The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - A Post-Corona World
Episode Date: March 26, 2020Jonathan Haidt, social psychologist, author, and NYU professor, discusses the psychological and social impact of COVID-19. Scott also answers listener questions about investing, entrepreneurship, and ...education in a post-corona world. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Episode 2, The Dog Strikes Back. Okay, so great sequels.
Better than the first.
Aliens, fantastic.
Sigourney Weaver comes back.
That was, speaking of viruses or alien invasions,
and also I would argue that The Empire Strikes Back
was better than the original.
Star Wars broke new ground,
but I thought The Empire Strikes Back
was probably the seminal work in the franchise.
So are we The Empire Strikes Back?
This is episode two. We're off to a great start, according to Westwood One,
and this is Total Inside Baseball. Last week was the most successful launch of a podcast in the
history of Westwood One. Now, I don't know if that means we're the tallest midget or,
more politically correct, if we're the biggest little person. By the way, by the way, the only
thing I would change about my, or the way, the only thing I would change
about my, or not change, the only thing I would not change about my physical appearance is my
height. Everything else, I would like to start over. I would like to start over. My feet, my face,
my hair, everything, pretty much everything about me from my ears to my back fat. I could take a pen
and probably do a better job. My height? Money. I am 6'2 and
a quarter. I used to be 6'3. I've actually shrunk, which is a nice thing. When people ask me how old
I am, I say, well, I don't want to give you a number. Let me just tell you, I've actually
physically shrunk. I used to be 6'3. I'm 6'2 and a quarter, but I think that is the perfect height.
So I got that going for me. Okay, week two or week 17 of this thing called the coronavirus.
And we now have the lieutenant governor of Texas suggesting that senior people, similar
to a call to action to war, need to return to work even if it puts their health at risk
such that we can ensure a great economy is waiting for our kids.
Take a listen to Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick.
My message is that let's get back
to work. Let's get back to living. Let's be smart about it. And those of us who are 70 plus,
we'll take care of ourselves, but don't sacrifice the country. Okay, so that's Lieutenant Governor
suggesting that Nana and Pop Pop return to work, risking their own health such that little Jimmy and Johnny can buy that Hyundai they have
their eye on. Regardless of the morality or the logic here, which by the way, this guy has his
head up his fucking ass. Economically, it makes no sense. If you have a breakout of the most
vulnerable or amongst the most vulnerable population in America, that's not going to be
good for the economy.
That's going to tax our resources.
It's going to spread panic.
And you're going to have incredible taxation and misery and stress on young people as they
realize their grandparents are coming home from work or haven't listened to Dr. Fauci
or any other representative from the CDC or anyone who has
ever read anything from an epidemiologist of any credibility, this notion that somehow we've
gone into a war footing and that rather than personal freedoms or turning back fascism or
turning back an invading army, that the real enemy here is a lack of economic growth. This is so wrong on so many levels. So let's hope that
logic wins out here. The best thing for the economy, the best thing for our collective
humanity is to flatten this curve. And that is about social distancing. Remember again,
14 days, six feet from one another, and boom, this virus ends. You heard it.
That's right.
The virus goes away if we can distance six feet from each other for 14 days.
Nana and Pop Pop, grab the couch, sit down, stare at pictures of your kids, figure out
Zoom, but for God's sakes, don't go back to work.
As a matter of fact, Lieutenant Governor Patrick, here's my offer, and it's a sincere offer. I will donate $50,000 to you after this thing is over, because the
terrible thing about crises is they always happen. The wonderful thing about them is they always end,
and this will end. I will donate $50,000 to your reelection campaign if you agree to go on a
ventilator for just an hour, such that you can see what kind of sacrifice would be required here, what kind of idiocy would be involved in older people, our most vulnerable population, deciding to return to work such that Johnny and Jimmy's 401k would start to recover faster.
What the fuck are you thinking? So Jonathan David Haidt is an American social psychologist,
a professor of ethical leadership at New York University Stern School of Business,
and a colleague. And last week, we had another colleague, Aswath Damodaran, who I
believe is probably the best teacher in graduate education right now.
Professor Haidt is probably the most influential academic at all of NYU, and I would argue probably one of the 10 most influential scholars in the world right now.
And the thing I admire most about Jonathan is that he's courageous.
Professor Haidt is one of the few people who has the courage to consistently see the other side.
And I don't know what his political viewpoints are.
I would describe him probably as a raging moderate.
But his data, his heft, his clarity of thought is able to bring both sides together to really
think about science and truth.
So I'm excited to introduce our interview with Professor Jonathan Haidt. Give us the state
of play. What is happening to us? Okay, well, everybody's giving a state of play. I guess the
only way I can justify my presence on the show is to say why somebody should think that they're
going to hear something different from me. So I'm a social psychologist. I study morality, politics. I take
an evolutionary view, what's human nature. And then I also look at culture. Why are we so different
in different cultures? And so if we look at what's going on with the coronavirus from a social psych
point of view or moral psych point of view, I would start by saying there are three major
psychological systems that are these really interesting
adaptations. It's like we have all kinds of stuff. We have this big toolbox in our heads
that we inherited from hundreds of thousands of years ago. And so I'll just go through three of
the really important ones. We have one toolbox, which says in case of foreign attack, break glass, and here's a bunch of tools for you. And that's because
everyone on earth today is a descendant not just of individuals who survived, but of the groups
that wiped out other groups, or at least that resisted efforts by other groups to wipe them out.
So human beings, I believe, evolved by a process of multi-level selection, including a little bit
of group selection. And that means that we have this tribal instinct. If another group attacks us,
boy, do we come together quickly. And so we had that at 9-11. We don't have that now.
And why not? Why don't we have that now?
Well, because this wasn't a foreign attack. 9-11 was perfect.
So this is the Reagan and Gorbachev, if aliens landed, we'd all get along. Phenomenal. Exactly. That's right. And there's that cheesy movie, Independence Day. And yeah, that's exactly what they did there. If by cheesy, you mean genius, I agree. Well, okay. Anyways, go ahead. Sorry. The second system is the pathogen avoidance system.
And as far as I know, pathogens killed a lot more of our ancestors or the people who failed to become our ancestors than did foreign attacks or murder or violence.
So we have a really elaborate system of disgust and contagion sensitivity.
Maybe we'll get into this later. It's worth talking about disgust here. But the psychologist Mark Schaller calls it the behavioral immune system. So just as
we have this immune system in our body that fights off viruses and bacteria, our brains make us
engage in behaviors that minimize the risk of contagion. So this pulls us apart. This makes us stay away from people. This
makes us treat people as contaminated. And so this is causing some of the racism or anti-Asian
attacks or insults that we're hearing. So this pulls us apart. And the third system is, let's
call it the starvation system, which reflects the fact that when you look at accounts of hunter-gatherer life, sometimes there's swimming and food, and then for a month or two, there's nothing.
And we evolved to live in times of feast and famine.
And when there's a shortage, we get pretty selfish, at least where we see others as competitors.
We're good at hoarding.
Yeah, that's right.
We're good at hoarding. We're good at, yeah, that's right. We're good at hoarding and lying. So if you look at these three systems, after 9-11, we had the
first one, which pulled us together. That was the foreign attack and not the other two. But this time
around, we don't have the foreign attack, but we do have the other two, the pathogen threat and the
starvation threat, the shortages. So I think we're starting off at a real disadvantage
here. That is, things are kind of set up to be ugly, but so far they're actually not that ugly,
or rather there's a mix. And that I think is because we have this general tendency, this
general longstanding evolutionary selection force that shaped us for cooperation. We're really,
really good at cooperating. And we're
not blind cooperators. We don't cooperate naively. But especially when we go through adversity
together or we have a sense of overarching identity, we're actually very good at cooperating.
It's our advantage as a species, isn't it?
Yeah. It's true throughout. Human beings are much better than any other primate or any other mammal,
except for the naked mole rat, which is better than us because they are like bees.
But leaving aside the naked mole rats, we are the world champion mammals at cooperation.
I'm really interested in the evolution of cooperation.
You know, a lot of people who have a superficial understanding of Darwin think that it's survival of the fittest and, you know, the war of all against all.
But that's not really right.
And species that are able to find
ways to cooperate are amazingly successful. So the bees, ants, wasps, and termites, those are the
main, the super social or eusocial organisms. Those are incredibly successful species. And
same with humans. When a species figures out a way or evolves a way to cooperate at a very high level, it tends to spread across the planet. It's very hard to wipe out. And that's probably going to be true of us.
So let's unpack that a little bit. It's interesting that you, I understand the kind of foreign adversary or enemy being a catalyst for us rallying together, right? The scene from Gladiator,
the only way we're going to survive
is if we work as a team, right?
But why don't we see a pathogen
as the same sort of uniting threat
as we would an invading army or aliens?
So, yes.
So it's possible to see it that way,
but it doesn't come easily.
You have to do some framing work to do that. And so a pathogen,
if you look at plague or any other time in history that it's wiped out a third of the population,
there was certainly no sense of humanity is in this together. I mean, back then they didn't even
know who was suffering from it. So a plague is pretty well set to drive us apart and make us fear each other and treat each other as a
threat. Now, today, what we're seeing is for the first time, we are seeing hints of the play of the
virus as bringing together team humanity. So there was a wonderful tweet someone had where they said,
you know, look at this amazing timeline. The virus is first discovered in China in December
something or other. It's first sequenced by the Chinese in December or January. The first vaccine
is tested in February or March. And then it ended with something like go team humanity.
And so unlike previous disease outbreaks, which always
happened over there, you know, we had REMS and we had SARS and various other MERS. Those always
happened over there and they threatened us maybe, but they didn't really come here. And this is the
first time in modern history that it's been truly global and we know it. I guess the flu epidemic
in 1917, people knew that it was global.
But here, there really is a sense that team humanity can fight it. And so I think we are
seeing some stirrings. I mean, it's an incredibly interesting time because this ancient threat of
a pandemic is hitting us at a time when we have new technological tools and social arrangements
that have never been tried before.
So it's working out in interesting ways.
The other thing you talked about in terms of, so a pathogen have actually been a greater threat or have taken more lives than war or violence.
And it just, that struck me as, I mean, if you were to take that one step further, it
feels as if, okay, shouldn't the CDC have a $580 billion budget and our defense budget should be, you know, several billion dollars. It
feels as if we got our priorities screwed up here, that if pathogens are in fact a greater threat,
it feels as if our priorities are mixed up. And is this one of the reasons that pathogens
have been so effective is that we don't have this collective team response, if you will?
Well, so let's unpack that. Yes, if we were logical and rational and if our budget priorities were set by people who calculated probabilities, yes, they would put an awful lot into the CDC.
And this is one of the known defects of democracy. Democracies are terrible at planning ahead.
Democracies tend to, you know, it literally means rule by the people, the demos.
And the people en masse are not generally very good at probability.
They tend to want lower taxes and more benefits.
So democracies tend to only get active after a crisis. They tend to be driven, they're reactive, whereas the Chinese government is an authoritarian government. They have all kinds of leadership centers and the Communist Party is responsible or is held responsible. So they might have more of a structural ability to plan ahead than we do in the United States. Now, given that, democracies then have a kind of a flexibility
and creativity. So when we do react, we can be quite creative. And one of the silver linings
that I'm finding here is that this may turn out, this coronavirus, the COVID epidemic,
may turn out to be the best thing that happens to us in the 21st century.
And the reason is because this greatly reduces the chance of a planet-wide catastrophe.
So if you look at the list-
Why is that?
Well, if you look at the lists of things that could end humanity, if you just Google things
that will end humanity, they all have things like basically a plague.
There's some sort of plague that could kill at least a quarter or half of all people or conceivably all people.
And so a natural plague could come our way.
And if it does, suppose such a plague, suppose a really deadly plague does come our way in 10 years.
Well, if this hadn't happened, it would have a big deadly plague does come our way in 10 years.
Well, if this hadn't happened, it would have a big jump on us and we would not be prepared. But because of this, boy, are we going to be prepared. I mean, the things we're learning, the working
together on international cooperation, the virus research, the businesses that are going to be
started. So this is really preparing us for the big one. And then the other one related to that
is bioterrorism. There was a talk at the TED conference last year by a guy, I've forgotten his name, but it was
absolutely terrifying. He went through the cases, the several dozen cases where men had tried to
kill as many people as they could. Their goal was not just to kill themselves, it was to kill as
many people as they could. And then just before that talk, we had a talk on, you know, on, you know, digital biology and the ways that
soon anyone will be able to type out a DNA sequence and make whatever bacteria they want.
And so, you know, in 20 years, if the, if the knowledge of how to create a, you know, a super
bug is widespread and available to anybody with an undergrad degree in biology, we really could
face people who try to kill as many people as they could. And all that we're learning now is
really going to make us respond to those future threats more effectively.
I mean, that's a very interesting way of looking at it, that this, that corona might be seen
in history, looking back, as a vaccination. And that is when
you vaccinate somebody, a very small percentage of the people receiving the vaccination,
something goes wrong, but you develop immunities. And I think that probably the most positive way
we could look at this is, as you said, this is giving us a sense or a call to arms, and there's
going to be a tremendous amount of investment such that we can vaccinate ourselves against something that makes this look like a ball.
Scott, that is beautiful. I hadn't thought of that, but you're right. The vaccine metaphor
is exactly what I'm saying. That's beautiful. Yeah. The other thing that's less optimistic,
and I've been thinking about this a lot because I'm definitely a glass half empty kind of guy,
is that if people, in addition to just
mixing something up in your bathtub, and my understanding is that typically the good news
about bioterrorism or germ warfare is it's, my understanding is it's harder than most people
think. But if you found 50 people who heard about this immediately traveled to Wuhan and then
purposely became super spreaders around the world.
That to me seems like a more, a pretty effective way to wreak havoc across our global economy.
Do you think, I mean, when we look at this, one of the things I've been thinking about is that we're kind of in a post-corona world, and you talked about democracy being sometimes ineffective
or it's good in some ways and bad in others. I think we're going to really look at systems
after this, and that is kind of collective versus capitalism. And if you think about democracies
versus liberal democracies, where the liberal part is supposed to be institutions insert themselves
to make sure that we're all just not voting for lower taxes and more transfer payments. And that to a certain extent, a lot of
those institutions have failed, that we have digressed to where Marx was saying, we're
collapsing on our own weight of greed and self-interest, that we're defunding the government,
we're defunding these institutions that are supposed to step in and make us think long-term.
Does this help restore our long-term. Does this help restore
our long-term thinking? Yes, it does. But I would trace it out in a different way.
So the simplest and most direct and most optimistic way to think about this is, hey,
we're realizing the importance of thinking systemically and thinking systemically about epidemics and funding the institutions that will study them.
And so we learn our lesson and we fix the problems.
Maybe that'll work, but I wouldn't put my money on it.
I'm really intrigued these days with the work of a scholar named Peter Turchin, T-U-R-C-H-I-N.
I met him at a conference about 10 or 15 years ago,
and I read a little bit of his work. And just very, very briefly, what Turchin studies is the cycles of history. He's creating this field that he calls cliodynamics. It's the study of
history from an almost mathematical point of view. And in his various books, he talks about,
he has a book called Ages of Discord, and he has a book called War and Peace and War.
And it takes off from, at least what I remember of it, is it takes off from a 14th century Muslim
scholar named Ibn Khaldun, who wrote about this repeated cycle where a tribe would come out of the desert,
they're tough, they're warriors, they'd easily kill the king and his soft people, and then they'd
take over. But by the third or fourth generation, their grandchildren got pretty soft, and then they
would be taken over by the next wave. And so various historians throughout the millennia have noticed this
pattern, and Turchin traces it out mathematically. And he says that there are these sort of 300-year
long megacycles, and then within that, there are these 50 or 60-year long subcycles. And he said,
and this is really, this is so cool, this is really kind of eerie. In 2010, he wrote a letter to the Nature magazine.
Nature had just done a series of predictions
about how great science will be in 2020.
And in 2010, Peter writes a letter to the editor saying,
I beg to disagree.
He says, we're kind of due for a cycle.
And there's going to be, he predicts in 2010,
there's going to be a lot of
political instability. Here's a quote, actually. He says, the next decade is likely to be a period
of growing instability in the United States and Western Europe, which could undermine the sort of
scientific progress you describe. And then he says, very long secular cycles interact with
shorter-term processes. In the United States, 50-year instability spikes occurred around 1870,
1920, and 1970. So another could be due around 2020. He says, we are entering a dip in the so-called
Kondratiev wave, I have no idea what that is, which traces 40 to 60-year economic growth cycles, this could mean that future recessions will be severe.
So, you know, it's easy to find prophecies made a while ago, but at least here, he's not just
going by a dream he had one night. He did go on record in 2010, based on his research as a
mathematician, saying we're due for a big change around 2020. So to come back to your question,
I don't think we're just going to learn our answer
and fix things. But what might happen, and this is actually kind of optimistic, even though it's a
little scary, what might happen is that this shakes things up, especially if there's a huge
recession, especially if there's huge dislocation. It shakes things up. We've been stuck on a
downward path, certainly for the 2010s, but it goes back longer. Our political system has been a mess. It's been getting worse. It's been hopeless. I've been very pessimistic about our future as a country in the last five or six years. and especially if its effects are prolonged and the economic dislocation is severe,
this could shake things up, force a reckoning, force a deep, deep rethink.
And it's not going to be the end of the world, but it could be the end of a cycle.
And that could be a very good thing. And make some predictions here or
put forward some theses around what happens to systems, kind of our collective self,
our approach to each other kind of post-corona. Do you have any thoughts about how we and how
our systems might, or our political constructs might change or be different once we're kind of 12, 24, 36 months past this?
I have some thoughts.
I'm always wary of making predictions.
I'm a friend of Phil Tetlock, who has written about how difficult it is to make predictions as an individual.
But actually what Tetlock recommends is that you actually need to put people together with viewpoint diversity and mechanisms to challenge their thoughts. And if you do that, actually,
groups can actually predict. So I'm not quite at that stage, but I'll just share a few thoughts.
One thing that we can say with some confidence is that the way the world looks to
people between the ages of about 14 and 22 tends to imprint on them, and that stays with them for
life. So the easy, cheap way to make predictions is just do demographics. And if we look at Gen Z,
we can make a few predictions about what they'll be like as they become more the dominant political
class when they reach their 30s, let's say. So Gen Z is people born in 1996 and later.
And until now, I've been kind of pessimistic about how they're coming along, not blaming them in any
way. But in my book, The Coddling of the American Mind, Greg Lukianoff and I note that they were
denied the chance to play independently. We overprotected them.
They got on social media when they were in middle school, whereas millennials didn't
get it till college.
And they have very high rates of anxiety and depression.
So I've been very concerned that as Gen Z is entering the corporate world, we're seeing
them act there as they did in the universities since 2015, in which there's talk about safe
spaces, microaggressions, bias response teams, call-out
culture. So that is coming into the corporate world. Maybe we'll return to that later.
It's coming to the corporate world, and I think it's going to come into our democracy. So in
general, I've thought that because of the things we did to Gen Z, we've, in a sense, denied them
the ability to develop the skills of democracy, or at least we've reduced some of those skills.
So that's the pessimistic take. Now, on the optimistic side, though, in a sense, they are
pre-adapted or prepared for this new remote world. They're very, very good at having relationships
online. And before the virus, I think social media was almost entirely about amplifying your brand as an individual, which is a terrible thing to do to teenagers, especially in preteens.
It's very performative.
Exactly, exactly.
So social media had, I think, a really damning effect, a really crippling effect, especially in middle school.
That's where I think it's most important to get it out of middle school.
But by the same token,
if we are now entering more an age of we rather than I,
if we are all in this together, or at least most of us,
if there is more a sense of pro-sociality,
a sense of needing to reach out and connect
and support people,
this could really change Gen Z for the
good. And they will be particularly skilled at some of the new ways of relating. So I think
we've just begun to pay attention to Gen Z. And I think in the next couple of years, we will see
them possibly in a new light, or we'll understand both their strengths and weaknesses better.
That's one set of predictions. Let's see.
Well, let me ask you this, Jonathan. So you're a husband and a father. How old is your daughter?
My daughter is 10. My son is 13.
That's right. So 10 and 13-year-olds, they're kind of, they're just, I have a 9 and a 12-year-old.
The 13-year-old is sort of old enough to know what's going on, but not really understand it.
The 9-year-old, I find, doesn't really kind of know or understand or care much about it. Although maybe more is registering than I would imagine. Have you found, how is your, being in New York,
I got, I left there two weeks ago. My sense is that really is the epicenter right now.
And have you made any, have you any observations around your own personal behavior or thoughts around the impact it's having on you and your family?
Yeah.
I mean, we're very fortunate in that I have tenure, so we don't have to worry about losing our job.
We don't have the financial threats and fears that a lot of families have.
We also have a nice view out over Washington Square Park, and we feel perfectly safe going out to the park and walking around and jogging.
It seems that the virus doesn't really spread from that sort of just passing people.
Even if they have it, just passing them doesn't seem to pass it on.
So we're not feeling too claustrophobic yet.
Of course, it's only been like nine days, so who knows?
And my kids are not alarmed that my son is an introvert and he actually says
he prefers this to going to school. And thank God kids are, if not entirely immune, it doesn't
really threaten kids. Oh, word. Can you imagine if this had been reversed like some of the
previous pandemics and it was preying on our children? I think you'd have chaos. I think you
just have chaos. You're right. People would be much more, I think, more selfish in the sense of doing anything to protect their own kids. I think
you're right about that. So in my family, the disruption hasn't been actually too great. We
can get groceries delivered. There is a funny thing where even though, yes, this is the epicenter now
in the country, because we're all locked away, my sense of what's happening in New York is not that
different from your sense. That is, most of what I know is what I see on the news. Now, when I've
gone out a few times, it's quite amazing to look up, say, 6th Avenue or 5th Avenue, and you see,
just as far as I can see, you see a couple of cars here and there, and you see some delivery
bicycles and people walking. It's like North Korea. I mean, it's like the street scenes we see from Pyongyang, you know, a couple of cars and a bunch of bicycles. Vanilla sky. Yeah.
It's very strange. Yeah. Yeah. But I think where we are now is we kind of know that this tidal
wave is coming. And I just heard from, I just spoke to somebody yesterday whose wife is an
emergency room doctor. And she said, yesterday, the surge is beginning. Like we're not over
capacity yet, but we're getting close.
And that was just yesterday.
And of course, it's going to get a lot worse in the coming weeks.
So I think we're all bracing for a tsunami.
But I think our eyes are really much more on the hospitals than on ourselves.
I'm not sure about that, but that's the way it feels to me.
So Jonathan Haidt, I like, so yours is the most optimistic view I've received so far, and it's nice and it's reinforcing this notion that this might be, in retrospect, an expensive vaccination for our society where we decide we're in this together and that hopefully we'll look back on this and having seen this as an inspiration for what was one of the greatest collective efforts, both forming new alliances and innovations such that we
could flatten this curve, get past it, and hopefully a new generation of leaders and activists and very
socially-minded people that realize that obviously we're much stronger together and that institutions
matter and that we get through this and are much more prepared, that the muscle's damaged here,
but it's only damaged such that it grows back stronger and we're able to face these things
with much greater vigor and resilience. Professor Jonathan Haidt is an American
social psychologist, professor of ethical leadership at New York University Stern
School of Business and an author. Jonathan, thank you so much for doing this. This is our
second podcast, and I said this
at the beginning of the show in the intro. I find you courageous. I just love hearing from you,
and I find you're one of the few academics that is willing to take a, I don't want to call you
a conservative, but I think of you as a raging moderate, and you're just totally unafraid to
kind of call it as you see it. Stay well, and I'll see you back on campus, hopefully sooner rather than later.
Well, thank you, Scott.
Let me just say that that summation you gave
of what I said was better than what I said.
That was amazing.
If you can summarize things like that, well, thank you.
It's because I've been drinking.
It's cocktail hour somewhere.
All right, Professor Hyde, take care.
I'll see you soon.
Thanks, Scott.
Bye-bye.
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ConstantContact.ca Okay, it's time for Office Hours, the part of the show where you ask us questions on things we have no domain expertise or credibility or license to respond to.
Think of us as Oprah and Dr. Phil minus the empathy, the talent, and the degrees.
Griffin, first question. Hi, Scott. My name is Millie. I am 18, just about to go to college,
and I have recently become interested in investing. I was wondering what suggestions
you have for someone who is just about to enter the finance world and any suggestions you have for being successful in it. Thank you.
Millie, thanks so much for the question and congratulations. What a wonderful time to be
heading to college and also you're blessed to have some idea around what interests you. So
the business of money is less frictionless than any other business. And what I mean by that is
it has more scale such that if you go into the business of helping other people invest their money, it's not 10 times harder to
help manage or help people invest 100 million versus 10 million. It's not 100 times harder to
manage a hedge fund of 100 million versus a million. So the business of money has tremendous
scale because money flows are pretty frictionless. Anyways, a great business. And that's exciting
that at such a young age, you have a a great business. And that's exciting that at
such a young age, you have a passion for it. So it's a sport and we want to start on our fitness
first. Fit is arguably a liberal arts education, not only math, finance, economics, but biology.
And I also think anthropology is super interesting in terms of correlating or understanding what
moves markets. And again, markets are just a reflection of who we are. So to understand the
human condition is to understand the markets. You need to be fascinated by the markets. You want to
start reading the Wall Street Journal. You want to start reading Barron's. You want to start,
if you can, watching CNBC a few minutes a day. And then you need to get in the game and practice.
Now that we're fit, let's practice. How do we practice? I want you to start investing. Get a
Robinhood app. And I want you to find some stocks and companies that you like and understand. The best way to really understand a company at your want you to start investing. Even if there's a way you can figure out while in college to invest $100 a month, $100 a month,
and start buying stocks. Don't trade a lot. Do research. Buy a few stocks. Maybe take,
if you can invest $100 a month, that's $1,200 a year. Do it across two or three stocks to
understand those companies. Don't trade stocks. Trading can eat up or just
take too much time. You don't want to be in the business of trading, but buy stocks you think you
would like to hold for a long time, at least initially, and write down notes as to why you
bought those stocks. And I'll tell you what, if you buy, if you can show me, if you send me your
statement showing that you have been disciplined enough, which I was not at your age, to buy $100 worth of stock every month for a year in 12 months,
send me that statement and I will match it.
I'll give you, I will Venmo you or whatever it is 18-year-olds do, $1,200.
And then in 20 or 30 years when you're the next Warren Buffett, you can look me up and
do something nice for me.
Anyways, I think it's fantastic.
It's great to be you.
You're blessed to be 18 and have
a sense of something you're passionate about. Got to be passionate about the markets. Get in great
shape here. Finance, economics, biology, anthropology, start investing to understand
these companies. And please keep in touch. What a great time to be Millie. Next question.
Hey, Professor Galloway. My name is Spiros. I've enjoyed
listening to your podcast and hearing your thoughts on what's going on with existing
companies in the market due to the coronavirus crisis. My question to you is, what should
entrepreneurs be doing during this time? So I recently launched a data analytics software
company on March 18th called NAR. And when our team picked that launch date months ago,
this wasn't exactly the climate
that we were expecting or hoping to be releasing into. So do you have any advice for folks like us
who are trying to get a small business off the ground during this time? Thanks.
So I had a friend named Spiros who was an entrepreneur who opened restaurants,
lied to his investors and ended up in jail. Don't be like that Spiros, Spiros. Don't be like that, Spiros Spiros. Don't be like that, Spiros. Anyways, so the first thing
entrepreneurs should be doing is freaking the fuck out. This is an incredibly strange time.
It is a difficult time to be an entrepreneur. The silver lining here, we are going through
a correction. And not only are stocks getting cheaper, everything will get cheaper. And as I
look back on the nine companies I've started, people think of me as an academic.
I'm actually an entrepreneur.
The majority of the financial security that I've been able to garner for me and my family
has been a function of the companies I've started.
And if you think about or if you look at the nine companies I've started, the only thing
that discerns the winners from the losers is when I started them.
And that is when I started companies during a recession or time of economic turmoil, those
had a tendency to succeed.
And when I started companies in a frothy time, i.e. just more than three weeks ago, they
tended to fail.
Why is that, Spiros?
In about two weeks, two months, six months, everything is about to get a lot less expensive
for an entrepreneur.
That is, you'll find good people that are less expensive to hire.
You'll find office space.
And then as we come out of this, and we will come out of this current economic crisis or
what looks like it's unfolding to be an economic crisis, the wind will be at your back.
So I would argue in the next 4, 8, 12 weeks is a great time to start a business.
Now, if you already have a business, you need to do a couple of things.
One, you need to recognize that companies or small businesses are not the
Hallmark Channel. They're the Hunger Games. And that is you have to be pretty ruthless and pretty
Darwinian. You have to look at every cost. Rookie entrepreneurs make the mistake of believing that
expenses make a business. They don't. Revenues make a business. You need to get to revenues as
quickly as possible. And you need to throw around nickels like they're goddamn manhole covers
and be ridiculously cheap.
And every day looking at how you could cut costs
and get to revenues faster.
You need to find fantastic partners.
And when things aren't working out with people,
you need to cut them loose.
And I know that sounds harsh,
but there's this notion that somehow
small businesses survive on kombucha coffee
and aspirational ideas,
deals and giving everyone
paternity leave. That is total bullshit. This is where the sausage gets made. The reason why the
rewards are so outsized for successful entrepreneurs is the initial, the initial portion or the initial
stages of a company are really full body contact, hand to hand combat. In Vietnam, you're not old
enough to understand that reference.
But one, what should you be doing now? Look at your costs, right-size your business, get to revenues as quickly as possible. If you have investors, have an open and honest conversation
with them about the state of the business as quickly as possible. Make sure you have the
right team. And then every day, try and make a little bit of progress one foot in front of the
other. But this is a great time, I think, over the next six months to start a business bit of progress one foot in front of the other. But this is a great time,
I think, over the next six months to start a business. Be ruthless, be hungry, be all over
everything all the time. There is no balance when you're an entrepreneur. This is the Hunger Games.
That didn't sound very good. Anyways, good luck. Reach out to me. Let me know how it's going.
Next question. Hi, Scott. It's colby morgan one of your og prof g
strategy sprinters okay i'll be quick first of all the two of us definitely agree that the education
industry is ripe for disruption right now especially i just heard you refer to your kids
likely not returning to school you know through the summer time into next year right the education
industry right now is in crisis so So Section 4 is doing outstanding work
in this space and absolutely must be a part of the solution. But my prediction is this. Two major
players will come together to elevate education in the U.S. It will likely be, one, a powerful
institution of higher ed, and two, a partner business or a financial firm that can build or scale a large scale online platform.
So the question, one, do you agree with me? Do you agree with the prediction?
And if so, what will be that institution and what will be the firm moving this disruption forward?
Thanks, Scott.
Thank you, Colby. And thanks for being one of our inaugural students around our strategy sprint at Section 4. We're doing online education. Our first online course was 600 people in our
strategy sprint. So thanks, Colby, and thanks for the kind words. So education and disruption.
The way you evaluate if an industry is disruptible is you look at the underlying prices across its
category. The price increases relative to inflation.
So the cable industry raised prices twice as fast as inflation, stuck their chin out, boom,
and come these fists of stone called Facebook and Google, and they have totally disrupted the $60
billion TV advertising market. The two industries that are most ripe for disruption that have raised
their prices faster than inflation with no underlying increase in innovation or productivity,
very simple.
Healthcare is number one.
Number two is yours truly, education.
And you've identified what is arguably the most untouched or most opportune environment for education.
It's a $2 or $3 trillion global market.
Think about my industry.
I charge kids or NYU charges kids $7,000 to listen to me do this 12 nights, three hours. It comes
out to about a hundred grand a night. I'm good at what I do. I'm not that good. And it's about
95 points of gross margin because they pay me about two or 3% of that. So there are very few
companies or very few products. They got a 92% gross margin that aren't kind of ripe to be
disrupted. They don't have really any artisanship. And what the majority of academics are teaching is in the same format, the same facility, the same
methodology. It just really hasn't innovated. So we have stuck, the mother of all chins being
stuck out is as you have identified as education. Now, who disrupts it? I would argue it's not going
to be a financial services firm like everything else.
And this is what's so dangerous. So much power is aggregating to a small number of companies.
I think a world class institution, you have identified that one of the barriers or moats, if you will, for universities is really two things.
Their brand, their brands are built over generations, if not centuries. You just can't replicate an MIT. Those three letters mean so much to people. It means technology. It means integrity. It means incredible love of the pursuit of truth. So you just can't replicate that overnight. These brands really are some of the best brands in the world. The second is
geography or physical space. And that is at NYU, our strategy has been to buy up everything in Soho
and stick our elbows out because the campus was sort of a hub. I wonder if corona
is distributing education and making education, both the people who deliver it and the people
who receive it, much more comfortable with digital dissemination of accredited education,
which might make the barriers of entry to education or distributed education much more
powerful. What does that mean? It means the best brands become more powerful
because people in Singapore and St. Petersburg
will want to take courses from MIT,
not from Fordham or USC,
which are both kind of what I call second,
not second tier, but not the best school in their cities.
I say that, of course, as a Bruin from UCLA.
So you're going to see one, a great brand.
You're right.
You've identified that.
Where I think you might've missed it as the partner. I don't think it's a financial services
company. I think the companies that probably have the best opportunity to disrupt education,
and although they haven't really made any signals here and they made signals in healthcare,
is unfortunately big tech. So imagine a liberal arts, a design, a marketing, industrial design, a university sponsored by Apple and Berkeley. I just think
that combination, that peanut butter and chocolate would be extraordinary. And Apple's in charge of
the technology, the user interface, and Berkeley's in charge of the curriculum. But these companies
have such strong brands, have such unbelievable ability to distribute that they could, in fact,
I think, disrupt education. I think the model needs to change. I think it needs to be flipped
on its head. And my vision for education has always been that we're charging the wrong people,
that the people that garner the greatest value from the certification are the end employer.
And what I would like to see is the model flipped where kids go to universities for free,
and then the organizations recruiting at these
universities pay. And based on how much they pay, they get kind of first access to what is the
mother's milk of corporate America, and that is talented young people coming out of those
universities. And I think a lot of the bigger organizations in the world, whether it's P&G,
McKinsey, Google, or 3M would pay universities a lot of money to recruit at their universities.
So I think we have decided, like everything we do, to tax young people such that old people
can stay rich. But I think the opportunity is for Apple, Google, or Amazon to partner with a
world-class university, flip the model, and start charging recruiters for access to these students,
and let the greatest human capital come to these universities for free. But hands down,
education, as you've identified, is now the most disruptible, ripe opportunity in the world because
the other one, healthcare, it's clear that Amazon and Apple are making moves into that.
Long-winded way of saying my industry is about to feel fists of stone come after the chin,
which has been sticking out, and it is about time. Office Hours, another one down.
Tons of Spanish here. How exciting. All I got to say is,
We love your questions. Please remember, take time to submit them at officehoursatsection4.com.
Hey, it's Scott Galloway, and on our podcast, Pivot, we are bringing you a special series at section4.com. the senior AI reporter for The Verge, to give you a primer on how to integrate AI into your life.
So tune into AI Basics, How and When to Use AI,
a special series from Pivot sponsored by AWS, wherever you get your podcasts.
So for our algebra of happiness segment, notes on the pursuit of success, love, and meaning,
we're going to return to our interview with Professor Jonathan Haidt as he discusses happiness.
So Professor, talk a little bit about happiness and this crisis impact on our general well-being
and the sensation, if you have happiness. Sure. So my first book was called The Happiness Hypothesis, and it was an analysis of 10 ancient
ideas about happiness and flourishing and whether or not they're true. And the theme
uniting all of them, I didn't realize this when I started the book, but the theme uniting all of
them is relatedness. It's the most important single thing for happiness is the sense of relationships or relatedness. So in this age of social distancing, of course, this is a big risk. If our relatedness
goes way down, our happiness should go way down. And so I think the most important thing people
should remember is the importance of relationships. So first, don't talk about social distancing.
That's not what we're doing. What we're doing is physical distancing.
And if we're doing physical distancing, then we should make extra efforts to do social connection.
So really think about this as a time of increased social connection.
And one of the pleasures I've found is that now it just makes sense. I'm doing a bit more reaching out to old friends that I haven't seen in a while. So there are opportunities here to reconnect.
A hundred percent. Last night I was on a Zoom call with 50 of my fraternity brothers that I
hadn't talked to in 30 years. And it was a total food fight. It was ridiculous, but we all got on
Zoom and it was hilarious to see everybody 30 years later.
That's beautiful. That's a great example.
So at the end of the book,
the conclusion that I came to once the publishers had changed the title
to The Happiness Hypothesis,
and I had to kind of say,
well, what is The Happiness Hypothesis?
So the conclusion I came to in the book
is that happiness comes from between.
That is, it doesn't come from getting what you want.
It doesn't come from within.
It comes from getting the right relationships
between yourself and others,
between yourself and your work
or something that makes you feel productive,
and between yourself and something larger than yourself.
You have to have a sense that your life,
your struggles, your work has some effect or some meaning.
And if you get those three betweens right,
then you'll be about
as happy as you can be. So I would urge everybody to do a kind of an audit. If you're sitting there
in quarantine, just think about how are your relationships coming along. And the more you
reach out, I think by video especially, I'm hopeful that people will do a lot more relating
by video where you can see the person, you can respond in real
time than by texting or social media of other forms. So if you work on your relationships,
if you think about how to be productive, many of us can work from home, but many can't.
And people would need to think about what they can do that's still productive. And I think even
just cleaning up your apartment or house and organizing your life, having some sense of doing something where you see progress.
We are more affected by whether we can make progress than we are by whether we reach a destination.
A relationship audit.
I like that.
I think that's good advice.
Our taxes have been delayed for six months, so do a relationship audit.
Yeah, that's basically it.
Our producers are Griffin Carlberg and Drew Burrows. Thanks so much to Millie Spiros and Colby who called in with office hours questions. And to our contributor this week, our interviewer
professor, Jonathan Hay, professor of ethical leadership and colleague at NYU Stern. If you
like what you heard, please follow, download. and if you wouldn't mind right now, subscribe. We're off to a good start here. We put a lot of work into this
and we appreciate your support. Thanks for listening. We'll catch you next week for another
episode of the Prop G Show from Section 4 and the Westwood One Podcast Network.