The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Inside the Anti-Social Century — with Derek Thompson
Episode Date: July 23, 2026In a conversation recorded live on Substack, Scott Galloway and Derek Thompson discuss the rise of the “antisocial century” — and what our growing isolation is doing to our happiness, relationsh...ips, and politics. They also explore the optimization of everyday life, young men’s retreat into the digital world, AI’s economic bubble, and whether moderate drinking has been unfairly caught in the wellness backlash. Plus, Derek explains the rise of democratic socialism and offers three simple rules for dating in the antisocial century. Subscribe to Prof G+ to join our next livestream at profgmedia.com. And if you're not already reading Derek’s work, check out his Substack. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Welcome to the 406 episode of the Prop G-Pod.
What's happening?
In today's episode, we're sharing our live conversation with Derek Thompson, a prop G favorite, and Derek is a...
Substack writer, co-author of Abundance, and a host of the podcast, Plain English, wrote for the
Atlantic for a long time, or I think still does.
But he's such an impressive young man and such an interesting thinker, and I love the way he writes.
Anyways, I'm a huge fan of Derek's.
If you don't want to miss our next live stream or other content exclusive to Substack,
you can subscribe at Prophtymedia.com.
That's Profftymedia.com.
With that, we hope you enjoy our conversation with Derek Thompson.
Good morning and welcome to our live substack here.
We're excited to be joined by a friend of the pod
and one of our sharpest or one of the sharpest voices in media politics.
That's Derek Thompson.
I don't want to say we discovered Derek just because,
but I'd like to think that we're so much older than him
and he's been so generous with his time.
Derek, when did I first meet you?
I think I went on your pod like 10 years ago.
Is that right?
That's right.
I did a podcast with the Atlantic probably 10 years ago that was called Crazy Genius,
and we had a conversation about the tech giants based around.
Yeah.
Was it your first book before?
Yeah.
Yeah.
And so we talked about Amazon and Google, and you had anatomical representations of each company, right?
There was the head and the heart.
Yeah, the gut and the genitals or something.
But anyways, you were sort of an original gangster in this medium as I think about it.
you were doing podcasting before it was cool.
Yeah, well, I felt like I was late to the game a little bit
because I had been following Bill Simmons,
who's been podcasting since, you know, the 1990s or something.
But, yeah, Crazy Genius was really fun,
and that was a pure tech show.
And that particular season,
we really wanted to talk about the tech giants.
And so it was just incredible to have someone
who had written a book on it.
And I remember talking to my producer when we had you on.
She was like, that guy is awesome.
Like, he could have a potential in this medium.
You never know.
So, yeah.
Better be looking good.
It was either that.
I had a show on CNN Plus, which got canceled, so I just leaned into podcasting.
So, yeah, you never know.
Failure sometimes opens a door.
So the way we're going to do it here, folks, is I'm going to talk to Derek about this fantastic kind of term I like,
and that is that we've entered the anti-social century, which foots to a lot of the things we talk about here.
Derek and I are going to talk for about another 40 minutes, and then we're going to open it up,
and I'm going to read some audience questions here.
All right, so let's bust right into it.
Again, you've coined the idea of the antisocial century, which is a trend we cover a lot here.
Your argument isn't that people are isolated against their will.
It's that solitude became comfortable, cheap, and abundant, and people are actively opting for it.
In other words, the problem may be that we don't feel lonely enough.
How do you think this happen?
Set the table here.
What's the environment and the atmospherics
for what you're calling the antisocial century?
Yeah.
First off, I love that setup.
I'm so glad that you got to the heart of this piece,
which is trying to get at this idea
that our crisis is not quite loneliness.
In many ways, the crisis is the opposite of loneliness.
It's that we don't feel that social cue
to be lonely enough.
So maybe the best way to think about the antisocial century is a juxtapose it with something like you could call the social century.
For the first 50, 60 years of the 20th century, basically every indicator of social belonging and social capital was rising.
People were spending more time with each other.
They were starting more clubs.
They belonged to unions.
They had what are sometimes called more third places, like the bowling alleys that Robert Putnam famously wrote about.
Putnam's book, Bolting alone, is actually really remarkable to read now, even though it's now 26.
years old. I mean, he has data about how frequently people are writing greeting cards to each other,
how frequently they're calling each other on the phone or playing, you know, card games with each
other, hosting cocktail parties. All of this was ascendant in the first 60 years of the 20th century.
And then Putnam put his finger on this idea that in the last half of the 20th century, all of this
was declining. And every single indicator of socialization was declining at the same time.
And so he publishes this book, famously, Bowling Alone, and a lot of the sociological community
comes out and says, this is bollocks. Putnam doesn't know what he's talking about. And most importantly,
he doesn't realize that we're on the verge of a revolution in socializing. That revolution is the
internet. We're going to have these sort of new relationships with each other on the internet
that are going to replace the declining relationships that we're having in the real world.
And then 26 years after he publishes this book, which was so controversial for its thesis,
every indicator, again, of socializing is going down.
According to the American Time Use Survey,
the average Americans spends 25% less time socializing
in the presently in the real world.
The American Time Use Survey asks about how often people attend
or host parties.
Americans under 25s, Gen Z,
spends 70% less time at parties than they did just 26 years ago
the year that bowling alone was published.
So it's like,
we've had a socializing recession on top of a socializing recession. And I call it the antisocial
century because I was, when I wrote this cover story for The Atlantic about a year and a half ago,
that itself was called the antisocial century, I read this really fascinating economic paper
that was trying to summarize the most important social themes of the 20th century. And they said,
you know, you've got the rise of female education. You've got the decline of the blue-collar workforce,
the rise of the white-collar workforce.
You've got delayed childbirth.
It had all of these facts.
And then I thought about, you know,
what would it be like to write that same paper
about the first 20-so years of the 21st century?
What are the most important socioeconomic statistics?
I thought, well, we're spending less time with each other.
We're getting married less.
We're dating less.
We're coupling less.
We're having fewer children.
We have fewer friends.
We spend more time in our homes
and spend less time in public places.
These are all anti-social trends.
So let's just get up and call it the antisocial century.
And I've done a lot of writing after that initial cover story to sort of unpack what I consider
some of the more surprising implications of the antisocial century on our lives, on the economy
and on politics.
And why should we care?
What are the downsides of a culture becoming distinctly more antisocial?
And also, are there any upsides?
Yeah, there are absolutely upsides.
Let's start there.
In many cases, as with so much modernity, we're victims of our own success.
People have more freedom than they used to have.
They're less bound by the strictures of tradition.
One place that people used to gather has been church or synagogue or temple.
But there are lots of religious traditions that are bigoted, that are illiberal, that hold
people back from being the individuals that they could be.
So in many cases, you could say that the antisocial century is about the triumph of individualism.
But the drive of individualism has its own costs.
If you're disconnected from your family,
if you focus on yourself rather than on your social community,
if you focus on your career rather than on building a family,
well, these can all give you a sense of power.
But in the long run, what are you left with?
A really ample bank accounts and a not so ample social life.
So the reason why I think this is important,
let's talk about two reasons.
One that's very individual, happiness,
and another that's more macro, which is politics.
individually, it seems pretty clear according to research that's been done by a lot of different people,
especially at the University of Chicago, that people, how to put this, over-demand introversion.
If you ask people, how much time do you want to spend alone? People actually tend to want to spend a lot of time alone.
They often feel burned out. They want to feel, they want to watch their own Netflix and scroll their own TikTok in bed or on a couch.
There's some really interesting studies, for example, that have asked people in commutes in Chicago and New York,
They've said, do you think you want to talk to a stranger during your commute?
And pretty much everyone says, fuck no.
Like, please don't make me talk to a stranger on my commute.
That sounds like something close to hell.
But then they incentivize it.
They offer some people, some money to participate in a trial,
and they randomize some people to talk to strangers.
At the end of this train ride, they asked people,
the ones who talked to strangers and the ones who didn't talk to strangers,
how do you feel right now?
How happy do you feel?
And the people who have been, in some cases, forced,
a little bit maybe against their will
to socialize, just a little bit more
than they might have initially demanded,
are consistently happier than those
who spent time just locked in
to themselves. And so one conclusion
from this, I think, is that we over-demand
solitude. In one day,
that's not particularly significant.
But over time, it adds up.
Because if I told you that there was like a pill
that would make you 10% happier
for the next 15%.
minutes to hour, I think a lot of people would take that pill. That pill is social connection.
It makes us feel better to be around other people and to feel connected to other people.
And so what I say toward the end of the initial cover story is, yeah, you could argue that this
experiment on the Chicago commuter rail on the L, it only increased someone's happiness for one
15 minute period of time. But life is just one 15 minute period of time after another, after another,
after another. That's what life is. And so I feel like we are disconnecting ourselves from happiness
when we disconnect ourselves from other people. That's on the individual level. I think we're locking
ourselves out of real joy in a very finite life. More broadly, there's some really interesting
research that's come out of Denmark on politics and the fact that men in particular who self-identify
as being more socially isolated tend to not experience politics as something that affects or touches
their community, but rather something that they see as kind of entertainment. And the word or the phrase
that has been used to describe their approach to politics is need for chaos. They have a higher need for
chaos. What they want is not politics and policy that solves the world, that fixes the world.
What they prefer is politics that is chaotic for its own good. And so I think that a world with
more and more solitude is not only going to make us sadder in our finite, you know,
light of consciousness on this earth, but also it's going to make politics much worse,
and that's going to make the world worse as well.
I want to come back to politics in a second, but I'll put forward a thesis.
You say we're less happy, which I think there's a ton of evidence, including you live longer
when you're more social.
But let's talk a little bit.
Let's explore the downside.
I'll put forward a thesis.
I worry that isolation is directly correlated to, I'm going to use a non-academic term, going crazy.
And that is if you put an orca, put a mammal alone, you isolate any mammal, an orca, a dog, it starts to go crazy.
And that other people in relationships create guardrails and checkpoints make you feel better about something you express in real life, something you're worried about.
it helps soothe those fears,
and that other relationships and people are guardrails
against starting to believe that,
oh, MRI vaccines all to your DNA,
or believing that, oh, this crazy theory
or immigrants are taking my jobs.
It just feels as if people start to lose not only connection,
but the Overton window expands beyond something that is healthy,
that especially young men,
we literally start to go,
I mean, for lack of better,
I'm very antisocial and not a good way.
Are we going
crazier, more prone
to conspiracy theory, more anger,
more angry, more,
and you talked about this.
I hadn't thought about the fact that
young men aren't more political.
It sounds like you're saying
they want some sort of stimulation
that maybe they're not getting if they were socializing.
But talk about the mental impact
of spending
way more time alone.
Well, the mental impact is very close
to what you've already described.
At a psychological level,
feeling disconnected from the world,
feeling disconnected from other people,
makes you disconnected
in a long run that's really bad.
Because I think that friendship,
you know, we sometimes think
about making friends as something
that's just like going out for lunch,
like an activity that exists
in like single units.
But friendship is more like a muscle
that you build.
In many cases,
it can take tens, dozens of hours
to spending time
another person to truly form a deep relationship with them. And so if you lock yourself out of that,
if you say I'm going to have fewer friends and I'm going to spend less time with them, which is something
we absolutely see among Gen Z. They have the few, the fewest number of friends of any generation
that's been studied in the last few decades. Where is that really going to cost them?
People who are isolated like this, they might not feel like it costs them so much in a typical
Tuesday or Wednesday. You know, they wake up, they maybe, you know, do a workout, they go to work,
they come home, they gamble a little bit on Calci, they watch some Netflix, they go to sleep.
Maybe they feel like that's a perfectly stimulating life. But life isn't just Netflix and work.
Life is often tragedy. Life is often losing a job, losing a parent, dealing with a mental
health crisis. And in those moments, not having a social group to fall back on, that is the real risk.
It's interesting. You mentioned two things in your windup. You mentioned, you mentioned
socialization, and you mentioned vaccines. And there's a way in which those ideas connect in a weird
way. You can almost think of socialization as a kind of vaccine against a certain kind of isolating
misery. Like, why do you get a vaccine? Do you get a vaccine in order to help you when you're at
your healthiest? No, you get a vaccine so that in the worst case, you don't get COVID, measles,
rubella, et cetera. So while I think friendship is like delightful in its own intrinsic sense,
Like, I love getting drinks with my friends.
I love playing board games with my friends.
I love hanging out with my wife.
It's also the case that maybe the ultimate payoff of social connection
isn't just sharing a martini on a Tuesday night.
It's that moment when your parents die,
when your sister won't talk to you,
when your boss is being terrible one to you,
when you've lost your job,
these kind of, you can almost call them like moments of social illness.
when what you need is the equivalent of a social vaccine to inoculate you against the inevitable
misery that every single person is going to feel in this world, in this life.
So that, to me, is the real cost of not exercising the friendship muscle.
It's like being with friends is awesome.
But when you really, really need people who understand and love you, like when you're in those
deep and dark moments, that's where the biggest payoff of friendship can.
come. And if you haven't been investing in these kind of relationships, then you are entirely
on your own at the very moment that you need to be surrounded by love. And you talk about, well,
I'm in Los Angeles at a hotel with a beautiful roof deck and I got in, checked in, went upstairs
to this roof deck. And there's this amazing bar overlooking all of Beverly Hills and Hollywood.
And I thought, why aren't it such a beautiful night? Why are more young people here with friends,
quite frankly, drinking, socializing, meeting each other. Just such an incredible setting.
And then I ordered one drink and I got the bill and with tip, it was 30 bucks. And I thought,
okay, that's one reason. Talk a little bit about the economic challenges or the economic forces
that are correlated to anti-socialization. There's this wonderful idea in economics. It's called
Bommel's Costs Disease. Maybe you've talked a little bit about it. But it's this
this idea from a late economist William Balmell who said that, ironically, in an economy where some
parts of the economy are getting more productive, other parts of the economy are going to get more
expensive.
So, for example, if you have a growing economy where everyone's getting richer in like an early
industrial revolution, but a four-string quartet is still a four-string quartet, still a four-string
quartet, which is not being made more labor-productive by any kind of technology, then going to see a
symphony or going to see an opera is going to get much more expensive than anything else.
So the cost disease essentially says that as technology changes in economy, parts of that
economy that are more labor-intensive are going to increase in cost relative to the rest of the
economy. To put that in simpler terms, as our phones and digital entertainment has gotten
dirt cheap, the physical world has gotten relatively expensive. It is cheap to stay at home on your
couch and watch Netflix, and cheaper still to forget Netflix, not even pay for subscription,
and instead just scroll through TikTok. That is a zero additional cost experience.
Going to a rooftop deck in Beverly Hills to order, let's say, you know, three drinks between
you and a friend, that could cost you $100, even before you talk about maybe Ubering out there
and Ubering back. And so it's absolutely true. I love that you foregrounded this. It's absolutely
true that one barrier here is that the physical world is getting more expensive relative to the digital
world because the digital world has been inflected by technology that the physical world has not,
right? There is no computer chip revolution for mixing the perfect martini. The martini is still
the martini and it's shaken by human hands. So I think that a big problem here is that people
aren't getting out of the room because they feel almost pulled into the comfort, the relatively
cheap comfort that the room provides. I think another part of this,
to sort of pull in some ideas from my other work from last year abundance,
is that if the first half of the 20th century was about technology mastering the physical world,
the first half of the 21st century has been about escaping the physical world because it is so regulated.
We've made it much harder to build things.
We made it harder to build houses, and so young people can't afford them,
and therefore they can't start families, and maybe there's a decline in socialization because of that.
If it's harder to build things in the physical world,
in the physical world will mechanically become more expensive.
And so people will stay inside.
And rather than take risks in the world of, you know, flesh and blood,
try to meet girls, try to meet guys, instead, the risks that they take are the cheap thrill
risks of staying on your couch and betting on Kalshi or, you know, some sports betting app.
And so I think that there are ways.
in which you can absolutely tell a story
that economic forces
have changed human behavior
and even changed what is
an appropriate way to spend
your free time, right?
It is now considered cool
or okay,
you know, permissive
to rather than socialize
in the physical world,
stay home, text a couple of people,
scroll on TikTok,
and place a few bets.
And you have this great framing.
You have a theory
or you had a piece
laying out sort of the effect on young men, and you describe them as monks in the casino.
What does you mean by that?
So, yeah, let's take each part.
Monks, what do we think about when we think about monks?
We think about devout, religious, often men who spend time in a monastery, looking at a finite number of scripts and text.
and filling their life with these ideas that they can hold in their hands
rather than venturing out into the world
and experiencing it in a kind of flesh and blood way.
Today's monks are not religious.
They are secular monks,
and rather than hold traditional scriptures in their hands,
they hold, of course, a smartphone.
And so I think that a lot of young men today
are essentially behaving like monks.
But what makes this particularly strange
just that, you know, it's a weird juxtaposition
to imagine a monk in a casino.
But when you think about what people are doing
on their phones, increasingly, they're gambling.
The average young man now spends significantly more time gambling
than he spends reading.
I think more than 50% of men
were active on betting markets in the last six months.
And we see that, you know, the costs are not just to their time,
that, you know, default rates and bankruptcy rates,
seem to rise in states that admit gambling on phones.
And so you have this incredibly strange phenomenon
where people are choosing to be alone
and then enter into highly risky behavior
rather than enter into that kind of risky behavior
outside of their home, right?
They are introducing themselves to fewer women.
They're trying to make fewer friends.
They're having sex less.
They're driving less.
Everything that requires
there's some amount of gumption outside of one's room, that is declining. But everything that
involves risk that you can do inside of your room, that is rising. And so that is the phenomenon
of the monk in the casino. They're not even entering the physical casino. The casino is perfectly
outfitted for their own room. And that, again, is, of course, what makes them monks.
Yeah, we describe it simply as young men need to take more risks offline and less risk online.
and Jimmy Carr, who I'm obsessed with, he basically, he says, men should gamble more,
but then he goes on to say, start a business, you know, kind of gamble your time, gamble your life,
but don't gamble online.
What do you think, the idea, it strikes me that people or young men take so much risk online
in terms of what they say, the things they're willing to believe, how much they spend,
Is there a certain amount of risk, a pool of risk that we're willing to take, and we've just transferred it from offline to online? Have you thought specifically about risk and the levels of risk and it's just a kind of a distribution problem?
Yeah, I mean, that's almost exactly the way I think about it. I think of it is almost a clean transfer of the risk impulse outside of one's home or room toward the risk impulse being entirely cultivated and spent, so to speak, inside of one's sense.
room. And I mean, I'm obsessed with this phenomenon and there's a bunch of different places to take it.
I remember in that, at the end of that essay about monks in the casino, I'm really initiated
in this inversion of risk where I think I was talking to someone about this phenomenon and they said,
you know, the sociologist, the early 20th century sociologist, Max Weber, had this idea that it was
Christianity that gave birth to capitalism and Christian asceticism in particular, this idea that, you know,
Puritans wanted to save money that could then be pooled, and then that pooled saved money
could be used to invest in other enterprises, and that was the foundation of capitalism.
But in a way, what we're seeing now is an entire inversion of that principle, because it is
capitalism that is giving birth to a kind of wretched aceticism.
That is to say, like, the casino economy is turning our young people into monks.
And, like, that is an unbelievably strange and fascinating phenomenon to me.
And again, it's not just fascinating.
I think it is fundamentally sad.
It is fundamentally sad, even if you like gambling,
even if you think the Kalshi is like the most interesting and wonderful invention in the last 20 years,
it's sad to me because the research that we have says so strongly that we tend to overvalue
and over-demand solitude when we are given solitude as an opportunity.
that to underinvest in relationships,
to spend less time with other people,
to date less,
to become less comfortable around other people
is not only depriving ourselves
of wonderful conversations
and wonderful 15 minute after 15 minute experiences,
but it is also, again,
depriving ourselves of that ability
to, you know, inoculate ourselves
against the miseries that inevitably accrue in life
when what we really need
is a community of people around us to help us.
We'll be right back after a quick break.
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Let's talk a little bit about solves or solutions. I mean, it just feels whether it's remote work, a decline in church attendance, people, remote.
schooling, COVID, where we got very used to isolation.
And then I would argue the thing we haven't discussed,
it's just almost an indomitable foe,
is that arguably 40% of the S&P has an economic incentive
to figure out a way for you to every day spend one more second
on a screen and one less with other people.
What could we do?
I think people are going to nod their heads and say,
all right, it just makes a lot of sense.
If you're a parent and you see what happens when your kid isn't around other kids for an extended period of time, we can't even take a vacation without having other kids around our kids.
They just become so awful.
What are some of the solves here?
Or if you were advising around public policy or even around parenting, how do we address this?
The first step is recognizing exactly what's being lost, right?
when a society is pushing people to take only financial risks
and to not take social risks or enterprise risks,
you know, starting a company,
you are hallowing out the virtues that make strong collective life possible.
You're hollowing out trust, curiosity, forgiveness, generosity.
That's the receipt of our behavior.
And we don't see it when we're alone,
because we don't see what's being lost when we're with other people.
And so I think that, like, it's, it's one way to solve this is for people to take responsibility, right?
Like, how did you, how do you solve a problem like smoking, right?
Well, you have a search in general make an announcement that says that we have now connected smoking to cancer.
So, you know, one thing you could do is you could say, you know, we banned advertisements for smoking, and that was powerful.
But I think the knowledge itself, like the information itself that smoking was clearly,
connected to cancer, that was its own lever on reducing smoking. People today, even if maybe they
choose to smoke, they do so knowing the risk. They don't need to see or not see an ad for
camel's cigarettes to know what the relationship between smoking and their long-term lung health is.
So a huge part of this for me is just like public awareness. You mentioned earlier in the show
that like there's now evidence,
and I think Kara has pointed to this as well,
that social connection seems to correlate really, really strongly
with health, with longevity,
and in particular, a lot of this research comes out of Northwestern University,
with memory in our 80s and 90s.
It might be the case, in fact, that the reason that,
that memory's original purpose,
before, you know, memorizing abstract ideas and mathematics,
the memory's original purpose was social.
It was to keep track in your tribe of, like,
who's nice and who's duplicitous, who's strong and who's trustworthy, right?
Gossip essentially is the original purpose of memory.
And so it makes sense that as we surround ourselves with social connection,
we are working out those sort of original sort of gossip muscles
that make us better remembering all sorts of things for work and life.
And so making these connections, giving people a sense of what is actually being lost,
making them realize that getting a good night's sleep and, you know, working out, eating your vegetables, like, all that's important. But socializing might be just as important just going to the gym. Like social fitness isn't just a metaphor. Like socializing makes our brains fit. Teaching people about this, I think, is its own power. But the other thing that I think cities have to do, and this again comes back to abundance, is to invest more in physical infrastructure. You know, find ways to build parks.
find ways to build more homes so that we can allow people to move out of their parents' house
and into their own place, that we can give them places to socialize that aren't just in their
basements and in their rooms. So some of this, I think, is a physical infrastructure investment
problem. And some of that is just a knowledge problem. I think people are choosing loneliness,
or choosing aloneness, I should say, not knowing what exactly is being lost.
You wrote a piece called the Cult of the Enhanced Self, arguing that medicine, technology,
and consumer culture have shifted from curing illness to optimizing normal healthy life,
GLP1s, peptides, supplements, wearables, the celebrity status of health influencers.
Where would you draw the line between discipline as a virtue and optimization as an unproductive
end in itself? How much optimizing is not optimization?
Yeah, that's a great way to ask the question. The first thing to say is that, like, caring for
health is good. You know, I'm wearing an oaring right now. I use it to count my steps to look at my
HIV, even though I'm not really sure what that is, to look at my resting heart rate. I
gamify essentially my own body. I play the board game of life on my own self. And I think overall,
it makes me healthier. But it's not very difficult to imagine the ways in which my dependence on,
my relying on the numbers that I can see in the ORA app
can distract me from the numbers that I can't see in my own life,
which is to say,
if I really wanted to optimize my entire life
around lowering my resting heart rate
and raising my heart rate variability,
which again is a statistic that I'm not sure I entirely understand,
but I still want to maximize it anyway,
I would never, ever have a glass of wine or cocktail after 7 p.m.
Because one thing I can see very, very clearly, very clearly in the data, is that if I have
that glass of wine at 5.30 before I cook dinner, my sleep is absolutely perfect. I sleep like a tiny
baby. If I have that glass of wine or that cocktail after 8 p.m., certainly after 9 p.m., it has a cost.
My resting heart rate goes up, my HIV goes down. So if I was just maximizing for the numbers that I can see,
would never, ever meet a close friend late for drinks, ever. But that's not what life's about.
Like, life cannot possibly be about abstract numbers that exist on an aura app that I can't even
quite explain to myself. And no doctor can concretely tie to the day that I'm going to die,
because he doesn't know what diseases I'm going to get or not get or what genetic makeup I have
or don't have that predisposes me to those diseases. And so ultimately, if I make those numbers
a God, then I'm going to be a significantly less social person because I'm going to say no to
half of the cocktail invitations that I get. And so it's ultimately about understanding that there is
no formula. The formula is that the formula doesn't exist. You have to create space for balance.
You have to allow space for that Aristotelian principle that there should be moderation in all
things, including moderation itself. And so, you know, a close friend who recently
they realized they got pregnant
and they bought a house in the same month
asked me to get drinks at 7.30
at a cocktail bar right down the street
from where I live.
That's an easy yes.
It has to be an easy yes.
HRV can't possibly figure into that.
I can't say, like, no, I can't do that.
Let's meet, you know, a month later
for breakfast from my schedule clears.
No, like, that's not what being a friend is.
And so in a way,
I have a friend Conner Sen who said
it'd be nice of ORA had like some metric
that you could maximize for socializing
because in a way, it's easy to maximize
for the numbers that are legible
and the numbers that aren't legible, right?
How strong is my social life?
There's no resting heart rate figure
that can tell me that in any app.
What's my resting heart rate?
I can see that every single morning.
And so in a way, it's like you have to make space
as you're optimizing for all sorts of things
that make you healthy and productive, et cetera,
make space for the numbers that you can see.
Make space for the numbers that you can see.
make space for the fact that you're really not living the optimal life if you're only paying attention to the numbers that are optimizable.
I mean, I think of it as a spectrum, and that is if one is just sitting on your couch eating cheesecake and sort of just no friends sitting in the dark waiting to die, which, and by the way, your brain will pick up on that and send out the right hormones to help you get there sooner.
And then there's 100.
You're Jack Lillane and you're just, you got the aura rings, the wearables.
peptides, you just cold plunges the whole thing. Isn't true optimization, and I'm curious if you've
seen any data here, that once you get above call it 70 or 80, and to be clear, I'm rationalizing
my own behavior because one of the reasons I work out so much is such that I can drink.
And one of the reasons I try to eat healthy most of the time is such that on a regular basis,
I can order dessert. And it's, you know, I have the muscle to be a glucose dumpster for the
dessert.
Have you thought about where kind of the ultimate sweet spot is?
Because I find if people use the term optimization too much, they're going above,
call it 80, and it's beginning to devour their life.
And they're lost, they are de-optimizing for life.
Have you thought about it as a spectrum and where, are there any studies showing where
the right, actual right point on the spectrum is?
Yeah.
So I had an interview with a, you know,
you and Ashley, who's a Stanford scientist,
who's done a lot of work on the science of exercise.
Everyone knows that exercise is, like, good for them.
It's probably good for you.
But, like, how is it good for you?
How exactly does exercise change ourselves?
It's very difficult to do, very difficult to study in humans,
because, like, Scott, if I, like, puts you on a treadmill
or, you know, you watched you deadlift and then, like,
had a scientist, like, cut into your kidney to figure out exactly how it was affecting,
like, the tissue health of your kidney,
it'd be a very painful and frankly incredibly illegal way to study exactly how exercise changes our bodies.
So instead of doing it to people, they do it to mice. And the conclusion from you and Ashley's research is that exercise completely transforms the mammal's body. It doesn't just improve the health of the muscles that are being directly worked on. Like if you do a bicep curl, obviously, you are exercising your biceps. It changes your brain. It changes your endocrine system. It changes your cardiovascular system. Exercise, he said, is basically,
the single best medicine that we have ever invented.
And, of course, we didn't even invent it.
It was nature that did it for us.
And so his final conclusion is that every minute of exercise that we do adds five minutes
to our life.
And that's a really amazing statistic, right?
Every minute of exercise, at least moderately strenuous exercise, adds five minutes to your life.
If you go through the alcohol research, if you go through those observational studies,
which are not particularly high quality
because it's difficult to just look at a bunch of people,
ask how much they drink,
and then just sort of rank ordered by mortality.
That's a very crude way to do it.
But again, we've never done a randomized controlled trial
for alcohol drinking, which is kind of crazy.
It's literally never been done, the history of the NIH.
But to our best approximation,
a single drink seems to reduce,
or drinking once a day,
so a glass of wine and night,
seems to reduce your life by about five minutes per drink.
So here's like an amazing,
an amazing equivalence, right?
This is science essentially backing up,
like the Galloway principle,
of drinking and exercising.
It's to say that, yes,
there are some things that we do in life
that are clearly not longevity optimizing
that are probably taking away from our life.
That's, you know, the scoops of ice cream
and, you know, the martinis
and mescal and legronis.
But it's not as if life is just sitting in a chair
and then occasionally drinking a martini.
There's lots of things that we can do,
to add time on the other side of the ledger,
of the ledger, in particular, working out.
And so if you're someone who can cultivate a life
of drinking moderately and also exercising regularly,
you're probably exceeding your sort of genetic allowance
for lifespan significantly.
You're adding years to your life rather than taking them away.
So I'm entirely, I feel like even the way
that the health optimizers think about optimizing
is suboptimal.
If socializing extends your life
and socializing improves
your septuagenarian and oxygenarian memory
and exercising is adding five minutes
to every minute that you work out moderately,
well, in that case, like, why are we spending
so much time, like, angsting
over that martini that we love
and that we want to share with a friend?
It's completely wasted time.
And again, we're only here.
here, like alive for like a blink of an eye. And this idea that you should play the game of life
just to increase the odds that you make it to 97 by an extra like two percentage points,
rather than enjoy the first 95 years of your life in general, that strikes me as like completely
crazy. It's like misunderstanding the game entirely. It's like playing a card game or playing
a game of like pickup football to make the game last the longest. That's not what, it's not what
those games are about. It's not just about lasting the long. It's having the most fun while you're
here. And so I'm a huge advocate of people who are really, really interested in health optimizing,
as we call it. It's not just focus on the things that the optimizers tend to focus on the most,
like eliminating absolutely everything that can possibly hurt us and maximizing everything that we can
put a number to. But to remember that socializing tends to be good for our memory, socializing
tends to be good for longevity. And drinking moderately has such a moderate effect on our
lifespan that if you work out just a little bit during a week, you're absolutely, or almost
certainly, wiping away that risk to our long-term longevity. I find that, you know, we're talking
about young people on antisocial. Granted, people have to be cognizant of the addiction in their
family. You know, we open to feedback. If anyone tells you, it's getting in the way of your life,
but I worry that young people aren't drinking enough,
and that the anti-alcohol movement is actually, on the whole, damaging,
that the risks to a 25-year-old liver of alcohol are dwarfed
by the risks of social isolation.
And one idea that I love is that if there are four men
or four people under the age of 20 between 18 and 21
are together, they should be allowed to drink in a bar.
that we, you know, the 18 to 21-year-olds, it strikes me, aren't being as social.
That's when their brains are being wired.
I find that men generally, and this, again, is Jimmy Carr, check each other that when they're
in their groups, they actually behave better and they give each other a hard time or shame
each other when they do stupid shit.
It's when they're alone that they get really reckless.
Let me put this forward.
Lower the drinking age to 18 in the United States.
Your thoughts?
I don't know.
I haven't thought about it.
I haven't thought about changing that law to fix the problem,
but I love the idea of having a law that is elastic,
given how many people are coming up to the bar.
Like if people come together that there's an exception that's being made,
that's a very clever idea,
to essentially have a law that is therefore directly encouraging socialization
by encouraging or by prohibiting solo drinking at certain ages,
but allowing social drinking.
Because what you're essentially saying with the law that you're proposing
is that we are banning solo drinking from 18 to 21, right?
Like that's really what the law is,
because what you're doing is you're allowing social drinking between 18 and 21.
It's a clever way of doing it.
I wanted to go back.
I just went back to the piece that I wrote about the latest,
research on moderate drinking. This is an article on my substack called, Is This the End of Booz?
And here's what the numbers say, according to the most recent highest quality government survey.
At six drinks a week, so about one drink a day, it's hard for scientists to show any lifetime
mortality risk. It basically doesn't appear. At nine drinks a week, a person incurs the lifetime
mortality risk that is essentially the equivalent of driving.
for a lifetime. So this is a risk that is real, but one that, like, practically everybody lives
with, right? At 12 drinks a week, the alcohol habit becomes twice as dangerous as driving, and at 14
drinks a week, which is, you know, two martinis a day, you know, two big drinks a day,
you should think of yourself essentially as the same lifetime risk as being a logger,
which is the most dangerous job in America. There's a big difference between moderate drinking
and, you know, having two drinks every single day, every single week for your entire life.
The former, it's hard for observational studies to show practically any lifetime mortality risk.
The latter, 14 drinks every single week until you die, that is the equivalent of the most
dangerous job in America, which suggests that it's probably the riskiest habit you will develop
unless you are essentially a chain smoker. So the amount matters, right? This is something that has to be
done in moderation. And alcohol itself is a deluxe.
delicious, moderate poison. I mean, our livers evolved to handle ethanol specifically. And there's
an interesting theory here. It's called the Drunk Monkey Hypothesis. This is real. And the drunk
monkey hypothesis essentially says that, you know, some tens or hundreds of millions of years ago,
some common ancestor of all human beings suffered catastrophic climate change such that these
monkeys couldn't eat the fruit that was in the trees because all those trees were dying.
And instead they moved out of the trees,
and they were eating fruit that fell on the ground.
That fruit that fell on the ground
had started to decay and become alcoholic.
And so their livers had to evolve
to be naturally selected to handle
that little amount of ethanol
that had developed on this rotting ground fruit.
And so it's possible that hundreds of millions of years
ago, climate change created an enzyme mutation
in our livers that could handle moderate amounts of alcohol.
But it is moderate.
and our livers do a terrible job of handling too much of it.
So I think it's very important to say, and I'm glad that you triggered this,
that while I think it's very hard to show a relationship between moderate drinking
and lifetime mortality risk, it is not hard at all to show a relationship between heavy drinking
and lifetime mortality risk.
But the bottom line that I think you're getting at here is that life is full of risks,
and there's no door in the imaginary vestibule of life that you can,
walk into behind which there are no risks. If you decide that you're not going to take any risks
and be inside your room all the time, well, then you're never going to work out, you're never going to
meet a mate, you're never going to have friends, all those things are terrible for you. If instead you
drive to the bar sometimes or drive to, you know, your job, well, commuting, of course, has a risk.
So leaving your home immediately incurs some risks. Drinking, yes, has a risk. Not drinking and socializing
less, that has enormous risks too. So rather than dilute ourselves with the idea,
that there exists a door behind which is the riskless life,
we should have the more rational idea
that every door in that vestibule has risks behind it.
You choose your own risks,
and you moderate those risks relative to other risks
based on what makes you feel good,
what is healthy, and what brings life to your community.
But this idea that there exists the door without risks,
that's just a myth.
We'll be right back.
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We're back with more from Derek Thompson.
So switching gears, before we go to the questions here,
I'd love to get your take on the rise of the DSA and the newfound popularity or surge in socialism,
although I would argue that word is being misused right now.
Specifically, it feels as if democratic socialism has become an identity among educated young professionals,
but much less so across the working class
it describes itself as representing.
What do you think accounts for this gap?
I think what we're seeing is a story that is very generational.
And I think the fact that it's a cohort story
and a generational story is almost always under-explained in analyses.
I remember I graduated from college in 2008,
and I started writing for the Atlantic in 2009,
and I was writing a lot about the economy
in the early 2010s through Occupy Wall Street.
And after Occupy, which I think was 2011,
it became very clear to me that my generation
was comfortable with the self-identity of socialism
and the word socialism in a way that I myself was not
and that previous generations were not.
Millennials, especially geriatric millennials like me,
I'm 40, born in the mid-80s,
I'd say mid-80s through early 90s.
in some part because of the Great Recession,
but also I think because this was a highly educated generation
that was extremely disappointed by the economic opportunities
made available to people with college degrees,
became very comfortable with self-identity of socialism
and with ideas that touched socialism.
And that comfort continued during the Obama years
when there was a lot of frustration
that Obama couldn't move the country further enough
toward universal health care,
and other socialist causes.
Those people aren't 22 anymore.
They're 40.
The average age of an American today
is 39.7 years old.
Millennials are in their late 30s and 40s,
which means that rather than represent
a tiny share of the electorate
when their average age was 22,
they represent a much larger share of the electorate,
especially in cities.
And so it's not surprising to me
from a mere generational perspective
that a millennial generation
that has for almost 20 years
been significantly more socialist
than older generations,
or maybe even the rest of the country,
that as they become a larger share of the electorate
and especially larger share of the urban electorate
are voting for socialists in,
you know, the Los Angeles mayor primary,
New York City, Washington, D.C.,
the mayor of Seattle is D.S.
the DSA candidates from New York that Mamdani endorsed,
and that we're seeing this, this rise, the DSA in urban America specifically,
where a lot of geriatric millennials like myself live.
I'm speaking to you from Washington, D.C.
So from a geographical perspective and a generational perspective,
I think you can get a lot of explanatory power
just looking at generations and geography.
That said, I also think there's something really important
about the fact that the establishment democratic class,
has absolutely no juice, like whatsoever.
I mean, no energy whatsoever.
When abundance came out, I think one of the reasons
that it was grabbed onto by especially a lot of people
in the center left is that there needed to be a critique
of the establishment that came from the center left
that wasn't just a defense of the establishment.
Right?
I think too much of these, maybe Clinton, Biden, Harris,
too much of that sort of cloud of ideology
defended the status quo
and defended the establishment
rather than criticize it.
And what any successful politician needs today
is to represent themselves as coming
from outside of the system
to change the system
because Americans fucking hate
the system.
And so if your first message
as Kamala Harris or someone like her
is they wouldn't change anything
that Joe Biden or anything
that the incumbent, the establishment is doing,
I think you're dead in the water.
So you need a critique.
And it's very easy to make a critique.
if you are, as the DSA, is a faction within the Democratic Party that has always had an antagonistic
relationship with the party with which they caucus. And so the fact that the DSA can therefore
represent itself as a fighting brand within the coalition that's incredibly important and powerful,
and liberals, abundance liberals, centrist liberals, maybe like me, I think that they need a
clearer message of critique of the system that doesn't just sound like we want to just
fuchs with some ideas at the margins and we basically think the establishment is good.
We need to clarify our critique just as well as the DSA has.
Let's get to a couple of questions.
Is centrism sustainable?
Do the algorithms encourage people to go to the polls?
and is there a place or a home for centrist that still exists in America?
Hard to say that centrism is dead,
considering that the last Democratic president was Joe Biden.
You know, phones existed in 2020.
Phones existed in 2019 when he was leading in the primary,
practically the entire time,
except for this few months when Bernie Sanders was up.
I think that centrism, the popularity of what is sometimes called centristism
might be underrepresented in digital spaces,
but that doesn't mean
that what some people call centristism is dead.
I understand where the question is coming from.
I sometimes find it a little bit difficult
to talk about centrism and moderation
as a clear set of ideas.
Sometimes centrism is like a policy set
and sometimes it's a vibe.
Like sometimes centrism is not saying the word socialism
or like whatever, like not saying the word genocide.
And sometimes centralism is a set of policies.
like, you know, removing aid from Israel, but not calling it a genocide or it's wanting to tax the rich.
Universal health care, but don't take over companies.
Sure, universal health care, but private enterprise is still good.
And so I sometimes prefer to use slightly more specific language.
Like, I don't feel any compulsion around, like, defining my own politics.
I am a classic liberal who is what has sometimes been called like a welfare capitalist.
I think free enterprise solves problems very effectively and that the government should typically
not do what the private sector is already doing well.
But there's lots of things the private sector doesn't do well.
Basic research is very difficult for the private sector because basic research creates knowledge
that anybody can build a company off of.
And so what you want is like a large set of public truths that are discovered by scientists
that individual companies can then use to turn into enterprises that are sold to consumers.
Well, that speaks of a world where you want incredibly ample research budgets for scientists
to discover truths about the cosmos of the human body.
But then you also want private equity, not private equity, private enterprise unleashed in a way
that allows them to build products off of that set of knowledge.
I think capitalism is good, but I also tend to want,
higher taxes on the rich than most people who might call themselves a capitalist, and I want
more of that distributed to the low income and especially the children, maybe than most
people who call themselves a capitalist, because I think it's a moral horror that you have
millions of children living in poverty in the richest country in the history of the world.
So I think there's lots of ways to balance deep care for the poor with an appreciation for
the fact that many things that are necessary and important, like, say, houses, are not going to be
built exclusively by the federal government. There's no space in the budget for that. Look at our deficits,
look at our interest rates. The year is not 1933. The unemployment rate isn't 35 percent, and we don't
have basically a balanced budget. And so if all of our ideas are simply going to try to recapitulate,
like an FDR approach to the economy of moving everything into the public sector, that completely
misunderstands the macroeconomic and financial realities of 2026 by mistaking them for the very, very different
realities of a broken, broken economy in the 1930s where you had all of this lax labor market
that could be deployed to, you know, build theaters and bridges. So I, I, in some,
I am someone who believes in free enterprise and also believes that one of the biggest problems
with government today is the lack of urgency around helping the poor. Yeah, it feels as if we need
new words, and that is, I don't think people realize, recognize the actual meaning.
of socialism. And if you ask them where it's work, they point to Northern Europe. And I would
argue that in many ways, Northern Europe right now is more capitalist than we are. And what I thought
was a... Look at their business regulations. It's quite easy to start a business in a lot of those
Nordic companies, in a lot of those Nordic countries. And so from a pure Marxist standpoint,
they're doing a very bad job of making it difficult for some free enterprise to get off the ground.
And I think a lot of times what people mean when they say socialism is that they want some form
of compassionate capitalism and a recognition that capitalism can't work unless you feed the middle
class. And at some point, we have to recognize that the middle class is not a self-occurring
organism and requires investment. And, you know, it's, it's, and we have this weird socialism
on the right where the president thinks he can take a stake in a chip company or a steel company.
And then on the left, they think of socialism, I would argue, is just having a stronger social
safety net, which I think is a key component of robust capitalism. So we have time for one more
listener question. A listener asks, this is a good one. Regarding the loneliness epidemic, how can a man
approach a woman in a way that feels welcome rather than intrusive? You're now a dating coach.
Yeah, this is good. This is good. Let me say first just to put a bit of a bow on the last answer that
you gave about capitalism and socialism.
I'm working on this myself that I think that sometimes antipathy toward billionaires,
an antipathy toward a perceived oligarchy, can manifest as antipathy toward markets.
And that's where I want to get off the train.
Because in so many cases, look at housing, the reason that California say isn't building
housing doesn't have to do directly with the number of billionaires live in California.
It has to do with the fact that in too many cities where people want to live and move to,
we have broken the market signals.
We've broken the markets for housing by making it impossible for supply to meet demand.
And so there's some ways in which what is sometimes called the needs of what is sometimes
now called the working class, the needs of the middle class and low-income people,
are sometimes better met by markets than they are from the mere enlargement of government.
and seeing where we need more markets
and where we need more government,
that clarity is not provided
by the word socialism or by the word oligarchy.
That clarity requires actually understanding
what problem you're trying to fix
and what tools actually fix that problem.
So I just wanted to say that.
Well, you wrote a book on this,
you and Ezra wrote a book on this on abundance,
which if anyone who's interested in doing a deep dive
in housing and the issues facing,
us in America should absolutely read it.
Talk to me again.
So hard pivot and let me let me let me think of a three,
three guidelines for how to date.
First off, full disclosure,
I was single for most of my,
pretty single for most of my 20s,
met my wife when I was 29 on Bumble
and the rest of his history.
So one, get out of your room.
The first half of the 20th century
was about,
Americans mastering the physical world, and the second half, or the first half of the 21st century,
has been about escaping the physical world by moving into our rooms. And that's bad. We become
comfortable taking risks on our phones and uncomfortable taking risks in the real world,
and we should be more comfortable taking the moderate social risk of going out and meeting people
and making friends. And that's my on-ramp to number two, I suppose. So one is leave your room.
Two is make friends. Practice making friends. Belong to large social groups that include women so that you get to know women as people and not just as potential mates. Because I think if you shut yourself off from social groups that include women and only think of women as these strange creatures that you see at bars, but you never speak to them unless you are trying to get their number, then you won't understand how to be friends with them.
and they won't want to spend time with you
because, you know, having a partner,
having a lover is also about having a friend.
And so, number one, get out of your room and number two, make friends.
Or introduce you to their friends.
Exactly, yeah.
Or build social groups that include both men and women again
so that you feel comfortable talking to women
rather than feeling like it's this incredibly aberrant behavior
where like you've left your room and like giving yourself a self-talk in the mirror.
It's like, today I'm going to talk to a woman.
Well, that's putting this experience on like such an insane pedestal.
Like, learn how to make friends.
One, leave your room.
Two, make friends.
Three, like, what's the cliche about being a good conversationalist?
It's something like, to be interesting, be interested?
I love that idea.
Well, I love that.
I love that comedians think that the sexist thing.
for women in their eyes is follow-up questions.
You know what?
And that clicks into something I was going to say,
which is that I don't think that journalists have it good
in every single respect.
But one really nice thing about being a reporter,
about being a real journalist,
is that your entire life is asking questions of strangers
because you are interested in their lives and work.
And in that way, being a journalist is sensational training for dating.
Because what a first date is is a kind of reporting project.
If you see it just as a like sex project, like this is just about getting this woman into bed with me,
I think you're far less likely to succeed than if you think of it as a project by which you're trying to understand what makes them interesting and what is interesting to them.
This is just what reporters do.
You call up someone on the phone. You've never met them before.
you ask them questions about their work.
You say, I don't understand that.
You say, is this summary of what you just said
an accurate reflection of what you're trying to tell me?
You say, tell me more about that.
That's so interesting.
I didn't even think about my project going in that direction.
Tell me more about that.
This is just good conversational tactics.
And so, I don't know, maybe the Columbia Journalism School
should publish some guidebook to dating.
Because in many ways, I think, like,
some of the best questions on first dates
are the same good questions that are, like,
you know, talk to journalists
and on day one.
So, yeah, to be interesting, be interested would be number three.
Get out of your room, make friends, and be interested.
Derek Thompson is one of the sharpest voices in media and politics.
He's the co-author of Abundance, the host of the Playing English podcast and writes on
Substack about culture, tech, and economy.
And also, Derek, Derek's sort of a pioneer in that he's, he had these very important
seats at the Atlantic and other kind of iconic institutions and took the leap on the substack
and is kind of, quite frankly, is a prime example of where the creator economy works.
I think we immediately started benchmarking your substack.
We should have you back on just to talk about the business model and how you've been able to,
because you left what is considered at a young age.
I get called from a lot of people in your seat who are leaving at 65, and I don't know if they're leaving or they're being pushed out,
but your career was on the rise at these kind of, on these traditional paths,
and you purposely took an off ramp into a risk your path,
and you're showing that it actually was speaking of risk,
a really good risk.
So, Derek, thanks so much for joining us
and congrats on all your good work.
And also, a quick shout-out.
Subscribe to the PropgeuPlus program atprocggemedia.com.
And if you're not already reading Derek's work,
check out a substack, which will link in the show notes below.
Thanks, everybody.
Thanks, Scott.
This episode was produced by Jennifer Sanchez
and Laura Jenaire. Cammy Rieke is our social producer. Bianca Rosario Ramirez is our video editor.
And Drew Burroughs is our technical director. Thank you for listening to the PropG pod from PropG Media.
