The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway - We Legalized Sports Gambling. Now We're Paying for It — ft. Jonathan D. Cohen
Episode Date: May 14, 2026Jonathan D. Cohen, gambling policy expert at the American Institute for Boys and Men and author of Losing Big: America's Reckless Bet on Sports Gambling, joins Scott to discuss how the 2018 Supreme Co...urt decision unleashed a $150 billion industry — and what it's costing young men. They discuss why frictionless mobile betting is uniquely dangerous, how states were sold on legalization for tax revenue that rarely materializes, and why gambling has the highest suicide rate of any addiction. Want to listen to this and other episodes ad-free? You can, if you subscribe at profgmedia.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Episode 396.
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Welcome to the 396 episode of the Prof GPod.
What's happening?
In today's episode, we speak with Jonathan D. Cohen, who leads gambling policy at the American Institute for Boys and Men.
He's also the founder of Losing Big, America's reckless bet on sports gambling.
This is something I think about a lot.
So I gamble.
I don't do it as much, but I buy or I actually write options contracts.
And I convince myself that it's a means of hedging and a way to make money.
The reality is whatever that doper releases you get from gambling,
that's why I do it.
I know that over the long term,
there's probably someone smarter
on the other side of the trade.
It's very risky,
but I continue to do it anyways.
This is something that is really,
one of the term is praying on the young male brain.
They're bored, they're at home,
they have their smartphone,
they basically have Vegas in their pocket.
But if I'd had the ability in class
to bet on the speed of the next pitch,
I don't know if I'd been able,
I would have been able to resist that.
It is just absolutely everywhere.
And six out of seven gambling addicts are men.
And the thing that always struck me, or the fact about gambling, that always stuck with me,
my mom, when my mom was retiring, we looked at Arizona, Palm Springs, and Las Vegas.
And we chose Las Vegas because, in addition to it being beautiful, 10 months of the year,
July and August, a little bit rough, a little bit rough, but the desert is beautiful.
Desert's the most underrated topography in the world, in my view.
But also, during the week, because no one's there in Vegas, seniors could go downtown to the strip and see Mamma Mia and grab a meal for, you know, $14.
And my mom was a docent.
She was a volunteer at the Bellagio, and the stat that blew my mind that she came home with in her dosin training was that suicide of all the addictions has the highest suicide rate.
Now, why is that?
if you develop a meth addiction or an addiction to cocaine or you're an alcoholic, people around
you notice. And hopefully some of those people really care about you and are willing to intervene
and try and get you help or they fire you or they say, I'm going to leave you. But someone will move
in. Whereas with gambling, people don't know that you're in way too deep. You can lose your
kid's college fund, mortgage the house, spend everything, and your family may have no idea.
and you feel as if you're in too deep
and you decide that there's only one way out.
So this is a serious issue.
States that legalized gambling
have seen a rapid increase in bankruptcy,
and this is something that appears to be
especially important
to the well-being of young men.
Anyways, with that, we hope you enjoy our conversation
with Jonathan D. Cohen.
Jonathan, where does this podcast find you?
New Haven, Connecticut, home to really good pizza and a decent university.
I knew about the university. I didn't know about the really good pizza, but let's bust right into it.
Jonathan, take us back to 2018 when the Supreme Court struck down the federal prohibition on sports betting.
Since then, 39 states have legalized it.
The total amount of bets placed hit roughly $148 billion in 2024, about a 30x increase from pre-legalization levels.
Today, 94% of bets are placed online or via mobile apps, and roughly half of men age 18 to 14.
have a sports betting account.
Can you walk us through the incentives here?
What did this policy change really mean?
Yeah, so I'll just riff for six hours,
and then we can call it today.
How does that stuff?
There we go.
Yeah.
See tomorrow.
Yeah, right.
So there's a lot of things happening.
So this all started, you know,
so what the Supreme Court did, first of all,
was allow states to decide the issue of support scaling for themselves.
So it removed a congressional roadblock
that had been blocking states from legalizing.
So states got into it for the same reason.
reason states always get until legalized gambling, which is the promise of tax-free government
revenue. They got into it more specifically because of all the lobbyists from all the gambling
companies that showed up sort of at their door, telling them how much tax-free government
revenue they stood to make if they did legalize sports gambling. And they did so, these
companies did in cooperation with sports leagues who had been told for decades and finally
sort of were willing to take the plunge that gambling would drive more interest in their product
would most importantly drive up TV ratings
because people who gamble on sports watch more sports.
And as a result, would make more money for the league.
So we sort of have all these sort of different fingers in the pie
or all these hands sticking into the cookie jar
and all the cookies just come from gambler's wallets.
How do you reconcile?
So there's a general notion, okay, we have batting,
but it's been ring fence.
It was mostly kind of in Vegas or certain Native American reservations.
Now it's everywhere.
How do you reconcile the tension between infantilizing young men
and providing them access to something that's legal anyways?
And what do you see as, over the last decade, obviously, this has exploded?
What are the primary externalities you're focused on in terms of gambling permeating kind of everyday life?
Totally.
And it's one thing to have gambling legal, right?
Or even have something like fast food or tobacco or alcohol legal.
It's another thing to have a frictionless gambling app on your phone
where you can lose multiple mortgage payments on Malaysian women's doubles badminton.
It's sort of, it's to me, you can't have it.
I think all Americans probably have whether they like to admit it or not some sort of
libertarian streak in them where they say, okay, people should be able to do whatever they want.
If you run into trouble with gambling, with fast food, with whatever else,
it's your fault.
You didn't exhibit enough self-concundation.
control. Fine. But it can't be like it's every 21-year-old out for themselves against a billion
dollar corporation using every sort of trick in their book and every marketing device that they can
think of and every sort of user design and user interface design trick they can think of to get part
that 22-year-old from their money. So that to me is, we can talk about sort of the negative
externality specifically and sort of why it's preying on young men. But that's why I'm not, I would
love to be sympathetic to sort of the libertarian framing. But I just think it's, it doesn't apply in
this case or it's not suitable fully in this case. I remember reading you're not against legalization
of sports betting. You're against a reckless legalization of it. What regulation would you like to see
imposed? It really boils down to this concept of friction. More specifically for gambling apps,
friction looks like something to slow down the pace of betting to make it so that someone who is
gambling casually, gambling $5 here, $10 there on the next or whatever the case, maybe doesn't sort of
fall down this rabbit hole where all of a sudden they are gambling on minor league British
darts or check table tennis because they're chasing their losses. So something to slow down
how quickly you can get money into the app, to make it easier, ironically, to get money out of the
app, to maybe limit how much money you can spend in a day, how much time you can spend on the app,
things like that that would just organically slow down the pace of play and make it so that someone
doesn't sort of fall down the hill and accumulate velocity, but accumulate speed with their gambling
without realizing what's happening to them.
So I've read statistics that when states legalized gambling,
bankruptcy is surged by a third, what are some of the other kind of,
I mean, if you were to sound the alarm here,
what's your evidence for why frictionless gambling is a real issue?
Right.
So I would say two categories.
One is you already referred to.
There's these three, so far, three aggregate level studies that, you know,
basically within a few, the arrival of online sports betting,
within a few financial quarters, we see a 30% increase in bankruptcies, rising in credit card
auto loan delinquencies, debt use of debt consolidation loans, percentage of accounts with debt
in collections, reduced savings and investment in low-income households, and increase in calls
to child and protective services. So even at the aggregate sort of at the state level,
within a year or two of the arrival of online sports betting, we see sort of the effect there.
And then that's, I haven't even gotten to like sort of the addiction question and sort of
the number of people who have, like, run into addiction.
That's just, like, people who are just, like, losing a shit ton of money.
My mom was a docent at the Belagio Hotel.
We moved her to Las Vegas when she retired,
and she used to come home with all these fun facts about the casino business or the gambling
business.
And one that always struck me is that gambling has the highest suicide rate of any addiction,
because you can get in so far over your head.
Do you have data around?
I read somewhere that one and two college-age men that on the Super Bowl.
Are you starting to see some of the externalities of that bubble up in terms of men dropping out of school or higher self-harm rates?
What can you point to right now that is clear that the increase and the prevalence of online gaming is hurting young men?
Okay. So the best data we have right now is primarily from survey evidence. And there's, in fact, a huge lack of research on gambling in general that part of which is what my organization is starting to,
help fix a little bit. You're right. Gambling is the addiction with the highest sort of connection to
suicide. It is, for the record, the only sort of behavioral disorder that's technically formally
diagnosed, diagnostically codified as an addiction. Something like sex addiction, shopping
addiction, those are disorders, but they're not addictive in the way that tobacco, alcohol,
drugs, is like, changes your brain chemistry and gets you hooked on the dopamine and gambling does.
So here's a stat that if I was sort of sort of going to boil it down when it comes to a
addiction because we don't have the great data yet. But here's the stat that sort of keeps me up at
night. There's this thing called self-exclusion where if you say, okay, enough's enough, you're not
allowed to allow me onto your casino floor anymore. You can't allow me onto your app. You can't
send marketing materials to my house. You can fill out a form with the state or with the gambling
company and say, you need to exclude me. theoretically, Scott, you could do this. If you wanted,
I don't know why anyone would go through the trouble of self-excluding if they didn't sort of have
run into a gambling problem of some kind. Okay. So Pennsylvania created a self-execlubing
created a self-exclusion program in 2006. From 2006 to 2018, they had roughly 400 people
between the age of 1835 who self-excluded, so about 50 a year for 12 years. And then since
2019, when they legalized both online sports betting and online casino gaming, there have been 10,27
people from 18 to 35 who have self-excluded. So we've gone from about 50 a year, sort of under,
let's call it, treatment or control conditions, under normal conditions, to now 1,500 a year,
just from sort of the young, not just male, but yeah,
the young age bracket, as what I can offer as sort of the best proxy right now for indications
that gambling harm has gone up.
My sense is men are predisposed to being more risk aggressive, and that that has real
devenants, and they're more inclined.
I see movement in the bushes.
I grab a spear, and I go try and hunt, and I take risks.
But some of that risk-aggressive behavior is there for a positive reason.
You know, I would argue men may better combat soldiers, and warfare is.
change, and you need a combination of more thoughtful, what I'll call feminine instincts,
or measured feminine instincts, but you also need those more aggressive, valourious, I don't know
what the term is male instincts, and it's a peanut butter and chocolate combination, I think,
that it serves society fairly well. The men are, men of my understanding is six out of seven
gambling addicts are men. Can you go back to the male brain and when it starts, and why are men
more predisposed to gambling addiction? You know, where does it?
come from? You called my boss's boss's boss, Richard Reeves, you're Yoda. So I'm drawing a lot of
this from his work and, you know, credit to him for having the American Institute for Boys and Men work
on sports gambling, which is, you know, young men, as you've said, are already predisposed to
risky behaviors of all kinds, especially given sort of the economic circumstances in the United
States where they're suffering, where they're not doing as well in higher education, they're not doing
as well in the labor market. You sort of see why gambling would take on this sort of what Kyla
then call sort of a nihilistic logic or a financial nihilistic logic where I don't have
enough money to buy a house, but I might as well gamble with whatever money I do have to try to get
enough money to secure.
I'm not saving, so why not?
Yeah.
Right.
Why not gamble.
And then not to mention the sort of slower developing prefrontal cortex, not to mention
the sort of sports fandom of it all already, not to mention the sort of overconfidence or
desire to like prove that you know ball to your buddies or to your friends and to show off a
little bit. I think all those things combined just create this like toxic cocktail that makes sports gambling
just so biologically, sociologically, economically dangerous specifically for young men.
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Give me what you think, if there are any,
the difference is, my understanding is Flutter,
the biggest sports game or this biggest company
has gotten the shit kicked out of it, it's equity.
And I think some of that is regulatory risk, but I would argue the majority of it is there appears to be leakage of that firm's growth and upside to the prediction markets.
Curious how you would establish or distinguish between the prediction markets and the gambling apps.
So we had the head of Calcian, and he made what I thought was a fairly compelling point that we're in the middle of a trade or two contracts similar to when stocks trade, as opposed to the gambling apps where they're,
essentially trying to engineer a way to get more money from you. That it's, it's, you know,
anyways, you sort of, I can see by your language, you sort of by that, you sort of don't. So let me ask
the initial question. What, what and how would you distinguish between gambling apps and the
prediction markets? So honestly, I wouldn't as a baseline. 90% of the trading volume on CalShe
is on sports. And as far as we know, yeah, it's cool.
it's sexy, it's weird, you can bet on Taylor Swift's bridesmaids or gas prices in Miami or whatever.
But functionally, these platforms, because they're 18 plus rather than gambling, which is 21 plus,
and because they're available at all 50 states rather than just the 32 states that have legal online sports betting,
functionally, this is a way for a 19-year-old in Utah to gamble on sports when he wouldn't have been able to otherwise.
And all the election stuff, all the will aliens, will Jesus Christ return in 2026, all those markets are basically just like appetizers.
for sports gambling, which is the bread and butter business,
whether they want to admit it or not of companies like Kalshi and Polymarket.
So fundamentally, I'm not going to beg their question,
but these are just gambling platforms,
and they've worked like gambling platforms,
and the fact that you can build a parlay,
or what they call a combo like you could on a sports book,
also begs to me the question of, like, that this is all peer-to-peer.
How can I have, like, Bangladesh invasion by the U.S.,
plus Philadelphia Eagles, plus Sacramento Kings?
There's no traitor with the exact opposite combination.
There's clearly a house working, that might not work exactly like a sports betting house,
but there is clearly some institutional investor on the side of the prediction market,
providing the initial liquidity for these markets, and providing, allowing me to build
these sort of extremely bespoke custom investment tools, if you want to be generous and call them
that, such that this, yes, nominally these are peer-to-peer platforms, but I would love to sort of
open the books and see if that's actually the case, or to what degree that's actually the
case. How do you build in the best type of, so when I think of the stock market, three trillion
dollars a year in transactions, $300 billion is for the initial objective of the market,
and that as secondaries are IPOs. You could argue that 90% of the transactions taking place in the
market are speculation. It's me betting against Jonathan. If I saw my Apple stock and you buy it,
these to be, you know, through a third-party intermediary, I'm betting it's going to go down,
you're betting it's going to go up. But there is some friction there, right? You have to be,
if you're investing in a private company, you have to be a quote unquote accredited investor.
You have to, there's certain margin requirements. Have you seen any country other than,
and maybe it's just an outright ban, but what are the best methods of introducing friction to the
system? I don't think you're ever going to screen out all the problems. And, you know, if you
want to just sit at home and smoke cigarettes and eat ice cream and kill yourself, I kind of think
that's your right to a certain extent. But at the same time, we put warning labels on it.
You know, we do have certain intervention. What have you seen as the most effective means
of introducing friction into the system? So, I mean, you referred to Flutter earlier, which is
Fandwell's parent company. But this is a case of actually effective and important self-regulation
by Flutter, which is Fandwell's parent company, which imposes limits on gamblers in the United
Kingdom and Ireland who are under the age of 25.
There's a maximum amount
that you can lose if you're under the age of 25
and then you get cut off.
I think it's on a monthly basis.
That's the kind of friction that
should be that you,
what we have right now is friction that you can opt
into. You can opt into a time limit.
You can opt into a deposit limit. And spoiler alert,
no one ever does. And what they're creating
is an opt-out system. You can't
opt-out, but it's a default
friction system.
And this is
well, I'll stop there.
Yeah, I think that as a starting point,
that's not even regulatory, right? That's sort of industry
imposed, self-imposed. That's the
kind of thing I would like to use as a baseline.
The thing that also
strikes me as a potential solution
and I wonder if you've thought about this
is I've always thought that
we have,
the word crisis is overuse,
a problem with kids borrowing money
for degrees that
are just unlikely to provide them with the
market power to
be able to pay back their student loans. And I thought an easy solution, or friction, if you will,
would be putting the host institution or the issuing institution of the debt. They're not actually
issuing the debt. They're just approving it such that the government provides debt, putting them
on the hook for 10, 20, 50 percent of the bad debt. Is there some sort of mechanism here where you'd say,
okay, if someone goes bankrupt, the host institution is on the hook for a certain percentage of it?
So just be clear, we basically have this for alcohol, right?
We have this concept of a dram shop law, which is if someone, if Scott's at the bar and he's
clearly drunk, but the bar just sort of keeps plying him with booze because he's an easy mark
and he's buying him.
Yeah, can't kill someone, you kill someone, you run over someone's mailbox with your car.
The bar can be held at least partly liable for your malfeasance and for your misbehavior.
And we have no equivalent, let's say, dram shop for gambling where there's no, there's
no disincentive for the company to stop serving you because, in fact, they don't want to
stop serving you because you're going to sort of move over from Draft Kings to Fandall or from
Fandold of Caesars or whatever the case may be. How would you do that? I'm willing to accept industry
self-regulation to a point, but there has to be some actually industry-wide imposition,
and the industry is not always going to agree to everything. So it has to sort of be regulatory,
you know, for example, a national self-exclusion programs that you block yourself from one platform,
you're sort of automatically cut off from the rest of them,
and they don't have an incentive to sort of lure you over.
You know, Fandrel doesn't have an incentive to lure you over
once they find out that you've cut yourself off from Draft Kings
or something like that.
Or when you set a time limit,
you set a deposit limit,
it sort of automatically goes across all the apps
rather than just sort of the app of choice
because someone is going to just,
you can just download another one.
So something like that,
which is the kind of thing I would have loved to have had in place in 2018
when this all got started,
better late than never.
But it's the kind of thing that I think would create that
baseline of guardrails that were so sorely needed now, that are so sorely needed now.
And why has this exploded across states legalizing it as it for tax revenue? Is it a general
more libertarian standpoint? How come these companies have been able to essentially, you know,
I don't call it, run over, but states have embraced this. I mean, a lot of states, including
New York, did it during COVID. And they were, they were sort of a very acute need for
revenue, even though it's a very, very small amount of revenue. Only Montana, Montana is the only
state that gets more than 1% of its tax revenue from sports betting. In most states, it's,
it really is a drop in the bucket. But going back to the 1730s, right, lawmakers in the United States
have always sought out tax-free sources of government revenue and have always turned to gambling
as a result. So yeah, some of them probably did have this sort of libertarian streak about
gambling, but some of them were probably just told, hey, this is going to be a big moneymaker.
I think a big point that they were told that we haven't talked about is all this black market
gambling already exists.
So you're not even going to be increasing the number of people who gamble.
All you're doing is just capturing this revenue that was sort of flowing out the door in the form of
to bookies or to, you know, these offshore casinos based in the Caribbean, and you're going to reshore it.
You're going to now, now it's going to generate tax revenue for you and it's going to be great.
And do you see, I'm curious how the different players have lined up.
They keep hearing that Vegas is just dying, a combination.
of Canadian tourists have decided, yeah, we don't need to, we don't need to spend our money in America
if they're going to be just shitty neighbor, you know, a meth lab that we're living above in an apartment
in terms of bad decisions. And also, I would got to imagine the prevalence of that ability to
scratch that dopa you get from gambling when it's in your pocket. Have they played a role in trying to,
I mean, where are they in all of this? Are they trying to actively figure out a way to,
regulate these guys? Are there certain senators in certain states who have been leaders saying
this is a bad idea and are proposed? I mean, the problem with this stuff is it's usually pretty
hard to roll back, right? Yeah. What's the state of play in the legislative market right now?
I don't know say it's a lot of it is focused on prediction markets specifically. I mean,
just right now, or as we're talking, right, there's a lot of what appears to be very obvious
insider trading on the Iran strikes by the U.S. government. So there's a lot of focus specific on
prediction markets, which really have been a runaway train over the last, you know, just a few months.
So there's been some talk at the federal level about sports betting regulation, but I think
more likely that's going to happen to the state level and the federal government is going to be
focused on prediction markets. If you could only implement one reform, what would it be?
So this, okay, this is a little bit of a cop-out, but I would change the mandate for the regulatory
agencies that oversee sports money. I'm going to butcher the exact quote, but the Maryland
lottery and gaming control agency
or whatever it's called,
one of their official mandates,
their missions,
is to increase or maximize
the amount of tax revenue
for the state of Maryland
from sports betting.
And I would change that mandate
to something along the lines
of foster the well-being
of Marylandians
and make it possible
for them to gamble on sports.
And I think friction,
all these other things
would sort of flow downstream
of a different North Star
for the agencies
that oversee sports betting.
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And how do we compare to other markets? I'm living in the UK right now. And as far as I can tell,
just as late night or the evening news has become pharmaceutical TV in the U.S., it feels like
Premier League football here is bet TV, you know, bet 365. And I find it very cynical because
they have on their advertising, you know, bet responsibly, bet 365. I'm like, okay, what does that
mean? I'd be very curious to see what their vision of bet responsibly is. But as you look at,
what can we learn from what other nations have gone through in this market? Yeah, I mean,
the UK, frankly, is where we're going, right? They've had legal sports gambling since 1961,
online legal gambling since 2005,
and they are currently in the process of
rewriting the rules of what gambling should be,
in part because they've experiencing what we are going to
or have already begun experiencing in the U.S.
of increase in suicides,
increase in financial cadets,
increase in addiction, and the like.
So there are other countries that have a model
in other parts of Europe specifically
for, for example, advertising restrictions, as you said.
And I think the United Kingdom is, in fact,
in the process of sort of rolling back
some of the, like the number of jerseys that can have gambling advertising.
I think that's sort of on its way out.
But there are, there are ideas like a whistle-to-wistle band.
You know, while a sports game is going, you can't air any gambling advertisement.
Some goes further, like between the hours of like 10 a.m. and 10 p.m.
You can't air any gambling advertising when children might be watching.
Stuff like that, that I think maybe the time to do it again was eight years ago before we
totally normalized socialized and before we totally normalized and socialized gambling before
the Pandora's box was fully opened.
but I'm willing to take it before, for today's young people,
I don't know how many of them watching cable TV
or watching live sports, but it can't hurt.
What are the demographics of the people who are most prone to this?
And also, what's the relationship or crossover between this and other types of addictions?
I found it fascinating where you said that it's not technically,
it's a behavioral addiction, not a biological or a chemical addiction, if you will.
I found that was really interesting.
But is this a gay, are people who do a lot of, you know,
know, are betting on the Super Bowl, are they more inclined to develop a drinking problem?
Is this technically a gateway drug or other drugs or addictions a gateway to this?
And what is, we know it's more men than women, but how else does it break down demographically?
So for sports, as far as we can tell, problems from sports betting is pretty reflective
of the percentage of people who are doing sports betting.
It's disproportionately male who are sort of running into trouble, but of course, more men are gambling on sports than women.
And many even of the women who we think are gambling on sports
are probably actually just men using their wives,
social security numbers.
So it's probably even more male-dominated than we think it is.
And there is a huge prevalence of what you'd call sort of comorbidity,
where someone, just as I live in New Haven,
our local police chief got over a drinking problem
and then developed a gambling problem
that he sort of sees as sort of specifically sort of replaced the role of alcohol in his life.
And he ended up embezzling a bunch of city funds to feed his gambling habit.
And so there's a huge comorbidity.
of people with a drinking problem, a drug problem, if they sell any money left, with PTSD,
with bipolar, with any other sort of mental disorder, will often find their way to gambling
as a way to get their fix. And those people are uniquely susceptible to the clutches of,
you know, a gambling ad, gambling ad, gambling app on their phone, push notifications,
you name it. So regulation, the results in friction. I get that.
whether it's age-gating or maybe putting them on the hook or not letting certain people continue to gamble.
Is there financial penalties for companies that are bad, that are bad actors?
I also wonder how much of this is, and let me know if you've seen anything like this,
but I've always thought that in the senior year of high school, we should have a class called adulting.
You know, how to pay your credit card bill.
What is a mortgage?
My kid can do integers.
I don't think he understands the interest rate on his credit card.
You know, how to approach someone and express romantic interest while making them feel safe.
You know, like basic adulting, you know, what are the standards in the workplace, standard norms,
and then to educate them about the difference between the male and the female brain
and which addictions and types of addictions are most inclined to and why and when to seek out help.
Do you think there's a role or an obligation for education,
around gambling apps and high schools,
and have you seen anyone actually implement it?
Yes, I think that it's all,
I'm totally agree with you.
Let's not be naive about whether it's 17-year-olds
who's going to pay attention to any of this material
when it's actually presented to them,
and they're going to, any more than they're paying attention
to their English literature class.
But we should be furnishing students,
young people, with this information
that they're not going to hear anywhere else.
Everything they learn about gambling should not be from,
Kevin Hart during a Drafking's ad,
talking about how fun it is and how easy it is to gamble.
So the Commonwealth of Virginia actually is doing this
and is incorporating basically gambling curriculum
into what you call like a sex ed material.
So right, where you talk about sex,
you talk about porn, you talk about alcohol, drugs,
you name it.
And to me, I'm in favor of it because it's not a question anymore
of if a young person is going to gamble.
It's just a question of what they're going to gamble on
and how long it's going to take them to run into trouble,
whether it's sports betting, prediction markets,
crypto, Robin Hood, video game, loopboxes,
you name it.
They're going to find their way to gambling.
And it's sort of like porn where you know they're going to find their way to it.
It's just a question of like, are they prepared?
Are they sort of armed with the resources and the resilience to know what they're looking at
and to place it into the proper context and understand it?
Or are they sort of being left to their own devices on their own devices?
And a multibillion-dollar company is sort of able to have their way with their dopamine pathways.
In terms of treatment for gambling, is there, you know, there's Nicorette for nicotine,
there's methadone or for alcohol?
have you come across or in your research seen anything that helps young people just on a more
productive level replace the same kind of reward or dopa they get from gambling somewhere else?
This is what's crazy, right? Which is that with gambling, with heroin, right, you're injecting something into your body.
And with gambling, you're not injecting anything, but still your brain is changing and your brain
chemistry is changing sort of in response to the dopamine addiction from gambling.
And so with gambling treatment, it's a lot of therapy, a lot of therapy, a lot of sort of interoperative
self-work to realize sort of what hole in your life you were trying to fill with gambling
and then trying to build the self-control to every day for the rest of your life not fall down
that rabbit hole again. And just to remind people, so in 2018, the U.S. legal sports betting was
approximately $2 or $3 billion a year, and this year it's going to be $150 billion a year.
It just feels as if, I mean, this really does feel like a runaway freight train at this point.
what are you predicting? Do you think we haven't, we're just the tip of the iceberg of self-harm and
bankruptcies. Is there a certain lag where it takes someone a few years to get in real trouble?
Is, you know, are you predicting kind of 20-28 is when, I mean, typically what I've seen with
these types of things is they happen. There's a profit incentive. They tap into a flaw in our instincts,
whether it's addiction or dopa or wanting to gorge food, whatever it is. And then it takes this 20 or 30
years to figure it out. Took us 30 years of tobacco, 20 years with opiates. I think it's going to take us
about 20 years of social media to finally regulate it. Where do you think we are in this cycle?
And when do you think it hits a breaking point and people get more serious about regulation?
Yeah. I think so prediction markets, I actually think are sort of an accelerant in all this,
because California, it seemed like was going to take a long time. You know, industry insiders
that I talked to thought that it was going to take until the 2030s for California to get legal
online sports gambling.
But of course, through the back door of prediction markets,
we have legal online sports gambling in places like Texas, California, Minnesota, Georgia.
So we have it sort of statewide.
So we've sort of accelerated the conversation.
So I don't think there is the public, as much as I would love to say that within one month,
one month of joining the American Institute for Boys and Men,
I've single-handedly changed the tide of the national conversation on sports betting.
I don't think that's happened.
And I think what's actually going to do it more than anything is
these questions of sports integrity, which we haven't talked about yet, which aren't as
salient to me as the question of sort of what's happening to young men. But unless like Chuck Schumer's
grandson or whatever gets a gambling problem and some very high official sort of this becomes
their pocket issue and they really sort of start pushing it every day, it's probably going
to these questions of sports integrity and the threat to the integrity of the NFL and MLB and so on
that wakes people up to the problem. And then there's sort of space, space will be created there
for people like me to sort of push the public health approach within the sort of broader
conversation about what the hell have we unleashed and what have we done. So I don't, I don't want to,
I don't have a timetable for you, but there's a chance that happens pretty soon if like
LeBron James gets caught betting on NBA games or, for example, that Overton window might open
really quickly. And just some data here. States that legalized online sports betting have
seen their bankruptcies, more loan delinquencies, lower credit scores, and reduced savings, especially
among lower income households, among heavy betters, 60% of those depositing $500 plus.
per month, say they can't cover at least one bill or loan. So this does appear to be praying,
especially on lower-income households. Is that foot to your research? Yeah, and there's a study
specifically about the reduction in investment and savings in low-income households from sports gambling.
But to your previous question, I don't know when, I don't know to what degree that that bill
comes due, so to speak, or the degree to which a lawmaker, for example, wakes up and says,
oh, we have this financial precarity crisis, sorry, sorry to use that word. We have this
financial priority problem, and it's specifically because of sports betting versus inflation or
sort of the job market, AI, you sort of, you name it. And so I don't know if we're ever going
to get to that point where we wake up to the problem of sports betting, specifically because we
can see of the increase in bankruptcies, for example, the causality is always sort of, there's always
going to be plausible deniability about the causality here, which is my problem and why I think
that it's going to take the integrity angle to sort of open the door for the public health
discussion. Jonathan Cohen leads gambling policy, the American Institute for Boys and Men.
He's the author of Losing Big, America's Rews,
reckless bet on sports gambling and for a dollar and a dream. And he joins us from New Haven,
which he claims is the pizza capital of America, which I would call challenge. But I guess I'll
let him prove me wrong at some point. Jonathan, congratulations on joining my intellectual role
model or hero, Richard Reeves. And thanks for a good work. This episode was produced by Jennifer
Sanchez and Laura Janair. Cammy Rieke is our social producer, Bianca Rosario Ramirez, is our
video editor. And Drew Burroughs is our technical director. Thank you for listening to the PropG
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