The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Behind the Scenes of SVB’s Collapse + A Vision for America — with Ro Khanna
Episode Date: March 30, 2023Representative Ro Khanna joins Scott to discuss several topics including TikTok, SVB, and his agendas for a “new economic patriotism.” Follow Ro on Twitter @RepRoKhanna. Scott opens by discussing ...why distressed assets are a great buy, Twitter’s $20 billion valuation, and why Alibaba splitting into six separate businesses is a smart move for shareholders. Algebra of Happiness: everyone needs applause. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Episode 243.
243 is the country code for the democratic republic of the congo in 1943
the u.s government started the payroll withholding tax and nachos were invented
what do you call a row of trucks hauling nachos a cheesy pickup line go, go!
Welcome to the 243rd episode of The Prop G-Pod.
In today's episode, we speak with Congressman Ro Khanna, who represents California's 17th congressional district.
We discuss with Ro what it's like to be behind the scenes of the Silicon Valley bank implosion,
as well as his agenda for a, open quote, a new economic patriotism, close quote. Okay, what's happening? Parts of Silicon
Valley Bank finally have a home after collapsing about two weeks ago. Wow, it's been two weeks.
First Citizen is taking over elements of SBB, including its deposits, loans, and 17 branches.
The deal amounted to 56 billion in deposits and 72 billion in assets at a $16.5 billion discount.
The acquisition doubles the size of First Citizens, bringing it to $219 billion in assets.
This isn't First Citizens' first rodeo with troubled banks.
The firm has scooped up more than a dozen other failed banks with the help of the FDIC.
First Citizens' shares jumped more than 45% during Monday morning trading.
Reuters reported that First Citizens will not pay cash and instead granted equity appreciation rights in its stock to the FDIC that could be worth up to $500 million.
That's a pretty good deal, right?
I get this.
I get these deposits, and I'll give you some upside if we all share on the upside. It's like buying a house, and the person you buy it from just gets some equity participation
in the appreciation of the house, but you own the house. Anyways, the Financial Times noted
that following the deal, the FDIC said the failure of SVP could cost its deposit insurance fund about
$20 billion, making SVP the most costly failure in the history of the U.S. insurance deposit fund,
which has been around since 1933. So the lesson here, what's the takeaway? So there's the obvious
stuff, poor risk management on behalf of Silicon Valley Bank management. This was not a bailout.
The shareholders, the bondholders were wiped out, probably need to revisit regulation around
smaller banks, realizing they too present a contagion risk. There's also probably a need
to examine regulation in an era of digital banking and social media. And that
is when you don't need to wait the day to go to the bank to get your money out, you can get it
out in two minutes on your phone. A bank run can go from a standing start to a sprint in no time
or zero flat. In addition, in a social media world where the algorithms reward people who can be
famous for being catastrophists, what does it mean to have individuals who appear to have a vested interest
in undermining the banking system in order just to pose for the algorithms?
There's definitely some learnings and some lessons here.
What's the next lesson that we don't talk about is that, one, a certain number of failing
banks that are ring-fenced is probably a good thing.
We could have a very boring banking system, just make sure that massive liquidity ratio coverage, that would also lead to a very boring economy.
That is the reason that you can get a home mortgage with 5x leverage is that the bank loans out more money than it has on hand.
The reason that if you have a startup, you can get venture debt is because, again, see above, the bank is loaning out more money than it has on hand. The reason that if you have a startup, you can get venture debt is because, again, see above,
the bank is loaning out more money than it has on hand. So if you want to tighten those regulations,
get ready to not be able to borrow as much money for a house, get ready to not be able to get venture debt for your growing business. So there's a certain amount of leverage and bank failures
you probably want to see happen. Now, do you want something that could potentially cause
a bank run on all
the banks? No, obviously not. And that's what regulation is for. The other big learning here
is that there is always opportunity in distressed. I have invested across all different parts of the
investment ecosystem or the cap stack from angel to venture to growth to IPOs to publicly traded growth companies to mature to distressed. On a risk
adjusted basis, I find that the best asset class or the best part of the cap structure to invest in
or the life cycle of a company is distressed. Now, why is that? Everyone wants to hang out
with the cool kids. Everyone wants to hang out with Tom Brady and Gisele Bundchen. Probably not
a good idea to hang out with them at the same time right now.
Another story, another story.
But the bottom line is we're attracted to hot, young, growing companies.
And we pay a premium to be involved with these companies.
And those are the companies that get constant press when their stock quintuples.
Who do we not want to hang out with?
Old people.
And I know that sounds ageist, and it is ageist, but it's true,
right? They aren't as attractive. They aren't as interesting, usually. Maybe they are,
maybe they aren't. But for whatever reason, we avoid old people. Just the same way we avoid
distressed assets, because they smell funny, these distressed assets, and they're going to
be dead soon, and we don't like to be reminded that everything everywhere ends. However,
because of
that, there's an absence of capital, human and financial, that goes into distressed assets.
Likely one of the best investments I ever made was in a Yellow Pages company.
And I made this investment about seven years ago, and we all knew that Yellow Pages were going away,
as with this company. But you could pick up Yellow Pages companies for about two times EBITDA. So we
know the business was going away, but we also knew it wasn't going to go away in two years.
And what do you know, five years later, the company was smaller, but it was still doing the same amount of EBITDA because we could go in and buy other Yellow Pages companies, cut costs, and hold on to that EBITDA.
This was a great investment.
In 1997, everybody knew Blockbuster was going away.
But you could, again, pick up Blockbuster franchises for two to three times cash flow,
and it took them about another 12 years before they went out of business.
Distressed is the best place in the cap structure.
My biggest win so far, and I talked about this a couple weeks ago, or one of my biggest
wins will be my investment in a firm called Enjoy, which is electronic nicotine delivery system.
Ends, call it vaping.
I call it smoking cessation.
Anyways, the reason why it's going to be such a big hit is because no one wanted near it about eight years ago when we brought it out of bankruptcy.
When I say we, I mean Mudra Capital.
Brought it out, I think, at a valuation of $50 or $70 million, and it just signed an agreement to be acquired by Altria for, I believe, $2.75 billion.
My point is, kind of the key, similar to the key to economic security, is not how much you make,
but how much you save and invest. The key to investing is not only the company you're
investing in, but the price that you get it at. So at some point, everything's a buy,
and at some point, everything is, in fact, a sale. And what do we have here? We now are moving from defense and
offense in the banking crisis. And that is probably a lot of banks see opportunity here
to come in and swoop up regional banks that are trading at a real discount because of the fear,
because of everyone running for the doors. There is opportunity in running
into the fire. Okay, what else is happening? Elon Musk has valued Twitter at $20 billion.
In an email reviewed by several news sites, including the Information, the New York Times,
and the Wall Street Journal, Elon believes this, quote unquote, low valuation is an opportunity
and that the company could eventually be worth $250 billion. Yeah.
Okay. That's fucking crazy, but you got to give it to the guy who's pulled off some crazy before.
Let's not forget that Twitter stock was pretty much anemic before Elon bought it for $44 billion
in October, 2022. Okay. Let's look at the valuation. If you take an average multiple
on revenues of the market capitalization of Snap, Alphabet, and Facebook, kind of its peer group, they trade at about four times or their enterprise value is about four times revenues.
Now, let's apply that to Twitter.
By the way, that's being generous to Twitter because all three of those companies are better companies than Twitter.
But apply that.
Let's be generous.
Let's apply that 4x multiple.
Twitter is supposedly now
at a run rate of somewhere between $2 and $3 billion, valuing the company then generously
at somewhere between $8 and $12 billion, meaning that with $13 billion in debt, this company has
negative enterprise value. In other words, there is no equity value. Could it be worth more than
$20 billion? Sure. But that is not a fair valuation. That is not an accurate valuation. That is not what people would be willing to invest in this company unless they
were doing it for other reasons. They just wanted to be close to Elon or they were fanatics. The
company's headcount has been slashed from 8,000 employees before Elon took over to roughly 2,000
employees. That is just staggering. And that action is probably going to have more impact
on the business ecosystem,
at least in tech, than anything else this year. While we're all excited about AI, we're all
talking about supply chain, the bottom line is every CEO and every board in tech has looked at
what Elon's done and said, well, could we hold on to, say, 80%, 90%, 100% of our revenues and not
lay off 80% of the workforce, but maybe lay off 8% or 18% or 28% of the workforce.
And as we predicted earlier this year, we believe that technology companies will face headwinds in terms of growth,
but many of them will report the most profitable quarters in history towards the back half of this year.
Why? Why?
Because cutting costs is a great way to create more profits, especially in a company that's had so many calories stepped down its esophagus.
It has fatty deposits everywhere.
And think of it this way.
If a company has 40% operating margins, that means for every dollar in incremental revenue, 40 cents flows to the bottom line.
So in this environment, you can either grow your revenues by two and a half bucks or you can cut costs by a dollar.
And the latter right now is much easier given C above shoving calories down the esophagus.
And the market loves it.
Whenever people announce or whenever these boards announce these employee layoffs, the
stock goes up.
That is the dominant business trend in 2023.
It doesn't get headlines.
It's not aspirational.
No CEO is going
to brag about it. But you can bet the majority of board time right now around growth is not about
growth. It's about cutting costs. Twitter, Facebook owner Meta, now Amazon, the big tech
job cuts continue. Okay, one last story before moving to our conversation with Representative
Ro Khanna. Alibaba is splitting its business into six units.
It plans on maintaining control of its juggernaut e-commerce entity
while allowing other units, including logistics and cloud, to split off an IPO separately.
The FT reported that Goldman Sachs estimates the group's e-commerce business is worth about $103 a share,
followed by AliCloud at $16 a share, and its international business at $12 of value
per share.
So let's turn this back to, let me think, me.
In 2000 and, when was it?
I think it was 2007.
Talk about bad timing.
I raised $600 million and bought 18% of the New York Times and then went on the board
to quote unquote unlock value.
And the thesis was very straightforward.
They needed to double down on digital.
Okay, that was pretty obvious.
But also, this company had become a conglomerate with a bunch of good assets trapped inside
of a newspaper company.
When you have a conglomerate of disparate assets, the market hates it.
CEOs love it.
Now, why do CEOs love it?
Because CEOs want to sleep at night.
They don't want the
anxiety of a cyclical business, so they smooth out that cyclicality by acquiring all sorts of shit,
unrelated shit, and that way it smooths out their earnings and they can sleep easier at night. But
here's the thing. Investors don't need CEOs to diversify for them. If I want to own a cloud
business, I'll go own a cloud business. If I want to own the
international division of something, I'll go buy a foreign company doing a similar business. I want
my CEO of my stocks totally focused on one thing and held accountable for that one thing. So
investors hate conglomerations. CEOs like it, investors hate it. So what do investors do?
They find the shittiest part of the conglomerate, and they assign that multiple to the entire business. Case in point, the New York Times
company and my thesis around why this company needed to be broken up. What did the New York
Times company own when we took this stake? They own their headquarters, which happened to be
the seventh tallest building in America. Now, why does a newspaper company own the seventh tallest company in America?
There is no good reason. As a matter of fact, at the company's low, the building was worth more
than the entire company. So this wasn't a media company. It certainly wasn't a newspaper company.
It was a REIT. So it was pretty obvious that they should sell the company. That doesn't mean they
have to move out. They just sell it to a real estate investment trust and then lease it back
through something called the sale lease back. We also own, get this, 17% of a baseball team.
And not just 17% of any baseball team, but 17% of the New York Yankees enemy, the Boston Red Sox.
And the CEO would give this bullshit rationale that we got special insight and coverage of
Boston sports. What a, how fucking ridiculous. We didn't get any insight. We owned 17% of the Red Sox,
a company that produced negative cash flow, but had, like any sports team, huge asset value because
there's no shortage of billionaires going through midlife crises that want to own a baseball team
so they can take their friends to the owner's box. What else did they own? We owned About.com. Why?
Because management wanted to accessorize their analog boring outfit with
digital earrings and say that 17% of our revenue came from digital. So what happened? All of these
assets that traded at a much higher multiple on EBITDA than a shitty newspaper business or a
challenged newspaper business were all trading at the same multiple as a newspaper business.
So the disposition of assets, the spin of assets
was accretive to shareholders. And that's what we fought for. And eventually they did. They sold
about.com way too late. They sold the building and they started kind of doubling down on the
New York Times company, which in my view was really the only the crown jewel in the property
they should be focused on. And that is what is happening here at Alibaba. The stock has gotten
beat up so badly, even with its recent recovery. By the way, it was one of our stock picks for 2023,
and it's up about, I think, about 70% since that call. It is still undervalued relative to its
peers in the United States or in other markets. When comparing its multiples to MercadoLibre or
Amazon, it still trades at a substantial discount. So what are they doing? They realize
that AliCloud, which is probably a fucking amazing business, would trade a higher multiple if it was
released, if it was exonerated, if it was lifted, if we rescued it from this conglomerate structure.
So a split here or a divestiture of assets should be good for Alibaba shareholders in some investors
like focus and accountability. And this conglomeration of assets doesn't make any
sense. The most valuable company in the world, in my view, is AWS in 2027. I think at some point,
if Amazon shares continue to go sideways, they will decide to spend what is the most
profitable and biggest cloud company in the world, AWS, which will be the stock that you
give little Rachel for her bar mitzvah and everyone has in their 401k.
And the thing will trade it in a rational multiple and be liberated from the confines
of an e-commerce company that's growing but not growing that fast any longer.
Conglomerates bad, splitups accretive to shareholders.
This is the right move for Alibaba.
We'll be right back for our conversation with Representative Ro Khanna.
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How and When to Use AI, a special series from Pivot sponsored by AWS, wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome back. Here's our conversation with Congressman Ro Khanna, who represents California's 17th congressional district.
Representative Khanna, where does this podcast find you?
I'm in Washington, D.C.
That would make sense. That was sort of a ridiculous question,
wasn't it? You got the tie on. Where else would you be? So I'd love to just get your take on,
before we bust into our regular schedule program, what your take is on
the House Energy Committee hearing on TikTok, your views on TikTok? Well, I think it's a mistake to have TikTok owned by
ByteDance and that we should force the sale of TikTok. And I'll tell you a couple reasons why.
One, you could have the Chinese CCP at any point use the platform for subtle propaganda. So imagine
there's an American candidate who has a more pro-China policy.
Could they manipulate videos
to have that come up first
for the millions of users?
Two, even though right now
I don't believe that any of the data
is compromised,
at a future point,
you could have Xi Jinping
or someone compromise it.
And three, I don't think we owe
the Chinese much reciprocity.
It's not like they allow Google
or Facebook or Amazon to operate there. Yeah, it's just shocking to me. I've been watching
the hearing. It's like TikTok did what Putin couldn't do, and that is unify
Republicans and Democrats. I've never seen this sort of bipartisan agreement.
It's almost sort of a pleasure to watch. Let's move on. I'd love to just, and also just current news.
I know you were intimately involved in the actions last week or kind of behind the scenes
around Silicon Valley Bank.
I'd be curious to get your sense of kind of where you think the state of the U.S. banking
system is, what you learned dealing with this crisis, and any general thoughts about the Valley's response to
this, SVB, and the risks it presents around contagion? Well, the biggest thing takeaway is
we need to protect regional banks and community banks. We don't want just four banks operating
in the United States, Citibank, J.P. Morgan, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America.
And the challenge is that one of the things I was surprised about is how many people had money in the bank over $250,000 and weren't in sweep accounts.
A sweep account is basically where they take your money and they distribute it across many
banks so that no number is over $250,000.
But they had all these companies that just had their money
in this bank with large accounts. And as a country, we've almost always, if you look at the
history, guaranteed the depositors. So we end up doing this anyway. So what I say is we've got all
these people basically driving a car without insurance. And when they hurt someone, it's the
U.S. government that ends up saying, okay, no, no, we're going to pay for that accident. I've said what we ought to do is have a higher bank premium, but have a mandatory
fee on any account over $250,000 so that you're mandatory paying for insurance in case there's
something that goes off with the bank. And I'm working actually with a couple Republicans to
try to get that proposal through.
I'd love to put forward a thesis here and have you push back on it or validate it.
So let's just acknowledge really poor risk management on behalf of the senior executives of the bank.
Terrible communications around how they announced the equity raise, just, you know, kind of clown car and clown car.
And as a result, the shareholders got wiped out. As a result, the unsecured debtors got wiped out.
As a result, management got fired and the equity value,
I would argue there'll probably be a clawback here,
but their equity value has gone to zero.
And the depositors got backstopped.
So in addition to poor credit management or risk controls,
in addition to kind of an unprecedented increase
in interest rates.
What role, if any, do you think there's sort of what I call this emerging vein of what
I call venture catastrophists who seem to get some sort of compensation or pose for
the social media platforms to make a bad situation worse?
Am I being hyperbolic here?
Do these individuals in Silicon Valley
have more of an obligation to the Commonwealth
to not stoke this type of fear?
Because at the end of the day,
isn't the panic really a function of trust
or lack thereof?
What role did these individuals play
in fomenting a crisis
that could have been potentially averted?
Do you agree with
that? Or am I not zeroing in on the correct issues here? I think it remains to be seen if there were
individuals who were actually shorting the stock or fomenting the crisis and fomenting a run. And
there are allegations out there of several people who have done that. But I think what is more
certainly plausible, I'm not ruling that out,
is just the herd mentality of Silicon Valley. I've seen this firsthand. When I was first running
for office against a very powerful incumbent and was at 3% in the poll, someone said,
don't worry if you get one or two venture capitalists, everyone else will come behind you
and all the tech leaders will go behind you. And so I think what you saw is one or two people tweeting out and everyone just following that judgment and not stopping to think
independently. I mean, there's this herd movement in the Valley that creates often bubbles and can
create panic and that moves very fast. Everyone is also way too on Twitter, more than even
politicians or people in Silicon Valley. So you have one tweet that goes viral, it gets shared, and money moves very fast. And whether there was something malicious about it by one or two actors, I think that remains to be seen as someone who is trying to play a productive role behind the scenes, trying to be constructive and get things done.
Can you give us any sense for what the mood was like last weekend?
I know you were working with individuals, but put us into the room.
Well, I got a call starting Thursday night that there was a problem.
Friday, I said, let me hear from my district.
We sent out an email.
We're going to have a webinar at 4 p.m.
Eastern time. At 7 o'clock Eastern time, 600 people were on the call. They were on the call
for three hours. They said, look, this is going to be a disaster. If you don't have a guarantee
on the depositors, you're going to have a run on regional banks across the country. And you've got
50,000 of these companies, some of them that are making payroll,
and a lot of companies that will go under. And so they said, look, some of the venture capitalists,
we may fund with bridge loans, the best companies, but you're going to have significant layoffs and significant movement out of banks. At that point, I called the White House, I called the Treasury
Department. I said, what we really need to do is have the secretary or someone come out and say the depositors will be guaranteed, that we will guarantee deposits. And I said, look,
Powell himself did this in Bank of New England in 1991. This is not unprecedented. We do this
actually often. By Saturday, there was still not clarity. And I was on a call late Saturday night
with the FDIC.
And they were saying, well, we're going to do these advanced deposits.
People can get their money for the payroll, but we're not going to do the guarantee.
And I said, look, you're still going to have massive capital flight out of these regional
banks into the big four.
That's not strong enough.
I talked to the number two person, Wally, at Treasury right before I was going on after
Janet Yellen on Sunday morning.
And I said, she's got to come out and just say depositors will be guaranteed.
And he said, no, we're not there yet.
You need all these votes.
You need procedural votes.
And I said, look, Janet Yellen is far smarter than I am when it comes to economics.
But I'm telling you what the country really needs right now is a leadership that assures
folks that the depositors will be protected.
And I'm going to respectfully have to push back on Face the Nation and say that she needs to be
stronger and more decisive, which is what I did. And by Sunday evening, fortunately, they got there
and guaranteed deposits. And so you can't, in my view, criticize the administration,
given that they did it before the Asian markets opened. I also had conversations with Steve Ruschetti, who's very close to the president.
One of the points that I made to my tech friends is the fact that it was Silicon Valley Bank
was not a positive.
It was a negative.
It made the politics much harder than if it was named Omaha Bank.
And I think this has been sobering for some of these tech folks who think they used to
walk on water, that actually it was a political liability to be saying these were Silicon Valley tech companies.
So the idea that any class of banks could be subject to a run, to me, just the logic is pretty straightforward.
You're basically moving to a two-tier bank system where too big to fail becomes a feature, not a bug, a massive outpouring of funds from
every other bank other than the four you've mentioned. It seems to me your logic is
bulletproof. But in addition to your logic being sound, it's established precedence.
I'm an investor and director or founder of four companies that had about $20, $25 million in total
on SVB. And I wasn't worried. And the reason I wasn't worried is that if you go
to the FDIC site, it has a section on failed banks that is organized really well. 73 banks have failed
in the last 10 years by my analysis, and 73 have had their depositors backstopped 100 cents on the
dollar. So it just, it shocks me that there was even any sort of hand-wringing over this.
And this is why I don't think it's a problem for Secretary Yellen to say,
we're going to guarantee depositors in this country.
We do that, as you pointed out, for the top four banks.
I mean, no one thinks that Citibank isn't going to have that.
And we did that in 2008 temporarily, at least for transaction accounts.
We did it in the CARES Act, actually.
There was a provision in the CARES Act that guaranteed depositors. We could talk about
how you have higher premiums for people or fees for accounts over $250,000. But I don't think
people know all of the details that you're talking about. And what would be interesting in the banks
in the situation you outlined, what we were hearing from FDIC is they wanted to do advanced deposits first, 50%, and they eventually get to full
protection probably.
But I don't know in those 73 cases whether they start out with something short of full
protection and then get there, or whether it's day one you have access to your full
account.
My sense is if you were to layer in a rationale for the sort of reticence
and then saying, okay, at the end of the day, we'll give you a hundred cents on the dollar,
is it creates some doubt and some, I guess, they want to encourage some scrutiny on behalf of
depositors. They don't want the blanket security that they don't even worry about it, that they do
want them to investigate the creditworthiness of the bank. I think it's fascinated, but I will say
that in everything I've read,
there was two groups of people. There were people screaming in all caps on Twitter or telling all
of their companies to get their money out in sort of a panic fashion or telling all their portfolio
companies to get their money out. And then there were a group of people who were working behind
the scenes quietly just to try and get things done, try to get this problem solved. And your
name always comes up in that.
So thank you for your service there.
Let's move on.
You have an economic vision you refer to as a new economic patriotism.
What do you mean by that?
I mean, we made a mistake in this country by letting so much of our production go offshore, and particularly to China after China's ascension to the World Trade Organization.
I mean, we used to
make most of the world's steel, 20%. In the global markets, that's down to 4% of the world's steel,
32% of aluminum down to 2%. We used to make paper. In the COVID, we didn't make masks in this
country. We didn't make baby formula in this country. And we now realize that production
is linked to innovation. When we lost semiconductor production, TSMC, we also lost some of the innovation to make the most advanced chips.
And so what I say is, look, we need to have a revitalization of production in this country.
It's not anything we haven't done before. This is how Hamilton and FDR built the country. We need
the private sector. We need government. We need educational institutions, labor, to come together to create a production renaissance in different industries and
to create economic revitalization beyond production, which may involve tech and services,
but we have to be intentional about doing it across the country. And we have to make the
basic investments in people so that they can participate in that. And that's what I define as a new economic patriotism.
The only new part is that we can use the tools of digital technology and some of our productivity to actually bring the production back because I think it gives us a productivity advantage.
So that sounds like tariffs that the consumers or the lobbyists will say just raises costs on all Americans.
How do you respond to that? Well, one, I think if we increase productivity,
that doesn't have to be the case. Since 1970 to 2000, productivity increased 20%. Production
increased about 20%. Jobs stayed the same. But the productivity increases and can allow us to
actually have prices be reasonable.
And the second thing I'd say is, look, we made a bargain in this country for cheap labor
and cheap consumer prices to offshore a lot of our production and for low regulations.
I think that was a mistake.
I don't think it was worth it to have the hollowing out of factory town after factory
town in this country.
I describe China and the United States
in some ways as addicted to a bad model of each other. We were fine with cheap consumer products
and hollowed out our middle class. They were basically so dependent on an export production
model that they don't have domestic production, and they didn't develop any of the truly wealth
generating service industries in finance or tech
to the extent they could have.
And so what I've said is, look, we need a rebalancing.
We've got to bring some of the production
back in this country.
Now, I'm not saying every single thing is going to be cheaper,
but we can have it be cost-competitive
with new technology and financing,
and I care ultimately about
having communities have access to the American dream.
What is your thought around, I mean, we talk a lot about this, creating more on-ramps into
the middle class and obviously manufacturing or the offshoring of a lot of our manufacturing
has done away with a lot of those jobs and on-ramps to the middle class economy.
What do you think the if
and what role vocational training might play? And how do we get to a point where similar to
other countries we have more formal apprenticeships and vocational training? I think it's huge. I
think it's been a total miss in this country that we didn't think about the 60% of people who don't
go to college and what they're going to do. And partly, we need the vocational training in high school. We need credentialing for vocational
training after high school that both is free and that is working with the private sector to do it.
But we need more than the courses and the training. We also need the jobs. I mean,
one of the reasons people started to look down on vocational training unfairly is because they
said, look, all the jobs are going offshore. What Bruce Springsteen sung on My Hometown, the jobs aren't coming back.
And so you're a parent, you're a community member, you're saying, well, why are we doing
the vocational education when the jobs aren't coming back? And so we need the emphasis on
production plus the vocational education. The one thing, though, Scott, I will say is
I hate the folks who put vocational education and pit it against the elite college educated folks.
I mean, can't we just be reasonable and say we need both?
Like, you're not going to build the Intel factories in Ohio without the PhDs or the engineers.
And you also need the electricians and the plumbers and sort of having this fake populism to say, well, we're against college degrees or we're against PhDs
is not helpful. And having a blind spot to the true value and dignity of people in vocational
skills is not helpful. And so I wish we could have a more rational conversation on it.
We'll be right back.
What software do you use at work? The answer to that question is probably more complicated than We'll be right back. software anyway? What is productivity software? How will AI affect both? And how are these tools
changing the way we use our computers to make stuff, communicate, and plan for the future?
In this three-part special series, Decoder is surveying the IT landscape presented by AWS.
Check it out wherever you get your podcasts.
Hello, I'm Esther Perel, psychotherapist and host of the podcast Where Should We Begin,
which delves into the multiple layers of relationships, mostly romantic.
But in this special series, I focus on our relationships with our colleagues, business
partners and managers.
Listen in as I talk to co-workers facing their own challenges with one another and get the
real work done.
Tune into Housework, a special series from Where Should We Begin, sponsored by Klaviyo.
Social Security has been in the news recently, and you have a proposal that people making over $250,000
should pay a Social Security tax on their whole income.
And by the way, the fact that it's not, that it tops out, is in and of itself, I would argue, a regressive tax, right?
That people who make less pay more of their income than people who are very wealthy.
What kind of support or pushback have you received around this proposal and make the case for it?
Well, the proposal is pretty simple. It says that you should, over $250,000, pay a Social Security
tax on your entire income. By the way, you do this on Medicare, right? The Medicare tax is in cap.
So why shouldn't you pay it on Social Security? The pushback people say is, well, it's a savings
program, not a program of tax, and that you should only pay for what you're going to get back.
I have no problem saying that it's a program that helps people in retirement that should be paid with progressive taxation.
I guess the question I often have for Republicans, at least at least Paul Ryan was honest.
Right. I mean, Paul Ryan said, I have a problem with Social Security
not being solvent. And so I want to raise some of the retirement age. We want to taper out some of
the benefits. And he had the math work. You could do that. I disagree with that. What you can't do
is stand up and cheer for Joe Biden saying we're not going to do anything to cut Social Security
and raise the retirement age and give him a standing ovation and then say, well, we're not for any tax to pay for it. I mean, that just doesn't make sense. So,
if you disagree with my proposal to increase the tax on over $250,000, people pay the tax over
$250,000, then offer some other alternative that makes sense. My understanding is it's called the
Social Security tax,
not the Social Security pension fund.
I mean, and don't most recipients
take out two to three times what they actually put in?
Most do.
And, you know, one of the other ways
I say to my Republican friends would say,
well, let's means test Social Security.
I said, this is a form of means testing in reverse.
I mean, basically, if you're rich,
you're not going to get it back as much as you put in. You're going to be putting in a lot more and you're not going to be getting back the same benefit. So they. I'm for innovation. Why can't we do the basics of making sure people have a secure retirement?
We have the ability to do that just by having people pay the tax above $250,000.
Shouldn't we hit it from both sides?
And that is reduce the costs and increase the revenues.
And you're talking about increasing the revenues by lifting the cap on the taxation limit. But why wouldn't we, when Social Security was first envisioned,
most people never saw it because they died before they were 60 or 65. Life expectancy has
gone up substantially, or at least until the last 10 years. Doesn't that just naturally indicate
that we should have, we should raise the age at which you start getting Social Security?
If we had a strong, vibrant middle class and working class in this country,
one could make that argument.
But given the devastation of globalization and the fact you and I,
we both know people in their 50s were laid off, lose their jobs.
What are you supposed to do?
If you're 57, 58, you'll lose your job.
You don't have much prospects for employment at the same time.
You're almost counting the years
until you can get to Social Security. You're maybe at 62 taking the early Social Security and paying
the penalty because that's how you keep your house. And I just think the working class and
the middle class has been too hard hit with the challenges of globalization and with policies
that haven't helped them in our country over the last 40 years for us now to be talking about raising the retirement age or lowering the benefits. We can
maybe have that conversation if we were in a place where the working class and middle class was
stronger. I think your argument is a really compelling one. And if you look at the data,
there's just a shocking number of baby boomers who haven't saved a lot of money. And the argument you make, you're 62, you're just holding on until you start getting that payment.
The flip side of that is people over the age of 60 versus 40 years ago have seen, on average, their wealth expand dramatically.
And people under the age of 40 have seen their wealth go down by, I think, 24%.
They've seen their percentage of wealth by, I think, 24%. They've seen their
percentage of wealth go from 12% to 6%. And it is a zero-sum game. If we spend more on Social
Security, and my understanding is 40% of our government spending are now going directly to
the support of seniors, it does begin to crowd out other investments, such as a child tax credit
or R&D that might create economic growth or our ability to subsidize, create subsidies
for manufacturing companies for those on-ramps.
I mean, at the end of the day, isn't this the most blessed generation in American history?
And at what point do we say, all right, these are tough decisions, but we need to start
reinvesting in young people?
Because it just strikes me as business as usual when Social Security recipients get the greatest cost of living adjustment in history
and the child tax credit gets stripped out of the infrastructure bill.
Don't we need to start investing more in young people?
We do, and that's actually a compelling point
about the skewed prioritization to people who are older.
And it's no secret.
I mean, people who are older vote And it's no secret. I mean, people who are older vote and they vote
regularly. And, you know, I think we have to be candid about why they have their legitimate needs
or paid more attention to than the legitimate needs of young kids who don't vote or young
parents who don't vote in the same numbers. I guess, though, the statistic I also would cite,
and this is Thomas Piketty,
even that people can disagree with all his conclusions, and I don't agree with all his
conclusions, but he has this statistic that I thought was staggering, that people between
the 30 and 70 percentile of American wealth in America, basically the middle, have lost 25%
of their wealth since 1980.
And you've basically had the hollowing out of a lot of the working and middle class.
And so I guess what I would say is you have the Social Security tax go beyond $250,000,
but you also have tax the capital gains.
I mean, carried interest.
You take away some of the deductions on the
estate tax where you have a step up in basis, figure out some way of taxing stock trading
that on a transaction tax of some kind.
There are other ways that we can get about taxing the extraordinary wealth generation
to also pay for some of the other policies.
And, you know, that means, yes, I'm arguing for higher taxes on the affluent.
But, you know, we're one of the very, very low tax countries.
I think we're the second lowest in the OECD, which is basically Western nation.
So we can afford to have those who have done very, very well pay a little bit more.
So the big topic that I would argue doesn't get the attention it probably warrants is obviously
the war in Ukraine. What is your view on, I mean, should we, for example, are you comfortable with
the current level of support? Do you worry that it's getting too expensive? Should we be doing more and sending F-15s and increasing our support?
And what do you think the mood is like in Congress for continued support?
I think this is an area that the president has handled well.
He has been thoughtful with Blinken in getting the entire NATO and Western world behind this.
It would have been better to get a few more countries like
India. We've tried. It's been difficult, though, and I don't think it's for a lack of Biden's
efforts that we haven't been able to do that. And I voted for every aid package, and I will continue
to do so. And I'm open if the president thinks that let's get F-16s to Ukraine, I'd vote for it.
And I'd give them the weapons they need to try to hold the territory.
I think it's a challenging sense, though, because they are getting totally outmanned
with number of troops and also with artillery.
So, you know, we need to give Ukraine the support that we can and then move towards
some kind of a just peace. But it's going to be a brutal war, and Russia, in my view,
is fighting a war of attrition. So, last question here, because I know,
obviously, you've got a lot going on today. If I think of America geopolitically, competitively relative to our
competitive set, I think an honest, sober look at the data is that America is relatively strong.
Our economy is growing. Our inflation is bad, but not as bad as it is in many Western countries.
We're food independent. We're energy independent. No one is lining up for Chinese or Russian
vaccines. And yet, we really don't like each other and we really don't feel good about America.
There seems to be a fring in our connective tissue.
People seem to be more worried about the other party than they are about Xi or Putin or more concerned about a transgender swimmer than Russian soldiers pouring over the border in Ukraine.
It seems as if America is a horror movie.
The call is coming
from inside of the house. So assuming you believe, and I know you do because you work with,
you take pride in being bipartisan and working with people from across the aisle.
How do we restore that connective tissue? What are the big, bold ideas to get Americans again
to recognize that they'll never have greater allies than other Americans.
That's really well put. I come to it from my personal story. I mean, when I was growing up,
my parents who were immigrants from India said to my brother and I, you won the lottery. You were born in America. Go make something of yourself. Go work hard. Go get a good education.
This is the place where anything is possible. I still
genuinely deeply believe that we are the greatest nation in the world. I believe that we are an
aspirational hope for people around the world, that ultimately this is a good, decent country,
and that we're trying to do something, Scott, that has never been done in world history. We're trying to become a multiracial, multiethnic democracy.
The Canadians always get upset when I make this point, but they're 80-some percent white.
So are the Australians.
So are the British.
We're 60 percent white, not Hispanic.
We've got every religion, every person in the world in the United States.
And to think that we'd somehow have a linear line from Barack Obama
on to this achievement that no nation has ever done, I think was naive. And a lot of the discussion
we're having are, in my view, over two fundamental things. One is the economic dislocation. While
some places have done really well, other places have been hollowed out. The economic revitalization of our country, I think, can be a common theme at Connective
Tissue.
I often joke, I said, look, Barack Obama, the most talented person of his generation,
wanted to unify us with Lincoln-esque rhetoric.
And he succeeded in a lot of things.
I think he himself would say that the country was divided after he left.
Cory Booker, who I love, wants us to love each other.
And I said, let's just talk to each other.
Let's just make money together.
Let's just work together.
Let's rebuild America's economy.
Let's rebuild our productive capacity.
That is, I think, unifying.
And a lot of our debates about how do we navigate this? How do we have some tradition, some sense of community, some sense of understanding of a way of life and yet make room for the new saying, well, what about all these other folks? Where's their place in America?
Some of them fought in the wars and they don't see the America that their grandparents had.
And I think we have to treat each other with respect to understand that this is a conversation
we have to have about what the common culture is.
And I'll end with this poet, the person who understood this the most and had the most
visionary view of America
becoming this composite nation, respecting tradition, and yet embracing the new was
Frederick Douglass' composite nation, his speech in 1869. And I just wish if every American kid
just read that speech. I don't care about all the other debates, just read that speech. And I think
that's the vision of America. Congressman Ro Khanna represents California's 17th congressional district and is serving his fourth term.
Representative Khanna serves on the House Armed Services Committee as ranking member of the Subcommittee on Cyber, Innovative Technologies, and Information Systems.
He's also the co-chair of the Congressional Caucus on India and Indian Americans, a member of the Select Committee on the Strategic Competition between the United States and Chinese Communist Party, and on the Oversight and Accountability Committee,
where he previously chaired the Environmental Subcommittee. He joins us from our nation's
capital. Representative Khanna, thank you for your time and your service.
Thank you for having me on. How to Live Happiness
Everybody needs a stage that strangers applaud for them.
I was on Bill Maher this weekend, or Friday.
It's my third time on the show.
It's not even a humble brag, it's just a brag.
That is the Super Bowl for me, or Wimbledon.
If you're a tennis player, you dream about going out on center court at the
U.S. Open. If you're playing for the Brazilian team, you dream of being in the World Cup in the
finals. I've literally dreamt about being on Bill Maher. It's just they try and catalyze a
conversation. I think Bill is fearless and they try to be funny. And these are all things that
I aspire to professionally. And it's just hugely important to me or gratifying or rewarding
and really just bask in the moment and enjoy it. But what you also realize is that it's not
all about you, that everybody needs those moments. And part of those moments is some people aren't going to have the opportunity to go on television or go out on center court or play in the World Cup. But so much of it is just about the people in your life recognizing how proud of you they are or how impressed they are. And this is something I wish I had adopted earlier in my life. And that is, you don't
have to wait until someone does something of some sort of, I don't know, huge public recognition.
You need to create those moments for the people you love and for your kids. And it can happen a
lot of different ways, whether it's their work at school,
whether it's achievements, small achievements, or what might appear to outsiders as small
achievements. It's your job as a father, as a husband, as a brother, as a friend,
to create those moments for other people and to recognize their achievement. Everybody needs applause. Everybody needs applause. And the key is not necessarily the size of their achievement,
but the people in their life that love them and they love, you know, give them a standing ovation
and recognize their efforts. So, if you're fortunate enough to get to that point,
enjoy it, bask in it, and then recognize it's not all about you.
And you have to create some reasonable facsimile of that type of stage and applause for people in your life that mean something to you.
This episode was produced by Caroline Shagrin.
Jennifer Sanchez is our associate producer.
And Drew Burrows is our technical director.
If you like what you heard, please follow, download, and subscribe.
Thank you for listening to The Profiteer Pod from the Vox Media Podcast Network.
We will catch you on Saturday for No Mercy, No Malice, as read by George Hahn, and on Monday with our weekly market show.
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