The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Office Hours: Change & Volatility Favor the Young, Investing in Art, And Why David Solomon’s DJing Hobby Is a Good Thing
Episode Date: April 5, 2023Scott gives advice to a listener working at a struggling regional bank. He then discusses whether art is a good investment and wraps up with his thoughts on David Solomon’s DJing hobby and the benef...its of having interests outside of work. Music: https://www.davidcuttermusic.com / @dcuttermusic Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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ConstantContact.ca Welcome to the PropG Pod's Office Hours.
This is the part of the show where we answer your questions about business, big tech, entrepreneurship, and whatever else is on your mind.
If you'd like to submit a question, please email a voice recording to officehours at propgmedia.com.
Again, that's officehours at propgmedia.com. I have not seen these questions. First question.
Hi, Prof G. I'll stay anonymous for obvious reasons. I'm 26, working in San Francisco at
a struggling regional bank. I think management will make something happen before we go bust or
get taken over by the FDIC. Whatever happens, heads will roll,
and there's not much I can do about it.
I spent close to two years working on a very complex
and differentiated product.
I've built great relationships here,
and the work I do is very niche and professionally enriching.
Management hasn't always been the best,
but I definitely saw myself working here
for a few more years.
I've also been studying to take the CFA level 2 exam
this May and was considering pivoting to a different role internally. This sequence of
events has obviously changed my outlook for the immediate future. Do you have any advice for
someone in my situation? Should I stay put and let things play out, hoping my specific role and
department survive in the event of an acquisition? Or is it time for me to
get the hell out of Dodge? I definitely want to continue working in finance, but I can't help but
see myself being eternally scarred by the situation and will be weary of taking on another role in
banking. Any advice will be welcome. Thanks. Thanks for the question, Anonymous. I would
imagine a lot of people at banks, specifically regional banks or niche banks, are asking themselves the same question. My advice would be the following. This is what you do. Nothing. What do I mean by that? Stay the course. Don't change a thing. We have a tendency as humans to overestimate or to overdramatize situations in the present. And let's look at what you have. It sounds like you
have a good job. It sounds like you're getting skills. It sounds like you're on the right path
towards a CFA. You're getting credentialing, which is really important in our society. And yeah,
there's some things you don't love about the company. That's called work. But it sounds like
they appreciate you. You're working on a cool product. And here's what will likely happen.
If the bank is fine, you keep on jamming. If the bank
is not fine and it gets taken over by the FDIC, the bank will get sold. These companies have assets,
they have deposits, they have products, they have relationships, and it gets sold to a bigger bank.
They almost never just put a padlock on the door. And guess what? One of those assets that will be
sold is you, specifically your skills. So I would be shocked, even if the bank
failed and was sold, that you were laid off. I think yours probably, if I had to bet, and I don't
know the specifics of the situation in the bank, I would bet that you're kind of in a similar
position three or six months from now doing what you're doing right now, distinctive what happens. Also, there is change and opportunity in tumult.
Disruption, you sound like a young man,
disruption is especially advantageous to young people
because they can move, they're more adaptive.
They can say, oh, okay, I got a new opportunity
with the bank that bought us,
it's headquartered in Charlotte,
I'm gonna move to Charlotte and take a better or bigger job. Or a bunch of my senior managers have decided to use this as an
excuse to retire or will just want out, don't want to incur any more of this bullshit, or quite
frankly, are held responsible for some of the bad decisions around risk management. Again, I don't
know the specifics. And there is opportunity to move up. When we try and suppress volatility to
an unhealthy extent, when we bail out everyone as we did in the pandemic, it robs young people
of opportunity. An example, when you bail out the baby boomer who owns a restaurant, all you're
doing is robbing opportunity from the recent graduate of the Brooklyn Culinary Academy who
would like to buy that restaurant space or rent it and buy the supplies for 30 cents on the dollar.
All the businesses I've started that have done well
have been started in recessions
where everything was cheap
because the market let the economy drop.
The reason I am financially secure
or what started an upward spiral in my financial security
is in 2008, as I was coming
into my prime income earning years,
I was able to buy Apple and Amazon stock at about 3% of where it's trading now. Literally,
these stocks have gone up 30x, whereas now we decided to bail out everyone so pop-up banana
can stay rich. You want change. Change and a certain amount of volatility is good for you.
And this feeling that you've been scarred, come on, boss. Come on, man.
This is a blister, and that blister is going to heal over, and it's going to be stronger. This
is a learning experience. This is interesting. My first week, I started at Morgan Stanley,
I think in September of 1987. And literally, I don't know, two or three weeks later was what
they called it Black Friday.
And they said, all the analysts should go down to the trading floor. And the trading floor
was just mayhem. I think the Dow went from, I don't know what it was, 1,400 to 900. This is
a long time ago. It was 1987. And basically, we were all convinced that we were all going to be
fired the next day and Morgan Stanley was out of business. And guess what? That didn't happen.
And a lot of people lost a lot of money,
but at the end of the day, we were all fine. Just as I think you're going to be fine,
just as I think you want to stick around and see what kind of opportunity awaits for you, just as you want to learn from this, but not be overly dramatic about this. There is a decent
chance this might be good for you. There is a very good chance it's going to be neutral for you.
And sure, there's a chance it'll be negative for you, but stay the course. You are doing the right
things. You're obviously smart. You're young. You're in a good position. And change and a certain
amount of volatility favors the young. And what I always say and what always gives me comfort,
I always remember this. I keep it in my back pocket or the front of my head. Nothing is ever as good or as bad as it seems. All the things you are feeling right now, keep in mind, it's not as bad as it seems. Thanks for the question and best of luck.
Question number two. and graphic designer for a digital marketing company. I'm curious to hear what you think about collecting fine art as an investment.
As someone who studied design, I deeply value art from a personal level,
but do you think there is a rational place for collecting and investing in physical art?
And do you personally ever make investments in art,
or do you purchase it simply for your own pleasure?
Or is fine art even an interest of yours at all?
At this point, I have a fairly diverse portfolio outside of the art space and feel like I would enjoy starting to collect more pieces when possible.
But as art is so subjective, I wonder if I should be viewing fine art as an overall sunk cost,
other than the obvious pleasure of viewing it daily, which in my opinion,
has a very high emotional return. Thanks so much for taking my question. I love the pod.
Sarah from Seattle. So this is sort of the mother of all problems. Should I buy and collect art? So
art represents a massive asset class. According to the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst,
the CAIA, the art market has about $60 billion in annual transaction volume,
along with an estimated global value of, get this, $1.7 trillion. So this is a huge asset class. Contemporary art,
which I think its definition is art post-1945, has displayed positive historical price appreciation
between 1995 and 2020. Contemporary art has outperformed the S&P 500. I read regularly that
the best performing asset class of the last several decades has been art. In 2020, when
in-person auctions were canceled,
the contemporary art market appreciated by, get this, 15%. It's obviously a great hedge against inflation, and you also get more psychic return than if you own treasury bills. Now, I don't own,
I should say, I own, I think, two pieces of art, and it's more of a personal thing.
I've always felt self-conscious about
buying certain things. I feel as if I'm trying to pretend to be someone I'm not. I grew up
kind of upper, lower, middle class. I order beer. I never order wine. It's wasted on me.
I find it uncomfortable when people order really expensive wine. I understand if they appreciate
it, that's their right. I just find it, I don't know, uncomfortable if you're at dinner and someone orders, you know, a $3,000 bottle of wine. I'm just, I feel as if I'm trying to, we're trying to pretend we as if it would be me trying to be something I'm not. I find a lot of my friends who, when they hit it big, decide they're going to buy art.
Having said that, it's a great asset class. It just is a great asset class. And if you get
emotional reward from it, history shows if you know what you're doing and you buy right,
it's a fantastic asset class. So, you know, word, my sister,
you know, in terms of if you have the money and you get the opportunity to buy smart and it gives
you psychic income, word, my sister, buy art. We have one quick break before our final question.
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Welcome back. Question number three. Dear Prof G, I get the notion of optics and the recent
broad criticism of David Solomon's DJing hobby, distracting from his day job when times are tough.
But I would assert based on my own experience and other professionals whom I look up with ideas that translate into our professional lives and feed our souls, allowing us to recharge for the next day.
Curious to hear your thoughts on this idea of outside interests playing a part in professional success? Thanks. It's an interesting question. And so,
I have a bias here. I work with Goldman Sachs, and I know David Solomon, and I like him. I find
that there's a cartoon of these investment banking CEOs, whether it's Jamie Dimon or David Solomon,
or I don't know who the other heads are. I know Jamie a little bit. I wouldn't describe us as
friends. I think he's a very impressive man who's very thoughtful and concerned with other people and a great leader. I think David Solomon is a good man. As a matter of fact, I have a story
about David Solomon and it relates to his DJing about, I don't know, what was it, three or four
years ago when all the WeWork shit was going down, I got a copy of the S1 in anticipation of their
IPO. And I read the thing and I was in Nantucket with my family. And within two pages
of reading this thing, I went out and said to my family, I can't go to the beach today. I got to
stay home and write about this. This thing is so ridiculous. And I wrote up a thing. It was probably
like there's certain moments in your career that kind of take you, step change you to the next
level. And this is one of them. I wrote a post called, We What The Fuck,
basically just tearing apart how ridiculous
this S1 and this company was.
And one of the things I wrote
was that the company's taking them public.
I think we're JP Morgan and Goldman.
And I said very snarkily that DJ Soul,
which is David Solomon's DJ name,
is a terrible DJ and a worse fiduciary
for agreeing to take this bag of shit public.
And it was a good line. And I heard from the head of comms at Goldman, who was some former,
as you would imagine, Obama administration PR person saying, David would like to meet.
And generally speaking, I don't meet, I try not to, I turn down a lot of meetings. I know this sounds like self-important with powerful people because I've spent the last 20 years of my life running my brain to kind of powerful white guys.
And it was a really good living.
And I'm just kind of done with it.
And I want to focus on media.
I want to focus on meeting with young people.
And so I said to this guy, no, I'm not interested in meeting with David.
And also I find that I become biased when I meet with people. And that is I meet with them. I like them. Generally speaking,
leaders are very likable. That's how they became leaders. And I stopped speaking or writing my
mind. Anyways, freaking David Solomon calls me or texts me and says, I live around the corner from
you. Let's grab coffee. You're not going to be rude. So we go to breakfast. And by the end of breakfast,
no joke, I had decided to transfer all of my assets to Goldman Sachs. I was so impressed with this guy and thought he was so nice and so sort of thoughtful and level-headed. I'm like,
okay, I'm transferring all my assets. And now Goldman manages my money. Anyways, and also,
I found them to be just really good people and they attract great human capital. All right,
where am I going with this? The fact that he's a DJ, he's gotten a lot of shit for it. And not
only that, he'll get even more shit for it. They'll start deciding that it's a distraction
when the bank doesn't do well. On a risk-adjusted basis, it is probably not a good idea for DJ
Soul or for David Solomon to be DJ Soul while he's the CEO of a global investment bank.
Having said that, I think it's a creative and I think it's a smart thing for David Solomon.
And that is, I think when he's towards the end of his life and he's hanging out with his grandkids,
I think his grandkids and he are going to be glad that while he was the CEO of Goldman Sachs, he was a DJ. It just, that kind
of behavior, that kind of activity, that kind of differentiation, that is the spice of life. That's
what makes people individuals. So, on a risk-adjusted basis, in terms of overall professional
demeanor or his status or creating soft tissue that people are going to press on if Goldman
has a bad quarter,
yeah, it's probably not a good idea. But it's a good idea as it relates to David Solomon,
his life, his legacy, and just the kind of person he wants to be and the kind of life he wants to
lead. Hobbies, self-actualization, living out loud, those are the people we admire most. People
who say, this is who I am. I'm going to be who I am. I'm going to enjoy what I enjoy. And as long as it doesn't hurt anyone else, I don't really give a shit.
Or I'm willing to endure some pain and some judgment and some stereotypes because this is
how I want to lead my life. And so I'm a big fan of this. I think it's good for him. Good for him,
DJ Soul. That's all for this. Good for him, DJ Soul.
That's all for this episode.
If you'd like to submit a question,
please email a voice recording to officehoursatpropertymedia.com.
Again, that's officehoursatpropertymedia.com.
This episode was produced by Caroline Shagrin. Jennifer Sanchez is our associate producer Thank you. for No Mercy, No Malice, as read by George Hahn, and on Monday with our weekly markets show. tools we use to do it. So what is enterprise software anyway? What is productivity software?
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