
don't know who i am i could be anyone i could be anyone it's a job comedian
anytime you say it's a funny account yeah i'm a comedian
you just didn't get it if you actually think about it comedians are the last protected uh
species on the internet is uh tim dylan he can say anything on the internet well sometimes it
got slapped so maybe it's changing but yeah but he got slapped in person see the key is to be a
keyboard comedian as long as you say it on the internet no one's gonna slap you but like tim
dylan literally sometimes he tweets things and i'm like man that is laugh out loud funny
people are gonna be bad
i'm like yeah he did that was a good one i know he's typing it up laughing to himself i'm sure
he had the same thought when he had said yeah oh yeah he's like that's funny all right my friend
thank you so much for coming on we have to do this again when uh when you don't come back to
america after uh after you got shamed out of the uh yes of course of course all right buddy see ya
yep appreciate it thanks so much for listening to today's episode i really hope you guys enjoyed
this one make sure you're subscribed on apple spotify or your favorite podcast player and if
you're looking to try to transition to get a new job in the bitcoin or crypto industry we've got
you covered. Head over to palmscryptocourse.com. We've developed a curriculum with the top teams
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