The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - SPACs, Stocks, and Being Indispensable ft. Andrew Ross Sorkin

Episode Date: March 11, 2021

Andrew Ross Sorkin joins Scott to discuss the state of play on SPACs, the markets, and the tech stocks. Andrew also shares how the pandemic has impacted his family life and work. Follow Andrew on Twit...ter, @andrewrsorkin. (16:23) Scott opens with his thoughts on why states shouldn’t get a bailout, CDC guidelines, Netflix testing out short-form video clips (9:23), and Twitter testing out commerce on the platform (13:17).  This Week’s Office Hours: whether Twitter should acquire Reddit (54:55), NFTs (57:16), and a litmus test for whether you should go get your MBA (61:26). Algebra of Happiness: A poem from a listener (65:48).   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Episode 52, the atomic number of tellurium. There are 52 weeks in a year. Daylight savings is coming this weekend, so I am going to have sex on Saturday night for an hour and three minutes. Go! Um, Scott, I think you should try that again. There are 52 weeks in a year.
Starting point is 00:00:17 No joke, when I was 52, I decided I was going to spend a lot more time alone, and my partner said, that's selfish, and I said, no, it's not. It's for everyone else's safety. Go, go, go. Welcome to the 52nd episode of The Prov G Show. In today's episode, we speak with Andrew Osork and a columnist for The New York Times and co-anchor of CNBC's Squawk Box. We discuss with Andrew the market SPACs and our economic recovery, or lack thereof. I'm a huge fan of Andrew Ostorkin. I think there are, well, there are a lot of people
Starting point is 00:00:55 I look up to and think I would like their life, I would like their professional life, and Andrew's one of them. He's recognized a tremendous amount of success and relevance, writing. He gets his book made into movies, unlike the dog. But anyways, I'm a little bit jealous. He's also a very lovely guy. I've gotten to know him and his wife a little bit, and they're both just impressive, nice, thoughtful, humble people. Anyways, enough of me puckering up for the Canadian, Andrew Ossorkin. By the way, he claims he was born and raised in Manhattan. Don't believe it. Don't believe it. Okay. Okay. What's happening? President Biden is expected to sign a roughly $2 trillion COVID relief package into law this week after the House of Representatives voted on the bill for a second
Starting point is 00:01:38 time. The American Rescue Plan will be President Biden's first major piece of legislation. The relief package includes aid such as $1,400 stimulus checks to certain income groups, $130 billion for K-12 schools. That's a little bit late, isn't it? $123 billion for COVID-19-related policy and $360 billion to state and local governments with $10 billion allocated for infrastructure projects. Everyone has got their hand in the kitty on this one. $6 trillion so far in stimulus, or as I like to call it, a hate crime against future generations. Yeah,
Starting point is 00:02:11 maybe $1 trillion if it got to where it was supposed to go. But in a study released by CNBC, somewhere between 40% to 50% of young people who are already retail investors, so granted, they already invest in the market, plan to put the majority of their stimulus into the market. 85% of people receiving stimulus claim they're not going to spend it, meaning the stimulus isn't getting to the right place. So again, continued loaves of bread and circuses for the poor such that we can pump most of it into the market where we get that sugar high, that heroin hit of increasing stock prices, 90% of which goes to the top 1%. Yay, relief. That's not relief. It's further income inequality. This relief baggage is less bad than the rest. They have lowered the income limits for which you could or are eligible for stimulus. They are putting more of it towards what has probably been some of the most, what will be some of the most everlasting or some of the most evergreen damage, and that is schools being closed. So hopefully we'll get more schools
Starting point is 00:03:08 open. However, I think bailing out states is a bad idea. I think a lot of states are out over their skis, and that is slowly but surely they've been weaponized by special interest groups or their budgets have been weaponized by special interest groups. And the only way you can get elected is to promise to increase budgets or not have difficult conversations with unions. And I think of myself as a fairly pro-labor guy. I'm a member of a union, the UAW, as a matter of fact, that is the union that you join at NYU Stern. But anyways, look for the union label right here. Tattoo it on my ass just because I'm 56 and want to get a tattoo, so why not? Or maybe I'll just get a nose ring. Anyway, it's time for states and local governments
Starting point is 00:03:52 to get their house in order. Specifically, it costs 11 times the amount to build a mile of subway in Manhattan than it costs in France. And France isn't exactly known as a model of economic efficiency. California has become ungovernable and the taxes are so high. And what is happening? There is a giant sucking sound coming out of California, New York to Texas and Florida. Want to know who's all of a sudden going to find a hankering for Texas and Florida? Find the 1,000 people sitting on top of the largest unrealized gains and they're going to decide that, hey, I have $130 billion unrealized gain. My name is Elon Musk. I've all of a sudden decided I'm going to get a cowboy hat and move to Austin, or I'm going to break out the sunblock and move to
Starting point is 00:04:34 Miami. I don't think that's sustainable, and you're going to have to have some of these cities and states reckon with what has become an out-of-control cost structure that results in taxation for cities. And what you end up with is California and New York that have essentially priced themselves out of the market, where people are doing the math and are thinking, okay, I'm going to move to Florida and Texas, who are quite frankly, just more fiscally responsible. Now there's a price there. The schools in my great state of Florida, the public schools are not very strong. And you do pay for some of it in
Starting point is 00:05:05 property taxes, but there's a reckoning here. I think we're headed towards what I call a value accretion tax. What do I mean by that? What do I mean by that? This wealth tax that Senators Sanders and Warren are proposing, I don't think that works. I think once you get your capital beyond a certain... Once, in other words, you save that money, you're a wealthy person, you're not a wealthy person, and you've been taxed and you have a certain amount of wealth, I think of that as private property. And if you start Robin Hooding it, regardless of the intentions, you violate one of the core pillars of the United States. And that is we have a lot of respect for private property and the government can't come in and nationalize your private
Starting point is 00:05:42 property. And also, also they don't tend to work. When I say they, wealth taxes. Why? Because wealthy people are the most mobile people in the world. And if you institute a wealth tax in France and the wealthiest man in Europe, Bernard Arnault moves his residence from Paris to Belgium. And then when we start instituting a wealth tax in this nation, I think you're going to find that the billionaires in the U.S. are going to all of a sudden get a hankering for London or Singapore or Tokyo because they spend most of their lives on the road. Anyway, so I don't think it works. What we should have done, what we should do, quite frankly, is just have a more equitable tax structure to begin with. And that is eliminate
Starting point is 00:06:17 capital gains tax deduction. Why on earth is the money you make from money taxed at a lower rate than the money you make from sweat? Why? Because young people make their money with sweat and we want to transfer money and power from young people to old people as we've always done. Why is mortgage tax interest or the interest on your mortgage tax deductible? Why? Because old people own homes. Anyways, we just need a more equitable tax structure
Starting point is 00:06:37 and we need to begin thinking about if you aggregate $150 billion in wealth in California, leveraging their infrastructure, leveraging their great university system, specifically Cal State, the University of California, leveraging their roads, leveraging their infrastructure and their culture that the taxpayers have built up over a century, then you can't just take your $150 billion gain and peace out and then go monetize it in a low-tax state. I think we're going to see some sort of value accretion or sort of mutual reciprocity amongst states coming our way. And in other news, the CDC released its new guidelines for fully vaccinated individuals. Fully vaccinated means it's been two weeks after your second dose in a two-dose series,
Starting point is 00:07:20 like the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, or two weeks after a single-dose vaccine, such as the Johnson & Johnson one. The CDC says fully vaccinated people can gather indoors together without masks on. They also do not need to isolate or get tested if they've been exposed to the virus unless they develop symptoms. Just about 10% of the U.S. population is fully vaccinated, and President Biden expects there to be enough vaccines for every U.S. adult by the end of May. It's also actually a really encouraging number, a substantial number of people over the age of 65 have been vaccinated. So I think the CDC has lost a little bit of credibility, and that is, I think they're trying to thread the needle, if you will, between ensuring that people don't get
Starting point is 00:08:00 lazy or lackadaisical or that we fall behind the curve of discipline, and as a result, the curve explodes and we have more and more outbreaks. So you can understand the position they're in. But the notion, kind of their recommendations or their advice on how we should live our lives, in my opinion, has somewhat been disjointed from the reality of how most people are actually going to behave. And so I think they need to get out ahead of the curve with announcements like this and not only acknowledge the best science, if you will, or what the prudent course of action is, but the reality of how people are behaving. For example, I went down to Miami last weekend and guess what? This is exciting news. There is no COVID in Miami. At least you wouldn't know there's COVID in Miami. So the notion that they put out a release saying,
Starting point is 00:08:44 okay, you've been fully vaccinated twice. you can get together in small gatherings without masks. Well, thanks for that, boss. I got to believe that most people like that are already doing that. I think the more exciting thing is, okay, if you're over the age of 65 and you've been fully vaccinated, maybe it's time you can see your grandkids again. Maybe you can start returning to some sense of normalcy around your life. It just feels as if there has been a delta between CDC guidelines and how people are actually going to behave. And I don't know how you thread the needle between those two things. But I'm not sure when you see announcements that it's okay for fully vaccinated people to not wear masks and get together in small gatherings. It's like, well, something tells me they've already been doing that.
Starting point is 00:09:23 Netflix has rolled out fast laughs, short video clips to highlight its comedy catalog. Fast Laughs play similar to TikTok or Instagram Reels as the video clips play automatically and users can share the clips on other platforms, including WhatsApp, Instagram, Snapchat, and Twitter. Oh my gosh, Netflix, you fast follower, you little saucy minx. Netflix is taking cues from TikTok. And what happens when a marketplace explodes in value? It's blood in the water. It attracts new entrants. It attracts sharks.
Starting point is 00:09:55 Do you think that Apple would have brought back from the dead its Titan car project had the automobile market not exploded $700 billion in value. Simply put, if all of a sudden the automobile market had not attracted $700 billion in additional market capitalization, i.e. Tesla, I'm not sure Apple would have brought back or dug up the corpse of their car program. And TikTok is probably worth $200, $300, $400 billion, and the short-form video innovation, if you will. And Netflix says, I don't know, we can do that. We have a ton of access. We have a recurring revenue relationship with hundreds of millions of people.
Starting point is 00:10:34 Maybe we should try this short form. It's sort of interesting that Quibi got it so wrong, yet the format on top of an algorithm with original creators is probably going to be embraced or has been embraced by hundreds of millions of people. And then Netflix is looking into this notion of short video clips. And it just reminds me of just how brain dead Twitter has been. All of this started, the original gangster here was Vine. Don't get me started. Back to Netflix. Recent estimates suggest that the streaming giant's content budget could surpass $19 billion this year. That would be a 10% increase compared to the previous year. In addition, in addition, Nielsen reported that Netflix accounted for 34% of U.S. streaming as of Q2 2020. Wow. One in three minutes streaming with all those options and boom, boom, it's Netflix. Netflix,
Starting point is 00:11:23 gosh, what an incredible company, right? By the way, Paramount Plus, this just shows why the film industrial complex, specifically movie theaters and people wanting to grab their 100 million, 500 million, billion in the movie theater is literally collapsing on itself. And that is Paramount Plus, which includes Lionel Messier, SpongeBob SquarePants, Jean-Luc Picard, 72 bucks a year for all of that, six bucks a month. Or I can go to Alamo Drafthouse, which is a superior film experience, get a Lazy Boy, order a couple of Zacapas for the dog, and boom, that's 75 bucks. Well, which one is better, a year of Lionel Messier or Starship Commander Jean-Luc Picard. True story. Every year at Halloween, I dress up as the
Starting point is 00:12:06 Starship Commander. Huge crowd pleaser. Huge crowd pleaser. Anyway, that shows you why Alamo has recently declared bankruptcy. And that is the value you get from these streaming networks, the innovation in your living room versus the value you get at movie theaters and the innovation, i.e. pretty much none in theaters, is just absolutely clock these guys in the face. And we're seeing a dispersion of content. It is leapfrogging. It is frogging the traditional channels of distribution that were supported such that the film industrial complex or the healthcare industrial complex or the education industrial complex could grab their piece. Dispersion, who are the frogs? Coursera is planning to go public. They're a frog. They're skipping. They're leaping over universities. 98.6, telemedicine. By the way, I'm an investor in 98.6. They're leapfrogging hospitals and doctor's offices, remote anything, Zoom, Amazon, they're leapfrogging HQ, right?
Starting point is 00:13:08 They're going over every commercial real estate investment trust and saying, I know, let's go straight to them. We're going to see a lot of frogs. We're going to see a lot of dispersion and other interesting business development. Back to Twitter. Twitter is testing out shoppable tweets and looking for ways to better support commerce on the platform. TechCrunch reports, remember them, TechCrunch? So 90s, don't they feel 90s or nots or aughts, whatever it is? I think of Lindsay Lohan and TechCrunch. Anyways, that the shoppable tweets will include a shop button and integrate product details directly into the tweet, including the product name, shop name, and product pricing. Facebook's supposed to have had
Starting point is 00:13:43 huge success with their shoppable Instagram, Instagram markets, whatever it's called. So I think this is overdue. Do you get the sense? Do you get the sense? And by the way, I spoke to a very senior Twitter executive a few nights ago. They always call me late at night as if somehow it's going to be discreet or off the record when they call me late at night. And it is, the dog's like a vault. The dog's like a vault, right? Anyways, this individual said that the product development team at Twitter has never felt this much pressure. Well, it's about goddamn time. Anyways, let's hope that Twitter commands the space it occupies and continues to rule out innovation, including a shop button, and who knows, maybe someday even an edit button.
Starting point is 00:14:23 So Twitter, finally, finally feeling the heat, feet to the flame of product innovation. Let's do a fraction. Let's show a fraction of the moxie of the creativity of the innovation that the other platforms have demonstrated over the last decade. Twitter, we're counting on you. Tea to the winter, product development. Stay with us. We'll be right back for a conversation with Andrew Ross Sorkin. Support for this show comes from Constant Contact. You know what's not easy? Marketing. And when you're starting your small business, while you're so focused on the day-to-day,
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Starting point is 00:16:54 Welcome back. Here's our conversation with Andrew Ross-Orkin, a columnist for the New York Times and co-anchor of CNBC's Squawk Box. Andrew, where does this podcast find you? And I know it's Montreal. That's our big joke. You're Canadian. You can admit it here to me right now. Upper West Side, New York City. Upper West Side, New York City. That's right. Upper West Side, New York City. I've been to Montreal only a handful of times. Formula One in June. We're going, baby. Because you and I are close friends.
Starting point is 00:17:14 You don't know that yet, but you and I are close friends. We go to Formula One together. So when we patched you in, you were emotional, and you said that the reason you're emotional, or tell us why you're feeling emotional i um was just uh watching virtually i guess in this new world we're all living in a funeral for vernon jordan uh who for for those listeners don't know was was a great civil rights activist uh turned businessman um who did so many things for the Black community over the last 40 years, 50 years, maybe even longer than that. He just passed away at 85 years old. And Ken Chenault, former CEO of American Express, was just talking about him. And ursula burns uh former uh ceo of xerox was just speaking about somebody that she
Starting point is 00:18:09 described as her best friend and it was so emotional and to see such an outpouring of people and what he did for the black community in the in the business world was just so remarkable he had been on the board of so many of these companies himself and was a mentor uh to so many uh obviously worked uh side by side as an advisor to bill clinton uh who was also participating in the funeral but what i didn't appreciate was fully and i'd known vernon for a long time and just he was magical he was one of those people could own the room and when you felt like when you were in the room with him, you were his best friend, he'd tell you these stories
Starting point is 00:18:50 and he was just an unbelievable guy. But I didn't appreciate or know how much he was behind the careers and the lives of so many of the black professionals who really did rise to the top and what he had done for them. And that to me was something. You're always learning something new every day. And that was that for me. Yeah. I did not know Mr. Jordan, but yeah, there's been a tremendous outpouring. So let's try and get you out of this and let's pivot to the markets. That's the other podcast you have. That's right. That's right. So you,
Starting point is 00:19:27 I was thinking of the markets as this organism that absorbs millions of data points and then spits back a number. And you sort of absorb more points of light around the market than most people. And I'm just curious your sense. So interest rates, what's going on in the markets. When you look at the market right now, what do you think are the two or three things or themes or things people aren't talking about when you say, okay, if I had to describe some of the themes in the market right now, things that you're concerned about, things that you see that you think other people aren't seeing, what's sort of the gestalt or the vibe of the market right now, according to Andrew Osborne? To me, I'd say part of it is there's a,
Starting point is 00:20:11 and this is not a new phenomenon in the market, but buy the rumor, sell the news. And one of the things I wonder about is the market went on such a wild rollercoaster of a ride this past year. I shouldn't even say rollercoaster because it wasn't going up and down. It was going up. Kind of a rocket ship. Like a rocket ship is right. And here we are on the cusp, hopefully, of going back to some semblance of normal, maybe in the next couple of months, or at least the beginning of that. And all of a sudden, obviously, you're seeing interest rates rise. You're seeing the stock prices fall off.
Starting point is 00:20:46 And what's so unique and interesting about that is, oddly enough, investors always say they're looking at 12 months. They're looking at 18 months, 24 months from now. And here they were making that bet a year ago. And people, by the way, of course, thought, what the hell is happening here? Unemployment's going through the roof. At the same time, the market's going through the roof. How can these two things possibly be? Anyway, I think there's something very unique happening in that regard. So that's data point one for me that maybe now there's an expectation that a year or two or three from now, it may not be the roaring 20s, post-Spanish flu.
Starting point is 00:21:29 There's another element that I'm fascinated by right now, which I can't get my head around, which is the individual investor. This feels very late 1990s in terms of just the day trader, active trader. But the other thing that's new almost feels like a political overlay. I don't know if you feel this way. It's like a freedom thing going on. Well, it's cast as a movement. And I wonder how much of it is hype and how much of it is real. I can't disarticulate the two. So is it a movement? No, but when I say freedom, it's almost like people want to have the freedom, the access to be able to shoot the moon, to buy the lottery ticket, to play the game the way the professional, quote unquote, plays the game. But what's so interesting to me about that is, you know, for so many years, it was drummed into my brain that my job as a journalist, in part,
Starting point is 00:22:25 is to protect the small investor. Yeah. And that's something, protect the small investor at all costs. That's the whole thing. And so here we are in this moment where I'll go on TV or I'll write a column or whatever and say, look, this is a problem.
Starting point is 00:22:39 Like this whole GameStop thing, this is like cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs. Mm-hmm. What's the end? this whole GameStop thing. This is like cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs. Mm-hmm. And what you get back from folks online, on Twitter, on social media, is stop trying to protect us, Sorkin. We don't want your protection. And by the way, your protection,
Starting point is 00:22:57 you're not protecting us. Yeah. You're protecting the man. You're protecting the suit. You're protecting the establishment. We don't buy your faux paternalism. You're in a steam room with Carl Icahn and Gordon Gekko protecting them. There's a feeling that it's a conspiracy against them.
Starting point is 00:23:11 And so that to me is sort of a fascinating piece of it. And then the last piece, and maybe this is the sign that we are near a top, though, by the way, you know, Alan Greenspan famously talked about irrational exuberance, and he was right, but it was 1996. It was two years early. It was probably three or four years early. So maybe we'll be having this conversation in four years from now, and you'll be laughing at me. The whole SPAC phenomenon of these blank check companies makes no sense to me. It's not that it makes no sense to me. It's a sign of craziness. And when anybody and their brother, and whether they're a celebrity
Starting point is 00:23:46 or they're this or that, are getting involved in this stuff, and also just getting involved in deals that are not great deals, the disclosure stuff is terrible. And not enough people are blowing the whistle. And by the way, when you do blow the whistle, it's sort of like what I just said before. They say, stop blowing the whistle. This is my access, Sorkin. I want access to, this is like getting, I'm getting on the ground floor of an IPO. Why are you complaining? Why are you giving Chamath Palihapitiya a hard time because he won't disclose his fees? What is that? But let me ask you this, right? You're a big name. You were, say you were unencumbered by conflicts and a great operating group with great operators came to you and said, SPAC is a great way to just raise capital and we're going to go find a company in media. Would you want to be a part of that?
Starting point is 00:24:35 If you had called me 12 months ago. Yeah. Yes. Maybe. maybe. And if I thought it could be done honestly, and what I mean by honestly, with proper disclosure, because I just think the documentation on SPACs today is gross. Can you say more about that? Because I don't appreciate it. You mentioned fees not being disclosed. Can you say what is not being disclosed? Because I thought it was SPACs where they made all the disclosures in advance such that they could just add water. You're
Starting point is 00:25:02 saying that's actually omitting certain disclosures. What I'm saying is that I don't think that the average retail investor understands the various misalignments along the way with them. So when the SPAC is first, quote unquote, IPO'd, there's a group of investors behind it. You often see big names involved in some of the early, when the SPAC first goes off and those are brand names. But those brand names, by the way, that's a financial arbitrage play for them. They're not actually betting on anything happening. They're literally betting that they can clip a coupon for the course of two years if no deal happens and that there's a option on the other side if something magical happens. That's exactly what's happening and that's all that's
Starting point is 00:25:51 happening. What I don't think people understand along the way is the sponsor. So if I was doing it or you were doing it, Scott, you would be collecting effectively 20% of the company if you successfully buy something. So if you take, just for purposes of demonstration, so you do a $300 million back, you raise money, you get $300 million in cash. And the notion is you'll go put that $300 million to work. And typically you do a pipe or some sort of debt financing such that you can buy something for five, 700 million, a billion dollars. Totally. But you've collected at minimum, typically 20% of the original SPAC. 20% of the $300 million is yours. This is not pay for performance. This is pay before performance. You're like a banker, except you're getting 20% instead of 7% for getting the company public. Right.
Starting point is 00:26:44 And what's happening though, my understanding is if you double or triple it up with debt, that 20% effectively goes to 6%. And then the targets, the sellers are getting wise to the fact that there's more SPACs than there are good companies. And they're asking the operating groups or the SPACs to clip that 20% back. So the market is sort of efficient. So the market's starting to get there, right? There's starting to be some harder negotiations. So that's the first piece. Then the second piece is the de-SPAC when you go buy the company, right? And you bring in these pipe investors. Well, the pipe investors oftentimes are getting it... First of all, they get to look at the books, which you'd say is a good sign because it would be an endorsement of the situation. But oftentimes, they're getting it at a price that is purposely lower. Now, you know,
Starting point is 00:27:30 now when I say purposely lower than what it would otherwise be, some people say that's the equivalent of what an IPO used to be anyway, right? So, you have that piece of it. But I also don't think people fully understand. You're seeing with Chamath Palihapitiya with this transaction around Virgin Galactic. These guys are not long-term shareholders. What do you mean when he sold his entire stake? He sold the stake. He sold the stake. He was not in this.
Starting point is 00:27:53 To be clear, he still has a stake through his capital vehicle. But when you sell $200 million of stock in a company, I don't know about you, but it's just like, there's no way to put lipstick on a pig here. That is not a great forward-looking indicator when someone who knows the company really well decides to sell $200 million in stock. I wonder if these things, and I'm like you, I think SPACs will be here for a long time, but the SPACAC index is going down and I think it's going to continue to go down. And I think we will likely see that moment as a watershed moment when the kind of king of SPACs, and he was a visionary, he did it early. And I give him a lot of credit for it. Yeah, he kind of forged the market. But when he sells $200 million of stock in a company, especially a company like Virgin Galactic, I think of Richard Branson as a visionary. I think of Chamath as a visionary, but it's like, where's the engineer that's going to
Starting point is 00:28:48 put people into space? It just feels very vulnerable. What do you think? The air is coming out, or it feels like the air is coming out across the entire SPAC universe right now. I think it's coming out. We saw this already start to happen with this EV transaction that Michael Klein was involved in, where the stock had raced up to $50. And then, by the way, races up to $50 because retail shareholders are expecting a deal with this EV company. And then he turns around and sells stock to the, quote unquote, institutions, the pipe investors, at $15. So the stock's trading at 50 bucks and they're getting, and they see this. I mean, like physically it's happening in front of
Starting point is 00:29:30 you. That's what's different than an IPO. You know, an IPO, there's a little bit of a gamble, at least. This is like, you see where the stock is and you're getting to buy it at a massive discount. So I think that we're going to start to see some compression on this. And I do think some of the big name people who've been doing this or have been trying to get into this business, it will become less and less attractive for them because the fee structure will get pushed down. But when you look at the market, so you could also make the argument that the number of publicly traded companies has been cut in half the last 30 years. So this is just regression of the mean where more companies are going to be publicly traded.
Starting point is 00:30:10 But when you look at the market as a whole, do you say, all right, I feel uncomfortable with these frothy highs. We've probably got another two years. When you think about the stimulus just pumping all of this sugar, this steroid into the market. I mean, look at 2021, and none of us have a crystal ball, but you see, you're closer to the, you have your ear closer. No, look, I think that when you have, I mean, the SPACs are a great example. You have $600 billion chasing not $600 billion of worthy companies. And so there's an imbalance. What does that mean? I mean, the thing that I keep thinking about with all this is, you know, is there something systemic here, right? Can this all unravel, come undone in some terrible 2008-like way? I've been so scarred by that period and writing Too Big to Fail and all that.
Starting point is 00:30:57 And what I can't figure out is how that part of it happens in large part because it doesn't feel yet that people are totally over levered. Meaning I would say every financial crisis is, there's only one thing behind every financial crisis and that is debt that's leveraged. And you could have everybody doing terrible things. It doesn't matter as long as it's the debt is the match that lights the fire. The thing that I haven't figured out and I don't know if anyone's figured out is you know we use the phrase too big to fail back in the day back in the day 2008 it was in the context of banks today we use that phrase oftentimes in the context of municipalities cities states delta airlines delta airlines but countries yeah and a
Starting point is 00:31:43 crisis is a crisis of confidence and so is there a moment at which somebody says you know what i don't think these people are good for the money anymore and the whole thing unwinds and that's the part i don't know when we see interest rates rising and but we're also you know it's happening across the world so who knows who knows but let's if If you think about the correction in 2000, we had Pets.com and Cybershop, whose business model was buying Furbies for $60, selling them online for $20. And at one point, they were worth a billion dollars. And then in 2008, it was the subprime crisis or subprime debt or mortgages. If you had to pick one place where it starts here, I mean, everyone talks about stocks. I think the bubble is in the credit markets. I see companies that look like
Starting point is 00:32:31 fairly mediocre companies that are borrowing at 5%. And I look back, I go, you just need to go back seven years and much better companies went out of business and their bonds were at 12%. I mean, it just seems high risk, low return. Totally. So you could look at the corporate bond market, but the other thing that started to happen again is a little bit of the 2006-7 thing in terms of some of the way those bonds are structured. I think a lot of people thought the private equity industry would blow up in a financial crisis. And it didn't in large part because there were so many ratchets and other weirdo provisions and devices in the bonds themselves so you can extend and pretend for longer. And I think you're starting to see that again with some of these bond issuances where that opportunity will exist. So even if some of these companies do run into trouble, the dominoes don't all fall at the same time, which to me is always the thing I
Starting point is 00:33:31 worry about. Yes. Will there be companies that are going to go BK, bankrupt? 100%. Will there be a lot of them? I'm sure. But will they be massive names? I don't know. Yeah. So if you look at the market, it's really a story of tech. And that is the market sands technology stocks. It's just done okay to even meddling. And then there's a small handful of stocks that have basically dragged the entire market up. And I think it created a bit of an illusion that the entire market is doing really well. Do you see tech continuing to skyrocket or do you think there'll be a reversion and the old economy guys will have their moment?
Starting point is 00:34:11 And I mean, over the course of the last couple of weeks, market's been up and tech's been down. Compare kind of big tech and the rest of the market. Life is relative, right? Do I think that they'll have their moment? Sure, but their moment, I don't know how long lived the moment will be. And I don't know if you're going to see banks on a rocket ship the way Tesla was. I doubt that's going to happen. Do I think there'll be a reversion of the mean on some of the tech stocks? You'd have to think so. I mean, I just think, come on. I mean, has everybody not gotten their Peloton already? I mean, really? I mean, really? In the back, yeah, I used my Tesla to bring it home.
Starting point is 00:34:47 You know, so like, yes. And by the way, Peloton will continue to grow. It just won't grow as if it's, you know, going to the moon. So, I imagine the tech will, quote unquote, struggle in terms of in the market, but I think they're still great businesses. I think Amazon's such a killer, amazing business. Having said that, you tell me what you think is going to happen if Washington and this new administration decides to break them up. And by the way, maybe that'll be good for the market. Maybe they'd be good for these companies and their stock price ultimately. But you look at some of the names, whether it's Tim Wu or- Lena Kahn today. Exactly, Lena Kahn today.
Starting point is 00:35:29 If they have their way, and I don't know if they will, boy, would they take a sledgehammer to these companies. Yeah, it's gonna be very interesting and I would argue overdue. So talk to us a little bit, give us your thoughts on crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum thoughts. Oh, my God. You know, let me just say I was – I want to say it was Brian Armstrong.
Starting point is 00:35:59 I think I met Brian Armstrong. Brian Armstrong runs Coinbase. Maybe in 2012 or 13, 13 I want Brian Armstrong. Brian Armstrong runs Coinbase. Maybe in 2012 or 13, 13, I want to say. And I remember he was explaining to me and I didn't really get it. I didn't understand. He said, okay, you know what? We'll set up an account with five bucks. By the way, the five bucks today, I think is probably worth a hundred something dollars. I don't know what it is, but, and I didn't get it. And I just didn't get it. I do think it's not a bad store of value. I could see it being like gold if you believe in gold. Now,
Starting point is 00:36:31 Warren Buffett will tell you, don't buy gold. Gold is stupid and it very well may be. I see it potentially as a store of value, not as a currency. I don't get the currency argument. Yeah, you mentioned Coinbase. They're looking at going public, supposedly, at $100 billion market gap. I believe that's about 70 times revenues. And if it gets a pop, it could very well be worth more than Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, on the first day of trading. I don't know about you, but that just seems, what's the term? Fucking Looney Tunes to me. Look, I don't understand. But that's the term? Fucking Looney Tunes to me. I don't, look, I don't understand. And maybe I'm, but that's the thing. I've watched this thing go from, you know, whatever it was then,
Starting point is 00:37:12 a thousand bucks, 2000 bucks to where are we now? $50,000, say $54,000. So there's part of this is what do I know? And there's part of me that thinks, okay, call me in a couple of years and we will be having a different conversation. But maybe it'll be $200,000. Maybe it'll be half a million dollars. Maybe it'll be a half, half a million dollars. Maybe it'd be a million dollars. I've literally talked to people who have tried to convince me it's a million bucks a coin. And by the way, maybe if you play the gold story, that's what it is. And I do, but I do think, I don't know if you
Starting point is 00:37:39 feel this way. I think there's so many people, maybe they're boomers, maybe they're different who now are almost just, they're just, I don't want to say succumbing. They're just like, I give up. Okay, I'm in. I'm just, I'm going to, I've been wrong thus far. Now maybe I'm supposed to take the flyer. But isn't this when, you know, just when you think the train is leaving the station is not when you're supposed to jump on. That's the problem.
Starting point is 00:38:04 I thought it was overpriced at 19, and I thought, I don't want to have too much fear of missing out, so I'll buy a few coins. And I did a podcast with Michael Saylor, and you speak to him, and within two minutes, you just want to buy. Totally. This guy's smarter than me, and he's been right and right.
Starting point is 00:38:18 And I can't not buy things on sale, so I think, well, if it goes to 15 or 10, I'll buy in. And now it's to 54 and I just can't do it. I'm just not physically capable of doing it. So I want to switch gears. You're a role model for me for a lot of reasons, but one, I've optioned a couple of my books for theatrical or original scripted television production, except the difference between you and me is that yours get made. So give us some insight into the Hollywood side of the Canadian here. Tell us about Hollywood and getting shit on film and what you've enjoyed about it and what it's like. So I've been blessed and I should tell you, I'm working on a new
Starting point is 00:39:03 project right now with the great Jason Blum and Len Amato and HBO to put something on its feet around GameStop. So we'll see where we land on that. What an original idea. I haven't heard more than 12 of those. You haven't heard about one of those? Yeah. By the way, I'm working on one. I think you're involved in one too, right?
Starting point is 00:39:19 I'm working on one on Netflix, which means it's not going to happen. Okay. We'll race together. If it does not happen, yours will. Okay. So you're doing HBO. There's a lot to happen. That means mine will not happen. Yours will. Okay, so you're doing HBO. There's a lot of room. There's a lot of room in the market.
Starting point is 00:39:30 But let's talk about that. What's the theme? What's the story? I mean, when you look at GameStop, what's the drama? What gets, you know, how is Julia Roberts or, you know, or I don't know, Ed Norton involved in this. Like, how do we make it dramatic? How does it, how does it fun? Oh my goodness.
Starting point is 00:39:48 I think there's just so much drama. I mean, I think you could be, you could take it from the hedge fund side. You could take it from the Robinhood side. You could take it from Gil's side. I mean, there's just, you could go find some other people who traded on top of this.
Starting point is 00:40:02 I mean, I think there's just so, it depends sort of how you play it, but I think there's so many different ways to make these stories great. And I think people oftentimes with financial stories, which is obviously the stories that I love, they get anxious about, can you put that on film? How does it work?
Starting point is 00:40:17 You know, these guys, they're all supposed to be sitting in front of a computer screen all day. And I think both with Too Big to Fail and Billions and hopefully this, I think if you make it about the people, if you make it about them and their own story, there's so much drama in it. And even though there's some people who are going to be making billions of dollars, and first of all,
Starting point is 00:40:35 there's people making billions of dollars and losing billions of dollars. And so I think there are stakes in it. And I think it's always a personal story. And I think you realize that even these guys who have great titles on their you know, they do put on their pants the same way we do. And if you can capture the emotion of what's going on during those moments, I think there's really interesting stories to be told. And I feel like Too Big to Fail in a way sort of was able to do that in large part. You know, I think we all had sort of very two-dimensional views of all of these people that we were reading about. I know I did, and I was writing about these people. But then if you can get inside the room, if you can get
Starting point is 00:41:14 the viewer inside the room, they can see what everybody's talking about and what they're saying. Everything becomes gray. And to me, gray is where the magic is. Gray is where the magic is. You are so sexy. Gray is where the magic is. Gray is where the magic is. You are so sexy. Gray is where the magic is. Gray is where the magic is. So I'm just, I want to know the real Andrew Ross Sorkin. Can you tell us, can you give us a sense? I would just love to know your day.
Starting point is 00:41:36 Describe your average weekday. Take us through it. Oh, man. Okay. So pandemic has made things a little bit, I don't know, better or worse. I'm not sure in terms of just how the day flows. There's less moving around, which I guess may be better. Squawk starts at 6.
Starting point is 00:41:53 I'm usually up around 4, 4.30. I do that till about 9. Oh, not about 9, till exactly 9. You're on for three hours. Three hours. Jesus, that's real on TV. I usually get out of the chair around 7 to go get another, or right before seven to get another coffee if I can. Yeah, but what are you doing between-
Starting point is 00:42:10 We've got an espresso machine. What are you doing between 4.30 and six? Are you researching stories or are you doing scripts? No, no, no. Just getting ready for the show. I mean, look, so typically during the day I'm getting all sorts of notes and things from producers and I'm constantly back and forth with them about what we're doing the next day and who we're going to be talking to and which segments I'm going to lead. Maybe Joe or Becky's going to lead to other segments, and we're figuring all that out. And so I've usually read most of the stuff before I go to sleep at night.
Starting point is 00:42:37 Do you have any go-to sources for information? Is it Twitter? Is it the information? Is it like what are your go-to sources? I read the information. I read Twitter. I go to the Drudge Report. I obviously read the New York Times and Dealbook. I read the Journal and the FT. Do you get any of these lists like CNN's Five Things or Morning Brew or any of those? I like Morning Brew. I actually give them a lot of credit. I read Brian Stelter. I read Axios.
Starting point is 00:43:02 I read Politico. So, you're just absorbing a ton of information. Yeah, just taking all that stuff in. And then in the morning, you know, and it's changed actually over time. It used to be a lot of stuff would break at like midnight overnight newspaper, but now nobody holds anything back. So there's probably less new, new in the morning. But now I find myself on Twitter now a lot in the morning trying to see what's happened overnight. I often go to sleep. I mean, I'll get you through the rest of the day, but I go to sleep typically at around nine, 9.30. So I sort of miss sometimes what's going on at night. But I should say one of the things I'm doing,
Starting point is 00:43:34 by the way, at 4.35, 5.30 is, you know, we publish Dealbook, the newsletter, which is my baby and something that I spend an inordinate amount of time on. So oftentimes I'm slacking with the team. Jason Carrion, Michael de la Merced are working in London. So they're up even earlier than I am. And so we're going over what's, you know, last minute changes, things like that in the newsletter, which is also, by the way, self-assessing very helpful to me for the show, because it's also like a way for me to read in and understand what's going on.
Starting point is 00:44:04 Yeah. And the thing I love about writing is it forces you to actually understand a topic somewhat exactly so anyway nine rolls around um in the old days after the show we'd probably meet with producers and talk about the next day today these days i probably do it more on the phone and maybe some zooms a little bit but not so much zooming just jumping on the phone and maybe some Zooms a little bit, but not so much Zooming, just jumping on the phone. Today, I very proudly worked out for an hour, which I normally in the old days was not very good about. I've tried to get better during the pandemic. I don't know about you.
Starting point is 00:44:35 And then give us, so how do you wind down? What do you do after? So you do Squawk Box, then you do New York Times, Dealbook. And then, well, so now in this pandemic world, the great part is I have three children. We all have dinner together, which is amazing. How old are your kids, Andrew?
Starting point is 00:44:51 I've got a four-year-old and two twin boys who are 10. Nice. So we've been having a ball together. I mean, that's been one of the great blessings of the crisis. I know you're not allowed to say, or the pandemic, I know you're not allowed to say there's any blessings in it, but that has been like a meaningful one. And just, by the way, the idea that they can come in in the middle of the
Starting point is 00:45:09 day now. So that I feel like has totally changed us as a family, at least for me as a dad, just how much time we're all able to just be around each other. And that's been great. How do you think it's impacted your marriage, both of you being home? Your wife's an information age worker as well. So, oh, okay. We're going to answer this question. We're trying to be honest. So this whole podcast is honest, honest, honest.
Starting point is 00:45:36 In a way, I think we got so much closer, actually. But I will also say there were like, as I think with every marriage, especially when we're all together and just- Oh, and three kids under the age of 10. You're in Vietnam. That's not easy. I mean, we can talk about the Hallmark Channel version, but that's just not easy. No, I think there were jokes early on that we were going to, you know, some people said there were going to be a lot of babies when the pandemic was over. And other people said there'd be a lot of divorces when the pandemic was over.
Starting point is 00:46:03 And I'm sure there'd probably be both of those. I think, I'm hoping we will buck the trends of both of those as well. And I think we will. But yeah, no, there were a lot of tough times. And there was periods where I was freaking out and there were periods when she was freaking out. The good news was we actually, when we had our freak outs, they were at different times for the most part. So we weren't- What was Andrew Ossoff freaking out about? What were the moments that you were worried about? Were they about family?
Starting point is 00:46:32 Were they about work? Were they about, what were they? Why were you upset or stressed? I think I like a routine. So when, I think in the beginning, just the routine was gone. So I had to sort of struggle to get the routine back, to create a routine. And so I was just sort of not my normal self, maybe not my best self at all times. So in the beginning of the pandemic, we were in Connecticut. We'd gone
Starting point is 00:46:56 up to Connecticut and I'd sort of figured out a nice rhythm up there. And then the school started again in the city and I got back here and my whole life has been about work and, and seeing people for work, by the way. And I, I don't know if I'm supposed to admit that I'm supposed to say that sucks. And that's terrible that my life revolves around work. I love my work. I don't know. I have lots of, uh, misgivings about how I feel about all that, but I think coming back to the city and being, and, and, but sort of like doing what I do, but not really being able to do it was like a bit of a mind F for me. And I think there were, there were times where,
Starting point is 00:47:34 where Pilar also, you know, struggled with, you know, I think, you know, her, by the way, the book business that she's in was blasting off during this period, oddly enough. Yeah, it's done really well. But that also meant she was like crazy busy. I was crazy busy. The kids were having a new thing. Well, and I'm sure you picked up your fair share of the slack, Andrew, just like all men, just like all of us. I'm sure you absolutely put your shoulder down. Let's say it here. I never did enough and she is superwoman. So let's just put it on the record because she is superwoman. So let's just put it on the record because she is.
Starting point is 00:48:05 So, look, you had remarkable success at a very young age from these iconic institutions. Can you look, when you look back, like what are the learnings there? What pieces of advice would you offer young women or men that got you, you know, how did you get so much so early? Are there any hacks or what advice would you give to your younger self or younger people, younger listeners? So, first of all, I'm lucky. Let's just start there. Like, truly, truly lucky.
Starting point is 00:48:38 If you don't acknowledge that there's luck involved in this, I mean, I like to think I worked hard, but really, there's a lot of people who work hard in life and don't necessarily have some of these opportunities. To some degree, I think I was naive. I was somebody who all I wanted to do was get my foot in the door. I was happy to get coffee for people and Xerox and Staple. And all I wanted to do was somehow become indispensable. That's what I used to say, just somehow figure out a way to make yourself indispensable. Even if your indispensability is getting somebody coffee, but that they become dependent on you getting that coffee and that somehow the way you get the coffee is better than others. And I think that I was, I don't know if I was better getting the coffee, but I was
Starting point is 00:49:26 always, I always had ideas. I was always pitching, constantly pitching, pitching stories, pitching things that people could do, pitching business ideas. What, you know, I just, I wanted to get stuff going. I still do that today. And so I think it's about getting yourself, getting your foot in the door somehow, and then just making yourself useful and trying at least, you know, I like to think not having a total ego about it. I would do anything. I mean, literally would do it. I still think that some of the most fun I ever had in my whole career was working for Stuart Elliott, who was the advertising columnist when I was 18 years old.
Starting point is 00:50:02 And I literally, he would like send me around New York City to like pick up stuff. And I was having a ball. Let me, so as we wrap up here, so what would you like to do professionally in the next five years that you haven't done so far? Like, if you think, if you're really honest, say, you know what, I'd just love to do, I'd love to do this. What would be an indulgent thing for you professionally or something? What's a box that hasn't been checked for you? So honestly, and I know this is going to sound crazy, I genuinely feel blessed in that I've gotten to do a lot of things I've wanted to do. There's not much that I'm desperate to go do.
Starting point is 00:50:39 I would love to write more books. I'd love to put another film out there. I'd love to nail more books. I'd love to put another film out there. I'd love to nail the column. I'd love to write a really great investigative series or something in the paper. That's a box. I've written some things. I did this project around guns two years ago that I think, I hope, I like to think move the needle a little bit. I'd love to try to do that again. Maybe I'll have to try my hand at a podcast like you. It's like Bitcoin. I keep saying, get in, and you keep waiting. Right. Right. And here we are. And here we are.
Starting point is 00:51:14 So last question, and it's the same question, but personally, what would you like to achieve over the next 10 to 15 years, just personally, in terms of your own growth my own growth i do think this whole pandemic in a way has made me reflect a lot on like what's actually important and i do think you know i feel like i have some great relationships over the years that i've developed friends and things in the world of journalism and business that i've been covering for all these years but in the end you know what when when this gig is up the gig will be up and who knows what's going to happen there, right? The family is the thing that's hopefully not going anywhere. And what I hope is I hope I can somehow develop these amazing lasting relationships as a father and as a husband, not just when the kids are young,
Starting point is 00:52:07 but I want to be one of those dads, I don't know if I'll succeed at this, where the kids actually love you later and want to hang out with you. Is that possible? I don't know. But boy, would I love to figure out how to be that person. Andrew Ross Sorkin is a columnist for the New York Times and co-anchor of CNBC's Squawk Box. He's also the founder and editor-at-large of Dealbook, an online daily financial report published by the Times, and is also the bestselling author of Too Big to Fail, How Wall Street and Washington Fought to Save the Financial System and Themselves. He joins us from his home in Manhattan.
Starting point is 00:52:42 Andrew, thanks for the time and stay safe. Thank you. And hugs from Montreal. We'll be right back. Hey, it's Scott Galloway. And on our podcast, Pivot, we are bringing you a special series about the basics of artificial intelligence. We're answering all your questions. What should you use it for? What tools are right for you? And what privacy issues should you ultimately watch out for? And to help us out, we are joined by Kylie Robeson, the senior AI reporter for The Verge, to give you a primer on how to integrate AI into your life.
Starting point is 00:53:13 So, tune into AI Basics, How and When to Use AI, a special series from Pivot sponsored by AWS, wherever you get your podcasts. Support for this show comes from Indeed. If you need to hire, you may your podcasts. Support for this show comes from Indeed. If you need to hire, you may need Indeed. Indeed is a matching and hiring platform with over 350 million global monthly visitors, according to Indeed data, and a matching engine that helps you find quality candidates fast.
Starting point is 00:53:41 Listeners of this show can get a $75 sponsored job credit to get your jobs more visibility at Indeed.com slash podcast. Just go to Indeed.com slash podcast right now and say you heard about Indeed on this podcast. Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need to hire? You need Indeed. Welcome back. It's time for Office Hours, the part of the show where we answer your questions about the business world, big tech, entrepreneurship, and whatever else is on your mind. If you'd like to submit a question, please email a voice recording to officehours at section4.com. Question one, Brendan from New York. Go ahead, Brendan.
Starting point is 00:54:29 Hey, Scott. This is Brendan from New York. I'm calling to ask about Twitter. I know you've answered a lot of questions around this, and you have a point of view around having them by CNN, which I think is a really interesting idea. What about having them buy Reddit? It seems like where they're shifting to this interest graph focused and Reddit's design of interest-based subreddits, you could have this perfect storm of an interest-based feed in real time, tying to the depth of conversation and engagement that you get on Reddit, both which would be highly monetizable over times in terms of audience.
Starting point is 00:55:09 So let's talk about whether it's realistic that Twitter could acquire Reddit. Its valuation most recently was $6 billion, which means that they probably have to buy it for $10 because the people who invested at $6 don't want to get their money back. They want to make money. So this thing right now, because of the GameStop phenomena and Wall Street bets, it's brought a ton of attention to Reddit, ton of traffic. So it's probably 10 billion, which means an additional $10 billion issuance in stock and cash. That is a 16% dilution for Twitter. So I like the way you're thinking, Brendan, a lot of traffic, probably a lot of opportunity to monetize. It feels like though, I don't know, does it feel like low calorie
Starting point is 00:55:53 monetization now? Because it feels right. It feels very advertising to me. It doesn't feel like the premium kind of product you can charge for. And look at it this way. Look at it this way. I think you could pick up CNN for somewhere between seven and 10 billion. Would you rather have CNN, which feels more premium and probably an easier point of differentiation to move towards subscription or paid subscription? Whereas Reddit, I think takes you more towards Android and that is more clicks, more engagement,
Starting point is 00:56:19 more traffic that you would monetize with advertising. Because I'm not sure people think, oh, I'll start paying for access to Reddit information. But I like the way you're thinking. I do think Twitter has to go vertical. I just wonder if Reddit takes them more towards an ad model as opposed to a subscription model. And I wonder if Reddit has become too expensive,
Starting point is 00:56:36 if you will, for Twitter. But again, like the way you're thinking. And that's, I think, the way that Twitter should be thinking. And I think those types of questions should be discussed, have a robust discussion at the board. Thank you, Brendan. Question number two. Hello, Professor Galloway. My name is Tyler.
Starting point is 00:56:52 I'm a 2011 Stern graduate coming to you from the Lower West Side of Manhattan, Kansas. I'm interested in getting your opinion on NFT art and the opportunity to use it as an investment vehicle. At Stern, we learned that art was an asset class that is not correlated as well with the economy as other asset classes. And during a recession, can actually appreciate well, whereas other asset classes won't. Seems like NFT art is blowing up these days. Is this Bitcoin where Bitcoin was three years ago? Would you recommend going out and getting some pieces on Nifty Gateway or OpenSea? How do you see this as an investment vehicle?
Starting point is 00:57:33 Tyler from the Little Apple, Manhattan, Kansas. Always good to hear from a Stern Grant. So, NFTs, non-fungible tokens. Everything about Bitcoin, there's just certain concepts in certain people's names I can never remember or wrap my head around. And there's something about the blockchain and crypto that reminds me every day that certain parts of my brain are dying because I am barreling toward death. That's another post or another podcast. But anyways, I have trouble understanding every component of the blockchain and NFTs are no different. My understanding of NFTs or non-fungible tokens is that it's a means of saying this, not even
Starting point is 00:58:09 this art piece, but this video of this art piece or this representation of this media in this medium are singular and there is no other. And that has the opportunity then or the values of a currency where two people decide it's worth something. And it really just represents something that is a quote unquote supposedly a store of value if two people agree that it's worth something, which is the definition of a currency or a fiat currency. NFTs for me, and I got everything I'm saying from a blog post from Seth Godin, kind of the original gangster marketing thinker. I wonder or Seth wonders if people or artists are going to now spend more time trying to market their NFT. So just as SPACs seem to be more a function of how well someone markets
Starting point is 00:58:53 that SPAC as opposed to the underlying business, because these businesses are high growth, low profitability businesses that are all about the vision. And I wonder if NFTs take that to the next level where it's not about the art, it's about your ability to create hype or heat around this new construct or currency that sits on top of a piece of art. And I probably explained it incorrectly. And if I sound like I don't understand it, trust your instincts. But the art world, art is really incredible. As an asset class, I think it's the best performing asset class for the last 30 or 40 years. It just keeps going up because it's both a store of value and something you can consume. The majority of things that your consumption, whether it's a Tesla or a private plane or a couch or, I don't know, things you buy that you really enjoy, typically don't go up in value. And we convince ourselves to spend more money than we should on a watch or a piece of jewelry. But typically speaking, there's not a
Starting point is 00:59:48 very liquid market for them. Whereas when you buy a master or an old master or you buy a Damien Hearst, those things have exploded in value and people also get to enjoy them. And there's a big market emerging to securitize those assets and borrow against them. So the art market has just been a fantastic asset class for the last several decades. And this is sitting on top of it. This feels to me like something that is going to go crazy and get a ton of attention. And we're going to find weird pieces of art that have had an NFT placed on top of them, run up in value, and there'll be a lot of media and there'll be some FOMO and a lot of speculation. But this just to me, based on my
Starting point is 01:00:26 boomer notion or preconception of asset values, this to me feels like something that doesn't end well. So some additional context in 2020, the market for NFTs tripled to reach $250 million. In February of this year alone, just in February, this gives you a sense of the heat that's coming to NFTs. The 10 most popular NFT collectibles totaled roughly 400 million in sales volume. So $250 million in NFTs in 2020, and then just 10 in February garnered $400 million. Mind blown. Thank you for the question. Question number three. Howdy, Scott. Casey here. I just turned 32 last week and graduated with my bachelor's degree 10 years ago. I've been doing things in those years like moving from Dallas to Chicago to Portland and going from
Starting point is 01:01:11 project manager to scrum master to product manager. I did just cross the six-figure salary mark as of last September, which was a huge milestone far from the trailer park I come from, but I still have a confused sense of self-worth. So I'm considering starting MBA core classes online during COVID till I feel I can go somewhere in person, maybe late 2022, but I'm not all in on the idea. Do you have any kind of litmus tests for this decision, especially for a not as young person? And do you think the new administration could have an impact on tuition rates or something else I'm not thinking of
Starting point is 01:01:47 that should influence my decision? Casey, so I get different flavors of this question almost every day from somebody. And first off, 32 is young. It all feels relative because you're hanging out with people who are probably having kids or their parents are starting to die
Starting point is 01:02:02 or there's things happening in your life that make you feel like you're not a kid any longer. But 32 is very young. And the way to think about an MBA or anything else that's going to take a couple of years is you're going to be 34 in two years, no matter what. The question isn't whether 34 is too old to have an MBA. The question is at 34, would you rather be 34 with two additional years of work experience, or would you rather be 34 with an MBA? So just sort of put the age thing aside. There are several dimensions around this decision.
Starting point is 01:02:33 One is simply put your existing gig, and that is do you have senior level sponsorship? You're making six figures, which is good money. Do you like it? Are you accelerating? Is your pay growing faster than inflation? Are you getting more and more responsibility? Because there's a decent chance at your level, if you were to leave, they would replace you with an MBA.
Starting point is 01:02:53 So you might be interviewing for the job you left after you get out of business school. Some other things to consider. Do you dislike the idea of going to business school? Do you need a break? Do you enjoy academia? Do you want to make a pivot? Business school, I've always thought, is sort of tailor-made for what I call the elite and the aimless. And that is someone who has their act together as good, as ambitious, hardworking, but wants to pivot or doesn't know what they want to do. For me, it was a great kind of two-year
Starting point is 01:03:17 respite to sort of figure out what I wanted to do. Because going into business school, all I knew was that I didn't want to continue to do investment banking, but had no idea what I wanted to do. And an MBA is a great place, a great way station to kind of figure it out for a couple of years. Also, the financial position you're in. I don't think it's worth, I don't think an MBA is worth full freight unless you get into a top 20, even a top 10 school. Also, also, I would let the market decide. I would apply and then see where you get in. Apply to several schools. If you get your heart set on one school, that's almost a guarantee that you're not going to get in. So apply to three, four, six schools. Hopefully get into more than one and then play them off each other for financial aid. And let the market decide and then sit down
Starting point is 01:04:00 and say, okay, and sit down with some people you trust. Here's my current opportunity set. This is my seat right now. This is my financial situation. These are the schools I got into, and this is the cost. So getting a full ride at Wharton is hard to turn down. Getting absolutely no economic help and going to the business school at, I'm not even going to name it, second tier business school, I don't know. I don't know if that's even worth it unless you got nothing else going on and your parents are paying for it. So there's several dimensions here. Opportunity costs, the brand of the school you get into, which still matters a hell of a lot, the financial aid you get, and also just personally, personally, do you like the idea of going back to school for two years? Part-time MBA is also an option. I personally think a part-time MBA is a difficult way to go. It's three years of working during the day and then going to school
Starting point is 01:04:49 at night and your school's sort of accommodating, but generally speaking, your work doesn't say, oh, you don't have to work as hard because you're going to school. Also, is there an opportunity for tuition remission among your current employer? If they really love you and want you to continue to thrive, maybe they'd be willing to pay for some of that part-time MBA. However, however, you're making $100,000. You're 32, which is very young. So at the end of the day, at the end of the day, Casey, you should take time to reflect on your blessings and your achievements. You are doing really well. Thanks for the question, Casey. So algebra of happiness. Last week, I talked about the passing of our wonderful family member, Zoe, our 14 and a half year old Vesla, who brought us tremendous joy and happiness.
Starting point is 01:05:38 And it was striking the outpouring of support and empathy that we received. Whenever you produce content, a podcast, a blog post, there's a certain X factor to it. And that is I've put out stuff that I thought was genius. It was like a tree falling in the forest. No one seemed to give a damn. And then I put out other stuff that I thought, okay, this is good, but not great. And it results in a, it gets, it goes viral or you get a lot of response. This was something I felt, I would say, a little bit exposed or vulnerable around, and I thought, is this too personal? But almost more than anything I've talked about or written about, this got probably the greatest or the largest response,
Starting point is 01:06:16 and also the most heartfelt response. There's something about, I think, this pandemic and how much emotion we have all felt. And then people just relate to the extraordinary relationship they have with their pets. And it felt like there was just this outpouring of empathy and emotion. And I received cards, video messages, really nice emails, comments. And I also received, we're going to play for you and we're going to end our podcast on this, a poem from a guy named Michael in South Africa. And actually my dad asked me, he said, what's it like? We went out to lunch in San Diego several months ago and someone came up to me in the middle of our lunch and said, sorry to interrupt. I love your podcast. And my dad said, does that get old? Or how does that make you feel when people come up and speak to you or total strangers? So how does it feel? How does it feel when you get kind of random poems or when people send you very personal messages or if someone comes up and interrupts your lunch, how does it feel? It feels wonderful. Thank you very much. I really appreciate all the well wishes.
Starting point is 01:07:33 And it was wonderful seeing all the pictures of vishlas and other breeds from around the world and hearing stories about what a meaningful relationship people have had, not only with their dog, but how the dog has been this fantastic vessel of love for their life and for their other family members. So anyways, here is Michael from South Africa who sent us a poem. Hey, Prof G. This is Michael from Johannesburg in South Africa. I always thought that when I finally got around to sending you a voice note, it would have something to do with technology or marketing. But that's certainly not the case. This voice note's about something far more important. It's about dogs and poetry. And in particular, it's about Zoe, your beautiful Vizsla, who's sadly no longer with you and your family.
Starting point is 01:08:22 We used to live in California, and when we came back to South Africa in 2015 we brought back Milo, our beautiful golden retriever, who like Zoe was an integral part of the family. Sadly a couple of months after we got back we found out that Milo had bone cancer and we had to put him to sleep. On the day that we put him to sleep, my wife posted this on Facebook and I wanted to share it with you and your family. For you Zoe, so this is where we part my friend and you'll run on around the bend. Gone from sight but not from mind. New pleasures there you'll surely find. I will go on. I'll find the strength Life measures quality, not its length One long embrace before you leave
Starting point is 01:09:08 Share one last look before I grieve There are others, that much is true But they be they, and they aren't you And I, fair, impartial, or so I thought Will remember well all you've taught Your place I'll hold, you will be missed. The fur I stroke, the nose I kissed. And as you journey to your final rest,
Starting point is 01:09:31 Take with you this, I loved you best. That's it from Johannesburg for today, Prof G. Thanks for the show. Absolutely love it. And by the way, all dogs should be allowed on the couch. Our producers are Caroline Shagrin and Drew Burrows. If you like what you heard, please follow, download, and subscribe. Thanks for listening.
Starting point is 01:09:50 We'll catch you next week with another episode of The Prof G Show from Section 4 and the Westwood One Podcast Network. I can't believe you got me to talk about all that. Good for you. I'm Oprah. So the crown is racist. Is that what you're trying to say? Anyways. Support for this podcast comes from Stripe.
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