The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - No Mercy / No Malice: Last Laugh
Episode Date: July 26, 2025As read by George Hahn. https://www.profgalloway.com/last-laugh/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices...
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I'm Scott Galloway and this is No Mercy, No Malice.
It's getting late early for late night television.
But don't worry, they're just being reconstituted as podcasts.
Same irreverence, same talent, just 90% less production costs.
Last laugh, as read by George Hahn.
It's getting awfully late, early, for late night TV.
Stephen Colbert shocked his audience on July 17th with the news that CBS had cancelled the late show.
I interpreted it as the latest sign of America's descent into fascism, another media company bending the knee.
The headlines came just three days
after Colbert slammed Paramount's decision
to pay Trump $16 million to settle a nuisance lawsuit
over the editing of a 60 Minutes interview, calling it a big fat bribe.
CBS is part of Paramount, which needed the Trump administration to bless the transfer of billions from one billionaire
nepo baby, David Ellison, to another billionaire nepo baby, Sherry Redstone.
At some point, people will notice the only ones willing to
buy media companies are rich kids who didn't have to actually make any money. But I digress.
I was wrong about Colbert. Economics are driving him out, not politics.
Granted, two things can be true at once, and Colbert's constant ribbing of the
president probably made his walk on the green mile shorter, but
Let's be clear
Winter was coming
This is an overdue reshaping of the supply chain in TV
Colbert isn't going anywhere. It's
185 of the 200 people working for him who are going to be getting their real estate licenses.
The media reaction was outrage.
Nothing is more precious than a 60-something comedian who earns 100 times what his staff makes getting furious at the suits.
But the opportunistic infection that took a weakened late-night show down was the WGA's decision to go on strike in 2023.
Netflix and to a lesser extent, Scripted TV,
had enough shows in the bank to hang on to all or most
of their audience respectively for about five months.
But nobody was going to tune into Jimmy Kimmel
to see Michael Avenatti again.
When late night went dark, millions of Americans realized they didn't miss it, and they never
returned.
John Stewart should tell the WGA board, not Paramount's management, to go fuck themselves. From New York, The Tonight Show, starring Johnny Carson.
Johnny Carson, the king of late night during his three-decade run as host of The Tonight
Show, attracted a nightly audience of 10 million to 15 million at his peak.
Adjusted for population growth, that would be like 25 million people tuning in tonight.
By the late 70s, tonight accounted for 17% of NBC's revenue.
Live from the NBC studios in Burbank, California, the Tonight Show with Jay Leno.
In 1988, a few years before Carson handed the reins to Jay Leno, advertising dollars
spent on late-night TV surged to more than $1.2 billion as carmakers, beverage companies,
and movie studios rushed to win over younger, more affluent consumers. In 2002, Leno's show routinely attracted more than 5 million viewers a night, still
strong, and late-night shows continued to deliver into the next decade.
About 15 years ago, a popular late-night program could earn about $100 million a year.
Those days are gone.
The entertainment sector has experienced a seismic shift, with late-night TV advertising
revenue collapsing 50% to an estimated $220 million in 2024 from $439 million in 2018,
according to DataFirm guideline.
In the five years leading up to its Chapter 11 filing, General Motors' revenue declined
40 percent.
In sum, if late-night television were a standalone business, it would have declared bankruptcy
last year. During the last two months, for the first time ever,
viewers spent more time watching streaming services,
including YouTube and Netflix,
than the broadcast and cable networks combined.
We're still catching the highlight clips of late night TV,
but as they do with the rest of media, technology platforms rent the content for two cents on
the dollar.
It isn't the end of Colbert.
It's the end of late night TV.
Colbert's late show reportedly has been losing more than $40 million a year for CBS, with a budget of $100 million per season
and about 200 employees. Colbert quipped, quote, I could see us losing $24 million,
but where would Paramount have possibly spent the other $16 million? Oh, yeah, unquote.
Oh, yeah." Assuming the show is reeling in $60 million a year in revenue, that equates to $300,000
per employee.
But less than 10% of the Late Show's audience is between 18 and 49 years old, that coveted
demographic still in their mating years and making irrational
high-margin purchases.
And one of the key insights from the 2024 election is that podcast listeners swing elections
as they are much younger and more likely to be swayed.
Nine out of ten people who watch cable news and late night, from an economic lens, don't
matter.
Think about it.
As a percentage of the population, late night has shed 90% of its audience over the past
several decades.
Contrast Colbert with our company, Profg Media.
I never miss the opportunity to boast.
We expect to generate 15 million to $20 million
in annual revenue next year, with about 15 full-time people.
That figure, which excludes my podcast pivot
with Kara Swisher, equates to $1 million
to $1.3 million per employee.
Unlike the late night category, we're growing 20% to 30% annually,
with half of our listeners in the 18 to 49 age bracket.
We're reaching nearly as many of the core demographic as late night,
with 8% of the staff and cost.
TV's biggest stars are simply arbitraging the means of production, i.e. losing 90% of
their staff.
The talent in front of the camera and mic has figured out how to hold on to their income
and cultural relevance by reducing production costs.
When Fox News fired Tucker Carlson in 2023, a week after the network settled a defamation
lawsuit with Dominion Voting Systems for almost $800 million, he embraced his newfound independence.
The Tucker Carlson Show averaged 1.06 million views throughout most of June and sat at number
11 on YouTube's podcast rankings last week.
Even if his audience is smaller than it was previously, he's likely capturing similar
economic value, i.e. pay, with a smaller team. Podcasts are TV. Just more efficient.
Megyn Kelly, ousted from NBC in 2019, is another example.
Semaphore reported last year that her Megyn Kelly show was drawing audiences comparable to those of
the legacy media outlets, with only six employees.
The show, among the most followed political podcasts in the U.S., had 3.5 million subscribers
in March.
Finally, consider Conan O'Brien, who hosted Late Night and The Tonight Show, both on NBC
and then Conan on TBS.
I'd speculate that O'Brien, who launched the weekly podcast Conan O'Brien Needs a
Friend in 2018 and later sold his podcast business to Sirius XM for $150 million, is
making more money today than he did in his late night heyday.
The 150 people who worked at late night?
See above.
Real estate agents.
Even though his audience has dropped from a peak of more than 3.1 million viewers in
2017 and 2018, Colbert enjoys better ratings than his competitors Jimmy Kimmel and Jimmy
Fallon, registering an average of 2.42 million viewers
during the three-month period ending in June.
That compared with 1.77 million and 1.19 million for Kimmel and Fallon, respectively.
If Colbert can't hang on, it doesn't bode well for his rivals or the staff who don't
make it onto the podcast arc with their boss.
Colbert, Fallon, and Kimmel shouldn't be worried. They are caged in a broken business model, and it's only a matter of time before they break free. In his first broadcast since CBS pulled the
plug, Colbert earlier this week warned Trump that the gloves are off. When his contract ends in ten months,
the economic shackles will also come off.
Instead of leading a $60 million business with 200 staff,
Colbert will likely helm a $20 million business with 12 highly skilled people.
These shows might lack the glitz and glamour of Late Night, but that can be an advantage,
as Colbert demonstrated during the pandemic when he delivered monologues at home without
a live audience, his wife, Evy Colbert, by his side.
More stars will follow Colbert into the next frontier after he leaves the Late Night stage.
MSNBC's Rachel Maddow,
who's already reduced her on-air commitments
to pursue podcasts,
may not be able to match the $25 million salary
she reportedly negotiated at the network,
but her current compensation is unsustainable,
and she knows it.
When it returned to its traditional format in the Ed Sullivan Theater in June 2021,
the late show seemed eager to embrace the old school model and
ditch everything it learned in lockdown.
But the future looks more like Colbert at his vacation home in South Carolina than
in front of a live audience with a band, Manhattan rent, and union workers.
It means sharply lower production costs with a team of 20, not 200.
Call it the old Navy of media, 80% of the production quality for
a fifth of the price.
The end is nigh for late night TV, but podcasts delivering high quality and
highly profitable entertainment are just warming up.
Colbert will be just as relevant and as much a pain in Trump's ass,
he'll just do it via a different means of production.
Podcasts are TV, but with an audio first overlay and better unit economics.
Commending the RAF in 1940, Winston Churchill said that never quote, was so much owed by
so many to so few unquote.
In cable news and late night television, rarely have so many
talented people been less relevant.
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Hi, I'm Teffy.
Maybe you've seen me on TikTok, or TV,
or interviewing celebrities on the red carpet.
But before all that, I was just another girl running late to her desk job,
transferring calls, ordering printer ink.
I don't miss that. But I do miss not working at work,
gossiping with my coworkers about celebrities.
What's the latest with Bieber?
Where's Britney? And which Jonas brother is which?
That's what I want my new podcast to feel like.
Like you and I are work besties.
We'll chat about celebrities we're obsessed with.
How could you be registered to vote
and not know who Jennifer Aniston is?
Look up their star charts.
Sagittarius and the Capricorn, they do clash
and have so much fun avoiding real work together.
I'm having a silly goose of a time.
Teffy runs.
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Teffy explains.
But most of all, Teffy talks.
From me, the cut and box media podcast, this is Teffy Talks.
Let's go.