The Rest Is History - 312: Reagan, Iran-Contra and the Cold War
Episode Date: March 13, 2023Warmonger or nuclear disarmer? Ronald Reagan’s presidency survived an assassination attempt, the AIDS epidemic and the Iranian hostage crisis. He powered through the 1980s, creating his own truth an...d narrative, in a series of events that read like a Hollywood screenplay. Tom and Dominic take a look at the impact of Reagan's presidency, the enduring effects of his politics, and why none of the scandals that scarred his time in office led to his downfall. They reflect on Reagan's legacy, and whether he can truly take credit for ending the Cold War, as the curtain falls on his blockbuster presidency. *The Rest Is History Live Tour 2023*: Tom and Dominic are back on tour this autumn! See them live in London, New Zealand, and Australia! Buy your tickets here: restishistorypod.com Twitter: @TheRestHistory @holland_tom @dcsandbrook Producer: Theo Young-Smith Executive Producers: Jack Davenport + Tony Pastor Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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It's morning again in America.
Today, more men and women will go to work than ever before in our country's history with interest rates at about half the record highs of 1980
nearly 2 000 families today will buy new homes more than at any time in the past four years
this afternoon 6 500 young men and women will be married
and with inflation of less than half of what it was just four years ago,
they can look forward with confidence to the future.
It's morning again in America.
And under the leadership of President Reagan,
our country is prouder and stronger and better.
Why would we ever want to return to where we were
less than four short years ago?
Oh, heartwarming stuff there, Dominic Sandbrook. You very much wanted to open with that,
which was the famous re-election advert for Reagan in the 1984 election, four years, of course, after he won
against Jimmy Carter. And it's interesting listening to that, how he's still playing
off against the memories of the Carter presidency. Four years ago.
Why would you want to go back to a time before morning when all is dark and gloomy and miserable
and people aren't getting married and people aren't kind of hugging each other and raising
flags and all that kind of stuff, which is going on in the advert.
It's probably one of the most famous American ads of all time. Most famous ads tend to be negative.
So the ad that Lyndon Johnson ran against Goldwater in 1964,
the year that Reagan first really got involved with politics.
That's the one with the little girl blowing the flower and then she gets nuked.
Exactly. The nuclear weapons, the Daisy advert. But this is unusual in being
a very famous advert that's positive. And actually, as a British historian, you watch that advert and
the sense of being immersed in an enormous vat of syrup. Drowning. It's hard to resist,
but it's absolutely the key to Reaganism. The emphasis on the family, the emphasis on the flag, on being stronger, prouder, stronger,
better.
The sort of Hollywood sheen.
And the Hollywood sheen is something that is a part of Reagan's presidency right from
the beginning, and it kicks off in his inauguration after his victory in 1980.
So we ended last time, didn't we, by talking about how there was a real sense of, I mean,
Jimmy Carter had talked of a malaise in 1979.
The Americans had left Vietnam in 1973. Saigon fell in 75. The Iranian hostage crisis, high
inflation, rising unemployment, a real sense of the American dream having kind of lost its way.
So they go together in the limousine from the White House, Carter and Reagan. Carter,
it's so richly symbolic. I mean, you said before we started recording this, that so much of it feels like people have been supplied by a Hollywood
casting agency. The lines have been written by the most melodramatic script writer.
And Carter has literally been up all night trying to get the hostages out of Iran. He's haggard,
exhausted. He hasn't shaved until the very last minute he throws on his suit he gets in the limo
with reagan and carter he's stricken he is a stricken man and he says nothing and reagan
tries to lighten the mood by telling him jokes about how he was well there's a great there's a
great joke isn't there about um what is flat and glows in the dark tehran the day after reagan's
inauguration all right golly yeah well but the thing is then Reagan gets up there
and he gives this inaugural address,
which is very, very, it absolutely sets the tone.
And he tells a story about a young man.
He looks out to Arlington Cemetery,
which you can kind of not really see,
but just see in the distance, there in the distance,
National Cemetery.
And he says, row and row of white markers.
He tells the story of one man who lies under these
markers for martin treptow who was killed in 1917 in um in the first world war and on his body was
found a diary with the words he'd written my pledge in it this pledge said america must win
this war i will work i will save i will sacrifice i will fight cheerfully and do my utmost, as if the issue of the whole struggle depended on me alone. Reagan tells that story and he says, you know,
we are called upon to try to live up to that, to believe that we, like Martin Treptow and Co,
can resolve our challenges with God's help. And he ends his final sentence,
after all, why shouldn't we believe that? We are Americans. And it is so stirring and rousing. The thing is,
it wasn't true. His speechwriter had said to him, I don't think we should use this because,
first of all, he's not buried at Arlington National Cemetery. So the whole conceit is not true.
And secondly, he probably wasn't the first person to write that pledge. He was probably writing
down something that he had heard.
East Coast liberals with their tedious facts.
His scriptwriter, Ken Kachigian, who says that to him, and Reagan says to him, it's too good a story.
So they leave it in.
Right. And so that's the essence, isn't it?
Because, I mean, it's not a kind of a barefaced lie.
Well, I suppose it is to a degree, but I mean, it's not like the kind of Trump saying a million people turned up when it was about 10. It's Reagan's understanding of what is true.
The kind of the mere historical details are as nothing compared to the radiance
of the message that it teaches, I guess would be Reagan's perspective on it.
That's exactly it. We talked in the previous episode about his use of parables, sort of metaphorical stories that express the kind of truth. When
Reagan, I mean, we're jumping ahead, but why not? When he's in trouble with Iran-Contra,
he gives this absolutely extraordinary speech where he says, I told the American people I did
not trade arms for hostages. My heart and my best intentions still tell me that's true, but the facts and
evidence tell me that it's not. And I think that's the essence of Reagan, that if his heart tells him
something is true, then it kind of is true. So there's that. But the other thing is that the
inauguration right from the start, it's a gigantic blowout. So a lot of the events at Carter's
inauguration had been free and he had walked hand in hand
with his wife, Rosalind, from the White House to the Capitol or vice versa, I can't remember
which, because he wanted to show that he was a man of the people.
Reagan realizes that ultimately Americans don't want that, that actually, for all the
talk of the republic, they want a king, they want a monarch, and he's brilliant at playing
a king.
So he and Nancy are in absolutely all their finery.
You pay something like, is it $10,000?
I think it's $10,000 for a box at Frank Sinatra's gala on the night of the inauguration.
Right.
But he can do this because it's saying a way that somebody like Trump can't.
I mean, Trump does do it, but it kind of causes more offense because the glamour of Hollywood is something that people want to invest in. And movie stars should have limousines and fur coats and all that kind of
stuff. Yes. So although there was some disquiet about Nancy and she becomes the lightning rod for
Queen Nancy. Queen Nancy. And people, I mean, the famous example is when on the same day that the
federal government classifies tomato ketchup as a vegetable,
as a cost-cutting exercise in school lunches,
she announces that she's just spent $209,000 on China for the White House with the monogram NR.
So she's completely tone deaf.
She makes Marie Antoinette look in touch with the streets.
But Reagan himself, people quite like that in a
president. So Reagan, unlike Carter, Reagan says, I will never be photographed in my shirt sleeves
in the Oval Office. I will always be wearing a suit and tie. I will never dress down.
Because he's playing a part.
Exactly.
And he plays the part brilliantly. And I guess the evidence for just how well he can play it
is the courage and the capacity for recovery that he shows after he's shot.
Yeah.
A few weeks after the inauguration.
Yes, not even two months.
Exactly right.
Rawhide down.
So Rawhide is his code name for the security services.
He was at the Hilton in Washington, D.C., talking to building construction union members.
He leaves the hotel that afternoon through the
VIP entrance and then on T Street. So it's not that far from the White House, really.
Six shots ring out. His press secretary is very badly hit, Jim Brady, hits in the head and ends
up in a wheelchair and a policeman is hit. And Reagan at first, it's not clear that he's been
hit, is it? No. So he's bundled into this limo by the Secret Service.
He thinks that the person bundling him in has crushed a rib.
Yeah.
They rushed to the George Washington Hospital.
And Reagan, I was astounded because I had not really read a sort of hour-by-hour reconstruction of the assassination.
But he walks into the hospital, doesn't he?
Under his own steam.
Could I recommend a very good rawhide down by Del Quentin Wilbur, who I met at a literary festival in Palm Springs.
So the thing that strikes me about it is that it's a very dramatic incident,
but all the characters and all the dialogue in it make it even more dramatic. So one of the
anesthetist nurses says about the two doctors who first come when Reagan walks in,
if you were to call central casting and say, send me two guys who are really nice folks and look
like they might be surgeons, these are the two they would send. They have to cut all Reagan's
suit off so he's absolutely naked. And then they're kind of feeling around. They discover
that there is in fact this bullet that he has to be operated on. The surgeon comes in and he's
going to operate him. Reagan famously says, I hope you're a Republican. And the surgeon, who is in fact a card-carrying
Democrat, says that today, sir, we are all Republicans.
Perfect dialogue.
Absolutely perfect lines. Reagan recovers. Nancy comes in. Reagan says, honey, I forgot to duck.
Yeah.
He cannot stop talking. The nurse, who's obviously kind of channeling Jane Wyman,
who was fed up with how much Reagan was always talking, says, Mr. President, in the most polite
way I can tell you, when I put this face cloth over your eyes, it means I want you to shut up.
Is he telling her stories about things he's read in the Reader's Digest?
Tip O'Neill, who is the democrat speaker yeah very ideologically opposed
to what reagan is doing he comes in kneels by reagan's bed recites one of the psalms i mean
the whole thing is so kind of perfectly scripted and then adding a kind of a dark perspective on
that it turns out that the guy who has shot re, John Hinckley, is obsessed with a movie star in the form of Jodie Foster. And he's trying to impress her.
Because he's seen her in a film about an assassination taxi driver. And Taxi Driver
itself, the character of Taxi Driver, Robert De Niro's character, is based on Arthur Bremmer,
who shot George Wallace. Yeah. So it's just kind of halls of mirrors. And Rawhide Dan also suggests that the Hinkley has been influenced by Mark David Chapman,
who shot John Lennon just a few months before.
And so the sense of celebrity, of movies, of political drama, I mean, it's an incredible
hall of mirrors like that.
And Reagan comes out of it very well, doesn't he?
Because-
He does.
I mean, he's what?
He's in his early seventies by this point, but he's a very fit man.
Yes.
He's back up on his feet pretty soon.
He's out within less than two weeks.
I think that sense of playing a part, which is so easily derided, is an absolutely central
part of his political appeal.
I mean, we talked about this a little bit when we did our podcast about French presidents.
The French electorate reward a president who plays the part of the monarchical
president, which Macron does, which Mitterrand did or de Gaulle. And I think FDR did that
as president. Well, it's a difference between a prime minister and a president, isn't it?
Absolutely, it is. Reagan is always conscious that he's playing the president. Although his
policies are often very divisive, he tries to speak for all Americans. He talks a lot about America, about what it means to be American.
He never lets his guard down. He never pokes fun at his own role. There's no hint of absurdity
about him, of sort of a raised eyebrow. He thinks the American presidency is charged with dignity
and meaning and a sort of, dare I say, sacral
importance.
Well, there is a kind of civil religion, American civil religion, I suppose you would say.
And for Reagan, literal religion.
Yeah.
I mean, he literally sees his role in terms of good and evil, which brings us to one of
the two great themes, I suppose, of his first presidency.
So the first is the Cold War.
Yeah. And the second is the economy. Well, maybe we, of his first presidency. So the first is the Cold War and the
second is the economy. Well, maybe we should start with the economy. The economy. Okay. Because even
as Reagan is being shot and then recovering, the economy is in trouble. It is. So he's come to
power with, it's not quite the same as Thatcherism. People always think it's the same as Thatcherism,
but it isn't. It's a doctrine called supply-side economics. Or voodoo economics, as George Bush,
who had been Reagan's opponent in the primaries and then becomes his vice president, had put it.
Exactly.
So supply-side, the essence of supply-side, I mean, we could spend hours discussing this,
but the essence of it is you cut taxes, you lift regulations, you make life easier for
business, and that will help the economy to recover.
And in fact, there was a famous curve called the Laffer curve that an economist called Arthur Laffer had drawn on a napkin
in a Washington restaurant, which he said,
if you cut taxes enough, you will reach a point
where the economy grows so much that your tax revenues
will actually go up.
Trickle-down economics.
Yeah, this has never quite been reached in reality.
But it's great if you're rich.
Yeah, it's great if you're rich. In fact, a lot of conservative economists at the time and ever
since have said, this is utter tosh. That's a classic Reagan-style parable, actually.
It kind of lodges in people's minds, the idea that there's this curve on a napkin.
Yeah.
And people love that. So Reagan has this budget director, a very young man called David Stockman.
He's 34. He's very idealistic. He says, listen, let's slash taxes. So they're going to bring down the top rate of tax from 70% to 50%. They're going to
cut taxes in general, 23% in three years, a massive tax cut. And we'll also cut spending.
And actually the key to how Reaganomics works in practice is they cut the taxes and then Stockman
says, right, now for the spending. They cut the easy things, easy for Republicans. So they cut things like welfare for the working poor, food stamps, school lunches, because
they're all just going out and blowing all their food stamps on enormous amounts of food
in shops.
This is the Reagan take.
That's the Reagan take.
Exactly.
They say, well, cut all that.
And of course they can cut them because that's not really the Republican constituency.
That's, as it were, low-hanging fruit.
Then they say, what about, Stockman's like, well, what about social security? Oh, no, you can't cut that.
And then he discovers, oh, we're also going to have a massive increase in defense spending.
So they increased defense spending from just over 20% of spending to almost 30%. Take it right back
up to where it was in the Vietnam War, when they're actually fighting a war. By the end of
that first year, Stockman gives an interview to the Atlantic Monthly in which he says, actually, this great plan hasn't
really worked out at all because I've realized that the administration is not prepared to cut
spending. That actually what Reagan's going to do is he's going to cut taxes and just borrow money
to spend on defense. In essence, this is what happens. So in 1982, the deficit is $128 billion. By 1983, it's already gone up to $207 billion,
by far the greatest peacetime deficits in American history. So this is what makes it
different from Mrs. Thatcher. Mrs. Thatcher is very much, she really believes in kind of a balanced
budget. She in fact- Housekeeping.
Yeah, good housekeeping. She in fact raises taxes when she gets into trouble because she's all about
cutting borrowing.
Reagan borrows money like there's no tomorrow.
Which he can kind of afford to do because the dollar is the reserve currency.
Right, because the American economy is so strong.
So that's the difference between Ronald Reagan and Liz Truss, for instance.
Yes, well, Liz Truss, you see, Liz Truss in Britain wanted to kind of reproduce Reaganomics.
And even at the time, people said, yeah, but it doesn't work that way for Britain.
The Americans can get away with this, with this gigantic economy and their outsized role in the world but we can't now meanwhile the head of the federal reserve paul volcker who'd been appointed by under jimmy carter
he is really interested in fighting inflation so he has increased interest rates hit a peak of 20
in the summer of 1981 everybody listening to this can probably guess what happens if you have high interest rates, it's very expensive to borrow money. You get a massive recession.
So the economy goes into recession in 81, 82, 3 million jobs are lost. A lot of those in the
kind of rust belt. And those are jobs often that don't return. So if you're in Detroit,
if you're in Michigan, if you're in, I don't know, Pennsylvania or Ohio or somewhere,
and you're in a factory
town, these are the places that really suffer in the Reagan years.
Flint.
Flint, Michigan.
Yeah.
Michael Moore did a program, didn't he, about Flint, Michigan.
I mean, these are places that have been the backbone-
The engine room.
Of FDR's America.
And Reagan, the great disciple of the great enthusiast of FDR, is destroying it.
Yes. I mean, you could argue, I think you can argue quite reasonably, this is a world that
is doomed anyway because of globalization. But Reagan, not as much as Mrs. Thatcher in Britain,
but to some extent, Reagan becomes the face of it, the face of that change. And I think what
makes it so charged in the United States, it doesn't quite have the same resonance in Britain, is that the Reagan administration
is so glitzy. And that at the same time this is happening, Nancy is buying all the new China and
wearing expensive dresses. And there's that contrast, it's so marked.
So how do they go from the recession and this ballooning deficit to being able to say it's
morning in America and all these great
statistics. Well, first of all, they don't mention the deficit in the morning again in America advert
because the deficit continues throughout the 1980s. So they're skating over that.
They skate over that. And it's actually not till George Bush, who has to raise taxes,
and then Bill Clinton in the 1990s, they start to basically eliminate that deficit.
The unemployment rate peaks at about 11% at the end of 82, similar to Britain, similar rate, but then there's a huge boom and that doesn't really
have a British. There is a bit of a boom in Britain, but it's much bigger in America.
What is stimulating the boom?
I know we're trying to pack so much into this podcast, so I'm going to have to
try to really boil it down. I think it depends who you ask, Tom. So it depends on their politics.
So a liberal economist,
somebody like Paul Krugman,
would say that boom is coming anyway.
It's part of the business cycle.
Actually, what Reagan is doing is
there was always going to be
a recession in the early 80s.
He's surfing the boom
that is inevitably going to come
because of technological change,
because of the inevitable recovery.
America's actually got
lots of underlying strengths. The carton malaise was oversold and the economy is always going to be booming and also oil
prices are very i've dropping i've dropped so the boom now if you're a more pro-reagan economist
you would say the tax cut is a big part of it the tax cut means people have more money in their
pockets people can invest businesses can invest deregulation means there's more competition.
Okay. So the deregulation, again, we're talking about how the disciple of FDR ends up inflicting
all this damage on the old heartlands of the New Deal. And the other famous policy that betrays
Reagan's instinctive upbringing, we mentioned in the previous episode that Reagan is the only president to have been
a union leader. Oh, right. Yes.
He sacks all the air traffic controllers, doesn't he?
He does. The PACCO. PACCO is the name of the union. So as federal employees, air traffic
controllers are not allowed to go on strike. That dates back to the 1950s and then was reaffirmed
by President Kennedy. The air traffic controllers demand higher pay, obviously, as people always do in a period of inflation, high inflation. They want more pay, but they also want
better working conditions. They're very aggrieved about their working conditions. They say they're
very stressed. They want to move to a four-day week, I think it is. The federal government
offers them 11.4%. It's actually more than they're offering most federal employees, I have to say.
They say it's no good. They decide they're offering most federal employees, I have to say. They say
it's no good. They decide they're going to go on strike anyway. And Reagan basically says,
you have 48 hours. If you don't come back to work in 48 hours, I will fire you. I think they don't
believe him. And he fires them. And then he gets people from the military to do it. And actually,
it lays down a really potent marker that he's not going to take any grief from the unions.
He's going to do what he has to do.
Obviously, if you don't like Reagan, if you're on the left, if you're in the unions, it's seen as outrageous.
If you're on the right, you say, oh, isn't this great, bold leadership and all that sort of thing.
Interestingly, he doesn't just fire them.
They're banned from federal jobs for life.
Wow, I didn't realize that.
That was then rescinded by Clinton.
And a similar, I guess, a kind of similar decisiveness or headstrongness,
whatever you want to frame it, depending on your politics, about his foreign policy,
which is, as seen from the Soviet Union, directly confrontational and definitely seen from
Salisbury, where I grew up. And we have the NATO headquarters just outside,
regional headquarters just outside where I grew up. News about cruise missiles and rearmament. It's all very unsettling.
Well, again, it's a complicated story. So the Soviet Union at the end of the 1970s
was stationing new missiles called the SS-20s on its side of the Iron Curtain. And from Europe,
there are calls for the US to boost its
presence, particularly West Germany and Britain. So Reagan's policy is he believes in, to borrow
a Goldwaterism, peace through strength. He thinks you don't back down, communism is evil.
Talk softly, carry a big stick.
Right. He makes the very famous speech to a group of evangelicals in 83 where he says
Soviet Union is an evil empire
the focus for evil
in the modern world.
He says in an address
to Parliament
in Britain
in 1982
the march of freedom
and democracy
will leave Marxism
Leninism
on the ash heap of history.
That's an image that
Ash heap.
The smouldering
radioactive heap
of history.
And they station
cruise missiles in Britain,
Pershing missiles in West Germany and Italy and Holland and so on and so forth.
At the request, it has to be said of those governments.
It's not like they're being forced to take them.
Of course.
The funny thing about Reagan in this period, in the first term,
is everybody says he's a warmonger.
He wants to press the button.
And you said in that previous podcast...
Well, and the famous poster, which is on the wall of every student,
is Gone with the Wind of Reagan and Thatcher evoking the famous image.
What's it say?
She asked him to take her to the end of the world.
He said he'd organise it.
Something like that.
And yet, everybody got Reagan wrong.
That's the absolutely fascinating thing.
Reagan is obsessed with nuclear weapons to a degree unmatched by any other president,
but he has a horror of nuclear weapons.
I mean, this will amaze a lot of listeners.
This is probably the one thing that a lot of listeners will say, they've gone mad.
Reagan is a nuclear disarmer. He loves the thought of getting rid of nuclear weapons.
It's one reason why he's so interested in the idea of Star Wars, the strategic defense initiative of a shield that will protect America
with lasers in space and all this. And his own staff say to him, it's mad. They say it'll destroy
the Western alliance. If you just have a shield just for the United States, their allies will be
outraged. He genuinely, we know from his diary,
he genuinely lies awake at night in a sort of cold sweat about nuclear weapons.
And so this is why he, in the long run,
will pledge to offer the technology
to the Soviet Union as well.
Yes.
And it explains why this man who is associated,
you know, I mean, is seen by his opponents
as the epitome of a cold warrior, a kind of gung-ho nuclear
missile-wielding cowboy, why he will take the lead, why the succession of extraordinary
summits with Gorbachev.
The long-term result of that is an incredible process of dearmament.
Yeah, we can see that, Tom, even before Gorbachev comes in.
So in October 1983, Reagan watches The Day After. Lots of our American listeners will be familiar with The Day After, this sort of TV movie about a nuclear holocaust. So in Britain, the equivalent was Threads, which was actually much more frightening. But Reagan watched The Day After and he wrote in his diary that he found it depressing and chilling. Lots of conservative commentators were saying, oh, this is left-wing propaganda.
Reagan doesn't say that at all.
He says, oh, this is terrible.
Then he finds out a few weeks later that there's been a NATO war game,
Abel Archer, and that the Russians have really been terrified by this
and thought it was going to be World War III.
Because that's through Gordievsky, the Soviet defector to Britain.
Through Oleg Gordievsky, exactly.
And Reagan writes in his diary, he says,
we ought to tell them that no one here has any
intention of doing anything like that.
He says, I would love to get a top Soviet leader in a room alone and try to convince
him that we had no designs on the Soviet Union and that the Russians had nothing to
fear from us.
Now, that's not something that his critics would imagine him writing.
That's sort of almost slightly sort of boyish.
Yes, it is.
If only I could be in the room with them, I could persuade them.
It's the kind of thing that a very educated, sophisticated analyst of international affairs
would never in a million years dare say. They'd be far too cynical to say that.
Exactly.
But Reagan doesn't have that kind of background, but he has the kind of background, well, in the kind of ideals that
good will triumph and that life is ultimately optimistic.
And his own personal charm. He thinks, if I can just get in there, I can talk to them and I can
persuade them the American way of life is better. Yeah. If I can just show them all the swimming
pools in California, which of course in the long run he will do.
Anyway, so that sets up his second term very nicely.
And I think the second half of this episode.
So I think we should take a break now.
And when we come back, we will be into Reagan's second term.
I'm Marina Hyde.
And I'm Richard Osman.
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Hello, welcome back to The Rest Is History.
It's 1985.
It's morning again in America, Tom.
It's morning again in America.
We're into Reagan's second term.
Are you not going to mention Walter Mondale in this podcast at all?
No, I'm not going to mention Walter Mondale. That is shocking.
No, we're going to pass over him.
So Reagan has steamrolled at Walter Mondale because the economy is in recovery uh walter mondale is a union man he belongs to the
kind of new deal past this is the famous line isn't it about how he's not going to take advantage of
his opponent's youth brilliant reagan i mean even if you hate reagan if you can't stand his policies
you know if your job was destroyed in michigan something, it's hard to watch that debate where
everybody has been saying Reagan's too old. He did a very poor performance in the first debate.
Then it comes up in debate number two, and he says, I will not make age an issue in this campaign.
I will not exploit for political purposes my opponent's youth and inexperience. And if you
watch Mondale in that, Mondale bursts out laughing. He finds it very funny.
And Mondale himself always says, that's the point.
I knew I could never beat him.
The Teflon quality.
It's a homer.
Yes, it is a homer.
I'll tell you one thing that is a definite shadow of a Reagan's record, and that's AIDS.
Yes.
So AIDS becomes more and more of an issue as time goes on.
I mean, going right the way back to his governorship in California, isn't one of his key aides destroyed in a kind of gay sex scandal?
That's right. Yes. I mean, no one's ever really got to the truth of that, whether it was true
or whether it was just... I mean, Reagan's aides always... He's a very, very weak leader.
It's a weird thing about Reagan, actually. He projects so much strength, but all his aides,
all these people who we don't have time to talk about, Michael Dever and Lynn Nofsiger and, I don't know, Ed Meese and all these characters, Don Regan, they spend so
much time feuding with each other and constantly being fired, resigning, coups, because they all
say, and they all without exception say, Reagan hated managing people. He hated confrontation. He hated giving people bad news,
telling people off, all that sort of thing, which meant that his administration was something.
It's extraordinary when you read the accounts how much of a snake pit it all is, as they're
using Nancy against each other and ganging up and making accusations. But anyway, yes,
I got off piece there. AIDS.
There are people in the administration who say we should speak out about this,
use the power of the sort of bully pulpit.
His Surgeon General, who we're talking about people with amazing names,
he's called Everett Coop.
Of course he is.
And Everett Coop is a man of intense moral sort of religious conservatism.
So Everett Coop is a cut from it. Like I've
cast the agency. So he's not in favour of sodomy.
He is not in favour of sodomy. However, Everett Coop is a man of great integrity.
He's led by the science, as it were. And he wants the administration to support him in a sort of
public awareness campaign. So that's the interesting thing, isn't it? Because de facto Christians could turn
either way. I mean, they could be, these are all sodomites and it's God's plague and all that kind
of stuff. Or this is a terrible catastrophe and we have a moral duty. You know, these are our
citizens.
Yes. That's the Everett Coop position.
Well, okay. So I think the better of him then.
But the Reagan will not touch it.
Is that because personal morality or is that his sense that it wouldn't play well in, I don't know, certain key constituencies?
I think it wouldn't play well. I think there are aides who say you don't touch it, aides who are very in with the religious right.
I think Nancy is against him touching it.
So there are stories that when Rock Hudson died in October 1985, Nancy blocked requests from Rock Hudson's publicist for the president to help move him to a French military hospital.
Reagan's own aides asked him to include references to aides in the presidential addresses, wasn't it?
Yeah, in the 1986 State of the Union.
Yeah.
And he takes it out.
And he could have done it.
The Thatcher government in Britain, you and I will remember, Tom, all those leaflets and the huge campaign about-
Yes, the tombstone.
The tombstone and all the campaign about condoms and don't die of ignorance, all this kind of thing.
The Reagan administration does nothing similar.
So that is a blot then.
That's a blot.
And another blot is the state of play with Iran and Nicaragua.
So, Dominic.
I've been dreading the appearance of this in the podcast
because it's so complicated.
Okay, well, don't go too much into the detail of it.
Do you want me to try and boil it down?
Yeah.
So there are two elements.
It's not a hydra.
It's a two-headed scandal.
But the complicating thing is the two heads end up
sort of eating each other.
So the first thing is the Reagan administration
is absolutely obsessed with Central America.
Because it's their backyard.
It's their backyard.
And they think in the 70s, the governments of the 70s,
the administration in the 70s,
we're far too lax about the spread of communism.
Central America, we make a stand.
We support the government of El Salvador.
There are a load of people from Nicaragua
who are helping the El Salvadorians,
including the government of Nicaragua,
who are these people who are left-wing called the Santinistas.
They decide to encourage some rebels against the Nicaraguan government,
the Santinistas, and the rebels are called the Contras.
And they kind of fund them, and they slightly invent the Contras.
I mean, the Contras would have existed anyway,
but they give them loads of money.
Reagan creates a fantasy image of the Contras.
He says they're the heirs to the Founding Fathers and the French resistance, which I think would be a great surprise to
anybody in Nicaragua. Anyway, Congress is trying to roll back the power of what it sees as the
imperial presidency. They've gone such a mess in Vietnam, and they don't want to get into another
Vietnam and Central America. So they pass two amendments, the Boland amendments, that basically
prohibits the federal government giving money to the Contras.
They want to roll this back.
Reagan says to his national security team, a guy called Bud McFarlane, his national security advisor from October 1983,
it'd be great if we could find some way of getting around that to give the Contras some money.
And they do. So McFarlane and a guy who works for him called Oliver North,
who is described by one of his own colleagues as 30% to 50% bullshit.
Yeah.
Bullshit and beefcake.
Exactly.
So they're both Vietnam veterans, actually, both Marines,
McFarlane and North.
They decide, well, we're probably not bound by this congressional thing.
We can get money from our allies.
So they get money from the Saudis, a Saudi royal family,
give them some money, some others,
and they run this slightly shambolic operation to fly weapons to the
Contras, which is illegal.
I mean, to give you a sense of the shambolic nature of it,
at one point the Sultan of Brunei gives them $10 million,
but they gave him the wrong bank account.
Have you seen this?
They gave him the wrong bank account. Have you seen this? They gave him the wrong bank account.
So an unidentified anonymous Swiss businessman
suddenly discovered that he had a $10 million transfer
from the Sultan of Brunei.
Did they get it back?
Well, he unbelievably, very public-spirited,
contacted the Swiss authorities and said,
I've got all this money.
I think it's a right back.
I mean, if I was him, I would be on an island.
I'd just run off with all of Norse money.
So there's that.
That's an element.
That's quite bad because that's illegal.
That's running an illegal foreign policy.
What makes this so baroque is that at the same time,
Bud McFarlane, National Security Advisor,
he's contacted by the Israelis.
And the Israelis say to him, listen,
we've identified what we think is a moderate faction
in iran so on the other side of the world the ayatollah's regime a moderate faction that we
think would be open to a deal with the americans in the long run and they would be very interested
in using their influence to free american hostages being held in lebanon by hezbollah
because the americans had made a disastrous, under Reagan, the Marines had
been blown up, hadn't they, by a car bomb.
More than 200 in a car bomb in Lebanon, and then they left again.
And as revenge, Hezbollah started kidnapping Americans.
These go-betweens say, listen, these Iranians can probably use their influence.
However, the quid pro quo is, they would like weapons to use in their war against Iraq,
against Saddam Hussein.
Armed shipments.
In return, they'll release the hostages.
Now, the problem with this is the US is sponsoring an arms embargo against the Iranian regime,
who are their great enemies.
However, when they take this to Reagan, Reagan's just had an operation, so he's very groggy.
I think he's still compos mentis.
In August 1985, he says, I think this is a great idea, because he's like Jimmy Carter before him.
He feels a real personal responsibility about the hostages.
He's desperate to get them home, absolutely obsessed by them.
And one of them was station chief in Beirut.
Yes.
Yeah.
But not all.
I mean, some of them are sort of, there's a priest and there's journalists, all these
kinds of things.
His more sort of sober advisors, so George Shultz, the Secretary of State, Caspar Weinberger, Secretary of Defense,
they say to him, this is an absolutely ludicrous and terrible idea. There's nothing good in this
idea at all. He says, no, go for it. Do it. So McFarlane and again, Oliver North,
they get in touch with a go-between. Here's a man called Manusha Ghorbanifah. The CIA described him in print,
had written down, he is an intelligence fabricator and a nuisance, a con artist.
He's the kind of person who'd send you an email saying he's just been robbed in the Philippines.
And can you send your bank details?
Yes, please send your bank details. Don't write down the wrong bank details and they'll go to
the Swiss bloke. They ignore this. So they start to organize
these arms shipments to Iran via the Israelis, anti-tank missiles. As time goes on, so 1985 is
beginning to turn into 1986, the Iranians just say, yeah, we haven't quite got around to releasing
the hostages, but keep sending more of these arms, please. So they send these arms. They start to
have to use CIA front airlines to to do it which is very illegal everything
is sort of slut has this air of incompetence so at one point they send them some hawk missiles
which turn out to have the star of david on them so the iranians say well those are useless because
we can't use those um you'll have to just send more and and and it's sort of in for a penny in for a pound so north
and co they keep sort of saying well we'll have to send more you know we're in for it now just a
few thousand more missiles and all this sort of stuff so by the turn of 1986 i mean there's you
know a plan um they're going to send the iranians 4 000 anti-tank missiles in a series of shipments
and with each shipment the the Iranians will release
a hostage. Now, this is discussed in the White House. So even though it's breaking the embargo,
it's like a secret foreign policy that's going against your overt foreign policy.
Reagan is listening to all this. Schultz and Weinberger keep saying,
these are terrible, terrible ideas. Why are we doing this? And Reagan always says, do it.
And he says to Weinberg at one point, we're doing this for the hostages. I don't want people to say
I wasn't a big enough man to do everything in my power to get the hostages back. But it's about
this point that Oliver North, full of bullshit as he's been described, has a brainwave. Why don't
we overcharge the Iranians for the arms? Then I'll use the profits
to give that money to the Contras. So he starts doing that and he's got $12 million and he's
funneling the profits to Nicaragua. So it's illegal in two ways now, so in Iran and in
the Central American dimension. Still, the hostages are not all being released.
In an absolutely ludicrous development in May 1986,
in an attempt to sort of break the deadlock,
Bud McFarlane and Oliver North actually fly to Iran.
Is this when they take the Bible?
On Irish passports, fake Irish passports.
I mean, it's absolutely mind-boggling that they thought
they could get away with this.
They fly into Iran on Irish passports carrying two pistols,
which are immediately confiscated by the
Iranian security or customs people, a chocolate cake that they had bought from a kosher bakery
in Tel Aviv, and a Bible personally inscribed by Ronald Reagan. I mean, how they could think.
They turn up anyway with all this stuff. And the Iranians don't send anyone to meet them it's completely obvious that they've been the victims of a terrible scam i mean the
iranians do send junior people but not senior people and after i think four days they fly home
sans chocolate cake but you see they could very easily not have flown home i mean they could have
been taken hostage they could have been taken so it's quite courageous but mad putting your head
in a crocodile's mouth yes putting a your head in a crocodile's mouth.
Yes, putting a chocolate cake
in a crocodile's mouth.
Exactly.
Then in October 1986,
a plane is shot down over...
It's got a bit of Watergate
about this, hasn't it?
It really does.
Yeah, definitely.
A sort of ludicrous incompetence.
A plane is shot down
in Nicaragua.
The pilot is a man
called Eugene Hassenfuss.
Again, slightly,
you couldn't make it up name.
I looked him up. He was recently in trouble for exposing himself in a Walmart, Tom. Was he?
Yeah. Anyway, he basically talks to the Nicaraguans who shot him down. Oh, I'm working for the CIA.
At that point, the whole story breaks. The Lebanese newspaper breaks the story about the
Iranian trip. Oliver North desperately tries to shred all the papers.
And this is all his secretary, Fawn Hall.
Fawn Hall, she stuffs them down her blouse.
I mean, Oliver North is the absolute spit of a plucky Marine
doing his bit for Uncle Sam in a Central American dictatorship.
And Fawn Hall not only has the name, but has the big hair
of a typecast mid-1980s.
She's kind of Melanie Griffiths in Working Girl.
She'd be in Dallas or Dynasty,
as our American listeners would call it.
She absolutely is.
So she's stuffing this stuff down her bra
or stuffing it into her boots, the papers.
North, they shred something like two,
I don't know, two square feet of documents or something.
But he forgets that he does the documents
from his own filing cabinet,
but he forgets that they're just copies and Fauna Hall has all the originals,
and he hasn't shredded those. During investigations, everything goes wrong.
McFarlane actually tried to kill himself before his own testimony. The boss of the CIA, Bill Casey,
who's about 180, has a seizure on his way to Capitol Hill to testify.
And then it turns out he's got a brain tumor that kills him.
And Reagan denies the whole thing.
I mean, Reagan undoubtedly, and there's no two ways of putting it,
Reagan lies about it.
Reagan says, I didn't know anything about it.
Well, or so he ends up with Alzheimer's.
Yes.
And people have discussed, haven't they, whether that is starting to kick in at this point,
whether he genuinely is forgetting these kind of details.
I mean, Reagan's never been a details man, I suppose it's fair to say.
And he's also, we talked a bit before, haven't we, about how he creates his own truth.
Yeah.
Not unlike other residents of California, of course, in their own time.
He creates his own truth in which he strongly believes. I mean, there's that denial that I
mentioned at the beginning. My heart, my best intentions still tell me that it's true, but the
facts and the evidence tell me it's not. I mean, people are sort of saying to him, Mr. President,
you signed off on this. We have pieces of paper. Now, he didn't know, I think, people are sort of saying to him, Mr. President, you signed off on this. You know, we have pieces of paper.
Now, he didn't know, I think, about the linkage between Iran.
And there's no evidence that he knew about that North was using the profits from one
to fund the other.
But he had explicitly said, do what you can to fund the Contras and had explicitly given
the go ahead for the arms for hostages deal.
There's no doubt about that whatsoever.
So how does he avoid a Watergate situation then?
One, because there's already been Watergate.
So people are-
They want to bring down a second president.
They don't want to bring down a second president so soon.
Two, I think his personal,
his administration is anyway approaching the fag end.
Yeah.
So in a way he can kind of get away with it.
I think his own personal charm-
So he's more popular than
nixon yeah he hasn't got as many enemies maybe as nixon people who are people are itching to bring
nixon down in a way they're not with reagan and yet i think i mean i always remember when i first
studied this as a student my then supervisor said to me iran contra was so much of a bigger deal
than watergate yeah it sounds like irContra is running two illegal foreign policies. And shoveling money to Iran. Yeah. I mean, it's a massive deal. Whereas
Watergate was famously a third rate burglary. Yeah. So a complex story. Yeah. Brilliantly
told. Well, I don't know about brilliantly told, but told very quickly. Brilliantly told.
So the other big aspect of Reagan's second term, which shows him in a much better light,
is his dealings with gorbachev
and it's written in the stars this is going to go well because before reagan goes to see
gorbachev for the first time in geneva nancy reagan's astrologer does gorbachev's horoscope
oh and it's all going to be fine joanne quigley yeah joan quickly yeah so that's good oh that's
very good well geneva actually so he has four
summits with gorbachev geneva reykjavik washington moscow and reykjavik he's staying in the former
um british ambassador's house he has been in it's very bleak apparently tom very bleak and the
british ambassador got rid of it because he said it was haunted frankly haunted by the ghost of
disarmament talks to come so geneva they have a meeting it meeting. It's quite frosty. There's no deal. However, they do
have a bit of a rapport. So they can talk to each other as human beings and they do argue
about their respective systems. Reagan's got all his kind of reading in Human Events and Reader's
Digest that he's been doing by this stage for what 30 years 40 years so he's full of
the communist system and he can't he actually at one point later on washington he tries out some
of his anti-russian jokes on gorbachev yeah in the oval office right and this massive embarrassment
all around i mean all the americans say it was awful and they wished the ground would swallow
them up yeah and because gorbachev doesn't laugh at all. Reykjavik is the key one, because although they don't get a deal in Reykjavik,
Gorbachev goes in with a massive, massive offer of 50% cuts in their nuclear weapons
and get rid of all their intermediate weapons,
which are their sort of range of about 2,000 to 4,000 miles.
Unbelievably, Reagan then says, well, why don't we get rid of all of them?
Why don't we get rid of them of them? Why don't we get
rid of them all? And in the end, it's Star Wars that's the sticking point.
It's Star Wars that brings it down because Reagan is so committed to Star Wars. Gorbachev hates the
thought of Star Wars. Historians have different views about this, about how much Reagan's defense
spending put pressure on the Russians. There's no doubt that Gorbachev was genuinely concerned
about Star Wars. I mean, actually, the irony is
they spent all that money, billions and billions, but it never came to fruition. But it's sort of
psychologically, I think it hammers home to the Soviet leadership how backward they are.
By comparison, they can't possibly keep up. But Reagan left Reykjavik devastated. So if you think
that Reagan was already... If you think back to when we were talking before about Reagan, how deep seated his horror of nuclear weapons is.
And this idealistic dream, which actually horrifies not just a lot of his staff.
But Mrs. Thatcher.
Yeah. All his allies.
Yeah. What would have happened if he'd agreed, do you think?
I don't think he would have been allowed to agree, actually.
They would have read it back.
I think so.
The president misspoke.
Yeah.
People within his own administration got in touch with Mrs. Thatcher and said,
I have terrible news.
He's offered to give away.
I mean, this genuinely happened.
They said, he's offered to give away all our nuclear weapons.
You must use your influence.
Get on the phone to him.
You know, tell him.
For Christ's sake, don't go.
Because they then think, because in Europe, people say, well, we're undefended. The Russians could walk in, the Red Army could just come over the border
at any point, and we have no defense. Reagan is sort of devastated by this. The interesting thing
is, how much credit do you give to Reagan personally for the thawing? The truth of the
matter is, almost any other US president would have had a much harder time, because they would
have got such a beating from the conservatives in the United States as selling out. But because Reagan has these anti-communist credentials, he actually
does get a bit of flack from conservative periodicals who say, unbelievable, Ronald
Reagan of all people has fallen for the communist lie. But he's simultaneously playing good cop and
bad cop, isn't he? So he goes to Moscow and he kind of hangs out and all that kind of stuff yeah in red square is that what he does tom is that the noise that's exactly
what he does and then he goes to berlin yeah and says mr garbage have pulled down that wall tear
down this wall yeah you've got it's berlin first then moscow but you're right he is doing that he's
putting on the pressure right bad cop good cop then bad cop good cop exactly he's he's putting
on the pressure they do sign a treaty in, good cop then. Bad cop, good cop. Exactly. He's putting on the pressure. They do sign a treaty in Washington,
the INF Treaty. They begin the process of strategic arms reduction. And he goes to Moscow,
and that really is such a psychological moment. Because somebody says to him as he's walking
around in Red Square, greeting the crowds, do you still think this is an evil empire, Mr. Reagan?
And he says, that was another time, another era. I mean, personally, I would say
it's not so much that Reagan won the Cold War, but that Gorbachev chose no longer to fight it.
I think that was the key to it. But I think any other US president without Reagan's credentials
would have had a much harder time. And I think the symbolism was all the greater coming with Reagan.
And Reagan, having put so much rhetorical pressure on the Soviet Union, certainly in his first term
and then before that, before his presidency,
meant that it gave him the freedom
to be able to strike a deal and to be warm with Gorbachev
and to stroll around shaking hands in the Arbat in Moscow.
For any other American president,
the backlash at home would have been massive,
but Reagan was able to get away with it. So, Dominic, we're approaching the end.
Yeah.
If we were to kind of draw up the account book.
Yeah.
Reagan ceases to be president.
He's succeeded by George Herbert Bush, who had been his vice president for the previous eight years.
George Herbert Walker Bush.
Don't forget the Walker.
George Herbert Walker Bush.
He retires to California.
He's diagnosed with Alzheimer's.
Yes.
And he dies in 2004.
The impression I get is that in America, even those who are very ideologically opposed to what he did, I mean, he's not hated in the way that a lot of, I mean, pretty much all the subsequent presidents are. So I don't think people actually feel very strongly about the first George Bush, but Clinton,
second Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden. I mean, they've all been massively, massively polarizing figures.
Whereas Reagan has, I guess he was a very polarizing figure in his own time, but
even his opponents kind of, they liked him. They seem to have liked him.
So Tip O'Neill, you mentioned Tip O'Neill to have liked him so tip o'neill you
mentioned tip o'neill is a great example tip o'neill was the speaker of the house he was
implacably opposed to everything reagan stood for but tip o'neill says doesn't he um it's quoted in
bob spitzer's book that we've referred to a few times reagan would have made a brilliant monarch
i mean that is an important part of being a president isn't it that the monarchical role
that he does seem to have done brilliantly.
But in terms of policy, perhaps setting the Cold War policy, the rapprochement with Gorbachev aside,
his presidency seemed marked by a series of scandals, gaffes, failures, massive deficits.
Yeah, that would be the harsh view.
If you're a more right-leaning economist, you might say the Reagan tax cuts established the foundations from which the American economy
then booms in the 80s and 90s. I mean, I'm not going to pronounce a judgment on that,
because actually, I think that just comes down to personal political predilections
as much as anything. I think Reagan definitely restores the prestige of the presidency after the
Nixon. And of America. And of America, I think undoubtedly.
You can't dismiss those things.
And most historians, even liberal historians who've written about this say,
there's no doubt that he's a brilliant advertisement for the American brand. But this goes back to what we've been saying all along, that the image, the brand,
the roles that he's playing, the vibe is a crucial part of what
makes him an important and significant president.
And that it is a mistake to sneer at that.
I think it's definitely a mistake.
Because actually, it's a very important part of being a president.
The idea that being a president, I mean, especially being a president rather than a
prime minister, the idea that being a president rather than a prime minister. The idea that you're a president is just a matter of poring over briefing books and understanding
the nitty gritty of policy and line by line analysis of legislation.
That's all there is to it is a massive, massive misunderstanding.
A lot of being a president is doing exactly what Reagan was doing when he worked at General
Electric.
It is going to the plants, making people feel good about themselves, telling them a few
jokes, all that sort of stuff. I mean, FDR was very good at that, Reagan's hero.
And FDR people said, he's shallow, he doesn't understand the policy.
Clinton was very good at that too.
Clinton was good at that, and Clinton definitely did understand the policy,
but Clinton was more undisciplined than Reagan. Reagan had tremendous message discipline.
When it worked, it worked very well. When he surrounded himself with pragmatic, bright people,
he was an effective governor of California,
and there were definitely things that he gets right.
And a good example of that is handling the Soviet Union.
The economy, I mean, there's no doubt that he left massive deficits.
And his economic mantra, I mean, I would say was, in a way,
quite unconservative because
it just relied so much on borrowing.
So one last question.
It's in the 80s that the tech boom happens.
Yeah.
Really starts to kick in in California, which has been the underpinning for so much of American
influence and economic power into the 21st century.
That's happening in California where Reagan was governor.
It happens under his
presidency can he lay any claim to having played a role in that or is that just you know that he
is the surface froth and these deep kind of currents are moving beneath that surface for
off i definitely wouldn't give him credit for the tech boom necessarily i would say
because the tech boom really begins in the 70s and it's not because of his govern governorship in California at all. I mean, if you take Reagan out of the equation,
the tech boom still happens. It's still going to happen.
But I suppose, I think there's three ways in which he's obviously consequential. One is about,
this will sound like a pejorative word, and I don't mean it that way, but as an American
nationalist, making Americans feel good about their country, asserting their strength, their
role in the world, all that. Number two is the relationship with Gorbachev. I think that undoubtedly is really, really important. And number three is
he establishes a kind of, he is the Republican Roosevelt. He becomes a kind of model, a dream
figure. So now all Republican candidates pay homage to Reagan. They evoke Reagan. Often without,
I have to say, a massive understanding of his career and what he stood for,
but he has become the touchstone. And there are not many presidents of whom that's true. And if,
as some listeners may conclude at the end of this program, that's partly because he's a master of
smoke and mirrors as much as of substance. I mean-
Say what?
Yeah. We've done podcasts and everything from the Roman emperors to medieval kings,
and smoke and mirrors has always been a huge part of it, hasn't it?
So, you know, Julius Caesar, who we did a podcast about a month ago, would Julius Caesar have looked at Ronald Reagan and said, what a shallow waste of space?
Or would he have said, he's good?
What do you think, Dom?
I think he would have respected his talents as his ability to speak to the people.
Yeah.
I think the Romans would undoubtedly have recognized in Reagan,
a familiar figure.
Don't you think?
Yeah, I think so.
All right.
Well, on that note, Reagan, the Roman,
I hadn't expected that we were going to end up with that conclusion.
I thought you'd, after three episodes, Tom, something for you.
Throw me a bone.
Bless you.
I don't think we should end with us though, should we?
I think we should end with the man himself.
The Gipper.
With the Gipper.
I think we should end with the Gipper. And Iipper. With the Gipper. I think we should end with the Gipper.
And I think we have an authentic audio clip of the Gipper.
His farewell address is January 1989, one of the most stirring and moving evocations
of his faith in America.
So take it away, please.
Ronald Reagan.
I've spoken of the shining city all my political life, but I don't know if I ever quite communicated what I
saw when I said it. But in my mind, it was a tall, proud city, built on rocks stronger than oceans,
windswept, God-blessed, and teeming with people of all kinds living in harmony and peace,
a city with free ports that hummed with commerce and creativity. And if there had to be city walls, the walls had doors,
and the doors were open to anyone with the will and the heart to get here.
That's how I saw it and see it still.
And how stands the city on this winter night?
More prosperous, more secure, and happier than it was eight years ago.
But more than that, after two hundred years, two centuries,
she still stands strong and true on the Granite Ridge,
and her glow has held steady no matter what storm.
And she's still a beacon, still a magnet for all who must have freedom,
for all the pilgrims from all the lost places who are hurtling through the darkness toward home.
Goodbye.
Goodbye.
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