The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Lead with Resilience
Episode Date: December 24, 2020Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, the senior associate dean of leadership programs for the Yale School of Management, joins Scott to discuss leadership during a time of COVID-19 and the characteristics that make gr...eat business leaders. Follow Jeffrey on Twitter, @JeffSonnenfeld. (9:50) Scott opens with his thoughts on the second coronavirus relief package and Walmart’s shoppable live stream on TikTok. This Week’s Office Hours: whether music labels might put their catalogs behind a wall, brand likability, and the bifurcation of an Android vs. iOS world. Have a question for Scott? Email a voice recording to officehours@section4.com. (36:44) Algebra of Happiness: Prof G’s Person of the Year. (48:05) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Episode 41.
The atomic number of niobium,
the precinct number that appears on the NYC police car in the film Ghostbusters
during the earthquake moment of the film's climax.
When I'm making Sweet Sweet Love, and just as I'm about to climax,
I go to my happy place, which is the Wizard of Oz,
and I immediately yell out,
Surrender, Dorothy!
Is that wrong?
Go, go, go! Welcome to the 41st episode of The Prov G Show. In today's episode, we speak
with Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, the Senior Associate Dean of Leadership Programs and the Lester Crown
Professor in the Practice of Management for the Yale School of Management.
We brought Jeffrey on to discuss, or we'll bring him on to discuss, a new era of leadership
and the importance of resilience. Professor Sonnenfeld is, I would call him a friend,
but we're friendly. And I find that he is really a clear blue flame thinker. You've probably seen
him on CNBC, but he's not someone that shies away from controversy and both providing
a lot of praise to corporate leaders, but also holding them accountable. I'm just a lot of time
for Professor Sonnenfeld. Anyways, what's happening? The COVID-19 pandemic continues to get
worse amidst great progress in vaccine deployment. According to the New York Times COVID-19 Tracking Project, over the past week, the United States has averaged more than 216,000 cases per day. That's a 7%
increase from the average just two weeks ago. The death toll has surpassed 300,000. That's more than
double the number of lives we lost during World War I. Save your comments about how it's different
because it was younger people, percentage of
the population. Tell that to the people who are losing their dad or their grandmother. The UK is
facing new lockdowns after reports came in about a potentially more infectious strain of the virus.
Fuck me, really? England's chief medical officer said that this new variant was responsible for
60% of infections in December.
However, health experts do not believe this could undermine a vaccine. Well, it's kind of a good
news, bad news thing. Mostly bad news, but there is a saving grace here. And to stay
on the topic of vaccines, the European Union's drug agency approved use for Pfizer's vaccine
this week. And in the US, the CDC reports that more than 4.6 million doses of the vaccine have been
distributed so far, and there have been more than 614,000 administered doses.
This is going to be a crazy amount of death.
Why?
It looks as if the virus or a specific strain of the virus is becoming much more contagious.
We have the cold comfort of a vaccine, a technology solution, which the world loves,
right? Let's not actually fight the war. Let's just wait to split the atom. Let's not
build tanks. Let's not make any sacrifice. Let's just trust that the Alamo Project is going to
split the atom and save us all. Notice how we didn't do that in World War II and we won. So
what are we doing here? Or what I'm worried about, what we should all be worried about,
is that because the vaccine is quote unquote here, we are going to show less discipline around
distancing and masking, and we're going to see unprecedented levels of death as a bunch of
people have their heads up their asses and are making all sorts of narcissistic excuses for why
they're going to not be the first in line. My fear is that the line clears and then there's no one
in the goddamn line. And we like to think that, oh, things are getting better because of a vaccine. And we see newer levels, newer records every day of death
and despair. And I think it's happening. So while the virus continues to rage on, and we try to keep
up with the spread through vaccinations, the U.S. Congress finally passed a second stimulus bill on
Monday. The $900 billion coronavirus relief package includes
extended unemployment benefits of $300 per week for 11 weeks, billions of dollars for small
businesses, and $69 billion for vaccine distribution. And what do you know? PPP gets new legs with $284
billion in aid, while $166 billion was allocated for one-time direct payments, and $7 billion is going to fund
broadband internet access. We need to protect people, not businesses. The first round of PPP
proved to be a way to steal money from future generations, and ProPublica found that over
half a billion dollars of PPP went to just 15 large companies who were able to get multiple
loans sent to each of their entities. They create separate legal entities and even public companies, i.e. Shake Shack, can basically
rob future generations and claim they need this shit when they don't. There are a few changes to
this round of PPP that could mitigate a few of the previous risks. For one, it's more restrictive on
who can apply and caps the loans at 2 million compared to the 10 million last time. Previous
recipients will need to show they have 300 or fewer employees and that revenues declined 25%
in any one quarter of 2020 compared to the same one in 2019. The loan still requires that 60%
goes to covering payroll expenses. However, businesses can now use the other 40% to cover
expenses, including software and personal protective equipment for employees.
What is PPP?
Yeah, there'll be some very well-publicized examples of the owner of a cupcake bakery that is able to maintain her employees and gets to the other side.
It gets a bridge.
What I worry is that for most of these companies, it's a peer or it's two groups of companies.
Most companies, it's a peer.
A lot of these restaurants should go out of business. The world is reshaping and it's not going to be hospitable
to these companies. We're just kicking the can down the road with a lot of these companies that
aren't prepared for the new economy or it's companies, and I think this is the vast majority
of companies, quite frankly, that don't really need it. Yeah, they took a hit and yeah, that's
okay. We're in a fucking pandemic. It's okay if the wealthiest cohort in America, small business owners, feel a fraction of the pain of our frontline workers. The package also gives schools and universities $82 billion, with $54 billion going to public K-12 schools and $23 billion, which in many instances is a good thing as a lot
of lower and middle-income people need public transportation to get to work. And they've been
the ones who've been most impacted by this. But guess who's also receiving $15 billion?
That's right. Airlines getting a bailout. Fun fact, the five largest U.S. airlines over the
last five years have given more than $45 billion
to shareholders and executives. But a rainy day comes along and we're socialists and we need a
bailout. God, burn, baby, burn. Let the bondholders take the planes. Anyway, enough about how the
government has literally flipped the script and is being heavy-handed with the wrong people,
that is citizens, and empathetic and loving with corporations. Let's move on to something
that perked up the dog's ears in a good way.
TikTok and Walmart finally collaborated with a shoppable live stream.
What does that mean?
Walmart hosted a 60-minute live stream on TikTok
where TikTok users shop for Walmart fashion items
showcased by popular creators without leaving the app.
TechCrunch says that as products were shown during the live stream,
pins popped up so users could add them to their cart and then were directed to a mobile checkout
or users could choose to browse all the featured items at the end of the event. Live shopping will
play an interesting role in e-commerce moving forward. Bloomberg looked at data from CoreSight
and found that this type of shopping led to 60 billion in global sales in 2019
and is expected to almost double this year. The US accounts for less than 1 billion of that.
That's right. A term we have coined here at the kennel, A-commerce, algorithmic commerce,
and it's going to be big. And while everyone was focused on Microsoft or Oracle, the real
gangster move here or the most important
marriage or coupling here is between Walmart and the algorithm of TikTok that might result
in an explosion of e-commerce. According to eMarketer, China has outpaced the US when it
comes to social commerce. Social commerce sales in China reached 186 billion in 2019, nearly 10 times the amount of sales in the U.S., which reached just $19 billion last year.
We'll be watching this space.
Stay with us.
We'll be right back for our conversation with Professor Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, the Senior Associate Dean of Leadership Programs at the Yale School of Management.
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Go to ConstantContact.ca for your conversation with Jeffrey Sonnenfeld.
Professor Sonnenfeld, where does this podcast find you?
This finds me in my home office where nobody except you and I know that I'm barefoot, but
now the world knows.
That's an image.
So where is home?
Strictly barefoot, everything else fully clad in Brantford, Connecticut.
Let's talk about COVID-19.
When we think about the devastation that's being levied on us right now, on Americans, 5% of the world's population, 20% of the infections, and 20% of the deaths.
I mean, what role?
Obviously, there's a lot of comorbidities in the U.S.
We're not healthy as a nation.
We have a certain level of arrogance.
But it feels like, to use a terrible cliche, it's been an extraordinary failure in leadership. Can you be more specific
around what types of leadership failed here and how we can prevent this tragedy of the commons
from continuing or happening again? We've had a crushing failure of political leadership,
of course, where there was a lot of mythology and conspiracy talk being pumped out there.
I know we're talking about business leaders today and not political leaders,
but business leaders who were acquiescent, subservient to that, obsequious even to that,
were problematic. What we saw is business leaders, for the most part, stopped themselves
for being used as potted plants for photo ops to endorse superstition.
Most dramatically, the pharmaceutical industry, which sometimes had a mixed reputation because
of drug pricing issues and other concerns, there were actually often the touring technologies and
Theranos and some companies that were rapacious bad guy performers
on the edges of the space and medical devices as well as in pharmaceuticals had sullied the
reputation of the clean players. Well, those major players got together this fall in a remarkable
act of strength and shouted back at government, we're not going to politicize
science. It was Einstein who said, well, he did say it, that physics is easy, it's politics that's
hard. And they realized that the politics of science were going to cause a big problem.
You could take a look at anybody's research, Morning Consult, I think Kyle Dropp is especially
effective, but Edelman's and others
show this, that the pharmaceutical trust in the pharmaceutical industries these days has been
soaring as people are excited about these vaccines coming out. But the trust in the vaccination
itself has been plummeting because they were so afraid of the public endorsements. Historically,
trust in vaccines was disappointing to be between the 70 and 80 percent. You would
expect it to be a hope to be a lot higher. And in certain populations, it was lower in minority
groups and in the GOP. Historically, it was lower. What happened through the summer because of the
infiltrations of superstition into the CDC and the Food and Drug Administration is that the public trust was falling to below 50%,
and with no difference between Democrats and Republicans,
which was a big change,
pharmaceutical industry realized
that coming out with vaccines won't be heroic enough
to be sufficiently successful for society
if people don't trust them.
So they got together, the nine of them signed a release
saying a joint statement
that they were not going to be rushed until the science was ready and to be very transparent
about the reviews that are often, they have these third-party reviews that a lot of us don't really
know how the biostatistician and the medical ethicist, the others get chosen to be on those
groups. Who are those people and what are they coming up with?
They decided to be unusually public as to who the FDA review parties were, because it's a third party that's outside the FDA that would review the drugs.
And they were fantastic about sharing that information and step by step.
And as AstraZeneca had some troubles, they were forced to be much more transparent. And with
Moderna and Pfizer racing ahead, and of course, Merck is going to have a very promising candidate
for vaccines, two of them by the summer, based on a different technology. But explaining the
technology, explaining what's going along has been a big change. And that's sort of out the
right way of doing it. The other side, though,
is there have been problems in, say, and I don't mean to disparage them, but in the agriculture business where you've had people work congregate setting and poultry processing, there's been some
disparagement of the ethnic communities that feed those plants, suggesting it's the work life,
it's the home life, not necessarily the work life. But we weren't sure that enough was done with dividers and other truthful conveyance of information where you've
heard that there were supervisors that's gone public now. One in particular, a company which
has often in its past been quite ethical. You can have rogue employees anywhere. And we saw some
problems with supervisors that were allegedly misleading, intentionally misleading employees about safety issues in some Tyson poultry processing plants. And those are examples of the far less than perfect. So we have a distribution out there. And what's important is the truth get out there as well as we insert efforts in public safety, but the enthusiasm around the drug companies, some of which won't
make any very much money, if any, out of all this, both with the vaccines and, of course,
the therapeutics that Gilead and Regeneron has been remarkably patriotic and humanitarian in
their incentives and not just driven by pure short-term greed. So when I see candidates for Senate in Georgia refusing to acknowledge
that Biden and Biden-Harris are going to be our president and vice president, I immediately think,
well, that's a failure of leadership. But if you go to second order effects here or the cause,
isn't it that we as a populace have stopped rewarding leadership? Haven't we endorsed
a continual lack of leadership? Isn't the problem us? Well, there is an old cartoon strip from the
40s and 50s called Pogo. It was about a possum that was in the Okefenokee swamps of Georgia.
And this possum, it was a very political cartoon, although it ran
in the papers daily, used to take a twist on the old admonition that we have seen the enemy and it
is us. And he would say, we have seen the enemy and we are it, is that to blame ourselves is a
part of this, that we surely have gone for easy solutions
and falling victim to conspiratorial thinking or allowing these simplistic notions of good and evil
and looking for scapegoats is a problem. You see this when there are times of hardship.
And yeah, there are people who have been suffering, but through the last 15 years or so, the economy has been doing quite well. And there isn't the
same excuse of a shrinking pie. There've been some wrenching dislocations. However, some of the
people and a good numbers of the people, as we're learning from the surveys that are doing the
scapegoating, aren't just people who have lost work in dislocated communities,
but we do have a problem with what's going on with shattered families, shattered home life,
unstable work conditions, and a loss of faith in a lot of critical institutions. And it's hard to
figure out how you break the whole chain effect of this, the whole cycle of it. But you've got
to start somewhere. And I would start with the
leaders, leaders who have become followers instead of leaders, people who point out and say, well,
X million Republicans tend to believe that this is not true, that say, President-elect Biden,
Vice President-elect Harris aren't necessarily the winners because X million people don't believe it to be so. Well, you're not
showing leadership by following that. What's great about the CEO community, and you and I have talked
about this elsewhere in your class and privately, is how remarkable it is that on so many occasions,
private corporate leaders have stepped in to fill that void. When we saw business leaders unsure what to
do as this administration became increasingly divisive and polarizing, even before the
administration stepped in, by the way, we saw these movements by some on the right in Indiana
when Mike Pence was governor, in Arkansas, and in North Carolina, just to name three,
they came out with these divisive bathroom bills, or as they were euphemistically called,
the Religious Freedom Acts. Well, who was it that led to the repeal of all of these?
It was Walmart. It was Doug McMillan of Walmart. It was David Abney of UPS. And it was Randall
Stevenson of AT&T and these bedrock companies that said, no, this is
wrong. We don't want divided workforces. We don't want angry communities. It's not good for business.
It's not good for the nation. And they forced the repeal of these things. And the voice of
business mattered a great deal. We had the Trump administration officials from the Department of
Homeland Security and Department of Justice and elsewhere confirmed for us and the FBI, as well as these secretaries of state
around the nation, the cleanest election in history that we know of. And it was in part
because these CEOs, in addition to the technology of policing it, is these CEOs for the first time
in American history gave paid time off to millions and
millions of their workers. The Business Roundtable is one of many who set the pace on doing this
and then encouraged their companies to actually work on the polls where we have at-risk
octogenarians and cetogenarians as volunteers. They had over a million workers out there as volunteers to fortify
or replace these at-risk seniors, at risk, of course, for symptoms and infection, of course,
of COVID, but also at risk for being bullied by political extremists trying to come in there
and upset them. We're just dealing with the enormous surge in the volume of mail-in ballots this year,
is that fortification was from the business community. It's remarkable. And it should make any populist cynic to sit back and think, sometimes business can do it right. And they
surely have in the last two years. You were quoted recently in a Wall Street Journal article
talking about the kind of white hot IPO market saying that we're in the midst of a transformation.
What did you mean by that?
Well, there is just a huge redefinition in the way we're doing business.
Obviously, we've got new technologies of energy that are overwhelmingly disruptive. I happen to have been to the horror of perhaps not 99%, but perhaps
100% of the people listening right now. I've been critical of, believe it or not, the Tesla board.
I didn't ever want Elon Musk removed, but I wanted him to be harnessed in terms of his
investor relations. He's grudgingly improved enormously. He just did it his own way.
But obviously, he is, I think, a great lightning rod, to use an energy term, for the kind of
change that we see in the energy world. And that's had enormous ripple effects. We have also seen
that in the post-COVID world, nobody's going back to the kind of travel we did before.
But when we return, as people have gotten quite comfortable with their living rooms,
there isn't a company that I work with that I know of right now that's going back to five
board meetings a year in person. You always have four quarterly and a fifth one for some other
reason, whether or not it's annual shareholders meeting or some special meeting of some reason, whether or not it's an annual shareholders meeting or some special meeting of some reason, or the committee meetings, which are happening sometimes in intervals in between.
And the annual shareholders meetings themselves, as almost every company I know of,
including tech companies, had thought it would be illegitimate to do them virtual,
that the Securities and Exchange Commission perhaps wouldn't consider them as fully transparent and
accessible to shareholders. Well, nobody was showing up. Very few people were ever showing up
to the annual shareholders meetings anyway. And you're getting a much better engagement online.
So we're seeing that that's a huge change in terms of servicing the way we work online from
restaurants to the shareholder exchanges. And now that's led to new kinds of problems as employee isolation,
employee training, and a sense of a company culture as a differentiating quality and things
that's becoming problematic. So those are the kinds of changes that are creating lots of new
opportunities for us, as well as, of course, in life sciences, which have been so revolutionary. So if you don't think about
what you opened our call with today, talking about how we have a quarter of the deaths in the world
and only 4% or so of the world's population, that horrible tragedy can't be minimized. But it has
brought us to new realities about the way we can work and live
in very different ways. So you teach leadership, and I think of leadership in some ways as I think
of porn, and that is I have a difficult time describing it, but recognize it when I see it.
We have a very, very male, very young listenership. What advice or what are the cliff notes around trying to
demonstrate or developing qualities as a leader? What piece of advice or pieces of advice would
you offer young people as they try to develop the skills around demonstrating leadership?
Well, thanks for reminding me of the demography who's on with us. And it's interesting because a wonderful person, however, a very misguided piece
because it suggested that when it comes to truly engaging effective leadership,
the women have it over the guys. And you took a look at what she pointed to. It was a lot of
specious research, if there was even any research. There were a lot of homilies
there. And ignoring some of the really tough women leaders that were out at the time and some
of the really compassionate male leaders out at the time to kind of present a selective,
distorting view that was intended to be a feminist of a new age feminism, which was actually, in fact, reaffirming
sexism in a new way by coming out with gender defined roles, is that she talked about how
any of those tough women that I alluded to were misguided because they were aping the male model.
Well, she only presented the male model as apes to start with. And that's not even when you take a look at the 70 years of perhaps a research of academic
research we have in leadership, you would have thought it was longer, but 70 or maybe
a little bit more than that, 75 years of leadership.
It's been overly male audiences and so studied.
However, even with male subjects studied, there's a whole spectrum of leadership styles.
Even all the research on the military has a huge spectrum of leadership styles from,
from Patton and MacArthur, I don't know, Montgomery, Westmoreland as, as, as pretty
rough and assertive to Omar Bradley and Colin Powell and, and Eisenhower as a very much more intellectual and engaging side.
Is there all kinds of the whole spectrum of leadership styles everywhere? We shouldn't
preordain them that no gender has a monopoly on superior leadership. It was Justice Potter
Stewart, I think you were quoting from Supreme Court about pornography when it came up. He knows
it when he sees it. So I don't know how much of the Supreme Court was watching at the time to make those judgments. But there was even an older parallel reference to
knowing it when you see it is Dizzy Gillespie, the great jazz musician, had once said, if you ask
what jazz is, then you'll never know what it is because it can't be defined that it's a state of
mind. Well, I don't think that's fair when it comes
to leadership. It can be defined. It doesn't mean that everybody is going to do it the same way,
or there's a magical formula. But even the term charismatic leadership, it's something more than
back-slapping, cheerleading. There is a great charisma, no matter how this audience feels
about President Trump. When you're in his
presence, there is something catalyzing. Bill Clinton, when he's at the top of his game,
something catalyzing. When he's before large audiences, Barack Obama can be that way,
is that they have a presence. But that's not the entirety of what charisma is. Charismatic
leadership starts with one dimension. I've
studied 500 highly effective leaders and not based on what made he or she think they're so effective
by just asking them, but to all the poor souls who work for them, I would survey the management
team. We had to have at least four data points from each one of these 500 top leaders to make
sure we pinpointed accurately and we weren't just getting people with a halo effect
trying to suck up to the boss sycophantically
or trying to trash the boss
in some sort of revenge maneuver.
I wanted to get a couple of data points
to nail each one of them.
Is one leadership quality that was critical
is personal dynamism.
That is something that if you don't have it,
you find a way to do it or
compliment yourself with finding others who can do it for you. But it's a little bit of that old
management by wandering around, but it's being out there. It's your accessibility, using evocative
language and exciting a crowd by being able to paint a really vivid imagery. The language you
use, your availability, accessibility. Some of these best CEOs, which is they're really challenged right now, up until these last eight,
nine months, they're traveling perhaps two-thirds of the year. That was very important to them.
Now, how they do come up with a proxy for that is really hard. We could talk about how their
pandemic pivots have worked to try to do that with technology. But a second dimension has to do with empathy, the caring dimension. That's not the Donald strong suit. That happens to be a Joe Biden
strength, showing genuine concern. He remembers people. And Bill Clinton was amazing at this one
too, is you think there's nobody else in the world but you when you're talking with them.
They block it off. They truly, truly listen.
It doesn't have to cost a lot.
But the empathy dimension is a recognition and concern for the individual's well-being.
People will take risks on your behalf if they think you care.
But also, a third dimension is trust, the moral model that's set.
That has to do with your authenticity.
I think it was Lee Strasberg, the head of the Actors Studio School of Acting, used to say that was the essence of great acting was authenticity,
believability, that once you can fake that, you've really got it made. That believability.
A fourth dimension is a stretch dimension. It has to do with inspirational goals,
is to kind of reach for,
not be happy with the status quo, to reach for more. And the last dimension has to do with the
fifth dimension, is a certain boldness. That's what we see happily in the millennial generation
and Gen X, and we'll see if it is in our rising generation beneath them, is that, Scott,
my generation reaching into yours to the extent to which you and I are in the same one,
we're doing okay on that one. The generation ahead of us was a disaster. We had the Bobby Soxers,
that they were very much of a conforming generation. The generation ahead of that,
which was the Second World War generation of
soldiers and great heroes, whether or not they're in the battlefield or in diplomacy
or in business, they were great visionaries in academia. They thought intellectually across
fields. They spliced things together, sometimes out of necessity. But the generation that followed
them, there were some exceptions to it, But the Jack Welch generation was not an impressive generation overall as a cohort.
The baby boomers, OK, some better than others.
But we've seen that what follows is in boldness is very exciting.
You know, we saw a generation of recklessness with some of the baby boomers.
Of course, it took us into the financial crisis.
It is just reckless risk, but it's inspired risk takingtaking, and that's prudent risk-taking, if you will.
And that's what's very exciting to see is coming along, which is not to be pandering to your
listenership, but that's the types of folks that listen to this podcast are the ones that are
taking those big risks. I just hope they don't forget the empathy and authenticity aspects.
And I always like to end these conversations with one question. What would your advice to
your 25-year-old self be, Jeff? Well, there are a lot of languages that need to be mastered right
now. And in the past, you could see people glide by without having some of the language of finance,
some of the language of law, some of the language of law, some of the multiple
languages of technology. Now, to use a telephone 30 years ago, 40 years ago, you didn't have to,
say, understand the way flash drives were working. You didn't have to understand the way of the
different circuits were working. And it's the same today. You don't have to understand all the mechanics of how our systems work, but you have to know more than just gliding by on what you
can sell by reading headlines. So technological savvy is more than just user sophistication,
but some notion of where limits are, where you can push it, where the frontiers are. It's information technology. We need to know more. Life sciences technology. Average
business person needs to know more to be comfortable. Also, understanding law,
understanding, as painful as it is, rudiments of accounting. But that's not enough. Social
impact is really critical. What we're seeing in all the
surveys out there is, while it seemed to be a life stage issue to be able to talk about
the Woodstock generation and others about being concerned about ESG, or used to be called social
responsibility or whatever, is we see now the rising generations, people are actually making product decisions and
employment decisions by how they feel about the image of a company.
CEOs who are engaged in addressing the issues we're talking about, the younger the audience
is we turn to, the more they seem to really care about that.
But even the overall population is 70%, 75% of general population surveys show they want
to see their top leaders engage in social issues.
And the numbers get even higher the younger we go in these surveys.
So understanding community impact really matters and how doing good is not antithetical to doing well.
There are these win-win solutions out there.
It's not just Sunday school stuff that we're preaching. When Ken, the Ken Frazier, the CEO of Merck, decides to leave the president's business advisory council and ultimately leads to a mass exodus stampeding with him after a brief pause because of the murder in Charlottesville and the president's inability to clearly condemn the Nazis, is that that was a magnificent act of leadership,
Ken Fraser of Merck, to do that. He stood alone. The last line in Enemy of the People by Ibsen
is the strongest, it's a doctor who comes out and tells the village, in this Norwegian village,
the town's water supply is polluted, and their economic survival, the town is based
on the spas that are there. He makes it a public fact and they
run them out of town. But Ibsen says the strongest person in the world is a person who can stand
alone. That's what Ken Frazier of Merck did. That's what really great leaders do these days
that I celebrate. And we've seen them in all different fields. And that's what I'd want to
make sure that our rising leaders do is have the courage to do that. This is the first time in
American history that we've had the American, the U to do that. This is the first time in American
history that we've had the American, the U.S. business community say no to the commander-in-chief
to a call to action on a statement of principle. And we need to see more of that.
Jeffrey Sonnenfeld is the Senior Associate Dean of Leadership Programs, as well as the Lester
Crown Professor in the Practice of Management for the Yale School of Management. He's also
the founder and president
of the Chief Executive Leadership Institute, a nonprofit educational and research institute
focused on CEO leadership and corporate governance. He joins us from his home in Connecticut. Jeff,
thanks for continuing to fight the good fight and stay safe. Thank you very much. Same to you, Scott.
We'll be right back.
Hey, it's Scott Galloway, and on our podcast, Pivot, we are bringing you a special series about the basics of artificial intelligence.
We're answering all your questions. What should you use it for? What tools are right for you? And what privacy issues should you ultimately watch out for?
And to help us out, we are joined by Kylie Robeson, the senior AI reporter
for The Verge, to give you a primer on how to integrate AI into your life. So tune into AI
Basics, How and When to Use AI, a part of the show where we answer your questions about the
business world, big tech, higher education, and whatever else is on your mind. If you'd like to
submit a question, please email a voice recording to officehours at section4.com. Question number one.
Hey, Scott.
This is Jack from New York, New York,
and I'm 28 years old.
With Universal's recent acquisition
of Bob Dylan's music catalog,
do you see companies like Universal
eventually pulling their music
from streaming platforms like Spotify and Apple
in favor of their own subscription-based streaming service,
sort of like what NBC did with Peacock
in pulling The Office from Netflix?
Is it more profitable for a company like Universal to have direct paid subscribers as opposed to
whatever Spotify and Apple are paying them now for their rights to their music library? Thanks.
That is a really... So first off, I do not listen to these questions before they're answered,
so you get more organic, more authentic dog, if you will. That is a really
interesting thought. And I wish I'd thought of that first. So the idea, so let's, what has
happened here? When Spotify went original content with the Joe Rogan show, I made it exclusive to
Spotify, their stock went on a tear. When Netflix decided to go vertical with original content,
specifically House of Cards, boom, their stock went parabolic. So could
you double down on original, ownable, defensible IP and start buying music catalogs from someone
like Bob Dylan or the gangster one would be the Beatles or Michael Jackson or Coldplay? It's a
really interesting thought, and the big players have the capital to do it. I wonder if there'd
be a consumer backlash, though, because there's a bit of an egalitarian field of music, that if Apple
all of a sudden decided only Apple music listeners or iOS users could have access to the Beatles,
I think they would get a lot of pushback, and it might indicate or might sort of buttress or cement
the notion that these companies are monopolies that no one compete with and might find that. That might be Exhibit 38A in the government or an AG's
case on consumer harm or demonstrating consumer harm of monopolies, that if I can't listen to
Let It Be, unless I'm an Apple subscriber, that it has really gone too far, if you will. So it's a really interesting idea.
It's estimated that Universal Music Group paid more than $300 million for the exclusive rights to Bob Dylan.
So it'd be interesting if they put it behind a specific wall.
The four largest music labels account for 87% of the content available on Spotify.
However, many of these labels are on equity stakes in the company. So one
of the terrible things about antitrust and letting these companies grow in an unfettered fashion,
such that they become monopolies or duopolies, is it distracts from the fact that a bunch of
industries are too concentrated. My industry, my publisher, Penguin Portfolio Random House,
that rolls right off the tongue, just purchased Simon & Schuster. That industry, specifically the publishing industry, is now incredibly concentrated. But the FTC and the
DOJ let it go through because they realized we can't break these guys up because they're under
threat from Amazon, who is its own form of monopoly. So there's this trickle-down behavior
of bad things, or specifically this trickle-down gestalt of a lack of regulatory scrutiny that results in higher prices, lower innovation, tax avoidance, and on and on.
Rolling Stone says that licensing fees in the U.S. are roughly split 50-50 between publishers and songwriters and record labels and artists.
But with streaming, publishers and songwriters are paid a 10-15% headline share of Spotify's revenues divided up by their market
share, while the major record labels are paid 52% or get a 52% share divided up based on their
market share. In other words, the distribution points have still figured out a way to get in
between you and the end creators. I wonder if there'll be a dispersion of creativity where some,
and they keep threatening to do this, they keep trying, but the record labels have a lot of power. But I think at some point you are going to see, I don't think you're
going to see one artist go behind a specific wall, but I think what you might see is an artist go
direct, if you will, to the end platforms and bypass or disperse or leapfrog the record labels,
just as we're going to see healthcare leapfrog hospitals and doctors' offices. We're going to
see education leapfrog universities, and we're going to see human capital, specifically workers,
leapfrog HQ right into their home. What an interesting question. Thank you, Jack,
from New York City. Next question. What's up, Scott? Dylan reporting live from New York City.
I recently took your strategy sprint, which was totally worth the time and money.
And in that sprint, you talk a lot about likability.
In a U.S. that's more polarized than it's ever been, how does a brand navigate likability given two different people on two different sides of the aisle could have totally different views on what's right and wrong?
Thanks, Dylan, from New York City. Likeability
is underrated or underappreciated in terms of just how incredibly important it is
for shareholder value. Tim Cook is much more, infinitely more likable than Steve Ballmer and
Bill Gates. I'm not talking about vaccine, save the world philanthropist Bill Gates. I'm talking
about Darth Vader, Bill Gates in 1999. These two are
very unlikable. Tim Cook is infinitely likable. And the result is Apple probably has more dominance,
more market power than Microsoft did when the DOJ decided to move in on them in 1999. So your
likability is incredibly important. The ultimate likability shield until about a year ago when
everyone realized she was disingenuous, a liar, not concerned with the Commonwealth, not really concerned with teens
is Sheryl Sandberg.
So this likability shield is incredibly important.
Now, to your point around politics and the organization, there is a weird dynamic as
it comes to specific political ideology.
And that is, in general, in general, we stereotype
political ideologies. And that is, we view conservatives as being smart, but mean,
and we stereotype progressives as being empathetic, but ineffective. Oh my gosh,
what a great cloud cover, what a great blanket to wrap yourself in if you're a corporation, right?
Talk about your progressive politics, because what that means is you're a corporation, right? Talk about your progressive
politics because what that means is you're soft and cuddly and stupid. You couldn't be a monopoly.
You're too nice and too ineffective. So if Sheryl Sandberg wants to talk about the important role
of a gender conversation, if Tim Cook wants to be the first openly gay Fortune 500 CEO,
which is a wonderful thing, and I commend him on his leadership there.
But it's also fantastic for shareholder value because we assume that those people are just too nice to develop monopolies. So by the way, if a corporate CEO wants to talk about the rights of
the unborn or gun rights, I think the board would say, well, that's great. We respect your political
opinions, but keep it to yourself. Keep that shit to yourself. So progressive politics are somewhat of a heat shield for corporations because we stereotype
liberals as being soft and stupid, which is great, great sheep's clothing for the wolf.
Thanks for the question, Dylan. Next question. Hi, Scott. Tom McGinnis from the UK here.
One remedy for Facebook and Google's pathological business models would be to go iOS, in your
language, and create a premium subscription offering.
However, this has to be incredibly unlikely to happen in a world in which they get to
keep 100% of ad revenues currently, but would need to pay the Apple tax on subscription
revenues.
What other pivots, businesses, or entire business models do you think are simply untenable with Apple taxing that chunk of the economy?
Hey, Tom, thanks for the question.
So in sum, the whole world is going to iOS or Android.
And simply put, iOS is the premium offering.
I pay $1,200 for a phone.
I pay more money for an app.
And I get an ad-free superior experience that doesn't molest my data.
Now, Android says,
here's free. Here's a free phone. Here is free pictures of your friends with filters on them,
and you are going to have to endure some advertising. And by the way, by the way,
the majority of the world picks the latter. They're fine with some advertising. Quite frankly,
if you look at their actions, they're fine with their privacy being violated. They're fine with 1,200 points being pulled from their Android phone versus only 200
at iOS because they see it as a good trade. It's the difference between cable or HBO and
traditional cable where they get some subscription and also get advertising revenue to just full
broadcast television that just pelts you with ads. The world is bifurcating into iOS or
Android. Now, there's some externalities around Android, and that is we've seen that these
platforms are easier to weaponize. When you're totally focused on eyeballs and targeting,
it leads to bad behavior. Netflix was not weaponized by the foreign intelligence arm
of the Russian government. It's unlikely that we'll
see teen depression as a function of LinkedIn because the majority of their revenues comes
from subscription, not advertising. So there is some externality to what I'll call the ad-supported
Android model. Now, I think you're going to need to regulate the App Store as it's easy for Tim
Cook to insult or stick his finger in the eye or on the wound of
privacy around Android and Facebook because it plays to their strength. And basically every
single app provider or even every streaming video platform pays somewhere between 3% and 12% tax to
Apple. Roblox pays somewhere between 20% and 30% of all of their revenue either to Apple or the
Google Play Store or even Amazon to distribute their apps.
So when you own the rails, it's a great business, but it's a different type of toll keeper.
One is pelting you with advertising in exchange for a free product.
The other is charging you up front and taking a huge commission.
The problem is, A, you have one company, Apple, that's a monopoly on the app or
the iOS premium model, and it needs to be regulated. And two, we need to start implementing
some sort of fines or regulation for the folks that live off the ad-supported model because they
seem to be prone to all sorts of weaponization of their platforms. And also their algorithms
want more and more eyeballs, which leads to this dangerous thing of enragement
and polarization. So there is what I'd call anti-monopoly intervention required on both.
The externalities of monopoly power on the app side is bad. It reduces competition innovation.
And the externalities on the Android or the free side is even worse because it results in
algorithms that will do whatever's required, including pissing you off
or making you be pissed off at the other 50% of America, such that you will be more engaged and
have more Nissan ads. I don't know where this market heads, but this is definitely the battle
here, iOS versus Android. And when Tim Cook preaches about privacy, yeah, I believe him.
I believe he's a principled man. It's also awfully self-serving. He's basically saying, come to the the year here at The Prop G Show is the founder
of Amazon, who's an inspiration and has given us a lot of pause to think about generosity and what
it means to change the world. I'm, of course,
referring to Mackenzie Scott, the ex-wife of Jeffrey Bezos. A lot of people think Mackenzie Scott does not get the credit she deserves in terms of the early days and the actual founding
of Amazon. Also, that's not why we find her person of the year. Most recently, Miss Scott
has decided to give away about $6 billion of her $40, $60, $70 billion fortune. And it was inspiring, not that she gave it, but how she gave it. And that is the majority of philanthropy,. I want diligence done. I expect a certain level
of input as to how we approach the homeless problem or Meals on Wheels or education.
And Ms. Scott just said, we are in the midst of a pandemic and we need to push out billions of
dollars to needy organizations and people in need. She didn't demand her name be involved. She didn't
see it as a transaction. She didn't implement her own philosophy or big baller thinking. It's just so easy to conflate money with some sort of
insider intelligence. At NYU, I see this all the time. We invite two types of people to speak,
one incredibly insightful, interesting people, and two billionaires. We've decided that anyone
who amasses a billion dollars in wealth has insight into life. What I find so inspiring
about Mackenzie Scott's philanthropy is that she's being more what I would call maternal and that it is real giving.
It's not consumption. It's not, hey, look at me. There's no strings attached here. It's pure
generosity. It's pure empathy and it's pure love. And I think we can all take pause and learn from this. It's the end
of the year. We're doing year-end reviews. A lot of us are sitting down our employees and doing
year-end reviews. And I think of year-end reviews as an opportunity for honest feedback and then
goal setting. And in this year, year-end reviews really should be about obviously honest feedback,
but more about recognition and generosity. People are hurting. This has been such a difficult year.
This is an opportunity for philanthropy, but not philanthropy with this kind of bullshit male layer of transaction and
recognition, but what I would call a more maternal, empathetic form of philanthropy as evidence and
inspired by the founder of Amazon, Mackenzie Scott. Well done. Prop G's Person of the Year, who has really brought new
meaning and complexion and depth and color and texture to what it means to be a philanthropist,
what it means to give, what it means to be a generous person. Well done. Thank you so much.
That's it for this episode. Our producers are Caroline Shagrin and Drew Burrows.
If you like what you heard, please follow, download, and subscribe.
Thank you for listening.
We'll catch you next week with another episode of The Prof G Show from Section 4 and the Westwood One Podcast Network.
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