The Prepper Broadcasting Network - Patriot Power Hour #251

Episode Date: January 4, 2024

Reviewing Accuracy of 2023 Predictions on the First PPH of 2024!

Thank you. Not too long ago, two friends of mine were talking to a Cuban refugee, a businessman who had escaped from Castro. And in the midst of his story, one of my friends turned to the other and said, we don't know how lucky we are. And the Cuban stopped and said, how lucky you are. I had some place to escape to. And in that sentence, he told us the entire story. If we lose freedom here, there's no place to escape to.

This is the last stand on earth. This is the last stand on earth. The last stand on Earth. The last stand on Earth.... ¶¶ ¶¶ You are now listening to the Patriot Power Hour. This live episode features the situational awareness you need to practice self-reliance and independence. Introducing your hosts, Ben, the Breaker of Banksters, and Future Dan, the editor of FutureDanger.com. We're back, and we are live, Patriot Power Hour, episode 251. Ben, the Breaker of Banksters, here with Future Dan.

Future Dan. Future Dan 2024 is upon us. But this episode, we're going to go back and look at some of our 2023 predictions and thoughts, grade ourselves a little bit, maybe do a little bit of preview of 2024. But we've got enough just current day news to not even look too

much forward or backwards, I'd say. We got breaking news two minutes ago that the Epstein files had been released, and the only name I'm seeing in the zero-hedge article released five minutes ago is Bill Clinton. So Clinton, who, I mean, everybody admits and knows that he was heavily associated with Epstein. I guess the question is, will this, or is this new information or new evidence or smoking

gun, like he'll be indicted? I doubt it, but hey, the more people that are named, the better overall, if it's truthful. Yeah, so it's sort of anticlimactic, but there are people that are defendants trying to keep their names anonymous who are now claiming that they're overseas

and they're in physical harm if they're named. So there's been 30-day extensions granted to a number of people on the list. January 3rd, 2024, 251st episode of Patriot Power Hour. Coming here strong, out the gates. You know what? Again, it's good that some names are coming out, hopefully more.

Here's the issue. Epstein died in, like, 2019 and was arrested far before that. Gosh dang. Five years? Four years? I guess four years and some change since he's died. I believe it was July or August 2019. Man. Doesn't seem that long ago, but we're in 2024 right now, technically.

And 2019's a lifetime ago. It was before COVID. Taking so long for these names to come out, man. I hope someone comes out of it at least. Yeah, it was a naked cover-up. One of the worst in American history by far. The national shame for real. And people, everyone knows it left, right, center, upside down, whatever.

Everyone knows bad things going on with people surrounding Epstein and Epstein himself, and that it's also connected to a lot bigger stuff. It wasn't just isolated, only him doing this. You look at Penn State, Sandusky, and a lot of, I mean, there's just, you know, all these smoke signals, but I don't know. It's actually getting worse where people seem to be burying their head. On the other hand, a lot of people are waking up, and the Internet is allowing for this information to get out there better.

So, man, best of times, worst of times here, man. Yep, we're back, 2024. Probably a fitting topic to bring it in, but not the only one we want to talk about. Definitely not. We've got some economic news. In the second half of the show, I have a piece of paper from January 10, 2023. So January 9, I think. So just under one year old.

And it has about 10 topics and kind of either predictions or percentage chances and whatnot. It's from an episode we did, episode 208, actually, I believe. So going all the way to episode 251. We're going to review that, talk about that some in the second half. But, of course, we've got the news blitz in the second segment here on the Patriot Power Hour. Before we hit any more of that, do you want to talk more about Epstein, any other things you've noticed in that article? Or are there any other big topics or news pieces that occurred

over the holidays that you really want to hit on right now before we move on into 2024? The one that's occurring to me right now is the fact that in the latter half of our show, we're going to actually perform quality assurance on Patriot Power Hour and see how strong or weak our predictions were. So I'm excited for that. We're trying to improve here.

I am too. And I have not looked at this except for just the headline of a couple of the categories we were trying to predict or grade. And long story short, I'm sure I had a couple big misses, a couple big hits. But I haven't graded it yet. So this will be a live grading of it. And maybe next week I'll come to the table with something similar for 2024. Just to make that a little bit of a tradition.

Nothing too crazy. But there are some interesting topics for sure on here, ranging from COVID to China to Ukraine, Fed pivot, gold, oil prices, Dow Jones, and a couple other metrics and news items as well. So it'll be fun to go through. Yeah. Well, one place where that conversation is going to end up is, you know, a topic we probably should talk about right off the bat.

2024, markets are surging, although gold prices are expected to surge too. But the Fed soft landing is still, you know still a matter of debate whether it can be done. They're kind of in limbo right now. They've acknowledged that they're not raising rates, or they say they're not really going to raise rates anymore, but they also said they're not going to just turn around and cut rates and pivot. So, hint, my prediction, if there was a prediction about the Fed having to do emergency stimulus by the end of 2023, it did not happen. It did not happen.

So we can talk through that. But I feel like they're kind of in that – they can get away with not doing much for a few months here, but more than likely they're going to have to cut rates. And we can talk about that later in the show. Um, but you're right that they're kind of in cruise control mode right now with rates because inflation hasn't totally gone away, but it's abated.

And, uh, on the other hand, you know, these rates are cutting into the auto and real estate markets. Got some news articles on that. So yeah, we'll see. They had a little bit of break between, let's just say, Thanksgiving and New Year

and everybody's waking up and it's a long reality ahead this year for them. It's a long reality ahead this year for them. And in Southwest Asia today, a bomb went off at a ceremony at a, I believe, cemetery in Iran for Soleimani on the anniversary of his drone strike attack that ended his life. And a bomb went off and it doesn't rate yet as anything that would you know go on to the board for you know steps towards an israeli iranian war but we're watching the news because something like that quickly could right certainly and white house and israel came out and said they were not responsible for for this and iran says 95 killed 211 wounded at the at the ceremony and things certainly haven't settled down since episode 250 we had a great episode 250 at the end of the year in 2023 people need to go back listen to that if you haven't intrepid commander as well as nbc guy and then two of us had a really good time on air but

but anyway since then since we've last been on air things have not really cooled off in the middle east very much and and with this going on is this i don't i can't speculate on who launched this attack, but someone did. And even if it was Iran doing it to themselves as a justification to escalate the war, or if it was an outside actor, either one of those is bad news. Yeah, it gets to the same place, doesn't it? Exactly. It's like at one point, it's interesting to know these facts, but it's academic if it brings you to mostly the same result. Right. And Hamas leadership, I believe in Lebanon, has been struck by Israeli airstrikes all day today as well. So the Middle East war continues unabated into the new year.

Middle East war continues unabated into the new year. Right. Deputy chief of Hamas, I believe, was killed a couple days ago. I remember thinking about a month, maybe a month and a half ago, like, wow, there's all these Hamas leaders hiding out in different Arab states and stuff. Why don't they take them out? Well, now they're starting to, at least some of them now them now why are they doing that it could be a different question now but uh yeah things ratcheting up a bit and it's not like ukraine and russia have gone silent either they're starting to hit each other with big missile barrages and hey did you see that the r Russian ship that got blown to hell in Sevastopol in Crimea?

That was a big explosion. I'm not sure it matters. That's one place where you've got to look out for naval combat to happen and NATO forces to get involved. But I think I saw a report that Turkey, a NATO member, had blocked Britain from sending, I believe, mine-clearing ships. So, yeah, that's a very active naval theater of war right now. Exactly, it's a theater of war. That's the way to look at it. Anyway, we're not even really spoiling too much of the

dashboard, all considered, but we did just run through a few updates. About 90 seconds until we go to break. Anything else you want to hit on before we go to our break and come back with the dashboard? Yeah, I'm trying to think of contemporary news

that a lot of people are talking about that we're not necessarily going to talk about next week because it's not directly related to risk, which is what this show really focuses on. But coming into 2024, we've got the president of Harvard finally resigning from plagiarism, all kinds of social culture war. That war, too, rages on. And it's in that context that we'll bring you the news next segment of what's really dangerous.

Certainly. And don't forget 2024, election year. So the type of culture war stuff will ratchet up. And finally, it is a leap year, so we do have a February 29th. Just keep that in mind. I don't know. Felt like saying that. We're going to break, folks.

We'll be right back. Hitting that dashboard at futuredanger.com and then going through the articles in detail and doing a little self-assessment of 2023. We'll be right back. Stick with us. Patriot Power Hour. ¶¶ Are you prepared to be the family doctor in a disaster or emergency? This is the Intrepid Commander, and I'm holding The Prepper's Medical Handbook by William W. Forgy, M.D.

In this great book, you'll learn how to prepare for medical care off the grid. You'll learn about assessment and stabilization. You'll even deal with things like bioterrorism response, radiation, and how to build the off-grid medical kit at home. Look, 2020 taught us a lot about the limitations of our medical infrastructure in America. Get the Prepper's Medical Handbook today at Amazon.com. Again, that's the Prepper's Medical Handbook by William W. Forty. A person who advocates and practices preparedness. One ready for any event that would disrupt their daily routine. That is a prepper. The pictures tell the story This life had many shades

I'd wake up every morning And before I'd start each day I'd take a drag from last night's cigarette That smoldered in its tray Down a little something and then be on my way I traveled far and wide and laid this head in many ports I was guided by a compass, I saw beauty to the north I drew the tales of many lives and wore the faces of my own.

I have these memories all around me so I wouldn't be alone. Some may be from showing up. Others are from growing up. Sometimes I was all messed up and didn't have a clue. I ain't winning no one over. I wear it just for you. I got your name written here in a rose tattoo. In a rose tattoo.

In a rose tattoo. I got your name written here in a rose tattoo. patron power hour we're live it's time for the news blitz today january 3rd 2024 episode 251 let's just go left to right make it basic to start the year. Let's go. The Maine, the state of Maine, secretary of state removes Trump from 2024 ballot.

The secretary of state responds to that. About a third of Republicans believe votes won't be counted correctly in 2024. Bill Clinton to be identified over 50 times in upcoming Epstein document dump. The border, we didn't touch on that in the first part of of the show but probably should uh regardless here's the the article on it and it's pretty high uh grade here border apprehensions reach more than 10 000 a day 10 000 a day apprehended let alone who get through

israeli airstrikes target Syria twice within hours. Chai-Com dictator says reunification with Taiwan is inevitable. Do not resist the dark side. Meanwhile, economically, Russia and Iran have officially ditched the U.S. dollar for trade. Other countries looking to follow suit. Federal government debt tops $34 trillion. We're at $34 trillion now.

Gosh, I remember just yesterday when we were at $30 trillion, it felt like, let alone $20 trillion. But $34 trillion now. Pending home sales index slumps to new record low in November. Gold above $2,000. Silver lacking a bit, but in the $23 to $24 range. Bitcoin right now just at about $43,000. It was at $45,000 or higher yesterday. So Bitcoin's had a nice little run the last few months. Gold and silver a little bit, but not as much.

Other markets are mixed. Let's go to some economics and, or excuse me, that was the economics. Let's go to natural news and health. Senators review shows that COVID-19 VACs, well, they're significantly more deadly than flu shots.

I remember when people used to get mad about flu shots, but we're seeing COVID-19 more dangerous. There was a massive 7.6 magnitude earthquake in the west coast of Honshu, Japan, 57 dead. And that's in a country that's heavily prepared for earthquakes.

At least there's no tsunami like Fukushima. And that's the dashboard for today. Future Dan, very important articles, but I'd say kind of an average to an average light dashboard tonight. Yeah, it's not indicative of what some would call a polycrisis moment. No, it's pretty standard stuff. Some of those are fairly severe, but it's evenly balanced across all fours. Relatively speaking, not that many headlines tonight. I was, that's kind of the word that came to mind as well for me is balanced. It's almost

like, oh, there's a little bit of everything. Nothing's too crazy, but there are a couple big items in there let's go look at this I don't know if this is the exact article you were looking at for Epstein List and Clinton but let's go get this out of the way New York Post so this is different than that Zero Hedge but John Doe number 36

is Bill Clinton's moniker is what this article is showing here. Yeah, there's James and John Doe's up past 100 and something, right? Oh, yeah. And that's just one of these black books or lists that they know of. I'm sure there's more. Yeah, I think eventually we're going to get to a point where will Trump speak out about what Epstein was really all about? Will he call it out for what it was? Man, I wish that would definitely help in my book.

Either he doesn't believe it or he's scared or he thinks it's bad politics. I'm not sure which or if it's a combination. There's several topics I think Trump just decides it's better off just don't address it. This could remain one of them. But if it does, everybody will, you know, all of his adversaries will always say that it's because he participated. Hey, that's part of the risk of him going with that strategy. But maybe it is the master strategy. Don't even get into that quagmire because no matter what you do, your enemies will say that anyway, right?

Whether you're silent or definitely if you say something, it'll be used against you every time. I think the way he's polling right now that he won't ever admit that the vaccines were a problem, at least not until he's elected. Then he would pivot and probably look to see if there's a way to have victim compensation funds or something. Because by that time, there's going to be a lot of people favoring that sort of thing. Politically safer, plus the evidence and data would have borne itself out more. So yeah, there's some calculus to it, but there's also desperate times, desperate measures.

We don't have too much time to play the waiting game. So, yeah, I hope he gets more hardcore as we get closer to the election. We'll see. We'll see. Now, his election would obviously destabilize Ukraine. would obviously destabilize Ukraine. It would be unsurprising if Russia didn't give one more major push to really end the war by attacking, which is sort of the way Korea and Vietnam ended.

The sides fought heavily right there to get a truce with a demarcation line. Maybe that would be a semi-prediction of mine that at the point when that war is about to wind up, there'll be heavy combat again. Kind of like that last jostle for position. Exactly. You know, gain negotiating strength at the at the bargain table and making sure inside russia it looks like russia won oh yeah certainly certainly uh saw an article

the uk says they're pretty much out of armaments i'm sure they can produce them quickly and they'll get the funding to do so but they gave so much of their materiel, in particular precision guidance to Ukraine, that they're at low supply over there. So at least we're getting into a war footing. We won't be caught by surprise if China invites invades taiwan or north korea goes for it i guess we're already moving into war machine mode and that's what the economy does before world world wars often to the gear up for it you know it you know a statement like that from britain sort of calls into question how serious any side is about this war.

Because in a serious war that people think could expand into World War III, you know, NATO countries in combat with Russia, in that situation, no nation would announce that it depleted its armaments. That would be strategically unsound. So this is just absolutely insane propaganda out of London to have said this. Hey, they're known for that. So you think it's false, or you think it's more propaganda to get that funding ASAP? I don't know.

It's just hyperbole. It's not serious statesmanship. It's embarrassing, and it's dangerous, too. Because, you know, the Russians look at that and think, well, it's just one other advantage that we have. And, you know, if it and if push came to shove, well, Britain doesn't have arms right now. The one aspect that has me concerned, not even specific to Britain, but just the technologically superior forces, which is essentially the U.S. and NATO,

rather than just throwing millions and millions of people at the problem like Russia, China. They have high technological skill, of course, too, but it's just a different thing. But then you take it another derivative to Hamas, right, or the Houthis, whatever, launching $500 or $5,000 missiles, and we spend $2 million intercepted. And that's a worthy price, but if we did have to gear up to full-time war, would we be able to replace all that high-precision munitions? I'm sure the Pentagon has already thought of all this,

and they have the ability to scale back to dumb bombs and missiles and just carpet bomb certain areas as needed. Or there's also like adapter kits that turn dumb bombs into semi-smart munitions and shit like that. So anyway, my point is though, economically spending $2 million to intercept a $2,000 thing is fine if you only do that 10 times a year, but if you do it 10 times a day, it really does add up. Yeah, and I don't think it's new in history that armed services of major powers,

institutionally, those things have a self-preservation mechanism. They have sort of a sub-sovereignty within their countries. And the West has had a strong history of civilian control of militaries for many, many, many decades, right? Throughout the United States of America's history. Civilians have controlled the military. Not always true in most countries of the world, probably not, but sort of a defining feature of what is and isn't third world, too. And in the event that, you know, a major war broke out, the British Army, the British Navy, you know, the United States Army, U.S. Navy,

would become what it needed to become. It would become what could be afforded to be had. Just like we did in World War II, right? We produced what was needed to win. Yeah. Well, the populace will have to get used to a lower standard of living. We'll have to say that minimally so any other articles you want to hit on big time or keep talking on this topic before

we get into some of that 2020 stuff think about it it took the great depression to do it last time right so people's standards of living had at least stabilized by the time there was the war. They'd already had years of being used to not having much. Right. Well, okay, that's kind of what I was getting at is they were much more likely to sacrifice to go for it without bitching about it, unlike people today who would bitch and cry if they didn't get a new iPhone next year because we were at war with China.

That would be their biggest complaint, probably. Well, I'm sure people were complaining in the 1930s. You had no means to hear from them because you weren't standing there with them. True, but I also feel like people will, by necessity,

if there really is rationing or power outages or all types of different things that we prep for. First off, we're on Prepper Broadcasting Network, so we're prepping for these things to try to make it less of an interruption to us as we try to persevere through it. But those that have to lose some of these luxuries, let's just kind of suck it up a little bit, I guess. Our forefathers had to get through as well.

I'm not saying I want to sacrifice everything to fight China or North Korea or something, but I'm just saying, yeah, people have to get with the program for better or worse, I guess, if really we do mobilize for true war, you know what I mean? Another way to look at it, though, and I'm kind of being devil's advocate to what I said earlier, I guess someone in Britain must have decided that making the announcement that their conventional munitions had been depleted has come to an understanding that, you know, this is mutually assured destruction between what was the Soviet Union and now Russia and what was always NATO.

And the lack of conventional arms doesn't matter because it can't ever escalate. All we can do is conventional proxy warfare. Unfortunately for Ukraine, it managed to become a proxy war right on the doorstep of Europe. So still a very, very dangerous situation in 2024. But I'll go back to what I said before. I think Russia will mount one big push, one big bloodletting, and might get repulsed. But while they're doing it, they're going to sell it at home that it was a victory. And that could end it if Trump's coming into office 12 months from now,

which, if we trust our election system, is a possibility. We trust our election system is a possibility. Don't want a bloodletting, but if that would end it, instead of having to grind on for five, ten more years, that'd be good. And, well, I'm not going to say that if Trump wins, it would stabilize everything automatically, but I feel like he'd get a little more respect from China, Korea, Iran, and all of them. If only just fear, because they think he would kick his ass, which is kind of the point.

The Russians are just going to have to frame it that way, internally, so that there's a generation of veterans that come away with something to say for how they ended the war. And Trump would be criticized for, you know, but he'll be blamed for letting it happen when it's absolutely out of his control or any president's control if Russia decided to mount one last offensive.

Oh, sure. At this point, everything's been done so much like the machines were put in motion with the tens or hundreds of billions and all that. So, yeah. Yeah. All right. We haven't really talked too much about Israel and Iran, but any additional thoughts on that

terror attack or the Soleimani ceremony and anything else with regard to Iran generally that they've seen over the last few weeks? Yeah, that's a brutal, brutal regime. Don't forget that. That could easily be them sacrificing 50 or 100 people to motivate internally. And it could easily be the Israelis or someone wanting to do it and make it look like the Israelis, right? So, yeah, very, very, you know,

this kind of shocking destabilizing events, they're going to pick up before they cool off. That too. There's going to be crescendos in some of this stuff. I can't see how it won't work out that way. And it could be in the near future, next 24 months. The Chai Comm dictator says reunification with Taiwan is inevitable. Some people think that it's way too early

and China still wants to put off any invasion or military action for a decade or more till they get at least a little bit more parity with the U S but I don't know. I feel like if, uh, Korea, I don't know. I feel like if one of these dams breaks and it turns into that next level escalation of war, then the North Koreans and China and Iran, I don't think that they would miss that opportunity to just go for it as well. Like a chained dog, if one got released, the rest are out. I don't know. So, Iran's got the theocracy, right?

The Ayatollahs. It's like a committee. That's a different form of government than China and Russia. But I think if Xi attacked Taiwan and was repulsed, Chinese government is more fragile than the one in Moscow, obviously, because Putin, you know, failed in a lot of military objectives. And I, among others, thought, you know, when that war kicked off that, you know, Kiev was going to get captured. That was going to get overrun. But it didn't. And Putin survived.

And I think that might be something different between China and Russia. I think the Chinese leadership is probably more sensitive to the fact that, you know, another revolution in China could wipe them out, too. to the fact that, you know, another revolution in China could wipe them out too. So I'm thinking what Xi said about Taiwan was for internal audiences, because, you know, it has to keep them all on a war footing too, right? In case they decide they want to do it, but they would be mistaken to do it. Putin could not penetrate most of Ukraine facing modern Western capabilities, mostly the ISR capabilities,

and then backed up with obviously superior weapons and aircraft. So think about it. Taiwan, they make semiconductors. Ukraine doesn't make semiconductors. The Taiwanese make stuff like that. They're advanced, right? And they've been prepared for a very, very, very long time to defend that island. Like it's hollowed out to the core with bunkers and they got extremely advanced stuff. And we sell them the best as well. And it's an island. Yeah, like a giant Iwo Jima.

Yeah, I've always downplayed the possibility that China's really going to take a shot at that. And I think I've said in the past that it would have to be something like absolute economic collapse and revolt in the United States with our nuclear umbrella and naval and air forces in the Pacific looking in doubt. Then they might attempt to try an invasion where, you know, they're going to just take it unopposed. Or they've been, you know, planted into the White House, you know, a successor to Biden who's, you know, just straight up Manchurian candidate working for them, right? Then that becomes a real thing.

But it won't be a war because we'll stand down. will stand out. Well, we're not going to do our predictions tonight, but I think all these have a chance to escalate, but hopefully also potentially de-escalate or maybe have a crescendo and then kind of hit the annals of history. But a lot of these fires ongoing haven't been put out in the last year

i'll tell you that no they haven't let's see uh one more article i wanted to hit on before we reviewed our work from last year or our predictions we don't really make predictions on this show but It is fun to do it. But this article here, the analysis of vaccine adverse event reporting system, VAERS data, indicates that the COVID-19 vaccines are significantly more deadly than the flu vaccine, according to Senator Ron Johnston out of Wisconsin. Wisconsin, see how I even hit the accent well. Look, I remember 10, 20 years ago, people were against flu shot and other vaccines, and there was evidence that it was dangerous,

but hey, does the risk outweigh the benefit? It's a tough one, but that's up to you and your doctor and you should look look at it blah blah blah blah but not only are we increasing the danger with the covid vaccine but in many cases it was if not totally forced and at least coerced for your job for many people. And, yeah, people were able to not take the jab. But long story short, a lot of people ended up being put between a rock and a hard place, had to take it to keep their job. And it was more dangerous than a flu shot according to this data.

And, uh, let's see, this was, I mean, it, it was reported, uh, this particular study we've shown many on Patriot Power Hour and we'll continue to do so, but this one was conducted by the Senator's staff. So take it with a grain of salt since politics is certainly involved but but yeah a lot of this data shows that flu shots are dangerous these are much more dangerous it's pretty much universally accepted that there is a little bit of risk and even the flu shot um even fauci would admit that but he would say the benefits vastly outweigh it well we know for a fact

that this is much more dangerous and it didn't really have that good of an effect so yeah just another feather in the cap if you want to say of those who questioned if an experimental mRNA treatment, gene

therapy, not just a regular old vaccine like a flu vaccine, by the way. Those who questioned that, ridiculed, persecuted in some regard. And it's just more and more infos coming out. It actually was quite dangerous. Maybe it was effective,

maybe not, but it definitely was dangerous. Yeah. The best outcome would be that the amount of people that wake up and realize that that was a two-stage bioweapon attack and the next time we get the first-stage bioweapon attack

that we can't just leap into the so-called solution. I think the trust is lost. It's going to be lost among the people that got the shots who are starting to see after effects and question why. And it's tragic, but it's increasingly real, which is another reason why Trump has to leave that alone. He won't talk about it.

That dynamics, you know, fully but surely. And, you know, it's going to really be bad because, you know, people panic and there'll be, it could be, you know, somewhat kind of a hysteria where anything that comes along that's a birth defect in the family or an early rare disease is going to start getting blamed on you because you took the shot, right? And it's going to tear families apart too for that reason. So we don't hesitate from talking about these subjects because they have a real destabilizing effect on the national psyche while all the rest of this harder news takes place. Certainly.

Man, I've got a lot to talk about on this one. I'll try to keep it short. But I just feel this is anecdotal as heck and I'm a big data guy so I don't like antidotes but a lot of people I know have been sick for the last month, month and a half

plus and they just can't get over it and they all took the shot. It's not just myocarditis and heart attacks and cancers and other issues. It just destroys your immune system and heart attacks and cancers and other issues. It just destroys your immune system and you just get sick and stay sick. Now a lot of these people are also not the most healthy that I know either. So correlation doesn't equal causation.

But that's another real quick thing I wanted to say is there's a lot of poisons in the environment over the last 50 years. Some of it you can sue for like asbestos it's a lot of it they just kind of swept under the rug like lead and gasoline which is heavily poisonous uh and some stuff they'll get to in the future like all the electromagnetic radiation that's probably messing with people pretty badly but long story short you can't really like pin a particular disease that you or your kid or your niece or whoever got you can't be like oh that occurred because you got a shot on january 5th 2021 or you got this because you lived 100 meters from a 5g tower. You can't really prove that. There's a lot of people that could have all that happen and nothing

bad will happen to them. That's why you've got to look at the data science and look at huge, huge numbers of people. A lot of people won't even listen to that type of data and science. Those people, you just can't spin your wheels too much trying to convince

I guess because they won't look at the data even if it's valid. All right, we've got about a quarter hour left, the fourth quarter of Patriot Power Hour. All right, I'm looking forward to this. Let's perform some quality control on our predictions and help shape our, you know, improve our outlook for future years. All right, here we go. Pulling in my hand a piece of paper dated January 10th, 2023.

So it actually was, yeah, one year less one week ago. 51 weeks ago. Patriot Power Hour 207, which wasn't 51 weeks ago but we had a few breaks I have here 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 7, 8 categories and for each category we gave

kind of a percentage chance of it occurring or not occurring right and I'll explain each one individually because some are yes no and some are like a spectrum but I feel like this is mostly my predictions and I'll explain each one individually because some are yes, no, and some are like a spectrum. But I feel like this is mostly my predictions for better or worse, but I don't know if you signed off on it.

So you can take the victories and not the losses if you feel. All right, here we go. First one, COVID 2.0. What's the chance in 2023 that a new COVID, meaning like something equal or greater than COVID, pretty much brand new, not just some little variant. We said 20% chance it would occur. Obviously, it did not occur. So, you know, I think we were.

Yeah, I think that was a fair assessment. I do. I think that's one in the win columns. There you go. Because I think that risk persisted at about that level last year, and it was reasonable to think that it might come, especially towards the end of this year. And we had a novel child flu emerging just in December.

Was it December? November, December? That hasn't become anything, right? But we were watching. So at a 20% rate, that'd be like one in five years. So we'll see what we think for the coming year, if we think it's at that same

rate or not. Maybe next week we'll talk about that. So if that was a success, here's what I would say was a miss. Fed pivot, meaning the Fed would have to lower interest rates. Put 85% chance. And they didn't have to do that. They did not. Not yet, at least.

But they did not. So that's a fail. There's a lot of belt tightening. Think about compared to the Great Depression and the state of nutrition and housing and basic necessities of the American nation 90 years ago. There's a lot of belt tightening that could be had. Definitely. Now, I will say this. The Fed, and this is my argument to get a push on this,

is that in March, remember we had the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and a couple others. There was really a bailout, a pretty big one. You know, 10, 20 years ago it would have been like the biggest step of all time, but it was pretty small pickings compared to what we've seen lately. But there was a big bailout of the system. That almost counts as a pivot, so I think that should kind of negate that a little bit.

But long story short, the Fed did not lower interest rates specifically. They got a lot of tools, don't they? Oh, they do. They do. They have a lot of ways to try to fix things in their book. Here we go. China and Taiwan. We were just talking about this a little bit.

What's the chance that there's shots fired in China and Taiwan in 2023? We said 10% chance. Yeah, I stick with that. That does have a 10 10 chance at all times because both militaries all the militaries could have forces that that clash question is how fast can that de-escalate and one side is apologizing and calling for you know de-escalation, right? Because throughout the Cold War, there were those incidences. Back then, they were secret, right?

But planes got shot down, submarines sank. 10% chance of a clash like that is reasonable. You look at North Korea and South Korea. Every, I don't know, five to 10 years, they artillery strike some island or sink somebody else's boat. Like every once in a while they clash. That 10% is realistic. That 10% doesn't mean to say that, you know, we're saying that that's the chance of a Chinese invasion, full-blown invasion. I think that's less than 10%.

Correct. Glad you made that distinction. Yes, this is just like shots fired, not Normandy times 50 on Taiwan shores. That's hopefully like 1% or less, but that's still too high probably. Okay. Well, again, we will do some of these same categories next week but i think we'll add a couple new ones potentially but uh but i think i think 10 is probably where it remains for me at this time as well here's one where i don't think

we have the calculations but dead reckoning i think it was pretty accurate so the conflict in ukraine started february 2022 right and uh if you could just calculate the total cost not just of usa but Total cost of all money from both sides, all sides of money and lives for 2022 versus 2023. Would there be equal or more lives and dollar costs or ruble costs, all that? Pretty much will the war be equal or worse the next year? 85% chance that it would be equal or worse the next year uh 85 chance that it would be equal or worse in 2023 dead reckoning i think it probably surpassed that threshold 2022 had some brutal fighting but 2023 had some really nasty counterattacks on both sides that were thwarted and just a lot of grinding and killing and a lot of money spent did it actually outstrip the previous year? I don't know.

Maybe on a technicality it was a little less or equal, but I feel like Ukraine was just as nasty in 23 as 22, and we predicted 85% chance it would be. Certainly in materiel. I'm not sure about in casualties. Now's a good time to just check in on that. I'll trust Wikipedia for what that's worth. Let's see what they're saying is the actual loss right now. Maybe ChatGPT would calculate it good.

And that's one almost for, like, the record books. Like, would you trust now or would you trust the number in, like, 20 years more also? Wow. You know what I just found on this website? In the typical casualties and losses box, when you go to a Wikipedia article about a war, it's only saying that reports vary widely but tens of thousands at a minimum. And then there's a link to more casualties.

Oh, here's some figures. United Nations is saying 14,000 killed. killed 4,400 or about actually almost 9,000 Ukrainians and 5,500 Russians. These are United Nations numbers. So it doesn't break it down by the years, but I think both, there may have been less blood loss this year, but oh my God, you just opened the show talking about a Russian ship getting sunk. So yeah, the costs are mounting.

I'm going to look at some of these numbers and research a little more. Again, I didn't even look at this sheet until yesterday when I was cleaning, doing some New Year cleaning. I was like, ah, perfect timing. My predictions from last year. I feel like the deaths are a lot more on both sides, especially the Russians, like tens and tens of thousands dead overall. But anyway, we'll look at this.

Let's see what sources I can dig up. Here we go. How about this? Ah, here's a big win for me, baby. Oh, man, this is a big win. You guys could have made a lot of money if you invested what I told you last year. You ready for this future, Dan of gold bitcoin or bitcoin yeah well big crash today but it's been up will it more than double from here and from here is the price on january 10 2023

will it double if you had a 65 chance to double your money in one year that's a pretty good chance even if the other percent was to lose it all and guess what that would have made bitcoin 35k if it doubled from that price right now it's 43 000 so it more than doubled in one year. Now that was off of a very big crash in 2021, 2022. So it's still below all time highs, but it's up quite nicely. And Hey, I said, there was a 65% chance you would double your money. That's very risky. I'm glad I took that, but here's the other end of that. I said, there was a 25% chance chance it would be less than 20 000 which would have been a you know essentially flat or even lower over that year so i saw an opportunity for there to be a case where it was flat or even went down especially if we did hit like bigger depression

um but hey the bitcoin the bitcoin, Ben, the breaker banksters. I won this one. Yep. Highest since April 22, actually right now. There we go, baby. There we go. Um, gold on, on the other hand, right now gold is $2,042, which is up slightly compared to where it was about a year ago, up a little bit. I said, what was the odds that gold would be less than $1,500? And that would

be like a big crash in it, right? I said there'd only be a 15% chance of that. Obviously, it did not happen. But I was more bullish on gold than actually occurred. I thought gold would be at a 50% chance it would be higher than $2,500. So I expected gold to go up, maybe not double like Bitcoin, but to go up a solid 20%, 30%, 40%. Did not happen. Gold kind of

flat to slightly up. And that's pretty much because the Fed did not pivot is my analysis there. Well, in the past three years, gold's high is $20.8970 on December 1st of last year.

And its low was $15.30 and $0.60 on march 20 2020 and everything was crashing from covid it it bottomed out which i still you know advise people watch out for that next time everything crashes gold price might be favorable. Yes. You always got to have a backup plan for the opposite end of what you expect. So if you really think gold's going to go up a lot, also have just a little bit of a hedge or potential to shift into the opposite occurring, even with Bitcoin.

And, I mean, with preps, really, in the end, you prep for this and that. Sometimes the opposite happens. Hopefully you're ready for that too, even if it's a good thing. We're actually running really low on time, but oil. I said there was a 25% chance it would be greater than $150, and right now it's at $73. So definitely did not do that, even with everything that happened in Israel, which I thought was kind of crazy.

10% chance that it would be less than $50, 5-0, meaning more like a total economic collapse. Neither of those happened. We didn't really expect either of those to happen. Oil has been pretty darn stable. Gas, less than $3 where I i live which is good to see um so yeah that's that's that for you man those are the predictions right there yeah of course biden drained the spr to get the price where he wanted it so we're not talking about oil moving on anything resembling a free market dynamic. It's oil. It's

strategic resources. It's always going to be price controlled. Very true. Very true. Alright, folks. We're going to make way. Intrepid Commander will be on tonight. I'm getting out of here with Future Dan. Hey, great show to start the year, sir. We'll be back

next week. What do you say? Episode 252 next Wednesday night at 7pm. Looking forward to it, Ben. Alright. Catch you guys later. Thank you.