The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - Raging Moderates: Why Progressives Won’t WIN in the 2026 Midterms (ft. David Frum)
Episode Date: October 22, 2025On the heels of the No Kings protests that drew an estimated seven million Americans, there seems to be a strong coalition to take on Trump and the GOP. But, what will the Democrats’ message be? Jes...sica Tarlov and guest host David Frum of The Atlantic discuss the Democratic Party’s predicament — and the value of tacking to the center. Plus: is there a justifiable rationale for the Trump administration’s deadly strikes on boats in the Caribbean? And, Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner’s insurgent campaign was set back last week by years of past internet comments coming to light. He has taken responsibility for his remarks — but, in a primary against Gov. Janet Mills, will it matter? Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov. Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Raging Moderates, @RagingModeratesPod. Subscribe to our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@RagingModerates Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Support for the show comes from user testing.
You can stop with the guessing because with user testing, you can test anything and learn everything from the people who matter most, your audience.
Whether it's an ad campaign, a website prototype, or a brand new product feature, user testing helps you see and hear real reactions in just hours, not weeks.
That means no guesswork and no wasted effort, just insights you can act on right away.
Teams use user testing to move faster, make smarter decisions, and craft experiences people truly love.
Real people, real reactions, real fast.
Learn more at usertesting.com slash prop G.
Support for the show comes from Sacks Fifth Avenue.
Sacks Fifth Avenue makes it easy to holiday your way.
Whether it's finding the right gift or the right outfit,
Sacks is where you can find everything from a stunning David Uriman bracelet for her
or a sleek pair of farragama loafers to wear to a fancy holiday dinner.
And if you don't know where to start,
sacks.com is customized your personal style
so you can save time shopping and spend more time.
just enjoying the holidays.
Make shopping fun and easy this season
and find gifts an inspiration
to suit your holiday style at Saks Fifth Avenue.
Support for this show comes from Notion.
There's only one of you,
only so many hours, only so much focus.
What if you had a teammate who could work just like you do
with all the contexts you have but faster?
That's what Notion AI feels like.
Notion is the connected workspace
where teams create, plan, track, and ship together.
Now with Notion Agent, you can get an AI teammate that finishes the job.
Notion agent can do anything you can do in Notion, completing multi-step actions end-to-end to move work forward while you focus on hard decisions.
You assign the task, your Notion agent does the work.
Try Notion and Notion Agent for free at Notion.com slash box.
Welcome to Raging Moderates.
I'm Jessica Tarlove. Scott is out today, but we have a fantastic replacement, someone that Scott is actually obsessed with. So it's always good when that works out. I have the Atlantic's David from here. David, it's so good to have you. Thank you. I didn't know I had this virtual relationship with Scott. Oh, he has a virtual relationship with a lot of people. And he tells me, well, he says it publicly, but if you don't listen to every Scott podcast, which frankly would require you to quit your job and only consume Scott Galloway content, you would know that he uses your line from your 2019.
peace. If liberals won't enforce borders, fascists will constantly.
All right. Well, thank you. I'm honored. Okay. If you're uncomfortable with the praise,
I can move on to. You want more? Oh, pasha. Are you a baseball fan? Because your Blue Jays won
the pennant last night. So my son is a Blue Jays obsessive. Okay. And this has actually been a
kind of, my late father was a sports fan, and I was such a disappointment to him,
so I would go to games and read a book, and he was, it just broke his heart.
But God has judgments in store for people who break their father's heart, which is my son.
I have three children, but my son was a sports fan.
And I had to take him, and with your son, you can't read a book.
Isn't this great dad?
Oh, yeah, loving every uncountable second of this unending spectacle.
So, anyway, he is so into the Blue Jays.
He is so crazy about this.
So, yeah, big day.
Yeah, my favorite line about it.
I'm not a tremendous baseball fan,
but I was thinking about, you know,
we've never met.
We just messaged a little bit.
So how can I connect with David from in the banter section?
So I was like, oh, Blue Jays, you're from Toronto.
But it's the first time that we'll have a World Series
with teams from two cities that the president has threatened to invade.
That was my favorite commentary on the situation.
That's very good.
If the Blue Jays win, the United States becomes the 11th province,
I think that's that they should be a little like,
Action on the table.
Is that how it works?
I think that should be how it works.
Yeah, I'm sure Carney has something funny going for how he'll react.
I think we nailed it in the banter section, so I'm going to get into the meat of the pod.
In today's episode of Raging Moderates, we're going to talk about why Democrats are still running against Trump,
why Trump is creating chaos for our southern neighbors, and we're checking in on Graham Platner's race and his controversial Reddit posts.
Yeah.
So it has been nearly a year since Democrats lost the White House.
I'm still sad, but you wouldn't know it from watching their campaign ads.
From Virginia to New Jersey to California, candidates are still running hard against Donald Trump,
warning voters that the Republican opponents are just extensions of the presidency.
Strategy may fire up the base, and it looks like it does, based on this weekend's no King's protest,
but critics say at risk sounding stale at a time when voters are looking for something more forward-looking.
I want to start with Democrats' strategy right now.
what do you make of the, you know, running against Trump all the time approach?
Well, can I just say something as someone who does this for a living?
Yes.
About the construction of the New York Times story that we're talking about.
So there you are a Democratic pollster going about your business, polling for mayors and governors and so on.
And the New York Times calls up and they say, what do you think about the future?
What do you think the Democratic message should be?
And maybe you're caught off guard and maybe you don't want to give away stuff for free.
So you say, I think elections are about the future.
the most anodyne, boring, meaningless thing.
And I think the Democrats need an affirmative message
as they campaign for the future.
So that's all you've said.
You've said nothing.
But the New York Times reporter
who's responding to different constituencies
that say, you know this guy, Graham Platner,
you progressives, foisted on the party,
he's a disaster, and you shouldn't have done that.
So what you do is you take the completely anodyne quote
from the Democratic pollster,
and you plug it into a story that is to say,
my progressive friends who foisted Graham Platner on the party
and Mamdani and all the others,
that was not a disaster. That was a good idea because you see elections need to be about the future.
So you don't have an evidentiary basis. It's a pure opinion piece of a kind that you're seeing in
some progressive places because Graham Platner is a disaster. And they're trying to build this
into something. And when you sort of add up the article, I think, okay, Donald Trump is the president
of the United States. He's a president who said he intends unconstitutionally to stay for a third term
if he possibly can. He completely controls his party. He's raising taxes without Congress. He's
imposing spending without Congress. He's demolishing the White House without
permission from Congress. He's quite unpopular. There are important races ahead in Virginia,
New Jersey, and New York soon, and there are midterms that may or may not be free and fair
next year. Of course you run against the president. Who would say otherwise? And the only
people would say otherwise are the people trying to convince their nervous followers that
Graham Platner was not a disaster. Well, I definitely want to get into the grand
platinum of it all. But in the piece that we're talking about, so this was Shane Goldmocker's
big piece from it was published on.
on the 19th, and it was one of the articles that was most texted around, I would say, in
Democratic circles.
And it, I think part of it was that it came off of the high of the No Kings protest, which felt like,
hey, we're alive.
And then Shane was like, not really, or like you're alive, but you've been saying the same
thing on loop.
And I totally get your point that when you have an opponent that is so unpopular and there
There's so many different threads to his unpopularity that you could pick at, that it's smart to run against it.
But Shane also had spoken to Chris Lissavita, who's Donald Trump's pollster, who said that this was a one-dimensional strategy.
Wait a minute. Donald Trump's pollster thought it was not a good idea for Democrats to run against Donald Trump.
No, no, no, no, don't.
Oh, okay. I guess we should follow your advice, sir.
There is more to this.
But they figured out something that we didn't.
And I have listened to many interviews with Chris Lissavita, and some of it I find super annoying and detestable.
And some of it, I think, like, he got something that we didn't.
And I'm not saying that we won't, Democrats won't win the midterms.
I'm not saying that special elections haven't been going in our direction.
But there are a lot of people who voted for Donald Trump in 2024, who gave him a shot again, right?
Who voted for him in 2016, then Biden 2020 and went back.
And also I'm thinking about younger people.
where the same kind of messaging doesn't resonate.
They actually do need a positive view of what the future is going to look like
or candidates that are talking about something that feels different from Donald Trump has autocratic tendencies.
Can I dissent from that?
It's not just the autocratic.
That's why you're here.
Okay.
So once there is a Democratic nominee for president, that individual person will need an individual person's message.
That's a bid off.
What is upcoming are the 2026 elections, which may or may or
may not be free and fair. And I keep saying that and people say, yeah, yeah. But like, that's a really
important asterisk. J.B. Pritzker was here a couple weeks ago saying the same thing. But if they are
free and fair, the Democrats will not win those elections, Trump will lose them. And there will not,
there cannot be a message because the message that works in one place is not the message that works
in another place. And one of the reasons the out party does well in midterms is the out party has
the possibility to run different races in different places, whereas the in party has to run the same
race everywhere. So if you're a Republican anywhere, you have to defend the tariffs. You have to
defend Americans being forced to pay more for everything. You have to defend Trump raising taxes
without permission of Congress. You have to defend the spending. You have to defend the wars in
the Caribbean. You have to defend everything. But if you're on the other side, you can attack
where your constituents are most likely to be impressed by the line of attack. And you can emphasize
different parts of the incumbent's record. When people try to sell you a vision of, you need an
affirmative message in a midterm election. What they're usually trying to do is bootstrap into
the party discussion, an argument that would not succeed on its merits. I mean, the No King's
rally demonstrated, you know who is very responsive to the anti-Trump message? Not super ideological,
middle-of-the-road boomers, who normally, Alex B. Keaton remember him? I do. He was at the No King's
rally, I'm sure. He's a fictional character. But he was there with his wife and daughters,
and they're very upset about different. He's upset about the tariffs and
the whites. These are your NPR listeners, right? That's a...
Not so much NPR. These are your Atlantic subscribers, actually. These are, these are the people
who vote in for PTA. These are the people show up all the time. These are people who don't
move around that much, who have homes. That is your midterm electorate, and it's not that
progressive. And so a lot of the progressive energy in the party is trying to bootstrap.
Well, we need an affirmative message. Here's an affirmative message. Let's do this.
When, in fact, what is going to happen in 26, if Americans are allowed to vote, they're going
to vote. Some will vote against the tariffs.
and some will vote against the wars in the Caribbean, and some will vote against the autocratic
tendencies, and some will vote against the mass roundup and detentions, and everybody will have
their own reasons. And you've got a coalition here that spans Bernie Sanders to Anne Romney,
and you have to talk to all of them and get them all motivated. And the affirmative message is
for the presidential election when you have an individual person who can make individual
decisions. Okay. I'm putting Chris Lifita aside. You've made him no longer relevant,
But you did say something about how the No King's crowd.
No, listen, this is fun.
This is like lively right off the bat.
You know, sometimes when you meet a new podcast friend, you don't know how it's going to go.
But I'm thoroughly enjoying it so far.
This feels not quite like the five, but we're alive this morning, which is great.
And you said something about how the No King's crowd wasn't that progressive.
And there was a big look into the candidates who have been winning their elections.
that the Times did pretty graphics as well.
And they were emphasizing how it's usually the moderate candidates that end up winning these elections.
And one of the things that came out of it that flies a bit in the face of what people had been thinking for a long time is that it's actually the economically progressive and socially moderate or even socially conservative candidates that are doing well.
It had always been, at least for me, in kind of the circles that I run in this idea that you had to be socially liberal and more fiscally conservative in order to,
to win votes. But that doesn't seem to be the case anymore. If you look at like a Ruben Gallego
and the way that he talks, right, he's unabashedly, you know, Medicare for all, tax the billionaires,
always talking about corporate greed. John Ossoff is doing the same thing. And you're seeing that
all over the country, but then they're shying away from being as socially liberal as certainly
the reputation for the party has been. What do you make of that? Do you think that is the secret
sauce to Democrats being able to win? In congressional elections, it depends where. So that's not
Abigail Spanberger's formula. That's not the formula in New Jersey. That's not Lizzie Fletcher's
formula in Texas 7. So in 2018, Democrats made their breakthroughs in House elections in places
that were kind of upscale. I keep pointing out in 2018, they won what had been George H.W. Bush's
district that had not gone Democratic since before the civil rights era. They won Newt Gingrich's
district that had not gone Democratic since the 70s. They run Eric Cantor's district. And in every
one of those cases, they were winning with economically moderate women who were mildly socially
liberal, but those are affluent areas where that message worked. And so the whole point to a midterm
election is if you're the out party, you get to be flexible. And there is no formula. And I think
what happens is I think a lot of, there are a lot of democratic strategies who don't just want to win,
but they want to win a certain way. And they start with, we need an economically progressive
message. How do we do that? Well, normally economically progressive messages are quite hazardous
and even toxic, but it may be if you find someone with plaid shirts and tattoos, then you can
sell an economically progressive message. But I think, like, who's pushing this? Is this truly
an analysis of where your district is, or is this something you want to do anyway? And you're
looking for a way to get it done. And I don't, look, people have come into politics because they have
views. I don't criticize that. But you should always be, when you're talking to consumers of
information, be clear in your own mind and be clear to them, what is advocacy and what is analysis.
And the analysis is different things work in different places. And there are a lot of places that are
going to be on the map in 2026, where economically moderate and socially moderate is going to
be the formula. And where the attempt to have one more go at the Bernie Sanders campaign is going
to not work. Yeah, that's, I mean, I've kind of felt, I have a bit of a, it's like a 10-year bone
to pick with Bernie Sanders, basically. And I feel like he gets a free pass for a lot of the things
that he advocates for and also in the age discussion. And we're going to talk about Graham Platner
and Janet Mills towards the end of the show. But yes, Bernie Sanders.
politics obviously don't work everywhere, but as someone who works in conservative media,
I know how important it is that you have the branding right for the party.
So yes, everybody goes out and they run their races.
And the people who are running races that don't fit the stereotype of AOC or Bernie Sanders,
they get ignored by the right.
Like, no one wants to talk about Pat Ryan.
Yeah.
Right?
That's very boring.
They want to talk about Bernie and AOC and Graham Platner.
Yeah.
So I'm thinking of this from a communication standpoint as well.
as the practical kind of on the ground of how you're doing it. And that's why I think I was drawn to
this idea of really emphasizing how much you can have a through fair argument about, you know,
pushing back on the quote unquote oligarchy, if you want to use Bernie's terms about it,
but making sure that you are not as socially liberal as Democrats have been in the past.
Yeah. Well, you definitely, look, if socially, what does socially liberal mean? The Democratic
weak points are crime, immigration, and to a lesser degree, trans. And those are not messaging
problems because being soft on crime in particular, it was the great unifying message of the
Democratic Party from 2014. The carceral state defund the police was maybe on the extreme edge,
but there are lots of people wanted to release people out of prisons. And indeed, there were
something like, I now forget the exact number of reductions in the number of persons held in
prisons, but it was measured with six digits, not five. So that was a real problem because
crime went, I remember writing about this for the Atlantic in 2014 saying Democrats are making a
huge gamble here. And look, 2014 is one of the low points in crime in the United States. There's
nothing wrong with making a little experiment. What if you reduce incarceration a little? But you
don't, on a gamble and a hunch and a whim, reduce it massively all at once because then you're
going to get a crime wave, as indeed followed, partly because of the pandemic, but continuing after.
But one more thing that needs to be said about the Bernie Sanders problem. Look, Democrats are the
party of the state. They're the party of government. They have things they want to do. And if they
you are the party of government, you have to elect people who know what they're talking about.
Now, if you're the party of the anti-state, then it doesn't matter.
Then you can elect all kinds of Ron Johnson types who don't know how anything works, because
you're not trying to make something work.
But if you're trying to make things work, you need politicians who understand how things work.
You need responsible people.
And I think there's a lot of chafing that Democrats look at Republicans and have envy
and say, well, why can't we have our own Ron Johnson?
Like, why can't we have one of those fools?
Well, you could if you didn't want to run the state, but since you do, you'd better get
someone who knows how things work.
And that's the problem with the oligarchy message.
There's nothing wrong with saying if you're, I'm not a social Democrat, but I'm not a liberal,
but if you were, you know, we want to have a more redistributive, nothing wrong with that.
How would it work?
And you know what?
It's not going to work through class war and antagonism.
It's going to work through mechanics of bureaucracy and government, and you better understand them
and better understand what the tradeoffs are and what kind of revenue measures work and what
are going to be counterproductive.
You need a real concern for the mechanics of government if you're going to be a Democrat.
Well, that doesn't fit on a bumper sticker.
And that's something that we struggle with constantly.
You know, you ask a Democrat, you know, even up to the leadership of the party, like
Takeem Jeffries, you know, what are the slogans?
And he's like, you know, speaks for 20 minutes or something.
And you say, no, it has to go on a bumper sticker, right?
Like, no tax on tips, build a wall.
And Ruben Gallego, in particular, I'm on a Ruben Gallego.
trip right now. So be warned for the rest of the podcast. But he was talking about how damaging
equity or the concept of economic equity has been to the party and that people don't hate the
rich. They want to be rich themselves. Or they at least want to be able to buy a home and a big
effing truck. That was his messaging. And I was like, we could run on, let's get a big effing
truck, I think, for sure. Yeah. I mean, look, everyone runs on the same slogan in every election.
more for you. That's everybody's slogan. And then the question is, what is more and who's
you? And that's where the footnotes come in. And then the questions, well, why haven't you got
more? And the different parties have different explanations. But it's just, look, the Republicans
have a structural problem, which is Americans care a lot about health care, and what does
the Republican answer on health care? Less for you. Yeah. So the Democratic fate is they are the
party of governance. And that means they have less room to nominate people who don't care about
governance. We do. We need to do some change, I think, in that reputation. But overall, you're
right, which is a pretty consistent theme with you. And we're going to take a quick break. And then
we're going to talk about wars in the Caribbean.
Fox Creative. Support for this show comes from AWS Generative AI Accelerator program.
My name is Tom Elias. I'm one of the co-founders at
Bedrock Robotics.
Bedrock Robotics is creating AI for the built world.
We are bringing advanced autonomy to heavy equipment to tackle America's construction crisis.
There's tremendous demand for progress in America through civil projects, yet half a million
jobs in construction remain unfilled.
We were part of the 2024-GEN AI Accelerator program.
As soon as we saw it, we knew that we had to apply.
The AWS Gen AI Accelerator program supports startups that are building ambitious companies
using Gen AI and physical AI.
The program provides infrastructure support
that matches an ambitious scale of growth
for companies like Bedrock Robotics.
Now, after the accelerator, about a year later,
we announced that we raised about $80 million in funding.
We are scaling our autonomy to multiple sites.
We're making deep investments in technology and partners.
We have a lot more clarity on what autonomy we need to build
and what systems and techniques and partners we need to make it happen.
It's the folks that we have working altogether inside Bedrock Robotics, but it's also our partners like Amazon, really all trying to work together to figure out what is physical AI and how do we affect the world in a positive way.
To learn more about how AWS supports startups, visit startups.aWS.
from nowhere.
One thousand!
Baby we were born.
Witness a true story
of risking it all.
These new songs,
they're the only thing
making sense to me right now.
To fight for what you believe in.
This is not going to be good for Bruce.
I don't need to be perfect.
I just know it to feel right.
Springsteen, deliver me from nowhere.
Only in theaters Friday.
Close the garage door?
Yep.
Installed window sensors, smoke sensors, and HD cameras with night vision?
No.
And you set up credit card transaction alerts, a secure VPN for a private connection, and continuous monitoring for our personal info on the dark web?
Uh, I'm looking into it.
Stress less about security.
Choose security solutions from TELUS for peace of mind at home and online.
Visit tellus.com slash total security to learn more.
Conditions apply.
Welcome back.
Trump says he's taking the fight to, quote, narco-terrorists ordering U.S. forces to blow up suspected drug boats in the Caribbean, but officials on the ground, including in Venezuela and Colombia, say those vessels aren't carrying fentanyl to the U.S. at all. They're moving cocaine and marijuana bound for Europe and Africa, which, you know, better than fentanyl, but still drug trafficking. Now, after a Colombian fisherman was killed in one of those strikes, the followed a spiraling. Columbia's president is accusing the U.S. of murder, Trump's cutting aid and threatening tariffs, which he loves to do. And even some inside the Pentagon,
are questioning whether this campaign is really about drugs or regime change.
What are your top line thoughts on what's been going on over these, you know, last several weeks?
We have 32 dead now in seven strikes, I think it was the latest count.
I've been obsessing over these subjects for a while, dating back to the Biden administration,
because one of the things that happened during Biden was a lot of Republicans rallied around the idea of the United States needed to conduct strikes inside Mexican territory.
That's where the fentanyl comes from.
And Ron DeSantis, when he was running for president,
talked about having a kind of naval blockade
of the Mexican Pacific coast,
potentially intercepting Chinese vessels carrying precursors.
J.D. Vance endorsed rocket strikes.
And these are Dan Crenshaw,
who is in a different world
would be a very important Republican leader
who is by no means a hothead
or not a very intelligent person.
He endorsed the idea of strikes on Mexican territory.
Now, this is not a war on the Mexican state,
but this would be war on Mexican territory
with or without Mexican permission, a very dangerous situation.
Trump was always less hot-headed on strikes inside Mexico than some of his other people were.
And once president, he's backed away.
And I think the Venezuela campaign is a way to give the people who wanted strikes inside Mexico something,
but something less dangerous than strikes inside Mexico.
It's on the high seas.
It's not on Mexican territory.
These are controlled incidents.
But it is, again, even though it's less dramatic and dangerous than what they wanted to do inside
Mexico, it still has dangerous implications. And the story about Columbia is an example of this.
So Trump can't even spell the country, Columbia correctly. He spells it like the university.
That is confusing, though, when you've gone after the university so much, right?
Yeah. Maybe it's like spell check, but...
I don't think true social has spell check. Sorry. Now carry on with your very smart point.
The United States has a very important relationship with Colombia, dating back to the Clinton years.
Columbia was a major source of cocaine to the United States. Crack cocaine was a big killer.
And Presidents Clinton, President Bush, President Obama had a series of programs to facilitate security cooperation with Columbia.
They became a very, very important partner.
And the Columbia has paid a heavy blood price to clean up their act.
And as part of the price, the United States helped Columbia to redirect its economy away from cocaine.
If you go to the supermarket and buy cut flowers, those are probably from Colombia.
And cut flowers need to move with incredible speed.
They perish rapidly.
Everyone knows that.
And so Bush negotiated and President Obama signed a free trade agreement with Colombia.
That's one of the last free trade agreements the United States entered into before the era of protectionism began.
So this is an important relationship.
Now, the current president of Columbia is kind of a loudmouth, and he's quite unpopular, and he's at the end of his term.
So he's someone, the relationship proceeds around him.
So he can be kind of an isolated figure, and he's very on the far left side of Colombian politics.
And Columbia tends to tilt toward the more conservative side.
He was the first, Petro was the first lefting president in like 35 years.
But when he says the Americans killed a fishing boat, if that's not true, that would be a very big lie for him to tell, because the United States could easily refute it.
And there are a lot of people inside the Colombian political system who would want to make them pay a price for making the relationship with the United States even worse than it is.
So without having a lot of confidence in Petro, I'm going to guess that that was not a lie.
And if it's not a lie, then you really have to think, well, what about the next strike?
This is not as hermetic.
And although all the strikes are illegal, if you actually are killing narcos, probably the American political system won't give you too hard a time about it. It's illegal, but these are people who deserve something. But if you're actually killing fishermen and it looks like the United States is, that's a moral reckoning. Yeah, well, there's also the story. There's a name attached for the first time to a person who's from Trinidad and Tobago who has disappeared that his family is claiming was swept up in this, someone who is also not a drug trafficker. And then,
We have repatriated two Venezuelans that survived these attacks instead of trying them,
which would indicate that we didn't have the goods to be doing this in the first place.
And you already mentioned that this would be illegal.
But if you get a narco trafficker, probably people will turn, you know, a blind eye to it.
And I think Rand Paul has been doing a very good job out there advocating as much as he can
for the fact that, you know, there are procedures you're supposed to go through when you do this,
especially if it's not just a one-off, right?
This has been 32 people dead, seven strikes thus far, and Trump has been asking for authorization
if he wants to go into Venezuelan land, which obviously has big implications.
And the Mexican connection is very interesting there.
Do you think, you know, I guess looping back to what we were saying about the authoritarian tendencies
of this administration, one of the biggest ways that they've been doing that is subverting
the role of Congress, right?
I mean, we basically have a unitary state, right?
is that what you would say, where the executive is all that matters. And, you know, there are a lot of
members of Congress that are hot and bothered about this, you know, Congressman Adam Smith,
Jim Himes, et cetera. But so far on the Republican side have only really been hearing Rand Paul
screaming about it because you're supposed to be able to get authorization, especially if you think
that the administration has something like regime change on the mind. Do you think that they
have that on the mind? And do you think there's any chance that there is some sort of discussion
within Congress about what's going on.
Yeah. Well, I don't think President Trump tends to have plans the way other kind of people have
plans. Concepts of plans. He has kind of instincts. Think of him as like an ooze that oozes
wherever it is not met with a blockage. He's got various kinds of authoritarian and corrupt
and sinister projects, sometimes just ego, sometimes making improper money. And he's just looking
for where is a place where I'm not going to get a check. And killing
drug dealers is a place where he won't receive too much of a check. But there are only so many
things you can do in the realm of Canada drug. You can control demand, and that means punishing
Americans, which is always unpopular. You can control supply, and that means getting involved with
foreign countries in various ways, and that's difficult. Or you can say, we'll control neither
supply nor demand and will have some kind of legalization, and then you get a lot of victims inside
the United States. So it's a triangle. There are only three choices. Controlling supply, the United
States has been working with that project since the 1970s. And the basic problem is violence doesn't
work. If you want to control supply, you need a, as happened in Colombia, you need to
create new opportunities for people who are involved in the drug trade, not all of whom want to be
criminals, to grow cut flowers instead of growing co-cut. And it turns out cut flowers were more
profitable. They were often like serfs to the drug lords. Cut flowers were a more profitable
business. But you have to protect them because the former surf holders would say, well, we'll kill you
if you grow the cut flowers.
So you needed to protect them.
But the idea that you're going to say,
okay, the way we're going to stop drugs
from flowing into the country
is every time we see a $40,000 power boat
with a crew who are making a couple of dollars a day,
carrying a load of cocaine that cost dozens of dollars
to manufacture, whatever its street value.
And we're going to send naval vessels
and jet fighters, and we're going to blow them up
with a missile that probably costs more
than the entire project of the boat,
just the missile.
That's a losing project.
I'm reminded very much of one of the great stories from the world of drug lore that Daniel Patrick Moynihan told in his memoirs.
It's 1971, and the United States has just made the largest heroin bust in the history of the world to that point.
This is the bus that was the origin of the movie, the French Connection, if you've seen that.
Oh, yeah.
Okay.
Five million dollars in 197, Dr. Evil, 1975, five million dollars.
Inflation has been compiled.
Inflation. So at the time that this happens, Daniel Patrick Moynihan is the Drugsar, the man in the White House with drug control responsibility.
He's enormously excited, and he's so excited that he summons up to helicopter to go to Camp David to meet President Nixon and tell him that they have intercepted $5 million to the fair one.
And as he gets on the helicopter, who is also on the helicopter, George Schultz, who was then Secretary of Labor, one of the great figures in American government over the 70s and 80s.
And Schultz has got the big helicopter headphones on.
He's reading the Wall Street Journal, and he greets Moynihan.
Moynihan is burbling with incitement.
And he says, George, I have to tell you what I'm going to tell the president about.
we just had the biggest drug bust in the history of the world, $5 million.
Schultz looks up from the Wall Street Journal and says, good, congratulations.
Not interested.
Moynihan is a little hurt.
George, you don't understand.
This is the biggest drug bust in the history of the world.
$5 million.
Good.
Congratulations.
And then Moynihan thinks, and then he remembered,
George Schultz used to teach economics at the University of Chicago.
George, I imagine you think that so long as there's a demand for drugs inside the
United States. There will be a supply. At which point, George Schultz folds down the journal interested
for the first time. It says, Dan, there may be hope for you after all. That's a great story.
So blow up the boats. It's going to accomplish nothing. You're serious about this. You have to
re-educate yourself to plan Colombia. You have to give people opportunities in the producing countries
that are better than drug-making. You have to protect them. You have to work with local authorities.
You have to do foreign policy. You can't just do Heg-Seth policy. You can't just do Heg-Seth.
Just let's blow up something and see what happens.
Well, the administration is not big fans of doing foreign policy that way.
And we saw that the head of Southern Command, General Alvin Holsey, resigned.
He was only a year into the job.
And there's reporting that he was pushing back against whatever this plan is and that Pete
except didn't like it very much.
Do you think there will be more pushback from within the rank and file?
And ultimately, does anything come of this back and forth with Colombia and whatever tariffs they're going to levy and the aid that they're going to cut off?
Yeah.
I think with Colombia, so Petro's out of office early next year.
The right will return to power in Colombia.
And I think probably the situation will get easier.
I think a lot of people, there will be pressure in Congress against the Columbia tariffs because they will recall that the reason there's a free trade agreement with Colombia is to keep Colombia out of the cocaine business.
And if you blow up the free trade agreement, you kill, cut flowers, I forget how many minutes you've got to move them from place to place.
Yeah.
But you don't have much time.
And if you put a lot of barriers on cut flowers, you can kill the cut flower industry as fast, almost as you kill the cut flowers themselves.
And then what do the farmers grow?
You know, there's a pretty obvious replacement crop.
And there are people who are, and the remains of the drug industry and the left-wing insurgency inside Colombia are still there, ready to come back to life.
My guess is they'll blow up some more boats.
eventually there'll be an undeniably innocent person
and it'll be a scandal
and then at that point it will also be undeniable
that this whole project is a failure
because you cannot blow up your way
to a drug introduction
it's not going to, as George Schultz would say
the problem is the demand inside the United States
it will summon forth supply from somewhere
and I think the thing will probably tend to fizzle out
I hope that you're right
that's less scary than you know
that we're suddenly doing regime change
and God knows
where I can't even imagine what that looks like
with our white house.
Well, yeah, Colombia and Venezuela
have been scenes of guerrilla war
going back to the early 19th century.
It's just, it's not a good place
for certainly not a foreign power
to try to impose control on the country
by controlling the capital city.
Yeah.
Well, they also, I mean, at least in the case
of Venezuela, are so natural resource rich
that it's a very different estimation
than it seems like based on the actions
or what they're purporting the actions are about
And Petro said that as well, which I'm sure pissed the administration off too.
He just said this about oil, right?
This isn't, and gold, I think he mentioned.
Okay, we're going to take a quick break.
Stay with us.
Craving an escape.
Bring the vibrant flavors of Mexican street eat energy to life in your kitchen with Tia Rosa tortillas.
Born in Mexico, Tia Rosa knows how to turn your next taco night at home and do the real deal.
Tia Rosa Tortillas at select grocery stores and get the good vibes going.
Everyone thinks we are in an AI bubble right now.
But so what?
Aren't we used to bubbles where people lose their minds financially
and Menadol straightens itself out eventually?
What if this one is different?
The point is, all of these other booms, nowhere near as unprofitable.
This would be like if every Uber costs 10,000.
and ran on giraffe blood.
That's Ed Zitron, a writer and podcaster, and a critic of big tech in general and
AI specifically.
And I'm Peter Kafka, the host of Channels, the podcast about tech and media.
You can hear my conversation with Ed Zitron right now on channels, wherever you listen to your
favorite podcasts.
Welcome back.
And before we go, we already talked about Graham Platner a little, but we're going to do
more plaid and tattoos.
Main Senate race just turned into a.
a headache for Democrats. Grand Platner, the Bernie-backed oyster farmer, once seen as the party's
next working-class hope, is apologizing for years of offensive Reddit posts about race, police,
sexual assault. Platner blames the comments on post-war trauma and say that he's changed. She also did
take responsibility, which I am always appreciative of and talked about as PTSD, too. But the
scandals dividing Democrats, progressives defending him as authentic, party leaders backing Governor
Janet Mills as the safer choice. I interviewed Janet Mills last. I interviewed Janet Mills last
week. She was definitely on message talking about, you know, I'm the tested candidate and the seat
is winnable if you have someone opposing Susan Collins who actually has a record to run on.
You know, you already previewed your thoughts, but what are you thinking about the race?
So let me say something about people who take responsibility. I would have so much more respect
for you. If what happened someone like this in their announcement speech said, now I have to tell my
follower something, which is when I came back from war, I was very disturbed.
And I put a lot of things on the record that I'm not proud of, and I'm sure my opponents will eventually find them.
You know what? Here they are. Let me disclose to what I said. And let me tell you why I've changed my mind about this.
If you take responsibility after someone else finds you out, I don't think you took responsibility.
Accountability begins with you being the first to say, and by the way, you owe this to your backers to say to them, you know, here are my vulnerabilities. I'm not trying to steal a yard here.
You know, one of the things that made Barack Obama so invulnerable as a new candidate with an exotic name was he'd written this big autobiography.
You want to find a bad story about Obama.
It's in the book he wrote.
It's in the table of contents.
You can look up like drug use, anti-American sentiment.
Yeah.
All there.
And he works it through.
So it's lost its power because he said, this is who I was.
This is not who I am.
This is who I was.
This is why I was.
This is why I changed.
Okay.
And you told us.
So I guess the change of heart is sincere.
So that's my question.
If you've got these things in the record and you want to be forgiven after they come out, you have to tell people.
And you especially owe that to your supporters, not just as an act of strategy, but as an act of moral, that's moral authenticity.
If you're sorry after you're caught, you're not authentic.
I mean, for some benefit of the doubt, I think, you know, Grand Platner, I think we're at the same age.
So we're both 41.
One, I am less terminally online than majority of my peers, but certainly, you know, I don't know.
I doubt I could run for office based on whatever old tweets or something, not like racist, anti-police stuff.
Actually, that's not true.
I could run for office.
Maybe I will.
But, you should.
You know, there's this discussion now about what it means to be a millennial or a Gen Z candidate and that they are going to come with a lot more baggage than.
a Barack Obama who had even, you know, written a lot of this stuff in his book does and that
people are a lot more forgiving of things that they find offensive or that all of society
finds offensive. I mean, we've elected Donald Trump twice, right? And his stuff is on tape.
For someone who doesn't use a phone, or I guess he does now, but, you know, famously didn't
use to, you know, ever email or text, like, you know, he's on tape talking. We could still grab her
by the, you know what. And I think that young people are so desperate for something different
than what the establishment has been feeding them for so long that they are willing to forgive
these kinds of things. Now, Janet Mills' campaign feels differently about that, obviously.
But what do you make of, you know, what the new era of candidacy looks like with people who have
been online their entire lives? Look, I think there are people who forgive in a very selective way.
So J.D. Vance forgives you if you say Nazi things. He doesn't forgive you if you say non-Nazi things. He's very harsh. If you say, I don't think Charlie Kirk was all that, then you have your visas yanked and be deported. But if you say Hitler was right and put more people in gas chambers and you're 42, that that's a youthful indiscretion that is to be forgiven even if you did it 10 minutes ago. I think just generally when George W. Bush, who had kind of a troubled past alcohol and maybe other things too, when he rent for president, he talked about it. And in his acceptance speech, he, he,
talked about in a very eloquent way. And I had nothing to do with this, so that I'm not praising my
own work. But he talked at one point about his life. And he wasn't specific, but he said,
I understand forgiveness because I have needed it. That once you say, I'm not going to go into every
sordid detail, but I'm letting everyone know there are things I'm not proud of. I'm not going
to be shy about them. And I'm going to acknowledge my remorse. That's a different message.
And someone unearths it and holds you to account. And then you have a story. Have the story first.
And not just as a matter strategy, because that's also how we genuinely know.
That's how we know you're remorseful, is that you bring it to let yourself.
Fair enough.
I mean, he obviously not even told even his, you know, highest level advisors about that
because there were people who left the campaign once they saw this and, you know,
found it obviously to be incredibly disappointing that he had spoken about that,
even if he was in the throes of PTSD.
You know, one more thing, the people leaving.
So if you are someone who, in your terms of,
20s had substance abuse problems, had rage problems, sexual misconduct. And you've talked to your
staffers about it. And you truly are a different person. They will die in the last ditch to defend
you. They will not quit because they will say, yeah, that was the guy I wouldn't have voted for
when we were all 20, but now we're all 40. And this is the guy or woman I would vote for. And they have
taken, everyone's got something. And this person has faced it and taken steps to correct it.
I believe in him or her even more than I would have if they were someone who'd never.
known the temptation to do anything wrong. If people are leaving, it's because you haven't been
straight with them. And if you're not straight with your staff, you're not straight with
anybody. That makes a lot of sense. And it feels like there's definitely energy shifting away from
Platner. We'll see how the next few weeks shake out because he has been, you know, he's raised like
$4 million already and has been a big source of excitement across the state. I wanted to get your
thoughts on the gerontocracy problem writ large, because the Democrats in particular are obviously
struggling with this. You know, Janet Mills is 77. Bernie, who's older than she is, is like,
you know, it's time for a change. But this is happening all over the country. And we did have a few
representatives who passed away in office just since Donald Trump came back in. And, you know,
there were seats left open where we could have, you know, taken key votes and needed that. So what are
your thoughts about when it's time to go? I've a rather, I've rather dark joke about this,
which I hesitate to say in a public place. No, go for it. This is a Scott Calloway podcast. Like you
You say all the dark things.
If I were like a Democratic senator quizzing a judge for or certainly a Supreme Court justice,
my first question would be Mr. Justice, Madam Justice, I have one question for you.
Do you smoke?
No?
Forget it.
Like if Ruth Bader Ginsburg had smoked, the whole history of this country would be different.
Yeah.
She would have had a distinguished career and been intensely mentally acute until age 68, 6970.
And then to the great sadness of all who loved her and to her seven.
but she would have gone to meet her maker
and gone to a just reward but the seat would become vacant
at an appropriate time.
So I think one of the things that has happened
is we've had this extraordinary public health revolution
that the baby boom generation and just before
have benefited from and people are not adapted to it.
And what also happens, I think this is more true
for men than for women.
You can go off the cliff quite quickly.
You can be a very vigorous and healthy 77
and then a very sickly and feeble 79.
And so it's surprises them.
They go into that last race at age 77 feeling,
I'm more or less the person I was at 67.
Maybe, you know, maybe I need a little bit more rest in the afternoon,
but I'm basically the same, and then bang, two years later.
It's gone, again, I think this is more for men than for women.
There's a lot of luck of the draw in how this goes.
You know, John McCain savagely beaten every bone in his body broken, it seems,
and yet he was vigorous to the very, very end.
Other people don't have that kind of good luck.
In general, society is living longer, and so you should expect the politicians probably will age.
And there's certain advantages to being there for a while.
You build more networks.
And, you know, something for voters to think about, but it's not the only factor.
And I think some Democrats are overlearning the Biden lesson and not understanding that the reason Biden's age was such a problem was because Biden ran in 2020 as the last candidate of the Democratic Center.
And he won as the last candidate of the Democratic Center.
And then when he became president, his age caught up with him. And he was too feeble to prevent, to resist the Democratic left. And so he ran a much more left-wing administration than he had promised both his party and the country that he would deliver in 2020. In 2020, he promised. And what you got in 2021 was basically a Warren Buttigieg administration. And that's not what Biden had promised. That's not what he thought he would deliver. And I think if Biden had been more vigorous, that's not what would have happened.
Yeah. There certainly could have been more pushback. I think.
against the more activist groups or consultants that were pushing things.
But, you know, I think even purely on immigration, if he had sounded like the Biden of
the election, we would not have had those first three years, which clearly could have been
avoided was just the laws on the books because they were avoided in the last year of
the Biden presidency as a source of great frustration.
And one of the other things that was a big problem was, look, this is probably the single
most consequential, most difficult decision Biden faced was, was what?
whether to push for schools to reopen in the fall of 2021. And in retrospect, we can see that
there's a balance of risk here because, I mean, there really were dangers associated with
opening the schools early. Kids may not get sick, but teachers get sick and kids' parents get
sick. You had to make a really tough moral choice. What is more important here? The future
of the next generation, because we know these kids are suffering from not being in school, or genuine
risks to older people. How do you balance that? And the Biden administration basically acquiesced
as many of the blue states said,
we're going to let the teachers' unions make this call.
And I think that is an underestimated fact
in why Democrats lost in 2024.
And it's an underrated fact
in understanding what's happening to American society
because we think about little kids,
but there are lots of people
on the cusp of dropping out of high school
or not in 2021, 2021, 2022.
And the closure of the school
has meant they dropped out of high school,
and many of them gone into trouble with the law.
The spate of carjacking's here in Washington,
a lot of the people who did that,
Those were not people who had to be criminals.
They were people who were marginal in school.
The schools were closed.
They went out.
Their parents were working.
They got into trouble.
And they did terrible damage to others.
And many of them will be in prison for a long time and never, ever get their foot back on the ladder that they would have kept their feet on how the school stayed open and they've been able to finish their degree.
Absolutely.
I mean, the learning loss is astounding and smart Democrats and some Republicans, but pay more attention, I guess, to the advice the Dems are giving are, you know, working on.
programs, like tutoring programs, to make up for that.
And I don't want to make this sound like it was an easy call.
It definitely wasn't. And there were some Republicans who went along with this as well.
But it is the dividing line in society. And I've noticed that, you know, when I'm talking about
whatever authoritarian thing Donald Trump is doing, that I get a lot of pushback.
Like, well, you're the ones who shut down society. You're the ones who told us that your kids
couldn't go to school. And New Jersey, the governor's race for Phil Murphy's second term,
being within three points, or that we have a governor, Yonkin, in Virginia, I think you can draw
a straight line between that and what happened with the management of our school systems.
And you want to know that when the call was made, the president of the United States really
thought hard about it and heard advice from all sides and balanced the decision. And of course,
look, I have very little sympathy for COVID second guessing. People will say things like,
well, the scientist said a different thing in September than they said in May. Yeah, called science.
have a completely new problem.
You know what?
Month by month, you know more about the problem.
So, of course, your answers change.
I mean, religion doesn't change, but science does.
So I have tremendous, for the imperfect information, for the real-time pressures, for the
balancing of interest, because teachers and parents' lives, those matter too.
But the President of the United States of the term system has to be the one to say,
you know what, the next generation counts most.
And if we're going to have a, if we're going to impose burdens, we want to have fewer burdens
on the rising generation and more burdens on those who've already being able to enjoy more of
their lives. Yeah. I think also, you know, as a nod to the importance of the transparency of
everything, and, you know, I'm a New Yorker. We had the Andrew Cuomo daily press conferences.
Having that kind of access or feeling like someone was actually puzzling it out in front of you
would have made people feel a lot more secure in those decisions because there were, you know,
huge balance of factors. And Randy Weingarten,
hasn't actually, I haven't read her new book, but I have not heard that it was a massive mea culpa. So I doubt that that's the case. But she hasn't done that either, you know, come out and really said I understand how disappointed parents were in these decisions. I think we could have done X, Y, or Z things differently. We could have built, you know, outdoor tents or recruited a bunch of younger teachers to come in for a couple of years and put our older teachers on Zoom classes and made it more of a hybrid model.
coulda whata shoulda I guess I don't know if that's an uplifting note to end on but it is the note that we are ending on David Frum thank you so much for joining me thank you and I wanted to say you dropped a hint that you were thinking about running for office does that say oh I don't know I not really no I maybe it's a it is a sad reflection on the state of our politics but I think that you can actually affect more change on the outside than you can on the inside at least the way that our politics works today well I hope I hope if there are people who
or within reach of your voice, they will think about it.
And understand the office doesn't mean,
there's something weird about people say,
if I'm not a United States senator, I'm nothing.
That state assembly, state senate, school board, city government,
these are all intensely important callings.
And I hope people who follow you will be inspired by your thoughts
to take up that burden business.
Every job matters.
I love that.
That is definitely an optimistic note to end on.
I hope that you'll come back again.
This was such a treat.
Thank you.
So kind of.
Thank you.
Thank you.
