The Prepper Broadcasting Network - Patriot Power Hour #363 - Fall Season Opener

Episode Date: September 25, 2026

Each week on Patriot Power Hour, Ben ‘The Breaker of Banksters’ and Future Dan explore the latest Liberty, Security, Economic & Natural news, providing the situational awareness needed to execute your preparedness plans. Questions, Feedback, News Tips, or want to be a Guest? Reach out!Ben “The Breaker of Banksters” @BanksterBreaker on XFuture Dan@FutureDanger6 on XBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/prepper-broadcasting-network--3295097/support.Head to bepreparedsolutions.co/partner/pbn, or use code PBN20 when you sign up to get 20% off their incredible preparedness tools, custom plans, and LOCAL INTELLIGENCE. STOP THE ADS! Become a PBN Supporter for just $5 a month and get exclusive podcasts just for supporters. BECOME A SUPPORTER The Prepper's Medical Handbook Build Your Medical Cache – Welcome PBN FamilyJoin the Prepper Broadcasting Network for expert insights on #Survival, #Prepping, #SelfReliance, #OffGridLiving, #Homesteading, #SelfSufficiency, #Permaculture, #OffGrid solutions, and #SHTF preparedness. With diverse hosts and shows, get practical tips to thrive independently – subscribe now!Newsletter – Welcome PBN FamilyGet Your Free Copy of 50 MUST READ BOOKS TO SURVIVE DOOMSDAYSupport PBN with a Donation 

I email you, should I put this on your action item list? Oh, look. You decide your own level of involvement. We are the Prepper Broadcasting Network. Are now listening to the Patriot Power Hour, the newest show of the Prepper Broadcasting Network. This live episode features the situational awareness you need to practice self-reliance and independence.

Introducing your hosts, Ben, the Breaker of Banksters, and Future Dan, the editor of Future Danger. Patriot Power Hour live once more. Episode 363. It's the fall season opener, fall 2026 seasonal opener today. Ben the breaker bankers here with Future Dan. Future Dan, we got a lot of news, but I will say this. Normally we will take a week off between seasons, but we ain't doing it this week.

what's your feel for the upcoming quarter, the final calendar quarter of 2026, more or less dangerous than what we just saw in the summer quarter? Good question. I felt like summer was a little unhinged, but nothing really blew up too badly. But I felt unstable throughout the summer, right? But it held together. There were no riots. That was something we've pointed out multiple times.

but from an economic standpoint, I'm feeling more dangerous heading into the fall. Other aspects, I don't really feel like it's going to be more dangerous, but I'm not saying it's going to be less dangerous either. Escalations in Ukraine, Eastern NATO, Iran, other Middle East theaters,

China, Taiwan, Korea. You're not seeing this far. quarter any more or less dangerous in your view? I feel like we hit new high water marks on most of those throughout the summer, but it's sort of plateaued for lack of a better term, but it's not plateaued at a safe level, so it'll maintain the danger. Will the next step or two happen in any of those theaters of war or other topics?

We'll find out. But, you know, from the natural news right now is fairly quiet, not seeing massive hurricanes. We're not seeing massive wildfires anymore. We're not seeing viruses. The wars, they seem like they could pop off at any time. But we've already hit such high watermarks with Iran. And honestly, with Ukraine, it would have to get really serious to escalate. Otherwise, it's more of the same, which is still dangerous, but not like another level. But financially, though, we're hitting new high watermarks as we're talking right now. So that's why I'm focused on it. Yeah. Yeah, that's true. It's, it's, it's, it's,

fall and we i don't know maybe it's in the national psyche to worry about october all the back to 1929 right now worry about that fall lots of bad financial crises seem to have span through a fall if they didn't start there right so we'll get to that news in due time to black red on black stuff hitting the fan grade one indicators to talk about um but before we do i wanted to ask you catch that report of a IRGC commander, I think in eastern, maybe southeastern Iran, getting attacked and killed just yesterday. No, just another dead IRGC commander. What's special about this one? That his own people did it, or so is.

All right, that is different. Some internal strife. Yeah. that that looks like Green Bray mission to me or somebody is doing the same thing you know liberating the

threat getting in there and teaching and standing up and operating with indigenous forces right that's what their mission is either you're doing it in a country to preserve the internal defense or you're doing it in a country to

undermine that state's internal defense and I haven't seen an IRGC commander shot and killed in a firefight in the hinterland since this war started. So I'd suggest keep an eye on that. All right. Definitely worth keeping an eye on, like you said. Well, you know, speaking of Iran, it continues. That war does continue.

And we do have, you know, more movement, though, through the Strait of Horm moves, even though, it's caused some problems i mean i don't know the longest period without either side hitting each other since i haven't i haven't seen it i haven't seen the u.s strike anything in a week have you yeah i think it's been like a week or two which i guess is about as long since god without which is a good sign

it is yeah it's a form of progress one could say I think the president met the Iranians at the UN security, you know, annual meeting in New York. So it's, we've seen worse weeks on that front. But it all depends. How deeply did the Iranian regime get fractured, right? A lot of people believe that's just all these IRGC, you know, know, not really in a chain of command, kind of just controlling territory, warlords controlling territory around the country.

So I'm, I'm watching to see if that gets picked apart this fall. Well, that might be the perfect segue. And we're going to review this the second half of the show because we're going to do our news dashboard first. But it is the opening of the fall season. And we're going to take a look at the 2026 prediction dashboard. and see how we're looking. One decision we have to determine has the Iran regime collapsed yet

because we said there was a 45% chance it would back in January. In June, we said a 70% chance by end of the year it would collapse. The question is here in September 24th, 2026 has it collapse and or will it collapse by December 31st? So that and another 20 predictions or 19 other predictions to make it 20 total is what we'll review in the second half. But I figure we might as well hit this one right now. Yeah, we're doing quarterly check-ins on our predictions. When we started predictions, we were doing it like at the finale of the season opposite, summer and winter. I guess now we're elevating our game on this episode, aren't we?

Quarterly, minimal. I actually keep track. I try to run it once a month or every six to eight weeks, myself, just because I want to see. Of course, this started with you jotting down our predictions by hand during a show. And now we're completely AI enabled. So you can see the productivity gain there, right? Yes, just because if only the mistakes I make from handwriting things that cannot be read.

because my handwriting is so bad. That by itself is massive on the margin gains from AI. All right, all right. So he map dashboard and then we'll check in on our predictions. Let's do it. All right. All righty then. Let us do it if you're watching on Rumble or on X the video.

Follow along with us. If you're listening, hey, shout out on the podcast. Go check out some of our videos. if you want to kind of read along with us, check out the dashboard with us. FutureDanger.com, future danger.com. Here we go. Let's be, as I tell the AI, be pithy. Be pithy with it.

All right. We'll start. We're just going to go left or right. Column one through four. So here we go. DOJ charges 16 individuals for election crimes under elections are stolen. Green card given to immigrant months before she illegally voted. in the 2024 election.

Meanwhile, DHS investigating 1,620 non-citizen voter fraud cases. Vice Chair Wisconsin Democrat Latino Caucus was fired after exposed as a child sex offender. Yep. The vice chair of the Wisconsin Democrat Latino Caucus, child sex offender. Man at risk of losing $95,000. Lane for transporting unopened six-pack. The Supreme Court

excessive fines. All right. Let's move on to geopolitics and domestic security as well. Russian military helicopter violates Polish airspace. Fighter jets are scrambled. Three South Korean troops were injured by an explosion inside the DMZ. This type of accident could be dangerous if it was an accident. U.S. shipment of F-35s from Australia goes missing. Yeah.

U.S. shipment of F-35s from Australia goes missing and shocking detour to Hong Kong. Family tied to suspected Chinese spy gave millions to California politicians. foreign black ops being exposed right now. And more information on the diverted F-35 stealth fighter parts in Hong Kong. China's taken

possession of those F-35 parts. I'm sure they just love having that. We'll see how this works out. Saudi striking back against Yemen after Ansar Allah attack on Riyadh. It is no longer Riyadh season.

Economics. Shth F right now, Red Alert, 10-year treasury yield, the de facto price of money up to levels. Not seen since 2006. And that was an ShtF level

article just yesterday. But today, We saw another 10 basis points in one single day. So interest rate went from 5.10 to 5.20% in a single day, which is flashing SHTF. Of course, treasury rates and all other rates and the entire price of money across the universe, the known universe at least. Going up 30-year bond yield rises to the highest since 2004.

We're also seeing mortgage rates above 7%. Diesel new record above $6.50 a gallon of diesel just a couple, a few weeks ago was $6 a gallon. And we were complaining $6.50. Gas at about 4 and a quarter. So gasoline continues to go up. Oil continues to go up. But it's actually diesel that's going up almost at a 2 to 1 pace relative to those others. Fewer stocks carrying the market than any time since the dot-com peak, pretty much the stock market is concentrated in just a few hands and a few companies, more like, not just the investors, but the actual firms and companies out there.

Yeah, it's the only a few are doing very well. everyone else is puttering along or doing poorly. That's called concentration and hasn't been like that since the dot-com peak. So now we're going back to 1999-2000. What happened around then? Big time crash. Just thereafter.

Although no named hurricanes in the Atlantic this year, we do have a few storms popping up here. towards the end of September here in our fourth column. Tropical storm approaching Hawaii. That's not in the Atlantic, obviously. But Hawaii was already hit and had some power outages a couple weeks ago. And now another one is approaching that could hit a hurricane level. In New England, a nor'easter is forming some flooding and damage expected,

but all considered a regional event that's, hey, You'll be glad you're a prepper if your power goes out for a week, but it doesn't look like it's going to be extremely serious and life-threatening. If you take precautions, an AI helps discover a novel enzyme system, adding on to other discoveries and improvements from the raw power of AI. Pennsylvania measles cases near an 800. An asteroid.

It was so close to hitting Earth. It was only 120th or 5% of the distance between Earth and the moon. I mean, Earth and the moon are far away, but in the grand scheme of things, not really. And only 5% of that, you know? This wasn't a dinosaur killer asteroid, but let's just say there's a lot of stuff out there, flying left, right, and center. Got to keep our eyes open. That's it.

Future Dan. the newsblitz for today, September 24th, 2026, where do you want to start? Yeah, you want to talk about the guy's plane that got seized by Alaska for transport and beer? I bet you, I'm kind of curious

to look at the archive if that's ever been, if that's the only headline example or it's the worst that's ever been there. Mm-hmm. Absolutely. So in Alaska, this guy has a plane. that we're, you know, value at about $95,000, trying to bring beer into a dry community.

Flying as a, this goes back to 2012, so it took 14 years really to work its way to the Supreme Court, but here we are flying from Fairbanks to Beaver, where alcohol is prohibited. The passenger had 72 cans of beer in her luggage, Most were boxed, but a six-pack was visible in a grocery bag.

So they're trying to essentially say this is drug smuggling, beer smuggling. And not only he got three days in jail, $1,500 fine, but much, much worse. Alaska law requires forfeiture of his airplane worth $95 grand. So the Alaska Supreme Court upheld that seizure, and the U.S. Supreme Court is going to be hearing arguments on December 1st of this year. Have we ever had something like this in the archive? Do you check for me?

Unprecedented. Am I saying that right? Unprecedented excessive fines are imposed. Is the indicator. And it is the only time ever. I'm sure. I thought so. Because it's sheer ridiculous of it.

You know, that he did 1,500, buck fine and three days in jail and then the additional fine is how many multiples of that 1500 ridiculous right and you know kudos to him that's a patriot that fought all the way to fight for the eighth amendment right

to not be subject to a fine that's you know completely unfair Cato Institute kind of finance and backed this because it costs millions of dollars to get to this point. This is all pointing to the legal tradition, stretching back to the Magnicard, England, which held that punishment for trivial offense should reflect the seriousness of the conduct

and should not be so large as to destroy someone's livelihood. This person, I'm going to probably butcher his name, but J-O-U-P-I is an Air Force veteran, no prior criminal record. And it's 60 times the criminal fine for the forfeiture. And that's a relatively cheap airplane, all considered, like, you know, $250,000 airplane being forfeited is very reasonable as well. So, I mean, this is excess by far. If that stands, then at least we have a benchmark on what beer smuggling in the 21st century, entry you can do to you.

That's pretty nasty. That's, uh, I'll be root for them. Absolutely. So I don't know when we're going to actually get a decision. If they're just hearing briefings on December 1st, probably be like this time next year. But so, you know, maybe it'll be faster than we expect. Hopefully it will be faster than we expect that just throws it out or whatever.

But Alaska Supreme Court helped it. So for what it's worth. Yeah, no. It's pretty rough there. All right. Maybe it should be a state matter. There's some on the Supreme Court. It would just say, let it stand.

Alaska law. Alaska Supreme Court. You know? And that would be empowering what once was considered the 10th Amendment, right? That the feds don't get involved in something that, you know, left at the state level. But so many of the 10th. amendments have been, you know, basically nationalized, right? First Amendment, we don't let different states experiment with different levels of First Amendment, right? So, either they'll set it as

standard to not be hit with such a ridiculous fine under the Eighth Amendment, or they'll just say, all right, you know, let the experimentation of the states continue and we're going to stay out of it. Part of me definitely wants to go that route. But I guess at some point on the spectrum. The feds need to uphold the other bill of rights and amendments and other laws. I don't know. That's a tough tension. I do lean towards the state more, but, you know, we'll find out, I guess. That's what they're doing this for. That's both ways a little bit, doesn't it? Yep. It really does, especially when you have, like, different rights that are fighting against each other, so to speak,

like right so want the 10th i want more power with the 10th amendment for sure but you know not when it's so oppressive but like you said it's experiment moved to another state but a lot of the states are turning into that that's the problem anyway what other topics you want to hit or i mean we got a couple dozen articles we got a hit on for sure well so why do i care about surging treasury rates what's it what's it tell me and i'm going to challenge you right now if it's so dangerous, then why didn't you tell us to look out for that happening later this year? I would say I didn't expect it to happen because I didn't expect such inflation to come about. But inflation did come about because they went to war.

So that caused all the inflation. So they had to raise rates. And now they're finally catching up to what they're expecting the future rates will be, which is saying they're going to have to raise. rates again potentially i mean who knows these rates are so choppy right now they might drop 10 or 20 basis points in between now next show right and it's like okay we're back to 4.9% is the world saved i'd say no we're not saved but this is this volatility literally uh tens of billions of dollars in extra interest payments for the american economy just today

who owns that who's getting paid that is part of the question so So some American citizens are getting higher interest rates, right? Which is good. But a lot of foreign owners are getting our money first off. Number two, the banksters, they got ways to, you know, skip off the top. So let's just say the more money that's being paid out of interest, the banksters are making more money off that, which is just dead weight loss, as we've talked about. Yep.

I got you. That does make sense. But it's the only indicators that really going back on red. We got just a day or so ago a number of economic indicators showing much better growth than expected, didn't we? It's been enough to kind of tread water, but if the rates keep going down, that's going to crush growth, honestly, because no corporations are going to be taken out any debt to expand the size of their company, to hire more people, blah, blah, blah. Now, I'm not, you know, the debt cycles become so addictive. toxic that I get a hot on what

0% rates and then all this you know spending and hiring that's not for legitimate reasons because it's just free money so they're just pissing it away that's what I've been complaining about the last 15 years but now we're almost on the other end of the spectrum was like all right everyone's going to have the almost you know said something very appropriate let's just say everyone's going to be a tight ass

and they're going to be like a fortune 100 fortune 500 and even small business You know, they're not going to want to get loans. No one's going to want to go get mortgages at 7%. And no one's going to want to sell their house that they got a 3.3% mortgage rate. Sure, they made a ton of money on paper on the value of their house, but if they went to go sell it on the market now, they'd have to go get another mortgage at double that rate.

So they're just going to sit tight. It's going to potentially just reduce liquidity. The liquidity is going to drain out of the system. And you saw what happened in 2018. 2008-2009, no liquidity equals massive panic if everything locks up. Yeah, on real estate, though, and the loans and the banks collapsing because of the studios and other instruments that were invented that helped make that happen, do you believe that the government, the Fed, the SEC, everybody else that's a regulator

got the message and intervened in that so heavily that it's next to impossible to at least repeat that mistake in our lifetime. Maybe like those specific mistakes, but all these other mistakes have been going. And I just feel like there's been a lot of malinvestment in the last 10 years that's probably buried fruit right now. Yeah, I don't think a housing market bubble is a bubble to keep our eye on. Everybody this year has been talking about AI bubble. circular financing.

Some of that's novel, but, well, I mean, I don't, I don't see concrete evidence that you have to believe it will burst. What other bubbles are lurking out there that bother you? I don't think we fully worked through the commercial real estate bubble with all the offices that have been empty since COVID and all the strip malls and stuff. So that could be everyone talks about. AI bubble. Our hope here on Patriot Power Hour is it's not bubble per se that even if it kind of has hiccups financially, it'll at least add a lot of productivity to the economy and be a net positive big time. But the circular finance and the way they set everything up seems a little I'm not going to say house of cards, but it definitely seems like there's some systemic risk to

the way it's growing so fast and all the money's going into it and just so interrelated. I would say the commercial one would be the one I would add because it didn't have that huge commercial bubble in 2008 because everyone still went to the mall, still went to the office, blah, blah, blah. Yeah, I'm with you. And the concentration of stocks like that's the, if there's bubbles, they have to be within the most concentrated equities, right? So AI inside of that, but it's the rest of tech.

It's the rest of information technology, to be precise. Still concerned that as we end, going into the fall order of 2026, and by some reports, which I hope more disclosure, more declassification comes out on what our government knew about Wuhan, the Institute, the meat market, the military games rumors that it was started in, during the military games that happened in China, you know, coming up on, you know,

the months that we're entering in this quarter. Because by late December, that's when it was pandemic. And if you go back to that theory that, that if it's possible to crash the economy, do the great reset, and it's also people who want to lay that at Trump's feet, make him the all-time scapegoat, the Herbert Hoover of the 21st century, right?

Like taught in school books many decades from now about how his way of capitalism was flawed and created a great depression, right? This fall will be when some of that might start. And I don't know what the attack factor is. certainly the economy looks fragile enough to come apart. Well, if they can hold the line right here of Scott Bessett, who says he is the house.

The house always wins. The house has all the power. He says the U.S. Treasury is the house of the world economy. Everyone uses our currency. The Treasury Secretary comparing our economy to a casino doesn't make me feel better about this. No, no. So he better hope that they could at least keep it here at 5.20%.

Because if this blows up to 5.5% or 6%, it's game over because the interest rates already, or I mean, the interest payments already more than our defense budget at this point. And here's the thing. I don't want to get too deep in the woods on this, but if the interest rates are really high for just a few months, it doesn't make as big waves as if the interest rates are really high for a few years. years. So if this drops down, there's not a ton of debt being added at these higher rates. But what's going on is our debt from five, ten years ago is pretty much being rolled over right now. And back then we had like zero percent interest rates from the Fed, right?

Now we don't. So every day, every week, every month, every treasury auction that takes place where that super low interest date is debt is being replaced by this super high interest rate debt. it's just like chipping away, chipping away. So it's not like absolute game over yet, but, man, they better do something. But if they lower, you know, if they get worse, whatever, and a freaking lower rates, emergency federal reserve rate lower,

I mean, these will be seven or eight bucks a gallon, but maybe they would rather have that happen than interest rates going to six or six and a half percent or something. Yeah, but there's always zero interest rate. policy, negative interest rate policy, like that would be on the downslope to an actual second great depression. This century is, you know,

a hundred years later, same decade. Whole thing crashes. I could see a lot of people working hard to simultaneously profit from that while making it happen and hanging that out. Albatross around Trump's neck for all time. Yeah. Oh, yeah. They'll be trying to make money on the side while also getting political points. And then it comes down to him. We've talked about this a lot. Like, do they have enough power to control it and have that, you know, land of this bomb precisely? Or would they like try to maneuver it, but it just blows apart and that's just sideways.

Yeah. Yeah. Trump would never let it land on his head either, would he? He would try to be a moving target, I would think. But, you know, on the other hand. He'd throw a lot of, he'd throw power in a lot of directions to make anybody that help bring that about, you know, not make it easy for him. You know what I mean? Like emergency power that you could wield through SEC or other places. Like, you know, defense, you know, the Industrial Production Act, right? Force companies to make things for the government. A lot of power there.

It might be predicting the second half of his second term here. not really make predictions yet, but this seems fairly realistic. That's what we're talking about it now. That's why we're trying to game plan, both for preppers out there and just, because we're Patriots here. We want to try to be ahead of the game. We want to try to impact it where we can. And it's just interesting, say the least.

So, yeah, I think, all right, we're about, go for it, strongly advocate that, that if anybody that can talk to the president, here's my voice, don't let that land. on you. Don't, because COVID did, right? COVID was a square punch in the first Trump administration's face and knocked them out of power on multiple levels, including completely stealing the vote with mail-in ballots during a pandemic. So don't let it, it's not going to be the same punch this time. Do not let it happen again. It's really bad for America. I just think of the second graders who can't read because they

they're now in fifth grade, sixth grade, and they're basically illiterate. Because they can go to school. Can't let that happen to us again. No. Definitely not. Definitely not. You want to hit on some F-35

parts going missing what's going on here, man? I got an idea. First question I got is, how do we know this happened? It's widely reported. Right. I'm not sure why the loss of sensitive equipment would necessarily not be censored and

completely classified. But it's not. Which makes me think, did the first reaction of the Chinese when they got near this stuff was, are we being set up? And then, like, why would you want to set them up with that? and how would you gain advantage doing it? I don't know. I'm sort of automatically conspiratorial about it because

if it was really sensitive and a real mistake, why would they let anybody know what happened? It's the canopy of the F-35 lightning. I'm sure it has all types of electronics, heads-up display, and other materials. That would be extremely useful. I don't think it's wrong at all to be conspiratorial. It's totally how this type of operation would work.

Too easy to be true. It might be, but there's so many layers beyond that. Yes, me sitting here, I definitely do not know if this is real or not. So you bring up good points. The official story is from this part was being shipped from Australia. and it got diverted to Hong Kong for some reason. The big thing about the F-35 at different countries were contributing different parts and different work. This is by way of Lockheed Martin.

Allegedly there are three anonymous sources noted that an intermediary was transporting the equipment on behalf of Lockheed Martin through the Pacific Ocean. As someone who worked for a company that shipped international parts, by way of boats and other ways of conveyance. Wow, this is, I have no idea. First of all, even if it got diverted to a Hong Kong port, there's no way they should have been able to open it up or touch it. So that by itself is huge red flags like, and then how this even got announced publicly,

the three unnamed sources. That's a lot of sources, but, you know, yeah, kind of crazy here. the Chinese intelligence communities got to be suspicious why are those even near them right unless they pulled off a coup

and they're broadcasting that they found a way to steal them and the parts are actually legit or you know you remember the movie war games it's like a little

view of like the earliest of of modeling in simulation of warfare to basically test your weapons, the ranges, the lethality, all the things you can model. Even back in the 80s, the earliest ballistic missile computer

calculating, you know, simulations were critical. To be sure you could deliver overwhelming force and therefore, you know, there'd never be a war because you can't win it, right? That's the whole war game plot. So...

Right. Chinese are doing it to our systems constantly and we to them and pretty much everybody to everybody to some degree. If you have a military intelligence apparatus that's trying to stay competitive with world weaponry. Certainly the Chinese are doing it. Using AI to do it too. And stealing methods from the United States on how to do it for decades, obviously. So what a bunch of F-35 parts show up? Like, how do you check to see if they're actually the right size or the right configuration?

Or does that cause the Chinese to, all right, now there's two complete different versions of the F-35 in our models and we've got to run them all separately? Because one is what these stupid canopies are showing. But here's what our best photos tell us. Could be that stuff going on. Yeah, 100% and or some sort of, gosh, this is, of course, just speculation, but what if there was some sort of manufacturing that introduced purposeful mistakes or problems within it so that if the Chinese did reverse engineer it, thought they learned something great, implemented it themselves, and there's just sort of like a poison pill flaw.

this that's going a step or two maybe beyond but while we're at it might as well bring it up yeah loaded up with um malware and spyware too while you're at it see what they see what you can do when we just have we're doing that to us we know that we've reported on all types of stuff like that so we better be doing it back i just say i don't think you'd hear about it if it was actually a real loss and and the chinese wouldn't tell anybody if it was a real gain for them so highly suspicious. But at the base voter level, it's great to just say,

hey, look what happened when Trump was president, right? So something tells me, somebody tells me if it is an op on our side, no one checked with his administration whether it was a good idea to do that before the midterms. Compartmentalization, maybe, or, hey, you know, they were moving on with this regardless, or maybe he does know.

Or, well, you can't put it to sides everything. Deep State acting out before an election, right? All possible. Speaking of election, actually, I was literally looking at those articles right now. Buried in the lead of this show, our season or fall season intro opener, we got a midterm election here this quarter here in just a month and a half or so. And we have DOJ charging 16 individuals. individuals for election crimes.

We have 1,600 non-citizen voter fraud cases, so 100 times as many as the actual election crimes being charged currently. Hopefully, some of those investigations will turn into charges and trials down the line and discovery, of course. And green card given to immigrant months before she illegally voted in 2024. Future Dan, I do believe we'll have a cleaner election in 2026 and we've had in many years. doesn't mean the Republicans are going to win, so to speak. But I think that's all good news that is being recognized, worked through.

Is it going to be enough to really clean things up? I don't know, but it's a step in the right direction, hopefully. What do you think? I think on social media, free social media, there's going to be just all kinds of new creative accusations in every single direction possible. because at some level, this is sort of pop culture now, just the losing side blaming the election fraud for their loss. It's now endemic to our democracy.

So it's going to be interesting, you know, filtering out plausible from implausible and just claims that are made but go nowhere. Censorship that comes from legitimate claims. Somebody tells me that there's just going to be angles to this that we've never witnessed before. It's a dynamic evolving cat and mouse. How do we steal elections? How do we stop from happening?

And I don't know what's going to result in. I have no idea. Another example of the multifaceted propaganda where around January 6th and before that, there was a two-pronged approach. Number one, your evil. and racist if you think the election was fraud. Number two, they were also building into everyone's mind or attempting to put into the collective mind kind of a joke or mean or like stop the steel. Ha ha ha ha ha ha. Like making fun of election theft and crimes. And that's kind of like their long-term

play. Like they of course wanted to persecute and prosecute people saying that up front. But they long term they needed to set the battlefield and prepare everybody's subconscious mind, especially those that are easily hypnotized that, oh, it's just funny or it's just what happens now. So don't actually pay attention

to any of the allegations, even on the Democrat side, but definitely not on the Republican side. All right, I got a challenge for you. Let's talk through a mental quad map, four quadrants. You ready? All right. Let's go for it.

all right so on one dimensions it's people that are shocked and then there's people that are okay with it nonplussed entertained by it shocked or not okay with it or not and then the other dimension is for election fraud and against election fraud okay talk me through those four because i think i think you're talking about a quadrant that i don't i never really give me much thought to which is people are for it and they're nonchalant or boastful about it. Like, right.

I'm not, I'm not, doesn't that counter those that are for it, but want to act like they're shocked by it, like it's not really happening. Someone has to do with your personality and maybe how much Stockholm syndrome you have to the state. But I think,

I think that's part of it for sure. And the emotions, everyone's emotional. So you either want to be shocked and outraged or you want to laugh and be immature, kind of that's emotional. immaturity in of itself or both i don't know people are able to do both humans are complex and this is a real high level i'm in the again brainwashing i'm the i'm in the against but i'm not shocked i'm i'm come to full terms about it i fully agree it's happening i'm and and i'm against

it but i'm not shocked by it no i'm in the same boat and i would have i'd almost would have said that I've become more shocked by it because early on I was just like in theory I thought all the elections were totally fraudulent going back decades but now in fact in my front of my face they are which is actually a little more shocking than just be like oh everything's fake whatever like maybe I did you know in my mid 20s and now I'm like oh shit everything is fake and now there's proof it's a little shocking even though I'm not surprised that's a little shocking. How about that? Well, if you go to Dinesh D'Souza's

2000 mules, watch that. Right. He brings in other, you know, mainstream, straight line conservative, talking heads, personality, these opinion people and puts the evidence in front of them.

And to this day, a bunch of them just want to remain in that they're shocked by it. They don't want to accept that it's even possible. But after I watched that movie, I was like, that completely happened. There's little doubt about it. So this fall, I enter, you know, all these conversations in that quadrant,

but I'm looking at the others. I never really thought about the ones that are for it who are not shocked. They're just proud of it and they'll boast about it. I haven't seen a lot of that, but if you have, you think their long-term plan is to just grow that into the majority opinion of Americans, that they're for it. and they're okay with it. Sort of in the vein of

they want a red revolution, French revolution, the masses just go crazy and just eat the rich and then they bring it even worse totalitarian nightmare. So yeah, they would love everyone to just not be shocked and before all the corruption

if it's their side and then they'll stage things where they just, you know, make it even worse. Then violence comes about. That's, you know, that's one. way to go. I hope we don't head

that way, but that's how I think that plays out. Yeah, that's the right quadrant to keep an eye on. That's dangerous. Oh, yeah, that's the most psychotic. That's what I'm mentally ill people for sure. They don't even know their own safety is at stake, really.

I still think the vast majority of Democrats have to, you know, underlying, you know, look the other way, secretly know that they gain power because of it, but act like they're shocked. That's where most of them have to exist.

It's more like, yeah, this, you know, CCP, where they're like, well, we know everything's built off violence and fraud, but we have a nice little system here, so everyone just keep going with it. And we'll rule the world with a nice little dictatorship here in China.

All right. Anyway. Yeah. Related. Related to each other. Which is why one of our headlines tonight is, goes to show that Chinese spies fund local California politicians caught again. Right.

There you go, man. Full circle. We did not plan this, folks, but there's a reason it comes full circle like that, because we know what we're talking about, and there are these connections. Let's go look at this. Family tied to suspected Chinese spy, Christine Fang gave 4.4 million

to Newsom, Gavin Newsom, and other California politicians. by the way, Kamala Harris was in there too. Fang Fang, we reported on Fang Fang. I'm sure you all know a lot about fag fag here. This is, you know what actually adds insult to injury in a little bit of this? The Yinn family made millions running McDonald's franchises.

You think McDonald's the All-American restaurant, even though we disparage it often. McDonald's is all-American, good, bad, and ugly. but they took that money from the McDonald's franchises and spun it around into, you know, all this democratic political funding in California. Dude, for obsequent purposes, I'll tell you some, but not at all. But I recently traveled abroad. And I was in one of the biggest and best McDonald's I've ever been in.

I swear to God. They loved it. They loved it there. Yeah. They got the quarter pounder with cheese. but you can get with lettuce and tomato. They call it the double tasty. It's not in the United States.

You can't get all that. I mean, I guess you could ask, but usually you can't just order that. It's like a thing there. Yeah, the place is loaded. And you had, you tried some or you just like saw it? Yeah. Yeah.

I'll always eat McDonald's once in a while. It's a once in a while comfort food. It's a good American fast comfort food. But it's, you know, you eat it every day. You get what you ask for. Oh, for sure. I would eat it at, uh, in another country, potentially for, I think I have at like airports, other places I suppose, but anyway, whatever, uh, double tasty.

I'm more of a Wendy's guy, but I like had McDonald's, but, you know, like, like you said, not often, maybe. I got, I got to keep going on this a little bit. Got. I saw a trailer park in that country. Swear to God. Swear to God. Like, like, like, like any you'd see.

here. Like people's campers kind of were there and then they built houses around them. Saw that at that country and also all kinds of other tourists from another country they're all wearing blue jeans and this is a part of a world where you know, once my time, you know,

when the American showed up with blue jeans it was made fun of and here's the best part. I didn't even take any blue jeans with me. They were the ones wearing them. So I said to the old park, blue jeans, And a really rocking McDonald's guy, I admit it. It was all there.

Well, that's the, you know, America's soft power. I guess the blue jeans Coca-Cola McDonald's he talked about. Don't want to lose that. That's valuable. Obviously, the reserve currency is valuable. A powerful military is valuable. But so is people enjoying commerce and trade and communication with us. That has a lot of an effect.

So I've got to keep that up. I don't know. I think people are pretty sick of us these days, but we're pretty sick of these other people, too, like Canada, for example. But anyway, I digress. We went ahead next year. Greenland, yeah. What do you think they're doing in Greenland?

I'm surprised it worked, but apparently there's an agreement between the PM of Denmark, the PM of Greenland and the president that grants basically sovereignty over bases and airspace in perpetuity. and that was something a few months ago it popped up. Democrats said, oh, this will never happen. Well, first, they kind of speak out of both sides of their mouth. They're like, this is going to happen and it's going to be the worst thing ever. But they also say it's not going to happen.

And it kind of goes quiet for a few months. And whoop now rolled out or at least agreed to. We'll have to check on exactly where it stands, what's been signed, sealed, and delivered and when military assets start moving in. But that's some big news that happened before this recent news cycle that we are covering today. Now, of course, future president can do a

Jimmy Carter and give it all away, like Panama. And it's not a treaty ratified by the Senate, so it has no force of law. So I do think the Danes and the Greenlanders

have figured that much out. But Golden Dome, you know, looks like it's getting built. Like, they're going to put money into it. They're going to put the facilities into Greenland. And then between Greenland and Alaska, continental United States has what it takes to start getting to what Ronald Reagan announced they were going to build a strategic defense initiative. It's the Golden Dome, the ability to intercept anything fired at us. If that becomes even remotely feasible from the point of view of Russia or China, they'll be very destabilizing moments along the way, especially from the Russians who,

will feel that you're taking away their counterstrike capability, now invites the opportunity for NATO to invade them. Right. So that Greenland deal. The Greenland deal could be a step into something that, you know, protecting ourselves, I'm all for it. But along the way, the people who want to be able to hold us at risk are not going to like it. It's kind of hard to, when everybody's got a gun to each other's head, the game theory is pretty hard to convince everybody to decock slowly and point the gun away.

We should always point of guns at Moscow and Beijing with those regimes. Always. They must always point at us too. There's never been governments there that ever deserve less in the not not in the past two centuries. Well, I guess the question is, uh, let their people vote. Let the people choose their leaders. You know what? Let's see that happen there and then, then we'll lower the gun. Every, every place on earth that doesn't let free people choose their own leaders,

should be facing down the barrel of the U.S.'s guns. They think, you know, we're trying to decock it, but they're actually thinking we're going to pull the meaning, as you said, Cuba does right now. If they have no counterstrike ability, they might put them into a panic or, I don't know, hopefully mad it would still hold. It does. It does. But that doesn't mean we won't get Cuban Missile Crisis like moments. That's just too risky for me.

That's way to risk. That's so risky. I mean, life is without risk. That's like a 5% chance of the world ending. That is so risky. Yeah, this is not a risk for you. No, ever since nuclear weapons were invented, could never be zero risk after that.

And if Golden Dome becomes feasible and actuated, and don't be surprised if a Democrat gains power that they cancel the whole program. For the obvious reason, we had an original treaty with the Soviet Union that we would only put anti, ballistic missile missiles around our capitals. And we did. We never had to use them, but we were never by treaty. Actual Senate-approved treaty, law, never allowed to put them all around our country.

And the Russians agreed to that, and they never did it either. So what Trump's doing is that that whole concept's long gone. And we're going to put up whatever it takes to protect economy of the United States. the reason why, you know, the dubs of the Cold War didn't want to do that, they rightfully feared that it could push the Soviet Union into, you know, starting World War III. Right. So what's the difference now? We have more overmatch where it's even scarier or no?

Just in the conventional arms that we know of, all of it still holds. Both sides, both sides completely lose if it happens. I guess the standoff can't go indefinitely. It's got to go, you know, the risk either has to go up or down at some point. If we have to raise the risk a little bit for the chance to permanently de-escalate by a large percentage, that could be a good calculus. I don't think removing nuclear weapons from any country's inventory or any superpowers inventory. Maybe that's the definition of superpowers. you can't have them removed.

There's no possible way for it. Russia and China, the United States are the only ones in that category. All the rest of them were too small. All the rest of them could fall to internal revolt or exterior invasion. And all the rest of them know it. They're too small. But China, Russia, and the United States, Britain maybe, you can put in that category because they're an island, right?

If you ever set foot on the island, they would use them, right? So France, too. France has the power to use them. McCrone and France is doing something dangerous right now that isn't on the heat map dashboard, but he's talking about deploying nukes to Finland, who just left the neutrality that it held all the way through the Cold War and is now a NATO member.

And Macron's talking about putting short-range nuclear weapons in Finland. That's like, think about it. You know, that's what Khrushchev did to Cuba. And look how we took it. Well, you kind of are removing their nukes if you're defeating a large portion of the, especially even if you're able to shoot down their first strike, let alone counter strike. So I don't know. I guess I'm just a little nervous Nelly because I'm like, do we really have to rock the boat right now? Can we all just, do we really need to do this?

It might just push everything over the edge with everything else going on right now. but maybe it's the perfect time to do it. Beyond my pay grade, I guess. I'd be too worried to make these tough decisions, maybe. I bet you we can find 10 policies of the second Trump administration that you like and 10 that you don't like. And you're going to be absolutely passionate about your dislike or like of everyone in a way that splits you as a voter. Like almost no president ever has in living memory. he's doing that sort of thing.

Yeah. It's for the crazy times that are going on anyway. It was quite the time for him to take hold. And well, it ain't going to be a quiet rest of the fall by any means. We're an hour in. We haven't hit the predictions yet. Let's do it. Is there any other news you want to hit on second?

Now, let's see how we're doing. I don't. I'm not anxious to finish off the night. I'm anxious to know how we're doing on our predictions with, AI enabled analysis, make it easy and interesting to look at. Well, let's make it happen then. For those that are here live on RumbleX and Kick, I'm going to share my screen.

I have the most up-to-date 2026 Patriot Power Hour prediction dashboard. If you are listening to the archive MP3, what you need to do is go to the prep, or broadcasting rumble and or X account or kick, I suppose, go to the archive and you can see the 20 point dashboard in and all its glory. I'll try to describe it for audio listeners that do not go check out the video later, but I just wanted to say that this is actually something that's really worth looking at as well as listening to Future Dan.

Yeah, we got five locked hits. I love the way this is laid out. Do you trust the data? Can we trust it? there's a couple that well i literally want to go through all 20 of these but let's leave it to one minute or less each so we can wrap out up in 15 20 minutes what do you say yeah let's do it all right some these are going to be really fast some might take a couple minutes but on average about a minute each all right in january 2026 we picked these 20 predictions or more like topics and

made predictions about them what i'm going to do is read the percentage we gave it in january and whether it has triggered or locked right now or if it's in progress or maybe it's disqualified and will not happen or we totally missed. So that's kind of where we're at on the spectrum. Number one, we gave it a one and eight chance, 12.5% chance that the U.S. would be in a recession in 2026. That's a pretty low percentage. And right now we are definitely not in a recession future, Dan.

Yeah. Yeah, we're hitting that one. and that would be good news. We don't want one. No, we don't. Now, when you take the GDP growth versus the inflation, that's a whole other thing, but that's, doesn't, you know, either here nor there,

so let's move on. Fed funds rate below 2.5%. This would have required a, you know, three or four rate cuts and or massive emergency cut. Well, guess what? We said there was a,

about a 55% chance. And it did not happen. In fact, we actually raised rates. This is the biggest miss of 2026. Yeah, yeah, that we saw it differently. But, you know, we didn't see the straight of her mood moves becoming a war zone either. 100%. And I would say there's still the very outside chance that things could get so wild that they throw,

you know, quantitative easing and near zero percent. rates by end of the year. Very outside chance, like one in 30, but still slightly out there. But we pretty much missed this, this prediction. But we did say only a 55% chance we thought this would happen. So, but to be honest, though, I thought it would, you know, be flat. If it didn't go down, it would be flat or maybe only a little bit down. I would have said less than a 10% chance rates would be raised. So there you go. I'm honest. Yep. Uh, U.S. debt exceeding $40 trillion. We said, a two out of three chances would happen and guess what?

Future Dan easily occurred. Yep. With like a couple months to spare. The fiscal year ends here in six days, right? October 1st, October 1st is the government fiscal year. And there was certainly more than $40 trillion by the end of the fiscal year. We actually went for fiscal year. That's why I'm pointing it out, not calendar year.

So there you go. And it happens so soon that, you know, that 66% chance looks, looks actually bad now. Exactly. I almost considered that a miss because we should have like tripled down on that. So such a cinch, such a, you know, easy lock, but it is what it is. Nothing I'm happy about. Government shutdown greater than 10 days. Holy cow.

We said there'd be an 85% chance. This is one that could be, for some reason, we kind of had a government shutdown. That was that, but it wasn't the entire government shut down. And I don't know if it was the full 10 days. You remember that? So this is, it says definition dependent and up to us to decide. And I don't think it's qualified yet. What about you?

It looked very possible when we started the new year. But they did avoid it. And I think we're funded along far enough. I don't know when the next spending bill ends, but it's going to be in a lame duck session of Congress. And at that point, people that are losing their seat don't care anymore, right? Well, they'll just vote for, you know,

pretty much for some bribe of, for whatever they're doing next, some job, some, some way to make it worth their while. They'll figure it out. Absolutely. I think we missed that one.

Yep. I would say it's a miss, especially with such a high percentage, 85%. If we said it was like a 50-50, maybe it's a semi-miss, but we were pretty confident, 85%. Yeah. We don't give that high a percent unless we were pretty confident. So it's a miss. It's a miss. It's all right.

So move on. We said a one in four chance that a top 10 bank would fail or be forced to merge has not happened. So that's 75% chance that we thought. has been correct, but still our 20, it could still happen. 25% seems in retrospect a pretty high number. I don't think it's a miss, but, uh, it could be the first, uh, early warning signs of a financial calamity that is designed to tarnish Trump forever. Well, if it happens before December, it would be a leader, you know, 11 months before

you know, well, actually it's two years out. No, we shouldn't expect that would be really early. That would give him too much time. I'm wrong. It's going to be 12 months from now, probably about 14 months from now, look out, that's the zone where they would target him for something like that. So if a bank failed, all right, yeah, so going by that logic, if a bank fails in that 25% chance this quarter,

probably wasn't by design. Probably is something really breaking. there you go. I agree. Precious metals. We gave it a 60% chance that silver would trade above $100. It actually locked in above that, but since then silver has dropped precipitously, still mid-60s right now at spot.

But we, I mean, we lock, we easily hit this much earlier in the year, even before our last season. So, uh, gold, $5,000. We said there's a 60% chance gold would be above 5,000. It also dropped a lot from its peak, but it was well above 5,000 for a little while. And right now it's at like, I think 43 or 4,400, which is well, you know, quite elevated. It's my point is silver and gold rocketed it up.

We called it. It went even higher than we expected, but it did, you know, quote unquote crash, but it crashed at still near all time high levels for all intensive purposes, future day. Yeah, and in Bitcoin, nowhere near 200K. But if it hit 200K somehow this year, a bunch of other bad stuff that we just talked about will have already had to happen. That's the way to look at it. So we had two predictions on Bitcoin. We said there was a 30% chance it would get above 200K. We said there was a 50% chance it could get below 70K.

at the time it was around 100k, I believe, 90, 100 K or so. So we're like, hey, there's a one and three chance it could double from here, but there's a 50, 50 chance. It'll lose 30% of its value from here. And we revised that number to an 85% chance it would drop below 70K later on. In fact, I think that's actually your number. So you were saying there's an 85% chance it would drop below 70K. So that was where you hit it.

I'm out of the park. Yeah, I was pretty sure it was going to happen. Yeah, I was pretty sure I could see that coming. And it was because, you know, the AI investment bubble was just sucking all the capital at the time in January. And so volatile for sure. That said, Bitcoin is up about $85,000 up from $70,000 just a couple weeks ago. Worth watching with all this inflation going on with rates going up and you're still Bitcoin go up? That's kind of crazy.

So all right, geopolitics. You ready? Here we go. A formal ceasefire in Ukraine. We said there's an 80% chance of that. Based on the update today and how we've evaluated this and our AI

system says this has been a miss. There has not been a formal ceasefire. And unless there is in the next few months, this will be a miss. And we said 80% chance. So that's unfortunate. But there's actually a part B to this.

If there is a formal ceasefire, and I guess the definition of formal is important, but is what it is, if there is a formal ceasefire, we thought there would be a 50, 50 chance that it would break within one week. So we thought there was a really good chance there would be a ceasefire,

but that it would probably break pretty quickly. We haven't had one. So there you go. Yeah, and they're not even close to having ceasefires in just, like, against each other's energy. infrastructure, right?

So. Yeah, it's actually accelerated. Exactly. The civilian and especially energy and port structures have been hitting more of this year. You know, and this is September, 2006, but it might be possible to say somewhere down the line that the attack on the Iranian regime creating basically an east-west energy war, right? the petroleum aspect of the war of both of them.

It's highly significant. It just caused Russia to dig in even further. The question is, how close both Russia and Iran are they to capitulation? How deep can they dig? You know, it's almost out of pride now. So had Iran not been attacked, I think that ceasefire chances would have been a lot higher. Makes sense to me. Makes sense to me.

I think of most countries out there, I feel like Russia would be, have some of the highest pride of not giving up or giving in or conceding. So that's, they're heartened even more to fight the death for the motherland. That's not ideal. How about China? We said there's a 7.5% chance that China engaged in kinetic action versus Taiwan. that has not happened, which pretty much, you know, agrees with our 92.5% chance that nothing would happen.

Hopefully this stays throughout the year, future Dan. Yeah, I think next year that number's dropping for me too. I'm not trying to, I'm not sure China has what it takes to invade Taiwan if we're helping defender. Maybe they missed their window if they ever had a window. is what you're thinking. Well, the window was under Biden, not Trump.

Right. And I say that even though, you know, there's classified leaks. People are going to be in prison for it. But once the news got to the media, there's nothing left to do. It becomes public. But, you know, the low amount of stock, the stockpiles of interceptors, right? The drawdown, just a complete use of them. I'm pretty sure the Taiwanese have been taught how to make them for themselves for a while.

They've probably got mountains full of them. That's right, exactly. I was like if Iran can build all these ballistic missiles and crap, you know, not particularly advanced, but not particularly rudimentary in like mountain cave manufacturing facilities. Like, you know, Taiwan and Taiwan better be as well and South Korea for. that matter. Yeah, because Taiwan's a unique case. Well, South Korea, two.

And certainly Japan, if it fully militarized, but they can build good stuff on their own, like, obviously. So, yeah, I think that percentage is going to half that for me in the next year. Wow. Okay.

I don't see China has what it takes, or the will to even try. Number 12 of We're doing a pretty good pace here. Major new Middle East War. We said there was a 50-50 chance there would be a major new Middle East War. We have not locked this in as a hit yet. I propose that we do lock it in as a hit tonight.

That we call the Iran War the major war? Yep, because it's spread to Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and, I mean, a lot of other countries are being hit and messed up. lost 20 plus percent of its natural gas production for years because it's been blown to hell. So I feel like this is a major new Middle East war. I guess if the requirement for that is like a land invasion of Israel, then no, we did not hit it. But I think this is like only a step or two away from that attempt. You know, so maybe this is still not a hit?

Can't join you with that. And the reason why is there's U.S. military, published by the Pentagon Doctrine, publicly available. And there's definitions of major war. And I think when I was making that prediction, I was working off of that assumption. And we are on the spectrum of war, ranging from the lowest intensity of conflicts, right? You know, battling a drug cartel in Mexico or something less than that. out to complete total thermonuclear absolute warfare. No holds barred, you know, second world war level violence repeated, but with nukes, right?

In that spectrum, major war takes a lot more in what we're seeing right now. A lot more of armies on the ground maneuvering and fighting, like conventional armies fighting each other on the ground that you don't have. major war if you don't have that. That would bring the destruction. It would get you to that definition. So I think we got to miss unless an insurgency kicks off into Iran and we start seeing, you know, hundreds of thousands of people killed. Like, because Ukraine, right, that's a major war.

That's a major conventional war. We don't have that in the Middle East right now. Okay. I would If the Turkish army deployed to Yemen If the Turks deployed to Yemen If Israel invaded

Lebanon And Syria again And The Kurds started fighting You know There's lots of different little fronts That they all sparked off at the same time Then I'd say

Well that's a composite major war But right now It's a low intensity conflict, there's a lot to it. And our naval air war, I mean, sorry to everybody that was in the Navy of the Air Force. I mean, if you're not

fighting on the ground, you're just not at the same level. You never get to the same level of lethality until that happens. To me, that's major. If we go with that route, which we can keep at that route and do our final

evaluation at end of the year, which hopefully doesn't get worse than it is now. I would say we absolutely overrated this then because we said there's a 50-50 chance of that happening. But at the same time, I at least just said that I didn't expect this inflation to be so high and then to have to raise rates because I didn't see a massive war really coming about that maybe, I guess a major war that's not a major war. So like, how about a major?

a conflict that doesn't hit the major war. I don't know. Point is, we thought it would be a 50-50 that there's a major Middle East war. It's not happening. But at the same time, we're trying to argue that we didn't see a war coming. But we said there's a 50% chance there would be a massive land war.

So we were off there for sure somewhere. It comes down to the casualties, right? Like, we're not, we're not even seeing the same level of death and destruction as we were 2007. In 2008, Iraq. I mean, that wasn't even considered by our military, a major war. That was an insurgent.

Okay. But Vietnam would qualify as a major war in Southeast Asia. Yeah. Yeah. We had 500 Americans coming home dead per week. Yeah. Yeah. That's a major one.

But second Iraq would not or Afghanistan or those would. I guess that's the drawing line maybe. Well, another part of the definition of the logistical. And of course, for decades, the Congress and the Pentagon had always come to a consensus that, you know, maintaining the nuclear umbrella, the complete nuclear arsenal, in addition to the ability to fight two major wars at the same time. Korea and Germany at the same time, right, during the Cold War, was always like how our force was structured. So it'd take a lot more troops in the field and a lot more combat by somebody who doesn't have to be us We didn't define it to a U.S., an American major war in the Middle East But even at the levels of the Houthis, Saudis, Israelis, everybody around the Israelis they fight

Doesn't amount to a major war. Turkey getting involved on the ground in other countries could they have an army. big enough to get you there. And if Iran plunges into civil war, that's a 90 million country. If they're against each other, would that be major?

All right. Let's move on real fast. Venezuela regime collapsed. We said there's a 50-50, and that was hit very quick. Was that in February? I think it was. Is it, though? Delphi Rodriguez was in New York, sitting with Trump.

Like, She was the number two. She was like the, she was like the J.D. Bance of Venezuela only the beginning of the year. Now she's just sitting there. Is that regime changed? They haven't had a vote. We called it.

Regime collapsed. Well, we ruled it as a hit previously. So we could. I mean, things can go from a hit to an unhit. Ha, de-hit. I'm not sure. But we locked it in already.

So we can re-litigate it if you want. I'm just, I have reservations that that's a true hit. Okay. I think by this time next year, by this time next year there'll be so much pressure to replace the original regime, Venezuela, like all the expatriates aren't,

aren't going to wait that long. And that voting block will have to be pacified for the next presidential election. But in the meantime, I don't think it's fully a regime change. It's very interesting. just take off the top guy and leave the rest in place and see if you could just coerce him into pro-American policies. It's like literal gunboat diplomacy, but I think that's what happened. It wasn't really a regime collapse.

But Rubio has his eye on it. He's not, he's not unwise to this. Like, I think, I think Delsey Rodriguez is a, you know, useful transition puppet. But, you know, Chavez, that ideology, pretty sure Rubio wants to work to put a complete end of it, not only in Venezuela, but Cuba this year. Well, Cuba is on this as number 15, whereas we gave Venezuela one and two chance, 50% chance of regime collapsed by end of the year. We gave Cuba a one and four chance. But in June, we refined that to 50% because we saw what happened with Venezuela. us. So you think it's 50%

still or higher or lower? There's only three months left. They got like nationwide blackouts. Like, like, how long can that go on? Well, Iran regime collapse. We gave a 45% in January. We did talk about this in January, 45% well before the strikes started.

And in June, we said there'd be a 70% chance Iran collapse. I don't think you would call Iran regime collapse yet. But what's your thought. It could happen in the next 90 days. Definitely. 70% still about right or a little lower since we're running out of time or even a little higher. What do you think? I'd keep it right there. Still think he got that chance, especially with this IRGC commander getting killed. I don't know if that was made to look like there was an uprising or there are people that finally had enough. But, you know, let's just say there's probably a lot of people trying to make it happen. We only gave a

point five percent chance for North Korea regime collapse, which happened to be the same 7.5 percent chance we had for China attacking Taiwan. It doesn't mean they necessarily always happen at the same time, but I think there'd be a high correlation. But yeah, no meaningful collapse signal is what the AI comes back for North Korea right now. Yeah. Yeah, that's a that's going to be a tough one to crack. and South Korea is exhibiting signs of being in, you know, having China dominated. That leftist regime in Seoul is not, you know, not even opposing the North in the way that would take to bring it down. Let's run through this a few more.

I think our biggest best. We said there'd be a 90% chance of sustained multi-city riots. And that was a miss so far. I mean, it's not over yet. But it was the same multi-city riots. It was close. It seemed like it with ice and everything in Minnesota, et cetera, et cetera. But that did not qualify, right?

Yeah. It shows me that, you know, second time around, the Trump administration found the right people to find the right way to actually turn the surveillance state against that kind of criminal behavior. and made it not worth it. Made it not worth it. Maybe it was just because this year we didn't have a cop kneeling on a arrested man's neck

resulting in his death. Whatever else you want to think about it, literally that fact pattern, cop, knee, arrested man, different race, dead, riots. None of the other facts are going to matter. That's going to happen again if it happens again. It didn't happen.

and you know concrete pallets of concrete blocks somehow aren't funded and showing up on the corner when when needed so didn't happen i'm glad it didn't happen glad i'm wrong on that right yeah we're not trying to hit 100% on all these let me tell you insurrection act you know in force we said there's a 60% chance and it has not happened 60% As the AI says, the odds are pressured because there's no formal trigger. Pretty much saying, ooh, this is aging, real bad, future day. I think you're going to hear the words insurrection act threatened during this election. I don't know if it's going to happen.

But I'm not feeling bad about sitting on a 60% chance, depending on what states do and depending on what they get caught doing. Like, you know, you're absolutely. absolute red-handed caught fraud resulting in election where federal police seize state ballots and then a state doing something to respond to that and then an insurrection act like that means the U.S. Army's coming next onto the streets. All of that could get easily, you know, within feasibility as we go through this election, I think. last one and the AI judges us by saying that

our low probability restraint looks strong meaning we said there was about a 15% chance for a major cyber or grid, power grid outage and that's not happened for any reason whether it's a

solar flare, EMP, terrorist attack or just a heat wave that knocks everything out 15% or less chance we said and low probability restraint still look strong. So future Dan, we certainly look at dangers.

We look at threats. We look at what's going on, but we're not just say the sky's falling all the time. We're not saying there's absolutely going to be a collapse this year, get ready or die, right? But we're still preppers. No, I think we've got a framework here where we're trying to see what's coming and judge it, you know, sober-eyed,

realistically, you know, try to stay objective about it. And these predictions hopefully are are doing that for us. We're definitely going to have to, I'm going to have to rethink my whole approach next year, but that's the point. It shakes you up, makes you rethink how you look at the world, keep a fresh set of eyes on it. That's what we try to do on Patriot Power. 100%.

100%. I'm looking forward to, well, having a great. great season with you here on Patriot Power Hour first. And number two, seeing how these predictions pan out. Well, at the very end of the year, we have an even more in-depth review, not just of these predictions, but also the preview of 2027. But until then, we've got a few months. We're going to be live pretty much every Thursday, except for Thanksgiving Thursday

and the week of Christmas future Dan. So, you know, we may rearrange the night of the week here or there, But except for Thanksgiving, Thursday, and the week of Christmas, we're going to be here at least once a week. Yeah, I'm ready to do it. Let's do it, Ben. All right. Another good show in the books featured Dan, all of our listeners and fellow preppers. Have a great week.

Episode 363 in the bag. See you next week in October. Thank you, everyone.