The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - No Mercy / No Malice: Chokepoints

Episode Date: April 4, 2026

As read by George Hahn. https://www.profgmedia.com/p/chokepoints Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices...

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Starting point is 00:00:26 Many promotions are available both in-store and online, though some may vary. I'm Scott Galloway, and this is No Mercy. no malice. Since the start of the war with Iran, we've been fixated on the straight of Hormoz. But in a globalized, digitized world, geographic features aren't the only choke points. Choke points, as read by George Hahn. When you compress the carotid arteries, you cut off the flow of oxygenated blood to the brain. This causes unconsciousness in approximately 8 to 15 seconds due to serenial.
Starting point is 00:01:12 hypoxia, oxygen deprivation to the brain. Globalization has expanded the economic corpus, resulting in an interconnected world and yielding huge, though unevenly distributed, prosperity. It has also formed carotid arteries the size of, wait for it, the Strait of Hormuz. In 1984, a forgettable made-for-TV movie contemplated a Middle East conflict, that closed the Strait of Hormuz. For decades, U.S. strategic simulations have explored similar scenarios. In one 2002 war game, the Red Team, deploying asymmetrical capabilities, including armed speedboats, decimated American naval forces in 10 minutes, effectively closing the strait.
Starting point is 00:02:04 Why didn't the Trump administration anticipate this entirely predictable scenario? A. Despite a warning from the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the President determined that the regime would capitulate before closing the strait, and that if it didn't, the U.S. military could reopen it. He was wrong. This may be the greatest intelligence failure since CIA director George Tenet famously told Bush it was a slam-dunk case that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction.
Starting point is 00:02:38 But let's put aside the choke point of, Almost everyone saw coming and discussed some others we choose to ignore. Last year, one company conducted 84% of U.S. space launches and 52% of global launches, SpaceX. Almost two-thirds of the satellites orbiting Earth belong to the company, but it really dominates in low-Earth orbit, where it owns 91% of communications satellites. If you're connecting from a cellular dead spot, going online while flying one of 30-plus airlines, out on a boat, or operating in a war zone, you're at Elon Musk's mercy. He recently combined SpaceX with XAI at a valuation of $1.25 trillion, registering a 43% equity stake and 79% of the voting power. This week, SpaceX filed to go public, seeking to raise $50 billion to $75 billion, meaning Musk will likely become the world's first trillionaire.
Starting point is 00:03:51 He says he's creating the most ambitious, vertically integrated innovation engine on and off Earth with AI, rockets, space-based internet, direct-to-mobile device communications, and, the world's foremost real-time information and free speech platform. In other words, a global communications and information choke point. With Musk, sometimes you get Dr. Jekyll, electric cars, reusable rockets, and medical breakthroughs for treating blindness and paralysis. Other times you get Mr. Hyde, bullying a judge, Nazi salutes, and AI porn. Is Jekyll or Hyde the real Elon? A, yes.
Starting point is 00:04:45 As author Robert Caro, who's written four volumes on power through the lens of LBJ observed, power doesn't necessarily corrupt, but it always reveals. When you are climbing to get power, you have to use whatever methods are necessary, and you have to conceal your aims, caro told the New York Times. But then when you get power, you can do what you want, so power reveals. Musk is, according to the Wall Street Journal, addicted to ketamine, determined to father a legion level of offspring before the apocalypse,
Starting point is 00:05:25 and, no surprise, perpetually engaged in custody battles. He also sleeps with loaded guns next to his bed. Is this the person we want to? want at the epicenter of space, connectivity, AI, and media? A, no one person should have this much power. I have no idea what Musk intends to do with his power, and that's the scary part. He's unelected and answers to no one, as we now live in a society where billionaires are protected by the law, but not bound by it. Even scarier, Musk may not know either, see, ketamine. To paraphrase Richard Pryor, ketamine is a hell of a drug.
Starting point is 00:06:11 I tried it once under therapeutic supervision. Shit got real and unreal, fast. As Shayla Love wrote in The Atlantic, Excessive use of the drug can make anyone feel like they rule the world. For most people, the danger of that delusion is contained inside a relatively small blast zone, the attic, their friends and family, their world. In Musk's case, his world is our world. Last weekend, an estimated 8 million Americans participated in no king's protests.
Starting point is 00:06:49 The rallies speak to the moment, but the demonstrators concerned are as old as America. As James Madison wrote in the Federalist Papers, number 47, the accumulation of all powers, legislative, executive, and judiciary, in the same hands, whether of one, a few, or many, and whether hereditary, self-appointed, or elective, may justly be pronounced the very definition of tyranny. After fighting a revolution against a monarch, the Constitution's framers split power across three brains. branches of government, devising a system of checks and balances to put each branch in tension with the other two. Cumbersome by design. We spent the next 230 years reassembling the king. The Constitution grants the power to tax and regulate foreign commerce exclusively to Congress,
Starting point is 00:07:53 but according to Duke Law Professor Timothy Meyer, functionally trade policy has been dominated by the executive branch since the 1930s. The War Powers Resolution of 1973, sold as a check on Richard Nixon after revelations that he'd secretly bombed Cambodia, actually codified a 60-day blank check for presidential military action. Meanwhile, the 2001 authorization for use of military force passed one week after 9-11 has been cited to justify classified military operations in at least 22 countries. Congress has never declared war in my lifetime, but we've fought many, and we're fighting one now. On paper, our system was built to avoid choke points by distributing power. We built one anyway.
Starting point is 00:08:51 It's inside the Oval Office. For the past century, as we ceded powers from the legislative, and judicial to the executive branch, we've been hoping norms would help us avoid strangulation. And it worked until it didn't. Last October, a database glitch in Northern Virginia took down Snapchat, Fortnite, ring doorbells, Coinbase, Reddit, DoorDash, and about a thousand other services. The culprit was a malfunctioned an Amazon Web Services data center, the third major outage tied to that location in the past five years. Down Detector received 6.5 million outage reports.
Starting point is 00:09:45 Three companies, Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft, owned two-thirds of the cloud market. These service interruptions rarely result in clients switching providers, leaving as too costly and time-consuming. After a perfect storm of bad code and a widespread Azure outage knocked airlines, hospitals, and banks offline in 2024, one cybersecurity expert said, this is a very uncomfortable illustration of the fragility of the world's core internet infrastructure. If you're under 30, that fragility is your lived experience. That's what makes the cloud such a potent choke point.
Starting point is 00:10:28 It's hiding in plain sight until it isn't. Mistakes that cause outages are one thing, but attacks from malicious actors are the bigger threat. Since 2005, 34 countries have been suspected of sponsoring cyber operations with China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia, accounting for a combined 77% of suspected. attacks. Since the start of the U.S. Israel War on Iran, Iranian hackers have hit a medical technology company, stolen, and tried to sell data from Lockheed Martin, and breached FBI director Cash
Starting point is 00:11:13 Patel's personal email. Even more chilling is the emergence of a gray zone between war and peace, i.e. permanent cyber war. As a 2022 Atlantic Council report excels, without firing a single bullet, U.S. adversaries are striking at the fibers of U.S. and allied societies, economies, and governments to test confidence in systems that underwrite both the U.S. constitutional republic and the U.S.-led rules-based international order. In other words, every day, unseen hands reach across cyberspace
Starting point is 00:11:56 and apply pressure to our air supply. When we gasp for air, however, we demand an immediate patch rather than insisting on redundant airways. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is demonstrating a lesson we should have learned watching Ukraine repel Russia for the past three years. An 82 million-dollar fighter jet
Starting point is 00:12:25 launched from a $13 billion aircraft carrier is an economic Goliath, facing a swarm of $20,000 to $50,000 Davids, i.e. Shahed drones. While we're bleeding resources and credibility, China is taking notes and looking at Taiwan. The single biggest threat to the world economy, the single biggest point of single failure, is that 97% of the high-end chips are made in Taiwan. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson said at Davos this January, If that island were blockaded or that capacity were destroyed, it would be an economic apocalypse. One company, TSM, controls 72% of the global foundry market, producing chips for AMD, Apple, invidia, and Qualcomm.
Starting point is 00:13:23 If China invaded Taiwan, global GDP would sustain an estimated 10% hit, according to a Bloomberg analysis. But China doesn't need to invade Taiwan or blockade it. They just need to flex. Military exercises, missiles splashing down in shipping lanes to spook maritime insurance carriers, a cyber operation that takes TSM offline for 72 hours, and watch Silicon Valley and J.P. Morgan scramble to de-risk. The problem is there's nowhere to scramble, too. Despite Biden's carrots, $152 billion in Chips Act spending, and Trump's sticks, tariffs,
Starting point is 00:14:15 The soonest the U.S. can expect to have meaningful backup capacity is 2030. We've kept China at bay with a mix of globalization, strong coalitions, and military deterrence. The bulwark of allies defending our most critical technological choke point took decades to build, but only a year to disassemble with incoherent isolationist economic policies, insults, and now a war that exposes the gaps in our armor. The Strait of Hormuz. One-man satellite network. An autocracy cosplaying as a government.
Starting point is 00:15:00 Three cloud providers. One island. We didn't stumble into these choke points. We built them. The invisible bipartisan hand of the market has been wrapping itself around our throat this whole time. We mistook shareholder value and purity tests for resilience, finding welcome distractions
Starting point is 00:15:24 in big tech earnings calls and arguments over pronouns. Life is so rich.

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