The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - No Mercy / No Malice: The Testosterone Election
Episode Date: November 16, 2024As read by George Hahn. https://www.profgalloway.com/the-testosterone-election/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices...
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I'm Scott Galloway and this is No Mercy, No Malice.
Young people were the epicenter of the political earthquake last week.
The fall line?
Masculinity.
The Testosterone Election, as read by George Hahn.
I believe the more interesting conversation than why she lost is how he won. We on the left try
to comfort each other with the cold, i.e. freezing, comfort of he barely won the
popular vote or Wisconsin was decided by just 30,000 people but the reality is
Donald Trump destroyed Kamala Harris. Trump, for the first time, won the popular vote and took
all seven swing states. It was a political earthquake that rendered legacy media and
knocking on doors as 20th century relics. The aftershocks will be felt for the next
four years and beyond, but we know where the epicenter was.
Despite a 51-48 split in the popular vote, three-quarters of Americans agree on one thing.
We are on the wrong track.
That's been the political reality for most of this century.
High levels of dissatisfaction resulting in a series of change elections.
The reason?
Voters recognize that millennials and zoomers aren't as prosperous as their boomer and
gen-x parents.
One example?
In 1981, the median age of a homebuyer was 38.
Today, it's 54.
The epicenter of the 2024 political earthquake wasn't immigration, bodily autonomy, or democracy.
It was the social contract between America and its citizens.
The contract is straightforward.
Work hard and play by the rules and your children will have a better life than you did. For the first time in 250 years, that contract has not held.
During an earthquake, solid ground is an illusion.
I learned this in 1971 when the Sylmar quake devastated Los Angeles.
The movement of tectonic plates, usually just a few centimeters per year,
goes unnoticed until they slip, releasing enough energy to rip apart the ground
beneath your feet. Tectonic plates meet, pressure builds, and ultimately breaks
apart at the fault line. If the epicenter of this election was America's social contract, the fault line was masculinity.
Before the election, I predicted the outcome would be decided by whoever presented a more
aspirational vision of masculinity.
The reasoning was correct.
The call was wrong.
Instead of seeing men as providers and protectors,
voters embraced crypto, the UFC, and Hulk Hogan.
Tesla, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin are up 29%,
25%, 24%, and 106% respectively.
Note, the S&P is up nearly 4% over the same period.
And we Democrats were stood up, left bereft by voters motivated by bodily autonomy, who
didn't show up.
Trump was able to distance himself from the bodily autonomy issue.
Five of the seven states that voted for pro-choice amendments split the ticket on the issue,
pulling the lever for the former president.
America elected President T, only the T doesn't stand for Trump, but testosterone.
How Americans vote should be taken seriously regarding the direction of the country, but
much of the rhetoric has been ugly and should not be normalized.
I receive a lot of emails from worried parents, particularly mothers, along these lines, quote,
I have a daughter who lives in Chicago and works in PR and another daughter who's at
Penn.
My son lives in our basement, vapes, and plays video games."
Unquote.
Young American men are in a crisis of underemployment
and under-socialization.
Soaring college costs affect people regardless of gender.
But since 2011, the percentage of young men enrolled in college
has dropped from 47% to 42%.
Manufacturing jobs, once a ticket to the middle class for men without college degrees, have been offshored.
Housing is increasingly unaffordable.
Nearly 60% of men aged 18 to 24 live with their parents, and 1 in five still live with their parents at 30.
Many men are stuck, isolated, despairing, and unproductive, prone to obesity, drug addiction, and suicide,
susceptible to misogyny, conspiracy theories, and radicalization.
They make inadequate mates, employees, and citizens.
An African proverb states, quote,
the child who is not embraced by the village will burn it down to feel its warmth, unquote.
When young men are struggling, they and their parents vote based on an attribute versus
an issue.
That attribute, this cycle, was disruption.
These voters didn't vote for the party that believes the solution for young men is to act
more like women or even traditional Republicans. They opted for whoever would disrupt an America
that's broken its most basic contract. As Cersei Lannister said, I choose violence.
The electorate chose chaos.
When parents see their kids hurting, they become single-issue voters.
From 2020 to 2024, Trump gained 15 points among 18-29-year-old men.
The mothers of young voters, women ages 45 to 64, voted for
Trump more than any other age group of women, including women over 65. Their
fathers, men ages 45 to 64, voted for Trump at a higher rate than any other
male age group, except for men over 65 who supported him by one percentage point more.
The boys burned down the village to feel its warmth, and their parents gave them the matches.
In April I gave a TED Talk about America's war on the young.
The war is being waged on nearly every front, but one especially revealing battleground is our social
safety net.
If it seems like we care more about senior citizens than our children, trust your instincts.
Recall that we let the child tax credit expansion expire post-pandemic.
Meanwhile social security remains the third rail of American politics, with old people
electing older people who vote themselves more money.
To paraphrase Warren Buffett, there is a generational war in America, and my generation is winning.
After a campaign where most of the oxygen was consumed by performative pandering over culture war issues,
voters reminded us that their number one issue is the economy.
America is a platform that provides two things,
the defense of our shores and citizens, and economic opportunity.
Everything else comes in a distant third.
In a capitalist society, In America, and this has not always been the case and should be celebrated,
the most important thing is to be able to do things that are not so difficult.
The most important thing is to be able to do things that are not so difficult.
The most important thing is to be able to do things that are not so difficult.
The most important thing is to be able to do things that, not the disease.
In America, and this has not always been the case and should be celebrated, your opportunities
are more a function of your economic weight class than your identity.
Demographics are no longer destiny.
Today in America, you'd rather be born non-white or gay than poor. Our spending priorities, like entitlements, tax policies,
like capital gains and mortgage interest deductions, and fiscal policies, like bailouts of incumbents,
are nothing but a transfer of wealth from young to old.
Compared to 40 years ago, the average 70-plus year old is 72 percent wealthier, and the
average person under 40 is 24 percent less wealthy.
In addition, social media notifications remind them 210 times a day that everyone else is
killing it.
The most noxious emission in America is not carbon, but shame.
The disease is simple to diagnose. Young people don't have enough money. We should treat
the disease not with leeches like tariffs and cocaine like tax cuts for the wealthy,
but treatments that are proven to work. A few suggestions.
Do the minimum.
70% of minimum wage workers are between 16 and 34.
The fastest way to put more money in their hands is to give them a raise.
I believe the federal minimum wage should be $25 per hour.
Ask what you can do for your country.
Only 18% of 18 to 34-year-olds say they're proud to be an American.
We should require or encourage one or two years of paid service for young people.
Service builds grit, camaraderie, connections, and social
conscience. It heals political divisions and restores faith in the country. The
left will cry fascism, the right communism. Angering both extremes is a
tell for good policy, which generally appeals to the center rather than the
fringes. Note, when the extremes agree,
it's usually centered on reckless spending or anti-Semitism. Get fit.
JFK challenged Americans to improve their physical fitness. The president's
physical fitness test emphasized performance, but it was replaced by the
presidential youth fitness program, which emphasized health.
We should do both, as some studies have shown that physical strength and exercise are
1.5 times as effective as antidepressants at battling depression.
Build, baby, build.
We have a shortage of affordable housing.
One conservative estimate suggests we need to build 3 million housing units.
This isn't rocket science.
Building housing at that scale would create more than a million jobs and generate billions
in tax revenue.
The private sector responds to incentives. This should likely be done
via a tax credit versus regulation. Nuclear option. FDR's new deal put
millions to work, building the Hoover Dam and LaGuardia Airport and bringing
electricity to the south. Eisenhower's interstate highway system, a project of
immeasurable benefit for jobs and commerce,
continues to pay dividends 70 years later. Today we need carbon-free energy to combat climate
change and fuel the AI revolution. Nuclear accounts for 20% of our total power output and half our clean energy.
Increasing our nuclear output 3X
would likely create 1.5 million jobs.
Nuclear energy feels more masculine than wind and solar.
I'm hopeful Trump will embrace it.
IRS YoVum.
We should take a page from Portugal and grant a tax holiday for 18-35 year olds as a means
of staunching generational wealth transfer.
The Portuguese government recognized the most talented young Portuguese had one thing in
common – they'd left the country.
The new tax benefits extend over 10 years, including no taxation for the first year.
The program is meant to help retain and attract young professionals.
In the U.S., we have the most anxious and depressed younger generation in history.
The incumbents will plead complexity as a misdirect from a simple solution more prosperity i.e. money the
program would not be that expensive as it requires no increase in the
administrative state and young people don't generate much tax revenue to begin
with make education affordable again nothing says we believe in you like
education some public universities offer free admission to students who meet Nothing says we believe in you like education.
Some public universities offer free admission to students who meet minimum academic requirements.
This should be the rule, not the exception.
Any university that has an endowment over a billion that's not expanding its freshman
class faster than population growth should lose its tax-free status.
It's no longer a public servant, but a hedge fund offering classes.
Also, we should bulk up on vocational training and paid apprenticeships as many people, especially
men, thrive in careers that require strength, sweat, and technical skill.
These are good-paying jobs shamed by the zeitgeist in our society, which says if you
are one of the two thirds of families whose kid doesn't graduate from college, you and
your kid have fucked up.
See above.
Shame.
Make dating great again.
Young people are having less sex.
This contributes to a delay in unlocking adult milestones,
marriage, kids, and sets up a demographic time bomb.
Without the prospect of a romantic relationship,
women pour energy into other relationships and work,
men into addiction and resentment.
Remote work is a disaster for young people.
A quarter of all couples meet at work.
We need to get more young people into an office, classroom,
or some other environment where they're serving in the agency
of something bigger than themselves.
See above, National Service.
Today's venue for connection, or lack thereof, is online dating.
But like every other sector that's being digitized, it's become a winner-take-most arena.
A small number of men garner all the attention, leaving a man of average attractiveness totally
shut out of the market, which validates his sense of worthlessness.
And the top decile of men are given license to engage in Porsche polygamy, which doesn't
encourage the formation of long-term relationships and issues a hall pass for bad behavior.
Who wants more economically and emotionally viable men?
A. Women.
How do we get young people pairing? A. Make more men more attractive by leveling up young people economically.
AI, GDP, S&P, innovation, shareholder growth, these things are all means.
The ends are deep and meaningful relationships.
They are everything and the center of literally everything is the well-being of your kids
When they're not doing well, they and their mothers become the mother of single-issue voters
change
disruption
so
How did Trump win?
So, how did Trump win? A. His campaign determined the best way to win over young men and their parents was to
act like a young bro himself.
Think about it.
Rockets, crypto, Rogan, coarse language, offensive jokes.
This election was supposed to be a referendum on women's rights.
It wasn't.
It was a cold plunge into testosterone.
Life is so rich. Do you feel like your leads never lead anywhere, and you're making content that no one sees,
and it takes forever to build a campaign?
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Many songs are written to make us dance, others to deal with heartbreak, but it's the rarest
song that makes us feel freaky.
I'm musicologist Nate Sloan.
And I'm songwriter Charlie Harding.
And on this week's episode of Switched On Pop,
we delve into a trilogy of new releases
from well-established freaks, Lady Gaga,
Tyler the Creator, and a long-awaited return, The Cure.
Listen to the musicology of freaky songs
on Switched On Pop, presented by Nissan.