The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Raging Moderates: What’s Trump’s Endgame in Ukraine?

Episode Date: February 18, 2025

Jessica and Tim Miller break down the biggest political moves of the week. Trump is making waves on the world stage, claiming a breakthrough in Ukraine talks with Putin—so what’s his real endgame?... Back at home, he’s throwing a legal lifeline to NYC Mayor Eric Adams, but is that “help” actually a political liability? Plus, where do Anti-Trump Republicans stand in a party still dominated by him?  Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov.  Follow Tim Miller, @Timodc. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:49 Egg freezing has been presented as a kind of girl boss panacea, but what's the reality? That's this week on Explain It To Me. New episodes every week wherever you get your podcasts. every week, wherever you get your podcasts. This isn't your grandpa's finance podcast. It's Vivian Tu, Your Rich BFF and host of the Net Worth and Chill podcast. This is money talk that's actually fun, actually relatable and will actually make you money. I'm breaking down investments, side hustles and wealth strategies. No boring spreadsheets, just real talk that'll have you leveling up
Starting point is 00:01:23 your financial game with amazing guests like Glenda Baker. There's never been any house that I've sold in the last 32 years. That's not worth more today than it was the day that I sold it. This is a money podcast that you'll actually want to listen to. Follow Net Worth and Chill wherever you listen to podcasts. Your bank account will thank you later. Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Jessica Tarlov. I'm Tim Miller. Tim, this is the banter section. How are you? Hey, banter. I'm just happy to be in here for Scott.
Starting point is 00:01:46 You know, I think that I'm going to be a downgrade in certain manners and upgrade in hair. You know, we'll see what the people think. We will see what the people think. I think they'll be excited to see you. They were super excited when you joined us, but we were together, all three of us. It was fun. It's good. I mean, I'd rather be raging with you than with the people.
Starting point is 00:01:54 I mean, I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you.
Starting point is 00:02:02 I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of you. I'm not going to be a fan of people think. I think they'll be excited to see you. They were super excited when you joined us, but we were together, all three of us. It was fun. It's good. I mean, I'd rather be raging with you guys than... Maybe you have a view on this. I think not raging with the Dems on the Hill?
Starting point is 00:02:16 I'm not feeling a ton of raging. Snoozing? Yeah, snoozing. Democratic snoozing? Yeah, I'd rather be raging with the moderates than snoozing with the progs. I mean, this is heavy for the banter section. Oh, sorry. No, no, no, I'm good with it.
Starting point is 00:02:28 You want to talk about Mardi Gras instead? It's difficult times. No, I don't want to talk about, I mean, if you want to talk about Mardi Gras hiding in your house, we could do that. But do you really think that they're snoozing or we're not paying attention? It's a good question. I think that they are doing a lot of stuff that people who read Hill newsletters and who know a lot about what's happening in the federal government, I think they are seeing Democrats. I think that anyone who's a casual observer of politics
Starting point is 00:03:04 is seeing only Donald Trump and Elon Musk and Travis and Taylor. I think that's like the material that they're getting. And so I don't know if they're snoozing so much as they're not yelling. And I feel like they could probably benefit from some yelling that resonates outside of the corridors. I think resonant yelling is the trick for that one because I have seen some yelling and I have hated it. The singing, the singing. Singing, yelling.
Starting point is 00:03:28 I'm open to singing in the right kind of context, you know? I'm open to singing and chants, but maybe we could work on the language of the chants a little bit. Yeah. We're getting lapped by the YMCA, so you got to think about that. The gays gave away YMCA. Well, you don't even want it back, right? I know.
Starting point is 00:03:48 I made it official. It was not a battle in the culture where we expected, but it was the battle that was thrust upon us. And I think for a moment during the Biden era, we had felt like we'd taken YMCA back from the MAGAs. And unfortunately, I think that is one L we just have to take. It's over now and the village people and YMCA despite the fact that that is a song about cruising in gay gyms the MAGAs have taken it from us
Starting point is 00:04:16 and I don't think we're ever gonna get it back. It's unfortunate. I don't think you're gonna hear a lot of YMCA at Gay Pride this year. No, probably not. Abracadabra by Lady Gaga instead. I think you'll be hearing a lot of Abracadabra. It's a pretty good upgrade. I think so. Did you watch any of the SNL 50 stuff?
Starting point is 00:04:31 I was in and out. I was watching White Lotus and I was podcast prepping. So I caught a little bit of it. I really liked a couple of the Eddie Murphy segments. Eddie Murphy being Tracy Morgan was hilarious. Eddie Murphy doing some borderline inappropriate prison rape jokes with Will Ferrell in one of the very last segments. I also really liked, those are my big takeaways.
Starting point is 00:04:53 Prison rape is always a highlight. I said multiple times to my husband that I can't believe this show is happening. If it weren't the SNL 50, there's no way these jokes would have made it in, but I'm pretty sure everybody showed up and they were like, we are not playing by 2020. that I can't believe this show is happening. Like if it weren't the SNL 50, there's no way these jokes would have made it in, but I'm pretty sure everybody showed up and they were like, we are not playing by 2025 standards. We're playing by whatever year we were actually on the show.
Starting point is 00:05:14 And it was, a lot of it was hilarious, but I was overwhelmed by Cher. I don't know if you saw these shots of like Kevin Costner losing his mind and Billy Crystal watching this 78 year old woman look like a 30 year old woman belting out If I Could Turn Back Time, which I think the gays still have possession of. We still have If I Could Turn Back Time.
Starting point is 00:05:34 I missed that clip though. So I will immediately be going to the internet after this to watch that. To the internet and now to the show and I'm keeping us on time, which is not Scott Strong Suit. How'd I do in the banter section? I think you did great. I don't know. We'll see.
Starting point is 00:05:48 Okay. So in today's episode of Raging Moderates, we are discussing Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine, Trump's lifeline to Eric Adams, and the state of anti-Trump Republicans, your specialty. All right, let's get into it. Big moves on the world stage last week. Trump says he had a highly productive call with Vladimir Putin, claiming that they're now working closely on a Ukraine peace deal. He even floated the idea of a future sit down with Putin.
Starting point is 00:06:12 This all came after Russia released American teacher Mark Fogel, which Trump called a quote sign of good faith. Meanwhile, Kiev is on edge after a drone strike hit Chernobyl just days after Zelensky asked the US for more aid. And in Europe, leaders are scrambling. An emergency summit is set for Monday, so that's today, so by tomorrow you may have an update. Amid fears that Trump's outreach to Russia is leaving them isolated. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer called it a once-in-a-generation security moment. Vice President J.D. Vance warned that Russia could face economic and military pressure if it doesn't negotiate in good faith. But in Munich he took aim at European leaders instead,
Starting point is 00:06:48 claiming their real threat isn't Russia or China, it's their own policies on free speech and refusal to work with hard-right parties in government. Back at home, not much better. The White House is clashing with the press again, this time banning an AP reporter from the Oval Office for refusing to call the Gulf of Mexico the Gulf of America. The AP is now accusing the administration of violating the First Amendment. Let's talk Ukraine first. What do you think the game here is? I mean, you can start with Pete Hague Seth's maiden voyage, which did not go well,
Starting point is 00:07:21 and he's walking things back within 24 hours. But what do you think Rubio and Trump and Vance want for Ukraine? Well, as a, I guess, cradle neocon, I don't know if the neocons exist anymore. I have a ton of thoughts about this. First, just really quick, because I think it's got lost, and I'm obsessed with the crypto element of everything that's happening. The hostage trade, or whatever you want to call it, Mark Fogel, very happy Fogel's back.
Starting point is 00:07:47 That's great news. But what got missed was the person that got let out on our side was like one of the original crypto scammers who was running a massive crypto scam that allowed Russia to avert sanctions by paying for things using crypto rather than cash and going to the regular banking system. I only say that because everybody should just make a mental note of that because I think that the crypto corruption that is coming over the next four years might end up being one of the biggest stories that happened.
Starting point is 00:08:24 Bigger than the Trump coin. It's interesting. Well, no, it's related. The Trump coin, it's all related, right? Like, I mean, the Trump launches this coin. I think that that's how people can manage it. Well, they just say, okay, we know he's a grifter who does things like this, but it's so much bigger than that. And the trade wasn't publicized at all. It took days for anyone to know if we got, if we had to trade anything for Mark Fogel. Yeah, for sure. And so obviously there are bad people
Starting point is 00:08:49 getting traded and all of these things like Victor Booth got traded during the Biden administration. So like, and I'm happy Mark Fogel is home. So it's like less a commentary on like the particular trade than just like, it's interesting where the priorities were. Like that the first Russian person out is this crypto scammer, person doing the deal, Steve Witkoff, his son is business partners with the Trump kids on their crypto scam. So that's not a coincidence. I'm not the always sunny guy putting yarn against the wall here. It's a pretty direct connection directly to Trump's pocket.
Starting point is 00:09:22 So anyway, the broader deal, I mean, like the sad part about this is that just, like we appear to be on the side of the bad guys. I mean, I think that JD did some tough talk, but what is happening is we have this meeting in Saudi that you referenced. The Ukrainians aren't even invited. Like we're having a bilateral with the Russians who invaded Ukraine and who we are sanctioning currently to try to cut a deal that Ukraine isn't even at the table for. And Europe is having a separate, you know, the Europeans are having a separate meeting at the same time. As you mentioned,
Starting point is 00:09:56 Kirsten, like the UK is out there saying, we're going to put boots on the ground, if necessary, peacekeeping troops to support Ukraine. And so like in this moment, like we're getting some mixed signals from the White House, but directionally, most of the signals are that we're sympathetic to the invaders, to the autocrats, to the people that are, were attacking a free democratic country. Like this, you know, whatever you thought bad about American foreign policy in the past, like this is like a massive shift. Like this is not just about judgment call.
Starting point is 00:10:30 It's like, it's the fact that it seems like that we're supporting, you know, the countries that are in conflict with what the American values have been in the post World War II era. So like at the top level, like that is the thing to me that's the most striking. And when you looked at these press conferences, both Hagseth and Trump, can't remember if Vance was asked this, but definitely Hagseth and Trump were asked, you know, as part of these negotiations, what are you asking Russia to give up and neither of them could answer.
Starting point is 00:10:59 Like Hagseth gives like a two minutes of gobbledygook because you know, that he couldn't come up with anything. And Trump starts attacking Europe during the answer to that question. And so I just think that kind of tells you all you need to know. Yeah, I think there was something about shooting values and that you can't do that. And Pete's answer, I can't really get to calling him Secretary Hicks yet. I'm still in Pete mode. Are and peat pals? Were you guys drinking buddies? No, not drinking buddies. We have socialized, but no comment.
Starting point is 00:11:32 No, I totally agree with you. And one thing that's been sticking out to me is how quickly everybody has folded from who they were beforehand. Because at least I was holding on to the idea. I know Mike Waltz really well, the national security advisor, we're in a foreign policy group together. Marco Rubio has been very clear about his foreign policy views for a long time.
Starting point is 00:11:54 And I don't think any of either of those two would have ever thought that they would be part of a deal that was going to essentially tell Ukraine, you have no future in NATO and you're never getting back your territory. I mean, even forgetting the pre 2014 lines, even from just a few years ago. And maybe that speaks to the awesome power of Trump. Maybe that speaks to the new realignment within the Republican party. But I don't see anyone in positions of power now that are going to be holding on to Traditional American views a foreign policy in our role in the world. No, I mean Rubio has been
Starting point is 00:12:39 basically a full-throated defender of the Trump push on this and and that pivot For him has been you know kind of happening gradually over time since 2016 when he was, you know, kind of the candidate that was running, you know, the most, maybe even more than Cheb, like the most W, like the most Bush compassionate conservatism like type platform of any of the candidates. And so, you know, no, who knows what, how things actually go. I guess it's better that Rubio is there in Saudi Arabia than some of the other potential people who could be there from the Trump orbit. Maybe there are things happening on the margins that matter.
Starting point is 00:13:14 And like you said, Waltz was a very traditional type of Republican. It is in the House as far as foreign policy is concerned. And, uh, I interviewed Tom Malinowski, the Democrat from New Jersey last week, who's, who's a pretty kind of hawkish Democrat. And so he was like, when I got to Congress, I was looking to Republicans that I could work with, like where we might have some overlap on foreign policy. And, and he was like, Walz and Stefanik were the two people that I turned to. And he's like, Stefanik has totally gone native with the MAGA. And he's like, it appears
Starting point is 00:13:52 like Waltz is doing the same. So we'll see how things shake out this week, but the signs are not positive. And it's really a sign of kind of submission to the Trump worldview from all these folks. What do you think is the likelihood that Zelensky gets his way? So he was speaking to Munich positive, and it's really a sign of kind of submission to the Trump world view from all these folks. What do you think is the likelihood that Zelensky gets his way? So he was speaking at the Munich Security Council and he said, we need an armed forces of Europe. This is after JD Vance essentially took a flame thrower to our relationship with Europe
Starting point is 00:14:17 in his speech. Clearly, Zelensky does not see us as the top partner opportunity for him going forward. Do you think Europe is really going to unify without us? Yeah. I mean, I wouldn't see us as the top partner opportunity either if I was him. Yeah. I think Europe will. I think it could be a positive outgrowth of like the Trump worldview that Europe ends up, you know, stepping up their game on defense and you know, takes more responsibility. It's not like they, I don't want to say they're not taking any responsibility for their own defense, but but actually, you know, sort of takes seriously the act that they might have
Starting point is 00:14:59 to go it alone at some point. I mean, you've seen this from people, from Europeans at the Munich Security Conference, leader NATO said something to this effect, which was pretty secretary general rather, which is pretty alarming. So I think that that's possibly positive, but like, okay, that has potential massive negative ramifications for us. You know, I mean, I was going full of stuff. There was a woman who is a journalist in Ukraine, whose quote just really kind of dropped me on my feet over the weekend. She said this, her name is Anna Merlakina. She was from L'Oreal-Paul and had to flee to Kiev. She said, when you live in a world that is crumbling under your feet, the only thing
Starting point is 00:15:41 that helps you survive is to believe in guidelines and civilized democratic countries that uphold values. When countries like the United States cease to be pillars, there's nothing to hope for. I mean, that is like that is a jaw dropping quote from from somebody over in Ukraine. And I just think that's reflective of how people in Europe are going to see us. And I just believe that there'll be negative ramifications to that down the line. We don't exactly know how or when, but I think that Europe will kind of decide that they should be prepared to go it without us.
Starting point is 00:16:12 Going back to, I guess, we got into ineffective Democrats very early on in the podcast, but I do, maybe just because I work in communication, I guess that I always think that there was an opportunity to do better if we had messaged properly about this and it doesn't feel like we have made the case. This is Democrats and Republicans, like obviously, you know, Mitch McConnell and the kind of more traditional set have been,
Starting point is 00:16:38 you know, screaming from the rooftops at a low pitch. He doesn't scream so loud anymore at 83, but have been trying to talk about the importance of keeping together the democratic world order and that you need to support countries that share our values. And it feels like that has just fallen on completely deaf ears and that people have moved to this world where it's what about me first
Starting point is 00:17:02 and can't see the second order effects if we end up abandoning Ukraine. So do you think there's anything we could have done or this storm, which is taking over the world, right? Was there any way to stop this? On this one, I'll let you make fun of the Democrats communications and I'll take responsibility for my people because I think possibly no because of Iraq, honestly. Like I do think that it was just such a debacle that there, you know, within the country,
Starting point is 00:17:32 like there has just become an increased skepticism or like hostility to the idea that we should be involved overseas in foreign conflicts. And I think it's very complicated to then say, okay, well, this is not Iraq, right? Like Ukraine is different. Like we don't have troops on the ground. We're not trying to do regime change. We're trying to defend an ally.
Starting point is 00:17:54 And that helps us because, you know, if Russia successfully overtakes Ukraine, that's going to demonstrate weakness, you know, to the, you know, rules-based order. And that could cause threats to us down the line. Right? Like it's just, it's a complicated point to make, right? Especially in the face of, you know, really like pretty bipartisan, increasingly like opposition to us playing this role in the world. And so to me, the obligation is then like, this is what Trump has
Starting point is 00:18:26 unraveled is that there were a number of things that are not really popular among the whole country that leaders in both parties continued to do such as USAID because it was the right thing to do and because they were responsible leaders, right? And sometimes that is, you know, required. This is not ancient Greece. We don't have a direct democracy on purpose. Not everything should be decided based on 50% plus one vote.
Starting point is 00:18:57 You know, if that is true, I would have never gotten married. Right. Like that was a, that was an opposite, opposed vote until the Supreme Court did it. Right? Like eventually sometimes leaders have to do things that are unpopular because they're the right thing to do. Maybe sometimes they get held accountable for that Trump, because he doesn't care about any of that doesn't like have really core values or empathy or care about, you know, the American idea. It doesn't believe that, doesn't believe that exists only believes their American
Starting point is 00:19:24 interests, um, has wiped away all of that. American idea, doesn't believe that exists, only believes their American interests has wiped away all of that. And so I don't know that the Democrats could have, just by making their messaging better, changed people's view of this or broadly America's role when it comes to aid. So I think that you could probably give a few of them some lessons on how to make those arguments better, having watched you on the five and having watched some of them. But I felt I don't know that it would have actually made the difference in this case.
Starting point is 00:19:54 It's just such a big failure when you think about how core Biden made it to his reason for being right. I mean, part of it was I have to get you all through COVID and I can be America's grandpa and I'm the most empathetic man you ever met. But it was also like this return to normalcy and people's lived experience was just so not commensurate with the world that he was talking about that they were just like, F you, right?
Starting point is 00:20:21 I'm out. It was a failure. And I don't. I mean, obviously Biden's inability to deliver a message had ramifications. In this case, was that the key difference? I don't know. But I mean, I think it was a problem across multiple verticals and it relates to the democratic stuff now.
Starting point is 00:20:39 It just, he was absent, right? And there was a moment in 2020 where I think people were so fucking sick of the news and Trump and COVID. Like the idea that Biden wouldn't be in their lives every day was kind of, people were like, that's a good thing. There were at least some people out there that that was an attractive, but like over time as crises unfolded, as inflation happened, as the invasion of Ukraine happened, as, as 10-7 happened, you know, people need
Starting point is 00:21:02 somebody that can talk to them, right, and to deliver a compelling message and that can, you know, demonstrate leadership traits or demonstrate strength at least. And I think that that was like kind of missing from the last couple years of the last administration. I would even say that the quality of the messaging wouldn't have mattered as much if it was happening as more frequently. That people actually just want to physically see you. And then their minds run wild and obviously there are people who are feeding this that are like,
Starting point is 00:21:31 oh, he's not here because he's dead, but he'll be awake at two o'clock and then he's going to die again. I totally agree with that. I never compliment Trump. So it's just how you want it. But like Guy has been every, like there was this thing on the left and like resistance world, like during the campaign that was like, Trump is just as old as Biden and Trump's, you know, brain is putting too. And like the media, it's so unfair that the media is making the Biden age thing, like the only thing that's like, I kept saying, I don't think that is true. Like Trump gives off crazy energy, not old energy. Like he just does. And since he's been in there, I thought, I didn't know. I thought it was an unknown. And like, could, might Trump win and just be so happy that he's not in jail, that
Starting point is 00:22:12 he's just going to golf and like go on the NASCAR track, which he did and like, do the fun stuff, do the fun stuff and the accoutrement of the presidency and not do everything else. And that's been the opposite. Like he's given more press conferences than anybody. Like, dude is, like, I lose track of all the press conferences he's done. Like, I missed one on Friday. You know, like, he's talking to the media all the time.
Starting point is 00:22:34 And I'm, like, that is how to do it in the modern media age. Like, and I think that that is something that those of us who oppose him could learn from. Yes, be everywhere all the time, even if they don't like you and their feed. I have this conversation constantly with people. I'm like, oh, but the engagement is so mean. And they're like, but it's engagement. Like that's what Trump understands. Like all the hate comments, they're still thinking about you.
Starting point is 00:23:00 You're still living. What did they say? Like rent free in your head. Um, I want to talk to you about the AP, but just really quickly, did you, I shouldn't say did you make anything because it obviously is a big deal about the State Department taking down the statement that they, that we do not support Taiwanese independence and like that feels like it's flying in the face of the way that we're moving with Russia because obviously that's China's red line. That feels like signature Rubio to me, who's such a big China hawk. Do you think anything's going to come of this or...
Starting point is 00:23:30 Matthew Feeney Maybe I'm wrong about this, but I kind of just see Taiwan going the same path as Ukraine, right? Where there is some resistance inside the administration that like wants us to be stronger in that case and that there's some resistance among Republicans on the Hill, resistance there's some resistance among Republicans on the Hill, resistance may be the right word, but some views among Republicans on the Hill and in the administration that are more hawkish on Taiwan than Trump's itself. But Trump was asked about Taiwan at one of his hundred press conferences we were just talking about recently. And he goes on a rant about how they've been stealing our jobs and how jobs for the chips need to be coming back to America. And how, you know, jobs for the micro, the chips need to be coming back to America.
Starting point is 00:24:10 And I, I just, if you just looked at the tone of his comments, it didn't sound like the tone of somebody that's ready to put American defense power on the line to protect Taiwan and I just don't see how a Trump Vance administration, you know, who has just laid the groundwork with their followers that they only care about us first. They only care about American interests first. We shouldn't care about what's happening on the other side of the globe. If a, if a, if a conflagration happened with China and Taiwan, I just don't know how they can go to their supporters and be like, oh yeah, that actually we need to put in a couple
Starting point is 00:24:42 hundred billion here or God forbid, troops or ships or whatever. I don't see it. Marco might be trying to fool himself into thinking that Trump sees China differently because it's a bigger threat, but I think that if Bush came to shove, we'd see pretty much the same thing we see from him on Ukraine. All right, so we've got a rogue Rubio moment. That's how I see it. And I think Trump likes that actually, too, by the way.
Starting point is 00:25:04 I will say this. I think Trump likes that actually too, by the way. I will say this. I think Trump doesn't mind if people are confused. He is not- He benefits from us being confused. Yeah, right. And so I think it's, I don't think that he's mad at Marco over this. I think that he's like, well, we'll keep them on their toes. That's part of Trump's mindset.
Starting point is 00:25:21 And so my point is just if push comes to shove, I don't, if I'm she, I'm like, these guys aren't gonna go to battle for Taiwan. That would be the bad idea. Yeah, like let them put whatever they want on their silly website about cooperation with Taiwan. Okay, moving on to something else, I want to talk about the AP getting banned. So they were kicked out of the press briefings and then they weren't allowed, briefings and then they weren't allowed, a photographer and a reporter weren't allowed on the presidential plane. And there was a big, I shouldn't, it feels so lame to say there was a big explainer because it wasn't
Starting point is 00:25:56 even like a real piece of journalism. But I got a nifty newsletter from Axios talking about the kind of history of this administration's objections to the AP. And basically they're mad that the AP's style book has used terms that they hate too liberally, like gender, DEI, inclusivity, etc. I'm old enough to remember when the other news stations stood with Fox News when the Obama administration wasn't going to let them in to do a pool briefing with a representative from the administration and basically ABC, NBC, CBS. They all said, if Fox can't do it, then we're not doing it.
Starting point is 00:26:36 And then they let them in begrudgingly. But it doesn't feel like that moment is happening at all. Everyone is bemoaning the fact that the AP is being excluded, but no one is doing anything about it. And I mean, this feels like a pretty obvious we, A, don't know what the first amendment means and B, we don't care. And we're running this like the wild west. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:26:57 I mean, the asymmetry is just so obvious. It's almost like, you know, it's like dog bites man to even mention it. But like, yeah, I mean, look, so in part, I actually would be defensive of the other mainstream outlets. Because I think that if ABC and NBC and CBS said, we're going to boycott in solidarity with AP, I feel like the Trump administration would be like, okay, peace. So it's like the conservative outlets need to do it.
Starting point is 00:27:22 Breitbart needs to eat suits. They're not going to. So I don't, you know, I mean, that's like the situation. I think everybody should just be aware of like what time it is and what's what's happening out there. As far as like the more interesting part of this, I mean, obviously, there's the First Amendment threat here. But to me is how all in these guys are going on like, you know, patriot, what I call patriotic correctness. Like, you know, it's not just enough to stop doing, you know, pro DEI activities. They need
Starting point is 00:27:55 to snuff out anybody that is using words or language that they don't like, right? And to a preposterous extent, right. Like the idea that like everybody has to use the new name of the Gulf that they just changed one minute ago, like it, you know, or else they're going to be banned is ridiculous, right. Like, and in some ways it's ridiculous as some of the most extreme things that you see like on the far left on PC, like demanding that people, you know, use, um, you know, use Latin X or whatever. Right.
Starting point is 00:28:28 And so I do wonder if it's going to backfire on them eventually. Um, I don't, I don't, are people really for this? Like it feels, it feels very mockable. So obviously it's serious, but I do think they are like very much being responsive to something that only like a tiny group of far right trolls who are super online actually care about. And I don't know if that's like a path to long term success for the right. No, they definitely just want to get in as many kind of gloating laps early on. I think that they know that it just gets more and more complicated.
Starting point is 00:29:05 And certainly as we head into special elections and the midterms and things like that, which hopefully Democrats will perform better than we did. That's interesting. So you do think that's conscious? Like they're like, hey, you know, this isn't going to last forever. This like gloating honeymoon. And so we want to like rub their face and shit as for as long as possible. Like there's like a little bit of that. I think they can look to past administrations and say okay
Starting point is 00:29:28 You know your first two years or when you can actually get things done, right? They have control of everything They're definitely trying it on right to the largest extent possible, you know Let's ram through four and a half trillion in tax cuts Like let's try to cut all of these entitlement programs now They realize that they're not going to get their wish list of all of it, but they are at a moment where they're owning the culture. And so I feel like they're just taking advantage and saying, okay, well, if we have ingratiated ourselves to a segment of the American population
Starting point is 00:29:59 that wouldn't have given us their time at all four or eight years ago, let's really go for it. And you can tell that also in the attitude that Caroline Levitt, eight years ago, let's really go for it. And you can tell that also in the attitude that Caroline Levitt, the press secretary, has about everything. I mean, she's so haughty and arrogant in the way that she delivers everything, which, listen, I wish that I had more of that in me. I wish I didn't have such a terrible case of imposter syndromes.
Starting point is 00:30:21 But like to be 27 years old and to walk up there with that, you know. It's a fact. It's the Gulf of America. Right. This is a fact. Right. Or like every man in Gaza is wearing a condom that we paid for. Well, actually, no. No, that's not true. In Mozambique, there are some condoms that got sent, you know, and it's the Trump bravado that if you say it a certain way
Starting point is 00:30:47 there's at least a good amount of people that are gonna believe you and I think that they're living for the moment, right? It's like a YOLO administration at this point and until there are real Consequences, I think they're gonna go for it with everything. I mean the AP is calling Mount Denali Mount McKinley right now. I mean, they're doing to go for it with everything. I mean, the AP is calling Mount Denali, Mount McKinley right now. I mean, they're doing half of the crazy thing. I wonder, is that true, like your comment about how they're owning the culture now? I can't figure this out. Like, is that actually true or does it just kind of feel like it's true?
Starting point is 00:31:20 And maybe that's a distinction without a... Would I be able to know the difference? Yeah, maybe that's a distinction without a- Would I be able to know the difference? Yeah, maybe that's a distinction without a difference, right? But I'm kind of like, is it just political obsessives who feel this way? I mean, did people's lives really just change, like, do they change, like, their mindset on this sort of stuff, like, overnight? I don't know. Well, they're owning infrequent voters-
Starting point is 00:31:43 That's true. That are 18 to 40, right? And those are real culture vultures. Those are people that are listening to podcasts. Those are people who are concerned about all of the dyes in our food. Those are people who are picking schools for their kids to go to and are disenchanted
Starting point is 00:32:01 with the public school system and wanting to get away from feeling like they have to use gender pronouns on their email signatures. I mean, these are real things that folks are thinking about. And so I don't know if owning the culture is the right way to put it, because I still don't think that Kid Rock is cooler than Jay-Z. That will just never happen. But, you know, I watch- You can tell where my line is with those references.
Starting point is 00:32:24 That's good. I know I can't. I can't fight the 40 and I'm 41 in a couple of weeks. No, but Kid Rock was on Bill Maher on Friday night and I found the interview really interesting. I mean, it was first of all, I had forgotten I guess that he played Obama's inauguration in 08. And he was like, it's not as if I liked Obama then. You just show up and you do this. But he was like, it's not as if I liked Obama then. You just show up and you do this.
Starting point is 00:32:45 But he was essentially mocking us for like liberal leaning people and you new to the side of the fence, but for freaking out about everything all the time. And I do think that they are owning the culture by making it clear that majority of people feel like it's just not that serious. And part of that is a mistake on Democrats' part by not making it feel like it's that serious in practical ways, not like the sky is actually going to fall, but like this is the way that your checkbook is going to be affected, this is where your kid is going to be affected. But like people are walking around just saying, I don't think politics is that serious.
Starting point is 00:33:24 And the Republican side seems like that right now Yeah, it's interesting. I mean that goes against you know my entire Like like everything in my body wants to reject that like, you know, I'm like things are singers things matter Actually, but I do it makes me curious about the Federman Kind of model because he, like that's kind of what he's doing basically, which is like mocking, like progressive who are like hyperventilating while like just basically voting with the Democrats all the time. And I don't think that every Democrat should act like that, but I do wonder if there is
Starting point is 00:34:03 some potential efficacy to having a couple of Democrats out there who have more of a slacker energy to try to break through. All right. Let's take a quick break. Stay with us. We're taking Vox Media podcasts on the road and heading back to Austin for the South by Southwest Festival, March 8th to the 10th. What a thrill! We'll be doing special live episodes of hit shows, including Pivot. That's right, the dogs going to the great state of Texas.
Starting point is 00:34:31 Where should we begin? With Esther Perel, A Touch More with Sue Bird and Megan Rapinoe, Not Just Football with Cam Hayward, and more, presented by Smartsheet. The Vox Media Podcast stage at South by Southwest is open to all South by Southwest badge holders. We hope to see you at the Austin Convention Center soon. Visit voxmedia.com slash S-X-S-W to learn more.
Starting point is 00:34:55 That's voxmedia.com slash S-X-S-W. Support for PropG comes from Mint Mobile. Imagine waking up to find you have an extra $25,000 in your bank account. What's the first thing you'd spend that money on? I can guarantee it's not give it all to an overpriced wireless provider. And yet, every month, most of us are spending a serious chunk of change on our cell phone bills. It can feel like every extra cent we save vanishes instantly.
Starting point is 00:35:25 Mint Mobile wants to change that. Mint Mobile says they offer phone plans for less than their major competitors, offering three month plans for just $15 a month. Customers get unlimited talk and text, high speed data and more delivered on the nation's largest 5G network. If you like your money, Mint Mobile may be for you.
Starting point is 00:35:42 You can shop plans at mintmobile.com slash propg. That's mintmobile.com slash propg. Upfront payment of $45 for a three-month, five-gigabyte plan required equivalent to $15 a month. New customer offer for first three months only, then full price plan options available. Taxes and fees extra. See Mint Mobile for details. The Republicans have been saying lots of things. Just yesterday, their leader said he wants to own Gaza? The U.S. will take over the Gaza Strip and we will do a job with it too. We'll own it. On Monday, the Secretary of State said an entire federal agency was insubordinate.
Starting point is 00:36:23 USAID in particular, they refuse to tell us anything. We won't tell you what the money's going to, where the money's for, who has it. Over the weekend, Vice President Elon Musk, the richest man on earth, tweeted about the same agency that, you know, gives money to the poorest people on earth. We spent the weekend feeding USAID into the woodchipper. Could gone to some great parties.
Starting point is 00:36:45 Did that instead. But what have the Democrats been saying? People are aroused. I haven't seen people so aroused in a very, very long time. Huh. That's a weird way to put it, Senator. We're going to ask what exactly is the Democrats' strategy to push back on Republicans on Today Explained.
Starting point is 00:37:06 Welcome back. Mayor Eric Adams just got a legal lifeline, but it came from the most controversial figure in New York politics, Donald Trump. The Trump administration's Justice Department dropped Adams' corruption case, but in a city where Trump remains deeply unpopular, that reprieve could be more of a political liability than a win. Now, Adams is facing accusations of being in Trump's pocket, especially after appearing alongside Trump's border czar, Tom Homan, and making moves that align with the president's immigration policies. Meanwhile the case's dismissal has sparked a crisis inside Trump's DOJ, a mass resignation
Starting point is 00:37:37 of prosecutors, including one who accused DOJ leaders of looking for a, quote, fool to take the fall. Have you been following that? Probably not as closely as me. Being in New York. Maybe not as closely as you, but I have been following it because- You're into it. Here's why I'm into it.
Starting point is 00:37:51 Hagen Scotton, who is the guy you mentioned, who said that, I expect you'll eventually find someone who's enough of a fool or a coward to file your motion. This guy is like a special forces dude who- Three Bronze stars? I think two, maybe two, whatever. I'll give him a third for this if he only has two. But who clerked for, so I believe he was Kavanaugh and Roberts and then Danielle Sassoon, who's the original person who wrote the letter to Emil Bov.
Starting point is 00:38:19 She was Scalia, a Scalia clerk. Both, I mean, both, like Scott and his letter kind of subtly implies that he likes Trump. I forget exactly how he put it, but he was like, I could kind of see the perspective, he's like, some people might be quitting because they're really upset with this administration. Like that's not me. And I kind of see how a businessman could think this was a good deal.
Starting point is 00:38:39 It's just not legal. Like that's TLDR summary of his letter. legal, like that's TLDR summary of his letter. And so the fact that it's these two people who are FedSoc folks who are stepping out. That's Federalist Society for maybe reaching moderates audiences are not as in it as the poll work. Yeah, who are like FedSoc. So they're like conservative legal folks who are just saying no, who are like standing up and saying, I'm not going to go along with this. And I think that's pretty powerful.
Starting point is 00:39:10 And it comes at a time when I don't know, at least maybe just me or maybe just the bulwark people are like thirsting for people to be showing a little bit more backbone right now. And so that's kind of why I've been following it less on like the legal nerd side, but just more on this is kind of how you do it as far as standing up to illiberal actions. Yeah. I mean, I was into it. I had been feeling starved, I guess, for some old school intellectual resistance, I
Starting point is 00:39:37 guess, not people out there with a sign, you know, like hands off my whatever. But, you know. I'm okay with those signs too. Yeah, sure. Yeah, I like them, but you know. I'm okay with those signs too, but yeah, sure. Yeah, I like them, but they're not getting us really anywhere at this point. But it feels like what they're doing is because it's a harbinger of bad things to come.
Starting point is 00:39:57 So the Adams case itself, or at least what we know about it, you would expect more, I guess, in the indictment. He definitely broke the law. And I thought that Sassoon's letter was, you know, very specific about that. And that does matter to people that are career prosecutors who take the law very seriously. But to me, I felt a little bit of a, if you think that we're just going to roll over for all of this from like the lighter fare of this, which obviously has very real implications for New York City politics and national politics even,
Starting point is 00:40:28 but that they're scared of what this administration is going to be asking them to do. Like, Pam Bondi will see us all as folks that are ready to just line up and rubber stamp whatever is to come. And they can't help the fact, even though Bondi was one of the lesser controversial nominees, which just speaks to how crazy the set of nominees were. But you know, Pam Bondi was all in on the 2020 election, was rigged out there front
Starting point is 00:40:55 and center on that. And to me, it felt like a little bit of a cry for help or at least a signal of like, we can't be there for whatever they are going to try because they've spent so much time bemoaning quote unquote lawfare. And it is very clear that they are looking to weaponize everything back for their own benefit. Yeah. And we also had a US trainee down here in Louisiana who quit. I think that there are a lot of those warning signs happening. And this guy, the character that I've been watching closely in this thing is this, I kind of hate saying his name, Emil Bove. Kind of want to call him like Emil Bove. I don't know. It's kind of a pretentious
Starting point is 00:41:34 name for one for a maga. But anyway, Bove was the person who in this assumed letter, I think the most powerful thing was like in the first footnote where she was like, someone was taking notes in the meeting where they told us that they were going to, you know, about the deal on the prosecution. And he collected the notes at the end of the meeting, which is like no note taking, which, you know, feels very fascistic. Though also kind of dumb, sort of, and I guess a lot of times fascism is dumb, like dumb, it's like, okay, well, the notes are gone, but people can still talk. I prefer it when it's dumb, because at least we can talk about it, that he took away the
Starting point is 00:42:08 notes. Yeah. And so, but he's the same guy who is at the center of the FBI firings, right? And there was that whistleblower, and if you saw that over the weekend, where they were saying that Cash Patel lied during his confirmation you know, the note taking in that meeting, the FBI meeting said that Boves had said that Cash Patel had and Stephen Miller were the ones that were asking for this. So they have this like kind of henchmen in at the DOJ. And so I think that it is pretty, it is good that, you know, cause there's always this debate, right? Like
Starting point is 00:42:44 should people like this stay would we rather have Hagen Scott and in there than whoever replaces him and And I think that in my view. It's actually better for these folks to you know Kick up a cloud of dust here and like draw attention to this person so people can watch it So it's not like happening, you know, behind the scenes and cloak and dagger. Yeah, though you do need good people to stay. I said a couple of weeks ago that we're, it's going to require thousands of Mike Pence's
Starting point is 00:43:13 to make it through whatever is to come over the course of the next four years. So I agree with you and I think it's also matters that this is happening so early on. I can't believe we're only in the beginning of the fourth week of this. But we are going to need people who are interested in the rule of law in a traditional sense, not in the rule of law just because I said so,
Starting point is 00:43:36 and Napoleonic slash Trump terms to reference his weekend tweeting, which did not feel like him at all. I don't know. That felt more Musk. Here's the thing that made me think it might be him. I was reading an article and that quote is actually from a movie called Waterloo that's not from Napoleon. And it's like… Beth Dombkowski It's accredited. Pete I guess. It's like maybe apocryphal, but like the direct quote is from Waterloo, the movie. The movie was in 1970.
Starting point is 00:44:05 And that to me feels like it could be a Trump cultural reference. He might have watched a 1970s movie about Napoleon. That feels like the thing he might have watched. But maybe not. I don't know. Because I agreed with you initially, it did feel musky. Or Stephen Miller. Someone got control of the phone for a second.
Starting point is 00:44:27 I don't want to belabor that Adam stuff that much, but part of the deal that I guess he's made, which he claims he hasn't made a deal with the administration, but it's quite obvious since he had to sit on the Fox and Friends couch and be humiliated by Tom Homan a couple of days ago, but is that they'll be easing or he's going to try to ease sanctuary city laws as it applies to Rikers. And the way that sanctuary city policy works in New York is that ICE can't be near the prisons. And the reason that that's the case is not necessarily that we don't want criminals to be deported, but it's because they could pick up people who haven't actually been convicted
Starting point is 00:45:11 yet, people who have just been charged and not gone through their due process, which they're entitled to. Do you have any views kind of thinking about the macro issue that I think liberals are finding themselves in is having been way too lax about illegal migration and even too lax on people who are here illegally and then committing violent crimes on how we should be approaching sanctuary policy. So my viewpoint, which is I think different from some of, from like kind of the conventional wisdom among democratic strategists is that like, maybe in February of 2025, like the right thing to do is to fight these guys tooth and nail and to figure out what happened and figure
Starting point is 00:45:58 out with how things shake out. And in 2026 summer, you can decide to be strategic and like figure out which issues are the right ones for the, for the electorate. Like we don't fucking know what's going to happen over the next year. So just fight them and try to make them fail. My exception to that is like on some of these, like there are a couple of policies for these two Democrats, like obviously got out way too far to the left away from public opinion.
Starting point is 00:46:22 And I, and I just, I do think sanctuary cities is one of them. too far to the left away from public opinion. And I just, I do think sanctuary cities is one of them. I'm, I, so I was like the compassionate conservative, most Republican I was, I'm like about as liberal on immigration as you can get. Like I was part of the group of Republicans that the Republican voters wanted to overthrow. And like the kind of McCain view of the world of immigration. So like, I am extremely sympathetic to immigrants and the plight of immigrants
Starting point is 00:46:48 who are fleeing, you know, oppression or fleeing whatever and want to come to America. That's what America is about. Like that said, like some of the sanctuary, you know, like some of the sanctuary city stuff, it just got overboard. It was just kind of crazy. Like, and I understand there might be like a specific reason why it makes sense to not have ice in the prisons. But I just think that like fighting over whether prisoner illegal migrants who
Starting point is 00:47:16 committed crimes in this country should be deported is like maybe one of the fights I would say, I think you can take a pass on this one, if you're a Democrats. So that would be, that's my view on that. Yeah, that's definitely the way that a lot of Democrats feel you, you already referenced John Fetterman, or you'd be like, why are you wasting my time with this? Right, this is, you're in a privileged position
Starting point is 00:47:43 that you got to be here illegally in the first place. And you can just see the next iteration of the Charlemagne ad about giving transgender surgeries for undocumented people in prison being written about something like this. It doesn't change the fact that the city council has to be the ones to revise sanctuary city laws. But I tend to agree with you that kicking up a massive fuss about it probably just allows Trump and co to continue to say that we're so out of step with where culture is. Here's the other thing. They are going to overstep on immigration.
Starting point is 00:48:19 So here's the area where I would say Democrats do not, like, don't need to be over cautious. Right? Like, people do not want dreamers to be deported, right? Like people don't want that. People don't want like people who are in this country, you know, whose parents brought them to this country when they were kids, you know, to be deported or to be separated from their families. And there are already a couple of examples of like very sympathetic, um,
Starting point is 00:48:42 individuals who are being either detained by ICE, like there was a guy in Newark who was a veteran who was detained by ICE. And so I think that there are going to be ways to fight immigration from a humanitarian standpoint that are beneficial for Democrats and they should choose those fights rather than fighting over whether prison deportations happen or not under the administration. Yeah, that leads me to something I've been thinking about in general about where Democrats show up and stand up and amplifying stories like that on a local level versus in DC. I mean, DC, unless you represent Virginia or Maryland, I don't think any of this should be going on in DC. I mean, DC, unless, you know, unless you represent Virginia or Maryland,
Starting point is 00:49:27 like, I don't think any of this should be going on in DC. I think you need to be back with your people and talking about stories like that. There was another one in Milwaukee, which I talked about on The Five, and rarely do my colleagues just shut up, but they were like, oh my God, that happened, where they took in a toddler, a mom, and a grandmother for speaking Spanish. And someone had to come with birth certificates, they were Puerto Rican, to get them out of the detention center. And the idea of a two-year-old in a detention center for allegedly, you know, where we're going to be holding people that have committed violent crimes and were here illegally when they're Americans and did nothing but speak another language, seemed to hit the audience hard. So.
Starting point is 00:50:13 Yeah. And this is, to me, and this is what I would say, local is fine, but what you're doing is, I think, probably the most useful. Like on Fox and on conservative media platforms and on culturally conservative platforms. Again, like people have this totally wrong view of what like the Manosphere podcasters think about all this stuff. They're like Bernie bros. Yeah, like you give specific examples like the ones you're giving like they're 80% issues. Like people do not want most people besides besides racist and like extreme, you know, far-right freaks do not want people detained for speaking Spanish in this country. Like
Starting point is 00:50:52 that is not something that is popular, actually. And so if you can focus on a couple of those examples and bring them in to the lion's den, I think that is like a much more useful way to spend time than having a press conference on the Hill. I know Jared Moskowitz, I saw it was on Fox over the weekend. I just think that like more is more on this stuff. I obviously agree with you. And that's always great when I see others showing up,
Starting point is 00:51:19 not even necessarily to get the click bait that worked in 2016, you know, how everything was just about owning the other side and there were those huge fights. Now it's like showing up and being reasonable makes even more of a difference because people's partisan lines have been completely scrambled, right? You can't predict it anymore in the same way. And so if you show up like Jared Moskowitz did and you sound reasonable about immigration, you know, he was one of the first ones to say, let me in the Doge caucus, for instance.
Starting point is 00:51:48 But then you hold the line about stuff that really matters and it gets amplified like that because he was on, you know, on primetime. They love it. They're going to get the clip out into their ether. We'll get their clip out into our ether. And suddenly, you know, Jared Moskowitz is president. Yeah. Well, it's to God's ears. But yeah, no, I, the prime example of this that I
Starting point is 00:52:07 saw recently was Zelensky did the Lex Friedman interview, Lex Friedman. And like, if you just look at the comments on Lex Friedman's YouTube, which is like, he is, he's like Magan the Musk way, right? Like he is like contrarian or whatever. He's not like a far right. He's not like a social conservative. You know what I mean? Like he's like a contrarian.
Starting point is 00:52:23 So he's in that sort of ecosystem. And so it's like that is a mostly anti-Ukraine ecosystem. Zelensky does the interview and like there were a lot of people in the comments that were just kind of like, huh, like, oh, I was expecting to hate him a lot more or he made a couple points, you know, like, so anyway, it's worth doing that. Or even people with that interview in particular, who are big Lex Friedman people, but thought he went too far in pushing him to say that Russia should get to keep territory that they obviously illegally took. I thought that was, even if it was just for that soundbite,
Starting point is 00:52:57 that it was worth the three hours of Zelensky's time to do it. I want to get to the future of the anti-Trump Republican faction, but quickly, are you pro-QoMo, anti-QoMo? Because did you see the ad he released, the Valentine's Day ad where he's with all of these older women, mostly women of color talking about how tough it is right now for New Yorkers, but we can always find a way forward and that the opposite of hate, the four-letter word that matters most is love. I think it was
Starting point is 00:53:30 the phraseology. Matthew 10 I am anti-Cuomo. I think that he handled COVID atrociously in addition to just all of his personal misdeeds. I maybe have some personal bias. I've got some friends who are in, who are in a conflict with Andrew Cuomo, let's just say. And so I think he's kind of a creep. I will say though, like Democrats need more people that like, who are like Cuomo, who talk normal. And he talks Italian, but like you can tell he's being authentically himself. He doesn't talk like a fucking valedictorian kid that's trying to appease the bosses in a PowerPoint presentation.
Starting point is 00:54:15 And I think that Democrats could learn from that. And I don't, you know, I don't, I'm no fan of his in particular, but I think that that is people want it. I wouldn't be surprised if he's successful in the mayor's race. Yeah. It's pretty crazy to think about, but the amount of normie Democrats that I know who don't like Cuomo for a whole host of reasons, whether it's the sexual harassment charges or even the management of COVID and lost people in nursing homes and just really wanted an apology for him that he couldn't get out there, just couldn't
Starting point is 00:54:52 muster the strength to say, I would have done things a little bit differently, which I think would have gone a tremendously long way. They're like, I could use a competent gangster right now. The city is in shitty trouble at this point. I hate being on the subway. And he feels like when you look at Adams on the other side of this, and you think I'm not going to go for someone as progressive as like Scott Stringer, that he might be the answer.
Starting point is 00:55:20 Woof. All right. One more break. It's just depressing. It is a little depressing. But one more quick break. One more break. It's just depressing. It is a little depressing. But one more quick break. Stay with us. This week on ProfG Markets, we speak with Alice Han, China economist and director at Greenmantle. We discuss the potential impact of tariffs on China's economy, how Tesla is faring against BYD, and how a Trump presidency could shape China's
Starting point is 00:55:45 foreign and domestic policies. Trump is the biggest dove in a house full of hawks. Everyone else around him wants to push him towards being more hawkish on China, on trade, on tech, on military. And I sense that whether it's Rubio or Hegseth or Waltz, they're going to try to push the agenda of being tougher on China and having more deterrence vis-a-vis Taiwan. You can find that conversation exclusively on the ProfG Markets podcast. Welcome back.
Starting point is 00:56:14 Before we wrap, and we've already been touching on this a little bit, but I want to get into it more deeply with you. There aren't that many Republicans openly pushing back against Trump's agenda these days. Mitch McConnell, for instance, was the lone Republican to vote against confirming Tulsi Gabbard and RFK Jr. And Tim, you pointed out on the bulwark that even the Wall Street Journal's editorial board,
Starting point is 00:56:33 usually a pretty Trump-friendly, finally took a shot at his economic policies. What do you think is the future for the anti-Trump Republicans in a party that seems like they've given up a bit, besides an editorial or two. Yeah, there's no future. Yeah, there's no future, there's no present. I felt this way for a while.
Starting point is 00:56:55 I'll give you a little scoop. I don't know if this is a scoop. Anybody who cares about me would care about this, nobody else would. I was planning on writing a book that was about, you know, that was the shorthand pitch for it was Trump is forever. That I just like, I felt like that, that the MAGA, that the Republican voters want Trump or something like it, right? Like whatever comes after Trump, if he ever goes away, you know, will
Starting point is 00:57:20 obviously not be a carbon copy of him because he has like a lot of unique traits and eccentricities and like it's, you know, you've seen how hard it is to copy him at the local level and how that has failed in other ways with, you know, Kerry Lake and others. But directionally, like the idea that of America first, of fighting these culture war battles, of not caring about norms and institutions and not caring about the traditional free markets and free people ethos of the eighties and nineties and two thousands of Republicans. All of that is gone. And it was already going to be gone, even if Kamala Harris had won. Because that's just what that parties are just parties are not actually permanent, coherent
Starting point is 00:58:09 ideological groups. They are a reflection of a group of people. And that group of people can change over time and it might change them up might change the nature of the party. And Trump has massively changed the makeup of the Republican party. And as a result, that will be in his image for at least, you know, until the next realignment for probably a quarter century or something. So I just think that is what's happening.
Starting point is 00:58:34 I think that there'll be individual fights on the, on the outskirts, right? Like you mentioned this Wall Street Journal article, which was an attack on him over tariffs and pushing for lower interest rates, given that's for inflation. If we get into a more normal future in 2028 where Trump doesn't try to run again and there's a primary, there will be some people who are Trumpy or pro-tariff and there'll be some people who are more traditional, free market conservative on trade. And on some of those issues, it won't always fall on the Trump side of the line. I think that there will still be skirmishes, little skirmishes in the ideological coalition, but
Starting point is 00:59:09 directionally things are to Trump. And people, nobody is going to stand up to them except for people like Mitch McConnell, who are already one foot out the door. And that's basically what we've seen for like a decade now. Do you have any idea about what happened during these confirmations to people like Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins, Todd Young in Indiana, or I should say from Indiana, who was really anti-Tulsi, for instance? I mean, is it straight like doxing, threatening you with a primary? Like Bill Cassidy already voted to convict him. So I don't, this idea that he promised Cassidy
Starting point is 00:59:51 to essentially RFK Jr. to not be who he is, right? And to say, you can be my dad and you can check in on me every day and make sure that I'm not gonna do these things when even the CDC site already has information about the flu down. So obviously that's not gonna hold up. Like what level of threatening or trolling was going on
Starting point is 01:00:13 to make people like this lay down and vote for every single one of these nominees? Yeah, and the Joni Ernst thing with Hegeseth was really, you know, I think the task for this. I mean, I was in, I worked in Iowa in a couple of campaigns. I was in Iowa, like during when all this was happening, it was like about, and I was like at an event with a lot of Republicans. And it was like in between when she had spoken out and when she had kind of folded, right? And there to a, to a person, I could not find a person at this event that thought
Starting point is 01:00:48 she was going to hold the line eventually. And there were some very pro-Joanie people there, right? And, and to people who like her and wish she would have held the line, like across the board, I got to people who are like me, who are elapsed. Everybody thought, no, because the voters wanted, you know, want Trump to get what he wants. Like that's what they want. And so she was just getting totally bullied online phone calls. And I think the other senators really saw that.
Starting point is 01:01:16 I think in addition to that, I do think in these private meetings, Trump and them basically said to the nominees, just tell these people whatever they want to hear, who cares, we'll figure it out on the backend, right? Again, cause these are not rigid ideologues. Like it's, it's, that is not what Trump is. So I think that helped, you know, give a rationale to some of these senators to do the easy thing. And I also just, I, Jesse, I just fundamentally don't think anybody was going to actually stand up besides McConnell, who's one step out the door and Murkowski and Collins will choose their spots because they have kind of a different sort of brand. Everybody else. I was with Gates at a TPU. I go to the TPUSA
Starting point is 01:01:54 annual gathering every year to just kind of, well, you live in Fox world. I don't, I want to make sure I'm not in my little bubble, my little resistance, you know, former never Trump bubble. It feels like a very unsafe place to test it out. It's fine. No, no, no. No, it's fine. The types of people that go to those sorts of things are the people you got to worry
Starting point is 01:02:10 about are the people who are alone in their basement getting radicalized, honestly, like people that show up to a gathering. At least I've found them to be relatively sociable. I had a few people shit talk to me, but I never felt unsafe. They're not bad to your face. I've always found everyone is like, I feel so terrible that I've been calling you the C word online for three years. And I'm like, well, stop doing that.
Starting point is 01:02:29 And I'm so nice. Do you want a picture? Yeah, that's hilarious. So anyway, I was with Gates and I was like, why'd you drop? Like, I was like, because I think that you were going to get through. And Gates was like, well, John Curtis, the guy from Utah who replaced Mitt told me, and I wasn't, it
Starting point is 01:02:48 wasn't an interview, so I wasn't taping it. So I forget the exact line, but it was, it was something like, I would sacrifice my children before I would confirm you. It was some like very ostentatious comment about, and so Gates was like, I didn't think, you know, it was clear I wasn't going to get through. And I said to him, I was like, ah, Curtis would have folded. And I like really think I'm right about that. Like I do, I do think that there's a lot of behind the scenes people, you know,
Starting point is 01:03:12 trying to use a little influence they can without creating any backlash. Like when push comes to shove, like the voters are where their voters are. And so like that is why you're not seeing anybody like the Todd Youngs of the world actually stand up. Yeah, unpopular opinion, but I don't think that you have to do everything that the voters want. Like they picked a person who can also think for themselves, who broadly represents their interests, right? And understands their constituency, but can think for themselves. their constituency, but can think for themselves. So if you pick one of 15 people that you don't think is unqualified for to kind of lay down your marker
Starting point is 01:03:50 in the sand and say, your children will be vaccinated or we will not have someone who thinks Assad wasn't really that bad, that might be good for you long-term, but I'm also not running for public office. That's a popular opinion of me. I say that to the Republicans I talk to all the time, fewer and fewer of them actually want to talk to me. So, you know, maybe that's part of why my influence isn't working.
Starting point is 01:04:12 But I'm like, you don't have to be me. Like, I'm not asking Republican senators or congressmen to troll Trump online, you know, to try to own him, you know, to like fight everything. Like, uh, there's a huge space between me and like total submission. And it's just like, they've kind of decided to abandon that whole space. Like there's just nobody that has decided to try to occupy that and succeed.
Starting point is 01:04:38 And I think that's wrong. I think people could, I mean, Collins, I guess, as the, as the exam, as the example, like I don't really love Susan Collins or everything that she's done, but she did manage to occupy that space in between total NeverTrump-er and total Trump sycophant. And it worked for her. She was like the only senator, well, this cycle a couple happened, but before, during the first Trump, she was the only senator that won and went the opposite way as the
Starting point is 01:05:01 state in 2016 and 2020. Yeah. You're saying that I wasted my dollars on Sarah Gideon. No, I think that was a worthwhile use of dollars for Sarah Gideon. I don't know if you gave any money to Jamie Harrison or that might have been a waste. No. I have a friend who is a doctor and loves politics but isn't in the day-to-day insanity. She'll send me like a New York Times article the day after and she'll be like, can you believe this? And I'm like, I need to talk to you about how fast the news cycle goes.
Starting point is 01:05:33 But she'll regularly send me a link to various Democrats and she goes, worth my money? I'm like, well, how much money? Like if you want to be spreading $10 all over the place, go ahead for it. But Amy McGrath is never going to be the senator that takes Mitch McConnell's seat. Okay. Thank you so much for being here. That's it for this episode. Thank you for joining us, Tim and the Raging Moderates crew. Our producers are David Toledo and Chinene Onike. Our technical director is Drew Burroughs.
Starting point is 01:06:04 You can now find Raging Moderates on its own feed every Tuesday. That's right, its own feed. There you'll get exclusive interviews with smart voices in politics, like our latest guest, Congressman Pat Ryan. Follow us wherever you get your podcasts. Also follow Tim in all of Bulwark world.
Starting point is 01:06:20 Thank you for being with us. Well, just me. Scott's not here, but he loves you from afar. I loved it. Good to be here. We'll do that again soon. Peace. Bye.

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