The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Raging Moderates: The 2028 Democratic Bench for President (ft. James Carville)

Episode Date: August 6, 2025

How can Democrats message against Trump in the midterm elections? Jessica is joined by veteran political strategist James Carville to talk about the future direction of the party, process the several ...different things that went wrong in 2024, and lay out what the Blue Team should do to win races in 2026 and 2028. Plus — the Ragin’ Cajun gives his three-point plan for how to win any election, his problems with identity politics, and his inside take on what the Harris campaign was really up against. Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov.  Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Raging Moderates, @RagingModeratesPod. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:06 their impeccably designed pieces and perhaps even order yourself some free swatches. That's S-I-X-P-E-N-N-Y.com slash Prop G. In the U.S., there are tons of ways to get where you're trying to go. Unless you're talking about taking the train. What's the state of high-speed rail here in the U.S.? Non-existence and terrible. That's this week on Explain It to Me. New episodes every Sunday, wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Jessica Tarlov. Scott's off for the month of of August, but don't worry, we've got an incredible lineup of guests filling in. And to kick off
Starting point is 00:02:04 Scott Free August, we're starting strong with the one and only, Rajin Cajun himself. Welcome to the show, James Carville. It's so great to have you here. Well, thank you. I'm glad to be here. Yeah, I'm so glad we could work this out. And I'm just going to get into it. We are going to be talking about Kamala's return to the spotlight, Trump's promises made, promises broken, and the Sydney Sweeney saga, which I'm going to try to make you interested in it from a culture war angle. Just Democrats thought we could turn the page on 2024, the past is back in the spotlight. Kamala Harris is promoting a book about her short-lived presidential run and prepping for the midterms. Joe Biden is back on the speech circuit and Hunter Biden is stirring controversy on podcasts. As the party looks for fresh leadership,
Starting point is 00:02:45 its most familiar faces keep stepping forward, complicating our reset. Meanwhile, in Texas, Republicans are escalating a redistricting battle with national implications. Governor Greg Abbott is threatening to remove Democratic lawmakers who fled the state to block Trump-backed maps that could give Republicans five more House seats. James, how do you think we should be handling the map wars? Well, it's really unfortunate, and I guess I'm like anybody else. Well, if you're going to do this, which is a highly unusual thing in the middle of a decade, we have to do it also. I mean, it's going to end in a pretty unfortunate place. but I don't know if there's any other answer to it, honestly, Jessica, I'm open to any other
Starting point is 00:03:33 suggestion. I think this is a really counterproductive use at a legislative time, but what else can you do? Yeah, I mean, I tend to agree with you. And I mean, that's a new position, I guess, for me a few weeks ago I would have said, you know, you should wait for the census to come out, and we all should have voted to, you know, ban partisan gerrymandering, which is what Democrats supported in 2021. I'm, I guess. guess a little bit worried that we can't win this one. Like, Governor Newsom can add five seats in California, and that's what the plan looks like as of now. But Kathy Hochle in New York is saying that she wants to get involved, but can't do anything until 2027. So do you feel like this is going
Starting point is 00:04:14 to be what shifts the midterms potentially back to the Republicans? Well, I think we're going to win by more than five seats. Okay. Okay. I mean, I'm pretty— You're feeling good? Yeah, it's really hard to imagine that the Democrats don't win the House back. I mean, even if they gerrymander five more seats, I don't think that's going to be deterrent. But look, I thought Harrison went in 2024, so you'd have every right to be skeptical. But I don't see Democrats losing anywhere, not in the election, not any poll, not any anything. Wow. I mean, I don't know if you could argue whether it's the strength in a Democratic Party.
Starting point is 00:04:57 probably be skeptical of that. But this is the, let me have to forget, this is the most unpopular administration at this point in history that there is. The big, beautiful bill is the most unpopular piece of legislation that I can remember. I mean, this thing is severely underwar. And it's just such a golden thing for Democrats to run on. Every time they get away from it, I get a little mift of something like that. You got right in front. front of you. You can talk about the issues. And there's 10 things in there that are just utterly horrific. But you see these town halls? I mean, I look at these things very closely. They might be some Democratic plants in there, but not very many. And the kind of questions they ask are not
Starting point is 00:05:46 questions that a Democratic operative would put in somebody's head. You know, they asked about detaining people and, you know, ICE agents wearing masks. You know, I would have said, you know, ask about rural hospitals. I ask about this. I mean, last night in Nebraska, you know, I'm sure Lincoln, there's a lot of Democrats in Lincoln's University of Nebraska, but a lot of stuff is organic, man. It's just people are rebelling against this, and they're going to keep going as long as they keep holding these town and all. The leadership told him not to. This guy thought he was going to hold something off. Mike Flood. Yeah, it didn't work very well for us. Yeah, I mean, I guess a little of a hat tip to him for actually showing up to do it, because
Starting point is 00:06:26 Because he knew what was going to happen, whether there were some plants who showed up or just his regular constituents. Maybe he knew. Maybe he was just used to being in that Nebraska district and, you know, having everybody agree with it. I don't know who the state of mind was. So many have not shown up, though. So I'm glad that they did. And mostly because we got the footage of people talking about it. And there were such a range of issues, you know, from the Epstein stuff to health care to alligator, Alcatraz and what's going on with ICE.
Starting point is 00:06:56 But I guess I have a little bit of PTSD from 2024 when Donald Trump was historically unpopular as an individual. And, you know, we felt good for 40 of the 107 days that Kamala ran. So I blame 2024 almost exclusively on Democrats. Now, why don't do that? Because it was evident two years, a year and a half, before the election, people A, did not want President Biden to run. free election, and B, they wanted a change in direction. He didn't decide until July 21st. We now know that Harris was under orders from the president, not to say that she would do
Starting point is 00:07:41 anything different. We managed to pull this off. We gave Democrats no say so, and who their nominee would be, or the direction their party would go in. And then we said on the biggest issue that the country was looking for changes, acknowledge and we can't argue with people if they want something different, you just give them something different. And there were a thousand things that she could have done, and she did none of it. And I don't have a problem of writing a book. I think in my memory, most every defeated
Starting point is 00:08:13 presidential candidate goes out and writes a book. I know he already wrote her book, I think, and, you know, Mitt Romney or whoever. But it's clear this party wants to move on now. So, 2024 is just something that Democrats don't want to think about, talk about, relive. They're ready to take the next step. And that's clear. It clears a bell. Yeah. No, I definitely feel that way.
Starting point is 00:08:37 I live in New York City, and we just had our, I guess, over a month ago, but it feels recent, our mayoral primary, where a lot of people wanted to move on with Zoran, Mom, Donnie. And I was curious if you could talk about, I mean, this is really going backwards, but how any of the lessons. of the 90s and the Clinton era relates to today, because as someone whose politics are more moderate and Scott, who is on vacation, but we co-host together. I'm probably more liberal than you are. I'm not on the progressive side, but I don't, nomenclature is not what's important yet. Go back to 92. There were three things, three things. Change versus more to say. That's our message. It's never going out of fashion. All right, somebody a couple three weeks ago, asked me, James, was new in American politics.
Starting point is 00:09:29 I said nothing, and nothing will ever be new. You either like what you got or you want something different. Then the economy's stupid, of course, that drives, you know, how many economic reactions there's a human being having a day. You know, figure it out, I couldn't count that high. And then don't forget health care. But why don't we have to change? But just run on that. And it's all contained in the big, bad bill.
Starting point is 00:09:58 If somebody gives you something, well, take it. And they're giving us a simple teed-up message. Let's just deliver it. We don't need a lot of who hide and this and that and running around. Just talk about what's in there. We need to change this. It's putting, you know, fat cats over ordinary working people. was putting people I'd already have it made and hurting people who are trying to make it.
Starting point is 00:10:25 I mean, you could just give a thousand iterations of the same message. We don't need anything new. Keep those three things. Okay, well, what do we do about all the stuff that keeps popping up then? I mean, we have this moment, right? We have Democrats on the proverbial lamb right there in Illinois and New York because of the redistricting. That's eating up the cycle. You have Epstein.
Starting point is 00:10:49 Well, the redistricting itself is unfortunately, and I won't have any other choice. And, I mean, I think at some point, people have a basic sense of fairness. I don't think this, I'd see any polling on it, but I don't think this Texas move is going to be very popular. Well, it's definitely not. Democrats are totally where you are that, you know, they say just fight fire with fire. Mitch McConnell did this to us. We would rather not do this, but as long as there's a three-point line, we're going to shoot three-pointers. I would much prefer to talk about how we can get wages out.
Starting point is 00:11:22 I would much prefer to talk about how we can make rural health care about it and improve rural hospitals. But unfortunately, I have to deal with this in the meantime. I mean, do it, but don't act like there are other things that you would rather be doing and that they're almost forcing you to do this. It's just in the element of basic fairness. I mean, the Epstein stuff, it doesn't take a lot. to keep it going. There's questions everywhere. Can't we finally get some answers? All we get
Starting point is 00:11:52 is stonewalling and prison transfers and the house going out of session so they couldn't subpoena the records. There's so much we don't know. Why don't we get some answers out of here? Let's ask them. And then, you know, if this is a giant distraction and go back to your message. But it's kind of hard to tell people, don't talk about a guy who either hung himself or was hung in a jail cell, and you had underage women all over the place and you had a British socialite in the middle of it and God knows everything. I mean, how do you not talk about that?
Starting point is 00:12:26 You can't. No, it's definitely made-for-TV kind of stuff. Yeah, yeah. It's easy to understand. And it fits on what a lot of people, a lot of people on the right, say, there's this giant cabal of coastal elites that are harvesting these young females.
Starting point is 00:12:43 You gotta give them credit to two-thirds right. They got the coastal elite wrong. There was a bunch of coastal elites, international coastal elites, I guess I'd call them, who were grooming and harvesting young women. Yeah. That's true. It wasn't being done in Comet Pizza. With Hillary standing at the front of the store.
Starting point is 00:13:07 Yeah, yeah. You got the wrong guy, your own person. Do you feel like, I understand that the tide would be going in our direction? And historically, that's just what's going to. happen anyway with midterms. But we've spent a lot of time thinking about the way that we message and who the right messengers are. And if you're on social media and whether your videos look good and are you using the right font and filter, how are you feeling about the way that I guess the Democrats are presenting because our approval rating is absolutely abysmal. I happen to think it's
Starting point is 00:13:40 because we're not fighting hard enough. It's not because people actually hate the party or think that we don't stand for the right thing. So people belong to a political party because they want to win elections. That's what a political party is supposed to do. We lost. People are not happy. I don't have a positive image of the Democratic Party. Okay.
Starting point is 00:14:02 The title of my documentary is winning is everything, stupid. You didn't win. Period. Okay. Indicates. I don't think people are prepared for what's getting ready to happen in Virginia. It's one thing to know that somebody's going to win an election and the other side knows they're going to lose. When the magnitude of this deceit is real, it's going to change a lot of things.
Starting point is 00:14:28 And the image of the Democratic Party will go up sunk because they'll watch Spanberger and I'll watch Cheryl on election night and they'll go, yeah, we win it. Great. Go team go. then this is why I am a real kind of optimist going forward if we get to forward. This is the most talented potential growth of presidential candidates in the history of American politics. I understand not in this century, not compared to this. If I took the talent level of all of the potential candidates, and I think a lot of them are going to run, I said, man, run, get out there.
Starting point is 00:15:08 And when people see, and Democrat see, you mean, we got somebody that can string a sentence together? I didn't know that. We got somebody that can frame a thought. Gee, whiz, look at this. Come see, Martha. Look at this guy. But look at her. And look at that.
Starting point is 00:15:23 Then you're going to see something. But it takes a little trust and a little forward-thinking and say, well, we're going to win in Virginia, New Jersey. We are. We are going to win in 2026. We will. I think the Senate is more in plate, and most people do, but it's a reasonable thing to assume we can't win to set it back. And I think the talent level in our party, at the potential presidential level, is as high as it's been in American history. I love that.
Starting point is 00:15:52 And it's one thing to say it. It's another thing to see it. We all know who they are, who they potentially are. And the other thing that 2028 will do is it'll settle. And, you know, people say, Mandani, the party needs to be more progressive. You know, there are more people that live in New Jersey and Virginia. They live in New York City. Now, you wouldn't have to know that, but there are.
Starting point is 00:16:15 And the primary voters are going to decide the direction of the party, and that's the way it should be. And they're going to have a healthy array of candidates to pick where they want to go in the direction and the person they want. And I think they're going to do it very wisely. I'm very convinced to that. So you don't feel like we're in the midst of, and I know in your op-ed, you said this is a civilized civil war, but we have to delay it. So can you expound on that a bit more for me? Because it's hard, I mean, maybe just because I work in TV and everything feels immediate. And you get asked questions like this constantly. Like, what is Mamdani mean for the future of the party? What is AOC getting more small dollar donations than any other candidate? And it's all over the state, right?
Starting point is 00:17:03 There are people in Buffalo that like AOC and people in Queens that like AOC. And I think that does say something about where the party is. Well, and there's younger, more progressive people that turn. The old people need to get out of the way. The future is now. Good. Run. And if you get the authority of winning the nomination behind you, then you've made your point.
Starting point is 00:17:28 But I don't really count how many people you get in Idaho. Or how many overnight contributions you get? I mean, it's a sign of energy. It's a sign that people are there. But, you know, Jessica, the Democratic Party has never nominated the most left candidate in a race. I don't think it's going to happen. Now, most people don't know the process for selecting a Democratic presidential candidate. Let me explain it to you in two words, southern blacks.
Starting point is 00:18:03 Okay. That's where, that, when, you know, we had lost New Hampshire, okay, we didn't run in Iowa. Other people had lost Biden. He wasn't even scratching. He didn't Nevada, New Hampshire, whatever. And then one day, Jim Clyburn dropped the hammock, and the whole process was over. He was it. Boom.
Starting point is 00:18:29 Okay. So you're going to see. I happened because of the situation, my birth and my politics and my region, I happened to know Southern Blacks better than most Caucasian consultants, and I got a news fight. They're not all that liberal. Yeah. Like Clark said, the most conservative person ever knew in my life was my daddy. They're going to come down and bring in a lot of that stuff in rural South Carolina,
Starting point is 00:18:58 Georgia, the Mississippi Delta, and no things can go over that big. I really don't. There is a push within the party to try to change that level of influence, though. I mean, you still see everyone's showing up and wearing their Clyburn T-shirts, and Andy Bashir, you know, is out there. And I think really putting himself onto the main stage in a different way than when he was auditioning to be Kamala's VP back in the summer of 2024. So you see nothing's going to change. It's been Southern blacks, and it's going to continue to be Southern blacks. That's not going to change between now in 2020, and by the way, I don't want to change.
Starting point is 00:19:36 They do a very good job. Yeah. You get a very thoughtful job of voting, and I would think that Abilatag would be in a party to diminish the influence that Southern blacks have in Democratic primaries. I really don't. I'm satisfied with that. However you draw it up, somebody's going to have civil influence. Now, you know, Iowa, we don't even do that anymore.
Starting point is 00:20:00 more. Let's see what it happens in New Hampshire, but all roads lead through the south. On that note, we're going to take a quick break. Stay with us. Support for the show comes from Square. Square powers a lot of business that you probably frequent. Specifically, if you've ever tapped a pay, and it was fast and an easy transaction, chances are it was Square. It's a tool built for the way people actually run their businesses, whether you're selling baked goods, running a clinic, or giving music lessons, Square can help you out. It's one connected system to take payments, manage inventory, run payroll, and send invoices. You can track it all from one place, and it's not just a point of sale. Square includes hardware that works in person and on the go. Plus, software
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Starting point is 00:21:29 Locating the right people who align with your business and an audience that connects with your product and your mission can make all the difference, but instead of spending hours and hour scavenging social media feeds, you can just tap LinkedIn ads to reach the right professionals. According to LinkedIn, they have grown to a network of over a billion professionals, making it stand apart from other ad buys. You can target your buyers by job title, industry, company role, seniority, skills, and company revenue, giving you all of the professionals you need to reach in one place. So, you can stop wasting. budget on the wrong audience and start targeting the right professionals only on LinkedIn ads. LinkedIn will even give you a $100 credit on your next campaign so you can try it yourself. Just go to LinkedIn.com slash Scott. That's LinkedIn.com slash Scott. Terms and conditions apply only on LinkedIn ads. In 1961, President Kennedy's FCC chairman Newton Minow gave us. his speech deriding commercial TV programming. I can assure you that what you will observe is a vast wasteland.
Starting point is 00:22:37 He wanted to do something about it. Is there one person in this room who claims that broadcasting can't do better? So Congress created something called the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. He might not have realized when you were interacting with the CPB, but it happened all the time. When you were tickled by Elmo. Happy International Joke Day. When someone moved you on the drive home. This is fresh air.
Starting point is 00:22:59 gross. CPB is the reason you're hearing my voice right now. But due to big, beautiful cuts, the organization announced on Friday that it would be shutting down next year. What's taking its place? If you ask this White House, they might say something like Prager You. What is Prager You on Today Explained? Welcome back. Donald Trump loves to make big promises, but lately he's coming up short. He pledged to expand access to IVF after his Supreme Court picks helped over returned Roe v. Wade, but the White House now saying there's no plan to require insurance coverage or federal funding for fertility treatments. On immigration, Trump advisor Stephen Miller publicly set a target of 3,000 arrests per day, but in court, the DOJ denies the quota ever existed. And we've
Starting point is 00:23:46 already talked about this a little bit, but despite Trump's history with Jeffrey Epstein and public pressure for transparency, the long promise to Epstein files remain largely sealed. Galeen Maxwell is in a cushier prison as of now. And we're kind of asking what, how happens when the promises don't match the policy. Do you think, I mean, I know you had your three-point plan. It hasn't changed. I love that. It's consistent. It's easy. We're always asking people, like, just give us a three-point plan. And now we can say we have the Carville plan that has got us wins for decades. But do you give any stock to the idea that broken promises actually affects Trump's base? I wouldn't call it broken promises. Oh, okay.
Starting point is 00:24:27 Look, he told you that he was going to cut taxes on rich people. He cut taxes on rich people. He told you that he wanted Project 2025 on to dismantle the VA. They're dismantling the VA. They told you they wanted to close rural hospitals. They're closing rural hospitals. Argue that he's powerful and he's successful. Don't argue broken promises.
Starting point is 00:24:53 And by and large, they're doing what, me, Russell Boyd's most powerful person been in federal government for a long time. Now, the broken promise that said they'd be transparent to everything about that. You know, he could always throw something in.
Starting point is 00:25:08 But I wouldn't argue broken promises. I'd argue bad results, really bad. Is that, in that op-ed that I cited earlier, you said, we have to go out there and say we want to repeal absolutely every piece. Absolutely. That's the way forward. Yes.
Starting point is 00:25:24 I mean, look at the horror of it. Now, it's, $4.1 trillion in debt. They just recalculated it. And I'm sorry, you know, you never want to, like, predict economic times, bad, good, but Trump's numbers on the economy are terrible, as always, numbers on cost of living. It's another thing I'm saying. Never use word inflation.
Starting point is 00:25:46 Always talk about cost of living, always. Yeah. Would have been nice if we talked about that in 2024, I guess. And she could have said, you know, we're going to do the following things, because we know that families, instead of saying it's not what you think it is, we've actually created X number of jobs, we could have just given people something to cling on that, hey, I see something going on out there, I'm going to change something to meet the moment. If we'd have had an open process, we'd have gotten 53% in 2024.
Starting point is 00:26:16 We'd force that result on ourselves. Do you have any insight into what actually happened within the Biden camp, which obviously seemed to be very, very insular. And then going back to what I brought up before, you know, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are showing up again at a moment where we feel like we need to shed skin, right? That we need to become something new. And it's a reminder that people did feel betrayed by the Democratic Party and that they were looking to us to save them essentially from having to go back to Donald Trump. and to your point that we kind of force them into his bucket again? So I think I know what happened.
Starting point is 00:27:01 When presidents get elected, they have a culture around it. So the Clinton culture was one way. The Obama people were different. The Biden and Biden's inner circle was we won this. We beat Donald Trump. No one else could do this. We let this country out of the pandemic into, you know, out of a lot of areas, unprecedented prosperity. And we never get any respect. The Clinton people think they reinvented
Starting point is 00:27:29 the goddamn wheel. Although Obama people are arrogant and they didn't return my phone calls when I was vice president. And, you know, because we Irish guys and grew up in Scranton and I think Mike grew up in Providence, you know, the hell with all these people, you know, they always tell us what we can't do. You know, we don't get the elite media and give us the credit that we deserve and we're going to run, God damn it, and just get out of the way. I think that was a big part of the mentality
Starting point is 00:28:04 of the President Biden and the people around here. And then, of course, we know for a fact that there were all these elaborate mechanisms you had to go through to even get something in front of President Biden. You are not allowed to talk to them about it. I'm pretty sure that's a large part of what happened. And then when it was just inevitable that they couldn't go out,
Starting point is 00:28:28 they told her, if we know this, for a fact, where you can't do anything different, we did. You keep the same campaign manager, the same headquarters, the same artwork on the wall, the same phone number, and don't say you're going to do anything different. It's like, well, I was designed it. We had to do five really stupid things to lose, and we probably did all five.
Starting point is 00:28:51 For 2016, there was a moment that you could isolate on the chart, the Comey letter, right, where Hillary was going to lose 11 days out and the interview on The View, where Kamala came on and they asked her, What do you think would be the biggest specific difference between your presidency and a Bidency, a Biden presidency? Well, we're obviously two different people, and we have a lot of shared life. experiences, for example, the way we feel about our family and our parents and so on. But we're also different people. And I will bring those sensibilities to how I lead.
Starting point is 00:29:31 And she was there to roll out a policy that was distinct from the Biden administration for people who received Medicaid that you could get care in home for your parents. She wanted to talk about the sandwich generation. It was a good policy, right? And now that we're talking about health care, it would have been even better. And she just, I guess, wasn't allowed to do it in And then I thought that she did a great job with the hand that she was dealt, more or less. She wasn't dealt with a straitjacket. You can run, but this is what you got to say. That moment, I think the people on the video, I know I read this, like a gas that she gave that answer.
Starting point is 00:30:04 Would you have done something differently than President Biden during the past four years? There is not a thing that comes to mind in terms of. You didn't have to be an experienced political objective to know, oh God, she didn't. just say that, did she? Yeah, she did. Yeah, and I work in conservative media. So they're always playing, you know, tape of the word salads and her being embarrassing or whatever. But, you know, it was about Donald Trump, the election, just with everything. He's larger than life. He eats up all the air in the room. And we didn't do good enough, I guess, in differentiating from the past. We didn't forget. This was a change election.
Starting point is 00:30:48 and we decided that we weren't not going to give them that, and we almost won. Yeah. Think of if she just said, what policy of doing. So, you know, every president of Bible
Starting point is 00:30:59 was different President Clinton, who was different President Carter. And these are three things that I want to do going forward. Anything like that. And then you get, well, did you and the president have to disagree?
Starting point is 00:31:13 And you can say, look, my counsel to him is my counsel to him. Not people, but I want to talk about what I'm going to do differently. You could do anything like that. Just throw any little seed to somebody
Starting point is 00:31:24 and they'd have glimmed on to it. But didn't even give them that. Do you think that the Biden team really would have been vengeful about that? Because now they're floating this notion that they're going to reveal embarrassing stories about her if she comes out against him.
Starting point is 00:31:38 But in your experience, like, do you think they really would have come after her? Because that, his legacy is, I don't want to say ruined, but certainly Tarnet. by what happened, and she was the one who could have saved it. If Biden gets out in September of 2023, the Democrats win, plain and simple.
Starting point is 00:32:00 President Biden would justify to be going around a country cutting ribbons at airports and overpasses and highways, and he would be going to Europe like Grant did, and whoever the modern Bismarck is, he would be visiting it. The University of Pennsylvania and Biden Center would have some would be swimming in contributions. Understand that. And he would have earned every bit of it. He's one of the most accomplished politicians in my lifetime. But one decision.
Starting point is 00:32:33 And now nobody really wants to hear from him. And the last thing that the Democrats want to do today is revisit 2024. It was a nightmare. It's over. Turn the page. It's that simple. This is not an argument that Democrats want to have right now. Do you think that means that the old guard in general needs to get out of the way as well, or this is a particular Biden-Harris problem? I don't mean, I think the voters, first of all, being part of the old guard myself, will get out of the way pretty fast. to worry about it. If you're talking about New York City, by the way,
Starting point is 00:33:17 Maddie really talked about the economy. That was his whole kind of thing. He's a pretty good interviewer. I've got to tell you, he doesn't get out of his kind of cost of limit on you, but how hard, how difficult life is in the city. So why do you automatically assume that Mandani
Starting point is 00:33:32 is the future of something, but Spanberger and Cheryl are not part of the future? I understand. It's a very coastal, it's a very New York-centric view, but I'm not sure that that's the correct view. But they will be a person from that wing of the coalition that's going to run in 2028. And I think it's necessary that they do so these Democratic primary voters can weigh in on a direction they want their party to go in. Yeah, I agree with you. I also think that it'll probably be a governor who ends up being the
Starting point is 00:34:09 candidate. I think people will be, you know, looking for executive experience and the kind of deliverables that you just can't get in the same way if you're in the Senate or you're in Congress. And I'm excited about it. You know, your line, unsurprisingly, is better than mine, but our bench is very, very deep. Don't underestimate the Senate talent, Democratic talent. Okay. I don't get into thought picking and choosing here, but does anybody really think that Rueen Geiger is not going to be on the ticket by 2032? No. Okay? I mean, Chris Murphy is a really talented guy.
Starting point is 00:34:45 Warnock is one of the better communicators I've ever seen. Of course, there's no quite talent in governors, but there's a lot of Democratic talent in the Senate. And the point I'm trying to get across here is the cavalry is coming. Okay, it's coming. It can't get here. As I said in the piece, right now we're just all about being against a big, beautiful bill. There's no person in a Democratic coalition that doesn't detest the big beautiful
Starting point is 00:35:14 bill. It unites every Democrat. And now come the 2028 cycle, then we flush it out, but not until then. Okay. Hold our powder until then. One thing, it's an extension of the bill, because there was tons of funding in it, obviously for ICE, which now has a bigger budget than the IDF, which feels extreme to me. I think immigration will still be a major flashpoint in the conversation. It's the economy stupid, but there are a lot of people who certainly have not forgiven Democrats for how terribly immigration was mismanaged under the Biden administration until the last year, let's say, and haven't seen a thoughtful plan for how we would be managing the border and our asylum system. How do you think that we can do a better job of that? Are there any folks
Starting point is 00:36:05 who you feel like are doing a decent job in speaking to this. And I'm not saying, to me, it's not enough to just say, you know, we made a mistake. We have to be for strong border security and a humane process. Like, there has to be something more for people that really care about immigration. Like there was in the 90s, like Obama, like Hillary ran on as well. So you're right. The first part of the Biden administration was a disaster. And the reason is he listened to those lefties. Okay. Bernie Sanders, in 2000, 2016 was calling for open borders, okay? That's what they were basically advocating,
Starting point is 00:36:41 and it turned into a policy disaster. By the end of the Biden term, the border was perfectly fine. Now, that's not the greatest thing to argue. The question then becomes, when you talk about immigration policy, we'll talk about the southern border, what about the 14 million people out of here?
Starting point is 00:37:02 You could just come over and say, you know what, we're going to have a point, So somebody's been in this country for 35 years, held the same job, raised three kids, they've all gone to college. That person gets 10 points. Somebody's here for three months and they've committed three crimes to get no points. And what we need to have is acknowledging people here. We don't need to be raiding Home Depot and rating this.
Starting point is 00:37:29 Not every person that is in this country that is not. not documented is the same. We absolutely need a healthy immigration policy, and we need to deal with the people that are already here, period, end the case. There's people going to, oh, it's not flushed out enough. What are you going to do about this? And say, look, my policy is this. We like immigration. We like immigrants. We're going to have an orderly process to get in the table, and we're going to have an orderly process with the people that are already here. People like immigrants. They don't like disorder.
Starting point is 00:38:07 You got to understand that. If you put immigrants, you have a favorable, unfavorable, unfavorable immigrants, it'd be two to one favorable. Yeah. I want to have immigration. I want to deal with it that's here. They want to get rid of it all. And we can't do that. We don't want to.
Starting point is 00:38:21 It's not in our interest. And you can see his numbers on immigration are now, not that good, actually. No. Then they're going south because what he's given is actually some level more disorder. Yeah, well, there's a frenziedness to how this is happening. But just tell people we want immigration and they want order. And there's no reason that we cannot have both. I feel like we would have gotten a lot of goodwill if the Blue City mayors had played ball
Starting point is 00:38:53 and handed over criminals basically to begin. And then Stephen Miller and Trump would have looked even worse, even more quickly, frankly. People are not going to school, just scared, even people out of here legally. I'm my housekeeper, make her tape a passport to a rake. Because if she got to go back to Guatemala, I'm going with her. The clown in Nebraska was saying, in 28-year-old, who doesn't work, we're just going to give him health care, okay, to course audience.
Starting point is 00:39:28 And even like that. If a 28-year-old is here illegally, the last place sick, were you ever 28? Yeah. You never thought about getting sick. The last place you're going to be is in the emergency route. All right. And particularly, if you're not here legally, shit, you'd die a heart attack for you, though. Yeah, it's a good point.
Starting point is 00:39:51 But they have to smoke screen it. And they have to talk about the five able-bodied people that are on Medicaid that could be at work. They tried it in Arkansas. It was a disaster. The problem with Medicaid and health care costs is not 28-year-olds. I mean, some of their arguments, if you think about it just beyond the argument they're making, it's really stupid. I'm always astounded by it, and I think, am I hearing the same thing other people are hearing? But we need to take one more quick break.
Starting point is 00:40:20 Stay with us. Get groceries delivered to your door from No Frails with PC Express. Shop online and get $15 in PC optimum points on your first five orders. Shop now at nofrails.ca. This week on Criminal, in 2008, detectives from the Minnesota Police Department were called to investigate a drive-by shooting. Everything they did was recorded by a camera crew for a TV show. Those camera people are allowed to ride around in police vehicles.
Starting point is 00:40:57 They're allowed to be on the same. scene of crime scenes that are very active, that, you know, things have just happened. People have just died. Years later, the Attorney General's office would say the TV show had completely misrepresented the case. Listen to our latest episode on Criminal, wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome back before we go. I wanted to talk to you a little bit about the culture wars. I don't know if you've been paying attention to this viral American Eagle. campaign starring actress Sidney Sweeney. It sparked days of online debate with some critics as saying it hints at eugenics. Trump called it the hottest ad out there once he found out that
Starting point is 00:41:38 Sidney was a registered Republican in Florida, and then he's going after what he sees as woke brands like Jaguar and taking another jab at Taylor Swift. I know in the wake of the 2024 election that you wait in a lot on the woke issues, right, how the Democratic Party stopped talking like normal human beings and was spending too much time paying attention to a very tiny percentage of the population. Do you think that we're doing any better on that front? Do you think what's going on with the Sydney-Sweeney ad matters at all? So the actual date is April 27th, 2021, when publicly said in Fox, this is killing us. There's so many things about it. I've said defunded the police one of the three stupidest words in the history of the English language.
Starting point is 00:42:30 I mean, I don't like to call it the W word, because it was actually kind of started by Led Belli, Ledder, who was a jazz musician from Louisiana, in Texas, who brought that in the song, I think, in the 1930s, and black people should be woke, aware, the interactions with the police. It sounded like a pretty good idea to me, okay? It's pretty smart, Len Bedder was.
Starting point is 00:42:51 The whole identity language was bad for the party. And basically what the identity left said, you have to look at me as a blank first. And I can't do it. I got to look at you as a human being first. I know if you're black or you, you know, female or whatever it is that you are. But humanity is our most important identity. And the public never liked it. And think of words they say, and this is where I think that,
Starting point is 00:43:25 The people that use the term communities of color, I actually think it's racist. And I'll tell you why. It is the assumption of educated white people that everybody that is not white is the same, which is idiotic. Yeah. It's idiotic to say that all white people are the same. But it's kind of, you know, like NPR people love this kind of language. And they don't even know, they don't know what they're saying.
Starting point is 00:43:51 Remember when they were starting and their whole thing was going to be bi-Poc. And they were just going to hoard all non-white people in the same vet, which is historically ignorant and politically stupid thing to do. And, you know, we didn't now, there's been a big bounce back. I mean, the non-white, if you look at the latest data of moving away from Trump pretty quickly. But we did not do that well with non-whites because I think a lot of that was the hangover of the identity area. Now, you don't know. hear political people use this kind of language anymore. It hurt us in 2024. It did. All kind of data on late break. And voters, the stuff was very sticky. And, you know,
Starting point is 00:44:41 Alyssa Slackton was pretty articulate about it, who won a very, very close race in a state that Trump carried. They just need to talk like other people. And we just, the longer we get away from that, the less the effects are going to be. But it was one of the all-time stupid political ideas that in this century was we were going to change dictionaries in the way people spoke to each other. We were going to do no such thing. Do you think we are doing better in this way? I do. I don't know. Do you see anybody using that kind of language anymore? No, I certainly think that it's better. I, you know, the Sydney Sweet. stuff, I think, is one of those more right-wing stories where they're taking, you know, some
Starting point is 00:45:29 people online who probably vote the same way that we do that are outraged about it and, you know, saying it's Hitlerian, et cetera. But in general, I think we've been pretty good at being normal, which is a nice break. Don't talk about not being part of identity politics. Just don't be part of identity politics. You don't have to say it. We'll have to go through it. We'll have to go through it and relive it. It was just a giant, stupid mistake that some well-meaning people thought it was the future of communications. And it was just really, really stupid. Couldn't have said it better myself. But I don't want to drag it back up. Just let it go and to just talk like normal people. I'm going to tell my colleagues that I just don't want to talk about it anymore and hopefully
Starting point is 00:46:20 they'll let me off the hook. Well, that that's what you do. do, you know, it's the old thing. If you have the law, I'll get the law, if you have the facts, argue the facts, if you don't need a pound to take. You don't want to talk about the failure of this administration to deal with the cost of living. You don't want to talk about all of the things that they pass from gutting veterans' benefits to rural hospitals, to, you name it. And just do it like that. But they're going to keep trying to bring it up because it's their advantage to talk about. It's not our advantage to talk about. It was a fair. It was a just like teenagers go through phases.
Starting point is 00:46:57 But that was all it is. And, you know, they're always going to come back to the trends in sports. You know, I'm not, hadn't thought about the 400 meters in the girls' track meet, but the Athletic Association, I'm sure has ways to determine that we have that little competition. I know that Senator Gallego, Governor Newsom, Congressman Routon, have all said that they all have daughters, and they want them to compete, to compete together, girls. That seems totally reasonable to me. Just state the problem, state where you are.
Starting point is 00:47:32 And this is, before the pandemic, I went to Amsterdam. You know what they don't have in Amsterdam airport? Gender-specific bathrooms. You go in the bathroom, you close the stall. You come out, you wash your hands. Did you go out? And I was just kind of stunned. because I'd, like, never seen that before.
Starting point is 00:47:56 And it was, like, zero issue. Yeah. It was a cultural shock, and I guess culturally, we just can't do it, people would go crazy, but there's some gender. I'm about being about the most elegant topic, but it's true. It's a reality for all of us. The point is, you know, whenever you want to, we'll get back to the four and meet us at the Girl State Trackney.
Starting point is 00:48:20 But I agree with Santa Gallego, Governor Newsom, Carlson Moten, I think that's a reasonable position. Totally. And where 80% of the country is. Yes. He said, governor of Utah, they cast an anti-trans sports thing. The guy, conservative, is the next guy. He's a big Mormon, a lot of day saints. He said, there are 100,000 high school athletes in Utah, four trans.
Starting point is 00:48:47 This is not my issue. go thump to veto and they're sitting back to the Utah State Athletic Association. They let them deal with that. You know how many athletic governing bodies they are in the United States? You couldn't count them all. I'm going to be concerned about how do we get young people motivated, Democrats raise taxes where they were pre-trunk on incomes over a half million dollars a year and use half that money, which is trillions of dollars,
Starting point is 00:49:15 to establish a first-time homebuyers' mortgage rate. relief fund. Because if you're, when you're 27 or 28, and you hear people, and particularly Democrats talking about, now it's the Republicans, they're telling you how good the economy is. And they will say, what the shit is she or he talking about? I have no hope to buy house. I have no hope to get an education. I'm living in my parents' basement. And they got every tax break in the world. And they're telling me how good I got it. If we act like we don't see them. So when I was in law school, understand this.
Starting point is 00:49:55 Every month, I got a check for $300 in $1971. I could do whatever, I could buy books, I can go to a French quarter, anything, okay? That was what they call the GI Bill. I buy my first house. I am guaranteed the lowest mortgage rate there is. When I graduated from law school in 1973, there was one black. and three females in a graduate class. We don't live in that world anymore.
Starting point is 00:50:23 So we've got to give these young people tools that my generation of young people had. And we've got to quit telling them how lucky they are to be living in this economy at this time. It's a statement that actually irritates it. It's an old rich guy's idea of, like, And this guy started at McDonald's and he became the regional manager. Yeah, one out of 100,000 most people that are sitting there for $9 an hour.
Starting point is 00:50:56 They're not thinking they're going to be the regional manager one day. The most important thing, if I ever said, enough lesson is people want to be seen. Okay, that guy sees me or she sees me. And if you start talking about that, a young voter will say, well, at least they understand what I'm going through. And that was part of Trump's appeal with these rural whites. They didn't feel like Democrats saw them. And then Trump goes and promised a bunch of stuff, stapsed in their back, of course.
Starting point is 00:51:25 But he did do the first necessary thing. He said, you exist. You're out there seeing you. And we don't do that with young people very much at all. And just, you know, understand that. Just acknowledging the problem with an imperfect solution is a hundred times better than denying the problem. I love that.
Starting point is 00:51:48 I can't thank you enough for your time. I don't know if you have anything that you want to wrap up with, but you've... I just say this. I go on any network. I go on any show. And I think the idea that we boycott any news outlet, I don't have to go on somebody's show, and I don't have to agree with them.
Starting point is 00:52:10 But I just wish Democrats would just say, Look, God damn it, we've got swagger here. We've got some strong candidates come in. We've got a hellnish in this big, beautiful bill. We're going to romp and kick ass in Virginia and New Jersey. Let's go get them. Oh, James, the approval rating has said 31%. Well, yeah, because we lost.
Starting point is 00:52:29 I don't like them either. Once you start winning, it's going to go up because what approval rating really lags is among Democrats. Because they don't like to lose. Yeah. Okay. No one likes to lose. Winning is everything, stupid. Winning is everything stupid. Thank you for your time. And that's it for this episode.
Starting point is 00:52:48 Our producers are David Toledo and Eric Junikis. Our technical director is Drew Burroughs. Going forward, you'll find Raging Moderates every Wednesday and Friday. Subscribe to its own feed to hear exclusive interviews with sharp political minds. This week, I'm talking to Mallory McMorrow, who's running through the next Senator of Michigan. And make sure to follow us wherever you get your podcast so you don't miss an episode. Thank you again, James. All right. You know,

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