The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Raging Moderates: The Possibility of a Third Trump Term (feat. Kellyanne Conway)
Episode Date: April 1, 2025Jessica is joined by former Trump advisor Kellyanne Conway to break down the latest chaos inside the administration. They dive into the fallout from Signalgate—and the possible repercussions of Trum...p’s Liberation Day tariff threats. Plus, the Supreme Court is set to weigh in on Trump’s most aggressive immigration policies. And finally, looking ahead: What does a post-Trump world look like for both parties, and how seriously should we take the possibility of a third Trump term? Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov. Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Kellyanne, @KellyannePolls. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
With the Fizz loyalty program, you get rewarded just for having a mobile plan.
You know, for texting and stuff.
And if you're not getting rewards like extra data and dollars off with your mobile plan,
you're not with Fizz.
Switch today. Conditions apply. Details at fizz.ca.
Scientists find weird kinds of life all the time.
And normally, they can run experiments.
If I hypothesize life can live in bleach, well, I can get bleach and see if life lives in it.
But what if the weird thing about the life they find is that it lives for millions of years?
Time! I don't have any control over that. I can literally do nothing with time.
This week on Unexplainable, intraterrestrials. Aliens on Earth deep beneath the seafloor. Follow Unexplainable for new
episodes every Wednesday.
Hey there, this is Peter Kafka, the host of Channels, a podcast about tech and media and
what happens when they collide. And this week we're talking about the symbiosis, the codependency
between big time sports and big TV.
And it's going to happen to that equation as the TV industry gets smaller and smaller
and smaller.
On to explain it all is the veteran sports business journalist, John Oran.
That's this week on channels from the Box Media Podcast Network. Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Jessica Tarlov, Scott's off today, but I've got a guest who knows the inner workings of
Trump's world better than most.
She's been in the room, she's seen how the machine operates, and she's here to help us
make sense of what's happening inside the current administration.
Kellyanne Conway joins us today.
Welcome to the show, Kellyanne.
Thank you, Jess.
Nice to be with you. Jess. Nice to be with you
It's nice to be with you off campus a bit
I feel like you know, we're always at Fox and you have like three minutes to speak and now we have an hour
Let's dig in
Let's dig in in today's episode of raging moderates. We're going to be talking about the biggest scandal to hit the Trump administration yet
Trump's immigration policy is heading to the Supreme Court and post-Trump world looks like for both Republicans and Democrats.
So last week, the biggest political story was, by far and away, Signalgate, and the
fallout is still unfolding. The Atlantic's editor-in-chief, Jeffrey Goldberg, somehow
got added to a Signal Group chat where top Trump administration officials were talking
about airstrikes on the Houthis in Yemen.
The White House tried to push back, but once the Atlantic published the full transcript, things only got messier.
Now Congress is looking into it, Republicans are in damage control mode, and national security concerns are piling up.
Kellyanne, what's your kind of top line feeling about so-called signal gate?
What did you think when you saw the
story? Do you feel any differently than you did on day one?
Well, clearly it was a mistake and a mistake has been admitted and rectified. Nobody was
purposely inviting a reporter, let alone Jeffrey Goldberg of the Atlantic, to this group chat
where the Secretary of Defense predominantly was giving an update to the national security
team and others like the chief of staff and deputy chief of staff for policy and the like
on what was about to happen in Yemen.
And when I hear he was invited, he wasn't invited.
I don't have Jeffrey Goldberg in my contacts.
I can't add him to anything on my phone, certainly for many of the reasons that President Trump
has actually articulated himself. I think this is one thing that a big bone that the media will
continue to gnaw on, though, because it seems like the very
first time they can truly sink their teeth into the
administration, and President Trump said as much.
Jessica, people tried it with the January 6 pardons.
They tried it with the Doge cuts.
They're trying it by torching and burning down the
dealerships of innocent Tesla dealers and sellers and owners.
They're trying everything they can,
but I would really echo what Governor Gavin Newsom said
over the weekend, if not previously,
which is that the Democrats are suffering a big image
and messaging problem now.
It's not about another messenger.
It's about a message.
And I think if the entire party is really centered on how can
we screw Trump and the American president,
and by extension, America herself,
then this signal event that was revealed one week ago today,
Jessica, will be probably the best and highest hope.
But it's a distraction away from the volume and velocity
with which President Trump
and his administration are operating. If you look at the CBS YouGov poll over the weekend,
you look at other polling, people are fairly, they're giving John Donald Trump the space
and the grace this time to build an economy, to stop the illegal border crossings, to stop
these wars that he inherited in Ukraine and the Middle East,
and to get energy production back online. I don't know why we had a war on fossil fuels
and fracking and why President Biden paused the LNG permits, but all these things that
President Trump is doing that Americans do like cannot be subsumed by something that
was accidental, unintentional, and a mistake?
Yeah, so there was a lot in there, and I want to try to pick most of it apart, but there
were a ton of specifics in the conversation, most coming from Secretary Hegsatz, some coming
from National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, that are not just casual conversation.
People have said this is obviously classified.
If someone of a lower rank had done something like this,
they would be out of a job and maybe going before a military tribunal.
The American public knows how serious this is. You have did some polling on it. 53% say that this is a serious problem and
conversely, for instance, Trump's classified documents case was less, as a percentage, less serious
Trump's classified documents case was less, as a percentage, less serious, Clinton's emails, as well as Biden's classified documents. So the American public understands that this
is very serious and it's not something to brush over. And I don't think the administration
is going to be able to, even if you want to paint this as something of a media obsession.
Well, certainly it's a media obsession. 53% of Americans, you're saying, based on the way a particular poll question was asked
in a particular poll, say this is serious, but 99% of the mainstream media says it is.
So there's a disconnect there as usual.
But look, I'm glad you admitted that the Donald Trump documents case in Mar-a-Lago was thin.
That's all obviously been litigated.
was thin. That's all obviously been litigated. I disagree completely that President Biden
housing his classified documents next to an old Corvette in a garage that his son also had access to and his myriad problems. I do think that's serious. And frankly, the country rejected
Hillary Clinton for many reasons, but in part because they didn't trust her. If you look at
the Washington Post polling right before the election in 2016, Jessica,
people didn't think she was honest or trustworthy, ABC News, Washington Post poll and others.
And part of it was because of the way she had handled her emails, the way she had handled,
I don't know, dozens or a dozen or so phones and bleach bidding and all of that.
So I think this is important just because thank God no damage was done and thank God
that the mission was successful.
And people are about production and delivery.
I think the Democrats only want to be about process when they think it benefits them.
And I know Trump Derangement Syndrome is real.
I know it starts at stage five.
I know there's no vaccine cure therapeutic for it.
But in this case, it was a successful mission
and people will focus on that.
They will wonder why the facts that under Biden's watch,
there were 174 attacks on our Navy warships,
that these terrorists and these pirates
were disrupting regular routes
so that you could not have safe and efficient passage in these routes.
And now this is all being turned around because you actually have bold leadership in the White
House and in the national defense team.
So people should look at the success of the mission.
I believe they will.
And again, when mistakes are made, I think the most important thing to do in life and
in politics and anywhere else in the national security team is to admit the mistake, figure
out how it happened, promise that it will never happen again.
If mistakes were made in Afghanistan, then I've yet to hear President Biden or Vice President
Harris say it.
The most energy that President Biden seemed to exert after 13 service
members were senselessly killed because he went against the advice of most of his national
security team and his generals and withdrew out of Afghanistan on a dime almost immediately.
The most energy he exerted was looking at his watch while the grief-stricken families
were just looking for a little bit of grace and recognition from the commander in chief.
That is something Democrats have been very critical of, leaving Bagram Air Force Base
in the wingspan of China, leaving the Taliban in charge of Afghanistan.
I mean, really, Jessica, what's the point that we had a female vice president who wanted
to be the first female president of the United States in Kamala Harris if the women in Afghanistan
have fewer rights and are less free now because
of the policy prescriptions and the decisions that she and her boss made.
And so if we're going to talk about relative circumstances and consequences, I think the
more relevant ones are letting just millions in here across the border.
I think it's going to be a very rough week and month of April for the Biden team, Biden-Harris team,
with respect to all these books coming out where you've got Biden people talking on the record and
unattributed about Biden's compromised capacity. So if we're going to talk about relative things,
I think this is very important. The fact that these books say that Kamala Harris's aides were
preparing for Joe Biden to die in his first
term is like... Well, I actually think that that was just responsible, frankly. If you have the
oldest president in history, you should be open to the fact that he might pass away. But listen,
I know that I'm going to have a very bad April on the five. I am prepared for it. We're going to be
talking about this ad nauseam, but I'm not trying to do a comparison. I'm trying to have a conversation
about this as a scandal in and of itself. And I do want to note that the Trump's classified
documents case, it wasn't adjudicated. It was dismissed because Donald Trump won. Eileen Cannon
just did what he wanted. And Hillary Clinton was investigated by the FBI, the State Department,
and Congress over that. And as you said, she ended up losing the election.
So using those as comps, I don't think is really fair
in this circumstance.
And it seems quite clear from the Wall Street Journal's
reporting that National Security Advisor Mike Waltz
used information that we got from the Israelis,
so an ally of ours, an incredibly important one,
about the missile expert who was heading into
his girlfriend's house, which
they ended up striking. And the Israelis are apparently very upset about this, expressing
to the White House that sources and methods were compromised. And it seems like a pretty
clear line between sources and methods and something being classified. And if we are
to grow from this, do you feel like the administration should open themselves up to
Investigations there should be a DOJ investigation
I know we're gonna get the Senate Armed Services looking into it Roger Wicker is on board with that and Jack Reid the ranking Democrat
As well, but do you think that that's deserved or that we're going to move forward with legitimate and earnest?
Investigations into how something like this could happen
and why they were on some of them personal phones
and using an unsecured app.
Because you know if those phones were hacked
by the Russians, the Chinese, the Iranians,
they don't need to have someone's password
to get into signal.
They can just see everything that's
happening on the phone.
So Jessica, there's much to unpack there.
I, like you, am aware of the public reports
that the Senate Armed Services Committee intends to investigate what happened and why and how.
And the like, that's probably the most appropriate forum.
This country seems super fatigued from Department of Justice investigations, particularly in
this last Merrick Garland, Jack Smith, and all the law firms now paying some of the ultimate
prices and frankly capitulating immediately because of their involvement.
But look, I take national security very seriously.
I was not a national security official, but I had a TSSI when I was in the White House.
And I will tell you, I don't have Signal on my phone.
I don't have Jeffrey Goldberg in my contacts.
Why not?
Well, just I know I
would note that in the first Trump administration, the first time I even learned about Signal,
one of the people who worked there, who liked to call everybody else a leaker, seemed to
live on Signal. So I get it. But in this case, I do take very seriously the sworn testimony
almost a week ago, Jessica, of John Ratcliffe, formerly of ODNI, now our CIA director.
And he swore under oath to the Senate last week that one of the first things that he
was told, which you know the rest of the team would have been told when he became the CIA
director two months ago, is that signal was installed on his computer and that it was
an acceptable way of communicating.
If that's the CIA director talking, I'm going to give that the legitimacy and credence that
it deserves.
So yes, I think if you're going to have investigations, the legislative branch wanted to look at what
the executive branch did is probably the way this is going to go. But again, and I like the fact that President Trump,
as is his practice, very unique and typical for him,
was forward-facing about this, saying,
I don't know what happened.
I don't use signal.
I wasn't part of that.
But we're going to take a look at it.
I've asked Mike Waltz to take a look at it.
He's a good man.
Then he admitted it came from his team or him himself,
put the group together,
accidentally added someone and the like.
You've had two national security officials
on two different days last week testify under oath,
Tulsi Gabbard ODNI, and of course,
the aforementioned CIA Director John Radcliffe.
Yeah, well, Tulsi had to correct herself
from the day before she had a bit of a brain fog.
And yeah, Signal was installed and it was Biden-era guidance, but you were supposed
to use it for ordinary text messaging. You were not supposed to use it for classified
information. But you touched on something that is always as an outsider who's very
interested on the inside of what goes on in Trump world, this tension between how Trump feels about the media and especially
someone like Jeffrey Goldberg, who he has been mad at, to say the least, for several
years now because of the suckers and losers story.
Why?
Okay.
Yeah, we're certainly not going to litigate that today, but we know what Jeffrey Goldberg
means to Trump. But do you think
that the bigger sin, if in the president's mind, is the fact that someone was clearly
in contact with Jeffrey Goldberg, maybe obviously unintentionally putting him in that chat and
this whole thesis of he got quote unquote, sucked in is obviously ridiculous, or is what
his top national security heads were doing the bigger sin?
So is it the, you know, maybe you're a leaker, you're talking to the press, or is it the
sharing of classified information and being in that group chat?
That's all hypothetical.
And the president, I think, himself has said, others have said, there was nothing classified
in there.
But look, I think there's just too much, too many hypotheticals in there for me to make a credible judgment
until we know all of the facts.
But I will say it's not just Jeffrey Goldberg.
I mean, sure, the Atlantic was first out there perhaps saying impeach him.
I don't know.
I think the Washington Post at 1215, 15 minutes after President Trump was born in on January
20th, 2017, the Washington
Post said now, you know, it's time to impeach, maybe a different post now, but that was the
post then. Let's not even want an American president to succeed or America to succeed.
And that's been, look, Jessica, that the mainstream media's job in the Trump era too often has
not been to get the story, but to get the president. And I think it helped him win this
time, frankly. I think it helped him win this time, frankly.
I think it has absolutely helped President Trump,
who is seen as resilient and a survivor
and gotten the biggest second chance I've ever seen
for anyone in this second term,
eight years before after he was first elected.
That I think that the mainstream media's
overall approval rating going way down and there's sort of
this sort of elite a feat way of telling everybody this is what's important to you
as a consumer of news and information as a voter as an American and we're going to tell you what's
best for you and if you disagree you're racist, xenophobic, uneducated, hillbilly, wearing a red
maga hat. I mean look at this ridiculous, crazed woman
who committed crimes on video just from this weekend
on New York City subway.
It's in the New York Post today.
She's like, she's wagging her finger in a guy's face
because he has on a red MAGA hat.
And she's calling them all these names.
I like to call her names too, but why would I dignify her?
Except that what happens is she chases him
off the platform and face plans
I mean people just have to stop you have to stop committing violence at Tesla dealerships
you have to stop wagging your finger in front of people's faces and
You know part of me as Trump's campaign manager in 2016 and then counsel the president from day one
I had 24-7 Secret Service when we first arrived in Washington and inside my house was a
7 year old 8 year olds a 12 year old and a 12 year old that is a disgrace and that's only because of the threats of
violence so
Sure, we can talk about this that and the other but that what the media have done them direct messaging my 14 15 year old
Daughter at the time
Disgrace should be held to account
So I don't lump everybody in there
Disgrace should be held to account. So I don't lump everybody in there
But this whole notion that the job is to quote stop Trump get Trump rather than get the story
That's why when things like signal happened last week
Sure, people were held to count the president had a special meeting had the cameras in there as he always does What a difference from Biden Harris has the cameras in there is answering the questions is saying Mike Walz took responsibility
Andor is going to further investigate it. So at
least he's engaging in the media. It's not particular to any one reporter. It's
his entire ethos. George Stephanopoulos, ABC News, has had to pay 15 million
dollars. He was repeatedly told, don't call Donald Trump, don't refer to him by
that word, and kept doing it anyway. You've got all these
other places like Metta now giving money to President Trump's library. People are having
silence and shadow ban and censor not just of the former president of the United States
at the time, but his supporters too.
Couldn't you argue though that they're doing that because they're afraid of President Trump
and what he might do versus that they genuinely feel
some sort of affection for him or they've seen the light. Like with Mark Zuckerberg,
I think that that's quite clear what's going on. He doesn't want to be investigated. He
already has a case that's coming up. So I don't know. You think everyone just woke up
one day and we're like, oh, you know, I've been blind to how incredible President Trump
is and what a huge victim he is, or people are trying to be smart business folks.
Whatever combination it is of what you suggested, let me suggest an alternative to that, which
is many of them have said, wow, that was a really overwrought, unfair reaction to what
was happening where we're shadow banning, censoring, and silencing websites.
I mean, people looked at the New York Post losing its Twitter feed for two weeks before
the 2020 elections because they dared to tell the truth that no one else would, that Hunter
Biden's laptop is real.
And there's discussion on there that's actually relevant to voters in making the decision
between Trump and Biden in 2020. They'd want to know about all this money flowing
to the Biden family from Ukraine, from China, this guy, Hunter Biden. I mean, Joe Biden
may have no energy, but Hunter Biden had no energy experience and he's on the border of
Burisma and so on and so forth. And he's talking to the big guy and he's so that was all relevant
but it was shut down by Jack Mercy on Twitter and so was the New York Post and then 51 intelligence
officers etc like this is all this makes people feel that there's not just two tiers two tiered
system of justice Jessica but a two tiered system of media allowances like the First Amendment
somehow applies less to people because they like or vote for Donald Trump.
And that's just not fair. And I think there's been a big comeuppance that way.
I totally agree with you. I mean, listen, our colleagues feel similarly to you.
I talk about this on an almost daily basis. I would note with the laptop story,
that was down for 24 hours and Donald Trump was the one in office when this was going on and coordinated with social media companies for quote unquote censorship, certainly about COVID, just the same as any Democrat
would have.
But, you know, I tend to think the election was not going to get swayed on Hunter Biden's
dick pics.
And that was what was the main concern of his father, which were on that laptop.
But listen, what's done is done.
And frankly, I think Democrats would have been better off if Trump had won in 2020 versus won this time. And
I know a lot of people in his orbit who feel the same way that he had those four years to prepare
for this new administration and is doing things obviously very differently and in some ways,
getting higher marks. His approval is up, his approval on immigration, that's the only area that he is above water and I want to get into talking
about that. But you know, the American public seems to be broadly behind him in that. So
I always appreciate how quickly you can get to the points that you want to make as someone
who tries to do this for a living. I'm always like, I should be more like Kellyanne. I could get there faster. But before we get off of Signalgate, do you feel that they are going to stop using this app for
these kinds of conversations, that there will be a lesson learned? Because I do think in general
that the American public is forgiving, and they want to hear that there has been responsibility
taken and that there are going to be changes made. And I know that, I mean it
was public reporting so you could say that it was inaccurate but that
apparently Suzy Wiles and Marco Rubio, JD Vance wanted Trump to get rid of Mike
Waltz that Pete Hegsath is safe in all of this, even though he was sharing the specifics
in enormous detail that everyone who has served has said couldn't be anything but classified.
But do you think there is going to be a change of direction in terms of how they communicate
about these matters?
Um, perhaps.
But, and look, the ideally, and this is not, and I think President Trump made this clear
as did others over the weekend,
if not last week, Jessica, even ideally you'd want to be in a skiff altogether physically.
You can't be.
And so I think that when things are happening in real time and you're trying to keep people
apprised, I appreciate the fact, actually, that there were 18 people, 19 unfortunately,
but take Holberg off of there, that there were 18 people in the know.
That's always been my experience as an advisor
to President Trump, as his counselor in the White House,
is like, there is more and not fewer.
And I appreciate that because you should have,
even the Bible says there is wisdom
in a multitude of counselors, quite literally.
So I appreciate that, again,
as opposed to a secretary of defense who has ambulances come into his house and they brush it under the rug, we
don't know who's in charge, the President, the Commander in Chief doesn't
know his Secretary of Defense is under anesthesia, is at the hospital. All this is, I
think I use it as an example because it's exhibit A of endless exhibits of
how secretive and furtive and just I think presuming that we the
people are so stupid and unworthy of truth and transparency in the last
administration that this is so refreshing so you're even asking questions
that are held to a higher standard automatically because of how public
facing and available and accessible President Trump and his team have been
to the media to the public and the like. I just wanted to correct one thing. I may have misheard you that the
report in the Wall Street Journal, you said that the chief of staff and the vice president
and others want to be...
That was from...
Gone? Because I...
Politico.
Oh.
Reported that.
Politico. I don't know. I had read the Wall Street Journal piece where the president had
allegedly been asking people
what they thought, something I'm familiar with, and that folks just felt, you know,
keep things as they are.
I know President Trump also, Mike Flynn, his first national security adviser, I was there,
was gone within a month of the inauguration.
And I know there's a certain sensitive that was much more serious frankly,
but in any event, meaning what the president was saying was considering because he was
very nice about Mike Flynn. He sent me on TV that morning, called me at 6.04 a.m. and
said, who's on TV? And I said, well, we took ourselves off because of what happened with
General Flynn last night and you're going to have a press conference today at two o'clock
on something totally different. You'll be asked about this. I didn't want
to get ahead of you. He's like, no, no, no, go out there. I went on some morning shows
and we weren't saying a number of things. But I just say this because remember that
those who, I'll give you this analogy, lots of people saying right now, we did not vote
for Elon Musk, didn't vote for Donald Trump either. So they should check themselves a little bit.
Same thing here.
Those saying, you must fire your national security advisor, just want a scalp on the
wall.
It's just another way to hurt President Trump and by extension hurt America.
Why when we have these successful strikes against the Houthis who for whatever insane
reason, Jessica, and I've talked about it before, insane, incomprehensible reason, you're smart and you're honest.
So tell us why in the very first week, within days of being sworn in, President Biden would
delist the Houthis from the FTO, the Foreign Terrorist Organization.
This makes no sense to anyone.
They are foreign terrorists.
So Trump puts them back on.
We have successful strikes.
That's great.
We also are trying to deal with this Russian-Ukraine war.
He's trying to bring the rest of the hostages out and home and get peace in the Middle East,
some kind of deal in the Middle East.
So why, when all that's happening, should the president of the United States shake up
his national security team
because of an unintentional mistake?
I do think it's a lot bigger than that.
And my foundational question is about it
just being fully investigated in the same way
that the Hillary Clinton server was,
or the classified documents cases,
on either side with Biden and Trump,
though that was cut prematurely short by his win.
And to your points about the Biden administration and the withdrawal from Afghanistan, they
lost. Right? So using this example or trying to go back in time and using it as a comp,
Biden-Harris lost or Harris-Walls, which was the extension of Biden-Harris. And the American
public did largely feel the same way as you. But Biden's approval rating dropped after the Afghanistan withdrawal and it never recovered. At some points, it
went even lower, I think the lowest in history.
I was thinking of independence. I think he, Biden really never recaptured any kind of
footing with independence. Let me just say, I'm not concerned about the political consequences
at all. And so the fact that Biden-Harris lost because they had
not one but two uninspiring, not particularly compelling or great speakers as their candidate,
as their nominees, the electoral consequences that that election was, gosh, 40 months, 39 months after
about late August 2021, early November 2024, so over three years, Jessica,
after the Afghanistan withdrawal.
I'm not talking about electoral consequences
or political fallout,
because the immediate fallout in Afghanistan was what I said.
We left billions of dollars worth of technology
and equipment at Bagram Air Force Base,
which I remember the late, God rest his soul,
Senator Joe Lieberman had said at the time,
like, gee, this is something I helped negotiate too. Lots of Democrats, lots of Republicans felt Bagram was the right
place. You know, this was the right place to negotiate an airstrip and, you know, leaving
Afghanistan the hands of the Taliban. I mean, it just washed away all the work that these
three administrations had done. So I just, I'm not worried about political consequences so much as what does this all
mean?
And if we do, if we assess it that way, then we say this was a mistake.
It is being corrected, should not be repeated.
And most importantly, the whole, the mission was successful.
That I feel like every American should be able to applaud and appreciate,
no matter how they feel about President Trump, his national security team, or the use of
signal and the accidental inclusion of any reporter, by the way, let alone a hostile
one.
Yeah. Well, I do have to, Scott isn't here to say it for himself, but someone who gets
pulled over for a DUI has on average done it 80 times.
So that is the larger issue here. I am thrilled that the mission was successful, you know,
fist pump, American flag, fire emoji, all of the things. I just think that we need to
be more careful about this and, you know, really get to the bottom of how often this
is going on, especially with a group that big that doesn't usually involve Jeffrey Goldberg.
But we have more to talk about.
So let's take a quick break.
Stay with us.
Support for ProppG comes from LinkedIn.
As an entrepreneur, I've heard a lot of people in my life.
And let me tell you something, finding the right person for the right job can be
really hard. They have to be amazing at what they do. They have to be someone you can work alongside
for years and they have to be available. But when you do find that perfect employee, it's like
striking gold. With LinkedIn, it's never been easier to find qualified candidates for your business.
Based on their data, 72% of small and medium sized businesses using LinkedIn say that the service
helped them find high quality candidates.
And LinkedIn is full of features that help you find
the perfect candidate for your company.
LinkedIn can help you write job descriptions
and then quickly get your job in front of the right people.
You can post your job for free,
and if you want an extra boost,
you can pay to promote your listing.
And they say that promoted jobs get three times
more qualified applicants. Find out why more than 2.5 million small businesses use LinkedIn for hiring today.
Find your next great hire on LinkedIn. Post your job for free at linkedin.com slash prof.
That's linkedin.com slash prof to post your job for free. Terms and conditions apply.
Terms and conditions apply.
Support for PropG comes from Grammarly. In the current job climate, efficiency is the name of the game,
and there are tools out there that can help you meet the demands of today's competing priorities.
Tools including Grammarly.
It's the essential AI communication assistant that boosts productivity,
so you can get more of what you need done faster no matter what or where you're writing.
Grammarly is your AI writing partner designed
to help improve your communication.
You can instantly generate well-written drafts with AI
to get your ideas down on paper, but don't be confused.
It's not just a glorified thesaurus.
Grammarly provides writing prompts,
helps with brainstorming,
and can even help you strike the right tone
for your intended audience.
Their AI-powered tone features help you communicate clearly and confidently with just a few clicks.
You can tailor your tone and write into your audience.
We've used Grammarly and PropG, and the quality of our written work has improved.
Let Grammarly take the busy work off your plate so you can focus on high-impact work.
Download Grammarly for free at Grammarly.com slash podcast.
That's Grammarly.com slash podcast. That's Grammarly.com slash podcast.
Last week, we at Today Explained brought you an episode
titled The Joe Rogan of the Left.
The Joe Rogan of the Left was in quotations,
it was mostly about a guy named Hassan Piker,
who some say is the Joe Rogan of the Left.
But enough about Joe. We made an episode about Hassan Piker, who some say is the Joe Rogan of the left. But enough about Joe.
We made an episode about Hassan
because the Democrats are really courting this dude.
So Hassan Piker is really the only major prominent leftist
on Twitch, at least the only one
who talks about politics all day.
What's going on, everybody?
I hope everyone's having a fantastic evening,
afternoon, pre-noon, no matter where you are.
They want his cosign, they want his endorsement because he's young,
and he reaches millions of young people streaming on YouTube, TikTok, and especially Twitch.
But last week he was streaming us.
Yeah, I was listening on stream and you guys were like,
hey you should come on the show if you're listening.
I was like, oops, caught.
You're a listener.
Yeah, oh yeah I am.
Thank you for listening.
Head over to the Today Explained feed
to hear Hassan Piker explain himself.
Welcome back.
I want to talk about immigration, but if we can quickly
touch on tariffs, because I don't think I've actually
heard you speak about quote unquote, liberation day, which is coming up on tariffs, because I don't think I've actually heard you speak about
quote unquote liberation day, which is coming up on Wednesday, when we're going to shake
up the world trade order and make sure that Americans are quote unquote treated fairly.
Where do you stand on this? I've noticed that Howard Lutnick, who has been on TV a lot has
now seemingly been banned from the Sunday shows, or at least he was last weekend, probably
after he made that comment about his 94-year-old mother-in-law who doesn't care about her social
security check.
But what's your temperature on the use of tariffs?
Because we know the American public is not into them, and that's strong majorities across
all our polling, including the Fox poll.
On that one, 69% said it's going to make products more expensive for us. It's by far and away Trump's weakest point. So where are you on the tariffs?
Well, a few things, Jessica. First of all, Secretary Lutnick, the Secretary of Commerce,
was also given in his portfolio almost immediately and certainly publicly by President-elect
Trump trade as well. So we have the USTR Trade Representative, James St. Greer, served all four years as Chief of Staff
to the US Trade Representative, Bob Lighthizer,
Ambassador Bob Lighthizer in the first term,
very seasoned, very experienced.
Lutnick was-
I think that was the JG
that was supposed to be in the chat, by the way.
The Jeffrey Goldberg was the-
It was the James St. Greer.
Yeah.
I read that.
That makes some sense, yes. The Jeffrey Goldberg was the James Inc. The James Inc. Yeah. I read that.
That makes some sense, yes.
Yeah.
And so I say this because Lutnick continues to be a very key player in this administration
along with Secretary Besant and others with respect to tariffs and trade.
Now here's the thing with tariffs.
Every Secretary of the Treasury from Alexander Hamilton to Scott Besant should, not that
they all would, but they should admit, acknowledge that the main purpose of tariffs is twofold. One is to raise
revenue for this country, and the second is to protect vital American industries and its
workers and really America and American security herself. And national security piece of this
is very much on President Trump's mind. President Trump has added a third rationale for tariffs.
It is either, Jessica, to compel or incentivize
transformative changes in behavior
by countries or companies or collections of countries,
EU, I'm looking at you,
on matters that either affect goods and services,
for example, let's rebalance this export-import,
non-reciprocal, unfair, imbalanced trade relationship
on automobiles, on spirits, on other goods and services.
But when President Trump started the tariff conversation
in November, pre-Thanksgiving, it was about Mexico and Canada.
And I want you to avoid tariffs.
You must get your, quote, criminals and drugs out of our country.
And Trudeau lately of the prime ministership of Canada ran down to Mar-a-Lago to meet with
the president, president-elect Claudia Scheinbaum, the fairly newly elected at that time Mexican
president called the president several times.
They had conversations. But fast forward in office when President Trump
threatened it again or not even threatened stated it again not as a
negotiating tool but as a tool in love itself. Lo and behold both Canada and
Mexico find 10,000 robust fully trained healthy males to go on them go on the
front lines and help with border security.
Each of them comes up with a billion or more with a B. And in the case of
Canada, they come up with a fentanyl czar to help with that. But since I was the
point person for the drug crisis in the first term in the White House, I will
tell you 1% is 50% too much because that represents a lot of death and
destruction in our nation.
And then of course, the Mexican president who seems to be forging a decent working relationship
with President Trump, Jessica, she also is doing more to work with our border control
and other national security team members and components. So that's all working. I would
just say this. My favorite t-shirt of the winter
that had to do with politics and governance was, I survived the global
trade war, February 3rd 2025 to February 3rd 2025. That was roughly nine weeks ago
or ten weeks ago or so and it was, everybody freaked out the weekend
before this, that and the other is gonna happen. You can't do this, it'll explode prices.
And it didn't last that long because people sort of either negotiated or capitulated.
You can see whatever, you can use whatever term you want depending on the circumstances.
Donald Trump would also tell people, President Trump would tell people, Jessica, tariffs
are your choice, not his.
That if you want to avoid tariffs, start making more here.
Sir Mercedes Benz says that they are the largest
net exporter in the whole state of Georgia. I'm like, wow, I had to read it three times.
Really? They make a lot of Mercedes there, but they're net exporters. They're making
Mercedes in the United States of America and exporting them somewhere else. Same thing
with Toyota, BMW. You saw the deal that the leader of Hyundai made with Governor Landry, Jeff Landry, at
the White House last week announcing more.
So you can't stand up a new factory or a facility tomorrow, but you sure the heck can have a
blueprint that's real.
And you can also take advantage of something else.
President Trump in mid to late September was at a Georgia town hall and it was about manufacturing
and he was flanked by two banners, Jessica.
One said Made in the USA and the other one said 15% corporate tax rate.
Now when Donald Trump got there, when we were there eight years ago, the corporate tax rate
was 35%.
Thank you.
President Obama with the Nobel Peace Prize, it wasn't for taxes,
I guess, 35 percent, which had led to 100 corporate incursions. That's US-based companies legally
parking their wealth and their headquarters overseas because they literally can't afford
to do business in the US of A. Those corporate incursions were reversed. We repatriated billions
of dollars out of trillions that had been parked legally overseas.
The corporate tax rate went from 35%
in the highest OECD at the time to 21% lower
than the OECD average of 23%.
Now here comes President Trump saying,
well, you can get 15% corporate tax rate.
Lots of corporations say, how do I do that?
Read Banner One, made in the USA.
He has since said, if your company wants to invest one
billion, and most of these companies are investing many billions or could and
should, if you invest one billion, President Trump's team will give you the
white glove treatment and they will accelerate permitting and
approval processes. He has said this publicly in social media,
and he has said it since.
So there are ways to avoid tariffs
without whining about higher prices.
You got to make more in this country.
And tariffs is a long-term play.
I think nobody should be surprised.
Build the Wall 2016 is like tariffs and trade 2024.
He promised to do this.
It's about American investment, American manufacturing, American jobs, American industry, American
national security, and America herself.
This is a long-term play.
Last point.
This country knows, and every smart, honest Democrat knows, that we had persistent, punishing, persistent punishing high prices on almost everything including basics like fuel and
groceries for four years and we didn't have these tariffs
So folks know that poor economic policy coming out of a White House or Washington DC at the time under Biden Harris
Leads to higher prices. They're giving I think they're they're more likely to give Trump the space and the grace
for a while longer to get us back to the 2019 levels of wage growth, of job production,
of interest rates, and of that rising tie lifting all boats pre-pandemic.
You did say build the wall, but the wall didn't get built. So maybe the lesson is that the tariffs
just aren't going to happen because you're right, February 3rd, they were coming on and then they were taken off and
Claudia Scheinbaum basically repackaged something that was already happening. Those troops were
promised under the Biden administration and as you mentioned, and any death from fentanyl should
never happen, but fentanyl is not our problem with the Canadians and Trump was the one who negotiated
the USMCA if he has such huge problems with it, but I
My concern is for the American public. They know that this is going to hurt them
We've heard from Peter Navarro secretary Letnik etc
That there would be some short-term pain even President Trump has said it and JD Vance has said it and I don't know if the American
public deserves that when they
You know took a big leap of faith, a lot of these voters,
and went with Trump, people who were traditionally
Democratic voters or might have sat out,
and they thought that their lives were going
to get economically better on day one,
because that's what they were promised.
And tariffs, I'm not saying they can't be used.
Obviously, we kept the China tariffs
that Trump implemented under Biden, even extended them I think threefold.
But it's a very risky gamble for this grand bargain that he's going after.
The Mar-a-Lago Accords or whatever we're going to end up having.
I think with Trump, you also have to price in other macroeconomic factors when it comes
to tariffs.
So again, if we can balance the whole trade relationship on specific categories of goods
and services, Jessica, as goes other countries or collections of countries and even some
companies, that's going to help.
If they extend, if not expand, the Tax Cut and Jobs Act from 2017, which we've all been
living under, whether people realize it or not, if you lose some of those benefits, you're going to feel it.
So if that gets extended and expanded, that like no tax on tips, no tax on social security,
et cetera, then, and even the ECCA, the Educational Choice for Children Act that President Trump
has clearly said he wants to be part of reconciliation, I have no idea to this moment, zero, how Democrats
can be against school choice. I have no idea why we're trapping kids of all backgrounds in some of the failing schools
when their parents can exercise a choice as to where they go to school and what is taught
there.
So there's a lot going on in reconciliation.
I think you also have to price in the dereg agenda.
We had more regulation under Biden-Harris.
We're going to have fewer regulation, less regulation.
You have to price in the energy production that's going to happen.
So I feel like there are other component parts to the macro economy.
These things take time.
And you said something at the beginning, which is important, and I'm going to give you a
rationale for it.
You said something like, look, President Trump is doing things a little bit differently this
time and he's got high marks and everything. This time he's getting us back to where we were in 2019
but he also is undoing some of the grievous grave damage that was done in
the last four years. And it's not even they're not even pulling things out
root and branch. There are some seedlings as I've told them planted above the soil
that you just have to blow down, like all these ridiculous new programs and expenditures that are mind-blowing to people.
I think even a smaller federal government footprint and less government spending, whatever
that ends up looking like, you have to price all of that in and not just look at tariffs
in, not you, everybody in isolation.
Yeah, totally.
I'm happy to do that.
And I know that there are some smart people
on my side of the aisle who think
that we do need the higher levels of tariffs,
like the Bernie Sanders and the shared Browns of the world,
Tim Ryan.
But when I look at the larger picture,
and this will get us to immigration as well,
but we have a 35% chance now Goldman Sachs
nays of going into a recession, which we did not have.
We have slow GDP growth, consumer confidence is falling at a rapid pace.
So it's not as rosy as one would or that you were painting it.
And I get it, you know, progress is slow, but certain.
But when you look at the reconciliation bill, and the fact that they want to jam through
these tax cuts for people, not just the high earners and what we thought of it, of people
earning over $400,000, but $700,000, and they're going to offset that with cuts to Medicaid
up to $880 billion, you know, that's going to be inflationary. And that's just like a payout also to your friends.
And how are you also going to avoid huge inflation with the deportations?
And that's how I want to get us into this immigration conversation because, you know,
ICE is doing what ICE said that they were going to.
We know that it is inflationary to have what half the workforce that you were going
to have not just when we stop getting our goods from Canada that funds the
hotel industry you know all our lumber cement etc but how do you square those
things? Deporting some of these criminals? It's more than that and you know well
you know that it's more than that I do want to talk about the criminal part of it and the fact
that there are at least that we know of a few innocents that have been sent to
this El Salvadorian prison camp for having tattoos that no one paid
attention to like what they actually were like the autism awareness tattoo or
a crown with mom written on it. But yeah if he does do a deportation force which
was one of his promises
and certainly what Tom Homan wants,
what is the outcome of that going to be?
Well, the outcome in many ways is to make sure
that we mitigate the chances of another Rachel Moran
or Jocelyn Nagourney or Lake and Riley,
all of whom were murdered.
And the case of two of them brutally raped
before they were murdered.
Jocelyn Nagarney is a 12-year-old girl,
raped for two hours under a bridge and then murdered
by two people who should not have been here,
who were here illegally.
And so that doesn't mean everybody is like that.
Of course not.
What it means is they're like that and they shouldn't be
here. And you know what, Jessica, I feel like the last four years, the biggest epidemic,
even though more people died from COVID under Biden than Trump, but the biggest epidemic,
certainly that we don't discuss, is the epidemic of looking the other way, of pretending that we
don't see someone's pain, that we don't see what's happening. And to allow upwards of 10 million people here illegally.
And then once they're here, people
can turn on Fox News, probably not much else.
That's why it's the highest rated
by far of any of the cable stations
or open up their phones.
And see, see, the same people who just got here illegally
in New York City get free cell phones, clothing, hotel
rooms in New York City, cash, debit cards, your kids' seat in a New York City classroom.
And people are looking at it saying, that's not fair. Oh, you're a racist. Actually, I'm
an African American 28-year-old male who says, that's not fair. Where's my cell phone upgrade?
Where's my free clothing? When's the last time I could take my kids to a hotel room in New York City
because I live in this condition
or I'm temporarily homeless.
So people just said that's not fair.
And fairness over wokeness, but really over unfairness
was a huge reason why Trump got elected.
Strength over weakness and fairness
over wokeness slash unfairness, which is slightly different.
So I don't think, there's a reason that President Trump's approval rating, as you said
out at the beginning of your podcast, is today is highest on immigration. Yeah, he does see himself
keeping the promises. And some of the wall was built, Biden had to spitefully take some of that
down and let the stuff rot there. Because a lot was done on spite, not even ideological differences. But the premise is the same,
which is it all got worse in the last four years. And all of a sudden, Jessica, an issue
that was mired in low single digits, illegal immigration, border security, mired in low
single digits and trade in tariffs was hardly even an asterisk in our polling and everybody else's polling 10 years ago.
An asterisk means less than 1% mention as most important problem. 10 years ago, right about now,
when a guy named Donald J. Trump said, I'm going to run for president, but here's what I'm going
to talk about, he elevated these issues into the national consciousness to international criticism and
ridicule. His company lost contracts and his name on buildings and oh my God, look what
he's doing. And fast forward the fall of 2024, thanks to his first term and Biden's only
term that immigration border security was now the number two issue in all seven swing
states and in all the national polling. It had risen that high because people started to see for
themselves that they live in a border state no matter where they live. So I
feel like again talking about space and grace, people will give it and if there
are folks who are unfairly unnecessarily swept up in some of this, they will
do, I'm sure that they are doing, probably free counsel from some of these groups,
they will make a claim about that.
And that will be adjudicated more likely than not.
But I wanted to say something else.
You know, these students, well, the guy's 30 years old.
He lives in university housing at Columbia,
but he was a graduate student there a while ago, I guess.
The 30 year old who wants to-
Mahmood Khalil?
Yeah, wants to be a poster child.
And the other one, I think she's at Columbia,
but she's another one of,
she was here since she was seven, et cetera, complaining.
If you read what you have to do
if you're here on a student visa,
I mean, this is, if you look at student visa,
if you look at criminal activity, national security, public safety concerns, revocation of visa, you know,
it says the State Department can revoke a student visa at its discretion, often without
prior notice, if it believes the student's presence conflicts with U.S. interests. And
I think that Marco Rubio, our secretary of state, is making that very clear. He said
recently, quote, every day I find another one of these lunatics and revoke their visa. What are
they doing? Well, we see what they're doing. The same two eyes that sees the
debit card, cell phones, cash, clothing, hotel rooms, your kids seat in the New
York City classroom, sees these folks, they're so bold, they're weary, they're all
masked up so we can't see them. We see them protesting, I think inciting
violence making people feel uncomfortable. I know students at Columbia right now as we
speak and they feel uncomfortable and the Jewish ones feel completely uncomfortable.
They feel threatened. Threatened. That should not be an occupational hazard of being at
Columbia or any other campus in this country.
And so if you look at the national security or public safety concerns, a lot of this could
fit under there easily.
The Trump administration's current stance as articulated by Secretary of State Rubio
has expanded this national security and public safety concern to target students, to cover
students involved in some of these anti-Semitic, anti-Israel
activism, you know, citing some foreign policy implications.
But I just can't believe anybody can argue the fact that these kids can't go to campus,
they missed their final exams, they have to, you know, shelter in place in their dorms
because you've got some of these folks.
And then what did their big, bold acting president do?
Not to be confused with the former president of Columbia University who also resigned,
but the new acting president resigned because she capitulated to President Trump.
All of a sudden, her favorite color is not red or blue, it's green.
And she's so worried about losing the $400 million in federal funding that we fork over
to Columbia University so that we can
see this nonsense on the campus that she capitulated about a mask mandate.
It's fascinating to watch.
It's not just the tech companies given to the president's library.
It's not just the big law firms, big law that was against him a year ago and for the preceding
seven years.
It is giving hundreds of millions of dollars in pro bono work
to issues he cares about. I hope the drug crisis is one of them and veterans and school choice.
Those are great causes for a big law to fund if they can't see their way to fund it themselves.
And now you have university presidents who were allowing this to happen, who were green lighting it, who, Elise Stefanik, at the time,
the number three in the House of Representatives,
she just embarrassed them into oblivion
in the case of two or three of them,
because they're lying under oath.
They don't know if antisemitism is antisemitism
when the rest of us do.
And so I think there's a lot going on here,
but if you actually
read the student visa piece of, there is a lot of latitude for the country. If you feel
like somebody was here on a student visa, which is a privilege, by the way, not a right,
not a right, then there there's a lot of latitude for this administration.
Yeah, understood. Mahmoud Khalil is here on a green card,
which is a much higher threshold than just a student visa.
And the student that you're referring to from Columbia,
I believe her first name is Chung.
She's been here since she was seven from South Korea.
And I think, at least based on the reporting that I've seen,
that she just participated in a sit-in.
And now we don't.
Her lawyers know where she is, but we don't know
where she is at this point.
And I was very outspoken about the protests on campus.
I did think that the university presidents were clearly not
doing enough.
And if you had slotted in any other protected class for Jew,
this never would have been allowed to proliferate
if you had been blocking
trans kids or black kids from going to classes or going to Chabad. But it does feel like
this administration is really overreaching in terms of regulating the First Amendment,
which is something that they claim to be celebrating during the campaign and trying to make it
out like we were the party that couldn't take it, that couldn't listen to people who have divergent viewpoints.
And I'm concerned about that and I'm concerned about how they're going after
big law firms. And some of these law firms that they're targeting are just
guilty of, you know, representing people with cases that the Trump administration
didn't like or having anything to do with Jack Smith. And I think the ones that are
capitulating, as you said, offering $40 million, $100 million of quote unquote pro bono work
are just kind of laying down for Trump. And I'm glad to see that there are other law firms that
are standing with the Perkins cooies of the world and standing up to them. We have one more topic,
though. We got to take a quick break. Stay with us.
["Skype Ratings"]
Support for the show today comes from Notion.
There's no shortage of helpful AI tools out there,
but that doesn't make them easy to use.
The consistent switching back and forth
between different digital tools
can make your workflow even more complicated.
Unless, of course, you're in Notion.
Notion combines your notes, docs, and projects into one space that's simple and beautifully
designed. And you can do all that while taking advantage of their in-house AI-powered tool,
Notion AI. Notion AI is fully integrated, and it helps you work faster, write better, and think
bigger doing tasks that normally take you hours and just seconds. The team at PropG Media has used Notion,
and we seem to like it.
It's lasted a while, people are using it,
and I'm hearing the term Notion more and more.
You can save time and write faster by letting Notion AI
handle the first draft, jumpstart a brainstorm,
or turn your messy notes into something polished.
Plus, you can even automate tedious tasks,
including summarizing meeting notes or finding next steps.
Try Notion for free when you go to Notion.com slash ProvG.
That's all lowercase letters, Notion.com slash ProvG,
to try the powerful, easy-to-use Notion AI today.
And when you use our link, you're supporting our show,
Notion.com slash ProvG.
So we want to introduce you to another show from our network and your next favorite money podcast for ours, of course, Net Worth and Chill.
Host Vivian Tu is a former Wall Street trader turned finance expert and entrepreneur.
She shares common financial struggles and gives actionable tips and advice on how to
make the most of your money.
Past guests include Nicole Yoder, a leading fertility doctor who breaks
down the complex world of reproductive medicine and the financial costs of
those treatments, and divorce attorney Jackie Combs who talks about love and
divorce and why everyone should have a prenup. Episodes of Net Worth and Chill
are released every Wednesday. Listen wherever you get your podcasts or watch
full episodes on YouTube. By the way, I absolutely love them too.
I think she does a great job.
Welcome back.
I'm still here with Kellyanne, who has been so gracious with her time.
I think this is probably going to be your favorite conversation because I'm opening
myself up to democratic criticism, or at least I'm inviting it versus you're always good
at getting it even when I don't ask for it. But we're only two months into the administration. I would love, I mean,
it sounds like you do think that it has been going really well thus far. And Democrats
are scrambling. We know this, especially I think on the Senate side. In the House, I
think Hakeem Jeffries has been doing a good job. But, you know, where do you think things
stand in terms of the Democratic reboot
or what we have to do?
The New York Times editorial board was out this weekend
with an op-ed that basically said
that Democrats are in denialism of the message from 2024.
And then I also want to get your take
and maybe actually do this one first
on what life after Trump looks like
for the Republican Party.
He called
Kristen Welker over the weekend and basically said that a third term was a
possibility, that there are methods to do it, but for the purpose of this
conversation, you know, let's say that he is going to leave office when his term is
up. Where do you think the Republican Party goes? It's a great question and I
think we got a couple tea leaves about it, Jessica, in the 2024 down-ballot elections.
So President Trump swept all seven swing states and along with him, Republicans flipped United
States Senate seats in Pennsylvania and Ohio, defeating long-term Democratic veterans who
were winning by double digits in their
re-elections previously Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Bob Casey Jr. in Pennsylvania, in addition
flipping the John Tester seat in Montana.
However, in four of the swing states that President Trump carried, Arizona by six points,
Nevada, Handley, Wisconsin, Michigan, much smaller margins. Those four
Republican Senate candidates came up short. And whereas President Trump was overly unfairly
blamed for the midterm losses or the lack of a red wave in 2022, in 2024, he basically
was a gift to all of these candidates. He's got strength at the top of the ticket
and all that means, plenty of money,
plenty of personal visits inside the state
by the nominee, President Trump,
plenty of juice for these candidates,
endorsing them, helping them,
and yet they came up short,
which tells you something about the difference
between Trump's strength within the electorate
and all
of the Republicans not named Donald J. Trump. So that's a little view into the
future, a recent one, and then we'll see what happens on Tuesday on April 1st
with these special elections in a couple of Florida seats. I actually think, I hope
those Republicans win and we keep the seats, I actually think if they don't it's not, everybody's gonna rush and say the same
thing as the Lemmings always do, oh my god it shows that Trump's not popular, he
doesn't have the juices, administration's over, signal, signal, signal. I actually
think it's the opposite, it shows what I just said yet again, which is if you're
not him and you're not at the top of the ticket, then there's something special about him where people gravitate toward him turn out for him whether it's at rallies where they're in the bleeding
Sun or the pouring rain
For days to wait just to see him and be part of it
That's something that the party will need to grapple with. I don't think we're gonna go back to being this sort of
globalist amnesty, maybe some
higher taxes, maybe not a lot of dereg, maybe, Beba, restrain this, restrain that kind of
party that was a losing model for Mitt Romney, for John McCain.
I think that along with Ronald Reagan in 1980, Newt Gingrich, and the contract with America in 94, Trump 2016.
Those are the three most transformative party changing,
coalition shifting elections in my lifetime.
And so in many of our lifetimes.
So I feel like he'll still have his mark on the party.
There is no obvious heir apparent,
obviously his vice president would have a good chance,
but the president himself said he's not endorsing his president Vance or anyone else right now, which is smart
because he needs to do a lot of stuff.
You can't talk about politics in 2028.
You got to do policy in 2025.
So that's smart.
On the Democratic side, I think it's the worst I've seen the Democratic Party in a very,
very long time.
It just seems rudderless, shiftless, overly angry, without direction, probably a lot of
internal fighting that we don't even see.
And it's, you know, in any 12-step program, Jessica, even if you reduce it to eight, nine,
or expand it to 20 steps, the first one must be acknowledgement.
And I haven't seen that yet, let alone getting to acceptance.
I haven't seen acknowledging the fact that Kamala Harris had everything she wanted, a
stop with the, she only had 100 days or whatnot.
What would she have done on day 108 or 109?
Same stuff.
I mean, she had all the King's horses, all the King's men, the mainstream media, academia,
plenty of money, excitement, history on her side, et cetera, making history on her side.
That wasn't the right model.
And I think even some of these governors and folks in the House who are Senate, who could
be rising up as Democratic spokespeople are physiologically incapable of answering a question
or declaring a sentence without saying Trump, Trump, Trump four times in it.
So unless and until somebody can get him out of their mind
and stop pretending that the best antidote to Trump
is anti-Trump, that's just not it.
But until the party, you know, the Democratic Party,
the worst thing that's happened to it, in my view,
is ceding CED, ING,
some of these core Democratic constituencies
to President Trump.
So he won more Jewish Americans,
more women than he should have, again, say female candidate. I agree. He won more Hispanics,
African Americans, union households. He won more political independence. And this was the election,
Jessica. This is what the Democrats, I think, don't seem to grasp yet. 2024 at the presidential
level marked the election where Americans said,
that's it. I've had enough. No more will you tell me who I am, what to think and how to vote based
on my age, my gender, my race, my religion, my union membership, whether I'm married or not,
whether I have kids at home or not, my sexual orientation. I mean, all of the, and even my
political registration and or my past voting preferences, all of the, and even my political registration
and or my past voting preferences,
people are like, excuse me, this is the one time
when I can exercise my own judgment, make my own choices.
And I'm going to do that irrespective of Barack Obama
wagging his finger, a young African-American man
and saying, I'm telling you to do this.
You gotta do this for me.
And then goes back to his compound
and in the golf course
or in Martha's Vineyard or whatnot, which he's welcome to have. But then you can't
wonder though why the Obama coalition in 2012 is now Trump country. And if you look at the
migration of voters from Obama 12 to Trump 2024, it is nothing but startling. The Democratic
Party, I grew up around, half Irish, half Italian, a house full of women.
My father left, feminist movement,
Roe versus Wade movement, women in the workforce,
including my own mom, reluctantly movement.
Every man in my family to this moment
is in a union, a private trade.
That Democratic Party looks so distant now.
And it's just been subsumed by this odd stew of liberal overreach and academia and Hollywood
and media and frankly just losing touch with if not outright ridiculing people who work
for a living, people who don't have fancy degrees.
And most of this country is that, and most of the Democratic Party
right now is not. Yeah, listen, I'm not one of the ones who's in denial about what happened,
and I think there's a lot of truth to what you were saying. But if Donald Trump is the guy,
right, he is the heart and soul of this party, and he will not be on the ballot in 2028, I'm
going to mark you down for the he knows that he has to go category, right on the ballot in 2028. I'm gonna mark you down for the,
he knows that he has to go category, right?
I didn't say that, I just said that.
Well, Kelly had.
You can guess that.
Listen, he hears that from other people.
That's nice.
I mean, crazy people talk to all of us.
I mean-
And then he mentions that, well, it also comes from-
But you're not a crazy, I mean-
Also, people didn't vote for him the first two times, Jessica.
I think you mentioned some of them earlier. But you were. I mean, you were people didn't vote for him the first two times Jessica, I think you mentioned some of them earlier
But you were I mean you were a standout in 2020 amongst people who were close to him who never bought into the big lie
He said mr
President you lost the election and you know, you got to move out
So are are you saying the door is open to a third term?
No, i'm saying that when there's talk of it again when your colleagues in the media
into a third term. No, I'm saying that when there's talk of it again,
when your colleagues in the media.
This is him on the phone with Kristen Welker.
This isn't colleagues in the media, it's in his own voice.
Well, but again, he's hearing that from people.
So what?
I've heard that I'm the most beautiful woman in the world.
I know it's not true.
Sure you are.
Definitely true.
Thank you.
You're a good friend, but come on here.
Absolutely.
But no, I think it's beside the point right now when he's got too
much to do. But it does tell you one thing, that no matter, you know,
Assassin's bullet, all these indictments, court cases, impeachments, everything else,
2020, etc., January 6, and so on and so forth, that President Trump is seen as a guy who
can overcome all that and have a critical mass, in this case, tens of millions of Americans,
highest ever for a Republican in many ways, focus on him and vote for him.
I think it shows you.
And it wasn't for lack of trying.
I mean, one of the biggest mistakes the Democrats made, in my view, I'm glad they made it, but in 2023 and 2024,
was sort of dismissing all types
of Democratic primary opponents against President Biden,
including one RFK Jr., now the Secretary of HHS
under a Republican president.
Trump, I think the lack of primaries hurt,
and I was a huge voice, often criticized
within my own party for saying this
about my Republican
party, this nonsense of clearing the field based on electability.
Thank God I haven't heard the word electability in a very long time.
And that's important because this whole matter that you rob the people of their voice and
their choice, months if not years before an election, is folly.
Let the people decide.
And it wasn't for lack of trying.
Gosh, eight,
nine, I don't know how many, many Republicans ran for president in 2024, as did President
Trump. And he won decisively, embarrassingly in all of their states, beating them handily.
So he's sort of earned this. But I think that it's not-
Well, he hasn't earned the right to violate the constitution.
No, no, no, I didn't say that. I said he's earned, no, no, no.
I said he's earned the presidency now, meaning he had-
Right.
No, no, no.
Please don't misquote me.
I haven't said anything about that.
I believe in the Constitution.
The president knows that presidents are term-limited.
He is hearing from everybody.
Two terms.
What can we do about that?
You know, blah, blah, blah.
No.
He's going to-
Nothing to do.
You see? But I just want to say this about it.
It does tell you that he's got more of, he's got much more prominence in the Republican Party and
the conservative movement, which is different than the Republican Party. People always trying to
criticize him and tear him down with, oh it's just a base, a base, a base, like these dopes,
nepo babies on the left who now consider themselves reporters and you know who I'm talking about, they're probably watching now. I know so much Trump and his
base. What base? It's a base plus. The guy won all seven swing states. He won the popular
vote. It's base plus plus plus plus. I say this for a very simple reason. The Democratic
Party for whatever else, I think still could rely upon one Barack Obama and occasionally
his wife, although we see her pop up every four years to come to a convention and criticize Trump and now
on a podcast to insult her husband.
But we don't, you know, the Obamas, the Clintons, you could always count on a few super popular,
stand the test of time Democrats to raise money, to raise hackles, to get out there
and do stuff for the party. I don't think that's true. I think if anything, the rising people in
your party, Jessica, in the Democratic Party, are scary socialists. You know,
Bernie Sanders has 15,000 people in Arizona recently. Elizabeth Warren's
always on the rise. AOC and the squad that doesn't do squad, as Nancy Pelosi
said, quote, she said, and I'll and I quote Nancy Pelosi quote this glass of water could have won in their districts really
I think going roughshod on the squad at the time saying they're all in safe
seats how could they have not won and so there's just a lot of generational
tension ideological tension I think the difference between do we go back and try
to recapture the working class of America versus are there enough elite a feat like us in the Democratic Party in the hierarchy to win elections?
There's so much um hand-wringing white-knuckle hand-wringing now of everybody's so nervous
In the Democratic Party where I think the answers are pretty simple
Which is you can't tell people who they are how to think and how to vote and what's good for them
They need to tell you. That is, as you know, that's polling 101,
that's voting 101, it's politics 101.
People have a funny way of telling you
what's important to them.
You can't tell them.
But as for this, it's just another way of,
oh, look at Donald Trump.
He wants to be president for life.
He's hearing that from other people.
He respects the Constitution,
but there's no question the most important person
in 2026 in the midterms and 2028 is Donald J. Trump.
Okay. We've got to leave it there. And if we talk more, I want to talk about Josh Shapiro
and Wes Moore because they are not democratic socialists. And I think they're doing a pretty
good job. But I take all the criticism into the self-flagellation about what happened.
I want to thank you, especially Kellyanne, for being here with me and everyone for listening
to Raging Moderates.
Our producers are David Toledo and Shinane Onike.
Our technical director is Drew Burroughs.
You can now find Raging Moderates on its own feed every Tuesday.
That's right, its own feed, exclusive interviews with sharp political minds you won't hear
anywhere else.
This week I'll be talking with Senator Brian Schatz from Hawaii.
Make sure to follow us wherever you get your podcasts so you don't miss an episode. And thank you
for being here, Kellyanne. I really appreciate it.
Thanks for having me.
Yeah. I'll see you at work.
That's right. Take care.
You too.
I'll see you at work.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.
Bye.