The Prepper Broadcasting Network - Patriot Power Hour #267 - Season Finale & Mid Year Predictions Check-In!

Episode Date: June 19, 2024

Each week on Patriot Power Hour, Ben ‘The Breaker of Banksters’ and Future Dan explore the latest Liberty, Security, Economic & Natural news, providing the situational awareness needed to execute your preparedness plans. Questions, Feedback, News Tips, or want to be a Guest? Reach out!Ben “The Breaker of Banksters” @BanksterBreaker on Twitter; [e-mail] Future Dan@FutureDanger6 on Twitter

Not too long ago, two friends of mine were talking to a Cuban refugee, a businessman who had escaped from Castro. And in the midst of his story, one of my friends turned to the other and said, we don't know how lucky we are. And the Cuban stopped and said, how lucky you are. I had some place to escape to. And in that sentence, he told us the entire story. If we lose freedom here, there's no place to escape to. This is the last stand on earth.

This is the last stand on earth. The last stand on Earth. Sous-titrage ST' 501 ¶¶ You are now listening to the Patriot Power Hour. This live episode features the situational awareness you need to practice self-reliance and independence. Introducing your hosts, Ben, the Breaker of Banksters, and Future Dan, the editor of FutureDanger.com. Patriot Power Hour. It is the season finale, spring 2024 season, coming to an end today, June 18th, 2024, episode 267. Ben, the Breaker of Banksters, here with Future Dan.

Ben the Breaker, Banksters, here with future Dan. And this is a later than usual show, right before the solstice. But it doesn't matter really how late we broadcast. Anytime Patriot Power Hour is on, it's usually dark or getting dark, but not this time of year. It's still late spring evening, and it's beautiful out. Absolutely. Favorite time of the year.

I've decided June's my favorite month of the year, officially, unofficially. It's already going by too fast, though, and we are going to be off next week. So this is going to be our last episode in June 2024, but we'll be back on the 2nd of July, right before 4th of July. So our season opener will be right before 4th of July. Good way to kick off the summer season. But that's, yeah, a couple of weeks from now, Future Dan. What's going on right now?

What's gone on over the past week since our last episode? Tonight on Patriot Power, right now, I suggest what's going on is a recap of some predictions you and I made earlier this year. I like it. It's the mid-year check-in. We made this a little bit of a tradition on Patriot Power Hour. I think this is the third year we've done it. I got a piece of paper in my hands right here. January 11th, 2024. Got about a dozen bullet points with different, essentially percentage guesses or our predictions, confidence levels, let's say, confidence levels, percent chance levels

on different items. And this is kind of like we fact-checked ourselves. So at the very end of the year, we go through them all and we score ourselves. But we still are only less than six full months through. So these aren't over yet, but we can at least check in where we're at about halfway through. Yeah, exactly. And I believe if that wasn't the spring or that would have been a winter season opener or early winter episode.

So, right after the turn of the new year. So, essentially, two seasons later, what do we think of what we were thinking then? That was episode 252. This is episode 266. If you guys want to go back to episode 252, wherever you find Patriot Power Hour, wherever you find

Prepper Broadcasting Network, just go search number 252. You can listen to our whole show about this, but in about a little 10-minute check-in here. You ready? I'll go through a couple. Yeah, just to be clear, we're on 266 or 7 tonight?

267. Apologies. 7, right. Yep. Yeah, go for it. Alright. Alright. We're going to start with my favorite, Bitcoin. I said Bitcoin would be greater than $70,000.

That was a 45% chance. And over the last six months or so, it did go from about $40,000 to $72,000, but it's retraced to $65K. So technically, I'm out of the money. But Bitcoin has been nice. And then on the flip side, we said there was a 25% chance

that Bitcoin would crash and burn less than $30K. So that seems like safe at this point. Yeah, I think I made a call for a specific average price for the year in the high 50s and we're at 65 now so i'm standing with that one we'll see where we end up in december i like it stick with economics and we got other things besides economics for sure we're just a couple to start with or more like commodities, currencies, etc. Gold being greater than $2,500 at the time.

Gold was just over $2,000 so we thought gold being greater than $2,500 by the end of the year would be upwards of 50% and the odds that gold would crash and be less than 1500.

We only put it at a 10% chance. Uh, gold did not hit 2,500, but it has hit a record high in the past six months. Also retrace a little bit like Bitcoin, but, uh, and we'll run through the news,

but I believe, uh, gold's at about 2,300, 2,350. Uh, I believe we're about where it peaked so it's most of the way to this goal of what we thought it could be but it didn't reach it yet and again we still got six or seven months to go yeah good one silver over 50 bucks or under 20 bucks we kind of put that the same as the gold ratio. And silver also has had a good first half of the year.

Here we go. Let's get a little... No election being held at all. That would be because thermonuclear wars crushed us all or massiveMP, or any reason, any reason there's no election. We only put it at a 2% chance that there would be no election. And you've always given good reasons of why, if certain states or areas don't get elections done, they're just not, guess what? They're not going to be participating in it, and the election goes on. Can you kind of explain that, and do you also think about 2% chance of no election, presidential election?

So a completion of an election that produces electoral votes that are cast in Congress and follow all the steps of the constitution to elect a, the next chief executive officer is one thing, but no election, like no attempt to election is probably way less than 2%. Some parts of the country will carry on, right? All the time,

everywhere. Even if it's just the township somewhere that holds the ballot, that should have happened on that day it says the election happens on first tuesday of november every four years so anybody that's following the constitution can can do that right that's sort of theoretical that's the chances of it being absolutely uh you know you know unaffected has no effect. It isn't, isn't practiced widely enough to allow you to look back and say it didn't happen.

Well, yeah, 2%. That's still about right. And I, it's hard to see a contemporary news environment moving that number, right. It's going to take a natural catastrophe or some, some end times kind of scenario. Even a financial crash, that wouldn't cancel elections.

No, no. So 50 to 1 odds is what 2% translates into. And Vegas ain't giving anything higher than 50 to 1 odds because anything could happen almost in this crazy world of ours whether it's a football game or an election or anything um now i will say you and i didn't necessarily agree or have to agree i don't even remember on this on these numbers on all of them um so yeah maybe you know i just had two percent Or actually, I had less than 2%. And related, but certainly separate.

And here's one where I'm not sure if you agreed or not. Trump wins presidential election at 40%. Do you recall about what you thought that percentage would be back then? And what's your current read on Trump winning the election? Oh, it's at least that high. And I don't think I doubt that number then. I probably would have advocated slightly higher at the time. I feel like back then I would have given it about 40 and now i give it at least 50

because tons of momentum biden's gaffes are ridiculous people are waking up to a bunch of bs and even though i'm not a super fan of trump even i'm getting warmed over by him and he's got tons of momentum and they can't steal a landslide and And he's kicking ass in the polls. 50%, 50% at least at this point is what I'm saying. This was kind of nebulous, or maybe it's hard to just tie a number to it, which is so difficult for me as a finance nerd. Everything's a number,

which is trying to be a failing of mine. But we had greater i believe this is what it says greater than a 50 chance that congress has to vote on the legitimacy i believe that's what it says i think that's right so that's like a very high percentage we were putting like a greater than 50 is that kind of where we were at, or what do you think now? Yeah, we're at 50 now. And if states start removing him from the ballot, any swing states, any states that are considered reasonably in play,

like California, New York, taking him off the ballot, it's probably symbolic, but Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, somewhere else, some further lawfare that finds loopholes in some kind of election law and removes him from ballots, that could easily, you know, result in absolute mayhem, mail-in ballots, write-in ballots, massive, massive disputes, and entire, you know, ledgers of state electors being determined to be invalid, which should have happened last time. And that's Congress's power right to not accept you know election results at the at the state level so i think that's still about 50 chance and could be growing if they take him off of ballots anywhere here's uh i have a two tier actually maybe even a three tiered Kind of a two-tiered, actually maybe even a three-tiered prediction or something to evaluate, a benchmarking. COVID vaccine effects become more widely known, accepted, proven.

Kind of short-term effects, you know, within a month of receiving the ejection. Mid-term effects, within a few years. And long-term effects, you know, 3, 5, 12. We can't get to 10, 20 years yet. Who knows what happens? I'll turn into mutants for all you know. So, pretty much, we put in here like a high chance that negative effects of the COVID vaccine, chance that negative effects of the COVID vaccine pretty much on all those different timelines will become much more prevalent in 2024. I think we are even past what I expected from what I've been reading.

It's just things are coming out left and right. Well, you're already attuned to news sources that have been saying this for a long time. And the hard part of, you know, making that prediction is to quantify how much more aware people are. But I think it correlates a little bit with Trump's rise in the polls, which is fascinating to me after the big hype of Operation Warp Speed, after the big hype of Operation Warp Speed, you know, seeing Fauci on display just a few weeks ago,

and he's sort of growing to become the scapegoat when, you know, it was Trump's administration that rushed those vaccines. So I say that awareness is growing, but quantified by how much? Is it 10% more people subconsciously agree that that vaccine was rushed and unsafe and they shouldn't have taken it? Or is it 25% or 2%? I don't know.

That's super hard to quantify for sure. Here we go. Stock crash. Worse than COVID March 2020, which was huge. Huge crashes. During that time, again, you can go back to the archive

and listen to our shows. I don't have the exact numbers on hand, episode numbers, but in March and April 2020, we like the 10 worst days in the stock market and like by percentage terms and what like four or five of them were the top 10 from covid three or four that we'll experience one of those types of crashes before the election and then after the election but before end of the year so pretty much november december of 2024 uh we actually, how about you guess?

Let's see how close we can remember. Guess what did we think the stock market crash equal or worse than COVID March 2020? Before the election, what did we pin that at? I know it was less than 50%, but close to it. And I think the confidence level that it would happen increased after the election. The second part is definitely right, but we actually were very low. We said less than 10% chance before the election. But we said about a 30% chance in November, December.

So that's a massive amount. And stocks hit all-time record highs today for context. December. So that's a massive amount. And stocks hit all-time record highs today for context. Yes. So even though we are a little doom and gloom occasionally, I think it's just reporting the facts a lot of times economically and otherwise. But even we put the brakes on it and said, ah, we don't think they're going to crash it, at least COVID level, before the election.

Maybe they'll have trouble growing it. And they actually had a couple hiccups and bumps in the road in the, you know, these last six months. But like you just said, stock market at those record highs. So has it happened yet? And after the election, we say there's a 30% chance. We'll find out. A couple more before we go to break. Every week.

Are we wrapped up for January or you got one more? We got a couple more. And, yeah, some of these are obviously in progress. Some are, well, we won't really know until the election because this is kind of pushed towards election. Well, we won't really know until the election because this is kind of pushed towards election. But massive claim of election fraud equal to or greater than 2020. We put that as greater than 90%. Yeah, I'm sticking with that.

That's coming. Now, here's one that I wish I put a number on. I don't have it. I might have to go re-listen to that show, 252. But China invades Taiwan. I did not have a number there. So I hope we talked about it. What do you think the chance just between now

and the end of the year that China moves on Taiwan, what percent do you give that? I think it depends on if biden's re-elected and if biden's re-elected that number skyrockets still probably pretty low just because the task of invading that island and what ukraine was able to do with airborne and spaceborne and you know isr to target the invasion you know trying to cross that taiwan strait would be much harder than just rolling into eastern ukraine and and it could bog down fast so i don't think the military situation is is changing very fast but if they thought there was a regime in Washington,

D.C. that wouldn't have the energy or fortitude to oppose, they could see the beginning of four years of Biden, and they may not even expect him to live it out. That could be conceived of as the right time to attempt to do it if they dared. Great analysis. concedes of is the right time to attempt to do it if they dared great analysis i'd currently put this at less than 10 but i feel like between now and let's just call it 2030 so five six years from now i think it's like a one out of three or one out of four chance that's like extremely high it does not sound like much over five six, a one in four chance in five years. Oh, that's nothing. No, but trust me,

this would be bigger than COVID on the impact on the economy minimum. As soon as that risk got that high, there's a fair chance Taiwan would announce itself as a nuclear state with an arsenal. And then let's see if it happens after that, because I don't think nuclear countries, nuclear armed countries don't fight.

All right, folks haven't yet. That was our partial look back at partial look forward. 2024 predictions on Patriot Power Hour. It ain't over yet. It ain't over until the last episode. Actually, we do the evaluation in January, so it's not over until the first episode of January 2025, I suppose.

Got a while to go until then, but good stuff you did. We're going to go to break and come back with a news blitz. What do you say? Blitz the news, Ben. What do you say? Blitz the news, Ben. You got it. All right. I'm sorry. Are you prepared to be the family doctor in a disaster or emergency? This is the Intrepid Commander, and I'm holding The Prepper's Medical Handbook by William W. Forgy, M.D.

In this great book, you'll learn how to prepare for medical care off the grid. You'll learn about assessment and stabilization. You'll even deal with things like bioterrorism response, radiation, and how to build the off-grid medical kit at home. Look, 2020 taught us a lot about the limitations of our medical infrastructure in America. Get the Prepper's Medical Handbook today at Amazon.com. Again, that's the Prepper's Medical Handbook by William W. Fortin. A person who advocates and practices preparedness. One ready for any event that would disrupt their daily routine.

That is a prepper. Tell the story, this life had many shades I'd wake up every morning and before I'd start each day I'd take a drag from last night's cigarette that smoldered in its tray Down a little something and then be on my way I traveled far and wide and laid his head in many ports. I was guided by a compass. I saw beauty to the north. I drew the tales of many lives and wore the faces of my own. I have these memories all around me so I wouldn't be alone. Some may be from showing up.

Others are from growing up. Sometimes I was all messed up and didn't have a clue. Thank you. I got your name written here in a rose tattoo. Patriot Power Hour. Time for that news blitz. June 18th, 2024. Episode 267. hour. Time for that news blitz. June 18th, 2024. Episode 267. Season

finale. Here we go. Florida congressional candidate suggests suspending habeas corpus for Trump to arrest Democrats. Chinese cyber police agent

runs online network helping illegal immigrants flood into the U.S. Chinese may be probing American military readiness through base breaches, lawmaker says. Eight suspected illegal alien

terrorists arrested in New York, Philly, and L.A. January 6th, Capitol Police chief says speaker staff blocked additional security, which was requested. Dozens of North Korean soldiers repeatedly bre breach the DMZ

Hezbollah rains rockets on Israel after strike kills commander Google API leaks reveal search giant rigs results for COVID if you were avid listener of Patriot Power Hour Google API leaks reveal search giant rigs results for COVID. If you were an avid listener of Patriot Power Hour, you know that came out last week. But now there's some add-on to it, which actually increased to the maximum SHTF level or grade.

NIH caught feeding gain-of-function disinfo to journalists. And Federal Reserve Chair admits Fed government is overstating jobs. So just more and more news blatantly censored, not just the Google leaks, but National Institute of Health, NIH, caught feeding gain-of-function disinfo to journalists, as well as the Fed admitting that the Federal Reserve, that is, admitting that the federal government is overstating jobs in their job reports. Let's go on to a little more economics.

Not much. Relatively quiet, but also increases in most of the markets. Maybe not the gold, silver, bitcoin. Down a few points, percentage points, in the last week. Home foreclosures on the rise. By 2034, the federal government, that's going to exceed $50 trillion. That's a prediction we're going to make. The over-under on federal government, $50 trillion.

Got to mark that down to remember. Talk about it with future Dan. Consumer prices up 3.3%. They're bragging about it. Inflation is down. You know, it's not as bad as it used to be. Blah, blah, blah. 3.3% they're bragging about it inflation is down you know it's not as bad as it used to be blah blah blah 3.3% is still a lot

Massachusetts had an hours long the entire state or commonwealth 9-11 system 9-1-1 is down for hours and hours and hours. Florida government declares emergency as state is swamped by heavy rain. I think they said more than a month worth of rain in an hour.

Sarasota, something like that. Maybe even more. Rare drug-resistant flu variant found in the U.S. Not much seismic activity or asteroid activity. Seems that natural disasters are, as always, knock on wood, not hitting strongly right now. Future Dan, that's the news blitz. Yeah, awesome.

So several of those we need to get into the details, but out of this blitzkrieg, some of these active indicators, yeah, more predictions, summer predictions are in order. Summer predictions. Summer predictions are in order. Summer predictions. So let's start with Korean War restarting. That's actually the name of the indicator. Korean War restarts. Low grade, the lowest possible topical news.

Dozens of North Korean soldiers breaching the demilitarized zone i asked you in the past in the past we haven't done the percentage odds and all that type of stuff but do you think i asked you do you think the korean war restarting is the same, you know, it goes one hand in hand with Taiwan and China, or do you think it's more likely Korean War is going to restart or more likely Taiwan is going to be attacked? I think it's about another way to frame the question is what's the chances it doesn't start? And I think it's like 85, 80, 85% chance we don't see the Sino-Taiwanese conflict begin in the next 6 to 12 months.

But that number might be a little bit higher or a little bit lower. I think high 70s, mid 75s, if other conditions cascade, right? If nothing else changes and things go the way they are, we're not going to see a war in either of those theaters. But there's financial collapse and election chaos in the United States. A war in Korea is to me more likely than, than Taiwan invasion. So I'm putting this down for posterity sake,

about a 75% chance that there's not going to be a restarting of the Korean war between now and let's just call it June 2025. Yeah, it's a 25% chance that it does. That's high. That's high. But I mean, I'm not saying it's wrong per se, but I mean like 25% chance Korean War starts. Wow.

Well, what are the North Koreans doing today? Yesterday? Breaching the DMZ? Like that regime Well, what are the North Koreans doing today, yesterday? Breaching the DMZ? Like, that regime does that stuff. And Putin's in the capital tonight. So maybe they think they can do that because the Russian president's entering North Korean airspace and they provoke, right? I mean, the Koreans could go at it much sooner than most other places on earth. Now,

how far does that war escalate, right? It's just the truth. They've had skirmishes. They've shot each other's boats. They've had commandos come out of North Korea and wreak havoc in the South. It could be a low-intensity resumption of the Korean War. But those sides have a much higher probability of going at it on a clandestine and limited basis. And probably, you know, Israel and Iran and Iranian proxies are order of magnitude more likely. They're doing it constantly pretty much now. But anywhere else on earth, two seriously well-armed nations like North and South Korea,

the only other place that might have the same propensity to be a hotspot, in my opinion, is India-Pakistan. Dependency to be a hot spot, in my opinion, is India-Pakistan. You read my mind. I was actually going to ask you what were your percentages on that, or do you think that's even scoring on the Richter scale? We haven't heard a lot of news from there lately, but there's been a lot of cross-border exchanges of fire for many decades. So you've got to know that that's there, and they're both nuclear-armed countries. If I was going to pick two nuclear-armed belligerents who might just do it,

India and Pakistan are near the top of that list because their arsenals are at risk of each other, right? And especially Pakistan, use-it-or- it or lose it kind of mentality with their nuclear arsenal would, you know, it's different, right? China doesn't have a use it or lose it mentality, nor do we, nor do the Russians, nor does any nation that has, you know, submarine-launched missiles that are nuclear-armed, right? You have that retaliatory capability. And India and Pakistan, I'm sure India has nukes on capable Navy. I'm not sure what Pakistan is able to do in that regard. So that's a lot less stable.

And we think North Korea has nuclear arms, but not many. So, you know, they too would be at a use or lose kind of risk if they thought that even conventional strikes, advanced hypersonic conventional strikes, could put all of their nuclear weapons that they may have in the dozens, I think, or less than 100, and who knows how functional they are. if they perceive the threat that any of that could be wiped out in a preemptive strike, they might decide to do their own preemptive strike. So the Koreas, Pakistan, India, and of course the Middle East, Israel against Iran, those are all real hot spots that have much higher than what we would have predicted

before Russia went into Ukraine. That Russian-Ukrainian war is really destabilizing the other regions because thresholds are getting crossed. Blood is getting let. Governments are becoming inclined to resort to force in ways that we haven't seen since the end of World War II. The Overton window of warfare is moving pretty quick even, huh? That would be the fear that, you know, when Pax Americana ends, when our nuclear umbrella and our force destabilizes, we have like all-time high number of troops in Jordan right now.

If they all were removed from Jordan and other places in the Middle East, the region would come apart at the seams. So, a couple numbers I want to try to get from you. We'll stay on Israel and Iran. so a couple numbers I want to try to get from you, we'll stay on Israel and Iran, let's just say Israel and Iran, or just the various parties involved, I guess you could even throw in Yemen and just the overall Middle East, but let's just say that quagmire over there, that cluster, you know what over there, what is the percentage chance it'll be worse in the next 12 months compared to what it was the most recent 12 months? Because it went pretty crazy since October of last year.

Sort of cooled off. We got a couple topical. There was a commander killed and a couple attacks back. But long story short, do you think it's cooled off or do you think it'll be equal or worse in the next 12 months? Well, let's define worse, right? We've got to baseline that. So just a month or so ago, Israel and Iran were striking each other with missiles. So worse than that?

Same or worse than that? Yes. Yes. Let's just say same or worse than that? Same or worse than that? Yes. Yes. Let's just say same or worse than that. Direct attacks on each other's territory. And kidnappings and killings inside Israel as well as what they're doing in Gaza. So throwing that all together plus all the money put in there, aid and weaponry and otherwise, just all of it rolled into one super hard to quantify

but you know will it maintain or get worse or is it actually going to ease off a little bit you know maybe come back in five or ten years or do you think it's going to really pop off I think the conflict in Gaza is going to wind down I think the

exchange of fire on each other's territory in an open way has an 80% or higher chance of repeating itself in the next 12 months. Perfect. I think that's a pretty high number and probably about right. Pakistan and India war. How do you quantify war? However we quantify the Korea war restarting, let's quantify that with Pakistan and India.

So you said there's a 75% chance of no war in the next 12 months between the Koreas, whether it's clandestine or nuclear or anything in between. What about Pakistan and India? 75% to 80%, about the same. And that 20% to 25% chance of war is much higher now because of what could come about in the United States. Our command and control and our peaceful handoff of political power through elections is in doubt, then these parts of the world could decide to take strategic advantage of the lack of decisiveness in America.

And that's why those are elevated. But still, you know, 80% chance there isn't a war. There are nuclear-armed countries. They have huge populations immediately at risk of an exchange of those nukes. But, you know, the fundamental difference between Pakistan and India, Iran, Israel, Israel and all of its neighbors, the Koreas, you know, it's very fundamental, like the basic, you know, differences on what is Ukraine between Russian separatists and the Kiev regime and the regime in Moscow, right?

And that is a full-blown conventional war right now. So we have an Article 8 suspected illegal alien terrorist arrested in New York, Philly, and L.A. Between now and this time next year, let's just keep it on 12 months,

what are the odds that here in U.S. territory, domestically, there's terror attack or attacks, plural, with a cumulative death toll of 2,000 or more? I would hope that something like that or even something 10% the size of that would break the back of willpower to have the FBI exist in both political parties. And for that reason, because institutions protect themselves, I'm thinking that the chances of that kind of strike in the United States are at an all-time low.

the United States are on an all-time low. Now, if the FBI is thoroughly corrupt, as some suspect, and the deep state is thoroughly tied together, and institutional prerogatives and congressional oversight and funding have no meaning to what really goes on, I can't guess that number. But assuming that that network, although highly frayed and seeded with deep, deep, deep distrust now, is there, I still think that the powers that be would have been an inside job is the fact that it hadn't happened since. That apparently, it wasn't very difficult to prevent an attack like that. If it happened now, there's no way the FBI walks away looking like it tried its best and there's nothing they can do.

I hope you're right. Do you have a percentage you want to put it on? We don't have to agree. I can put yours or mine. I think I'm going to put mine at about gosh, 15%. You're talking about a 9-11 equivalent Mine at about, gosh, 15%. 2,000 people getting killed? You're talking about a 9-11 equivalent type lethal attack.

Or multiple. It could be like eight or ten shopping malls attacked all at once. I mean, it could be organized by state actors even. So you're putting that at what chance? I'm struggling between about 10% and 15%. But I think it's very possible

whether that's a sleeper cell attack by China, whether that's inside job by Democrats, whether it's just some cycle able to car bomb a football stadium and kill 2,000 people in the parking lot three hours before a game. I mean, that's probably a little too high. Crowd behavior where more than one of those happens at the same time but not directly linked.

Yeah, I wouldn't go higher than 10%. If they knock out power for 96 hours to L. new york somehow there'll be 2 000 people dead so i would include oh well that's a whole different kind of prediction now isn't it pairing these things and putting second order effects if a grid down occurs what's the percentage chance of of this well now, it skyrockets, right? So it would have to be a specific terror attack. I mean, so that's a good point. I should probably say it's more of a direct death. So we're thinking more of a 9-11 rather than taking down the grid.

I was actually thinking more like three or four of these events all the same day, potentially, so a few hundred for each one. I mean, the Vegas shooter, there was 100-plus dead. And mass shooters, a few of them, could easily kill 100, 200 people at each location. If half of the NFL stadiums were attacked on the same day, there would be hundreds dead, if not thousands. So I hope they don't do that. I hope the FBI is stopping that type of crap. But I'm putting it at 10-15%. And in the

past, I would have put it at about 3-5%. But I'm doubling, maybe tripling it because of the instability of domestic and geopolitical. So there's some kind of, you know, looking at some kind of knock-on effect where during a heat wave,

sleeper cells had managed to find a way to interrupt power supply to large regions or large metropolitan areas. You can reach 2,000 dead just from, you know, the number of people that live at home, you know, with, you know, medical equipment that has to be powered, right? And pharmacies being out and people missing, you know, critical drugs. Hard to measure. You wouldn't come up with a number for that immediately, but it would be, you know, it'd come out in the statistics that that area suffered, you know, some kind of mortality rate that spiked and is, you know, consequently it killed 2000. You can estimate.

this combined to that to result in this. Yeah. Every time you do, like if that happens, plus that, now you get to that kind of death toll. It, it, it,

it, the curve is, you know, exponential. I will not be going to any, uh, sporting events or large gatherings of more than 50 people. Anytime in the near future.

Definitely not until at least January of next year after the swearing in of either president, if it occurs. I just feel like, wow, it's just a time of chaos right now. But some people say don't live in fear and all that. But at least have an escape plan or carry concealed if you're able to in those locations. Anything else on the terror attack? I think that was most of the predictions. Or did you have any other categories or news articles today that you wanted to try to see where it's going to be in 12 months? Now's the time.

Well, we're going to go off of active indicators tonight. But we're not going to dwell on the headlines. We already blitzed them tonight. But just read me a list of some other indicators that are active tonight, and we'll take a shot at some kind of percentage chance that they go to black on red, grade one happening now. Let's go with 911-1-1 overwhelmed, a rare indicator on future danger,

let's go look at the long term history, it's shown up a few times, but not often, only a few articles in the last six years, 9-1-1, by the way, no SHTF level articles. So it's never actualized at the highest grade.

What do you think the chance at 9-1-1? What would define 9-1-1 being SHTF level? Not being able to access it, that is. 9-1-1 overwhelmed. And what percentage do you think in the next 12 months? Well, if it had not been brought back online within a few hours, it would be grade one for Massachusetts right now. And a very dangerous situation in the modern world, right?

Definitely. And the more we rely on these things, and 911 is a great thing and help people, but most people don't plan for a backup. If 911 doesn't work, they're going to be kind of screwed sometimes. It's the criminal terror that would be completely possible, and the people that would do that realizing that now is the time. That's what makes it dangerous. What's your percentage chance on SHTF level?

911 overwhelmed. Never happened during future danger's life, but what do you think that'll change in the next year? Nothing has ever happened in a statewide fashion. So what we saw tonight was probably a glitch, maybe a hack, but if it ever went on for any amount of time, it'd be really bad for that area. I'd say it's a 10% chance in 2024 in blue states,

and if you had a knock-on effect of other very severe indicators, it could be overwhelmed not only because the system failed eternally, but too many people call it at the same time, right? That's exactly what I was thinking, actually. If we have a chaotic election, I think that goes from a 10 10 chance up to 30 40 chance during writing that follows you know election disputes right good way to put it and i was

i was thinking that possibly the primary way we would see this 911 overwhelmed be fully actualized is too many people trying to call but of course it could be a cyber attack or some other issue but uh too many people trying to call seems like just as reasonable or more reasonable than any of them how about another one what else is active tonight let's go with federal government defaults well that that chance in the next uh 12 months is is near zero because they just won't admit it whether it was you know whether the math really said they were they you know it would take longer than a year for them to ever admit it right so this indicator requires everybody to openly recognize that the U.S. government defaulted.

But earlier you teased the possibility of predicting the chance of hitting federal government $50 trillion in debt. The headline tonight says 10 years from now. But I think what would be interesting is to hear from you, Ben, what year are you going to take the over 50% chance? I like this. This is going to be one of my favorite ones ever, I think. Well, just before we do that, I went back into the archive.

I'm going back to May 4th, 2017. This is six months before we even started Patriot Power Hour. And this, back then, May 4th, 2017, seven years ago, a little more, cost of interest on federal government debt rises to above half a trillion

dollars, and just around that same time as when we hit 20 trillion in debt. Today today go to the handy dandy u.s debt clock in about seven years we've gone from 20 trillion to i think 34 let's check for sure yeah 34.8. We're almost at 35. So, we've gone 15 trillion. Let's just round it. 15 trillion in seven years. That's 2 trillion a year.

So, we need another 16, 15 or 16 trillion to get to that 50. If at the same pace, it would be about seven or eight years from now. They're saying 10. They're totally sandbagging. It's really going to be 5. I'm going to say January 1st, 2028 is my over-under on

50. Yep. I agree with that. I'm with you on that. And by the way, so I'm with you on that and by the way so I'm going to write that down first off 1-1-20-28 it's going to be here before we know it

equals the big 50 trill what's the 50th anniversary is it the gold anniversary or diamond like at work or even your wedding anniversary 50 years like your gold you know you get a diamond anniversary your silver anniversary thinks five years or 10 50 trillion fiat reserve now i will say it's possible that you know everything collapses and we go to a cd CDC before we even hit that number.

But I agree, they'll probably kick it a lot higher than $50 trillion before everything comes crashing down. Real quick on the amount of interest we paid. So we went from, again, $20 trillion to $35 trillion in about seven years. To $35 trillion in about seven years. And we went from about a half a trillion in interest costs every year to... I'm trying to find where it is. I know it's like more than $2 trillion.

My point is, the interest on the debt is growing way more than the debt even. So, not only are we going to go way higher on the debt, the amount of interest we pay on the debt is going to increase even faster, which is pretty much why it's the death knell of the system because we can't even pay our bills now, so you just keep compounding the interest rate. I mean, if you had a credit card and you couldn't even pay the minimum payments, you know where that's going to go. Before you know it, you're going to hit the limit and it's going to break.

But they don't have to have a limit because of the central banks, at least for now. Everyone believes in them. But the emperor with no clothes situation might be happening soon. We're already seeing different commodities being priced in different currencies. Saudi Arabia said the petrodollar is dunzo. China, Russia is trading amongst themselves. A lot of other countries are using each other's currencies.

There's not going to be one currency that replaces necessarily right away. It's not going to be the yuan necessarily, but just getting away from the U.S. dollar is going to be bad enough. Yep. Got any other active indicators you want to make a prediction on tonight? Let's go with 267 of the Patriot

Power Hour. What do you got? It's been a great one so far. Marshall Law declared. Higher than I would like it to be in the next six months with this election. That's for sure. Still less than 50% without any kind of knock-on events. But, you know, of course, governors can declare martial law, call out the National Guard, suspend certain civil liberties to restore control.

Nationwide martial law or state martial law? That's the question. We've got chances of a state martial law kind of, you know, behaviors, you know, just, you know, detention without, you know, necessarily bringing people through their Fifth Amendment rights to bring them before court in a timely fashion. Arraignments and stuff. The breakdown of the courts. Enough that you'd say, hey, that really is martial law. Pretty high this year. Pretty high. If they take Trump off the ballots, people really, really dispute certain elections,

those states could end up that way. So how about just one governor declares it? What odds would you give that? Probably about 45. Okay. For at least a week okay yeah we're not talking about the declaration of martial law

permanently in our lifetimes that's still incredibly low chance but not zero right that kind of goes to the maybe the 2% chance We were talking about earlier Of some real bad stuff happening

Potentially Hey, depends how Mad Max you want to get it We say that sometimes We try to hit a little bit more in the middle of the bell curve National Now I don't know if you want to say this is a majority of states Or a majority of states By population

Or every single state, what would you consider national martial law and what percentage would that be? Oh, it wouldn't be, it would just not be done at the national, at the state level. It'd be the federal government, the president. Can you do that? I guess you could in a nuclear war, but I don't know. Okay. Well, read the history of the Lincoln presidency

or Wilson or FDR during World War II. There's lots of aspects to martial law and all three of them had to do it during those wars. Great point. So it's already having multiple times. What's the percentage you got on this? If at least one state

doing it for at least one week, it's 45%. What about nationwide? I think it's extremely low chance if Trump wins because he might not get obeyed by the powers that are resident in there, right? They'll just find ways to subvert him. Biden, though, with the right knock-on effects from other crises, it's higher, right? We'd be in martial law immediately if China invaded Taiwan, by the way.

So think about that. Great point. It's almost the cumulative effect of any of these huge terror attacks, wars, power outages. Tens of thousands of military-age Chinese men into the country. I mean, if there was any idea that any advanced force operation, sabotage being done by covert forces of other governments in the country, our population would be screaming for the martial law to put an end to it. And that goes hand in hand with, I wasn't even going to ask for percentages per se,

but you hit on it before I even could, foreign black ops suspected. I mean, it's kind of, you know, maybe you have something different to talk about with foreign black ops suspected, but I think that can go hand in hand with martial law, the terrorism that we talked about potentially. All the reasons, by the way, why y'all should be prepping out there. Exactly. I think that's about it. We're coming up on the full hour on the season finale.

You got any other topics to hit on, predictions to make, or things to say before we sign off for the season and come back in July? One more measurable. One more economic measurable. I'm going to let you pick. It could be the VIX, the volatility index, the fear gauge, or the DXY, the dollar exchange of basket of five international currencies. You can pick the direction of the VIX or the DXY, up or down.

Down on the DXY is bad. U.S. is losing its purchasing power abroad. Quality of life in America is going down. If it breaks under 70, we're in historically bad territory. going down if it breaks under 70. We're in historically bad territory. And the VIX, if it skyrockets, it's going to happen during a massive crash on Wall Street or right before it up around 50, 60 on the VIX,

and it's trouble time. Make your call, Ben. I'm going to go with the VIX. The dollar is definitely a tough one, and I don't even know if I can make a good call on it. The VIX, though, it's real low right now. It's 12.3. To put that in perspective, it peaked at 85 in COVID.

And in 2008 financial crisis, it peaked at 89 it was actually higher during lehman brothers and all that now the thing is they halted all that trading in covid so that's probably the only reason it wasn't worse anyway with with that said it's usually below 40 and often below 20. 40 is dangerous already. Below 20 is most of the time. Yes, but it does cross 40 at least once every couple years on average. And volatility, high or low, it's usually low and with fixed spikes. Meaning it's dropping, and with fixed spikes. I mean, it's dropping. It's a crash.

But volatility can go up to it. But let's just say at 80. So the only times in the last two decades that it's higher than 80 is the 2008 financial crisis and COVID. So in the next 12 months, will VIX go above 80? I think it might be a good measure. Percent chance, you want to make the call? Yeah. Now, it doesn't have to stay at 80, because if everything drops 70% and then it stabilizes,

then the VIX will drop again. But it's kind of where it peaked at is what I'm looking at. I'm going to say... 80 would be a financial crisis, without a doubt. That's a crash on Wall Street. again, but it's kind of where it peaked at is what I'm looking at. I'm going to say... 80 would be a financial crisis, without a doubt. That's a crash on Wall Street. You don't get to 80 without all kinds of other economic indicators hitting black on red, grade one.

So in a neutral setting, I would say that's at least a one-in-20-year event normally. But with everything going on and the fact we haven't seen it, I think we're kind of due for it with these higher interest rates, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, running out of time. I'm going to say 33% chance, so a one in three chance in the next 12 months we see 80 plus on the VIX. Yep. I'd take the over on that. Hey,

you know what? I probably would too. But you gotta lure some people in on the other side of the bet. That's an odds maker. But 33% chance that the VIX peaks above 80. Again, it's only done it like twice in the last couple decades.

So 33% chance in and of itself is super high. Your average guy on CNBC would say I'm a total psychopath. Totally wrong. But I do put my money where my mouth is, so there you go. I think that's the end of the season. Thanks to Breaker, I do too.

Great season, great show as always. Enjoy the start of summer we'll be back we'll be back with something special for the 4th of july pre-show yes sir yes sir and we do reserve the right always to come back live if anything crazy does happen very newsworthy or otherwise so just because we're planning to be off the next week or two doesn't mean we might not just show up if there's a huge event somewhere in the U.S. or even worldwide.

Otherwise, it's been great. Talk to you soon. Enjoy your early summer evenings like we did tonight. Rachel Benz. Who wants free ammo? Our new sponsor, AmmoSquared.com, is a truly automated, set-it-and-forget-it ammo purchasing program. Pick your calibers, set your budget, select a shipping trigger, and ammo's coming to you. There's no minimum to buy, no memberships, no extra fees.

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