The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - The Great Grift
Episode Date: January 21, 2021Lina Khan, an associate professor of law at Columbia Law School, joins Scott to discuss the latest around Big Tech’s unchecked power and the broader effects of monopolistic behavior on the economy. ...She shares her thoughts on how break ups could benefit the markets, why traditional antitrust laws aren’t necessarily suited for the digital market, and how the dynamics of antitrust have changed over the past couple of years. Follow Lina on Twitter, @linamkhan. (14:43) Scott begins by outlining how we could have used our $5 trillion stimulus effort to prop up Americans who needed the most help, rather than letting the rich get richer. Related Reading: The Great Grift. This Week’s Office Hours: why Big Tech probably won’t make a move into the DTC genetic testing market and how rundles increase a company's valuation. Have a question for Scott? Email a voice recording to officehours@section4.com. (42:00) Algebra of Happiness: demonstrate more grace. (54:26) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Episode 45, the atomic number of rhodium.
We're saying goodbye to the 45th president
of the United States, or as I'd like to call it,
go fuck yourself.
Partisan, partisan.
When I was 45, I felt awesome
because in New York, 45 is the new 30.
For women, 30 is the new 60.
Oh my God, so inappropriate.
Go, go, go. Welcome to the 45th episode of The Prop G Show. In today's episode,
we speak with Lina Khan, an associate professor of law at Columbia Law School,
where she teaches and writes about antitrust law, the anti-monopoly tradition,
and law and the political economy. I am so bored reading that, but trust me,
Lena is a gangster. And I think antitrust is actually quite interesting and insightful.
Oh my God, when did I get this fucking old? Did I find that shit interesting? Well, guess what?
Guess what? Be old like me and get into antitrust.
It's important and it's an interesting discussion.
It has huge ramifications on our society, technology, and the likes.
We discussed with Lena the state of play around big tech's unchecked power and the broader effects of monopoly power on the economy.
Okay.
What's happening?
Let me think.
Kind of a slow news week.
Hmm.
Hmm.
Let's ponder. By the time
you hear this, Joe Biden will have been sworn in as the 46th president of the United States
of America following an inauguration that was coupled with heightened levels of security
because of the former president's violent supporters and safety precautions to avoid
turning this into a COVID-19 super spreader event. That kind of summarizes
America. A mob takes over the Capitol and it not only becomes a crime scene, but a super spreader
event. Welcome to America. And in other news, President Biden announces nearly $2 trillion
American rescue plan that includes $400 billion for things including expanding vaccinations and
helping schools safely reopen, while the rest will be dispersed economic relief, such as $1 trillion in direct payments and billions of
dollars for small businesses. Per the AP, Biden's plan will come from borrowed money, adding to
trillions of dollars in debt the government has already collected in an attempt to tackle
the pandemic. So let's be clear, our federal response to the pandemic has been massive with a capital M,
a $5 trillion effort. It's also been a con. Under the cloud cover of COVID-19, the shareholder
class has used its outsized influence over government to toss a few loaves of bread at
those suffering, those that are most needy, all the while accruing trillions of dollars in wealth
financed on the
backs of younger and future generations. Why are we able to do this? Simply the demo in democracy
is working too well, and that is the unborn don't vote and either do young people. So let's fuck
them. America used to be about figuring out a way through public policy, capitalism, work, how do you get more people
rich? And it has slowly but surely morphed to this corrupt gestalt of how do we keep the rich
rich? Of the 5 trillion spent so far, around only 1.5 trillion came in the form of direct
aid to individuals, a quarter of that fund to $1,200 and $600 stimulus checks,
many of which went to people who had not suffered financially.
Get this, only 15% of recipients of the first round of checks said they planned to spend the
money. That's right, more than four in five recipients of this stimulus borrowed from
future generations, that is in the form of debt, do not urgently need it. Another $1 trillion or
so went to pandemic response, medicine, PPE, medical services, and the like. And while this was necessary, I believe that much of this money ended up in the
pockets of healthcare companies' shareholders. The remaining $2.5 trillion came via mostly
forgivable loans and handouts to businesses. Let's save Delta Airlines. The final tally
is about $1 trillion in direct aid to those who truly needed it. One trillion, or about 20%,
is going to get to the people who really needed it. One trillion to the actual pandemic response,
and the $3 trillion wealth transfer to the rich and the powerful. We're calling it, or we should
call it what it really is, the great grift. So what happens? $3 trillion in new money and
historically low interest rates have been the
nitro and the glycerin, respectively, of the stock markets melt up. The dirty secret is that there
are two pandemics. While a quarter of America is food insecure and behind on rent, the shareholder
class is experiencing an explosion, an explosion in net worth and spends less time commuting,
more time with family and Netflix. The S&P 500 experienced the shortest downturn in history after hitting its March lows.
And the Washington Post reported that the index was up 68% by the end of 2020. We don't like to
admit this, but if you're in the top 10%, what does the pandemic mean if you've been fortunate
enough to escape COVID? And the reality is most people who are wealthy have access to good healthcare, can distance. What does it mean? It means you're
not commuting. It means more time with family. It means more time being a better mom or a better
dad. And it also means you are wealthier, dramatically wealthier as your stocks continue
to accelerate and your house increases in value. Had COVID-19 preyed on wealthy white people
and cut the NASDAQ in half,
our response would have made the South Korean
and Taiwanese responses appear amateur.
Instead, the wealth of billionaires
is correlated to infections and deaths,
and we continue to see a death toll greater than 9-11
every 18 hours.
The $3 trillion that went to PPP tax breaks and other handouts to the wealthy could have
been spent canceling student loan debt.
By the way, I don't think that's a good idea, but I'm trying to give you a sense of the
scale here.
Entire student debt adds up to $1.6 trillion.
We could have eliminated child poverty in the U.S., rebuilt the transportation infrastructure,
and moved 1 million families
away from flood zones. I'm not advocating for all of these. Canceling all student loan debt,
again, for example, would be another transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich. Elizabeth Warren
and Bernie Sanders advocating for cancellation of student debt. Who has student debt? Wealthy
people who can afford to pay it back. But this shows the scale of the continued grift,
the gestalt around, let's keep the rich people rich instead of figuring out a way to go to our
American roots, our American DNA, and that is how do we get more people wealthy? Anyway,
if these programs seem too big government liberal, consider this. Instead of $3 trillion in handouts
to the wealthiest Americans, we could have given $30,000 to every single one of the 100 million
Americans who reported pandemic-related wage losses in 2020. $30,000. Or we could have just
given every American adult $15,000. This would have gone much further towards repairing the
economy as more money would have ended up in the economy rather than in the markets. And who better
to determine which firms, which restaurants,
which cupcake bakeries make it to the other end and survive than consumers?
In a sense, our democracy is working too well.
As the mark for the great grift are people who don't vote,
young people and the unborn.
In 1989, people under the age of 40 owned 13% of the wealth in this country.
In 2019, pre-pandemic, they owned just 6%.
That's right.
The share of wealth controlled by people under the age of 40 has been cut in half in the last 30 years.
Yeah, move to Brooklyn, you're still fucked, despite representing nearly the same share of the population.
Their wealth has been cut in half.
Think about that. If you're young and you're pissed off, that's just common sense.
The younger you are, the more you've been conned. So what should be done? Our pandemic response,
including any additional stimulus packages, should be limited to supporting people who are food and
housing insecure. We're America. We protect people, not companies. That's
called capitalism. However, since we're already $3 trillion in the hole, we need to recover some
of those losses. That calls for, and I hate to say this, taxes. We're quick to call everything
exceptional in a once-in-a-lifetime, once-in-a-historic event that requires a bailout.
But guess what? A pandemic is not historic. They happen
every couple of decades. What's historic is the massive explosion in wealth among the top 1%.
So I know that warrants a distinct response. Specifically, we should end the favorable tax
treatment of capital gains income. Capital appreciation has been the primary vehicle of both our 40-year wealth
transfer and of the great grift. We should impose, in addition, a one-time wealth tax.
I don't believe in Robin Hooding and showing up and saying, okay, okay, you're going to have to
pay a wealth tax for the next 20 or 30 years. Why? Because the wealthy are the most mobile
people in the world and it's very hard for them. It's very hard for us to determine what wealth means, but history shows that wealth taxes do not work,
but what does work is a one-time tax.
It's not worth moving from the US to Singapore.
It's not worth trying to hide all those assets
for a one-time tax.
A 2% tax on the wealthiest 5% of households
would raise up to $1 trillion.
Still only 20% of the money we had borrowed on the
unborn's credit card and younger people's credit card, but still, still a start. And more importantly,
more importantly, begins to align incentives. The initial stock market bump registered by the
CARES Act's passage led to the wealthiest American stock owners accruing an additional
$2 trillion. So that seems like a pretty good deal.
You get $2 trillion on the back
of a pandemic's government response.
We want $1 trillion of it back.
These measures only address the symptoms.
How do we arrest the ongoing wealth transfer
and prevent the shareholder class from future grifting?
By the way, the wealthiest 400 families
are responsible for 50% of the financing
of presidential campaigns. In addition to that 50%, it's speedballed by think tanks,
PACs, and media, which is largely owned by very wealthy families. We must reduce
the impact of money on politics. Money is not speech. And if we can't convince the grifters
on the Supreme Court of that, we should override them with a constitutional amendment.
We need greater transparency from our elected representatives about who they meet with and where their money comes from.
If we don't align financial reward and penalties with the health of our commonwealth and its citizenry, we are doomed to a pattern of failed responses to crises.
The explosion of wealth among the already wealthy has created unprecedented
moral hazard, as the arbiters of policy haven't even really felt the real pain of this pandemic.
Case in point, DoorDash, a beneficiary of the explosion of meal delivery bought on by the
pandemic, went public last month and now registers a stock market capitalization greater than FedEx
at $68 billion. In contrast, the TA125, an index of the 125 largest companies
in Israel, was down for 2020. And guess what? What happens when the stock market goes down?
It changes an incentive. And what's the incentive here? Israel has vaccinated its citizens at seven
times the rate of the US. If Amazon stock had been halved versus
accelerating 87% since March lows, the 82% of households who are prime members would be
vaccinated by an Amazon delivery person, and goddamn Chick-fil-A would offer to stick your
arm at their drive-thrus. Let's admit it. Let's admit it. We've been conned. Stay with us. We'll be right back for our conversation
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you get your podcasts. Welcome back. Here's our conversation with Lena Kahn, an associate professor of law at Columbia
Law School. I started tracking Professor Kahn's work back when she wrote a paper as a law student
at Yale talking about antitrust and Amazon. And she kind of set the world of antitrust on fire.
I think she's an inspiration. I think she's a role model for young people that when you do great work
and you're fearless and you
back it up with rigor and thought leadership, that academia can be a fantastic place to have
a real impact in the world. She then went to work for the House Subcommittee on Antitrust,
and I've been following her career, but she's just a clear blue flame thinker. Anyway,
here's our conversation. Professor Kahn, where does this podcast find you?
I'm currently in Dallas, Texas.
Dallas. Wow. I am totally indifferent to Dallas. Like Austin, I like. Houston, I don't like.
Dallas, neutral. You like Dallas? You know, it's a very easy place to live. And we've been living
quite close to Love Field Airport. So I was able to get to D.C. and New York quite easily. So
overall, it's yeah, it's treated as well. Can't complain.
So give us some context here. Give us how the events of the last, I guess, 10 days now,
how has it, if at all, changed or complemented your thinking around antitrust and the unfettered growth and power of these platforms? Yeah, it's a pretty remarkable couple of weeks for
everybody in the U.S., but in particular, I think for people who have been studying
the outsized role that a very small number of tech platforms now play in structuring,
you know, public commerce and communications. And so I think, you know, the deplatforming that
we saw really underscored just the remarkable power that Google, Facebook and Twitter wield now over our public sphere.
And I think also redirected attention anew to the fact that Facebook and Google have business models that are directly at odds with creating a safe communications infrastructure, right? Their business models directly incentivize them to
promote content that is hateful, promote disinformation. And so I think we've kind of
seen the overlap of how their business model coupled with their scale has really created an
unsustainable situation for our democracy. So there's antitrust and the notion that a
remedy would be a breakup, which I would argue would actually be good for the shareholders and the management of these companies.
Do you think this takes it to a new level?
Do you think that we're going to see criminal investigations?
Do you think there's potentially going to be a perp walk or something much more severe against the management and boards at these companies?
It's a really interesting question. I mean, on the tail end of last year,
right, we finally started seeing significant antitrust lawsuits being filed, right? So we
saw two filed against Facebook, one by the FTC, one by, you know, 48 state AGs. And then we've
also seen a handful of lawsuits now filed against Google by the DOJ and by two separate group of
states. And those lawsuits, I think,
really paint a compelling picture of rampant misconduct by Facebook and Google and underscore
how in many key ways, the dominance that these firms now enjoy, you know, in the early years
may have been premised on innovation and on providing superior products and services to users,
but that in key instances,
actually, they've been able to maintain their monopoly through engaging in anti-competitive
conduct, right? Not through competing on the merits. I think in particular, the lawsuit filed
by Texas and a number of Republican states against Google isn't particularly interesting
because it basically alleges criminal conduct, conduct that
could be criminal, implicating Google and Facebook. And so, you know, whether that ultimately gets
pursued as a criminal matter, I think will be important. But there's no question in my mind
that we're kind of past our turning point in terms of, you know, the shoe dropping. I think
the key question now is going to be, A, is the government going to win these cases, right? It's no secret that the judiciary in the United States has become very
hostile to antitrust plaintiffs and have made it very difficult for plaintiffs to win cases.
And second, if they do win, what's the remedy going to be, right? I mean, Microsoft, the
Microsoft case famously was one that the government won on the theory of liability,
but ultimately they were not able to get their preferred remedy, which initially was a breakup,
right? And so Microsoft was able to kind of draw out the interoperability remedy and really just
mess around with the remedy in ways that made people question, you know, was this lawsuit
really effective? So I think we're going to have to wait to see how that unfolds.
And how do you think things are going to change or if they're going to change with the
incoming Biden-Harris administration? It's an interesting question. I mean,
I think we're still waiting to get information about who they're going to appoint to key
antitrust leadership positions. So that would be both the head of the antitrust division,
as well as the three Democratic commissioner spots at the FTC. So I think until we get more
information there, it's going to be difficult to know. I do think that the dynamics in antitrust,
though, have changed over the last couple of years. In particular, given the remarkably
important role that the state attorneys generals played in really driving the ball forward with
these lawsuits, I think that
created an important source of pressure on the federal enforcers, right? If the FTC and DOJ
were going to decide not to file lawsuits here, they were going to get shown up by the states.
I also think Congress and lawmakers are much more engaged on these questions and are much
smarter about these questions than they were a few years ago.
And so that's going to be another source of pressure. So unlike previous administrations, I don't think the decision is purely going to be in the hands of the FTC and DOJ. I think just the
increased attention and increased pressure and increased stakes of these questions
means that sitting on their hands is not going to be a viable strategy
in the way that it was previously. So you referenced the Texas AG's case against,
I think it's cartel pricing between Facebook and Google. Is that accurate?
It effectively alleges that there was bid rigging, so that Google gave Facebook preferential terms
and services and perhaps even rigged bids, which again is like,
in the real estate context, for example, bid rigging is treated as a criminal matter. So
it's pretty serious. But that's the key word, criminal, because my sense is
people start dropping dimes when they face prison time. And it's one thing to go after a company
and the downside is a fine, even a multibillion
dollar fine.
And if you're worth 500, if your market cap is $500 billion, the prospect of a $5 billion
fine after two years of fighting it is bad or meaningful, but it's not profound.
But the thought that you might go to jail is profound.
And I would imagine that the levers or the hammer of criminal prosecution has a tendency to be much more effective in terms
of getting people to cop to stuff or say what's going on. Isn't that really a game changer what's
going on in Texas? I think it really could be. I think we're going to still have to wait and
see whether they pursue it as a criminal matter and what types of charges ultimately are on the
table. But I think it's no secret that
we have two systems of justice in this country. And I think that's also the case within, you know,
enforcement against businesses. I think oftentimes enforcers are more than willing to really bring
down the hammer when they're dealing with, you know, small time fraud, small time scammers.
But it's really the big companies,
the powerful companies that oftentimes are able to get much, much lighter penalties and much
less severe penalties. I think one example of this, frankly, was, you know, around a decade ago,
some of the tech companies, including Apple and Google, were found to be engaging in a no poach
agreement, right? So basically they called
each other up, Steve Jobs, Eric Schmidt, they kind of agreed that they were not going to try
and hire each other's workers. This type of no poach conspiracy is also, you know, potentially
a criminal, it could have been pursued as a criminal matter. The justice department chose
not to pursue it as a criminal matter. And these companies really, you know, got away without any significant remedies from the government.
There was a separate class action where they ended up having to pay off, you know, a few million dollars.
But that was a moment where if we had, you know, government servants that had wanted to, they could have pursued that potentially as a criminal matter. And I think the kind of culture of lawlessness that we see in corporate
America, particularly by companies that have enormous market power, partly stems from the
fact that these executives have not really faced any meaningful ramifications for their lawlessness
and instead have really been able to treat these fines as a cost of business, which I think is
particularly true in the tech
context, right? Given that several years of rampant privacy violations would give Google or Facebook
enough data such that it would actually be profitable to pay out the fine for that privacy
violation, right? And so I would hope that in addition to seeing these antitrust lawsuits,
we're going to see a shift in the culture of enforcement that is really intent on ensuring that big companies are also held to account in a serious
way. So you worked on the House Subcommittee on Antitrust hearing, which by the way, I thought
that was the most productive, rigorous, and I don't know, thoughtful hearing we've had in a while. And now that you're no longer working
with Congress, you're freed up to make, or I hope you're freed up to respond to my thesis or make
some predictions. So what do you think is the likelihood that one or more of these companies
is broken up in the next, call it 24 months? I would say there was upwards of 50% chance. I would say maybe around 70%,
75% chance that at least one of them is broken up, specifically given the strong lawsuits.
Stack rank them in terms of most likely to least likely.
Most likely is Facebook. Second, I would say Google. Third, Amazon. And fourth, Apple.
Yeah. It would be hard to break up Apple, right? Who gets the brand, et cetera.
It feels like Apple's more about regulation than antitrust.
Yeah. I mean, I also think, you know, stepping back, it's important to think about what is the
problem that we're trying to solve through breakups, right? I think in certain instances, the problem is really one of
law enforcement that anti-competitive transactions occurred and we need to unwind them. And so I
think, you know, separating Facebook from Instagram, separating that from WhatsApp,
that would be, you know, a remedy for that, those unlawful transactions that happen.
There's also the problem of this kind of intrinsic conflict of interest that arises when
you have a firm both serving as a core platform, but also competing with firms that are dependent
on that platform, and then also extending into all sorts of ancillary lines of business.
So one thing we repeatedly encountered in the House investigation was the way in which Amazon,
in particular, was able to use its market power in the retail sector
as leverage against businesses when it was negotiating in a totally separate line of
business, right? So think about the voice assistant space. And so there, I think you would want to
do breakups in order to prevent this conflict of interest and prevent a firm from using its
market power in one line
of business to kind of cascade into all these other lines of businesses. I think what we are
facing, frankly, right now is the kind of combination of structurally uncompetitive
markets with structurally competitive markets. And that's why you're able to see a company like
Google use its monopoly in search and search advertising to extend into dozens and dozens of adjacent lines of business and also monopolize the browser, also monopolize the display ad market, also monopolize the mobile operating system. And so I think we actually need to step back, look at these markets on a case-by-case basis,
understand what are the underlying properties here?
What are the underlying technological features?
Is this really a market that is somewhat of a natural monopoly situation such that it actually makes sense to have one company dominate?
And if so, what are the rules that should accompany that natural monopoly situation?
Or is this a market where actually
we should be able to see competition, but it's the fact that the platform has already monopolized
the natural monopoly market that's allowing it to also monopolize this structurally, what should
be a structurally competitive market, right? And so I think that kind of case-by-case assessment
will let us make a more coherent plan for how to break these companies up ultimately.
And do you think that there's a recognition or are we moving to acknowledgement that
it would be very oxygenating for the economy to go through not only big tech, but big pharma,
big food, big ag, and just sort of deconcentrate the marketplace? At the FTC and the DOJ, someone,
I think I read somewhere that
for every buck additional incremental dollar you give the IRS, they return $12 back for obvious
reasons. But isn't the same true of the DOJ or the FTC at this point that it would be incredibly,
what's the term, a boost to the economy to let these guys go at it and kind of unwind some of
the incredible concentration of power that's taken place over the last 30 years?
I think there's really solid reasons to think that. I mean, I think historical precedents suggest that
injecting more competition would really be a big boon to the economy. I also think we're at a stage
where concentration of economic power and monopoly power is now a systemic problem in our economy, right? It's not just isolated to tech.
Tech is a particularly salient example, but it's no way unique, right? So think about major sectors
like, yeah, food and agriculture, healthcare, airlines, telecom, right? But also much more,
you know, obscure industries, be it waste management, right? Funeral caskets, eyeglasses.
I mean, we're really looking at a systemic problem.
And I think this type of excessive concentration and market power is a problem that now sits upstream from a host of other problems that we're facing, many of which have become deadly apparent during the pandemic in particular, right? Right. So so take agriculture. Right. Four poultry firms control the nation's chicken supply.
Four firms control the nation's beef supply. Consolidation throughout the food and agriculture system has meant that supply chain seized up throughout COVID.
And overall, our food system is much more fragile and far less resilient.
Right. Or look at the health healthcare system where hospital consolidation has reduced
the number of hospital beds, right? The US had 1.5 million hospital beds back in 1975.
And now we're down to under a million, right? Close to 900,000. And this reduction of capacity
is a direct result of consolidation that has led to a very concentrated health system where hospitals are,
you know, primarily located in wealthy cities and suburbs, right? Expansive, extensive healthcare
systems and have created hospital deserts in rural areas, right? And we're actually, we've
been seeing major shortages, right? A few years ago, there was a shortage of saline, right? IV
bags, an essential medical supply because consolidation in healthcare had meant that half of all saline in the United States
is produced by one company that was using facilities in Puerto Rico, which were crippled
during Hurricane Maria. And so after that hurricane in Puerto Rico, you had saline shortages across
the US, right? And so I think we've just reached a stage where concentration is so extreme and is really leading to cascading problems across the board, which
oftentimes can be deadly, such that ignoring this is no longer really a choice that we have.
How do you think the markets would react to more aggressive... Let's assume antitrust,
the complexion from the Biden and Harris administration is much more aggressive.
Do you think the markets say, well, this is anti-capitalist and it takes the markets down?
I realize it's impossible to predict the markets, but typically speaking, these things are really
positive for the market. I'm shocked that the markets seem to have adopted this narrative that
it's bad for these companies. When there's a case announced against Google and Facebook, granted their stocks don't go down a lot, but they do go down. Do you think
the market fundamentally misunderstands antitrust? I'm not sure. I mean, I think it's difficult to
answer in a general case, right? I mean, I do think with firms like Google and Facebook, which
have enjoyed, you know, super normal profit margins, that an antitrust case and
a meaningful remedy could lead to those margins falling. But I also think that what the markets
are perhaps not pricing is the way in which breakups and divestitures could actually ultimately
lead to more wealth and more value creation. And so I think they're kind of perhaps more focused on the downside and not as much thinking about the potential upside,
not just for these companies and their offshoots, but for the market as a whole, right? I mean,
as part of our investigation, we interviewed venture capitalists and interviewed, you know,
many in the business community that overall thought that there was less opportunity
in some of these markets because of the dominance
of these four platforms and their predatory conduct.
And so I do think that overall we could see more oxygen and more opportunity in the long
term if we see serious antitrust actions.
And whenever I hear people talk, knowledgeable people talk about antitrust, they say that
if we're going to implement the level of antitrust that's needed, we're going to have to change the laws. And we've done that before.
We have this kind of consumer test or BORC or whatever they want to call it,
which is difficult to apply to an economy where the most dominant companies offer a product that's
for free. Can you give us a brief history lesson and tell us where the laws might go, sort of a more, I think the term is Brandesian.
Sure. So yeah, the U.S. antitrust laws passed over 100 years ago, fundamentally designed to
prevent concentrations of economic power, because lawmakers understood that in the same ways that
concentrations of political power threaten our democracy, the concentrations of economic power would also
threaten our democracy. And so, you know, you had periods of strong enforcement, some periods of low
enforcement, but overall through the 1960s, you had these antitrust laws being enforced with a
broader look at the underlying market structure and a look at the power that any dominant firm had amassed and
was exercising. In the 70s and 80s, we saw a growing acceptance of the Chicago School of
Economists' view of antitrust, which was to argue that this broader focus on power was really
harmful for the business community. It was creating uncertainty. And instead, we needed to reorient
antitrust around what they called consumer welfare, which basically they used as a proxy for efficiency, for allocative efficiency.
When Reagan came into power, you know, this Chicago school view was basically stamped into law, both through judicial appointments that Reagan made, as well as through appointments that Reagan made to the FTC and DOJ. And so that's
been an approach that has been continued through Republican and Democratic administrations alike.
And so there's been this narrow focus on consumer welfare, on economic efficiency,
and enforcers have really just taken their, yeah, just have allowed decades and decades of
mergers and consolidations across industries, because under
this consumer welfare standard, companies that were merging could always at least argue somewhere
credibly that merging would lead to efficiencies that, of course, they would pass on to consumers.
And so there's just been an institutional permissiveness when it came to antitrust for several decades now.
Over the last few years, there's been growing criticism of this consumer welfare-focused
approach to antitrust on the grounds that even on consumer welfare metrics, this extreme
consolidation has not actually served consumers. You actually see market power across the economy
be used against consumers. And then also we've seen enormous problems when it comes to labor
markets, monopsony, concentration of employer power, a reduction in new business formation.
And so there are just a systemic set of problems that have derived from concentration across the board. And so that's
given more popularity to what's been called the neo-Brandeisian view of antitrust,
which is really looking to reorient antitrust, again, around this question of concentration
of economic power so that we look more at the underlying market structure rather than
neoclassical economics that is not really
tethered to market realities. And I think grounding our analysis of market power is
particularly important in these digital markets where a lot of the traditional neoclassical
theories no longer apply. So one example is when it comes to predatory pricing.
The Chicago School says that predatory pricing is an irrational
business strategy because no company would undertake losses in the short term. What we've
seen, of course, we know that that's not true, right? Companies across the economy engage in
predatory pricing, but this is least true in the context of digital markets, right? Where in some
cases you have winner take all markets. And so of course, companies will have an incentive to undercut on prices so that they can capture
the market, right? Chasing market share over short-term profits is the whole game. And so I
do think that these digital markets are really showing the failure and the hollowness of some
of the traditional Chicago theories in a way that is giving new energy to some of these
alternative approaches. I usually wrap up these interviews asking what advice you would give to
your 25-year-old self, but given that you're just north of 25, I'll ask you, what advice do you have
for other young women and men to say, coming out of college, thinking about a career in law,
thinking about a career in public service. Any thoughts or advice? I think for me, studying history was really important. I mean, the way I actually
got into all of this antitrust work was through reading the legislative history and the debates
of the early 1900s when policymakers were trying to tackle the monopolies of the first Gilded Age, right? And what I saw there was just the entire way of talking about corporate power and of talking really delivering massive progress that I think studying history has been, for me, really important to just expand my imagination and conception of what we can do and what is possible beyond the kind of narrow confines of the current debate in any given moment. And do you feel hopeful when you come out, after serving in Congress, do you come out thinking,
wow, there are some very bright people. When the chips are down, they come together,
or do you come out feeling more discouraged about the state of our elected officials in
our government? Listen, I think there's no doubt that, again,
we're in a very trying period. And so I think, you know, the perception of what seems possible
can be quite dimmed by the fact that, yeah, we're talking about, you know, whether members are kind
of aiding a mob that's trying to dig down the Capitol. But I think to step back and look at
even just focusing narrowly on the question of big tech's power, the speed with
which that debate has evolved over the last few years is really remarkable, right? I mean,
at the tail end of the Obama administration, these companies were so respected and so vaunted that
one of the top things for Obama alums was to go work for them, right? I mean, I think that just
the public perception and the
dynamic around these issues has changed so much. And I do think Congress is, you know, kind of
keeping up with that and helping drive it forward. So I think our institutions are remarkably
resilient. They've been in the past. And, you know, I'm hopeful that if we get right these
core questions around market power, around business model, around how to ensure that, you know,
the kind of structure of our public sphere is not at the whims of what Mark Zuckerberg
wakes up any morning wanting to do.
I think, you know, that will help put us on the path to kind of recovery and resilience
again.
Lina Khan is an associate professor of law at Columbia Law School, where she teaches
and writes about antitrust law, the anti-monopoly tradition and law, and the political economy. She joins us from her home in Dallas. Professor Kahn, stay well.
Thank you. You too.
We'll be right back.
Hey, it's Scott Galloway. And on our podcast, Pivot, we are bringing you a special series
about the basics of artificial intelligence. We're answering all your questions. What should you use it for? What tools are right for you?
And what privacy issues should you ultimately watch out for? And to help us out, we are joined
by Kylie Robeson, the senior AI reporter for The Verge, to give you a primer on how to integrate
AI into your life. So tune into AI Basics, How and When to Use AI, a special series from
Pivot sponsored by AWS, wherever you get your podcasts.
Welcome back.
It's time for Office Hours, a part of the show where we answer your questions about the business world, big tech, higher education, and whatever else is on your mind. If you'd like to submit a question, please email a voice recording to officehours at section4.com. Question one, Jerry Ann from West Palm Beach, Florida. During your 2021 predictions, I was expecting you to say that Amazon would seek
to acquire a genetics data company like 23andMe,
but you didn't say that.
So what am I missing here?
Thanks.
Jerry Ann from West Palm Beach,
about 20 minutes north of where I live in Delray Beach.
PBI, Palm Beach, interesting.
First off, West Palm Beach, best airport, best commercial airport
in the nation. It used to be Burbank Bob Hope, but it's a little run down. I can be dropped off
in an Uber at PBI and at the gate in seven minutes. Siete minutos for the dog to get to his
form of transportation. It's a fantastic airport. Anyways, you might be right.
I don't understand the direct-to-consumer genetic testing market. The global market is projected to
reach 6.5 billion by 2028, according to market intelligence firm BIS Research. And the MIT
review from January 2020 entitled, Is the Consumer Genetics Fad Over? They claim that in 2018,
the total number of people who have ever bought the test doubled, bringing the databases of 23andMe
Ancestry and several smaller companies to a total of over 26 million people. MIT's calculation
suggests that during 2019, the largest company sold only four to six million tests, meaning the
databases would have grown by just 20%. That would have been the slowest growth rate for the DNA test industry ever.
So I'm not entirely sure what the value proposition is. I guess being able to understand more about
yourself, it's never really appealed to me. So I've never really looked into it. I think the
reason though that Amazon is not likely to acquire, big tech isn't likely to me, so I've never really looked into it. I think the reason though that Amazon is not likely
to acquire, big tech isn't likely to acquire, I think that they probably look at this and think,
okay, it might make business sense. They could probably add scale. They have consumer relationships.
I think they're worried about the heckling from the cheap seats that people are merely going to
freak out and say, well, what happens when Amazon knows whether I'm about to get cancer? There's
just a level of mistrust of these
platforms about the amount of consumer data that they're gathering on us. And I think that they
probably correctly assume that the amount of shit and articles around, okay, great, now Facebook
knows if I have a cancer gene, it's just not information that people probably want these
platforms dealing with. And I
think they probably think that the business isn't big enough to warrant just the amount of brain
damage and second guessing they would get. But Gerianne from West Palm Beach, it's a good question
and not something I have a good answer for. Maybe we'll see, but I think the optics here would be
pretty ugly. Thank you for the question. Question number two.
Hey, Scott. C.H. Danu here from London. Rundles increase a company's valuation.
Am I correctly assuming that the increase in value is only applying if A, you run a public
company, or B, you plan to sell your company? Consider my case. I don't plan to sell my company
nor take it public. Besides a better sleep at night, now that the revenue is
more predictable, thanks to the monogamous relationship with my customers, is there
anything else a founder is getting in exchange for a hit in revenue, which would make the
Rundle compelling? Believe I'm missing something. Thanks and love your content.
Hey, CH, thanks for the thoughtful question. And that's a great question because in addition to
just the valuation on the company, why go to Rundle?
And there's a lot of reasons.
The markets are, if you think about the markets as an organism that absorb millions of pieces
of information and then spit back an emotional reaction in the form of evaluation, a lot
of people would say that the market is the best arbiter, that it takes into account everything
about this company and says, all right,
this is a better business model. And the reason why, the reason why it's valuing recurring revenue SaaS-like business model companies in a multiple of revenue versus multiple of EBITDA is it is a
better way to operate your business. When you're in the business of being a transactional business,
you're so focused on getting the next day's revenue that you spend more money on sales
and you're not willing to make long-term investments. And's revenue, that you spend more money on sales and you're not
willing to make long-term investments. And you also, as you said, can't predict your revenue.
So it's much more difficult to plan hiring, much more difficult to plan investments based on the
cadence of that investment. And also you're not in the business constantly putting on a red dress
and blow drying your hair and saying, you know, every day, look at me, come back into my store,
look at me, sign up for more consulting services, look at me, spend more on media. And you end up spending less time
on sales and more time on the actual product, less time on marketing and more time on innovation.
And also being able to more consistently plan your capital allocation. Oh no, sales are down.
We'll call the ad agency and run promotions. Well, okay, get more people, put everything on sale. It's all right, we want to enter into this long-term relationship and we want there to be sustainable value. We want to be Adobe, we want to build a package that is so great that for 25 bucks a month, they get a suite of software and great customer service, as opposed to coming out with a big bang product and a huge marketing team
and a bunch of money on sales and a big event and push as much of that shit as possible through
channels and then start working on the next one. It's a day-by-day focus on the customer
and the product that is supported by more consistent, thoughtful investment. It's just
a better way to build a business. Why? Why? It's similar to biology.
Think about how taxing it is to date. Households that build wealth are typically
in a monogamous relationship. Being single is hard. It's hard to build wealth when you're
single. Why? Because you spend money on stupid shit like clothes and cologne and plastic surgery and
going out and getting fucked up.
And by the way, the expense of going out and getting drunk such that you have the confidence
to go up and talk to that strange guy or gal is super expensive.
And the fact that the next day you are a chocolate mess and you can't be as productive
at work.
So, so the marketplace also rewards companies that enter into a monogamous relationship.
Why? Because they can focus on the value add of the relationship. They can focus on partnering
with their customers to build a better product. They can say to their customers, all right,
you're in for a year. How do I make this product better for the next 364 days? How do we make this
relationship better? As opposed to, hey, don't go for the bigger, better deal tomorrow night.
Love me. Check out how hot I am today. That's no way to live your life. It's a great way to live your life in your
20s. Some real upside in your 20s. Dating in New York is very much what I find an empty experience,
but as far as empty experiences go, it's pretty fucking good. Anyway, CH from London, that's right.
The valuation is higher, but it's for a reason. You can focus long-term on the relationship, focus more on the product, focus more on innovation as opposed to sales and promotion. London, London calling. The dog wants to move to London. Fall of 2022, I'm going to move there. If my kid can get his shit together and score well in these tests, we're going to go there. He wants to go to boarding school. I think he's a little drunk on Harry Potter. Again, not really relevant to this conversation, but I love
London. It's by far, by far, hands down, hands down, the number two city in the world. Guess
which one is number one? Anyways, love London. CH, thank you for the question.
Algebra of happiness.
I give the same toast at every wedding.
First, first, always express affection and sexual desire.
It states your relationship is singular.
I think we all want to be wanted.
And I think every time you feel that passion, every time you feel affectionate for your spouse,
your lover, your girlfriend, your boyfriend, whatever,
you should express it.
I think it's healthy and wonderful.
Two, to never let your wife or your girlfriend
be hungry or cold, ever, ever.
Two thirds of the really terrible fights you're gonna have,
somebody hasn't eaten or somebody is cold.
So always carry a blanket and protein bars.
You're welcome.
And finally, and this is the most important thing,
don't keep score.
Decide in your relationships,
what kind of friend you wanna be,
what kind of son you wanna be,
what kind of husband, what kind of wife you wanna be
and pursue that and put
the scorecard away. Unfortunately, keeping score got in the way of a lot of my relationships,
especially with my dad. My dad, I don't think was a wonderful father. So I always thought,
well, I'm not going to be a wonderful son. And then I realized at a certain age, well,
I want to be a wonderful son because I enjoy his company. And I also looked at his life and how he was raised. He was abused,
grew up in Depression-era Scotland, and he was a much better dad to me than his father was to him.
And that's enough for me to decide that I wanted to be a wonderful son and not keep score, but just
be the man, be the brother, be the husband, the friend that you want to be. I'm trying to keep
less score out and about. Now, what does that mean?
I think people are really suffering right now. And for my whole life, I have always kept score
in that. If I was in a parking lot and someone backed up and then honked at me and flipped me
off, I was willing to get out of my car and point out how ridiculous that was. If somebody at a ticket
counter at Delta Airlines was rude or not attentive and didn't treat me with the respect I deserve,
given how much I flew and how much money I spent, I reminded them early and often
about what an important customer I was. And what you have to realize is that it's not about you,
and it's not necessarily the world isn't going
to come to an end. We are not going to die in a supernova explosion. If occasionally you go
through your day and you come out on the negative side of the ledger, and that is people are upset,
people give you shit, people honk at you, people flip you off, you don't get the customer service
that you as a master of the universe deserve. Because you know what? Other people have really bad days too. And so I'm trying to not only not keep score in my
key relationships, but occasionally just say there by the grace of God go I. I'm trying,
especially with my kids in the car to say, wow, that guy must be having a bad day. Or when someone
melts down in front of me at the checkout line at CVS, I ask her,
I say, is there anything I can do to help as opposed to getting in her face as I used to do
as a younger man and remind her what a fucking idiot she's being to recognize, to have some
grace that people are suffering. Maybe who knows, who knows what they're struggling with. Maybe
they're struggling with mental illness. Maybe they've lost someone. Maybe they've been fired.
It's okay to rack up
some losses in the scorecard with people you've never met, with strangers. Show some grace,
show some dignity. Think of it as you're not losing, you're going home and you're demonstrating
grace, you're demonstrating dignity. What would Jesus Christ have done? I don't believe in Jesus
or I believe Jesus was a man, but I don't buy into his lineage, but I'm constantly reminding myself, what would Jesus have done in that line at CVS? First,
I'm not sure he would have been in a CVS, but what would he have done? Because I have been,
what's the term here? Such a warrior of the scorecard. That's kind of a polite way of saying,
I have been a real asshole. And you know what? That's just no way to live your life.
We all need to demonstrate more grace.
Our producers are Caroline Shagrin and Drew Burrows.
If you like what you heard,
please follow, download, and subscribe.
Thanks for listening.
We'll catch you next week with another episode
of The Prop G Show from Section 4
and the Westwood One Podcast Network.
I'll have some Mentos with my cobster.
Oh my God, it's Jesus Christ.
JC, what are you doing here at the CVS?
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