The Prepper Broadcasting Network - Patriot Power Hour #290 - 2025 Predictions, Season Opener & More

Episode Date: January 10, 2025

Each week on Patriot Power Hour, Ben ‘The Breaker of Banksters’ and Future Dan explore the latest Liberty, Security, Economic & Natural news, providing the situational awareness needed to execute your preparedness plans. Questions, Feedback, News Tips, or want to be a Guest? Reach out!Ben “The Breaker of Banksters” @BanksterBreaker on XFuture Dan@FutureDanger6 on X

What do you want? Statement of purpose? Should I email you? Should I put this on your action item list? You decide your own level of involvement. We are the Prepper Broadcasting Network. The Patriot Power Hour, the newest show of the Prepper Broadcasting Network. This live episode features the situational awareness you need

to practice self-reliance and independence. Introducing your hosts, Ben, the Breaker of Banksters, and Future Dan, the editor of FutureDanger.com. We are live and it is 2025, January 9th, 2025. To be precise, Ben, the Breaker of Banksters here with Future Dan. Episode 290, Future Dan. here with Future Dan. Episode 290, Future Dan. Happy New Year. How are you doing?

Doing all right. Glad to make it to 25. Hopefully we'll make it beyond as well. You know what? We got a lot going on, but I will say this. For those who are interested, there is a video broadcast, and the goal of all 25 my new year's resolution for patriot power hour is to have a video broadcast that accompanies this podcast so you'll be able to follow along with the articles we review and if you're looking at the screen right now you'll see several memes

graphics and other information in a visual form, some from future danger, some from long ago in the archives. So we're going to bring the visual to Patriot Power Hour this year, sir. Yeah, we've got natural or perhaps man-made disaster underway in California tonight. But besides that, not a lot of international economic or security liberty news, which I think is pretty typical after the holidays. I mean, just not a lot of news has been generated, not a lot of headlines. It doesn't mean there's not a lot going on in the back room but we are limited to open source intelligence so we're going to talk about the heat map dashboard really quickly but the main

thrust of our season premiere of winter 2025 involves predictions a relatively new tradition i think we started this how long ago ago did we start this tradition, Ben? We definitely did it in 23 and 24. We might have done it in 22. I'm not 100% sure. So three or four years, about half as long as we've been on PBN. So we're going to make predictions now. we've been on pbn so we're going to make predictions now we're going to check in on them at the end of the spring season in june end of june and then uh see how we did by uh

in that next december which is exactly what we just did last year and you're taking it to a whole new level so maybe you can give the audience an overview of the predictions. Then we're going to jump into the heat map dashboard and come back and make those predictions. Exactly. We're going to hit this dashboard, spend 10, maybe 15 minutes going through it, as well as some of the articles therein. But, hey, two weeks until Trump's inauguration, got a feeling the news will really pick up thereafter, but a little bit of a lull here after the holidays, except for, yes, those fires in California, we'll talk all about that, and some other important

news, but the main thrust of today's show, yes, episode 290 of the Patriot Power Hour, thrust of today's show. Yes, episode 290 of the Patriot Power Hour. First of the season, first of the year predictions. We got 19 categories. Probably outdid ourselves, maybe not even in a good way, but we'll find out. In the past, we did about 10 or 12 predictions. We got 19, so we're going to have to go pretty quickly. But those that are watching the video, I'm going to have them all written out and we're gonna keep that document again look at it at the end of june and look at it again in december and for all we know maybe in a few years take a little blast to the past take a look at it as well uh digital lasts forever as long as there's not an emp that wipes everything but don't worry i got pretty good backups so yes, we will be going through those predictions,

but we're going to have to be pithy. But you want to hit that news first? Yeah, one more word on the predictions. I look at this as a way to kind of fine-tune your and my perspective on real threats to the country. So if we have an inflated sense of the probability of something happening by next december we're going to know that right but that's actually not what happens if you check out the previous episode 289 where we recapped our predictions in

for last year. We were pretty close on most of them, I would have to say. Especially the financial. I mean, Bitcoin as well as gold both hit the high end, and we were looking for both those to go up. We were looking for a Fed pivot, which they did, meaning they started to lower interest rates which funny enough has resulted in interest rates going up has the fed lost control we might talk about that down the line so financially we pretty

much i'm not gonna say knocked it out of the ballpark but definitely got a solid double or triple last year and other ones we did pretty well too and it's not what we want to happen it's our predictions or thoughts so would trump get elected would there be a controversial election etc etc we thought there was a decent chance that going through december 31st 2024 it would still be a lot of controversy who was president we missed on that but i'm you know pretty happy that we missed on that a bit yeah let's do the heat map dashboard would you please bring us through what's happening in southern california tonight ben all right transitioning on over Five, six articles at least under wildfires lay waste. L.A. wildfire rages out of control.

Hydrants are dry. Equipment is low. Manpower as well. Zero percent containment of a lot of these fires. And there's multiple fires popping up, potentially arson. Palisades and Eaton wildfires burned out of control. Those were some of the hardest hit.

You know, as of 12, 16, 24 hours ago, it was reported 1,100 buildings were destroyed. Now it's 2,000. 2,000 buildings destroyed. Over 130,000 evacuated. So it's become quite the problem. Moving on, there is an earthquake.

And one thing I wanted to point out is, what if there's a massive earthquake and a bunch of fires in L.A.? They obviously were not prepared for that either. But in Tibet, 53 dead dead after 7.1 magnitude earthquake fluoride in the drinking water once again scrutinized for possible effect on child intelligence so natural news the nature column natural indicators easily the highest severity and frequency this week economics wholesale egg prices hit record shortages reported at supermarkets i'll be visiting nbc guy dave jones get some eggs tomorrow hope he doesn't raise the prices on me

but you know it is what it is inflation skyrockets more articles to support that fed officials now worried about the inflation impacts from trump's policies yeah trump had some words about that other indications that inflation is not going to be going away at any point soon. But we're also seeing unemployment. When you see inflation and unemployment both trending poorly, that's a really bad situation. And, well, not only are we seeing just general layoffs start to creep up, but the AI, it's, you know, the future is now, and within the next five years, by 2030, 41% of companies worldwide plan to reduce workforces.

So learn how to work with AI or find something AI can't do in the near future or potentially be replaced. Riots erupt related to wildfires. Under security, 20 suspects arrested for looting homes ravaged by wildfires. So not only potential arson or copycats,

people trying to be like the Joker or something, start fires because there's just so much chaos already. We've got tons of looting going on. So, that's the dashboard for today, Future Dan. Future Dan, come in, sir. Yeah, sorry, I was on mute. Trying to keep a good, clean background to our amateur podcast here.

But, yeah, that's a man-made disaster in Southern California, policies upon policies. But the indicator stands. The title of the indicator is wildfires lay waste. It's certainly happening now. I hadn't even thought about what if an earthquake happened at the same time, but a bad enough earthquake could easily create fires like this. That's what I meant. Just out of accident.

Exactly. Literally just only an earthquake. None of this arson or wildfires or bad weather. Just literally big-ass earthquake. San Francisco burned down in 1908 or something. That was the major damage was the fire, not even the earthquake as much. Of course, they could not respond to that. At least this started as less than a 8.0, 8.5, the big one, 9.0.

That would lay waste to L.A. even worse than this. Yeah. Don't live in L.A. if you're a prepper probably beyond that yeah i was gonna say like what advice could you have uh you can't you can't plan a bug out for an earthquake and or the fires they just instantly happen, right? But definitely feeling, you know, feeling for our fellow Americans that are suffering and losing their homes tonight in Southern California as well. Just another natural disaster in a string of them in the last couple of years that have been very severe. Everything else on the news map is pretty run-of-the-mill, don't you think? Well, I do want to hit on the fluoride effects because it is the highest grade possible SHTF.

This is NBC News. So, hey, if you think someone tries to say Prepper Broadcasting Network or Patriot Power Hour, fake news, conspiracy, how about we just go straight to NBC News on this? You know, when people try to say I'm some sort of conspiracy theorist, all that crap because of fluoride. Well, NBC News is saying fluoride scrutinized for possible effect on children's brains.

Yes, lowering IQ in children. And they come out and say the pediatric dentist is adamant that the mineral is critical for kids' health. But I've said this many, many times over. Topical fluoride on the teeth is different than putting fluoride in unknown dosages into your drinking water. As well as fluoride being used in all types of processed foods. So, yeah, future Dan, I finally, they can't deny it anymore. And you know what? That was one of those things that I'd first heard about

probably listening to Alex Jones well over a decade ago. That's how fringe saying that was true. That's a Jones is right moment. Even for this show, the new background animations, some of these memes were, you gave them to me. And I think you collected these at least eight years ago, some of them, right? Where fluoride being harmful and in the water was absolutely fringe. So look how far we've come, right? And it makes you really, really wonder where we're going to be in 10 years

on things that people are suggesting now. Well, I'm really happy that they're figuring this out, but I'm almost worried about the answer to your question there because whether it's gmo or different medications covid jab and a lot of other nasties out there microplastics all those are gonna be you know fluoride asbest worse level, I think. So try to clean up. I think that's one of the best things you can do as a prepper is try to stay healthy and avoid as much of that stuff as possible. It's going to be really, really interesting to see what RFK Jr.,

if he's confirmed by the Senate, what he can get done, what he can get done and what he focuses his attention to, right? So there's what publicly, you know, the Secretary of Health and Human Services is doing, but behind the scenes, what can he do about fluoride? What can he do about the vaccinations, mRNA vaccinations? What can he do about studying the rates of autism? Because, you know, basically it hasn't been studied. That's why there's no proof of it, right? How effective will he be? That remains to be seen, but real opportunity for us to turn a corner, right? This is like going back to how meat packing plants in the late 1800s and 1900s, you know,

were run with zero inspection and zero safety and zero accountability for the health of the consumer. I'm going to be watching carefully. He has an opportunity for greatness in this arena and I'm rooting for him. Yeah. And if they fail here, may never get a chance like this again. I feel like there's a lot at stake all around, whether it's health, finances, geopolitics, the next year, the next two years, next four years, and beyond, but definitely next for this administration.

It's like you've got a great opportunity, and if it's squandered or really sabotaging, they can't push through. It's going to be hard to get back to where we are here. So you got to take advantage of it. Now, I think if anyone will do it, RFK is going to do his damnedest. Do you think he'll be confirmed or like what kind of real quick, maybe 30 seconds explain the confirmation process just for everybody. And do you think he'll be confirmed

or you think you know there'll be problems with him well constitution you know says that the senate confirms presidential appointees of a certain type cabinet secretaries right so and ambassadors and generals and you know things like that so So he has to go through that process. It's a checks and balance of our constitutional system. And I think anybody Trump ever nominates ever again gets the Kavanaugh treatment. The Democrats pull anything possible out to derail because then you get an acting secretary who, by statute, has many less authorities.

We're going to have to watch that coming up very soon as well. I guess we've got one more Patriot Power Hour at least planned between now and inauguration. And then there's going to be a lot of, like I said, a lot of news coming out immediately thereafter. Confirmations, policies, first 100 days. In fact, maybe that's a good segue. Unless you got any other news you wanted to hit on real quick. A couple of those predictions and questions are about what will Trump accomplish in the first 100 days.

So you ready for some predictions or anything else you wanted to hit on first? I'm ready for predictions, but for new listeners, how we do this, it's not going to be binary. It's not going to be yes or no. It's certainly not us rooting for any of this to happen. I want every single one of these indicators of threats to our, our prepper community and Americans that listen to this show and saying, here's, here's after, you know, several years of tracking the news on a consistent basis and discussing it weekly episode two 90 Patriot power hour. We do this.

We're, we're telling you our estimates on, you know, how confident we are that that bad thing is going to happen, but it's not the same as rooting for it or hoping it'll happen. Or, you know, if I say it's 30% chance, it's going to happen. Think about that. I don't think it's going to happen. You know, right. 70% chance.

I don't, I'm pretty sure it's not going to happen, but I'm giving a 30% rating because that's, that's how strong I sense that risk going into the new year. And, and Ben, you're going to give your assessment. We might differ at times, might agree at times. And again, it's a measuring stick next December. We're going to see how well we did. And again, I hope, I hope I'm wrong on all my percentages. I hope none of this happens. Well said. Well explained.

When we don't agree, I'll make note of it here on the visual part on this document. And this is the document we'll refer to at the midway point in June and then again at the very end of December 2025. Again, these predictions are through the end of December of 2025. So you ready for the first one? Yeah, let's do it. All right. Percent chance that there's an attempt on Trump's life that's made public.

So not like they find someone trying to poison him, cover it up, no one knows about it for 50 years. We're talking about Butler, PA, or some other at least public attempt on his life. It doesn't even have to be successful, but what percent chance do you give that? Every president has above zero. That's for sure. And I think the security apparatus around the president, when the president's in full control of it, right, and I'm pretty sure after Butler, Trump's going to go in and clean house in the Secret Service and put in place real security for himself. Not hard to do once you're the president.

You just start ordering it, and it'll happen, right? ordering it and it'll happen right so trump definitely has a higher chance than any democrat would to be assassinated by a lot how high that chance is now you know on the assumption he certainly is going to gain control of the secret service and the military the military can be ordered to augment the Secret Service when he travels internationally. You know, that Secret Service is there, but a whole lot more is concerned about where the president is, like the Air Force and the Army, and there's a lot to it. So 20% chance. Okay. And that 20% chance would have to be

when Trump does something, loses his judgment and orders his Secret Service to do something impromptu. Something that even on the assumption that the entire force is working as hard as it can to protect him

has a gap. And Trump, I can't imagine he's not wise enough to not let that happen. But given the amount of people that would be constantly trying to do it, and like you said, it's going to be classified and not discussed about if it was a failed attempt, right? Most likely, unless somebody gets shots off, maybe the better question is what are the chances anybody gets like shots off or a detonate something near him? Right. Like that, that percentage chance is a different question, but just that he gets assassinated.

I'll put it at 20. The risk is real. Okay. Well, I kind of wanted to split it in that way i put it at a little bit lower where it's like 15 or 20 percent chance that someone gets shots off or there's an explosion nearby but he's not even injured and then maybe you gotta you gotta pick a number man i'm going 15 going with 15%. Let's go. Okay.

All right. 15% of the attempts. You can't give a range yourself. I was kind of thinking through it, but I will – and that's actually what I like about these predictions. It makes us commit and put something on it. So I guess that means that I think it's less likely it's going to happen but i still think you know 20 chance which is still a fair well okay you said 20 chance he is killed is that what you said or 20 chance there would be shots fired

wait a minute your question is 20 what was was chance that he's assassinated nope that there was an attempt in a public a public attempt yeah yeah i'll stick with 20 okay i'm going there's that many people that want yeah obviously butler uh and several others after that i mean people are going to be coming after him. Whether he cleans house or not makes all the difference on whether they're successful. There's still a 10% chance that they're successful. Well, and this bakes that into it as well as natural causes or any other reason, I guess. Percent death or percent chance

Trump death, any cause. So it could be assassination or just he gets the flu. I don't know. Percent chance death, any cause. 10%. Nice. Okay. And again, it's not like we want this to happen. We're just trying to

analyze it. I was thinking more like 7%. So 10%, you know, you can't really fight against that. I would put it a little bit lower myself, but he is relatively old. On certain dimensions, he's old, but on the health dimension, much more seemingly in much better health than many others his age have. He might be the healthiest president at that age that we ever had. Reagan was pretty vigorous in the 70s, and he campaigned well. People saw him out.

He got shot. He got blown away in the street and came back from it. He was tough, right? But compared to Biden on just the personal health level, Biden had a much higher chance of dying in office. It doesn't seem like that's going to happen, but he looks frail to say the least. But on the security threat dimension, trump is order of magnitude more at threat than biden agree for sure and i was thinking of reagan myself when uh that would have counted as an attempt on reagan's life that was public for sure so it's not like these things have not

happened and there's been a few presidents killed and a few that have been shot or shot at a lot, to be honest. Even Roosevelt. Teddy, that is, right? So next up, gold greater than $3,000. That would be well above the all-time high. That would be about 40% higher than what it is right now. But hey, gold went up. I don't have the exact numbers in front of me, but gold went up quite a lot in 2024. So it actually would be more like 25% from here, not even 40%. So anyway anyway gold is sneaky high again had a great 2024 it is

two thousand six hundred and seventy dollars right now what's the percent chance it'll be above three thousand at the end of the year well let's let's think this through a little bit if if trump launches all kinds of new tariffs, what's that do to the dollar? That's a great question. We have to think through all the permutations. You want to do that? Yeah, I know you know this.

The dollar does what if tariffs get applied? If we're in trade wars, the strength of the dollar, it's dropping, right dropping right yeah in the aggregate yeah on the dxy in a basket of currencies measured again it happened the first trump term on the dxy so trump trump devalues the dollar and that what's that mean for gold that's the hard part that that part i'm to leave to you.

What kind of effect do I have on gold? Gold up in that case. Yeah, yeah. I'm going to go with where are we at tonight on price per ounce? It's actually at 2,670. Oh, I'm going. It's actually only 10 10 up yeah i'm going i'm going 90 chance we can see gold 3000 in 2025 i was totally misreading this it's not as high as it as it needed to go yeah only

10 from here so 90 chance gold appreciates at least 10 in 2025 says future dan you know this is the year i'm a little uh less bullish on precious metals than ever before which probably means it's the year it's going to really break out gold and silver i've been a huge buyer and supporter of for damn near 15 years at this rate at least 12 13 and it's languished most of the time however gold like i said kicked ass last year silver did okay we'll talk about that but gold and silver broken my heart a bit and i'm probably jaded because of bitcoin kicking ass so much over those years and i wish i had more bitcoin but i still love gold and silver but i'm putting this at 80 80 80 chance gold greater than 3k i think it could go up another 10 but there are things out there i could bring gold down in particular if bitcoin keeps demonetizing it a lot of people think folks are buying Bitcoin instead of gold

or even selling their gold to buy Bitcoin. That could continue. Or, I don't know, there's a lot of other potential scenarios out there, but obviously I think there's an 80% chance, 4 out of 5 chance, that gold goes up 10% in the next year. So that's a nice little buy. If you want to stack some gold, I think it's still at a good price. I'll tell you that.

Yeah. All right. Sometimes it's okay to have high percentage chances because we still have to verify that, right? We've got to check next December to see what went wrong in our analysis if it's not. Yeah, absolutely. There's been many times I thought gold would be above $2,500 or $3K,

and this is back when it was like $1,500. So I thought it would double in over a year or two, and it certainly didn't. But if it keeps the momentum of the last year, it might, especially if the lower interest rates or the dollar devalues a lot here's the flip of that gold less than 2000 meaning it gives up pretty much all its gains of the last 12 months 16 months so it can't be that it can't be that high for you because you think there's a 90 chance it's gonna be over 3. So what's the chance that it drops below 2K?

If it tanks, I'd say I'm going to go with the assumption we're facing big tariffs and the value of the dollar is going to really go down. So dollar denominated gold hitting 2,000, that's a low chance. I'll go with 15%. But you might have to revise your greater than 3K then because you got 90% there, but 15 here has to sum to 100. I don't think so. That would be a different case.

That would be a different case that would be a different case that you know other things happen I'm not sure that you know separately I can say there's a 15% chance it's going to be below 2000 and a 90% on the high side you could you'd be leaving some vig on the table

or paying both ways if it was a gambling market but you could i'm sick of them you'd be leaving some big on the table or paying both ways if it was a gambling market but you could do that technically oh i'm not that i'm gonna say only five percent chance so this is how i at least evaluate this eighty percent chance gold is greater than 3K 5% chance it drops below 2K and then the remaining 15% weighted average I think it could be between 2K and 3K there's a 15% chance of that I still think it's mostly going to the upside above 3K and so does future Dan though

Any more economic predictions um let's let's stick in the economic orientation keep keep keep all my thoughts together because they're all interrelated yeah i was gonna do silver but silver and you know silver and gold are somewhat related, although silver languished compared to gold. So I picked two dollar numbers here. First to start off, silver is right now at, where is it? 30 something. Yep. $30.09.

So the numbers I picked, not out of thin air, but silver $50, which would be all-time high. Silver did not hit all-time highs in the last year, whereas gold hit its all-time high and surpassed it by a good percent. But silver, $50, breaking its all-time high. What are you thinking? I'm thinking that silver is more plentiful. Operating silver mines is a well-understood industry. Silver has major industrial needs or satisfied industrial needs. they can mine it that you know so because the supply is i think stronger uh the chances of it hitting 50 or that's not very high that that's a 25 okay let's see here i'm gonna

i'm gonna say that silver would be hurt more by a recession or worldwide slowdown because a good portion of the demand, not all of it by any means, but a good portion is industrial and high tech. So if there's major tariffs, there's a trade war, there's a real war, or there's just a recession, global recession even, demand for that should go down some. Supply squeeze and how much supply there is is always an interesting topic. Those guys that sell silver online always saying they're running out of silver.

There always seems to be some more. I think I'm going to give silver greater than $50. Pretty much what you gave. I'm going to go a little lower. 20% for silver greater than $50, pretty much what you gave. I'm going to go a little lower, 20% for silver greater than $50. That would be quite an increase from $30 up to $50. Not double, but quite a lot. So 20% from me.

Yeah, I'm leaving in a scenario where the monetary system has a real crisis. So, you know, if fiat got doubted by a certain larger fraction of society internationally, you know, you could see a run on silver too. So the potential is always there. The potential is always there. And what I like to keep in mind is how Mad Max do you want to get about it if it's global thermonuclear war gives crap what your silver is worth. But if the banking system does collapse or there is large power outages or issues for a few weeks, let's not say for three years, but just a couple weeks, regional for a few weeks. Let's not say for three years, but just a couple weeks.

Regional, a few weeks. Having that silver, it's going to be valuable, maybe invaluable, to have that instead of digits on a screen in your 401k or bank account or even cash under the mattress. Look at the wildfires. Hopefully those folks didn't just have cash under the mattress look at the wildfires hopefully those folks didn't just have cash under the mattress so silver and this goes for gold silver bitcoin land preps in general you know you can value it in us dollar but if you actually really need it because stuff is hitting the fan or for rebuilding after stuff hits the fan you know uh it doesn't really matter how much

you bought it for. You know, you got some at least. What else you got, Ben? Silver less than $20. That's a much higher percentage chance. That could easily drop below $20 again. And I'll go with 45. Okay.

I'm going with 35%. I think it'll languish between 25 and 35 probably, so we'll see. All right. Bitcoin. Here we go. Bitcoin had an incredible 2024, one of its best years ever not on percentage terms though it's had even crazier years percentage but that was going from like one dollar to twenty dollars you know 20x you know now a double or triple is a little different so there's scale to this. But Bitcoin right now actually dipping a bit.

It's been pretty damn volatile since Christmas. Up above $102K, but as low as $91K. No one ever said it'll be an easy ride on Bitcoin. I think it's a good buying opportunity. But point is, Bitcoin's all-time high, $, 108,000 about a month and a half ago. It hit 102,000 as recently as a few days ago. But right now it's at 92,000. So the prediction category or the range, Bitcoin over 150,000,

which means 40%, 50% higher than the all-time high. And not doubling from where it is right now, but 80%, 75%. So Bitcoin, 150K. What do you think? Oh, that's a high percentage chance. All Trump has to do is talk up a strategic Bitcoin reserve and not even do it but just really almost get close to do it

and that would definitely bring us to $150 and I think he's going to do it so let's go with a 90% chance wait a minute maybe $85 that's the best bet I've ever heard but i like it 85

i am and i'm not trying to reverse speak this into existence that much i'm gonna go a little less than that i'm gonna say like 60 because i do believe there's a lot of scenarios out there where there's a market crash or big time recession, right? And the stock market's down 20, 30, 40%. And Bitcoin also drops 40 or 50% short term or medium, you know, for a month or two. Then it bounces back and hits 150k you know three four five six months after that when there's massive bailouts and printing of money but anyway i think there's a decent chance that uh bitcoin could hit 70 60 50k sometime in 2025

but then go up to 150k and maybe by this year maybe it would take until 2026 or something so anyway 60 is what i'm going with okay okay last at least at last like price prediction type thing there might be a couple economic things but we're going to get into other topics as well but bitcoin less than 60k so dropping by 30 plus percent from where it is right now oh i think that's probably uh 75 chance this is a very volatile very very volatile so well i can do both i hit both 60 and 150 this year okay that's a great distinction is whether it ends at that number or if it touches that number at any point during the year. That's actually, I guess we didn't really specify. I'm looking at, like, what is the price at the very end.

But I get where you're coming from. For the record, my predictions on gold and silver was it touches that. I wasn't quite sure what you meant. Dang. That's what I meant. That's all right. We're teleprompter free here. That's why I was like, hmm, all potential outcomes have to add to 100%.

But now if we're talking about just touching it, I'm thinking more at the very end of the year. But, hey, we'll keep that in mind i'll make a note of that both ways are interesting actually so both ways to look at these things especially these prices so we'll keep that in mind you said what what again 90 percent yeah i think it's hitting 150 at 90 percent and it's at 75% on your low end. Okay. So that means have that dry powder ready to go.

Get some orders set up in your exchange. So when it hits 60, 70K, you'll be able to buy it quick automatically. All right. I'm going to say, and again again mine is where does it end although maybe i think retroactively i might go in there and give my thoughts on the volatility but i'm gonna say if it ends less than 60k like 15 15 possible though all right all right here we go let's uh here's a couple economic ones a failure of a top 10 u.s bank top what 10 how high top 10 i'll even pull up the top 10 banks by reserves let's call it deposit

banks not investment banks yeah i was gonna ask for that i'd like to hear some names to make this call okay top 10 u.s commercial not investing top 10.S. commercial banks by reserves, I believe would be the best way to do that. Federalreserve.gov. There we go. You ready for this? I'll name all 10 super quick. All right.

Will one of these fail? Wow. They're pretty big ones, so this would be huge if one of these failed. Holy cow. JP Morgan. I'll read their deposits. Why is that? 2.6 trillion. Bank of America, 2.4 trillion. Citibank, 1 trillion. So Bank of America and

JP Morgan are so much bigger than anybody else. Wells Fargo, 1.6 trillion. So they're actually the third biggest. U.S. Bank, $661 billion. Goldman Sachs, the commercial side of them, $490 billion. These are domestic assets only, by the way. PNC Bank, $555 billion. Truist Bank, $515 billion. Capital One, $485 billion. Truist Bank, $515 billion. Capital One, $483 billion. And TD Bank, $399 billion. I think chances of one of them coming apart at the seams this year is low

because I don't think any one of them can come apart at the seams this year is low because I don't think any one of them can come apart at the seams without them all having significant systemic risk risk since 2008, some point in time before 2008, the, you know, banking power consolidated to the point where, you know,

it's one very fragile system. On the assumption that there won't be a collapse under Trump, it'll be a controlled demolition by nefarious actors internationally and domestically, I think that the chances of doing that this year on Trump are very low because during a banking crisis and an emergency like that, Congress would have to act. And if Congress acted, that would give Trump a lot of power that his political opponents can't afford to ever let him have. Because with that kind of power, emergency power in the economic and financial arena, he could get a lot of Trump policies entrenched. They don't want that. So these 10 banks, they're going to do everything they can to paper over any problems they got until, just like at the end of George W. Bush's term, it can all come apart at the seams and blame it on your political enemy. mid to late 2027, early 2028, is going to be much higher than the number I'm going to give you right now for 2025.

I think the chances in 2025 are about 10% chance, and that's accounting for a scenario where no one can rig it. Something happens that spirals the banking system out of control, and it's truly reacting to market forces in a very, very negative way. But I think this regime of banking, the banksters, as you like to say them, have this thing wired up well enough to prevent it from happening until it's valuable for it to happen for them. Well said. I don't think I can say it better, and I have the same number, 10%. It's almost like those 10 banks I named are the only ones that are going to survive. It's the other 400 below them that will be consolidated up to the top 10 or top 20 if stuff hits the fan, and there will be tons of bailouts and all that as well.

That 10%, I agree, is also black swan. They actually lose control. There actually is just such a contagion in the credit market that they can't control. in the credit market that they can't control and that's that's always possible but the machinery is a lot more haunted with ghosts nowadays than ever with all the debt and all the machination going on so uh 10 i think is very fair yeah and if it does happen this year, that's dangerous because they've lost control. Yes, yes. Very much related, $1 trillion with a T, as in Tony, $1 trillion or more in bailouts. Now, I didn't specify banks or corporations.

It could be, you know, like the big auto got bailed out and stuff like that but one trillion or more in bailouts by the u.s government in 2025 of the banking sector of any sector and this could be stimulus checks this could be any sort of pretty much the government charging a trillion dollars to a credit card and distributing it, whether to the banks or to the people or a combination of thereof. Boy, I don't know how that happens without a banking crisis. So it's hard to not. Who else could get a bailout of that size?

So COVID, they definitely did this. And in fact, they did it in March 2023 with the Silicon Valley Bank. It was all that combined was just about a trillion worth of bailouts and extensions and consolidations. Now, a lot of that was lines of credit. So maybe that one would not qualify, but COVID. Now, a lot of that was lines of credit, so maybe that one would not qualify. But COVID certainly would in a lot of ways. So you can also just think of it as COVID, bailouts, and the Paycheck Protection Program. That was so many billions of dollars.

A lot of fraud there, too, by the way. But $1 trillion in bailouts by the u.s government we'll have to define it later maybe a little better i'm gonna go with low again i i think uh that that grants too much power to the president and they want to keep him as powerless as possible during his term. So on the assumption that this stuff is coordinated and controlled to a large degree, I think I'll go with maybe a little higher than 10%, 15%. Okay, 15%. I'm going 20%.

It's a little bit higher. Because I presume you agree with me that if there's a failure of a top 10 U.S. bank, then there's going to obviously be $1 trillion in bailouts. So that takes care of a good portion of it right there. But I can see other situations where bailouts, stimulus package, other stuff like that, maybe even a massive natural disaster where they just need to... I'm not even really counting how much the government will send out to California, but I guess you could, but I'm not even counting that. I don't think most people consider federal funding of disaster relief a bailout.

That's fair, so we'll keep that in mind when we calculate the tab later on. A bailout to me is saving a business that would otherwise go out of business because of the economy. It's basically the government funding failure. Yep. Or, you know, the COVID bailouts and stuff like that. So, all right. I have a little bit higher i think you know it's self-evident that there's if there's a banking crisis where top 10 bank is gonna fail

or does fail easily be more than 1 trillion it might be 5 trillion to be honest but i think there's still other scenarios out there where maybe a top 10 bank's not collapsing, but a bunch of top 50, top 100-type banks are failing. In the aggregate, a trillion is needed, for example. I got you. Let's do these two kind of in tandem. I did do them separately. Well, they're very much related. Anywhere in the world, there's a weapon of mass destruction terror attack.

So I guess terror attack would be on civilians. Is that how we would define that? Yeah, well. Go ahead. Yeah, well, the general conception of a terrorist attack as – when that word became widely used was the plane hijackings, the PLO plane hijackings of the 70s, 60s, 70s, right? Trying to change public opinion, trying to change the decision-making of civilian leadership of Western democracies through terrorizing civilians. I mean, that, that, and then later it got extended so that everybody who's your opponent is a terrorist and diluted to sort of a meaningless term. Right. But, you know, that's what most people originally thought terrorism is.

A weapon of mass destruction is another term that can be stretched so that something much smaller than was originally conceived of WMD is now getting called that, like a truck bomb that killed 500 or 1,000 people somehow. Is that a weapon of mass destruction? Is that a weapon of mass destruction? Well, to the local police dealing with it, it is. In the context of relative to the ultimate WMD, a hydrogen bomb, it's not. So I'm going to go with an event where tens of thousands are killed to be a weapon of mass destruction. are killed to be weapon of mass destruction. So if you set that boundary, then the chances of it happening worldwide this year, boy,

that's probably higher than ever. And it's probably on the order of 20%. And it's still low. And the reason why is employing nuclear weapons, that is an act of war that you can't do it against an opponent that has the ability to strike back with nukes. You can, but it's mutually assured destruction, so it hasn't happened. So it's a pretty strong axiom that I'm a believer in. A nuclear-armed country striking an unarmed, nuclear-armed nation, I think it's pretty low. And some private actor, a nefarious underground black operation to just get one, still very difficult, very, very difficult. A lot of policing power dedicated to preventing it, too, everywhere.

So where could it happen, though, most likely? Somehow Iran decides they've had enough and used it and would result in the destruction of Iran. But got to be concerned about that regime in Tehran getting pushed to a radicalized point where they decide to do it. Other potential scenarios. So first off, you put 20%, right? I do. Okay. I'm going to go a little lower, 15%.

I think other scenarios besides, of course, nuclear war, hopefully, don't see that at all. But sports games, biological and chemical attacks on sports games would be something that's, I feel like it would be pretty tough for them to prevent. Hopefully they could and can. So thousands dead at large, large gatherings, whether it's aerosol-sprayed chemicals or biological warfare, or a dirty bomb in Central Park or on the Strip in Las Vegas during tourist season or whatever.

So anywhere in the world, weapon of mass destruction, terror attack, which I'm going to, I guess my qualifications are what I consider Weapon of Mass Destruction. I guess Truck Bomb certainly could be Oklahoma City, WMD, but I'm thinking more nuclear, biological, chemical, NBC guy style. Dirty Bombs, biological, chemical, hopefully not an actual suitcase nuke a real nuke so 15 for me so that's in the world what about in the u.s just same thing but on u.s soil uh that's around uh two percent chance okay and i noticed with all the memes that I went through that you collected over the years, the very strong tendency to have memes that criticize the surveillance state, and for good reason. However, that surveillance state is there for that purpose.

Any communication you got is scooped up, and if it's deemed international in nature, it's able to be reviewed for this sort of thing. So ask yourself after September 11th. I mean, I am a believer that there was an al-Qaeda, and they wanted to do that, and they were probably puppets. Nevertheless, they wanted to do it. puppets nevertheless they wanted to do it but after september 11th how could how come they never succeeded again because the surveillance state was very very much on the watch out for that so right i'm putting that at two percent okay i'm putting it i'm gonna go a little higher than 4%. So not super high, but all considered, that's really high, 4%. That's once every, like, what, 25 years? If you think of it that way, you know.

Yeah, that might not necessarily be sound, And that might not necessarily be sound, but in any point in time, you have a security apparatus to prevent that. And as long as that doesn't let down, it doesn't matter how many years, it didn't let it down. So it's going to be as strong as it can be, but it can never be perfect. You know, it's going to be as strong as it can be, but it can never be perfect. Someone could eventually figure out a way, a lone wolf could figure out a way to cobble together enough. And again, in my book, you've got to probably have 10,000 or more casualties to be mass in my book. All right.

We're nearing one hour, but I think we're kicking ass. We only got about five more of these to go through, maybe a little bit more, but not much. How about let's finish off the economic real quick. We did a lot of economic on this. I am the breaker banksters, so I am a little biased, but I think economics will be huge in the next few years so these uh all right first off we talked about tariffs already on polymarket those listening

probably know about polymarket we talked about it a little bit it's been in the news a lot with the election etc the next few questions are also on Polly market. So I kind of stole them from there beforehand. It was all free thinking freestyle, but these ones go well with Patriot power hour and there's a betting market on it. So we already have what the betting market says. So here we go. Trump imposes a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada. So we're not even talking about China here. 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada. What do you think?

There's probably a 100% chance that he threatens it. And I think the chances that he has to do it before he gets concessions mean that the chance of it actually happening are pretty low. But some of these countries might just stand up and see if they can rally world opinion against Trump and let the inflation that is inevitable, right? You know, you're not going to be able to import things that you otherwise could at low prices if that happens,

and that means inflation. So 25% chance or 25% tariff on both of those countries actually going into effect, that's the question? Yep. You know, Trump might play the chicken too. I'll go with 30% chance. Low, but definitely in the realm of very conceivable. So the poly market has it at 25% chance.

I'm going to have it at 20%, so i'll go a little lower i think pretty unlikely for mexico and canada maybe one maybe just mexico but china is a whole different story i think i think it's very likely or a lot lot higher at least so but um whether it's 20 25 or%, that's something we'll easily be able to check at the end. And maybe we'll know by June even. So 30% for you, 20% for me, and the market's right in the middle there. Yep. All right. Trump deports $750,000 or more by the end of the year.

50,000 or more by the end of the year. And does that include self-deportations or are we talking about actual in custody of our federal government and escorted out of the country? Which is... I probably should go read the fine print on Polymarket. I interpret this, but if you're actually betting on this, you should do more than just have your own personal interpretation. I'm not going to actually pull it up right now, although I could.

But I'm going to say it actually, deportations that go through the system, so not people just leaving the country, self-deportation. I'm considering this actually being in custody and bused or flown or I don't know how else they get them out of there, but there you go. So, if Trump declares an emergency, the powers afforded him in this regard are going to be very difficult to challenge in court. You know, first time in our history, you know, some aspect of presidential powers, you know, gets questioned and it goes to the Supreme Court. We all know the Supreme Court's probably going to rule in favor of Trump's policies, right? So unless Trump and his team trips it up and does something in a way that, you know, some of those conservative Supreme Court justices just can't abide it.

It's just totally out of line with federal law, and he just can't do that. As long as he stays within the lines that the law allows, I'm giving that a 90% chance. That's not a lot of people. people. And there would also be enough to provoke four, five, six, maybe 10 times the number in self-deportations. It won't be worth it to be here. Another aspect is you don't have to deport people if you just start going after the employers, right? Just send out the federal bureaucracy to really, enforce you know verification of u.s citizenship to work that right there is going to massive amount more people are going to leave based upon the fact that they can't get a job because they ever got in anybody's custody absolutely i think that's those 89 000 extra extra IRS, 87,000 maybe.

All those agents would be great for that. Get away from me. Go check them out. Get those employers. Make sure they're following the regulations and paying proper payroll taxes on them, etc. All right. Good stuff. So you said 90% for 750K.

I'm going a little lower i'm gonna go 40 because i think it'll be just now over his entire administration i think it's definitely over 750k but in one year especially that first year very possible i'm saying 40 poly market says 33 so hey maybe you can go make some bets there make some big money i'm not gonna actually do that not a betting man myself in that regard does polyguard demand i give them my identity to do that i don't know you probably could deposit using bitcoin so that's somewhat anonymous or pseudo anonymous uh i don't know. You probably could deposit using Bitcoin. So that's somewhat anonymous or pseudo-anonymous. I don't know if you require – I don't think they would require a driver's license or ID. Probably need an email. Hard to know for sure, but I don't know.

We're looking if you want. I'm pretty sure there's tax implications, so I'm pretty sure that the answer is yes. So I'm pretty sure I'm going to forego giving just one more company that will sell or lose my identity the opportunity to bet on it. But if I could do it anonymously, I'd take that bet right now. All right. A few more. Let's power through it. Trump ends Ukraine war in the first 90 days.

A truce? A ceasefire? Yep. Is that an end of the war? Has the Korean war ended? Right? So, that was in the details.

But a truce and a ceasefire? Ceasefire that's relatively stable, like kind of at the end of the Korean War, there were still incidences. But, you know, and casualties and people killed. But, you know, minor skirmishing in places. But generally, they're clamped down on by all the powers. I think it might take a peacekeeper force. Going to have to put some foreign troops in between and going to have to be forces that Russia will accept, not NATO forces.

Can that happen in 90 days? Low chance. Low, low chance. Those two sides are bitter. Those two sides lost a lot of people. And neither side is that, you know, like at the point where, you know, the Axis powers were at the end of World War II where they just have to capitulate, right?

There's no total victory On either side More like the Korean War Maybe similar to like Pakistan and India You know Trump did something that Putin said Okay I'll accept that

And Putin could take the opportunity to do it and and so there's always that chance i still think in 90 days to get that to calm down to a truce and a siege fire is less than 50 i'd go with 40 but if you ask me by the end of next December, the chance, that estimate will go a lot higher. I think in 12 months, that could settle down in 90 days, less than 50-50, that can happen. I'll go with 40%. There you go. I will show it on screen for those watching the video. There you go.

I will show it on screen for those watching the video. The polymarket did define a ceasefire, an armistice, etc. as ending the Ukraine war. So that's the premise. Polymarket has it at 30%. You have it at 40%. I think 30% is probably just about right. I hate to match the polymarket, but I'm going to 30%. For all the reasons you said.

Now, Trump can cut a bunch of funding and maybe calm it down a lot, or at least stop it from escalating. But actually getting the ceasefire by April, they have the date here. I was like, holy cow, that is very short when you look at it that way. 90 days sounds like a lot, but April 19th? Like, even if he started right now, April 19th sounds hard, but he still would have another week or two. Maybe he's working on the background at it.

Hopefully he is. So, yeah, polymarket, 31%, 30%. I'm going to match that. You're going to be a little higher at 40 yeah there's also the europeans they can keep funding and supporting ukraine and rejecting the entire thing regardless of what the united states and russia want to have happen so sure yeah all right this is actually a little bit economic so i got out of order but it is what it is um i don't even know if we need to make a prediction per se but we could i'll start with

polymarket has this at 85 chance that the u.s national debt surpasses 38 trillion right now it's at like 36.2 or something so they say 85 chance u.s national debt will be higher than 38 trillion by the time we're doing our final show in 24 or excuse me in 2025 yeah so this year if there's a return to the 2017 Trump tax cuts, if that happens, we're definitely going to 38. I'll take the over. But even the regulatory state and the pressure it puts on business and forcing business, the IRS going after delinquent tax accounts, that's all going to be weakened under Trump, mostly because it just won't be funded and the right people will be put in places to kind of ease off in the economy, let the growth happen, like bring us back on the Laffer curve. Meanwhile, you know, we're not paying the debt. So I'm going over 85. I'm going to have a 90% chance we hit $38 trillion. With the rate we're going, that seems very reasonable.

I know, right? I'm going to go 90% as well. I'll match you there. Higher than the polymarket. And the tariffs that Trump proposes that will be collected, to offset that, I'm not sure that approach is sound, right? I'm a free trader at heart. I believe that free trade strengthens nations that can be traded with.

Communist regimes, they cannot be fairly traded with. We never should have made that mistake with China or many other autocracies. Even the Asian democracies, Korea, Japan, just centralize and collude within their markets so much that they gain advantages. I believe in free trade. The mercantilist approach, this idea that the United States is never richer than when it had high tariffs. I think tariffs are a tool to get concessions from allies and should be used in that way. But in the long run, it's going to blow up the deficit. It's going to blow up the debt. I think you can't say it much better than that.

It's going to absolutely result in what they call dead weight loss meaning just waste and lack of wealth on both sides but it is a tool and it's i mean it's a trade war it's really what it is so not something you want to engage in long term but if you do it the right way and by the way a lot of these other countries already have tariffs on us or other unfair practices and we've just been taking it on the chin so not saying always punch the bully back but sometimes you gotta have your own self-respect you know what i mean so i don't know i don't i'm a free trade guy too, but it's not that simple. China invades Taiwan.

Yeah, boy. I think the chances as soon as Trump steps into office are way, way lower than they have been for the last four years because one thing that China can count on is Trump will order the U.S. Navy and Air Force to defend Taiwan. And I'm not sure if that conventional defense couldn't be accompanied with the marshes, which are government-to-government secret communications that warn the other party that if this happens, then we're going to do this. And that's how, you know, in the early phases of something that's leading to nuclear war, that's going to happen. Warnings are going to be made that if you do that, you know, expect to have X, Y, and Z nuked, including every Chinese submarine that we know and we find. We're just going to use those kind of weapons. You won't have a submarine fleet. That's what's

going to happen, China, if you don't stop invading right now. So BMO, pull the levers of that power and get the right generals and admirals in place that are ready and thinking about, power and getting the right generals and admirals in place that are ready and thinking about, hey, this is how we're going to have to do this to stop an invasion of Taiwan. I think that that's in place with Trump in office, and China must know that, right? So chances of an invasion, it wouldn't happen unless something so terrible happened in the United States. We were in such, such disarray, so distracted and unable to respond. In that case, the dragon's going to leap right into that island if they think they can get away with it. But barring that, barring some other great calamity in the united states happening at the same time

chances of an invasion for taiwan is probably like i'll go with seven percent okay hey i got me got me convinced the way i look at it if wanted to hit, they would have by now. So they may as well just wait a few more years until after Trump's presidency to go for it at this point and build up. Because they are on a trajectory where as time goes on, they have a better and better chance of, at least from what I've seen. I'm not in the Pentagon briefs. But everything I've seen is as time goes on, China actually has a better chance of being successful. So if they wait five, 10, 15 more years,

it actually, they may have a better chance. So maybe, maybe they're going to see this as a window is closed. Let's just, uh, well, first off, they got a lot of their own internal problems. They got to deal with that might make them more likely to lash out. But I think you put 7%. I'm going to go just making a nice round 10%. But I think in previous years I've put it at like 20%. So half the chances the last year or two for the reasons you outlined mostly. Did you catch some of what is supposedly in the manifesto of the former Green Beret

that set off the Cybertruck in front of Trump's Vegas resort? Did you hear some of what he claims is happening? he claims is happening a little bit with regard to anti-grav devices in china having them over the top just like they have their balloons as a flex and to collect intel that type of stuff and also the ability to carry like a massive payload okay and apparently being able to arrive in locations and hover above them and you above them with apparently nothing that could be done about it. And apparently we've had that capability, and now it's essentially the same idea. Manhattan Project, we had the bomb. We dropped out of Japan, and for a short period of time, we were the only ones with it.

But then the Soviet Union caught up. And if this has happened and if these are real, what I would say is mutually assured destruction just got more cemented, more firm. have a great power, ever fighting a great power with this capability, are even lower than before. In a sense, because if that exists and if there's parity in it, then it's absolutely inconceivable for either government to go to war with each other, because either government and all of its seats of power and all of its secret locations and all of its redundant continuity of operation locations could be just obliterated. You don't even have to steer a missile there now. So no proof that any of that is real. But cigar-shaped UFOs, big black triangles, been reported for a long, long time. That's the end of the predictions for the day future dan great show anything else you wanted to hit on predictions or otherwise a little bit exotic at the end there but let's circle back you know nbc news is reporting that fluoride lowers

iqs and 10 years ago most people you knew wouldn't believe it, would have scoffed at it, wouldn't have treated it seriously. Yet, here we are. So anti-gravity warships, very easily in my mind, that technology could be something that's mainstream and well-acknowledged in the near future. and that's mainstream and well-acknowledged in the near future. Trump did say in his first term that he was briefed on basically super weapons that were amazing, and he didn't go further than that, right? But I don't think gravity is the gravitational forces or one of the areas of physics that the theoretical physicists will tell you, at least up until now, has been the least understood aspect of physics, natural forces. economic implications for being the first country to introduce some kind of ability at first transport secret weapon systems but then come out

in the clean and be able to move commerce. Think about what we might be on the cusp of in that regard. Alright, great show. Season's off to a nice start. Year off to a nice start. 290 in the books. Future Dan will be back next week, hopefully live. But no matter what, we're going to make sure we get shows in the podcast format.

So be sure to check that out wherever you get it. to check that out wherever you get it. And hey, actually, before we leave, I wanted to do a quick plug for Prepper Broadcasting Network. Where was it? Gosh, I had it here. Fallen apart at the end. No, here we go.

Prepper-Broadcasting-Network. Right there, you can see the URL. Not only can you find our shows here, but everybody else is on the network. And really, you know, it's great to watch the video that we're going to have, but hey, I know a lot of folks listen to podcasts. Wherever you find your podcasts, just search Prepper Broadcasting Network.

You'll find our show and a bunch of others on the network featured in. Awesome. Yep. looking forward to it looking forward to this year this season and um looking forward to finding out how where we end up on those predictions but i hope i'm wrong on any percent that i predict on any single one of those maybe not gold all-time high or silver all-time high but i might be able to live with that. As long as it doesn't come with a complete collapse of the banking system with it. I like that. Yeah, I don't want the banking system collapse,

but I'm prepping for it. Alright, folks, we're out of here. We'll be back next week. Patriot Power Hour signing off. Thank you.